Ameren Services Company v. FERC , 880 F.3d 571 ( 2018 )


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  • United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued September 22, 2017           Decided January 26, 2018
    No. 16-1075
    AMEREN SERVICES COMPANY, ET AL.,
    PETITIONERS
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENT
    AMERICAN WIND ENERGY ASSOCIATION, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    Consolidated with 16-1304, 16-1373
    On Petitions for Review of Orders of
    the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Christopher R. Jones argued the cause for petitioners.
    With him on the briefs was Kurt H. Jacobs.
    Holly E. Cafer, Senior Attorney, Federal Energy Regulatory
    Commission, argued the cause for respondent. With her on the
    brief were David L. Morenoff, General Counsel, and Robert H.
    Solomon, Solicitor.
    2
    Bruce A. Grabow, Jennifer Brough, and Gene Grace were
    on the joint brief for intervenors American Wind Energy
    Association, et al. in support of respondent.
    Before: ROGERS and TATEL, Circuit Judges, and
    SILBERMAN, Senior Circuit Judge.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    SILBERMAN.
    Dissenting opinion filed by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
    SILBERMAN, Senior Circuit Judge: When new sources of
    power generation connect to the existing transmission grid, the
    grid often requires new construction beyond the point of
    interconnection in order to accommodate the increased flows of
    electricity. FERC issued a series of orders empowering
    incoming generators within the Midcontinent Independent
    System Operator (MISO) region1 to elect to self-fund this new
    construction, or to seek financing from third parties, regardless
    of whether the current grid owners wish to fund the construction
    themselves.
    The Commission justified the orders on two grounds. First,
    it found that allowing transmission owners to choose between
    funding options – and thus, potentially, to impose subsequent
    charges to generators via transmission owner funding – could
    allow the transmission owners to discriminate among generators.
    Secondly, it held that the charges to generators would be (or
    1
    MISO operates in fifteen states located largely within the
    midwestern United States, along with the Canadian province of
    Manitoba.
    3
    could be) unjust and unreasonable under the Federal Power Act.
    Petitioning transmission owners challenge both grounds. We
    conclude that Petitioners are correct regarding the
    discrimination point: there is neither evidence nor economic
    logic supporting FERC’s discriminatory theory as applied to
    transmission owners without affiliated generation assets.
    FERC’s second ground raises a unique and important
    conceptual issue. Petitioners argue that involuntary generator
    funding compels them to construct, own, and operate facilities
    without compensatory network upgrade charges – thus forcing
    them to accept additional risk without corresponding return as
    essentially non-profit managers of these upgrade facilities. We
    do not think that FERC adequately responded to this argument.
    We therefore remand the case to the Commission.
    I.
    We have previously explained the series of steps FERC
    took to unbundle the electric power system, enabling and
    encouraging new independent generators to create a competitive
    market for power generation.2 Transmission owners, which had
    previously served their own vertically integrated sources of
    power generation, were obliged to accept power from any source
    on a non-discriminatory basis.
    2
    For a detailed description of the series of FERC orders that led
    to the development of competitive power generation markets and the
    creation of MISO, see Wisconsin Public Power, Inc. v. FERC, 
    493 F.3d 239
    , 246-50 (D.C. Cir. 2007); Midwest ISO Transmission
    Owners v. FERC, 
    373 F.3d 1361
    , 1363-65 (D.C. Cir. 2004).
    4
    For independent generators to utilize the grid, they must
    first connect to it. FERC thus used its rulemaking powers to
    issue Order No. 2003, which standardized the procedures for
    generator interconnection and directed each transmission
    network to maintain a pro forma generator interconnection
    agreement.3 Order No. 2003 also established the “at or beyond”
    rule, which distinguished between two types of new construction
    necessary to connect new generation sources into the grid. See
    Nat’l Ass’n of Regulatory Util. Comm’rs v. FERC, 
    475 F.3d 1277
    , 1284-86 (D.C. Cir. 2007). The first category, called
    “interconnection facilities,” includes those facilities and
    equipment that lie between the generation source and the point
    of interconnection with the transmission network. Under the “at
    or beyond” rule, the cost of interconnection facilities are the sole
    responsibility of the incoming generator. That allocation of
    costs is undisputed in this proceeding. And Petitioners do not
    own or manage those “interconnection facilities.” The second
    category includes those additional facilities and equipment that
    are needed beyond the “point of interconnection” – in other
    words, any new construction that occurs within Petitioners’
    transmission grid itself to accommodate the incoming flows of
    new power. This latter category of construction, called
    “network upgrades,” is the focus of the present dispute.
    * * *
    3
    Standardization of Generator Interconnection Agreements and
    Procedures, Order No. 2003, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,146 (2003),
    order on reh’g, Order No. 2003-A, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,160,
    order on reh’g, Order No. 2003-B, FERC Stats. & Regs. 31,171
    (2004), order on reh’g, Order No. 2003-C, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶
    31,190 (2005), aff’d sub nom. Nat’l Ass’n of Regulatory Util.
    Comm’rs v. FERC, 
    475 F.3d 1277
    (D.C. Cir. 2007).
    5
    As we have also explained, FERC encouraged the creation
    of Regional Transmission Organizations (RTOs) to integrate the
    fragmented transmission grid on a regional basis, along with
    Independent System Operators (ISOs) as non-profit entities
    which would control access to the grid within their respective
    regions. Wisconsin Public Power, 
    Inc., 493 F.3d at 247
    . In
    Order No. 2003, the Commission set a default rule that
    transmission owners would bear responsibility for the network
    upgrades, but gave ISOs “flexibility to customize its
    interconnection procedures and agreements to meet regional
    needs.” Order No. 2003 at P 827; 
    id. at P
    676. In this case, we
    encounter MISO, which qualifies as both an RTO and an ISO.
    Originally, MISO had allocated the costs equally between
    the incoming generator and the transmission owner. As such,
    under transmission owner funding – which it could choose – the
    transmission owner would initially provide the capital for
    construction, but would recover 50 percent of that capital (a
    “return of” capital), along with an appropriate return on that
    capital, through network upgrade charges. It would fund the
    other 50 percent of the costs by passing them on to all of its
    customers through its rates – again, including an appropriate rate
    of return. Under generator funding, the generator would initially
    provide the capital for construction, and would receive 50
    percent of that capital from the transmission owner through
    credits for transmission service. E.ON at P 3.
    But a problem arose: this 50/50 arrangement placed most
    of the cost burden on the pricing zone where interconnection
    occurred, but the power from the new generation sources often
    exceeded the load within those local zones in which they
    connected.     Midwest Independent Transmission System
    6
    Operator, Inc., 129 FERC ¶ 61,060, at P 7 (2009) (“MISO Tariff
    Amendment”). As a result, the local customers of the
    transmission owner bore a disproportionate share of the cost
    burden of upgrades that supported power that would ultimately
    benefit more remote customers throughout the MISO region. 
    Id. at P
    11. Rather than forcing their local customers to shoulder
    this regional burden, several local transmission owners
    threatened to withdraw from MISO if the cost allocation
    remained unchanged. 
    Id. at P
    10.
    To remedy this problem, MISO proposed (and FERC
    approved) a new allocation of capital costs: for network
    upgrades rated at 345 kilovolts or above, the interconnecting
    generator bears 90 percent of those costs, and transmission
    owners (and their local customers) bear 10 percent. In other
    words, the 10 percent would be included in the transmission
    owner’s rate base. For projects rated below 345 kilovolts, the
    interconnecting generator bears 100 percent of the costs. This
    reallocation was intended to comport with FERC’s “principle
    that network upgrades should be paid for by the parties that
    cause and benefit from such upgrades.” MISO Tariff
    Amendment at P 3.
    The manner in which the incoming generator and
    transmission owner actually pay these capital costs depends
    upon the way the network upgrades are funded. Originally, the
    MISO tariff contained three options for providing the capital
    required to construct the network upgrades. We need not
    discuss the first because it was removed by the Commission in
    its E.ON decision.4
    4
    E.ON Climate & Renewables North America, LLC v. Midwest
    Indep. Transmission Sys. Op., Inc., 137 FERC ¶ 61,076 (Oct. 20,
    7
    Under the second alternative, Option 2 or “generator
    funding,” the interconnecting generator would provide the
    funding for the network upgrades prior to construction. The
    transmission owner would not refund this capital to the
    interconnecting generator, and would neither include the capital
    in its rate base nor charge the interconnecting generator a return
    on that capital.5 In short, generator funding means the owner of
    the transmission grid neither pays for, nor earns a return upon,
    the new construction that takes place within its network.
    Under the third alternative, “transmission owner funding,”
    the transmission owner pays for the construction of the upgrades
    to its network and then recovers the incoming generator’s
    portion of the cost burden over time through periodic network
    upgrade charges that include a return on the capital investment.
    These network upgrade charges are paid from the incoming
    generator to the transmission owner over the duration of the
    agreement. Importantly, they include both a return of capital,
    which is the 90 percent cost reimbursement paid over time as the
    network upgrades depreciate, and a return on capital. They are
    thus economically equivalent to inclusion in the rate base, with
    the exception that they are charged specifically to the incoming
    generator rather than to all of the transmission owner’s
    customers. Any portion of the upgrade costs that remains to be
    2011).
    5
    Under generator funding, the transmission owner does provide
    a refund of the reimbursable portion of construction costs – which
    amount to ten percent of capital costs for projects rated at 345
    kilovolts or higher – in the form of a credit toward transmission
    services charged to the interconnecting generator. The generator
    receives no reimbursement for the remaining ninety percent of these
    larger projects.
    8
    borne by the transmission owner is then passed on to all of its
    customers through its rates.
    Following the Commission’s E.ON decision, then, it was
    clear that the transmission owner could choose between two
    options – generator funding or transmission owner funding – to
    finance construction of network upgrades when an incoming
    generator sought to directly interconnect with its network.
    To further complicate the matter, however, the addition of
    new generation sources can cause second-order effects across
    the grid. Sometimes, in order to support flows of power from a
    new source, network upgrades must be made by transmission
    owners that do not connect directly to the incoming generator.
    And in other instances, the coincidence of multiple
    interconnection requests can create a need for a set of common
    network upgrades, which enable the grid to support the several
    incoming generators. In these two situations, MISO’s tariff did
    not initially permit transmission owners to choose between
    funding options.
    It was that disparity between the treatment of direct and
    indirect network upgrades which gave rise to this case. In 2014,
    when faced with the prospect of building network upgrades to
    support an indirectly connected incoming generator, a
    transmission owner named Otter Tail requested that MISO offer
    it the same choice (between generator funding and transmission
    owner funding) enjoyed by directly connected transmission
    owners. MISO consented, and submitted an agreement to FERC
    that would allow Otter Tail to elect transmission owner
    9
    funding.6 The incoming generator objected to this request,
    preferring instead to utilize generator funding for the network
    upgrades that would be needed to support its power.
    Otter Tail also filed a complaint under Sections 206 and 306
    of the Federal Power Act. It contended that the disparity
    between directly connected transmission owners (who could
    choose to fund the upgrades to their networks) and indirectly
    connected transmission owners (who could not choose
    transmission owner funding) rendered MISO’s tariff unjust and
    unreasonable. Otter Tail requested that FERC order MISO to
    bring all transmission owners into alignment by modifying its
    tariff to allow the choice of transmission owner funding for
    indirect interconnections.
    The Commission agreed with Otter Tail that this disparity
    was unsupportable. In its June 2015 Order,7 the first of the
    orders under review in this case, it found that because “the
    funding and construction obligations are equal whether the
    connection of a new generator is direct or indirect . . . the same
    funding options should be available to all interconnection
    customers in MISO.” June 2015 Order at P 47. Ironically, it
    cured the disparity not by providing the choice of transmission
    owner funding to indirectly connected owners – but instead by
    removing that choice from those with direct connections. Otter
    Tail was hoist on its own petard.
    6
    This unexecuted FCA was submitted pursuant to Section 205 of
    the Federal Power Act, 16 U.S.C. § 824d (2012).
    7
    Midwest Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc., 141 FERC ¶ 61,220 (Jun.
    18, 2015) (“June 2015 Order”).
    10
    The Commission determined that providing directly
    connected transmission owners with the ability to select
    transmission owner funding “may be unjust, unreasonable,
    unduly discriminatory or preferential because it . . . may result
    in discriminatory treatment by the transmission owner of
    different interconnection customers.”8 June 2015 Order at P 48
    (emphasis added). This discriminatory treatment, according to
    FERC, stemmed from the difference in costs borne by the
    generator under the two types of funding.
    * * *
    Those cost differences, according to the Commission, had
    two main causes. FERC thought that generators missed the
    opportunity to seek favorable construction funding in
    competitive capital markets; in other words, the use of
    transmission owner funding could prevent the generator from
    finding a better deal from a third party. June 2015 Order at P
    48. Second, FERC contended that transmission owner funding
    imposed a more onerous “security” requirement on generators.
    June 2015 Order at P 49 & n.110. Transmission owners
    required generators to provide some form of financial assurance
    8
    This language suggests that FERC thought transmission owner
    funding was unjust and unreasonable only because it was
    discriminatory. However, in the final orders the Commission seems
    to rest on two separate grounds: potential discrimination by
    transmission owners among generators, and excessive costs charged
    to generators with no increase in service, which FERC found to be
    unjust and unreasonable. See Otter Tail Power Co. v. Midcontinent
    Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc., 153 FERC ¶ 61,352 at P 29, 32, 33 (Dec.
    29, 2015) (“December 2015 Order”); Otter Tail Power Co. v.
    Midcontinent Indep. Sys. Operator, Inc., 156 FERC ¶ 61,099 at P 15,
    19 (Aug. 9, 2016) (“August 2016 Order Denying Rehearing”).
    11
    – such as a guarantee, surety bond, or letter of credit – that was
    sufficient to cover the cost commitments undertaken by the
    transmission owner in constructing the network upgrades.
    Under generator funding, this requirement lasted only for the
    duration of construction. But under transmission owner funding,
    security was required for the duration of the funding agreement.
    As an example, one proposed transmission owner funding
    agreement specified that an incoming generator would maintain
    a letter of credit over a term of 20 years. December 2015 Order
    at P 33 & n.60.
    Given these tentative findings, FERC instituted a formal
    adjudicatory proceeding under Section 206 of the Federal Power
    Act, requiring MISO to either modify its tariff to require
    generator consent for transmission owner funding, or to explain
    why the Commission’s views were not correct. This proceeding
    attracted a large cohort of intervenors; various transmission
    owners (including Petitioners), independent generators, and
    associations that represent those groups each contributed
    comments before the Commission. In the second of the orders
    under review in this case (“December 2015 Order”), FERC
    affirmed its earlier finding that “it is potentially unjust,
    unreasonable and unduly discriminatory to deprive the
    interconnection customer of the ability to provide its own capital
    funding.” This petition for review followed.9
    9
    In the third and fourth of the orders under review, FERC rejected
    another petition from six transmission owners (“August 2016 Order
    Denying Rehearing”) and accepted MISO’s compliance filing to
    remove a transmission owner’s ability to choose between funding
    options from the MISO Tariff (“August 2016 Order on Compliance”).
    In the fifth and final order on review in this case (“October 2016
    Order”), the Commission denied a procedurally-oriented request for
    12
    II.
    The Commission’s position before us largely tracks its final
    decision below. It relied, as we noted, on two grounds to
    determine that transmission owners may not insist on
    transmission owner funding, but that generators must instead
    have the option to self-fund. The first is that giving transmission
    owners the option to fund the upgrades provides them with the
    power to discriminate amongst generators who wish to connect
    to the grid. (Discrimination is, of course, prohibited by the
    Federal Power Act. See 16 U.S.C. §§ 824d(b); 824e(a).)
    Petitioners argue vigorously, however, that there is neither
    evidence of discrimination10 nor any economic incentive on the
    part of transmission owners to discriminate. To be sure, if the
    transmission owners still owned integrated generation facilities,
    that would present a competitive motive. But in emphasizing
    Order No. 888 and the Supreme Court’s decision in New York v.
    FERC, 
    535 U.S. 1
    (2002), the dissent harks back to a time we
    once described as “the bad old days,” when transmission
    companies also owned generation facilities and operated as
    vertically integrated monopolies. Midwest ISO Transmission
    Owners v. FERC, 
    373 F.3d 1361
    , 1363 (2004); cf. Dissent at 10-
    11. This is fighting a battle that has already been won. Here,
    only one of the petitioning transmission owners – in Missouri –
    still owns a generator; none of the rest do. And FERC did not
    rehearing, with reference to its December 2015 Order and August
    2016 Orders.
    10
    The only study alleging evidence of disparate costs charged
    generators was conceded by FERC to be flawed. See December 2015
    Order at P 33.
    13
    pay any attention to that small exception among Petitioners; it
    did not limit its order to that generator. Moreover, as we know
    from our other cases, the broader trend following Orders No.
    888 and 2000 has been toward divestiture by transmission
    owners of generation assets.11 Granted, FERC is not obliged to
    show actual evidence to support a determination of potential
    discrimination, but in the absence of evidence, the Commission
    must at least rest on economic theory and logic. We agree with
    Petitioners; that is lacking here.
    Our dissenting colleague suggests that we actually lack
    jurisdiction to consider Petitioners' anti-discrimination argument
    – at least insofar as Petitioners point out that only a transmission
    owner which also owns a generator would have an incentive to
    discriminate – because Petitioners did not explicitly make that
    specific point to the Commission. But when Petitioners
    vigorously contended there was no evidence to support a finding
    of discrimination and no reason to “predict[]” it would occur as
    “a foregone conclusion,” Request for Rehearing of the Indicated
    Transmission Owners, Docket Nos. EL15-68, EL15-36 (FERC
    January 28, 2016) at 23 n.59, it can hardly be thought a new
    argument to suggest what might constitute evidence of potential
    discrimination, if it were to exist.
    11
    See, e.g., Calpine Corp. v. FERC, 
    702 F.3d 41
    , 43 (D.C. Cir.
    2012) (“Order 888 was successful in causing major utilities
    nationwide to divest most of their generating facilities . . . .”). See
    also generally Wisconsin Public Power, Inc. v. FERC, 
    493 F.3d 239
    ,
    246-50 (D.C. Cir. 2007) (describing the series of Commission orders
    that led to the development of MISO and encouraged divestiture of
    generation assets).
    14
    The second theory upon which FERC based its orders was
    that allowing transmission owners to insist on transmission
    owner funding would be “unjust and unreasonable” under the
    Federal Power Act because it imposed increased costs without
    any corresponding increase in service. We should note at the
    outset that the Commission does not assert that transmission
    owner funding is inherently unjust and unreasonable; it is only
    if the transmission owner chooses that method of funding that
    FERC believes it crosses the unjust and unreasonable line.
    (That suggests that FERC is really seeking to enhance the
    generator’s bargaining position vis-a-vis the transmission
    owners – which, of course, is why generators have intervened in
    support of the Commission.) As we explained, FERC wants
    generators to have the option to seek the funding for the new
    construction from parties other than the transmission owners
    because it asserts that cheaper funding may be available
    elsewhere. FERC observes that the transmission owners have
    an incentive to increase costs because such costs will either be
    included in the rate base – upon which revenue can be
    predicated – or in charges back to the generator owner, which
    also include a measure of profit. FERC also states that the
    transmission owners have no right to the generator’s financing
    business.
    The Commission contends moreover that generator funding
    avoids the larger security costs under transmission owner
    funding. We are puzzled by FERC’s reasoning on this point,
    because if the generator had found another source of capital to
    cover the costs of the upgrade, we can’t imagine that the
    generator wouldn’t have to provide the same kind of security to
    that third party – covering the risk of default – that it does for
    15
    transmission owners.12 Still, it is certainly possible, if not
    probable, that a generator could find an alternative source of
    capital (including any necessary security) that would be cheaper
    than that provided by the transmission owner. Indeed, as the
    dissent notes, the Commission states a simple economic truth in
    recognizing that the generators "have an incentive to find lowest
    cost funding solutions, while transmission owners do not."
    Dissent at 6.
    But this proposition applies equally to all cost components
    of Network Upgrade construction, which Petitioners perform on
    the generators' behalf – not merely its funding. By the same
    logic, since they bear a greater share of cost responsibility, the
    generators also have a sharper incentive than Petitioners to
    reduce the costs of raw materials, or construction labor, or
    design fees. This is why the generators can challenge inclusion
    of any such costs that deviate unreasonably from a fair market
    price before the Commission.
    In any event, it does not necessarily follow from any
    incentive differences that FERC may compel transmission
    owners to operate the upgrades without an opportunity to earn
    a return. Such a determination would require reasoned
    justification by the Commission, and consideration of any
    appropriately raised concerns by the parties. And Petitioners do
    12
    As such, of the two alleged sources of increased costs under
    transmission owner funding – a missed opportunity to seek alternative,
    cheaper funding and a more onerous security requirement – the second
    seems to collapse into the first: any alternative financing package must
    account for the risk of loss, whether through an explicit security
    requirement (such as a letter of credit) or an implicit willingness to
    bear that risk expressed through a higher financing rate.
    16
    in fact raise two rather powerful arguments against FERC's
    "unjust and unreasonable" theory.
    First, they claim that under compelled generator funding,
    transmission owners will be forced to assume certain costs that
    are never compensated. Keeping in mind that the transmission
    owners will own and operate the grid, including the upgrades,
    they will bear liability for insurance deductibles and all sorts of
    litigation, including environmental and reliability claims (such
    as blackout risks). The Commission’s response dismisses these
    risks; it asserts that upgrades might actually reduce congestion
    risks, see August 2016 Order Denying Rehearing at P 17, but it
    makes no real attempt to holistically assess all of the various
    risks and benefits to the transmission owner caused by the
    addition of the upgrade facilities.
    Instead, FERC asserts that because “this case concerns only
    the capital costs of facility construction,” Resp.Br. 35, and since
    “[t]ransmission owners will recover their cost of service (beyond
    capital costs) through their transmission rates,” 
    id. (quoting December
    2015 Rehearing Order P 57), the petitioning
    transmission owners have no justifiable complaint.13 But in this
    adjudication, FERC never acknowledged that these separate
    risks and consequent expenses even exist – they are thought to
    be somehow “baked in” to the existing compensation structure.
    See August 2016 Order Denying Rehearing at P 13. If
    Petitioners are correct that they face increased risk without
    13
    This recovery is alleged to occur through a process by which
    transmission owners recoup their recognized expenses for such line
    items as operations and maintenance. See December 2015 Order at P
    57 & n. 118.
    17
    compensation, that would be relevant and could certainly
    undermine FERC’s conclusion.
    Contrary to the dissent’s characterization, FERC’s musing
    that network upgrades might actually reduce reliability risk is
    hardly a “finding” of fact to which we are obliged to defer. It is,
    at most, a possibility to be explored – and one that sounds a bit
    far fetched to us. In any event, FERC makes no assertion that
    any such reduction of reliability risk would be of sufficient
    magnitude that the added facilities would actually reduce the net
    overall risk borne by the owner-operator. Further, the dissent’s
    suggestion that the environmental risks are identical regardless
    of who provides capital for the upgrades is something of a
    diversion. Of course that is true. The problem is that the risk is
    always borne by the transmission owner, and under Option 2,
    Petitioners contend they are not compensated for bearing it.
    And whether the transmission owner chooses, at its own
    expense, to insure that risk is obviously irrelevant. Cf. Dissent
    at 14.
    We therefore think that FERC inadequately considered
    Petitioners’ argument14 that all costs, and risks, are not baked in
    14
    The dissent contends that Petitioners offered “only bare
    generalities about its uncompensated costs, but no specifics.” Dissent
    at 13. But risks – which are contingent possibilities of future adverse
    events – must be described in hypothetical terms. And Petitioners did
    offer specific examples to support the general argument that when
    they are denied the opportunity to fund construction that occurs within
    their grid, “the return earned is disproportionate to the size,
    complexity, and risks of the system the transmission owner owns and
    operates.” Request for Rehearing of the Indicated Transmission
    Owners, Docket Nos. EL15-68, EL15-36 (FERC January 28, 2016) at
    14. Indeed, they cited FERC’s own summary of these risks, noting
    18
    – that, in fact, shareholders are forced to accept incremental
    exposure to loss with no corresponding benefit. Without
    analysis, the Commission casts doubt on the likelihood that
    these risks exist. But if Petitioners are conceptually correct that
    they bear these risks as owners of the transmission lines, it
    supports their basic contention that they are entitled to be
    compensated now as owners for operating the upgrades. And
    since this contention was raised appropriately, failure to
    meaningfully respond to it makes FERC’s decision arbitrary and
    capricious. See PSEG Energy Res. & Trade LLC v. FERC, 
    665 F.3d 203
    , 208, 209-10 (D.C. Cir. 2011).
    Petitioners’ second – and more fundamental – argument is
    that FERC’s orders require them to act, at least in part, as a non-
    profit business. Put another way, by modifying the transmission
    owners’ entire enterprise, FERC’s orders attack their very
    business model and thereby create a risk that new capital
    investment will be deterred. In its orders, FERC distorted and
    dismissed this argument, stating derisively that because
    generators bear responsibility for most of the capital costs under
    generator funding, the entire enterprise argument “implies that
    the affected system operator is owed the interconnection
    customer’s financing business.” June 2015 Order at P 50.
    that FERC had addressed only one small subset (construction risks
    covered by financial security). 
    Id. at 20-22.
    They offered compliance
    with Reliability Standards as just “one example of such risk” that had
    not been addressed. 
    Id. at 22.
    And their subsequent discussion before
    us of uncompensated penalties stemming from electrocutions and
    blackouts caused by untrimmed trees demonstrates the eminent
    sensibility of recognizing “the fundamental reality that all new
    facilities bring incremental risk of operation.” Reply Br. 22; see 
    id. at 17-24;
    Oral Arg. at 5:07-6:20.
    19
    FERC seems to believe that transmission owners are simply not
    entitled to participate in funding the network upgrades, and
    importantly to earn a return on capital.
    But a careful reading of Supreme Court precedent reveals
    that a regulated industry is entitled to a return that is sufficient
    to ensure that new capital can be attracted. See 
    Hope, 320 U.S. at 603
    . Therefore, as we have often said, a utility’s return must
    allow it to compete for funding in the financial markets. See,
    e.g., Maine v. FERC, 
    854 F.3d 10
    , 20 (D.C. Cir. 2017).
    Investors, however, invest in entire enterprises, not just portions
    thereof. FERC must explain how investors could be expected to
    underwrite the prospect of potentially large non-profit
    appendages with no compensatory incremental return. It is
    certainly true, as the transmission owners note, that the answer
    FERC offered – to cajole consent from the generators15 – is a
    non sequitur.
    Our dissenting colleague responds to Petitioners’ primary
    argument – that FERC’s order requires them to operate partly as
    a non-profit business – by asserting that Hope does not
    guarantee that each portion of a regulated business will be
    profitable. Dissent at 15. That is, of course, true, but it seems
    15
    See, e.g., December 2015 Order at P 59 ("Our decision does not
    preclude the transmission owner from earning a return on these
    network upgrades from the interconnection customer where the
    transmission owner and the interconnection customer mutually agree
    . . . any return that was available to a transmission owner when the
    initial funding election was made on a unilateral basis by the
    transmission owner is still available when the transmission owner's
    initial funding option is made on a mutually agreed upon basis.").
    20
    undisputable that when portions of a business are unprofitable,
    it detracts from the attractiveness to investors of the business as
    a whole – and that is a concern that the Commission must at
    least address under Hope’s capital-attraction standard.
    This is to say nothing of the fact that added complexity can
    be expected to impose its own form of deterrence upon
    investors, via information costs. Even if FERC could somehow
    provide protection for each of the many risks involved, potential
    investors would need to expend costly time and resources to
    examine and understand what the petitioning transmission
    owners would call the "non-profit" segments of their business,
    in order to verify that they are, in fact, riskless. And investors'
    confidence in their own assessment of such risklessness would
    itself carry some perceived risk. To the extent that other
    comparable utilities do not carry responsibility for such
    "non-profit" lines of business, and earn the same rate of return
    on the assets in their rate base, they would thus become
    relatively more attractive to investment professionals.
    Notwithstanding these concerns, the non-profit innovation
    might remain bearable so long as the generator-funded upgrades
    growing inside the grid remain tiny relative to their host. But if
    more and more of a transmission owner’s business is to be
    owned and operated on a non-profit basis, these additions would
    likely deter investors and diminish the ability of the transmission
    grid to attract capital for future maintenance and expansion.
    That FERC’s orders cross a rather significant conceptual line
    was revealed when FERC’s counsel was asked whether, if a
    group of generators got together to fund a billion-dollar upgrade
    that totally refurbished a portion of the grid, the transmission
    owner would be obliged to operate and assume liability for the
    upgrade – with operations and maintenance costs reimbursed,
    21
    but no return. The answer, alarmingly, was yes. Oral Arg. at
    39:36; see also 
    id. at 51:39-52:15.
    Transmission owners’ desire
    to retain the choice to fund the upgrades is therefore much more
    than a claim of entitlement to the generator’s “financing
    business.” It is, at root, a desire to retain control over their own
    business.
    In its discussion of the balance of investor and consumer
    interests mandated by Hope, the Commission stresses that
    capital costs are ultimately borne by the generator under either
    option. But this backward-looking perspective elides Hope’s
    forward-looking capital attraction 
    standard. 320 U.S. at 605
    .
    The ex ante question of cost allocation is thus analytically
    distinct from the ex post question of responsibility for ownership
    and operation that we discussed above. FERC cannot
    sufficiently respond to the transmission owners’ clearly stated
    concerns about the latter question by merely pointing to the
    outcome of the former.
    In sum, petitioning transmission owners raise serious
    statutory and constitutional concerns with respect to the effect
    of compulsory generator-funded upgrades on their business
    model. They ask why their current investors should be forced
    to accept risk-bearing additions to their network with zero
    return. We think an even greater concern is whether any future
    providers of capital would choose to enter into that questionable
    bargain. See 
    Hope, 320 U.S. at 603
    . At present, however, we
    have no need to reach the merits of those questions. Because the
    Commission failed even to respond to these concerns, and
    because it offered neither evidence of nor motive for
    discrimination by non-vertically integrated transmission owners
    among their customers, it is sufficient now to require that it do
    so. On remand, FERC should provide reasoned consideration of
    22
    these arguments by explaining whether all risks are truly “baked
    in,” responding to the transmission owners’ “entire enterprise”
    argument, and addressing the effect of these orders on the ability
    of transmission businesses to attract future capital.
    III.
    Setting aside the merits of the case, FERC contends in the
    alternative that our review is premature because the transmission
    owners can seek to adjust their rates in a future hearing under
    Section 205 of the Federal Power Act. We are thus urged not to
    intervene on the transmission owners’ behalf, because they can,
    and should, simply seek relief from FERC directly in a later
    hearing.
    But for two reasons, a Section 205 hearing cannot provide
    the relief that the petitioning transmission owners seek. First,
    FERC’s precedents do not provide compensation for several of
    the classes of risks that Petitioners allege will accompany
    construction and operation of the network upgrade facilities.
    For example, fines and penalties for violations of mandatory
    reliability standards and environmental regulations are generally
    charged directly to the utility, not passed through to customers
    via rate increases. See, e.g., In re SCANA Corp., 118 FERC ¶
    61,028 at P 1, 7-8. Further, FERC has stated that it takes a
    comprehensive view of a company, its employees, and its
    operations when wielding its enforcement power against the
    utilities it governs. See generally Enforcement of Statutes,
    Orders, Rules, and Regulations, 113 FERC ¶ 61,068 (2005). As
    such, compensation for the types of risks identified by the
    petitioning transmission owners may not be possible, even if
    proven in a future hearing.
    23
    The second reason why a Section 205 hearing would be of
    little use to the petitioning transmission owners is that FERC has
    spoken with utter and consistent clarity as to the question of
    whether a rate of return is justified under the generator funding
    option. See Resp.Br. 33; August 2016 Rehearing Order PP 12-
    20; December 2015 Rehearing Order PP 56-59. If, in a future
    Section 205 hearing, the transmission owners were to seek to
    include generator-funded assets in their rate base, a negative
    result is a foregone conclusion. The relevant question, then, is
    not whether the rate can be adjusted later in a Section 205
    hearing – but instead whether a transmission owner can be
    forced to accept generator-funded upgrades in the first instance.
    That question is squarely before us; we return it to FERC for a
    more thorough answer.
    On a related point, the dissent suggests that since the
    Commission plans to take up the issue of generic
    interconnection costs in a pending rulemaking, it is unnecessary
    for us to consider Petitioners’ concern in this case. The dissent
    implies that FERC has consciously chosen a specific “manner of
    proceeding, addressing capital costs here and generic
    interconnection cost issues in a separate docket.” Dissent at 9.
    The Commission did not make this argument before us, and
    for good reason: the purported plan to separate capital costs
    from other cost issues is fiction. (In fact, FERC’s sole mention
    of its separate rulemaking in the proceedings below was to
    acknowledge and reject the Petitioners’ request to avoid
    adjudication while the rulemaking was in progress. See
    December 2015 Order PP 40, 60.) In the referenced rulemaking
    – Docket No. RM15-21 – FERC requested comments on
    Intervenor AWEA’s proposals for changes to the standard
    interconnection agreements. See Notice of Petition for
    24
    Rulemaking, Docket No. RM15-21 (FERC July 7, 2015). And
    those proposals explicitly include, in multiple locations, the
    precise issue of capital cost allocation.16 This is unsurprising; as
    explained at length above, the two issues are deeply intertwined.
    Further, even assuming that FERC had intended such a
    “manner of proceeding” (and that such a dichotomy would be
    conceptually tenable), the dissent’s wait-and-see suggestion
    confuses adjudication – which is retroactive, determining
    whether a party violated legal policy – with rulemaking, which
    is of only future effect. We once described an agency’s effort to
    offer future rulemaking as a response to a claim of agency
    illegality as an “administrative law shell game,” Am. Tel. & Tel.
    Co. v. FCC, 
    978 F.2d 727
    , 732 (D.C. Cir. 1992), a phrase the
    Supreme Court thought apt. See MCI Telecomm. v. Am. Tel. &
    Tel. Co., 
    512 U.S. 218
    , 222 (1994).
    IV.
    When we remand orders to FERC, two factors inform our
    decision whether to vacate: the gravity of the orders’ flaws, and
    the “disruptive consequences” that may result. Black Oak
    Energy, LLC v. FERC, 
    725 F.3d 230
    , 244 (D.C. Cir. 2013)
    16
    See Petition for Rulemaking of the American Wind Energy
    Association to Revise Generator Interconnection Rules and
    Procedures, Docket No. RM15-21 (FERC June 19, 2015) at 5
    (“Reforms to improve certainty of network upgrade costs: . . . ii.
    Allow a Transmission Provider to fund network upgrades (self-
    funding) only if agreed to by the Interconnection Customer.”); 
    id. at 50-52
    (recommending that “The GIPs Should Require the
    Interconnection Customer’s Agreement for the Interconnecting
    Transmission Owner to Self-Fund Network Upgrades,” 
    id. at 50).
                                      25
    (quoting Allied-Signal v. Nuclear Regulatory Comm’n, 
    988 F.2d 146
    , 150-51 (D.C. Cir. 1993)).
    As noted above, we have no need to finally decide the
    transmission owners’ central complaint in this case: that under
    the Federal Power Act and the Constitution, FERC cannot force
    them to construct and operate generator-funded network
    upgrades.17 Indeed, we should not do so until the Commission
    has developed a record by considering that question itself. But
    we are troubled by the prospect of allowing the orders to
    continue in the interim.
    The transmission owners complain that generator-funded
    upgrades draft them into service to manage non-profit
    appendages to their network; we today remand in part because
    FERC failed to respond to that argument. By approving changes
    to the MISO tariff, however, the August 2016 Order on
    Compliance opens the floodgates to involuntary generator-
    funded interconnection projects.18 And we must bear in mind
    17
    Nor is it necessary to reach the petitioning transmission owners’
    argument that FERC departed from its precedent without justification,
    or that its orders here are illegal because they constitute a “novel”
    form of ratemaking under Hope. These issues may become
    appropriate for our consideration in the event that FERC adequately
    supports its decision.
    18
    We think it noteworthy here that FERC, the petitioning
    transmission owners, and the intervening independent generators have
    all recognized that many interconnecting generators would prefer to
    use generator funding if permitted by FERC. And as one engineer
    noted before FERC, the backlog of new projects is high, causing a
    situation in which “Otter Tail and its neighboring transmission
    systems are rapidly confronting the need to fund and construct both
    26
    that the Commission’s June 2015 Order indicates that its logic
    in this case would apply to all indirect upgrades as well. FERC
    may determine on remand that a transmission owner’s consent
    is required to impose generator-funded network upgrades, or
    that it would be unjust or unreasonable to force the transmission
    owners to accept increased risk with no increased return. If it
    does not, Article III courts may subsequently require it to do so.
    In that event, what will happen to the projects that have
    commenced in the interim? How will the generators, who under
    the Commission’s logic will presumably have obtained funding
    from the capital markets, extricate themselves from those newly-
    invalid contracts? Will the financiers with whom they deal
    insert clauses imposing costly “break-up fees,” in anticipation of
    the ultimate resolution of this question? Or worse: will half-
    completed projects be left stranded because they were
    financially viable when generator-funded, but become
    unprofitable when they bear the full cost of the attendant risks
    under transmission owner funding?
    We think it at least uncertain that FERC can reach the same
    result after addressing the deficiencies identified in this opinion;
    indeed, the potential-discrimination justification for FERC’s
    orders seems especially weak. But we think the prospect of
    disruptive consequences cuts decisively against the premature
    approval, and precipitate commencement, of construction
    projects under a tariff of questionable legality. Moreover, that
    direct and indirect Network Upgrades for new generation.” Affidavit
    of Dean Pawloski, Principal Engineer, Otter Tail Power Company at
    P 6 (January 12, 2015). The prospect, then, that today’s network
    upgrades will cumulatively constitute a significant fraction of
    tomorrow’s grid renders the petitioning transmission owners’ concern
    more credible.
    27
    FERC plans a rulemaking to consider interconnection problems
    and costs also suggests that it should approach those issues on
    a clean slate. We therefore vacate the orders – with the
    recognition that the Commission may, as always, file a petition
    for rehearing in the event it objects to such vacatur on ground
    we do not perceive – and remand for further proceedings
    consistent with this opinion.
    So ordered.
    ROGERS, Circuit Judge, dissenting: After the Federal
    Regulatory Commission rejected a transmission owner’s
    request for unilateral authority to select the funding method for
    “network upgrades,” certain transmission owners (hereinafter
    “Ameren”) did not prevail on rehearing and now petition for
    review of five orders of the Commission.1 In those orders, the
    Commission addressed the recovery of capital costs and
    determined there were three fundamental problems with
    allowing transmission owners unilateral discretion to select the
    method of funding network upgrades. First, “it [would] allow[]
    the transmission owner . . . [to] subsequently assess the
    interconnection customer [hereinafter “generator”] a network
    upgrade charge that is not later reimbursed . . . , which may
    result in discriminatory treatment by the transmission owner of
    different [generators].” June 2015 Order P 48. Second, it
    would allow the transmission owner to “deprive the [generator]
    of other options to finance the cost of the network upgrades that
    provide more favorable terms and rates.” 
    Id. Third, in
    contrast
    to generator funding in which the generator posts security over
    the term of construction, transmission owner funding would
    require “the [generator] to post security . . . over the term of the
    construction phase and over the term of the” contract. 
    Id. P 49.
    Such increased costs, the Commission found, may “frustrate
    1
    Four orders denied rehearing; a fifth order addressed
    compliance. Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Inc.,
    Order Denying Rehearing, Granting in Part and Denying in Part
    Complaint, and Instituting Section 206 Proceeding, 151 FERC ¶
    61,220 (June 18, 2015) (“June 2015 Order”); Otter Tail Power
    Company v. Midcontinent System Operator, Inc., Order Denying
    Rehearing and Granting Clarification, and Directing Compliance
    Filing, 153 FERC ¶ 61,352 (Dec. 29, 2015) (“December 2015
    Order”); Otter Tail Power Company v. Midcontinent System
    Operator, Inc., Order Denying Rehearing, 156 FERC ¶ 61,099 (Aug.
    9, 2016) (“August 2016 Order”); Midcontinent System Operator,
    Inc., Order on Compliance, 156 FERC ¶ 61,098 (Aug. 9, 2016);
    Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Inc., Order Denying
    Rehearing, 157 ¶ 61,013 (Oct. 7, 2016).
    2
    the development of new, competitive generation, which would
    contradict a stated purpose of Order No. 2003.” 
    Id. Indeed, adding
    such cost “with no corresponding increase in service,”
    the Commission observed, “shares similar characteristics” to a
    funding option that the Commission had eliminated as unjust
    and unreasonable. 
    Id. (citing E.ON
    Climate & Renewables
    North America, LLC v. Midwest Indep. Transmission Sys.
    Operator, Inc., 137 FERC ¶ 61,076, P 37 (2011) (“E.ON”)).
    On appeal, Ameren principally contends that the
    Commission’s action is confiscatory insofar as it denies
    Ameren the ability to earn a return on network upgrades and
    fails to compensate Ameren for business risk. Petrs Br. 30-35.
    Ameren maintains that the challenged orders fail to address its
    most important concern, namely, that absent gaining generator
    consent, the orders “force [Ameren] to construct, own, and
    operate transmission facilities without any return, i.e., on a
    non-profit basis.” 
    Id. at 37-38.
    The court vacates the
    challenged orders, concluding that “there is neither evidence
    nor economic logic supporting [the Commission’s]
    discriminat[ion] theory as applied to transmission owners
    without affiliated generation assets,” and that the Commission
    failed to respond adequately to Ameren’s non-profit objection.
    Op. at 3, 21-22. For the following reasons, I respectfully
    dissent.
    I.
    As a preliminary matter, it is worth acknowledging the
    limited scope of the court’s review of Commission orders.
    “[I]n a technical area like electricity rate design,” courts must
    “afford great deference to the Commission in its rate
    decisions.” FERC v. Elec. Power Supply Ass’n, 
    136 S. Ct. 760
    ,
    782 (2016) (quoting Morgan Stanley Cap. Grp., Inc. v. Pub.
    Util. Dist. No. 1 of Snohomish Cty., 
    554 U.S. 527
    , 532 (2008)).
    3
    As in other agency cases, courts do not “ask whether a
    regulatory decision is the best one possible or even whether it
    is better than the alternatives,” but instead ask whether “the
    agency has ‘examine[d] the relevant [considerations] and
    articulate[d] a satisfactory explanation for its action[,]
    including a rational connection between the facts found and the
    choice made.’” 
    Id. at 782
    (quoting Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n
    v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983)).
    Under the Federal Power Act, factual findings of the
    Commission that are supported by substantial evidence in the
    record are “conclusive.” 16 U.S.C. § 825l(b); see also Colo.
    Interstate Gas v. FERC, 
    599 F.3d 698
    , 704 (D.C. Cir. 2010).
    Furthermore, this court has recognized that it is “perfectly
    legitimate for the Commission to base its findings . . . on basic
    economic theory,” as long as “it explain[s] and applie[s] the
    relevant economic principles in a reasonable manner.”
    Sacramento Mun. Util. Dist. v. FERC, 
    616 F.3d 520
    , 531 (D.C.
    Cir. 2010).
    By way of background to understanding the
    Commission’s ongoing consideration of cost allocation in the
    Midwest region, the critical undisputed fact is that under the
    Midcontinent System Operator (“MISO”) Tariff, generators
    bear 90 to 100 percent of the costs of construction of network
    upgrades. The Commission determined in 2003 that when the
    generator funds the network upgrade, the generator is to receive
    credits against transmission service for the amounts funded.
    Standardization of Generator Interconnection Agreements and
    Procedures, Order No. 2003, 104 FERC ¶ 61,103 P 28, 694
    (2003) (“Order No. 2003”). The Commission, however,
    allowed regional transmission organizations “flexibility as to
    the specifics of the interconnection pricing policy.” 
    Id. P 28.
    Under MISO’s Tariff, transmission owners provided a credit
    for 50% of the costs borne by generators that funded network
    upgrades.      Midwest Independent Transmission System
    4
    Operator, Inc., 129 FERC ¶ 61,060, P 3 (2009) (“Midwest ITO
    2009”). This changed in 2009. The Commission, acting in
    “recogni[tion] that cost allocation is one of the most difficult
    and contentious issues facing the Midwest ISO regional at this
    time,” 
    id. P 2,
    approved a proposal by MISO and its
    transmission owners (including Ameren) to amend MISO’s
    Tariff, 
    id. P 48,
    “conditioned upon” the filing of a tariff with “a
    cost allocation methodology . . . as [was] just and reasonable
    and not unduly discriminatory or preferential,” 
    id. P 49.
    Under
    the superseding Tariff, MISO’s Option 2 “increase[d] the cost
    responsibility of a[] [generator] to 100 percent of the Network
    Upgrade costs, with a possible 10 percent reimbursement for
    projects that were 345 kV and above.” 
    Id. P 3.
    II.
    In the first of the challenged orders, the Commission, in
    again addressing the contentious issue of cost allocation in this
    section 206 proceeding, rejected the request of a transmission
    owner (“Otter Tail”) for unilateral discretion to choose the
    funding method for network upgrades. The Commission
    determined that such discretion could allow transmission
    owners to discriminate against generators through the
    imposition of increased costs, thereby “frustrat[ing] the
    development of new, competitive generation.” June 2015
    Order PP 48-49. Examining Article 11.3 of MISO’s Generator
    Interconnection Agreement, the Commission reasoned that the
    provision appeared unjust and unreasonable and unduly
    discriminatory or preferential because “it allows the
    transmission owner the discretion to elect to initially fund the
    upgrades and subsequently assess the [generator] a network
    upgrade charge that is not later reimbursed . . . through . . .
    credits,” and it “may deprive the [generator] of other options to
    5
    finance the cost of network upgrades that provide more
    favorable terms and rates.” 
    Id. P 48.
    As Joint Intervenors point out, MISO’s post-2009 credit
    policy is “[a] primary reason” the Commission determined that
    such unilateral discretion was unjust and unreasonable and
    unduly discriminatory. Jt. Intervenors’ Br. 11 (citing June
    2015 Order P 3). Intervenors elaborate that by asking for a
    revised MISO-specific credit policy in 2009 and abandoning
    responsibility for financing network upgrades, MISO
    transmission owners “gave up the opportunity to earn a rate of
    return on the network upgrades.” 
    Id. at 12;
    see August 2016
    Order P 15. Now the generator “bears the full cost of the
    network upgrades,” save for at most 10%, and the transmission
    owner “has no asset to roll in its rate base to earn a rate of
    return.” Jt. Intervenors’ Br. 12; see August 2016 Order P 12.
    MISO’s credit policy imposes significant costs on generators:
    for example, a generator required to fund a $10 million network
    upgrade, would receive at most $1 million in credits. Jt.
    Intervenors’ Br. 12. Consequently, the credit policy can “cost
    the [generator] tens of millions of dollars more than the basic
    Order No. 2003 construct.” 
    Id. at 11-12.
    To this extent, then,
    by seeking a MISO-specific tariff amendment, transmission
    owners’ inability to earn a return on generator funding is of
    their own doing. As Intervenors note, Ameren could earn a
    return were MISO to revert back to the crediting scheme under
    Order No. 2003. 
    Id. at 13.
    On rehearing, the Commission rejected Ameren’s
    arguments that there was insufficient evidence of
    discrimination and that the incremental risk of new generator-
    funded network upgrades would force them to operate on a
    6
    nonprofit basis.2 The Commission reaffirmed its determination
    that transmission owners’ unilateral discretion over initial
    funding “would improperly impose costs on [generators].”
    December 2015 Order P 29. Because generators “bear between
    90 to 100 percent of the costs for network upgrades in MISO,”
    the Commission explained, “it stands to reason that
    [generators] would have the incentive to find the lowest cost
    solution to funding” such upgrades. 
    Id. at P
    56. Conversely,
    transmission owners have an incentive to increase costs for the
    very reason Ameren has challenged the Commission’s orders:
    it seeks a return on top of the cost of the network upgrades. See
    
    Id. P 59;
    June 2015 Order P 48. Thus, as Intervenor American
    Wind Energy Association pointed out in comments of
    September 30, 2015 to the Commission, where the generator
    pays for the upgrade plus a return on 100% of the “capital
    invested by the transmission owner collected over time, such
    as a 20 or 30 year period[,]” “[s]imple math shows that self
    funding [by a transmission owner] is more costly to the
    [generator].” Ameren does not dispute the Commission’s key
    determination ― that generators have an incentive to find
    lowest cost funding solutions, while transmission owners do
    not ― and has provided no basis for the court to disturb the
    Commission’s findings and determinations.
    The Commission reasonably responded to Ameren’s
    argument that removal of transmission owners’ unilateral
    discretion over initial funding improperly deprived it of the
    ability to recover prudently-incurred transmission costs of
    service from generators beyond the capital costs of the network
    upgrades. For instance, the Commission rejected the argument
    2
    Request for Reh’g of the Certain MISO Transmission Owners
    (Jul. 20, 2015); Request for Reh’g of the Indicated Transmission
    Owners (Jan. 28, 2016); Request for Reh’g of the Indicated
    Transmission Owners (Sept. 8, 2016).
    7
    that the initial funding option under Article 11.3 of MISO’s pro
    forma tariff allows transmission owners to recover non-capital
    costs as contrary to its precedent in Midcontinent Independent
    System Operator, Inc., 145 FERC ¶ 61,111 at P 41 (2013)
    (“Hoopeston”), in which it had determined that doing so would
    be “unduly discriminatory” because a generator “charged
    under Option 2 would only be required to pay for the capital
    costs of network upgrades.” December 2015 Order P 57. The
    Commission pointed out that Ameren will recover its cost of
    service through its transmission rates, which will be charged to
    generators as they take service on the owner’s system. 
    Id. P 57
    & n.118 (citing Ameren’s Attachment O rate formula
    template). Significantly as well, the Commission rejected the
    argument that its “proposed Tariff language would not allow
    transmission owners to ‘set’ a rate of return to directly assign
    compensation for business risk, such as lawsuits, reliability
    compliance obligations, environmental and construction risks,
    to a [generator], inasmuch as such business risk associated with
    owning transmission are even included in a transmission
    owner’s return . . . under the initial funding option.” 
    Id. P 59
    (emphasis added). And the Commission observed that “[t]o the
    extent MISO believes that the mutual agreement aspect of the
    [revised] initial funding option raises concerns about the
    impact of certain costs on particular transmission owners and
    their customers, MISO may file a proposal under section 205
    of the FPA to address such concerns.” 
    Id. P 57
    . In addition,
    the Commission noted that it was “simultaneously considering
    generic interconnection cost issues in a separate rulemaking
    proceeding in Docket No. RM15-21,” emphasizing that now it
    was only finding MISO’s Tariff “unjust and unreasonable and
    unduly discriminatory based on the record before us here.” 
    Id. P 60.
    Balancing risks in allocating costs, the Commission
    determined that Option 2 was a just and reasonable rate and
    8
    available under MISO’s Tariff, noting that Ameren “ignores
    the continued existence of the transmission owner’s initial
    funding option” by mutual agreement with the generator.
    December 2015 Order P 59. It emphasized that “the obligation
    to fund these network upgrades rests with the [generator] under
    MISO’s Tariff and as credits are not provided in return for this
    funding, we find that it is potentially unjust, unreasonable and
    unduly discriminatory to deprive the [generator] of the ability
    to provide its own capital funding.” 
    Id. P 59
    . Citing FPC v.
    Hope Natural Gas Co., 
    320 U.S. 591
    (1944), the Commission
    acknowledged that its “task is to allow a public utility the
    opportunity to offer its investors a return that is commensurate
    with the risk associated with their investment, as represented
    by the utility’s business and financial risks.” August 2016
    Order P 13. It found that where generator funding is used, “the
    [generator] making the up-front investment bears the business
    and financial risks associated with financing and constructing
    the network upgrades.” 
    Id. “Because the
    transmission owner
    does not bear that risk,” the Commission determined that “its
    investors are not exposed to that risk, and it is therefore not
    necessary for the transmission owner to offer investors a return
    based on that risk in exchange for their investment of capital.”
    
    Id. The Commission
    observed further that Ameren “does not
    allege that funding for network upgrades under Option 2 is
    confiscatory inasmuch as it provides an insufficient rate of
    return to a transmission owners; rather, [Ameren] take[s] issue
    only with the fact that [it] will no longer unilaterally elect that
    financing option.” 
    Id. P 15
    (emphases added). Additionally,
    the Commission determined, Ameren “had not shown how
    requiring [a generator] to post security to address risk during
    construction and allowing [a generator], as opposed to the
    transmission owner, the initial opportunity to fund network
    upgrades, precludes transmission owners from operating
    9
    successfully, maintaining financial integrity, attracting capital,
    and compensating investors for the risks assumed, in violation
    of Hope.” 
    Id. P 16.
    Were Ameren in fact to incur
    uncompensated costs, such proof could be presented in a future
    proceeding. See December 2015 Order P 57; see also 
    id. P 60.
    III.
    The court nevertheless concludes that the challenged
    orders must be vacated. Op. at 27. The reasons offered by the
    court for vacatur are unpersuasive because the so-called
    “deficiencies,” 
    id. at 26,
    simply ignore the Commission’s
    analysis and Ameren’s failure to produce evidence of
    uncompensated risks as well as the Commission’s manner of
    proceeding, addressing capital costs here and generic
    interconnection cost issues in a separate docket. The
    challenged orders reflect the Commission’s determination
    upon assessing a complex and difficult balancing of risks in
    regard to recovery of costs, and the court owes deference to the
    Commission’s expertise and technical understanding. See
    Elec. Power Supply 
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 784
    .
    A.
    The court faults the Commission for failing to show why a
    transmission owner without affiliates would discriminate
    among generators. Op. at 12-13. But Ameren never argued
    this point to the Commission. See Request for Reh’g of the
    Certain MISO Transmission Owners (Jul. 20, 2015); Request
    for Reh’g of the Indicated Transmission Owners (Jan. 28,
    2016); Request for Reh’g of the Indicated Transmission
    Owners (Sept. 8, 2016). Nor did Ameren argue that the
    Commission’s determination regarding generator funding
    should be limited to transmission owners with affiliates (such
    as “Ameren Missouri”). See Op. at 12-13. Ameren disputed
    only the Commission’s determination that undue
    10
    discrimination may occur if transmission owners could
    unilaterally elect to fund network upgrades. The court insists
    that Ameren’s incentive theory “can hardly be thought a new
    argument” given Ameren’s “vigor[]” in broadly claiming there
    was no evidence of discrimination. Op. at 13. But an implicit
    argument about incentives does not meet the statutory
    requirement and the court offers no pertinent record citation.
    This court’s jurisdiction is limited to grounds “‘set forth
    specifically’ in the petitioner’s request for Commission
    rehearing.” Ind. Util. Reg. Comm’n v. FERC, 
    668 F.3d 7325
    ,
    739 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (quoting 16 U.S.C. § 825l(a)); see Kelley
    ex rel. Mich. Dep’t of Nat. Res. v. FERC, 
    96 F.3d 1482
    , 1487-
    88 (D.C. Cir. 1996). The court, therefore, vacates the orders
    based in part on an argument that the Commission never had
    the chance to consider and over which the court, therefore,
    lacks jurisdiction. 16 U.S.C. § 825l (b).
    That procedural default aside, the court could hardly
    dispute that Ameren has “a competitive motive” to favor
    affiliated generators over other generators. The Commission
    addressed this circumstance in Order No. 888 and the Supreme
    Court thereafter observed that “utilities’ control of
    transmission facilities gives them the power either to refuse to
    deliver energy produced by competitors or to deliver
    competitors’ power on terms and conditions less favorable than
    those they apply to their own transmissions.” New York v.
    FERC, 
    535 U.S. 1
    , 8-9 (2002); see Nat’l Ass’n of Reg. Utility
    v. FERC, 
    475 F.3d 1277
    , 1279 (D.C. Cir. 2007). The court
    recognized in a monopoly context that transmission owners
    “naturally wish to maximize profit” and “can be expected to act
    in their own interest . . . even if they do so at the expense of
    lower-cost generation companies and consumers.”
    Transmission Access Policy Study Grp. v. FERC, 
    225 F.3d 667
    ,
    684 (D.C. Cir. 2000). The Commission has identified a similar
    motivation in its interconnection precedent in determining, in
    11
    view of MISO’s post-2009 credit policy, that unilateral
    transmission owner control over initial funding of upgrades
    “creates unacceptable opportunities for undue discrimination.”
    E.ON, 137 FERC ¶ 61,076, P 38. So too in the challenged
    orders. In short, even if the court had jurisdiction, its vacatur
    is overbroad.
    This court has recognized that the Commission may
    properly take action “premised not on individualized findings
    of discrimination by transmission providers, but on a
    fundamental systemic problem.” Transmission Access Policy
    Study 
    Grp, 225 F.3d at 684
    . Here, the Commission was
    confronted with the fundamental, systemic problem of the
    recovery of capital costs, see August 2015 Order P 17, where
    transmission owners had threatened to withdraw from a
    regional organization, see Midwest ITO 2009, P 7, and now
    sought to impose increased costs on generators without
    increasing service based on a unilateral discretionary choice of
    the method of funding network upgrades. June 2015 Order P
    52. As discussed, the Commission identified the contrasting
    economic motivations of transmission owners and generators,
    see, e.g., December 2015 Order PP 29, 56, 59; June 2015 Order
    P 48, in determining that the transmission owner funding
    option would involve imposition of a network upgrade charge,
    June 
    2015 P. 48
    , and a more onerous security requirement,
    December 2015 Order P 29, and loss to generators of the
    opportunity to secure more favorable financing, 
    id. In addition
    to relying on “reasonable economic
    propositions,” see S.C. Pub. Serv. Auth. v. FERC, 
    762 F.3d 41
    ,
    65 (D.C. Cir. 2014), and its precedent, the Commission pointed
    to empirical evidence that transmission owners’ unilateral
    election to initially fund network upgrades could result in
    increased costs to generators or be implemented in an unduly
    discriminatory way. The Commission looked to the Border
    12
    Winds protest where evidence was introduced that a
    transmission owner’s initial funding election increased the
    costs to the generator. December 2015 Order P 33. The court
    characterizes the study as “flawed,” Op. at 12 n.10, but this is
    an overstatement. The Commission itself recognized that the
    transmission owner’s proposed fixed rate was not calculated in
    conformity with a clarification in Commission precedent but
    concluded “the case record in Border Winds” nonetheless
    showed increased generator costs, because Border Winds never
    indicated that a “lower fixed charge rate . . . would still not
    represent an increase in cost compared to” generator funding.
    December 2015 Order P 33. Further, the Commission pointed
    out, its clarifying precedent had not considered the effect of a
    transmission owner’s unilateral election of initial funding on
    relative capital costs. See 
    id. P 34.
    Indeed, the court acknowledges that “it is certainly
    possible, if not probable” that generators could be deprived of
    less costly financing options. Op. at 15; see June 2015 Order
    P 49; Jt. Intervenors’ Br 13-14 (citing comments of Intervenor
    American Wind Energy Association). Yet the court dismisses
    without serious engagement, see Op. at 15-16, the
    Commission’s extended consideration of the difficulties
    presented by cost allocation in the Midwest region, see
    Midwest ITO 2009, P 2, aggravated by MISO’s post-2009
    credit policy, as well as the Commission’s determination to
    adhere to the principles underlying Order No. 2003, so as to
    prevent undue discrimination, preserve reliability, increase
    energy supply, and lower wholesale prices for customers by
    increasing competition, and its interconnection precedent in
    Hoopeston and E.ON to ensure transmission owners could not
    unilaterally increase costs to generators.
    13
    B.
    The court also raises the specter of additional
    uncompensated risks and concludes the Commission
    “inadequately considered” Ameren’s argument. Op. at 17.
    Were this so, then a remand for further explanation, not
    vacatur, would be appropriate. See Allied-Signal v. Nuclear
    Reg. Comm’n, 
    988 F.2d 146
    , 151 (D.C. Cir. 1993). But it is
    not so. The court concludes the Commission “makes no real
    attempt to holistically assess all of the various risks and
    benefits to the transmission owner caused by the addition of the
    upgrade facilities.” Op. at 16. That, at best, is an
    overstatement. The court’s analysis is doubly flawed.
    First, the Commission’s response is understandable
    because Ameren offered only bare generalities about its
    uncompensated costs, but no specifics. December 2015 Order
    P 59. In seeking rehearing, Ameren referred broadly and baldly
    to concern about “lawsuits, reliability compliance obligations,
    environmental risk, and construction risk, among others.”
    Request for Reh’g of the Indicated Transmission Owners (Sept.
    8, 2016), at 13. In a footnote, the court labors unsuccessfully
    to recast Ameren’s general claims as specific ones. See Op. at
    17 n.14. Absent any evidence of specific uncompensated costs,
    however, what Ameren presented to the Commission was a
    claim for generic relief that was being addressed in a separate
    docket. December 2015 Order PP 40, 60. The court’s reliance,
    Op. at 24, on American Telephone & Telegraph Co. v. FCC,
    
    978 F.2d 727
    , 729 (D.C. Cir. 1992), is misplaced. Here there
    was no “administrative shell game.” 
    Id. at 731-32.
    The
    Commission stood ready to address Ameren’s business risk
    claims but was stymied from doing so in this adjudicatory
    proceeding because Ameren failed to present any specific
    evidence. In deciding to address generic claims in a separate
    proceeding, the Commission was “merely exercising its well-
    established discretion to ‘order [its] own docket[].’” Algonquin
    14
    Gas Transmission. Co. v. FERC, 
    948 F.2d 1305
    , 1315 (D.C.
    Cir. 1991) (alterations in original); see U.S. Tel. Ass’n v. FCC,
    
    359 F.3d 554
    , 588 (D.C. Cir. 2004).
    Second, the court ignores that Ameren never points to any
    explanation it offered to the Commission of how it faced any
    additional insurance, construction, or environmental risk as a
    result of a particular funding method over another. It is
    undisputed that under MISO’s Tariff, as the Commission
    found, Ameren as a transmission owner is compensated for
    operational and management costs. December 2015 Order P
    47 n.118 (citing MISO, FERC Electric Tariff, att. O).
    Transmission owners are also required to purchase Employers’
    Liability and Workers’ Compensation Insurance, Commercial
    General Liability Insurance, Comprehensive Automobile
    Liability Insurance, and Excess Public Liability Insurance
    regardless of how network upgrades are funded. MISO, FERC
    Electric Tariff, att. X, app. 6 (GIA) § 18.4 (minimum insurance
    requirements). Generators, in turn must post security, under
    MISO’s Tariff, “in order to address risk during construction.”
    December 2015 Order P 59. Ameren does not suggest the risk
    of an environmental violation is anything other than equal
    under either initial funding method. In the Commission’s
    words:
    Indicated MISO Transmission Owners have not
    explained how allowing [a generator] to fund network
    upgrades under Option 2 fails to protect against
    unspecified ‘other risks associated with construction
    (not otherwise addressed by insurance)’ or operating
    risks due to requirements “to operate customer-
    financed assets in compliance with applicable
    Reliability Standards,” violations of which could
    “result in penalties that would not be recoverable from
    customers.”
    15
    August 2016 Order P 17 (quoting Request for Reh’g at 22).
    Furthermore, the Commission determined that network
    upgrades could mitigate transmission owners’ reliability risk
    by reducing congestion. August 2016 Order P 17. In the post-
    Order No. 888 context, this court has recognized that network
    upgrades “provide system-wide benefits.” 
    NARUC, 475 F.3d at 1285
    . The court characterizes the benefits of network
    upgrades as “a possibility to be explored,” Op. at 17, rather than
    a determination to which the court owes deference. This
    misses the mark. The Commission’s point was that in view of
    the acknowledged benefits of network upgrades, Ameren had
    not explained how network upgrades “should be considered
    additive to the reliability risk,” August 2016 Order P 17, much
    less shown that it faced additional reliability risk as would
    justify setting aside the challenged orders as confiscatory. The
    determination that Ameren had not shown additional reliability
    risk deserves deference.
    Having failed to identify any unrecoverable additional
    costs traceable to the challenged orders, Ameren attempts to
    shift its “heavy” burden on rehearing, see Hope, 320 at 602, by
    contending that the Commission “ignores the fundamental
    reality that all new facilities bring incremental risk of
    operation.” Reply Br. 22. Of course, that simply elides the
    question of whether there are any risks that are uncompensated,
    for not every regulatory decision requiring action by a
    regulated entity gives rise to a corresponding entitlement to a
    return ― “regulation does not insure that the business shall
    produce net revenues.” 
    Hope, 320 U.S. at 603
    (internal
    quotation marks omitted). The court accepts that allowing
    generators to select the initial funding method “might remain
    bearable so long as the generator-funded upgrades growing
    inside the grid remain tiny relative to their host.” Op. at 20.
    16
    And although the Commission acknowledges that independent
    power generators have an increasing presence since Order No.
    888, Rspdt’s Br. 4, the Commission’s statutory concern is that
    “competition depend[s] on generators’ having adequate means
    of getting their power to market.” 
    NARUC, 475 F.3d at 1279
    (internal citation omitted). Unbundling under Order No. 888
    required equal access for generators to transmission facilities,
    see 
    id., and in
    Order No. 2003, the Commission standardized
    procedures for generator interconnections. The challenged
    orders reflect adherence to those principles.
    Under the circumstances, there is no basis for the court to
    state that the Commission made “no real attempt to holistically
    assess” risks and benefits, Op. at 16, given Ameren’s
    evidentiary failure, the Commission’s determination regarding
    reliability risk, and its broader analysis of the allocation issue
    based on the record before it. Instead, the court has ignored
    inconvenient record facts and the Commission’s fulsome
    response to Ameren’s arguments, including its explicit
    statement on the limits of its ruling on MISO’s Tariff in the
    challenged orders. December 2015 Order P 60. The
    Commission’s assessments of how the risks should be balanced
    in allocating capital costs is a quintessential task involving
    Commission expertise and technical understanding that is
    entitled to deference by the court. See Elec. Power Supply
    
    Ass’n, 136 S. Ct. at 784
    .
    C.
    The court also mistakenly accepts Ameren’s bald assertion
    that the challenged orders will force transmission owners to
    operate on a nonprofit basis in violation of Hope. Op. at 18-
    22. In Hope, the Supreme Court addressed whether natural gas
    rates threatened a company’s overall financial integrity; it
    nowhere suggested that the Federal Power Act entitled a
    company to the ability to earn a favorable return on every
    17
    portion of its business. See 
    Hope, 320 U.S. at 605
    . Addressing
    a similar issue under a state statute, the Supreme Court made
    clear that the focus was on whether “[t]he overall impact of the
    rate orders” would “jeopardize the financial integrity of the
    companies.” Duquesne Light Co. v. Barasch, 
    488 U.S. 299
    ,
    310 (1989). The court here acknowledges that “[i]nvestors . . .
    invest in entire enterprises, not just portions thereof.” Op. at
    19. Why that is not also a permissible perspective for the
    Commission when weighing risks relating to the recovery of
    capital costs is not explained.3
    The issues now before the court are whether the
    Commission reasonably determined under the Federal Power
    Act, based on the evidence presented, that it is (1) unduly
    discriminatory to allow transmission owners unilaterally to
    select a financing scheme that increases costs for a generator
    seeking interconnection services, and (2) just and reasonable to
    allow a generator to choose to pay the upfront capital costs of
    network upgrades required for interconnection, with the result
    that those capital costs are excluded from the transmission
    owner’s rate base. The court appears to assume that generator-
    funded upgrades will comprise a “significant fraction” of
    Ameren’s overall business. Op. at 25 n.18. But the court points
    3
    The court’s chastisement of the Commission, based on its
    counsel’s purported response to a hypothetical question during
    oral argument before the court, is misplaced. The court
    suggests that counsel “cross[ed] a rather significant conceptual
    line” by agreeing that transmission owners would not be
    entitled to a return on a billion-dollar network upgrade. Op. at
    20-21. But the transcript shows that Commission counsel
    stated that transmission owners could seek a “profit” in such a
    future case if there were an “evidentiary basis” that the upgrade
    posed a “demonstrated specific risk.” Oral Arg. at 39:30-
    40:51.
    18
    to no Ameren financial data that would support its prediction
    that the Commission’s decision unlawfully interferes with
    Ameren’s “business model.” Op. at 18. An affidavit it cites
    from the Otter Tail Power Company describing a number of
    upcoming interconnection projects, see Op. at 25 n.18, hardly
    suffices to carry Ameren’s “heavy” burden on rehearing to
    disturb the Commission’s balancing of risks. See Hope, 320 at
    602.
    D.
    The court’s discounting of the Commission’s reference to
    Ameren’s opportunity to present evidence of uncompensated
    risks in a future proceeding, Op. at 22-23; December 2015
    Order P 57, fares no better. The court states that “fines and
    penalties for violations of mandatory reliability standards and
    environmental regulations are generally charged directly to the
    utility, not passed through to customers via rate increases.” Op.
    at 21; see Pet’rs Br. 33 n.1. The stipulated agreement in In re
    SCANA Corp., 118 FERC ¶ 61,028 (2007); see Op. at 22,
    nowhere suggests fines and penalties are unrecoverable as a
    matter of law. Even assuming the general practice is that fines
    and penalties are not passed on, the court cites no authority the
    Commission erred as a matter of law in holding out the
    evidentiary opportunity for Ameren. See Op. at 22. The
    Commission’s rejection of Ameren’s arguments as to
    uncompensated business risks and forced “non-profit”
    operation rested on Ameren’s failure to proffer specific
    evidence. See August 2016 Order PP 16-17. Given the
    Commission’s stated position in the challenged orders, there is
    no basis for the court to conclude the outcome of a future
    hearing is a “foregone conclusion.” Op. at 23. The court’s
    vacatur thus overshoots its target and jumps the gun.
    19
    III.
    The Federal Power Act mandates the Commission ensure
    that rates are “just and reasonable” and not unduly
    discriminatory, 16 U.S.C. § 824d(a)-(b). A purpose of Order
    No. 2003 is to “increase[e] the number and variety of new
    generation that will compete in the wholesale electricity
    market.” Order No. 2003 at P 1. Given the established
    economic motivations and the post-2009 MISO credit policy’s
    treatment of capital costs, the Commission reasonably and
    adequately explained its assessment of how risks should be
    balanced between investor and customer interests. See 
    Hope, 320 U.S. at 603
    . The Commission recognized the complex and
    contentious nature of the issue in the Midwest region,
    conditionally approved the 2009 proposal of MISO and its
    transmission owners to amend MISO’s Tariff, and has now,
    based on the record before it, determined, in its expert
    judgment, that Ameren’s arguments for unilateral control of the
    method of funding network upgrades must be rejected and
    generators allowed to choose the funding method. The same
    two funding options for network upgrades that were available
    prior to the challenged orders remain available; the only change
    is that the choice belongs to generators with an incentive to
    minimize costs rather than to transmission owners with an
    incentive to impose additional costs that could frustrate the
    development of new generation.
    In doubting the adequacy of the Commission’s
    determination of the appropriate allocation of capital costs in
    MISO, the court asserts that the Commission failed to address
    the concern that “when portions of a business are unprofitable,
    it detracts from the attractiveness to investors of the business
    as a whole.” Op. at 20. But the Commission directly addressed
    that concern when it found that Ameren had failed to present
    evidence showing a threat to its overall financial integrity as
    20
    would warrant finding the challenged orders were confiscatory.
    August Order 
    2016 P. 16
    . Somehow the court overlooks that
    Ameren’s laser-like focus is on regaining unilateral control
    over funding network upgrades. See August 2016 Order P 15.
    Hope does not require this, for reasons the Commission
    explained. Commission precedent likewise points the other
    way. Absent evidence that the challenged orders will cause
    generator-funded network upgrades to occupy so “significant
    [a] fraction” of Ameren’s business as would jeopardize its
    overall financial integrity, the Commission’s reasons for
    rejecting unilateral transmission owner control were not
    arbitrary or capricious. Vacating the challenged orders at this
    juncture is inconsistent with the record before the Commission,
    its findings and determinations in allocating capital costs, and
    the court’s deferential standard of review.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 16-1075

Citation Numbers: 880 F.3d 571

Filed Date: 1/26/2018

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

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