Keith Ford v. Suzanne Peery ( 2020 )


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  •                      FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    KEITH UNDRAY FORD,                              No. 18-15498
    Petitioner-Appellant,
    D.C. No.
    v.                          2:15-cv-02463-
    MCE-GGH
    SUZANNE M. PEERY, Warden,
    Respondent-Appellee.                    OPINION
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of California
    Morrison C. England, Jr., District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted January 22, 2020
    San Francisco, California
    Filed September 28, 2020
    Before: William A. Fletcher and Ryan D. Nelson, Circuit
    Judges, and Donald W. Molloy,* District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge W. Fletcher;
    Dissent by Judge R. Nelson
    *
    The Honorable Donald W. Molloy, United States District Judge for
    the District of Montana, sitting by designation.
    2                          FORD V. PEERY
    SUMMARY**
    Habeas Corpus
    The panel reversed the district court’s denial of Keith
    Ford’s habeas corpus petition challenging his first-degree
    murder conviction, and remanded with instructions to
    conditionally grant the writ, in a case in which the prosecutor,
    at the end of his closing-argument rebuttal, told the jury that
    the presumption of innocence no longer applied.
    Because there was no state-court decision to which the
    panel could defer in determining whether the prosecutor
    misstated federal law and, if so, whether that statement
    violated due process under Darden v. Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
     (1986), the panel reviewed Ford’s Darden claim de novo.
    The panel held that the prosecutor’s repeated statements,
    endorsed by the trial judge, that the presumption of innocence
    no longer applied violated due process under Darden. The
    panel explained that a holding of a due process violation
    under Darden necessarily entails a conclusion that the
    prosecutor’s misstatements of the law were prejudicial. The
    panel further held that the California Court of Appeal
    unreasonably concluded under Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
     (1967), that the prosecutor’s misstatements of the law
    were harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.
    Dissenting, Judge R. Nelson wrote that the majority
    ignores the highly deferential standard owed to the California
    Court of Appeal’s harmlessness conclusion under AEDPA
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    FORD V. PEERY                        3
    and instead adopts a broad exercise of supervisory power
    over a state court’s trial proceedings, inconsistent with the
    narrow legal standard for habeas review.
    COUNSEL
    Barry Morris (argued), Walnut Creek, California, for
    Petitioner-Appellant.
    Kristin Liska (argued), Associate Deputy Solicitor General;
    Jill M. Thayer, Deputy Attorney General; Peggy S. Ruffra,
    Supervising Deputy Attorney General; Jeffrey M. Laurence,
    Senior Assistant Attorney General; Lance E. Winters, Chief
    Assistant Attorney General; Xavier Becerra, Attorney
    General; Attorney General’s Office, San Francisco,
    California; for Respondent-Appellee.
    OPINION
    W. FLETCHER, Circuit Judge:
    In August 2010, Ruben Martinez was shot and killed in
    Vallejo, California. Keith Ford was charged with first degree
    murder with three firearm enhancements. Ford was tried in
    the California Superior Court for Solano County in August
    2012.
    During closing argument, at the end of his rebuttal, the
    prosecutor told the jury that the presumption of innocence no
    longer applied. He said:
    4                     FORD V. PEERY
    This idea of this presumption of innocence is
    over. Mr. Ford had a fair trial. We were here
    for three weeks where . . . he gets to cross-
    examine witnesses; also an opportunity to
    present evidence information through his
    lawyer. He had a fair trial. This system is not
    perfect, but he had a fair opportunity and a
    fair trial. He’s not presumed innocent
    anymore.
    (Emphases added.) The defense attorney objected, “That
    misstates the law.” The court overruled the objection. The
    prosecutor resumed, “And so we’re past that point.”
    The jury began deliberating later that day, on Tuesday,
    August 21, 2012. On Friday, August 24, the fourth day of
    deliberations, the jury reported that it was “hopelessly
    deadlocked,” with one juror holding out for acquittal. The
    court sent the jury back to deliberate further. The following
    Tuesday, August 28, the jury returned a unanimous verdict
    that defendant Ford was guilty of first-degree murder. The
    jury was still “hopelessly deadlocked” on three firearm
    enhancements, including an enhancement for “personal use
    of a firearm during the commission of the crime.” The final
    vote on the “personal use” enhancement was seven to five.
    The court declared a mistrial as to all three firearm
    enhancements.
    Martinez had been killed with a single shot to his head.
    The prosecutor had contended that Ford had shot Martinez.
    The prosecutor had never contended, or even suggested, that
    anyone other than Ford had fired the shot that killed
    Martinez.
    FORD V. PEERY                          5
    After exhausting his state-court remedies, Ford sought
    federal habeas relief under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    . We answer two
    principal questions. First, in overruling the objection to the
    prosecutor’s statements that the presumption of innocence no
    longer applied did the California Superior Court violate due
    process under Darden v. Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
     (1986)?
    Second, was the California Court of Appeal objectively
    unreasonable in holding that any error was harmless beyond
    a reasonable doubt under Chapman v. California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    (1967)? We answer “yes” to both questions.
    I. The Trial
    A. Summary of Evidence Presented
    On August 7, 2010, a Saturday evening, Ruben Martinez
    was killed in his SUV in front of his girlfriend’s house on a
    short block of Beach Street between Benicia Road and
    Central Avenue in Vallejo, California. At about 10:00 p.m.,
    Martinez had driven his girlfriend Jessica Blanco home so she
    could use the bathroom, check movie times, and get her
    jacket. Just before Martinez turned left onto Beach Street
    from Benicia Road, a white car ahead of them made a U-turn
    and went back past them the other way on Benicia Road.
    Blanco later testified at trial that she had not been able to see
    anyone in the car and that she could not identify the make or
    model of the car.
    When they arrived at her house, Blanco went inside while
    Martinez stayed in his SUV with the motor still running.
    Martinez had washed the SUV earlier in the day. Blanco
    testified at trial that a few minutes after walking into the
    house, she heard a loud popping noise and the revving of an
    engine. She “heard a screeching noise, tires peeling, gravel.”
    6                      FORD V. PEERY
    Blanco went outside and saw that Martinez’s SUV had
    crashed into a neighbor’s garage down the street.
    A few minutes before Martinez was shot, Bethel Johnson
    (“Johnson”) and two of her children arrived at their house
    across the street from Blanco’s house. When Johnson got out
    of her car, she saw Martinez sitting in his SUV with the
    motor running and headlights on, and with the driver’s side
    window rolled up. Johnson testified that she could see
    through the tinted window that Martinez was looking at his
    lighted cell phone. She testified that there was a party on
    Beach Street at a black motorcycle club about half a block
    away on the other side of Benicia Road. There was a party at
    the club “almost every Saturday that month.” Johnson
    testified that three young black men were walking up Beach
    Street toward the party. Two of them were “maybe 16, 17, 18
    years old,” and the other was “much older,” “19, 21. Between
    there.”     Johnson testified that the older man was
    “somewhere” between 5'6" and 5'9", that he was wearing a
    dark hooded sweatshirt, and that he had dreads.
    Johnson’s daughter, Tenley Johnson (“Tenley”), got out
    of the back seat on the passenger side with the family
    Rottweiler on a leash. Johnson testified that the dog charged
    the man she had described as older. She called to Tenley,
    “Control your dog.” Johnson testified that the man “said
    something like, ‘Hi girly,’ and then kind of like turned around
    away from the dog” and walked in the opposite direction
    toward Central Avenue, away from the party. She testified
    that she saw no weapons, and that the man said nothing
    threatening to Tenley. Between two and three minutes after
    getting into her house, Johnson heard what sounded like a
    shot and broken glass. Johnson went outside to check on her
    FORD V. PEERY                         7
    car. She found her own car intact and saw no one on the
    street.
    Tenley testified that she, too, had seen Martinez’s cell
    phone light through the window of the SUV. She testified
    that when she got out of the car, she saw three young black
    men walking from Central Avenue toward the party on
    Benicia Road. She described them to a police officer that
    night as “teenagers.” Tenley said her dog “started barking
    and . . . pulling me.” The dog pulled her toward a man with
    “short hair.” She said, “I couldn’t really see the face. It was
    dark.” She testified that the man was “skinny.” Tenley is
    5'3". She described the man as taller than she was and shorter
    than a 6'0" police officer who interviewed her. Tenley
    testified that the man was wearing a blue jacket with one or
    more white stripes “on the sleeves.” She said it was “like a
    track jacket” and that it did not cover his head. One of the
    other men had dreads. She did not see any of the men’s
    faces. When later shown six photographs, including a
    photograph of Ford, Tenley did not identify Ford as one of
    the three “teenagers” she had seen that night.
    Another neighbor, Moises Cervantes, was walking out of
    his house on Beach Street. His house was between Blanco’s
    house and Central Avenue. Cervantes heard a “pop” and saw
    Martinez’s SUV coming toward him. After the SUV crashed,
    Cervantes looked up and down the street and saw no one.
    Martinez was killed with a single shot. His foot was
    pressed on the gas pedal, causing the SUV to accelerate down
    the street until it crashed into the neighbor’s garage. The
    engine continued to run, and the rear wheels to spin, even
    after the SUV came to a stop. Martinez’s cell phone was
    found on the floorboard of the front passenger seat. The
    8                      FORD V. PEERY
    driver’s side window was intact and about “a quarter of the
    way down.” The other windows on the driver’s side were
    closed and intact. A photograph introduced into evidence
    shows two rear side windows on the passenger side that were
    shattered. At least one of the windows had been broken by
    first responders.
    Five days later, on August 12, two Vallejo detectives
    lawfully stopped Keith Ford. Ford was twenty-three years
    old. He is black, is 5'8" tall, and weighs 165 pounds. At the
    time of the stop, he had short hair. He was driving a white
    Oldsmobile sedan. The detectives found Ford’s cell phone
    inside his car and discovered six additional cell phones in the
    center console.
    Ford was read his Miranda rights. One of the detectives,
    Les Bottomley, testified that Ford said that he had “bought
    [the cell phones] stolen off the street.” Later in the same
    interview, however, Ford told Bottomley he did not know
    whether they had been stolen. Ford told Bottomley that he
    was right-handed. Bottomley asked Ford where he had been
    on the night of August 7. Ford answered that he “was at his
    mother’s home and at that time would have been in bed.”
    Bottomley testified that Ford’s mother’s house is about three
    and half miles from Blanco’s neighborhood. Bottomley did
    not ask Ford about Martinez’s murder.
    When Ford was stopped, he had a jacket in his car.
    Detective Bottomley testified that he later showed the jacket
    to Tenley. Tenley told him that it was not the jacket she had
    seen on the young man with the short hair on August 7.
    Ford was arrested on September 26 and charged with
    having a concealed firearm in his vehicle on that date. It was
    FORD V. PEERY                         9
    stipulated to the jury that the firearm was unrelated to
    Martinez’s murder. Ford was held on the charge in the
    Solano County Jail until December 14. On December 13,
    Detective Bottomley interviewed Ford again. He asked Ford
    if he knew Martinez. Bottomley testified that Ford said “he
    did not think he did.” Ford repeated that he had been at his
    mother’s house on the night of August 7 and had spent the
    night there. Bottomley told Ford that his palm print had been
    found on Martinez’s SUV. Ford replied, “That don’t mean
    nothing. That just mean I came in contact with the vehicle at
    one time or another.”
    While Ford was in jail on the firearm charge, he spoke to
    his girlfriend on the telephone. The call was recorded. Ford
    said:
    [L]uckily I ain’t in here for murder, that’s all
    I keep thinking about . . . oh well I wish it
    didn’t have to happen . . . I just [wish] I was at
    home . . . I know I gotta deal with my
    (unintelligible) it’s too late for all that . . . to
    be wishing I was at home . . . See I’m
    disappointed in myself. But [expletive] that’s
    what happens when you carry a gun. Ain’t
    nothin good gonna come of it. And I know
    this and [expletive] still happen, cause I tell
    other people the only thing you gonna get out
    of a gun is you gonna throw down with it or
    you gonna shoot somebody with it. And I tell
    everybody that and look at my [expletive].
    A recording of the call was played for the jury.
    10                     FORD V. PEERY
    Several months after the murder, the following message
    appeared on Ford’s Facebook page, directed at someone who
    had accused Ford of shooting him:
    I heard through the grapevine you was
    looking for the guy. Let me know something.
    And since you think I popped you, check this
    out. First off, I don’t [expletive] with the
    Vistas. Second off, I am too good of a shooter
    to hit a [expletive] that many times and not
    knock they [expletive] down. Last, when you
    getting shot, I was on Fifth buying some syrup
    off Jigs. Plus, I don’t even [expletive] with
    [expletive], so ain’t nobody talked to me since
    I got out of jail last. Real killers move in
    silence. And would I brag on a job I didn’t
    even complete? [Expletive] knocking
    [expletive] down. I don’t need credit for an
    attempt, so take that how you want to.
    The message was read to the jury.
    The prosecution presented testimony from four fingerprint
    analysts about the partial latent palm print found on
    Martinez’s SUV. Niki Zamora of the San Mateo County
    Forensics Laboratory testified that she examined the SUV on
    August 11. She discovered a latent partial left palm print on
    the outside of the driver’s door, just below the window. The
    exterior of the vehicle was “rather dirty,” with dirt and a
    sticky white substance on the door where she found the print.
    Fire extinguishers had been used on the SUV after the crash.
    Zamora testified that she cleaned off only some of the “dirt
    and debris” before “dusting” and taking her “first lift” of the
    print. She did not indicate on the “fingerprint card” that the
    FORD V. PEERY                         11
    area from which the print was lifted “had debris on it.”
    Zamora was not “certified as a crime scene processor”
    because she “hadn’t had enough experience yet.”
    Frankie Franck, a certified latent print examiner, matched
    Zamora’s “first lift” to Ford’s palm print. Franck compared
    the latent print to “several” electronically taken prints (“Live
    Scan prints”) that he had been given, including one from
    Ford taken in October 2009 in Butte County, California.
    Franck testified that the latent print obtained by Zamora “was
    not of the best quality,” and that it covered “probably
    30 percent” of the total palm. Despite the quality of the latent
    print, and despite the fact that it was only a partial print,
    Franck testified that he was certain of the match—“[a]s
    certain as I am sitting here.”
    Zamora then confirmed Franck’s match. She conceded
    that she had not followed the lab’s normal protocol, which
    required that a confirming print analyst “not, in any way, [be]
    associated with the work that . . . had [been] done.” Zamora
    was, of course, directly associated with that work, for she had
    lifted the latent print from the SUV. Zamora was not certified
    as a latent print examiner. She had taken the certification test
    and was awaiting the result.
    Darrell Klasey, a certified latent print examiner at the
    Solano County Sheriff’s Office, took a rolled ink print of
    Ford’s hands in May 2011. Klasey compared the ink print of
    Ford’s left palm to the Live Scan print that Franck had been
    given. Klasey concluded that the ink print and the Live Scan
    print were from the same person. Cross-examination
    revealed Klasey’s questionable performance at a previous
    agency.
    12                     FORD V. PEERY
    Lynne Lazzari, a latent fingerprint analyst at the Solano
    County Sheriff’s Office, confirmed Klasey’s conclusion. Her
    analysis was based only on the two prints that Klasey had
    given her (Ford’s ink print and the Live Scan print analyzed
    by Franck), and she knew that Klasey had already concluded
    that they matched. Lazzari testified, “I did my own
    independent study and came up with why it was the same
    person.” She testified that she “more or less” followed a
    standard method for comparing prints. When questioned
    about the standard method, which requires examining the
    unknown print before the known print, she responded that she
    compared the prints side by side: “Well, that’s why I said
    ‘more or less.’ I do it my way.” When asked whether her
    method had “ever been tested or validated for accuracy,” she
    responded, “No.” Lazzari had never taken the test to be
    certified as a latent print examiner.
    There was also testimony about the condition of
    Martinez’s SUV after it crashed into the garage. As noted
    above, Zamora had examined the SUV on August 11, 2010.
    She testified that the driver’s side window was intact and was
    “partially down.” Detective Bottomley, who had been at the
    crime scene on the night of the murder, had earlier testified
    that the driver’s side window was intact and was “about a
    quarter of the way down.” According to the prosecution’s
    crime scene reconstructionist, the driver’s side window was
    1.2 feet open, and a 5'8" individual could stand by the SUV
    and reach through the window without contortion. The
    prosecutor asked whether there was a “[l]arge enough space
    to put a hand in.” Bottomley had answered, “Absolutely.”
    Zamora testified that the other driver’s side windows were
    intact but that the “two rear passenger side windows” were
    “shattered,” with “[n]o glass there.” Photographs of the SUV,
    supporting Zamora’s testimony, were shown to the jury.
    FORD V. PEERY                         13
    Zamora testified that there were no bullet holes “either inside
    . . . or outside” the SUV.
    Finally, Susan Hogan, M.D., a forensic pathologist,
    testified about the bullet wound and the manner of shooting.
    She testified that Martinez was killed by a single shot to the
    back left side of his head. The bullet entered about an inch
    and a half from the top of his head and two inches left from
    the posterior (back) midline. It traveled downward, forward,
    and to the right, coming to rest in the soft tissue of the right
    side of the neck. Dr. Hogan testified that death was
    “[v]irtually instantaneous.” She testified that there was no
    soot or “stippling” at or near the entry point, which meant that
    the shot was fired from “at least three feet away.”
    Defense counsel presented evidence that other than a brief
    conversation on the night of the murder, law enforcement did
    not identify or contact anyone at the motorcycle party down
    the street. Law enforcement collected license plate numbers
    of all of the vehicles on the street, but did not follow up on
    any of them. Law enforcement never showed Blanco a
    picture of Ford’s white Oldsmobile to determine whether it
    was the car she had seen on the night of the murder. No one
    reviewed the contents of the stolen cell phones recovered
    from Ford’s car. Though one witness reported hearing
    multiple shots, the only bullet found was the one that killed
    Martinez. No gun or shell casings were ever found. There
    was gunshot residue on the inside of the driver’s side door,
    but there was no residue on the window seal of the door or on
    Martinez’s clothes. The only DNA found at the scene
    belonged to Martinez.
    14                     FORD V. PEERY
    B. Attorneys’ Arguments
    In his closing argument, the prosecutor contended that
    Martinez’s murder was “a robbery gone bad.” His theory was
    that Ford had put his left hand on the outside of the driver’s
    side door, had reached through the partially opened driver’s
    window with his right hand, and had shot Martinez in the
    head:
    There is compelling evidence in this case, . . .
    and that would be the defendant’s palm print
    on the victim’s car on his driver’s door, right
    in the position where a person, a right-handed
    person with a firearm in their right hand,
    would have shot and killed the victim. . . . No
    unusual contortion would have to take place
    for a person of 5'8" to stick their hand in there
    and fire.
    The prosecutor further argued that Ford’s recorded telephone
    conversation with his girlfriend and his Facebook post
    supported his contention that Ford shot Martinez.
    The prosecutor did not try to reconcile his contention that
    Ford had reached through the driver’s side window and shot
    Martinez as he sat in the driver’s seat with Dr. Hogan’s
    testimony, which required the gun to have been “at least”
    three feet away. The prosecutor also did not try to reconcile
    his contention with Johnson’s testimony that she had heard
    the sound of a shot and broken glass and with the photograph
    of the SUV showing that two rear side passenger windows
    had been shattered.
    FORD V. PEERY                        15
    In her responsive closing argument, Ford’s attorney
    contended that the fingerprint identification was unreliable.
    She emphasized the poor quality of the latent palm print lifted
    from the SUV by Zamora and contended that the unqualified
    fingerprint analysts were not to be trusted. She contended
    that in his telephone conversation with his girlfriend, Ford
    was “talking about the fact that he’s in custody for a gun and
    thank God, thank God he didn’t kill anyone.” She
    characterized Ford’s Facebook post as “talking smack to
    someone behind a computer screen.”
    At the end of his rebuttal closing argument, the prosecutor
    told the jury:
    This idea of this presumption of innocence is
    over. Mr. Ford had a fair trial. We were here
    for three weeks where . . . he gets to cross-
    examine witnesses; also an opportunity to
    present information through his lawyer. He
    had a fair trial. This system is not perfect, but
    he had a fair opportunity and a fair trial. He’s
    not presumed innocent anymore.
    (Emphases added.) Ford’s attorney objected, “That misstates
    the law.” The court held a sidebar. The court then said in
    front of the jury, “All right. The objection is overruled.” The
    prosecutor resumed, “And so we’re past that point.” The jury
    began its deliberations shortly thereafter, on the same day.
    C. Jury Deliberations
    On the second day of deliberations, the jury sent out a
    written question: “If someone believes that the defendant was
    present at the time of the shooting and was an active
    16                     FORD V. PEERY
    participant in the attempted robbery, but was not the actual
    shooter, does that imply guilt of either the first or second-
    degree murder charge?” The court commented to the
    attorneys, “It’s certainly an unusual question, given there was
    really no one [who] argued that there was someone else while
    the defendant was present.” The prosecutor suggested the
    question might have reflected the fact that two other people
    had been described in the testimony, “although I didn’t even
    make any arguments about them at all in my closing or that
    they had any involvement.” With the agreement of both
    counsel, the court simply referred the jury to the instructions
    already given. The jury also requested a readback of
    Johnson’s testimony.
    On the fourth day of deliberations, Friday, August 24, the
    jury reported that they were “hopelessly deadlocked,” with
    one juror holding out for acquittal. After taking testimony
    from jury members individually, the court sent them back to
    deliberate further.
    The following Tuesday, August 28, the jury returned a
    unanimous verdict that Ford was guilty of first-degree
    murder. The jury reported that they were “hopelessly
    deadlocked” on the three firearm enhancements. The court
    inquired as to the firearm enhancements. It learned that the
    final vote on the first enhancement—“personal use of a
    firearm during the commission of the crime”—had been
    seven to five. It did not learn whether the guilty or not-guilty
    votes predominated. The court declared a mistrial as to all
    three firearm enhancements.
    FORD V. PEERY                       17
    II. Post-Trial Procedural History
    Ford appealed his conviction to a California Court of
    Appeal. The court wrote, “According to Ford, the
    prosecutor’s comments about the presumption of innocence
    misstated the law and deprived him of a fair trial.”
    The Court of Appeal identified a conflict among the
    California Courts of Appeal with respect to the presumption
    of innocence. Several Courts of Appeal had held that there
    was no prosecutorial misconduct when the prosecutor told the
    jury that the presumption of innocence no longer applied once
    sufficient evidence of guilt had been presented. For example,
    in People v. Goldberg, 
    161 Cal. App. 3d 170
    , 189 (1984), the
    court affirmed the conviction and found no prosecutorial
    misconduct in a case in which the prosecutor had said in
    closing argument, “[O]nce you’ve heard this case, once the
    case has been proven to you—and that’s the stage we’re at
    now—the case has been proved to you beyond any reasonable
    doubt. I mean, it’s overwhelming. There is no more
    presumption of innocence.” (First emphasis added.) But a
    different Court of Appeal later reached a contrary conclusion.
    In People v. Dowdell, 
    227 Cal. App. 4th 1388
    , 1407 (2014),
    the prosecutor twice told the jury during closing argument, in
    light of the strength of the State’s evidence, that “[t]he
    presumption of innocence is over.” The court in Dowdell
    distinguished Goldberg and ruled that defense counsel should
    have objected because the prosecutor misstated the law, but
    it held, on the record before it, that the error was harmless.
    In the case before us, the Court of Appeal declined to
    reach the question whether the prosecutor had misstated the
    law. Assuming without deciding that the prosecutor had done
    so, the court held that any error was harmless: “We need not
    18                     FORD V. PEERY
    resolve any conflict between Goldberg [and other cases] on
    the one hand, and Dowdell on the other because we conclude
    any assumed error is harmless under either the state ([People
    v.] Watson, [(1956)] 
    46 Cal.2d 818
    [, 836]) or federal
    constitutional standard (see Chapman v. California (1967)
    
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24).”
    The California Supreme Court denied Ford’s petition for
    review in a one-line order. Ford then sought state habeas in
    California Superior Court, claiming, inter alia, that the
    prosecutor had committed misconduct by telling the jury that
    “the presumption of innocence is over.” The Superior Court
    did not reach the merits of the claim because it had been
    raised and rejected on direct appeal.
    Ford then sought federal habeas relief under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    . He made several claims: (1) the prosecutor’s
    statements during closing argument that the “presumption of
    innocence is over” and “petitioner is not presumed innocent
    anymore” violated due process and were not harmless; (2) the
    trial court’s response to a question asked by the jury violated
    due process; (3) defense counsel provided ineffective
    assistance in failing to object to the trial court’s response to
    the jury’s question; (4) it cannot be determined whether the
    jury convicted Ford on a legally incorrect theory;
    (5) improper admission of the Facebook post; and
    (6) cumulative error. A magistrate judge recommended
    denying Ford’s petition and granting a Certificate of
    Appealability on Claims (2), (3), and (4). The district judge
    adopted the magistrate judge’s Report and Recommendation
    in full.
    Ford appealed the denial of Claims (1) and (4). We asked
    the State to brief Claim (1) and now grant a Certificate of
    FORD V. PEERY                       19
    Appealability as to that claim. We reverse the district court
    on Claim (1). We do not reach Claim (4).
    III. Standard of Review
    In order to obtain habeas relief in federal court,
    petitioners must show that the state court proceedings
    “resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an
    unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law,
    as determined by the Supreme Court of the United States; or
    . . . resulted in a decision that was based on an unreasonable
    determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented
    in the State court proceeding.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d); Williams
    v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 402 (2000). We defer to the last
    reasoned decision of the state court. Ylst v. Nunnemaker,
    
    501 U.S. 797
    , 803 (1991); Mann v. Ryan, 
    828 F.3d 1143
    ,
    1151 (9th Cir. 2016). Here, that is the decision of the
    California Court of Appeal on direct appeal.
    IV. Discussion
    A. Due Process Violation under Darden
    The question before us is whether the prosecutor’s
    statements during closing argument that the presumption of
    innocence was now “over” amounted to prosecutorial
    misconduct in violation of due process under Darden v.
    Wainwright, 
    477 U.S. 168
     (1986). The California Court of
    Appeal declined to reach the substantive question of whether
    the prosecutor misstated the law. It did not mention Darden.
    It held only that any presumed error was harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt under Chapman. There is no state-court
    decision to which we can defer in determining whether the
    prosecutor misstated federal law and, if so, whether that
    20                      FORD V. PEERY
    misstatement violated due process under Darden.              We
    therefore review the Darden claim de novo.
    For the reasons that follow, we hold that the prosecutor’s
    statements violated due process under Darden. Prosecutorial
    misconduct under Darden includes misstatements of law. See
    Deck v. Jenkins, 
    814 F.3d 954
    , 985 (9th Cir. 2016) (finding
    Darden error where “the prosecutor gave incorrect direction
    to the jury about an element of California law under which
    Deck was convicted”). Improper prosecutorial statements
    violate due process if they “so infect[] the trial with
    unfairness as to make the resulting conviction a denial of due
    process.” Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 181
     (citation omitted).
    Prosecutorial misconduct within the meaning of Darden does
    not require improper motive on the part of the prosecutor; it
    requires only an improper statement. But such misconduct
    “rises to the level of Darden error only if there is a reasonable
    probability that it rendered the trial fundamentally unfair.”
    Deck, 814 F.3d at 985.
    In stating that the presumption of innocence was now
    “over,” the prosecutor misstated federal law.            The
    presumption of innocence is “the undoubted law, axiomatic
    and elementary”; the presumption of innocence is “vital and
    fundamental.” Coffin v. United States, 
    156 U.S. 432
    , 453,
    460 (1895). The presumption is “a basic component of a fair
    trial under our system of criminal justice.” Estelle v.
    Williams, 
    425 U.S. 501
    , 503 (1976). Its “enforcement lies at
    the foundation of the administration of our criminal law.”
    Coffin, 
    156 U.S. at 453
    ; see also Reed v. Ross, 
    468 U.S. 1
    , 4
    (1984).
    The Supreme Court has repeatedly made clear that
    criminal defendants lose the presumption of innocence only
    FORD V. PEERY                        21
    after they have been convicted. See, e.g., Herrera v. Collins,
    
    506 U.S. 390
    , 399 (1993) (“Once a defendant has been
    afforded a fair trial and convicted of the offense for which he
    was charged, the presumption of innocence disappears.”)
    (emphasis added); Delo v. Lashley, 
    507 U.S. 272
    , 278 (1993)
    (“Once the defendant has been convicted fairly in the guilt
    phase of [a capital] trial, the presumption of innocence
    disappears.”) (emphasis added); Betterman v. Montana,
    
    136 S. Ct. 1609
    , 1618 (2016) (a conviction “terminates the
    presumption of innocence”).
    Under Darden, we ask whether “there is a reasonable
    probability” that the prosecutor’s misstatement of law
    “rendered the trial fundamentally unfair” and thus violated
    due process. Deck, 814 F.3d at 985. In Hein v. Sullivan,
    
    601 F.3d 897
     (9th Cir. 2010), we listed the multiple factors
    considered by the Supreme Court in Darden in determining
    whether improper prosecutorial statements rise to the level of
    a due process violation. We wrote:
    The Darden factors—i.e., the weight of the
    evidence, the prominence of the comment in
    the context of the entire trial, whether the
    prosecution misstated the evidence, whether
    the judge instructed the jury to disregard the
    comment, whether the comment was invited
    by defense counsel in its summation and
    whether defense counsel had an adequate
    opportunity to rebut the comment—require
    courts to place improper argument in the
    context of the entire trial to evaluate whether
    its damaging effect was mitigated or
    aggravated.
    22                     FORD V. PEERY
    
    Id. at 914
    . “In essence, what Darden requires reviewing
    courts to consider appears to be equivalent to evaluating
    whether there was a ‘reasonable probability’ of a different
    result.” 
    Id.
     at 914–15; see also Deck, 814 F.3d at 979. The
    reasonable probability test is not whether Ford “would more
    likely than not have received a different verdict” absent the
    prosecutor’s misconduct. Kyles v. Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    , 434
    (1995). Rather, the test is whether Ford received “a trial
    resulting in a verdict worthy of confidence.” 
    Id.
    We hold that the prosecutor’s repeated statement during
    closing argument that the presumption of innocence no longer
    applied constituted Darden error. We take in turn the
    “Darden factors” listed in Hein.
    “The weight of the evidence” against Ford, Hein,
    
    601 F.3d at 914
    , was not great. As recounted above, the
    evidence was circumstantial, incomplete, and in conflict.
    While there was some inculpatory evidence (the partial palm
    print, the stolen cell phones, Ford’s conversation with his
    girlfriend, and Ford’s Facebook post), no one saw the
    shooting. Neither of the two witnesses who had seen three
    young black men on the street shortly before the shooting
    could identify Ford. The manner of shooting hypothesized by
    the prosecutor conflicted with his expert’s testimony the gun
    had been at least three feet away from Martinez when it was
    fired. The hypothesized manner of shooting was also
    inconsistent with Johnson’s testimony that she heard the
    sound of a shot and broken glass, and with the fact that
    passenger side, rather than driver side, windows were
    shattered.
    The jury clearly had trouble with the evidence. After four
    days of deliberations, they reported to the court that they were
    FORD V. PEERY                         23
    “hopelessly deadlocked.” The court sent them back to
    deliberate further. When the jury returned, their answer was
    internally inconsistent. It was uncontested that Martinez had
    been killed with a single shot to the head. Ford had been
    charged with shooting and killing Martinez. The jury found
    Ford guilty of the murder charge. But the jury was split with
    a vote of seven to five on whether Ford had used a firearm in
    killing Martinez.
    The “prominence” of the prosecutor’s statements, 
    id.,
    could hardly have been greater. During the course of his
    closing argument, the prosecutor had repeatedly said that the
    state had the burden of proof to show guilt beyond a
    reasonable doubt. But then, at the end of his rebuttal in his
    closing argument, the prosecutor stated three times that the
    presumption of innocence no longer applied.                 The
    prosecutor’s rebuttal was the last thing the jury heard from
    either of the attorneys. The jury retired to begin deliberations
    later that same day.
    Although the prosecutor did not “misstate[] the evidence,”
    
    id.,
     he misstated the law. He did so three times, in the space
    of a few moments.
    The judge did not “instruct[] the jury to disregard the
    comment.” 
    Id.
     Quite the opposite. When Ford’s attorney
    objected to the prosecutor’s misstatements, the judge held a
    sidebar and then overruled the objection. A written
    instruction told the jury about the existence of the
    presumption of innocence: “A defendant in a criminal case
    is presumed to be innocent. This presumption requires that
    the People prove a defendant guilty beyond a reasonable
    doubt.” However, the written instruction did not tell the jury
    when the presumption applied and when it was “over.” The
    24                     FORD V. PEERY
    judge supplied that instruction. When he overruled the
    defense’s objection to the prosecutor’s misstatements, the
    judge told the jury, in effect, that the presumption of
    innocence was “over” before they retired to begin
    deliberations.
    Ford’s attorney neither “invited” the prosecutor’s
    misstatements, nor was she given “an adequate opportunity
    to rebut” them. 
    Id.
     The prosecutor did not state in his initial
    closing argument that the presumption of innocence was
    “over.” Had he done so, Ford’s attorney could have
    emphatically—and correctly—stated in her responsive
    closing argument that the presumption of innocence lasts
    unless and until a defendant is convicted. Instead, the
    prosecutor made his misstatements in rebuttal. At that point,
    Ford’s attorney could only make an objection, which the
    judge improperly overruled.
    We conclude that there was a reasonable probability of a
    different outcome in this thin, circumstantial case had the
    prosecutor not misstated the law. Therefore, we hold under
    Darden that the prosecutor’s error violated due process.
    B. No Need for a Separate Prejudice Determination
    Federal habeas relief is available only if there was “actual
    prejudice” resulting from an error. Davis v. Ayala, 
    576 U.S. 257
    , 267 (2015) (citation omitted); Deck, 814 F.3d at 985.
    On collateral review, we determine prejudice by applying the
    harmlessness standard articulated in Brecht v. Abrahamson,
    
    507 U.S. 619
     (1993), whether a constitutional violation had
    a “substantial and injurious effect or influence in determining
    the jury’s verdict.” 
    Id. at 623
     (quoting Kotteakos v. United
    States, 
    328 U.S. 750
    , 776 (1946)).
    FORD V. PEERY                        25
    In Darden cases, prejudice is incorporated into the
    analysis of the due process violation itself. There is a due
    process violation under Darden when there was a “reasonable
    probability of a different result” absent the prosecutor’s
    misconduct. Hein, 
    601 F.3d at
    914–15 (internal quotation
    marks omitted). The Supreme Court explained in Kyles that
    a determination that there is a “reasonable probability” of the
    different outcome “necessarily entails the conclusion that the
    suppression must have had a ‘substantial and injurious effect
    or influence in determining the jury’s verdict.’” Kyles,
    
    514 U.S. at 435
     (quoting Brecht, 
    507 U.S. at 623
    ). Once
    there has been a determination that absent the error there was
    a “reasonable probability” of a different outcome, the error
    “cannot subsequently be found harmless under Brecht.” Id.
    at 436.
    C. AEDPA Deference
    On direct appeal, the California Court of Appeal declined
    to decide whether the prosecutor had misstated the law.
    Assuming without deciding that he had done so, the Court of
    Appeal held under Chapman that any error was “harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt.” Chapman, 
    386 U.S. at 24
    . The
    Court of Appeal did not mention Darden and made no
    holding with respect to whether there was a “reasonable
    probability” that the prosecutor’s misstatements affected the
    outcome of the proceeding.
    A determination of prejudice constitutes an “adjudication
    on the merits” for purposes of triggering AEDPA deference.
    See Davis, 576 U.S. at 269 (holding that the state court’s
    determination of harmlessness “undoubtedly constitutes an
    adjudication of [petitioner’s] constitutional claim ‘on the
    merits’”). We recognize, of course, that the Chapman test is
    26                     FORD V. PEERY
    more favorable to Ford than Darden’s “reasonable
    probability” test. A determination that an error was harmless
    under Chapman would therefore necessarily entail a
    determination that the error did not have a “reasonable
    probability” of changing the result under Darden. But under
    AEDPA, if a state court articulates its reasoning, it is only
    that reasoning that receives deference. See Wilson v. Sellers,
    
    138 S. Ct. 1188
    , 1192 (2018) (instructing courts to “look
    through” a summary affirmance for the relevant rationale
    provided by the lower court); Ylst, 
    501 U.S. at 803
    ; cf.
    Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 98 (2011). The Court of
    Appeal’s reasoning was based on Chapman. We therefore
    ask whether the state court was unreasonable in holding that
    the prosecutor’s misstatement of the law was “harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt” under Chapman. We conclude
    that it was.
    As we outlined in detail above, this was a very close case.
    The evidence against Ford was circumstantial, incomplete,
    and in conflict. The jury was unable, despite extensive
    deliberations, to reach an internally consistent decision on
    Ford’s guilt. The jury deliberated for four days and reported
    to the court that it was “hopelessly deadlocked.” After
    further deliberation, the jury returned a verdict that Ford was
    guilty of murdering Martinez by shooting him in the head, but
    hung on the question of whether Ford had used a firearm. In
    these circumstances, we conclude that it was “objectively
    unreasonable” for the Court of Appeal to conclude under
    Chapman that the prosecutor’s misstatements of the law were
    harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.
    FORD V. PEERY                        27
    Conclusion
    We hold that the prosecutor’s repeated statements,
    endorsed by the trial judge, that the presumption of innocence
    no longer applied violated due process under Darden. A
    holding of a due process violation under Darden necessarily
    entails a conclusion that the prosecutor’s misstatements of the
    law were prejudicial. We further hold that the Court of
    Appeal unreasonably concluded under Chapman that the
    prosecutor’s misstatements of the law were harmless beyond
    a reasonable doubt. We reverse the decision of the district
    court and remand with instructions to conditionally grant the
    writ, subject to the State’s retrying Ford within a reasonable
    time not to exceed 180 days.
    REVERSED and REMANDED.
    R. NELSON, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    The majority vacates Keith Ford’s first degree felony
    murder conviction on habeas review only by ignoring the
    highly deferential standard we owe to the California Court of
    Appeal’s harmlessness conclusion under the Antiterrorism
    and Effective Death Penalty Act (“AEDPA”). Instead, the
    majority adopts a “broad exercise of supervisory power” over
    a state court’s trial proceedings, inconsistent with the narrow
    legal standard for habeas review. Darden v. Wainwright,
    
    477 U.S. 168
    , 181 (1986). Applying the correct legal
    standard, I would affirm the district court’s denial of the
    habeas petition.
    28                          FORD V. PEERY
    Misstatements of the law by a prosecutor only amount to
    a due process violation under Darden if they render the trial
    fundamentally unfair.        In their proper context, the
    prosecutor’s closing argument statements regarding the
    presumption of innocence merely emphasized the government
    had carried its burden of proving Ford’s guilt beyond a
    reasonable doubt. There is no reasonable probability that the
    jury was confused about this presumption, given the
    prosecutor’s repeated reaffirmation of the presumption and
    the trial court’s repeated, explicit instructions to the jury
    regarding both the government’s burden of proof and the
    presumption of innocence. These instructions were more
    than sufficient to remedy any potential unfairness that may
    have resulted from the isolated comments. And even if there
    was Darden error, the majority misapplies AEDPA deference
    in finding that the California Court of Appeal’s harmlessness
    conclusion was objectively unreasonable. Therefore, I
    respectfully dissent.1
    I
    A brief review of the relevant background is warranted.
    Ruben Martinez was shot at point blank range in his car,
    while he waited to take his girlfriend on a date, after quickly
    1
    The majority grants a Certificate of Appealability as to Ford’s claim
    that the prosecutor’s statements regarding the presumption of innocence
    violated due process. Majority at 18–19. I would deny the Certificate of
    Appealability because Ford has not made a “substantial showing of the
    denial of a constitutional right,” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2253
    (c)(2). See Slack v.
    McDaniel, 
    529 U.S. 473
    , 484 (2000) (“Where a district court has rejected
    the constitutional claims on the merits, the showing required to satisfy
    § 2253(c) is straightforward: The petitioner must demonstrate that
    reasonable jurists would find the district court’s assessment of the
    constitutional claims debatable or wrong.”).
    FORD V. PEERY                        29
    dropping her off at her house. After a three-week trial,
    petitioner Keith Ford was convicted of first degree felony
    murder.
    During trial, the jury heard that Martinez had washed his
    car just hours before he picked his girlfriend up for the date
    and his car was “clean and shiny.” People v. Ford, No.
    A137496, 
    2014 WL 4446166
    , at *1 (Cal. Ct. App. Sept. 10,
    2014). A fingerprint examiner testified that after the murder,
    “a latent palm print on the driver’s side of the door of
    Martinez’s SUV, just beneath the window[,] . . . matched
    Ford’s left palm print.” 
    Id. at *2
    . The examiner “was certain
    ‘both impressions were made by the same palm.’” 
    Id.
     Ford
    never explained how his left palm print was on Martinez’s
    car, in the exact location consistent with a right-handed man
    leaning into the driver window, particularly where the car had
    just been washed.
    The jury also heard that a white car was seen driving in
    the same direction as Martinez and “made an abrupt U-turn
    directly in front of Martinez’s car” moments before Martinez
    stopped at his girlfriend’s house and just before Martinez was
    murdered. 
    Id. at *1
    . Ford drove a white car.
    The jury also heard that three young African American
    men were walking toward Martinez as he waited in his car for
    his girlfriend. One had short hair cut close to his scalp. Ford
    is African American and at the time was 23 years old, had
    short hair and was the approximate height described.
    The jury also heard that as Martinez waited for his
    girlfriend, he was on his cell phone, which was visible
    through his car window. A few days after the murder, Ford
    was stopped by a detective and six stolen cell phones were
    30                     FORD V. PEERY
    found in the center console of Ford’s car. Ford indicated to
    the detective that on the night Martinez was murdered, Ford
    was at his mother’s house in Vallejo, about three miles from
    where Martinez was shot.
    The jury also heard that four months after Martinez was
    murdered, Ford was in jail for an unrelated firearm possession
    charge. Ford called his girlfriend from jail and said, “‘luckily
    I aint in here for murder’” and noted that he knew he should
    not carry guns because “‘the only thing you gonna get out of
    a gun is you gonna throw down with it or you gonna shoot
    somebody with it.’” 
    Id.
     Several months after Martinez’s
    murder, Ford posted on Facebook comments about being
    suspected of a murder and described in detail how he would
    conduct a murder.
    Before closing argument, the state trial court orally
    instructed the jury regarding the presumption of innocence
    and the government’s burden to prove its case beyond a
    reasonable doubt. The jury was instructed to form no opinion
    about the case until after jury deliberations began. And the
    jury was instructed to follow the law as detailed in the written
    jury instructions and to disregard any of counsel’s comments
    that may conflict with the jury instructions.
    In closing, the prosecutor repeatedly reminded the jury
    that the government bore the burden to prove its case beyond
    a reasonable doubt. The prosecutor then walked through the
    evidence detailed above. In rebuttal, the prosecutor stated,
    “This idea of this presumption of innocence is over. . . . He’s
    not presumed innocent anymore.” This drew an objection
    from defense counsel, overruled by the trial court because the
    jurors have “been reminded continuously that they’re not to
    form or express any opinions until after they deliberate with
    FORD V. PEERY                        31
    their fellow jurors, so I don’t think there’s any particular
    harm in that . . . .” The prosecutor then stated, “And so we’re
    past that point.”
    After closing, the district court provided the jury written
    instructions, including regarding the presumption of
    innocence, which were taken back into the jury room for
    deliberations. Defense counsel made no request for any
    additional jury instruction on the presumption of innocence.
    The jury heard evidence more than sufficient to support,
    beyond a reasonable doubt, Ford’s first degree felony murder
    conviction. The California Court of Appeal affirmed Ford’s
    conviction on direct appeal, finding that any alleged
    prosecutorial misconduct was harmless. The California
    Supreme Court denied review. The federal magistrate judge
    recommended denial of Ford’s habeas petition and the district
    court adopted the magistrate’s recommendation in full.
    While the district court certified three questions for appeal,
    the district court did not certify the question regarding
    potential prosecutorial misconduct which the majority relies
    on to reverse and vacate Ford’s first degree felony murder
    conviction.
    II
    The majority holds that the prosecutor’s comments
    “during closing argument that the presumption of innocence
    no longer applied constituted Darden error.” Majority at 22.
    In my view, however, the prosecutor’s isolated comments,
    taken in full context of the closing statements and jury
    instructions, were not misconduct that “so infected the trial
    with unfairness as to make [Ford’s] conviction a denial of due
    process” under Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 181
     (internal quotation
    32                     FORD V. PEERY
    marks and citation omitted). By cherry-picking and
    examining the prosecutor’s comments in isolation, the
    majority disregards the Supreme Court’s admonition that “the
    arguments of counsel . . . must be judged in the context in
    which they are made.” Boyde v. California, 
    494 U.S. 370
    ,
    385 (1990). The majority misconstrues the prosecutor’s
    comments rather than interpreting them in context of his full
    closing and rebuttal arguments. In context, the comments do
    not rise to the level of prosecutorial misconduct. But even
    assuming a risk of juror confusion from the prosecutor’s
    comments, no reasonable probability exists that Ford was
    deprived of a fair trial in light of the trial court’s oral
    instruction to the jury before the prosecutor’s closing, and its
    written instruction—after the prosecutor’s closing and taken
    into the jury deliberation room—regarding the presumption
    of innocence.
    First, “a court should not lightly infer that a prosecutor
    intend[ed] an ambiguous remark to have its most damaging
    meaning or that a jury, sitting through lengthy exhortation,
    will draw that meaning from the plethora of less damaging
    interpretations.” Donnelly v. DeChristoforo, 
    416 U.S. 637
    ,
    647 (1974). The majority reaches its conclusion only by
    skewing the evidence and inferences in the light most
    favorable to Ford. It thus infers that the jury drew the most
    damaging interpretation of the challenged comments, rather
    than the more likely, less damaging interpretation. In
    context, the prosecutor argued in closing that the government
    had met its burden of proving its case beyond a reasonable
    doubt, thereby overcoming the presumption of innocence.
    His challenged comments were not (as the majority
    concludes) inviting the jurors to disregard the presumption of
    innocence when they retired to the deliberation room.
    FORD V. PEERY                        33
    The prosecutor made numerous statements supporting the
    more reasonable interpretation (largely ignored by the
    majority). For instance, the prosecutor introduced his closing
    argument, noting, “I’m going to go back over the facts of this
    case and show you why I have proven beyond a reasonable
    doubt that the defendant committed murder in this case . . . .”
    He hewed closely to this theme, repeating, “I want to tell you
    why it is that I have proven to you beyond a reasonable doubt
    that the defendant in this case committed an act that caused
    the death of Ruben Martinez . . . .” The prosecutor returned
    to this refrain repeatedly throughout his closing argument,
    stating the following:
    •   “Let me tell you . . . why it is that I have proven to
    you beyond a reasonable doubt that the defendant is
    guilty”;
    •   “My burden of proof in the case to prove the charge
    that Mr. Ford is charged with is proof beyond a
    reasonable doubt”;
    •   “In combination with the other information, that’s
    proof beyond a reasonable doubt . . . . I have never
    shied away from what my standard of proof is in this
    case, but it’s not an impossible standard. It’s proof
    beyond a reasonable doubt”;
    •   “[W]hen you . . . follow all the evidence and you
    follow all the law, you’re going to reach the same
    conclusion that I asked you to reach at the beginning
    of this case that the defendant is guilty of murder”;
    •   “[Y]ou did all make that promise at the beginning and
    I will hold you to that promise, if I prove my case
    34                         FORD V. PEERY
    beyond a reasonable doubt, that you would not
    hesitate for a second to convict the defendant.”
    On rebuttal, the prosecutor reiterated that defense counsel
    “doesn’t have to present any evidence. It is my burden of
    proof.” (emphasis added). He even called the jurors’
    attention to the written instructions they would take with
    them into the deliberation room, inviting them to “just read
    the [reasonable doubt] instruction itself and . . . look at the
    instruction and what it says in particular.”
    Finally, just before making the challenged statements, the
    prosecutor walked through the evidence and reiterated, “I’ve
    provided you with all the information that you need to feel
    the abiding conviction in the truth of these charges.” Each of
    his points (including the challenged statements) combine to
    form an unremarkable overarching argument: the evidence of
    defendant’s guilt was so strong that the prosecutor had
    successfully proved his case beyond a reasonable doubt and
    thus overcome the presumption of innocence.2 The majority
    fails to show any reasonable likelihood that these statements,
    taken together, misled the jurors or caused them to believe the
    presumption of innocence terminated before they had reached
    a verdict of guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.
    Contrast this with the facts in Kentucky v. Whorton,
    
    441 U.S. 786
     (1979), where the Supreme Court held the Due
    2
    By repeatedly emphasizing the government’s burden of proving
    guilt “beyond a reasonable doubt,” the prosecutor simultaneously
    emphasized it was his burden to overcome the presumption of innocence
    to which Ford was entitled. This is because the government’s burden to
    prove a defendant’s guilt beyond a reasonable doubt is closely linked with
    the presumption of innocence. See Cool v. United States, 
    409 U.S. 100
    ,
    104 (1972); Schultz v. Tilton, 
    659 F.3d 941
    , 943 (9th Cir. 2011).
    FORD V. PEERY                              35
    Process Clause does not require a jury instruction on the
    presumption of innocence at all. 
    Id.
     at 789–90. In Whorton,
    the jury was instructed that they “could return a verdict of
    guilty only if they found beyond a reasonable doubt” that the
    defendant was guilty of the acts charged. Id. at 787. This
    instruction alone—even without the presumption of
    innocence instruction—was deemed constitutionally
    sufficient. See id. at 789–90. Here, the trial court exceeded
    the standard in Whorton. Not only did the prosecutor
    repeatedly emphasize that his burden was to demonstrate
    Ford’s guilt beyond a reasonable doubt, see supra at 33–34,
    the jury was also formally instructed by the trial court that
    Ford was entitled to a presumption of innocence and that this
    presumption requires proof of guilt beyond a reasonable
    doubt. Thus, as in Whorton, weighing the prosecutor’s
    challenged statements against “all the instructions [provided]
    to the jury” and “the arguments of counsel,” Ford was not
    “deprived . . . of due process of law in light of the totality of
    the circumstances.” 
    441 U.S. at
    789–90.3
    The surrounding context of the prosecutor’s statements
    also explains the trial court’s decision to overrule defense
    counsel’s objection to the contested statements. The court
    undoubtedly knew the presumption of innocence continued
    until jury deliberations, and also understood what the
    prosecutor meant and reasonably determined the comments
    in context presented no risk of juror confusion. The court
    stated (outside the presence of the jury), in response to
    3
    Although not controlling, the California Supreme Court has twice
    rejected the specific argument that a prosecutor’s misstatement of the
    presumption of innocence in closing was constitutional Darden error. See
    People v. Booker, 
    245 P.3d 366
    , 401–02 (Cal. 2011); People v. Panah,
    
    107 P.3d 790
    , 834–35 (Cal. 2005).
    36                     FORD V. PEERY
    counsel’s objection: “[The jurors have] been reminded
    continuously that they’re not to form or express any opinions
    until after they deliberate with their fellow jurors, so I don’t
    think there’s any particular harm in that . . . .” The court was
    also aware the jurors had been explicitly instructed orally on
    the presumption of innocence and the written instructions
    would be taken with them into jury deliberations. In short, no
    reasonable juror would interpret the prosecutor’s statements,
    when considered in context, consistent with the majority’s
    isolated gloss. Despite indications the jurors were confused
    on other issues, there is no suggestion any single juror was
    confused on the presumption of innocence. Indeed, the jury
    acquitted Ford on separate firearm enhancement allegations,
    which undermines the majority’s conclusion that the jurors
    believed the presumption of innocence was over during the
    prosecutor’s closing.
    Second, even assuming that the prosecutor’s statements
    viewed in context rose to the level of a misstatement of
    federal law, they did not “so infect[] the trial with unfairness
    as to make the resultant conviction a denial of due process.”
    Darden, 
    477 U.S. at 181
     (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted). “[E]ven if the [prosecutor’s] comment[s
    are] understood as directing the jury’s attention to
    inappropriate considerations,” that does not by itself establish
    a due process violation under Darden absent something more
    to show that the comments prejudiced the defendant. See
    Parker v. Matthews, 
    567 U.S. 37
    , 47 (2012) (per curiam).
    Courts must consider “whether the jury was instructed to
    decide solely on the basis of the evidence rather than
    counsel’s arguments, and whether the state’s case was
    strong.” Furman v. Wood, 
    190 F.3d 1002
    , 1006 (9th Cir.
    1999); see also Allen v. Woodford, 
    395 F.3d 979
    , 998 (9th
    Cir. 2005). Here, the state trial court did not violate due
    FORD V. PEERY                       37
    process under Darden because the court’s instructions
    eliminated any “reasonable probability that [the prosecutor’s
    statements] rendered the trial fundamentally unfair.” See
    Deck v. Jenkins, 
    814 F.3d 954
    , 985 (9th Cir. 2016).
    Before closing arguments, the trial court properly orally
    instructed the jury that the defendant was presumed innocent
    and that the prosecution had to prove each element of the
    charged offenses beyond a reasonable doubt. The court
    instructed, “You may not convict the defendant unless the
    People have proved his guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.”
    The court also informed jurors that they must apply the law
    as explained by the court’s instructions, and that they must
    disregard any comments or arguments by counsel that
    conflicted with the court’s instructions. Further, the court
    admonished the jurors that “[n]othing that the attorneys say
    is evidence. In their . . . closing arguments, the attorneys
    discuss the case, but their remarks are not evidence.” The
    written jury instructions were subsequently taken into the
    deliberation room. In light of the written instructions on the
    presumption of innocence being taken into the jury room, the
    majority’s conclusion that the instructions did not indicate
    when the presumption ceases falls flat. No court has ever
    required a temporal statement regarding the presumption of
    innocence, as suggested by the majority. See Majority at 23.
    And the trial court proceedings clarify why none was
    necessary.
    The majority contends that when the trial court “overruled
    the defense’s objection to the prosecutor’s misstatements, the
    [court] told the jury, in effect, that the presumption of
    innocence was ‘over’ before they retired to begin
    deliberations.” Majority at 24. But there is no reasonable
    support for the majority’s interpretation. And certainly none
    38                     FORD V. PEERY
    that would compel this interpretation or preclude far more
    reasonable and less damaging interpretations. As noted,
    supra at 30–31, 35–36, the district court reasonably explained
    that it overruled the objection because the prosecutor’s
    statements had caused no harm as the jurors had been
    repeatedly reminded not to form any opinion until after they
    deliberated. Moreover, if the majority’s interpretation were
    correct, then the trial court would not have sent the written
    instruction regarding the presumption of innocence into the
    jury room.
    Ultimately, by dismissing these instructions—both oral
    and written, and temporally bookending the challenged
    comments—as inadequate, the majority disregards that we
    “presume jurors follow the court’s instructions absent
    extraordinary situations.” See Tak Sun Tan v. Runnels,
    
    413 F.3d 1101
    , 1115 (9th Cir. 2005); see also Allen, 
    395 F.3d at 998
     (although prosecutor’s statement was misconduct,
    “given the trial court’s instruction that statements by counsel
    were not evidence, and given the weight of the evidence
    against him, the prosecutor’s comments did not deprive Allen
    of a fair trial”); United States v. Necoechea, 
    986 F.2d 1273
    ,
    1280 (9th Cir. 1993) (holding the prosecutor’s improper
    remarks in closing argument did not constitute a miscarriage
    of justice where the court gave a general instruction that
    attorneys’ arguments were not evidence in the case).
    “[P]rosecutorial misrepresentations . . . are not to be judged
    as having the same force as an instruction from the court.”
    Boyde, 
    494 U.S. at
    384–85. By disregarding the presumption
    that jurors follow the court’s instructions, and giving the
    prosecutor’s isolated statements significantly more force than
    those instructions, the majority errs.
    FORD V. PEERY                          39
    For these reasons, there is no reasonable likelihood the
    jury misunderstood the prosecutor’s comments and convicted
    Ford without finding guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. The
    state trial court did not violate due process under Darden.
    III
    In concluding that the California Court of Appeal’s
    finding of harmlessness was “objectively unreasonable,” the
    majority misapplies AEDPA deference. Under AEDPA, we
    cannot order habeas relief unless the state court proceedings
    “resulted in a decision that was contrary to, or involved an
    unreasonable application of, clearly established Federal law,
    as determined by the Supreme Court of the United States; or
    . . . resulted in a decision that was based on an unreasonable
    determination of the facts in light of the evidence presented
    in the State court proceeding.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d).
    “[A] state court decision is contrary to our clearly
    established precedent if the state court applies a rule that
    contradicts the governing law set forth in [the Supreme
    Court’s] cases or if the state court confronts a set of facts that
    are materially indistinguishable from a decision of [the
    Supreme] Court and nevertheless arrives at a result different
    from our precedent.” Lockyer v. Andrade, 
    538 U.S. 63
    , 73
    (2003) (emphases added) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted). Furthermore, “an unreasonable application
    of federal law is different from an incorrect application of
    federal law.” Williams v. Taylor, 
    529 U.S. 362
    , 410 (2000).
    This means that “a federal habeas court may not issue the writ
    simply because that court concludes in its independent
    judgment that the relevant state-court decision applied clearly
    established federal law erroneously or incorrectly.” 
    Id. at 411
    . Rather, the state court decision must be “objectively
    40                          FORD V. PEERY
    unreasonable.” 
    Id. at 409
    . “This distinction creates ‘a
    substantially higher threshold’ for obtaining relief than de
    novo review.” Renico v. Lett, 
    559 U.S. 766
    , 773 (2010)
    (quoting Schriro v. Landrigan, 
    550 U.S. 465
    , 473 (2007)).
    Thus, AEDPA “imposes a highly deferential standard
    for evaluating state-court rulings” and “demands that
    [they] be given the benefit of the doubt.” 
    Id.
     (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted).4 “There must be
    4
    Our court has struggled to correctly apply AEDPA’s highly
    deferential standard. See, e.g., Sexton v. Beaudreaux, 
    138 S. Ct. 2555
    ,
    2558 (2018) (per curiam) (“[t]he Ninth Circuit failed to . . . apply” the
    proper standard and instead “spent most of its opinion conducting a de
    novo analysis”); Kernan v. Cuero, 
    138 S. Ct. 4
    , 9 (2017) (per curiam)
    (finding “several problems with the Ninth Circuit’s reasoning,” including
    that it failed to recognize that “fairminded jurists could disagree” about
    how to construe Supreme Court precedent (citation omitted)); Davis v.
    Ayala, 
    576 U.S. 257
    , 260 (2015) (“The Ninth Circuit’s decision was based
    on the misapplication of basic rules regarding harmless error.”); Lopez v.
    Smith, 
    574 U.S. 1
    , 6 (2014) (per curiam) (criticizing “the Ninth Circuit in
    particular” for applying a legal standard nowhere found in AEDPA);
    Johnson v. Williams, 
    568 U.S. 289
    , 297 (2013) (holding that “the Ninth
    Circuit declined to apply the deferential standard of review” mandated by
    AEDPA); Cavazos v. Smith, 
    565 U.S. 1
    , 7 (2011) (per curiam) (“When the
    deference to state court decisions required by § 2254(d) is applied to the
    state court’s already deferential review, there can be no doubt of the Ninth
    Circuit’s error below.” (citation omitted)); Felkner v. Jackson, 
    562 U.S. 594
    , 598 (2011) (per curiam) (“[t]here was simply no basis for the Ninth
    Circuit” to grant habeas relief under AEDPA’s highly deferential standard,
    “particularly in such a dismissive manner”); Premo v. Moore, 
    562 U.S. 115
    , 123 (2011) (“The [Ninth Circuit] was wrong to accord scant
    deference to counsel’s judgment, and doubly wrong to conclude it would
    have been unreasonable to find that the defense attorney qualified as
    counsel for Sixth Amendment purposes.”); Harrington v. Richter, 
    562 U.S. 86
    , 92 (2011) (“[J]udicial disregard [for the sound and established
    principles of when to issue a writ of habeas corpus] is inherent in the
    opinion of the Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit here under review.”);
    FORD V. PEERY                               41
    more than a ‘reasonable possibility’ that the error was
    harmful.” Davis v. Ayala, 
    576 U.S. 257
    , 268 (2015) (quoting
    Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
    , 637 (1993)). The
    Brecht standard for determining harmlessness reflects the
    view that a “[s]tate is not to be put to th[e] arduous task [of
    retrying a defendant] based on mere speculation that the
    defendant was prejudiced by trial error; the court must find
    that the defendant was actually prejudiced by the error.”
    Calderon v. Coleman, 
    525 U.S. 141
    , 146 (1998) (per curiam);
    see also Larson v. Palmateer, 
    515 F.3d 1057
    , 1064 (9th Cir.
    2008) (“Review for harmless error under Brecht is more
    forgiving to state court errors than the harmless error standard
    the Supreme Court applies on its direct review of state court
    convictions.” (internal quotation marks and citation omitted)).
    Here, the majority does not correctly apply this standard
    of review—or cite any of these principles—in reviewing the
    California Court of Appeal’s harmlessness conclusion. First,
    the majority frames the question erroneously by suggesting
    that our reasonableness review is informed by Chapman v.
    California, 
    386 U.S. 18
    , 24 (1976), which requires finding a
    constitutional error to be “harmless beyond a reasonable
    Knowles v. Mirzayance, 
    556 U.S. 111
    , 121 (2009) (holding the Ninth
    Circuit’s erroneous issuance of a writ was “based, in large measure, on its
    application of an improper standard of review”); Uttecht v. Brown,
    
    551 U.S. 1
    , 22 (2007) (“[t]he Court of Appeals neglected to accord” the
    proper deference to the state trial court); Schriro, 
    550 U.S. at 473
     (“The
    question under AEDPA is not whether a federal court believes the state
    court’s determination was incorrect but whether that determination was
    unreasonable—a substantially higher threshold.”); Woodford v. Visciotti,
    
    537 U.S. 19
    , 25 (2002) (per curiam) (criticizing the Ninth Circuit for
    “substitut[ing] its own judgment for that of the state court, in
    contravention of 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d)”). Despite the Supreme Court’s
    repeated admonitions, the majority repeats our court’s sadly regular error.
    42                     FORD V. PEERY
    doubt.” Majority at 5, 26. But Chapman has no relevance to
    this Court’s habeas review, either directly or through a back-
    door gloss on our review. In Brecht, the Supreme Court held
    the Chapman standard too “onerous” for “determining
    whether habeas relief must be granted.” 507 U.S. at 623.
    “When a Chapman decision is reviewed under AEDPA, ‘a
    federal court may not award habeas relief under § 2254 unless
    the harmlessness determination itself was unreasonable.’”
    Ayala, 576 U.S. at 269 (quoting Fry v. Pliler, 
    551 U.S. 112
    ,
    119 (2007)); see also Rademaker v. Paramo, 
    835 F.3d 1018
    ,
    1023 (9th Cir. 2016). AEDPA’s language is clear. We
    review only whether the state court decision “was based on an
    unreasonable determination of the facts in light of the
    evidence presented in the State court proceeding.” 
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d).
    Moreover, the majority fails to cite a single Supreme
    Court case showing the California Court of Appeal’s decision
    was “contrary to . . . clearly established Federal law.”
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2254
    (d). It does not establish that the Court of
    Appeal applied a rule contradicting the governing law, or that
    the Court of Appeal deviated from Supreme Court precedent
    with materially indistinguishable facts. See Lockyer,
    
    538 U.S. at 73
    .
    The majority also elided aspects of the trial that cured any
    prejudicial effect of the supposed error. This oversight is
    particularly egregious because it disregards almost the entire
    rationale provided by the California Court of Appeal. The
    Court of Appeal wrote four sentences explaining its rationale
    for finding any error harmless. Three of those sentences have
    to do with instructions given to the jury, which the majority
    ignores in its harmlessness analysis. The Court of Appeal
    noted:
    FORD V. PEERY                       43
    The court instructed the jury Ford was
    presumed innocent until the contrary was
    proven beyond a reasonable doubt
    (CALCRIM No. 220) and to disregard any
    conflicting statements made by the attorneys
    concerning the law (CALCRIM No. 200).
    Additionally, the prosecutor repeatedly
    reminded the jury of his burden to establish
    guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. The jury
    was properly informed about the
    prosecution’s burden.
    These conclusions are reasonable. “Jurors do not sit in
    solitary isolation booths parsing instructions”—or
    prosecutors’ comments—“for subtle shades of meaning in the
    same way that lawyers might.” Boyde, 
    494 U.S. at
    380–81.
    And based on the instructions given—which the jury is
    presumed to have followed, see Tak Sun Tan, 
    413 F.3d at
    1115—the jury understood everything it needed to render
    a constitutional verdict. The jury knew, based on the
    instructions, that it should not take whatever was said in
    closing arguments as the law. More importantly, it
    understood the concept that the presumption exists to drive
    home “that the State has the burden of establishing every
    element of the offense beyond a reasonable doubt.” Delo v.
    Lashley, 
    507 U.S. 272
    , 278 (1993). Put differently, the jury
    was not misled into thinking that it could decide the case
    based on suspicion or extra-record evidence. It knew that the
    burden of proof was beyond a reasonable doubt. See Taylor
    v. Kentucky, 
    436 U.S. 478
    , 484–85 (1978) (explaining the
    dual purpose of the presumption of innocence); see also
    Estelle v. Williams, 
    425 U.S. 501
    , 503 (1976) (noting that the
    presumption of innocence embodies “the principle that guilt
    is to be established by probative evidence and beyond a
    44                     FORD V. PEERY
    reasonable doubt”). The Court of Appeal’s reliance on the
    jury instructions as support for its harmlessness conclusion
    was therefore reasonable.
    The Supreme Court’s decision in Brown v. Payton,
    
    544 U.S. 133
     (2005), reversing our court’s decision, supports
    this conclusion. There, a prosecutor erroneously stated
    during closing argument that the jury was not allowed to
    consider mitigation evidence. 
    Id. at 138
    . Defense counsel’s
    objection was overruled without an instant curative
    instruction. 
    Id.
     But “[t]he jury was not left without any
    judicial direction.” 
    Id. at 146
    . The jury was instructed before
    deliberations began that it could consider all evidence
    presented at trial unless told otherwise. 
    Id.
     Because it was
    never instructed that it could not consider the mitigation
    evidence, it was not unreasonable for the Court of Appeal to
    conclude that any error caused by the prosecutor’s
    misstatement of the law was harmless. 
    Id. at 147
    .
    The majority largely overlooks the effect of the jury
    instructions and instead focuses on the evidence of guilt.
    Here, too, it errs. According to the majority, this was “a very
    close case” based in large part on “circumstantial” and
    “incomplete” evidence, so any error must have been harmful.
    Majority at 26. But the majority’s view of the closeness of
    the case is not determinative under AEDPA’s analysis. There
    was nothing “objectively unreasonable” about the Court of
    Appeal’s conclusion that “the evidence of Ford’s guilt was
    strong.” So under AEDPA, we must defer to that finding.
    To be sure, the evidence of guilt may not have been
    “overwhelming.” Brecht, 
    507 U.S. at 639
    . But it was
    “certainly weighty.” 
    Id.
     One need look no further than the
    main piece of direct evidence in this case: the partial palm
    FORD V. PEERY                         45
    print. That print was found on the victim’s car, just four
    hours after it was washed. As the prosecutor observed, the
    print was also a left palm print, in the exact location where a
    right-handed shooter would be expected to place his left hand
    when leaning into the window. And Ford had no explanation
    for why his left palm print might be on that exact location
    within proximate timing of the murder other than that he
    touched the car some other time. As Ford put it, “[T]hat
    don’t mean nothing. That just means I came in contact with
    the vehicle at one time or another.” This evidence, paired
    with the multiple pieces of circumstantial evidence
    suggesting Ford’s guilt—including Ford’s Facebook post; his
    phone call with his girlfriend; the multiple stolen cell phones;
    his height, general appearance, and general age consistent
    with witness descriptions; and the white vehicle he was
    driving—provide a reasonable basis for concluding that the
    evidence of guilt was strong enough that some passing
    statements during a closing argument did not create a
    “reasonable probability of a different result.” Hein v.
    Sullivan, 
    601 F.3d 897
    , 906 (9th Cir. 2010) (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted).
    The majority’s conclusion to the contrary relies in large
    part on the purported inconsistency between the jury’s guilty
    conviction for murder and its divided vote on one of the
    firearm enhancements. But assessing the reason for any
    potential inconsistency is “pure speculation” because there is
    no way of knowing whether the inconsistency was “the
    product of lenity” for Ford. See United States v. Powell,
    
    469 U.S. 57
    , 66 (1984). Nor is the result necessarily
    inconsistent, as the jury could have determined that Ford was
    involved in a felony in which Martinez was murdered, but did
    not actually pull the trigger. Regardless, even a potentially
    inconsistent jury verdict provides no support for any error
    46                     FORD V. PEERY
    being harmful here. And it fails to justify disregarding the
    Court of Appeal’s finding of harmlessness which is entitled
    to substantial deference under AEDPA.
    The majority also focuses on the length of deliberations
    and the jury being “hopelessly deadlocked.” Majority at
    22–23, 26. But the majority’s simplistic discussion of this
    issue grossly overstates the deadlock. The deadlock was
    caused by one juror. The other 11 were not deadlocked at all;
    they were ready to convict. One holdout juror—who
    eventually voted to convict—cannot bear the weight the
    majority gives it. And it certainly does not provide a basis for
    deeming the Court of Appeal’s harmlessness conclusion
    “unreasonable.”
    *    *   *
    Under AEDPA, “[o]ur aim is not to punish society for the
    misdeeds of the prosecutor; rather, our goal is to ensure that
    the petitioner received a fair trial.” Trillo v. Biter, 
    769 F.3d 995
    , 1001 (9th Cir. 2014). Ford received a fair trial, and we
    must defer to the Court of Appeal’s eminently reasonable
    finding of harmlessness in any event. I would deny relief,
    and thus respectfully dissent.