Trans Div of Intl Assc-Smart v. Fra ( 2021 )


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  •                 FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    TRANSPORTATION DIVISION OF THE         No. 19-71787
    INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF
    SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL, AND             FRA No.
    TRANSPORTATION WORKERS;               FRA-2014-0033
    BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE
    ENGINEERS AND TRAINMEN,
    Petitioners,
    v.
    FEDERAL RAILROAD
    ADMINISTRATION; U.S. DEPARTMENT
    OF TRANSPORTATION,
    Respondents,
    ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN
    RAILROADS,
    Intervenor.
    2    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    CALIFORNIA PUBLIC UTILITIES              No. 19-71802
    COMMISSION,
    Petitioner,      FRA No.
    FRA-2014-0033
    v.
    PETE BUTTIGIEG, Secretary of
    Transportation; U.S. DEPARTMENT
    OF TRANSPORTATION; RONALD L.
    BATORY, Administrator of the
    Federal Railroad Administration;
    FEDERAL RAILROAD
    ADMINISTRATION,
    Respondents,
    ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN
    RAILROADS,
    Intervenor.
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Federal Railroad Administration
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA          3
    STATE OF WASHINGTON,                    No. 19-71916
    Petitioner,
    TRAN No.
    v.                     FRA-2014-0033
    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF
    TRANSPORTATION; FEDERAL
    RAILROAD ADMINISTRATION,
    Respondents,
    ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN
    RAILROADS,
    Intervenor.
    STATE OF NEVADA,                        No. 19-71918
    Petitioner,
    TRAN No.
    v.                     FRA-2014-0033
    PETE BUTTIGIEG, Secretary of
    Transportation; U.S. DEPARTMENT          OPINION
    OF TRANSPORTATION; RONALD L.
    BATORY, Administrator of the
    Federal Railroad Administration;
    FEDERAL RAILROAD
    ADMINISTRATION,
    Respondents,
    ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN
    RAILROADS,
    Intervenor.
    4       TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Department of Transportation
    Argued and Submitted October 5, 2020
    Seattle, Washington
    Filed February 23, 2021
    Before: Consuelo M. Callahan and Morgan Christen,
    Circuit Judges, and Jed S. Rakoff, * District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Callahan;
    Concurrence by Judge Christen
    SUMMARY **
    Federal Railroad Administration
    The panel dismissed a petition for review filed by two
    unions; granted petitions filed by California, Washington,
    and Nevada; vacated the Federal Railroad Administration
    (“FRA”)’s Order, 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,735
    , purporting to adopt
    a nationwide maximum one-person crew rule and to preempt
    any state laws concerning that subject matter; and remanded
    to the FRA.
    *
    The Honorable Jed S. Rakoff, United States District Judge for the
    Southern District of New York, sitting by designation.
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA               5
    As a threshold matter, the panel addressed arguments
    concerning jurisdiction raised by the intervenor Association
    of American Railroads. First, the panel dismissed the
    Unions’ petition because venue was not proper under
    
    28 U.S.C. § 2343
     where the Unions’ principal offices were
    not in the Ninth Circuit. Second, the panel held that there
    was jurisdiction over the petitions filed by the States because
    all three States were sufficiently aggrieved to invoke
    jurisdiction under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2344
    .
    The panel held that the Order did not implicitly preempt
    state safety rules.
    Turning to the merits, the panel held that the FRA failed
    to comply with the Administrative Procedures Act
    (“APA”)’s minimum notice-and-comment provisions in
    issuing the Order. Specifically, the panel held that there was
    nothing in the FRA’s March 2016 Notice of Proposed
    Rulemaking (“NPRM”) (proposing a national minimum
    requirement of two member crews for trains) to put a person
    on notice that the FRA might adopt a national one-person
    crew limit.
    Finally, the panel held, on this record, that the Order was
    arbitrary and capricious, and must be vacated. Specifically,
    the panel held that the Order’s basis for its action – that two-
    member crews were less safe than one-person crews – did
    not withstand scrutiny. Also, the panel held that the FRA’s
    contemporaneous explanation – that indirect safety
    connections might be achieved with fewer than two crew
    members – was lacking. Despite the deference due FRA
    decisions, the panel concluded that the States met their
    burden of showing that the issuance of the Order violated the
    APA.
    6     TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    Judge Christen concurred, and joined parts I, II, III, and
    IV.C of the opinion. She would vacate the notice of
    withdrawal solely based on the conclusion that the Notice of
    Proposed Rulemaking did not provide adequate notice or
    opportunity to comment. She would not reach whether the
    notice of withdrawal negatively preempted state laws or
    whether the FRA provided a satisfactory explanation for the
    notice.
    COUNSEL
    Kristin Beneski (argued) and Harry Fukano, Assistant
    Attorneys General; Robert W. Ferguson, Attorney General;
    Office of the Attorney General, Seattle, Washington;
    Arocles Aguilar, General Counsel; Christine J. Hammond,
    Enrique Gallardo, and Vanessa Baldwin, California Public
    Utilities Commission, San Francisco, California; for
    Petitioners State of Washington and California Public
    Utilities Commission.
    Kevin C. Brodar (argued), General Counsel, SMART-TD,
    North Olmsted, Ohio; Lawrence M. Mann, Alper & Mann
    P.C., Bethesda, Maryland; Michael S. Wolly, Michael S.
    Wolly PLLC, Washington, D.C.; Joshua D. McInerney
    BLET, Barkan Meizlish LLP, Columbus, Ohio; for
    Petitioners Transportation Division of the International
    Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail, and Transportation
    Workers, and Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and
    Trainmen.
    Aaron D. Ford, Attorney General; Gregory L. Zunino,
    Deputy Solicitor General; Brandee Mooneyhan, Deputy
    Attorney General; Office of the Attorney General, Carson
    City, Nevada; Jill C. Davis, Assistant General Counsel,
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA            7
    Public Utilities Commission, Carson City, Nevada; for
    Petitioner State of Nevada.
    Martin Totaro and Abby C. Wright, Appellate Staff; Joseph
    H. Hunt, Assistant Attorney General; Civil Division, United
    States Department of Justice, Washington, D.C.; Steven G.
    Bradbury, General Counsel; Paul M. Geier, Assistant
    General Counsel for Litigation and Enforcement; Joy K.
    Park, Senior Trial Attorney; Brett A. Jortland, Acting Chief
    Counsel; Rebecca S. Behravesh, Senior Attorney; Federal
    Railroad Administration, Washington, D.C.; for
    Respondents.
    Thomas H. Dupree, Jr. and Jacob T. Spencer, Gibson Dunn
    & Crutcher LLP, Washington, D.C.; Kathryn D. Kirmayer
    and Joseph St. Peter, Association of American Railroads,
    Washington, D.C.; for Intervenor Association of American
    Railroads.
    Kwame Raoul, Attorney General; Jane Elinor Notz, Solicitor
    General; Sarah A. Hunger, Deputy Solicitor General;
    Christian Arizmendi, Assistant Attorney General; Office of
    the Attorney General, Chicago, Illinois; Xavier Becerra,
    Attorney General, Sacramento, California; Phil Weiser,
    Attorney General, Denver, Colorado; Kathleen Jennings,
    Attorney General, Wilmington, Delaware; Karl A. Racine,
    Attorney General, Washington, D.C.; Maura Healey,
    Attorney General, Boston, Massachusetts; Keith Ellison,
    Attorney General, St. Paul, Minnesota; Jim Hood, Attorney
    General, Jackson, Mississippi; Gurbir S. Grewal, Attorney
    General, Trenton, New Jersey; Letitia James, Attorney
    General, New York, New York; Ellen F. Rosenblum,
    Attorney General, Salem, Oregon; Mark R. Herring,
    Attorney General, Richmond, Virginia; Joshua L. Kaul,
    Attorney General, Madison, Wisconsin; for Amici Curiae
    8       TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    Illinois, California, Colorado, Delaware, District of
    Columbia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, New
    Jersey, New York, Oregon, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
    William A. Mullins, Baker & Miller PLLC, Washington,
    D.C.; Sarah G. Yurasko, General Counsel, American Short
    Line and Regional Railroad Association, Washington, D.C.;
    for Amicus Curiae American Short Line and Regional
    Railroad Association.
    OPINION
    CALLAHAN, Circuit Judge:
    In March 2016, the Federal Railroad Administration
    (FRA) issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM)
    proposing a national minimum requirement of two crew
    members for trains. Over three years later, on May 29, 2019,
    the FRA issued an order purporting to adopt a nationwide
    maximum one-person crew rule and to preempt “any state
    laws concerning that subject matter.” 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,735
    (the Order). Two Unions 1 and three states, Washington,
    California, 2 and Nevada (collectively referred to as the
    States), challenge the Order under the Administrative
    Procedure Act (APA). We hold that the Order does not
    implicitly preempt state safety rules, that the FRA failed to
    comply with the APA’s notice-and-comment provisions in
    1
    The petition for review was filed by the International Association
    of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail, and Transportation Workers and the
    Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (collectively
    referred to as the Unions).
    2
    The petition was actually filed by the California Public Utilities
    Commission (California PUC).
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA               9
    issuing the Order, and that the Order is arbitrary and
    capricious. We dismiss the Unions’ petition for review but
    grant the States’ petitions and vacate the Order.
    I
    The Safety Act empowers the Secretary of
    Transportation to “prescribe regulations and issue orders”
    addressing railroad safety. 
    49 U.S.C. § 20103
    (a). The
    Secretary has delegated that authority to the FRA, an agency
    within the Department of Transportation. See 
    49 C.F.R. § 1.89
    (a). However, the Safety Act also provides that states
    may adopt or continue in force laws and regulations related
    to railroad safety, even under certain conditions when they
    are more “stringent” than the FRA’s rules. 
    49 U.S.C. § 20106
    (a)(2).
    Following two major railroad accidents in 2013 at Lac-
    Mégantic, Quebec, and Casselton, North Dakota, the FRA
    asked the Rail Safety Advisory Committee (RSAC) to
    review whether train crew staffing affected railroad safety.
    The RSAC included representatives from all the major
    players concerning railroads, including railroads, labor
    organizations, suppliers, manufacturers, and the California
    PUC. The RSAC appointed a Working Group. At its first
    meeting, the FRA noted that it was concerned with railroad
    safety, that safety was enhanced through redundancy, and
    that the agency’s safety regulations were written with at least
    a two-person crew in mind.
    The Working Group was unable to reach a consensus.
    Accordingly, consideration of the appropriate crew size was
    submitted to the FRA for formal rulemaking. On March 15,
    2016, the FRA issued an NPRM. 
    81 Fed. Reg. 13,918
    (March 15, 2016). The first three sentences of the summary
    of the NPRM read:
    10    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    FRA proposes regulations establishing
    minimum requirements for the size of train
    crew staffs depending on the type of
    operation. A minimum requirement of two
    crewmembers is proposed for all railroad
    operations, with exceptions proposed for
    those operations that FRA believes do not
    pose significant safety risks to railroad
    employees, the general public, and the
    environment by using fewer than two-person
    crews. This proposed rule would also
    establish minimum requirements for the roles
    and responsibilities of the second train crew
    member on a moving train, and promote safe
    and effective teamwork.
    
    Id.
     (emphasis added).
    A public hearing on the NPRM was held on July 15,
    2016, and the comment period was extended to August 15,
    2016. The States assert that most commenters supported
    “some kind of train crew staffing requirements.” No further
    action was taken until the FRA issued the Order on May 29,
    2019. 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,735
    .
    II
    The Order’s summary states that the FRA “withdraws
    the March 15, 2016 NPRM concerning train crew staffing,”
    but adds that “[i]n withdrawing the NPRM, FRA is
    providing notice of its affirmative decision that no regulation
    of train crew staffing is necessary or appropriate for railroad
    operations to be conducted safely at this time.” 
    Id.
    The Order relates that the FRA had “hoped [the] RSAC
    would provide useful analysis, including conclusive data
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA             11
    addressing whether there is a safety benefit or detriment
    from crew redundancy (i.e., multiple-person train crews).”
    
    Id.
     However, the RSAC was unable to reach consensus and
    the FRA issued the NPRM. The Order confirms that 1,545
    out of nearly 1,600 comments supported some kind of
    multiple crew staffing requirement. 
    Id. at 24,736
    . Those
    comments supporting staffing requirements came from
    individuals, a variety of government officials and
    organizations, and state and local governments. 
    Id.
     They
    raised four main points: “(1) [a] train crew’s duties are too
    demanding for one person; (2) new technology will make the
    job more complex; (3) unpredictable scheduling makes
    fatigue a greater factor when there is only a one-person crew;
    and (4) the idea of a one-person train crew is seemingly in
    conflict with the statutory and regulatory requirements for
    certification of both locomotive engineers and conductors.”
    
    Id.
    The Order notes that the proposal to adopt a minimum
    two-person crew rule was opposed primarily by railroads
    and railroad associations. 
    Id.
     at. 24,737. The Order states
    that studies funded by the Association of American
    Railroads (AAR) “concluded that safety data analysis show
    single-person crew operations appear as safe as multiple-
    person crew operations, if not safer.” 
    Id.
     One study
    “concluded that the proposed rule would greatly reduce U.S.
    railroads’ ability to control operating costs, without making
    the industry safer.” 
    Id.
     A second study funded by the AAR
    found that “European rail operations are comparable to U.S.
    rail operations and therefore the success of the European
    network in implementing single-person crew operations can
    serve as a model for the U.S. rail system.” 
    Id.
    The Order finds that there “is no direct safety connection
    between train crew staffing and the Lac-Mégantic or
    12        TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    Casselton accidents.” 
    Id.
     It notes that the “FRA does not
    have information that suggests that there have been any
    previous accidents involving one-person crew operations
    that could have been avoided by adding a second
    crewmember.” 
    Id. at 24,738
     (quoting 81 Fed. Reg. at
    13,921). The Order further reasons that although there were
    “some indirect connections between crew staffing and
    railroad safety with respect to . . . the accidents, those
    connections are tangential at best and do not provide a
    sufficient basis for FRA regulation of train crew staffing
    requirements.” 3 Id.
    The Order states that the FRA’s safety data “does not
    establish that one-person operations are less safe than multi-
    person train crews,” that “existing one-person operations
    ‘have not yet raised serious safety concerns,’” and that “it is
    3
    Reviewing the Casselton accident, the FRA commented that it:
    believes that the same type of positive post-accident
    mitigating actions were achievable with: (1) [f]ewer
    than two crewmembers on the BNSF grain train
    involved in the accident, and (2) a well-planned, post-
    accident protocol that quickly brings railroad
    employees to the scene of an accident. In other words,
    the facts of the accident suggest that BNSF could have
    duplicated the mitigating moves of the grain train crew
    with responding emergency crewmembers. While
    FRA acknowledges the BSNF key train crew
    performed well, potentially saving each other’s lives,
    it is possible that one properly trained crewmember,
    technology, and/or additional railroad emergency
    planning could have achieved similar mitigating
    actions. Thus, the indirect safety connections cited in
    the NPRM do not proved a sufficient basis for FRA
    regulation of train crew staffing.
    Id. at 24,738.
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA                    13
    possible that one-person crews have contributed to the
    [railroads’] improving safety record.” Id. at 24,739 (quoting
    81 Fed. Reg. at 13,950 and 13,932 (alteration in original)).
    The FRA asserts that data collected over a 17-year period
    did not allow it to “determine that any of the
    accidents/incidents involving a one-person crew would have
    been prevented by having multiple crewmembers.” Id. The
    Order states that the reports to the Working Group “identify
    safety issues that railroads should consider when evaluating
    any reduction in the number of train crewmembers or a shift
    in responsibilities among those crewmembers” but “do not
    indicate that one-person crew operations are less safe and
    therefore do not form a sufficient basis for a final rule on
    crew staffing.” Id. at 24,740.
    The Order notes that the received comments “do not
    provide conclusive “data suggesting that . . . any previous
    accidents involving one-person crew operations . . . could
    have been avoided by adding a second crewmember.” Id.
    Although “the comments note[d] some indirect connections
    between crew staffing and railroad safety, such as post-
    accident response or handling of disabled trains,” the FRA
    believes that “the indirect safety connections cited in the
    comments could be achieved with fewer than two
    crewmembers with a well-planned, disabled-train/post-
    accident protocol.” 4 Id.
    4
    This section of the Order concludes with the following paragraph:
    FRA also does not concur with commenters who assert
    that the idea of a one-person train crew is seemingly in
    conflict with the statutory and regulatory requirements
    for certification of both locomotive engineers and
    conductors.      There are no specific statutes or
    regulations prohibiting a one-person train crew, nor is
    14     TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    The Order next observes that railroads are moving away
    from traditional systems and that “the integration of
    technology and automation . . . has the potential to increase
    productivity, facilitate freight movement, create new kinds
    of jobs, and, most importantly, improve safety significantly
    by reducing accidents caused by human error.” Id. It notes
    that “DOT’s approach to achieving safety improvements
    begins with a focus on removing unnecessary barriers and
    issuing voluntary guidance, rather than regulations that
    could stifle innovation,” and that “finalizing the train crew
    staffing rule would have departed from FRA’s long-standing
    regulatory approach of not endorsing any particular crew
    staffing arrangement.” Id. The Order suggests that the “lack
    of a legal prohibition means that each railroad is free to make
    train crew staffing decisions as part of their operational
    management decisions, which would include consideration
    of technological advancements and any applicable collective
    bargaining agreements.” Id.
    Despite concerns with the insufficiency or
    inconclusiveness of the data in the record, the last section of
    the Order notes that “nine states have laws in place
    regulating crew size,” and states that the Order’s intent is “to
    there a specific requirement that would prohibit
    autonomous technology from operating a locomotive
    or train in lieu of a certified locomotive engineer.
    However, the NPRM identified several regulations
    that a railroad would need to be cognizant of when
    adjusting its crew staffing levels, while
    acknowledging that none of those regulations requires
    a minimum number of crewmembers to achieve
    compliance.
    Id.
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA            15
    preempt all state laws attempting to regulate train crew
    staffing in any manner.” Id. at 24,741. It explains:
    Provisions of the federal railroad safety
    statutes, specifically the former Federal
    Railroad Safety Act of 1970 (FRSA),
    repealed and recodified at 
    49 U.S.C. § 20106
    ,
    mandate that laws, regulations, and orders
    “related to railroad safety” be nationally
    uniform. The FRSA provides that a state law
    is preempted where FRA, under authority
    delegated     from      the   Secretary       of
    Transportation, “prescribes a regulation or
    issues an order covering the subject matter of
    the State requirement.” A federal regulation
    or order covers the subject matter of a state
    law where “the federal regulations
    substantially subsume the subject matter of
    the relevant state law.” A federal regulation
    or order need not be identical to the state law
    to cover the same subject matter. The
    Supreme Court has held preemption can be
    found from “related safety regulations” and
    “the context of the overall structure of the
    regulations.” Federal and state actions cover
    the same subject matter when they address
    the same railroad safety concerns. FRA
    intends this notice of withdrawal to cover the
    same subject matter as the state laws
    regulating crew size and therefore expects it
    will have preemptive effect.
    
    Id.
     (footnotes omitted).
    16     TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    The Order invokes “what the Supreme Court refer[s] to
    as ‘negative’ or ‘implicit’ preemption,” quoting Ray v.
    Atlantic Richfield Co., 
    435 U.S. 151
    , 178 (1978), for the
    proposition that ‘“[w]here failure of . . . federal officials
    affirmatively to exercise their full authority takes on the
    character of a ruling that no such regulation is appropriate or
    approved pursuant to the policy of the statute,’ any state law
    enacting such a regulation is preempted.” 
    Id.
    The Order concludes that the FRA has “determined that
    issuing any regulation requiring a minimum number of train
    crewmembers would not be justified because such a
    regulation is unnecessary for a railroad operation to be
    conducted safely at this time” and that “no regulation of train
    crew staffing is appropriate, and that FRA intends to
    negatively preempt any state laws concerning that subject
    matter.” 
    Id.
    On July 16, 2019, the Unions were the first to file a
    petition for review. The California PUC filed its petition on
    July 18, followed by petitions by Washington and Nevada.
    All were timely filed within 60 days of the Order. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 2344
    .
    III
    Before reaching petitioners’ challenges to the Order’s
    merits, we address the arguments concerning jurisdiction
    raised by the intervenor, the AAR. It argues that the court
    lacks jurisdiction over the Unions’ petition because 
    28 U.S.C. § 2343
     states that venue is proper “in the judicial
    circuit in which petitioner resides or has its principal office,
    or in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of
    Columbia Circuit.” The argument is well taken, as the
    Unions’ principal offices are not within the Ninth Circuit.
    Under other circumstances we might transfer the petition to
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA                      17
    a sister circuit, but because we determine that we have
    jurisdiction over the petitions filed by the States and vacate
    the FRA’s order, we dismiss the Unions’ petition.
    AAR also claims that we should dismiss the States’
    petitions, arguing that none of the States “participated in the
    crew-size rulemaking” and thus are not “parties aggrieved”
    and may not invoke our jurisdiction pursuant to § 2344. In
    support of its position, AAR argues that the comment letters
    submitted to the FRA by state public utilities commissions
    do not count as participation because the PUCs are separate
    entities from the states.
    The FRA does not agree. It notes that the California
    PUC participated in the working group through the
    Association of State Rail Safety Managers and asserts that
    this “satisfies the requirement that an aggrieved party has
    participated in the challenged agency proceeding.”
    We determine that all three States are sufficiently
    aggrieved to invoke our jurisdiction under § 2344. All three
    States did participate in the proceedings. California’s PUC
    was part of the working group, and both Nevada and
    Washington’s PUCs submitted letters. 5
    5
    Citing Armstrong v. Exceptional Child Center, Inc., 
    575 U.S. 320
    ,
    324 (2015), the AAR further argues that the preemptive effect of the
    Order is not ripe for decision because preemption is determined by a
    court, not the FRA. Armstrong, is inapposite. It concerned a Medicaid
    provider’s attempt to invoke the Supremacy Clause to force state
    compliance with federal law. Moreover, the Supreme Court recognized
    that it has “long held that federal courts may in some circumstances grant
    injunctive relief against state officers who are violating, or planning to
    violate, federal law.” 
    Id. at 326
    . There is no suggestion that the court
    may not enjoin a federal agency from violating the APA.
    18    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    IV.
    A. Standards of Review
    There is no doubt that the FRA could withdraw the
    NPRM. Indeed, it makes sense that when the comments
    following the issuance of an NPRM do not convince the
    agency to take action, the agency should withdraw the
    NPRM. But the Order does much more than withdraw the
    NPRM; it appears to adopt a one-person train crew rule and
    purports to preempt any state safety laws concerning train
    crew staffing. 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,741
    .
    In reviewing the challenges to the Order, we take our
    guidance from two recent Supreme Court opinions,
    Department of Homeland Security v. Regents of the
    University of California, 
    140 S. Ct. 1891
     (2020), and
    Department of Comm. v. New York, 
    139 S. Ct. 2551
     (2019).
    In Regents, the Supreme Court reiterated that the APA “sets
    forth the procedures by which federal agencies are
    accountable to the public and their actions subject to review
    by the courts” and “requires agencies to engage in reasoned
    decisionmaking.” 140 S. Ct. at 1905 (internal citations
    omitted). The APA “directs that agency actions be ‘set
    aside’ if they are ‘arbitrary’ or ‘capricious.’” Id. (quoting 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A)). “Under this narrow standard of review,
    . . . a court is not to substitute its judgment for that of the
    agency, but instead to assess only whether the decision was
    based on a consideration of the relevant factors and whether
    there has been a clear error of judgment.” 
    Id.
     (internal
    citations and quotations omitted). The Court explained that
    “[i]t is a foundational principle of administrative law” that
    judicial review of agency action is limited to the grounds that
    the agency invoked when it took the action.” 
    Id. at 1907
    .
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA            19
    In New York, the Court set forth four steps for reviewing
    whether an agency’s stated reasons for taking action are
    pretextual. “First, in order to permit meaningful judicial
    review, an agency must disclose the basis of its action.” 
    139 S. Ct. at 2573
     (quoting Burlington Truck Lines, Inc. v.
    United States, 
    371 U.S. 156
    , 167–69 (1962)). “Second, in
    reviewing agency action, a court is ordinarily limited to
    evaluating the agency’s contemporaneous explanation in
    light of the existing administrative record.” 
    Id.
     “Third, a
    court may not reject an agency’s stated reasons for acting
    simply because the agency might also have had other
    unstated reasons.” 
    Id.
     Fourth, the Court “recognized a
    narrow exception to the general rule against inquiring into
    ‘the mental processes of administrative decisionmakers’”
    where there is “a strong showing of bad faith or improper
    behavior.’” 
    Id.
     at 2573–74 (quoting Citizens to Preserve
    Overton Park, Inc. v. Volpe, 401 U.S 402, 420 (1971)).
    In New York, the Court found that it had been presented
    “with an explanation for agency action that is incongruent
    with what the record reveals about the agency’s priorities
    and decisionmaking process.” Id. at 2575. It explained that:
    [t]he reasoned explanation requirement of
    administrative law, after all, is meant to
    ensure that agencies offer genuine
    justifications for important decisions, reasons
    that can be scrutinized by courts and the
    interested public.       Accepting contrived
    reasons would defeat the purpose of the
    enterprise. If judicial review is to be more
    than an empty ritual, it must demand
    something better than the explanation offered
    for the action taken in this case.
    20    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    Id. at 2575–76. The Court concluded: “We do not hold that
    the agency decision here was substantively invalid. But
    agencies must pursue their goals reasonably. Reasoned
    decisionmaking under the Administrative Procedure Act
    calls for an explanation for agency action. What was
    provided here was more of a distraction.” Id. at 2576.
    In reviewing the challenges to the Order, we first address
    the FRA’s assertion that the Order implicitly preempts state
    safety rules. After determining that it does not, we consider
    whether the Order violates the APA’s minimum notice-and-
    comment requirements and whether the Order is arbitrary
    and capricious. We conclude that the issuance of the Order
    violated the APA’s notice-and-comment requirements and
    that the Order is arbitrary and capricious, and therefore must
    be vacated.
    B. The States’ Safety Rules are not Negatively
    Preempted by the Order
    The FRA correctly asserts that cases such as CSX
    Transportation, Inc. v. Easterwood, 
    507 U.S. 658
     (1993),
    Ray v. Atlantic Richfield Co., 
    435 U.S. 151
     (1978), and
    Burlington Northern Railroad Co. v. Montana, 
    880 F.2d 1104
     (9th Cir. 1989), confirm that an order may implicitly
    preempt state laws. However, the cases do not support the
    FRA’s assertion that this Order did so.
    CSX Transportation was an action by the widow of a
    truck driver killed when hit by a train. The Court held that
    federal regulations setting maximum train speeds on certain
    classes of track preempted any common-law negligence
    claim that the conductor was travelling too fast, despite
    adhering to the federal speed limit. See 
    507 U.S. at 664, 676
    .
    Ray concerned Washington’s safety regulations for tankers
    entering Puget Sound. The Court held that the state’s
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA            21
    limitation on the maximum size of a tanker that could enter
    Puget Sound was preempted by federal regulation but that
    the state’s requirements of local pilotage and tug escorts
    were not preempted. 
    435 U.S. at
    177–79. Burlington
    concerned whether FRA regulations preempted a state law
    requiring a caboose on trains longer than 2,000 feet. We held
    that the state regulation was preempted because it covered
    the same subject matter as the FRA regulations. 
    880 F.2d at
    1105–06. But Burlington’s application to this litigation is
    limited by two factors: in Burlington the FRA had
    “promulgated two regulations affecting cabooses”; and
    Montana conceded that “its caboose law is not designed to
    reduce an ‘essentially local’ safety hazard.” 
    Id. at 1105
    .
    Each of these cases concerned conduct that was subject to
    existing agency regulation. Thus, although they affirm that
    FRA regulations can preempt state safety regulations, they
    do not compel a determination that the Order did so.
    The Supreme Court has indicated that when reviewing
    challenges to agency action under the APA a court should
    consider the particular statutes and the facts in each case.
    See Regents, 140 S. Ct. at 1905, 1908. Here, Congress
    limited the preemptive effect of an FRA order by providing
    in § 20106(a)(2) that states may “continue in force an
    additional or more stringent law” that is “necessary to
    eliminate or reduce an essentially local safety or security
    hazard” and “is not incompatible with a [federal] law,
    regulation, or order.” Thus, a state regulation is not
    automatically preempted by FRA action. Rather, the state
    regulation is preempted only when incompatible with the
    FRA’s decision.
    The Order, although declaring it “negatively preempt[s]
    any state laws” concerning crew staffing, does not address
    why state regulations addressing local hazards cannot
    22    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    coexist with the Order’s ruling on crew size. The Order
    offers an economic rationale: “a train crew staffing rule
    would unnecessarily impede the future of rail innovation and
    automation.” 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,740
    . But this is not a safety
    consideration. The FRA also argues that state regulations
    that apply statewide do not address essentially local hazards.
    
    Id. at 24
    ,741 n.46. This assertion is not fully addressed in
    the Order and does not appear to be ripe for judicial
    consideration at this time.
    In sum, although preemption of state safety laws is not
    beyond the FRA’s mandate, the Order does not do so
    implicitly. Next, we turn to the merits of the Order.
    C. The Order Violates the APA’s Minimum Notice-and-
    Comment Requirements
    As noted by the States, the most fundamental of the
    APA’s procedural requirements are that (1) a “notice of
    proposed rulemaking shall be published in the Federal
    Register,” and (2) “the agency shall give interested persons
    an opportunity to participate in the rule making through
    submission of written data, views, or arguments” for the
    agency’s consideration. See 
    5 U.S.C. § 553
    (b) and (c). In
    Nat. Res. Def. Council v. U.S. E.P.A. (NRDC II), 
    279 F.3d 1180
    , 1186 (9th Cir. 2002), we stated that “[a] decision made
    without adequate notice and comment is arbitrary or an
    abuse of discretion” as a matter of law. We further reiterated
    that “a final rule which departs from a proposed rule must be
    a logical outgrowth of the proposed rule” and “[t]he essential
    inquiry focuses on whether interested parties reasonably
    could have anticipated the final rulemaking from the
    [proposed rule].” 
    Id.
     (quoting NRDC v. EPA (NRDC I), 
    863 F.2d 1420
    , 1429 (9th Cir. 1988)).
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA             23
    More recently, in Empire Health Foundation for Valley
    Hospital Medical Center v. Azar, 
    958 F.3d 873
     (9th Cir.
    2020), we reasserted that: (1) a decision made without
    adequate notice and comment is arbitrary or an abuse of
    discretion; (2) under the APA the adequacy of notice turns
    on whether interested parties reasonably could have
    anticipated the final rulemaking from the proposed rule; (3)
    the key inquiry is whether the changes in the final rule are a
    logical outgrowth of the notice and comments received; and
    (4) a further consideration is whether a new round of notice
    and comment would provide the first opportunity for
    interested parties to offer comments that could persuade the
    agency to modify its rule. 
    Id.
     at 882–883.
    The States argue that the NPRM, which proposed a
    nationwide two-crewmember minimum requirement, gave
    no indication that FRA “would affirmatively eradicate all
    two-crewmember requirements, including those established
    under state law.” They object that the Order “is far broader
    than the NPRM indicated,” because it purports to preempt
    “all” state laws regulating train crew staffing “in any
    manner,” which could encompass “not only the number of
    crewmembers, but also any non-federal requirements
    pertaining to topics such as education, training, and
    qualifications required for train crew staff.” Moreover,
    according to the States, the FRA “did not cite any public
    comments to justify its preemption decision.”
    The FRA agrees that its final action is subject to the
    APA’s rulemaking requirements and should be a logical
    outgrowth of the proposed rule. However, it asserts that the
    Order “plainly satisfies” the logical outgrowth requirement
    because the NPRM “provided ‘fair notice’ to interested
    parties of the possibility that the agency would determine
    that no regulation was appropriate,” and thus the public
    24    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    knew “that the agency was considering whether to allow
    one-person crews for ‘most existing operations.’” The FRA
    further contends that it informed the public that it planned to
    approve on a case-by-case basis “operations with less than
    two crewmembers where a railroad provide[d] a thorough
    description of that operation, ha[d] sensibly assessed the
    risks associated with implementing it, and ha[d] taken
    appropriate measures to mitigate or address any risks or
    safety hazards that might arise from it.”
    AAR similarly argues that the Order is a logical
    outgrowth of the NPRM because it was reasonably
    foreseeable that the FRA would “examine the safety
    concerns regarding” one-person operations “and
    affirmatively decide that no regulation is needed.” It asserts
    that “it was also foreseeable that the agency’s final decision
    would preempt all state laws addressing that same subject
    matter.”
    Although federal regulation of crew size was clearly
    placed in issue by the NPRM, the Order’s preemption of all
    state safety requirements was not a “logical outgrowth” of
    the NPRM. There was nothing in the NPRM to put a person
    on notice that the FRA might adopt a national one-person
    crew limit. Rather, the NPRM stated that the FRA was
    considering mandating a minimum requirement of two
    crewmembers. The purpose of the proposed rule was to
    “establish minimum requirements for the roles and
    responsibilities of the second train crew member.” 
    81 Fed. Reg. 13,959
    . Indeed, the FRA’s very argument that it had
    informed the public that it planned to approve on a case-by-
    case basis operations with fewer than two crewmembers
    suggests that it was not contemplating the adoption of a
    nationwide one-person train crew rule. The FRA does not
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA              25
    contend that it ever issued any notice modifying that stated
    purpose of the NPRM.
    In sum, it appears that (1) the interested parties could not
    have reasonably anticipated the Order, see Empire Health
    Found., 958 F.3d at 882, (2) the Order is not a “logical
    outgrowth of the notice and comments received,” id.
    (quoting Rybachek v. U.S. E.P.A., 
    904 F.2d 1276
    , 1288 (9th
    Cir. 1990)), and (3) “a new round of notice and comment
    would provide the first opportunity for interested parties to
    offer comments that could persuade the agency to modify its
    rule.” Id. at 883 (quoting NRDC II, 
    279 F.3d at 1186
    ).
    D. On This Record We Conclude That the Order is
    Arbitrary and Capricious and Must be Vacated
    Although the Order describes itself as withdrawing an
    NPRM, its real and intended effect is to authorize nationwide
    one-person train crews and to bar any contrary state
    regulations. In reviewing petitioners’ claim that the FRA
    failed to comply with the APA, we look to “whether the
    [FRA] examined the relevant data and articulated a
    satisfactory explanation for [its] decision, including a
    rational connection between the facts found and the choice
    made.” New York, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2569
     (citations and internal
    quotation marks omitted). Applying the approach set forth
    in New York, we determine that the record does not support
    the Order’s embrace of a one-person train crew or its
    preemption of state laws.
    1. The Order’s Basis for Its Action Does Not
    Withstand Scrutiny
    The Order’s reasoning is problematic. It asserts that
    there is still no “reliable or conclusive statistical data to
    suggest whether one-person crew operations are generally
    26       TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    safer or less safe than multiple-person crew operations.” 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,737
    . Critically, this lack of data does not
    support the promulgation of a one-person train crew rule and
    the preemption of state safety laws.
    A careful reading of the Order raises substantial
    questions as to the soundness of its effective establishment
    of a national one-person crew standard. 6 The Order
    recognizes that even as to the two accidents that prompted
    the NPRM there were “some indirect connections between
    crew staffing and railroad safety,” but dismisses these as
    “tangential at best.” 
    Id. at 24,738
    . The Order recognizes
    that it is impossible to “compare the accident/incident rate of
    one-person operations to that of two-person train crew
    operations.” 7 
    Id. at 24,739
    .
    The Order further recognizes that the Working Group
    identified “safety issues that railroads should consider when
    evaluating any reduction in the number of train
    crewmembers,” but opines that these “reports do not indicate
    that one-person crew operations are less safe” and “do not
    form sufficient basis for a final rule on crew staffing.” 
    Id. at 24,740
    . The Order again recognizes “some indirect
    connection between crew staffing and railroad safety, such
    as post-accident response or handling of disabled trains,” but
    opines that these concerns “could be achieved with fewer
    than two crewmembers with a well-planned, disabled-
    train/post-accident protocol.” 
    Id.
     Similarly, addressing
    Indeed, it is not entirely clear whether the Order even establishes a
    6
    one-person crew requirement or permits railroads, in their discretion, to
    operate trains without any operator aboard the train.
    7
    It stands to reason that where a two-person crew avoided an
    accident that might not have been avoided by a one-person crew, there
    would be no accident report.
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA              27
    whether “the idea of a one-person train crew” conflicts with
    existing statutory and regulatory requirements, the Order
    notes that no specific statute or regulation prohibits a one-
    person train crew, but cautions that “the NPRM identified
    several regulations that a railroad would need to be
    cognizant of when adjusting its crew staffing levels.” 
    Id.
    The Order alludes to safety concerns but does not really
    address them.
    It is not clear that there is a sound factual basis for the
    Order’s suggestion that two-member crews are less safe than
    one-person crews. The Order seems to rely on a study
    submitted by the AAR that allegedly shows that “single-
    person crew operations appear as safe as multiple person
    crew operations, if not safer.” 
    Id. at 24,737
    . But a single
    study suggesting that one-person crew operations “appear as
    safe” as two-person crews seems a thin reed on which to base
    a national rule: particularly in light of all the comments
    supporting a two-person crew rule and the proffered
    anecdotal evidence.
    Indeed, the Order fails to address the multiple safety
    concerns raised by the majority of the comments on the
    NPRM. For example, the States allege that the FRA’s own
    research “identified crewmember fatigue as a critical
    component of the safety-related reasons for regulating crew
    size,” and correctly note that the Order does not discuss crew
    fatigue at all. The States also argue that although the FRA
    had previously recognized that mountainous terrain presents
    technical challenges and complexities that favor multi-
    person crews, the Order fails to consider these concerns.
    Rather, the Order states that the FRA “believes” that “post-
    accident responses [and] handling of disabled trains . . .
    could be achieved with fewer than two crewmembers with a
    well-planned disabled-train/post-accident protocol that
    28    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    quickly brings railroad employees to the scene of a disabled
    train or accident.” 
    Id. at 24,740
     (emphases added). But the
    Order does not require that a railroad have “a well-planned
    disabled-train/post-accident protocol.” Moreover, with
    trains crossing the Sierra and Cascade mountain ranges in
    the winter, it seems unlikely that pursuant to the best “well-
    planned” protocol, assistance could quickly reach a disabled
    train on a mountain pass.
    Even the Order’s assertion that “a train crew staffing rule
    would unnecessarily impede the future of rail innovation and
    automation,” 
    id. at 24,740
    , is not explained. The Order
    mentions that automation may reduce accidents caused by
    human error, that unnecessary barriers should be removed,
    and that some commentators “identified the train crew
    staffing rulemaking as a potential barrier to automation or
    other technology improvements.” 
    Id.
     But there is no
    discussion of how a two-person crew rule would actually
    interfere with innovation or automation. Instead, the section
    asserts that “requiring a minimum number of crewmembers
    for certain trains . . . would have departed from FRA’s long-
    standing regulatory approach of not endorsing any particular
    crew staffing arrangement.” 
    Id.
     But this begs the question
    of why the promulgation of a one-person crew rule does not
    also violate the long-standing approach of not endorsing a
    particular crew staffing arrangement.
    Finally, even if we were to accept the FRA’s assertion
    that a “regulation requiring a minimum number of train
    crewmembers . . . is unnecessary for a railroad operation to
    be conducted safely,” this is not a sufficient reason to
    “negatively preempt any state laws concerning that subject
    matter.” 
    Id. at 24,741
    . To the contrary, Congress recognized
    the need to consider local conditions when it provided in
    § 20106(a)(2) that a state could “continue in force an
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA             29
    additional or more stringent law” that is “necessary to
    eliminate or reduce an essentially local safety or security
    hazard.” The FRA’s assertion that it has the inherent
    authority to implicitly preempt state law does not address
    why preemption is necessary or desirable here.
    Our review of the Order indicates that neither its
    promulgation of a one-person train crew rule nor its
    preemption of state safety laws fairly addresses the safety
    issues raised in the comments to the NPRM.
    2. The Agency’s Contemporaneous Explanation is
    Lacking.
    An alternative motive such as economic efficiency might
    not render the Order arbitrary and capricious if it otherwise
    addressed the safety concerns which are the FRA’s mandate.
    See New York, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2573
    . As noted, the FRA
    “believes” that indirect safety connections “could be
    achieved” with fewer than two crewmembers with a well-
    planned disabled-train/post-accident protocol” and that it
    “expects” railroads to consider such protocol. 84 Fed. Reg.
    at 24,740. Beliefs as to what “could be achieved” and
    expectations as to what railroads will do are not a legitimate
    ground for preempting state safety regulations.
    Furthermore, other than arguing that state regulations for
    “essentially local safety hazards” may not be “statewide in
    character,” see id. at 24,741 n.46, the Order offers no safety
    or economic justification for preemption.
    V.
    Despite the deference due FRA decisions, the States
    have met their burden of showing that the issuance of the
    30       TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    Order violated the APA’s minimum notice-and-comment
    requirements and that the Order is arbitrary and capricious. 8
    This case recalls a case commented on by the Supreme
    Court in Regents. There the Court wrote:
    That reasoning repeated the error we
    identified in one of our leading modern
    administrative law cases, Motor Vehicle
    Manufacturers Association of the United
    States, Inc. v. State Farm Mutual Automobile
    Insurance Co. [
    463 U.S. 29
     (1983)]. There,
    the National Highway Traffic Safety
    Administration (NHTSA) promulgated a
    requirement that motor vehicles produced
    after 1982 be equipped with one of two
    passive restraints: airbags or automatic
    seatbelts.    Four years later, before the
    requirement went into effect, NHTSA
    concluded that automatic seatbelts, the
    restraint of choice for most manufacturers,
    would not provide effective protection.
    Based on that premise, NHTSA rescinded the
    passive restraint requirement in full.
    We concluded that the total rescission was
    arbitrary and capricious. As we explained,
    NHTSA’s justification supported only
    “disallow[ing] compliance by means of”
    automatic seatbelts. It did “not cast doubt”
    on the “efficacy of airbag technology” or
    8
    Because we vacate the Order on these grounds, we need not, and
    do not, consider the States’ arguments that the Order was untimely and
    violates the Safety Act.
    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA             31
    upon “the need for a passive restraint
    standard.” Given NHTSA’s prior judgment
    that “airbags are an effective and cost-
    beneficial lifesaving technology,” we held
    that “the mandatory passive restraint rule
    [could] not be abandoned without any
    consideration whatsoever of an airbags-only
    requirement.”
    140 S. Ct. at 1912 (internal citations omitted).
    Here, too, the FRA seeks to change its position without
    fully explaining its reasons for doing so and without
    following its usual proceedings for rulemaking. The FRA
    went from proposing, as required by safety concerns, a
    national minimum two-person train crew rule, to imposing a
    maximum one-person train crew rule and preempting state
    safety laws based on a record that the FRA describes as
    insufficient to show “whether one-person crew operations
    are generally safer or less safe than multiple-person crew
    operations.” 84 Fed. Reg at 24,737. As in State Farm, the
    issue is not whether the FRA has the authority to issue a rule
    that preempts state safety regulations, but whether it has
    done so in a manner that complies with the APA. On this
    record, we conclude that it did not.
    Accordingly, the Order is vacated, and the matter is
    remanded to the FRA. Although the FRA asserts that
    vacatur “would result in a disruptive patchwork of state
    laws,” it appears that Congress foresaw a variety of state
    laws when it provided in § 20106 that states may have more
    stringent laws as long as they are not incompatible with
    federal law.
    The petition filed by the Unions is DISMISSED. The
    petitions filed by California, Washington, and Nevada are
    32    TRANSP. DIV. OF INT’L ASS’N-SMART V. FRA
    GRANTED, the Order, 
    84 Fed. Reg. 24,735
    , is
    VACATED, and the matter is REMANDED to the Federal
    Railroad Administration.
    CHRISTEN, Circuit Judge, concurring:
    I join parts I, II, III and IV.C of the opinion. Because
    “[a] decision made without adequate notice and comment is
    arbitrary or an abuse of discretion,” Nat. Res. Def. Council
    v. U.S. E.P.A., 
    279 F.3d 1180
    , 1186 (9th Cir. 2002), I would
    vacate the notice of withdrawal solely based on our
    conclusion that the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking did not
    provide adequate notice or opportunity to comment. I would
    not reach whether the notice of withdrawal negatively
    preempted state laws or whether the Federal Railroad
    Administration provided a satisfactory explanation for the
    notice.