United States v. Queen Nwoye , 824 F.3d 1129 ( 2016 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued February 22, 2016             Decided June 10, 2016
    No. 14-3060
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    APPELLEE
    v.
    QUEEN NWOYE,
    APPELLANT
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:07-cr-00012-1)
    A.J. Kramer, Federal Public Defender, argued the cause
    and filed the briefs for appellant.
    Karen P. Seifert, Assistant U.S. Attorney, argued the
    cause for appellee. On the brief were Elizabeth Trosman,
    Frederick Yette, James Sweeney, and David P. Saybolt,
    Assistant U.S. Attorneys.
    Before: KAVANAUGH, Circuit Judge, and EDWARDS and
    SENTELLE, Senior Circuit Judges.
    2
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge
    KAVANAUGH, with whom Senior Circuit Judge EDWARDS
    joins.
    Dissenting opinion filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    SENTELLE.
    KAVANAUGH, Circuit Judge: A woman named Queen
    Nwoye was convicted of conspiring with her boyfriend,
    Adriane Osuagwu, to extort money from a prominent doctor
    with whom Nwoye had previously had an affair. At trial,
    Nwoye testified that she acted under duress: She said that
    Osuagwu repeatedly beat her and forced her to participate in
    the extortion scheme. Despite asserting a duress defense
    based on Osuagwu’s repeated abuse of Nwoye, Nwoye’s
    counsel did not introduce expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome. At the close of trial, Nwoye’s counsel requested a
    jury instruction on duress, but the District Court denied the
    request. A jury then convicted Nwoye of conspiracy to
    commit extortion.
    On direct appeal, Nwoye challenged the District Court’s
    failure to instruct the jury on duress. This Court rejected the
    challenge, with Judge Tatel dissenting. But the Court
    indicated that it was rejecting Nwoye’s challenge in part
    because Nwoye had failed to introduce expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome. Such expert testimony, the Court
    suggested, may have entitled Nwoye to a duress instruction.
    Nwoye then moved to vacate the conviction based on
    alleged ineffective assistance of trial counsel. A claim of
    ineffective assistance of counsel requires the defendant to
    show (i) that counsel’s performance was constitutionally
    deficient and (ii) that the ineffective assistance prejudiced the
    defendant. On the first prong, the deficiency prong, Nwoye
    claimed that competent trial counsel would have introduced
    3
    expert testimony on battered woman syndrome. On the
    second prong, the prejudice prong, Nwoye claimed that such
    expert testimony would have led the District Court to instruct
    the jury on duress. And Nwoye further argued that the
    combination of the expert testimony and the duress instruction
    would have created a reasonable doubt respecting her guilt.
    The District Court denied Nwoye’s ineffective-
    assistance-of-counsel claim. The District Court held that
    Nwoye was not prejudiced by trial counsel’s failure to
    introduce expert testimony on battered woman syndrome.
    The District Court therefore did not need to (and did not)
    decide whether counsel’s performance was constitutionally
    deficient.
    Although the prejudice question is close, we see it
    differently than the District Court did. We conclude that
    Nwoye was prejudiced by trial counsel’s failure to introduce
    expert testimony on battered woman syndrome. We therefore
    reverse the judgment of the District Court, and we remand so
    that the District Court may decide whether Nwoye’s counsel
    was constitutionally deficient in failing to present such
    testimony.
    I
    A
    In January 2007, a woman named Queen Nwoye was
    indicted for conspiring with her then-boyfriend, Adriane
    Osuagwu, to extort money from Ikemba Iweala. Iweala was a
    prominent doctor. He and Nwoye had previously had an
    affair. Over the course of 49 days in 2006, Osuagwu and
    Nwoye repeatedly threatened Iweala that they would
    publicize his prior relationship with Nwoye unless Iweala
    paid them. Their threats were effective. Iweala made six
    4
    separate payments to Osuagwu and Nwoye, totaling almost
    $200,000.
    At Nwoye’s trial, Nwoye admitted to engaging in the
    alleged extortion but testified that Osuagwu had coerced her
    participation through his physically abusive and controlling
    behavior.     According to Nwoye, her relationship with
    Osuagwu turned abusive shortly after they started dating in
    2005. Osuagwu would frequently slap Nwoye with his hand,
    hit her with his shoe, and beat her on her face and body.
    Later, Osuagwu’s physical violence escalated. Osuagwu beat
    Nwoye when she initially refused to introduce him to Iweala.
    Whenever she objected to the extortion, Osuagwu would beat
    her “like a drum.” And on one occasion when Nwoye did not
    play her part in the extortion scheme, Osuagwu slapped
    Nwoye and threatened to “strangle” and “kill” her if the
    scheme were exposed.
    Nwoye further testified that Osuagwu exerted financial
    and psychological control over her. Osuagwu forced Nwoye
    to hand over her ATM card and PIN. In addition, Nwoye and
    her children lived with Osuagwu at Osuagwu’s home in
    Maryland. Nwoye testified that Osuagwu – the only person
    who knew that she lived at the house – would often threaten
    to kill Nwoye and bury her inside the house. Nwoye also
    testified that she was afraid to report Osuagwu to the police
    because Osuagwu had told her that he was a former FBI
    agent.
    At the same time, Nwoye’s testimony revealed that
    Osuagwu did not have direct physical control over Nwoye at
    all times. While Nwoye attended nursing school or worked at
    a hospital for three days a week, she was apart from
    Osuagwu. And Osuagwu spent at least a few days in
    California while Nwoye remained in Maryland.
    5
    But even while they were apart, Osuagwu constantly
    monitored Nwoye. He forced Nwoye to keep her phone with
    her and demanded that she answer promptly, even going so
    far as to require Nwoye to wear a Bluetooth earpiece during
    class at nursing school.
    B
    Despite the significant evidence of Nwoye’s abusive
    relationship with Osuagwu, Nwoye’s trial counsel did not
    seek to introduce expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome.
    Battered woman syndrome is a term that was coined by
    Dr. Lenore Walker in the late 1970s to describe the
    psychological and behavioral traits common to women who
    are exposed to severe, repeated domestic abuse. See LENORE
    E. WALKER, THE BATTERED WOMAN SYNDROME (1984);
    LENORE E. WALKER, THE BATTERED WOMAN (1979). Dr.
    Walker’s theory was that women subject to cyclical domestic
    abuse develop psychological paralysis – or “learned
    helplessness” – that renders them unable to escape abusive
    relationships. See WALKER, BATTERED WOMAN SYNDROME
    at 86-97.1
    1
    Although the majority of domestic violence victims are
    women, some cases involve victims who are men. See Department
    of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics, Intimate Partner Violence,
    1993-2010 1 (Nov. 2012, rev. Sept. 2015) (“From 1994 to 2010,
    about 4 in 5 victims of intimate partner violence were female.”).
    Some scholars have advocated abandoning the term “battered
    woman syndrome” in favor of the label “battering and its effects.”
    See, e.g., Mary Ann Dutton, Update of the “Battered Woman
    Syndrome” Critique, National Online Resource Center on Violence
    Against Women (Aug. 2009). We use the term “battered woman
    syndrome” in this opinion because the term is commonly used by
    6
    Since the advent of Dr. Walker’s influential research,
    courts have admitted expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome to support claims of duress and self-defense. See
    Janet Parrish, Trend Analysis: Expert Testimony on Battering
    and Its Effects in Criminal Cases, in DEPARTMENT OF JUSTICE
    ET AL., THE VALIDITY AND USE OF EVIDENCE CONCERNING
    BATTERING AND ITS EFFECTS IN CRIMINAL TRIALS pt. II, at 19,
    21-22, 28 (1996) (hereinafter DOJ REPORT).
    C
    At Nwoye’s trial, Nwoye’s counsel did not present expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome. Counsel instead
    staked Nwoye’s duress defense entirely on Nwoye’s own trial
    testimony. At the close of trial, Nwoye’s counsel requested a
    jury instruction on duress. To be entitled to an instruction on
    duress, Nwoye had to present sufficient evidence (i) that she
    acted under an unlawful threat of imminent death or serious
    bodily injury and (ii) that there was no reasonable alternative
    to participating in the extortion scheme. See United States v.
    Jenrette, 
    744 F.2d 817
    , 820-21 (D.C. Cir. 1984).
    The District Court ruled that Nwoye had not presented
    sufficient evidence on the second prong of duress – the no-
    reasonable-alternative prong – and therefore declined to give
    the duress instruction. The jury then convicted Nwoye of
    conspiracy to commit extortion, and the District Court
    sentenced Nwoye to 20 months in prison, followed by three
    years of supervised release.2
    courts and because it describes the alleged circumstances in this
    case.
    2
    For his part, Osuagwu pled guilty to conspiracy and was
    sentenced to 22 months in prison.
    7
    Nwoye appealed, challenging the District Court’s
    decision not to give the duress instruction. This Court
    affirmed. United States v. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d 460
     (D.C. Cir.
    2011). The Court explained that Nwoye had a number of
    reasonable alternatives to participating in the extortion
    scheme, including reporting Osuagwu to police or to friends
    and co-workers when she was at school or work, away from
    Osuagwu. 
    Id. at 462-65
    .
    The Court also stressed that although Nwoye had testified
    about the abuse she suffered, she failed to present “other usual
    indicia supporting a BWS defense – expert witnesses
    testifying to the effects of isolation, financial dependence, or
    estrangement from family members.” 
    Id. at 465
    . Therefore,
    the Court concluded that Nwoye was not entitled to a jury
    instruction on duress.
    Judge Tatel dissented. In his view, Nwoye’s testimony
    concerning Osuagwu’s threats and abuse amounted to “more
    than enough evidence to have warranted a duress instruction.”
    
    Id. at 468
    .
    D
    In 2013, after the termination of her supervised release,
    Nwoye filed a motion to vacate her conviction.3 Nwoye
    3
    On appeal, Nwoye has characterized her post-conviction
    motion as a petition for a writ of coram nobis. “A petition for a
    writ of coram nobis provides a way to collaterally attack a criminal
    conviction for a person . . . who is no longer ‘in custody’ and
    therefore cannot seek habeas relief under 
    28 U.S.C. § 2255
     or
    § 2241.” Chaidez v. United States, 
    133 S. Ct. 1103
    , 1106 n.1
    (2013). The Government does not dispute that a petition for a writ
    of coram nobis is an appropriate way for Nwoye to seek redress for
    8
    claimed that her trial counsel was constitutionally ineffective
    because counsel failed to call an expert witness to testify
    about battered woman syndrome. To establish that her
    counsel was constitutionally ineffective, Nwoye had to prove
    (i) that her counsel’s performance was constitutionally
    deficient and (ii) that counsel’s ineffective assistance
    prejudiced her. Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 687
    (1984).
    The District Court held an evidentiary hearing to allow
    Nwoye to present the expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome that Nwoye argued should have been offered at
    trial. At the hearing, Nwoye’s expert – Dr. Carole Giunta –
    testified extensively about battered woman syndrome in
    general. Dr. Giunta also opined that Nwoye’s relationship
    with Osuagwu exhibited the “classic dynamics” of a battering
    relationship.
    After considering this new evidence, the District Court
    denied Nwoye’s motion to vacate her conviction. United
    States v. Nwoye, 
    60 F. Supp. 3d 225
     (D.D.C. 2014). Applying
    the two-part test for ineffective-assistance claims, the District
    Court ultimately did not decide whether trial counsel’s alleged
    failures rose to the level of a constitutional deficiency.
    Instead, the District Court decided that Nwoye was, in any
    event, not prejudiced by the lack of expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome. The District Court reasoned that
    such testimony still would not have satisfied the second prong
    of duress – the no-reasonable-alternative prong – and that the
    testimony therefore would not have entitled Nwoye to a jury
    instruction on duress. 
    Id. at 236-42
    . For that reason, the
    her claim of ineffective assistance of counsel. See United States v.
    Newman, 
    805 F.3d 1143
    , 1146 (D.C. Cir. 2015).
    9
    District Court held that Nwoye had not made out a successful
    claim of ineffective assistance of counsel.
    II
    Nwoye claims that her trial counsel was constitutionally
    ineffective because counsel failed to present expert testimony
    on battered woman syndrome. To reiterate, a defendant
    claiming ineffective assistance of counsel must show that (i)
    “counsel’s representation fell below an objective standard of
    reasonableness” and (ii) “the deficient performance
    prejudiced the defense.” Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 687-88 (1984). The District Court held that trial
    counsel’s failure to present expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome was not prejudicial. The District Court thus
    did not need to (and did not) decide whether trial counsel’s
    failure to present such testimony was constitutionally
    deficient.
    On appeal, therefore, the only issue for us to decide is
    whether the failure of Nwoye’s trial counsel to present expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome was prejudicial. If
    so, then we must remand for the District Court to determine
    whether trial counsel was constitutionally deficient in failing
    to introduce such testimony. If not, then we must affirm. We
    review de novo the District Court’s denial of Nwoye’s claim
    of ineffective assistance of counsel, including the question
    whether Nwoye was prejudiced by her counsel’s allegedly
    deficient performance. See United States v. Abney, 
    812 F.3d 1079
    , 1086-87 (D.C. Cir. 2016).4 Although the dissent
    4
    Of course, we still review for clear error any findings of
    historical fact embedded in the District Court’s conclusions on
    deficient performance and prejudice. See Payne v. Stansberry, 
    760 F.3d 10
    , 13 (D.C. Cir. 2014); see also HARRY T. EDWARDS, LINDA
    A. ELLIOTT, & MARIN K. LEVY, FEDERAL STANDARDS OF REVIEW:
    10
    suggests that we should give some deference to the District
    Court, our case law is clear that the standard of review is de
    novo.
    To establish prejudice, Nwoye must demonstrate “a
    reasonable probability that, absent the errors, the factfinder
    would have had a reasonable doubt respecting guilt.”
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 695
    . To demonstrate a reasonable
    probability, Nwoye “need not show that counsel’s deficient
    conduct more likely than not altered the outcome in the case.”
    
    Id. at 693
    . She must demonstrate only “a probability
    sufficient to undermine confidence” in the verdict. 
    Id. at 694
    .
    Nwoye’s prejudice argument proceeds in two steps:
    First, Nwoye argues that expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome would have entitled her to a jury instruction on the
    defense of duress. Second, she claims that a duress
    instruction, together with the expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome, would have created a “reasonable
    probability” that the jury “would have had a reasonable doubt
    respecting guilt.” 
    Id. at 695
    . Nwoye must succeed on both
    arguments to establish prejudice.
    We conclude first that expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome would have entitled Nwoye to a jury
    instruction on duress. And we conclude further that a duress
    instruction, together with the expert testimony, would have
    created a reasonable probability that the jury would have had
    a reasonable doubt respecting Nwoye’s guilt.
    REVIEW OF DISTRICT COURT DECISIONS AND AGENCY ACTIONS 1
    (2d ed. Supp. 2015) (When “courts determine that a particular
    mixed question of law and fact should be treated as a question of
    law and reviewed de novo, subsidiary findings of fact are properly
    reviewed under the clearly erroneous standard of review.”).
    11
    A
    As this Court stated on Nwoye’s direct appeal, a
    defendant is entitled to a jury instruction on any recognized
    affirmative defense “if there is sufficient evidence from which
    a reasonable jury could find for the defendant on that theory.”
    United States v. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d 460
    , 462 (D.C. Cir. 2011)
    (internal quotation marks omitted). To obtain an instruction
    on the affirmative defense of duress, a defendant must
    produce sufficient evidence (i) that “she acted under an
    unlawful threat of imminent death or serious bodily injury,”
    and (ii) that there was no “reasonable, legal alternative to
    committing the crime.”         
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks
    omitted).
    On direct appeal, this Court held that the evidence
    Nwoye presented at trial was insufficient to support a duress
    instruction. 
    Id. at 462-65
    . In so ruling, however, the Court
    emphasized that Nwoye had not introduced expert testimony
    on battered woman syndrome. 
    Id. at 465
    . The Court
    indicated (or at least implied) that Nwoye might have been
    entitled to a duress instruction had she introduced such
    testimony. We now must decide that question.
    The question, put simply, is whether expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome would have moved the evidentiary
    needle enough to entitle Nwoye to a duress instruction. To
    answer that question, we must initially assess whether, in
    general, expert testimony on battered woman syndrome can
    be admissible to prove duress – that is, whether it can be
    reliable and can be relevant to the duress defense. If so, then
    we next must assess whether the particular expert testimony
    proffered by Nwoye in her post-conviction proceeding was
    reliable and would have provided relevant evidence at
    Nwoye’s trial. Finally, if Nwoye’s expert testimony would
    12
    have been admissible, we must determine whether the
    introduction of such testimony at Nwoye’s trial would have
    entitled her to a jury instruction on duress.
    We now address those three questions in turn.
    1
    For expert testimony to be admissible in federal court, it
    must be both reliable and relevant. See FED. R. EVID. 702;
    Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 
    509 U.S. 579
    ,
    589 (1993).
    As to reliability, trial judges possess “considerable
    leeway in deciding in a particular case how to go about
    determining whether particular expert testimony is reliable.”
    Kumho Tire Co. v. Carmichael, 
    526 U.S. 137
    , 152 (1999). At
    bottom, though, the expert’s opinion must have “a reliable
    basis in the knowledge and experience of his discipline.” 
    Id. at 148
    .
    The Government does not dispute that expert testimony
    on battered woman syndrome can be reliable. And several
    courts of appeals have permitted the admission of expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome. See United States v.
    Young, 
    316 F.3d 649
    , 656-59 (7th Cir. 2002); Arcoren v.
    United States, 
    929 F.2d 1235
    , 1241 (8th Cir. 1991). None has
    held that such testimony is categorically unreliable, so far as
    we are aware. Given the history of expert testimony on this
    subject and the extensive literature, we too agree that expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome can be reliable,
    assuming of course that the expert can demonstrate sufficient
    expertise to meet the usual requirements for experts to testify
    on a subject.
    13
    To be admissible in support of a duress defense, expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome must also be relevant
    to proving duress. Most courts that have considered the
    question – especially in recent years – have recognized that
    expert testimony on battered woman syndrome can be
    relevant to prove duress. See Dando v. Yukins, 
    461 F.3d 791
    ,
    801 (6th Cir. 2006); United States v. Dixon, 
    413 F.3d 520
    ,
    524 & n.3 (5th Cir. 2005); United States v. Ceballos, 
    593 F. Supp. 2d 1054
    , 1060-62 (S.D. Iowa 2009); United States v.
    Marenghi, 
    893 F. Supp. 85
    , 91-97 (D. Me. 1995); Wonnum v.
    State, 
    942 A.2d 569
    , 572-73 (Del. 2007); Commonwealth v.
    Pike, 
    726 N.E.2d 940
    , 948 (Mass. 2000) (expert testimony
    assumed to be relevant to prove duress); People v. Romero, 
    13 Cal. Rptr. 2d 332
     (1992), rev’d on other grounds, 
    883 P.2d 388
     (Cal. 1994); but see United States v. Willis, 
    38 F.3d 170
    ,
    174-77 (5th Cir. 1994); State v. B.H., 
    870 A.2d 273
    , 289-91
    (N.J. 2005) (expert testimony irrelevant to reasonableness of
    duress defense).
    We agree with the majority of the courts that expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome can be relevant to the
    duress defense. The reason, put simply, is that the duress
    defense requires a defendant to have acted reasonably under
    the circumstances, and expert testimony can help a jury assess
    whether a battered woman’s actions were reasonable.
    Reasonableness is the touchstone of a duress defense. To
    satisfy the first prong of the duress defense, the defendant
    must have acted under the influence of a reasonable fear of
    imminent death or serious bodily harm at the time of the
    alleged crime. See 2 WAYNE R. LAFAVE, SUBSTANTIVE
    CRIMINAL LAW § 9.7(b) (2d ed. 2003) (“the danger need not
    be real; it is enough if the defendant reasonably believes it to
    be real”); see also United States v. Jenrette, 
    744 F.2d 817
    ,
    820-21 (D.C. Cir. 1984). And to satisfy the second prong of
    14
    the defense, there must have been no “reasonable, legal
    alternative to committing the crime.” Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d at 462
    (emphasis added). Whether an alternative is reasonable turns
    on whether a reasonable person would have availed herself of
    it.
    Reasonableness – under both the imminence prong and
    the no-reasonable-alternative prong – is not assessed in the
    abstract. Rather, any assessment of the reasonableness of a
    defendant’s actions must take into account the defendant’s
    “particular circumstances,” at least to a certain extent. See 
    id. at 464
    ; see also Model Penal Code § 2.09 (duress defense
    appropriate whenever a “person of reasonable firmness in his
    situation would have been unable to resist” threat of unlawful
    force) (emphasis added).
    The circumstances that juries have historically considered
    in assessing reasonableness have been factors “that
    differentiate the actor from another, like his size, strength,
    age, or health,” as well as facts known to the defendant at the
    time in question, such as the defendant’s knowledge of an
    assailant’s violent reputation. Model Penal Code § 2.09 cmt.
    at 375 (1985); Smith v. United States, 
    161 U.S. 85
    , 88 (1896).
    On the other hand, courts have typically precluded juries from
    considering factors such as the defendant’s particular
    “psychological incapacity” or her “clarity of judgment,
    suggestibility or moral insight.” Model Penal Code § 2.09
    cmt. at 373-74 (1985).
    Thus, whether expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome is relevant to the duress defense turns on whether
    such testimony can identify any aspects of the defendant’s
    “particular circumstances” that can help the jury assess the
    reasonableness of her actions. Examination of the particulars
    of the duress defense shows that expert testimony on battered
    15
    woman syndrome can indeed identify relevant aspects of a
    battered woman’s particular circumstances.
    With respect to the first prong of the duress defense – the
    imminent-harm prong – women in battering relationships are
    often “hypervigilant to cues of impending danger and
    accurately perceive the seriousness of the situation before
    another person who had not been repeatedly abused might
    recognize the danger.” Lenore E.A. Walker, Battered Women
    Syndrome and Self-Defense, 6 NOTRE DAME J.L. ETHICS &
    PUB. POL’Y 321, 324 (1992). Remarks or gestures that may
    seem harmless to the average observer might be reasonably
    understood to presage imminent and severe violence when
    viewed against the backdrop of the batterer’s particular
    pattern of violence. As our colleague Judge Brown stated
    while on the California Supreme Court: “Although a jury
    might not find the appearances sufficient to provoke a
    reasonable person’s fear, they might conclude otherwise as to
    a reasonable person’s perception of the reality when
    enlightened by expert testimony on the concept of
    hypervigilance.” People v. Humphrey, 
    921 P.2d 1
    , 17 (Cal.
    1996) (Brown, J., concurring).
    Regarding the second prong of the duress defense – the
    no-reasonable-alternative prong – battered women face
    significant impediments to leaving abusive relationships.
    Most importantly, battered women who leave their abusers
    risk a retaliatory escalation in violence against themselves or
    those close to them – sometimes termed “separation abuse.”
    Mary Ann Dutton, Validity of “Battered Woman Syndrome”
    in Criminal Cases Involving Battered Women, in DOJ REPORT
    pt. I, at 14-15; Desmond Ellis, Post-Separation Woman
    Abuse: The Contribution of Lawyers as “Barracudas,”
    “Advocates,” and “Counsellors,” 10 INT’L J.L. &
    PSYCHIATRY 403, 408 (1987). For example, studies have
    16
    suggested that women in battering relationships are more
    likely to be killed by their batterers after separating from
    them. See Dutton, Validity of “Battered Woman Syndrome”
    in Criminal Cases Involving Battered Women (citing Margo
    Wilson et al., Uxoricide in Canada: Demographic Risk
    Patterns, 35 CANADIAN J. CRIMINOLOGY 263, 263-91 (1993)),
    in DOJ REPORT pt. I, at 14. In addition, batterers often isolate
    their victims and exert financial control over them, rendering
    separation a significant burden. See LENORE E. WALKER, THE
    BATTERED WOMAN, 129-32 (1979). Expert testimony on
    those impediments to separation can help explain why a
    battered woman did not take advantage of an otherwise
    reasonable-sounding opportunity to avoid committing the
    alleged crime.
    In short, expert testimony on battered woman syndrome
    can be relevant to both prongs of the duress defense.
    Our conclusion is further supported by the decisions of
    the vast majority of courts that have long held that expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome can be relevant in the
    analogous context of self-defense. See, e.g., Humphrey, 921
    P.2d at 8-9; State v. Kelly, 
    478 A.2d 364
    , 377-78 (N.J. 1984);
    Ibn-Tamas v. United States, 
    407 A.2d 626
    , 631-35 (D.C.
    1979); see also Janet Parrish, Trend Analysis: Expert
    Testimony on Battering and Its Effects in Criminal Cases, in
    DOJ REPORT pt. II, at 19, 28. The elements of self-defense
    are similar to the elements of duress: To establish a claim of
    self-defense in most jurisdictions, a defendant must prove that
    she reasonably believed her use of force was necessary to
    prevent imminent death or serious bodily harm. See 2
    LAFAVE, SUBSTANTIVE CRIMINAL LAW § 10.4. Thus, if
    battered woman syndrome can be relevant to prove self-
    17
    defense (as virtually all courts accept), it likewise should be
    relevant to prove duress.5
    In sum, we conclude that expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome may be admissible as a general matter to
    prove duress because such testimony can be reliable and can
    be relevant to both prongs of the duress defense.
    2
    The next question is whether expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome would have been reliable and
    relevant in Nwoye’s case. We conclude that it would have
    been.
    To begin with, the Government does not argue that the
    expert testimony from Dr. Giunta that Nwoye proffered in her
    post-conviction proceeding was unreliable. And we have no
    reason to question its reliability.
    Nwoye’s expert testimony, moreover, would certainly
    have been relevant to Nwoye’s defense. This Court suggested
    as much on Nwoye’s direct appeal by noting the conspicuous
    absence of expert testimony on battered woman syndrome at
    Nwoye’s trial. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d at 465
    . And the Government
    does not dispute that Nwoye’s trial testimony strongly
    5
    The Government points out that the defenses of self-defense
    and duress are distinct in one sense: Defendants who act in self-
    defense often injure morally culpable individuals – the initial
    aggressors – while defendants who act under duress often injure
    blameless third parties. Thus, the Government argues, the duress
    defense should be more narrowly circumscribed in order to protect
    innocent third parties. Maybe so. But the proper response to such a
    fundamental mismatch between the defenses would be to make
    wholesale changes to the duress defense rather than to tweak on an
    ad hoc basis the kinds of evidence that are relevant to duress.
    18
    suggested that she had been a victim of a battering
    relationship. An expert on battered woman syndrome could
    therefore have helped the jury assess the reasonableness of
    Nwoye’s actions, as we described above.
    3
    The next question is whether expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome would have entitled Nwoye to a
    duress instruction in this case. On Nwoye’s direct appeal,
    when we rejected Nwoye’s claim that she was entitled to a
    duress instruction, we pointed specifically to the absence of
    “expert witnesses testifying to the effects of isolation,
    financial dependence, or estrangement from family
    members.” 
    Id.
     We now conclude that the introduction of
    such testimony at Nwoye’s trial would have entitled Nwoye
    to a duress instruction.
    Perhaps most critically, expert testimony on the
    likelihood of retaliatory violence upon separation could have
    provided a plausible explanation for why Nwoye failed to
    extricate herself from the extortion scheme. Nwoye may have
    feared that any attempt to leave Osuagwu would have resulted
    in still greater violence. Moreover, Nwoye may have
    reasonably believed that reporting Osuagwu to the police (or
    others) would have been unlikely to result in his immediate
    arrest and would have therefore placed her at greater risk in
    the interim. Thus, Nwoye’s testimony concerning Osuagwu’s
    abuse, supplemented by expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome, would have constituted “sufficient evidence from
    which a reasonable jury could find” for Nwoye on a theory of
    duress. 
    Id. at 462
    .
    It may be helpful here to take a step back so that the
    reader does not miss the forest for the trees. The concept of
    battered woman syndrome fits this case to a T. A woman was
    19
    beaten repeatedly by her boyfriend. Some outsiders may
    question why she didn’t just leave her boyfriend. But the
    expert testimony would help explain why.                 For the
    Government to come in now and say that such expert
    testimony, combined with Nwoye’s own testimony about the
    beatings, still would not entitle her to a duress instruction is to
    say in essence that battered woman syndrome does not matter,
    at least in duress cases. We do not agree with that suggestion.
    B
    To this point, we have concluded that expert testimony
    on battered woman syndrome would have entitled Nwoye to a
    jury instruction on duress. To make out her claim of
    prejudice for purposes of the ineffective-assistance-of-counsel
    inquiry, Nwoye also must show that expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome, together with the duress
    instruction, would have created a “reasonable probability that
    . . . the result of the proceeding would have been different.”
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    . To repeat what we noted above,
    Nwoye does not need to show that the expert testimony and
    the jury instruction “more likely than not” would have
    produced an acquittal. 
    Id. at 693
    . She must demonstrate only
    “a probability sufficient to undermine confidence” in the
    verdict. 
    Id. at 694
    .
    It can be difficult for a reviewing court (whether a district
    court or a court of appeals) to determine how additional
    evidence or an additional jury instruction would have affected
    a trial. It is inherently a speculative exercise. In this case,
    however, we conclude that Nwoye has demonstrated a
    reasonable probability that the jury would have had a
    reasonable doubt respecting her guilt.
    At trial, Nwoye admitted to participating in the extortion
    scheme, but said she did so at the direction of Osuagwu.
    20
    Based on that testimony, Nwoye’s only possible defense was
    that she acted under duress. But due in part to trial counsel’s
    failure to present expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome, Nwoye was denied a jury instruction on duress.
    And the District Court specifically precluded Nwoye’s
    counsel from mentioning duress during closing arguments.
    Thus, the failure of Nwoye’s counsel to present expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome deprived Nwoye of
    any viable legal avenue to acquittal.
    With an instruction on duress, together with expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome, there is at least a
    reasonable probability that the jury “would have had a
    reasonable doubt respecting guilt.” 
    Id. at 695
    . Under very
    similar circumstances, the Sixth Circuit held that an attorney’s
    failure to introduce expert testimony on battered woman
    syndrome prejudiced a defendant who pled guilty to robbery
    and related charges. See Dando v. Yukins, 
    461 F.3d 791
     (6th
    Cir. 2006). The Court reasoned that, if counsel had
    introduced such testimony, the defendant would have had a
    sufficient evidentiary basis for a duress defense. And if the
    defendant had proceeded to trial on a theory of duress, there
    would have been a “likelihood of a favorable outcome at trial”
    such that the defendant’s counsel would not have
    recommended that the defendant take a guilty plea. 
    Id. at 800-02
    .
    A similar analysis applies here. The duress instruction
    would have given jurors a legal basis upon which to vote not
    guilty. And as discussed above, the expert testimony on
    battered woman syndrome would have supported both
    elements of Nwoye’s duress defense: the imminence of the
    threat and the absence of reasonable alternatives. In addition,
    expert testimony on battered woman syndrome would have
    bolstered the credibility of Nwoye’s testimony about
    21
    Osuagwu’s abuse. Jurors faced with testimony from a
    battered woman concerning her abuse and its effects may
    doubt the testimony because they do not believe that a woman
    subject to such abuse would stay with her abuser without
    alerting police or others. Expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome could have helped Nwoye “dispel the
    ordinary lay person’s perception that a woman in a battering
    relationship is free to leave at any time.” Humphrey, 921 P.2d
    at 9; see also Kelly, 478 A.2d at 377.
    Those factors add up to a reasonable probability that the
    jury would have had a reasonable doubt respecting guilt if
    expert testimony on battered woman syndrome had been
    presented at Nwoye’s trial. The jury of course could still have
    convicted Nwoye; for example, the jury could have
    disbelieved that Nwoye was telling the truth about the abuse
    in the first place or could have been unpersuaded by the
    expert testimony. But for present purposes on appeal, we
    have no basis to question that Nwoye has told the truth about
    being abused by Osuagwu or to question the expert testimony.
    (The Government does not argue otherwise.) On this record,
    we conclude that Nwoye’s testimony plus the expert
    testimony plus the duress instruction create at least a
    reasonable probability that the jury would have had a
    reasonable doubt respecting guilt. Nwoye was prejudiced by
    her counsel’s failure to present expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome.
    ***
    The District Court considered only the prejudice element
    of the inquiry into ineffective assistance of counsel. The
    District Court found no prejudice.         Because we have
    concluded that Nwoye was prejudiced by the failure of her
    trial counsel to introduce expert testimony on battered woman
    22
    syndrome, we remand for the District Court to consider in the
    first instance the other prong of the ineffective-assistance-of-
    counsel standard: whether the performance of Nwoye’s
    counsel fell below an objective standard of reasonableness. If
    counsel’s performance was constitutionally deficient, then
    Nwoye will have established ineffective assistance of counsel
    and will be entitled to have her conviction vacated. We
    reverse the judgment of the District Court and remand for
    further proceedings.
    So ordered.
    SENTELLE, Senior Circuit Judge, dissenting: This case
    returns to us on a petition for writ of coram nobis, testing a
    criminal conviction previously affirmed by us on direct appeal
    in United States v. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d 460
     (D.C. Cir. 2011). In the
    original version, we considered an argument that the trial court
    had erred in refusing a defense request for an instruction on a
    duress defense. We affirmed the district court, holding that “a
    defendant is only entitled to an instruction on a theory of duress
    if there is ‘sufficient evidence from which a reasonable jury
    could find’ for the defendant on that theory.” 
    Id. at 462
     (quoting
    United States v. Akhigbe, 
    642 F.3d 1078
    , 1083 (D.C. Cir.
    2011)). Appellant Nwoye returns, alleging that her trial counsel
    rendered ineffective assistance in not presenting expert
    testimony on the battered woman syndrome and that she was
    prejudiced thereby. The district court was unconvinced, for
    reasons expressed in a most able opinion, United States v.
    Nwoye, 
    60 F. Supp. 3d 225
     (D.D.C. 2014). My colleagues on
    this court reason differently than the district judge. I consider
    the district judge’s reasoning the more compelling, and I will
    quote from it extensively herein.
    As the majority sets forth, to prevail on the claim for
    ineffective assistance of counsel, a petitioning defendant must
    establish two elements: “(i) ‘counsel’s representation fell below
    an objective standard of reasonableness’ and (ii) ‘the deficient
    performance prejudiced the defense.’” Maj. Op. at 9 (quoting
    Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 687-88 (1984)). The
    district court pretermitted the first question and proceeded to
    determine that counsel’s decision not to introduce expert
    evidence on the subject of battered woman syndrome was not
    prejudicial. Because the majority deems the district court to
    have erred in the second part of its decision, we finish in the odd
    posture of sending the matter back for the resolution of the
    preliminary question. Be that as it may, in my view, the district
    2
    court did not err on the second prong, so like the majority, I will
    find it unnecessary to draw a resolution on the first.
    I would note in passing that in judging the degree, if not the
    kind, of counsel’s ineffectiveness, we have never before this
    case ruled on the admissibility of expert testimony on battered
    woman syndrome to a claimed defense of duress. As the district
    court noted, “Traditionally, expert testimony on BWS has been
    limited to cases where a defendant puts forward the affirmative
    defense of self-defense.” 60 F. Supp. 3d at 237. While I do not
    dispute the majority’s extension of the relevance to a duress
    defense in appropriate cases, I do find it less than shocking that
    the trial counsel did not more vigorously pursue the possibility
    in a pioneering posture than would have been the case had the
    defense been self defense. Be that as it may, as the majority
    notes, the issue directly confronting us is whether counsel’s
    failure, construed as ineffective assistance, “prejudiced the
    defense.” As the majority states, “Nwoye . . . must show that
    expert testimony on battered woman syndrome, together with
    the duress instruction, would have created a ‘reasonable
    probability that . . . the result of the proceeding would have been
    different.’” Maj. Op. at 19 (quoting Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    ).
    Like the district court, I am not convinced that she has made this
    showing.
    To be entitled to an instruction on the defense of duress, a
    defendant must introduce at least some evidence on the two
    elements of the defense: (1) that the defendant acted under the
    threat of immediate death or serious bodily injury, and (2) that
    the defendant had no reasonable legal alternative to committing
    the crime. See United States v. Gaviria, 
    116 F.3d 1498
    , 1531
    (D.C. Cir. 1997). Importantly, in the context of the present case,
    defendant must not only show some evidence on these two
    elements, she must also establish that if counsel had proffered
    the evidence (which he did except for the expert testimony), the
    3
    judge had allowed it in, and the judge had based instruction
    thereon, the jury result would have been different. The record
    simply does not support the majority’s conclusion on this cluster
    of issues.
    As the district court put it, the trial judge
    provided the defendant with ample opportunity to present
    evidence in support of both of these necessary elements.
    She permitted the defendant to testify at length about the
    abuse that she said she had suffered at the hands of Mr.
    Osuagwu. In addition to Ms. Nwoye’s testimony about her
    abuse, the judge also heard evidence that undercut
    defendant’s theory of the case, including evidence that (1)
    Mr. Osuagwu frequently left the D.C.-Maryland area
    without her, taking trips to California that lasted days or
    weeks; (2) Ms. Nwoye left Mr. Osuagwu and returned to
    her husband in the summer of 2006 without incident; and
    (3) Ms. Nwoye eventually contacted the Nigerian security
    services regarding Mr. Osuagwu’s criminal behavior.
    60 F. Supp. 3d at 240.
    Based on this evidence, the district court did not submit the
    duress instruction as requested. The jury returned a verdict of
    guilty. Then, as the district court noted, this court reviewed and
    affirmed the district court’s decision.
    In so doing, we
    noted that Ms. Nwoye regularly left her home to attend
    nursing school classes and to work at the hospital and was
    thus “physically separated” from Osuagwu. [United States
    v. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d at 463
    .] She also met alone with Dr.
    Iweala and did not tell him that she was being forced to
    4
    extort money from him. 
    Id.
     Most importantly, the court of
    appeals emphasized that “Osuagwu spent nearly two weeks
    in California, thousands of miles away from Nwoye,”
    giving her more than enough opportunity to notify law
    enforcement. 
    Id. at 463-64
    . “[A] defendant with such
    ‘countless opportunities to contact law enforcement
    authorities or [to] escape the perceived threats’ cannot as a
    matter of law avail herself of the duress defense.” 
    Id. at 464
     (quoting United States v. Scott, 
    901 F.2d 871
    , 874 (10th
    Cir. 1990)).
    Id. at 231. Further, with direct reference to Nwoye’s claim that
    she may have suffered from BWS, we explained that
    Nwoye suggests the mere whiff of [BWS] arising from
    these facts should alter the duress determination. . . . [But]
    her theory is devoid of the other usual indicia supporting a
    BWS defense—expert witnesses testifying to the effects of
    isolation, financial dependence, or estrangement from
    family members. Indeed, as discussed earlier, Nwoye had
    many alternative sources of protections and support[,] . . .
    [including] access to relatives, classmates, and teachers
    with whom she could seek refuge. [Furthermore,] [s]he was
    not under constant visual surveillance. The conspiracy in
    which she participated lasted for months, . . . [and there
    were] weeks in which Osuagwu was thousands of miles
    away.
    United States v. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d at 465
    .
    So seeing, we affirmed. Years later came the present
    petition for writ of coram nobis.
    The petition originally came back to the trial judge. Due to
    her having suffered serious injury, the matter was reassigned to
    5
    a different judge whose decision we now review. The district
    court heard the testimony of four witnesses, including a forensic
    psychologist, the defendant herself, trial counsel, and the public
    defender now representing Ms. Nwoye.
    With the trial record and the testimony of the four witnesses
    before him, the district judge applied the two-step analysis from
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 687-88
    , and correctly noted that “[t]he
    Strickland prejudice prong requires only a reasonable
    probability—that is, ‘a probability sufficient to undermine
    confidence in the outcome.’” 60 F. Supp. 3d at 234 (quoting
    Strickland, 
    466 U.S. at 694
    ).
    The district judge then explained that “‘the [duress]
    standard is . . . partially objective; the defense is not established
    simply by the fact that the defendant was coerced; he must have
    been coerced in circumstances under which a person of
    reasonable firmness in his situation would likewise have been
    unable to resist.’” 
    Id.
     at 238 n.6 (quoting Model Penal Code
    § 2.09, Explanatory Note (2001)) (emphasis added by the
    district court).
    Applying these standards, the district court reasoned:
    In the context of duress, this means that a judge must
    instruct a jury on the defense of duress only when the
    defendant presents at least some evidence on both of the
    necessary elements of the defense. “To prevail on a duress
    defense, a defendant must convince the jury that (1) she
    acted under the threat of immediate death or serious bodily
    injury, and (2) that she had no reasonable legal alternative
    to committing the crime, i.e., no chance both to refuse to do
    the criminal act and also to avoid the threatened harm.”
    Id. at 239 (quoting United States v. Nwoye, 
    663 F.3d at
    467
    6
    (Tatel, J., dissenting) (other internal quotation marks omitted)).
    With that and further reasoning, the court concluded, in my
    view reasonably, that “[b]ecause no amount of expert testimony
    could rectify [the] evidentiary deficiency, . . . there was no
    prejudice to the defendant by virtue of her lawyer’s failure to
    offer expert testimony on BWS for presentation to” the trial
    court. Id. at 241. “Rather, in order for the defendant to be
    entitled to a duress instruction, she must adduce evidence at trial
    showing that she herself in fact had no reasonable legal
    alternative.” Id. (citations omitted).
    As did the district court, I recognize, as the majority points
    out, that this court in the direct appeal noted the lack of expert
    testimony on battered woman syndrome. Maj. Op. at 7, 11.
    However, I am not sure that I share my colleagues’ conviction
    that the prior opinion “stressed” that omission, but rather listed
    it among a series of facts. Id. at 7. I finally suggest that we
    should remember what we are reviewing. The determination of
    probabilities of the effect of counterfactual circumstances
    partakes more of a decision of fact than of law. It is hornbook
    learning that we review factual decisions of district courts with
    deference. See generally Anderson v. City of Bessemer City,
    NC, 
    470 U.S. 564
     (1985). Indeed, Rule 52(a)(6) of the Federal
    Rules of Civil Procedure provides that “[f]indings of fact . . .
    must not be set aside unless clearly erroneous, and the reviewing
    court must give due regard to the trial court’s opportunity to
    judge the witnesses’ credibility.” While we may not be literally
    reviewing “a finding,” we are essentially reviewing a factual
    determination. In this case two district judges have had the
    benefit of the credibility of witnesses and the experience of
    making factual determinations. I would afford them that same
    deference.
    I therefore respectfully dissent.