Sierra Club v. EPA , 884 F.3d 1185 ( 2018 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued September 15, 2017             Decided March 16, 2018
    No. 16-1021
    SIERRA CLUB, ET AL.,
    PETITIONERS
    v.
    ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY AND E. SCOTT
    PRUITT, ADMINISTRATOR, U.S. ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
    AGENCY,
    RESPONDENTS
    AMERICAN CHEMISTRY COUNCIL, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    Consolidated with 13-1256
    On Petitions for Review of Final Action of
    the United States Environmental Protection Agency
    James S. Pew argued the cause for petitioners. With him
    on the briefs were Neil Gormley, Patton Dycus, and Eric
    Schaeffer. Sanjay Narayan entered an appearance.
    Norman L. Rave Jr., Attorney, U.S. Department of
    Justice, argued the cause and filed the brief for respondents.
    Perry M. Rosen, Attorney, entered an appearance.
    2
    Lauren E. Freeman argued the cause for industry
    intervenor-respondents. With her on the brief were Makram B.
    Jaber, William L. Wehrum Jr., Felicia H. Barnes, Douglas A.
    McWilliams, Allen A. Kacenjar, Katy M. Franz, Robert D.
    Cheren, William F. Lane, and Alan H. McConnell. David M.
    Friedland, Lisa M. Jaeger, Quentin Riegel, Ronald A. Shipley,
    Shannon S. Broome, and Charles H. Knauss entered
    appearances.
    Before: ROGERS, SRINIVASAN and PILLARD, Circuit
    Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge PILLARD.
    PILLARD, Circuit Judge: Industrial boilers are heavy-duty
    furnaces used to generate steam and other useful heat for a wide
    range of applications, such as milling paper and manufacturing
    car parts. These boilers reach and sustain extremely high
    temperatures, relying on varying combinations of fuels and
    combustion techniques to do so. But all share a common
    environmental risk: Without adequate controls in place, they
    send into the air large quantities of toxic pollutants that
    endanger public health.
    To mitigate such dangers, the Environmental Protection
    Agency (EPA or Agency) issued rules under the Clean Air Act
    to govern emissions of those pollutants. See Final Rule on
    Reconsideration, National Emission Standards for Hazardous
    Air Pollutants for Major Sources: Industrial, Commercial, and
    Institutional Boilers and Process Heaters, 
    78 Fed. Reg. 7138
    ,
    7144 (Jan. 31, 2013). A slew of legal challenges followed. We
    have already considered and resolved most of them in United
    States Sugar Corp. v. EPA (U.S. Sugar), 
    830 F.3d 579
     (D.C.
    Cir. 2016).      But because EPA granted petitions for
    3
    reconsideration on two issues, we agreed to sever those issues
    from U.S. Sugar. Upon additional consideration, EPA made
    some changes to its rules. Several environmental groups,
    which we refer to collectively as Sierra Club, challenge the
    reconsidered rules, and we now take up their petitions.1 See
    Final Rule on Reconsideration II, National Emission Standards
    for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Major Sources: Industrial,
    Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process Heaters, 
    80 Fed. Reg. 72,790
     (Nov. 20, 2015).
    The first challenge concerns EPA regulations that
    indirectly control a group of organic pollutants by limiting
    carbon monoxide emissions as a proxy for the targeted
    pollutants. After calculating emissions limits for the organic
    pollutants by reference to the amount of carbon monoxide
    emitted by the best performing boilers in each subcategory,
    EPA concluded that the lowest of the carbon monoxide limits
    were too low, so it substituted a single, higher limit that it
    deemed sufficient to control the pollutants. Sierra Club
    contends that the EPA’s about-face was unjustified and
    contrary to the Clean Air Act.
    The second challenge concerns rules governing how
    boilers operate while starting up and shutting down. Given the
    high temperatures involved, startup and shutdown can take
    hours, during which conditions inside a boiler are in flux. EPA
    found it infeasible to set numeric limits on pollutants during
    startup and shutdown, so instead set qualitative “work practice”
    standards. Sierra Club contends that those work practice
    standards give boiler operators unlawful leeway to pollute.
    1
    Six organizations jointly petitioned along with Sierra Club:
    Chesapeake Climate Action Network, Clean Air Council,
    EarthJustice, Environmental Integrity Project, Louisiana
    Environmental Action Network, and Partnership for Policy Integrity.
    4
    For the reasons that follow, we conclude that Sierra Club
    is right on the first score but wrong on the second. EPA did not
    adequately justify its change of direction on the carbon
    monoxide limits because it failed to explain how the revised
    limits would minimize the targeted pollutants to the extent the
    Clean Air Act requires. But its startup and shutdown work
    practice standards are permissible because, consistent with the
    Clean Air Act, they reasonably approximate what the best-
    performing boilers can achieve.
    I.
    As amended in 1990, the Clean Air Act (Act) specifies a
    list of nearly two hundred hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) for
    which the EPA must set national emissions standards. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (b), (d); U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 593. EPA is first
    required to categorize and, where appropriate, sub-categorize
    potential sources of each HAP. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (c), (d).
    The Agency must categorize polluters by volume of emissions.
    
    Id.
     § 7412(c). The most voluminous polluters, dubbed “major
    sources,” id. § 7412(a)(1), must be regulated with particular
    care, see id. § 7412(d)(1). The Agency must also distinguish
    between new sources and existing ones. U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d
    at 593-94 (citing 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(3)). EPA also may
    further “differentiate ‘among classes, types, and sizes of
    sources.’” 
    Id.
     (quoting 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(1)).
    Here, the relevant category is major-source industrial,
    commercial, and institutional boilers and process heaters—
    which EPA refers to, for short, as industrial boilers. This
    category runs the gamut of heavy-duty boilers used by
    industries and large institutions, but excludes similar,
    separately regulated equipment that burns solid waste or
    generates electricity. See Proposed Rule, National Emission
    Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Major Sources:
    5
    Industrial, Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process
    Heaters, 
    75 Fed. Reg. 32,006
    , 32,009, 32,016 (June 4, 2010).
    A single set of rules governs the industrial boilers at issue here
    during startup and shutdown. See 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,824.
    Because EPA identified “significant design and operational
    differences” among these industrial boilers based on their
    primary fuels and (for certain HAPs) the combustion
    technology used to burn those fuels, however, EPA imposed
    separate operating-state emissions limits on subcategories
    identified by those criteria. Id. at 32,017; see also 78 Fed. Reg.
    at 7144.
    After categorizing sources, EPA prescribes standards for
    sources in each category or subcategory. The basic approach
    is technology-forcing: For major sources like those at issue
    here, EPA must identify the “maximum degree of reduction in
    emissions” that is “achievable” using current technology. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(2). It must then use that maximum
    achievable degree of reduction as an emissions cap for all
    similar sources. See U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 594; Mexichem
    Specialty Resins, Inc. v. EPA, 
    787 F.3d 544
    , 549-50 (D.C. Cir.
    2015).
    Congress prescribed how EPA must define those
    “maximum achievable control technology” (MACT)
    standards. EPA must at least set a so-called “MACT Floor”
    with respect to each pollutant—the minimum that sources must
    do to control emissions of the pollutant.          
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(3); see U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 594. The “floor”
    terminology can be confusing, because MACT Floors—
    baseline emissions standards—are upper limits, or caps, on
    emissions. MACT Floors allow emission of each pollutant
    only up to the level achieved either by the “best controlled
    similar source” in the relevant subcategory (for new sources),
    or by the lowest-emitting twelve percent of sources (for
    6
    existing sources). 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(3); see U.S. Sugar, 830
    F.3d at 594.
    EPA may be required to set a “beyond-the-floor” standard
    as well—a more-stringent-still emissions cap calling on
    sources to perform even better than the current best performers.
    See U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 594-95. EPA must set a beyond-
    the-floor standard if it determines that additional emissions
    reduction would be achievable “taking into account costs,
    certain health and environmental effects, and energy
    requirements.” Nat’l Ass’n for Surface Finishing v. EPA, 
    795 F.3d 1
    , 4-5 (D.C. Cir. 2015); see 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(2).
    Ordinarily, MACT Floors and beyond-the-floor standards that
    EPA crafts must apply “continuously” whenever sources are at
    risk of emitting pollutants—even when the sources are
    operating outside of normal parameters because they are
    starting up, shutting down, or malfunctioning. See Sierra Club
    v. EPA, 
    551 F.3d 1019
    , 1027-28 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
    The Act gives EPA certain kinds of carefully
    circumscribed flexibility, two of which figure centrally in this
    case. First, EPA may sometimes regulate a HAP indirectly, by
    controlling a proxy, or “surrogate,” instead of the pollutant
    itself. See Sierra Club v. EPA, 
    863 F.3d 834
    , 838 (D.C. Cir.
    2017). The Act nowhere expressly contemplates regulation by
    surrogate, but we have held it permissible in some
    circumstances, so long as the resulting rules are reasonably
    calculated to control the relevant HAPs to the extent the statute
    demands. See U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 628-29. Second, EPA
    may sometimes set qualitative “work practice” standards,
    requiring sources to use certain protocols designed to minimize
    emissions in lieu of numeric limits measuring pollutants
    actually emitted. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (h). Work practice
    standards can be thought of as a statutory Plan B; EPA may
    resort to them only when using numeric limits is “not feasible.”
    7
    
    Id.
     § 7412(h)(1). The statute defines when EPA may conclude
    that numeric limits are infeasible, including—as relevant
    here—when “the application of measurement methodology to
    a particular class of sources is not practicable due to
    technological or economic limitations.” Id. § 7412(h)(2)(B).
    When EPA sets work practice standards, those standards must
    be, in EPA’s judgment, “consistent with” the Act’s MACT
    requirements. Id. § 7412(h)(1); see U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at
    663.
    The 1990 amendments to the Act called on EPA to
    promulgate national standards for every source category by the
    year 2000. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (e)(1)(E). That deadline has
    long since passed, and—after an earlier iteration of this rule
    was vacated in its entirety and rewritten, see Nat. Res. Def.
    Council v. EPA, 
    489 F.3d 1250
    , 1261-62 (D.C. Cir. 2007)—
    these revised standards are among the last to be finalized. See
    Leslie Sue Ritts & Ben Snowden, The Regulation of Hazardous
    Air Pollutants, in Clean Air Act Handbook 249, 265-67 (Julie
    R. Domike & Alec C. Zacaroli, eds., 4th ed. 2016). For current
    purposes, we can pick up the tale with EPA’s 2011 iteration of
    these rules. See Final Rule, National Emission Standards for
    Hazardous Air Pollutants for Major Sources: Industrial,
    Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process Heaters, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 15,608
     (Mar. 21, 2011). Once it promulgated the
    2011 version, EPA chose to reconsider that entire set of
    regulations almost immediately, re-finalized them in 2013 with
    significant changes, see 78 Fed. Reg. at 7138; Proposed Rule
    on Reconsideration, National Emission Standards for
    Hazardous Air Pollutants for Major Sources: Industrial,
    Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process Heaters, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 80,598
     (Dec. 23, 2011), then further amended and
    reissued them as the 2015 final rule at issue here, 
    80 Fed. Reg. 72,790
    .
    8
    Regulated industries and environmental groups mounted
    various legal challenges to the 2013 final rule, most of which
    we have already adjudicated. See generally U.S. Sugar, 
    830 F.3d 579
    . But, between 2011 and 2013, EPA had so
    significantly changed certain aspects of the rule, including the
    two challenged here, that EPA decided to allow more time for
    public comment and to reconsider them yet again. See
    Proposed Rule on Reconsideration II, National Emission
    Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Major Sources:
    Industrial, Commercial, and Institutional Boilers and Process
    Heaters, 
    80 Fed. Reg. 3090
     (Jan. 21, 2015). Accordingly, at
    EPA’s request, we severed challenges to these two aspects of
    the 2013 final rule from the U.S. Sugar proceedings and held
    them in abeyance pending the Agency’s reconsideration. See
    Order, U.S. Sugar, No. 11-1108 (Oct. 16, 2013). The Agency’s
    reconsideration of these aspects of the rules is now complete,
    and Sierra Club’s remaining two challenges are now before us.
    The first challenge targets certain limits on carbon
    monoxide (CO), which EPA controls as a surrogate for a group
    of listed pollutants known as “organic HAPs” (a term which,
    as used in this opinion, excludes dioxin and furan, two organic
    HAPs that EPA decided to regulate directly). Unlike organic
    HAPs, CO is not among the pollutants that EPA regulates
    under Section 7412, see 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (b); CO is regulated
    under a different part of the Act, see Util. Air Regulatory Grp.
    v. EPA, 
    134 S. Ct. 2427
    , 2435 (2014). In the 2011 rulemaking,
    EPA determined as a factual matter, supported by its analysis
    of the chemistry of combustion, that “minimizing CO
    emissions will result in minimizing . . . organic HAP.” 75 Fed.
    Reg. at 32,018. It therefore identified CO as an effective proxy
    for those HAPs. Id. Then, using the data it had on boilers’ CO
    emissions, EPA crunched the numbers to set a MACT Floor for
    CO as it normally would for a HAP. See id. at 32,019-23,
    32,027-29.
    9
    The best achievable results varied widely by boiler
    subcategory: For example, had EPA set MACT Floors
    according to those results, new “[s]tokers designed to burn
    pulverized coal/solid fossil fuel” would have been required to
    emit no more than 6 parts per million (ppm) CO, while new
    “[h]ybrid suspension/grate units designed to burn biomass/bio-
    based solids” would have been permitted to emit up to 1,500
    ppm. 
    76 Fed. Reg. 15,687
    . But when reconsidering the 2011
    rule, EPA decided in the 2013 rule to scrap the lowermost of
    its CO floors—those for which the calculated CO limit came in
    below 130 ppm. See 78 Fed. Reg. at 7144-45. While EPA’s
    data confirmed a close correlation between reduced CO
    emissions and reduced emissions of formaldehyde (a prevalent
    organic HAP) down to roughly that level, the same data
    puzzlingly appeared to show, not further reduction, but a spike
    in formaldehyde emissions at even lower CO levels. Id. at
    7145. In EPA’s view, the data were therefore “not . . .
    sufficiently reliable to use as a basis for establishing an
    emissions limit” lower than 130 ppm. Id. EPA declined to
    require any boiler to drive CO emissions lower, revising
    MACT Floor standards for several boiler subcategories upward
    to a new 130 ppm “threshold.” Id. On further reconsideration
    in 2015, EPA stood by that upward-revised limit. 80 Fed. Reg.
    at 3096.
    The second challenge targets EPA’s “work practice”
    standards that govern boilers during startup and shutdown.
    Because conditions inside a boiler are in flux while heating up
    and cooling down, EPA determined that it would not be
    “feasible” to apply numeric emissions-testing methodologies,
    which are generally calibrated to steady-state operations. See
    76 Fed. Reg. at 15,642; 2015 Response to Reconsideration
    Comments at II-3 (Oct. 2015) (Response to Comments), Joint
    App’x (J.A.) 351. But it also proved hard to identify what work
    practices EPA might feasibly require of boilers during startup
    10
    and shutdown, and at what point in the process boilers could be
    treated as fully on line and thus meaningfully subject to
    numeric emissions limits. After the 2013 final rule, EPA
    reconsidered the startup and shutdown provisions a second
    time and made several significant refinements. See 80 Fed.
    Reg. at 3093-96. Those provisions, too, were finalized in 2015.
    See 
    80 Fed. Reg. 72,790
    . Now that Sierra Club has timely
    petitioned for review of that final rule, both aspects are ready
    for our consideration.
    II.
    We first consider whether EPA acted arbitrarily and
    capriciously or violated the Act by revising certain CO limits
    upward to 130 ppm. This challenge turns on whether EPA
    supported the conclusion that no further reduction in organic
    HAP emissions occurs once CO emissions fall below 130 ppm.
    Because EPA did not, we hold that it acted arbitrarily and
    capriciously. To explain our conclusion, we first describe in
    more detail the process by which EPA formulated the
    challenged limits and review our treatment of closely related
    issues in U.S. Sugar. We then turn to explaining how EPA
    failed to adequately justify its decision to revise these limits.
    A.
    We have long recognized that regulation by surrogate is a
    tool available to EPA, so long as it establishes that controlling
    emissions of the surrogate is a “reasonable” way to achieve the
    Act’s objective of limiting emissions of corresponding HAPs.
    See Sierra Club, 863 F.3d at 838; U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 628.
    The determination is context-specific, but demanding; we ask
    whether reducing surrogate emissions would “invariably” and
    “indiscriminately” reduce the corresponding HAP. See Sierra
    Club, 863 F.3d at 838. For example, we have twice affirmed
    rules that limited hazardous metallic air pollutants by
    11
    controlling overall emissions of particulate matter (PM), of
    which the targeted HAP metals were a small but ever-present
    component. See Sierra Club v. EPA, 
    353 F.3d 976
    , 984-85
    (D.C. Cir. 2004); Nat’l Lime Ass’n v. EPA, 
    233 F.3d 625
    , 639
    (D.C. Cir. 2000). In those cases, we relied on EPA’s reasoned
    conclusions that “each unit of PM emissions avoided ‘carries’
    within it some quantum of HAP metals,” Nat’l Lime Ass’n, 
    233 F.3d at 639
    , so that PM controls “inevitably removed HAPs,”
    Sierra Club, 
    353 F.3d at 984
    . In other words, even if the
    precise concentration of the pollutant was unknown and might
    have fluctuated somewhat, “strong direct correlations” linked
    the targeted substance with the proxy used to measure it. 
    Id. at 985
     (alterations omitted) (quoting National Emission
    Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants for Source Categories,
    
    65 Fed. Reg. 39,326
    , 39,329 (June 26, 2000)). Those direct
    correlations—which, in both cases, EPA explained as
    grounded in a straightforward, natural relationship between the
    surrogate and the HAP—provided the crucial assurance that a
    reviewing court requires: A standard based on the performance
    of the sources that best control emissions of the surrogate will
    “reflect what the best source or . . . sources . . . in the relevant
    subcategory achieved with regard to the HAP.” U.S. Sugar,
    830 F.3d at 628 (emphasis added).
    Against that backdrop, EPA in the 2011 rulemaking
    determined that CO was a suitable surrogate for organic HAPs.
    Noting that CO emissions would be easier to monitor and
    control than a host of hard-to-measure individual organic
    HAPs, EPA reasoned that CO limits were an appropriate
    substitute for the target HAPs because “organic HAP are
    products of incomplete combustion” and “CO is a good
    indicator of incomplete combustion.” 75 Fed. Reg. at 32,018.
    Accordingly, “minimizing CO emissions will result in
    minimizing non-dioxin organic HAP.” Id.
    12
    A natural chemical relationship among the relevant
    molecules undergirded EPA’s approach. The record teaches
    that the basics of that relationship are, roughly, as follows:
    Combustion occurs when a boiler’s fuel—including carbon-
    containing molecules (hydrocarbons)—is exposed to heat and
    oxygen, triggering oxidation. See 78 Fed. Reg. at 7145; 75 Fed.
    Reg. at 32,025. The resulting chemical transformations break
    down the bulkiest hydrocarbons into smaller ones, then into
    CO. See 78 Fed. Reg. at 7145. Further oxidation yields carbon
    dioxide (CO2) in place of CO—the last step in the combustion
    process. Id. (Water (H2O) is another byproduct of the
    combustion process, id., but its presence is not relevant to
    EPA’s analysis.) Because CO results from incomplete
    oxidation, more complete combustion leaves less CO (and
    more CO2) in the resulting emissions stream. By the same
    token, the more complete the combustion, the lower the
    emission of organic HAPs—carbon-based molecules that have
    not been fully oxidized. See 78 Fed. Reg. at 7145; 75 Fed. Reg.
    at 32,025. Hence the scientific conclusion giving rise to EPA’s
    surrogacy determination: Both CO (not yet replaced by CO2)
    and organic HAPs (not yet fully broken down) appear in an
    emissions stream when combustion is not “complete,” while
    driving combustion nearer to “completeness” reduces
    emissions of both. See 76 Fed. Reg. at 15,654.
    Unpersuaded that this correlation was as robust as EPA
    claimed, Sierra Club protested EPA’s decision to use CO as a
    surrogate for organic HAPs. See U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 630.
    Industry, meanwhile, expressed concern about the most
    stringent CO limits and suggested loosening them. In the 2013
    reconsideration, EPA rejected Sierra Club’s arguments and
    accepted industry’s, raising the lowest CO limits to the new
    130 ppm common threshold. See id. at 628; 78 Fed. Reg. at
    7144-45.     At that point, while EPA held for further
    reconsideration that new threshold on the CO limits,
    13
    environmental petitioners brought to this court their general
    challenge to use of CO as a surrogate in the first place, and we
    denied that general challenge in U.S. Sugar.
    Sierra Club’s position in U.S. Sugar involved two
    contentions. First, Sierra Club argued that EPA failed to
    establish a sufficiently tight correlation between reduced CO
    and reduced organic HAP emissions, “because record evidence
    demonstrated a breakdown in th[at] correlation” when CO
    levels dropped below 130 ppm. U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 630.
    Second, it argued that EPA failed to consider whether organic
    HAP emissions could be even further limited if sources used
    certain post-combustion controls—such as technologies that
    extract pollutants from exhaust—instead of or in addition to
    CO limits. Id. at 629. In other words, it argued that EPA failed
    to establish that reliance on CO-based emission limits is both a
    valid and, when exclusive, sufficient way to achieve the
    requisite maximum control of organic HAPs.
    In U.S. Sugar, we rejected the first line of argument but
    agreed with the second. On the first, we deferred to EPA’s
    “scientific judgment” that any “apparent breakdown” in the
    otherwise-strong correlation between CO and organic HAPs
    was “most likely caused by the difficulty of measuring the
    regulated HAP at such extremely low emission levels, rather
    than by a flaw in the correlation.” Id. at 630. On the second,
    we identified a gap in the record and remanded for EPA to
    consider “whether the best performing boilers might be using
    alternative control technologies and methods that reduce
    organic HAP emissions beyond what they achieve by
    regulating CO alone,” id. at 629—though we anticipated that
    EPA would likely be able to justify its purely CO-based
    approach once it provided the missing information, id. at 630.
    14
    Sierra Club continues to protest both EPA’s decision to use
    CO as a surrogate and the adequacy of the Agency’s
    consideration of post-combustion controls. We addressed
    those broad contentions in U.S. Sugar. In that case, we
    remanded to EPA for further consideration of the rule’s
    reliance on CO as a surrogate as a general matter, to the
    exclusion of alternative control methods. Id. The results of
    that consideration are not before us, and we do not revisit those
    arguments here.
    But U.S. Sugar did not address EPA’s decision, in light of
    its general reliance on CO as a surrogate for a group of organic
    HAPs, to establish the 130 ppm lower bound. Our U.S. Sugar
    remand left all of EPA’s CO-based limits intact pending their
    further consideration, and did not address the levels at which
    any particular limits were set, only the decision to measure the
    limits on organic HAP emissions in terms of CO levels. See id.
    at 630. We therefore have yet to consider Sierra Club’s more
    specific challenges to the 130 ppm limits, and we do so here.
    Treating CO as generally a suitable surrogate for organic
    HAPs, per U.S. Sugar, it remains for us to determine whether
    EPA’s decision in 2013 (reaffirmed in 2015) to loosen the 2011
    rule’s most stringent CO floors was reasonable and consistent
    with the Act.
    B.
    Sierra Club argues that EPA violated the Act and made an
    arbitrary and capricious decision because the 130 ppm CO
    threshold in the 2013 final rule weakened standards the agency
    had earlier promulgated as MACT Floors for thirteen
    subcategories. EPA responds that its revised CO standards are
    just as effective as the original ones, assuring us that organic
    HAP destruction is “complete,” or at least “essentially”
    complete, once CO emissions fall to 130 ppm. Resp’t’s Br. 18-
    15
    19. We take EPA to mean that organic HAP emissions are
    effectively nonexistent—or, in any event, cannot be further
    reduced—whenever a boiler’s CO emissions are below 130
    ppm. If articulated and adequately supported in the record,
    such a position could well satisfy the Act. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(2) (EPA “shall require the maximum degree of
    reduction in emissions of the [HAPs] subject to this section
    (including a prohibition on such emissions, where
    achievable)”). That conclusion would follow from the Act’s
    focus on controlling specifically enumerated HAPs: So long
    as a surrogate is not itself a regulated HAP—as CO is not—its
    emissions need not be controlled beyond the point where EPA
    can be confident that the targeted HAP emissions are reduced
    as far as possible or, indeed, “eliminat[ed] . . . entirely.” U.S.
    Sugar, 830 F.3d at 629.
    But the record does not support any such conclusion here.
    When settling on the revised 130 ppm floors in 2013, EPA
    explained that it had set out to determine “whether there is a
    minimum CO level for boilers and process heaters below which
    there is no further benefit in organic HAP
    reduction/destruction.” 78 Fed. Reg. at 7144-45. To make that
    assessment, the agency looked to data showing the relationship
    between varying levels of CO emissions and corresponding
    emissions of formaldehyde—the only organic HAP for which
    it had such data. Id. at 7144. On their face, however, those
    data did not show complete destruction of formaldehyde (or a
    leveling-off of emissions) as CO dropped below 130 ppm. Id.
    Nor did the data show continuation at those low levels of the
    correlation on which EPA’s use of CO as a surrogate was
    based. Instead, “[a]t levels lower than 150 ppm, the mean
    levels of formaldehyde appear[ed] to increase, as d[id] the
    overall maximum value and variability in formaldehyde
    emissions.” Id.
    16
    EPA was “aware of no reason why” the otherwise strong
    correlation between lower CO emissions and lower
    formaldehyde emissions would suddenly invert. Id. The
    Agency accordingly determined the data were untrustworthy
    and that they did not reflect an actual increase in formaldehyde
    emissions. EPA explained: “[W]e do not believe that such
    measurements are sufficiently reliable to use as a basis for
    establishing an emissions limit.” Id. We deferred to EPA’s
    scientific judgment on this exact point in U.S. Sugar, rejecting
    Sierra Club’s argument that the imperfect formaldehyde data
    disproved the general validity of CO as a surrogate and noting
    EPA’s assurances that the “apparent breakdown” of the
    relationship between formaldehyde and CO below 130 ppm
    “was most likely caused by the difficulty of measuring the
    regulated HAP at such extremely low emission levels.” U.S.
    Sugar, 830 F.3d at 630.
    In separately attempting to justify its conclusion that CO
    limits would not yield further reduction in organic HAPs if set
    below the level where the formaldehyde data became
    unreliable, however, EPA relied on the same data it had
    elsewhere decisively characterized as untrustworthy. EPA
    asserted in support of its decision to reject any limit more
    stringent than 130 ppm that, “[a]t CO levels less than [130
    ppm], our data indicate that there is no apparent relationship
    between CO and organic HAP (i.e., formaldehyde).” 78 Fed.
    Reg. at 7145 (emphasis added). In other words, EPA’s only
    support for its upward-revised floors was the very data it had
    just dismissed as inaccurate, now cited as reliable evidence that
    reducing CO below 130 ppm does not in fact reduce organic
    HAP emissions.
    That mismatch—treating data EPA had viewed as not
    reliable at low emission levels as if it were affirmative support
    for a breakdown of the correlation at those levels—makes
    17
    EPA’s decision arbitrary and capricious. EPA concluded that
    the otherwise well-documented general correlation between
    CO and organic HAPs does not persist below 130 ppm without
    providing a reasoned basis for its conclusion. Importantly,
    EPA was regulating against the backdrop of its own prior,
    general determination that CO was a surrogate for organic
    HAPs; it had concluded “that minimizing CO emissions will
    result in minimizing . . . organic HAP.” 
    75 Fed. Reg. 32,018
    .
    “EPA proposed using CO as a surrogate because . . . the lowest
    possible CO emissions resulted in the lowest possible HAP
    emissions . . . .” U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 629.
    In U.S. Sugar, we relied on EPA’s conclusion that there
    was tight correlation between reduced CO and reduced organic
    HAP emissions to affirm EPA’s rule in part. See id. at 630.
    We treated that conclusion as supported by both the
    formaldehyde emissions data and the scientific principle
    underlying them: For reasons EPA explained, we accepted that
    incomplete combustion yields levels of CO and organic HAP
    emissions that correlate very closely to one another. See id. at
    628, 630. EPA’s refusal to extend that same logic to CO levels
    below 130 ppm requires a reasoned justification. The Agency
    failed to provide one.
    EPA came closest to a reasoned determination that the
    surrogacy relationship broke down below 130 ppm in its
    assertion that CO is a “conservative” surrogate for organic
    HAPs because it is “a difficult to destroy refractory
    compound.” 78 Fed. Reg. at 7145. Although EPA did not
    define the term, one way to understand EPA’s characterization
    of CO as a “conservative surrogate” is that organic HAPs might
    all burn up in the combustion process at a level of completeness
    where some CO emissions remained, because “oxidation of CO
    to carbon dioxide is the slowest and last step of oxidation of
    hydrocarbons.” Id. If that is true, there could theoretically be
    18
    some nonzero level of CO emissions below which no further
    reduction in organic HAP emission occurs, because the HAPs
    would be all gone (or perhaps still present in low amounts, yet
    impervious to combustion) before CO emissions ceased.
    When justifying its rule, however, EPA did not say that
    organic HAP emissions are eliminated completely (or not
    susceptible of any further reduction) below 130 ppm, nor has it
    explained how any such theory follows from the only available
    record evidence—the formaldehyde data on which EPA
    otherwise exclusively relied. We cannot sustain an agency’s
    decision on grounds it did not invoke. See SEC v. Chenery,
    
    332 U.S. 194
    , 196 (1947).
    Three points highlight the lack of basis to sustain the rule
    on a novel, “conservative surrogacy” ground. First, during the
    rulemaking process, EPA never took the position that organic
    HAP emissions fall to zero, nor gave any reason why they
    could not be further reduced, once CO emissions reach 130
    ppm. It said only that, where CO is emitted at or below 130
    ppm, organic HAP emissions are “extremely low.” 78 Fed.
    Reg. at 7145; see also U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 630. But
    describing HAP levels as “low,” even “extremely low,” or
    saying that their combustion is “essentially” complete, implies
    that HAPs have not been entirely eliminated. So EPA’s
    observation that HAP emissions are “extremely low” when CO
    is at 130 ppm is not a reasoned basis for concluding that organic
    HAP emissions cannot be reduced still further. There is no
    “close enough” exception to the requirement that EPA’s
    MACT floors limit emissions to the full extent shown to be
    achievable by the best-performing sources; to the contrary, the
    Act’s MACT provisions instruct EPA to “maximize” the
    reduction in emissions, up to and including “a prohibition on
    such emissions, where achievable.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(2).
    19
    Second, the formaldehyde data on which EPA generally
    relied are the only data EPA offered for its decision not to
    require that CO emissions be reduced below 130 ppm, and EPA
    staked its “conservative surrogate” theory on those data. See
    78 Fed. Reg. at 7145. But, in virtually the same breath, EPA
    said those data were not a reliable indicator of what happens to
    organic HAP emissions at the low levels in question. Again,
    that contradiction leaves us unable to discern any reasoned
    basis for determining that organic HAPs disappear from the
    emission stream before CO does, or to otherwise conclude that
    organic HAP emissions cannot be further reduced.
    Third, even if EPA had grounds to conclude that there is
    some nonzero level of CO emissions that marks a point below
    which organic HAP emissions cannot be further reduced, it
    offered no basis for identifying 130 ppm as that level. As just
    noted, EPA cites only the unreliable formaldehyde data—
    which, on average, show HAP emissions increasing below 150
    ppm of CO, not leveling off or zeroing out. See id. Accepting
    that boomerang as a data flaw, and not as an accurate
    representation of a shift in the physical correlation between CO
    and HAP combustion, it is not evident how those unreliable
    data could support a conclusion that emissions in fact plateau
    at their lowest achievable level, rather than either increasing or
    continuing to decrease, at an inflection point of 130 ppm. EPA
    has not explained how the data could suffice.
    Industry intervenors’ brief (but not EPA’s) seeks to bolster
    the evidence in the record by reference to two prior rules in
    which EPA set CO limits at a level equivalent to what EPA
    defends here. The conclusions reached in those other
    rulemakings are irrelevant under our precedent, which takes
    “every tub on its own bottom” when setting emissions
    standards under the Act; EPA must justify its conclusions in
    each proceeding. U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 623 (quoting Sierra
    20
    Club, 
    353 F.3d at 986
    ). It is not enough to have reached the
    same (unreviewed) conclusion elsewhere.
    EPA did not in the rulemaking here rely on either of the
    prior rules to which intervenors cite, nor on the records
    supporting them. That makes sense because in neither prior
    rulemaking did EPA reach, much less justify, the specific
    conclusion that EPA has failed to support here: that a 130 ppm
    CO level suffices to eliminate organic HAP emissions, or that
    further reductions are not possible beyond that point. The first
    rule, promulgated in 1991 under the Resource Conservation
    and Recovery Act (RCRA), 
    42 U.S.C. § 6901
     et seq., limited
    organic matter emissions only to a level that would not “pose a
    significant risk,” as that statute required; it did not conclude
    that 130 ppm was the maximum achievable reduction. Burning
    of Hazardous Waste in Boilers and Industrial Furnaces, 
    56 Fed. Reg. 7134
    , 7151 (Feb. 21, 1991). And, in finalizing the
    second cited rule, a 2005 restriction on hazardous waste
    combustors, EPA concluded only that CO levels below 130
    ppm “may not provide significant reductions in organic HAP
    emissions” because such emissions are “extremely low” when
    CO levels are “in the range of zero to 100 ppm[]” (corrected to
    seven percent oxygen, which is equivalent to 130 ppm when
    corrected to three percent oxygen). See National Emission
    Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants: Final Standards for
    Hazardous Air Pollutants for Hazardous Waste Combustors
    (Phase I Final Replacement Standards and Phase II), 
    70 Fed. Reg. 59,402
    , 59,462 (Oct. 12, 2005). In neither case did EPA
    conclude that no below-130 ppm CO emissions limit would
    improve the control of HAPs.
    EPA alternatively suggests that this court in U.S. Sugar
    already decided this issue in its favor, but we did not. We
    rejected the environmental petitioners’ argument in that case
    that “record evidence demonstrated a breakdown in the
    21
    correlation between CO and organic HAP emissions below 130
    ppm” such that EPA acted arbitrarily in relying on CO as a
    surrogate. U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 630. In accepting the
    relationship between CO and HAP combustion as a general
    matter, we deferred to EPA’s conclusion that there was only an
    “apparent” breakdown in that relationship—a breakdown
    “most likely caused by the difficulty of measuring the regulated
    HAP” at those levels, rather than by variability in the
    underlying relationship. Id. We did not endorse the conclusion
    that EPA now advances—that the data affirmatively prove an
    absence of further reductions.
    Given these deficiencies in EPA’s reasoning, we cannot
    discern the “reasonable connection to the facts in the record”
    necessary to defer to EPA’s decision to revise these CO floors.
    U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 829; see also Motor Vehicle Mfrs.
    Ass’n of the U.S. v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983). EPA may have a hunch that setting CO limits
    below a certain level would be ineffectual to control HAP
    emissions. But the record we have before us does not
    substantiate any such conclusion, much less provide a basis for
    pinpointing that level at 130 ppm.
    It would be particularly inappropriate to give EPA a pass
    on backing up its apparent hunch here, where EPA was
    operating against the backdrop of its own prior reasoned
    judgment that “minimizing CO emissions will result in
    minimizing non-dioxin organic HAP,” 
    75 Fed. Reg. 32,018
    ,
    and where its conclusion appears to be counter to the only
    empirical evidence EPA had before it. See State Farm, 
    463 U.S. at 43
    . If EPA concludes that the relationship it previously
    identified between CO and organic HAP is actually valid only
    to a point—a conclusion the likes of which our prior regulation-
    by-surrogate cases have not endorsed—it must explain how the
    limiting point it specifies reflects the emission control actually
    22
    achieved by the best performing sources and, further, that it is
    the lowest emission level achievable with existing technology.
    We therefore remand to EPA to reconsider its decision to
    adopt the 130 ppm CO limits. We do not vacate those limits,
    because Sierra Club has asked us not to do so and because
    “vacatur would cause substantial disruptive effects by
    removing emissions limits for the regulated HAPs.” U.S.
    Sugar, 830 F.3d at 630. EPA may, if it finds it feasible to do
    so, undertake this reconsideration in conjunction with the
    broader task we gave EPA when remanding in U.S. Sugar: To
    further consider “the portion of the Major Boilers Rule
    providing for CO’s use as a surrogate for non-dioxin/furan
    organic HAPs.” Id.
    Because we remand, we need not pass on Sierra Club’s
    additional contention that EPA failed to consider beyond-the-
    floor standards under 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(2). In revisiting the
    CO-based standards (in light of both this decision and U.S.
    Sugar), however, EPA must consider both (1) whether the
    standards it adopts are Section 7412(d)(3)-compliant MACT
    Floors and (2) whether Section 7412(d)(2) beyond-the-floor
    standards are called for here. See Nat’l Lime Ass’n, 
    233 F.3d at 634-35
    .
    III.
    Sierra Club also challenges EPA’s startup and shutdown
    work practice standards as arbitrary and capricious and
    contrary to the Act. It challenges the duration of the startup
    period EPA allows, as well as the content of both the startup
    and shutdown work practices EPA prescribed. Sierra Club
    contends that EPA’s approach to the duration of startup
    arbitrarily and unlawfully gives all sources four extra hours
    before they must begin complying with numeric standards,
    even though some sources admittedly can achieve stable
    23
    operations in less time. Sierra Club also claims that the work
    practices EPA requires during startup are arbitrary and
    unlawful because they do too little to reduce emissions—most
    notably by allowing boiler operators latitude to activate many
    pollution controls only when “possible.” See 80 Fed. Reg. at
    72,824. Finally, Sierra Club contends that the shutdown work
    practice provisions are too lenient and are internally
    inconsistent.
    We first summarize the content of the challenged
    standards and how EPA developed them. We then analyze
    Sierra Club’s claims against the standards as finalized.
    A.
    The startup and shutdown work practice standards EPA
    finalized in 2015 were the product of considerable trial and
    error. In its 2011 final rule, EPA concluded that a work
    practice standard was called for during startup and shutdown
    because it was “not technically feasible” for the regulated
    boiler operators to conduct the emissions testing necessary to
    enforce numeric limits. 76 Fed. Reg. at 15,613. Sierra Club
    does not contest that finding, at least not as a general matter.
    The content of the original 2011 rule was, however, notably
    meager: It required boiler operators only to “follow[] the
    [boiler] manufacturer’s recommended procedures for
    minimizing periods of startup and shutdown.” Id.
    The 2013 iteration of the rule began to make its
    requirements more specific. It gave startup a defined end point:
    “when steam or heat is supplied for any purpose.” 78 Fed. Reg.
    at 7146. It required boiler operators to use certain enumerated
    clean fuels to initiate startup, and to “engage all of the
    applicable [pollution] control devices” upon transitioning to
    the boiler’s primary fuel, except that four specified devices
    needed only to be engaged “as expeditiously as possible.” 78
    24
    Fed. Reg. at 7199. Shutdown practice was essentially the
    inverse: EPA defined shutdown to begin when the boiler
    stopped generating useful steam or heat, or “at the point of no
    fuel being fired . . . , whichever is earlier.” Id. at 7147. As
    long as primary fuel kept firing during shutdown, boiler
    operators, again, had to “operate all applicable control devices,
    except” the specified four. Id. at 7199. And, during both
    periods, boiler operators had to collect and report monitoring
    data. Id.
    EPA concluded that additional public comment could help
    it further refine the startup and shutdown provisions, so it
    initiated the reconsideration process that gave rise to the 2015
    rule. 80 Fed. Reg. at 3092. The agency proceeded cautiously
    through what it treated as a delicate balancing act. On the one
    hand, EPA had determined numeric standards were infeasible
    because boiler conditions were too variable while heating up
    and cooling down, and the agency had scant data about those
    volatile periods. 76 Fed. Reg. at 15,641-42. EPA had also
    recognized serious risks of explosions and equipment damage
    that might result if it required operators to engage pollution
    controls too early, while boiler conditions remained in flux. 80
    Fed. Reg. at 3094; see also Response to Comments at II-6, J.A.
    354. EPA accordingly was attentive to industry concerns that
    it not set the end of startup too early or impose otherwise
    unrealistically demanding standards.
    At the same time, EPA’s work practice standards had to be
    “consistent with” the Act’s MACT stringency provisions. See
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (h)(1); U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at 663. EPA also
    had some evidence that emissions might be elevated during
    startup, Response to Comments at II-11, J.A. 359; id. at II-28,
    J.A. 364, and was aware that, the sooner startup ended, the
    sooner boiler emissions would be subject to numeric limits.
    EPA thus aimed to transition boilers to numeric limits as soon
    25
    as the best-performing units could achieve stability. See 80
    Fed. Reg. at 3094.
    The 2015 rule, as proposed and finalized, balanced those
    considerations in two ways. First, faced with evidence that
    many boilers could not achieve stable operations as soon as
    they began supplying useful steam or heat, EPA set its primary
    definition of the startup period to end four hours after a boiler
    first supplies “useful thermal energy”—i.e., provides the steam
    or heat that is its raison d’être. 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,824.
    Although EPA had scant data about the boilers to be regulated,
    it had a better dataset on technologically similar boilers whose
    primary function is electricity generation. Those boilers are
    subject to a different regulatory regime under which EPA
    collects hourly operations data. Response to Comments at II-
    5-6, J.A. 353-54. Using those data, EPA calculated that the
    best-performing twelve percent of those electricity-generating
    boilers achieved stable operations four hours after they began
    supplying useful thermal energy. 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,795; 80
    Fed. Reg. at 3094.
    Second, EPA further adjusted its work practices, making
    all pollution control devices subject to the “as expeditiously as
    possible” standard, with the exception of particulate matter
    controls that EPA required operators to engage within one hour
    of first using fuels other than the clean fuels specifically
    mandated for use during startup (as opposed to the dirtier fuels
    consumed during ordinary operation). 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,824.
    Operators who can show that they are unable safely to meet the
    one-hour timeframe and have a control device adequately
    designed and sized to meet the filterable PM emission limit
    may seek a case-specific time extension from the relevant
    permitting authority. Id. EPA also added a requirement that
    every source operator “develop and implement a written startup
    and shutdown plan,” id., while retaining the requirement that it
    26
    monitor, record, and report data concerning fuel usage, boiler
    conditions, and control device operations, 80 Fed. Reg. at
    72,816, 72,824.
    At the same time, the 2015 rule also retained the shorter
    2013 definition of startup as an alternative, letting boiler
    operators opt into it if they can meet it. 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,824.
    EPA was aware that at least some industrial boilers could
    achieve stability more quickly than the average of the best-
    performing electricity generators. See Response to Comments
    at II-4-5, J.A. 352-53. Because it did not know precisely which
    boilers could do so, however, it retained the faster startup
    definition as an option, offering those earliest-to-stabilize
    boilers an incentive to opt for the faster definition by pairing
    that standard with leaner recordkeeping and reporting
    obligations than EPA requires of operators starting up more
    slowly. See 
    80 Fed. Reg. 72,816
    -17; 80 Fed. Reg. at 3094.
    That approach was crafted with one eye to the future periodic
    reviews the Act requires. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(6). Once
    boiler operators either provide improved data to EPA or opt for
    the shorter startup period and succeed in complying with it,
    EPA assures us that it will consider further refining and
    tightening these standards. Resp’t’s Br. 40.
    The changes coming out of EPA’s reconsideration focused
    on the startup provisions; the 2015 shutdown provisions were,
    for our purposes, essentially unchanged from 2013. See 80
    Fed. Reg. at 72,824.
    B.
    Sierra Club contends, first, that EPA acted arbitrarily and
    unlawfully by allowing boiler operators to define startup to
    extend four hours beyond when a boiler begins supplying
    useful energy. Specifically, Sierra Club contends that EPA
    should not have subjected any boilers to a work practice
    27
    standard during that four-hour window without first making a
    finding under 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (h)(2) that it is “not practicable”
    to impose numeric limits on the relevant “particular class of
    sources” during that four-hour window. Sierra Club asserts
    that EPA has not done so here because, by retaining the shorter
    startup period as a compliance option, the agency implicitly
    conceded that some sources can comply sooner.
    But EPA did determine that, for the class of industrial
    boilers as a whole, four hours after beginning to supply useful
    energy was a reasonable estimate of how long the best
    performers’ operations would remain unstable. 80 Fed. Reg. at
    3094. EPA had “very limited information” about the industrial
    boilers under consideration. Id. And EPA’s efforts to obtain
    more information through notice and comment in the double-
    reconsideration process yielded only industry-provided survey
    data that were of limited utility. Id. EPA accordingly estimated
    time-to-stability for all of the boilers in this category based on
    the closest analogue at hand: the best performing electricity-
    generating boilers. Id. EPA’s authority to resort to a work
    practice standard does not depend on its determining that
    numerically gauging emissions would be impractical
    throughout the entire startup period for every single source to
    which a work practice applies; the Act requires only that EPA
    determine that it is impractical to measure emissions for the
    “particular class of sources” at issue.                
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (h)(2)(B).
    Though EPA was painting in broad strokes, its approach
    was reasonable. EPA knew boilers had heterogeneous startup
    processes, and it reasonably concluded that startup
    performance (and associated variability) was not correlated
    with any easily isolated boiler characteristics. This left EPA
    with no basis on which to apply different definitions of startup
    28
    to different boilers by subcategorizing them into different
    “classes” or “types.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (d)(1).
    EPA was, as it acknowledged, working from “very limited
    information specifically for industrial boilers.” 80 Fed. Reg. at
    3094. But here we “defer to [EPA]’s decision to proceed on
    the basis of imperfect scientific information, rather ‘to invest
    the resources to conduct the perfect study.’” Sierra Club v.
    EPA, 
    167 F.3d 658
    , 662 (D.C. Cir. 1999) (quoting Am. Iron &
    Steel Inst. v. EPA, 
    115 F.3d 979
    , 1004 (D.C. Cir. 1997) (per
    curiam)); see also Cement Kiln Recycling Coal. v. EPA, 
    255 F.3d 855
    , 867 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (quoting Sierra Club, 
    167 F.3d at 662
    ). EPA applied its expertise to determine that electricity-
    generating units had sufficient technological similarity to
    industrial boilers for data on the former to also inform
    operations of the latter. 80 Fed. Reg. at 3094. Four hours after
    supplying useful thermal energy was the time the best-
    performing twelve percent of those analogous boilers took
    before engaging controls, so their data gave EPA a reasonable
    basis for concluding that its definition was consistent with
    MACT. See id. EPA’s data, though admittedly scant, pass
    muster in part because EPA’s reliance thereon is only a
    stopgap; as noted, the data-collection and recordkeeping
    requirements in EPA’s work practices standard are designed to
    generate more directly relevant data that promise to provide
    grounds to further revise the rule (or to confirm its
    appropriateness).
    Sierra Club disputes whether data showing when
    electricity-generating units engage controls may reasonably be
    thought to reflect the earliest time at which they are capable of
    doing so. A premise of Sierra Club’s argument is that
    electricity-generating boiler operators might not engage
    controls at the first opportunity “absent a regulatory
    requirement.” Pet’rs’ Br. 50. But electricity-generating boilers
    29
    face such requirements; EPA has so much data on them
    precisely because they are subject to—among various federal
    and state regulatory regimes—the Clean Air Act’s Acid Rain
    program, 80 Fed. Reg. at 3094, which follows a market-based
    cap-and-trade approach that attaches costs to each unit of
    uncontrolled emissions, see North Carolina v. EPA, 
    531 F.3d 896
    , 902 (D.C. Cir. 2008). EPA could reasonably assume that
    operators of the best-performing electricity-generating boilers
    engage controls at their earliest opportunity.
    Sierra Club also contends that EPA, in retaining the 2013
    rule’s shorter startup definition as an alternative compliance
    option, impermissibly delegated its impracticability
    determination to the regulated boiler operators. Sierra Club’s
    premise is that only the shorter definition may lawfully apply,
    unless EPA makes boiler-specific impracticability
    determinations justifying longer startup. As just discussed,
    however, the longer startup period represented EPA’s reasoned
    estimate of what the best-performing twelve percent of
    industrial boilers could achieve. It is thus reasonable and
    consistent with the statute. Sierra Club does not contend that
    the longer definition would have been unlawful if EPA had
    imposed it alone, without the shorter alternative. Sierra Club’s
    claim thus reduces to little more than an objection to allowing
    boiler operators to choose between two options.
    EPA’s approach was reasonable here. EPA concluded by
    the time it issued the 2015 rule that the more stringent standard
    it had imposed (without a longer allowance for startup) in the
    2013 version of the rule was beyond what all the boilers in the
    top twelve percent benchmark group could accomplish, but that
    it might nonetheless be achievable for some. Because EPA did
    not know precisely which boilers could meet the more stringent
    timeframe, it encouraged those that could do so to identify
    themselves and opt into complying with numeric emissions
    30
    limits sooner than they would otherwise have to. That creative
    approach reasonably offered eased recordkeeping and
    reporting as an incentive for a subset of industrial boilers to
    reduce emissions further than EPA could otherwise require,
    even as EPA recognized the need to collect additional data
    from the rest of the field.
    C.
    Sierra Club also challenges the remaining content of
    EPA’s work practice standards as not sufficiently demanding.
    We conclude that, despite imperfect data about industrial boiler
    startup and shutdown, EPA reasonably accommodated what it
    identified as legitimate safety concerns in deciding what work
    practices were achievable. Evidence in the administrative
    record shows that, while starting up and shutting down,
    industrial boilers are prone to “overheating,” “[l]eaks,” and
    “thermal stresses” if not carefully managed. Response to
    Comments at II-5-6, J.A. 353-54. It also reveals that “startup
    and low load operations” place boilers at heightened risk of
    “furnace explosions.” 
    Id.
     at II-6, J.A. 354. Engaging certain
    control technologies too early, EPA learned, could be not just
    dangerous but counterproductive: Running a given device
    below a certain temperature or pressure “could permanently
    destroy . . . its performance potential.” 
    Id.
     At the same time,
    EPA was told that startup procedure “varies widely” across
    boilers. 80 Fed. Reg. at 3094. EPA therefore reasonably
    fashioned relatively contextual work practice standards.
    Sierra Club first contends that EPA’s requirement that
    boilers engage most pollution control devices “as expeditiously
    as possible” is tantamount to the empty “general duty” standard
    we invalidated in Sierra Club v. EPA, 
    551 F.3d 1019
    , 1026-28
    (D.C. Cir. 2008). But the rule we rejected in that case was quite
    different: It eschewed defining obligations altogether, relying
    31
    instead on the regulated community’s background “general
    duty” to limit emissions in a manner “consistent with good air
    pollution control practice for minimizing emissions.” 
    Id. at 1022
     (quoting 
    40 C.F.R. § 60.11
    (d)). We rejected that
    approach because it neither set a numeric emissions limit nor
    followed Section 112(h)’s requirements for setting work
    practice standards during startup and shutdown. 
    Id.
     at 1027-
    28. Sierra Club thus held that, whenever HAP sources are in
    operation, including during startup and shutdown, EPA must
    continuously subject them to either numeric limits or
    Section 112(h)-compliant work practice standards.
    Here, because EPA chose to regulate startup and shutdown
    via work practice standards, the question before us is whether
    those standards comport with Section 112(h). We conclude
    that they do. Sierra Club’s contention that the work practice
    standards here challenged are akin to the contentless “pollute
    as little as you can” edict we rejected in Sierra Club in 2008
    overlooks that the requirement at issue here has substantive
    content that was missing from that rule. The general duty
    requirement we deemed inadequate in Sierra Club was limited
    to the admonition that “owners and operators shall, to the
    extent practicable, maintain and operate any affected
    facility . . . in a manner consistent with good air pollution
    control practice for minimizing emissions.” Id. at 1022
    (quoting 
    40 C.F.R. § 60.11
    (d)). Here, by contrast, the
    requirement to start certain pollution control devices “as
    expeditiously as possible” applies to specific devices and is just
    one aspect of a multifaceted work practice standard. 80 Fed.
    Reg. at 72,824. The standard also includes (most notably)
    requirements to initiate startup with clean fuels, and to start
    particulate matter controls at a specified time. Id. And EPA
    built an implicit emissions limitation into the startup definition
    itself, by pegging it to the production of useful energy. Boiler
    operators lack incentives to combust fuel for no useful purpose,
    32
    simply as a means to avoid engaging pollution controls, so
    presumably they do not tarry in heating their equipment to that
    point. By requiring numeric-standard compliance as soon
    thereafter as possible, the rule minimizes emissions by
    ensuring startup is not needlessly drawn out. Cf. U.S. Sugar,
    830 F.3d at 666-67 (approving a work practice standard that
    required boiler operators to minimize the duration of startup
    and shutdown). That reality reinforces EPA’s conclusion that
    its work practice standard has constraining effect that a
    general-duty standard lacks. EPA’s work practices are
    admittedly less than exacting, but they are materially more
    precise and demanding than the general duty standard we
    disapproved in Sierra Club in 2008.
    Petitioners further contend that the work practice standards
    impermissibly delegate to boiler operators decisions about
    what is achievable with respect to many pollution control
    devices, and, relatedly, that a standard that varies depending on
    what is practicable for each individual boiler is contrary to the
    technology-forcing design of § 7412(d). Despite the generality
    of “as expeditiously as possible,” we accept EPA’s reasoning
    as to why it is a meaningful constraint. The rule requires each
    boiler operator to create a written startup and shutdown plan
    and make it available for public inspection. 80 Fed. Reg. at
    72,795; 80 Fed. Reg. at 3095. And, more generally, these
    boilers are subject to enhanced permitting and recordkeeping
    requirements applicable to all major sources—requirements
    that enable EPA, state regulators, and interested third parties to
    check the boiler operators’ homework. Those obligations
    include periodic “compliance certifications” that describe how
    the boiler is meeting each applicable requirement—including
    the work practice standards. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7414
    (a)(3); 
    40 C.F.R. § 70.6
    (c)(5)(iii); Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc. v. EPA,
    
    194 F.3d 130
    , 132-34 (D.C. Cir. 1999). Boiler operators thus
    must at all times be able to explain why they cannot engage
    33
    controls sooner than they do, and EPA’s work practices
    specifically require sources to monitor and record data about
    conditions that guide their determinations, such as temperature
    and pressure inside the boiler. 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,816-17.
    Those obligations put in place meaningful avenues to double
    check boiler operators’ assertions about what is possible.
    Moreover, data EPA gathers while these rules are in effect
    should inform the case-by-case determinations as well as future
    refinements of these rules when they are periodically reviewed.
    In sum, having reasonably discerned that sound operation
    of this heterogeneous class of boilers requires allowing
    operators some discretion to determine the earliest time when
    certain control devices can safely come online, EPA
    permissibly concluded that its work practices were “consistent
    with” the Act’s MACT approach. See U.S. Sugar, 830 F.3d at
    663. The record corroborates EPA’s concerns about equipment
    safety if controls were subject to across-the-board engagement
    times, and its conclusion that boiler operating constraints
    during startup and shutdown vary widely. Section 7412(h)—
    the provision authorizing EPA to adopt a “design, equipment,
    work practice, or operational standard, or combination thereof”
    in lieu of an emissions standard—centrally relies on “the
    judgment of the Administrator” regarding when an emissions
    standard is not feasible, and “the Administrator’s judgment” as
    to whether the standard is appropriately stringent to meet the
    statute’s objectives. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7412
    (h)(1); see U.S. Sugar,
    830 F.3d at 663. That judgment of course must be guided by
    permissible factors. One such factor here was known
    technological limitations on the use of control devices during
    the volatile conditions that characterize startup. See U.S.
    Sugar, 830 F.3d at 664-65. Tellingly, Sierra Club struggles to
    identify what more EPA could realistically have required of
    boiler operators.
    34
    D.
    Finally, we address Sierra Club’s contentions that the
    shutdown provisions are too lax. Specifically, Sierra Club
    argues that EPA should not exempt enumerated control
    devices—dry scrubbers, fabric filters, selective catalytic
    reduction, and (for fluidized bed boilers) limestone injection—
    from operation during shutdown, and it asserts that EPA
    “claimed to have required boilers to use clean fuels during
    shutdown, when in fact it did not do so.” Pet’rs’ Br. 46. The
    first argument fails for reasons similar to those that led us to
    uphold the startup provisions. EPA requires boilers to “operate
    all applicable control devices, except” the enumerated four
    during shutdown, 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,824 (emphasis added),
    having reasonably concluded that the exempted control devices
    could not safely be operated under conditions encountered
    during shutdown. See, e.g., 78 Fed. Reg. at 7147.
    And the second argument is a semantic quibble that
    overlooks the reality of how shutdowns unfold. It is technically
    true that, under EPA’s work practice standard, boilers may
    sometimes use no clean fuels, and some fuels that are not clean,
    during shutdown. That is because shutdown requires gradually
    cooling a boiler, which involves phasing out the boiler’s
    primary fuel. Secondary fuels may be burned during this
    process to, for example, help stabilize cooling, but they are not
    always needed. Accordingly, the shutdown work practices
    require the use of clean fuels “[i]f, in addition to the fuel used
    prior to initiation of shutdown, another fuel must be used”
    during that process. 80 Fed. Reg. at 72,824. Whenever that
    happens, the regulations—as EPA accurately notes—require
    those fuels to be clean.
    Sierra Club is right that the rule contemplates that some
    amount of “the fuel used prior to initiation of shutdown”—i.e.,
    35
    the boiler’s primary, and thus relatively “dirty,” fuel—may
    sometimes be burned during shutdown, which might seem
    inconsistent with a requirement to use clean fuels. But, again,
    any permissible use of fuels during shutdown necessarily must
    unfold as a practical matter; it does not reflect any sleight of
    hand by EPA. Shutdown primarily consists of gradually
    phasing out the boiler’s primary fuel, and EPA’s shutdown
    work practices apply beginning either at the point in that
    process when useful energy is no longer supplied “or when no
    fuel is being fed to the boiler . . . , whichever is earlier.” Id. at
    72,818. So a boiler may sometimes burn its primary fuel while
    shutdown work practices are in effect, but only after the boiler
    has cooled beyond the point of supplying useful thermal
    energy—in other words, during a brief window when some
    dwindling amount of primary fuel is still being phased out.
    Apart from that narrow window when useful energy production
    has ceased and the boiler is still cooling, any fuel that is burned
    during shutdown must be “clean.”                   EPA has not
    mischaracterized its rule.
    ***
    For the foregoing reasons we grant in part and deny in part
    the petitions for review, and remand to EPA the CO limits for
    which EPA adopted a revised limit of 130 ppm for further
    proceedings consistent with our opinion.
    So ordered.