United States v. Ruslan Kirilyuk ( 2022 )


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  •                       FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,                     No. 19-10447
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    D.C. No.
    v.                       2:14-cr-00083-JAM-4
    RUSLAN KIRILYUK,                                OPINION
    Defendant-Appellant.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Eastern District of California
    John A. Mendez, District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted June 18, 2021
    San Francisco, California
    Filed April 1, 2022
    Before: Daniel A. Bress and Patrick J. Bumatay, Circuit
    Judges, and Douglas L. Rayes, * District Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Bumatay;
    Dissent by Judge Bress
    *
    The Honorable Douglas L. Rayes, United States District Judge for
    the District of Arizona, sitting by designation.
    2                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    SUMMARY **
    Criminal Law
    The panel vacated a sentence and remanded for
    resentencing in a case in which a jury convicted the
    defendant of 28 felonies, the bulk of which were wire and
    mail fraud counts, in connection with a complex fraud
    conspiracy involving over 120,000 stolen American Express
    cards.
    The defendant contended that the district court erred in
    calculating loss based on Application Note 3(F)(i) to
    U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, which mandates that “loss” for use of
    counterfeit credit cards must be calculated at not less than
    $500 per credit card used. Although the defendant’s offense
    only caused an actual loss of $1.4 million and had an
    intended loss of only $3.4 million, the Application Note’s
    multiplier skyrocketed the “loss” to nearly $60 million and
    led to a 22-level enhancement. While the conspiracy in this
    case was designed to charge only $15 to $30 per credit card,
    the Application Note deems each loss to be $500. The
    defendant contended that Application Note 3(F)(i)’s
    mandatory $500-per-card minimum conflicts with the plain
    meaning of “loss” under § 2B1.1, and asked this court to find
    it non-binding under Stinson v. United States, 
    508 U.S. 36
    (1993). The panel concluded that no Ninth Circuit precedent
    forecloses this challenge, that the defendant’s sentencing
    objection was enough to preserve de novo review of the
    challenge, and that he properly raised the argument on
    appeal. On the merits, the panel held that Application Note
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    3
    3(F)(i)’s expansion of the meaning of “loss” is clearly
    inconsistent with the language of the Guideline, and operates
    as an enhanced punishment rather than an assessment of
    “loss” tied to the facts of the case. The panel concluded that
    Application Note 3(F)(i) is therefore not binding under
    Stinson, which makes clear that the role of the Application
    Notes is to explain the Sentencing Guidelines, not enact
    policy changes to them; and that the defendant’s 22-level
    enhancement therefore cannot stand.
    The panel also held that the district court erred in
    applying an enhancement for use of an “authentication
    feature” under U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(11)(A)(ii) because the
    purported authentication features used here—credit card
    numbers, passwords, and bank account numbers—were
    issued by American Express or a bank, not an “issuing
    authority,” which the Guidelines define as “any government
    entity or agency that is authorized to issue identification
    documents, means of identification, or authentication
    features.”
    Although not raised by the defendant, the government
    conceded that the district court imposed an illegal sentence,
    and committed error that was plain, by imposing a 264-
    month sentence on each of the defendant’s wire and mail
    fraud counts, where wire and mail fraud carry a maximum
    penalty of 240 months’ imprisonment for each count. The
    panel wrote that because the district court would have been
    free to hand down a shorter sentence had it realized the error,
    it would be a miscarriage of justice to give the defendant an
    illegal sentence in this case.
    The panel remanded for resentencing on an open record.
    4               UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    In a concurrently filed memorandum disposition, the
    panel addressed the defendant’s remaining objections to his
    sentence.
    Judge Bress dissented from the part of the decision
    invalidating the pre-card multiplier. He wrote that the
    majority opinion vastly exceeds the powers of a three-judge
    panel in overturning circuit precedent—namely, United
    States v. Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d 1110
     (9th Cir. 1994), in which this
    court rejected a challenge to Sentencing Guidelines
    commentary allowing district courts to impose a
    presumptive dollar-per-credit-card multiplier for calculating
    “loss” enhancements under the Guidelines for certain fraud
    offenses.
    COUNSEL
    Gene D.Vorobyov (argued), San Francisco, California, for
    Defendant-Appellant.
    Matthew G. Morris (argued), Assistant United States
    Attorney; Camil A. Skipper, Appellate Chief; Phillip A.
    Talbert, Acting United States Attorney; United States
    Attorney’s Office, Sacramento, California; for Plaintiff-
    Appellee.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                     5
    OPINION
    BUMATAY, Circuit Judge:
    Ruslan Kirilyuk was sentenced to 27 years’
    imprisonment for his part in a complex fraud conspiracy
    spanning multiple countries and involving over 120,000
    stolen American Express cards. Kirilyuk was charged and
    convicted of 28 felonies, the bulk of which were wire and
    mail fraud counts. To reach the 27-year sentence, the district
    court relied on multiple sentencing enhancements under the
    U.S. Sentencing Guidelines (“U.S.S.G.”).
    In this opinion, we turn our attention to two of these
    enhancements: (1) the calculation of “loss” as $500 per
    stolen credit card under U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(1)(L) and
    Application Note 3(F)(i); and (2) the two-level enhancement
    for use of an “authentication feature” under U.S.S.G.
    § 2B1.1(b)(11)(A)(ii). We conclude that the district court
    erred in applying the enhancements. We also hold that the
    district court erred when it imposed a prison term of
    264 months for each of the fraud counts—two years above
    their 240-month statutory maximum. See 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 1341
    , 1343. We therefore vacate Kirilyuk’s sentence and
    remand for resentencing. 1
    I.
    For three years, Kirilyuk and his associates engaged in a
    massive, international fraud scheme.         The operation
    involved layers of sophistication.
    1
    In a concurrently filed memorandum disposition, we reject
    Kirilyuk’s remaining objections to his sentence.
    6               UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    First, the conspirators stole account information from
    nearly 120,000 American Express credit and debit cards.
    Second, the group created dozens of fake online
    businesses using stolen identities and opened merchant
    accounts for the sham businesses. In setting up these
    businesses, the enterprise used identities pilfered from three
    Russian nationals who traveled to the United States on
    student visas and 220 California high school students whose
    transcripts had been stolen.
    Third, one of Kirilyuk’s Russian partners used the false
    merchant accounts to make fraudulent charges on the stolen
    AMEX cards. Typically, the charges were in small amounts,
    between $15 and $30, to avoid detection by the
    accountholders. The schemers even set up phone lines for
    the fake businesses to field complaints from AMEX
    customers seeking refunds for the illicit charges. By
    refunding the fraudulent charges, they would deter the
    customers from notifying AMEX.
    Next, after being credited for fraudulent charges, the
    conspirators would transfer the funds from the merchant
    accounts to nominee bank accounts. They would then
    withdraw the money from ATMs, wire the funds overseas,
    or make purchases from other companies.
    In total, Kirilyuk’s fraud scheme involved more than five
    conspirators, over 70 shell companies, over 220 stolen
    identities, almost 120,000 fraud victims, and over 190,000
    fraudulent transactions, including 84,000 transfers of funds
    to fake merchant accounts. Altogether, according to the
    Probation Office, Kirilyuk and his associates stole over
    $1.4 million and the intended loss was found to be more than
    $3.4 million.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    7
    By Fall 2015, the FBI unraveled the fraud scheme and
    arrested Kirilyuk and his co-conspirators. Kirilyuk was
    indicted on 24 counts of wire fraud, two counts of mail fraud,
    and one count of aggravated identity theft. See 
    18 U.S.C. §§ 1028
    (a)(1), 1341, 1343. Following his arrest and release
    on bond, Kirilyuk failed to appear for his February 2017 trial
    and the government added a failure-to-appear charge after he
    was apprehended in Mexico City, Mexico. See 
    18 U.S.C. § 3146
    (a)(1), (b)(1)(A)(i). A jury convicted Kirilyuk on all
    28 counts.
    The presentence investigation report (“PSR”)
    determined that Kirilyuk’s offense level reached the
    maximum of 43. As part of its calculations, the Probation
    Office recommended several sentencing enhancements and
    adjustments, including:
    •   +22 levels for the 119,913 AMEX credit card
    numbers used, multiplied by $500 each, resulting in
    a loss of $59,956,500, U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(1)(L) &
    cmt. n.3(F)(i).
    •   +2 levels for ten or more victims, U.S.S.G.
    § 2B1.1(b)(2)(A)(i);
    •   +2 levels for sophisticated means, U.S.S.G.
    § 2B1.1(b)(10)(C);
    •   +2 levels for the use of an authentication feature,
    U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(11)(A)(ii);
    •   +4 levels for aggravated role, U.S.S.G. § 3B1.1(a);
    •   +2 levels for obstruction of justice, U.S.S.G.
    § 3C1.1; and
    8               UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    •   +3 levels for commission of an offense while on
    pretrial release, U.S.S.G. § 3C1.3.
    The resulting Guideline range for Kirilyuk’s offense level
    was life, limited by the charges’ maximum terms of
    imprisonment. The maximum term of imprisonment for
    both wire and mail fraud is 20 years for each count. The
    identify theft and failure-to-appear counts have maximum
    terms of two years and ten years, respectively. The district
    court accepted the PSR’s offense level recommendations
    and sentenced Kirilyuk to 324 months’ total imprisonment.
    The district court’s sentence was based on a 264-month,
    concurrent sentence on each of the wire and mail fraud
    counts, and consecutive terms of 24 months on the
    aggravated identity theft count and 36 months on the failure-
    to-appear count.
    On appeal, Kirilyuk only challenges his sentence. We
    review the district court’s interpretation of the Sentencing
    Guidelines de novo, its application of the Guidelines to the
    facts of the case for abuse of discretion, and its factual
    findings for clear error. United States v. Gasca-Ruiz,
    
    852 F.3d 1167
    , 1170 (9th Cir. 2017) (en banc). We review
    whether a sentence exceeds the maximum term of
    imprisonment de novo. United States v. Gementera,
    
    379 F.3d 596
    , 612 n.5 (9th Cir. 2004).
    II.
    Kirilyuk appeals his sentence on several grounds. In this
    opinion, we tackle three issues: (1) whether the district court
    erred in calculating loss based on a $500-per-card multiplier
    under Application Note 3(F)(i) to § 2B1.1; (2) whether the
    district court properly applied the “authentication feature”
    enhancement under § 2B1.1(b)(11)(A)(ii); and (3) whether
    the district court imposed an illegal sentence.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                     9
    We find merit in all three claims, vacate the sentence,
    and remand for resentencing.
    A. Section 2B1.1’s $500-Per-Card Multiplier
    We first address Kirilyuk’s challenge to the district
    court’s application of Application Note 3(F)(i) of § 2B1.1.
    The Application Note mandates that “loss” for use of
    “[c]ounterfeit [c]redit [c]ards” must be calculated at “not less
    than $500” per credit card used. See U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 cmt.
    n.3(F)(i). The effect of the Application Note was enormous.
    Although Kirilyuk’s offense only caused an actual loss of
    $1.4 million and had an intended loss of only $3.4 million,
    the Application Note’s multiplier skyrocketed the “loss” to
    nearly $60 million and led to a 22-level enhancement. See
    U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(1)(L).
    Kirilyuk contends that Application Note 3(F)(i)’s
    mandatory $500-per-card minimum conflicts with the plain
    meaning of “loss” under § 2B1.1, and he asks us to find it
    non-binding under Stinson v. United States, 
    508 U.S. 36
    , 38
    (1993). We agree and do not consider the Application Note
    authoritative.
    1.
    Before turning to the merits of Kirilyuk’s claim, we
    address two important housekeeping issues. First, we look
    to see whether our prior precedent forecloses Kirilyuk’s
    challenge to Application Note 3(F)(i).         Second, we
    determine whether Kirilyuk properly raised this argument on
    appeal.
    On the question of precedent, we conclude that no Ninth
    Circuit case has considered whether Application Note
    3(F)(i)’s $500-per-card multiplier conflicts with the
    10                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    meaning of “loss” in § 2B1.1. So it remains an open
    question in our circuit. To be sure, in two published cases,
    we interpreted and applied Application Note 3(F)(i) or its
    predecessor. See United States v. Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d 1110
     (9th
    Cir. 1994); United States v. Gainza, 
    982 F.3d 762
     (9th Cir.
    2020). But neither case analyzed the Note’s validity under
    Stinson, so neither case binds us on this question.
    Prior precedent that does not “squarely address” a
    particular issue does not bind later panels on the question.
    Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
    , 631 (1993). As we
    have repeatedly stated, “[q]uestions which merely lurk in the
    record, neither brought to the attention of the court nor ruled
    upon, are not to be considered as having been so decided as
    to constitute precedents.” United States v. Ped, 
    943 F.3d 427
    , 434 (9th Cir. 2019) (simplified). Thus, cases are “not
    precedential for propositions not considered,” United States
    v. Pepe, 
    895 F.3d 679
    , 688 (9th Cir. 2018), or for matters
    that are “simply assumed,” Sonner v. Premier Nutrition
    Corp., 
    971 F.3d 834
    , 842 n.5 (9th Cir. 2020). Indeed, if a
    prior case does not “raise or consider the implications” of a
    legal argument, it does “not constrain our analysis.” United
    States v. Cassel, 
    408 F.3d 622
    , 633 n.9 (9th Cir. 2005).
    In Yellowe, we considered the applicability of
    Application Note 3(F)(i)’s $500-per-card multiplier’s
    predecessor, former Application Note 4’s $100-per-card
    multiplier, in a particular context. 2 In his briefing, Yellowe
    2
    Former Application Note 4 provided that “loss includes any
    unauthorized charges made with stolen credit cards, but in no event less
    than $100 per card.” U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 cmt. n.4 (1993). See United
    States v. King, 
    861 F.3d 692
    , 694 n.1 (7th Cir. 2017) (noting that in 2000,
    the Sentencing Commission moved Application Note 4 to Application
    Note 3(F)(i) and changed the minimum loss amount from $100 to $500
    per card).
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                   11
    argued that the Application Note’s multiplier only applied to
    offenses involving stolen credit cards, not to cases merely
    using credit card numbers. When only credit card numbers
    are used, Yellowe asserted that another Application Note—
    former Application Note 7—required the court to determine
    “loss” using “intended loss.” See U.S.S.G. § 2F1.1 cmt. n.7
    (1993). Yellowe contended that the multiplier’s use of a
    “presumed loss” figure conflicted with the plain meaning of
    Note 7’s “intended loss” requirement. Yellowe also argued
    that, even if the multiplier applied to credit card numbers,
    the focus should be on his “knowledge and intentions” since
    “intended loss” was the goal of the Guidelines and the
    district court should have applied his estimate of the likely
    return on the fraud. We rejected each contention in Yellowe.
    Right off the bat, the first sentence of Yellowe
    acknowledged that the central question in that case was
    narrow: “This appeal requires us to decide whether
    Application Note 4 to U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 . . . applies to
    unauthorized use of credit card numbers as well as the card
    itself.” 
    24 F.3d at 1111
    . We held that the $100-per-card
    multiplier applied equally to credit card numbers and to
    “unauthorized charges made with the plastic itself.” 
    Id. at 1113
    . Thus, “loss under Application Note 4 to § 2B1.1
    includes any unauthorized charges made with stolen credit
    card numbers or with physical credit cards.” Id. Second, we
    observed that the multiplier set a “presumed loss” for credit
    card fraud, “setting a floor beneath which neither ‘actual’ nor
    ‘intended’ loss may fall.” Id. Given this floor, we concluded
    that Yellowe’s “subjective intent” in the offense was
    “immaterial.” Id. Finally, we noted that former Application
    Note 4 said “nothing about probabilities” of success of the
    fraud and so it wasn’t clearly erroneous for the district court
    to disregard Yellowe’s “estimate of the likely return” of his
    fraud. Id. Those were the precise holdings of Yellowe.
    12                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    Yellowe never argued that—and we never analyzed
    whether—the $100-per-card multiplier was consistent with
    the plain meaning of “loss” under Stinson. That is the
    question we face today. 3
    Gainza is even further afield from the issue in this case.
    There, we reviewed “[t]he pivotal question” of how to
    determine “how many account numbers [were] obtained” for
    Application Note 3(F)(i) purposes. 982 F.3d at 765. We
    found the district court’s finding on the quantity of account
    numbers clearly erroneous. Id. In doing so, we considered
    the various types of proof permissible to make the numerical
    determination and observed such a calculation didn’t require
    “mathematical precision.” Id. Nowhere in that decision did
    we address whether the $500-per-card multiplier aligned
    with the text of § 2B1.1. 4
    3
    Our fine dissenting colleague misunderstands Kirilyuk’s argument
    on appeal to conclude that Yellowe governs the matter. Contrary to the
    dissent’s characterization, Kirilyuk is not arguing that “the focus” of the
    loss inquiry “should be on his knowledge and intentions” since “intended
    loss” is the “goal of the guideline.” Dissent 29–30. Rather, Kirilyuk
    argues that the Application Note’s use of a $500-per-card multiplier to
    determine his offense level conflicts with the plain meaning of “loss” in
    § 2B1.1. Under Stinson, if an Application Note “is inconsistent with”
    the Guidelines, we must follow the Guidelines. 
    508 U.S. at 38
    .
    4
    The government cites no other published Ninth Circuit decision
    that purports to bind us on Kirilyuk’s argument. We note that several
    unpublished decisions of this court, including that of Kirilyuk’s co-
    conspirator, Mihran Melkonyan, have also applied the $500 multiplier.
    But none of these cases analyzed whether the multiplier conflicts with
    the plain meaning of “loss.” See, e.g., United States v. Melkonyan,
    831 F. App’x 319, 319–20 & n.1 (9th Cir. 2020) (unpublished); United
    States v. Chew, 804 F. App’x 492, 494–95 (9th Cir. 2020) (unpublished);
    United States v. Gaussiran, 787 F. App’x 458, 460 (9th Cir. 2019)
    (unpublished); United States v. Nguyen, 543 F. App’x 715, 716 (9th Cir.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                        13
    So the Stinson issue was neither “brought to the attention
    of the court nor ruled upon” in Yellowe, Gainza, or any other
    published Ninth Circuit opinion. Ped, 943 F.3d at 434
    (simplified). As no prior panel has “squarely addressed” the
    issue, we may address its merits. Brecht, 
    507 U.S. at 631
    .
    Even if precedent doesn’t foreclose reaching the merits,
    the government still contends that Kirilyuk forfeited his
    Stinson challenge by not raising it in the district court. This
    is inaccurate. “[I]t is claims that are deemed waived or
    forfeited, not arguments.” United States v. Lloyd, 
    807 F.3d 1128
    , 1174–75 (9th Cir. 2015) (simplified). Before the
    district court, Kirilyuk specifically objected to the
    applicability of Application Note 3(F)(1) as “arbitrary,”
    “artificially high,” and “contrary to relevant case law and
    concepts of justice.” “Once a federal claim is properly
    presented, a party can make any argument in support of that
    claim; parties are not limited to the precise arguments they
    made below.” 
    Id. at 1175
     (simplified). Thus, Kirilyuk’s
    sentencing objection was enough to preserve our de novo
    review of his Stinson challenge.
    Finally, the government argues we should not reach the
    Stinson issue because Kirilyuk didn’t raise it until his reply
    brief. It is true that an appellant generally waives any
    argument not raised in the opening brief. See Friends of
    Yosemite Valley v. Kempthorne, 
    520 F.3d 1024
    , 1033 (9th
    Cir. 2008). But we’ve recognized two exceptions to that
    2013) (unpublished); United States v. Levine, 87 F. App’x 44, 45 (9th
    Cir. 2004) (unpublished). Contrary to the dissent’s suggestion,
    Melkonyan did not frame his Stinson challenge as Kirilyuk did.
    Dissent 37. The only mention of Stinson in Melkonyan’s briefing was
    to note that the $500-per-card multiplier conflicted with Application
    Notes 3(A) and (C)—not that the multiplier is inconsistent with the
    meaning of “loss.”
    14              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    rule: (1) when failure to consider the argument would lead
    to “manifest injustice,” and (2) when the “opposing party
    will not suffer prejudice.” Hall v. City of Los Angeles,
    
    697 F.3d 1059
    , 1071 (9th Cir. 2012). Both exceptions apply
    here. First, Application Note 3(F)(1) boosted Kirilyuk’s
    base offense level—from +16 to +22, see U.S.S.G.
    § 2B1.1(b)(1)(I), (L), significantly increasing his sentencing
    range and raising a concern for a manifest injustice. Second,
    both parties had ample opportunity to address this question
    in supplemental briefing and so we see no prejudice to the
    government. We thus exercise our discretion to consider
    Kirilyuk’s Stinson argument and turn to the merits.
    2.
    As we’ve recently observed, “Application Notes are not
    formally part of the Guidelines, but serve to ‘interpret[]’ and
    ‘explain[]’ the Guidelines for district courts.” United States
    v. Prien-Pinto, 
    917 F.3d 1155
    , 1157 (9th Cir. 2019) (quoting
    Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 38
    ). The U.S. Sentencing Commission
    drafts both the Guidelines and Application Notes. 
    Id.
     As
    Application Notes are based on the Commission’s
    “particular area of concern and expertise” and “represent the
    most accurate indications of how the Commission deems
    that the guidelines should be applied,” they are generally
    binding on federal courts. Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 45
    .
    But that is not the end of the story. There’s an important
    distinction between the Guidelines and Application Notes.
    That’s because Congress too has a role over the Guidelines.
    
    Id. at 44
    .      Congress charged the Commission with
    promulgating the Guidelines and retains the right to review
    the Guidelines. 
    Id.
     at 44–45. So any amendment to the
    Guidelines must be submitted to Congress for a six-month
    period of review, during which time Congress can “modify
    or disapprove them.” 
    Id. at 41
    . By contrast, “Congress lacks
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    15
    the power to modify or disapprove of Application Notes,”
    which the Commission has unbridled discretion to issue.
    Prien-Pinto, 917 F.3d at 1157.
    Given this difference, the Supreme Court has told us that
    there is a limit to the binding nature of the Application Notes.
    Stinson says that an Application Note “that interprets or
    explains a guideline is authoritative unless it . . . is
    inconsistent with, or a plainly erroneous reading of, that
    guideline.” Id. (quoting Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 40
    ). So, “we
    ascribe somewhat less legal weight to the Application Notes
    than to the Guidelines proper: if the Guideline and
    Application Note are inconsistent, the Guideline prevails.”
    
    Id.
    We’ve been “troubled” by the Commission’s prior
    attempts to use its interpretive authority to improperly
    change the scope of a Guideline provision. See, e.g., United
    States v. Crum, 
    934 F.3d 963
    , 966 (9th Cir. 2019). And
    multiple times, we’ve found Application Notes non-binding
    for conflicting with the Guidelines. For example, we’ve
    applied Stinson to reject an Application Note that altered the
    “temporal restriction” imposed by the “language of the
    Guideline.” United States v. Rising Sun, 
    522 F.3d 989
    , 996
    (9th Cir. 2008) (holding that an Application Note can’t
    expand an enhancement for obstruction of justice “during”
    an investigation to include conduct taking place before an
    investigation). We’ve also ruled that the Guidelines
    commentary need not be followed when it establishes a
    “narrowing” construction not “found in the Guideline text.”
    United States v. Lambert, 
    498 F.3d 963
    , 971 (9th Cir. 2007).
    Lastly, we’ve determined that an Application Note can’t
    render a part of the Guidelines “meaningless.” United States
    v. Powell, 
    6 F.3d 611
    , 614 (9th Cir. 1993).
    16                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    With this legal background, we turn to Application Note
    3(F)(i)’s $500-per-card multiplier. Section 2B1.1 generally
    applies to crimes involving theft, stolen property, fraud, and
    counterfeiting. U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1. The offense level of
    § 2B1.1 is determined in large part by the crime’s “loss”
    amount. As we’ve explained, the Guideline “provide[s] for
    graduated increases to the base offense level depending on
    the amount of loss caused by the crime.” Gainza, 982 F.3d
    at 764. Subsection (b)(1) of § 2B1.1 establishes a table that
    increases the base offense by commensurate levels of loss
    “[i]f the loss exceed[s] $6,500[.]” U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(1).
    Application Note 3(F) provides for “special rules” to “be
    used to assist in determining loss.” Id. cmt. n.3(F). In
    particular, it provides that in a case involving stolen or
    counterfeit credit cards, “loss includes any unauthorized
    charges made with the [credit cards] and shall be not less
    than $500 per [credit card].” Id. cmt. n.3(F)(i). In other
    words, Note 3(F)(i) creates a rigid, fictional $500 minimum
    loss amount per credit card—no matter the facts of the
    particular case.
    The question here is simple: Is Note 3(F)(i)’s “special
    rule” for calculating loss by using a minimum $500-per-card
    multiplier consistent with the plain meaning of “loss”? We
    hold that it is not.
    To begin, § 2B1.1 does not define “loss.” 5          In
    interpreting the Guidelines, we apply the ordinary tools of
    5
    Commentary to § 2B1.1, however, does define “loss.” It states that
    “loss is the greater of actual loss or intended loss,” U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 cmt.
    n.3(A), with “actual loss” being “the reasonably foreseeable pecuniary
    harm that resulted from the offense,” id. cmt. n.3(A)(i), and “intended
    loss” consisting of “the pecuniary harm that the defendant purposely
    sought to inflict,” id. cmt. n.3(A)(ii). Given our ruling under Stinson, we
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                       17
    statutory interpretation and look to the plain meaning of its
    terms. United States v. Turnipseed, 
    159 F.3d 383
    , 387 (9th
    Cir. 1998). Such tools include “consult[ing] dictionary
    definitions, which we trust to capture the common
    contemporary understandings of the word.” United States v.
    Flores, 
    729 F.3d 910
    , 914 (9th Cir. 2013).
    As the Sixth Circuit recently showed, a review of
    dictionaries reveals that “loss” can have a range of
    meanings:
    One dictionary defines the word to mean,
    among other things, the “amount of
    something lost” or the “harm or suffering
    caused by losing or being lost.” American
    Heritage Dictionary of the English Language
    1063 (3d ed. 1992). Another says it can mean
    “the damage, trouble, disadvantage, [or]
    deprivation . . . caused by losing something”
    or “the person, thing, or amount lost.”
    Webster’s New World College Dictionary
    799 (3d ed. 1996). A third defines it as “the
    being deprived of, or the failure to keep (a
    possession, appurtenance, right, quality,
    faculty, or the like),” the “[d]imunition of
    one’s possessions or advantages,” or the
    “detriment or disadvantage involved in being
    deprived of something[.]” 9 Oxford English
    Dictionary 37 (2d ed. 1989).
    United States v. Riccardi, 
    989 F.3d 476
    , 486 (6th Cir. 2021).
    need not reach Kirilyuk’s alternative argument that Application Note
    3(F)(i) conflicts with the Commentary’s definitions.
    18                UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    Though dictionary definitions for “loss” may vary, they
    make one thing clear: “No reasonable person would define
    the ‘loss’ from a stolen [credit] card as an automatic $500”
    rather than a fact-specific amount. 
    Id.
     Instead, § 2B1.1 is
    driven by “the amount of loss caused by the crime.” Gainza,
    982 F.3d at 764 (emphasis added). So “loss” cannot mean a
    pre-determined, contrived amount with no connection to the
    crime committed, even if it is based on the Commission’s
    “research and data.” See U.S.S.G. amend. 596 (Nov. 2000).
    Application Note (3)(F)(i) thus doesn’t illuminate the
    meaning of “loss,” but modifies it. Yet “Stinson requires that
    commentary interpret the guidelines, not contradict or add to
    them.” Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 493 (Nalbandian, J.,
    concurring). 6
    This case illustrates the egregious problem with the
    Application Note’s expansion of the meaning of “loss.” As
    determined by the Probation Office, Kirilyuk’s conspiracy
    involved $1.4 million in actual losses or $3.4 million in
    intended losses. Applying the $500-per-card multiplier
    balloons the “loss” to $60 million—17 times greater than the
    intended loss. While the conspiracy was designed to charge
    only $15 to $30 per credit card, the Application Note asks us
    to deem each loss to be $500. Application Note 3(F)(i) thus
    operates as an enhanced punishment, rather than an
    assessment of “loss” tied to the facts of the case. But Stinson
    makes clear that the role of the Application Notes is to
    explain the Guidelines, not enact policy changes to them.
    6
    Our dissenting colleague claims that “loss” can also mean “a
    presumptive dollar amount” so long as it is “intended reasonably to
    estimate the pecuniary harm resulting from a particular offense.”
    Dissent 43. But as a matter of plain meaning, that is incorrect, and the
    dissent provides no support for this contention. When deciding such
    important matters, we should rely on more than ipse dixit.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                           19
    We thus hold that Application Note 3(F)(i)’s expansion of
    the meaning of “loss” is “clearly inconsistent with the
    language of the Guideline” and is not binding under Stinson.
    Rising Sun, 
    522 F.3d at 996
    . 7
    With this holding, we align ourselves with the Sixth
    Circuit—the only other court to consider this issue. In
    Riccardi, 
    989 F.3d 476
    , the majority of the court held that
    Application Note 3(F)(i) was not binding, though by
    applying the narrower deference set out in Kisor v. Wilkie,
    
    139 S. Ct. 2400
     (2019). We do not express a view on that
    analysis.    Instead, our reasoning tracks with Judge
    Nalbandian’s Riccardi concurrence, which relied on Stinson
    to conclude that “[a]scribing a certain number to ‘loss’ is not
    a definition.” Id. at 493 (Nalbandian, J., concurring). We
    thus follow our general path of “not creat[ing] a direct
    conflict with other circuits” in resolving this issue. United
    7
    The government argues that we should ignore these concerns
    because the Commission was only responding to a Congressional
    directive in amending the Application Note. See U.S.S.G. amend. 596
    (Nov. 2000) (noting that the Commission increased the multiplier to
    $500 after Congress enacted § 2 of the Wireless Telephone Protection
    Act, Pub. L. 105-172). But we decline to create an exception to Stinson
    based on the Commission’s response to a Congressional directive. There
    may be good reason for the $500-per-card multiplier, but the
    Commission could put it on firmer ground by adding it to the text of
    § 2B1.1 itself (as it has with the presumed loss rules of § 2T1.1(c)(1) and
    (2)). Indeed, as it stands, nothing prevents the Commission from
    amending the multiplier to a low of $1 or a high of $1 million in the next
    edition of the Guidelines—all with no say by Congress. Lastly,
    Application Note 21(C)’s “Downward Departure” safety valve doesn’t
    save the improper expansion of “loss” under Application Note 3(F)(i), as
    the government argues. Just because a district court has the discretion to
    lessen the sting of Note 3(F)(i)’s enhanced punishment, that does not
    make it consistent with the Guidelines under Stinson.
    20                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    States v. Cuevas-Lopez, 
    934 F.3d 1056
    , 1067 (9th Cir. 2019)
    (simplified).
    Because Application Note 3(F)(i) contorts the meaning
    of “loss” to equal “$500” in credit card cases, we hold that it
    is not binding and that Kirilyuk’s 22-level enhancement
    cannot stand. 8
    B. Section   2B1.1’s                Authentication            Feature
    Enhancement
    We next turn to the enhancement for use of an
    “authentication feature” under § 2B1.1(b)(11)(A)(ii). We
    hold that the district court erred in imposing that
    enhancement because the purported authentication features
    used here were issued by American Express or a bank, not
    an “issuing authority” as defined by the Guidelines.
    Section 2B1.1(b)(11)(A)(ii) provides for a two-level
    increase “[i]f the offense involved . . . the possession or use
    of any . . . authentication feature.” The relevant application
    note defines “authentication feature” as the term is used in
    
    18 U.S.C. § 1028
    (d)(1). U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 cmt. n.10(A).
    That provision defines “authentication feature” as:
    [A]ny hologram, watermark, certification,
    symbol, code, image, sequence of numbers or
    letters, or other feature that either
    8
    The dissent warns that our decision will be “far-reaching and
    destabilizing.” Dissent 58. First, we disagree that our decision is so
    earthshattering. As we’ve said, the Commission need only put the $500-
    per-card multiplier in the Guidelines, rather than in the commentary, to
    protect it from Stinson scrutiny. Second, even if the dissent is correct,
    our duty as judges is to apply the law regardless of any disfavored
    consequences.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    21
    individually or in combination with another
    feature is used by the issuing authority on an
    identification document, document-making
    implement, or means of identification to
    determine if the document is counterfeit,
    altered, or otherwise falsified.
    
    18 U.S.C. § 1028
    (d)(1) (emphasis added).             “Issuing
    authority,” in turn, is defined as “any governmental entity or
    agency that is authorized to issue identification documents,
    means of identification, or authentication features.” 
    Id.
    § 1028(d)(6)(A).
    The district court applied the enhancement based on the
    PSR’s reasoning that “credit card numbers, passwords, and
    bank account[] numbers” involved in the scheme constituted
    authentication features.       But the issuers of these
    authentication features—either American Express or another
    private financial institution—do not fit within the definition
    of “issuing authority.” Cf. United States v. Sardariani,
    
    754 F.3d 1118
    , 1121 (9th Cir. 2014) (“issuing authority”
    includes a notary public, who takes “actions . . . based upon
    the authority of the state”). Here, the government does not
    allege that American Express issued the credit card numbers,
    passwords, and bank account numbers “based upon the
    authority of the state” or any other government entity. 
    Id.
    So they do not constitute a “governmental entity or agency.”
    
    18 U.S.C. § 1028
    (d)(6). It was thus improper for the district
    court to apply the enhancement based on the rationale
    presented in the PSR.
    The government points out that Kirilyuk’s scheme also
    involved stolen social security numbers, drivers’ licenses,
    and material from public school transcripts. Though true,
    the government’s argument does not carry the day because
    it is not apparent that the district court relied on these facts
    22               UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    to impose the enhancement. On remand, the government is
    free to re-argue for the authentication feature enhancement
    on these or any other grounds supported by the record. 9
    C. Illegal Sentence
    Although not raised by Kirilyuk, the government
    commendably concedes that the district court imposed an
    illegal sentence by imposing a 264-month sentence on each
    of Kirilyuk’s wire and mail fraud counts. Both wire and mail
    fraud carry a maximum penalty of 240 months’
    imprisonment for each count. See 
    18 U.S.C. § 1343
     (wire
    fraud); 
    18 U.S.C. § 1341
     (mail fraud). So the government is
    right that the district court’s sentence of 264 months per
    count was illegal. See United States v. Grimaldo, 
    993 F.3d 1077
    , 1083 (9th Cir. 2021) (“An illegal sentence is one in
    excess of the permissible statutory penalty for [a] crime.”
    (simplified)).
    Yet since Kirilyuk failed to raise this issue himself in the
    district court, we must review whether the illegal sentence
    constitutes plain error. United States v. Hayat, 
    710 F.3d 875
    ,
    895 (9th Cir. 2013). Under the plain-error standard, relief
    may be granted only when there was: (1) an error; (2) that
    was plain; (3) that affected the defendant’s substantial rights;
    and (4) the error seriously affects the fairness, integrity, or
    public reputation of judicial proceedings. 
    Id.
     (simplified).
    The government admits that the illegal sentence was
    plain error, satisfying the first two prongs of plain-error
    9
    Because we hold the district court erroneously imposed the
    authentication feature enhancement, we do not address Kirilyuk’s
    alternative argument that the enhancement also constituted
    impermissible double-counting under Application Note 2 of § 2B1.6.
    Kirilyuk may raise that argument, as appropriate, at resentencing.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  23
    review. Once again, we agree with the government. We
    have held that the “[i]mposition of a sentence exceeding a
    statutory maximum constitutes plain error.” Grimaldo,
    993 F.3d at 1083 (simplified).
    The government instead counters that Kirilyuk cannot
    carry his burden under the last two prongs of plain-error
    review because he was convicted of multiple fraud counts
    that could be stacked consecutively to impose the district
    court’s total sentence of 264 months. In other words, the
    district court could have sentenced Kirilyuk to the statutory
    maximum of 240 months on 25 of his 26 fraud convictions
    with a 24-month consecutive sentence on the 26th count—
    totaling 264 months imprisonment.
    We disagree. Even if the district court could restructure
    Kirilyuk’s sentence to reach the same result, we decline to
    decide that for the district court. Kirilyuk cogently argues
    that the district court may have set a lower sentence had it
    realized that the maximum sentence on the fraud counts was
    240 months. This is especially true now that we are vacating
    Kirilyuk’s sentence based on the error in imposing two other
    enhancements. As we have said, we should “try to avoid”
    ruling in a manner that leaves “everyone . . . wonder[ing]
    about whether the sentencing court might have acted
    differently.” United States v. Ameline, 
    409 F.3d 1073
    , 1081
    (9th Cir. 2005).
    The government relies on two cases with limited
    applicability here. See United States v. Buckland, 
    289 F.3d 558
     (9th Cir. 2002) (en banc); United States v. Kentz,
    
    251 F.3d 835
     (9th Cir. 2001). In those cases, we affirmed
    illegal sentences because “the court could have imposed the
    sentences on certain counts to run consecutive to one
    another, there can’t possibly be plain error that requires
    resentencing.” Kentz, 
    251 F.3d at 843
    ; see also Buckland,
    24                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    
    289 F.3d at
    569–70. But both cases were decided before
    United States v. Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
     (2005), when it was
    mandatory that district courts apply the Guidelines. Pre-
    Booker, the Guidelines would have required the district court
    to impose consecutive sentences to reach the total proper
    punishment under the Guidelines if it exceeded the statutory
    maximum on a single count. See Buckland, 
    289 F.3d at
    572
    (citing U.S.S.G. § 5G1.2(d)). 10
    Today, however, the district court would have been free
    to hand down a shorter sentence had it realized the error in
    the imposed sentence. Thus, it would be “a miscarriage of
    justice to give [Kirilyuk] an illegal sentence” in this case,
    United States v. Schopp, 
    938 F.3d 1053
    , 1069 (9th Cir.
    2019), and we vacate and remand.
    III.
    The district court erred when it imposed a 22-level
    enhancement based on the $500-per-card multiplier, applied
    the two-level enhancement for use of an authentication
    feature, and handed down an illegal sentence. We vacate
    Kirilyuk’s sentence and remand for resentencing on an open
    record.
    VACATED and REMANDED.
    10
    At the time of Buckland, § 5G1.2(d) provided, “[i]f the sentence
    imposed on the count carrying the highest statutory maximum is less than
    the total punishment, then the sentence imposed on one or more of the
    other counts shall run consecutively, but only to the extent necessary to
    produce a combined sentence equal to the total punishment.” U.S.S.G.
    § 5G1.2(d) (2001).
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  25
    BRESS, Circuit Judge, dissenting:
    I respectfully dissent because the majority opinion vastly
    exceeds the powers of a three-judge panel in overturning
    circuit precedent that has been the established law of our
    western states for nearly three decades. In United States v.
    Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d 1110
     (9th Cir. 1994), we rejected a
    challenge to Sentencing Guidelines commentary allowing
    district courts to impose a presumptive dollar-per-credit-
    card multiplier (then $100, now $500) for calculating “loss”
    enhancements under the Guidelines for certain fraud
    offenses. In doing so, we held that courts could impose this
    loss amount even if a defendant’s “actual” or “intended” loss
    was lower. Since Yellowe, we have repeatedly upheld
    district courts’ application of the per-card multiplier. We
    recently did so in the case of this defendant’s own co-
    defendant, for his role in the very same credit-card fraud
    scheme.
    Yet today the majority invalidates the per-card
    multiplier, even though there has been no intervening change
    in the law since Yellowe. Instead, the majority effectively
    concludes that our past cases were all wrongly decided and
    credits what is merely a re-stated version of the same
    argument we rejected in Yellowe. Under today’s decision,
    Yellowe and many other cases should have come out the
    other way. Through this serious over-extension, the majority
    contravenes the fundamental principle that if we think circuit
    precedent should be revisited, we must engage the en banc
    process, not take matters into our own hands at the panel
    level.
    Even if three decades of circuit precedent and practice
    were not enough, the majority’s decision is still wrong on its
    own terms.      The Sentencing Commission’s per-card
    multiplier is not inconsistent with or a plainly erroneous
    26              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    reading of “loss” under the Guidelines, and the
    Commission’s interpretation is therefore binding under
    Stinson v. United States, 
    508 U.S. 36
     (1993). That position
    is not novel: courts across the country have routinely applied
    the per-card multiplier, just as we did before today. In siding
    with an outlier concurring opinion in a Sixth Circuit case
    involving materially different facts, the majority puts our
    circuit at odds with the others, to say nothing of our own
    prior precedent. In the process, the majority disrupts long-
    established sentencing practices in our district courts—
    practices we had long approved.
    While the majority professes that the defendant’s
    sentence here is “egregious,” it is easy to understand why the
    Sentencing Commission disagreed with the majority’s
    theory of penology. Ruslan Kirilyuk and his co-conspirators
    stole more than 220 identities, many of them high school
    students whose confidential information the conspirators
    lifted from stolen school transcripts. They opened sham
    bank and merchant accounts in the names of these
    unsuspecting victims and then used stolen account
    information for 120,000 American Express cards to make
    more than 190,000 fraudulent transactions. The Sentencing
    Commission and district court (which declined to exercise
    its discretion to impose a lower loss enhancement) could
    easily conclude that the $1.4 million in completed charges
    resulting from Kirilyuk’s scheme—halted only because
    authorities discovered it—nowhere near reflects the true
    scope of his criminality. That, of course, is the judgment
    Yellowe held the Sentencing Commission and district courts
    were permitted to reach.
    While I join the remainder of the majority opinion, I
    dissent from that part of the decision invalidating the per-
    card multiplier.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  27
    I
    A
    I begin where this issue should have ended: the binding
    force of circuit precedent. Adherence to circuit precedent is
    not a mere “housekeeping” matter, as the majority would
    have it. Maj. Op. 9. Three-judge panels must follow circuit
    precedent except “where the reasoning or theory of our prior
    circuit authority is clearly irreconcilable with the reasoning
    or theory of intervening higher authority.” Miller v.
    Gammie, 
    335 F.3d 889
    , 893 (9th Cir. 2003) (en banc). “This
    venerable principle commands our utmost respect and is
    central to the rule of law in appellate decision-making.”
    Lambert v. Saul, 
    980 F.3d 1266
    , 1274 (9th Cir. 2020). En
    banc review, not panel re-review, is the required mechanism
    for addressing prior decisions that we believe are wrongly
    decided. Miller, 
    335 F.3d at 900
    . The majority violates
    these fundamental precepts.
    The Sentencing Guidelines provide that, for certain
    crimes, if “the loss exceeded $6,500,” the defendant’s
    offense level should be increased based on the amount of
    loss. U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(1). The Guidelines do not
    themselves define “loss.”         But in the Guidelines
    commentary, “loss” is generally defined as “the greater of
    actual loss or intended loss.” Id. § 2B1.1 cmt. n.3(A).
    “Actual loss” is “the reasonably foreseeable pecuniary harm
    that resulted from the offense,” while “intended loss”
    generally consists of “the pecuniary harm that the defendant
    purposely sought to inflict,” including harm “that would
    have been impossible or unlikely to occur.” Id. cmt.
    n.3(A)(ii). Regardless of the method of measurement, “[t]he
    court need only make a reasonable estimate of the loss.” Id.
    cmt. n.3(C).
    28              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    The Guidelines commentary provides some special rules
    “to assist in determining loss” for certain offenses. Id. cmt.
    n.3(F). In cases involving credit cards, among other
    “unauthorized access devices,” “loss includes any
    unauthorized charges made with the unauthorized access
    device and shall not be less than $500 per access device.”
    Id. cmt. n.3(F)(i). The Sentencing Commission originally
    determined that the loss would presumptively be at least
    $100 per credit card. Id. cmt. n.4 (1987). The Commission
    then increased the amount to $500 more than twenty years
    ago, after Congress directed it to review whether the amount
    was sufficiently punitive. U.S.S.G. app. C, vol. II, at 57–63.
    But the commentary makes clear that “[t]here may be cases
    in which the offense level determined under this guideline
    substantially overstates the seriousness of the offense,” and
    that “[i]n such cases, a downward departure may be
    warranted.” U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, cmt. n.21(C).
    In United States v. Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d 1110
     (9th Cir. 1994),
    the defendant pleaded guilty to conspiring to possess and use
    unauthorized access devices. 
    Id. at 1111
    . Through a scheme
    that bears eerie similarity to Kirilyuk’s, Yellowe conspired
    to use thousands of credit card numbers to make fraudulent
    purchases, routed the charges into fake merchant accounts,
    and then transferred the funds to his company. 
    Id.
     at 1111–
    12.
    The district court found Yellowe had misused at least
    7,000 credit card numbers and multiplied that number “by
    the presumed minimum loss of $100 per card” that was then
    set out in Application Note 4 (now Application Note 3(F)(i))
    to U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1. Id. at 1112. The district court thus
    concluded that Yellowe was responsible for over $700,000
    in loss, setting his offense level and Guidelines range
    accordingly. Id.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  29
    We affirmed the district court’s application of the $100-
    per-card multiplier. In doing so, we specifically rejected
    Yellowe’s argument that “the district court misapplied the
    Guidelines by using the $100 minimum loss mandated when
    a credit card is used rather than determining the intended
    loss based on what Yellowe believed the scheme would
    produce.” Id. at 1112 (emphasis added). The majority here
    nonetheless adopts the position we rejected in Yellowe,
    holding that Kirilyuk can be responsible only for the
    $1.4 million in losses his scheme actually caused (or
    possibly the $3.4 million in losses he intended to cause,
    although the majority’s reasoning makes even that doubtful,
    as I explain below). Maj. Op. 18. In so holding, the majority
    opinion directly contradicts Yellowe, which confirmed that
    the “loss” need not be actual or intended loss and may
    instead be the $100-per-card (now $500-per-card)
    presumptive loss that Kirilyuk challenges. See 
    24 F.3d at 1113
    .
    Yellowe also explained why the $100-per-card multiplier
    was valid.      Specifically, because “the value of the
    unauthorized use exceeds the intrinsic value of the device,”
    “to determine loss based on the value of the card or the
    number alone would understate the severity of the offense.”
    
    Id. at 1113
    . Yellowe’s holding was clear: “We now explicitly
    hold that loss under Application Note 4 to § 2B1.1 includes
    any unauthorized charges made with stolen credit card
    numbers, as well as cards. This loss is a presumed loss,
    setting a floor beneath which neither ‘actual’ nor ‘intended’
    loss may fall.” Id. (emphasis in original). Once the per-card
    multiplier applies and “there is no dispute about the number
    of stolen numbers,” Yellowe held, the defendant’s
    “subjective intent is immaterial.” Id. (emphasis added). We
    thus rejected Yellowe’s argument—which is Kirilyuk’s
    same argument—that “because determining ‘intended loss’
    30                  UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    is the goal of the guideline, the focus should be on his
    knowledge and intentions.”
    The majority claims that Kirilyuk is not making this
    same argument as Yellowe, Maj. Op. 12 n.3, but in
    substance, this is Kirilyuk’s entire point. Throughout his
    briefing, Kirilyuk maintains that the multiplier wrongly
    imposes a $500 per-card loss “regardless of the actual or
    intended pecuniary harm, even when (as here) all available
    evidence is that actual and intended losses are far lower.”
    Kirilyuk Opening Br. 54; see also id. at 57 (“mandatory use
    of the application note 3, regardless of whether it is
    consistent with the evidence of actual or intended loss,
    creates an artificially high loss amount in cases like this one,
    which does not accurately reflect the seriousness of the
    crime”). As Kirilyuk informed us, the problem with the per-
    card multiplier is that it “artificially inflates the amount of
    the intended loss and, by logical implication, overstates the
    seriousness of the offense.” Id. at 56. There are numerous
    similar statements throughout Kirilyuk’s briefing, 1
    1
    See, e.g., id. at 23 (arguing that “the loss amount is grossly
    disproportionate to the actual or intended loss or Kirilyuk’s role in the
    crime”); id. at 52–53 (arguing that “the district court had to take a
    realistic, economic approach to determine what losses [Kirilyuk] truly
    caused or intended to cause” (alteration in original) (quotations
    omitted)); id. at 53 (“the district court should not have ascribed to
    Kirilyuk a larger loss tha[n] he inflicted or intended to inflict”); id. at 55
    (“Presumed loss completely divorced from the evidence of actual or
    intended loss would greatly overstate the seriousness of the crime.”);
    Kirilyuk Reply Br. 2 (“there is no evidence that actual or intended loss
    here can be reasonably estimated as $500 per card”); id. at 3 n.2 (“One
    of the arguments we made to the $500-per-card multiplier is that it
    conflicts with § 2B1.1 because it requires imposition of $500-per-card
    loss, regardless of the losses Kirilyuk did or intended to cause.”); id. at 36
    (challenging the use of the multiplier “despite lack of evidence of the
    actual or intended loss being anywhere close to that amount”); Kirilyuk
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                          31
    confirming that at its core, the argument Kirilyuk makes here
    is the same one Yellowe made many years ago.
    Yellowe also held that the per-card multiplier applied to
    credit card numbers in addition to credit cards. The majority
    seizes on that point to claim that “the central question in
    [Yellowe] was narrow.” Maj. Op. 11. The majority’s
    reading of Yellowe is unduly narrow. Yellowe did hold that
    the multiplier applies to credit card numbers in addition to
    cards. But that was not the full extent of Yellowe’s holding.
    Instead, Yellowe squarely and necessarily held that the per-
    card multiplier is a permissible application of “loss” under
    § 2B1.1. 
    24 F.3d at 1113
    . The defendant wanted a lower
    loss amount based on actual or intended loss, and we said
    “no.” This holding had nothing to do with any distinction
    between credit card numbers and physical credit cards. And
    in any event, Kirilyuk himself misused credit card numbers
    and not the card themselves; he is squarely within Yellowe,
    factually and legally.
    The majority is not free to ignore Yellowe simply
    because Yellowe did not cite Stinson v. United States,
    
    508 U.S. 36
     (1993), or perform an analysis specifically
    tailored to that case. The Stinson argument that Kirilyuk
    makes now, and that the majority credits, is simply a
    refreshed version of the argument we rejected in Yellowe.
    Substantively, the two arguments are the same. Stinson
    requires us to ask whether the per-card multiplier is
    “inconsistent with, or a plainly erroneous reading of” the
    2d Suppl. Br. 1–2 (“at least when, as here, the actual or intended loss is
    known to be far lower than $500 per access device, reliance on that
    commentary violates Stinson”); id. at 19 (arguing that the Stinson
    argument was preserved because “Kirilyuk objected to the use of the
    $500-per-access-device rule because it is not based on pecuniary harm
    (whether actual or intended)”).
    32             UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    Guidelines. 
    508 U.S. at 38
    . When interpreting the
    Guidelines, we “will most often begin and end with the
    structure of the Guidelines,” and “may also look to the
    provision’s history and purpose, such as by consulting the
    Commission’s statements of reason for a particular
    amendment.” United States v. Martinez, 
    870 F.3d 1163
    ,
    1166 (9th Cir. 2017) (quotations omitted).
    Yellowe undertook that inquiry. Yellowe reviewed the
    relationship of the per-card multiplier to the Guidelines and
    to other commentary, as well as the multiplier’s purpose—
    to more closely approximate “the severity of the offense.”
    See 
    24 F.3d at
    1112–13. Yellowe also acknowledged the
    Guidelines’ references to “intended” loss and how “‘loss
    need not be determined with precision, and may be inferred
    from any reasonably reliable information available,
    including the scope of the operation.’” 
    Id.
     at 1112 & n.1
    (quoting U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, cmt. n.3). Yellowe then held that
    the multiplier was a proper application of “loss,” and not a
    “misappli[cation] [of] the Guidelines,” as Yellowe had
    argued. Id. at 1113. We thus allowed the multiplier
    notwithstanding Yellowe’s argument that “because
    determining ‘intended loss’ is the goal of the guideline, the
    focus should be on his knowledge and intentions.” Id.
    The majority’s suggestion that the validity of the per-
    card multiplier was merely “lurk[ing] in the record” in
    Yellowe, or “not considered” or merely “assumed” there, is
    simply inaccurate. Maj. Op. 10. At issue in Yellowe was
    whether the multiplier was a permissible application of the
    Guidelines in a case like this one, where the multiplier
    resulted in a higher loss amount than the defendant’s actual
    or intended loss. Yellowe upheld the use of the multiplier
    against that challenge. And contrary to the majority, Yellowe
    very much “consider[ed] the implications” of this
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                          33
    determination, which was to result in a longer sentence for
    Yellowe and those like him. Maj. Op. 10. 2
    Circuit precedent must be read for its holdings and its
    reasoning, in tandem. “In determining whether we are
    bound by an earlier decision, we consider not only the rule
    announced, but also the facts giving rise to the dispute, [and]
    other rules considered and rejected.” In re NCAA Athletic
    Grant-in-Aid Cap Antitrust Litig., 
    958 F.3d 1239
    , 1253 (9th
    Cir. 2020) (quotations and alterations omitted). Judicial
    decisions, conceptual in nature, are not statutes; the omission
    of a particular word (or here, a case citation) in a judicial
    opinion does not establish that the case did not hold what it
    clearly did. Today’s decision is directly opposed to Yellowe
    in its result and reasoning. Under the majority opinion,
    Yellowe was wrongly decided.
    The majority has exceeded its authority. Three-judge
    panels are “not free to disregard the decision of another panel
    of our court simply because we think the arguments have
    been characterized differently or more persuasively by a new
    litigant.” United States v. Ramos-Medina, 
    706 F.3d 932
    , 939
    (9th Cir. 2013); see also Cnty. of San Mateo v. Chevron
    Corp., 
    960 F.3d 586
    , 597 (9th Cir. 2020), vacated on other
    grounds, 
    141 S. Ct. 2666
     (2021) (“Precedents . . . do not
    cease to be authoritative merely because counsel in a later
    case advances new arguments.”). When we have “found a
    similar argument insufficient” in a prior case, “we are bound
    2
    Perhaps ironically, the majority concludes that Kirilyuk preserved
    his Stinson argument in the district court, even though he did not couch
    it in terms of Stinson. Maj. Op. 13. But for the majority, that same
    reasoning is not sufficient when it comes to interpreting our own circuit
    precedent. If Stinson is truly a different argument than the one we
    addressed in Yellowe, the majority should find Kirilyuk’s argument
    forfeited.
    34               UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    by that holding to reach the same conclusion here.”
    Pensinger v. Chappell, 
    787 F.3d 1014
    , 1028 (9th Cir. 2015).
    As one of our colleagues has written, “[t]he fact that a prior
    panel may not have considered a particular argument, or line
    of thought, in reaching its bottom line does not provide a
    valid basis for distinguishing otherwise controlling
    precedent.” United States v. Davis, 
    428 F.3d 802
    , 809 (9th
    Cir. 2005) (Callahan, J., dissenting in part).
    Because Yellowe is not “clearly irreconcilable with the
    reasoning or theory of intervening higher authority,” Miller,
    
    335 F.3d at 893
    , we must follow it. The majority seriously
    errs in concluding otherwise.
    B
    Further confirming that Yellowe supplies our rule of
    decision, numerous cases from this court have upheld
    applications of the per-card multiplier or have otherwise
    acknowledged the multiplier as the governing rule.
    Although the majority gestures in a footnote to a handful of
    these cases, there are far more than the majority
    acknowledges. This lengthy set of decisions—which
    includes that of Kirilyuk’s own co-defendant—shows that
    we certainly have not regarded the validity of the multiplier
    as the “open question” the majority posits:
    •   United States v. Chew, 804 F. App’x 492, 494–95
    (9th Cir. 2020), relying on Yellowe, affirmed the
    district court’s use of the multiplier. We cited
    Yellowe as “holding that it was not clearly erroneous
    for a district court to calculate loss by multiplying the
    minimum loss calculation by the amount of useable
    credit cards in the defendant’s possession.” 
    Id.
    •   United States v. Gaussiran, 787 F. App’x 458, 460
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    35
    (9th Cir. 2019), affirmed that the defendant had
    possessed sufficient useable unauthorized access
    devices to support the district court’s loss
    calculation, which employed the per-card multiplier.
    We cited the multiplier rule and concluded that “the
    district court did not abuse its discretion in including
    $500 for each card in its calculation.” 
    Id.
    •   United States v. Jackson, 721 F. App’x 631, 633 (9th
    Cir. 2018), explained that the “plain language of the
    guidelines indicates there is a floor on each device:
    the greater of the loss resulting from the unauthorized
    charges or $500,” and affirmed the district court’s
    application of the multiplier.
    •   United States v. Dobadzhyan, 677 F. App’x 454, 455
    (9th Cir. 2017), relied on Yellowe to conclude that
    courts “may impose a charge of $500 per counterfeit
    access device number,” and held “that the district
    court did not err by adding $643,500 to the total
    amount of loss based on the 1,287 access device
    numbers.”
    •   United States v. Wilburn, 627 F. App’x 659, 659–60
    (9th Cir. 2015), affirmed the defendant’s sentence
    where he received a 12-level increase because
    “calculating loss at $500 per access device,” he
    “possessed at least 471 unique stolen account
    numbers resulting in an intended loss of $235,000.”
    •   United States v. Masters, 613 F. App’x 618, 621 (9th
    Cir. 2015), affirmed application of the multiplier and
    resulting 14-level loss enhancement.
    •   United States v. Nguyen, 543 F. App’x 715, 716 (9th
    Cir. 2013), explained that “[f]or crimes involving
    36               UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    stolen or counterfeit credits cards and access devices,
    loss may be calculated at $500 per access device.”
    Citing Yellowe, we noted that the district court “was
    not required to take into account Nguyen’s
    anticipated likelihood of success using access
    devices he obtained.” 
    Id.
     We thus affirmed the
    defendant’s 20-level loss enhancement.
    •   United States v. Karapetian, 473 F. App’x 603 (9th
    Cir. 2012), affirmed the defendant’s sentence, which
    was based on the district court’s $500-per-card loss
    calculation.
    •   United States v. Truong, 
    587 F.3d 1049
    , 1051–52
    (9th Cir. 2009) (per curiam), rejected the defendant’s
    argument that gift cards did not qualify as access
    devices, and thus affirmed the district court’s
    sentence, which was based on the per-card
    multiplier.
    •   United States v. Camper, 337 F. App’x 631, 632–33
    (9th Cir. 2009), relied on Yellowe to conclude that the
    “district court correctly calculated the total loss by
    applying the Sentencing Guidelines’ $500 presumed
    loss to each of the 1,531 stolen credit cards.” We
    explained that Yellowe held “that the district court
    did not clearly err when it calculated loss by
    multiplying the Sentencing Guidelines’ minimum
    loss figure by the number of workable credit card
    numbers in Yellowe’s possession, even though none
    of the numbers had been used to purchase items
    fraudulently.” Id. at 633.
    •   United States v. Levine, 87 F. App’x 44, 45 (9th Cir.
    2004), held that the district court did not err “in
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                   37
    calculating the total loss by multiplying 2,071 by the
    $500 minimum loss calculation.” We emphasized,
    citing Yellowe, that the “minimum loss calculation
    applies regardless of whether the unauthorized credit
    card was actually used to make fraudulent purchases
    or not.” Id.
    •   United States v. Nguyen, 
    81 F.3d 912
    , 913–15 (9th
    Cir. 1996), held that blank credit cards qualify as
    access devices, so the district court had not erred in
    applying the $100-per-card multiplier. “Because
    there was no actual loss in this case, each access
    device was assigned a loss of $100.” 
    Id.
     at 914
    (citing U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, cmt. n.4).
    These cases confirm that we have consistently
    recognized and applied Yellowe’s rule for decades. Under
    today’s decision, however, these cases should have come out
    differently. And that is to say nothing of the many instances
    in which district courts applied the multiplier but where the
    defendant did not appeal that issue, or the case did not reach
    us at all, because a challenge to the multiplier was so clearly
    foreclosed by precedent.
    But there is more. Remarkably, and though it buries the
    point in a footnote, the majority invalidates the per-card
    multiplier even though we recently upheld its application to
    Kirilyuk’s own co-defendant, Mihran Melkonyan. See
    United States v. Melkonyan, 831 F. App’x 319 (9th Cir.
    2020). And we did so even though Melkonyan relied on
    Stinson’s test.
    Melkonyan, like Kirilyuk, received the same 22-level
    enhancement based on the $500-per-card multiplier for his
    role in Kirilyuk’s same fraudulent scheme. Id. at 319. In his
    opening brief on appeal, Melkonyan argued that the per-card
    38                 UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    multiplier “conflicts with the court’s role of determining a
    reasonable estimate of the loss,” and that “the court should
    not be forced to follow the $500 per credit card rule.”
    Melkonyan Opening Brief at 30–31, No. 19-10026, Dkt.
    No. 12. Just like today’s majority opinion, Melkonyan relied
    on United States v. Rising Sun, 
    522 F.3d 989
    , 996 (9th Cir.
    2008), a Stinson case, to advance Stinson’s rule:
    “Application notes like this one are treated as authoritative
    interpretations of the Sentencing Guidelines unless they
    violate the Constitution or a federal statute or are
    inconsistent with, or [are a] plainly erroneous reading of, the
    Guideline they are meant to interpret.” Melkonyan Opening
    Brief at 31–32 (quoting Rising Sun, 
    522 F.3d at 996
    , and
    noting that Rising Sun was “citing Stinson”). Just like
    Kirilyuk, Melkonyan argued that he caused approximately
    $1.5 million in actual losses, so that the multiplier’s
    application resulted in an “inflated figure.” Id. at 32. 3
    In its answering brief, the government responded that
    Yellowe foreclosed Melkonyan’s argument. Answering
    Brief at 21–27, Dkt. No. 26. The government also relied on
    Stinson to argue that Application Note 3(F)(i) did not
    conflict with “the Guidelines section it interprets” or any
    other Guidelines commentary. Id. at 21–22. And it pointed
    out that “this Court has repeatedly upheld sentencing courts’
    use of the $500 valuation to calculate loss.” Id. at 24.
    3
    The majority claims that Melkonyan only invoked Stinson to argue
    that the per-card multiplier conflicted with other portions of the
    Guidelines commentary. Maj. Op. 12 n.4. But Stinson concerns
    conflicts with the Guidelines themselves. Melkonyan thus argued that
    his sentence should be based on his actual or intended loss, which is what
    he claimed should have governed the assessment of how much “loss” he
    was responsible for under the Guidelines.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  39
    We rejected Melkonyan’s argument. We quoted Yellowe
    and reiterated that the per-card multiplier “establishes ‘a
    presumed loss, setting a floor beneath which neither “actual”
    nor “intended” loss may fall.’” Melkonyan, 831 F. App’x
    at 319 (quoting Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d at 1113
    ). Citing Yellowe,
    we continued: “Here, because the number of unauthorized
    access devices is not in dispute, multiplying that number by
    $500 is the correct application of the Sentencing Guidelines,
    and the defendant’s subjective intent as to actual loss is
    immaterial.” 
    Id.
     at 319–20 (citing Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d at 1113
    )
    (emphasis added). The majority here not only contradicts
    Yellowe but treats differently two co-defendants who
    received identical loss enhancements for the same fraudulent
    scheme. It is hard to see what justice there is in that,
    especially when Kirilyuk was the ringleader.
    Melkonyan was an unpublished decision. But in these
    circumstances, that makes the majority’s opinion here even
    more troubling. That the disposition was non-precedential
    confirms that Melkonyan’s Stinson argument was readily
    resolved based on established law. The same can be said of
    the other unpublished cases I cited above. In our
    unpublished dispositions, there should be “no new legal
    holdings, just applications of established law to facts.”
    Grimm v. City of Portland, 
    971 F.3d 1060
    , 1067 (9th Cir.
    2020). Indeed, the Melkonyan panel evidently viewed the
    case as so straightforward that it submitted the matter on the
    briefs without oral argument. Melkonyan, 831 F. App’x at
    319 n.*.
    Melkonyan is just further indication of what decades of
    circuit precedent confirms: that before today, it was settled
    law that the per-card multiplier is a permissible application
    of the Guidelines. That the law was so settled likely explains
    why we do not have even more cases involving such
    40              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    challenges: they would clearly fail, just as every one of them
    has until now.
    II
    Even setting aside Yellowe, the majority’s holding is
    incorrect on its own terms. In invalidating the multiplier, the
    majority badly misapplies Stinson, creates a lopsided split
    with our sister circuits, and embraces an anomalous
    concurring opinion from a Sixth Circuit case that involved
    critically different facts. In the process, the majority
    converts one possible approach to sentencing policy into a
    hard legal rule, preventing district courts in appropriate cases
    from effectuating the Sentencing Commission’s judgment
    that other measures of loss do not adequately capture the
    seriousness of offenses like the one before us.
    A
    In 1987, the Sentencing Commission promulgated the
    first version of the Guidelines Manual, which includes the
    Guidelines and the Commission’s commentary. The
    Guidelines state that the commentary “may interpret the
    guideline or explain how it is to be applied.” U.S.S.G.
    § 1B1.7. The Guidelines further make clear that “[f]ailure
    to follow such commentary could constitute an incorrect
    application of the guidelines, subjecting the sentence to
    possible reversal on appeal.” Id. Citing the Guidelines’
    treatment of the commentary and Congress’s grant of
    authority to the Commission, Stinson held that the
    Guidelines commentary is “authoritative,” “controls,” and is
    “binding” on courts. 
    508 U.S. at 40
    , 42–43.
    Stinson also carved out narrow situations in which
    Guidelines commentary is not binding. Specifically,
    commentary “that interprets or explains a guideline is
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    41
    authoritative unless it violates the Constitution or a federal
    statute, or is inconsistent with, or a plainly erroneous reading
    of, that guideline.” Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 40
    . But Stinson
    clarified that “inconsistent with” means diametrically
    opposed, where following either the Guidelines or the
    commentary “will result in violating the dictates of the
    other.” 
    Id. at 43
     (emphasis added); see also Rising Sun,
    
    522 F.3d at 996
     (same). Stinson thus disapproved of courts
    “refus[ing] to follow commentary in situations falling short
    of such flat inconsistency.” 
    Id.
     Stinson also recognized that
    “commentary explains the guidelines and provides concrete
    guidance as to how even unambiguous guidelines are to be
    applied in practice.” Id. at 44.
    Two circuits, including the Sixth Circuit in United States
    v. Riccardi, 
    989 F.3d 476
    , 483 (6th Cir. 2021), have recently
    held that courts should now evaluate the validity of
    Guidelines commentary under the less deferential test set
    forth in Kisor v. Wilkie, 
    139 S. Ct. 2400
     (2019). See also
    United States v. Nasir, 
    17 F.4th 459
    , 471–72 (3d Cir. 2021)
    (en banc). Kisor held that a court can defer to an agency’s
    interpretation of a regulation only after determining that the
    regulation is “genuinely ambiguous,” and only if the
    agency’s interpretation falls “within the zone of ambiguity
    the court has identified after employing all its interpretive
    tools.” 
    Id. at 2414, 2416
    .
    Other courts have disagreed and have held that Stinson
    continues to apply to Guidelines commentary. See United
    States v. Moses, — F.4th —, 
    2022 WL 163960
    , at *1 (4th
    Cir. Jan. 19, 2022); United States v. Cruz-Flores, 799 F.
    App’x 245, 246 (5th Cir. 2021). The issue is a weighty one
    because if Kisor were to apply, it “would negate much of the
    Commission’s efforts in providing commentary to fulfill its
    congressionally designated mission,” while leading to
    42              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    “substantial litigation and divisions of authority regarding
    the extent to which each Guideline is ‘genuinely
    ambiguous,’ even after ‘all the traditional tools of
    construction’ have been ‘exhaust[ed].’” Moses, 
    2022 WL 163960
    , at *7 (quoting Kisor, 
    139 S. Ct. at 2415
    ).
    The debate over Stinson versus Kisor should be
    irrelevant in this case because our circuit has continued to
    apply Stinson to Guidelines commentary after Kisor. See,
    e.g., United States v. Herrera, 
    974 F.3d 1040
    , 1047 (9th Cir.
    2020); United States v. George, 
    949 F.3d 1181
    , 1185 (9th
    Cir. 2020); United States v. Wang, 
    944 F.3d 1081
    , 1086 (9th
    Cir. 2019); United States v. Cuevas-Lopez, 
    934 F.3d 1056
    ,
    1061 (9th Cir. 2019); United States v. Crum, 
    934 F.3d 963
    ,
    966 (9th Cir. 2019). In this circuit, Stinson is still the
    governing law for evaluating Guidelines commentary.
    The majority here thus purports to apply Stinson while
    disclaiming any position on whether Kisor should be the
    right test. Maj. Op. 19–20. As we will see, however, the
    majority’s application of Stinson is nothing of the sort. And
    its refusal to acknowledge legitimate and long-applied
    commentary is just Kisor in disguise.
    The $500-per-card multiplier easily satisfies Stinson. No
    one suggests that the multiplier violates the Constitution or
    a federal statute. See Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 40
    . Nor is the
    multiplier “inconsistent with, or a plainly erroneous reading
    of” the Guidelines. See 
    id.
     The Guidelines create graduated
    offense level increases based on the amount of “the loss.”
    U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1(b)(1). “Loss” is the only operative word
    here. But the Guidelines do not define what “loss” means,
    how to calculate it, or the precision by which a “loss” amount
    should be assessed.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                   43
    “Loss” could mean “actual” out-of-pocket loss, but it
    could also mean “intended” loss, even if the intended loss
    “would have been impossible or unlikely to occur.” Id.
    § 2B1.1 cmt. n.3(A)(ii) (listing as an example a government
    sting operation); see also United States v. Popov, 
    742 F.3d 911
    , 915 (9th Cir. 2014). “Loss” could even mean “the gain
    that resulted from the offense,” provided “there is a loss but
    it reasonably cannot be determined.” 
    Id.
     § 2B1.1 cmt.
    n.3(b); see also United States v. Martin, 
    796 F.3d 1101
    , 1111
    (9th Cir. 2015) (“[D]istrict courts may use the defendant’s
    gain as another way to measure the loss.”). None of these
    ways of viewing “loss” is inconsistent with or a plainly
    erroneous reading of the Guidelines. See Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 38
    . The Commentary also states that “[t]he court need
    only make a reasonable estimate of the loss.” 
    Id.
     cmt.
    n.3(C). We have long recognized that this too is appropriate.
    See, e.g., United States v. Tadios, 
    822 F.3d 501
    , 503 (9th Cir.
    2016); United States v. Armstead, 
    552 F.3d 769
    , 778 (9th
    Cir. 2008); United States v. Lopez, 
    64 F.3d 1425
    , 1427 (9th
    Cir. 1995).
    The per-card multiplier is just an offense-specific
    application of “loss” under § 2B1.1, consistent with the
    “reasonable estimate” requirements. See Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d at
    1112–13. Just as “loss” can mean actual or intended
    loss—two concepts that are not specifically stated in the
    Guidelines either—it can mean a presumptive dollar amount
    that is intended reasonably to estimate the pecuniary harm
    resulting from a particular offense. Nothing in the word
    “loss” prohibits the Sentencing Commission from assigning
    a presumptive monetary value to a given act of misconduct
    based on the Commission’s experience with that crime. See
    
    id. at 1113
     (explaining that loss can be “a presumed loss,
    setting a floor beneath which neither ‘actual’ nor ‘intended’
    loss may fall”). Thus, following the per-card multiplier in
    44              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    the commentary does not lead the sentencer to “violate the
    dictates” of the Guidelines. Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 43
    .
    The history of the multiplier supports this. The original
    $100-per-card multiplier was included in the first iteration of
    the Guidelines commentary. Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 482.
    Prior to taking effect, the first Guidelines Manual was made
    available for public comment and congressional review. See
    Moses, 
    2022 WL 163960
    , at *5. The original $100-per-card
    multiplier remained unchanged until 2000, when, in
    response to a directive from Congress, see Identity Theft and
    Assumption Deterrence Act of 1998, Pub. L. 105-318,
    § 4(a), 
    112 Stat. 3007
    , 3009 (1998); Wireless Telephone
    Protection Act, Pub. L. 105-172, § 2(e)(1), 
    112 Stat. 53
    , 55
    (1998), the Sentencing Commission adopted Amendment
    596, which increased the multiplier to $500. U.S.S.G. app.
    C, vol. II, at 57–63. In Amendment 596, the Commission
    explained that Congress had directed it to “review the extent
    to which the value of the loss caused by the offenses is an
    adequate measure of establishing penalties.” 
    Id. at 62
    (quotations and alterations omitted). The Commission
    concluded that its “research and data supported increasing
    the minimum loss amount . . . from $100 to $500 per access
    device.” 
    Id.
    This history shows that the Commission aimed to
    approximate the loss associated with an offense like
    Kirilyuk’s. Under Stinson, nothing in the word “loss”
    precluded it from doing so. And using a presumptive dollar
    value per card has the benefit of promoting uniformity in
    sentencing, making it more likely that defendants who
    commit credit-card fraud offenses will receive similar loss
    enhancements.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  45
    B
    The majority nevertheless claims the multiplier is
    “clearly inconsistent” with the Guidelines. Maj. Op. 19.
    This holding is deeply flawed. It would of course be
    surprising to learn that in the decades since Yellowe,
    numerous judges applying the per-card multiplier at the trial
    and appellate levels have unwittingly enforced a facially
    improper application of “loss.” Fortunately, that is not the
    case. Guidelines commentary is impermissibly inconsistent
    with the Guidelines only when “following one will violate
    the dictates of the other.” Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 43
    . And there
    is no such “flat inconsistency” here. 
    Id.
    On this point, I recite the majority’s core reasoning in
    full. The majority quotes the discussion of dictionary
    definitions of “loss” in Riccardi and then says:
    Though dictionary definitions for “loss” may
    vary, they make one thing clear: “No
    reasonable person would define the ‘loss’
    from a stolen [credit] card as an automatic
    $500” rather than a fact-specific amount. 
    Id.
    Instead, § 2B1.1 is driven by “the amount of
    loss caused by the crime.” Gainza, 982 F.3d
    at 764 (emphasis added). So “loss” cannot
    mean a pre-determined, contrived amount
    with no connection to the crime committed,
    even if it is based on the Commission’s
    “research and data.”        Application Note
    3(F)(i) thus doesn’t illuminate the meaning of
    ‘loss,’ but modifies it.
    Maj. Op. 18 (brackets and alterations in original; the “Id.”
    citation is of Riccardi). Unpacking each piece of this is
    critical for appreciating the majority’s error.
    46              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    First, the majority’s reliance on Riccardi raises obvious
    red flags because the Sixth Circuit in that case invalidated
    the $500-per-card multiplier under Kisor, not Stinson. See
    Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 486. Invoking Riccardi’s Kisor-based
    discussion of dictionary definitions and what a “reasonable
    person” would think, the majority asserts that “loss” must be
    “the amount of loss caused by the crime,” Maj. Op. 16
    (quoting Gainza, 982 F.3d at 764) (emphasis in majority
    opinion), by which the majority apparently means the actual
    loss associated with a crime.
    But this is not a Stinson analysis: the question here is not
    whether the word “loss” is ambiguous in some sense but
    whether the multiplier is flatly inconsistent with the
    Guidelines. Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 43
    ; Rising Sun, 
    522 F.3d at 996
    . The majority says that “‘loss’ cannot mean a pre-
    determined” amount. Maj. Op. 18. But under Stinson,
    where is the flat inconsistency? Nothing in the word “loss”
    or the Guidelines more generally prevents the Commissioner
    from ascribing a presumptive loss value to a particular
    offense, much less creates a situation in which applying the
    commentary “violates the dictates of” the Guidelines.
    Stinson, 
    508 U.S. at 43
    ; see also Yellowe, 
    24 F.3d at
    1112–
    13.
    Not only does the majority fail to apply a true Stinson
    analysis, the majority’s assertion that we are required to
    invalidate the per-card multiplier based on the “plain
    meaning” of “loss” is simply unfounded. Maj. Op. 16–18 &
    n.6. The unadorned and undefined word “loss” does not
    remotely demand the majority’s wooden reading, especially
    in the context of the Guidelines as a whole, which are
    designed to ensure punishments that reflect a defendant’s
    criminality. U.S.S.G. Ch. 1, Pt. A, intro., 3.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  47
    The majority’s supposed “plain meaning” approach
    would also call into question many other established
    measures of “loss.” As I have explained above, the
    Commentary has long treated “loss” as including “intended”
    loss, U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 cmt. n.3(A)(ii), among many other
    offense-specific interpretations of “loss,” id. § 2B1.1 cmt.
    n.3(A), (F). “Intended” loss also does not reflect “loss
    caused by the crime.” Maj. Op. 18. But we have repeatedly
    treated this and other measures of “loss” as valid. See, e.g.,
    Popov, 742 F.3d at 915; Martin, 796 F.3d at 1111. These
    other longstanding measures of “loss” would also now
    appear vulnerable under the majority’s improperly narrow
    reading of “loss.”
    The majority’s repeated assertions that the Commission
    is “modifying” the Guidelines or making “policy” judgments
    prove nothing. Maj. Op. 18. Many aspects of the Guidelines
    and commentary reflect policy judgments; that does not
    make them unlawful under Stinson. And here, the
    commentary expressly notes that if the offense level
    “substantially overstates the seriousness of the offense,” “a
    downward departure may be warranted.” U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1,
    cmt. n.21(C). I fail to see how the commentary squarely
    violates the dictates of the Guidelines when it allows this
    flexibility.
    Of course, for all its reliance on Riccardi, the majority
    alters its key quotation of that case by adding the word
    “credit” in brackets in place of “gift” card. Quoting
    Riccardi, the majority says: “‘No reasonable person would
    define the “loss” from a stolen [credit] card as an automatic
    $500’ rather than a fact-specific amount.” Maj. Op. 18
    (quoting Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 486) (emphasis added).
    Riccardi involved gift cards, not credit cards. As I will
    explain further below, gift cards present a very different
    48              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    situation than credit cards because they have a finite face
    value and their theft produces fewer collateral costs. But
    suffice to say, Riccardi had no occasion to extend its Kisor
    analysis to credit cards. And the Sixth Circuit has since
    implied that Riccardi may not apply to credit cards. See
    United States v. Nicolescu, 
    17 F.4th 706
    , 720 (6th Cir. 2021)
    (“even if this court’s recent decision in United States v.
    Riccardi renders invalid any loss calculation based on a
    $500-per-stolen-credit-card multiplier . . . .”). By editing
    the quotation, the majority implies that Riccardi sweeps
    broader than the Sixth Circuit thus far has recognized.
    Second, the majority purports to derive its “loss caused
    by the crime” test from United States v. Gainza, 
    982 F.3d 762
     (9th Cir. 2020). But the majority quotes a stray phrase
    in that case out of context. The language the majority quotes
    comes from this sentence: “For economic crimes, the
    Sentencing Guidelines provide for graduated increases to the
    base offense level depending on the amount of loss caused
    by the crime.” Gainza, 982 F.3d at 764. Nothing in this
    generic language in Gainza or the case as a whole purported
    to foreclose application of the per-card multiplier or any
    other established measure of “loss,” much less adopt the
    majority’s unnecessarily cramped “plain meaning”
    interpretation of that term.
    In fact, the next sentence of Gainza states: “loss includes
    any unauthorized charges made with the unauthorized access
    device and shall be not less than $500 per access device.”
    Id. (quoting U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1 cmt. n.3(F)(i) (alterations
    omitted)). Gainza thus recognized the very rule the majority
    invalidates here. We even relied on Gainza in affirming
    Kirilyuk’s co-defendant’s sentence. There, we described
    Gainza as a case “referring with approval to the court’s use
    of the $500 minimum per access device found in Application
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  49
    Note 3(F)(i) to determine amount of loss.” Melkonyan,
    831 F. App’x at 319 n.1 (emphasis added).
    Third, the majority is improperly dismissive of the
    Commission’s guidance in claiming that the commentary’s
    approach to “loss” is a “contrived” one “with no connection
    to the crime committed.” Maj. Op. 18. That is a severe
    mischaracterization.      After Congress directed the
    Commission to reevaluate its penalty provisions, the
    Commission’s Economic Crimes Policy Team produced two
    reports, which are publicly available, discussing possible
    changes to the loss amount. See Econ. Crimes Pol’y Team,
    U.S. Sent’g Comm’n, Cellular Phone Cloning Final Report,
    at 27 (Jan. 25, 2000); Econ. Crimes Pol’y Team, U.S. Sent’g
    Comm’n, Identity Theft Final Report, at 23 (Dec. 15, 1999);
    see also Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 482–83.
    In one report, the Commission explained that the
    Department of Treasury had recommended increasing the
    presumptive loss per card to $1,000. Cellular Phone Cloning
    Final Report at 27 & n.47. Treasury had “cited credit card
    industry data that showed the average fraud loss in 1998 to
    be $1,040.59 per credit card.” Id. at 27. The Commission
    further recounted how “Treasury also cited 1999 Secret
    Service statistics indicating an average fraud loss per credit
    card of $2,218.” Id. These amounts were lower than the
    Commission’s own estimate of $3,775, which was based on
    “a sample of 109 federally sentenced credit card fraud cases
    for which the exact number of credit cards and exact amount
    of charges were known.” Id. at 27 & n.48. These loss figures
    considered only the fraudulent charges made on credit cards,
    not other pecuniary harms suffered by the cardholder or
    financial institutions.
    In another report, the Commission acknowledged that
    the Guidelines arguably did “not provide adequate
    50              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    punishment” because they did “not provide for consideration
    of indirect monetary harms to the individual victims, such as
    the costs incurred in attempting to repair damaged credit
    ratings.” Identity Theft Final Report at 23. This report cited
    the egregious example of an identity theft victim who spent
    nearly a year, “500 hours of her time,” and “incurred out-of-
    pocket costs of approximately $10,000” as a result of the
    offense. Id. at 23 n.37. The report also contemplated that
    “loss,” as it stood then, might not reflect “harm to an
    individual’s financial reputation, as well as the ensuing
    inconvenience” of identity theft. Id. at 24. In raising the per-
    card loss multiplier from $100, the Commission thus
    considered not only average fraudulent charges per card, but
    also other associated losses.
    The Commission then solicited comments identifying
    three potential alternatives: $500, $750, and $1,000.
    Sentencing Guidelines for United States Courts, 
    65 Fed. Reg. 2663
    , 2665–66 (Jan. 18, 2000). It received comments
    from, among others, the Department of Justice, a federal
    defender organization, and Treasury. See U.S. Sent’g
    Comm’n, Public Comment from March 2000, Part I,
    Amendment 6. The Commission ultimately went with the
    lowest amount, explaining in Amendment 596 that its
    “research and data supported increasing the minimum loss
    amount . . . from $100 to $500 per access device.” U.S.S.G.
    app. C, vol. II, at 62. Again, this was substantially lower
    than the average loss per card from the Commission’s own
    data-set, as well as the information provided by Treasury and
    the Secret Service.
    The Commission provided notice of the amended per-
    card multiplier to Congress for its review. Sentencing
    Guidelines for United States Courts, 
    65 Fed. Reg. 26,880
    ,
    26,895 (May 9, 2000). Congress did not take further action
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                         51
    and the amendment went into effect later that year. All these
    events belie the majority’s castigation of the multiplier as
    “contrived.” And they confirm what we said in Yellowe: that
    other measures of loss “would understate the severity of the
    offense.” 
    24 F.3d at 1113
    . 4
    In a footnote, the majority suggests that “nothing
    prevents the Commission from amending the multiplier to a
    low of $1 or a high of $1 million.” Maj. Op. 19 n.7. This is
    pure hyperbole. In the decades since the per-card multiplier
    was adopted, the Sentencing Commission has used only two
    amounts: $100, and then, when prompted to revisit that
    amount by Congress, $500. The Sentencing Commission
    has not entertained an increase in the multiplier on anything
    like the scale the majority imagines.
    And there would of course be constraints on the
    Commission’s ability to set the multiplier at $1 million per
    card. That preposterous number—which would far exceed
    any credit card spending limits of which I am aware—would
    not reflect a “reasonable estimate of the loss.” U.S.S.G.
    § 2B1.1 cmt. n.3(c). It would also presumably not be
    supported by any data; would not be consistent with the
    
    18 U.S.C. § 3553
    (a) factors, see U.S.S.G. § 1B1.1 (directing
    courts to consider § 3553(a)); and could implicate other due
    4
    The majority’s suggestion that Congress “lacks the power to
    modify or disapprove of Application Notes,” Maj. Op. 14–15, is
    incorrect. The majority relies on United States v. Prien-Pinto, 
    917 F.3d 1155
    , 1157 (9th Cir. 2019), which in turn cited Stinson’s statement that
    “Congress does not review amendments to the Commentary,” 
    508 U.S. at 40
    . That the Sentencing Commission is not required to submit
    amendments to the commentary to Congress does not deprive Congress
    of the power to modify or disapprove of them. And here, the
    Commission did submit the amendment to Congress. 65 Fed. Reg.
    at 26,895.
    52              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    process and statutory limits. The majority’s undeveloped
    attempt to claim the Sentencing Commission could run
    roughshod in this area has no basis in law or reality.
    The upshot is the following: applying a presumptive
    $500-per-card multiplier does not require us to “violate the
    dictates of” the Guidelines. Stinson, U.S. at 43. This case
    thus bears no resemblance to the few cases the majority cites
    invalidating commentary under Stinson, because each
    involved a direct conflict between a Guideline and
    application note. In Rising Sun, for instance, the relevant
    guideline provided a sentencing adjustment if the defendant
    obstructed justice during an investigation or prosecution,
    and we held that commentary suggesting obstruction could
    occur before the start of an investigation was “clearly
    inconsistent” with the guideline. Rising Sun, 
    522 F.3d at
    995–96. Our decision in United States v. Lambert,
    
    498 F.3d 963
    , 971 (9th Cir. 2007), involved a similarly
    square conflict. And the statement the majority relies on
    from United States v. Powell, 
    6 F.3d 611
    , 614 (9th Cir.
    1993)—that we cannot render part of the Guidelines
    “meaningless”—is inapposite. The per-card multiplier does
    not render § 2B1.1 “meaningless.”
    The majority identifies no case supporting its Kisor-
    esque application of Stinson, which in any event directly
    conflicts with the holding and reasoning of Yellowe.
    C
    In disregarding our own law, the majority claims it is
    avoiding a circuit split. Maj. Op. 19–20. Untrue. The state
    of the law is this: until now, no court has rejected the per-
    card multiplier under Stinson; our sister circuits have
    routinely applied it, just as we did before today; and the only
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                    53
    circuit to have rejected it (the Sixth) did so under Kisor and
    in a case involving gift cards, not credit cards.
    The Seventh Circuit, for instance, has held that the $500-
    per-card multiplier applies to all access devices a defendant
    possesses. See United States v. Moore, 
    788 F.3d 693
    , 695
    (7th Cir. 2015). Moore explained that the “commentary
    following the guideline is an authoritative interpretive aid for
    how the guideline should be applied,” and held that the plain
    text of Application Note 3(F)(i) establishes “that the $500
    per unauthorized access device amount of loss . . . applies to
    all unauthorized access devices in a case.” 788 F.3d at 695.
    The Eighth Circuit reached the same conclusion, holding
    that a district court did not err in applying the $500-per-card
    multiplier to counterfeit credit cards, regardless of whether
    the defendant used the card. United States v. Thomas,
    
    841 F.3d 760
    , 763–65 (8th Cir. 2016).
    The First Circuit similarly rejected a challenge to the
    $500-per-card multiplier, explaining that “Application Note
    3(F)(i) provides that loss both (1) shall include any
    unauthorized charges made with the counterfeit access
    device or unauthorized access device and (2) shall be not less
    than $500 per access device regardless of whether each
    access device was actually charged.” United States v.
    Rueda, 
    933 F.3d 6
    , 9–11 (1st Cir. 2019) (quotations and
    alterations omitted). The First Circuit thus rejected the
    defendant’s argument “that the loss attributable to her
    offense should not be the $1,290,000 calculated by the
    District Court,” but “the $24,673.60 that was reflected in the
    victim impact statement,” which related to actual wrongful
    charges. 
    Id. at 10
    . Under the majority’s reasoning, the First,
    Seventh, and Eighth Circuit decisions would have to come
    out the other way.
    54              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    Indeed, these and many other circuits—in total, the First,
    Second, Third, Fourth, Fifth, Seventh, Eighth, Tenth, and
    Eleventh—have repeatedly applied the per-card multiplier
    post-Stinson, recognizing it as the governing rule. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Acevedo, 860 F. App’x 604, 612–13 (11th
    Cir. 2021); United States v. Graveran-Palacios, 835 F.
    App’x 436, 445 (11th Cir. 2020); United States v. Carver,
    
    916 F.3d 398
    , 402 (4th Cir. 2019); United States v. Sosa,
    773 F. App’x 140, 140–41 (4th Cir. 2019); United States v.
    Fleitas, 766 F. App’x 805, 807–08 (11th Cir. 2019); United
    States v. Maitre, 
    898 F.3d 1151
    , 1159–61 (11th Cir. 2018);
    United States v. Delima, 
    886 F.3d 64
    , 72 (1st Cir. 2018);
    United States v. Garcia, 727 F. App’x 599, 602 (11th Cir.
    2018); United States v. Nelson, 724 F. App’x 814, 818–19
    (11th Cir. 2018); United States v. Popovski, 
    872 F.3d 552
    ,
    553 (7th Cir. 2017); United States v. Wright, 
    862 F.3d 1268
    ,
    1274–75 (11th Cir. 2017); United States v. Bendelladj,
    710 F. App’x 384, 386–87 (11th Cir. 2017); United States v.
    Haywood, 681 F. App’x 290, 292 (4th Cir. 2017); United
    States v. Garcia, 634 F. App’x 242, 244–45 (11th Cir. 2015);
    United States v. Balde, 616 F. App’x 578, 583–84 (4th Cir.
    2015); United States v. Cardenas, 598 F. App’x 264, 266–
    67 (5th Cir. 2015); United States v. Nelson, 597 F. App’x 17,
    18 (2d Cir. 2015); United States v. Mendez, 589 F. App’x
    642, 645 (4th Cir. 2014); United States v. Torres-Bonilla,
    556 F. App’x 875, 882 (11th Cir. 2014); United States v.
    Bermudez, 536 F. App’x 869, 871 (11th Cir. 2013); United
    States v. Miralles, 521 F. App’x 837, 839–40 (11th Cir.
    2013); United States v. Volynskiy, 431 F. App’x 8, 9–10 (2d
    Cir. 2011); United States v. Heath, 424 F. App’x 730, 735–
    37 (10th Cir. 2011); United States v. Harris, 
    597 F.3d 242
    ,
    249 (5th Cir. 2010); United States v. Warthen, 390 F. App’x
    977, 978 n.1, 981 n.3 (11th Cir. 2010); United States v.
    Dodson, 357 F. App’x 324, 325–26 (2d Cir. 2009); United
    States v. Jones, 332 F. App’x 801, 804 n.1, 807 (3d Cir.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                   55
    2009); United States v. Kowal, 
    527 F.3d 741
    , 748 (8th Cir.
    2008); United States v. Lewis, 312 F. App’x 515, 518 (4th
    Cir. 2008); United States v. Carralero, 195 F. App’x 874,
    877–78 (11th Cir. 2006); United States v. Muhammed,
    108 F. App’x 775, 777 (4th Cir. 2004); United States v.
    Scott, 
    250 F.3d 550
    , 551–53 (7th Cir. 2001); United States
    v. Sowels, 
    998 F.2d 249
    , 252 (5th Cir. 1993).
    The only circuit that has taken a different approach is the
    Sixth Circuit in Riccardi. But the majority here cannot
    purport to “align [itself] with the Sixth Circuit,” Maj.
    Op. 19–20, when that court applied Kisor, not Stinson. See
    Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 484–85. And as I flagged above,
    Riccardi involved a critically different set of facts: the
    defendant was charged with stealing 1,505 gift cards from
    the mail. Id. at 479. This included, for example, a $25
    Starbucks gift card, with the gift cards having an average
    face value of $35 each. Id. at 479–80.
    Although the Sixth Circuit concluded that the gift cards
    were “access devices” subject to the $500-per-card
    multiplier, id. at 479, 482–83, there is a world of difference
    between gift cards and credit cards. Charges on a gift card
    max out at the value of the card, whereas much more can be
    charged to a credit card than $35. The collateral damage also
    differs substantially. When a gift card is stolen, there may
    be some costs associated with replacing it. But those
    amounts surely pale in comparison to the costs associated
    with credit card fraud, which are borne by cardholders and
    financial institutions alike. See United States v. Pham,
    
    545 F.3d 712
    , 721 (9th Cir. 2008) (identifying some of these
    costs). In purporting to associate our court with the Sixth
    Circuit, the majority thus relies on a case that involved
    materially different facts.
    56              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    Of course, when the majority says it is aligning with the
    Sixth Circuit, what it means is that it is siding with a separate
    opinion in Riccardi that did not command a majority there.
    See Riccardi, 989 F.3d at 490–93 (Nalbandian, J.,
    concurring). Judge Nalbandian believed Stinson still applied
    to Guidelines commentary but would invalidate the per-card
    multiplier under Stinson. Id. at 492. Until today, no court
    had adopted that position. In aligning our circuit with a
    novel separate writing in this area of law, the majority puts
    us at odds with both our own precedent and that of every
    other circuit.
    D
    Finally, the majority cannot justify its departure from
    settled law by claiming that Kirilyuk’s sentence is an
    “egregious problem” considering that the amounts he
    actually charged to credit cards were much lower than the
    presumptive loss amount under the per-card multiplier. Maj.
    Op. 18. Here too the majority misperceives our role,
    enshrining into law one possible perspective on sentencing
    policy rather than respecting the judgment of the Sentencing
    Commission and the experienced district court judge who
    conducted Kirilyuk’s sentencing.
    As the majority itself explains, “Kirilyuk and his
    associates engaged in a massive, international fraud scheme”
    that “involved layers of sophistication.” Maj. Op. 5.
    Working with Russian partners and with Kirilyuk in the lead,
    the co-conspirators created sham merchant accounts and
    linked bank accounts using stolen identities, including those
    of 220 Sacramento high school students through their stolen
    school transcripts. The merchant accounts had names like
    “Best Box,” “Chevran,” and “CVS Store,” designed to look
    close enough to real companies to avoid detection.
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                  57
    Then, using nearly 120,000 stolen credit card numbers
    obtained by Russian hackers, the co-conspirators made over
    190,000 fraudulent charges to the fake merchant accounts,
    routed the money to the sham bank accounts, and then
    withdrew it from the banks or wired it overseas. They even
    set up phone numbers for the fake businesses, so that when
    an American Express cardholder saw a suspicious charge
    and called the number, the co-conspirators could remove the
    charge and prolong their scheme. It took the combined
    efforts of American Express, Wells Fargo, and the FBI to
    uncover this multi-year criminal operation. Even after his
    arrest, Kirilyuk skipped bail and had to be apprehended in
    Mexico City. At trial, he was convicted on all charges.
    The majority finds Kirilyuk’s 22-level loss enhancement
    “egregious” because his fraudulent scheme “involved
    $1.4 million in actual losses or $3.4 million in intended
    losses.” Maj. Op. 18. But the Sentencing Commission and
    district court could recognize that using those lower numbers
    would create an “egregious” problem of its own: those much
    lesser amounts do not nearly reflect the full magnitude of
    Kirilyuk’s criminality. Indeed, this is precisely why Yellowe
    held that the multiplier was appropriate: because other
    metrics “would understate the severity of the offense.”
    
    24 F.3d at 1113
    .
    It is also important to unpack the majority’s numbers
    here. The $1.4 million figure, which the majority calls
    “actual losses,” is the amount of false merchant account
    charges that American Express had already approved. The
    $3.4 million figure, which the majority calls the “intended
    loss,” includes the additional charges that Kirilyuk submitted
    but which American Express declined to process.
    The majority reasons that “the conspiracy was designed
    to charge only $15 to $30 per credit card.” Maj. Op. 18. But
    58              UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK
    all we know is that Kirilyuk’s conspiracy was stopped at this
    point, before further fraudulent charges were incurred. See
    Delima, 886 F.3d at 75 (“Actual losses were lower than
    intended losses because federal agents seized the
    conspirators’ equipment and inventory, preventing the
    conspirators from profiting from the remaining numbers.”).
    The Sentencing Commission and the district court were not
    required to accept Kirilyuk’s self-serving attempt to put a
    ceiling on the ambitions of his massive international fraud
    operation. Nor were they required to blind themselves to the
    many other costs that this kind of scheme necessarily
    imposes beyond the bare amounts charged to the stolen card
    numbers.
    Of course, if the district court judge who conducted
    Kirilyuk’s trial and sentencing thought that a 22-level loss
    enhancement was too high, the judge had the discretion to
    grant a downward departure. See U.S.S.G. § 2B1.1, cmt.
    n.21(C). Kirilyuk in fact asked the district court for such a
    downward departure, but the court declined. The Guidelines
    themselves are also advisory in nature only. But rather than
    allowing district courts the option of a downward departure
    or a lower sentence, the majority is now effectively forcing
    this upon them. In my respectful view, that choice is not the
    majority’s to make.
    III
    The full implications of the majority’s opinion will likely
    be far-reaching and destabilizing. The per-card multiplier
    has been applied in our circuit, and in district courts across
    our circuit, for decades. Now it can no longer be applied to
    any defendant. In its place, district courts are left with
    uncertainty as to the proper measure of loss for unauthorized
    access device crimes. And it remains unclear whether other
    measures of Guidelines “loss” may also now be invalid as
    UNITED STATES V. KIRILYUK                   59
    well. Indeed, many aspects of the Guidelines commentary
    may be open to challenge under the majority’s Kisor-
    charged approach to Stinson—even commentary provisions
    backed by thirty years of circuit precedent. On these and
    many other questions, we should likely expect a wave of
    post-conviction motions and requests for re-sentencing.
    We should not have gone down this road. Yellowe
    foreclosed it. Stinson foreclosed it. The law of nearly every
    other circuit counseled against it. I respectfully dissent from
    this unprecedented departure from governing law.