Agape Church, Inc. v. Federal Communications Commission , 738 F.3d 397 ( 2013 )


Menu:
  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued September 27, 2013         Decided December 27, 2013
    No. 12-1334
    AGAPE CHURCH, INC., ET AL.,
    PETITIONERS
    v.
    FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION AND UNITED
    STATES OF AMERICA,
    RESPONDENTS
    NATIONAL HISPANIC MEDIA COALITION, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    On Petition for Review of an Order of
    the Federal Communications Commission
    William S. Consovoy argued the cause for Petitioners. On
    the briefs were Helgi C. Walker, Kathleen A. Kirby, Eve
    Klindera Reed, and Christiane M. McKnight. Jane E. Mago
    and Jerianne Timmerman entered appearances.
    Andrew Jay Schwartzman argued the cause and filed the
    brief for intervenor National Hispanic Media Coalition.
    Joel Marcus, Counsel, Federal Communications
    Commission, argued the cause for respondents. With him on
    the brief were William J. Baer, Assistant Attorney General,
    2
    and Robert B. Nicholson and Kristen C. Limarzi, Attorneys,
    U.S. Department of Justice; Sean A. Lev, General Counsel,
    Peter Karanjia, Deputy General Counsel, and Jacob M.
    Lewis, Associate General Counsel, Federal Communications
    Commission. Richard K. Welch, Deputy Associate General
    Counsel, and Laurence N. Bourne, Counsel, Federal
    Communications Commission, entered appearances.
    Matthew A. Brill argued the cause for intervenors
    National Cable & Telecommunications Association and Time
    Warner Cable, Incorporated. With him on the brief were
    Richard P. Bress, Amanda E. Potter, Katherine I. Twomey,
    Rick C. Chessen, Michael S. Schooler, and Diane B. Burstein.
    Before: KAVANAUGH, Circuit Judge, and EDWARDS and
    WILLIAMS, Senior Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Senior Circuit Judge
    EDWARDS.
    Concurring opinion filed by Circuit Judge KAVANAUGH.
    EDWARDS, Senior Circuit Judge: In the Cable Television
    Consumer Protection and Competition Act of 1992 (the
    “Cable Act”), Congress enacted provisions requiring cable
    television systems to dedicate some of their channels to local
    broadcast stations, creating so-called “must-carry” rights for
    stations electing such mandatory carriage. See 47 U.S.C. §§
    534-35. Section 614(b)(7), the principal statutory provision at
    issue in this case, states that must-carry broadcast signals
    “shall be viewable via cable on all television receivers of a
    subscriber which are connected to a cable system by a cable
    operator or for which a cable operator provides a connection.”
    47 U.S.C. § 534(b)(7).
    3
    In 2007, with the growing prominence of digital
    broadcasting, the Federal Communications Commission
    (“FCC” or “Commission”) promulgated a rule requiring
    “hybrid” cable companies – i.e., those that provide both
    analog and digital cable service – to “downconvert” from
    digital to analog broadcast signals from must-carry stations
    for subscribers with analog television sets. Carriage of
    Digital Television Broadcast Signals, Third Report and Order,
    22 FCC Rcd. 21,064 (2007) (“Viewability Rule”). This
    downconversion requirement ensured that digital broadcast
    programs from protected must-carry stations would be
    converted by the cable companies from digital to analog
    signals before transmission to customers. In other words,
    cable subscribers with analog television sets would be able to
    view the digital programs from must-carry broadcast stations
    without the need of special equipment. By its terms, the
    Viewability Rule was scheduled to expire in 2012, unless
    extended by the Commission.
    In 2012, following notice and comment rulemaking, the
    FCC allowed the downconversion requirement to expire. In
    place of the Viewability Rule, the Commission promulgated a
    new rule that allows cable operators to provide conversion
    equipment to analog customers, either “for free or at an
    affordable cost that does not substantially deter use of the
    equipment.” Carriage of Digital Television Broadcast
    Signals, Fifth Report and Order, 27 FCC Rcd. 6529, 6534
    (2012) (“Sunset Order”). Petitioners, a group of must-carry
    broadcasters, now seek review of the Sunset Order.
    Petitioners claim that the FCC’s new rule cannot be squared
    with Congress’s mandate that must-carry broadcast signals
    “shall be viewable via cable on all television receivers of a
    subscriber which are connected to a cable system.” 47 U.S.C.
    § 534(b)(7) (emphasis added).
    4
    Petitioners have advanced four claims in support of their
    petition for review.
    •   First, Petitioners contend that the Commission’s new
    rule violates the plain terms of the statute and, thus,
    cannot survive review under Chevron Step One.
    Chevron U.S.A., Inc. v. Natural Res. Def. Council,
    Inc., 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 843 n.9 (1984) (“The judiciary . . .
    must reject administrative constructions which are
    contrary to clear congressional intent. If a court,
    employing traditional tools of statutory construction,
    ascertains that Congress had an intention on the
    precise question at issue, that intention is the law and
    must be given effect.” (citations omitted)).
    • Second, Petitioners essentially assert that the new rule
    is manifestly contrary to the statute and, therefore,
    cannot survive scrutiny under Chevron Step Two. 
    Id. at 843-44.
    • Third, Petitioners claim that the FCC’s new rule is not
    supported by reasoned decisionmaking and, therefore,
    is arbitrary and capricious. Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n
    of the U.S. v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983) (“Normally, an agency rule would be
    arbitrary and capricious if the agency has relied on
    factors which Congress has not intended it to consider,
    entirely failed to consider an important aspect of the
    problem, offered an explanation for its decision that
    runs counter to the evidence before the agency, or is so
    implausible that it could not be ascribed to a difference
    in view or the product of agency expertise.”).
    • Finally, Petitioners argue that the FCC’s notice and
    comment rulemaking procedures were fatally flawed
    5
    because the agency’s Sunset Rule was not a logical
    outgrowth of the agency’s notice of proposed
    rulemaking. CSX Transp., Inc. v. Surface Transp. Bd.,
    
    584 F.3d 1076
    , 1080 (D.C. Cir. 2009) (“[A] final rule
    fails the logical outgrowth test and thus violates the
    APA’s notice requirement where interested parties
    would have had to divine the agency’s unspoken
    thoughts, because the final rule was surprisingly
    distant from the proposed rule.” (quotation and
    citation omitted)).
    Petitioners’ claims lack merit. The FCC’s 2007
    Viewability Rule was not mandated by the statute. Rather, the
    rule was promulgated by the Commission as a stopgap
    measure to preserve access to must-carry broadcast programs
    for the significant number of cable customers with analog
    television sets. Since 2007, however, the telecommunications
    market – including the technology in use by broadcasters,
    cable distributors, and customers – has changed dramatically.
    The congressionally mandated transition from analog to
    digital broadcasting is complete, nearly all new televisions on
    the market are digital-ready, and many cable companies have
    abandoned analog service altogether in favor of all-digital
    operations. And, most critically, in 2012 there were
    significantly more home conversion devices in use (27
    million) to display digital channels on analog sets than there
    were customers actually subscribing to analog cable service
    with downconversion (12.6 million). Petitioners do not
    dispute that these trends are expected to continue. Rather,
    Petitioners take the position that the Cable Act requires the
    FCC to maintain the regulatory scheme embodied in the
    Viewability Rule so long as there are hybrid cable companies
    providing service to subscribers who use analog television
    sets. Petitioners’ argument effectively freezes time in the face
    of shifting technology and finds no support in the law.
    6
    The FCC’s new rule allowing cable operators to offer
    analog subscribers equipment in lieu of downconversion was
    within its authority under the statute, supported by reasoned
    decisionmaking, and properly promulgated pursuant to notice
    and comment rulemaking procedures in which interested
    parties should have anticipated that the change was possible.
    We therefore deny the petition for review.
    I.   BACKGROUND
    The history of the Cable Act is recounted in detail in
    Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. v. FCC (Turner II), 
    520 U.S. 180
    (1997), and Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. v.
    FCC (Turner I), 
    512 U.S. 622
    (1994). As the Court noted in
    Turner II:
    [The] must-carry [requirement in the Cable Act] was
    designed to serve three interrelated interests: (1)
    preserving the benefits of free, over-the-air local
    broadcast television, (2) promoting the widespread
    dissemination of information from a multiplicity of
    sources, and (3) promoting fair competition in the market
    for television programming. . . . [E]ach of those is an
    important governmental interest. We have been most
    explicit in holding that protecting noncable households
    from loss of regular television broadcasting service due
    to competition from cable systems is an important federal
    interest. Forty percent of American households continue
    to rely on over-the-air signals for television
    programming. Despite the growing importance of cable
    television and alternative technologies, broadcasting is
    demonstrably a principal source of information and
    entertainment for a great part of the Nation’s population.
    We have identified a corresponding governmental
    7
    purpose of the highest order in ensuring public access to
    a multiplicity of information sources. And it is
    undisputed the Government has an interest in eliminating
    restraints on fair competition, even when the individuals
    or entities subject to particular regulations are engaged in
    expressive activity protected by the First 
    Amendment. 520 U.S. at 189-90
    (citations and quotations omitted).
    Likewise, the events leading to the Viewability Rule, and
    its content and purposes, are fully explored in C-SPAN v.
    FCC, 
    545 F.3d 1051
    , 1052-54 (D.C. Cir. 2008). The court
    noted that the Viewability Rule was adopted in response to
    “the prospect that some local broadcast stations might not be
    available to analog cable subscribers.” 
    Id. at 1053.
    The
    Viewability Rule required that,
    to the extent that cable subscribers do not have the
    capability of viewing digital signals, cable systems must
    carry the signals of commercial and non-commercial
    must-carry stations in analog format to those subscribers,
    after downconverting the signals from their original
    digital format. Under separate regulations promulgated in
    2001 regarding material degradation, 47 U.S.C.
    §§ 534(b)(4)(A), 535(g)(2), where a must-carry
    broadcaster delivers its signal to a cable operator in
    [High-Definition] HD digital format (as opposed to
    [Standard-Definition] SD), the cable operator is required
    to transmit the must-carry station in HD. Thus, the
    combined effect of the material degradation regulations
    and the Viewability Order is that cable systems with
    analog and digital subscribers (“hybrid systems”) are
    effectively required to allocate two channels to each
    must-carry HD broadcaster. Alternatively, cable systems
    are permitted to become all-digital, with all subscribers
    8
    able to view digital signals; under this option, only digital
    must-carry signals need be broadcast. The Commission
    specified that “any downconversion costs will be borne
    by the cable operator,” and further provided that the
    viewability mandate would apply for an initial three-year
    period following the February 2009 digital transition
    date.
    
    Id. (some citations,
    quotations, and alterations omitted).
    Because the decisions in Turner I, Turner II, and C-SPAN
    adequately explain the histories of the Cable Act and the
    Viewability Rule, it is unnecessary to repeat these narratives
    in full here. Rather, we will focus on the Sunset Order and the
    Commission’s justifications for adopting a new rule to replace
    the expiring Viewability Rule.
    When the Cable Act was passed, most broadcasters’
    programs were in analog format, most cable companies
    transmitted in analog, and most cable subscribers had analog
    television sets. As a result, no serious problems were
    encountered in the early 1990s when cable companies
    transmitted must-carry broadcasters’ programs to viewers.
    However, when Congress enacted the Cable Act, it was
    prescient in anticipating that significant technological changes
    were on the horizon. In a provision entitled “Advanced
    television,” the statute provides that:
    At such time as the Commission prescribes modifications
    of the standards for television broadcast signals, the
    Commission shall initiate a proceeding to establish any
    changes in the signal carriage requirements of cable
    television systems necessary to ensure cable carriage of
    such broadcast signals of local commercial television
    9
    stations which have been changed to conform with such
    modified standards.
    47 U.S.C. § 534(b)(4)(B). The FCC was thus charged with
    prescribing “modifications of the standards for television
    broadcast signals” to account for technological and market
    changes. 
    Id. The advent
    of digital television brought new challenges
    to the continued fulfillment of the Cable Act’s objectives. In
    1997, Congress and the FCC adopted plans to transition the
    broadcast industry from analog to digital technology, setting
    December 31, 2006 as the initial deadline. Advanced
    Television Systems and Their Impact upon the Existing
    Television Broadcast Service, Fifth Report and Order, 12 FCC
    Rcd. 12,809, 12,850 (1997); 47 U.S.C. §§ 309(j)(3),
    309(j)(14)(A) (2004). Congress later enacted legislation
    setting February 17, 2009 as the deadline for the digital
    transition. Digital Television Transition and Public Safety Act
    of 2005, Pub. L. No. 109-171, § 3002, 120 Stat. 4, 21-22
    (2006). This deadline was later changed to June 12, 2009.
    While broadcasters were obliged to switch to digital
    technology, cable operators remained free to transition from
    analog to digital services, or to offer both services, as they
    saw fit. The Viewability Rule was promulgated in anticipation
    of the broadcasters’ switching from analog to all-digital
    programming.
    When it adopted the Viewability Rule, the Commission
    recognized that after the broadcasters’ transition to digital
    programming, there would continue to be a large number of
    cable subscribers with analog-only television sets –
    approximately 35 percent of all television households – that
    would be incapable of processing digital signals. Viewability
    Rule, 22 FCC Rcd. at 21,065 n.3. The Commission also
    10
    understood that the cable industry’s own transition to digital
    would take some period of time beyond the broadcasters’
    transition. Therefore, it adopted a rule giving cable systems
    two choices to ensure that viewers with analog television sets
    would still be able to receive broadcasters’ programs after the
    digital transition: (1) convert all operations to digital, which
    would require that all subscribers have the necessary
    equipment to view the signal – either a digital television
    capable of displaying the digital cable signal or a converter
    that would allow an analog television to display a digital cable
    signal; or (2) downconvert must-carry stations to an analog
    format that could be decoded by analog television sets
    without additional equipment. The Commission explained
    that downconversion was necessary because without it “the
    signals of must-carry stations w[ould] be completely
    unavailable to analog cable subscribers” following the digital
    transition. 
    Id. at 21,091.
    The rule was set to sunset in 2012,
    five years after its adoption and three years after the deadline
    for the digital transition.
    In limiting the Viewability Rule to three years, the
    Commission stated:
    In light of the numerous issues associated with the
    transition, it is important to retain flexibility as we deal
    with emerging concerns. A three-year sunset ensures that
    both analog and digital cable subscribers will continue to
    be able to view the signals of must-carry stations, and
    provides the Commission with the opportunity after the
    transition to review these rules in light of the potential
    cost and service disruption to consumers, and the state of
    technology and the marketplace.
    
    Id. at 21,070
    (emphasis added).
    11
    On February 10, 2012, the Commission issued a Notice
    of Proposed Rulemaking (“NPRM”) proposing to extend the
    Viewability Rule to “June 12, 2015, unless the Commission
    extends the requirements prior to that date.” Carriage of
    Digital Television Broadcast Signals, Fourth Further Notice
    of Proposed Rulemaking and Declaratory Order, 27 FCC Rcd.
    1713, 1727 (2012). The NPRM sought comment on whether
    to extend the Viewability Rule for an additional period of
    time to ensure that cable subscribers “with analog
    equipment[] continue to have access to must carry television
    signals.” 
    Id. at 1714.
    The FCC stated that it was “bound by
    statute to ensure that must-carry signals are actually viewable
    by all subscribers.” 
    Id. at 1715.
    It sought comment, among
    other things, on the pace of cable operators’ own transition to
    digital, which, as noted above, would eliminate the need for
    the Viewability Rule. 
    Id. at 1719-20.
    However, the NPRM
    also noted that, if the Viewability Rule expired, “many cable
    subscribers would be required to pay more for access to must-
    carry broadcast stations, by replacing existing and still-
    functional analog equipment with digital equipment or leasing
    set top boxes to view the complete service they currently pay
    for and receive in analog.” 
    Id. at 1718.
    With this in mind, the
    Commission’s NPRM gave clear notice that many options
    were open to the Commission going forward:
    [W]e seek comment on how the sunset of the viewability
    requirement would impact the financial resources of must
    carry stations. We seek specific information that will
    allow us to build a solid record that supports either the
    retention or the sunset of the viewability rule. Also, given
    that “viewability” of must-carry digital signals is
    mandated by the Communications Act, we seek comment
    on whether it is necessary to extend the rule in its current
    form as opposed to relying on stations to file carriage
    12
    complaints to enforce compliance with the statutory
    mandate.
    
    Id. The rulemaking
    record reveals that extraordinary changes
    occurred both in technology and in the marketplace during the
    time between the promulgation of the Viewability Rule in
    2007 and the adoption of the Sunset Order in 2012:
    In 2007, roughly half of all television households were
    analog-only cable subscribers, and there were no
    inexpensive converters available to ensure that analog
    subscribers would have the equipment needed for
    viewability. In those circumstances, a significant number
    of cable customers could lose access to must-carry
    channels if hybrid systems were permitted to carry such
    signals only in digital format.
    Today, by contrast, the state of technology and the
    marketplace is significantly different. At the time of the
    order, about 20 percent of cable subscribers received
    analog-only service. The Commission expected that
    number to drop below 16 percent by the end of 2012.
    Since cable accounts for about half of all television
    households, analog-only subscribers were expected to
    make up about 8 percent of the total television audience –
    down from 40 percent five years earlier. And that number
    is falling: the Commission predicted that the number of
    analog cable subscribers is expected to continue to
    decrease as more cable customers choose to upgrade to
    full digital service and as more hybrid cable systems
    complete their transition to all-digital systems.
    13
    Br. for Resp’t at 13-14 (citations, quotations, and alterations
    omitted).
    In comments opposing the sunset of the Viewability
    Rule, the broadcasters argued that “allowing the current
    viewability rule to expire on schedule will threaten the
    viability of must-carry stations. According to the
    broadcasters, approximately 12.6 million households receive
    only analog cable service, representing approximately 11
    percent of all U.S. television households, and removing that
    percentage of a station’s audience could well have a profound
    impact on affected stations.” Sunset Order, 27 FCC Rcd. at
    6541-42 (quotation omitted). In response, the Commission
    noted that:
    [T]he broadcasters’ analysis overstates the impact on
    such stations because it assumes that elimination of the
    rule will automatically result in the broadcaster’s signal
    being unavailable to all analog subscribers. To the
    contrary, our new statutory interpretation – which hinges
    on a cable operator making equipment available at no
    cost or an affordable cost – will ensure that subscribers
    on hybrid systems may continue to access these signals at
    little or no additional expense.
    
    Id. at 6542.
    In the NPRM, the Commission reported that a “recent
    survey indicates that 31 percent of homes do not have a
    digital television.” 27 FCC Rcd. at 1718 n.34. However,
    through the notice and comment process, it also found that
    many of these consumers are already subscribing to digital
    services by using converting equipment at home to view the
    signals on analog sets. The FCC explained that, according to
    industry reports, “about 27 million DTAs [Digital Transport
    14
    Adapters, which are consumer-operated converters] were
    already deployed by year-end 2011,” Sunset Order, 27 FCC
    Rcd. at 6540, and that some cable operators provide the
    adapters to customers for free and others charge a nominal fee
    of $1 or $2 per month, 
    id. at 6541.
    And because most
    televisions sold since 2007 are digital-ready, an increasing
    number of customers are prepared for digital service simply
    through the television sales market. 
    Id. at 6539
    n.59.
    After considering the comments submitted in the
    rulemaking proceeding, the FCC issued the Sunset Order
    which allowed the Viewability Rule to expire with only a six-
    month extension. The Commission reasoned that, with the
    increased number of digital subscribers and the availability of
    cheap or free conversion devices, it was no longer necessary
    or efficient to continue burdening cable companies with the
    obligation to downconvert broadcast programs. Under the
    Sunset Order, cable subscribers with analog television sets
    may be required by their cable companies to purchase or lease
    equipment that converts broadcast signals from digital to
    analog. Hybrid cable companies are thus no longer required to
    downconvert digital signals to subscribers with analog
    television sets.
    In sum, the disputed Sunset Order allows an equipment-
    based alternative to downconversion, giving cable operators
    “flexibility” to cease carriage of analog must-carry signals. In
    other words, the new rule permits cable operators to satisfy
    the statutory viewability mandate with an “offer” of additional
    equipment, provided that the equipment is “affordable.” The
    availability of the must-carry stations is still required by
    statute; however, cable companies may now choose to
    downconvert, to switch all their operations to digital
    distribution, or to provide analog subscribers with low or
    no-cost conversion devices.
    15
    II. DISCUSSION
    A. Chevron Step One
    The Petitioners’ first argument is that, “[a]pplying
    traditional tools of statutory construction, it is evident from
    the plain language and structure of Section 614(b)(7), its
    legislative history, the essential purpose of the must-carry
    regime, and the Cable Act’s overall statutory scheme that
    Congress intended that must-carry signals be actually
    viewable without added equipment.” Joint Br. for Pet’rs at 20.
    Thus, according to Petitioners, the Sunset Order is “unlawful”
    because it is based on a “new statutory interpretation” that
    “conflicts with Congress’s unambiguously expressed intent.”
    
    Id. at 20-21.
    This argument does not square with the plain
    meaning of the text, historical context, or the overall purpose
    of the Cable Act.
    Under Chevron Step One, if Congress “has directly
    spoken to the precise question at issue,” the court and the
    agency “must give effect to the unambiguously expressed
    intent.” 
    Chevron, 467 U.S. at 842-43
    . The statute states only
    that must-carry broadcast signals “shall be viewable via cable
    on all television receivers of a subscriber which are
    connected to a cable system by a cable operator or for which
    a cable operator provides a connection.” 47 U.S.C.
    § 534(b)(7). Petitioners say that “this Section mandates that
    must-carry signals be actually viewable. The Order falls short
    of this legal standard, adopting a regime that, at best, ensures
    only that cable operators that have not yet transitioned to all-
    digital will offer consumers the ability to make signals
    viewable on analog receivers using additional purchased or
    leased equipment.” Joint Br. for Pet’rs at 21. The fallacy in
    Petitioners’ argument is that it assumes that actual viewability
    is not permissibly achieved if subscribers are required to use
    16
    equipment beyond their televisions to receive must-carry
    signals. The statute simply does not require what Petitioners
    seek because “viewable” is susceptible to the Commission’s
    reading, i.e., viewable with the assistance of a low- or no-cost
    converter.
    Petitioners argue, in effect, that Congress spoke
    definitively on a narrow, technological issue concerning
    technology that was not in wide use at the time of enactment.
    The viewability requirement, enacted in 1992, was written
    before a digital transition was even contemplated by
    Congress, so it is fruitless to speculate on what amount of
    equipment Congress meant to allow in order to ensure that
    digital electronic signals would be viewable. Furthermore,
    electronic signals – whether analog or digital – are not
    actually “viewable” to the human eye, so it is clear that
    Congress understood that some equipment or process would
    be required to allow viewers to see broadcast programs. As
    noted above, in enacting § 534(b)(4)(B), Congress left it to
    the Commission to determine how best to implement the
    viewability requirement to account for technological and
    market changes.
    In January 2001, in its first report and order applying the
    carriage requirements to digital signals, the FCC noted that
    “[a]llowing digital-to-analog conversion for a limited time
    during a critical stage of the transition period” would facilitate
    the overall transition. Carriage of Digital Television
    Broadcast Signals, First Report and Order, 16 FCC Rcd.
    2598, 2630 (2001). In 2007, after the digital transition was
    underway, the Commission evaluated the market and
    determined that there were still so many analog customers
    that, in order to successfully make the must-carry channels
    “viewable” to all customers, the cable companies should be
    required, for the next five years, to downconvert those
    17
    channels to analog before transmitting them to analog
    customers. The Commission never said that downconversion
    was mandated by the statute. It was merely a means to
    achieve an end. And nothing in the record indicates that the
    FCC or any of the affected parties expected downconversion
    to be a permanent obligation imposed upon cable companies.
    Indeed, the Viewability Rule, which imposed the
    downconversion requirement, was scheduled to sunset three
    years after its effective date.
    Furthermore, under the FCC’s 2001, 2007, and 2012
    rules, analog subscribers were required to install additional
    equipment in order to receive broadcasters’ digital programs
    whenever a cable company switched from “hybrid” to all-
    digital service. Neither Congress nor the FCC has ever stated
    that the statutory viewability requirement cannot be met if
    subscribers are required to use equipment beyond their
    televisions to receive must-carry signals. Therefore,
    § 534(b)(7) cannot be construed otherwise. And the literal
    terms of § 534(b)(7) certainly do not support the
    interpretation advanced by Petitioners.
    Petitioners also contend that the FCC’s order violates
    § 534(b)(4)(A), which provides that “[t]he signals of local
    commercial television stations that a cable operator carries
    shall be carried without material degradation,” and that “the
    quality of signal processing and carriage provided by a cable
    system for the carriage of local commercial television stations
    will be no less than that provided by the system for carriage of
    any other type of signal.” Petitioners argue that the
    Commission’s order “runs afoul of this provision by allowing
    cable operators to provide better carriage conditions – i.e., a
    viewable format – for some signals than they do for others.”
    Joint Br. for Pet’rs at 29. This argument presupposes that
    digital signals that are not downconverted by cable operators
    18
    are not in a viewable format, a contention that we have
    already rejected. The quality of the picture being transmitted
    is the same whether it is downconverted by the cable
    company or converted by the customer, and Petitioners offer
    no credible evidence to the contrary. Therefore, Petitioners’
    arguments resting on § 534(b)(4)(A) certainly do not indicate
    that the FCC’s new rule violates the plain meaning of the
    statute.
    In sum, we reject Petitioners’ arguments under Chevron
    Step One.
    B.    Chevron Step Two
    During oral argument, counsel for Petitioners pointed out
    that, under the Sunset Order, the FCC requires only that
    customers have access to a viewable signal, and leaves it to
    them to seek out the equipment necessary to convert a digital
    signal to analog. In other words, in abandoning the
    Viewability Rule, the Commission now requires analog
    subscribers to obtain, pay for, and install additional equipment
    to receive must-carry signals. According to Petitioners’
    counsel, the real issue in this case is who assumes the burden
    – in terms of paying for, providing, and installing the
    necessary equipment – of ensuring that analog subscribers can
    view digital transmissions. Petitioners suggest that the
    Commission’s new rule, which shifts the burden from the
    cable companies to the subscribers is manifestly contrary to
    the Cable Act and, therefore, cannot survive review under
    Chevron Step Two. See 
    Chevron, 467 U.S. at 843-44
    .
    Petitioners do not seriously dispute that, if the FCC was
    not limited by the plain meaning of the Cable Act and acted
    pursuant to delegated authority, it was free to revise its
    interpretation of the viewability requirement to take account
    19
    of changed circumstances. As the Supreme Court has noted,
    “[a]n agency is not required to establish rules of conduct to
    last forever, but rather must be given ample latitude to adapt
    its rules and policies to the demands of changing
    circumstances.” Rust v. Sullivan, 
    500 U.S. 173
    , 186-87 (1991)
    (quotations, citations, and alteration omitted); accord FCC v.
    Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    , 514-15 (2009).
    The only question we face is whether the Sunset Order’s
    interpretation of the viewability requirement is “permissible
    under the 
    statute.” 556 U.S. at 515
    . We cannot “substitute our
    judgment for the agency’s, especially when, as here, the
    decision under review requires expert policy judgment of a
    technical, complex, and dynamic subject.” Cablevision Sys.
    Corp. v. FCC, 
    597 F.3d 1306
    , 1311 (D.C. Cir. 2010). We
    must accord “substantial deference” to the FCC’s predictive
    judgments. Cablevision Sys. Corp. v. FCC, 
    649 F.3d 695
    , 716
    (D.C. Cir. 2011).
    The disputed statutory language in this case – Section
    614(b)(7) – is ambiguous. Therefore, the FCC had latitude,
    within the bounds of the statute, “to adapt [its] rules and
    policies to the demands of changing circumstances.” 
    Rust, 500 U.S. at 187
    . We find that, in promulgating the Sunset
    Order, the Commission acted reasonably within the compass
    of its delegated authority. The Sunset Order is clearly
    supported by changed circumstances – including advancing
    technology and changes in the marketplace – and reasoned
    decisionmaking. The order reflects a permissible
    interpretation of the Cable Act and therefore survives review
    under Chevron Step Two.
    Petitioners argue that forcing analog subscribers to carry
    the burden of securing, paying for, and installing the
    equipment necessary to convert digital signals is not
    compatible with the Cable Act. In support of this claim,
    20
    Petitioners point to the structure of Section 614(b)(7), which
    states:
    Signals carried in fulfillment of the requirements of this
    section shall be provided to every subscriber of a cable
    system. Such signals shall be viewable via cable on all
    television receivers of a subscriber which are connected
    to a cable system by a cable operator or for which a cable
    operator provides a connection. If a cable operator
    authorizes subscribers to install additional receiver
    connections, but does not provide the subscriber with
    such connections, or with the equipment and materials for
    such connections, the operator shall notify such
    subscribers of all broadcast stations carried on the cable
    system which cannot be viewed via cable without a
    converter box and shall offer to sell or lease such a
    converter box to such subscribers at rates in accordance
    with section 543(b)(3) of this title.
    47 U.S.C. § 534(b)(7). According to Petitioners, “[t]he
    Commission’s new interpretation conflicts with the statutory
    structure . . . because it renders the distinction between the
    second and third sentences of Section 614(b)(7) meaningless.”
    Joint Br. for Pet’rs at 22. Petitioners misread the statute.
    As the Commission points out:
    The second and third sentences of the statute address
    different situations and perform distinctive functions. The
    second sentence – which contains the viewability
    requirement that applies only to must-carry stations –
    applies only to subscribers who are “connected to a cable
    system by a cable operator or for which a cable operator
    provides a connection.” 47 U.S.C. § 534(b)(7). By
    contrast, the third sentence, which applies more broadly
    21
    to “all broadcast stations,” requires cable operators to
    offer or sell converter boxes to subscribers to whom the
    operator “does not provide” additional receiver
    connections or “the equipment and materials for such
    connections.” 
    Ibid. (emphasis added). Thus,
    the third
    sentence ensures that cable operators may not simply
    refuse necessary equipment to customers who choose to
    install their own connections, a function not addressed by
    the second sentence. Moreover, the required price for
    boxes supplied under the second sentence to satisfy the
    viewability requirement – free or nominal – may be less
    than the price for boxes supplied under the third sentence,
    which can be based on the cost of the equipment.
    Br. for Resp’t at 21-22.
    Petitioners’ arguments regarding congressional intent and
    the objectives of the must-carry regime are similarly
    unavailing. The FCC has, as required by Congress, constantly
    adapted its enforcement of the must-carry regime, from its
    first implementation in 1994 to the tentative consideration of
    downconversion in 2001, its adoption in 2007, and its sunset
    in 2012. The flexibility demonstrated by this constantly
    adjusted approach reflects the realities of the market and the
    FCC’s role as an expert agency delegated authority to
    exercise its judgment.
    Finally, in terms of whether a consumer-operated
    conversion device can, practically speaking, make a signal
    “viewable,” the FCC has reasonably determined that
    technology is now advanced enough to fulfill the statute’s
    requirements. Low-cost converter boxes that can be installed
    in consumers’ homes are, according to the record, now widely
    available and in use in 27 million homes. Given these
    dramatic shifts in the market and the increased feasibility of
    22
    consumer-operated conversion devices, it was within the
    agency’s discretion to decline to continue requiring cable
    companies to bear the expense of downconversion for a
    shrinking audience with easily obtainable alternate means of
    accessing the must-carry channels.
    On the basis of these considerations, we hold that the
    Sunset Order is not manifestly contrary to the viewability
    requirement under the Cable Act.
    C. Arbitrary and Capricious Review
    The same points that address Petitioners’ Chevron Step
    Two claim also make it clear that their arbitrary and
    capricious claim fails. The analysis of disputed agency action
    under Chevron Step Two and arbitrary and capricious review
    is often “the same, because under Chevron step two, [the
    court asks] whether an agency interpretation is arbitrary or
    capricious in substance.” Judulang v. Holder, 
    132 S. Ct. 476
    ,
    483 n.7 (2011) (citing Mayo Found. for Med. Educ. &
    Research v. United States, 
    131 S. Ct. 704
    , 711 (2011)). “[A]n
    agency rule would be arbitrary and capricious if the agency
    has relied on factors which Congress has not intended it to
    consider, entirely failed to consider an important aspect of the
    problem, offered an explanation for its decision that runs
    counter to the evidence before the agency, or is so implausible
    that it could not be ascribed to a difference in view or the
    product of agency expertise.” State 
    Farm, 463 U.S. at 43
    . The
    Sunset Order suffers from none of these infirmities. It is
    “rational, based on consideration of the relevant factors, and
    within the scope of the authority delegated to the agency by
    the statute.” 
    Id. at 42.
    The evidence in the record is sufficient to support the
    FCC’s finding that an equipment-based means of complying
    23
    with the Cable Act is “effective” in providing “viewable”
    signals as required. As noted above, the marketplace and
    technology have shifted dramatically in the past several years,
    and the Commission reasonably concluded that the number of
    analog customers is dropping rapidly and that low-cost digital
    equipment is now “readily available” as an option to analog
    cable customers. Sunset Order, 27 FCC Rcd. at 6537-39.
    Without any contrary evidence to disprove these findings,
    Petitioners have not shown any arbitrary and capricious action
    or abuse of discretion on the part of the Commission.
    Furthermore, there is nothing in the record to support the
    Intervenors’ assertion that the Sunset Order will drive
    broadcasters out of business. On this point, the record
    contains only a dubious study from the National Association
    of Broadcasters on the financial effect of the Viewability
    Rule’s sunset on must-carry stations, which assumes that none
    of the 12.6 million analog customers reported in 2012 will
    actually obtain the conversion equipment to continue viewing
    digital must-carry channels on their analog sets (or upgrade to
    digital sets and view the must-carry stations directly).
    National Association of Broadcasters’ Ex Parte
    Communication, CS Docket No. 98-120, reprinted in Joint
    Appendix (“J.A.”) 170, 173 (“We will examine the impact of
    the loss of 11% of viewership on certain types of stations and
    estimate the effects on the financial health of these stations.”).
    According to the evidence before the Commission as of June
    2012, during the years when the downconversion rule was in
    effect, the number of analog subscribers dropped from about
    40 million households to 12 million households and was
    expected to drop below 10 million households by the end of
    the year. Sunset Order, 27 FCC Rcd. at 6539. In other words,
    the impact of the Sunset Order is diminishing rapidly, as cable
    viewers switch to digital subscriptions that are compatible
    with must-carry broadcasts. It is self-evident that the loss of
    24
    downconversion services will have some effect on
    broadcasters, but the Commission was “not persuaded” that
    allowing the Viewability Rule to expire will “threaten the
    viability of must-carry stations,” 
    id. at 6541,
    and Petitioners
    have offered no viable evidence to contradict its findings.
    Petitioners also contended at oral argument that under the
    new regulatory regime hybrid cable companies will be able to
    give their customers superior access to their own analog
    programs by downconverting those channels and then
    requiring customers to go out and buy new equipment to get
    access to the must-carry stations. Petitioners say that such
    practices will be at odds with the viewability mandate and the
    non-degradation and signal quality requirements found in
    § 534(b)(4). This is a valid concern, and it certainly animated
    the Commission’s rulemaking in 2007. But there is no
    evidence to indicate that this possibility will become a reality.
    Moreover, the Commission’s Sunset Order states that,
    a must-carry station may file a complaint pursuant to
    Section 76.61 of our rules if it believes a cable operator
    has failed to meet its statutory carriage obligations. [See
    47 C.F.R. § 76.61.] In addition, we will consider informal
    consumer complaints when evaluating compliance with
    the statutory viewability requirement. If we receive a
    significant number of well-founded consumer complaints
    that an operator is not effectively making affordable set-
    top boxes available to customers in lieu of analog
    carriage of a channel, one of the possible remedies would
    be to require the operator to resume analog carriage of
    the channel.
    Sunset Order, 27 FCC Rcd. at 6546. If, in fact, the cable
    companies respond to the FCC’s Order by raising prices on
    25
    the conversion devices or making them otherwise
    inconvenient for customers to obtain, they will be subject to
    customer complaints, broadcaster complaints, and agency
    action.
    In sum, we find that the FCC’s new rule is supported by
    changed circumstances, credible evidence, and reasoned
    decisionmaking. The Sunset Order therefore survives
    arbitrary and capricious review.
    D. Adequacy of the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
    Finally, Petitioners argue that the Sunset Order “violates
    the APA because the Commission failed to provide interested
    parties with adequate notice that it was considering an
    equipment-based alternative.” Joint Br. for Pet’rs at 52. We
    find no merit in this contention.
    When an agency promulgates a rule pursuant to
    congressionally delegated authority, it must provide the public
    with adequate notice of the proposed rule followed by an
    opportunity to comment on the rule’s content. 5 U.S.C.
    § 553(b)(3) (requiring agencies to provide notice of proposed
    rulemaking that includes “either the terms or substance of the
    proposed rule or a description of the subjects and issues
    involved”). The final rule need not be the one proposed in the
    NPRM. Rather, “[a]n agency’s final rule need only be a
    logical outgrowth of its notice.” Covad Commc’ns Co. v.
    FCC, 
    450 F.3d 528
    , 548 (D.C. Cir. 2006) (quotation omitted).
    An agency’s final rule qualifies as the logical outgrowth
    of its NPRM “if interested parties should have anticipated
    that the change was possible, and thus reasonably should
    have filed their comments on the subject during the
    notice-and-comment period.” CSX Transp., Inc. v.
    26
    Surface Transp. Bd., 
    584 F.3d 1076
    , 1079–80 (D.C. Cir.
    2009). By contrast, a final rule fails the logical outgrowth
    test and thus violates the APA’s notice requirement
    where “interested parties would have had to divine the
    agency’s unspoken thoughts, because the final rule was
    surprisingly distant from the proposed rule.” 
    Id. at 1080.
    EDWARDS, ELLIOTT & LEVY, FEDERAL STANDARDS                   OF
    REVIEW 195 (2d ed. 2013).
    The Commission’s February 2012 NPRM stated that the
    Viewability Rule would “expire on June 12, 2012 unless we
    take action to extend it,” and sought comment on “whether it
    would be in the public interest to extend” the rule for three
    more years. 27 FCC Rcd. at 1713-14. The NPRM also stated
    that, if the Viewability Rule expired, “many cable subscribers
    would be required to pay more for access to must-carry
    broadcast stations, by replacing existing and still-functional
    analog equipment with digital equipment or leasing set top
    boxes to view the complete service they currently pay for and
    receive in analog.” 
    Id. at 1718.
    The final action taken by the
    FCC was not something that the agency had expressly
    proposed in its NPRM. Nonetheless, the Commission clearly
    solicited comment on whether it should allow the Viewability
    Rule to sunset and explained that subscribers might be
    required to pay for and use digital equipment in place of
    downconversion to view digital programs from must-carry
    broadcasters. This notice was more than adequate to alert
    must-carry      broadcasters    that    the   rule   requiring
    downconversion might be in jeopardy.
    Petitioners argue that the FCC “expressly proposed to
    extend the viewability rule until June 12, 2015,” and that
    interested parties only learned that the agency was
    considering an equipment-based proposal “through press
    27
    accounts.” Joint Br. for Pet’rs at 52. Petitioners are right in
    pointing out that an agency “cannot bootstrap notice from a
    comment, . . . or from third-party accounts of what the agency
    might be considering.” 
    Id. (citing Small
    Refiner Lead Phase-
    Down Task Force v. EPA, 
    705 F.2d 506
    , 549 (D.C. Cir.
    1983); Shell Oil Co. v. EPA, 
    950 F.2d 741
    , 751 (D.C. Cir.
    1991)). But Petitioners are wrong in suggesting that notice is
    inadequate if the NPRM and the final rule are not
    coterminous. Whether the “logical outgrowth” test is satisfied
    depends on whether the affected party “should have
    anticipated” the agency’s final course in light of the initial
    notice. Small 
    Refiner, 705 F.2d at 548-49
    . The broadcasters in
    this case certainly should have anticipated that the final rule
    was a viable result in light of the NPRM, and also in light of
    the fact that the Viewability Rule was due to sunset unless
    extended.
    As the FCC convincingly argues:
    The Commission described the proceeding initiated by
    the Sunset Notice as “an opportunity . . . to determine
    whether extending the current rule is necessary to fulfill
    th[e] statutory [viewability] mandate, given the current
    state of technology and the marketplace.” 
    Id. ¶5 (J.A.
    71)
    (emphasis added). In particular, the Commission noted
    that set-top boxes would be required in the absence of an
    analog carriage requirement and asked interested parties
    to provide data on “the range of costs per digital
    [converter] box . . . , and the range of rental fees” for
    boxes, and “any marketplace or other changes” since
    2007. 
    Id. ¶¶10, 13,
    16 (J.A. 74, 75, 77). Market
    developments such as the availability and cost of signal
    converters were plainly raised as topics relevant to the
    Commission’s ultimate decision.
    28
    Furthermore, the Commission noted in the Sunset
    Notice that in the Viewability Order it had considered and
    rejected “possible alternatives,” such as “a rule that
    would allow [cable systems] to carry must-carry signals
    in digital so long as they made [signal conversion]
    equipment available for lease or sale to subscribers.”
    Sunset Notice ¶14 & n.48 (JA 76). When the agency
    called for comment on “proposals that would achieve the
    results necessary to assure the viewability of must carry
    signals through an approach different than that of [the]
    existing rule,” including solutions “that will satisfy the
    statute in a less burdensome manner,” 
    id. ¶16 (JA
    77), it
    was referring to such things as the previously rejected
    approach. The Sunset Notice thus unquestionably gave
    interested parties fair notice that device-based viewability
    was one of the issues presented.
    Br. for Resp’t at 58-60. We agree.
    III. CONCLUSION
    For the reasons given above, we hereby deny the petition
    for review.
    KAVANAUGH, Circuit Judge, concurring: I join the
    Court’s fine opinion in full. I add this brief separate opinion
    simply to note that the FCC also invoked the principle of
    constitutional avoidance to support its result here. In my
    view, the Commission was right to perceive a serious First
    Amendment problem with the Viewability Rule.
    In its Order allowing the Viewability Rule to sunset, the
    FCC explained that “dramatic changes in technology and the
    marketplace” since the adoption of the Viewability Rule in
    2007 had rendered “less certain the constitutional foundation
    for an inflexible rule compelling carriage of broadcast signals
    in both digital and analog formats.” Carriage of Digital
    Television Broadcast Signals, Fifth Report and Order, 27 FCC
    Rcd. 6529, 6537 (2012). As a result of those dramatic
    marketplace changes, the FCC concluded that it could no
    longer justify “imposing a rigid analog-carriage requirement
    on cable operators, where the record establishes a reasonable,
    less burdensome alternative that meets the statutory
    objectives.” 
    Id. The dramatically
    changed marketplace that the
    Commission aptly recognized in this case undermines the
    constitutional foundation of the Viewability Rule and, indeed,
    of the broader must-carry regime as well. In the Cable
    Television Consumer Protection and Competition Act of
    1992, Congress imposed many significant restrictions –
    including the must-carry regime – that infringe on cable
    operators’ “editorial discretion over which stations or
    programs” to carry. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. v.
    FCC, 
    512 U.S. 622
    , 636 (1994) (Turner I) (quoting Los
    Angeles v. Preferred Communications, Inc., 
    476 U.S. 488
    ,
    494 (1986)); see Cable Act of 1992, Pub. L. No. 102-385, 106
    Stat. 1460. The Supreme Court upheld the must-carry
    requirements against a First Amendment challenge only after
    determining      that   must-carry   advanced      “important
    governmental interests unrelated to the suppression of free
    2
    speech” and did “not burden substantially more speech than
    necessary to further those interests.” Turner Broadcasting
    System, Inc. v. FCC, 
    520 U.S. 180
    , 189 (1997) (Turner II)
    (applying “intermediate scrutiny”).
    Turner identified the important governmental interest
    underlying the regulations as the interest in counteracting the
    effects of monopoly. And Turner rested its approval of the
    must-carry regime on the fact that cable operators in the early
    1990s possessed “bottleneck monopoly power.” Turner 
    I, 512 U.S. at 661
    ; see Cable Act of 1992, § 2(a)(2) (finding
    “undue market power for the cable operator”). Only because
    of the “real threat” that cable operators would exploit their
    monopoly power and discriminate unfairly against disfavored
    or unaffiliated broadcasters did the Court approve Congress’s
    dictate forcing cable operators to carry the signals of certain
    preferred broadcasters.      Turner 
    II, 520 U.S. at 196
    (controlling opinion of Kennedy, J.).
    Things have changed. In the two decades since Congress
    enacted the Cable Act of 1992, the video programming
    marketplace has radically transformed. Cable operators today
    face intense competition from a burgeoning number of
    satellite, fiber optic, and Internet television providers – none
    of whom are saddled with the same program carriage and
    non-discrimination burdens that cable operators bear. As this
    Court has flatly stated, cable operators “no longer have the
    bottleneck power over programming that concerned the
    Congress in 1992.” Comcast Corp. v. FCC, 
    579 F.3d 1
    , 8
    (D.C. Cir. 2009); see also Comcast Cable Communications,
    LLC v. FCC, 
    717 F.3d 982
    , 992-94 (D.C. Cir. 2013)
    (Kavanaugh, J., concurring); Cablevision Systems Corp. v.
    FCC, 
    597 F.3d 1306
    , 1316 (D.C. Cir. 2010) (Kavanaugh, J.,
    dissenting); Randolph J. May, Charting a New Constitutional
    Jurisprudence for the Digital Age, 3 CHARLESTON L. REV.
    3
    373, 393-94 (2009); Christopher S. Yoo, Vertical Integration
    and Media Regulation in the New Economy, 19 YALE J. ON
    REG. 171, 229 (2002); Note, Enabling Television Competition
    in a Converged Market, 126 HARV. L. REV. 2083 (2013); R.
    Matthew Warner, Note, Reassessing Turner and Litigating the
    Must-Carry Law Beyond a Facial Challenge, 60 FED. COMM.
    L.J. 359 (2008).
    Unsurprisingly, cable regulations adopted in the era of
    Cheers and The Cosby Show are ill-suited to a marketplace
    populated by Homeland and House of Cards. And the
    constitutional problems infecting the 1992 Cable Act’s
    various     program     carriage      and    non-discrimination
    requirements grow more significant every day, as new video
    programming distributors emerge and prosper. The upshot is
    that the cable “bottleneck monopoly” on which Turner rested
    no longer exists – and, as a result, the Act’s infringements on
    cable operators’ editorial discretion no longer can withstand
    First Amendment scrutiny.
    Turner’s conclusion was expressly based on the state of
    the marketplace in the early 1990s. See Turner 
    II, 520 U.S. at 197-207
    (controlling opinion of Kennedy, J.). Contrary to
    petitioners’ suggestion to this Court, a Supreme Court
    decision that says, in essence, “Because there is now a
    monopoly, this regulation is permissible” does not mean
    “Even when there is no monopoly, this regulation is
    permissible.” Cf. Time Warner Cable Inc. v. FCC, 
    729 F.3d 137
    , 161 (2d Cir. 2013). Suppose the Supreme Court
    considers an antitrust case and concludes that Company X has
    an 80 percent market share, that anything over 50 percent
    constitutes market power in that market, and that it is
    unlawful under the antitrust laws for a company such as
    Company X with market power to engage in certain activities.
    In a future case, a lower court would be bound by vertical
    4
    stare decisis to say that a company with a market share over
    50 percent in the relevant market had market power and thus
    could not lawfully engage in those activities. But if Company
    X’s market share in the relevant market declined to 10 percent
    – meaning that it no longer had market power – a lower court
    would obviously not be bound to hold that Company X still
    could not engage in those activities. So it is here. A contrary
    approach to precedent in these circumstances would reflect a
    mindless perversion of stare decisis, not a faithful application
    of stare decisis.
    When the cable operators’ monopoly collapsed, the
    constitutional foundation supporting the 1992 Cable Act’s
    program carriage and non-discrimination regimes collapsed
    with it. Stare decisis requires courts (and, in the first instance,
    the FCC) to carefully and faithfully follow the constitutional
    principles that undergird Turner: First, “cable operators
    engage in and transmit speech, and they are entitled to the
    protection of the speech and press provisions of the First
    Amendment.” Turner 
    I, 512 U.S. at 636
    . And second, absent
    a finding of market power, the Government may not infringe
    on the cable operators’ editorial discretion. See 
    id. at 661.
    Applying those principles to today’s highly competitive video
    programming distribution marketplace leads to an entirely
    different result than it did 20 years ago. Because cable
    operators no longer wield market power, the Government can
    no more tell a cable operator today which video programming
    networks it must carry than it can tell a bookstore what books
    to sell or tell a newspaper what columnists to publish.
    In short, as a matter of constitutional law and
    technological reality, the 1992 Cable Act’s various program
    carriage and non-discrimination regimes rest on a hollowed-
    out foundation. The Commission was right to see the First
    Amendment problem in this case – and further cases like this
    5
    no doubt loom on the horizon. With that observation, I join
    the opinion of the Court.