United States v. Alfredo Leyva , 916 F.3d 14 ( 2019 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued October 9, 2018            Decided February 26, 2019
    No. 17-3027
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    APPELLEE
    v.
    ALFREDO BELTRAN LEYVA, ALSO KNOWN AS MOCHOMO,
    APPELLANT
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Columbia
    (No. 1:12-cr-00184-1)
    Stephen C. Leckar, appointed by the court, argued the
    cause and filed the briefs for appellant.
    William A. Glaser, Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice,
    argued the cause for appellee. With him on the brief were
    Arthur G. Wyatt, Chief. Adrienne L. Rose, Attorney, and
    Elizabeth Trosman, Assistant U.S. Attorney, entered
    appearances.
    Before: ROGERS and SRINIVASAN, Circuit Judges, and
    GINSBURG, Senior Circuit Judge.
    2
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    GINSBURG.
    GINSBURG, Senior Circuit Judge: Alfredo Beltran Leyva
    pleaded guilty to conspiracy to distribute cocaine and
    methamphetamine in the United States. He later sought to
    withdraw his guilty plea and proceed to trial, but the district
    court did not permit him to do so. On appeal, Leyva claims the
    district court erred in denying his motion to withdraw the guilty
    plea; he also raises several challenges to his sentence and
    forfeiture order. We reject all his challenges and affirm the
    judgment of the district court.
    I. Background
    The offenses to which Leyva pleaded guilty stem from a
    large-scale drug trafficking organization and the members’
    conspiracy to import various drugs into the United States
    through Mexico. Although Leyva admits the existence of and
    his participation in the conspiracy, he challenges the reliability
    and sufficiency of the evidence to support his sentence and the
    amount of the forfeiture ordered by the district court; therefore,
    we review the relevant facts in detail.
    A. Relevant Facts
    Along with his brothers Arturo and Hector, Alfredo
    Beltran Leyva operated a drug trafficking organization
    (hereinafter a DTO) from at least 2000 to 2012. The DTO’s
    cocaine business purchased cocaine from Colombian
    manufacturers through brokers and then shipped the drugs via
    land, air, or water for sale throughout Mexico; the cartel also
    imported some of that cocaine to the United States at the Texas
    border. The cartel also produced methamphetamine in
    laboratories in Mexico and shipped the finished drugs to the
    3
    United States. In order to maintain control of its territories in
    Mexico and to ease the transport of its drug shipments, the
    DTO bribed local law enforcement officials and engaged
    gunmen to kill members of rival cartels.
    Leyva’s primary role in the organization was to control the
    receipt, transportation, and sale of cocaine through Culiacán,
    Sinaloa in Mexico, its hub for cocaine operations. He was also
    responsible for overseeing the production of methamphetamine
    in laboratories around the Culiacán area.
    B. Procedural History
    The Mexican Army arrested Leyva in January 2008. He
    has been in continuous custody since then, though he was not
    extradited to the United States until November 2014. In
    August 2012 a grand jury in the District of Columbia returned
    a one-count indictment charging him with conspiracy to
    distribute 5 kilograms or more of cocaine, 50 grams or more of
    methamphetamine, 1 kilogram or more of heroin, and 1,000
    kilograms or more of marijuana for importation into the United
    States in violation of 21 U.S.C. §§ 959(a), 960(b)(1)(A),
    960(b)(1)(B)(ii), 960(b)(1)(G), 960(b)(1)(H), and 963. The
    indictment covered the period from January 2000 through the
    date it was filed. The district court later granted the
    Government’s motion to dismiss the charges involving heroin
    and marijuana, leaving only the cocaine and methamphetamine
    charges.
    In February 2016, shortly before trial was to begin, Leyva
    pleaded guilty. He did so without a plea agreement. At the
    plea hearing, the district court engaged the defendant in a
    lengthy colloquy before accepting his plea. The judge asked
    the defendant whether he had reviewed and discussed the
    indictment with his attorneys. Leyva confirmed he had; one of
    4
    his attorneys further confirmed he had gone over the document
    with Leyva in Spanish and that Leyva had received a Spanish-
    language translation of the indictment at the time of his
    extradition. The district court also asked the defendant if he
    was satisfied with his attorneys’ representation. Leyva said
    that he was.
    The judge did not verify that Leyva understood his right to
    be represented by counsel and to have the court appoint counsel
    if need be. Nor did he mention the possibility of forfeiture or
    that, in determining a sentence, the court would apply the
    Sentencing Guidelines and the factors under 18 U.S.C.
    § 3553(a). Leyva’s counsel did not object to any of these
    omissions.
    The court then asked the Government to summarize the
    evidence it would have brought at trial. Following that
    presentation, the judge asked the defendant whether he was
    guilty of the Government’s various allegations; he said he was.
    Specifically, Leyva admitted that he “was a member of the
    Beltran Leyva organization” and that the organization
    “finance[d] shipments” of cocaine “from Colombia to Mexico
    for transshipment to the United States.” He further admitted
    that the organization “produced methamphetamine in Mexico
    for distribution, ultimately, in the United States.” When asked
    if he was “one of the leaders of the Beltran Leyva
    organization,” however, the defendant denied it. He insisted
    that he “would just help [his] brother, Artur[o].”
    At the end of the hearing, the district court judge
    determined that Leyva’s plea was “knowing, voluntary, and
    supported by an independent basis in fact as to each of the
    essential elements of the offense.” He therefore accepted the
    plea.
    5
    The court scheduled Leyva’s sentencing for October 2016.
    In due course, the Probation Office (PO) prepared a
    presentence report (PSR) for Leyva describing his role in the
    conspiracy. The PO calculated a base offense level of 38, based
    upon the quantity of drugs involved. It then applied a four-
    level enhancement because Leyva was an organizer or leader
    of criminal activity under USSG § 3B1.1(a), and two-level
    enhancements each for possession of a dangerous weapon,
    under USSG § 2D1.1(b)(1); use of violence, under
    USSG § 2D1.1(b)(2); bribing a law enforcement official, under
    USSG § 2D1.1(b)(11); and being a leader or organizer directly
    involved in the importation of a controlled substance, under
    USSG § 2D1.1(b)(15)(C) (2015).         In addition, the PO
    recommended a three-level reduction for acceptance of
    responsibility under USSG § 3E1.1(a) and (b). The PO also
    concluded Leyva had a criminal history score of zero, resulting
    in a criminal history category I.
    A few days before the sentencing hearing, the parties
    attempted to stipulate to the applicable adjustments under the
    Guidelines. They agreed to a total base offense level of 42,
    which yields a sentencing range of 360 months to life. The
    district court refused to accept the stipulation, however. It
    decided to hear evidence and make its own determination as to
    the appropriate sentencing range.
    In February 2017, prior to his rescheduled sentencing,
    Leyva filed a motion to withdraw his guilty plea. He argued
    that his plea was “not knowing or voluntary” because the trial
    court “did not fully follow the procedures that [Federal Rule of
    Criminal Procedure 11] states must be followed” during the
    plea colloquy. He further asserted that “[b]ut for the Court’s
    failure to follow the mandate of Rule 11, [he] would not have
    pled guilty.” The district court denied the motion on the
    grounds that it had substantially complied with Rule 11 and that
    6
    Leyva had “admitted facts under oath in several contexts which
    make his claim of innocence utterly improbable.” The district
    court therefore proceeded with sentencing.
    Leyva did not dispute his base offense level, but he
    objected to the enhancements recommended by the PO.
    Although the Government had initially concurred with the
    recommendations in the PSR, it decided to oppose the
    adjustment for acceptance of responsibility because Leyva had
    attempted to withdraw his guilty plea.
    The district court conducted an evidentiary hearing lasting
    three days. The Government presented the testimony of Tom
    Hatherley and Paul Peschka, case agents from the Department
    of Homeland Security and the Federal Bureau of Investigation,
    respectively. They testified about the statements of three
    witnesses to the defendant’s activities, whom they had
    interviewed: (1) Jesus Zambada Garcia, a member of the
    Sinaloa Cartel; (2) Sergio Villarreal Barragan, a member of the
    DTO responsible for security; (3) Harold Mauricio Poveda
    Ortega, who served as a broker between Colombian cocaine
    suppliers and the DTO.
    Based upon the evidence introduced at the hearing, the
    district court applied all the five enhancements recommended
    in the PSR. 1 The court also held the defendant did not qualify
    for a downward adjustment for acceptance of responsibility.
    Defendant’s final offense level was therefore 50 — which is
    treated as the maximum 43 under USSG ch. 5, pt. A, cmt. n.2
    1
    The PO had based the PSR on the 2015 Guidelines, but by the time
    Leyva was sentenced, in April 2017, the 2016 Guidelines were in
    effect. For the purposes of this case, there is no material difference
    between the 2015 and 2016 versions.
    7
    — producing a Guidelines “range” of life imprisonment. After
    considering the factors in 18 U.S.C. § 3553, the court found
    “no basis to depart down” and imposed a life sentence. In
    addition, the court determined “the defendant obtained
    proceeds of at least $529.2 million” as a result of his
    involvement in the conspiracy and ordered forfeiture in that
    amount. Leyva now appeals the denial of his motion to
    withdraw his guilty plea, his sentence, and the forfeiture.
    II. Motion to Withdraw Guilty Plea
    Leyva argues that the district court erred in refusing to
    permit him to withdraw his guilty plea.              Generally,
    “[w]ithdrawal of a guilty plea before sentencing is liberally
    granted.” United States v. Ford, 
    993 F.2d 249
    , 251 (D.C. Cir.
    1993). On appeal, however, this court “reviews a district
    court’s refusal to permit withdrawal only for abuse of
    discretion.” United States v. Curry, 
    494 F.3d 1124
    , 1128 (D.C.
    Cir. 2007) (citations omitted) (cleaned up).
    In determining whether the district court abused its
    discretion, this court considers three factors: (1) “whether the
    defendant has asserted a viable claim of innocence,” (2)
    “whether the delay between the guilty plea and the motion to
    withdraw has substantially prejudiced the Government’s
    ability to prosecute the case,” and (3) “whether the guilty plea
    was somehow tainted” by a violation of Rule 11. 
    Ford, 993 F.2d at 251
    (cleaned up). We clarified in United States v. Cray
    that the third factor is all but dispositive. 
    47 F.3d 1203
    , 1207
    (D.C. Cir. 1995) (“[N]one of our cases would have been
    decided differently if the only inquiry undertaken were whether
    the defendant’s guilty plea was taken in compliance with Rule
    11”). If the district court did not conduct the plea colloquy in
    “substantial compliance” with Rule 11, then the defendant
    should “almost always” be permitted to withdraw his plea.
    8
    
    Ford, 993 F.2d at 251
    . At the same time, “a defendant who
    fails to show some error under Rule 11 has to shoulder an
    extremely heavy burden if he is ultimately to prevail.” 
    Cray, 47 F.3d at 1208
    .
    The Government does not argue that the withdrawal of
    Leyva’s plea would have prejudiced it at trial. Accordingly,
    our review focuses upon the first and third factors.
    A. Compliance with Rule 11
    With regard to the third and most important factor, Leyva
    contends the district court violated Rule 11 because it failed to
    inform him (a) of his right to counsel, including his right to
    appointed counsel, if necessary (Rule 11(b)(1)(D)); (b) that in
    determining a sentence, the court must consider the applicable
    Sentencing Guidelines range and the factors in 18 U.S.C.
    § 3553(a) (Rule 11(b)(1)(M)); and (c) that he would be subject
    to “any applicable forfeiture” (Rule 11(b)(1)(J)).
    Rule 11(b)(1) requires the district court to “inform the
    defendant of, and ensure the defendant understands” all the
    information listed in that subsection. Rule 11(h), however,
    excuses a variance from the requirements of the rule if the error
    is harmless. The Congress added this provision in order to “end
    the practice … of reversing automatically for any Rule 11
    error.” United States v. Vonn, 
    535 U.S. 55
    , 66 (2002).
    Accordingly, this court has made clear “we will not reverse a
    trial court in its application of Rule 11 except when it has failed
    to address the Rule’s core inquiries.” 
    Ford, 993 F.2d at 254
    .
    We have also held a district court’s variance from the
    requirements of Rule 11 is harmless if “the record reveals either
    that the defendant had actual notice of the information that the
    district judge failed to convey or that the information would not
    9
    have been important to the defendant.” United States v.
    Dewalt, 
    92 F.3d 1209
    , 1213–14 (D.C. Cir. 1996).
    We hold that Leyva’s plea proceeding substantially
    complied with the requirements of Rule 11 and that any
    deviations were harmless. First, as to his right to counsel,
    Leyva had actual knowledge of the relevant information. He
    was already represented by counsel at the time of the plea
    hearing; the district court confirmed he was satisfied with that
    representation. For the same reason, information about his
    right to appointed counsel would not have been important to
    Leyva.
    Second, we hold the district court communicated the
    essential information required by Rule 11(b)(1)(M): “in
    determining a sentence, the court’s obligation to calculate the
    applicable sentencing-guideline range and to consider that
    range, possible departures under the Sentencing Guidelines,
    and other sentencing factors under 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).”
    Although the court did not explicitly reference the Guidelines,
    it did inform Leyva of the statutory maximum and mandatory
    minimum sentences, and that the court would not be able to
    determine his exact sentence “until after a presentence report
    has been completed.” The district court also explicitly
    instructed the defense attorneys — during the plea hearing, in
    Leyva’s presence — to focus on the § 3553 factors in their
    sentencing memoranda.
    These statements addressed the “core considerations,”
    
    Ford, 993 F.2d at 253
    , of Rule 11(b), as identified by this court
    in United States v. Horne, 
    987 F.2d 833
    (D.C. Cir. 1993).
    There we said the trial court “uses the Rule 11 colloquy to
    dispel any misconceptions that the defendant may have about
    his likely sentence and to ensure that his plea is ‘not the result
    … of promises apart from a plea agreement.’” 
    Id. at 838
                                    10
    (quoting what is now Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(b)(2)) (alteration in
    original). It is “neither unfair nor unjust,” therefore, to hold the
    defendant to his plea when, as here, “he was warned by the
    court of his maximum exposure and of the impossibility of
    determining the applicable sentencing range prior to the
    preparation of the presentence report.” 
    Id. at 837.
    Finally, Leyva had already been informed of the
    possibility of forfeiture through the indictment, which the
    district court confirmed he had read, reviewed with counsel —
    including in Spanish — and understood. Our decision in Ford
    is not to the contrary. In that case we held the district court had
    failed to ensure the defendant understood “the nature of the
    charge to which the plea is offered,” as required by Rule 11,
    even though the court had asked whether the defendant “had
    seen, read, discussed with his attorney, and understood the
    
    indictment.” 993 F.2d at 253
    (applying an earlier version of
    what is now Rule 11(b)(1)(G)). In other words, that a
    defendant has read the indictment does not establish that he
    understood “the nature of the charge.” Effective notice of the
    nature of the charge means “notice sufficient to give the
    defendant ‘an understanding of the law in relation to the facts’
    of his case,” so he can assess the Government’s ability to prove
    his conduct falls within the charge. 
    Dewalt, 92 F.3d at 1211
    (quoting McCarthy v. United States, 
    394 U.S. 459
    , 466 (1969)).
    So defined, the nature of the charge may not be apparent on the
    face of the indictment. In Dewalt, for instance, we held the
    district court should have explained the mens rea element of
    the charge, viz., that the defendant “knowingly received and
    possessed a 
    firearm.” 92 F.3d at 1214
    .
    In contrast, the defendant’s objection in the present case
    concerns the district court’s obligation to inform him, pursuant
    to Rule 11(b)(1)(J), that he will be subject to “any applicable
    forfeiture.” Before the court determines the amount of the
    11
    forfeiture, there is nothing to be said except that the defendant
    may be subject to a forfeiture, and the indictment did just that.
    Indeed, the terms of the indictment were “crystal clear,” United
    States v. Lee, 
    888 F.3d 503
    , 508 (D.C. Cir. 2018):
    The United States hereby gives notice to the defendant that
    upon conviction of the Title 21 offense alleged in Count
    One of this Indictment, the government will seek forfeiture
    in accordance with Title 21, United States Code, Sections
    853 and 970, of all property constituting or derived from
    any proceeds the defendant obtained directly or indirectly
    as a result of the alleged Title 21 violation, and all property
    used or intended to be used in any manner or part to
    commit and to facilitate the commission of such offense.
    For these reasons, we conclude Leyva had actual notice of the
    possibility of forfeiture.
    Although we find the district court’s plea colloquy with
    Leyva was in substantial compliance with Rule 11, we do not
    approve of the district court’s omissions. Our ruling today
    “should not be read as an invitation to trial judges to take a
    more casual approach to Rule 11 proceedings.” 
    Lee, 888 F.3d at 509
    (quoting Fed. R. Crim. P. 11(h), Advisory Committee
    Notes to 1983 Amendments). To the contrary, we emphasize
    that it is best practice diligently to communicate all the
    information listed in Rule 11(b)(1).
    B. Viable Claim of Innocence
    That the defendant did not assert a viable claim of
    innocence lends further support to the district court’s decision
    not to allow him to withdraw his guilty plea. Our cases have
    not always been precise in describing this factor. We have
    sometimes “characterized [it] as requiring a ‘legally cognizable
    12
    defense’ rather than as requiring a viable claim of innocence.”
    
    Curry, 494 F.3d at 1129
    .
    The distinction makes no difference in this case, however.
    Leyva has admitted “the essential elements of the charge: that
    he was part of the conspiracy to distribute controlled
    substances.” He makes no claim of innocence, let alone a
    viable one.
    The only “defense” Leyva did assert before the district
    court was that “as a legal matter he believed that the Court
    lacked jurisdiction over him” because, according to Leyva,
    Mexico authorized his extradition solely with respect to
    conduct that occurred after January 2008. But even our cases
    calling only for a “legally cognizable defense” have required
    that the defendant have “effectively denied his culpability,”
    United States v. Barker, 
    514 F.2d 208
    , 220 (D.C. Cir. 1975),
    which Leyva has not done. In any event, Leyva had raised this
    objection, and the district court had rejected it, before Leyva
    entered his plea of guilty. Consequently, he had nothing to gain
    in this regard by withdrawing his plea and proceeding to trial.
    The district court therefore did not abuse its discretion in
    denying the defendant’s motion to withdraw his guilty plea.
    See 
    Curry, 494 F.3d at 1129
    (finding no abuse of discretion
    where the defendant’s defense “had a very limited chance of
    success”).
    III. Sentencing Issues
    Leyva challenges two aspects of his sentence. First, he
    objects to the 12 points in sentencing enhancements the district
    court applied. Second, he contends that the district court erred
    in denying him a three-point adjustment for acceptance of
    responsibility.
    13
    Leyva asserts various errors with respect to each
    enhancement; the one argument common to all five is that the
    evidence establishing the relevant conduct was unreliable. “It
    is the Government’s burden to demonstrate by a fair
    preponderance of the evidence that an enhancement is
    warranted.” United States v. Bapack, 
    129 F.3d 1320
    , 1324
    (D.C. Cir. 1997) (cleaned up). In resolving a factual dispute
    related to sentencing, the Guidelines permit a district court to
    “consider relevant information without regard to its
    admissibility under the rules of evidence applicable at trial,
    provided that the information has sufficient indicia of
    reliability to support its probable accuracy.” USSG § 6A1.3(a).
    Accordingly, Leyva’s argument is that the evidence relied upon
    by the district court lacked “sufficient indicia of reliability.”
    An appellate court generally “reviews the factual findings
    supporting a sentence under the Sentencing Guidelines for
    clear error.” United States v. Stover, 
    329 F.3d 859
    , 871 (D.C.
    Cir. 2003). This court has not specified the standard of review,
    however, for a district court’s determination that evidence is
    “reliable” under USSG § 6A1.3(a). See In re Sealed Case, 
    246 F.3d 696
    , 700 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (deeming the evidence reliable
    under de novo review without deciding the applicable
    standard).
    Leyva argues the reliability of evidence is a “legal issue
    reviewable de novo.” We disagree. Far from being a pure issue
    of law, a district court’s determination of reliability during a
    sentencing hearing is akin to an evidentiary ruling at trial,
    which we review for abuse of discretion, see United States v.
    Mathis, 
    216 F.3d 18
    , 27-28 (D.C. Cir. 2000); see also In re
    Sealed Case, 
    350 F.3d 113
    , 124 (D.C. Cir. 2003) (reviewing
    evidentiary rulings at sentencing for abuse of discretion). A
    district court’s decision to rely upon hearsay is necessarily a
    judgment about the credibility of both the witness and the
    14
    declarant. See, e.g., United States v. Agyemang, 
    876 F.2d 1264
    ,
    1272 (7th Cir. 1989) (finding no abuse of discretion in relying
    upon hearsay evidence of an identification where the defendant
    cross-examined the witness and was able to point out
    weaknesses in the declarant’s identification). We give
    “especially strong deference to credibility determinations
    because the district court has a unique opportunity to evaluate
    the credibility of witnesses and to weigh the evidence.” United
    States v. Jones, 
    744 F.3d 1362
    , 1367 (D.C. Cir. 2014). We
    therefore join the majority of our sister circuits in holding that
    abuse of discretion is the appropriate standard for reviewing a
    district court’s evaluation of the reliability of hearsay evidence
    at sentencing. See United States v. Rodriguez, 
    731 F.3d 20
    , 31
    (1st Cir. 2013); United States v. Pineda, 
    770 F.3d 313
    , 318 (4th
    Cir. 2014); United States v. Moncivais, 
    492 F.3d 652
    , 658 (6th
    Cir. 2007); United States v. Tapias, 
    610 F.3d 505
    , 514 (7th Cir.
    2010); United States v. Sheridan, 
    859 F.3d 579
    , 583 (8th Cir.
    2017); United States v. Hernandez-Guerrero, 
    633 F.3d 933
    ,
    935 (9th Cir. 2011); United States v. Kendrick, 697 F. App’x
    622, 623 (11th Cir. 2017) (unpublished); see also United States
    v. Ryan, 
    806 F.3d 691
    , 693 (2d Cir. 2015) (applying the clear
    error standard); United States v. Jones, 514 Fed. App’x 229,
    232 (3d Cir. 2013) (unpublished) (same); United States v.
    Ortega-Calderon, 
    814 F.3d 757
    , 760 (5th Cir. 2016) (same);
    United States v. Martinez, 
    824 F.3d 1256
    , 1261 (10th Cir.
    2016) (same).
    A. Leadership Enhancement under § 3B1.1(a)
    In order to apply the four-level enhancement for being an
    organizer or leader of criminal activity under USSG
    § 3B1.1(a), the district court must find it was “more likely than
    not that the defendant led, managed, or supervised the crime.”
    
    Bapack, 129 F.3d at 1324
    . The district court identified two
    pieces of evidence supporting its conclusion that Leyva was a
    15
    leader of the cartel. First, “[a]ll three cooperating witnesses …
    reported that the defendant was the top authority in charge of
    controlling various geographic areas in Mexico that were
    critical to the Beltran Leyva drug trafficking organization.” As
    the district court highlighted, Poveda and Villarreal provided
    details about the defendant’s control of one such area,
    Culiacán. According to them, the importance of Culiacán as a
    hub for the DTO meant that Leyva was the principal person in
    “control of the [DTO’s] trafficking of narcotics into the United
    States.” Second, Poveda and Villarreal reported the defendant
    met with the leaders of the Sinaloa Cartel in order to coordinate
    joint ventures, indicating his authority to speak on behalf of the
    DTO.
    Leyva argues this evidence is unreliable for two reasons.
    First, the statements of Poveda and Villarreal are hearsay,
    relayed to the court by case agents Hatherly and Peschka; the
    cooperators themselves did not testify. The Sentencing
    Guidelines, however, expressly permit consideration of
    “reliable hearsay.” USSG § 6A1.3 cmt. Even “out-of-court
    declarations by an unidentified informant may be considered
    where there is good cause for the non-disclosure of the
    informant’s identity and there is sufficient corroboration by
    other means.” 
    Id. The question
    before us, then, is whether
    there was sufficient corroboration to make the hearsay reliable.
    Here, the district court took care to rely only upon facts
    substantiated by more than one cooperator. See 
    Jones, 744 F.3d at 1367
    (affirming the defendants’ sentences where the
    district court “relied only on testimony corroborated by at least
    one … other witness[]”). Further, the court explained, “Poveda
    had personal knowledge of the ultimate authority that the
    defendant exercised over critical pieces of the drug trade
    because he was in charge of supplying drugs to the
    organization.” Zambada confirmed that “Poveda was a main
    16
    supplier of cocaine to the Beltran Leyva Organization.” The
    court also determined “Villarreal had personal knowledge of
    the defendant’s position because his job was to work with
    defendant’s security employees to secure the defendant.” On
    this record, the district court did not abuse its discretion in
    holding the hearsay evidence reliable.
    Leyva also levies a barrage against the character and
    incentives of Poveda and Villarreal, and, for that matter,
    Zambada: They may have been hoping to curry favor with the
    Government; Zambada may have believed Leyva had
    “something to do with the murder of his son”; Poveda was a
    “drug kingpin” with a violent criminal history; Zambada and
    Villarreal were drug addicts; Villarreal was “a corrupt
    policeman” and “a sadistic multiple murderer.” He reiterates
    these objections with respect to each of the enhancements; we
    reject them here, once and for all.
    At the outset, we observe that Leyva’s attorneys cross-
    examined the FBI agents at length about the co-conspirators’
    cooperation agreements and bad acts. The district court was
    therefore “well aware of the cooperators’ credibility issues.”
    
    Jones, 744 F.3d at 1367
    . More important, Leyva’s attacks are
    too general. As we said in Jones, “while such facts may
    undercut the cooperators’ credibility generally, they do not
    establish that it was implausible for the district court to credit
    particular aspects of their testimony, especially where, as here,
    the cooperators offered mutually corroborative accounts.” Id.;
    accord United States v. Bell, 
    795 F.3d 88
    , 106 (D.C. Cir. 2015).
    After all, “the testimony of co-conspirators … is often credited
    if other indicia of reliability are present,” In re Sealed Case,
    
    246 F.3d 696
    , 701 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
    In short, because the reports were mutually corroborative
    and the district court took due care in weighing the evidence,
    17
    we conclude the court did not abuse its discretion in crediting
    the cooperators’ statements.
    B. Weapons Enhancement under § 2D1.1(b)(1)
    In order to justify imposing a two-level enhancement for
    possession of a “dangerous weapon,” the Government must
    show that the “weapon (including a firearm) was possessed” in
    connection with a drug offense. USSG § 2D1.1(b)(1); see also
    
    Mathis, 216 F.3d at 27
    . Here, the weapon in question is a pistol
    inscribed with “El Aguila” — Spanish for “the Eagle” — that
    the defendant carried “as he conducted drug trafficking
    business.” In finding that Leyva possessed the pistol, the
    district court cited the Mexican evidence report on Leyva’s
    arrest, which indicated that he was captured with the pistol.
    Additionally, the court credited Zambada’s and Villarreal’s
    reports of having witnessed the defendant in possession of a
    pistol.
    As with the leadership enhancement, the district court did
    not abuse its discretion in relying upon this hearsay evidence.
    Zambada’s and Villarreal’s statements were corroborated not
    only by one another, but also by the Mexican evidence report.
    Leyva responds that the district court should not have
    considered the Mexican report because police reports generally
    do not fall within Federal Rule of Evidence 803(8) — the
    public records exception to the hearsay rule — in criminal
    cases. See Fed. R. Evid. 803(8)(A)(ii) (excluding “a matter
    observed by law-enforcement personnel”); Melendez-Diaz v.
    Massachusetts, 
    557 U.S. 305
    , 321-22 (2009).               As he
    acknowledges, however, the Federal Rules of Evidence do not
    apply at sentencing. Fed. R. Evid. 1101(d)(3). To the extent
    he argues the exclusion of police reports from Rule 803(8) casts
    doubt upon the reliability of police reports as such, see Fed. R.
    18
    Evid. 803, Advisory Committee Notes to 1974 Enactment
    (“Ostensibly, the reason for this exclusion is that observations
    by police officers … are not as reliable as observations by
    public officials in other cases because of the adversarial nature
    of the confrontation between the police and the defendant in
    criminal cases.”), his objection has little force here: The
    Government relied upon the report only for its photographs of
    the items seized at the time of the defendant’s arrest, and not
    for any other aspect of the Mexican investigation. Under these
    circumstances, the district court was well within its discretion
    to admit those portions of the report for the “limited purpose”
    of corroborating the cooperators’ accounts.           See Joint
    Appendix (J.A.) 375. We therefore hold the district court did
    not abuse its discretion in considering the evidence from
    Zambada and Villarreal or clearly err in finding the gun
    belonged to the defendant.
    Leyva also challenges the weapons enhancement by
    claiming this particular pistol was an inoperable collector’s
    item, but that is of no moment: Since 2000, the Sentencing
    Commission has defined “dangerous weapon” to include “an
    object that is not an instrument capable of inflicting death or
    serious bodily injury but … closely resembles such an
    instrument.” USSG § 1B1.1 cmt. n.1(D); see also United
    States v. Burke, 
    888 F.2d 862
    , 869 (D.C. Cir. 1989)
    (concluding the term “firearm” under USSG 2D1.1(b) includes
    inoperable as well as operable firearms). A collector’s model
    of a pistol certainly comes within this definition. Leyva does
    not suggest the item at issue differed in appearance from an
    operable firearm. Accordingly, we hold a firearm is a
    “dangerous weapon” within the meaning of § 2D1.1 regardless
    whether it is capable of being fired.
    19
    C. Adjustment for Acceptance of Responsibility under
    § 3E1.1(a)
    With respect to the sentencing enhancements for the use of
    violence, for bribery, and for being a leader directly involved
    in the importation of a controlled substance, Leyva again
    argues the evidence was insufficiently reliable and contends,
    for the first time on appeal, that the application of those
    enhancements violates the Ex Post Facto Clause of the U.S.
    Constitution because the enhancements were added to the
    Sentencing Guidelines after he engaged in the relevant
    conduct.
    In order to “avoid the unnecessary resolution of
    constitutional questions,” Nw. Austin Mun. Util. Dist. No. One
    v. Holder, 
    557 U.S. 193
    , 197 (2009), we turn first to Leyva’s
    claim that the district court should have granted him an
    adjustment for acceptance of responsibility under USSG
    § 3E1.1(a). Having already upheld six points in enhancements,
    if we deny Leyva the adjustment for acceptance of
    responsibility — as we do — then Leyva will have a final
    offense level of at least 44. Because any offense level above
    43 is treated as 43, the maximum, any error with respect to the
    other three enhancements would not affect his sentence, see
    USSG ch. 5, pt. A, cmt. n.2l, and we would have no occasion
    to reach his Ex Post Facto argument.
    The district court’s conclusion that a defendant has not
    “clearly demonstrated acceptance of responsibility” within the
    meaning of USSG § 3E1.1(a) is an application of the
    Guidelines to the facts, which this court reviews under a due
    deference standard. United States v. Rodriguez, 
    676 F.3d 183
    ,
    192 (D.C. Cir. 2012). Due deference review lies “somewhere
    between de novo and ‘clearly erroneous’” review. United
    States v. Cano-Flores, 
    796 F.3d 83
    , 90 (D.C. Cir. 2015).
    20
    It is the defendant’s burden to convince the district court
    that he is entitled to the downward adjustment for acceptance
    of responsibility. United States v. McLean, 
    951 F.2d 1300
    ,
    1302 (D.C. Cir. 1991). Even a “defendant who enters a guilty
    plea is not entitled to an adjustment … as a matter of right.”
    United States v. Saani, 
    650 F.3d 761
    , 767 (D.C. Cir. 2011)
    (quoting USSG § 3E1.1 cmt. n.3).
    The transcript of the sentencing hearing indicates the
    district court denied the downward adjustment because the
    defendant falsely minimized his role in the conspiracy. The
    court explained, “I think he has sought to avoid responsibility,
    to the extent that he could, and minimize his involvement and
    role here.”
    Our case law is clear: It is not error for a district court to
    “require an acceptance of responsibility that extended beyond
    the narrow elements of the offense” to “all of the
    circumstances” surrounding the defendant’s offense. United
    States v. Taylor, 
    937 F.2d 676
    , 680–81 (D.C. Cir. 1991). The
    Application Notes to § 3E1.1 provide, “A defendant who
    falsely denies … relevant conduct that the court determines to
    be true has acted in a manner inconsistent with acceptance of
    responsibility ….” USSG § 3E1.1 cmt. n.1(A). Relevant
    conduct includes the defendant’s leadership role. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Shipley, 
    963 F.2d 56
    , 59 (5th Cir. 1992) (“[A]
    defendant who is found to have had a leadership role in the
    offense does not fully accept responsibility for purposes of
    § 3E1.1 if, despite his admission of all elements of the offense
    of conviction, he nevertheless attempts to minimize his
    leadership role”).
    Having upheld the district court’s finding that Leyva was
    “one of the leaders” of the DTO, we cannot say it was
    21
    unreasonable for the district court to conclude Leyva failed to
    accept responsibility when he falsely denied being a leader.
    Leyva would confess and avoid on the ground that he “merely
    sought to require the Government to justify enhancements
    through reliable information.” Leyva’s motivation for denying
    his leadership role is immaterial, however; he cannot accept
    responsibility for his conduct and simultaneously contest the
    sufficiency of the evidence that he engaged in that conduct.
    D. Enhancements under §§ 2D1.1(b)(2), (11), (15)(C)
    Because we affirm the district court’s denial of the
    adjustment for acceptance of responsibility, as well as its
    application of six points in enhancements, Leyva has a final
    offense level of at least 44. Therefore, as explained in Part III.C
    above, we do not need to reach his arguments against the
    enhancements for using violence, bribing a law enforcement
    official, and being a leader directly involved in the importation
    of a controlled substance. We pause to note only that applying
    these enhancements would present a serious Ex Post Facto
    question if we had occasion to reach the merits and if the
    objection had been properly preserved.
    IV. Forfeiture Issues
    Leyva’s final challenges are to the forfeiture element of his
    sentence. Pursuant to 21 U.S.C. § 853(a)(1), “Any person
    convicted of [certain crimes] punishable by imprisonment for
    more than one year shall forfeit to the United States … any
    property constituting, or derived from, any proceeds the person
    obtained, directly or indirectly, as the result of such violation.”
    Section 970 makes this provision applicable to the controlled
    substances crimes of which Leyva was convicted.
    22
    The district judge ordered Leyva to forfeit $529.2 million.
    To arrive at that figure, the court estimated that Leyva’s
    organization transported 25,200 kilograms of cocaine from
    Culiacán to the border during a single three-month period. The
    court then multiplied that amount by $21,000 per kilogram, the
    price of cocaine on the Mexican side of the border according to
    the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA).
    A district court uses a preponderance of the evidence
    standard in determining the appropriate amount of a forfeiture.
    See, e.g., United States v. Capoccia, 
    503 F.3d 103
    , 116 (2d Cir.
    2007). “In an appeal from a criminal forfeiture proceeding,” as
    usual, “we review the district court’s fact finding for clear error
    and the district court’s legal interpretations de novo.” United
    States v. Emor, 
    785 F.3d 671
    , 676 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (citations
    omitted).
    Leyva does not take issue with the price per kilogram used
    by the district court. He likewise concedes that “proceeds” in
    § 853 means gross receipts, not net profits. He objects only to
    the amount of cocaine attributed to him.
    First, Leyva argues the district court’s calculation of the
    quantity of cocaine was based upon unreliable evidence. The
    court principally relied upon evidence from Villarreal, who
    conducted a security evaluation of Leyva’s outfit in Culiacán
    for three to six months in 2005. Villarreal reported seeing
    planes being loaded with cocaine in Culiacán to be flown to the
    U.S. border. We review for abuse of discretion the district
    court’s decision to credit Villarreal’s evidence in determining
    the amount to be forfeited. Cf. Libretti v. United States, 
    516 U.S. 29
    , 39 (1995) (holding criminal forfeiture is an aspect of
    sentencing).
    23
    We see no abuse of discretion in this case. Leyva reiterates
    his attacks on Villarreal’s hearsay evidence and poor character,
    rejected above. Leyva also likens his case to United States v.
    Nava, 
    404 F.3d 1119
    (9th Cir. 2005), which is wholly
    inapposite. Unlike the district court in Nava, the court here did
    not rely upon conflicting or ambiguous reports. The court
    found Villarreal’s hearsay evidence to be credible because he
    was “actually present and witnessed defendant oversee and
    direct the air shipments of cocaine.” In addition, the
    Government presented evidence from Poveda that Leyva
    purchased several hundred thousand kilograms of Colombian
    cocaine from 2004 to 2008. The court treated Poveda’s
    account of Leyva’s cocaine supply as corroboration for
    Villarreal’s testimony.
    Second, Leyva argues the amount of the forfeiture exceeds
    the “outer bounds of reasonableness” because it is “based on
    unreliable assumptions and unsound reasoning.” We realize
    that extrapolation can create a significant risk of error,
    depending upon the predicate values used. See, e.g., United
    States v. Candelaria-Silva, 
    714 F.3d 651
    , 658 (1st Cir. 2013)
    (“[W]here, as here, a drug quantity determination relies on
    multiples of averages or extrapolations, the sentencing court
    must be mindful of the potential for error where one conclusory
    estimate serves as the multiplier for another”). A district court
    should therefore err on the side of caution, using only reliable
    or conservative estimates.
    To that end, the district court used low-end estimates of
    what Villarreal said were (1) the number of planes departing at
    a time; (2) the number of trips the planes made per week; (3)
    the amount of cocaine per plane; and (4) the amount of time
    Villarreal spent with the defendant. Thus, although Villarreal
    said he saw “caravans of seven to ten planes,” the court used
    seven. Villarreal said the caravans left “one or two times a
    24
    week”; the court used one. Villarreal said there were
    “approximately 300 to 350 kilograms of cocaine per plane”; the
    court used 300 kilograms. Villarreal said he was in Culiacán
    with the defendant for “approximately three to six months”; the
    court used 12 weeks. Moreover, the court’s calculation
    covered only the period that Villarreal actually witnessed, not
    the full duration of the conspiracy.
    In sum, the $529.2 million forfeiture was a conservative
    estimate of the revenue obtained by the operation in Culiacán
    that Leyva personally oversaw. On this record, we find no clear
    error in the court’s calculation of the proceeds of Leyva’s
    criminal activities.
    Last, Leyva argues the Government failed to show that the
    entire $529.2 million allegedly earned by the drug organization
    was personally acquired by the defendant, as required by
    Honeycutt v. United States, 
    137 S. Ct. 1626
    (2017), and Cano-
    Flores, 
    796 F.3d 83
    . Because the defendant is raising this
    objection for the first time on appeal, we review the record for
    plain error. United States v. Wheeler, 
    753 F.3d 200
    , 210 (D.C.
    Cir. 2014). This means Leyva can prevail only if the district
    court committed “(1) an error, (2) that [was] clear or obvious,
    (3) that affected the outcome of the district court proceedings,
    and (4) that seriously affects the fairness, integrity, or public
    reputation of judicial proceedings.” United States v. Grey, 
    891 F.3d 1054
    , 1058 (D.C. Cir. 2018).
    The district court expressly recognized its obligations
    under Cano-Flores. The case law, however, was (and is) far
    from clear that property acquired by an organization cannot
    qualify as property “obtained, directly or indirectly” by a leader
    of that organization. In Cano-Flores, we held the district court
    erred in attributing to the defendant $15 billion in proceeds
    earned by the entire cartel of which the defendant was a mid-
    25
    level member; the district court had done so on the theory that
    those proceeds were “reasonably foreseeable” by 
    him. 796 F.3d at 91
    . We also stated, however, that property obtained
    “indirectly” might include “property received by persons or
    entities that are under the defendant’s control,” such as “an
    employee or other subordinate of the defendant.” 
    Id. at 92.
    Leyva, unlike Cano-Flores, was a leader of his organization,
    and the district court attributed to him only proceeds from
    activities directly supervised by Leyva in Culiacán. As a result,
    this case comes within the exception that we described in
    Cano-Flores.
    Honeycutt, like Cano-Flores, did not involve the leader of
    an organization, and hence did not close this potential
    exception. There the manager of a hardware store was found
    guilty of conspiring with the owner of the store to sell iodine
    with the knowledge it would be used to manufacture
    
    methamphetamine. 137 S. Ct. at 1630
    . The Supreme Court
    held the defendant could not be held liable for forfeiture of the
    proceeds because he was merely a salaried employee who “did
    not personally benefit” from the sales. 
    Id. at 1631,
    1635.
    Finally, we note that even now Leyva does not specify
    what amount should have been excluded from the court’s
    calculation of his gross receipts. For both reasons, we could
    not deem any error by the district court “clear or obvious.”
    V. Conclusion
    The district court, which substantially complied with the
    requirements of Rule 11, did not abuse its discretion in denying
    Leyva’s motion to withdraw his guilty plea. The appellant’s
    various objections to his sentence and the forfeiture imposed
    by the court are unavailing for the reasons given above.
    26
    The judgment of the district court is, therefore,
    Affirmed.