EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. Environmental Protection Agency , 696 F.3d 7 ( 2012 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued April 13, 2012             Decided August 21, 2012
    No. 11-1302
    EME HOMER CITY GENERATION, L.P.,
    PETITIONER
    v.
    ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY, ET AL.,
    RESPONDENTS
    SAN MIGUEL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    Consolidated with 11-1315, 11-1323, 11-1329, 11-1338,
    11-1340, 11-1350, 11-1357, 11-1358, 11-1359, 11-1360,
    11-1361, 11-1362, 11-1363, 11-1364, 11-1365, 11-1366,
    11-1367, 11-1368, 11-1369, 11-1371, 11-1372, 11-1373,
    11-1374, 11-1375, 11-1376, 11-1377, 11-1378, 11-1379,
    11-1380, 11-1381, 11-1382, 11-1383, 11-1384, 11-1385,
    11-1386, 11-1387, 11-1388, 11-1389, 11-1390, 11-1391,
    11-1392, 11-1393, 11-1394, 11-1395
    On Petitions for Review of a Final Rule
    of the Environmental Protection Agency
    2
    Bill Davis, Assistant Solicitor General, Office of the
    Attorney General for the State of Texas, argued the cause for
    Governmental Petitioners. With him on the briefs were Greg
    Abbott, Attorney General, Jonathan F. Mitchell, Solicitor
    General, Jon Niermann, Chief, Environmental Protection
    Division, Luther J. Strange, III, Attorney General, Office of
    the Attorney General for the State of Alabama, Leslie Sue
    Ritts, Pamela Jo Bondi, Attorney General, Office of the
    Attorney General for the State of Florida, Jonathan A.
    Glogau, Chief, Complex Litigation, Samuel S. Olens,
    Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for the State
    of Georgia, John E. Hennelly and Diane L. DeShazo, Senior
    Assistant Attorneys General, Thomas M. Fisher, Solicitor
    General, Office of the Attorney General for the State of
    Indiana, Valerie Marie Tachtiris, Deputy Assistant Attorney
    General, Jeffrey A. Chanay, Deputy Attorney General, Office
    of the Attorney General for the State of Kansas, Henry V.
    Nickel, George P. Sibley, III, James D. “Buddy” Caldwell,
    Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for the State
    of Louisiana, Megan K. Terrell, Chief, Environmental
    Section, Herman Robinson, Jackie Marie Scott Marve, Deidra
    L. Johnson, Kathy M. Wright, Donald James Trahan, David
    Richard Taggart, Jeffrey Winston Price, John Joseph Bursch,
    Solicitor General, Office of the Attorney General for the State
    of Michigan, Neil David Gordon, Assistant Attorney General,
    Sean Peter Manning, Chief, Environmental, Natural
    Resources, and Agriculture Division, Harold Edward
    Pizzetta, III, Special Attorney, Office of the Attorney General
    for the State of Mississippi, Jon Cumberland Bruning,
    Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for the State
    of Nebraska, Katherine J. Spohn, Special Counsel, Dale T.
    Vitale, Gregg H. Bachmann, and Chris Kim, Assistant
    Attorneys General, Office of the Attorney General for the
    State of Ohio, Thomas Bates, Chief, Public Protection Unit,
    Office of the Attorney General for the State of Oklahoma,
    3
    Patrick Wyrick, Solicitor General, P. Clayton Eubanks,
    Assistant Attorney General, Alan Wilson, Attorney General,
    Office of the Attorney General for the State of South
    Carolina, James Emory Smith, Jr., Assistant Deputy Attorney
    General, Kenneth T. Cuccinelli, II, Attorney General, Office
    of the Attorney General for the Commonwealth of Virginia,
    E. Duncan Getchell, Jr., Solicitor General, and Thomas James
    Dawson, Assistant Attorney General, Wisconsin Department
    of Justice.
    Peter D. Keisler argued the cause for Non-Governmental
    Petitioners. With him on the briefs were Roger R. Martella,
    Jr., C. Frederick Beckner III, Timothy K. Webster, F. William
    Brownell, Gregory G. Garre, Claudia M. O’Brien, Lori
    Alvino McGill, Jessica E. Phillips, Katherine I. Twomey,
    Stacey VanBelleghem, Janet J. Henry, Steven G. McKinney,
    Terese T. Wyly, William M. Bumpers, Joshua B. Frank,
    Megan H. Berge, P. Stephen Gidiere, III, Richard Alonso,
    Jeffrey R. Holmstead, Gary C. Rikard, Robert J. Alessi, Chuck
    D’Wayne Barlow, Peter P. Garam, Kyra Marie Fleming,
    Richard G. Stoll, Brian H. Potts, Julia L. German, Robert A.
    Manning, Joseph A. Brown, Mohammad O. Jazil, Eric J.
    Murdock, Andrea Bear Field, Norman W. Fichthorn, E.
    Carter Chandler Clements, James S. Alves, Gary V. Perko,
    William L. Wehrum, Jr., David M. Flannery, Gale Lea
    Rubrecht, Maureen N. Harbourt, Tokesha M. Collins, Bart E.
    Cassidy, Katherine L. Vaccaro, Diana A. Silva, William F.
    Lane, Jordan Hemaidan, Todd Palmer, Douglas E. Cloud,
    David Meezan, Christopher Max Zygmont, Matthew J.
    Splitek, Gary M. Broadbent, Michael O. McKown, Terry
    Russell Yellig, Dennis Lane, Karl R. Moor, Margaret
    Claiborne Campbell, Byron W. Kirkpatrick, Hahnah
    Williams, Peter S. Glaser, Tameka M. Collier, Grant F.
    Crandall, Arthur Traynor, III, Eugene M. Trisko, Jeffrey L.
    4
    Landsman, Vincent M. Mele, Elizabeth P. Papez, John M.
    Holloway III, Elizabeth C. Williamson, and Ann M. Seha.
    Michael J. Nasi, Shannon L. Goessling, and Douglas A.
    Henderson were on the brief for intervenor San Miguel
    Electric Cooperative and amici Industrial Energy Consumers
    of America, et al., in support of petitioners. Robert M. Cohan
    entered an appearance.
    Norman L. Rave, Jr., David S. Gualtieri, and Jon M.
    Lipshultz, Attorneys, U.S. Department of Justice, argued the
    causes for respondent. With them on the briefs were Jessica
    O’Donnell, Sonja Rodman, and Stephanie Hogan, Attorneys.
    Simon Heller, Assistant Solicitor General, Office of the
    Attorney General for the State of New York, argued the cause
    for State/City Respondent-Intervenors. With him on the brief
    were Eric T. Schneiderman, Attorney General, Barbara D.
    Underwood, Solicitor General, Andrew G. Frank and Michael
    J. Myers, Assistant Attorneys General, Benna R. Solomon,
    James B. Dougherty, Joseph R. Biden, III, Attorney General,
    Office of the Attorney General for the State of Delaware,
    Valerie M. Satterfield, Deputy Attorney General, Douglas F.
    Gansler, Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for
    the State of Maryland, Mary E. Raivel, Assistant Attorney
    General, Peter F. Kilmartin, Attorney General, Office of the
    Attorney General for the State of Rhode Island, Gregory S.
    Schultz, Special Assistant Attorney General, Martha Coakley,
    Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for the
    Commonwealth of Massachusetts, Frederick D. Augenstern,
    Assistant Attorney General, Scott J. Schwarz, William H.
    Sorrell, Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for
    the State of Vermont, Thea J. Schwartz, Assistant Attorney
    General, Lisa Madigan, Attorney General, Office of the
    Attorney General for the State of Illinois, Gerald T. Karr,
    5
    Assistant Attorney General, Irvin B. Nathan, Attorney
    General, Office of the Attorney General for the District of
    Columbia, Amy E. McDonnell, Deputy General Counsel,
    George Jepsen, Attorney General, Office of the Attorney
    General for the State of Connecticut, Kimberly P. Massicotte,
    Scott N. Koschwitz, and Matthew I. Levine, Assistant
    Attorneys General, William R. Phelan, Jr., Roy Cooper,
    Attorney General, Office of the Attorney General for the State
    of North Carolina, James C. Gulick, Senior Deputy Attorney
    General, Marc Bernstein and J. Allen Jernigan, Special
    Deputies Attorney General, and Christopher King. William J.
    Moore, III entered an appearance.
    Brendan K. Collins argued the cause for Industry
    Respondent-Intervenors. With him on the brief were Robert
    B. McKinstry, Jr. and James W. Rubin.
    Sean H. Donahue argued the cause for Public Health
    Respondent-Intervenors. With him on the brief were David T.
    Lifland, Vickie L. Patton, George Hays, Josh Stebbins, John
    Walke, and David Marshall. Ann Brewster Weeks entered an
    appearance.
    Before: ROGERS, GRIFFITH, and KAVANAUGH, Circuit
    Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge
    KAVANAUGH, with whom Circuit Judge GRIFFITH joins.
    Dissenting opinion filed by Circuit Judge ROGERS.
    KAVANAUGH, Circuit Judge: Some emissions of air
    pollutants affect air quality in the States where the pollutants
    are emitted. Some emissions of air pollutants travel across
    State boundaries and affect air quality in downwind States.
    6
    To deal with that complex regulatory challenge, Congress did
    not authorize EPA to simply adopt limits on emissions as
    EPA deemed reasonable.        Rather, Congress set up a
    federalism-based system of air pollution control. Under this
    cooperative federalism approach, both the Federal
    Government and the States play significant roles. The Federal
    Government sets air quality standards for pollutants. The
    States have the primary responsibility for determining how to
    meet those standards and regulating sources within their
    borders.
    In addition, and of primary relevance here, upwind States
    must prevent sources within their borders from emitting
    federally determined “amounts” of pollution that travel across
    State lines and “contribute significantly” to a downwind
    State’s “nonattainment” of federal air quality standards. That
    requirement is sometimes called the “good neighbor”
    provision.
    In August 2011, to implement the statutory good
    neighbor requirement, EPA promulgated the rule at issue in
    this case, the Transport Rule, also known as the Cross-State
    Air Pollution Rule. The Transport Rule defines emissions
    reduction responsibilities for 28 upwind States based on those
    States’ contributions to downwind States’ air quality
    problems. The Rule limits emissions from upwind States’
    coal- and natural gas-fired power plants, among other sources.
    Those power plants generate the majority of electricity used
    in the United States, but they also emit pollutants that affect
    air quality. The Transport Rule targets two of those
    pollutants, sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx).
    Various States, local governments, industry groups, and
    labor organizations have petitioned for review of the
    Transport Rule. Although the facts here are complicated, the
    7
    legal principles that govern this case are straightforward:
    Absent a claim of constitutional authority (and there is none
    here), executive agencies may exercise only the authority
    conferred by statute, and agencies may not transgress
    statutory limits on that authority.
    Here, EPA’s Transport Rule exceeds the agency’s
    statutory authority in two independent respects. First, the
    statutory text grants EPA authority to require upwind States to
    reduce only their own significant contributions to a downwind
    State’s nonattainment. But under the Transport Rule, upwind
    States may be required to reduce emissions by more than their
    own significant contributions to a downwind State’s
    nonattainment. EPA has used the good neighbor provision to
    impose massive emissions reduction requirements on upwind
    States without regard to the limits imposed by the statutory
    text. Whatever its merits as a policy matter, EPA’s Transport
    Rule violates the statute. Second, the Clean Air Act affords
    States the initial opportunity to implement reductions required
    by EPA under the good neighbor provision. But here, when
    EPA quantified States’ good neighbor obligations, it did not
    allow the States the initial opportunity to implement the
    required reductions with respect to sources within their
    borders. Instead, EPA quantified States’ good neighbor
    obligations and simultaneously set forth EPA-designed
    Federal Implementation Plans, or FIPs, to implement those
    obligations at the State level. By doing so, EPA departed
    from its consistent prior approach to implementing the good
    neighbor provision and violated the Act.
    For each of those two independent reasons, EPA’s
    Transport Rule violates federal law. Therefore, the Rule must
    be vacated.
    8
    In so ruling, we note that this Court has affirmed
    numerous EPA clean air decisions in recent years when those
    agency decisions met relevant statutory requirements and
    complied with statutory constraints. See, e.g., National
    Environmental Development Association’s Clean Air Project
    v. EPA, No. 10-1252 (D.C. Cir. July 20, 2012); API v. EPA,
    No. 10-1079 (D.C. Cir. July 17, 2012); ATK Launch Systems,
    Inc. v. EPA, 
    669 F.3d 330
     (D.C. Cir. 2012); NRDC v. EPA,
    
    661 F.3d 662
     (D.C. Cir. 2011); Medical Waste Institute &
    Energy Recovery Council v. EPA, 
    645 F.3d 420
     (D.C. Cir.
    2011); American Trucking Ass’ns v. EPA, 
    600 F.3d 624
     (D.C.
    Cir. 2010). In this case, however, we conclude that EPA has
    transgressed statutory boundaries. Congress could well
    decide to alter the statute to permit or require EPA’s preferred
    approach to the good neighbor issue. Unless and until
    Congress does so, we must apply and enforce the statute as
    it’s now written. Our decision today should not be interpreted
    as a comment on the wisdom or policy merits of EPA’s
    Transport Rule. It is not our job to set environmental policy.
    Our limited but important role is to independently ensure that
    the agency stays within the boundaries Congress has set.
    EPA did not do so here. 1
    1
    The dissent argues that petitioners’ challenge to EPA’s
    approach to the significant contribution issue is not properly before
    us because that issue was not sufficiently raised before the agency
    in the rulemaking proceeding. We fundamentally disagree with the
    dissent’s reading of the record on that point.
    The dissent also claims that petitioners’ challenge to EPA’s
    issuance of the FIPs is not properly before us because the affected
    States should have raised such a challenge earlier in the process.
    We again disagree. The dissent’s analysis on the FIPs issue
    conflates (i) EPA’s rejection of certain States’ SIPs and (ii) EPA’s
    decision in the Transport Rule to set States’ “good neighbor”
    obligations and emissions budgets and simultaneously issue FIPs.
    9
    I
    A
    Under the Clean Air Act, the Federal Government sets air
    quality standards, but States retain the primary responsibility
    (if the States want it) for choosing how to attain those
    standards within their borders. See Train v. NRDC, 
    421 U.S. 60
    , 63-67 (1975); Virginia v. EPA, 
    108 F.3d 1397
    , 1406-10
    (D.C. Cir. 1997). The Act thus leaves it to the individual
    States to determine, in the first instance, the particular
    restrictions that will be imposed on particular emitters within
    their borders. (If a State refuses to participate, the Federal
    Government regulates the sources directly.)
    To spell this out in more detail: The Clean Air Act
    charges EPA with setting National Ambient Air Quality
    Standards, or NAAQS, which prescribe the maximum
    permissible levels of common pollutants in the ambient air.
    See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7409
    (a)-(b). EPA must choose levels which,
    “allowing an adequate margin of safety, are requisite to
    protect the public health.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7409
    (b)(1).
    After a lengthy process, the details of which are not
    relevant here, EPA designates “nonattainment” areas – that is,
    areas within each State where the level of the pollutant
    exceeds the NAAQS. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7407
    (d).
    The States here are challenging only the latter issue, and they have
    done so in a timely fashion. Indeed, they could not have done so
    until EPA, in the Transport Rule, simultaneously set the States’
    individual emissions budgets and issued FIPs.
    We will explain both points more below. Suffice it here to say
    that, much as we might like to do so, we respectfully do not believe
    we can avoid the merits of this complex case, as the dissent urges.
    10
    Once EPA sets a NAAQS and designates nonattainment
    areas within the States, the lead role shifts to the States. The
    States implement the NAAQS within their borders through
    State Implementation Plans, or SIPs. (As the experienced
    reader knows, there is no shortage of acronyms in EPA-land.)
    In their SIPs, States choose which individual sources within
    the State must reduce emissions, and by how much. For
    example, a State may decide to impose different emissions
    limits on individual coal-burning power plants, natural gas-
    burning power plants, and other sources of air pollution, such
    as factories, refineries, incinerators, and agricultural activities.
    States must submit SIPs to EPA within three years of
    each new or revised NAAQS. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(1).
    Section 110(a)(2) of the Act lists the required elements of a
    SIP submission.
    Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), the “good neighbor” provision
    at issue in this case, is one of the required elements of a SIP.
    The good neighbor provision requires that SIPs:
    (D) contain adequate provisions –
    (i) prohibiting, consistent with the provisions of this
    subchapter, any source or other type of emissions
    activity within the State from emitting any air
    pollutant in amounts which will –
    (I) contribute significantly to nonattainment in,
    or interfere with maintenance by, any other State
    with respect to any such national primary or
    secondary ambient air quality standard . . . .
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D).
    The good neighbor provision recognizes that emissions
    “from ‘upwind’ regions may pollute ‘downwind’ regions.”
    Appalachian Power Co. v. EPA, 
    249 F.3d 1032
    , 1037 (D.C.
    11
    Cir. 2001). To put it colloquially, the good neighbor
    provision requires upwind States to bear responsibility for
    their fair share of the mess in downwind States. By placing
    the good neighbor requirement in Section 110(a)(2), Congress
    established the upwind State’s SIP as the vehicle for
    implementing the upwind State’s good neighbor obligation.
    Of course, an upwind State will not know what it needs to do
    to meet its good neighbor obligation until it learns the level of
    air pollution in downwind States, and further learns how
    much it is contributing to the problems in the downwind
    States. EPA plays the critical role in gathering information
    about air quality in the downwind States, calculating each
    upwind State’s good neighbor obligation, and transmitting
    that information to the upwind State. With that information,
    the upwind State can then determine how to meet its good
    neighbor obligation in a new SIP or SIP revision. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(5).
    After EPA quantifies a State’s good neighbor obligation,
    if a State does not timely submit an adequate SIP (or an
    adequate SIP revision) to take account of the good neighbor
    obligation as defined by EPA, responsibility shifts back to the
    Federal Government. Within two years of disapproving a
    State’s SIP submission or SIP revision, or determining that a
    State has failed to submit a SIP, EPA must promulgate a
    Federal Implementation Plan to implement the NAAQS
    within that State. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1).
    B
    The good neighbor provision – and EPA’s attempts to
    implement it – are familiar to this Court from past cases.
    In Michigan v. EPA, 
    213 F.3d 663
     (D.C. Cir. 2000), we
    considered a challenge to EPA’s 1998 NOx Rule, commonly
    referred to as the NOx SIP Call, which quantified the good
    12
    neighbor obligations of 22 States with respect to the 1997
    ozone NAAQS. See 
    63 Fed. Reg. 57,356
    , 57,358 (Oct. 27,
    1998).
    The 1998 NOx Rule did not define “amounts which will
    . . . contribute significantly to nonattainment” solely on the
    basis of downwind air quality impact, as one might have
    expected given the statutory text.          Rather, EPA also
    considered how much NOx could be eliminated by sources in
    each State if those sources installed “highly cost-effective”
    emissions controls. See Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 675
    . On
    review, some States argued that the statutory text required
    EPA to order reductions based on air quality impact alone, not
    cost of reduction. But the Michigan Court found no “clear
    congressional intent to preclude consideration of cost.” 
    Id. at 677
     (citation omitted). The Court thus held that EPA may
    “consider differences in cutback costs, so that, after reduction
    of all that could be cost-effectively eliminated, any remaining
    ‘contribution’ would not be considered ‘significant.’” 
    Id. at 677
    ; see also 
    id. at 677-79
    . In other words, EPA could use
    cost considerations to lower an upwind State’s obligations
    under the good neighbor provision. 2
    In North Carolina v. EPA, 
    531 F.3d 896
     (D.C. Cir. 2008),
    we considered a challenge to EPA’s 2005 Clean Air Interstate
    Rule, or CAIR. See 
    70 Fed. Reg. 25,162
     (May 12, 2005).
    CAIR built on the 1998 NOx Rule and defined 28 States’
    2
    Judge Sentelle dissented. In his view, the statutory text
    unambiguously “set forth one criterion: the emission of an amount
    of pollutant sufficient to contribute significantly to downwind
    nonattainment.” 
    Id. at 696
     (Sentelle, J., dissenting); cf. Whitman v.
    American Trucking Ass’ns, 
    531 U.S. 457
    , 467 (2001) (“We have
    therefore refused to find implicit in ambiguous sections of the CAA
    an authorization to consider costs that has elsewhere, and so often,
    been expressly granted.”).
    13
    good neighbor obligations with respect to the 1997 ozone
    NAAQS and the 1997 NAAQS for annual levels of fine
    particulate matter, or annual PM2.5. See 
    id.
    CAIR employed two different formulas – both of which
    incorporated cost considerations – to quantify each State’s
    obligations for the pollutants covered by CAIR, SO2 and NOx.
    The North Carolina decision held that the formulas went
    beyond Michigan’s authorization to use cost and that the
    formulas therefore exceeded EPA’s statutory authority. EPA
    may use cost to “require termination of only a subset of each
    state’s contribution,” the Court explained, but “EPA can’t just
    pick a cost for a region, and deem ‘significant’ any emissions
    that sources can eliminate more cheaply.” 
    531 F.3d at 918
    (citation, emphasis, and some internal quotation marks
    omitted). The Court also held that “section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
    gives EPA no authority to force an upwind state to share the
    burden of reducing other upwind states’ emissions. Each state
    must eliminate its own significant contribution to downwind
    pollution.” 
    Id. at 921
    . The Court emphasized that EPA “may
    not require some states to exceed the mark.” 
    Id.
    North Carolina thus articulated an important caveat to
    Michigan’s approval of cost considerations. The statute
    permits EPA to use cost to lower an upwind State’s obligation
    under the good neighbor provision. See Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 675, 677
    . But EPA may not use cost to increase an upwind
    State’s obligation under the good neighbor provision – that is,
    to force an upwind State to “exceed the mark.” North
    Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 921
    . Put simply, the statute requires
    every upwind State to clean up at most its own share of the air
    pollution in a downwind State – not other States’ shares.
    14
    C
    The North Carolina Court remanded CAIR without
    vacatur, leaving CAIR in place “until it is replaced by a rule
    consistent with our opinion.” North Carolina v. EPA, 
    550 F.3d 1176
    , 1178 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (on rehearing).
    The Transport Rule is EPA’s attempt to develop a rule
    that is consistent with our opinion in North Carolina. EPA
    proposed the Transport Rule in August 2010 and finalized it
    in August 2011. See 
    75 Fed. Reg. 45,210
     (Aug. 2, 2010)
    (proposed); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 48,208
     (Aug. 8, 2011) (final). The
    Transport Rule addresses States’ good neighbor obligations
    with respect to three NAAQS: the 1997 annual PM2.5
    NAAQS, the 1997 ozone NAAQS, and the 2006 24-hour
    PM2.5 NAAQS. See 
    id. at 48,209
    . 3
    The Transport Rule contains two basic components.
    First, the Rule defines each State’s emissions reduction
    obligations under the good neighbor provision. Second, the
    Rule prescribes Federal Implementation Plans to implement
    those obligations at the State level. We describe each
    component here in some detail.
    EPA began by quantifying the “amounts” of pollution
    that each State must prohibit under the good neighbor
    provision – that is, “amounts which will . . . contribute
    significantly to nonattainment” or “interfere with
    maintenance” of the three NAAQS in other States. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i). 4
    3
    The 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS post-dated and therefore
    was not covered by CAIR.
    4
    EPA bases different aspects of the Transport Rule on distinct
    sources of statutory authority.       EPA relied on its general
    15
    EPA used a two-stage approach to quantify each State’s
    obligations under the good neighbor provision.
    In the first stage, EPA determined whether a State emits
    “amounts which will . . . contribute significantly” to a
    downwind State’s nonattainment of any of the three NAAQS.
    EPA identified the significantly contributing upwind States
    based on “linkages” between each upwind State and specific
    downwind “nonattainment” or “maintenance” areas – that is,
    downwind areas that EPA modeling predicted would not
    attain, or absent regulation would not maintain, the NAAQS.
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,236. An upwind State was
    linked to a downwind nonattainment or maintenance area for
    a given NAAQS if EPA modeling showed that the upwind
    State’s contribution to that downwind area exceeded a
    numerical “air quality threshold” – that is, a specific amount
    of air pollution sent from the upwind State into the downwind
    State’s air. Id. EPA set the air quality threshold for each
    pollutant at an amount equal to 1% of the relevant NAAQS.
    The resulting thresholds were (i) 0.8 ppb for ozone, (ii) 0.15
    µg/m3 for annual PM2.5, and (iii) 0.35 µg/m3 for 24-hour
    PM2.5. Id. If modeling showed that an upwind State would
    send more than those amounts into a downwind State’s air, as
    measured at a receptor site in a downwind State, the upwind
    State was deemed a “significant contributor” to the downwind
    State’s air pollution problem.
    rulemaking authority under Section 301(a)(1) of the Clean Air Act,
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7601
    (a)(1), to construe Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) and
    to quantify the States’ obligations to reduce emissions. See
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,217; see also Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 687
    . EPA relied on its authority under Section 110(c)(1),
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1), to issue the Transport Rule FIPs. See
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,217.
    16
    Those numerical air quality thresholds determined which
    upwind States had to reduce their SO2 and NOx emissions and
    which upwind States did not – that is, the thresholds
    determined which upwind States’ emissions “contribute
    significantly” to downwind States’ air pollution problems.
    Upwind States “whose contributions are below these
    thresholds,” EPA found, “do not significantly contribute to
    nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the relevant
    NAAQS” in downwind States. Id. Because their emissions
    did not “contribute significantly,” those States were not
    required to cut their emissions for purposes of the good
    neighbor provision.
    As one would expect, this “significant contribution”
    threshold produced some close cases at the margins. For
    example, Maryland and Texas were covered for annual PM2.5
    based on downwind contributions of 0.15 and 0.18 µg/m3,
    respectively – just barely meeting the 0.15 µg/m3 threshold.
    See id. at 48,240. And Texas exceeded the annual PM2.5
    threshold at just a single downwind receptor, in Madison,
    Illinois. See id. at 48,241. 5 By contrast, Minnesota and
    Virginia, with maximum downwind contributions of 0.14 and
    0.12 µg/m3, respectively, just missed being covered for annual
    PM2.5. See id. at 48,240.
    For annual PM2.5, a total of 18 States 6 exceeded the
    threshold and were therefore deemed “significant
    5
    Texas also narrowly exceeded the 0.35 µg/m3 threshold for
    24-hour PM2.5; its maximum downwind contribution was 0.37
    µg/m3. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,242.
    6
    Those States were: Alabama, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa,
    Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Missouri, New York, North
    Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas,
    West Virginia, and Wisconsin. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at
    48,240.
    17
    contributors.” For 24-hour PM2.5, a total of 22 States 7
    exceeded the threshold. See id. at 48,241-42. Those States
    were thus included in the Rule’s reduction programs for SO2
    and annual NOx, pollutants that contribute to PM2.5 formation.
    See id. at 48,210. For ozone, a total of 26 States 8 exceeded
    the threshold. See id. at 48,245. Those States were thus
    included in the Rule’s reduction program for ozone-season
    NOx, which contributes to ozone formation. See id. at 48,210;
    see also 
    76 Fed. Reg. 80,760
     (Dec. 27, 2011) (finalizing six
    States’ inclusion in the Transport Rule for ozone-season
    NOx).
    At the second stage, however, EPA abandoned the air
    quality thresholds – that is, the stage one standard for whether
    an upwind State’s emissions “contribute significantly” to a
    downwind State’s nonattainment of air quality standards.
    Instead, at stage two, EPA used a cost-based standard: EPA
    determined how much pollution each upwind State’s power
    plants could eliminate if the upwind State’s plants applied all
    controls available at or below a given cost per ton of pollution
    reduced. The cost-per-ton levels applied without regard to the
    size of each State’s “significant contribution” at stage one. In
    other words, how much pollution each upwind State was
    7
    Those States were: Alabama, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa,
    Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri,
    Nebraska, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio,
    Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and
    Wisconsin. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,242.
    8
    Those States were: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia,
    Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
    Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North
    Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina,
    Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. See
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,245.
    18
    required to eliminate was not tied to how much the upwind
    State contributed to downwind States’ air pollution problems.
    EPA predicted how far emissions would fall if power
    plants throughout the State were required to install controls
    available at or below various cost levels. The cost levels, or
    thresholds, were expressed in terms of cost per ton of
    pollutant reduced, with the idea being that plants would install
    all controls that cost less than the designated threshold. 9
    EPA then added up the emissions from all of the covered
    States to yield total regionwide emissions figures for each
    pollutant, at each cost threshold. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed.
    Reg. at 48,250-53. The higher the cost level selected, the
    greater the reduction of emissions, but also the greater the
    costs and burdens imposed on sources within the States.
    Next, EPA used computer modeling to estimate the
    downwind air quality effects of imposing different cost-per-
    ton levels on the upwind States. Id. at 48,253. EPA modeled
    the air quality effects of applying a $500/ton cost level for
    NOx and ascending cost-per-ton levels for SO2. See id. at
    9
    For example, a technology that cost $1,000 to install and
    eliminated 2 tons of NOx from a power plant’s emissions would
    cost $500/ton. In effect, EPA predicted how far emissions would
    fall if plants installed all of the controls from $1/ton to $500/ton.
    EPA used a computer model to predict the reductions that
    would occur in each State at various cost thresholds. See EPA,
    Documentation for EPA Base Case v.4.10, at 2-1 (Aug. 2010), J.A.
    2339. For example, for annual NOx, EPA modeled cost levels of
    $500, $1,000, and $2,500/ton. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at
    48,249-50. EPA went as high as $5,000/ton for ozone-season NOx.
    See id. at 48,250. For SO2, EPA modeled emissions at cost levels
    of $500, $1,600, $2,300, $2,800, $3,300, and $10,000 per ton. See
    id. at 48,251. At a later stage in the process, EPA used those
    predictions to decide how much each State would have to cut.
    19
    48,255; EPA, Analysis to Quantify Significant Contribution
    Technical Support Document 15 & n.9 (July 2010), J.A. 2177.
    Armed with those two sets of modeling data, EPA
    proceeded to choose which regionwide cost-per-ton threshold
    to apply for each of the three pollutants – SO2, annual NOx,
    and ozone-season NOx. EPA consulted both its cost-of-
    reduction modeling and its air quality modeling and identified
    what it termed “significant cost thresholds” – that is, cost-per-
    ton levels at which steep drops in upwind emissions or jumps
    in downwind air quality would occur. Transport Rule, 76
    Fed. Reg. at 48,255; see also id. at 48,255-56. EPA then
    weighed both air quality and cost concerns in a “multi-factor
    assessment” to choose the final cost-per-ton levels. Id. at
    48,256. The “multi-factor assessment” did not employ any
    hard formula to weigh those factors.
    In the end, EPA settled on a single $500/ton threshold for
    ozone-season and annual NOx. See id. at 48,256-57.
    For SO2, instead of using a single cost threshold for all of
    the SO2 States, EPA divided the upwind States into two
    groups for the 2014 program year (that is, the emissions cuts
    required in 2014). EPA modeling showed that applying a
    $500/ton cost threshold resolved the attainment problems in
    the downwind areas to which seven upwind States were
    linked. See id. at 48,257. Those seven upwind States became
    the Group 2 States, which were subject to a $500/ton
    threshold for SO2. See id. But $500/ton did not resolve
    attainment problems in the downwind areas to which 16 other
    upwind States were linked. Those 16 upwind States became
    the Group 1 States, which were subject to a stricter $2,300/ton
    cost threshold for SO2. See id. at 48,259.
    EPA determined the amount of SO2, annual NOx, or
    ozone-season NOx that each covered State could eliminate if
    20
    its power plants installed all cost-effective emissions controls
    – that is, those controls available at or below the applicable
    cost-per-ton thresholds. See id. at 48,260. EPA then used
    those figures to generate 2012, 2013, and 2014 emissions
    “budgets” for each upwind State, for each pollutant for which
    that State was covered. See id. at 48,259-63. The budget is
    the maximum amount of each pollutant that a State’s power
    plants may collectively emit in a given year, beginning in
    2012. 10
    EPA did not stop there and leave it to the States to
    implement the required reductions through new or revised
    State Implementation Plans, or SIPs.      Cf. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(5). Instead, EPA simultaneously promulgated
    Federal Implementation Plans, or FIPs.
    The FIPs require power plants in covered upwind States
    to make the SO2 and NOx reductions needed to comply with
    each upwind State’s emissions budget, as defined by EPA.
    The FIPs also create an interstate trading program to allow
    covered sources to comply as cost-effectively as possible. See
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,271.
    The FIPs convert each State’s emissions budget into
    “allowances,” which are allocated among power plants in the
    State. Under the FIPs, it is EPA, and not the States, that
    decides how to distribute the allowances among the power
    plants in each State. See id. at 48,284-88. 11
    10
    States may augment their budgets somewhat by buying out-
    of-state allowances. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,263-68.
    11
    Each power plant is “required to hold one SO2 or one NOx
    allowance, respectively, for every ton of SO2 or NOx emitted”
    during the relevant year. Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,271;
    see also id. at 48,296-97 (describing penalties for noncompliance).
    21
    The Rule retains a limited, secondary role for SIPs.
    States have the option of submitting SIPs that modify some
    elements of the FIPs. See id. at 48,327-28. The first program
    year for which States can submit such SIPs is 2014. See id.
    States may also seek to replace the FIPs wholesale, as long as
    the SIP prohibits the amounts of NOx and SO2 emissions that
    EPA specified. See id. at 48,328. EPA says it would “review
    such a SIP on a case-by-case basis.” Id. But, importantly, the
    States do not have a post-Rule opportunity to avoid FIPs by
    submitting a SIP or SIP revision: The FIPs “remain fully in
    place in each covered state until a state’s SIP is submitted and
    approved by EPA to revise or replace a FIP.” Id.
    Since it issued the final rule in August 2011, EPA has
    taken several subsequent regulatory actions related to the
    Transport Rule. See 
    76 Fed. Reg. 80,760
     (Dec. 27, 2011)
    (finalizing six States’ inclusion in the Rule for ozone-season
    NOx); 
    77 Fed. Reg. 10,324
     (Feb. 21, 2012) (making technical
    Sources were required by the Rule to begin complying with the
    annual SO2 and NOx requirements by January 1, 2012 for the 2012-
    13 budgets and by January 1, 2014 for the post-2014 budgets. See
    
    id. at 48,277
    . (This Court stayed the Rule before it took effect.)
    The ozone-season NOx requirements would kick in on May 1 of
    those years. See 
    id.
     EPA chose those compliance deadlines in light
    of this Court’s holding in North Carolina that the deadlines must be
    “consistent with the provisions in Title I mandating [NAAQS]
    compliance deadlines for downwind states.” 
    531 F.3d at 912
    ; see
    also Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,277-78.
    The FIPs use allowance trading to enable covered plants
    within the States to comply as cost-effectively as possible. The
    program creates four allowance trading markets: one for annual
    NOx, one for ozone-season NOx, one for the Group 1 SO2 States,
    and one for the Group 2 SO2 States. See Transport Rule, 76 Fed.
    Reg. at 48,271. Power plants in Group 1 SO2 States may not
    purchase Group 2 SO2 allowances, and vice versa. See id. at
    48,271-72. Otherwise, interstate trading is generally permitted.
    22
    adjustments to modeling and delaying assurance penalty
    provisions until 2014); 
    77 Fed. Reg. 34,830
     (June 12, 2012)
    (revising budgets for 13 States).
    D
    An array of power companies, coal companies, labor
    unions, trade associations, States, and local governments
    petitioned for review of EPA’s Transport Rule.
    On December 30, 2011, this Court stayed the Rule
    pending a decision on the merits. See Order, No. 11-1302,
    slip op. at 2 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 30, 2011). The Court’s order
    instructed EPA to “continue administering the Clean Air
    Interstate Rule pending the court’s resolution of these
    petitions for review.” 
    Id.
    In Part II of this opinion, we address whether the Rule
    exceeds EPA’s authority to order upwind States to reduce
    “amounts which will . . . contribute significantly to
    nonattainment” in downwind States. In Part III, we address
    whether the statute permits EPA to issue FIPs without giving
    the States an initial opportunity to implement the required
    reductions through SIPs or SIP revisions. In Part IV, we
    consider the remedy.
    II
    In this Part, we analyze petitioners’ argument that EPA
    exceeded its statutory authority under the “good neighbor”
    provision. Under the statute, EPA is limited to ordering
    upwind States to reduce “amounts which will . . . contribute
    significantly to nonattainment” in downwind States. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i).
    23
    A
    The Transport Rule defines States’ obligations under
    Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) of the Clean Air Act, a provision
    sometimes described as the “good neighbor” provision. See
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i)(I); Michigan v. EPA, 
    213 F.3d 663
    , 671 (D.C. Cir. 2000). The good neighbor provision
    requires that a State Implementation Plan, or SIP:
    (D) contain adequate provisions –
    (i) prohibiting, consistent with the provisions of this
    subchapter, any source or other type of emissions
    activity within the State from emitting any air
    pollutant in amounts which will –
    (I) contribute significantly to nonattainment in,
    or interfere with maintenance by, any other State
    with respect to any such national primary or
    secondary ambient air quality standard . . . .
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D). The good neighbor provision
    recognizes that not all air pollution is locally generated:
    Some ambient air pollution “is caused or augmented by
    emissions from other states. Emissions from ‘upwind’
    regions may pollute ‘downwind’ regions.” Appalachian
    Power Co. v. EPA, 
    249 F.3d 1032
    , 1037 (D.C. Cir. 2001).
    Although the statute grants EPA significant discretion to
    implement the good neighbor provision, the statute’s text and
    this Court’s decisions in Michigan and North Carolina
    establish several red lines that cabin EPA’s authority. Those
    red lines are central to our resolution of this case.
    First, and most obviously, the text of Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) tells us that the “amounts which will . . .
    contribute” to a downwind State’s nonattainment are at most
    those amounts that travel beyond an upwind State’s borders
    24
    and end up in a downwind State’s nonattainment area. 12 The
    statute is not a blank check for EPA to address interstate
    pollution on a regional basis without regard to an individual
    upwind State’s actual contribution to downwind air quality.
    Moreover, the statutory text and this Court’s decision in
    North Carolina v. EPA demonstrate that EPA may not force a
    State to eliminate more than its own “significant” contribution
    to a downwind State’s nonattainment area – that is, to “exceed
    the mark,” as we put it in North Carolina. 
    531 F.3d 896
    , 921
    (D.C. Cir. 2008). Thus, once EPA reasonably designates
    some level of contribution as “insignificant” under the statute,
    it may not force any upwind State to reduce more than its own
    contribution to that downwind State minus the insignificant
    amount. 13
    Second, under the terms of the statute and as we
    explained in North Carolina, the portion of an upwind State’s
    contribution to a downwind State that “contribute[s]
    significantly” to that downwind State’s “nonattainment”
    necessarily depends on the relative contributions of that
    upwind State, of other upwind State contributors, and of the
    12
    At oral argument, EPA’s counsel refused to concede this
    point.
    13
    For example, suppose that EPA determined that any upwind
    State whose contribution to a downwind State was less than 3 units
    did not “contribute significantly to nonattainment.” That would
    mean EPA had established 3 units as the significance floor. Other
    upwind contributors to that downwind State could not be required
    to reduce their downwind contributions below that floor. So an
    upwind State whose contribution to that downwind State is 30 units
    could be required to reduce its contribution by at most 27 units.
    Of course, that is not the only constraint on EPA’s authority to
    force the State to reduce its emissions. The other legal constraints
    described in this Part can further lower a State’s maximum
    obligation.
    25
    downwind State itself. Each upwind State may be required to
    eliminate only its own “amounts which will . . . contribute
    significantly” to a downwind State’s “nonattainment.” As
    explained in North Carolina, EPA may not require any
    upwind State to “share the burden of reducing other upwind
    states’ emissions.” 
    Id.
     In other words, the statutory text –
    which refers to “amounts” which will “contribute
    significantly” to a downwind State’s “nonattainment” –
    contains not just an absolute component (meaning that an
    upwind State’s insignificant amounts are not covered) but also
    a relative component (meaning that each State’s relative
    contribution to the downwind State’s nonattainment must be
    considered).
    Moreover, the end goal of the statute is attainment in the
    downwind State. EPA’s authority to force reductions on
    upwind States ends at the point where the affected downwind
    State achieves attainment.
    Therefore, if the downwind State would attain the
    NAAQS but for upwind States’ contributions – that is, if the
    entire above-NAAQS amount is attributable to upwind States’
    emissions – then the upwind States’ combined share is the
    entire amount by which the downwind State exceeded the
    NAAQS. And as we said in North Carolina, when EPA
    allocates that burden among the upwind States, EPA may not
    force any upwind State to “share the burden of reducing other
    upwind states’ emissions.” 
    Id.
     Each upwind State must bear
    its own fair share. Therefore, the “significance” of each
    upwind State’s contribution cannot be measured in a vacuum,
    divorced from the impact of the other upwind States. Rather,
    the collective burden must be allocated among the upwind
    States in proportion to the size of their contributions to the
    26
    downwind State’s nonattainment. Otherwise, EPA would
    violate the statute and our decision in North Carolina. 14
    A specific example helps illustrate that point. Suppose
    the NAAQS is 100 units, but the downwind State’s
    nonattainment area contains 150 units. Suppose further that
    the downwind State contributes 90 units, and three upwind
    States contribute 20 units each. Because the upwind States
    are responsible for the downwind State’s exceeding the
    NAAQS by 50 units, the downwind State is entitled to at most
    50 units of relief from the upwind States so that the
    downwind State can achieve attainment of the NAAQS.
    Distributing those obligations in a manner proportional to
    their contributions, each of the three upwind States’
    significant contribution would be, at most, 16 ⅔ units. Or
    suppose instead that the three upwind States contribute 10, 20,
    14
    Before Congress adopted the current text in the Clean Air
    Act Amendments of 1990, the statutory text targeted amounts from
    an upwind State that would “prevent attainment” in a downwind
    State. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(E) (1988) (emphasis added); cf. Pub.
    L. No. 101-549, § 101(b), 
    104 Stat. 2399
    , 2404 (1990). Under the
    “prevent attainment” standard, none of the three upwind States in
    that hypothetical would by itself be a but-for cause of the
    downwind State’s nonattainment. By moving from “prevent
    attainment” to “contribute significantly to nonattainment,” the 1990
    Amendments dropped the requirement that an individual upwind
    State’s emissions on their own prevent downwind attainment or
    maintenance. See S. REP. NO. 101-228, at 21 (1989) (“Since it may
    be impossible to say that any single source or group of sources is
    the one which actually prevents attainment, the bill changes
    ‘prevent attainment or maintenance’ to ‘contribute significantly to
    nonattainment or interfere with maintenance by,’ thus clarifying
    when a violation occurs.”). Instead, it now suffices if EPA
    identifies upwind emissions that, together with emissions from
    other upwind contributors, push a given downwind maintenance
    area above the NAAQS.
    27
    and 30 units respectively. Distributing those obligations in a
    manner proportional to their contributions, those three States’
    significant contributions would be at most 8 ⅓, 16 ⅔, and 25
    units, respectively, leading to the combined reduction of 50
    units needed for the downwind State to reach attainment. 15
    In addition, our decisions in Michigan and North
    Carolina establish that EPA may consider cost, but only to
    further lower an individual State’s obligations. See Michigan,
    
    213 F.3d at 675
    ; North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 918
    . Under
    Michigan, moreover, EPA may do so in a way that benefits
    some upwind States more than others. See 
    213 F.3d at 679
    .
    In other words, in order to prevent exorbitant costs from being
    imposed on certain upwind States, EPA may lower the
    obligations imposed on those States.
    15
    If the downwind State’s contribution alone would push it
    above the NAAQS, then the entire above-NAAQS amount cannot
    be attributed only to upwind States. The downwind State is
    responsible for its own share of the above-NAAQS amount. In that
    scenario, upwind States that contribute to the downwind State are
    collectively on the hook for that share of the above-NAAQS
    amount that is attributable to upwind States’ contributions. And,
    again, that collective burden must be allocated among the upwind
    States in proportion to the size of their contributions to the
    downwind State. Otherwise, one upwind State would be forced to
    “share the burden of reducing other upwind states’ emissions,” in
    violation of the statute. North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 921
    .
    An example helps illustrate that point. Suppose the NAAQS is
    100 units, and the downwind State’s air contains 180 units. The
    downwind State contributes 120 units, and three upwind States
    contribute 20 units each. The downwind State is 80 units over the
    NAAQS – but 20 units of that is its own responsibility. The
    upwind States must therefore provide at most 60 units of relief.
    Distributing those obligations proportionally, each of the three
    upwind States’ significant contribution would be, at most, 20 units.
    28
    Third, to conform to the text of the statute, EPA must
    also ensure that the combined obligations of the various
    upwind States, as aggregated, do not produce more than
    necessary “over-control” in the downwind States – that is, that
    the obligations do not go beyond what is necessary for the
    downwind States to achieve the NAAQS.
    Even when EPA carefully conforms to the above limits
    on its authority, the possibility of over-control in downwind
    States still arises because multiple upwind States may affect a
    single downwind State and, conversely, a single upwind State
    may affect multiple downwind States. The requirement to
    prevent such over-control comes directly from the text of the
    statute: The good neighbor provision of the statute targets
    those emissions from upwind States that “contribute
    significantly to nonattainment” of the NAAQS. EPA may
    require only those reductions that are necessary for downwind
    States to attain the NAAQS. The good neighbor provision is
    not a free-standing tool for EPA to seek to achieve air quality
    levels in downwind States that are well below the NAAQS.
    Therefore, if modeling shows that a given slate of upwind
    reductions would yield more downwind air quality benefits
    than necessary for downwind areas to attain the NAAQS,
    EPA must attempt to ratchet back the upwind States’
    obligations to the level of reductions necessary and sufficient
    to produce attainment in the downwind States. 16
    16
    For example, suppose that under the proportional approach
    explained above, State A would have to cut 5,000 tons of NOx to
    achieve its largest downwind obligation, while State B would have
    to cut 2,000 tons to achieve its largest downwind obligation. If
    EPA modeling showed that all downwind nonattainment would be
    resolved if those two upwind States’ combined reduction
    obligations were, say, 10% lower, EPA would have to ratchet back
    the upwind States’ reduction obligations by a total of 10%. That
    29
    To be sure, as even petitioners acknowledge, there may
    be some truly unavoidable over-control in some downwind
    States that occurs as a byproduct of the necessity of reducing
    upwind States’ emissions enough to meet the NAAQS in
    other downwind States. See Industry & Labor Reply Br. 11
    n.2. For those reasons, EPA must have some discretion about
    how to reasonably avoid such over-control. Moreover,
    because multiple upwind States may affect a single downwind
    State, and because a single upwind State may affect multiple
    downwind States, it may not be possible to accomplish the
    ratcheting back in an entirely proportional manner among the
    upwind States. Our cases recognize as much. See Michigan,
    
    213 F.3d at 679
    ; North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 908
    . But the
    point remains: EPA must avoid using the good neighbor
    provision in a manner that would result in unnecessary over-
    control in the downwind States. Otherwise, EPA would be
    exceeding its statutory authority, which is expressly tied to
    achieving attainment in the downwind States.
    B
    We now apply those principles to the EPA Transport
    Rule. “It is axiomatic that an administrative agency’s power
    to promulgate legislative regulations is limited to the authority
    delegated by Congress.” Bowen v. Georgetown Univ. Hosp.,
    
    488 U.S. 204
    , 208 (1988); see also Michigan v. EPA, 
    268 F.3d 1075
    , 1081 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (“EPA is a federal agency –
    a creature of statute,” and may exercise “only those
    authorities conferred upon it by Congress.”). An agency may
    not exceed a statute’s authorization or violate a statute’s
    limits. If a statute is ambiguous, an agency that administers
    the statute may choose a reasonable interpretation of that
    ambiguity – but the agency’s interpretation must still stay
    would ensure that upwind States were only forced to prohibit those
    emissions that “contribute significantly to nonattainment.”
    30
    within the boundaries of the statutory text. See Chevron
    U.S.A. Inc. v. NRDC, 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 842-44 (1984). 17
    In the Transport Rule, EPA used a two-stage approach to
    define “amounts which will . . . contribute significantly” to
    downwind attainment problems. The first stage identified
    those upwind States that were “significant contributors” to
    downwind attainment problems. EPA determined that a
    State’s contribution to a downwind nonattainment or
    maintenance area was significant if it exceeded a numerical
    “air quality threshold” of 0.8 ppb for ozone, 0.15 µg/m3 for
    annual PM2.5, and 0.35 µg/m3 for 24-hour PM2.5. Transport
    Rule, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 48,208
    , 48,236 (Aug. 8, 2011). States
    “whose contributions are below these thresholds,” EPA
    found, “do not significantly contribute to nonattainment or
    interfere with maintenance of the relevant NAAQS.” 
    Id.
    Those upwind States were off the hook altogether.
    But an upwind State that exceeded the significance
    threshold at even one downwind State’s receptor was drawn
    wholesale into the Rule’s second stage – cost-based emissions
    reductions. At that second stage, EPA abandoned the
    previous measure of significance – the numerical air quality
    thresholds, which were based on the quantity of pollution an
    upwind State sent to a downwind area. Instead, EPA
    switched over to relying on cost of reduction alone. EPA
    required each State’s power plants to cut all of the emissions
    17
    We set aside EPA’s action here if “arbitrary, capricious, an
    abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law,” or if
    “in excess of statutory jurisdiction, authority, or limitations, or
    short of statutory right.” The standard we apply “is the same”
    under the judicial review provision of the Clean Air Act, 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(9), as under the Administrative Procedure Act, 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2). Motor Vehicle Manufacturers Ass’n v. EPA, 
    768 F.2d 385
    , 389 n.6 (D.C. Cir. 1985).
    31
    they could eliminate at a given cost per ton of pollution
    reduced – regardless of the “amounts” of the State’s
    emissions EPA deemed to “contribute significantly” at stage
    one and regardless of the relative contributions of the other
    upwind States and the downwind State.
    We perceive at least three independent but intertwined
    legal flaws in EPA’s approach to the good neighbor provision.
    Those flaws correspond to the three requirements we outlined
    above that come from the statutory text.
    First, and most fundamentally, the Transport Rule is
    flawed because the requirement that EPA imposed on upwind
    States was not based on the “amounts” from upwind States
    that “contribute significantly to nonattainment” in downwind
    States, as required by the statute and our decision in North
    Carolina.
    Petitioners claim that the initial stage of EPA’s analysis –
    the numerical air quality thresholds, which used a bright-line
    test for whether a State’s downwind emissions “contribute
    significantly” – created a “‘floor’ below which any
    contribution is, by definition, viewed as insignificant.”
    Industry & Labor Br. 20. Petitioners argue that EPA has no
    statutory authority to compel States to reduce amounts of
    pollution that are “insignificant.” Therefore, petitioners
    contend that EPA could not ignore that floor at the later stage,
    when it calculated each State’s “significant contribution”
    based on cost. 18
    18
    The dissent contends that this point was not preserved for
    judicial review and that the agency was not aware of this issue
    during the agency proceedings. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B).
    For several reasons, we are convinced EPA had more than
    “adequate notification of the general substance” of petitioners’
    32
    argument. NRDC v. EPA, 
    571 F.3d 1245
    , 1259 (D.C. Cir. 2009)
    (quoting South Coast Air Quality Mgmt. Dist. v. EPA, 
    472 F.3d 882
    , 891 (D.C. Cir. 2006)). Indeed, one of the central questions in
    the long history of EPA’s efforts to implement the good neighbor
    provision has been whether EPA has complied with the basic
    statutory limits on its authority. So it is here.
    First, the Transport Rule proceeding arose out of this Court’s
    decision in North Carolina, on which petitioners’ argument relies.
    See Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,211 (“EPA is promulgating
    the Transport Rule in response to the remand of the Clean Air
    Interstate Rule (CAIR) by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District
    of Columbia Circuit”). In North Carolina v. EPA, this Court
    explained the applicable statutory limitations and instructed EPA on
    remand to craft a new rule “consistent with our opinion.” 
    550 F.3d 1176
    , 1177 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (on rehearing). Instructing EPA to
    proceed in a manner “consistent with” North Carolina presupposes
    that EPA is aware of the Court’s opinion. And the opinion made
    clear that once EPA defines each upwind State’s “significant
    contribution,” it may not “require some states to exceed the mark.”
    
    531 F.3d at 921
    . In sum, EPA knew from the beginning that it was
    required to comply with North Carolina, including that part of the
    Court’s holding on which petitioners rely here.
    Second, EPA considered – and rejected – precisely the same
    argument in CAIR. EPA first acknowledged the comment: “Some
    commenters stated, more broadly, that the threshold contribution
    level selected by EPA should be considered a floor, so that upwind
    States should be obliged to reduce their emissions only to the level
    at which their contribution to downwind nonattainment does not
    exceed that threshold level.” CAIR, 
    70 Fed. Reg. 25,162
    , 25,176-
    77 (May 12, 2005). It then dismissed that argument: “Most
    important for present purposes, as long as the controls yield
    downwind benefits needed to reduce the extent of nonattainment,
    the controls should not be lessened simply because they may have
    the effect of reducing the upwind State’s contribution to below the
    initial threshold.” 
    Id. at 25,177
    . EPA’s rejection of the same
    argument in a prior rulemaking – indeed, in a prior rulemaking that
    is the direct progenitor of the current one – is highly relevant to
    33
    whether the argument is preserved here. See, e.g., American
    Petroleum Institute v. EPA, 
    52 F.3d 1113
    , 1120 n.1 (D.C. Cir.
    1995); NRDC v. EPA, 
    824 F.2d 1146
    , 1151 (D.C. Cir. 1987) (en
    banc); see also Appalachian Power Co. v. EPA, 
    135 F.3d 791
    , 818
    (D.C. Cir. 1998) (“The purpose of the exhaustion requirement is to
    ensure that the agency is given the first opportunity to bring its
    expertise to bear on the resolution of a challenge to a rule.”).
    EPA’s prior rejection of the same argument in CAIR, together with
    this Court’s opinion in North Carolina, show that EPA “had notice
    of this issue and could, or should have, taken it into account.”
    NRDC, 
    824 F.2d at 1151
    .
    Third, EPA’s statements at the proposal stage indicated EPA
    was not open to reconsidering CAIR’s earlier rejection of
    petitioners’ argument. See Proposed Transport Rule, 
    75 Fed. Reg. 45,210
    , 45,299 (Aug. 2, 2010) (“EPA evaluated a number of
    alternative approaches to defining significant contribution and
    interference with maintenance in addition to the approach proposed
    in this rule. Stakeholders suggested a variety of ideas. EPA
    considered all suggested approaches. . . . EPA is not proposing any
    of the alternative approaches listed here.”). By that point, EPA had
    already dismissed the two air quality-only approaches it considered
    and had indicated its firm commitment to the cost-based approach.
    See EPA, Alternative Significant Contribution Approaches
    Evaluated Technical Support Document 7 (July 2010) (EPA,
    Significant Contribution TSD), J.A. 2312 (uniform cost-per-ton
    approach “has been successfully implemented before, with
    excellent environmental results”); see also 
    id. at 3-7
    , J.A. 2308-12.
    In light of the indications that EPA was aware of their objection but
    had no intention to revisit its approach (and indeed had already
    rejected the objection), the specificity of commenters such as
    Wisconsin and Tennessee was “reasonable” under the
    circumstances. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B); see, e.g., Wisconsin
    Cmt., J.A. 1293 (“EPA needs to primarily depend on air quality
    results instead of control costs in defining” significant
    contributions); Tennessee Cmt., J.A. 556 (“A lower cost threshold
    should be considered for any State that can reduce their
    contribution below 1% significance using cost thresholds below the
    34
    We agree with petitioners. The Transport Rule includes
    or excludes an upwind State based on the amount of that
    upwind State’s significant contribution to a nonattainment
    area in a downwind State. That much is fine. But under the
    Rule, a State then may be required to reduce its emissions by
    an amount greater than the “significant contribution” that
    brought it into the program in the first place. That much is
    not fine.
    Put more plainly, EPA determined that a State was
    subject to the good neighbor provision if it contributed at least
    a certain threshold amount to air pollution in a downwind
    State. But EPA then imposed restrictions based on region-
    wide air quality modeling projections; those restrictions could
    require upwind States to reduce emissions by more than the
    amount of that contribution.
    maximum values ($2,000/ton for SO2 and $500/ton for NOx), if
    applicable. . . . We would like to see a summary for each State and
    pollutant that indicates, independently of cost, the amounts
    necessary to eliminate the significant contribution and interference
    with maintenance from upwind States.”); Delaware Cmt., J.A. 1756
    (challenging EPA’s decision to depart from the air quality
    thresholds used for inclusion and to quantify States’ significant
    contributions based on cost considerations, not air quality); see also
    Appalachian Power, 
    135 F.3d at 817
     (“the word ‘reasonable’
    cannot be read out of the statute in favor of a hair-splitting
    approach”); 
    id. at 818
     (an objection need not be “phrased in exactly
    the same way in each forum”); South Coast, 472 F.3d at 891
    (petitioners have “some leeway in developing their argument” on
    review).
    In sum, we are confident here that EPA had more than
    “adequate notification of the general substance of the complaint.”
    South Coast, 472 F.3d at 891. EPA was plainly on notice that its
    disregard of the significance floor was a potential legal infirmity in
    its approach.
    35
    EPA’s approach poses a fundamental legal problem – one
    that derives from the text of the statute and from our
    precedents. Our decision in Michigan held that EPA may use
    cost considerations to require “termination of only a subset of
    each state’s contribution.” 
    213 F.3d at 675
    . And our decision
    in North Carolina made clear that EPA may not use cost to
    force an upwind State to “exceed the mark.” 
    531 F.3d at 921
    . 19
    By using a numerical threshold at the initial stage – and
    thereby creating a floor below which “amounts” of downwind
    pollution were not significant – EPA defined the “mark,” to
    use the term employed in North Carolina. EPA could not
    then ignore that mark and redefine each State’s “significant
    contribution” in such a way that an upwind State’s required
    reductions could be more than its own significant contribution
    to a downwind State. 20
    19
    The Court in North Carolina reached these conclusions in its
    discussion of EPA’s use of power plant fuel mix to distribute NOx
    reduction obligations among the CAIR States. See 
    531 F.3d at 904, 918-21
    . EPA claims that the reasoning of that analysis is not
    relevant here because it did not relate to “general significant
    contribution issues,” but rather to the manner of calculating each
    State’s emissions budget. EPA Br. 23.
    That is a distinction without a difference. The fuel mix
    analysis increased some States’ obligations and reduced others’.
    EPA’s argument overlooks that no step in its analysis – however
    the step is labeled – may impose burdens on States or private
    entities unless those burdens are anchored in statutory authority.
    Under the statute, States are required to prohibit only those
    “amounts which will . . . contribute significantly to nonattainment”
    or “interfere with maintenance.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i); see
    also North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 919
    .
    20
    This particular issue was not presented in Michigan. In the
    1998 NOx Rule, EPA balanced various air quality factors using a
    36
    EPA now claims that the Rule’s air quality thresholds
    were established for a “limited analytical purpose” and
    “otherwise say nothing about what part of each State’s
    contribution should be considered ‘significant.’” EPA Br. 33.
    That claim rings hollow. EPA itself said in the final rule that
    “states whose contributions are below these thresholds do not
    significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere with
    maintenance of the relevant NAAQS.” Transport Rule, 76
    Fed. Reg. at 48,236. EPA therefore acknowledged that
    amounts below the threshold are not “amounts which will . . .
    contribute significantly” to downwind attainment problems. 21
    In short, EPA used the air quality thresholds to establish a
    floor below which “amounts” of air pollution do not
    “weight-of-evidence approach.” 
    63 Fed. Reg. 57,356
    , 57,381 (Oct.
    27, 1998). Unlike the Transport Rule, the 1998 NOx Rule did not
    employ a numerical threshold, nor any other “bright line criterion,”
    to screen out States at the first stage. 
    Id. at 57,383
    .
    21
    EPA cannot avoid North Carolina by declining to quantify
    the “amount” of each State’s downwind contribution, “beginning its
    analysis with cost,” 
    531 F.3d at 918
    , and simply designating the
    output of that cost-based analysis each State’s “significant
    contribution.” The statutory term “amounts which will . . .
    contribute significantly” is not so elastic. See 
    id. at 920
     (“When a
    petitioner complains EPA is requiring a state to eliminate more than
    its significant contribution, it is inadequate for EPA to respond that
    it never measured individual states’ significant contributions.”). As
    explained above, “amounts which will . . . contribute” logically
    cannot exceed the amount of a pollutant that leaves a State’s
    borders and reaches a nonattainment area. And insignificant
    amounts must be excluded. Moreover, the “significance” of an
    upwind State’s emissions for a downwind area’s attainment
    problem cannot be divorced from the relative impact of other
    States’ contributions to that problem.
    37
    “contribute significantly.” 22 The statute requires a State to
    prohibit at most those “amounts” which will “contribute
    significantly” – and no more. If amounts below a numerical
    threshold do not contribute significantly to a downwind
    State’s nonattainment, EPA may not require an upwind State
    to do more. The Transport Rule does not adhere to that basic
    requirement of the statutory text and our precedents. 23
    Second, EPA’s Transport Rule also runs afoul of the
    statute’s proportionality requirement as described in our
    decision in North Carolina: EPA has “no authority to force
    an upwind state to share the burden of reducing other upwind
    states’ emissions.” 
    531 F.3d at 921
    ; see Industry & Labor Br.
    33 (in imposing SO2 budgets, EPA “did not even consider the
    relative contributions of the various States”).        EPA’s
    “redistributional instinct may be laudatory,” North Carolina,
    
    531 F.3d at 921
    , but it cannot trump the terms of the statute.
    Under the statute, each upwind State that contributes to a
    22
    EPA protests that it used the numerical thresholds only to
    determine “which upwind State contributions to downwind
    problems are so small as to warrant exclusion.” EPA Br. 31. But
    that must mean those “amounts” that are “so small as to warrant
    exclusion” are not “significant.” (It would be illogical to carve out
    a de minimis exception for emissions that are statutorily
    “significant.”)
    23
    EPA seems reluctant to acknowledge any textual limits on
    its authority under the good neighbor provision. At oral argument,
    EPA suggested that “reasonableness” is the only limit on its
    authority to use cost-effectiveness to force down States’ emissions.
    Tr. of Oral Arg. at 44-45. EPA would not rule out the possibility
    that under the good neighbor provision, it could require a State to
    reduce more than the State’s total emissions that go out of State.
    See id. at 43-45. But such a claim of authority does not square with
    the statutory text – “amounts” of pollution obviously cannot
    “contribute” to a downwind State’s pollution problem if they don’t
    even reach the downwind State.
    38
    downwind nonattainment area is responsible for no more than
    its own “amounts which will . . . contribute significantly” to
    the downwind State’s pollution problem. To be sure, under
    Michigan, EPA may rely on cost-effectiveness factors in
    order to allow some upwind States to do less than their full
    fair share. See 
    213 F.3d at 675
    ; cf. Petitioning States’ Br. 17,
    Michigan, 
    213 F.3d 663
     (No. 98-1497). But when EPA asks
    one upwind State to eliminate more than its statutory fair
    share, that State is necessarily being forced to clean up
    another upwind State’s share of the mess in the downwind
    State. Under the statute and North Carolina, that is
    impermissible.
    Here, EPA’s Transport Rule violated the statute because
    it made no attempt to calculate upwind States’ required
    reductions on a proportional basis that took into account
    contributions of other upwind States to the downwind States’
    nonattainment problems.
    In the same vein, EPA’s Transport Rule failed to take
    into account the downwind State’s own fair share of the
    amount by which it exceeds the NAAQS. See Industry &
    Labor Br. 24-25. How “significantly” an upwind State
    contributes to a downwind State’s nonattainment also depends
    in part on how much of the above-NAAQS amount comes
    from the downwind State itself. As we explained above, EPA
    therefore must factor in the downwind State’s own
    contribution, alongside those of the various upwind States.
    But EPA did not do that here.
    Third, and relatedly, EPA also failed to ensure that the
    collective obligations of the various upwind States, when
    aggregated, did not produce unnecessary over-control in the
    downwind States. EPA’s statutory authority, once again, is
    limited to attaining the NAAQS in the downwind States.
    39
    EPA may not require upwind States to do more than
    necessary for the downwind States to achieve the NAAQS.
    Here, EPA did not try to take steps to avoid such over-
    control. 24
    In sum, EPA’s authority derives from the statute and is
    limited by the statutory text. 25 EPA’s reading of Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) – a narrow and limited provision – reaches
    far beyond what the text will bear.
    24
    At the proposal stage in the proceeding that culminated in
    the Transport Rule, EPA considered a proportional approach that
    reflected many of the essential principles described above. See
    EPA, Significant Contribution TSD at 6-7, J.A. 2311-12. Under
    that approach, the upwind contributors to a given downwind area
    would collectively have to provide a “defined air quality
    improvement” to the downwind State, in the amount by which the
    downwind State exceeded the NAAQS. Id. at 6, J.A. 2311. And
    the upwind States’ individual shares of that collective duty would
    be defined “in direct proportion to their original contribution[s]” to
    the downwind State. Id. EPA ultimately chose not to adopt that
    approach, however.
    25
    The statute also requires upwind States to prohibit emissions
    that will “interfere with maintenance” of the NAAQS in a
    downwind State. “Amounts” of air pollution cannot be said to
    “interfere with maintenance” unless they leave the upwind State
    and reach a downwind State’s maintenance area. To require a State
    to reduce “amounts” of emissions pursuant to the “interfere with
    maintenance” prong, EPA must show some basis in evidence for
    believing that those “amounts” from an upwind State, together with
    amounts from other upwind contributors, will reach a specific
    maintenance area in a downwind State and push that maintenance
    area back over the NAAQS in the near future. Put simply, the
    “interfere with maintenance” prong of the statute is not an open-
    ended invitation for EPA to impose reductions on upwind States.
    Rather, it is a carefully calibrated and commonsense supplement to
    the “contribute significantly” requirement.
    40
    Although the statutory text alone prohibits EPA’s Rule,
    the statutory context provides additional support for our
    conclusion. The Supreme Court, in analyzing Section 109 of
    the Clean Air Act, rejected the premise that Congress would
    “alter the fundamental details of a regulatory scheme” in
    “ancillary provisions” – in other words, that Congress would
    “hide elephants in mouseholes.” Whitman v. American
    Trucking Ass’ns, 
    531 U.S. 457
    , 468 (2001). The good
    neighbor provision is one of more than 20 SIP requirements in
    Section 110(a)(2). It seems inconceivable that Congress
    buried in Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) – the good neighbor
    provision – an open-ended authorization for EPA to
    effectively force every power plant in the upwind States to
    install every emissions control technology EPA deems “cost-
    effective.” Such a reading would transform the narrow good
    neighbor provision into a “broad and unusual authority” that
    would overtake other core provisions of the Act. Gonzales v.
    Oregon, 
    546 U.S. 243
    , 267 (2006). We “are confident that
    Congress could not have intended to delegate a decision of
    such economic and political significance to an agency in so
    cryptic a fashion.” FDA v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco
    Corp., 
    529 U.S. 120
    , 160 (2000).
    ***
    States are obligated to prohibit only those “amounts” of
    pollution “which will . . . contribute significantly” to
    downwind attainment problems – and no more. Because the
    Transport Rule exceeds those limits, and indeed does not
    really try to meet those requirements, it cannot stand.
    III
    There is a second, entirely independent problem with the
    Transport Rule. EPA did not stop at simply quantifying each
    upwind State’s good neighbor obligations. Instead, in an
    41
    unprecedented application of the good neighbor provision,
    EPA also simultaneously issued Federal Implementation
    Plans, or FIPs, to implement those obligations on sources in
    the States. EPA did so without giving the States an initial
    opportunity to implement the obligations themselves through
    their State Implementation Plans, or SIPs.
    The Clean Air Act ordinarily gives States the initial
    opportunity to implement a new air quality standard on
    sources within their borders; States do so by submitting SIPs.
    See 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7407
    (a), 7410(a)(1). Here, by preemptively
    issuing FIPs, EPA denied the States that first opportunity to
    implement the reductions required under their good neighbor
    obligations. EPA justifies its “FIP-first” approach by pointing
    to its earlier findings that the States had failed to meet their
    good neighbor obligations. But those findings came before
    the Transport Rule quantified the States’ good neighbor
    obligations. EPA’s approach punishes the States for failing to
    meet a standard that EPA had not yet announced and the
    States did not yet know.
    Under the Act, EPA has authority to set standards, but the
    statute reserves the first-implementer role for the States. That
    division of labor applies not just to the NAAQS but also to the
    good neighbor provision, Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), as EPA
    itself has recognized several times in the past. When EPA
    defines States’ good neighbor obligations, it must give the
    States the first opportunity to implement the new
    requirements.
    A
    “Under the Clean Air Act, both the Federal Government
    and the States exercise responsibility for maintaining and
    improving air quality.” American Trucking Ass’ns v. EPA,
    
    600 F.3d 624
    , 625 (D.C. Cir. 2010). The Act sets forth a
    42
    basic division of labor: The Federal Government establishes
    air quality standards, but States have primary responsibility
    for attaining those standards within their borders. See Train
    v. NRDC, 
    421 U.S. 60
    , 63-67 (1975); American Trucking, 
    600 F.3d at 625-26
    ; Virginia v. EPA, 
    108 F.3d 1397
    , 1406-10
    (D.C. Cir. 1997); see also 
    42 U.S.C. § 7401
    (a) (“The
    Congress finds . . . that air pollution prevention (that is, the
    reduction or elimination, through any measures, of the amount
    of pollutants produced or created at the source) and air
    pollution control at its source is the primary responsibility of
    States and local governments . . . .”); 
    42 U.S.C. § 7407
    (a)
    (“Each State shall have the primary responsibility for assuring
    air quality within the entire geographic area comprising such
    State . . . .”). 26
    That statutory division of authority is strict. This Court
    has described the Train-Virginia line of cases as erecting a
    statutory “federalism bar” under Section 110 of the Act. See
    Appalachian Power Co. v. EPA, 
    249 F.3d 1032
    , 1046 (D.C.
    Cir. 2001) (citing Train, 
    421 U.S. 60
    ; Virginia, 
    108 F.3d 1397
    ); Michigan v. EPA, 
    213 F.3d 663
    , 687 (D.C. Cir. 2000).
    That statutory federalism bar prohibits EPA from using the
    SIP process to force States to adopt specific control measures.
    See Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 687
    ; Virginia, 
    108 F.3d at 1410
    .
    In Train, the Supreme Court invoked that statutory
    division of labor in holding that the Clean Air Act gives EPA
    26
    The 1970 Amendments, which “sharply increased federal
    authority” in setting air quality standards, at the same time
    “explicitly preserved the principle” of State primacy in
    implementing pollution controls. Train, 
    421 U.S. at 64
    . The 1990
    Amendments, which enacted the current text of Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), “did not alter the division of responsibilities
    between EPA and the states in the section 110 process.” Virginia,
    
    108 F.3d at 1410
    .
    43
    “no authority to question the wisdom of a State’s choices of
    emission limitations,” so long as the State’s SIP submission
    would result in “compliance with the national standards for
    ambient air.” 
    421 U.S. at 79
    . The Court stated:
    The Agency is plainly charged by the Act with the
    responsibility for setting the national ambient air
    standards. Just as plainly, however, it is relegated by the
    Act to a secondary role in the process of determining and
    enforcing the specific, source-by-source emission
    limitations which are necessary if the national standards
    it has set are to be met.
    
    Id.
     (emphasis added); see also Union Electric Co. v. EPA, 
    427 U.S. 246
    , 256, 269 (1976) (EPA may not reject a SIP on
    grounds of technical or economic infeasibility; that “would
    permit the Administrator or a federal court to reject a State’s
    legislative choices in regulating air pollution, even though
    Congress plainly left with the States, so long as the national
    standards were met, the power to determine which sources
    would be burdened by regulation and to what extent”).
    Similarly, in Virginia, this Court held that EPA had no
    authority under Section 110 to condition its approval of
    northeastern States’ SIPs on the States’ adoption of
    California’s vehicle emission control measures. See 
    108 F.3d at 1401-10
    . The Court relied on the basic principle that the
    States, not EPA, are the primary implementers under Section
    110. See 
    id. at 1410
     (“section 110 does not enable EPA to
    force particular control measures on the states”).
    In sum, Title I of the Act establishes a “partnership
    between EPA and the states.” NRDC v. Browner, 
    57 F.3d 1122
    , 1123 (D.C. Cir. 1995). The terms of that partnership
    are clear: EPA sets the standards, but the States “bear
    primary responsibility for attaining, maintaining, and
    44
    enforcing these standards.” American Lung Ass’n v. EPA,
    
    134 F.3d 388
    , 389 (D.C. Cir. 1998).
    B
    With that basic structure in mind, we consider the
    question presented here: whether EPA may use its rulemaking
    authority to quantify States’ obligations under Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) and simultaneously issue Federal
    Implementation Plans, without giving the States a first
    opportunity to comply.
    We begin by briefly describing the set of statutory
    provisions on which EPA relies here.
    EPA is the first mover in regulating ambient air pollution
    in Title I of the Clean Air Act. Section 109 requires EPA to
    promulgate NAAQS for common air pollutants. See Whitman
    v. American Trucking Ass’ns, 
    531 U.S. 457
    , 462 (2001)
    (citing 
    42 U.S.C. § 7409
    (a)). But once EPA sets a NAAQS,
    “responsibility under the Act shifts from the federal
    government to the states.” Lead Industries Ass’n v. EPA, 
    647 F.2d 1130
    , 1137 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
    Section 110 governs State Implementation Plans. Section
    110(a)(1) requires States to submit SIPs to implement each
    new or revised NAAQS. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(1). Section
    110(a)(2) lists many elements that a SIP must contain in order
    to ensure that the Plan will be comprehensive enough to
    enable the State to attain the NAAQS. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2). 27    The good neighbor provision, Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), is one of those required elements.
    27
    See, e.g., 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(A) (SIP shall “include
    enforceable emission limitations and other control measures,” “as
    45
    Section 110(c)(1) creates a federal backstop if the States
    fail to submit adequate SIPs. When EPA finds that a State
    “has failed to make a required submission” or “disapproves a
    State implementation plan submission in whole or in part”
    because of a SIP “deficiency,” EPA must “promulgate a
    Federal implementation plan” within two years, “unless the
    State corrects the deficiency” in the meantime in a manner
    approved by EPA. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1). In essence, the
    issue here is whether a State’s implementation of its good
    neighbor obligation can be considered part of the State’s
    “required submission” in its SIP (or whether the SIP can be
    deficient for failing to implement the good neighbor
    obligation) even before EPA quantifies the State’s good
    neighbor obligation. We think not. EPA’s quantifying of a
    State’s good neighbor obligation and setting of a State’s
    emissions budget is what “require[s]” the State to make a
    “submission” implementing that obligation on sources within
    the State. After EPA has set the relevant emissions budgets
    for each State, EPA may require States to submit new SIPs
    under Section 110(a)(1) or to revise their SIPs under Section
    110(k)(5). That is the approach EPA has used in the past. In
    short, once EPA defines or quantifies a State’s good neighbor
    obligation, the State must have a reasonable time to
    well as schedules and timetables for compliance”), 7410(a)(2)(B)
    (SIP shall provide for means to “monitor, compile, and analyze data
    on ambient air quality” and provide the data to EPA upon request),
    7410(a)(2)(C) (SIP shall “include a program to provide for the
    enforcement of” the control measures required by subparagraph
    (A)), 7410(a)(2)(E) (SIP shall provide assurances that State and
    local authorities “will have adequate personnel, funding, and
    authority” under State and local law “to carry out such
    implementation plan”), 7410(a)(2)(F) (SIP shall require “the
    installation, maintenance, and replacement of equipment” by
    “stationary sources to monitor emissions from such sources”).
    46
    implement that requirement with respect to sources within the
    State. 28
    In short, the triggers for a FIP are EPA’s finding that the
    SIP fails to contain a “required submission” or EPA’s
    disapproving a SIP because of a “deficiency.” But logically, a
    SIP cannot be deemed to lack a required submission or be
    deemed deficient for failing to implement the good neighbor
    obligation until after EPA has defined the State’s good
    neighbor obligation. Once it defines the obligation, then
    States may be forced to revise SIPs under Section 110(k)(5)
    or to submit new SIPs under Section 110(a)(1). Only if that
    revised or new SIP is properly deemed to lack a required
    submission or is properly deemed deficient may EPA resort to
    a FIP for the State’s good neighbor obligation.
    C
    1
    In light of Section 110(c)(1), EPA here made “a finding
    of failure to submit and/or disapproved a SIP submission” for
    each State with respect to each NAAQS for which that State
    would be covered.         EPA Br. 44 (citing 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1)); see also EPA, Status of CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
    SIPs Final Rule Technical Support Document (July 2011)
    (EPA, SIPs TSD), J.A. 3167. 29 On the basis of those
    28
    Section 110(k)(5), the SIP call provision, authorizes EPA to
    “establish reasonable deadlines” not to exceed 18 months for SIP
    revisions, once notice is given. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(5); cf. 1998
    NOx Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 57,451 (12-month deadline).
    29
    EPA was cognizant of another potential obstacle: its own
    past approval of CAIR SIPs. CAIR covered the 1997 ozone and
    annual PM2.5 NAAQS, two of the three NAAQS at issue here. See
    
    70 Fed. Reg. 25,162
    , 25,165 (May 12, 2005). Many covered States
    47
    findings, EPA asserted authority to issue the Transport Rule
    FIPs.
    But EPA’s many SIP disapprovals and findings of failure
    to submit share one problematic feature: EPA made all of
    those findings before it told the States what emissions
    reductions their SIPs were supposed to achieve under the
    good neighbor provision. See EPA, SIPs TSD, J.A. 3167.
    EPA sees no problem with that. In EPA’s view, there is
    no difference between a State’s obligation to comply with the
    NAAQS and a State’s good neighbor obligation: States must
    had submitted and received EPA approval of CAIR SIPs. See EPA,
    SIPs TSD, J.A. 3167. EPA apparently was concerned that those
    approved CAIR SIPs might deprive EPA of authority under Section
    110(c)(1) to issue Transport Rule FIPs for those two NAAQS.
    EPA tried to address this in the final rule. It claimed that
    because North Carolina invalidated CAIR, approved CAIR SIPs no
    longer fulfilled States’ Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) obligations. See
    Transport Rule, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 48,208
    , 48,219 (Aug. 8, 2011). It
    bears noting, however, that EPA continued to approve CAIR SIPs
    after North Carolina. See, e.g., 
    74 Fed. Reg. 65,446
     (Dec. 10,
    2009).
    But to try to make sure, in the final Transport Rule EPA
    retrospectively “corrected” its past approvals of CAIR SIPs, to
    clarify its view that an approved CAIR SIP did not shield a State
    from the Transport Rule FIPs. See 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,219; see also
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(6) (EPA may “revise” any approval the
    Administrator determines “was in error”). EPA made those
    “corrections” without using notice and comment rulemaking,
    despite the statutory requirement that EPA make any corrections
    “in the same manner as the approval.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(6).
    Because the Transport Rule must be vacated in any event, we
    need not address here whether EPA’s “corrections” of CAIR SIP
    approvals exceeded its authority under Section 110(k)(6).
    48
    submit SIPs addressing both within three years of a NAAQS,
    or face FIPs.
    But there is a difference – a glaring one – between the
    two obligations. A NAAQS is a clear numerical target. For
    example, the NAAQS for annual PM2.5 is 15 μg/m3. Every
    State knows precisely what numerical goal its SIP must
    achieve. If a State misses that clear numerical target, it has
    only itself to blame.
    By contrast, the good neighbor obligation is not a clear
    numerical target – far from it – until EPA defines the target.
    Even after EPA sets a NAAQS, an upwind State’s good
    neighbor obligation for that pollutant is nebulous and
    unknown. The statutory standard is “amounts” of pollution
    which will “contribute significantly to nonattainment” or
    “interfere with maintenance” of the new NAAQS in a
    downwind State. There is no way for an upwind State to
    know its obligation without knowing levels of air pollution in
    downwind States and then apportioning its responsibility for
    each downwind State’s nonattainment. Therefore, the upwind
    State’s obligation remains impossible for the upwind State to
    determine until EPA defines it. 30 Without further definition
    by EPA, a prohibition on “amounts which will . . . contribute
    significantly” is like a road sign that tells drivers to drive
    “carefully.” The regulated entities – here, the upwind States –
    30
    As EPA itself has recognized in the past: “The precise
    nature and contents of such a submission is [sic] not stipulated in
    the statute. EPA believes that the contents of the SIP submission
    required by section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) may vary depending upon the
    facts and circumstances related to the specific NAAQS.” EPA,
    Guidance for State Implementation Plan Submissions to Meet
    Current Outstanding Obligations Under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for
    the 8-Hour Ozone and PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality
    Standards 3 (Aug. 15, 2006) (EPA, 2006 Guidance).
    49
    need more precise guidance to know how to conform their
    conduct to the law. A SIP logically cannot be deemed to lack
    a “required submission” or deemed to be deficient for failure
    to meet the good neighbor obligation before EPA quantifies
    the good neighbor obligation.
    EPA faults the States for not hitting that impossible-to-
    know target with their SIP submissions. In effect, EPA’s
    view is that the only chance States have to hit the target is
    before EPA defines the target. By the time EPA makes the
    target clear, it’s already too late for the States to comply.
    Interestingly, outside of this litigation, EPA has itself
    recently and repeatedly recognized that it makes no sense for
    States to act until EPA defines the target. Just a few weeks
    ago, for example, in a separate proceeding EPA said that
    while some elements of a SIP submission are “relatively
    straightforward,” “others clearly require interpretation by
    EPA through rulemaking, or recommendations through
    guidance, in order to give specific meaning for a particular
    NAAQS.” 
    77 Fed. Reg. 46,361
    , 46,363 (Aug. 3, 2012). “For
    example, section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) requires EPA to be sure that
    each state’s SIP contains adequate provisions to prevent
    significant contribution to nonattainment of the NAAQS in
    other states. This provision contains numerous terms that
    require substantial rulemaking by EPA in order to determine
    such basic points as what constitutes significant contribution.”
    
    Id. at n.7
    . Thus, EPA has said that the good neighbor
    provision “clearly require[s] interpretation by EPA through
    rulemaking, or recommendations through guidance, in order
    to give specific meaning for a particular NAAQS.” Id.; see
    also, e.g., 
    77 Fed. Reg. 45,320
    , 45,323 & n.7 (July 31, 2012)
    (same); 
    77 Fed. Reg. 43,196
    , 43,199 & n.7 (July 24, 2012)
    (same); 
    77 Fed. Reg. 22,533
    , 22,536 & n.7 (Apr. 16, 2012)
    50
    (same); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 40,248
    , 40,250 & n.5 (July 8, 2011)
    (same).
    In this litigation, however, EPA insists that the text of
    Section 110(c)(1) compels its FIP-first approach. But EPA
    pursues its reading of the statutory text down the rabbit hole
    to a wonderland where EPA defines the target after the States’
    chance to comply with the target has already passed. Cf. FCC
    v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    132 S. Ct. 2307
    , 2317 (2012)
    (“A fundamental principle in our legal system is that laws
    which regulate persons or entities must give fair notice of
    conduct that is forbidden or required.”); 
    id.
     (“regulated parties
    should know what is required of them so they may act
    accordingly”); Christopher v. SmithKline Beecham Corp., 
    132 S. Ct. 2156
    , 2168 (2012) (“It is one thing to expect regulated
    parties to conform their conduct to an agency’s interpretations
    once the agency announces them; it is quite another to require
    regulated parties to divine the agency’s interpretations in
    advance . . . .”).
    We take a different view. Statutory text “cannot be
    construed in a vacuum. It is a fundamental canon of statutory
    construction that the words of a statute must be read in their
    context and with a view to their place in the overall statutory
    scheme.” Roberts v. Sea-Land Services, Inc., 
    132 S. Ct. 1350
    ,
    1357 (2012) (quoting Davis v. Michigan Dep’t of Treasury,
    
    489 U.S. 803
    , 809 (1989)).
    Title I’s core two-step process is that the Federal
    Government sets end goals and the States choose the means to
    attain those goals. See Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 687
    ; see also
    Virginia, 
    108 F.3d at 1410
    . EPA’s theory – that EPA can
    define the end goals for the good neighbor provision and
    simultaneously issue federal plans to implement them –
    upends that process and places the Federal Government firmly
    51
    in the driver’s seat at both steps. The FIP-first approach is
    incompatible with the basic text and structure of the Clean Air
    Act.
    In our view, determining the level of reductions required
    under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) is analogous to setting a
    NAAQS. And determining the level of reductions under the
    good neighbor provision triggers a period during which States
    may submit appropriate SIPs under Section 110(a)(1) or SIP
    revisions under Section 110(k)(5).
    That approach fits comfortably within the statutory text
    and structure. In both situations – setting a NAAQS and
    defining States’ good neighbor obligations – EPA sets the
    numerical end goal. And in both cases, once the standards are
    set, “determining the particular mix of controls among
    individual sources to attain those standards” remains “a State
    responsibility.” 1998 NOx Rule, 
    63 Fed. Reg. 57,356
    , 57,369
    (Oct. 27, 1998).
    2
    Other contextual and structural factors also support our
    conclusion that Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) preserves the basic
    principle that States, not the Federal Government, are the
    primary implementers after EPA has set the upwind States’
    good neighbor obligations.
    Section 110’s particular function in the statutory scheme
    is to give the States the first opportunity to implement the
    national standards EPA sets under Title I. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)-(c); see also Train, 
    421 U.S. at 79
    ; Virginia, 
    108 F.3d at 1410
    ; Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 686-87
    . The good
    neighbor requirement’s placement in Section 110(a) – a
    provision calling for State-level regulation – strongly suggests
    that Congress intended States to implement the obligations set
    52
    forth in Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). By contrast, if EPA’s FIP-
    first interpretation were to prevail, Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
    would not fit well in Section 110(a).
    Moreover, Title I contains a separate provision, Section
    126, that explicitly contemplates direct EPA regulation of
    specific sources that generate interstate pollution. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7426
    (b)-(c); see also Appalachian Power, 
    249 F.3d at 1046
    . Section 126(b) permits a State to petition EPA for a
    finding that a source in a neighboring State emits pollution in
    violation of Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). 31       See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7426
    (b). Section 126(c) gives EPA discretion to impose
    severe sanctions, including “emission limitations and
    compliance schedules,” on a source for which a finding has
    been made. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7426
    (c); see also 
    42 U.S.C. § 7509
    .
    The fact that Congress explicitly authorized EPA to use direct
    federal regulation to address interstate pollution suggests it
    did not contemplate direct Federal regulation in Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Cf. Whitman, 
    531 U.S. at 467-68
    ; General
    Motors Corp. v. United States, 
    496 U.S. 530
    , 541 (1990).
    And as this Court has previously held, that Section 126
    imposes “extrinsic legal constraints” on State autonomy “does
    not affect a state’s discretion under § 110.” Appalachian
    Power, 
    249 F.3d at 1047
     (emphasis added).
    In sum, the text and context of the statute, and the
    precedents of the Supreme Court and this Court, establish the
    States’ first-implementer role under Section 110. We decline
    31
    Section 126(b)’s text refers to “section 7410(a)(2)(D)(ii).”
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7426
    (b). This Court has identified the cross-reference
    to paragraph (ii), instead of paragraph (i), as scrivener’s error. See
    Appalachian Power, 
    249 F.3d at 1040-44
    .
    53
    to adopt a reading of Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) that would
    blow a hole in that basic structural principle. 32
    3
    The novelty of EPA’s approach underscores its flaws. In
    the past, EPA has applied the good neighbor provision in the
    States-first way we have outlined here.
    The 1998 NOx Rule (which we addressed in Michigan)
    quantified each State’s good neighbor obligation but then
    gave the States 12 months to submit SIPs to implement the
    required reductions. See 63 Fed. Reg. at 57,358, 57,450-51;
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (k)(5). Indeed, EPA explicitly assured
    States that the Rule did not intrude on their authority to
    choose the means to achieve the EPA-defined end goal. See
    1998 NOx Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 57,369. EPA then explained,
    persuasively, why it made sense not to deviate from Title I’s
    standard division of labor in the good neighbor context:
    The task of determining the reductions necessary to
    meet section 110(a)(2)(D) involves allocating the use of
    the downwind States’ air basin. This area is a commons
    in the sense that the contributing State or States have a
    greater interest in protecting their local interests than in
    protecting an area in a downwind State over which they
    do not have jurisdiction and for which they are not
    politically accountable. Thus, in general, it is reasonable
    to assume that EPA may be in a better position to
    determine the appropriate goal, or budget, for the
    32
    We conclude that EPA’s interpretation on the FIPs issue is
    contrary to the text and context of the statute (a Chevron step 1
    violation), in the alternative is absurd (a Chevron step 1 violation),
    and again in the alternative is unreasonable (thus failing Chevron
    step 2 if we get to step 2).
    54
    contributing States, while leaving [it] to the contributing
    States’ discretion to determine the mix of controls to
    make the necessary reductions.
    Id. at 57,370 (emphases added).
    In Michigan, this Court held that the 1998 Rule did not
    transgress the Train-Virginia federalism bar. But the terms of
    the Michigan Court’s approval highlight how flagrantly the
    new Transport Rule crosses that line. We said: “EPA does
    not tell the states how to achieve SIP compliance. Rather,
    EPA looks to section 110(a)(2)(D) and merely provides the
    levels to be achieved by state-determined compliance
    mechanisms.” 
    213 F.3d at 687
     (emphasis added). We
    emphasized that States had a “real choice” how to implement
    the required reductions. 
    Id. at 688
    .
    Like the 1998 NOx Rule, the 2005 Clean Air Interstate
    Rule gave States the first crack at implementing the
    reductions required by EPA. See 
    70 Fed. Reg. 25,162
    , 25,263
    (May 12, 2005) (requiring SIPs within 18 months). When
    EPA issued CAIR FIPs in April 2006, about a year after it
    promulgated CAIR, it clarified that it intended the FIPs to
    serve as a “Federal backstop” to the ongoing SIP process, and
    did not intend to “take any other steps to implement FIP
    requirements that could impact a State’s ability to regulate
    their sources in a different manner” until “a year after the
    CAIR SIP submission deadline.” See CAIR FIPs, 
    71 Fed. Reg. 25,328
    , 25,330 (Apr. 28, 2006). That timetable, EPA
    assured the States, would allow EPA “to approve timely SIPs
    before implementation of FIP requirements occurs.” 
    Id. at 25,331
     (emphasis added).
    In both the 1998 NOx Rule and the 2005 CAIR, EPA was
    therefore careful not to infringe the States’ first-implementer
    55
    role. EPA’s own past practice and statements illustrate the
    anomaly of its new FIP-first approach.
    D
    On a separate tack, EPA does not concede that it denied
    the States their rightful chance to implement their good
    neighbor obligations.     It contends States did have an
    opportunity to submit SIPs. In EPA’s view, once it issued the
    2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS, States had three years under
    Section 110(a)(1) to seek and obtain EPA approval of SIPs
    addressing their good neighbor obligations.
    But to reiterate, the problem is that the three-year period
    expired before EPA issued the Transport Rule and defined the
    good neighbor obligations of upwind States. EPA has an
    answer for that – one we find extraordinarily unpersuasive. In
    its view, each State should have come up with (i) its own
    definition of “amounts which will . . . contribute
    significantly” and (ii) its own modeling and methodology for
    applying that definition. See EPA Br. 48 (“EPA has never
    stated that its methodology is the only way”) (emphasis
    omitted).
    In effect, EPA claims the statute requires each State to
    take its own stab in the dark at defining “amounts which will
    . . . contribute significantly” to a downwind State’s
    nonattainment. The State would then have to apply that
    homemade definition         using its       own    homemade
    33
    methodology.
    33
    EPA points to guidance documents it issued in 2006 and
    2009. Those documents further undermine EPA’s contention that
    the stab in the dark was a realistic opportunity for States to avoid
    being pulled into the Transport Rule FIPs.
    56
    Of course, once a State takes its stab, EPA could
    disapprove it – especially if the State defined its own
    The 2006 document, published after CAIR but before North
    Carolina, did not apply to CAIR States. See EPA, 2006 Guidance
    at 4. It told non-CAIR States that “EPA anticipates, based upon
    existing information developed in connection with the CAIR, that
    emissions from sources in States not covered by the CAIR do not
    contribute significantly to nonattainment or interfere with
    maintenance of the 8-hour ozone or PM2.5 NAAQS in any other
    State.” 
    Id. at 5
    .
    The 2009 guidance document concerned the 2006 24-hour
    PM2.5 NAAQS, which was not covered by CAIR. The seven-page
    document included three paragraphs of vague guidance on
    “significant contribution” under Section 110(a)(2)(D). See EPA,
    Guidance on SIP Elements Required Under Sections 110(a)(l) and
    (2) for the 2006 24-Hour Fine Particle (PM2.5) National Ambient
    Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) 3 (Sept. 25, 2009) (EPA, 2009
    Guidance) (“The state’s conclusion must be supported by an
    adequate technical analysis. Information to support the state’s
    determination with respect to significant contribution to
    nonattainment might include, but is not limited to, information
    concerning emissions in the state, meteorological conditions . . . ,
    monitored ambient concentrations . . . , the distance to the nearest
    area that is not attaining the NAAQS in another state, and air
    quality modeling.”); cf. 1998 NOx Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at 57,370 (if
    EPA does not identify the “acceptable level of NOx reductions, the
    upwind State would not have guidance as to what is an acceptable
    submission”).
    The 2009 document ordered the States, equipped with that
    vague guidance, to submit SIPs to address Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for 24-hour PM2.5. But in the same breath, it
    warned them that EPA itself intended to “complete a rule to address
    interstate pollution transport in the eastern half of the continental
    United States.” EPA, 2009 Guidance at 3. EPA did not say what
    would happen if a State’s approach did not coincide with the
    approach EPA was developing for its own rule, but experience tells
    the tale.
    57
    obligation to be less than what EPA deemed it to be.
    Experience appears to bear that out: Petitioners point out that
    every Transport Rule State that submitted a good neighbor
    SIP for the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS was disapproved.
    See State & Local Br. 29-31; State & Local Reply Br. 5-7.
    That should not come as a surprise. In the 1998 NOx
    Rule, EPA acknowledged that pre-Rule stabs in the dark were
    bound to fail. “Without determining an acceptable level of
    NOx reductions,” EPA warned, “the upwind State would not
    have guidance as to what is an acceptable submission.” 63
    Fed. Reg. at 57,370. And States would incur significant costs
    developing those SIP submissions.
    As EPA repeatedly reminds this Court, interstate
    pollution is a collective problem that requires a
    comprehensive solution. See EPA Br. 5 (“Absent effective
    federal control, individual States often have little economic or
    political incentive to self-impose regulatory controls (and
    attendant costs) within their States solely to address air
    quality problems in other States.”). And EPA itself has
    recognized that having each State independently guess at its
    own good neighbor obligations is not a plausible solution to
    interstate pollution: “It is most efficient – indeed necessary –
    for the Federal government to establish the overall emissions
    levels for the various States.” 1998 NOx Rule, 63 Fed. Reg. at
    57,370 (emphasis added).
    Yet EPA now encourages us to suspend disbelief and
    conclude that under the statute, a State’s only chance to avoid
    FIPs is to make a successful stab in the dark – a feat that not
    one Transport Rule State managed to accomplish. EPA
    clearly does not believe the stab-in-the-dark approach would
    really permit States to avoid FIPs – its own past statements
    58
    show that. But EPA’s authority to issue these FIPs rests on
    our accepting its rickety statutory logic.
    We decline the invitation. Our duty is to “interpret the
    statute as a symmetrical and coherent regulatory scheme and
    fit, if possible, all parts into an harmonious whole.” FDA v.
    Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 
    529 U.S. 120
    , 133
    (2000) (citations and internal quotation marks omitted).
    EPA’s FIP-first approach fails that test.
    When EPA quantifies States’ good neighbor obligations,
    it must give the States a reasonable first opportunity to
    implement those obligations. That approach reads Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in harmony with the rest of Section 110. It
    preserves Title I’s Federal-State division of labor – a division
    repeatedly reinforced by the Supreme Court and this Court.
    And it accords with the commonsense notion that Congress
    did not design the good neighbor provision to set the States up
    to fail. 34
    34
    The dissent contends that the States’ challenge on this issue
    comes too late. We disagree. The dissent conflates (i) EPA’s prior
    disapproval of certain States’ SIPs and (ii) EPA’s decision to
    quantify the good neighbor obligation and to simultaneously issue
    FIPs rather than to issue a SIP call for SIP revisions (or to allow
    new SIPs). Petitioners are challenging only the latter point. And
    EPA announced its final decision to proceed that way in the
    Transport Rule itself. Put another way, the statute says that EPA
    must issue a FIP within two years after a State fails to make a
    “required submission” or submits a deficient SIP. But a State
    cannot be “required” to implement its good neighbor obligation in a
    SIP “submission” – nor be deemed to have submitted a deficient
    SIP for failure to implement the good neighbor obligation – until it
    knows the target set by EPA. In this case, EPA set the relevant
    target in the Transport Rule. Petitioners’ challenge to the Transport
    Rule’s FIPs is entirely timely.
    59
    IV
    The decision whether to vacate a flawed rule “depends on
    the seriousness of the order’s deficiencies (and thus the extent
    of doubt whether the agency chose correctly) and the
    disruptive consequences of an interim change that may itself
    be changed.” Allied-Signal, Inc. v. NRC, 
    988 F.2d 146
    , 150-
    51 (D.C. Cir. 1993) (internal quotation marks omitted); see
    also Davis County Solid Waste Mgmt. v. EPA, 
    108 F.3d 1454
    ,
    1459 (D.C. Cir. 1997).
    Here, we have no doubt that the agency chose incorrectly.
    The Transport Rule stands on an unsound foundation –
    including EPA’s flawed construction of the statutory term
    “amounts which will . . . contribute significantly to
    nonattainment.”      
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i).       That
    deficiency is too fundamental to permit us to “pick and
    choose portions” of the rule to preserve. North Carolina v.
    EPA, 
    531 F.3d 896
    , 929 (D.C. Cir. 2008). And as with the
    Clean Air Interstate Rule, the Transport Rule’s “fundamental
    flaws foreclose EPA from promulgating the same standards
    on remand.” 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks omitted). EPA’s
    chosen manner of implementing the Rule – issuing FIPs
    without giving the States a post-Rule opportunity to submit
    SIPs – also rests on a misreading of the statute.
    We therefore vacate the Transport Rule rulemaking
    action and FIPs, and remand to EPA.
    The remaining question is the status of CAIR. In North
    Carolina, this Court initially held that CAIR’s “fundamental
    flaws” required vacatur. 
    531 F.3d at 929
    . On rehearing, the
    Court reconsidered its initial decision and modified its order
    to remand CAIR without vacatur. North Carolina v. EPA,
    
    550 F.3d 1176
    , 1178 (D.C. Cir. 2008). The Court noted that
    under our precedents, it is appropriate to remand without
    60
    vacatur “where vacatur would at least temporarily defeat the
    enhanced protection of the environmental values covered by
    the EPA rule at issue.” 
    Id.
     (internal quotation marks,
    brackets, and ellipsis omitted). The Court was “convinced
    that, notwithstanding the relative flaws of CAIR, allowing
    CAIR to remain in effect until it is replaced by a rule
    consistent with our opinion would at least temporarily
    preserve the environmental values covered by CAIR.” 
    Id.
    In accordance with our Order granting the motions to stay
    the Transport Rule, EPA has continued to administer CAIR.
    See Order, No. 11-1302, at 2 (D.C. Cir. Dec. 30, 2011); see
    also http://www.epa.gov/cair. Vacating CAIR now would
    have the same consequences that moved the North Carolina
    Court to stay its hand – and indeed might be more severe
    now, in light of the reliance interests accumulated over the
    intervening four years. We therefore conclude, as did the
    Court in North Carolina, that the appropriate course is for
    EPA to continue to administer CAIR pending its development
    of a valid replacement. 35
    ***
    We vacate the Transport Rule and the Transport Rule
    FIPs and remand this proceeding to EPA. EPA must continue
    administering CAIR pending the promulgation of a valid
    replacement.
    So ordered.
    35
    The North Carolina Court did “not intend to grant an
    indefinite stay of the effectiveness” of its decision. 550 F.3d at
    1178. We likewise expect that EPA will proceed expeditiously on
    remand.
    ROGERS, Circuit Judge, dissenting: To vacate the Transport
    Rule, the court disregards limits Congress placed on its
    jurisdiction, the plain text of the Clean Air Act (“CAA”), and
    this court’s settled precedent interpreting the same statutory
    provisions at issue today. Any one of these obstacles should
    have given the court pause; none did. The result is an unsettling
    of the consistent precedent of this court strictly enforcing
    jurisdictional limits, a redesign of Congress’s vision of
    cooperative federalism between the States and the federal
    government in implementing the CAA based on the court’s own
    notions of absurdity and logic that are unsupported by a factual
    record, and a trampling on this court’s precedent on which the
    Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) was entitled to rely
    in developing the Transport Rule rather than be blindsided by
    arguments raised for the first time in this court.
    Congress has limited the availability of judicial review of
    challenges to final rules promulgated by the EPA in two ways
    that are relevant here. Under CAA section 307(b)(1), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1), petitions for judicial review must be filed within
    sixty days of promulgation of a final rule, and under CAA
    section 307(d)(7)(B), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B), “[o]nly an
    objection to a rule or procedure which was raised with
    reasonable specificity during the period for public comment . . .
    may be raised during judicial review.” The court has, until
    today, strictly enforced these requirements, which exist for two
    important reasons: to enforce repose so that the rulemaking
    process is not crippled by surprise challenges to matters that
    were rightfully presumed settled, and to guarantee an agency’s
    expert consideration and possible correction of any flaws in its
    rules before the matter reaches a court. Instead the court casts
    aside both jurisdictional provisions, upending these two
    fundamental principles. In so doing, the court thus fails to
    “maintain uniformity of the court’s decisions” on these
    “question[s] of exceptional importance.” FED. R. APP. P.
    35(a)(1) & (2).
    2
    As one basis underlying its vacatur of the Transport Rule,
    the court permits a collateral attack on prior final rules in which
    EPA disapproved state implementation plan (“SIP”) submissions
    with respect to the “good neighbor provision,” CAA
    § 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i)(I), or found
    States failed to submit such a SIP at all. In those Final SIP
    Rules, EPA unambiguously stated its interpretation that States
    had an independent obligation under section 110(a) to submit
    “good neighbor” SIPs regardless of whether EPA first quantified
    each State’s emission reduction obligations. Under section
    307(b)(1), States had sixty days to seek judicial review of those
    Final SIP Rules to challenge EPA’s interpretation of section
    110(a).      EPA’s authority to promulgate the federal
    implementation plans (“FIPs”), pursuant to section 110(c), in the
    Transport Rule was triggered by EPA having published those
    Final SIP Rules, and under section 307(b)(1) States may not
    collaterally attack the propriety of those Final SIP Rules now.
    This is not a mere technicality — EPA developed and
    promulgated the Transport Rule with the knowledge that all but
    three States did not seek judicial review of its interpretation of
    section 110(a) and in light of this court’s opinion in North
    Carolina v. EPA, 
    531 F.3d 896
     (D.C. Cir. 2008). The court
    therefore lacks jurisdiction under section 307(b)(1) to consider
    States’ belated challenge to EPA’s interpretation of section
    110(a) as part of its review of the Transport Rule; the petitions
    challenging the Final SIP Rules filed by three States are not
    consolidated with the petitions challenging the Transport Rule,
    as they involve separate provisions of the CAA and different
    final rules. The court glosses over the plain text and structure of
    section 110 to avoid that reality, and in the process rewrites
    sections 110(a) and 110(c), altering the triggering mechanism
    for States’ obligations to submit “good neighbor” SIPs and
    EPA’s obligation to promulgate FIPs, based on its own
    speculative conclusion that the process Congress adopted is
    “impossible” for States to follow. To reach its conclusion, the
    3
    court today holds that the CAA requires what it previously held
    the CAA ambiguously permits EPA to do.
    As another ground to vacate the Transport Rule, the court
    concludes that, under EPA’s two-step approach to defining
    “significant contribution” under the “good neighbor”
    requirement in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), a State “may be
    required to reduce its emissions by an amount greater than the
    ‘significant contribution’ that brought it into the program in the
    first place.” Op. at 34. No objection was made during the
    Transport Rule administrative proceedings to EPA’s approach,
    let alone its statutory authority, to use different, unrelated
    measures of significance for inclusion and budget-setting.
    Acknowledging this, the court reaches beyond the Transport
    Rule administrative record, despite section 307(d)(7)(B)’s clear
    command, to find jurisdiction. But the three reasons it offers do
    not add up. By suggesting that EPA acted inconsistently with
    North Carolina in adopting a two-step approach, with different,
    unrelated measures of “significant contribution” for inclusion
    and budget-setting, the court ignores that in North Carolina this
    court expressly declined to disturb that same approach. 
    531 F.3d at 916-17
    . In relying on a comment expressing a policy
    preference made during the administrative proceedings of the
    predecessor of the Transport Rule (to which petitioners failed to
    alert the court until rebuttal oral argument), the court ignores
    that the comment does not challenge EPA’s statutory authority
    to pursue its two-step approach, and the fact that no one
    petitioned the court in North Carolina for judicial review based
    on that comment, which is why the court in North Carolina left
    that approach undisturbed, see 
    id.
     The court also ignores that
    the prior rulemaking docket was not incorporated into the
    Transport Rule administrative proceedings. Together, these
    “ignored” facts demonstrate that EPA had no reason to suspect
    any party before it in the Transport Rule administrative
    proceedings subscribed to the objection stated in the old
    4
    comment, nor even to locate and consider that comment.
    Finally, EPA’s rejection on technical grounds of alternative
    approaches for measuring “significant contribution” based solely
    on air quality, not cost and air quality, during the Transport Rule
    administrative proceedings says nothing about whether EPA
    would have refused to entertain petitioners’ new objection in
    this court that EPA was statutorily required to modify its two-
    step approach by making the inclusion threshold of step-one a
    floor for reductions under the cost approach of step-two. The
    alternative approaches EPA considered and rejected are not even
    the approaches petitioners now endorse, and, in any event,
    cannot excuse a failure to state their objection with “reasonable
    specificity” during the Transport Rule administrative
    proceedings.
    The court’s remaining reasons for vacatur lack merit. First,
    the court concludes EPA violated the “good neighbor”
    provision’s “proportionality” requirement, but petitioners
    presented no such statutory authority argument in their briefs,
    instead challenging EPA’s grouping of States for purposes of
    SO2 reduction as arbitrary and capricious. Even if they had, the
    court lacks jurisdiction because the argument is premised on
    speculation that EPA’s two-step approach to measuring
    “significant contribution” might require States to reduce
    emissions by more than the amount that triggered their
    inclusion in the Transport Rule in the first place — the same
    argument over which the court lacks jurisdiction due to
    petitioners’ failure to challenge EPA’s statutory authority for its
    approach during the Transport Rule administrative proceedings.
    On the merits, the court’s “proportionality” conclusion
    contradicts the court’s opposite conclusion in North Carolina
    that EPA’s measurement of a State’s “significant contribution”
    did not have to correlate directly with its air quality impact
    “relative to other upwind states.” 
    531 F.3d at
    908 (citing
    Michigan v. EPA, 
    213 F.3d 663
    , 679 (D.C. Cir. 2000)).
    5
    Similarly, the court’s holding that EPA failed to consider the
    effect of in-state emissions is likewise premised on the sub-
    threshold argument. Further, the court’s “in-State emissions”
    and its “over-control” conclusions are contradicted by the
    Transport Rule administrative record.
    I.
    Section 307(b)(1) of the CAA, 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1),
    requires a petition for judicial review of EPA final actions to be
    filed within sixty days of publication in the Federal Register.
    “The filing period in the Clean Air Act ‘is jurisdictional in
    nature’; if the petitioners have failed to comply with it, we are
    powerless to address their claim.” Med. Waste Inst. & Energy
    Recovery Council v. EPA, 
    645 F.3d 420
    , 427 (D.C. Cir. 2011)
    (quoting Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n v. Nichols, 
    142 F.3d 449
    ,
    460 (D.C. Cir. 1998)).
    The Supreme Court has explained that “judicial review
    provisions are jurisdictional in nature and must be
    construed with strict fidelity to their terms. This is all
    the more true of statutory provisions specifying the
    timing of review, for those time limits are, as we have
    often stated, mandatory and jurisdictional, and are not
    subject to equitable tolling.”
    Slinger Drainage, Inc. v. EPA, 
    237 F.3d 681
    , 682 (D.C. Cir.
    2001) (quoting Stone v. Immigration & Naturalization Serv.,
    
    514 U.S. 386
    , 405 (1995) (internal quotation marks, alterations,
    and citation omitted)). Accordingly, in Medical Waste this court
    dismissed a challenge to a final rule for lack of jurisdiction
    where petitioners failed to seek judicial review when EPA “first
    use[d]”its statutory approach, 
    645 F.3d at 427
     (emphasis added).
    “An objection is considered a collateral attack only if ‘a
    reasonable [petitioner] . . . would have perceived a very
    6
    substantial risk that the [rule] meant what the [agency] now says
    it meant.” S. Co. Servs., Inc. v. FERC, 
    416 F.3d 39
    , 45 (D.C. Cir.
    2005) (internal quotations marks, citation, and alterations
    omitted).
    The Transport Rule, responding to States’ failures to submit
    adequate “good neighbor” SIPs, is a FIP that addresses the
    interstate transport of emissions in twenty-seven States in the
    eastern United States for three national ambient air quality
    standards (“NAAQS”): the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS, the
    1997 annual PM2.5 NAAQS, and the 2006 24-hour PM2.5
    NAAQS.1 See Transport Rule, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 48,208
     (Aug. 8,
    2011). In the Transport Rule, EPA determined that the same
    level of emission reduction obligations would apply for each of
    these three NAAQS. See 
    id. at 48,264
    . Over a year prior to
    promulgating the Transport Rule, EPA promulgated Final SIP
    Rules publishing findings that twenty-nine States and territories
    had failed to submit SIPs with the required “good neighbor”
    1
    Section 110(a)(1) of the CAA provides that States must
    submit SIPs within three years (or less, if set by EPA) of promulgation
    of a NAAQS. Section 110(a)(2)(D), in turn, requires States to submit
    SIPs with “adequate provisions”
    (i) prohibiting, consistent with the provisions of this
    subchapter, any source or other type of emissions activity
    within the State from emitting any air pollutant in amounts
    which will--
    (I) contribute significantly to nonattainment in, or
    interfere with maintenance by, any other State with
    respect to any such national primary or secondary
    ambient air quality standard.
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
    7
    provisions for the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS.2 See Failure to
    Submit Good Neighbor SIP Finding, 
    75 Fed. Reg. 32,673
     (June
    9, 2010); Tennessee Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP
    Finding, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,180
     (July 20, 2011). In these Final SIP
    Rules, EPA stated:
    This finding establishes a 2-year deadline for
    promulgation by EPA of a FIP, in accordance with
    section 110(c)(1), for any state that either does not
    submit or EPA can not approve a SIP as meeting the
    attainment and maintenance requirements of [the “good
    neighbor” provision] for the 2006 24-hour PM2.5
    NAAQS. . . . This action . . . does not pertain to . . . a
    SIP Call pursuant to section 110(k)(5).
    
    Id. at 32,674
    ; see also 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,180-81 (Tennessee).
    The Final SIP Rules further state that the findings of failure to
    submit were of nationwide scope and effect, and therefore
    pursuant to section 307(b)(1), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1), a petition
    for judicial review had to be filed with the D.C. Circuit within
    sixty days of the publication of the findings in the Federal
    Register. See Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP Finding, 75
    2
    The States and territories were: Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii,
    Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
    Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania,
    South Dakota, Utah, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin,
    Wyoming, the District of Columbia, American Samoa, the
    Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Puerto Rico,
    and the U.S. Virgin Islands. See Failure to Submit Good Neighbor
    SIP Findings, 75 Fed. Reg. at 32,674. (On July 20, 2011, EPA
    published an additional finding that Tennessee had failed to submit a
    “good neighbor” SIP for the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS. See
    Tennessee Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP Finding, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,180
     (July 20, 2011). Tennessee is not a petitioner here.
    8
    Fed. Reg. at 32,675-76; Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP
    Finding (Tennessee), 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,182-83. No State filed
    a petition for judicial review.
    Other States submitted 2006 24-hour PM2.5 SIPs with “good
    neighbor” provisions, but EPA disapproved that portion of the
    SIP submissions of ten States covered by the Transport Rule:
    Alabama, Georgia, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, New
    Jersey, New York, North Carolina, and Ohio.3 In the Final SIP
    Rules, EPA rejected objections that States had no obligation to
    submit SIPs until EPA had quantified the States’ amount of
    “significant contribution” and that EPA was required to permit
    States to revise their SIPs prior to imposing a FIP pursuant to 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1).4 The Final SIP Rules disapproving the
    “good neighbor” SIP submissions alerted the affected States that
    “petitions for judicial review must be filed in the United States
    Court of Appeals for the appropriate circuit by September 19,
    3
    See Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality
    Implementation Plan; Alabama; Disapproval of Interstate Transport
    Submission for the 2006 24-Hour PM2.5 Standards, 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,128
     (July 20, 2011); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,159
     (Georgia); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,175
     (Indiana & Ohio); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,143
     (Kansas); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,136
     (Kentucky); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,156
     (Missouri); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,153
     (New Jersey & New York); 
    76 Fed. Reg. 43,167
     (North
    Carolina).
    4
    See 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,131-33 (Alabama); 76 Fed. Reg. at
    43,162-64 (Georgia); 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,176-79 (Indiana & Ohio); 76
    Fed. Reg. at 43,145-47 (Kansas); 76 Fed. Reg. at 46,139-41
    (Kentucky); 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,170-72 (North Carolina). No
    comments were submitted to the proposed disapproval of Missouri’s
    “good neighbor” SIP submission, see 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,156, and only
    one unrelated comment was submitted to New York and New Jersey’s
    proposed disapproval, see 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,154. None of these three
    States is a petitioner here.
    9
    2011,” see, e.g., 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,136 (Alabama), the sixty day
    deadline prescribed by CAA section 307(b)(1), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1). Only Georgia, Kansas, and Ohio filed petitions
    for judicial review of EPA’s disapproval action and their
    petitions are not consolidated with the petitions now under
    review, as they challenge different final rules.5
    A.
    Now that EPA has, as it warned, promulgated FIPs for
    States covered by the Transport Rule, State petitioners contend
    that EPA lacked authority to do so for the 2006 24-hour PM2.5
    NAAQS because “a FIP can cure a deficiency only in a required
    submission, and States were not required to include SIP
    provisions to eliminate ‘significant contributions’ not yet
    defined by EPA legislative rule.” State Petrs’ Br. at 31. If a
    State wished to object that under section 110(a) it had no
    obligation to include “good neighbor” provisions in its SIP until
    EPA quantified its “significant contribution” in emission
    reduction budgets, then the CAA required it do so at the time
    EPA found it had not met its SIP “good neighbor” obligation.
    State petitioners offer no response in their reply brief to EPA’s
    5
    See Ohio v. EPA, No. 11-3988 (6th Cir.); Westar Energy,
    Inc. v. EPA, No. 11-1333 (D.C. Cir.); Kansas v. EPA, No. 12-1019
    (D.C. Cir.); Georgia v. EPA, No. 11-1427 (D.C. Cir.). The court
    consolidated the two Kansas cases (Nos. 11-1333 and 12-1019) on
    January 10, 2012. See Order Case No. 12-1019 (Jan. 10, 2012). The
    court also severed from Kansas’s Transport Rule petition, Case No.
    11-1329, its challenge to EPA’s disapproval of its “good neighbor”
    SIP submission. See 
    id.
     On January 10, 2012, the Sixth Circuit
    granted the parties’ joint motion to hold the case in abeyance pending
    the outcome of the instant case. On January 18, 2012, the D.C. Circuit
    issued orders holding the Kansas and Georgia cases in abeyance
    pending the outcome of the appeal in the present case.
    10
    position that this argument is a collateral attack barred by
    section 307(b)(1). See Resp.’s Br. at 46-47.
    Ignoring the plain terms of section 307(b)(1) as well as this
    court’s long-settled precedent, the court reaches the merits of
    this issue despite its lack of jurisdiction. In the Final SIP Rules
    finding States had failed to submit “good neighbor” SIPs, EPA
    put covered States on unambiguously “sufficient notice” that it
    interpreted the CAA as placing an independent obligation on
    each State to include adequate “good neighbor” provisions in its
    SIP regardless of whether EPA had prospectively quantified its
    amount of “significant contribution.” S. Co. Servs., 
    416 F.3d at 44
    . By the very nature of the Final SIP Rules, EPA was
    informing States that they had not met their obligation to submit
    “good neighbor” SIPs, an obligation States now contend they
    never had. Furthermore, EPA warned that its findings of failure
    to submit triggered the two-year FIP clock of section 110(c)(1),
    and not the SIP Call provision of section 110(k)(5). See Failure
    to Submit Good Neighbor SIP Finding, 75 Fed. Reg. at 32,673-
    74; Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP Finding (Tennessee),
    76 Fed. Reg. at 43,180-81. In alerting States to the judicial
    review deadline, EPA reiterated that States had sixty days to file
    “any petitions for review . . . related to [] findings of failure to
    submit SIPs related to the requirements of [the ‘good neighbor’
    provision].” Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP Finding, 75
    Fed. Reg. at 32,676; Failure to Submit Good Neighbor SIP
    Finding (Tennessee), 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,183 (emphases added).
    Not having sought judicial review of the Final SIP Rules
    determining that they failed to submit required “good neighbor”
    SIPs, States may not now object that they were not required to
    submit “good neighbor” SIPs until EPA first quantified their
    reduction obligations. “The sixty day window provided by
    statute has long since closed, and we may not reopen it and
    entertain a belated challenge . . . now.” Med. Waste, 
    645 F.3d at 427
    . Therefore, the court lacks jurisdiction over the collateral
    11
    attacks by petitioners Louisiana, Michigan, Nebraska,
    Oklahoma, Virginia, and Wisconsin, as part of the Transport
    Rule petitions, on EPA’s interpretation of section 110(a) stated
    in the Final SIP Rules finding they failed to submit required
    “good neighbor” SIPs.
    Similarly on notice, neither Alabama nor Indiana petitioned
    for judicial review of EPA’s disapproval of their SIP
    submissions. In the Final SIP Rule disapproving Alabama’s SIP
    submission, EPA quotes one commenter as stating:
    EPA has not stated the amount of reduction they
    believe is needed to satisfy the transport requirements.
    . . . [T]he finish line isn’t even knowable (because EPA
    refuses to inform the states how much reduction is
    enough to satisfy the requirements). EPA seems to say
    that it has to be whatever the final Transport Rule says,
    even though there is no final Transport Rule.
    76 Fed. Reg. at 43,131. EPA responded that “the state
    obligation stems from the CAA itself. . . . States had an
    opportunity to conduct their own analyses regarding interstate
    transport.” Id. (emphasis added). EPA also warned that it was
    obligated to promulgate a FIP within two years of disapproving
    Alabama’s SIP, see id. at 43,132, and rejected comments that the
    SIP Call revision process of section 110(k)(5) should apply,
    because, in its view, that provision applies only where there is
    an existing, approved SIP, see id. at 43,133. In its summary of
    Indiana’s comments on the proposed disapproval of its SIP
    submission, EPA noted that Indiana took the position that EPA
    “should provide [the State] the opportunity to revise its [] SIP
    once the Transport Rule is completed” and that a “FIP is []
    contrary to the spirit of the CAA by unnecessarily limiting
    [S]tate authority.” 76 Fed. Reg. at 43,177. EPA responded,
    relying on the CAA’s plain text, that Indiana was required by
    12
    section 110(a) to submit SIPs with adequate “good neighbor”
    provisions, and that upon disapproving its submission, EPA had
    a legal obligation under the CAA to promulgate a FIP. See id.
    Alabama and Indiana’s comments, along with EPA’s responses,
    demonstrate that the two States were on clear notice of EPA’s
    interpretation of the CAA as imposing an independent obligation
    on the States to submit “good neighbor” SIPs, even in the
    absence of EPA-quantified amounts of “significant
    contribution.” Yet neither Alabama nor Indiana sought judicial
    review of EPA’s Final SIP Rules disapproving their SIP
    submissions, and their attempt now to collaterally attack those
    Final SIP Rules is barred. See Med. Waste, 
    645 F.3d at 427
    .
    Given EPA’s clear statements in its Final SIP Rules
    disapproving States’ SIP submissions and finding they failed to
    submit required “good neighbor” SIPs, there is no basis to
    conclude that State petitioners might not have perceived a
    substantial risk that EPA meant what it said. See S. Co. Servs.,
    
    416 F.3d at 45
    . The instant case, involving consolidated
    petitions challenging the Transport Rule, is therefore not the
    appropriate forum to decide whether, under section 110(a),
    States have an independent obligation to submit “good
    neighbor” SIPs when EPA has not first quantified amounts of
    “significant contribution.” EPA promulgated Final SIP Rules in
    which it made its interpretation clear; judicial challenge to those
    rules is the proper forum to decide the question.6
    6
    The same is true for Ohio, Georgia, and Kansas, which
    petitioned for judicial review of EPA’s disapproval of their “good
    neighbor” SIP submissions. The court’s “review in th[e] [instant] case
    is limited to” the Transport Rule, and the court thus “lack[s]
    jurisdiction over” challenges to those States’ SIP disapprovals
    premised on whether they have an independent obligation to submit
    “good neighbor” SIPs. Coalition for Responsible Regulation, Inc. v.
    EPA, 
    684 F.3d 102
    , 149 (D.C. Cir. 2012). The petitions filed by those
    13
    Indeed, the court itself forecasts this conclusion: “EPA’s
    many SIP disapprovals and findings of failure to submit share
    one problematic feature: EPA made all of those findings before
    it told the States what emission reductions their SIPs were
    supposed to achieve under the “good neighbor” provision.” Op.
    at 47 (emphasis in original). However “problematic” the court
    views this “feature” of those Final SIP Rules, this is a “problem”
    this three-judge panel is powerless to resolve because it lacks
    jurisdiction under CAA section 307(b)(1) to entertain State
    petitioners’ “back-door challenge” to EPA’s interpretation of
    section 110(a) stated in those Final SIP Rules. Natural Res. Def.
    Council v. EPA, 
    824 F.2d 1146
    , 1150 (D.C. Cir. 1987) (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    The court responds that the dissent “conflates” State
    petitioners’ collateral attack on the Final SIP Rules announcing
    their Section 110(a) SIP obligations with State petitioners’
    supposedly distinct argument that EPA cannot promulgate a FIP
    simultaneously with its quantification of a State’s emission
    States challenging their SIP disapprovals are not consolidated with the
    petitions before the court today, see supra n. 5, and Ohio’s petition is
    pending in the Sixth Circuit. The court must therefore “decline [State]
    [p]etitioners’ invitation to rule on the merits of cases which are
    properly before different panels.” Id. This is all the more important
    here, where EPA has not yet been afforded the opportunity to assert
    an improper venue defense in the two cases pending before the D.C.
    Circuit. See Tex. Mun. Power Agency v. EPA, 
    89 F.3d 858
    , 867 (D.C.
    Cir. 1996); 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1) (petitions for review of SIP
    disapprovals may be brought only in the court of appeals “for the
    appropriate circuit”) (emphasis added). If Georgia, Kansas, and Ohio
    wish to avoid enforcement of the Transport Rule FIPs because they
    contend EPA’s SIP disapprovals were in error, the proper course is to
    seek a stay of EPA’s disapprovals in their pending cases; if granted,
    a stay would eliminate the basis upon which EPA may impose FIPs on
    those States. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1)(B).
    14
    reduction obligations. See Op. at 8 n.1, 58 n.34. This response
    misleadingly quotes the statute, and in the process, proves the
    dissent’s point. The court states “the statute says that EPA must
    issue a FIP within two years after a State fails to make a
    ‘required submission’ or submits a deficient SIP. But a State
    cannot be ‘required’ to implement its “good neighbor”
    obligation in a SIP ‘submission’ . . . until it knows the target set
    by EPA.” 
    Id.
     at 58 n.34.7 That is not what the statute says.
    Section 110(c) provides that:
    (1) The Administrator shall promulgate a Federal
    implementation plan at any time within 2 years after
    the Administrator --
    (A) finds that a State has failed to make a required
    submission . . . or
    (B) disapproves a State implementation plan
    submission in whole or in part;
    unless the State corrects the deficiency, and the
    Administrator approves the plan or plan revision,
    before the Administrator promulgates such Federal
    implementation plan.
    
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1) (emphases added). EPA’s FIP obligation
    is therefore not triggered, without more, by a State’s mere
    7
    Notice the circularity in the court’s statement. The court
    says State petitioners’ “simultaneity” argument can be “[p]ut another
    way,” Op. at 58 n.34, as an argument that States had no section 110(a)
    SIP requirements until EPA quantified their emission reduction
    budgets. Under section 307(b)(1), that is exactly the argument that
    States were required to make in petitions for judicial review of the
    Final SIP Rules setting forth EPA’s section 110(a) interpretation.
    15
    failure to submit a SIP required by section 110(a), but instead by
    an explicit EPA Final Rule finding that the State either failed to
    submit a required SIP or an adequate SIP. A challenge to EPA’s
    interpretation of section 110(a) must therefore be brought as a
    petition for judicial review of those Final SIP Rules announcing
    that States failed to meet their section 110(a) “good neighbor”
    SIP obligations. See Med. Waste, 
    645 F.3d at 427
    . Under the
    plain terms of the CAA, EPA’s obligation (and authority) to
    promulgate a FIP is triggered by those Final SIP Rules, and the
    process by which EPA must promulgate a FIP is governed by
    section 110(c), not, as the court posits, by section 110(a). The
    court therefore, and not the dissent, does the conflating by
    turning what should be a challenge to EPA’s FIP authority under
    section 110(c) into a collateral attack on EPA’s interpretation of
    section 110(a) set forth in the prior Final SIP Rules.
    The plain text of section 110(c)(1) obligates EPA to
    promulgate a FIP “at any time” within two years of disapproving
    a SIP submission or finding a State failed to submit a SIP. 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1). Moreover, nothing in section 110(c)
    requires EPA to reveal to States the content (i.e., the emission
    reduction budgets) it intends to include in its FIP prior to
    proposing a FIP. Although the CAA allows States to submit
    SIPs to “correct[] the deficiency,” they must do so “before”
    EPA’s promulgation of a FIP, which may occur “at any time”
    within two years. 
    Id.
    The court thus rewrites section 110(c)(1)’s unambiguous
    grant of authority to EPA (and ultimate obligation of EPA) to
    promulgate a FIP at any time within the two year window to
    read: “unless but not until the State corrects the deficiency and
    the Administrator approves the [SIP] or [SIP] revision, before
    may the Administrator promulgates such [FIP].” “[A]s the
    Supreme Court has emphasized time and again, courts have no
    authority to rewrite the plain text of a statute.” Kay v. FCC, 525
    
    16 F.3d 1277
    , 1279 (D.C. Cir. 2008). Because the CAA “means
    what it says,” EPA was required, after publishing disapprovals
    and findings of failure to submit SIPs, to promulgate FIPs within
    two years, and it was not required to wait for States first to
    submit SIPs. Landstar Express Am. v. Fed. Maritime Comm’n,
    
    569 F.3d 493
    , 498 (D.C. Cir. 2009). The court’s attempt to
    ferret out an argument about “simultaneity” as a distinct
    challenge properly brought against the Transport Rule based on
    EPA’s interpretation of section 110(a) is thus a straw man for its
    endorsement of State petitioner’s collateral attack on EPA’s
    interpretation of section 110(a) in the Final SIP Rules. Its
    rewriting of section 110(c) is made all the more remarkable by
    its recognition that “we must apply and enforce the statute as it’s
    now written.” Op. at 8.
    B.
    Even if the court had jurisdiction over State petitioners’
    challenge to their independent obligation to submit “good
    neighbor” SIPs under CAA section 110(a), its statutory analysis
    proceeds with no regard for the plain text and structure of the
    CAA or for the deference owed to permissible agency
    interpretations of statutes they administer where Congress has
    left a gap for the agency to fill or the statute is ambiguous.
    “As in all statutory construction cases,” the court must
    “begin with the language of the statute.” Barnhart v. Sigmon
    Coal Co., Inc., 
    534 U.S. 438
    , 450 (2002). “[C]ourts must
    presume that a legislature says in a statute what it means and
    means in a statute what it says there. When the words of a
    statute are unambiguous, then, this first canon is also the last:
    judicial inquiry is complete.” 
    Id. at 461-62
     (quoting Connecticut
    Nat. Bank v. Germain, 
    503 U.S. 249
    , 253-54 (1992) (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted)). Thus, under Chevron
    U.S.A. Inc v. Natural Res. Def. Council, 
    467 U.S. 837
    , 842-44
    (1984), the first step in statutory interpretation requires a
    17
    determination of “whether Congress has directly spoken to the
    precise question at issue. If the intent of Congress is clear, that
    is the end of the mater; for the court, as well as the agency, must
    give effect to the unambiguously expressed intent of Congress,”
    
    id.
     If, after applying traditional tools of statutory construction,
    the court determines “the statute is silent or ambiguous with
    respect to the specific issue,” then, under step two, the court will
    defer to an agency’s statutory interpretation if it “is based on a
    permissible construction of the statute.” 
    Id. at 843
    .
    The questions regarding States’ obligations to submit “good
    neighbor” SIPs are straightforward: (1) Do States have an
    independent obligation to submit SIPs with adequate “good
    neighbor” provisions; (2) if so, what triggers that obligation; (3)
    if there is an obligation, what is the deadline for the SIP
    submission; and (4) must EPA prospectively quantify each
    States’ amount of “significant contribution” to downwind
    nonattainment? The plain text of the statute provides equally
    straightforward answers: (1) Yes; (2) promulgation of a
    NAAQS; (3) within three years of promulgation of a NAAQS
    (unless the EPA Administrator prescribes a shorter deadline);
    and (4) no, but EPA may do so if it chooses.
    Section 109 of the CAA requires EPA to promulgate
    NAAQS, a national health-based standard. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7409
    . Section 110, in turn, provides that
    (a)(1) Each State shall . . . adopt and submit to the
    Administrator, within 3 years (or such shorter period as
    the Administrator may prescribe) after the
    promulgation of a national primary air quality
    standard (or any revision thereof) . . . a plan which
    provides for implementation, maintenance, and
    enforcement of such [] standard . . . within such State.
    18
    (2) Each implementation plan submitted by a State
    under this chapter . . . shall
    ...
    (D) contain adequate provisions–
    (i) prohibiting, consistent with the provisions
    of this subchapter, any source or other type of
    emissions activity within the State from
    emitting any air pollutant in amounts which
    will–
    (I) contribute significantly to
    nonattainment in, or interfere with
    maintenance by, any other State with
    respect to any such [NAAQS].
    
    Id.
     §§ (a)(1) & (a)(2)(D)(i)(I) (emphases added). The plain text
    requires that within three years of EPA’s promulgation of a
    NAAQS, States shall submit SIPs, and those SIPs shall include
    adequate “good neighbor” provisions. This is the unambiguous
    obligation and chronology established by Congress. EPA has
    the first duty to set the NAAQS, and then States have series of
    follow-up duties, listed in section 110(a), to ensure attainment
    of the NAAQS. Among the duties clearly assigned to States is
    the inclusion in SIPs of adequate “good neighbor” provisions.
    The court views this “interpretation” — that is, reading the
    actual text of the statute — as a scene from Alice in
    Wonderland. See Op. at 50. It concludes that “[i]n our view,
    determining the level of reductions required under Section
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) is analogous to setting a NAAQS. And
    determining the level of reductions under the “good neighbor”
    provision triggers a period during which States may submit
    19
    SIPs.” Id. at 51. Even if the court’s analogy were sound,8
    the premise of its analogy does not support its conclusion that
    EPA’s determination of emission reduction obligations triggers
    States’ obligations to submit “good neighbor” SIPs. Rather, the
    court rewrites a decades-old statute whose plain text and
    structure establish a clear chronology of federal and State
    responsibilities. Nowhere does the CAA place a requirement on
    EPA to quantify each State’s amount of “significant
    contribution” to be eliminated pursuant to the “good neighbor”
    provision, let alone include any provision relieving States of
    their “good neighbor” SIP obligations in the event EPA does not
    first quantify emission reduction obligations.9 The court’s
    “view” that EPA “determining the level of reductions under the
    “good neighbor” provision triggers the period during which
    States may submit SIPs” is irrelevant in view of the
    unambiguously plain text of section 110(a)(1) and
    (a)(2)(D)(i)(I), and, if the statute were ambiguous, the court
    8
    The NAAQS are determined based on what is “requisite to
    protect the public health” and “public welfare,” 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7409
    (b)(1) & (2), and are a uniform national standard. The “good
    neighbor” provision, on the other hand, is not a separate national
    standard, but instead is simply one of the CAA’s State-specific
    mechanisms to ensure attainment of the NAAQS. See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
    9
    The court’s comparison of section 110 to section 126, see
    Op. at 52, conflates direct federal regulation of sources with EPA’s
    statutory authority to enforce requirements that States comply with
    their “good neighbor” SIP obligations. Given that Congress included
    a specific provision obligating EPA to promulgate FIPs if States fail
    to submit adequate SIPs within three years of promulgation of a
    NAAQS, see CAA § 110(c)(1); 
    42 U.S.C. § 7410
    (c)(1), and EPA
    relies on it in the Transport Rule, section 126's federal authorization
    to regulate specific sources of emissions has no bearing on the
    statutory analysis here.
    20
    would be required to defer to EPA’s interpretation that States
    have an independent obligation to submit “good neighbor” SIPs
    within three years of promulgation of the NAAQS because that
    interpretation is permissible under the statute, see Chevron, 
    467 U.S. at 843
    . The court’s “role is ‘not to ‘correct’ the text so that
    it better serves the statute’s purposes’; nor under Chevron may
    [the court] ‘avoid the Congressional intent clearly expressed in
    the text simply by asserting that [the court’s] preferred approach
    would be better policy. The Congress has spoken plainly . . . .”
    Virginia Dep’t of Med. Assistance Servs. v. Dep’t of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    678 F.3d 918
    , 926 (D.C. Cir. 2012) (quoting
    Engine Mfrs. Ass’n v. EPA, 
    88 F.3d 1075
    , 1089 (D.C. Cir.
    1996)).
    Furthermore, the court’s holding is entirely at odds with the
    holding in Michigan v. EPA, 
    213 F.3d 663
     (D.C. Cir. 2000), see
    LaShawn A. v. Barry, 
    87 F.3d 1389
    , 1395 (D.C. Cir. 1996) (en
    banc). In Michigan, State petitioners contended that EPA
    violated the CAA by prospectively informing States what their
    nitrogen oxides (NOx) emission reduction budgets needed to be
    to adequately eliminate their amounts of “significant
    contribution” under the “good neighbor” provision, thus
    acknowledging their independent obligation to submit adequate
    “good neighbor” SIPs, see 
    213 F.3d at 686-87
    . State petitioners
    in Michigan argued that EPA had no authority to do what the
    State petitioners now before the court contend EPA has no
    authority not to do. In Michigan the court deferred, pursuant to
    Chevron step two, to EPA’s interpretation it could set State
    emissions budgets prospectively, given section 110's “silence”
    on the question, as a permissible exercise of EPA’s general
    rulemaking authority under CAA section 301(a)(1), 42 U.S.C.
    21
    § 7601(a)(1).10 Inverting Michigan’s analysis of section 110, the
    court holds that under Chevron step one, see Op. at 53 n.32,
    section 110 itself unambiguously requires EPA to prospectively
    inform States of their “good neighbor” emission reduction
    requirements. See id. at 46-53. Nothing in section 110, section
    301, or any other section of the CAA requires EPA to do this.
    Instead the court today turns “may” into “must,” and holds that
    if EPA does not exercise its general rulemaking authority in the
    manner of the court’s design, then section 110(a)(1)’s and
    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)’s mandatory, unambiguous requirements that
    States submit adequate “good neighbor” SIPs within three years
    of the promulgation of a NAAQS are erased from the statute by
    judicial fiat — relieving States of the duty Congress imposed.11
    The court offers no explanation for how its holding can be
    squared with Michigan in this regard.
    The court’s rationale for rewriting the CAA’s plain text is
    its own conclusion that “the upwind State’s obligation remains
    impossible for the upwind State to determine until EPA defines
    it.” Id. at 48 (first emphasis added). In its words, the statute
    “requires each State to take its own stab in the dark . . . [and]
    apply [a] homemade definition using its own homemade
    methodology.” Id. at 55. The court concludes EPA’s
    10
    Section 301(a)(1) of the CAA provides that “[t]he
    Administrator is authorized to prescribe such regulations as are
    necessary to carry out his functions under this chapter.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7601
    (a)(1).
    11
    Suffice it to say, it is extraordinarily unusual for a court to
    conclude, at Chevron step one, that it must delete mandatory
    obligations from a statute in order to accord with Congress’s plain
    intent. See Op. at 53 n.32. It is all the more unusual to suggest that an
    agency’s interpretation is “impermissible” at Chevron step two when
    the interpretation parrots the text of the statute.
    22
    interpretation (that is, following the statute’s plain text)
    produces absurd results, see 
    id.
     at 53 n.32. Pretermitting
    whether there is a shred of record evidence to show such an
    impossibility, a statutory outcome is absurd [only] if it defies
    rationality[;] . . . an outcome so contrary to perceived social
    values that Congress could not have intended it.” Landstar
    Express, 
    569 F.3d at 498-99
     (internal quotation marks and
    citations omitted) (emphases added). To the extent the court’s
    rationale hinges on its speculation that States lack technical
    capability and information, this blinks at reality. As counsel for
    EPA emphasized at oral argument, see Tr. Oral Arg. at 59, 61,
    without contradiction by any petitioners’ counsel during rebuttal
    oral argument, States are fully capable of measuring interstate
    transport of emissions by conducting modeling, and they have
    done so before and continue to do so: “The states can make that
    effort, and they can submit SIPs to EPA. Again, that is how the
    process works in the states that aren’t included in these transport
    regions.” Id. at 61. Indeed, as this court has recognized, States
    are charged with operating air quality monitors; “[e]xhaustive
    technical specifications regulate the States’ operation of a
    network of air monitors that collect air quality data for any given
    area.” Catawba Cnty., N.C. v. EPA, 
    571 F.3d 20
    , 30 (D.C. Cir.
    2009); cf. ATK Launch Sys. v. EPA, 
    669 F.3d 330
    , 334 (D.C.
    Cir. 2012). The air quality monitoring data collected by the
    States is publically available in the National Emissions
    Inventory.12 That is, State air quality divisions are no strangers
    12
    See U.S. EPA, Technology Transfer Network Clearinghouse
    for Inventories & Emissions Factors, available at
    http://www.epa.gov/ttnchie1/eiinformation.html (last visited July 23,
    2012); see also U.S. EPA, Technology Transfer Network
    Clearinghouse for Regulatory Atmospheric Modeling, available at
    http://www.epa.gov/ttn/scram/aqmindex.htm (last visited July 23,
    2012) (providing modeling tools).
    23
    to complex air quality and meteorological modeling of interstate
    transport of emissions.13
    No petitioner suggests that States lack the capability to
    measure their interstate emissions of pollutants or to access that
    information from other States to independently determine
    emission reduction budgets, much less that they have not had
    time to do so; rather their reason for not doing so appears to
    stem from insistence (supported by industry sources) that their
    reduction of emissions not be one iota greater than is necessary
    for downwind States to attain and maintain NAAQS and that it
    is easier (and presumably less costly, see Oral Arg. Tr. 58) for
    EPA to figure this out than it is for the individual States to do so,
    working cooperatively and using any EPA guidance. This may
    be so but it does not demonstrate that Congress’s scheme,
    protecting States’ choices about how to meet NAAQS
    13
    To cite one example: the State of Texas. The Texas Council
    on Environmental Quality (“TCEQ”) has published an extensive
    description of its air quality modeling activities and capabilities on its
    website. “The TCEQ uses state of the art computer models to simulate
    the meteorological conditions and chemical reactions that contribute
    to the formation of air pollutants.” TCEQ, Introduction to Air Quality
    M o d e l i n g ,                  a v a i l a b l e                 a t
    http://m.tceq.texas.gov/airquality/airmod/overview/am_intro.html (last
    visited July 23, 2012). Furthermore, “TCEQ uses state-of-the-science,
    four-dimensional computer models that incorporate atmospheric
    physical laws and measured observations to predict weather conditions
    over space and time.” TCEQ, Introduction to Air Quality Modeling:
    M e t e o r o l o g i c a l                    M o d e l i n g ,
    http://m.tceq.texas.gov/airquality/airmod/overview/am_met.html (last
    visited July 23, 2012. Indeed, TCEQ uses the same model EPA used
    to model emission contributions — CAMx. EPA notes in its brief that
    Texas provided some of the technical data that led to its inclusion in
    the final Transport Rule. See EPA Br. at 109. These are far from
    “homemade” methodologies. See Op. at 55.
    24
    requirements, in part by independently determining ways to
    meet their “good neighbor” obligation as the States argued in
    Michigan, is absurd.
    It is true, as the court notes, see Op. at 53-55, that in two
    previous “good neighbor” rulemakings EPA afforded States the
    opportunity to submit SIPs after announcing emission reduction
    budgets. But an agency is not forever restricted to its previous
    policy choices or statutory interpretations; instead, it may
    change course provided it acknowledges it is doing so, presents
    “good reasons” for doing so, and its approach is “permissible
    under the statute.” FCC v. Fox Television Stations, Inc., 
    556 U.S. 502
    , 515 (2009). Agencies “need not demonstrate to a
    court’s satisfaction that the reasons for the new policy are better
    than the reasons for the old one.” 
    Id.
     The discretion agencies
    enjoy in modifying their policy approaches is particularly
    expansive where the agency declines to exercise its
    discretionary rulemaking authority, as EPA did here. “It is only
    in the rarest and most compelling of circumstances that this
    court has acted to overturn an agency judgment not to institute
    rulemaking.” WWHT, Inc. v. FCC, 
    656 F.2d 807
    , 818 (D.C. Cir.
    1981).
    Here, EPA acknowledged its previous approach, see
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,217; NPRM, 75 Fed. Reg. at
    45,222-223, and explained its decision in response to comments
    requesting States be given time to submit SIPs before EPA
    imposed the Transport Rule FIPs. EPA stated, first, that it had
    no authority to alter the statutory deadlines for SIP submissions
    and that the CAA did not require it to issue a rule quantifying
    States’ “good neighbor” obligations, see Transport Rule, 76 Fed.
    Reg. at 48,220; second, that the court in North Carolina, in
    remanding rather than vacating CAIR, “emphasized EPA’s
    obligation to remedy [CAIR’s] flaws expeditiously” and thus
    “EPA d[id] not believe it would be appropriate to establish a
    25
    lengthy transition period to the rule which is to replace CAIR,”
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,220; and third, that in North
    Carolina this court also required EPA to align upwind States’
    emission reduction deadlines with the NAAQS attainment dates
    of “2015 or earlier,” see North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 930
    .14
    EPA’s decision to adhere to the plain text of the statute, and not
    to exercise its discretionary general rulemaking authority, see
    Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 686-87
    , was thus well-explained by the
    time pressures imposed by this court. See Fox Television, 
    556 U.S. at 515
    . Inasmuch as those time pressures were animated as
    well by concern for the public health and welfare — Congress
    required that attainment with the NAAQS occur “as
    expeditiously as practicable.” 
    42 U.S.C. §§ 7502
    (a)(2)(A) &
    7511; see North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at
    930 — the instant case is
    particularly ill-suited for overturning EPA’s exercise of its
    discretion in not adding an additional rulemaking step to the
    process. Given that the court “will overturn an agency’s decision
    not to initiate a rulemaking only for compelling cause,” and one
    of those few compelling reasons is when the decision declining
    14
    That EPA may, under different circumstances, view it as
    preferable to prospectively quantify States’ emission reduction
    obligations, see Op. at 49, is irrelevant to whether EPA’s stated
    reasons for departing, in the Transport Rule from its previous
    approach are adequate, given the court’s instruction in North Carolina
    to expeditiously replace the flawed CAIR and align NAAQS
    attainment dates. The context of the federal register citations is,
    EPA’s points out, EPA’s review of a submitted SIP; the preamble does
    not state EPA must engaged in detailed interstate transport analysis
    before States must meet their statutory SIP obligations. Furthermore,
    consistent with the federal register citations noted by the court, EPA
    has traditionally issued guidance to States on calculating their “good
    neighbor” emission reduction obligations and it did so here, see, e.g.,
    EPA Guidance on SIP Elements Required Under Sections 110(a)(1)
    and (2) for the 2006 24-hour Fine Particle (PM2.5) National Ambient
    Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) (Sept. 25, 2009).
    26
    to promulgate a rule exacerbates “grave health and safety
    problems for the intended beneficiaries of the statutory scheme,”
    Midwest Indep. Transmission Sys. Operator, Inc. v. FERC, 
    388 F.3d 903
    , 911 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (internal quotation marks and
    citation omitted), it hardly makes sense for the court to require
    EPA to promulgate a rule when the effect will be to delay health
    benefits. Indeed, the court is most reluctant to require agencies
    to promulgate rules “when the interests at stake are primarily
    economic,” 
    id.,
     and the court’s view that it is “impossible” for
    States to comply with their independent “good neighbor”
    obligation under section 110(a) is animated by the burdens that
    obligation imposes on States and industry sources, see Oral Arg.
    Tr. 58.
    In sum, the court’s conclusion that it would have been a
    “homemade” “stab in the dark” for the States to submit adequate
    “good neighbor” SIPs prior to promulgation of the Transport
    Rule lacks a basis in fact, and the court’s speculation that EPA
    would have inevitably disapproved such submissions, see Op. at
    56-57, is just that — speculation. And if that happened, States
    could judicially challenge the disapprovals, seeking a stay to
    avoid application of the Transport Rule FIPs. Absent record
    evidence to suggest that the plain text of the CAA’s “good
    neighbor” SIP obligation on States leads to “an outcome so
    contrary to perceived social values that Congress could not have
    intended it,” Landstar Express, 
    569 F.3d at 498-99
     (internal
    quotation marks and citations omitted) (emphasis added), the
    court is bound, in view of the host of responsibilities placed on
    States in the CAA, to enforce the statute as Congress wrote it in
    plain terms, to give deference to EPA’s permissible
    interpretations where the CAA is silent or ambiguous, and to
    adhere to the court’s interpretation of EPA’s authority in
    Michigan, as well as acknowledge, as the expert agency has
    advised without contradiction, that States have demonstrated
    27
    competence to satisfy their plain statutory “good neighbor” obligations.
    II.
    The court also is without jurisdiction to hold that EPA
    lacked statutory authority to use a different measure of
    “significant contribution” for setting emission reduction budgets,
    unrelated to its measure of “significance” for purposes of
    threshold inclusion of individual States in the Transport Rule.
    Op. at 34-37. Petitioners contended that there was a hypothetical
    possibility that “application of cost-effective controls [] could
    drive a State’s emissions below the point that, under phase one,
    would have excluded the State from any regulation whatsoever.”
    State Petrs’ Br. at 35; Industry & Labor Petrs’ Br. at 22-24.15
    Because no objection was made during the Transport Rule
    administrative proceedings to EPA’s statutory authority to adopt
    its two-step approach, the court thus lacks jurisdiction to decide
    this issue. See CAA § 307(d)(7)(B), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B).
    The jurisdictional question is not close; the court’s effort to avoid
    this court’s well-settled precedent fails clearly.
    A.
    Section 307(d)(7)(B) of the CAA provides that “[o]nly an
    objection to a rule or procedure which was raised with
    15
    As EPA responded, nothing in the record suggests this
    hypothetical possibility actually would occur as a result of the
    Transport Rule, see Resp.’s Br. at 33-34 & n.20; 
    id.
     at 32 n.18, and the
    point of choosing a “cost” that is “effective” for each State assumes
    only a reasonable subset of emissions will be reduced. See Oral Arg.
    Tr. at 44-46. Furthermore, contrary to the court’s suggestion, see Op.
    37 n.23, EPA explained that selecting a cost below $500/ton of
    emissions would permit States to stop operating existing controls, thus
    increasing, rather than decreasing, pollution. See Transport Rule, 76
    Fed. Reg. at 48,256-57.
    28
    reasonable specificity during the period for public comment . . .
    may be raised during judicial review.” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B)
    (emphasis added). The court has “‘strictly’ enforce[d] this
    requirement,” Mossville Envtl. Action Now v. EPA, 
    370 F.3d 1232
    , 1238 (D.C. Cir. 2004) (quoting Motor & Equip. Mfrs.
    Ass’n v. Nichols, 
    142 F.3d 449
    , 462 (D.C. Cir. 1998)); see also
    Natural Res. Def. Council v. EPA, 
    571 F.3d 1245
    , 1259 (D.C.
    Cir. 2009). The court also has made clear that “[r]easonable
    specificity requires something more than a general challenge to
    EPA’s approach.” Mossville, 
    370 F.3d at 1238
     (internal
    quotation marks and alteration omitted).            The court’s
    enforcement of this requirement has been most strict in the
    context of statutory authority objections:
    While there are surely limits on the level of congruity
    required between a party’s arguments before an
    administrative agency and the court, respect for
    agencies’ proper role in the Chevron framework
    requires that the court be particularly careful to ensure
    that challenges to an agency’s interpretation of its
    governing statute are first raised in the administrative
    forum.
    Cement Kiln Recycling v. EPA, 
    255 F.3d 855
    , 860 (D.C. Cir.
    2001) (quoting Natural Res. Def. Council, Inc. v. EPA, 
    25 F.3d 1063
    , 1074 (D.C. Cir. 1994)) (emphasis added). Consistently,
    until now, the court has held that failure to object specifically to
    EPA’s lack of statutory authority is grounds for dismissal of
    such objections in this court. See, e.g., Natural Res. Def. Council
    v. EPA, 
    559 F.3d 561
    , 563-64 (D.C. Cir. 2009); Engine Mfrs.
    Ass’n v. EPA, 
    88 F.3d 1075
    , 1097 (D.C. Cir. 1996); Ohio v. EPA,
    
    997 F.2d 1520
    , 1528 (D.C. Cir. 1993); Linemaster Switch Corp.
    v. EPA, 
    938 F.2d 1299
    , 1308 (D.C. Cir. 1991); Natural Res. Def.
    Council v. Thomas, 
    805 F.2d 410
    , 427 (D.C. Cir. 1986).
    29
    Notably on point, in Cement Kiln the court held that
    comments stating a policy preference to EPA were insufficient
    to preserve for judicial review objections that the preferred
    approach was statutorily required, 
    255 F.3d at 860-61
    . “[T]hese
    comments merely argued that EPA could permissibly consider
    [the approach], not (as petitioners now argue) that [the CAA]
    requires [the approach].” 
    Id. at 860
     (internal quotation marks
    and citation omitted) (emphases in original). And “the parties
    were not saved by the fact that they had made other technical,
    policy, or legal arguments before the agency. Indeed, if such
    were the rule, a party could never waive a legal claim as long as
    the party in fact appeared and argued something before the
    agency.” Nat. Res. Def. Council, 
    25 F.3d at 1074
     (internal
    quotation marks omitted) (emphasis added).
    Petitioners rely on two comments in an attempt to show a
    challenge to EPA’s statutory authority to the approach it adopted
    was presented during the Transport Rule administrative
    proceedings. See Industry & Labor Petrs.’ Reply Br. at 6, n.1.
    Neither is sufficient. Tennessee commented that “[a] lower cost
    threshold should be considered for any State that can reduce their
    contribution below 1% significance using cost thresholds below
    the maximum values ($2,000/ton for SO2 and $500/ton for NOx),
    if applicable.” Tennessee Comments on 2010 Proposed
    Transport Rule, Attachment 1, at 1 (Aug. 27, 2010). But this
    comment does not suggest that EPA is statutorily barred from
    following its approach. See Cement Kiln, 
    255 F.3d at 860-61
    ;
    Natural Res. Def. Council, 
    25 F.3d at 1073-74
    . Furthermore,
    Tennessee’s comment does not even suggest a policy preference
    that the one percent of NAAQS threshold level be a floor.
    Rather, Tennessee’s comment specifically mentions States
    reducing contributions below the threshold without suggesting
    that result would violate the CAA. Thus, the only thing
    Tennessee commented on with “reasonable specificity” was that
    EPA consider not using a uniform cost threshold for all States.
    30
    Wisconsin’s comment also does not demonstrate the
    statutory authority challenge now advanced by petitioners in this
    court was preserved. First, Wisconsin stated that it “support[ed]
    the 1% contribution threshold . . . for identifying states that are
    significant contributors to downwind state’s air quality
    nonattainment and maintenance problems.”               Wisconsin
    Comments, at 1 (Oct. 1, 2010). Wisconsin further stated:
    State final emission budgets (2014) need to be set with
    a stronger linkage to residual air quality impact from
    the [electricity generating unit (“EGU”)] on downwind
    sites compared to the current proposed linkage of
    limiting emission reductions by an arbitrarily low cost
    threshold. EPA has set which states have contribution
    reduction responsibility based on air quality impact, but
    appears to default to a modeling of the most efficient
    regional EGU control program based exclusively on
    cost-effectiveness.
    In defining significant contribution, EPA should place
    a greater emphasis on air quality impact (contribution)
    remedy than the assessed state-by-state marginal
    control cost-effectiveness of proposed remedy in the
    setting of the 2014 state budgets for EGU reductions.
    Issues are both legal and a concern for some level of
    EGU system control installation equity between nearby
    states and between facilities with differing coal types
    which are dispatched within the same electricity
    markets.
    Id. at 7 (emphases added). Wisconsin nowhere suggested that
    EPA is statutorily required to use the one percent inclusion
    threshold as a floor for emission reductions; it simply urged that
    EPA “should” put a “greater emphasis” on air quality impacts at
    the individual EGU level. Indeed, Wisconsin commented that
    31
    the cost threshold was too low, the exact opposite of what
    petitioners now claim. See Industry & Labor Petrs.’ Br. at 31-34.
    The closest Wisconsin comes to raising a statutory authority
    argument is its statement that the “issues are [] legal;” but that
    vague comment is in a sentence indicating the State’s preference
    that EPA regulate at the EGU, rather than the State level, in order
    to achieve “EGU system control installation equity.” Wisconsin
    Comments, at 7.
    Consequently, neither Tennessee’s nor Wisconsin’s
    comments argued “with reasonable specificity” that EPA was
    statutorily required to treat the threshold inclusion level in its
    two-step approach to defining “significant contribution” as a
    floor in calculating emission reduction requirements.16 Nor do
    they even present a policy preference for such an approach and,
    indeed, can be interpreted as supporting sub-threshold
    reductions. Even if the comments implied a challenge, which
    they do not, an implied challenge is insufficient because
    that is not the way the regulatory system is structured.
    Such a standard would require agencies to review
    perpetually all of the ‘implied’ challenges in any
    challenge they receive. We will not impose such a
    burden on the agency. All that [petitioner] had to do
    was draft one sentence that specifically challenged
    EPA’s decision. It did not, and that specific challenge
    is thus not preserved.
    16
    The court adds a cite, see Op. at 34 n.18, to a comment from
    Delaware: “It is Delaware’s opinion that an upwind state’s emissions
    contribution is significant . . . based on the emissions and their effect
    on air quality, and is independent of cost considerations.” This is not
    a statutory authority objection to the two-step approach, and in any
    event EPA’s rejection of Delaware’s “opinion” was sustained in
    Michigan, 
    213 F.3d at 679
    .
    32
    ...
    [T]he only way [the comments] could be read as
    placing the EPA on notice is to place the burden on
    EPA to cull through all the letters it receives and
    answer all of the possible implied arguments. Such a
    rule would defeat the statutory requirement for
    “reasonable specificity.”
    Mossville, 
    370 F.3d at 1239-40
    . None of the comments during
    the Transport Rule administrative proceedings approaches the
    level of “reasonable specificity” required for this court to have
    jurisdiction over petitioners’ new statutory authority argument.
    B.
    Acknowledging this, the court nonetheless concludes that
    it has jurisdiction to address this new issue because “EPA was
    on notice that its disregard of the significance floor was a
    potential legal infirmity in its approach.” Op. at 34 n.18. None
    of the three reasons the court offers for its conclusion that there
    need not be objections raised “with reasonable specificity
    during the period for public comment,” 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B), is convincing.
    First, the court states that EPA was required “to craft a new
    rule consistent with [North Carolina],” Op. at 32 n.18 (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted), and thus should have
    been alerted to petitioners’ new objection, raised for the first
    time now in this court. But in North Carolina the court
    specifically permitted the exact same approach in CAIR.
    Discussing this approach, the court explained:
    [S]tate SO2 budgets are unrelated to the criterion (the
    “air quality factor”) by which EPA included states in
    CAIR’s SO2 program. Significant contributors, for
    purposes of inclusion only, are those states EPA
    33
    projects will contribute at least 0.2 µ/m3 of PM2.5 to a
    nonattainment area in another state. While we would
    have expected EPA to require states to eliminate
    contributions above this threshold, EPA claims to have
    used [as its] measure . . . emissions that sources within
    a state can eliminate by applying “highly cost-effective
    controls.” EPA used a similar approach in deciding
    which states to include in the NOx SIP Call, which
    Michigan did not disturb since “no one quarrel[ed]
    either with its use of multiple measures, or the way it
    drew the line at” the inclusion stage. 
    213 F.3d at 675
    .
    Likewise here, the SO2 Petitioners do not quarrel with
    EPA drawing the line at 0.2 µ/m3 or its different
    measure of significance for determining states’ SO2
    budgets. Again, we do not disturb this approach.
    North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 916-17
     (emphases added). There
    is no basis to conclude that EPA acted inconsistently with North
    Carolina by replicating the approach the court left undisturbed.
    It is true that in North Carolina the court rejected EPA’s use of
    fuel factors in allocating allowances for the CAIR trading
    program because doing so redistributed reduction
    responsibilities to the benefit of States with more coal-fired
    electricity generation, see 
    id. at 920-21
    . The court stated that
    EPA
    may not require some states to exceed the mark.
    Because the fuel-adjustment factors shifted the burden
    of emission reductions solely in pursuit of equity
    among upwind states — an improper reason — the
    resulting state budgets were arbitrary and capricious.
    
    Id. at 921
     (emphases added). But a holding that EPA had acted
    arbitrarily in designing its trading program cannot fairly be
    deemed to alert EPA that it might exceed its statutory authority
    in using an approach to measuring “significant contribution”
    34
    that the court specifically declined to disturb. Cf. Natural Res.
    Def. Council v. EPA, 
    571 F.3d 1245
    , 1259 (D.C. Cir. 2009)
    (“EPA cannot be expected to take [an] argument, raised in
    support of one specific objection, and apply it sua sponte to
    another provision.”). EPA was entitled, in the absence of
    objection in the Transport Rule administrative proceedings, to
    rely in promulgating the Transport Rule upon the court’s
    decision not to disturb its approach. And the fact that after
    North Carolina no comment in the Transport Rule
    administrative proceedings objected that EPA was exceeding its
    statutory authority in adopting its approach underscores the fact
    that EPA was not acting inconsistently with North Carolina in
    light of a few sentences about fuel factors plucked out of
    context.
    Second, reaching farther afield, the court points to a
    comment submitted during the CAIR rulemaking that it deems
    sufficient, when combined with the holding in North Carolina,
    to “show that EPA ‘had notice of this issue and could, or should
    have, taken it into account.’” Op. at 33 n.18 (quoting Natural
    Res. Def. Council v. EPA, 
    824 F.2d at 1146, 1151
     (D.C. Cir.
    1987)).17 The CAIR comment stated “that the threshold
    contribution level selected by EPA should be considered a floor,
    so that upwind States should be obliged to reduce their
    emissions only to the level at which their contribution to
    downwind nonattainment does not exceed that threshold level.”
    CAIR, 
    70 Fed. Reg. 25,162
    , 25,176-77 (May 12, 2005). This
    comment, which was not cited in any petitioners’ brief to this
    court but first mentioned by industry petitioners during rebuttal
    17
    Remarkably, the court quotes a case in which the common
    law exhaustion doctrine, rather than CAA section 307(d)(7)(B),
    applied: the rule at issue was promulgated prior to enactment of
    section 307(d)(7)(B). See Natural Res. Def. Council, 
    824 F.2d at 1150-51
    .
    35
    oral argument, cannot carry the weight the court assigns to it,
    particularly in light of the holding in North Carolina. The court
    generally does not entertain arguments raised for the first time
    in a reply brief, see Altman v. SEC, 
    666 F.3d 1322
    , 1329 (D.C.
    Cir. 2011); North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at
    924 n.6, let alone for
    the first time at oral argument, see Roth v. U.S. Dep’t of Justice,
    
    642 F.3d 1161
    , 1181 (D.C. Cir. 2011); Ark Las Vegas Rest.
    Corp. v. NLRB, 
    334 F.3d 99
    , 108 n.4 (D.C. Cir. 2003), much
    less during rebuttal oral argument, see Coalition of Battery
    Recyclers Ass’n, 604 F.3d at 623; Old Dominion Dairy
    Products, Inc. v. Sec. of Defense, 
    631 F.2d 953
    , 961 n.17 (D.C.
    Cir. 1980). The reason is simple: “in order to prevent
    ‘sandbagging of appellees and respondents,’ we do not consider
    arguments that were raised neither in the opening brief nor by
    respondents.” S. Coast Air Quality Mgmt. Dist. v. EPA, 
    554 F.3d 1076
    , 1081 n.* (D.C. Cir. 2009) (quoting Sitka Sound
    Seafoods, Inc. v. NLRB, 
    206 F.3d 1175
    , 1181 (D.C. Cir. 2000)).
    Here that reason has particular resonance because EPA was
    relying on the court’s decision in North Carolina, 
    531 F.3d at 916-17
    , to “not disturb” its two-step approach to defining
    “significant contribution,” and no one referenced the CAIR
    comment during the Transport Rule administrative proceedings.
    Even setting aside the starkly novel forfeiture standard the
    court has chosen to apply to industry petitioners, the cited CAIR
    comment is insufficient to establish that the issue of EPA’s
    statutory authority was properly preserved for the court to have
    jurisdiction to address it. The court relies on a footnote in
    American Petroleum Institute v. EPA, 
    52 F.3d 1113
    , 1120 n.1
    (D.C. Cir. 1995), for the proposition that it is “highly relevant”
    if an agency previously “reject[ed] [] the same argument in a
    prior rulemaking,” Op. at 33 n.18. Although the CAIR
    comment communicates a policy preference, this court has
    distinguished between comments presenting policy preferences
    and those presenting statutory authority objections, see, e.g.,
    36
    Cement Kiln, 
    255 F.3d at 860-61
    , and technical and policy
    arguments are insufficient to preserve objections to EPA’s
    statutory authority. See Nat. Res. Def. Council, 
    25 F.3d at 1074
    .
    The CAIR comment that EPA rejected in the other rulemaking
    is therefore not “the same argument” that petitioners belatedly
    attempt to raise now. Furthermore, in American Petroleum, the
    court concluded that the jurisdictional question was “close”
    inasmuch as EPA had explicitly incorporated the docket from
    the previous rulemaking in the second rulemaking, and the
    previous rulemaking had been aborted, such that there was no
    intervening opportunity for judicial review. See Am. Petroleum,
    
    52 F.3d at
    1120 n.1. Neither of those factors that made
    American Petroleum a close case is present here. The Transport
    Rule was promulgated to replace CAIR, but the CAIR docket
    was never incorporated into the Transport Rule docket —
    perhaps because of the court’s instruction in North Carolina
    that EPA “redo its analysis from the ground up.” 
    531 F.3d at 929
    . EPA would have had no reason to reexamine the
    voluminous CAIR docket in search for objections that were not
    raised before the court in North Carolina. Also, unlike the
    aborted rule whose docket EPA incorporated in American
    Petroleum, in CAIR there was an intervening opportunity for
    judicial review. Yet no one sought judicial review of CAIR on
    the basis of the CAIR comment now relied on by the court.
    This precise circumstance was relied upon by the court in North
    Carolina in declining to disturb EPA’s approach. See 
    id. at 917
    ; see Med. Waste, 
    645 F.3d at 427
    .18 Once the court in
    18
    The fact that Kansas, Nebraska, and Oklahoma were not
    regulated under CAIR, and thus would have a newly ripened claim,
    see Coalition for Responsible Regulation, 684 F.3d at 129-32, does
    not mean that those States are relieved from making that claim during
    the Transport Rule administrative proceedings, as CAA section
    307(d)(7)(B) requires. This is all the more true here because the
    petitioners who were subject to CAIR abandoned the CAIR comment
    37
    North Carolina declined to disturb EPA’s approach, because no
    objection to EPA’s authority to adopt its approach had been
    raised to the court, petitioners were required to inform EPA
    during the Transport Rule administrative proceedings that they
    objected to EPA’s statutory authority to pursue that approach.
    See 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B). If American Petroleum
    presented a “close” jurisdictional question, then the
    jurisdictional question here is easily decided.
    Third, the court concludes that “EPA’s statements at the
    proposal stage indicated EPA was not open to reconsidering
    CAIR’s earlier rejection of petitioners’ argument,” and that
    because EPA had dismissed “the two air quality-only
    approaches it considered,” the comments of Tennessee,
    Wisconsin, and Delaware were “‘reasonable’ under the
    circumstances,” Op. at 33, n.18. But there was no such “earlier
    rejection of petitioners’ argument” in CAIR because the CAIR
    comment did not suggest that EPA exceeded its statutory
    authority by following its two-step approach to defining
    “significant contribution.” See Cement Kiln, 
    255 F.3d at
    860-
    61. Furthermore, industry petitioners acknowledge in their
    Reply Brief that they “are not advocating an ‘air quality-only’
    approach,” but instead a cost-based approach with a floor for
    emission reduction obligations. Industry & Labor Petrs’ Reply
    now relied on by the court when they sought judicial review. To
    suggest that EPA should have foreseen that Kansas, Nebraska, and
    Oklahoma, despite not making an objection to the proposed Transport
    Rule on this ground, secretly did object on the basis of a comment
    made during a rulemaking to which they were not parties, and was
    abandoned on judicial review by those who made it, distorts the
    ripeness and CAA exhaustion doctrines beyond recognition and
    “give[s] parties to Clean Air Act proceedings a powerful weapon for
    delaying and sandbagging Agency action.” Lead Indus. Ass’n Inc. v.
    EPA, 
    647 F.2d 1130
    , 1173 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
    38
    Br. at 10. So, EPA’s rejection of two alternative air quality-
    only approaches has no bearing on whether EPA would have
    been willing to entertain an objection during the Transport Rule
    administrative proceedings that the “good neighbor” provision
    required it to use the threshold level for a State’s inclusion in
    the Transport Rule as a floor for emission reduction obligations.
    Nothing in this court’s precedent on CAA section
    307(d)(7)(B), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (d)(7)(B), supports the court’s
    tortured efforts to avoid the jurisdictional limits in the CAA and
    seize jurisdiction where petitioners clearly fall far short of
    preserving their claim by objecting to EPA’s statutory authority
    during the Transport Rule administrative proceedings with
    “reasonable specificity.” The court does not acknowledge this
    court’s precedent setting a strict standard for preservation of
    statutory authority objections, which demonstrates the
    inconsistency of the court’s exercise of jurisdiction today. See,
    e.g., Natural Res. Def. Council, 
    559 F.3d at 563-64
    ; Am. Farm
    Bureau Fed’n v. EPA, 
    559 F.3d 512
    , 538 (D.C. Cir. 2009);
    Natural Res. Def. Council v. EPA, 
    571 F.3d 1245
    , 1259 (D.C.
    Cir. 2009); Mossville, 
    370 F.3d at 1238
    ; Cement Kiln, 
    255 F.3d at 860-61
    ; George E. Warren Corp. v. EPA, 
    159 F.3d 616
    , 629
    (D.C. Cir. 1998); Motor & Equip. Mfrs. Ass’n, 
    142 F.3d at 462
    ;
    Natural Res. Def. Council, 
    25 F.3d at 1074
    ; Ohio v. EPA, 
    997 F.2d at 1528-29
    ; Natural Res. Def. Council v. EPA, 
    937 F.2d 641
    , 647-48 (D.C. Cir. 1991); Linemaster Switch Corp., 
    938 F.2d at 1308
    ; Thomas, 
    805 F.2d at 425-27
    ; Lead Indus. Ass’n,
    
    647 F.2d at 1173
    .
    Rather than confront the force of this precedent, the court
    relies on phrases from a few opinions suggesting a more flexible
    standard, see Op. at 31-34 n.18, but tellingly omits any
    discussion of the analyses or outcomes in those cases. This is
    because even where the court has mentioned flexibility, the
    comments at issue were either significantly more specific than
    39
    the comments of Tennessee and Wisconsin, and were thus
    sufficient, or were more specific but nonetheless deemed
    wanting. For example, in Natural Resources Defense Council
    v. EPA, 
    571 F.3d 1245
    , 1259 (D.C. Cir. 2009), the court
    suggested there is “leeway” but concluded, in words that
    resonate here, that “EPA cannot be expected to take [an]
    argument, raised in support of one specific objection, and apply
    it sua sponte to another provision.” 
    Id. at 1259-60
    . The irony
    in the court’s reliance on this case is that it expects EPA to read
    North Carolina in precisely the opposite manner — it concludes
    EPA should have taken a holding about “exceeding the mark”
    in the CAIR trading allowance program and sua sponte applied
    it to the methodology for calculating “significant contribution,”
    even though the court explicitly declined to disturb that
    methodology. See supra Pt. II.B. In Appalachian Power, 
    135 F.3d 791
    , 817 (D.C. Cir. 1998), the court concluded the
    “argument . . . during the comment period [was] — in
    substance, if not in form, the same objection” raised before the
    court, whereas here the comments of Tennessee and Wisconsin
    did not raise the statutory authority objection now urged upon
    the court in either form or substance. The court also relies on
    Natural Resources Defense Council v. EPA, 
    824 F.2d 1146
    ,
    1150-51 (D.C. Cir. 1987) (en banc), which involved common
    law exhaustion, not CAA section 307(d)(7)(B), and in that case
    the issue was “explicitly raised . . . in comments” before the
    EPA, 
    id. at 1151
    . And although observing in South Coast Air
    Quality Management District v. EPA, 
    472 F.3d 882
    , 891-92
    (D.C. Cir. 2009), that petitioners have “some leeway,” the court
    concluded that leeway did not permit the petitioner to rely upon
    a general procedural preference stated in a cover letter to its
    comments to alert EPA to the details of the objections to a final
    rule.
    None of the court’s proffered reasons for ignoring section
    307(d)(7)(B)’s jurisdictional limitations has merit on its own,
    40
    nor in combination. “[Z]ero plus zero [plus zero] equals zero.”
    U.S. v. Clipper, 
    313 F.3d 605
    , 609 (D.C. Cir. 2002).
    III.
    The court’s remaining reasons for vacating the Transport
    Rule are also either beyond its jurisdiction or unpersuasive.
    First, the court concludes that EPA violated the CAA by
    not calculating the required emission reductions “on a
    proportional basis that took into account contributions of other
    upwind States to the downwind States’ nonattainment
    problems.” Op. at 38. This is so, the court says, because in
    Michigan the court only permitted cost to be considered as a
    way “to allow some upwind States to do less than their full fair
    share,” not more. 
    Id.
     Petitioners have not argued that EPA
    violated the CAA by not calculating emission reductions on a
    proportional basis, as the court suggests. See Anna Jaques
    Hosp. v. Sebelius, 
    583 F.3d 1
    , 7 (D.C. Cir. 2009). The
    statement in industry petitioners’ brief that the court quotes, see
    Op. at 37, instead maintains that EPA was arbitrary and
    capricious in the way it grouped States for 2014 sulfur dioxide
    (SO2) budgets because, they claimed, EPA did so without
    “consider[ing] relative contributions of the various States,”
    Industry & Labor Petrs’ Br. at 33. This challenge is limited to
    the asserted arbitrariness of how certain States were
    categorized for one pollutant’s budget for one year. The court
    lacks jurisdiction to consider sua sponte an objection to EPA’s
    statutory authority not raised by petitioners within the sixty day
    period required under CAA section 307(b)(1), 
    42 U.S.C. § 7607
    (b)(1); see Med. Waste, 
    645 F.3d at 427
    . As this court has
    previously said, “[t]o rely on relief plaintiffs never requested on
    a claim they never made would be to conclude that zero plus
    zero equals more than zero.” NAACP, Jefferson Cnty. Branch
    v. U.S. Sugar Corp., 
    84 F.3d 1432
    , 1438 (D.C. Cir. 1996).
    41
    Second, even if petitioners had raised a “proportionality”
    statutory authority objection, this objection and the court’s
    conclusion are premised on the speculative possibility that the
    Transport Rule might require States to reduce emissions to a
    level below the one percent of NAAQS inclusion threshold of
    EPA’s two-step approach to defining “signification
    contribution,” and thus more than their statutory fair share — an
    argument over which the court also lacks jurisdiction. See
    supra Part II. Further, the court’s conclusion is at odds with
    North Carolina where the court concluded that EPA’s measure
    of significant contribution need not “directly correlate with each
    State’s individualized air quality impact on downwind
    nonattainment relative to other upwind states.” 
    531 F.3d at 908
    (emphasis added); see LaShawn A., 
    87 F.3d at 1395
    . It also
    ignores that in Michigan the court expressly permitted the use
    of uniform cost thresholds to measure “significance,” and
    likewise permitted the “ineluctabl[e]” result of small and large
    contributors being required to make the same amount of
    reductions. 
    213 F.3d at 679
    . Without jurisdiction to reach an
    argument on whether the Transport Rule requires States to
    reduce more than their statutory fair share, Michigan requires
    the conclusion that EPA’s choice of cost thresholds in the
    Transport Rule was permissible.
    Next, the court concludes that EPA failed to consider the
    effect of in-State emissions of downwind States on their own
    nonattainment and interference with maintenance problems, see
    Op. at 38. Petitioners conceded at oral argument that this “in-
    State contribution” contention was “not actually an independent
    statutory authority argument,” Oral Arg. Tr. at 32, but merely a
    repackaged version of the objection to the possibility of
    reductions below the one percent of NAAQS inclusion
    threshold, an argument over which the court lacks jurisdiction,
    see supra Part II. Even if the court had jurisdiction to address
    it, the court’s conclusion is unsupported by the record. EPA
    42
    examined the various cost threshold for each State, and in so
    doing considered
    how much air quality improvement in downwind states
    result[ed] from upwind state emission reductions at
    different levels; whether, considering upwind emission
    reductions and assumed local (in-state) reductions, the
    downwind air quality problems would be resolved; and
    the components of the remaining downwind air quality
    problem (e.g., whether it is a predominantly local or
    in-state problem, or whether it still contains a large
    upwind component).
    Transport Rule, 76 Fed. Reg. at 48,256 (emphases added); see
    id. at 48,259 (concluding remaining nonattainment problem in
    Liberty-Clairton was the result of local emissions). EPA thus
    in fact examined the contribution of downwind States to their
    own nonattainment problems.
    Finally, the court concludes that EPA “did not try to take
    steps to avoid” collective over-control, Op. at 39. This
    conclusion too is unsupported by the record. The Transport
    Rule was not projected to achieve attainment of all downwind
    nonattainment and maintenance problems attributed to upwind
    States. See id. at 48,210, 48,232, 48,247-48; Resp.’s Br. at 38
    n.24. Because EPA’s analysis demonstrated instances of
    “remaining downwind air quality problems,” Transport Rule, 76
    Fed. Reg. at 48,256, there is no support for the court’s
    conclusion that the Transport Rule resulted in collective over-
    control.
    43
    IV.
    The Transport Rule, as EPA observes, represents “the
    culmination of decades of Congressional, administrative, and
    judicial efforts to fashion a workable, comprehensive regulatory
    approach to interstate air pollution issues that have huge public
    health implications.” Resp.’s Br. at 12. The legislative history
    to amendments of the CAA documents Congress’s frustration
    with the upwind States’ historic failure to take effective action
    on their own to curtail their contributions to problems of
    pollution in downwind States, leading to amendments to
    strengthen EPA’s hand. The court ignores Congress’s
    limitations on the court’s jurisdiction and decades of precedent
    strictly enforcing those limitations and proceeds to do violence
    to the plain text of the CAA and EPA’s permissible
    interpretations of the CAA, all while claiming to be “apply[ing]
    and enforc[ing] the statute as it’s now written.” Op. at 8. The
    result is the endorsement of a “maximum delay” strategy for
    regulated entities, rewarding States and industry for cloaking
    their objections throughout years of administrative rulemaking
    procedures and blindsiding the agency with both a collateral
    attack on its interpretation of section 110(a) and an objection
    raised for the first time in this court, despite the court’s previous
    decisions declining to disturb the approach EPA adopted in the
    Transport Rule.
    To reach the result — vacating the Transport Rule — the
    court does several remarkable things. It seizes jurisdiction over
    the issue of States’ independent “good neighbor” obligation by
    allowing States to pursue a collateral attack on Final SIP Rules
    from which they either failed timely to file petitions for review
    or their petitions challenging those rules have not been
    consolidated with the petitions challenging the Transport Rule
    that are before this three-judge panel. It asserts jurisdiction over
    industry’s challenge to EPA’s two-step approach to defining
    44
    “significant contribution” by excusing industry from its failure
    to preserve the issue by first presenting it to EPA and then
    resting jurisdiction on a comment in another rulemaking that
    was first cited by industry in rebuttal oral argument and cannot
    bear the weight the court assigns to it because it did not
    challenge EPA’s statutory authority to adopt its two-step
    approach. All this is contrary to Congress’s limitations on the
    court’s jurisdiction and this court’s precedent enforcing those
    limitations. The rest of the court’s analysis recalibrates
    Congress’s statutory scheme and vision of cooperative
    federalism in the CAA. Along the way, the court abandons any
    consideration that an agency is entitled to repose, absent
    objection during its administrative proceedings, when a court,
    here on two occasion, expressly leaves undisturbed its two-step
    approach to enforcing a statute it administers and no objection
    is raised during the Transport Rule administrative proceedings.
    Then, in dictum, the court offers suggestions as to how EPA
    might fix the problems the court has created upon rewriting the
    CAA and trampling on this court’s precedent in North Carolina
    and Michigan.
    None of this is to suggest that EPA should be excused from
    the statutory limits on its authority or any material procedural
    missteps under the CAA or the APA. But neither can the court
    ignore jurisdictional limits or substantive provisions that
    Congress wrote in clear terms and EPA’s permissible
    interpretations of the CAA in addressing statutory silence or
    ambiguity. Rather it underscores why, as a programmatic and
    public health matter, Congress concluded there are important
    reasons for jurisdictional limits and administrative exhaustion
    that this court heretofore has steadfastly acknowledged in
    recognizing both the limits of its jurisdiction and of its role in
    enforcing the CAA as Congress wrote it.
    Accordingly, I respectfully dissent.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 11-1302, 11-1315, 11-1323, 11-1329, 11-1338, 11-1340, 11-1350, 11-1357, 11-1358, 11-1359, 11-1360, 11-1361, 11-1362, 11-1363, 11-1364, 11-1365, 11-1366, 11-1367, 11-1368, 11-1369, 11-1371, 11-1372, 11-1373, 11-1374, 11-1375, 11-1376, 11-1377, 11-1378, 11-1

Citation Numbers: 402 U.S. App. D.C. 383, 696 F.3d 7

Judges: Griffith, Kavanaugh, Rogers

Filed Date: 8/21/2012

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 8/5/2023

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