Natl Assoc. of Manufacturers v. SEC , 800 F.3d 518 ( 2015 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Decided August 18, 2015
    No. 13-5252
    NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS, ET AL.,
    APPELLANTS
    v.
    SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, ET AL.,
    APPELLEES
    On Petitions For Panel Rehearing
    Peter D. Keisler, Jonathan F. Cohn, Erika L. Maley, Steven
    P. Lehotsky, Quentin Riegel, and Rachel L. Brand were on the
    briefs for appellants.
    Michael A. Conley, Deputy General Counsel, Securities and
    Exchange Commission, Tracey A. Hardin, Senior Counsel,
    Benjamin L. Schiffrin, Senior Litigation Counsel, and Daniel
    Staroselsky, Senior Counsel were on the briefs for appellees.
    Scott L. Nelson, Julie A. Murray, and Adina H. Rosenbaum
    were on the briefs for intervenors-appellees Amnesty
    International USA, et al.
    Ronald A. Fein, David Hunter Smith, David N. Rosen, and
    Jodi Westbrook Flowers were on the brief for amici curiae
    2
    Global Witness and Free Speech For People in support of appellees.
    Before: SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judge, and SENTELLE and
    RANDOLPH, Senior Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    RANDOLPH.
    Dissenting opinion filed by Circuit Judge SRINIVASAN.
    RANDOLPH, Senior Circuit Judge: We assume familiarity
    with our opinion in National Association of Manufacturers v.
    SEC, 
    748 F.3d 359
    (D.C. Cir. 2014) (“NAM”).1
    The subject of this rehearing is the intervening decision in
    American Meat Institute v. U.S. Department of Agriculture, 
    760 F.3d 18
    (D.C. Cir. 2014) (en banc) (“AMI”), and its treatment of
    Zauderer v. Office of Disciplinary Counsel of the Supreme Court
    of Ohio, 
    471 U.S. 626
    (1985).
    Justice White, writing for the majority in Zauderer,
    expressed the Court’s holding with his customary precision: we
    “hold,” he wrote, “that an advertiser’s [First Amendment] rights
    are adequately protected as long as disclosure requirements are
    reasonably related to the State’s interest in preventing deception
    of consumers.” 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    (italics added). In
    several opinions, our court therefore treated Zauderer as limited
    to compelled speech designed to cure misleading advertising.
    Government regulations forcing persons to engage in
    commercial speech for other purposes were evaluated under
    Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. v. Public Service
    1
    For ease of reference, our original opinion and the
    accompanying concurrence are reprinted in an Appendix to this
    opinion after the dissent.
    3
    Commission, 
    447 U.S. 557
    , 564-66 (1980), rather than
    Zauderer.2 See, e.g., R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. v. FDA, 
    696 F.3d 1205
    , 1213-17 (D.C. Cir. 2012); Nat’l Ass’n of Mfrs. v.
    NLRB, 
    717 F.3d 947
    , 959 n.18 (D.C. Cir. 2013).3
    Our initial opinion in this case adhered to circuit precedent
    and declined to apply Zauderer on the ground that the “conflict
    minerals”4 disclosures, compelled by the Dodd-Frank law and
    the implementing regulations of the Securities and Exchange
    Commission, were unrelated to curing consumer deception.
    
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 370-71
    .
    After our opinion in NAM issued, the en banc court in AMI
    decided that Zauderer covered more than a state’s forcing
    disclosures in order to cure what would otherwise be misleading
    2
    The Central Hudson standard is more demanding than
    Zauderer’s but much less exacting than the Supreme Court’s doctrines
    for evaluating non-commercial speech. See, e.g., Milavetz, Gallop &
    Milavetz, P.A. v. United States, 
    559 U.S. 229
    , 249 (2010); Ibanez v.
    Fla. Dep’t of Bus. & Prof’l Regulation, Bd. of Accountancy, 
    512 U.S. 136
    , 142 (1994).
    3
    See In re R.M.J., 
    455 U.S. 191
    , 203 (1982), holding that when
    the commercial advertising “is not misleading” the State’s regulations,
    including forced disclosures, must be tested under Central Hudson.
    The Supreme Court later interpreted R.M.J. to mean that when
    advertisements are “not inherently misleading,” state-compelled
    disclosures are to be tested by “Central Hudson’s intermediate
    scrutiny,” rather than by Zauderer’s looser standard. 
    Milavetz, 559 U.S. at 250
    . See also Glickman v. Wileman Bros. & Elliot, 
    Inc., 521 U.S. at 491
    (1997) (Souter, J., dissenting, joined by Chief Justice
    Rehnquist, and Justices Scalia and Thomas); Spirit Airlines, Inc. v.
    Dep’t of Transp., 
    687 F.3d 403
    , 412 (D.C. Cir. 2012).
    4
    Gold, tantalum, tin, and tungsten.
    4
    advertisements. 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 21-23
    . Some other
    governmental interests might suffice. Using Zauderer’s relaxed
    standard of review,5 AMI held that the federal government had
    not violated the First Amendment when it forced companies to
    list on the labels of their meat cuts the country in which the
    animal was born, raised, and slaughtered. 
    Id. at 23,
    27. It was
    of no moment that the governmental objective the AMI court
    identified as sufficient – enabling “consumers to choose
    American-made products,” 
    id. at 23
    – was one the government
    disavowed not only when the Department of Agriculture issued
    its regulations, but also when the Department of Justice
    defended them in our court, 
    id. at 25;
    id. at 46-47 
    (Brown, J.,
    dissenting).6 The AMI court therefore overruled the portion of
    5
    The AMI court held that Zauderer – unlike Central Hudson –
    does not require the government to prove that its disclosure
    requirement will accomplish its objective. 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 26
    .
    6
    The en banc court framed the governmental interest in terms of
    enabling consumers to buy American products, 
    id. at 23
    -24, but the
    government refrained from articulating any such interest. The only
    interest the government asserted in AMI was the open-ended,
    unbounded notion of providing consumers with information when they
    make their purchasing decisions.
    The government’s unwillingness to frame its interest in
    protectionist terms, as the en banc court did, is understandable. While
    AMI was pending before the panel, and then before the court en banc,
    the World Trade Organization was conducting a proceeding to
    determine whether the United States, by requiring country-of-origin
    labeling, violated its treaty obligations not to engage in protectionism.
    Canada and Mexico, joined by other countries, had filed a complaint
    so alleging.
    On October 20, 2014, after the AMI en banc opinion issued, the
    WTO compliance panel ruled against the United States. The panel
    held that the statute and regulations at issue in the AMI case violated
    5
    our decisions in NAM, R.J. Reynolds, and National Association
    of Manufacturers v. NLRB holding that the analysis in Zauderer
    was confined to government compelled disclosures designed to
    prevent the deception of consumers.
    In light of the AMI decision, we granted the petitions of the
    Securities and Exchange Commission and intervenor Amnesty
    International for rehearing to consider what effect, if any, AMI
    had on our judgment that the conflict minerals disclosure
    requirement in 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii) & (E), and the
    Commission’s final rule, 77 Fed. Reg. 56,274, 56,362-65,
    violated the First Amendment to the Constitution. See Order of
    November 18, 2014. For the reasons that follow we reaffirm our
    initial judgment.
    Before we offer our legal analysis, a pervasive theme of the
    dissent deserves a brief response. To support the conflict
    minerals disclosure rule, the dissent argues that the rule is valid
    because the United States is thick with laws forcing “[i]ssuers of
    securities” to “make all sorts of disclosures about their
    products,” Dissent at 1. Charles Dickens had a few words about
    this form of argumentation: “‘Whatever is is right’; an aphorism
    the treaty obligations of the United States because the regulations
    accord less favorable treatment to imported livestock than to domestic
    livestock. The WTO’s Appellate Body rejected the United States’
    appeal on May 18, 2015. GATT Dispute Panel on United States-
    Certain Country of Origin Labeling (COOL) Requirements, Article
    21.5 Panel Report (Oct. 20, 2014), Appellate Body Report (May 18,
    2015), WT/DS384/RW, WT/DS386/RW. Canada has requested
    authorization to retaliate and some expect a trade war. See Gov’t of
    Canada, Canada to Seek WTO Authorization in Response to Country
    of Origin Labeling; Editorial: Time to Lose COOL. Avoid Trade War,
    After WTO Ruling, HERALD NEWS (CAN.), May 19, 2015; Krista
    Hughes, U.S. Loses Meat Labeling Case; Trade War Looms, Reuters,
    May 18, 2015.
    6
    that would be as final as it is lazy, did it not include the
    troublesome consequence, that nothing that ever was, was
    wrong.” CHARLES DICKENS, A TALE OF TWO CITIES 65 (Signet
    Classics) (1859). Besides, the conflict minerals disclosure
    regime is not like other disclosure rules the SEC administers.
    This particular rule, the SEC determined, is “quite different from
    the economic or investor protection benefits that our rules
    ordinarily strive to achieve.” Conflict Minerals, 77 Fed. Reg.
    56,274, 56,350 (Sept. 12, 2012) (codified at 17 C.F.R.
    §§ 240.13p-1, 249b.400).7
    As to the First Amendment, we agree with the SEC that
    “after AMI, whether Zauderer applies in this case is an open
    question.” Appellee Supp. Br. 10-11. NAM, in its initial
    briefing and in its supplemental brief on rehearing, argued that
    Zauderer did not apply to this case, not only because the
    compelled disclosures here were unrelated to curing consumer
    deception, but also because this government-compelled speech
    was not within the Supreme Court’s category of “commercial
    speech.” Appellants Supp. Br. 18-19; Appellants Br. 53. NAM
    therefore argued that the commercial speech test of Central
    
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 564-66
    , also did not govern the First
    Amendment analysis in this case.
    7
    The dissent likens the disclosures here to the “mine-run of
    uncontroversial requirements to disclose factual information to
    consumers.” Dissent at 4. But consumer protection was not a reason
    for the conflict minerals disclosure regime. As the Commission noted,
    “unlike in most of the securities laws, Congress intended the Conflict
    Minerals Provision to serve a humanitarian purpose,” 77 Fed. Reg. at
    56,350, and that purpose was to reduce the trade in minerals from the
    DRC in order “to inhibit the ability of armed groups in the [DRC] to
    fund their activities.” 
    Id. at 56,276.
                                       7
    In our initial decision we did not decide whether the
    compelled speech here was commercial speech;8 we assumed
    arguendo that it was. NAM v. 
    SEC, 748 F.3d at 372
    . Now on
    rehearing the question looms again. But before we may
    confront that broad issue, we address a narrower subsidiary
    question: whether Zauderer, as now interpreted in AMI, reaches
    compelled disclosures that are unconnected to advertising or
    product labeling at the point of sale.
    To put the matter differently, even if the conflict minerals
    disclosures are categorized as “commercial speech,” it may not
    8
    It is easier to discern what the Supreme Court does not consider
    “commercial speech” than to determine what speech falls within that
    category. See Nike, Inc. v. Kasky, 
    539 U.S. 654
    , 655 (2003) (per
    curiam) (writ of certiorari dismissed as improvidently granted).
    For instance, even if “money is spent to project” speech, this does
    not make it commercial speech. See Va. State Bd. of Pharmacy v. Va.
    Citizens Consumer Council, Inc., 
    425 U.S. 748
    , 761 (1976).
    Otherwise there is no explaining cases such as New York Times Co. v.
    Sullivan, 
    376 U.S. 254
    (1964), and Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    (1976). Speech “carried in a form” sold for profit does not render it
    commercial speech under the Court’s decisions. Va. 
    Pharmacy, 425 U.S. at 761
    .         Otherwise books, newspapers, and television
    programming would all be commercial speech. 
    Id. Not all
    speech
    soliciting money is commercial speech. Otherwise, Riley v. National
    Federation of the Blind of North Carolina, 
    487 U.S. 781
    (1988), and
    other cases such as Cantwell v. Connecticut, 
    310 U.S. 296
    (1940),
    would have been decided differently. The Court has also determined
    that just because the speech is about “a commercial subject,” it does
    not fall into the category of commercial speech, otherwise “business
    section editorials would be commercial speech; and it isn’t even
    factual speech on a commercial subject, or else business section news
    reporting would be commercial speech.” Alex Kozinski & Stuart
    Banner, Who’s Afraid of Commercial Speech?, 76 VA. L. REV. 627,
    638 (1990) (citing Va. 
    Pharmacy, 425 U.S. at 761
    -62).
    8
    follow that Zauderer’s loose standard of review9 rather than the
    more demanding standard of Central Hudson determines
    whether the law violates the First Amendment rights of those
    who are subject to the government’s edicts.
    Conflict minerals disclosures are to be made on each
    reporting company’s website and in its reports to the SEC. In
    the rulemaking, the SEC acknowledged that the statute – and its
    regulations – were “directed at achieving overall social
    benefits,” that the law was not “intended to generate measurable,
    direct economic benefits to investors or issuers,” and that the
    regulatory requirements were “quite different from the economic
    or investor protection benefits that our rules ordinarily strive to
    achieve.” 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,350.10
    The SEC thus recognized that this case does not deal with
    advertising or with point of sale disclosures. Yet the Supreme
    Court’s opinion in Zauderer is confined to advertising,
    emphatically and, one may infer, intentionally. In a lengthy
    opinion, the Court devoted only four pages to the issue of
    compelled disclosures. 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 650-53
    . Yet in
    those few pages the Court explicitly identified advertising as the
    9
    See Milavetz, Gallop & 
    Milavetz, 559 U.S. at 249
    ; and 
    note 5 supra
    .
    10
    See Mary Jo White, Chairwoman, Sec. & Exch. Comm’n, A.A.
    Sommer, Jr. Corporate Securities and Financial Law Lecture, Fordham
    Law School (Oct. 3, 2013) (“Seeking to improve safety in mines for
    workers or to end horrible human rights atrocities in the Democratic
    Republic of the Congo are compelling objectives, which, as a citizen,
    I wholeheartedly share. But, as the Chair of the SEC, I must question,
    as a policy matter, using the federal securities laws and the SEC’s
    powers of mandatory disclosure to accomplish these goals.”).
    9
    reach of its holding no less than thirteen times.11 Quotations in
    the preceding footnote prove that the Court was not holding that
    any time a government forces a commercial entity to state a
    message of the government’s devising, that entity’s First
    Amendment interest is minimal. Instead, the Zauderer Court –
    in a passage AMI 
    quoted, 760 F.3d at 22
    – held that the
    advertiser’s “constitutionally protected interest in not providing
    any particular factual information in his advertising is minimal.”
    
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    (last italics added).
    For these reasons the Supreme Court has refused to apply
    Zauderer when the case before it did not involve voluntary
    commercial advertising.12 In Hurley v. Irish-American Gay,
    11
    Consider the following excerpts from Zauderer with our italics
    added: “the Dalkon Shield advertisement,” 
    id. at 650;
    “the
    advertisement, absent the required disclosure,” id.; “In requiring
    attorneys who advertise,” id.; “The State has attempted only to
    prescribe what shall be orthodox in commercial advertising,” 
    id. at 651;
    “a requirement that appellant include in his advertising purely
    factual and uncontroversial information,” id.; “appellant’s
    constitutionally protected interest in not providing any particular
    factual information in his advertising is minimal,” id.; “an advertiser’s
    interests,” id.; “the advertiser’s First Amendment rights,” id.; “an
    advertiser’s rights,” id.; “attorney advertising,” 
    id. at 652;
    “Appellant’s advertisement,” id.; “The advertisement,” id.; “The
    State’s position that it is deceptive to employ advertising,” 
    id. 12 Whatever
    the commercial speech doctrine entails, commercial
    advertising is at least at the heart of the matter. See, e.g., Central
    
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 563
    (“The First Amendment’s concern for
    commercial speech is based on the informational function of
    advertising.”); Pittsburgh Press Co. v. Pittsburgh Comm’n on Human
    Relations, 
    413 U.S. 376
    , 385 (1973) (“The critical feature of the
    advertisement [making it commercial speech] was that . . . it did no
    more than propose a commercial transaction . . ..”); Bolger v. Youngs
    Drug Prods. Corp., 
    463 U.S. 60
    , 66 (1983) (“[T]he core notion of
    10
    Lesbian and Bisexual Group of Boston, 
    515 U.S. 557
    (1995), a
    unanimous Supreme Court treated Zauderer as a decision
    permitting the government “at times” to “‘prescribe what shall
    be orthodox in commercial advertising’ by requiring the
    dissemination of ‘purely factual and uncontroversial
    information.’” 
    Hurley, 515 U.S. at 573
    . But Hurley went on to
    stress that “outside that context” (commercial advertising) the
    “general rule” is “that the speaker has the right to tailor the
    speech” and that this First Amendment right “applies not only
    to expressions of value, opinion, or endorsement, but equally to
    statements of fact the speaker would rather avoid.” 
    Id. (italics added).
    The Court added that this constitutional rule was
    “enjoyed by business corporations generally.” 
    Id. at 574.
    United States v. United Foods, Inc., 
    533 U.S. 405
    (2001),
    distinguished Zauderer for much the same reason. United Foods
    claimed that a federal law compelling it to fund generalized
    advertising for mushrooms violated the company’s First
    Amendment rights. United Foods thought the mushrooms it
    commercial speech [is] speech which does no more than propose a
    commercial transaction.” (internal quotation marks omitted)); Spirit
    
    Airlines, 687 F.3d at 412
    (“The speech at issue here – the advertising
    of prices – is quintessentially commercial insofar as it seeks to do no
    more than propose a commercial transaction.” (internal quotation
    marks omitted)); Bad Frog Brewery, Inc. v. N.Y. State Liquor Auth.,
    
    134 F.3d 87
    , 97 (2d Cir. 1998) (“The ‘core notion’ of commercial
    speech includes ‘speech which does no more than propose a
    commercial transaction.’ Outside this so-called ‘core’ lie various
    forms of speech that combine commercial and noncommercial
    elements. Whether a communication combining those elements is to
    be treated as commercial speech depends on factors such as whether
    the communication is an advertisement, whether the communication
    makes reference to a specific product, and whether the speaker has an
    economic motivation for the communication.” (internal citations
    omitted)).
    11
    produced were superior to others. Although the Court indicated
    that the United Foods’ forced contribution was commercial
    speech, the First “Amendment may prevent the government
    from compelling individuals to express certain views or from
    compelling certain individuals to pay subsidies for speech to
    which they object.” 
    Id. at 410
    (internal citations omitted). As
    to Zauderer, the Court found that decision inapplicable because
    – as in this case – United Foods did not deal with “voluntary
    advertising” or advertising by the company’s “own choice.” 
    Id. at 416.13
    In answer to the SEC’s “open question,” we therefore hold
    that Zauderer has no application to this case.14 This puts the
    13
    The AMI en banc majority did not mention Hurley’s or United
    Foods’ distinction of Zauderer. Perhaps the cases escaped attention
    or perhaps the AMI majority believed that product labeling at the point
    of sale was simply an adjunct of advertising, to which Zauderer did
    apply. The dissent in this case would dismiss Hurley and United
    Foods on the ground that both opinions were merely describing
    “Zauderer’s factual context.” Dissent at 11-12. This will not wash.
    Of course both opinions describe Zauderer. The important point is
    why Hurley and United Foods do so – to explain that Zauderer did not
    apply because the case before the Court did not involve commercial
    advertising (Hurley) or voluntary advertising (United Foods).
    14
    In calling our holding a “newly minted constriction of
    Zauderer” to advertising, Dissent at 9, the dissent distorts not only the
    language of Zauderer itself, but also the Supreme Court’s decisions in
    Hurley and United Foods distinguishing Zauderer on the ground that
    it applied only to commercial or voluntary advertising.
    The dissent also detects an anomaly: if the conflict minerals
    disclosure were required at the point of sale of the company’s product,
    Zauderer would apply but if, as here, the disclosure is required once
    a year on the company’s website, Central Hudson applies. Dissent at
    9-10. What the dissent fails to see is that this dichotomy results from
    12
    case in the same posture as in our initial opinion when we
    determined that Zauderer did not apply, but for a different
    reason. As we ruled in our initial decision, we need not decide
    whether “strict scrutiny or the Central Hudson test for
    commercial speech” applies. 
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 372
    . For the
    reasons we gave in that opinion, 
    id. at 372-73,
    the SEC’s “final
    rule does not survive even Central Hudson’s intermediate
    standard.” 
    Id. at 372.
    We need not repeat our reasoning in this
    regard.
    But given the flux and uncertainty of the First Amendment
    doctrine of commercial speech,15 and the conflict in the circuits
    regarding the reach of Zauderer,16 we think it prudent to add an
    alternative ground for our decision. It is this. Even if the
    compelled disclosures here are commercial speech and even if
    AMI’s view of Zauderer governed the analysis, we still believe
    that the statute and the regulations violate the First Amendment.
    To evaluate the constitutional validity of the compelled
    conflict minerals disclosures, the first step under AMI (and
    Central Hudson) is to identify and “assess the adequacy of the
    the AMI decision stretching Zauderer to cover laws compelling
    disclosures at the time of sale for reasons other than preventing
    consumer deception. In other words if there is something anomalous,
    it is attributable to AMI, not our decision here, which follows Supreme
    Court precedents confining the Zauderer standard to “voluntary
    advertising.” United 
    Foods, 533 U.S. at 416
    .
    15
    See 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 43
    (Brown, J., dissenting).
    16
    See Dwyer v. Cappell, 
    762 F.3d 275
    , 282-85 (3d Cir. 2014);
    Disc. Tobacco City & Lottery, Inc. v. United States, 
    674 F.3d 509
    , 559
    n.8 (6th Cir. 2012) (opinion for the court by Stranch, J.); Entm’t
    Software Ass’n v. Blagojevich, 
    469 F.3d 641
    , 651-53 (7th Cir. 2006);
    Nat’l Elec. Mfrs. Ass’n v. Sorrell, 
    272 F.3d 104
    , 115 (2d Cir. 2001).
    13
    [governmental] interest motivating” the disclosure requirement.
    
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 23
    . Oddly, the SEC’s Supplemental Brief does
    not address this subject. In the first round of briefing the SEC
    described the government’s interest as “ameliorat[ing] the
    humanitarian crisis in the DRC.” Appellee Br. 26.17 We will
    treat this as a sufficient interest of the United States under AMI
    and Central Hudson.
    After identifying the governmental interest or objective, we
    are to evaluate the effectiveness of the measure in achieving it.
    
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 26
    ; see, e.g., Ibanez v. Fla. Dep’t of Bus. &
    Prof. Reg., 
    512 U.S. 136
    , 146 (1994); Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 564-66
    .18 Although the burden was on the government, see
    
    Ibanez, 512 U.S. at 146
    , here again the SEC has offered little
    substance beyond citations to statements by two Senators and
    members of the executive branch, and a United Nations
    resolution. The government asserts that this is a matter of
    foreign affairs and represents “the type of ‘value judgment based
    on the common sense of the people’s representatives’ for which
    17
    The SEC said much the same in the rulemaking – that the
    interest was “the promotion of peace and security in the Congo,”
    rather than “economic or investor protection benefits that [SEC] rules
    ordinarily strive to achieve.” 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,350; see also 
    id. at 56,276.
    In fact, the statute and rule “may provide significant
    advantage to foreign companies that are not reporting in the United
    States” and may place public companies in this country at a
    “competitive disadvantage” against private companies who are not
    subject to the SEC’s reporting rules. 
    Id. at 56,350.
        18
    Show us not the aim without the way.
    For ends and means on earth are so entangled
    That changing one, you change the other too;
    Each different path brings other ends in view.
    ARTHUR KOESTLER, DARKNESS AT NOON 241 (1940).
    14
    this Court has not required more detailed evidence.” Appellee
    Br. 64 (quoting Nat’l Ass’n of Mfrs. v. Taylor, 
    582 F.3d 1
    , 16
    (D.C. Cir. 2009)). As the government notes, in the area of
    foreign relations, “conclusions must often be based on informed
    judgment rather than concrete evidence.”             Holder v.
    Humanitarian Law Project, 
    561 U.S. 1
    , 34-35 (2010).
    But in the face of such evidentiary gaps, we are forced to
    assume what judgments Congress made when crafting this rule.
    The most obvious stems from the cost of compliance, estimated
    to be $3 billion to $4 billion initially and $207 million to $609
    million annually thereafter,19 see 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,334, and the
    prospect that some companies will therefore boycott mineral
    suppliers having any connection to this region of Africa.20 How
    would that reduce the humanitarian crisis in the region? The
    idea must be that the forced disclosure regime will decrease the
    revenue of armed groups in the DRC and their loss of revenue
    19
    A recent study suggests companies spent “roughly $709 million
    and six million staff hours last year to comply with” the conflict
    minerals rule. Emily Chasan, U.S. Firms Struggle to Trace ‘Conflict
    Minerals’, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, Aug. 3, 2015.
    20
    The SEC made this point in the rulemaking:
    The high cost of compliance provides an incentive for
    issuers to choose only suppliers that obtain their
    minerals exclusively from outside the Covered
    Countries, thereby avoiding the need to prepare a
    Conflict Minerals Report. To the extent that Covered
    Countries are the lowest cost suppliers of the
    minerals affected by the statute, [such] issuers . . .
    would have to increase the costs of their products to
    recoup the higher costs.
    Conflict Minerals, 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,351.
    15
    will end or at least diminish the humanitarian crisis there. But
    there is a major problem with this idea – it is entirely unproven
    and rests on pure speculation.21
    Under the First Amendment, in commercial speech cases
    the government cannot rest on “speculation or conjecture.”
    Edenfield v. Fane, 
    507 U.S. 761
    , 770 (1993). But that is exactly
    what the government is doing here. Before passing the statute,
    Congress held no hearings on the likely impact of § 1502. The
    SEC points to hearings Congress held on prior bills addressing
    the conflict in the DRC, but those hearings did not address the
    statutory provisions at issue in this case. When Congress held
    21
    This problem was raised by one of the SEC Commissioners
    during an open meeting:
    The SEC’s conflict minerals rulemaking suffers from
    an analytical gap that I cannot overlook – namely,
    there is a failure to assess whether and, if so, the
    extent to which the final rule will in fact advance its
    humanitarian goal as opposed to unintentionally
    making matters worse. Indeed, based on some of the
    comment[s] that the Commission has received, there
    is reason to worry that, contrary to the aims of
    Section 1502, a chief consequence of the final rule
    could be that it actually worsens conditions in the
    DRC. . . . Because this rulemaking lacks any analysis
    of whether the benefits will materialize – failing to
    assess how the choices the Commission has made
    will impact life on the ground in the DRC – I am
    unable to support the recommendation and
    respectfully dissent.
    Troy A. Paredes, Commissioner, Sec. & Exch. Comm’n,
    Statement at Open Meeting to Adopt a Final Rule Regarding Conflict
    Minerals Pursuant to Section 1502 of the Dodd-Frank Act,
    Washington, D.C. (Aug. 22, 2012).
    16
    hearings after § 1502’s enactment, the testimony went both ways
    – some suggested the rule would alleviate the conflict, while
    others suggested it had “had a significant adverse effect on
    innocent bystanders in the DRC.”              The Unintended
    Consequences of Dodd-Frank’s Conflict Minerals Provision:
    Hearing Before the Subcomm. on Monetary Policy and Trade of
    the H. Comm. on Financial Services, 113th Cong. (May 21,
    2013) (Statement of Rep. Campbell).
    Other post-hoc evidence throws further doubt on whether
    the conflict minerals rule either alleviates or aggravates the
    stated problem. As NAM points out on rehearing, the conflict
    minerals law may have backfired. Because of the law, and
    because some companies in the United States are now avoiding
    the DRC, miners are being put out of work or are seeing even
    their meager wages substantially reduced, thus exacerbating the
    humanitarian crisis and driving them into the rebels’ camps as
    a last resort. Appellants Supp. Br. 17; see, e.g., Sudarsan
    Raghavan, How a Well-Intentioned U.S. Law Left Congolese
    Miners Jobless, WASH. POST, Nov. 30, 2014; Lauren Wolfe,
    How Dodd-Frank is Failing Congo, FOREIGN POL’Y, Feb. 2,
    2015.22
    22
    See Aloys Tegera et al., Open Letter, Sept. 9, 2014, (“[T]he
    conflict minerals movement has yet to lead to meaningful
    improvement on the ground, and has had a number of unintended and
    damaging consequences. Nearly four years after the passing of the
    Dodd-Frank Act, only a small fraction of the hundreds of mining sites
    in the eastern DRC have been reached by traceability or certification
    efforts. The rest remain beyond the pale, forced into either illegality
    or collapse as certain international buyers have responded to the
    legislation by going ‘Congo-free.’ This in turn has driven many
    miners into the margins of legality . . . and in areas where mining has
    ceased, local economies have suffered.”).
    17
    Our original opinion pointed out that the SEC was unable
    to quantify any benefits of the forced disclosure regime itself.
    
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 364
    . See 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,335 (“The statute
    therefore aims to achieve compelling social benefits, which we
    are unable to readily quantify with any precision.”). The
    Government Accountability Office has refrained from
    addressing the issue, even though the conflict minerals statute
    required it to assess the effectiveness of the required disclosures
    in relieving the humanitarian crises.                  15 U.S.C.
    § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii) & (E); see U.S. G.A.O., CONFLICT
    MINERALS: STAKEHOLDER OPTIONS FOR RESPONSIBLE
    SOURCING ARE EXPANDING, BUT MORE INFORMATION ON
    SMELTERS IS NEEDED 3 (June 26, 2014) (“[W]e have not yet
    addressed the effectiveness of SEC’s conflict minerals rule as
    required under the legislation.”).23
    That is not to say that we know for certain that the conflict
    minerals rule will not help – other sources contend the rule will
    do so.24 But it is to say that whether § 1502 will work is not
    23
    The Department of Commerce is charged in Dodd-Frank with
    compiling a list of “all known conflict mineral processing facilities
    worldwide.” Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer
    Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203, § 1502(d)(3)(C), 124 Stat. 1376,
    2217 (2010). Instead, it compiled a list of “all known processing
    facilities” for gold, tantalum, tin, or tungsten, but did “not indicate
    whether a specific facility processes minerals that are used to finance
    conflict in the [DRC] or an adjoining country.” The Department
    confessed that it “do[es] not have the ability to distinguish such
    facilities.” International Trade Administration, Department of
    Commerce, Reporting Requirements Under Section 1502(d)(3)(C) of
    the Dodd-Frank Act World-Wide Mineral Processing Facilities, Sept.
    5, 2014.
    24
    See John Prendergast et al., Suffocating Congo’s War, FOREIGN
    POL’Y, Feb. 7, 2015, (responding to Wolfe, How Dodd-Frank is
    18
    proven to the degree required under the First Amendment to
    compel speech.
    All of this presents a serious problem for the SEC because,
    as we have said, the government may not rest on such
    speculation or conjecture. Edenfield v. 
    Fane, 507 U.S. at 770
    .
    Rather the SEC had the burden of demonstrating that the
    measure it adopted would “in fact alleviate” the harms it recited
    “to a material degree.” 
    Id. at 771;
    see, e.g., 
    Ibanez, 512 U.S. at 146
    ; Turner Broad. Sys., Inc. v. FCC, 
    512 U.S. 622
    , 664 (1994)
    (plurality opinion); Pearson v. Shalala, 
    164 F.3d 650
    , 659 (D.C.
    Cir. 1999); Action for Children’s Television v. FCC, 
    58 F.3d 654
    , 665 (D.C. Cir. 1995) (en banc). The SEC has made no
    such demonstration in this case and, as we have discussed,
    during the rulemaking the SEC conceded that it was unable to
    do so.
    This in itself dooms the statute and the SEC’s regulation.
    If that were not enough, we would move on to evaluate another
    aspect of AMI, an aspect of the opinion on which two of the
    supplemental briefs on rehearing (those of the SEC and NAM)
    focus – namely, whether the compelled disclosures here are
    “purely factual and uncontroversial,” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 26
    (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ). The intervenors, although
    supporting the SEC, write in their supplemental brief that AMI
    “sheds little light on whether Zauderer’s reference to ‘purely
    factual and uncontroversial information’ states a legal standard
    and, if so, what the standard means.” Intervenors Supp. Br. 8.
    They continue: “Zauderer itself used the phrase . . . to
    characterize the particular information subject to disclosure in
    that case, not to articulate a legal test,” 
    id. at 9.
    They add that
    Failing Congo); Zainab Hawa Bangura, Sexual Violence and Conflict
    Minerals: International Demand Fuels Cycle, THE GUARDIAN, June
    18, 2014.
    19
    the term “uncontroversial” is “ill-suited to establishing an
    element of a legal standard,” 
    id. at 11.
    In support, the
    intervenors cite the Sixth Circuit’s decision that the “purely
    factual and uncontroversial” phrase from Zauderer, which the
    Supreme Court’s opinion mentioned only once and not in its
    statement of the holding, was merely descriptive and not a legal
    standard. Disc. Tobacco City & Lottery, Inc. v. United States,
    
    674 F.3d 509
    , 559 n.8 (6th Cir. 2012) (opinion for the court by
    Stranch, J.).
    However persuasive we might find the intervenors’
    argument,25 we see no way to read AMI except as holding that –
    to quote AMI – Zauderer “requires the disclosure to be of
    ‘purely factual and uncontroversial information’ about the good
    or service being offered.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    . We are
    therefore bound to follow that holding. See LaShawn A. v.
    Barry, 
    87 F.3d 1389
    , 1393 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (en banc).
    Even so, the intervenors are correct that the AMI majority
    “made no attempt to define those terms precisely.” Intervenors
    Supp. Br. 9. AMI did speak of “controversial in the sense that
    [the compelled speech] communicates a message that is
    controversial for some reason other than [a] dispute about
    simple factual accuracy.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    . Judge
    Kavanaugh, concurring in the judgment in AMI, wrote that “it is
    unclear how we should assess and what we should examine to
    25
    In our initial opinion we quoted the holding in Riley v. National
    Federation of the Blind of North Carolina, Inc., 
    487 U.S. 781
    (1988),
    that the cases dealing with forced ideological messages “cannot be
    distinguished simply because they involved compelled statements of
    opinion while here we deal with compelled statements of ‘fact.’”
    
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 371
    (quoting 
    Riley, 487 U.S. at 797
    ); see also Va.
    
    Pharmacy, 425 U.S. at 762
    .
    20
    determine whether a mandatory disclosure is controversial.” 
    Id. at 34
    (Kavanaugh, J., concurring in the judgment).
    One clue is that “uncontroversial,” as a legal test, must
    mean something different than “purely factual.” Hence, the
    statement in AMI we just quoted, describing “controversial in
    the sense that [the compelled speech] communicates a message
    that is controversial for some reason other than [a] dispute about
    simple factual accuracy.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    . Perhaps the
    distinction is between fact and opinion. But that line is often
    blurred, and it is far from clear that all opinions are
    controversial. Is Einstein’s General Theory of Relativity fact or
    opinion, and should it be regarded as controversial? If the
    government required labels on all internal combustion engines
    stating that “USE OF THIS PRODUCT CONTRIBUTES TO
    GLOBAL WARMING” would that be fact or opinion? It is
    easy to convert many statements of opinion into assertions of
    fact simply by removing the words “in my opinion” or removing
    “in the opinion of many scientists” or removing “in the opinion
    of many experts.”26 Cf. Omnicare, Inc. v. Laborers Dist.
    Council Constr. Indus. Pension Fund, 
    135 S. Ct. 1318
    (2015);
    26
    The conflict minerals provisions contain a “Sense of Congress”
    preamble, Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection
    Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203, § 1502(a), 124 Stat. 1376, 2213 (2010),
    which strikes us not as a statement of fact but a statement of opinion.
    Some courts treat such provisions as precatory. See, e.g., Yang v. Cal.
    Dep’t of Social Servs., 
    183 F.3d 953
    , 958 (9th Cir. 1999); Monahan
    v. Dorchester Counseling Ctr., 
    961 F.2d 987
    , 994-95 (1st Cir. 1992);
    Trojan Techs., Inc. v. Pennsylvania, 
    916 F.2d 903
    , 909 (3d Cir. 1990).
    We have previously noted that a “sense of Congress provision” may
    be used by that body to voice disagreement with an opinion of this
    court, Fund for Animals, Inc. v. Kempthorne, 
    472 F.3d 872
    , 877 (D.C.
    Cir. 2006), and that such a provision may be non-binding, Emergency
    Coal. to Defend Educ. Travel v. U.S. Dep’t of the Treasury, 
    545 F.3d 4
    , 14 n.6 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
    21
    Frederick Schauer, Facts and the First Amendment, 57 UCLA
    L. REV. 897 (2010). It is also the case that propositions once
    regarded as factual and uncontroversial may turn out to be
    something quite different.27 What time frame should a court use
    in assessing this? At the time of enactment of the disclosure
    statute? At the time of an agency’s rulemaking implementing
    the disclosure statute? Or at some later time when the
    compelled disclosures are no longer considered “purely factual”
    or when the disclosures have become “controversial”?
    That the en banc court viewed the country-of-origin
    disclosures at issue in AMI as “uncontroversial” poses another
    puzzle. A controversy, the dictionaries tell us, is a dispute,
    especially a public one.28 Was there a dispute about the country-
    27
    To illustrate, consider National Commission on Egg Nutrition
    v. FTC, 
    570 F.2d 157
    (7th Cir. 1977), a case cited in 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 645
    . The Seventh Circuit upheld the FTC’s order requiring
    petitioners to cease placing newspaper advertisements stating that
    eating eggs does not increase a person’s cholesterol level and to make
    certain disclosures. Petitioners’ advertisements, and other statements
    like it, were considered false and misleading. Nat’l Comm’n on Egg
    
    Nutrition, 570 F.2d at 160-61
    . But the tables have turned. In its 2015
    report, the Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee of the Department
    of Agriculture found that there was “no appreciable relationship
    between consumption of dietary cholesterol and serum [blood]
    cholesterol.” U.S. Dep’t of Agric., Scientific Report of the 2015
    Dietary Guidelines Advisory Committee, Part D Ch. 1, 17 (2015).
    28
    The dissent claims that under AMI, “purely factual and
    uncontroversial” means “purely factual” and “accurate.” Dissent at
    12-15. In so twisting the phrase, the dissent turns it into a redundancy.
    Is there such a thing as a “purely factual” proposition that is not
    “accurate”? The en banc majority in AMI, which used the phrase as
    a First Amendment test, did not think so. AMI described an
    unconstitutional compelled disclosure as one “communicat[ing] a
    message that is controversial for some reason other than dispute about
    22
    of-origin disclosures in AMI or as AMI put it, was there a
    controversy “for some reason other than [a] dispute about simple
    factual accuracy”? 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    . One would think the
    answer surely was yes. As we explained earlier, while AMI was
    pending a panel of the World Trade Organization was
    conducting a proceeding in which other nations charged that the
    country-of-origin labeling law violated the treaty obligations of
    the United States, a controversy that later resulted in a ruling
    against the United States. 
    See supra
    n.6.
    In its Supplemental Brief, the SEC invoked for the first time
    Meese v. Keene, 
    481 U.S. 465
    (1987), describing the case as one
    in which “the Supreme Court rejected a First Amendment
    challenge to compelled disclosures accompanying materials that
    met the statutory definition of ‘political propaganda,’” Appellee
    Supp. Br. 16. The SEC’s description is not accurate. Keene was
    not a compelled speech case. An agency of the Canadian
    government distributed films the Department of Justice
    considered “political propaganda” under the Foreign Agents
    Registration Act. This triggered the requirement that the foreign
    simple factual accuracy.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    (italics added).
    In struggling to provide content to this portion of AMI, the dissent
    asserts that a “misleading disclosure, by definition, would not convey
    accurate information to a consumer” and therefore would not be
    “uncontroversial.” Dissent at 16. But as Mark Twain wrote, “Often,
    the surest way to convey misinformation is to tell the strict truth.”
    Pudd’nhead Wilson’s New Calendar in MARK TWAIN, FOLLOWING
    THE EQUATOR 567 (1st ed. 1897). See Bronston v. United States, 
    409 U.S. 352
    (1973). It is also worth noting that the attorney in Zauderer
    provided, as the dissent puts it, “factually accurate information” to
    consumers: his advertisement informed potential clients that if there
    were “no recovery, no legal fees are owed by our clients.” 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 631
    . The trouble was that he did not mention that they
    would still be liable for other expenses.
    23
    agent – Canada – affix a label to the material identifying its
    source. The label did not contain the words “political
    propaganda.” 
    Keene, 481 U.S. at 470-71
    . The Court made clear
    that the constitutionality of this disclosure regime was “not at
    issue in this case.” 
    Id. at 467.
    The plaintiff – an attorney and
    state legislator – wanted to show the films and claimed that the
    government’s considering the films “propaganda” violated his
    First Amendment rights, a claim the Court rejected. The
    attorney was under no disclosure obligations and he was free to
    remove the label the Canadian government had affixed to the
    film packaging. As NAM’s Supplemental Brief points out,
    Keene “did not suggest, much less hold, that it would be
    constitutionally permissible for Congress to force filmmakers to
    label their own films as ‘political propaganda’ – or not
    ‘propaganda free’ – however the term was defined.” Appellants
    Supp. Br. 13.
    We agree with NAM that the statutory definition of
    “conflict free” cannot save this law. See Entm’t Software Ass’n
    v. Blagojevich, 
    469 F.3d 641
    , 652 (7th Cir. 2006); cf. Video
    Software Dealers Ass’n v. Schwarzenegger, 
    556 F.3d 950
    , 965-
    67 (9th Cir. 2009). As NAM forcefully puts it, “[i]f the law
    were otherwise, there would be no end to the government’s
    ability to skew public debate by forcing companies to use the
    government’s preferred language. For instance, companies
    could be compelled to state that their products are not
    ‘environmentally sustainable’ or ‘fair trade’ if the government
    provided ‘factual’ definitions of those slogans – even if the
    companies vehemently disagreed that their [products] were
    ‘unsustainable’ or ‘unfair.’” Appellants Supp. Br. 12.29
    29
    A famous example of governmental redefinition comes to
    mind:
    24
    In our initial opinion we stated that the description at issue
    – whether a product is “conflict free” or “not conflict free” –
    was hardly “factual and non-ideological.” 
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 371
    .30 We put it this way: “Products and minerals do not fight
    conflicts. The label ‘[not] conflict free’ is a metaphor that
    conveys moral responsibility for the Congo war. It requires an
    issuer to tell consumers that its products are ethically tainted,
    even if they only indirectly finance armed groups. An issuer,
    including an issuer who condemns the atrocities of the Congo
    war in the strongest terms, may disagree with that assessment of
    its moral responsibility. And it may convey that ‘message’
    through ‘silence.’ See 
    Hurley, 515 U.S. at 573
    . By compelling
    an issuer to confess blood on its hands, the statute interferes with
    that exercise of the freedom of speech under the First
    Amendment. See id.” 
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 371
    .
    We see no reason to change our analysis in this respect.
    And we continue to agree with NAM31 that “[r]equiring a
    company to publicly condemn itself is undoubtedly a more
    WAR IS PEACE
    FREEDOM IS SLAVERY
    IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH
    GEORGE ORWELL, NINETEEN EIGHTY-FOUR 4 (Signet Classic)
    (1949).
    30
    See Entm’t Software Ass’n v. 
    Blagojevich, 469 F.3d at 652
    .
    31
    Two of the five SEC Commissioners have expressed the same
    sentiment: “Requiring persons to presume their guilt by association
    with the current tragedy in the Congo region unless proven otherwise
    is neither factual nor uncontroversial.” Yin Wilczek, SEC Argues Its
    Conflict Minerals Rule Survives First Amendment Scrutiny,
    BLOOMBERG BNA, Dec. 12, 2014 (quoting Joint Statement of
    Commissioners Gallagher and Piwowar).
    25
    ‘effective’ way for the government to stigmatize and shape
    behavior than for the government to have to convey its views
    itself, but that makes the requirement more constitutionally
    offensive, not less so.” Appellants Reply Br. 27-28.
    For all these reasons, we adhere to our original judgment
    “that 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii) & (E), and the Commission’s
    final rule, 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,362-65, violate the First
    Amendment to the extent the statute and rule require regulated
    entities to report to the Commission and to state on their website
    that any of their products have ‘not been found to be ‘DRC
    conflict free.’’”32 
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 373
    .
    So ordered.
    32
    As we stated in our initial opinion, the “requirement that an
    issuer use the particular descriptor ‘not been found to be ‘DRC
    conflict free’’ may arise as a result of the Commission’s discretionary
    choices, and not as a result of the statute itself. We only hold that the
    statute violates the First Amendment to the extent that it imposes that
    description requirement. If the description is purely a result of the
    Commission’s rule, then our First Amendment holding leaves the
    statute itself unaffected.” 
    NAM, 748 F.3d at 373
    n.14. The
    Commission has not shed any light on this in its recent filings with our
    court.
    SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judge, dissenting:        Issuers of
    securities must make all sorts of disclosures about their
    products for the benefit of the investing public. No one thinks
    that garden-variety disclosure obligations of that ilk raise a
    significant First Amendment problem. So here, there should
    be no viable First Amendment objection to a requirement for
    an issuer to disclose the country of origin of a product’s
    materials—including, say, whether the product contains
    specified minerals from the Democratic Republic of the
    Congo (DRC) or an adjoining country, the site of a
    longstanding conflict financed in part by trade in those
    minerals.     Such a requirement provides investors and
    consumers with useful information about the geographic
    origins of a product’s source materials. Indeed, our court,
    sitting en banc, recently relied on “the time-tested consensus
    that consumers want to know the geographical origin of
    potential purchases” in upholding a requirement for
    companies to identify the source country of food products.
    Am. Meat Inst. v. U.S. Dep’t of Agric., 
    760 F.3d 18
    , 24 (2014)
    (internal quotation marks omitted). It is hard to see what is
    altogether different about another species of “geographical
    origin” law requiring identification of products whose
    minerals come from the DRC or adjoining countries.
    If an issuer’s products contain minerals originating in
    those conflict-ridden countries, the Conflict Minerals Rule
    requires the issuer to determine whether the products are
    “DRC conflict free,” where “DRC conflict free” is a
    statutorily defined term of art denoting products that are free
    of “conflict minerals that directly or indirectly finance or
    benefit armed groups” in the DRC or adjoining countries. 15
    U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(D). If the issuer cannot conclude, after
    investigating the sourcing of its minerals, that a product is
    “DRC conflict free” under the statutory definition, it must say
    so in a report disclosing that the product has “not been found
    to be ‘DRC conflict free.’” The requirement to make that
    disclosure, in light of the anticipated reaction by investors and
    2
    consumers, aims to dissuade manufacturers from purchasing
    minerals that fund armed groups in the DRC region. That
    goal is unique to this securities law; but the basic
    mechanism—disclosure of factual information about a
    product in anticipation of a consumer reaction—is regular fare
    for governmental disclosure mandates. Many disclosure laws,
    including the law upheld in AMI, operate in just that way.
    Appellants raise no First Amendment objection to the
    obligation to find out which of their products fail to qualify as
    “DRC conflict free” within the meaning of the statutory
    definition. Nor do they challenge the obligation to list those
    products in a report for investors. Appellants also presumably
    would have no problem with a requirement to list the products
    by parroting the statutory definition, i.e., as products that have
    not been determined to be free of conflict minerals that
    “directly or indirectly finance or benefit armed groups” in the
    DRC region. At least some issuers in fact have been making
    essentially that sort of disclosure, without apparent objection,
    under the partial stay of the Rule in effect since our original
    panel decision. See Exchange Act Rule 13p-1 and Form SD,
    Exchange Act Release No. 72,079 (May 2, 2014); e.g., Canon
    Inc., Conflict Minerals Report (Form SD Ex. 1.01) § 5 (May
    29, 2015).
    Appellants’ challenge instead is a more targeted one:
    they object only to the Rule’s requirement to describe the
    listed products with the catchphrase “not been found to be
    ‘DRC conflict free.’” But if there is no First Amendment
    problem with an obligation to identify and list those products,
    or to describe them by quoting the statutory definition, it is far
    from clear why the prescribed use of a shorthand phrase for
    that definition—in lieu of the technical definition itself—
    would materially change the constitutional calculus.
    3
    Perhaps one might object that the meaning of the
    shorthand description “DRC conflict free” would not
    necessarily be known to a reader. But that descriptor comes
    amidst a set of mandated disclosures about the measures
    undertaken to determine the source of minerals originating in
    the DRC or adjoining countries. So the meaning of “DRC
    conflict free” would seem quite apparent in context. And
    even if otherwise, an investor or consumer coming across that
    term for the first time would, with little effort, learn that it
    carries a specific meaning prescribed by law.
    But that’s not all. To eliminate any possibility of
    confusion, the Rule’s disclosure obligation enables the issuer
    to elaborate on the prescribed catchphrase however it sees fit.
    So, for example, the issuer could say that the listed products
    have “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free,’ which is a
    phrase we are obligated to use under federal securities laws
    to describe products when we are unable to determine that
    they contain no minerals that directly or indirectly finance or
    benefit armed groups in the DRC or an adjoining country.”
    At that point, there would seem to be nothing arguably
    confusing or misleading about the content of the Rule’s
    mandated disclosure.
    The First Amendment, under the Supreme Court’s
    decisions, poses no bar to the Rule’s disclosure obligation.
    The Court has emphasized that “the extension of First
    Amendment protection to commercial speech is justified
    principally by the value to consumers of the information such
    speech provides.”      Zauderer v. Office of Disciplinary
    Counsel, 
    471 U.S. 626
    , 651 (1985). Correspondingly, when
    the government requires disclosure of truthful, factual
    information about a product to consumers, a company’s First
    Amendment interest in withholding that information from its
    consumers is “minimal.” 
    Id. That is
    why countless disclosure
    4
    mandates in the commercial arena—country of origin of
    products and materials, calorie counts and nutritional
    information, extensive reporting obligations under the
    securities laws, and so on—raise no serious First Amendment
    question.
    The sum of the matter is this: in the context of
    commercial speech, the compelled disclosure of truthful,
    factual information about a product to consumers draws
    favorable review. That review takes the form of the
    permissive standard laid down by the Supreme Court in
    Zauderer. I would apply that approach here. Like the mine-
    run of uncontroversial requirements to disclose factual
    information to consumers in the commercial sphere, the
    descriptive phrase “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free’”
    communicates truthful, factual information about a product to
    investors and consumers: it tells them that a product has not
    been found to be free of minerals originating in the DRC or
    adjoining countries that may finance armed groups.
    Appellants challenge the prescribed catchphrase for such
    a product—“not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free’”—on
    the ground that it ostensibly brands issuers with a “scarlet
    letter.” Appellant Br. 52. Appellants’ invocation of a “scarlet
    letter” is out of place. If they mean to suggest that issuers
    would prefer to avoid the label “not found to be ‘DRC
    conflict free’” because it invites public scrutiny, the same is
    true of all sorts of entirely permissible requirements to
    disclose factual information to consumers (high calorie counts
    or low nutritional value, for instance). When a law mandates
    disclosure of that sort of “particular factual information”
    about a company’s product, the Supreme Court has said, the
    company has only a “minimal” cognizable interest in
    withholding public disclosure. 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    .
    By contrast, the scarlet “A” affixed to Hester Prynne’s gown
    5
    conveyed personal information that she had a strong and
    obvious interest in withholding from the public. In that sense,
    requiring a company to disclose product information in the
    commercial marketplace is not the same as requiring Hester
    Prynne to “show [her] scarlet letter in the [town] market-
    place.” Nathaniel Hawthorne, The Scarlet Letter 63 (Laird &
    Lee 1892).
    I would therefore hold that the favored treatment
    normally afforded to compelled factual disclosures in the
    commercial arena applies to the Conflict Minerals Rule. The
    obligation to use the term “not been found to be ‘DRC
    conflict free’” should be subject to relaxed Zauderer review,
    which it satisfies. Even under the less permissive test for
    restrictions on commercial speech established in Central
    Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. v. Public Service Commission,
    
    447 U.S. 557
    (1980), I would find that the Rule survives.
    Because I would conclude that the Conflict Minerals Rule
    works no violation of the First Amendment, I respectfully
    disagree with the contrary decision reached by my colleagues.
    I.
    An understanding of the unique treatment afforded to
    compelled disclosures in the area of commercial speech
    substantially informs the proper resolution of the First
    Amendment challenge in this case. As we recognized in 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 21-22
    , and as the Supreme Court has emphasized,
    the starting premise in all commercial speech cases is the
    same: the First Amendment values commercial speech for
    different reasons than non-commercial speech.
    Until 1976, commercial speech received no constitutional
    protection at all. See Valentine v. Chrestensen, 
    316 U.S. 52
    (1942), overruled by Va. State Bd. of Pharmacy v. Va.
    6
    Citizens Consumer Council, Inc., 
    425 U.S. 748
    (1976). When
    the Supreme Court eventually extended “First Amendment
    protection to commercial speech,” it did so primarily because
    of the “value to consumers of the information such speech
    provides.” 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    . The Court protected
    commercial speech against unwarranted restriction through
    the framework set out in Central 
    Hudson. 447 U.S. at 564
    .
    Outside the context of commercial speech, the
    protections applicable to restrictions on speech directly mirror
    the protections applicable to compelled speech. Compelled
    speech, the Supreme Court has observed, generally is “as
    violative of the First Amendment as prohibitions on speech.”
    
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 650
    . That symmetry does not exist,
    however, in the area of commercial speech. In that context,
    there are “material differences between disclosure
    requirements and outright prohibitions on speech.” 
    Id. When the
    government requires disclosure of “purely factual and
    uncontroversial information” about products in the
    commercial sphere, “the First Amendment interests
    implicated . . . are substantially weaker than those at stake
    when speech is actually suppressed.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 22
    (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 652
    n.14).
    In particular, because the First Amendment’s protection
    of commercial speech lies in the speech’s value to consumers,
    there is only a “minimal” interest in resisting disclosure of
    product information to the public. 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ;
    see Milavetz, Gallop & Milavetz, P.A. v. United States, 
    559 U.S. 229
    , 249-50 (2010). Laws “requiring a commercial
    speaker to make purely factual disclosures related to its
    business affairs . . . facilitate rather than impede the free flow
    of commercial information.” Beeman v. Anthem Prescription
    Mgmt., 
    315 P.3d 71
    , 89 (Cal. 2013) (internal quotation marks
    omitted); see generally Robert Post, Compelled Commercial
    7
    Speech, 
    117 W. Va. L
    . Rev. 867 (2015). As a result,
    government     compulsion       of   “purely factual    and
    uncontroversial” commercial speech is subject to a more
    lenient constitutional standard than the Central Hudson
    framework applicable to restrictions on commercial speech.
    
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    . The government can require
    disclosure of factual and uncontroversial information in the
    realm of commercial speech as long as the disclosure
    “reasonably relate[s]” to an adequate interest. 
    Id. The key
    to deciding whether to apply Zauderer or
    Central Hudson, then, turns on the effect of the challenged
    government regulation. Does the regulation restrict the flow
    of truthful commercial information, in which case it triggers
    more searching review under Central Hudson? Or does the
    regulation expand the flow of truthful commercial
    information by requiring its disclosure, in which case it
    occasions less demanding review under Zauderer?
    II.
    To answer that question for the Conflict Minerals Rule,
    we must first address a threshold issue: whether the
    challenged disclosure involves “commercial speech.” The
    relaxed standard of Zauderer, according to the logic (and
    letter) of the Court’s opinion, applies only in the context of
    “commercial 
    speech.” 471 U.S. at 651
    .
    The Conflict Minerals Rule meets that condition. The
    Rule requires manufacturers of commercial products to
    disclose information to the public about the composition of
    their products—in particular, sourcing information about
    component minerals contained in the products. In that sense,
    the disclosure resembles the country-of-origin labeling this
    court deemed “commercial speech” in 
    AMI. 760 F.3d at 21
    .
    8
    Like the labels at issue in AMI, the conflict minerals
    disclosure informs investors and consumers about the
    geographic origins of products for sale in the commercial
    marketplace.
    It is true that the conflict minerals disclosure appears in
    annual reports made available on manufacturers’ websites
    (and filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission)
    rather than in product labels or conventional advertisements.
    But under our precedents, the precise form of the speech does
    not determine whether it qualifies as “commercial speech.” In
    United States v. Philip Morris USA, Inc., 
    566 F.3d 1095
    (D.C.
    Cir. 2009) (per curiam), we treated corrective statements
    about products required to be included on the company’s
    website as commercial speech. 
    Id. at 1138,
    1142-45. Philip
    Morris argued that disclosures on its website could not be
    considered commercial speech because they were unattached
    to advertisements. We disagreed. 
    Id. at 1143.
    Commercial
    speech, we held, “include[s] material representations about
    the efficacy, safety, and quality of the advertiser’s product,
    and other information asserted for the purpose of persuading
    the public to purchase” (or, given the corrective disclosures at
    issue, not to purchase) “the product.” 
    Id. The Conflict
    Minerals Rule likewise calls for website
    disclosures about a company’s products with an eye towards a
    potential commercial purchase.        The conflict minerals
    disclosure, the Commission explained in announcing the
    Rule, “provide[s] information” about a product “that is
    material to an investor’s understanding of the risks in an
    issuer’s reputation and supply chain.” Conflict Minerals, 77
    Fed. Reg. 56,274, 56,276 (Sept. 12, 2012). That information
    self-evidently aims at a prospective commercial transaction:
    an investor’s decision whether to purchase or invest in the
    9
    issuer’s securities. The Rule’s disclosure obligation therefore
    should be eligible for relaxed review under Zauderer.
    My colleagues in the majority, however, hold that it is
    insufficient to conclude that the conflict minerals disclosure
    involves “commercial speech.” In their view, the permissive
    review normally afforded to commercial disclosure mandates
    under Zauderer extends only to a sub-category of commercial
    speech: advertisements and product labels. Ante at 7-8. No
    other court has ever identified such a limit under Zauderer (or
    for any other purpose under commercial-speech law). See
    United States v. Wenger, 
    427 F.3d 840
    (10th Cir. 2005)
    (applying Zauderer to compelled disclosure in newsletter and
    radio program). The majority’s newly minted constriction of
    Zauderer to those particular forms of commercial speech
    contradicts that decision’s core rationale.
    For starters, confining Zauderer to advertising and
    product labels gives rise to highly curious results. Suppose,
    for instance, that the Conflict Minerals Rule required
    companies to include the designation “not been found to be
    ‘DRC conflict free’” in prominent text on product packaging
    rather than in a once-a-year report posted on a website. The
    majority would subject that requirement only to Zauderer’s
    less demanding form of review. It would be strange, though,
    if the same compelled commercial disclosure—providing the
    same information about the same product—commanded more
    demanding First Amendment scrutiny if it appeared in a
    single yearly report on the seller’s website instead of on every
    product label. After all, if faced with the choice between an
    annual website report and product packaging, a seller would
    predictably opt for the former. Not only would the company
    prefer to post the disclosure once a year instead of printing it
    on every product label, but even as to a single product label,
    the limited physical space on a product’s packaging makes for
    10
    a less desirable forum for a compelled commercial disclosure
    than the unlimited virtual space on a company website.
    The majority’s approach, though, would run in the
    opposite direction. It would impose a more searching First
    Amendment standard on a disclosure that imposes a less
    burdensome requirement on the speaker. The anomaly in that
    result, contrary to the majority’s suggestion, ante at 11 n.14,
    has little to do with AMI’s application of Zauderer to contexts
    beyond prevention of consumer deception. After all, if a
    requirement to include a disclosure on every product label
    was aimed to prevent consumer deception, the majority would
    still subject that requirement only to deferential Zauderer
    review. But if the same compelled disclosure appeared in a
    once-a-year website report, the majority would apply a more
    searching First Amendment standard to that less restrictive
    obligation. It is entirely unclear why that should be so.
    Nothing in Zauderer supports that counter-intuitive
    result. To the contrary, Zauderer’s basic rationale holds no
    less true across the full range of commercial speech than in
    the sub-category consisting of advertisements and product
    labels. The decision, by its terms, is grounded in the
    recognition that “the extension of First Amendment protection
    to commercial speech is justified principally by the value to
    consumers of the information such speech 
    provides.” 471 U.S. at 651
    (emphasis added). That is why a commercial
    speaker has only a “minimal” interest in withholding
    disclosure of factual information about its products. 
    Id. That reason
    for a permissive approach to disclosure obligations in
    the commercial sphere applies to every form of “commercial
    speech,” all of which yields the “value to consumers”
    animating the Court’s approach. 
    Id. 11 To
    be sure, the Zauderer Court unsurprisingly used the
    word “advertising” numerous times in the relevant part of the
    opinion, see ante at 8-9, but only because that was the
    particular factual context in which the case arose. For what
    it’s worth, the Court also used “commercial speech” and
    “commercial speaker” a number of times in the same part of
    the opinion when explaining the rationale for the relaxed First
    Amendment standard it set 
    forth, 471 U.S. at 650-52
    , and it
    also did so when framing the question it addressed in that part
    of its opinion, 
    id. at 629.
    What matters is that the Court’s
    driving rationale, as the Court itself said, applies to
    “commercial speech” writ large, not just (and not any more
    so) to advertising alone. 
    Id. at 651.
    Indeed, the majority would extend Zauderer beyond
    traditional advertising to encompass product labels, as it must
    after AMI. But tellingly, AMI itself did not conceive of the
    possibility that Zauderer might apply only to that decision’s
    specific factual context of advertising (in which event AMI
    would have needed to assess whether Zauderer also applies to
    product labels).      Rather, AMI examined the range of
    government interests to which Zauderer pertains on the
    natural assumption that, whatever the scope of those interests,
    Zauderer applies to “commercial 
    speech,” 760 F.3d at 21
    , not
    just to certain forms of commercial speech.
    Contrary to the majority’s suggestion, ante at 9-11, the
    Supreme Court’s post-Zauderer decisions do not indicate
    otherwise. In Hurley v. Irish-American Gay, Lesbian and
    Bisexual Group of Boston, a case that had nothing to do with
    commercial speech, the Court simply quoted Zauderer’s
    observation that the government may at times “prescribe what
    shall be orthodox in commercial advertising.” 
    515 U.S. 557
    ,
    573 (1995) (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ). In United
    States v. United Foods, Inc., the Court described Zauderer as
    12
    “involving attempts by a State to prohibit certain voluntary
    advertising by licensed attorneys.” 
    533 U.S. 405
    , 416 (2001).
    The Court then restated Zauderer’s outcome, i.e., that it
    permitted “a rule requiring that attorneys who advertised by
    their own choice and who referred to contingent fees should
    disclose that clients might be liable for costs.” 
    Id. Those references
    in United Foods and Hurley accurately describe
    Zauderer’s factual context. But there is no reason to think
    that the references to “advertising” in any way confined
    Zauderer’s holding.
    In short, nothing in Zauderer or any subsequent decision
    suggests that Zauderer review applies only to conventional
    advertisements, much less to advertisements plus product
    labels. Zauderer is a decision about compelled commercial
    speech. This is such a case.
    III.
    Once we conclude that the Conflict Minerals Rule
    regulates “commercial speech,” the next question is whether
    the Rule should be examined under the relaxed standard set
    forth in Zauderer or the more restrictive test of Central
    Hudson. Because the Rule compels rather than restricts
    commercial speech, it triggers permissive review under
    Zauderer as long as it requires disclosure of “purely factual
    and uncontroversial information.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ). And while AMI
    reaffirmed that only “purely factual and uncontroversial”
    disclosures qualify for Zauderer review, we had no occasion
    in AMI to define precisely what that standard entails. 
    See 760 F.3d at 27
    .      Inasmuch as “the criteria triggering the
    application of Zauderer” were “substantially unchallenged,”
    we reasoned, whatever may be the precise meaning of “purely
    13
    factual and uncontroversial,” the country-of-origin labeling at
    issue met that standard. 
    Id. There was
    no question, for instance, that the country-of-
    origin disclosure was “purely factual.” As to “controversial,”
    we understood that a disclosure might be “controversial” in
    the “sense” of “disagree[ment] with the truth of the facts
    required to be disclosed,” but the challengers raised no claim
    that the country-of-origin disclosure was “controversial in that
    sense.” 
    Id. Nor did
    we perceive how the disclosure might be
    seen as “controversial” in any other sense, i.e., “for some
    reason other than dispute about simple factual accuracy.” 
    Id. We made
    no effort to identify any such additional meaning of
    “controversial” that might matter under Zauderer, other than
    to note that a disclosure “could be so one-sided or
    incomplete” as to fall outside Zauderer’s zone. 
    Id. But the
    challengers had made no argument along those lines. 
    Id. The upshot
    is that AMI left it to a future panel to expound on the
    contours of “purely factual and uncontroversial.”
    In assessing whether the conflict minerals disclosure
    squares with the phrase “purely factual and uncontroversial,”
    it is important to bear in mind that phrase comes from a
    judicial opinion, not a statute. And the “language of an
    opinion is not always to be parsed as though we were dealing
    with language of a statute.” Reiter v. Sonotone Corp., 
    442 U.S. 330
    , 341 (1979). Language in a judicial opinion should
    be “read in context,” 
    id., taking into
    account the whole of the
    court’s analysis. Here, that context starts with Zauderer’s
    firm grounding in the reason for protecting commercial
    speech in the first place: its value in providing consumers
    with useful information about products and 
    services. 471 U.S. at 651
    ; 
    Milavetz, 559 U.S. at 249
    -50.
    14
    That purpose is honored when a disclosure mandate calls
    for dissemination to consumers of “purely factual” and
    “accurate” information about a product, as Zauderer itself
    indicates. 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    & n.14. That means, at
    the least, that the “factual” disclosure must be non-deceptive.
    It also means that the government cannot attempt to prescribe,
    under the guise of requiring disclosure of “purely factual”
    information, “what shall be orthodox in politics, nationalism,
    religion, or other matters of opinion.” 
    Id. at 651
    (emphasis
    added) (quoting W. Va. State Bd. of Educ. v. Barnette, 
    319 U.S. 624
    , 642 (1943)).             If a compelled statement
    communicates a “matter of opinion,” it of course would not
    be “purely factual.” To qualify as “purely factual and
    uncontroversial,” in short, the disclosed information must in
    fact be “factual,” and it must also be “uncontroversially” so,
    in the sense that that there could be no “disagree[ment] with
    the truth of the facts required to be disclosed.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    .
    Both pieces of that inquiry do important work. The
    “purely factual” inquiry looks to the nature of the information
    disclosed—is it entirely factual or does it communicate
    subjective opinion?          If the disclosure communicates
    subjective opinion, or something other than “purely factual”
    information, Zauderer does not apply. But even if the
    disclosure qualifies as “purely factual,” it would still fall
    outside of Zauderer review if the accuracy of the particular
    information disclosed were subject to dispute.             The
    requirement that disclosures be “uncontroversial” in addition
    to “purely factual” thereby removes from Zauderer’s purview
    disclosures whose accuracy is contestable. AMI in fact
    assumes “controversial” in this context means exactly that: a
    “dispute about . . . factual 
    accuracy.” 760 F.3d at 27
    .
    15
    That reading draws support from the Supreme Court’s
    most recent invocation of the Zauderer standard in Milavetz,
    
    559 U.S. 229
    . There, the Court applied the Zauderer standard
    without once reciting the phrase “purely factual and
    uncontroversial.” Instead, the Court concluded that the
    challenged disclosure mandate shared “the essential features
    of the rule at issue in Zauderer”—namely, that the disclosure
    involved “only an accurate statement” of “factual
    information.” 
    Id. at 249-50
    (emphasis added). That approach
    is consistent with a reading of “purely factual and
    uncontroversial” that refrains from giving “uncontroversial” a
    meaning wholly untethered to the core question of whether
    the disclosure is “factual.” If a disclosure is factual, and if the
    truth of the disclosed factual information is incontestable (i.e.,
    if the facts are indisputably accurate), the interest in arming
    consumers with truthful, factual information about products
    calls for relaxed review under Zauderer.
    It is also worth noting what “purely factual and
    uncontroversial” does not mean. While it might be said that
    the Conflict Minerals Rule’s disclosure requirement touches
    on a “controversial” topic, that alone cannot render the
    disclosure “controversial” in the sense meant by Zauderer.
    Otherwise, our decision in AMI presumably would have
    turned out differently. The country-of-origin disclosure in
    that case—as the majority points out, ante at 21-22—could be
    seen to involve a “controversial” issue. And while AMI
    recognizes that a disclosure could be conceived of as
    “controversial” for “some reason other than dispute about
    simple factual 
    accuracy,” 760 F.3d at 27
    , the court did not say
    that any such broader understanding of “controversial” would
    necessarily count under Zauderer. In fact, the court described
    only one such example of “controversial”—a disclosure that
    is “one-sided or incomplete,” id.—and an understanding of
    16
    “controversial” centered on factual accuracy would
    comfortably deal with that sort of misleading disclosure.
    Applying those principles here, I would conclude that the
    requirement to identify whether a product has “been found to
    be ‘DRC conflict free’” calls for disclosure of “purely factual
    and uncontroversial” information. The term “DRC conflict
    free” is a term of art defined in the Rule and statute: a
    product is “DRC conflict free” if it contains no “conflict
    minerals” originating in the DRC or adjoining countries that
    finance armed groups in those countries. See 15 U.S.C.
    § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii), (D); 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,321. The question
    whether a product has been “found to be ‘DRC conflict free’”
    thus calls for a “factual” response: the product either has, or
    has not, been “found to be ‘DRC conflict free’” under the
    statutory definition. There is nothing non-factual about the
    required disclosure, nor is the factual accuracy of the
    disclosure subject to dispute. If geographic information about
    the sourcing of meat products qualifies as “purely factual and
    uncontroversial,” as we held in 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 27
    , so, too,
    does geographic information about the sourcing of a product’s
    component minerals.
    Appellants contend that the mandated catchphrase “not
    been found to be ‘DRC conflict free’” is “highly misleading”
    and therefore should be ineligible for Zauderer review. NAM
    Supp. Br. 16.      Appellants are correct that misleading
    disclosures would not qualify for Zauderer’s relaxed standard.
    A misleading disclosure, by definition, would not convey
    accurate information to a consumer, and it therefore would
    fail to qualify as “uncontroversial” in the sense discussed
    above. In fact, a misleading disclosure would run into a more
    basic First Amendment problem still. Because “[t]he First
    Amendment's concern for commercial speech is based on the
    informational function of advertising,” misleading speech in
    17
    the commercial realm gets no constitutional protection in the
    first place. Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 563
    -64.
    The conflict minerals disclosure, however, is not
    misleading. The phrase “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict
    free,’” even considered in isolation, seems unlikely to be
    misunderstood. At worst, the language would elicit some
    uncertainty about its meaning, which would just direct the
    reader to the statutory definition. After all, the words “DRC
    conflict free” appear in quotation marks within the broader
    description “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free,’” see 77
    Fed. Reg. at 56,321, alerting an uninitiated reader to the
    phrase’s status as a term of art.
    Any possibility of misperception seems especially remote
    in light of the setting in which the catchphrase appears. The
    phrase “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free’” is
    embedded within a broader set of disclosures about an
    issuer’s due-diligence measures. Before characterizing any
    product as having “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free,’”
    the Commission obligates an issuer to provide “[a] description
    of the measures the [issuer] has taken to exercise due
    diligence on the source and chain of custody” of the minerals
    used in its products. Securities and Exchange Commission,
    OMB No. 3235-0697, Form SD Specialized Disclosure
    Report 3 (2014). Those due-diligence measures assess
    whether a product’s sources in the DRC or an adjoining
    country come from mines that finance or benefit armed
    groups. When the phrase “not been found to be ‘DRC
    conflict free’” appears in the midst of an extensive discussion
    of measures aimed to ascertain the origins of a product’s
    minerals in conflict-ridden countries in the DRC region, it
    seems readily apparent how the phrase is to be understood.
    18
    An issuer, in any event, retains the ability to eliminate all
    doubt about the phrase’s meaning. The Rule allows an issuer
    to elaborate on the catchphrase’s meaning in any manner it
    would like. As the Supreme Court has noted, a speaker’s
    ability to “convey[] any additional information” it desires is a
    factor weighing in favor of Zauderer review. 
    Milavetz, 559 U.S. at 250
    . Here, the Commission explicitly instructs issuers
    that they may include in their disclosures any explanatory
    information they deem warranted. As the Commission
    understood, “[t]his allows issuers to include the statutory
    definition of ‘DRC conflict free’ in the disclosure to make
    clear that ‘DRC conflict free’ has a very specific meaning.”
    77 Fed. Reg. at 56,322.
    The Commission also provided illustrative language. An
    “issuer could state: ‘The following is a description of our
    products that have not been found to be “DRC conflict free”
    (where “DRC conflict free” is defined under the federal
    securities laws to mean . . . ).’” 
    Id. at 56,322
    n.562. And if an
    issuer is unable to pinpoint the source of the minerals in
    certain of its products, the Commission further explained, an
    issuer could say something like the following:
    Because we cannot determine the origins of
    the minerals, we are not able to state that
    products containing such minerals do not
    contain conflict minerals that directly or
    indirectly finance or benefit armed groups in
    the Democratic Republic of the Congo or an
    adjoining country.      Therefore, under the
    federal securities laws we must describe the
    products containing such minerals as having
    not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free.’
    Those products are listed below.
    19
    
    Id. It is
    difficult to understand what could be seen as
    misleading or non-factual about that kind of disclosure.
    That language does not “require[] an issuer to tell
    consumers that its products are ethically tainted,” much less
    “to confess blood on its hands.” Ante at 24. It instead
    communicates a statement of fact about the geographic source
    of the minerals in its products—i.e., that the issuer could not
    determine with certainty whether component minerals directly
    or indirectly finance armed groups in the DRC region, thus
    obligating the issuer to describe the products as having “not
    been found to be ‘DRC conflict free.’”
    To be sure, an issuer presumably would prefer to avoid
    making any such disclosure. But the same could be said of a
    host of commonplace (and entirely unobjectionable)
    requirements to disclose factual information about products to
    consumers. A company presumably would rather avoid
    reporting calorie counts and nutritional information about
    unhealthy food products, see New York State Restaurant
    Ass’n v. New York City Board of Health, 
    556 F.3d 114
    (2d
    Cir. 2009), or disclosing that its product contains mercury, see
    National Electronic Manufacturers Ass’n v. Sorrell, 
    272 F.3d 104
    (2d Cir. 2001). Such disclosures of course can elicit a
    reaction by consumers—that is often the point, as with the
    country-of-origin rule upheld in AMI, 
    see 760 F.3d at 24
    —but
    the disclosures still remain factual and truthful. And while it
    is true that a company would be required to make the conflict
    minerals disclosure even if it “condemns the atrocities of the
    Congo war in the strongest terms,” ante at 24, there is no
    possibility of investor confusion about the company’s views
    in that regard: the Rule gives a company full leeway to state
    its position explicitly, in the strongest terms, in its disclosure.
    20
    None of this is to grant the government carte blanche to
    compel commercial speakers to voice any prescribed set of
    words as long as the words are defined by statute or
    regulation. Zauderer does not grant the government that kind
    of license.     The government, for instance, could not
    misleadingly redefine “peace” as “war,” and then compel a
    factual statement using the term “peace” on the theory that a
    consumer could consult the government’s redefinition to learn
    that “peace” in fact means “war” in the specific
    circumstances. See ante at 23 n.29. A consumer would have
    no reason to suppose that the word “peace” is a stylized term
    of art misleadingly redefined to be something far different
    from its ordinary meaning.
    Nor, for similar reasons, could the government compel
    expression of a “matter[] of opinion,” 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    , by redefining the matter in factual terms, especially if
    (unlike here) there were no opportunity for the speaker to
    elaborate as it sees fit on the relationship between the term of
    art and the statutory definition.          So a statement that
    immediately rings as a matter of opinion (e.g., “this product is
    environmentally unsustainable,” see ante at 23) would remain
    outside the fold of Zauderer even if it were reconceptualized
    as factual in a statutory definition (e.g., a product qualifies as
    “environmentally unsustainable” if, as a factual matter, it
    releases x units of ozone in y hours). Insofar as the
    unelaborated label “environmentally unsustainable” could
    then be characterized as “factual,” it still would not count as
    “purely” factual because it continues fundamentally to come
    across as a matter of opinion.
    Of course, there could well be difficult questions of
    application at the margins, some hypothetical and others
    perhaps actual. See ante at 20-22. That is not entirely
    uncommon in the area of the First Amendment, in which
    21
    standards at times have been characterized as “elusive” in
    their application. 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 23
    . In certain situations,
    moreover, constitutional protections outside of the First
    Amendment might constrain the government’s ability to
    compel disclosures—for instance, if the disclosures facilitated
    private discrimination. See Palmore v. Sidoti, 
    466 U.S. 429
    (1984). But whatever may be the complexities of applying
    the standard in discrete situations, as a matter of precedent, an
    obligation in the commercial sphere to disclose “purely
    factual and uncontroversial” information about a product
    draws deferential First Amendment review. 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    . The Conflict Minerals Rule, in my view, falls
    within that category. Zauderer therefore should govern.
    IV.
    Although I think Zauderer’s permissive standard
    provides the governing framework for review of the Conflict
    Minerals Rule, I would conclude that the Rule satisfies even
    the more demanding standard set forth in Central Hudson.
    And of course, if the Rule passes muster under Central
    Hudson, it necessarily survives the “less exacting scrutiny
    described in Zauderer.” 
    Milavetz, 559 U.S. at 249
    .
    A.
    To satisfy Central Hudson, the Commission must first
    demonstrate that the disclosure requirement advances a
    substantial governmental interest. The parties agree that
    Congress’s overarching purpose in enacting the conflict
    minerals statute was to “promote peace and security” in the
    DRC.      But Central Hudson calls for identifying the
    “substantial state interest” advanced by the challenged law
    “with care” and precision. Edenfield v. Fane, 
    507 U.S. 761
    ,
    767-68 (1993). Defining the governmental interest at a high
    22
    level of abstraction (i.e., promotion of peace) naturally can
    make it challenging to assess whether the law “directly
    advances” that interest, Central 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 566
    , a
    burden that remains unsatisfied by “mere speculation or
    conjecture,” 
    Edenfield, 507 U.S. at 770
    .
    Here, the Conflict Minerals Rule’s disclosure
    requirement does not aim simply to “promote peace and
    security” in the DRC in some highly general sense. The
    statute and the Rule both manifest a more specific intention to
    promote peace and security in the DRC by reducing funding
    to armed groups in the DRC region from trade in conflict
    minerals. Congress thus determined that “the exploitation
    and trade of conflict minerals originating in the Democratic
    Republic of the Congo is helping to finance” violent conflict
    in the region and is “contributing to an emergency
    humanitarian situation therein.” Dodd-Frank Wall Street
    Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203,
    § 1502(a), 124 Stat. 1376, 2213 (2010). Additionally, the
    statute defines the term “DRC conflict free” by reference to a
    product that “does not contain conflict minerals that directly
    or indirectly finance or benefit armed groups in the
    Democratic Republic of the Congo or an adjoining country.”
    15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(D). And the statute defines the term
    “conflict mineral” to include any “mineral or its derivatives
    determined by the Secretary of State to be financing conflict
    in the Democratic Republic of the Congo or an adjoining
    country.” Dodd-Frank Act § 1502(e)(4). The Commission
    therefore understood “Congress’s main purpose to have been
    to attempt to inhibit the ability of armed groups . . . to fund
    their activities by exploiting the trade in conflict minerals.”
    77 Fed. Reg. at 56,275-76.
    The Commission observed, as the majority points out,
    ante at 6 & n.7, that the purpose promoted by the statute—and
    23
    hence the Rule— is “different from the economic or investor
    protection benefits that [the Commission’s rules] ordinarily
    strive to achieve.” 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,350. The Commission,
    tasked with implementing the statute through a disclosure
    rule, see 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1), had little choice about the
    Rule’s purpose. Even if that purpose differs from the interests
    usually served by disclosures in the securities realm, it does
    not differ from the kind of interests frequently promoted by
    governmental disclosure requirements more generally. The
    country-of-origin labeling requirement we upheld in AMI, for
    example, was adopted in part on the expectation that
    consumers would prefer meat with a certain geographic origin
    and would act on that preference when given the information.
    
    See 760 F.3d at 24
    . The Conflict Minerals Rule likewise
    operates on the basis of assumptions about the reaction of
    investors to disclosures about a product’s place of origin.
    At any rate, the ultimate question is whether the interest
    promoted by the Rule, however unique, satisfies Central
    Hudson review. I would conclude that interest qualifies as a
    substantial one under Central Hudson. We have noted “the
    pedestrian nature of those interests affirmed as substantial,”
    and have even asked “whether any governmental interest—
    except those already found trivial by the [Supreme] Court—
    could fail to be substantial.” Kansas v. United States, 
    16 F.3d 436
    , 443 (D.C. Cir. 1994); see 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 23
    . The
    parties here agree that the overarching interest in promoting
    peace and security in the DRC region readily qualifies as
    substantial. The more focused objective of reducing funding
    to armed groups in that region from trade in conflict minerals
    should likewise count as substantial, particularly given that it
    operates in direct service of the concededly substantial
    interest in promoting peace and security there.
    24
    B.
    Once we conclude that the Rule aims to promote a
    “substantial” interest, Central Hudson calls on us to assess
    whether the disclosure obligation “directly advance[s] the
    state interest involved,” and does so in a way that is
    reasonably tailored to serve that 
    end. 447 U.S. at 564
    .
    Applying those standards, I, like the district court, would hold
    that the conflict minerals disclosure requirement passes
    constitutional muster.
    First, the Rule “directly advances” the government’s
    substantial interest in reducing the flow of funds to armed
    groups in the DRC region from trade in conflict minerals.
    “[E]videntiary parsing,” we recognized in AMI, “is hardly
    necessary when the government uses a disclosure mandate to
    achieve a goal of informing consumers about a particular
    product 
    trait.” 760 F.3d at 26
    . Here, the Rule shines a light
    on a manufacturer’s use of conflict minerals from the DRC
    region. As the Commission explained, the Rule (and statute)
    “use the securities laws disclosure requirements to bring
    greater public awareness of the source of issuers’ conflict
    minerals and to promote the exercise of due diligence on
    conflict mineral supply chains.” 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,275.
    By requiring issuers to perform due diligence on their
    product supply chains and to disclose the results of that
    examination to investors and consumers, the Rule encourages
    manufacturers voluntarily to reduce their reliance on conflict
    minerals from the DRC and adjoining countries. And by
    making information about mineral sourcing readily available
    to investors and consumers, the disclosure regime enables
    them to exert pressure on manufacturers to minimize the use
    of conflict minerals from the DRC region. The Rule therefore
    makes conflict minerals from that area substantially less
    25
    appealing to manufacturers, diminishing the market for those
    minerals.
    With regard to the means-ends fit, the Supreme Court
    “has made clear that the government’s burden . . . is to show
    [only] a ‘reasonable fit’ or a ‘reasonable proportion’ between
    means and ends.” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 26
    (citations omitted).
    “What [the Court’s] decisions require is a ‘fit between the
    legislature’s ends and the means chosen to accomplish those
    ends’—a fit that is not necessarily perfect, but reasonable; that
    represents not necessarily the single best disposition but one
    whose scope is ‘in proportion to the interest served.’” Bd. of
    Trs. of State Univ. of N.Y. v. Fox, 
    492 U.S. 469
    , 480 (1989)
    (quoting Posadas de P.R. Assocs. v. Tourism Co. of P.R., 
    478 U.S. 328
    , 341 (1986), and In re R.M.J., 
    455 U.S. 191
    , 203
    (1982)). “Within those bounds we leave it to governmental
    decisionmakers to judge what manner of regulation may best
    be employed.” 
    Id. Here, the
    disclosure rule is at least reasonably designed to
    encourage manufacturers to reduce their reliance on conflict
    minerals from the DRC region, thereby diminishing the extent
    to which armed groups in the area gain funding through trade
    in those minerals. As we observed in AMI, “[t]o the extent
    that the government’s interest is in assuring that consumers
    receive particular information” about products, “the means-
    end fit is self-evidently satisfied when the government acts
    only through a reasonably crafted mandate to disclose ‘purely
    factual and uncontroversial information’ about attributes of
    the product or service being 
    offered.” 760 F.3d at 26
    .
    Consequently, that “particular method of achieving a
    government interest will almost always demonstrate a
    reasonable means-ends relationship.” 
    Id. 26 This
    case is no exception. The inference that the
    disclosure obligations would affect manufacturers in a manner
    tending to reduce the overseas trade in conflict minerals rests
    on “sound reasoning.” Century Commc’ns Corp. v. FCC, 
    835 F.2d 292
    , 304 (D.C. Cir. 1987). Deference to the political
    branches’ predictive judgment to that effect is all the more
    warranted because it arises in the arena of foreign affairs. See
    Holder v. Humanitarian Law Project, 
    561 U.S. 1
    , 33-36
    (2010). “[W]hen it comes to collecting evidence and drawing
    factual inferences in this area, ‘the lack of competence on the
    part of the courts is marked,’ and respect for the
    Government’s conclusions is appropriate.” 
    Id. at 34
    (citation
    omitted) (quoting Rostker v. Goldberg, 
    453 U.S. 57
    , 65
    (1981)). “In this context, conclusions must often be based on
    informed judgment rather than concrete evidence, and that
    reality affects what we may reasonably insist on from the
    Government.” 
    Id. at 34
    -35. Here, there is more than an
    adequate foundation for concluding that the conflict minerals
    disclosure requirement reasonably furthers its aims.
    Nor is there a basis for finding a lack of a “reasonable
    means-ends relationship” on the ground that the challenged
    disclosure mandate could be seen as “‘unduly burdensome’ in
    a way that ‘chills protected commercial speech.’” 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 26
    (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ). The Rule
    mandates the use of the contested phrase “not found to be
    ‘DRC conflict free’” as part of an effort to “present the
    information in a standardized manner,” so that investors and
    consumers “will benefit from the standardization and
    simplification of the disclosure.” 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,348.
    Obligating issuers to use a uniform, shorthand phrase—in lieu
    of a technical and lengthy statutory definition—directly
    furthers that objective. The requirement for issuers to post the
    disclosure report on their websites likewise promotes the
    ability of investors and consumers to access information about
    27
    manufacturers’ use of conflict minerals. I would therefore
    find the requisite “reasonable fit” between the challenged
    disclosure regime and the government’s interest in reducing
    funding to armed groups in the DRC region from the trade in
    conflict minerals.
    C.
    My colleagues in the majority approach the matter
    differently. They invalidate the Rule based on doubts about
    whether its disclosure obligation in fact will alleviate the
    conflict in the DRC region. Ante at 15-17. Those doubts are
    grounded in “[p]ost-hoc evidence” that, in their eyes, gives
    rise to “uncertainty about whether the conflict minerals rule
    either alleviates or aggravates the stated problem.” 
    Id. at 16.
    In my respectful view, the majority’s approach is flawed on
    multiple levels.
    First, even if there were uncertainty about the merits of
    Congress’s and the Commission’s predictive judgments
    concerning the effects of the disclosure requirement on the
    conflict in the DRC region, we should defer to the political
    branches’ assessments.        Congress determined “that the
    exploitation and trade of conflict minerals originating in the
    Democratic Republic of Congo is helping to finance conflict
    characterized by extreme levels of violence in the Democratic
    Republic of Congo, particularly sexual- and gender-based
    violence.” Dodd-Frank Act § 1502(a). Congress therefore
    called for “disclosures relating to conflict minerals originating
    in the Democratic Republic of the Congo” to ameliorate the
    situation. 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p) (title). Predictive judgments
    about matters such as the overseas trade in conflict minerals
    lie uniquely within the expertise of Congress and the
    Executive. The Supreme Court stressed the need to respect
    such judgments even when rejecting a First Amendment
    28
    challenge under strict scrutiny. Humanitarian Law 
    Project, 561 U.S. at 33-36
    . There is all the more cause for doing so
    when applying less rigorous scrutiny under Central Hudson.
    See 
    AMI, 760 F.3d at 25-26
    .
    Second, it seems particularly unwarranted to question the
    political branches’ predictive judgments on the basis of post
    hoc assessments of a law’s ongoing effects on the ground (let
    alone in the face of other post hoc assessments pointing in the
    opposite direction, ante at 16-17). I would think the proper
    frame of reference for assessing the means-ends fit involves
    an ex ante examination of Congress’s and the Commission’s
    outlook when enacting the statute and promulgating the Rule.
    Whatever may be the actual effect of the statute and Rule—
    including the possibility that they may have had unanticipated
    consequences—their constitutionality would not turn on a
    post hoc referendum on their effectiveness at a particular
    point in time. Otherwise, a law’s constitutionality might wax
    and wane depending on the precise time when its validity is
    assessed. I would think the relevant question is whether the
    disclosure regime, at the time of its establishment, was
    reasonably designed to reduce the flow of funding to armed
    groups in the DRC through the conflict minerals trade. I
    believe it was.
    Finally, the particular post hoc concerns given effect by
    the majority should afford no basis for invalidating the Rule.
    The Rule seems to have had its desired effect even as a matter
    of after-the-fact assessment, with “companies in the United
    States . . . now avoiding the DRC,” ante at 16, substantially
    reducing the money entering the country through the sale of
    conflict minerals. The law, in other words, is working as
    anticipated. The problem seen by some observers is that the
    law nonetheless has had unintended ripple effects. For
    instance, some workers who lost their jobs because of the
    29
    reduced demand for minerals occasioned by the law may have
    then turned around and joined armed groups in the region,
    adding to the strength of those groups.
    Those sorts of unintended, tertiary consequences should
    not form a basis for invalidating the Rule. Even assuming
    Congress (and the Commission in implementing Congress’s
    mandate) did not foresee all of the repercussions of the
    disclosure regime which might someday come to pass, the law
    was reasonably designed to further its aim of reducing
    funding for armed groups through the conflict minerals trade.
    Indeed, the law has done precisely that. If unanticipated
    downstream effects eventually call into question the ongoing
    desirability of a law working as intended, it should be up to
    the political branches to alter or repeal it, not to the judicial
    branch to invalidate it. For that reason, as well as the others
    explained in this opinion, I would uphold the Conflict
    Minerals Rule’s disclosure mandate against appellants’ First
    Amendment challenge.
    APPENDIX
    National Association of Manufacturers v. SEC, No. 13-
    5252, 
    748 F.3d 359
    (D.C. Cir. 2014):
    Before: SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judge, and SENTELLE and
    RANDOLPH, Senior Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    RANDOLPH.
    Opinion concurring in part filed by Circuit Judge
    SRINIVASAN
    RANDOLPH, Senior Circuit Judge:
    I.
    For the last fifteen years, the Democratic Republic of the
    Congo has endured war and humanitarian catastrophe. Millions
    have perished, mostly civilians who died of starvation and
    disease. Communities have been displaced, rape is a weapon,
    and human rights violations are widespread.
    Armed groups fighting the war finance their operations by
    exploiting the regional trade in several kinds of minerals. Those
    minerals—gold, tantalum, tin, and tungsten1—are extracted from
    technologically primitive mining sites in the remote eastern
    Congo. They are sold at regional trading houses, smelted nearby
    or abroad, and ultimately used to manufacture many different
    1
    See Conflict Minerals, 77 Fed. Reg. 56,274, 56,284-85 (Sept.
    12, 2012).
    2
    APPENDIX
    products.2 Armed groups profit by extorting, and in some cases
    directly managing, the minimally regulated mining operations.
    In 2010, Congress devised a response to the Congo war.
    Section 1502 of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and
    Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203, 124 Stat. 1376
    (relevant parts codified at 15 U.S.C. §§ 78m(p), 78m note
    (‘Conflict Minerals’)), requires the Securities and Exchange
    Commission—the agency normally charged with policing
    America’s financial markets—to issue regulations requiring
    firms using “conflict minerals” to investigate and disclose the
    origin of those minerals. See 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A).
    The disclosure regime applies only to “person[s] described”
    in the Act. See 
    id. A “person
    is described . . . [if] conflict
    minerals are necessary to the functionality or production of a
    product manufactured by such person.” 
    Id. § 78m(p)(2).
    A
    described person must “disclose annually, whether [its
    necessary] conflict minerals . . . did originate in the [Congo] or
    an adjoining country.” 
    Id. § 78m(p)(1)(A).
    If those minerals “did
    originate” in the Congo or an adjoining country (collectively,
    “covered countries”) then the person must “submit [a report] to
    the Commission.” 
    Id. The report
    must describe the “due
    diligence” measures taken to establish “the source and chain of
    custody” of the minerals, including a “private sector audit” of
    the report. 
    Id. The report
    must also list “the products
    manufactured or contracted to be manufactured that are not
    DRC conflict free.” 
    Id. A product
    is “DRC conflict free” if its
    2
    For example, tantalum is used in turbines, camera lenses,
    medical devices, cell phones, and computers. Tin is used in plastics,
    phones, and automobile parts. Tungsten is used in lighting, power
    tools, and golf clubs.
    3
    APPENDIX
    necessary conflict minerals did not “directly or indirectly
    finance or benefit armed groups” in the covered countries. 
    Id. In late
    2010, the Commission proposed rules for
    implementing the Act. Conflict Minerals, 75 Fed. Reg. 80,948
    (Dec. 23, 2010). Along with the proposed rules, the Commission
    solicited comments on a range of issues. In response, it received
    hundreds of individual comments and thousands of form letters.
    Conflict Minerals, 77 Fed. Reg. 56,274, 56,277-78 (Sept. 12,
    2012) (“final rule”) (codified at 17 C.F.R. §§ 240.13p-1,
    249b.400). The Commission twice extended the comment period
    and held a roundtable for interested stakeholders. 
    Id. By a
    3-2
    vote, it promulgated the final rule, which became effective
    November 13, 2012. 
    Id. at 56,274.
    The first reports are due by
    May 31, 2014. 
    Id. The final
    rule adopts a three-step process, which we outline
    below, omitting some details not pertinent to this appeal. At step
    one, a firm must determine if the rule covers it. 
    Id. at 56,279,
    56,285. The final rule applies only to securities issuers who file
    reports with the Commission under sections 13(a) or 15(d) of the
    Exchange Act. 
    Id. at 56,287.
    The rule excludes issuers if conflict
    minerals are not necessary to the production or functionality of
    their products. 
    Id. at 56,297-98.
    The final rule does not,
    however, include a de minimis exception, and thus applies to
    issuers who use very small amounts of conflict minerals. 
    Id. at 56,298.
    The rule also extends to issuers who only contract for
    the manufacture of products with conflict minerals, as well as
    issuers who directly manufacture those products. 
    Id. at 56,290-
    92.
    Step two requires an issuer subject to the rule to conduct a
    “reasonable country of origin inquiry.” 
    Id. at 56,311.
    The
    inquiry is a preliminary investigation reasonably designed to
    4
    APPENDIX
    determine whether an issuer’s necessary conflict minerals
    originated in covered countries. 
    Id. at 56,312.
    If, as a result of
    the inquiry, an issuer either knows that its necessary conflict
    minerals originated in covered countries or “has reason to
    believe” that those minerals “may have originated” in covered
    countries, then it must proceed to step three and exercise due
    diligence. 
    Id. at 56,313.3
    An issuer who proceeds to step three must “exercise due
    diligence on the source and chain of custody of its conflict
    minerals.” 
    Id. at 56,320.
    If, after performing due diligence an
    issuer still has reason to believe its conflict minerals may have
    originated in covered countries, it must file a conflict minerals
    report. The report must describe both its due diligence efforts,
    including a private sector audit,4 
    id., and those
    products that
    have “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free,’” 
    id. at 56,322
    (quoting 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii)). The report must also
    provide detailed information about the origin of the minerals
    used in those products. 
    Id. at 56,320.
    3
    If the inquiry discloses that there is no reason to believe the
    issuer’s conflict minerals came from covered countries or that there is
    a reasonable basis for believing that the issuer’s conflict minerals
    came from scrap or recycled sources, then the issuer need only file a
    specialized disclosure report on the newly-created Form SD, briefly
    describing its inquiry, 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,313, and provide a link to the
    report on its website. 
    Id. at 56,315.
    No due diligence is required.
    4
    To be precise, an issuer must also submit a conflict minerals
    report if, as a result of its earlier inquiry, it knows that its conflict
    minerals came from covered countries. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,320. That
    issuer must still perform due diligence, but the trigger for the report is
    the preliminary inquiry, not the due diligence results.
    5
    APPENDIX
    The final rule does offer a temporary reprieve. During a
    two-year phase-in period (four years for smaller issuers), issuers
    may describe certain products as “DRC conflict
    undeterminable” instead of conflict-free or not conflict-free. 
    Id. at 56,321-22.
    That option is available only if the issuer cannot
    determine through due diligence whether its conflict minerals
    originated in covered countries, or whether its minerals
    benefitted armed groups. 
    Id. An issuer
    taking advantage of the
    phase-in by describing its products as “DRC conflict
    undeterminable” must still perform due diligence and file a
    conflict minerals report, but it need not obtain a private sector
    audit. 
    Id. The Commission
    analyzed in some detail the final rule’s
    costs. 
    Id. at 56,333-54.
    It estimated the total costs of the final
    rule would be $3 billion to $4 billion initially, and $207 million
    to $609 million annually thereafter. 
    Id. at 56,334.
    To come up
    with this estimate, the Commission reviewed four cost estimates
    it received during the comment period, supplemented with its
    own data. 
    Id. at 56,350-54.
    Where possible, the Commission
    also estimated or described the marginal costs of its significant
    discretionary choices. 
    Id. at 56,342-50.
    The Commission was “unable to readily quantify” the
    “compelling social benefits” the rule was supposed to achieve:
    reducing violence and promoting peace and stability in the
    Congo. 
    Id. at 56,350.
    Lacking quantitative data on those issues,
    the Commission explained that it could not “assess how
    effective” the rule would be in achieving any benefits. 
    Id. Instead, the
    Commission relied on Congress’s judgment that
    supply-chain transparency would promote peace and stability by
    reducing the flow of money to armed groups. 
    Id. at 56,275-76,
    56,350. That judgment grounded many of the Commission’s
    6
    APPENDIX
    discretionary choices in favor of greater transparency. See, e.g.,
    
    id. at 56,288,
    56,291, 56,298.
    The National Association of Manufacturers challenged the
    final rule, raising Administrative Procedure Act, Exchange Act,
    and First Amendment claims.5 The district court rejected all of
    the Association’s claims and granted summary judgment for the
    Commission and intervenor Amnesty International. See Nat’l
    Ass’n of Mfrs. v. SEC, 
    956 F. Supp. 2d 43
    , 46 (D.D.C. 2013).
    II.
    Under the Administrative Procedure Act, a court must “hold
    unlawful and set aside agency action . . . found to be[] arbitrary,
    capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in
    accordance with law[, or] in excess of statutory jurisdiction.” 5
    U.S.C. § 706(2). In making these determinations, we review the
    administrative record as if the case had come directly to us
    without first passing through the district court. See Holland v.
    Nat’l Mining Ass’n, 
    309 F.3d 808
    , 814 (D.C. Cir. 2002).
    A.
    The Act does not include an exception for de minimis uses
    of conflict minerals. The Association claims that the rule should
    have included a de minimis exception and that the Commission
    erred when, during the rulemaking, it failed to recognize its
    5
    The Association initially filed a petition for review in this court.
    After our opinion in American Petroleum Institute v. SEC, 
    714 F.3d 1329
    (D.C. Cir. 2013), the Association moved to transfer the case to
    the district court, and we granted the motion. See Per Curiam Order,
    Nat’l Ass’n of Mfrs. v. SEC, No. 12-1422 (D.C. Cir. May 2, 2013).
    7
    APPENDIX
    authority to create one and assumed that the statute foreclosed
    any exception.
    Although the Commission acknowledges that it had the
    authority to create such an exception, see, e.g., 15
    U.S.C. § 78mm(a)(1); Ala. Power Co. v. Costle, 
    636 F.2d 323
    ,
    360-61 (D.C. Cir. 1979), it stated during the rulemaking that a
    de minimis exception “would be contrary to the [statute] and
    Congressional purpose,” and that if Congress intended to
    include such an exception it “would have done so explicitly” as
    it did in a nearby section of Dodd-Frank. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,298.
    But we do not interpret that explanation the way the Association
    does. Read in context, the Commission’s language addressed the
    general purpose of the statute and the effects of its policy
    choices. Congress knew that conflict minerals are often used in
    very small quantities. The Commission, relying on text, context,
    and policy concerns, inferred that Congress wanted the
    disclosure regime to work even for those small uses. 
    Id. A de
    minimis exception would, in the Commission’s judgment,
    “thwart” that goal. 
    Id. The Commission
    ’s explanation was thus a far cry from a
    mere “parsing of the statutory language,” Peter Pan Bus Lines,
    Inc. v. Fed. Motor Carrier Safety Admin., 
    471 F.3d 1350
    , 1354
    (D.C. Cir. 2006) (quoting PDK Labs., Inc. v. DEA, 
    362 F.3d 786
    , 797 (D.C. Cir. 2004)), that has caused us to set aside
    agency action in other cases. See, e.g., 
    id. at 1353
    (statute’s
    “plain language” “does not permit” action); Arizona v.
    Thompson, 
    281 F.3d 248
    , 253-54 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (“intent of
    Congress, rather than of HHS” “does not permit” action); Alarm
    Indus. Commc’ns Comm. v. FCC, 
    131 F.3d 1066
    , 1068 (D.C.
    Cir. 1997) (“plain meaning” of a statute was “unambiguous”).
    Nothing in the Commission’s explanation suggests, as in those
    cases, that the statutory text by itself foreclosed any exception.
    8
    APPENDIX
    Rather, the explanation “looks to be a quite ordinary
    construction of a statute over which the agency has been given
    interpretive authority.” PDK 
    Labs., 362 F.3d at 807-08
    (Roberts,
    J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment).
    The Commission did not act arbitrarily and capriciously by
    choosing not to include a de minimis exception. Because conflict
    minerals “are often used in products in very limited quantities,”
    the Commission reasoned that “a de minimis threshold could
    have a significant impact on the final rule.” 77 Fed. Reg. at
    56,298 (quoting U.S. Dep’t of State Responses to Request for
    Comment). The Association suggests that this rationale would
    not apply to de minimis thresholds measured by mineral use per-
    issuer, instead of per-product. Although that sort of threshold
    was suggested in a few comments, those comments did not
    explain the merits of the proposal or compare it to other
    thresholds. The Commission was not obligated to respond to
    those sorts of comments. See Pub. Citizen, Inc. v. FAA, 
    988 F.2d 186
    , 197 (D.C. Cir. 1993); see also Alianza Fed. de Mercedes v.
    FCC, 
    539 F.2d 732
    , 739 (D.C. Cir. 1976). In any event, the
    Commission’s rationale still applies to a per-issuer exemption.
    Having established that conflict minerals are frequently used in
    minute amounts, the Commission could reasonably decide that
    a per-issuer exception could “thwart” the statute’s goals by
    leaving unmonitored small quantities of minerals aggregated
    over many issuers. Though costly, that decision bears a “rational
    connection” to the facts. Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n v. State
    Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983).
    B.
    As we have mentioned, the final rule requires an issuer to
    conduct “due diligence” if, after its inquiry, it “has reason to
    believe that its necessary conflict minerals may have originated
    9
    APPENDIX
    in” covered countries. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,313 (emphasis added).
    According to the Association, that requirement contravenes the
    statute, which requires issuers to “submit to the Commission a
    report” only “in cases in which [their] conflict minerals did
    originate” in covered countries. 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)
    (emphasis added).
    The Association has conflated distinct issues. The statute
    does require a conflict minerals report if an issuer has already
    performed due diligence and determined that its conflict
    minerals did originate in covered countries. But the statute does
    not say in what circumstances an issuer must perform due
    diligence before filing a report. The statute also does not list
    what, if any, reporting obligations may be imposed on issuers
    uncertain about the origin of their conflict minerals.
    In general, if a statute “is silent or ambiguous with respect
    to the specific issue at hand” then “the Commission may
    exercise its reasonable discretion in construing the statute.”
    Bldg. Owners & Managers Ass’n Int’l v. FCC, 
    254 F.3d 89
    ,
    93-94 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (quoting Chevron U.S.A., Inc. v. NRDC,
    
    467 U.S. 837
    , 843 (1984)). And that discretion may be exercised
    to regulate circumstances or parties beyond those explicated in
    a statute. See, e.g., Mourning v. Family Publ’ns Serv., Inc., 
    411 U.S. 356
    , 371-73 (1973); Tex. Rural Legal Aid, Inc. v. Legal
    Servs. Corp., 
    940 F.2d 685
    , 694 (D.C. Cir. 1991). Here, the
    statute is silent with respect to both a threshold for conducting
    due diligence, and the obligations of uncertain issuers. The
    Commission used its delegated authority to fill those gaps, and
    nothing in the statute foreclosed it from doing so.6
    6
    The parties also disagree over a more subtle point. The
    Association concedes that due diligence can be required if an issuer
    has “reason to believe” its conflict minerals “did” originate in covered
    10
    APPENDIX
    We also reject the Association’s argument that the
    Commission’s due diligence threshold was arbitrary and
    capricious. The Commission adopted a lower due diligence
    threshold to prevent issuers from “ignor[ing] . . . warning signs”
    that their conflict minerals originated in covered countries. 77
    Fed. Reg. at 56,313. In particular, the Commission wanted
    issuers who encounter red flags to “learn[] the ultimate source”
    of their conflict minerals. 
    Id. at 56,314.
    Requiring a good-faith
    inquiry does not resolve the Commission’s concerns. A good-
    faith inquiry could generate red flags but, without a further due
    diligence requirement, those red flags would not give way to
    “ultimate” answers, which result would “undermine the goals of
    the statute.” 
    Id. Although the
    Commission adopted an expansive rule, it did
    not go as far as it might have, and it declined to require due
    diligence by issuers who encounter no red flags in their inquiry.
    
    Id. By doing
    so, the Commission reduced the costs of the final
    rule, and resolved the Association’s concern that the rule will
    yield a flood of trivial information. 
    Id. C. By
    its terms, the statute applies to “Persons Described,” or
    those that “manufacture[]” a product in which conflict minerals
    “are necessary to the functionality or production” of the product.
    15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(2). If those persons file a conflict minerals
    countries. See Oral Arg. Tr. at 4:14-5:16. Since “reason to believe”
    inherently conveys uncertainty, it is unclear how that standard would
    differ in practice from the Commission’s “reason to believe . . . may”
    standard. Because the statute is ambiguous we need not resolve the
    issue.
    11
    APPENDIX
    report the statute requires them to describe products they
    “manufacture[] or contract[] to be manufactured.” 
    Id. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(i).
    The Commission reconciled these provisions
    in an expansive fashion, applying the final rule not only to
    issuers that manufacture their own products, but also to those
    that only contract to manufacture. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,290-91.
    The Association claims that decision violates the statute. By
    using the phrase “contracted to be manufactured” in one
    provision, but only “manufactured” in another, Congress
    allegedly intended to limit the scope of the latter.
    The persons-described provision, though it refers expressly
    to manufacturers, is silent on the obligations of issuers that only
    contract for their goods to be manufactured. Standing alone, that
    silence allows the Commission to use its delegated authority in
    determining the rule’s scope, just as with the due diligence
    provision. The Association’s argument is no more persuasive
    here because Congress explicitly used the phrase “contracted to
    be manufactured” in a nearby provision.
    The Association invokes the canon expressio unius est
    exclusio alterius. But that canon is “an especially feeble helper
    in an administrative setting, where Congress is presumed to have
    left to reasonable agency discretion questions that it has not
    directly resolved.” Cheney R. Co., Inc. v. ICC, 
    902 F.2d 66
    , 69
    (D.C. Cir. 1990); see Tex. Rural Legal 
    Aid, 940 F.2d at 694
    . The
    more reasonable interpretation of the statute as a whole is that
    Congress simply “deci[ded] not to mandate any solution” and
    left the rule’s application to contractors “to agency discretion.”
    Cheney R. 
    Co., 902 F.2d at 69
    (emphasis omitted).
    Potential “internal[] inconsisten[cy]” between the due
    diligence and persons-described provisions also persuades us
    that the statute is ambiguous. See 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,291. An
    12
    APPENDIX
    issuer subject to the rule must describe due diligence measures
    it undertakes on the source and chain of custody of “such
    minerals.” 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(i). “[S]uch minerals”
    refers, in the preceding paragraph, to “minerals that are
    necessary as described in paragraph (2)(B).” 
    Id. § 78m(p)(1)(A).
    Paragraph (2)(B) in turn refers to minerals “necessary to . . . a
    product manufactured” by a person described. 
    Id. § 78m(p)(2)
    (emphasis added). Thus, under the Association’s reading, an
    issuer would not have to describe its due diligence efforts (or
    even, presumably, to conduct due diligence) for products it does
    not manufacture. And yet, the statute requires that same issuer
    to describe its contracted-for products as not conflict free under
    § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii) if they do not meet the statute’s definition.
    We do not understand how an issuer could describe its
    contracted-for products without first conducting due diligence
    on those products, or why the statute would require certain
    products to be described in a report without a corresponding
    explanation of the related due diligence efforts. The
    Commission’s interpretation is therefore reasonable because it
    reconciles otherwise confusing and conflicting provisions “into
    an harmonious whole.” FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco
    Corp., 
    529 U.S. 120
    , 133 (2000) (internal quotation omitted).
    The Commission did not erroneously assume that its
    interpretation was compelled by Congress. As the district court
    explained, referring once to Congress’s intent as “clear” does
    not establish that the Commission believed it lacked discretion.
    Nat’l Ass’n of 
    Mfrs., 956 F. Supp. 2d at 72
    (quoting Ass’n of
    Private Sector Colls. & Univs. v. Duncan, 
    681 F.3d 427
    , 445
    (D.C. Cir. 2012)). The balance of the Commission’s
    explanation, as with the de minimis exception, falls well short of
    the language on which we have relied to set aside agency action.
    
    See supra
    at 8-9. Rather than merely parsing the statutory
    language, the Commission provided policy justifications and
    13
    APPENDIX
    structural inferences supporting its decision. 77 Fed. Reg. at
    56,291.
    Nor did the Commission act arbitrarily or capriciously. The
    final rule applies to contractors so that issuers cannot “avoid
    [its] requirements by contracting out of the manufacture” of
    their products. 
    Id. at 56,291.
    The Association thinks the final
    rule reaches too far and overstates the risk of circumvention. But
    that is a question of judgment for the Commission, which we
    will not second-guess. The Commission’s explanation was
    “rational,” and that is enough. State 
    Farm, 463 U.S. at 43
    .
    D.
    The final rule’s temporary phase-in period allows issuers to
    describe certain products as “DRC conflict undeterminable” and
    to avoid conducting an audit. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,320-21. The
    Association claims the length of the phase-in—two years for
    large issuers and four years for small issuers—is inconsistent,
    arbitrary, and capricious because small issuers are part of large-
    issuer supply chains. All issuers, the Association says, will
    therefore face the same information problems. Not so. Large
    issuers, the Commission explained, can exert greater leverage to
    obtain information about their conflict minerals, 
    id. at 56,322
    -
    23, and they may be able to exercise that leverage indirectly on
    behalf of small issuers in their supply chains. 
    Id. at 56,323
    n.570. Like the district court, we can “see the trickledown logic
    underlying the Commission’s approach,” even if it does not hold
    in all cases. Nat’l Ass’n of 
    Mfrs., 956 F. Supp. 2d at 73
    n.24.
    III.
    Two provisions require the Commission to analyze the
    effects of its rules. Under 15 U.S.C. § 78w(a)(2), the
    14
    APPENDIX
    Commission “shall not adopt any rule [under § 78m(p)] . . .
    which would impose a burden on competition not necessary or
    appropriate” to advance the purposes of securities laws. Also,
    when the Commission “is engaged in rulemaking,” it must
    “consider, in addition to the protection of investors, whether the
    action will promote efficiency, competition, and capital
    formation.” 15 U.S.C. § 78c(f). The Association, citing several
    of our recent opinions, alleges that the Commission violated
    those sections because it did not adequately analyze the costs
    and benefits of the final rule. See Bus. Roundtable v. SEC, 
    647 F.3d 1144
    (D.C. Cir. 2011); Am. Equity Inv. Life Ins. Co. v.
    SEC, 
    613 F.3d 166
    (D.C. Cir. 2010); Chamber of Commerce v.
    SEC, 
    412 F.3d 133
    (D.C. Cir. 2005).7
    We do not see any problems with the Commission’s cost-
    side analysis. The Commission exhaustively analyzed the final
    rule’s costs. See 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,333-54. It considered its own
    data as well as cost estimates submitted during the comment
    period, 
    id. at 56,350-54,
    and arrived at a large bottom-line figure
    that the Association does not challenge. 
    Id. at 56,334.
    The
    Commission specifically considered the issues listed in § 78c(f)
    and concluded that the rule would impose competitive costs, but
    have relatively minor or offsetting effects on efficiency and
    capital formation. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,350-51. The Association
    does not dispute those conclusions.
    Instead, the Association argues on the benefit side that the
    Commission failed to determine whether the final rule would
    7
    Dodd-Frank independently requires the Comptroller General of
    the United States to submit annual reports to Congress “assess[ing ]
    the effectiveness of . . . 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p) in promoting peace and
    security in the” covered countries. 15 U.S.C. § 78m note (‘Conflict
    Minerals’).
    15
    APPENDIX
    actually achieve its intended purpose. But we find it difficult to
    see what the Commission could have done better. The
    Commission determined that Congress intended the rule to
    achieve “compelling social benefits,” 
    id. at 56,350,
    but it was
    “unable to readily quantify” those benefits because it lacked data
    about the rule’s effects. 
    Id. That determination
    was reasonable. An agency is not
    required “to measure the immeasurable,” and need not conduct
    a “rigorous, quantitative economic analysis” unless the statute
    explicitly directs it to do so. Inv. Co. Inst. v. Commodity Futures
    Trading Comm’n, 
    720 F.3d 370
    , 379 (D.C. Cir. 2013) (internal
    quotation marks omitted); see Chamber of 
    Commerce, 412 F.3d at 360
    . Here, the rule’s benefits would occur half-a-world away
    in the midst of an opaque conflict about which little reliable
    information exists, and concern a subject about which the
    Commission has no particular expertise. Even if one could
    estimate how many lives are saved or rapes prevented as a direct
    result of the final rule, doing so would be pointless because the
    costs of the rule—measured in dollars—would create an apples-
    to-bricks comparison.
    Despite the lack of data, the Commission had to promulgate
    a disclosure rule. 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A). Thus, it relied on
    Congress’s “determin[ation] that [the rule’s] costs were
    necessary and appropriate in furthering the goals” of peace and
    security in the Congo. 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,350. The Association
    responds that the Commission only had to adopt some disclosure
    rule; Congress never decided the merits of the Commission’s
    discretionary choices. True enough. But Congress did conclude,
    as a general matter, that transparency and disclosure would
    benefit the Congo. See 15 U.S.C. § 78m note. And the
    Commission invoked that general principle to justify each of its
    discretionary choices. See 
    id. at 56,291;
    (contractors to
    16
    APPENDIX
    manufacture); 
    id. at 56,298
    (no de minimis exception); 
    id. at 56,313-14
    (due diligence standard); 
    id. at 56,322
    (phase-in).
    What the Commission did not do, despite many comments
    suggesting it, was question the basic premise that a disclosure
    regime would help promote peace and stability in the Congo. If
    the Commission second-guessed Congress on that issue, then it
    would have been in an impossible position. If the Commission
    had found that disclosure would fail of its essential purpose,
    then it could not have adopted any rule under the Association’s
    view of §§ 78w(a)(2) and 78c(f). But promulgating some rule is
    exactly what Dodd-Frank required the Commission to do.
    IV.
    This brings us to the Association’s First Amendment claim.
    The Association challenges only the requirement that an issuer
    describe its products as not “DRC conflict free” in the report it
    files with the Commission and must post on its website.8 15
    U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii) & (E). That requirement, according
    to the Association, unconstitutionally compels speech. The
    8
    The district court stated that the Association had limited its First
    Amendment claim to product descriptions on an issuer’s “website[].”
    Nat’l Ass’n of 
    Mfrs., 956 F. Supp. 2d at 73
    . In this court both the
    Commission and the intervenor Amnesty International understood the
    Association’s claim to encompass also the not “DRC conflict free”
    statement required in a company’s report to the Commission. See, e.g.,
    Appellee Br. 58, 61; Intervenor Br. 31. When asked about the scope
    of the claim during oral argument, counsel for the Association
    clarified that the First Amendment claim also extends to labeling of
    products as not conflict free in reports to the Commission. Oral Arg.
    Tr. at 15:25-16:11. The Association does not have any First
    Amendment objection to any other aspect of the conflict minerals
    report or required disclosures. 
    Id. at 16:11-16:25.
                                   17
    APPENDIX
    district court, applying Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. v.
    Public Service Commission, 
    447 U.S. 557
    , 564-66 (1980),
    rejected the First Amendment claim. Nat’l Ass’n of 
    Mfrs., 956 F. Supp. 2d at 73
    , 75-82. We review its decision de novo. Am.
    Bus. Ass’n v. Rogoff, 
    649 F.3d 734
    , 737 (D.C. Cir. 2011).9
    The Commission argues that rational basis review is
    appropriate because the conflict free label discloses purely
    factual non-ideological information. We disagree. Rational basis
    review is the exception, not the rule, in First Amendment cases.
    See Turner Broad. Sys., Inc. v. FCC, 
    512 U.S. 622
    , 641-42
    (1994). The Supreme Court has stated that rational basis review
    applies to certain disclosures of “purely factual and
    uncontroversial information.” Zauderer v. Office of Disciplinary
    Counsel, 
    471 U.S. 626
    , 651 (1985). But as intervenor Amnesty
    International forthrightly recognizes,10 we have held that
    9
    The concurring opinion suggests that we hold the First
    Amendment portion of our opinion in abeyance and stay
    implementation of the relevant part of the final rule. We do not see
    why that approach is preferable, even though it might address the risk
    of irreparable First Amendment harm. Issuing an opinion now
    provides an opportunity for the parties in this case to participate in the
    court’s en banc consideration of this important First Amendment
    question. That is consistent with the court’s previous approach in
    United States v. Crowder, 
    87 F.3d 1405
    , 1409 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (en
    banc), cert. granted, judgment vacated, 
    519 U.S. 1087
    (1997), on
    remand 
    141 F.3d 1202
    (D.C. Cir. 1998) (en banc), in which we
    consolidated two cases presenting the same legal issue so that all
    parties could participate in the en banc proceeding.
    10
    See Intervenor Br. 32 n.5 (“Amnesty International recognizes
    that this panel is bound by R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. v. FDA, 
    696 F.3d 1205
    (D.C. Cir. 2012), which circumscribed Zauderer’s rational-
    basis standard.”). For its part, the Commission makes no attempt to
    18
    APPENDIX
    Zauderer is “limited to cases in which disclosure requirements
    are ‘reasonably related to the State’s interest in preventing
    deception of consumers.’” R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co. v. FDA,
    
    696 F.3d 1205
    , 1213 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ); see Nat’l Ass’n of Mfrs. v. NLRB, 
    717 F.3d 947
    ,
    959 n.18 (D.C. Cir. 2013). But see Am. Meat Inst. v. USDA, No.
    13-5281, 
    2014 WL 1257959
    , at *4-7 (D.C. Cir. Mar. 28, 2014),
    vacated and en banc rehearing ordered, Order, No. 13-5281
    (D.C. Cir. Apr. 4, 2014) (en banc). No party has suggested that
    the conflict minerals rule is related to preventing consumer
    deception. In the district court the Commission admitted that it
    was not. Nat’l Ass’n of 
    Mfrs., 956 F. Supp. 2d at 77
    .
    That a disclosure is factual, standing alone, does not
    immunize it from scrutiny because “[t]he right against
    compelled speech is not, and cannot be, restricted to ideological
    messages.” Nat’l Ass’n of 
    Mfrs., 717 F.3d at 957
    . Rather, “th[e]
    general rule, that the speaker has the right to tailor the speech,
    applies . . . equally to statements of fact the speaker would rather
    avoid.” Hurley v. Irish-Am. Gay, Lesbian & Bisexual Grp., 
    515 U.S. 557
    , 573-74 (1995) (citing cases). As the Supreme Court
    put it in Riley v. National Federation of the Blind of North
    Carolina, Inc., the cases dealing with ideological messages11
    distinguish R.J. Reynolds; in fact, it does not even acknowledge the
    holding of R.J. Reynolds regarding Zauderer, which the Commission
    also fails to cite.
    11
    See, e.g., Wooley v. Maynard, 
    430 U.S. 705
    (1977); W. Va.
    State Bd. of Educ. v. Barnette, 
    319 U.S. 624
    (1943); see also Rumsfeld
    v. Forum for Academic & Institutional Rights, Inc., 
    547 U.S. 47
    , 61
    (2006) (“Some of [the] Court’s leading First Amendment precedents
    have established the principle that freedom of speech prohibits the
    government from telling people what they must say.”).
    19
    APPENDIX
    “cannot be distinguished simply because they involved
    compelled statements of opinion while here we deal with
    compelled statements of ‘fact.’” 
    487 U.S. 781
    , 797 (1988).
    At all events, it is far from clear that the description at
    issue—whether a product is “conflict free”—is factual and non-
    ideological. Products and minerals do not fight conflicts. The
    label “conflict free” is a metaphor that conveys moral
    responsibility for the Congo war. It requires an issuer to tell
    consumers that its products are ethically tainted, even if they
    only indirectly finance armed groups. An issuer, including an
    issuer who condemns the atrocities of the Congo war in the
    strongest terms, may disagree with that assessment of its moral
    responsibility. And it may convey that “message” through
    “silence.” See 
    Hurley, 515 U.S. at 573
    . By compelling an issuer
    to confess blood on its hands, the statute interferes with that
    exercise of the freedom of speech under the First Amendment.
    See 
    id. Citing our
    opinion in SEC v. Wall Street Publishing
    Institute, Inc., intervenor Amnesty International argues that
    rational basis review applies because the final rule exercises “the
    federal government’s broad powers to regulate the securities
    industry.” 
    851 F.2d 365
    , 372 (D.C. Cir. 1988).12 In Wall Street
    Publishing the court held that the Commission could, without
    running afoul of the First Amendment, seek an injunction
    requiring that a magazine disclose the consideration it received
    in exchange for stock recommendations. 
    Id. at 366.
    Significantly, the court chose to apply a less exacting level of
    scrutiny, even though the injunction did not fall within any well-
    established exceptions to strict scrutiny. 
    Id. at 372-73.
    12
    The Commission does not join this argument.
    20
    APPENDIX
    It is not entirely clear what would result if Wall Street
    Publishing did apply to this case. The opinion never states that
    rational basis review governs securities regulations as such. At
    one point, the opinion even suggests that the power to regulate
    securities might be roughly tantamount to the government’s
    more general power to regulate commercial speech. 
    Id. at 373.
    Whatever its consequences, we do not think Wall Street
    Publishing applies here. The injunction at issue there regulated
    “inherently misleading” speech “employed . . . to sell
    securities.” 
    Id. at 371,
    373. The opinion thus concerned the same
    consumer-deception rationale as did Zauderer. See 
    id. at 374.
    As
    explained above, consumer-deception is not an issue here, and
    the “conflict free” label is not employed to sell securities.
    To read Wall Street Publishing broadly would allow
    Congress to easily regulate otherwise protected speech using the
    guise of securities laws. Why, for example, could Congress not
    require issuers to disclose the labor conditions of their factories
    abroad or the political ideologies of their board members, as part
    of their annual reports? Those examples, obviously repugnant to
    the First Amendment, should not face relaxed review just
    because Congress used the “securities” label.
    Having established that rational basis review does not
    apply, we do not decide whether to use strict scrutiny or the
    Central Hudson test for commercial speech. That is because the
    final rule does not survive even Central Hudson’s intermediate
    standard.
    Under Central Hudson, the government must show (1) a
    substantial government interest that is; (2) directly and
    materially advanced by the restriction; and (3) that the
    restriction is narrowly 
    tailored. 447 U.S. at 564-66
    ; see R.J.
    21
    APPENDIX
    
    Reynolds, 696 F.3d at 445
    . The narrow tailoring requirement
    invalidates regulations for which “narrower restrictions on
    expression would serve [the government’s] interest as well.”
    Cent. 
    Hudson, 447 U.S. at 565
    . Although the government need
    not choose the “least restrictive means” of achieving its goals,
    there must be a “reasonable” “fit” between means and ends. Bd.
    of Trs. v. Fox, 
    492 U.S. 469
    , 480 (1989). The government
    cannot satisfy that standard if it presents no evidence that less
    restrictive means would fail. Sable Commc’ns v. FCC, 
    492 U.S. 115
    , 128-32 (1989).
    The Commission has provided no such evidence here. The
    Association suggests that rather than the “conflict free”
    description the statute and rule require, issuers could use their
    own language to describe their products, or the government
    could compile its own list of products that it believes are
    affiliated with the Congo war, based on information the issuers
    submit to the Commission. The Commission and Amnesty
    International simply assert that those proposals would be less
    effective. But if issuers can determine the conflict status of their
    products from due diligence, then surely the Commission can
    use the same information to make the same determination. And
    a centralized list compiled by the Commission in one place may
    even be more convenient or trustworthy to investors and
    consumers. The Commission has failed to explain why (much
    less provide evidence that) the Association’s intuitive
    alternatives to regulating speech would be any less effective.
    The Commission maintains that the fit here is reasonable
    because the rule’s impact is minimal. Specifically, the
    Commission argues that issuers can explain the meaning of
    “conflict free” in their own terms. But the right to explain
    compelled speech is present in almost every such case and is
    inadequate to cure a First Amendment violation. See Nat’l Ass’n
    22
    APPENDIX
    of 
    Mfrs., 717 F.3d at 958
    . Even if the option to explain
    minimizes the First Amendment harm, it does not eliminate it
    completely. Without any evidence that alternatives would be
    less effective, we still cannot say that the restriction here is
    narrowly tailored.13
    We therefore hold that 15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii) & (E),
    and the Commission’s final rule, 77 Fed. Reg. at 56,362-65,
    violate the First Amendment to the extent the statute and rule
    require regulated entities to report to the Commission and to
    state on their website that any of their products have “not been
    found to be ‘DRC conflict free.’”14
    The judgment of the district court is therefore affirmed in
    part and reversed in part and the case is remanded for further
    proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    So ordered.
    13
    Because the statute and final rule fail the third part of the
    Central Hudson test, we need not decide whether they satisfy the
    second part: that the speech restrictions directly and materially
    advance the government’s asserted interest.
    14
    The requirement that an issuer use the particular descriptor “not
    been found to be ‘DRC conflict free’” may arise as a result of the
    Commission’s discretionary choices, and not as a result of the statute
    itself. We only hold that the statute violates the First Amendment to
    the extent that it imposes that description requirement. If the
    description is purely a result of the Commission’s rule, then our First
    Amendment holding leaves the statute itself unaffected.
    APPENDIX
    SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judge, concurring in part: I concur
    fully in Parts I, II, and III of the court’s opinion, which sustain
    the SEC’s Conflict Minerals Rule against challenges brought by
    the National Association of Manufacturers under the
    Administrative Procedure Act and the Securities Exchange Act.
    Respectfully, I do not join Part IV of the court’s opinion, which
    addresses the Association’s First Amendment claim. A question
    of central significance to the resolution of that claim is pending
    before the en banc court in another case. I would opt to hold in
    abeyance our consideration of the First Amendment issue in this
    case pending the en banc court’s decision in the other, rather
    than issue an opinion that might effectively be undercut by the
    en banc court in relatively short order.
    The intersection between the two cases arises from the way
    in which the court resolves the Association’s First Amendment
    claim. An essential step in the majority’s First Amendment
    analysis is that the relaxed standard for reviewing compelled
    commercial-speech disclosures set forth in Zauderer v. Office of
    Disciplinary Counsel, 
    471 U.S. 626
    , 651 (1985), applies only if
    the disclosure requirement serves a governmental interest in
    preventing consumer deception. Ante, at 18-19. That precise
    question is currently pending before our en banc court in
    American Meat Institute v. United States Department of
    Agriculture, No. 13-5281. In that case, a panel of this court (of
    which I was a member) issued an opinion upholding labeling
    requirements for meat products under Zauderer’s standard,
    which requires that disclosure mandates be “reasonably related”
    to the government’s interests. __ F.3d __ (slip op. at 11)
    (quoting 
    Zauderer, 471 U.S. at 651
    ). The panel relied on the
    government’s interest in arming consumers with additional
    information when purchasing food, rejecting the suggestion that
    Zauderer review applies only to disclosure mandates aimed to
    cure consumer deception. Id. at __ (slip op. at 10).
    2
    APPENDIX
    The full court, acting on the panel’s suggestion, id. at __
    (slip op. at 14 n.1), has now voted to rehear the case en banc,
    with oral argument set to take place on May 19, 2014. See
    Order, No. 13-5281 (D.C. Cir. Apr. 4, 2014) (en banc) (per
    curiam). The en banc court will receive supplemental briefing
    on the question whether review of “mandatory disclosure”
    obligations can “properly proceed under Zauderer” even if they
    serve interests “other than preventing deception.” 
    Id. My good
    colleagues in the majority here assume the answer to that
    question is no, and their decision on the First Amendment claim
    rests on that assumption. Ante, at 18-19. But if the en banc
    court in American Meat decides otherwise, the First Amendment
    claim in this case presumably would need to be reconsidered
    afresh.
    To avert that possibility, a panel in such circumstances can
    elect to withhold its decision until the en banc court decides the
    potentially dispositive question. See, e.g., United States v.
    Johnson, No. 91-3221, 
    1993 U.S. App. LEXIS 36925
    , at *1-2
    (D.C. Cir. Dec. 14, 1993) (per curiam) (non-precedential);
    United States v. Gerald, 
    5 F.3d 563
    , 565 (D.C. Cir. 1993);
    United States v. Dockery, 
    965 F.2d 1112
    , 1113-14 & n.1 (D.C.
    Cir. 1992); Pub. Citizen v. Nat’l Highway Traffic Safety Admin.,
    
    848 F.2d 256
    , 259 (D.C. Cir. 1988); see also Judicial Watch,
    Inc. v. Dep’t of Energy, No. 04-5204, 
    2004 U.S. App. LEXIS 22661
    , at *2 (D.C. Cir. Oct. 8, 2004) (per curiam) (on court’s
    own motion, ordering parties to show cause why appeal should
    not be held in abeyance pending en banc court’s resolution of
    related question). The court likewise frequently withholds a
    decision in analogous situations in which a case potentially
    implicates a question pending before the Supreme Court. See,
    e.g., Wagner v. FEC, No. 13-5162 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 11, 2013) (en
    banc) (per curiam); United States v. Epps, 
    707 F.3d 337
    , 341
    (D.C. Cir. 2013); Trump Plaza Assocs. v. NLRB, 
    679 F.3d 822
    ,
    3
    APPENDIX
    826 (D.C. Cir. 2012); Belbacha v. Bush, 
    520 F.3d 452
    , 456-57
    (D.C. Cir. 2008). Ordinarily, when resolution of a case before
    a panel could turn on a question under consideration by the en
    banc court in a separate case, the latter case would have been
    pending for some time. The circumstances here are unusual in
    that regard because this case was docketed shortly before, and
    presented to the court essentially contemporaneously with,
    American Meat. But because en banc review has now been
    granted in American Meat, my own respectful preference would
    be to withhold a decision on the First Amendment claim here
    pending the en banc decision in that case.
    To be sure, there is no certainty that the en banc decision in
    American Meat will alter the panel’s resolution here. As could
    always be the case when a panel addresses an issue pending
    before the en banc court in a different case, the full court might
    agree with the panel’s inclination—here, by concluding that
    Zauderer’s “reasonably related” standard applies only to
    disclosure requirements aimed to prevent consumer deception.
    Moreover, even if the en banc court were to decide that
    Zauderer extends more broadly, the majority suggests that the
    conflict minerals disclosure requirement might fail to satisfy
    another precondition to Zauderer scrutiny, i.e., that the
    disclosure be factual and non-controversial. See ante, at 20. As
    it stands, though, the majority’s decision on the First
    Amendment challenge hinges on the premise that Zauderer
    applies only to the prevention of deception—the issue now
    under consideration by the en banc court.
    I fully join the court’s resolution of the Association’s
    remaining challenges to the SEC’s rule, however. The parties
    understandably desire a final decision from this court before the
    May 31, 2014, deadline for the first conflict minerals disclosure
    report. See 77 Fed. Reg. 56,274, 56,305 (Sept. 12, 2012). Parts
    4
    APPENDIX
    I, II, and III of the court’s opinion address non-First Amendment
    challenges bearing no connection to the en banc proceedings in
    American Meat. Those parts of the court’s opinion—which
    resolve the claims to which the Association devotes its principal
    attention—should issue forthwith. See, e.g., Coke Oven Envtl.
    Task Force v. EPA, No. 06-1131, 
    2006 U.S. App. LEXIS 23499
    ,
    at *4 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 13, 2006) (per curiam) (severing one
    aspect of case and holding it in abeyance pending Supreme
    Court’s decision in Massachusetts v. EPA, 
    549 U.S. 497
    (2007));
    United States v. Coles, No. 03-3113, 
    2004 U.S. App. LEXIS 25904
    , at *3-4 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 13, 2004) (per curiam) (affirming
    judgment in part and holding remaining portion of case in
    abeyance pending Supreme Court’s decision in United States v.
    Booker, 
    543 U.S. 220
    (2005)); Wrenn v. Shalala, No. 94-5198,
    
    1995 U.S. App. LEXIS 8731
    , at *1-3 (D.C. Cir. Mar. 8, 1995)
    (per curiam) (non-precedential) (affirming dismissal of certain
    claims, reversing dismissal of other claims, and holding separate
    claim in abeyance pending Supreme Court decision in Kimberlin
    v. Quinlan, 
    515 U.S. 321
    (1995)).
    That approach would afford a resolution as to the lion’s
    share of the challenges to the SEC’s rule in advance of the date
    by which the parties seek a decision. It would still leave
    unresolved, though, the more narrowly focused challenge under
    the First Amendment to the particular requirement that
    manufacturers categorize certain products as “not found to be
    ‘DRC conflict-free’” in a conflict minerals report. 17 C.F.R. §
    249b.400, Form SD, Item 1.01(c)(2). The court, however, could
    stay enforcement of that aspect of the SEC’s rule pending
    disposition of the Association’s First Amendment claim.
    In these unique circumstances, there would be strong
    arguments supporting issuance of a stay under the governing
    standards. See generally Wash. Metro. Area Transit Comm’n v.
    5
    APPENDIX
    Holiday Tours, Inc., 
    559 F.2d 841
    , 842-43 & n.1 (D.C. Cir.
    1977). With regard to the likelihood of success on the merits:
    the majority concludes that the disclosure requirement fails to
    satisfy the test of Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. v.
    Public Service Commission, 
    447 U.S. 557
    (1980); and there are,
    at the least, substantial questions concerning Zauderer’s
    applicability given the grant of en banc review in American
    Meat and the majority’s suggestion, ante at 20, that the
    disclosure requirement may fail to qualify for Zauderer review
    regardless. With regard to irreparable harm and the balance of
    equities: “loss of First Amendment freedoms, for even minimal
    periods of time, unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury,”
    Elrod v. Burns, 
    427 U.S. 347
    , 373 (1976) (plurality); and any
    adverse consequences for the SEC and the public would be
    limited because a stay would leave the bulk of the SEC’s rule
    (including the disclosure obligations) in place, affecting only the
    requirement to use a particular phrase. The court perhaps could
    enter a stay on its own motion, see Fed. R. App. P. 2; Deering
    Milliken, Inc. v. FTC, 
    647 F.2d 1124
    , 1129 (D.C. Cir. 1978)
    (“balance of the equities” favors a stay “so much so that we
    should act sua sponte”), or at least could invite submissions
    from the parties on the desirability of a stay or order the SEC to
    show cause why one should not be granted.
    It bears noting that there would be no evident need to stay
    any part of the statute, as opposed to the SEC’s rule. The
    Exchange Act requires covered manufacturers to list products
    qualifying as “not DRC conflict free” under the statutory
    definition.      15 U.S.C. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii); see 
    id. § 78m(p)(1)(D).
    The Act, however, contains no mandate to use
    any magic words when categorizing those products. Congress
    elected to use the descriptor, “not DRC conflict free,” in the Act,
    
    id. § 78m(p)(1)(A)(ii),
    but Congress imposed no requirement for
    manufacturers to use that (or any) particular phrase when
    6
    APPENDIX
    describing their products. The latter obligation comes from the
    SEC’s rule, not the statute. The rule, moreover, compels use of
    the phrase, “not been found to be ‘DRC conflict free’”—rather
    than “not DRC conflict free”—an adjustment viewed by the
    agency to ameliorate any First Amendment objections by
    allowing for a more “accurate disclosure.” 77 Fed. Reg. at
    56,323. If the court were to withhold a decision on the
    Association’s First Amendment claim pending the en banc
    court’s decision in American Meat, but were to grant temporary
    relief to the Association in the interim, any stay order
    presumably would run against the SEC’s rule (not the statute)
    and would correspond to the particular disclosure compelled by
    that rule.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 13-5252

Citation Numbers: 419 U.S. App. D.C. 158, 800 F.3d 518

Filed Date: 8/18/2015

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

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