Association of Oil Pipe Lines v. FERC , 876 F.3d 336 ( 2017 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued September 12, 2017         Decided November 28, 2017
    No. 16-1059
    ASSOCIATION OF OIL PIPE LINES,
    PETITIONER
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION AND UNITED
    STATES OF AMERICA,
    RESPONDENTS
    AIR TRANSPORT ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA, INC., D/B/A
    AIRLINES FOR AMERICA, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    On Petition for Review of an Order of
    the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Steven Reed argued the cause for petitioner. With him on
    the briefs were Steven H. Brose, Daniel J. Poynor, and Steven
    M. Kramer.
    Susanna Y. Chu, Attorney, Federal Energy Regulatory
    Commission, argued the cause for respondents. With her on
    the brief were James J. Fredricks and Robert J. Wiggers,
    Attorneys, U.S. Department of Justice, Robert H. Solomon,
    2
    Solicitor, Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, and Beth G.
    Pacella, Deputy Solicitor.
    Richard E. Powers Jr., Steven A. Adducci, Matthew D.
    Field, Thomas J. Eastment, Gregory S. Wagner, David A. Berg,
    Jeffrey M. Petrash, and James H. Holt were on the brief for
    Shippers Intervenors in support of the Federal Energy
    Regulatory Commission.
    Before: KAVANAUGH and SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judges,
    and EDWARDS, Senior Circuit Judge.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    EDWARDS.
    EDWARDS, Senior Circuit Judge: Pursuant to authority
    granted to it under the Interstate Commerce Act, 49 U.S.C. app.
    § 15(1) (1988), and the Energy Policy Act of 1992, Pub. L. No.
    102-486, § 1801(a), 
    106 Stat. 2776
    , 3010 (codified at 
    42 U.S.C. § 7172
     note (2006)), the Federal Energy Regulatory
    Commission (“FERC” or “Commission”) employs an indexed
    ratemaking system to govern oil pipeline rates. See Order No.
    561, Revisions to Oil Pipeline Regulations Pursuant to the
    Energy Policy Act of 1992, 
    58 Fed. Reg. 58,753
    , 58,753-54
    (Nov. 4, 1993). The Commission calculates the index each year
    using a formula aimed at capturing the change in costs
    experienced by the oil pipeline industry. Id. at 58,754. It
    reexamines the formula it utilizes to set the annual index every
    five years. Id. With limited exceptions, it has applied a
    generally consistent methodology, approved by this court, to
    calculate the change in normal industry costs at each five-year
    interval. See Ass’n of Oil Pipe Lines v. FERC (AOPL I), 
    83 F.3d 1424
     (D.C. Cir. 1996).
    3
    On December 17, 2015, after engaging in notice and
    comment rulemaking, the Commission issued an order
    adopting the index formula for the 2016 to 2021 period. Five-
    Year Review of the Oil Pipeline Index, 
    80 Fed. Reg. 81,744
    (Dec. 31, 2015) [hereinafter 2015 Order]. The Association of
    Oil Pipelines (“AOPL”) filed a petition for review of the 2015
    Order in this court on February 16, 2016. AOPL alleges that
    the Commission acted arbitrarily and capriciously in violation
    of the Administrative Procedure Act (“APA”) by departing in
    two ways from the methodology used in past index reviews:
    First, according to AOPL, FERC, without reasoned
    explanation, impermissibly relied solely on the middle 50
    percent of pipeline cost-change data and failed to incorporate
    the middle 80 percent of cost-change data. Second, AOPL
    asserts that FERC, without adequate justification,
    impermissibly used “Page 700” cost-of-service data to
    calculate the index level instead of the “Form No. 6”
    accounting data that had been employed in the past. We find no
    merit in AOPL’s claims.
    Because “[t]he Commission, not this or any court,
    regulates” oil pipeline rates, our role on review of the 2015
    Order is limited. FERC v. Elec. Power Supply Ass’n, 
    136 S. Ct. 760
    , 784 (2016). The record makes it plain that the
    Commission adequately and reasonably explained its decision
    not to consider the middle 80 percent of pipelines’ cost-change
    data. Furthermore, contrary to AOPL’s assertion, nothing in
    any of FERC’s past index review orders bound the agency to
    use the middle 80 percent of pipelines’ cost-change data.
    Likewise, the Commission’s rationale for utilizing the cost-of-
    service data from Page 700 is clear and reasonable. And there
    is nothing in the record to support AOPL’s claim that FERC’s
    decision to use Page 700 data indicates an unexplained shift in
    its measurement objective. In this situation, the words of the
    Supreme Court are quite apt:
    4
    The disputed question[s in this case involve] both
    technical understanding and policy judgment. . . . Our
    important but limited role is to ensure that the
    Commission engaged in reasoned decisionmaking—
    that it weighed competing views, selected [an index]
    with adequate support in the record, and intelligibly
    explained the reasons for making that choice. FERC
    satisfied that standard. . . . [T]he Commission met its
    duty of reasoned judgment. FERC took full account
    of the alternative policies proposed, and adequately
    supported and explained its decision.
    
    Id.
     The conclusions reached by the Court in FERC v. Electric
    Power Supply Association apply here as well. We therefore
    deny the petition for review.
    I. Background
    A. Statutory and Regulatory History
    Oil pipelines have long been subject to rate regulation
    under the Interstate Commerce Act. See Hepburn Act, Pub. L.
    No. 59-337, 
    34 Stat. 584
     (1906). As currently codified, that
    statute charges FERC with ensuring that pipeline rates are “just
    and reasonable.” 49 U.S.C. app. § 15(1) (1988). For many
    years, the Commission calculated rates using a cost-of-service
    methodology under which pipelines could recover “only a real
    (inflation-adjusted) rate of return each year.” AOPL I, 
    83 F.3d at 1429
    ; see Opinion No. 154-B, Williams Pipe Line Co., 
    31 FERC ¶ 61,377
     (June 28, 1985), opinion on reh’g, 
    33 FERC ¶ 61,327
     (1985).
    In 1992, Congress enacted the Energy Policy Act, which
    directed FERC to issue a rule to simplify the ratemaking
    methodology for oil pipelines. Energy Policy Act of 1992,
    5
    § 1801(a), 106 Stat. at 3010. To fulfill its Energy Policy Act
    mandate, the Commission promulgated Order No. 561,
    adopting an indexed ratemaking system. See 58 Fed. Reg. at
    58,754. Under this system, the Commission sets an annual
    index, which is used to calculate pipeline-specific rate ceilings;
    pipelines may increase their rates without seeking the
    Commission’s approval, so long as the increase does not
    exceed the annual limit, computed using the index. 
    18 C.F.R. § 342.3
    (a), (d). The Commission also provided that, in limited
    circumstances, pipelines may increase their rates pursuant to
    three alternative methods. 
    Id.
     § 342.4. Among these is a cost-
    of-service option, which allows a pipeline to file for an
    individualized rate based on its costs, as it would have under
    the previous methodology, if the pipeline shows there is a
    substantial divergence between the costs it experienced and the
    rate resulting from the index. Id. § 342.4(a).
    Order No. 561 also established the formula the
    Commission would use to set the annual index. 58 Fed. Reg. at
    58,757-60. The index formula is designed to “track[] the
    historical changes in the actual costs of the product pipeline
    industry.” Id. at 58,760. The Commission determined to use the
    change in the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods (“PPI-
    FG”), as published by the U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau
    of Labor Statistics, as a baseline measure for inflation, adjusted
    to account for “actual cost changes experienced by the [oil
    pipeline] industry.” Id.; see also 
    18 C.F.R. § 342.3
    (d)(2).
    In formulating its methodology, the Commission relied on
    a proposal from Dr. Alfred Kahn, an industry commenter’s
    expert. See Order No. 561-A, Revisions to Oil Pipeline
    Regulations Pursuant to Energy Policy Act of 1992, 
    59 Fed. Reg. 40,243
    , 40,245-46 (Aug. 8, 1994). Dr. Kahn calculated
    the annual rates of change for operating expenses for each
    pipeline based on accounting information obtained from part of
    6
    the pipelines’ Form No. 6 annual regulatory filings. See id. at
    40,247. He then omitted from his analysis the pipelines within
    the upper and lower 25 percent of the cost spectrum in order to
    exclude statistical outliers and incomplete or questionable data.
    Id. Applying the Kahn Methodology, the Commission
    considered the middle 50 percent of pipelines’ cost-change data
    and adopted an initial index formula of PPI-FG minus 1.0
    percent. See id.; Order No. 561, 58 Fed. Reg. at 58,760. The
    Commission additionally determined that consistent
    monitoring of the formula would be necessary to measure the
    index’s continued capacity to accurately track cost changes in
    the pipeline industry, and it committed to revisit the formula
    every five years. See Order No. 561, 58 Fed. Reg. at 58,754.
    On review, this court upheld the Commission’s index scheme
    in its entirety. See AOPL I, 
    83 F.3d at 1433, 1445
    .
    In 2000, the Commission engaged in its first review of the
    index formula. After notice and comment, FERC elected to
    maintain the PPI-FG minus 1.0 percent formula, but used a
    different methodology than the one used in 1994. Five-Year
    Review of Oil Pipeline Pricing Index, 
    93 FERC ¶ 61,266
    , at
    61,851-52 (Dec. 14, 2000) [hereinafter 2000 Order]. On
    review, this court held that the Commission had failed to
    articulate and adequately justify its reasons for shifting its
    methodology and remanded the case for further consideration
    by the agency. See Ass’n of Oil Pipe Lines v. FERC (AOPL II),
    
    281 F.3d 239
    , 240-41 (D.C. Cir. 2002). On remand, FERC
    largely embraced the Kahn Methodology and adopted an index
    of PPI-FG with no adjustment. Five-Year Review of Oil
    Pipeline Pricing Index, 
    102 FERC ¶ 61,195
    , at 61,537, 61,539-
    41 (Feb. 24, 2003) [hereinafter 2003 Order]. This court rejected
    a challenge to the new order. See Flying J Inc. v. FERC, 
    363 F.3d 495
    , 500 (D.C. Cir. 2004).
    7
    In subsequent index reviews, the Commission continued
    to rely on the Kahn Methodology, but with some modifications.
    For example, in 2006, as it had in the 2003 Order, the
    Commission considered data from pipelines with cumulative
    per-barrel-mile cost changes in both the middle 50 percent and
    middle 80 percent of all oil pipelines. See Order Establishing
    Index for Oil Price Change Ceiling Levels, 
    114 FERC ¶ 61,293
    , at 62,038-40 (March 21, 2006) [hereinafter 2006
    Order]; see also 2003 Order, 102 FERC at 61,540-41. In 2010,
    however, the Commission returned to its original approach of
    utilizing data within only the middle 50 percent. Order
    Establishing Index for Oil Price Change Ceiling Levels, 
    133 FERC ¶ 61,228
    , at 62,254-57 (Dec. 16, 2010) [hereinafter 2010
    Order]. In each review, the Commission calculated the
    industry’s costs using accounting data from various parts of
    pipelines’ Form No. 6 filings. See, e.g., 2006 Order, 114 FERC
    at 62,034, 62,045; 2010 Order, 133 FERC at 62,254.
    B. The 2015 Index Review
    On June 30, 2015, the Commission issued a Notice of
    Inquiry for its fourth periodic reexamination of the index
    formula. Notice of Inquiry, Five-Year Review of the Oil
    Pipeline Index, 
    80 Fed. Reg. 39,010
     (July 8, 2015). It proposed
    an index of PPI-FG plus between 2.0 percent and 2.4 percent
    and requested comment. Id. at 39,010-11. The Commission
    based the proposed adjustment on calculations made pursuant
    to the Kahn Methodology, which it described as measuring
    “changes in operating costs and capital costs on a per barrel-
    mile basis using FERC Form No. 6 . . . data from the prior five-
    year period . . . to establish the cumulative cost change for each
    pipeline . . . cull[ed] [to] a data set consisting of pipelines with
    cumulative per-barrel-mile cost changes in the middle 50
    percent of all pipelines.” Id. at 39,011.
    8
    AOPL submitted comments proposing an index level of
    PPI-FG plus 2.45 percent. It too based its analysis on the Kahn
    Methodology, but it used both the middle 50 percent and the
    middle 80 percent of pipelines’ cost changes, calculated using
    accounting data from the Form No. 6 filings. AOPL asserted
    that FERC had erred in its proposal by using only the middle
    50 percent of data rather than incorporating the middle 80
    percent of data as well, thereby “eliminat[ing] valuable data
    regarding pipeline cost changes and therefore fail[ing] to
    provide the most robust data sample for determining the
    index.” Initial Comments of AOPL at 3, reprinted in Joint
    Appendix (“J.A.”) 14. AOPL’s expert, Dr. Ramsey D.
    Shehadeh, Ph.D., determined that the middle 80 percent of data
    did not include spurious outliers likely to bias the calculation,
    and he concluded that because “absent errors in the data, using
    more data points is generally better,” there was “no economic
    justification” for excluding it. Shehadeh Declaration at 8-9,
    J.A. 51-52.
    Various shippers submitted comments proposing, inter
    alia, that the Commission calculate the average change in costs
    using data from a different part of the regulatory filings than it
    had used in the past. See Joint Comments of Airlines for Am.,
    Nat’l Propane Gas Ass’n, and Valero Marketing & Supply Co.
    at 9-16, J.A. 126-33. These commenters argued that cost-of-
    service data from Page 700, a newer part of the pipelines’
    annual regulatory filings, provides a direct measure of changes
    in pipelines’ per-barrel-mile costs, whereas the accounting data
    used in the past had merely provided proxies. Id. AOPL
    submitted additional comments opposing the shippers’
    proposal. See Reply Comments of AOPL at 39-41, J.A. 399-
    401.
    Ultimately, the Commission adopted an index of PPI-FG
    plus 1.23 percent to apply for the five-year period between
    9
    2016 and 2021. 2015 Order, 80 Fed. Reg. at 81,744. It rejected
    AOPL’s proposal to include the middle 80 percent of pipeline
    cost-change data in its analysis, but it adopted the shippers’
    proposal to switch to using Page 700 cost-of-service data to
    calculate cost changes for each individual pipeline. Id. at
    81,744-46, 81,750-51. AOPL filed a petition for review in this
    court, challenging the Commission’s failure to incorporate the
    middle 80 percent data into its analysis and its use of the Page
    700 filings as an input source. A group of shippers intervened
    in support of the Commission.
    II. Analysis
    A. Standard of Review
    We review AOPL’s challenge to the 2015 Order under the
    APA’s familiar “arbitrary and capricious” standard. See 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(A); Wis. Pub. Power Inc. v. FERC, 
    493 F.3d 239
    , 256 (D.C. Cir. 2007). Under that standard, the court must
    ensure that the agency has “examine[d] the relevant data and
    articulate[d] a satisfactory explanation for its action including
    a ‘rational connection between the facts found and the choice
    made.’” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State Farm Mut. Auto.
    Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983) (quoting Burlington Truck
    Lines, Inc. v. United States, 
    371 U.S. 156
    , 168 (1962)). Where
    an agency’s action marks a change in position, the agency must
    “display awareness that it is changing position, . . . [and] show
    that there are good reasons for the new policy.” FCC v. Fox
    Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    , 515 (2009). But the
    agency need not demonstrate “that the reasons for the new
    policy are better than the reasons for the old one; it suffices that
    the new policy is permissible . . . , that there are good reasons
    for it, and that the agency believes it to be better.” 
    Id.
     “Because
    the subject of [the court’s] scrutiny is . . . ratemaking—and thus
    an agency decision involving complex industry analyses and
    10
    difficult policy choices—the court will be particularly
    deferential to the Commission’s expertise.” AOPL I, 
    83 F.3d at 1431
    .
    B. Statistical Data Trimming
    We begin with AOPL’s principal contention: that FERC’s
    reliance solely on the middle 50 percent of pipelines’ cost-
    change data and failure to incorporate the middle 80 percent of
    pipelines’ data was arbitrary and capricious for want of a
    reasoned explanation. Pointing to the Commission’s
    consideration of both the middle 50 percent and middle 80
    percent of data in its first and second index reviews, AOPL
    asserts that the Commission departed from its past practice
    without reasoned decisionmaking. In particular, AOPL argues
    that the explanation the Commission provided impermissibly
    disregarded its prior determination that use of both data sets
    sufficiently ensures that the index is not adversely affected by
    statistical outliers, as well as its prior conclusion that using a
    data set that covered more barrel-miles was superior when that
    data was available. Additionally, AOPL contends that the
    Commission’s explanation for excluding the middle 80 percent
    data was invalid because it was driven at least in part by what
    AOPL characterizes as an impermissible “results-oriented”
    goal of lowering the index.
    We have little difficulty in finding that the Commission
    adequately and reasonably justified its decision not to consider
    the middle 80 percent of pipelines’ cost-change data. FERC’s
    Order explains that “the middle 50 percent, more effectively
    than the middle 80 percent, excludes pipelines with anomalous
    cost changes while avoiding the complexity and distorting
    effects of subjective, manual data trimming methodologies.”
    2015 Order, 80 Fed. Reg. at 81,750 P. 42. The Commission
    noted, as it had in its 2010 index review, that this decision
    11
    “returned the Commission’s policy to the application of the
    Kahn Methodology in Order No. 561, which based its
    calculation of the index on the middle 50 percent alone.” Id. at
    P. 42 n.80 (citing 2010 Order, 133 FERC at 62,261-62 PP. 60-
    63). It further explained:
    Although the middle 80 percent was used in the
    2000 and 2005 reviews, the Commission made
    this change without providing a rationale for the
    change or explaining the departure from
    previous practice. Once the issue was presented
    to the Commission in the 2010 Index Review,
    the Commission determined that the middle 50
    percent alone provided a more appropriate
    means for trimming the data sample.
    Id. (citing 2010 Order, 133 FERC at 62,261-
    62 P. 61
    ).
    Nothing in any of the Commission’s past index review
    orders bound the agency to use the middle 80 percent of
    pipelines’ cost-change data in any later proceeding. In its 2003
    Order, the Commission stated only that the middle 80 percent
    data supported the same result reached using the middle 50
    percent of data. 102 FERC at 61,540. In its 2006 Order, the
    Commission stated that “[t]rimming is done to remove
    statistical outliers, or spurious data points that could bias the
    mean of the sample in either direction.” 114 FERC at 62,038.
    It noted that both sets of commenters in that proceeding had
    “constructed the trimmed data sets of the middle 50 percent and
    middle 80 percent,” 
    id.,
     and that by doing the same, it had
    “ensur[ed] that the index [was] not driven by statistical
    outliers,” id. at 62,043. Contrary to AOPL’s contention,
    deciding that consideration of both data sets had sufficiently
    avoided statistical outliers in 2006 did not preclude the
    Commission from determining, in 2010 and 2015, that relying
    12
    exclusively on the middle 50 percent data set did so more
    effectively. See Nat’l Cable & Telecomms. Ass’n v. FCC, 
    567 F.3d 659
    , 667 (D.C. Cir. 2009) (“[A]n agency is free to change
    its mind so long as it supplies ‘a reasoned analysis.’” (quoting
    State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 57
    )).
    Petitioner asserts that FERC’s statement from the 2010
    index review that “it is preferable to apply the larger data set
    when the additional data is available using the current Kahn
    Methodology” precluded the Commission from excluding the
    middle 80 percent of pipelines’ data when that data is available
    and accurate. See Order Denying Request for Rehearing, 
    135 FERC ¶ 61,172
    , at 62,
    023 P. 41
     (May 23, 2011). But the quoted
    passage addressed FERC’s approach to selecting the pool of
    pipelines whose costs should be measured at all – not the
    portion of the resulting data to trim before calculating the
    normal industry change in costs. See 
    id.
     at P. 41 & n.38. In fact,
    the Commission rejected the precise principle that AOPL
    asserts should be gleaned from that passage in the 2010 index
    review itself. See 2010 Order, 133 FERC at 62,261-62 PP. 57,
    61 (noting AOPL’s comment that the middle 80 percent is
    preferable because it “would be more inclusive and represent a
    larger number of pipelines” but concluding that “[t]he middle
    50 percent more appropriately adjusts the index levels for
    ‘normal’ cost changes”).
    In its 2015 Order, the Commission again expressly
    “reject[ed] AOPL’s argument that the middle 80 percent should
    be used merely because it contains more barrel-miles.” 80 Fed.
    Reg. at 81,751 P. 44. It noted that “[t]he Kahn Methodology
    aims to capture the central tendency of the data set so that the
    index is not distorted by outlying costs,” and that “[p]ipelines
    in the middle 80 percent, as opposed to the middle 50 percent,
    are more likely to have outlying cost changes which could
    result from idiosyncratic factors particular to that pipeline.” Id.
    13
    AOPL offers no convincing rebuttal to FERC’s decision. The
    simple point here is that neither legal nor policy considerations
    precluded FERC from relying solely on the middle 50 percent
    of the pipelines’ cost-change data.
    Furthermore, AOPL’s contention that the Commission
    deviated from past practice without reasoned explanation is
    belied by the regulatory record. FERC neither disregarded its
    prior policy decisions nor failed to come to grips with existing
    precedent. The Commission plainly acknowledged both here
    and in its 2010 Order that it had considered the middle 80
    percent of pipelines’ data in the first and second index reviews.
    In 2010, however, the agency announced its considered
    judgment that using the middle 50 percent was the superior
    approach and it explained the basis for its decision. 133 FERC
    at 62,255, 62,261-62. The Commission’s 2015 Order
    accurately characterized and reaffirmed that conclusion. 80
    Fed. Reg. at 81,750 P. 42-44. AOPL’s suggestion that FERC
    cannot rely on the explanation set forth in the 2010 Order
    because it was not affirmed by this court is simply mistaken.
    See Oral Arg. Recording at 32:01-34:40. That no party
    appealed the 2010 Order is irrelevant; the Commission is
    entitled to rely on the precedent it established there, especially
    when it is clear that the agency acted within legal bounds and
    with good reasons.
    Additionally, the Commission addressed the specifics of
    the 2015 record. See 2015 Order, 80 Fed. Reg. at 81,751 P. 44
    nn.83 & 85. It recognized in its 2015 Order the distinctions
    between the 2010 and 2015 data sets, and it explained its
    rationale for continuing to exclude the middle 80 percent of
    data from its calculations despite those distinctions. For
    example, FERC acknowledged that the middle 50 percent data
    set covered a greater percentage of industry barrel-miles in
    2010 than in did in 2015, but it concluded that “this is not a
    14
    sufficient basis to risk including more outlying data.” See id. at
    P. 44 n.85. It explained that the 2015 statistically trimmed data
    set “includes more than 50 percent of industry barrel-miles,”
    and that much of the difference between this set and the 2010
    data set was due to the fact that a single pipeline, Enbridge
    Lakehead, fell within the middle 50 percent in 2010, but not in
    2015. Id. FERC was under no obligation to maintain the same
    barrel-mile coverage for each index review.
    Finally, contrary to AOPL’s assertion, the Commission’s
    explanation does not reveal that it had an irrational purpose of
    lowering the index level. As support for its theory that FERC’s
    refusal to utilize the middle 80 percent data was impermissibly
    “results-oriented,” AOPL points to a portion of the
    Commission’s explanation in which it noted that “using the
    middle 80 percent would skew the index upward based upon
    . . . outlying cost increases” which would “not be offset by
    similarly outlying cost decreases.” Id. at 81,750-
    51 P. 43
    . But
    the Commission explained that its concern about outlying cost
    increases was based upon the negative effect they would have
    on the formula’s ability to achieve its “objective of . . .
    reflect[ing] normal industry-wide cost changes.” 
    Id.
     Thus, the
    agency was concerned that the outlying data would result in an
    inaccurate – not merely undesirable – measurement of normal
    cost changes. AOPL provides no reason to question that
    conclusion, and neither this court’s decision in AOPL II nor any
    of the other cases AOPL cites prevents the Commission from
    relying on this rationale.
    The Commission provided the required reasoned
    explanation for its decision to exclude the middle 80 percent of
    pipelines from its analysis. We reject AOPL’s assertion to the
    contrary.
    15
    C. Data Input Source
    AOPL also contends that FERC departed from its
    precedent without a reasoned explanation by calculating the
    index using Page 700 cost-of-service data instead of using the
    accounting data from other parts of Form No. 6, as it had in the
    past. AOPL acknowledges that the Commission recognized
    this departure and provided an explanation for its decision, but
    it rejects that explanation as insufficient for two reasons. First,
    AOPL disagrees with the Commission’s determination that the
    switch will be beneficial. Second, it claims the Commission
    failed to acknowledge that its decision represents a shift in the
    very thing that the index and the Kahn Methodology are
    designed to measure and thus necessarily failed to provide an
    acceptable justification to support that new aim. We disagree.
    On the record before us, it is clear that FERC adequately
    and reasonably explained its rationale for utilizing the cost-of-
    service data from Page 700. In its Order, the Commission
    identified four benefits of switching to the Page 700 data. In
    particular, the Commission carefully explained that: (1) Using
    Page 700 data will better suit the index’s aim of reflecting
    changes to recoverable costs. (2) The data will eliminate the
    need to use proxies to measure capital costs and income tax
    costs. (3) The data will eliminate the need to use an “operating
    ratio” estimate, which unrealistically assumes that pipelines
    incur no capital costs in years in which the operating expenses
    exceed revenues. FERC concluded that eliminating the
    operating ratio estimate would lead to more accurate results.
    (4) And the Page 700 data relates exclusively to interstate
    pipelines and therefore the measurement will no longer
    commingle interstate and intrastate costs. See 2015 Order, 80
    Fed. Reg. at 81,746 PP. 12-16. AOPL has not persuasively
    refuted FERC’s justifications.
    16
    The Commission also adequately responded to AOPL’s
    objections to using Page 700 data. For example, AOPL argued
    that, because Page 700 requires pipelines to make assumptions
    and allocations, the methodology of which might differ among
    pipelines or change over time, the change measure might be
    inaccurate. See Reply Comments of AOPL at 44, J.A. 404. The
    Commission explained that assumptions and allocations would
    be required under any measurement approach, and it
    determined that the assumptions should reflect established
    ratemaking practices and thus should be consistent enough to
    accurately calculate the index. See 2015 Order, 80 Fed. Reg. at
    81,746-
    47 P. 18
    . AOPL also argued that the return-on-equity
    element of Page 700 can be highly variable due to changing
    capital conditions. See Reply Comments of AOPL at 41, J.A.
    401. FERC responded that this was not a reason to refrain from
    using the data, as the index is designed to capture changing
    capital costs, including financing costs. See 2015 Order, 80
    Fed. Reg. at 81,746 P. 17. AOPL’s arguments that these
    responses were insufficient invite this court to replace the
    Commission’s technical and policy judgments with its own.
    We must decline. See State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    ; Am. Radio
    Relay League, Inc. v. FCC, 
    524 F.3d 227
    , 233 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
    Furthermore, there is nothing in the record to support
    AOPL’s assertion that the Commission’s shift to using Page
    700 data reveals a sub silentio shift in its measurement
    objective. AOPL asserts that the old methodology was meant
    to support an index based on actual costs that is an alternative
    to the cost-of-service methodology used prior to the Energy
    Policy Act, while the new approach measures changes in cost
    recoverable under a cost-of-service approach. But the index
    has always served and continues to serve as an alternative to
    the    individualized    cost-of-service-based      ratemaking
    procedures that were used prior to the Energy Policy Act. See
    Order No. 561, 58 Fed. Reg. at 58,758.
    17
    Moreover, neither Order No. 561 nor the subsequent index
    review orders indicate that the index was intended to measure
    something distinct from the costs measured under its cost-of-
    service methodology. Rather, the Commission has consistently
    treated the index as a measure of normal industry-wide cost-of-
    service changes and it continued to do so in the challenged
    order. Compare id. (“[T]he indexing system utilizes average,
    economy-wide costs rather than pipeline-specific costs to
    establish rate ceilings.”), and Order No. 561-A, 59 Fed. Reg. at
    40,245 (“The indexing methodology adopted . . . is
    fundamentally based on costs . . . [and] most closely
    approximates the actual cost changes experienced by the oil
    pipeline industry.”), with 2015 Order, 80 Fed. Reg. at 81,746
    P. 13 (“[T]he index is meant to reflect changes to recoverable
    pipeline costs, and, thus, the calculation of the index should use
    data that is consistent with the Commission’s cost-of-service
    methodology.”).
    Indeed, since it first established the index, the Commission
    has lamented that it did not have access to a reliable measure
    of industry-wide total cost-of-service data upon which to base
    its calculations. See Order 561-A, 59 Fed. Reg. at 40,246-47
    (stating that “Form No. 6 does not contain the information
    necessary to compute a trended original cost (TOC) rate base
    or a starting rate base as allowed for in Order No. 154-B” and
    that “all agree that the measure of the capital cost component
    [using Form No. 6 data] of the cost of service is highly
    unsatisfactory”); Revision to Form No. 6, 
    77 Fed. Reg. 59,739
    ,
    59,
    741 P. 19
     (Oct. 1, 2012) (recognizing that past Page 700
    filings were unreliable and amending Page 700 instructions).
    Now that Page 700 makes that data available, and the
    Commission has concluded that the data is reliable, see 2015
    Order, 80 Fed. Reg. at 81,745-46 PP. 10-12 & n.24, it was
    entirely reasonable for the agency to use it in the 2015 Order.
    18
    III. Conclusion
    To reiterate, an “agency must show that there are good
    reasons for [new policies]. But it need not demonstrate to a
    court’s satisfaction that the reasons for the new polic[ies] are
    better than the reasons for the old one[s]; it suffices that the
    new polic[ies are] permissible under the statute, that there are
    good reasons for [them], and that the agency believes [the
    disputed policies] to be better, which the conscious change of
    course adequately indicates.” Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. at 515
    . FERC easily satisfied this standard in this case.
    The Commission carefully addressed the issues, acknowledged
    its departure from prior decisions, provided extensive
    explanation for its technical and policy choices, considered the
    principal alternatives, and responded to Petitioner’s arguments.
    Nothing more was required. We therefore deny the petition for
    review.
    So ordered.