Secretary of Labor v. Knight Hawk Coal, LLC ( 2021 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued December 8, 2020              Decided March 26, 2021
    No. 20-1299
    SECRETARY OF LABOR, MINE SAFETY AND HEALTH
    ADMINISTRATION,
    PETITIONER
    v.
    KNIGHT HAWK COAL, LLC AND FEDERAL MINE SAFETY AND
    HEALTH REVIEW COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENTS
    On Petition for Review of a Decision of the
    Federal Mine Safety and Health Review Commission
    Emily Toler Scott, Acting Counsel for Appellate
    Litigation, U.S. Department of Labor, argued the cause and
    filed the briefs for petitioner.
    Ralph Henry Moore II argued the cause for respondent
    Knight Hawk Coal, LLC. With him on the brief was Patrick
    W. Dennison.
    Before: SRINIVASAN, Chief Judge, HENDERSON, Circuit
    Judge, and RANDOLPH, Senior Circuit Judge.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge HENDERSON.
    2
    KAREN LECRAFT HENDERSON, Circuit Judge: The Federal
    Mine Safety and Health Amendments Act of 1977 (Mine Act),
    
    30 U.S.C. §§ 801
     et seq., requires the Secretary of the United
    States Department of Labor (Labor Secretary or Secretary),
    acting through the Mine Safety and Health Administration
    (MSHA), to negotiate mine-specific ventilation plans with
    representatives of the companies that operate the mines. From
    2006 to 2018, Knight Hawk Coal, LLC (Knight Hawk)
    operated its Prairie Eagle Underground Mine (Prairie Eagle) in
    accordance with a ventilation plan approved by MSHA. The
    approved ventilation plan permitted Knight Hawk to conduct
    perimeter mining at Prairie Eagle with 40-foot perimeter cuts.1
    In January 2018, MSHA conducted a ventilation survey at
    Prairie Eagle and concluded that the approved ventilation plan
    did not adequately ventilate the perimeter cuts. MSHA relied
    primarily on the results of chemical smoke tests, which
    involved survey team members observing smoke movement
    from a 44-foot distance. From February to October 2018,
    MSHA and Knight Hawk exchanged letters about the alleged
    deficiencies in the ventilation plan. Then, in November 2018,
    MSHA revoked Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan.
    After receiving a technical citation from MSHA for operating
    without an approved plan,2 Knight Hawk sought review of
    MSHA’s revocation decision from the Federal Mine Safety and
    Health Review Commission (Commission).
    An Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) appointed by the
    Commission found that the revocation decision was arbitrary
    and capricious, in part because the chemical smoke test results
    were unreliable and inconsistent and the Secretary ignored
    disagreements among MSHA ventilation survey team
    1
    See infra at 5–6.
    2
    See Prairie State Generating Co. v. Sec’y of Labor, 
    792 F.3d 82
    , 87–88 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (explaining technical citation practice to
    enable review of MSHA actions).
    3
    members regarding the results. The ALJ vacated the technical
    citation and reinstated the previously approved ventilation
    plan. The Commission then affirmed the ALJ’s decision,
    finding that substantial evidence supported the ALJ’s
    conclusion that the Secretary failed to explain adequately why
    the existing ventilation plan was deficient. The Secretary now
    petitions us for review. We deny the petition because
    substantial evidence supports the ALJ’s finding that the
    Secretary’s revocation decision was indeed arbitrary and
    capricious.
    I.   BACKGROUND
    A. Statutes and Regulations
    The Congress enacted the Mine Act “to protect the health
    and safety of the Nation’s coal or other miners.” 
    30 U.S.C. § 801
    (g). “The Mine Act subjects mine operators to substantial
    safety regulation, under rules generally applicable to all mines,
    as well as mine-specific safety plans suited to the particular
    geologic conditions and the operator’s chosen mining system.”
    Prairie State Generating Co. v. Sec’y of Labor, 
    792 F.3d 82
    ,
    84 (D.C. Cir. 2015).
    Two separate agencies enforce the Mine Act through
    “complementary policymaking and adjudicative functions.” 
    Id. at 85
    . The Labor Secretary, acting through MSHA, sets
    regulatory standards for mine safety, conducts regular mine
    inspections and issues citations and orders in response to
    violations. See 29 U.S.C. § 557a; 
    30 U.S.C. §§ 813
    , 814;
    Thunder Basin Coal Co. v. Reich, 
    510 U.S. 200
    , 202–04 & n.5
    (1994). The Commission, an adjudicatory body that is
    independent of the Secretary, reviews challenges to MSHA’s
    actions. See 
    30 U.S.C. §§ 815
    (d), 823.
    4
    “The Mine Act requires the Secretary, acting through an
    MSHA district manager . . . , to negotiate mine-specific roof-
    support and ventilation plans with representatives of the
    companies that operate the mines.” Prairie State, 792 F.3d at
    86. In this respect, the Congress determined that “individually
    tailored plans, with a nucleus of commonly accepted practices,
    are the best method of regulating such complex and potentially
    multifaceted problems as ventilation, roof control and the like.”
    United Mine Workers of Am., Int’l Union v. Dole, 
    870 F.2d 662
    , 669 (D.C. Cir. 1989) (quoting S. Rep. No. 95–181, at 25
    (1977), reprinted in 1977 U.S.C.C.A.N. 3401, 3425).
    A mine operator must propose a plan that it believes is
    “suitable” to ensure adequate ventilation as well as methane
    and dust control based on each mine’s unique geology and
    proposed mining system. See 
    30 U.S.C. § 863
    (o); see also 
    30 C.F.R. § 75.370
    (a)(1) (“The operator shall develop and follow
    a ventilation plan approved by the district manager. The plan
    shall be designed to control methane and respirable dust and
    shall be suitable to the conditions and mining system at the
    mine.”). “[W]hile the operator proposes a plan and is
    entitled . . . to further consultation with the Secretary over
    revisions, the Secretary must independently exercise his
    judgment with respect to the content of such plans in
    connection with his final approval of the plan.” Dole, 
    870 F.2d at
    669 n.10 (quoting S. Rep. No. 95–181 at 25, 1977
    U.S.C.C.A.N. at 3425). Thus, the Secretary “retain[s] final
    responsibility for deciding what ha[s] to be included in the
    plan.” 
    Id.
     “No mine may operate without an approved plan, and
    once the Secretary has approved a plan, its terms are
    enforceable as if they were duly promulgated regulations.”
    Prairie State, 792 F.3d at 86. Moreover, “[t]he ventilation plan
    for each mine shall be reviewed every 6 months by an
    authorized representative of the Secretary to assure that it is
    5
    suitable to current conditions in the mine.” 
    30 C.F.R. § 75.370
    (g).
    B. Facts
    “Perimeter mining” is “a special variant of the room-and-
    pillar method” of mining. Sec’y of Labor v. Knight Hawk Coal,
    LLC (Knight Hawk II), 
    42 FMSHRC 435
    , 436 (July 2020)
    (internal quotations omitted). Underground room-and-pillar
    mining proceeds in two phases: advance mining and retreat
    mining. Coal is first extracted with advance mining—digging
    parallel and perpendicular tunnels into the solid coal and
    leaving pillars of undisturbed coal behind for roof support.
    Retreat mining begins after advance mining has been
    completed. In traditional room-and-pillar mining, entire pillars
    are removed during retreat mining and the roof eventually
    collapses. By contrast, perimeter mining involves making
    angled cuts into the interior pillars or into the perimeter of areas
    where advance mining has been completed. Thus, no interior
    pillars are completely removed in perimeter mining. Because
    the interior pillars are left to support the roof, “perimeter
    mining has less caving of the mined area than other forms of
    retreat mining.” 
    Id. at 437
    .
    Three mines under MSHA Coal District 8’s jurisdiction3
    either currently operate, or previously operated, with perimeter
    mining: Gateway North, Viper and Knight Hawk’s Prairie
    3
    At the time the case was presented to the ALJ and to the
    Commission, MSHA’s district offices were identified by number.
    MSHA’s district offices have since been renamed based on location.
    Coal District 8 is now the Vincennes, Indiana district office. Because
    the ALJ and the Commission decisions refer to District 8, we also
    refer to the Vincennes, Indiana district office as District 8 to avoid
    confusion.
    6
    Eagle. As noted, the Mine Act requires every underground coal
    mine operator to adopt a ventilation plan “suitable to the
    conditions and the mining system of the coal mine and
    approved by the Secretary.” 
    30 U.S.C. § 863
    (o); see 
    30 C.F.R. §§ 75.370
    –.371. Prairie Eagle received conditional approval
    from MSHA to begin perimeter mining in 2006. MSHA
    District 8 granted unconditional approval four years later in
    2010 and again granted unconditional approval in 2015. The
    approved ventilation plan allowed Knight Hawk to conduct
    perimeter mining at Prairie Eagle with deep perimeter cuts, up
    to a depth of 40 feet.
    In 2017, the Gateway North mine submitted a plan to
    MSHA to conduct perimeter mining with 40-foot cuts, as
    opposed to the 20-foot perimeter cuts that had previously been
    approved at that mine. Before approving the plan, MSHA
    District 8 Manager Ronald Burns ordered a ventilation survey
    to determine whether the deep cuts could be adequately
    ventilated. Burns concluded that “the results [of the Gateway
    North survey] raised concerns regarding 40-foot cut perimeter
    mining, so he decided to conduct [ventilation] surveys at Viper
    Mine and [Prairie Eagle], as well.” Knight Hawk II, 42
    FMSHRC at 439.
    On January 9–10, 2018, MSHA conducted a ventilation
    survey of Prairie Eagle. Dennis Beiter, an MSHA mining
    engineer with the ventilation division, headed the investigation
    team. The team included MSHA Ventilation Specialists and
    other MSHA personnel. The survey was conducted using
    “standard investigation procedures and standard procedures for
    collecting ventilation related data.” Joint Appendix (J.A.) 36
    (Dennis Beiter Administrative Hearing Testimony).
    Specifically, the team “used chemical smoke tests to determine
    airflow velocity and direction at various locations within the
    entries, crosscuts, and perimeter cuts of a block and measured
    7
    air quality with handheld devices and bottle samples.” Knight
    Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 439. For the perimeter cuts,
    [t]he team . . . conducted [chemical] smoke
    tests at the ends of the 40-foot perimeter cuts
    using a probe with a 44-foot extension fitted
    with two cap lamps attached to the end of the
    probe. The smoke was released from a tube at
    the end of the [44-foot] extension. Team
    observers, 44 feet away, would attempt to see
    the movement of the smoke—whether the
    smoke moved left or right, indicating airflow, or
    whether it rose to the roof and dissipated,
    indicating no airflow.
    Id. (citations omitted). MSHA’s team did not use tracer gas
    tests4 in its survey even though Beiter admitted that tracer gas
    could have been used to provide similar airflow information.
    On January 29, 2018, MSHA conveyed to Knight Hawk
    the preliminary results of the ventilation survey. “The survey
    showed that the highest concentration of methane, particularly
    at the end of the 40-foot perimeter cuts, was 0.12%—far below
    an explosive level of 5%. The lowest concentration of oxygen
    was measured at 20.2%, also well within safe limits.” Id. at
    441. The survey also found that “[t]here was no perceptible air
    movement in 5[7]5 of the 138 deep perimeter cuts MSHA tested
    (of the 615 total deep perimeter cuts in the panel), and [in some
    4
    Tracer gas is used to determine airflow by releasing a certain
    gas in one area of a mine and then sampling for that gas in another
    area and assessing its concentration level.
    5
    The Secretary’s brief states that there was no perceptible
    movement in 56 of the 138 deep perimeter cuts. But MSHA’s final
    ventilation survey report stated that 57 of the 138 deep perimeter cuts
    tested had no perceptible air movement. See J.A. 265.
    8
    cuts] where there was air movement, it was intermittent
    (inconsistent and uncontrolled).” Pet’r’s Br. 19 (citing J.A.
    265).
    After MSHA’s finalized ventilation survey report issued
    on February 8, 2018, Knight Hawk and MSHA exchanged a
    series of letters. MSHA’s letters outlined alleged deficiencies
    in the ventilation plan and asked Knight Hawk to submit a
    revised plan. Knight Hawk claimed that the ventilation survey
    report “contained opinion, speculation, and assumed
    definitions and designations of the terms pillared areas, bleeder
    entries, partial recovery second mining, and return air split.”
    Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 441 (internal quotations
    omitted). Knight Hawk also emphasized the safety benefits of
    perimeter mining as compared to other mining methods.6
    Knight Hawk eventually proposed one modification in
    response to the MSHA letters, offering to “add a statement to
    the Mine Ventilation Map for each worked out area to better
    describe the direction of air movement through the worked-out
    areas.”7 J.A. 296. MSHA rejected the proposal “because it was
    only a general statement that air was going from one place to
    another without indicating how it got there.” Pet’r’s Br. 23
    (citing J.A. 74). In his testimony at the subsequent
    administrative hearing, District 8 Manager Burns described the
    difference as stating airflow went from point A to point Z rather
    than from point A to B to C, etc.
    6
    In this case, “[i]t is uncontested that perimeter mining is safer
    than other forms of retreat mining.” Id. at 437.
    7
    A worked-out area is “[a]n area where mining has been
    completed, whether pillared or nonpillared, excluding developing
    entries, return air courses, and intake air courses.” 
    30 C.F.R. § 75.301
    .
    9
    On October 22, 2018, MSHA notified Knight Hawk that,
    if Knight Hawk did not propose modifications that addressed
    the alleged deficiencies in the ventilation plan, the plan would
    be revoked. On November 14, 2018, MSHA revoked Knight
    Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan, approved an interim
    plan that did not include perimeter mining and issued a
    technical citation. The technical citation asserted five
    deficiencies:
    (1) the design of the bleeder system did not
    control air direction through[] [all individual]
    blocks; (2) a method to control air movement to
    ventilate extended depth perimeter cuts within
    the “pillared area” had not been provided; (3)
    air direction through blocks, including the
    “pillared areas” within each block, was not
    shown on plan drawings or the ventilation map
    (noting that information on direction of airflow
    is necessary for proper evaluation of bleeder
    system effectiveness); (4) [the] air direction at
    evaluation points was not shown in the plan
    drawings or map (noting the same); and (5) the
    specified means of evaluating ventilation in the
    worked-out area did not provide sufficient
    information to determine the effectiveness of
    the bleeder system.
    Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 455. The technical citation
    referred to multiple sections of the underground coal mine
    safety regulations to support the five alleged deficiencies. Id.
    (citing 
    30 C.F.R. §§ 75.334
    (b)(1), 75.364(a)(2)(iii),
    75.364(a)(2)(iv), 75.334(c)(4), 75.371(bb), 75.372(b)(9),
    75.371(y), 75.371(z)). In its brief, the Secretary categorizes the
    five deficiencies as focused on two problems: “the [40-foot]
    deep cuts were not adequately ventilated, and mine examiners
    10
    could not adequately evaluate whether the ventilation system
    was working effectively.” Pet’r’s Br. 24.
    C. Procedure
    On November 15, 2018, Knight Hawk filed a notice of
    contest, challenging MSHA’s technical citation. Knight Hawk
    Coal, LLC v. Sec’y of Labor (Knight Hawk I), 
    41 FMSHRC 522
    , 522 (Aug. 2019) (ALJ). On March 28–29 and April 1,
    2019, an ALJ held a hearing on Knight Hawk’s challenge to
    the technical citation. On August 19, 2019, the ALJ issued his
    decision, concluding that MSHA’s revocation of Knight
    Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan was arbitrary and
    capricious, vacating the technical citation and reinstating the
    previously approved ventilation plan.8
    The ALJ examined the factors set forth in Motor Vehicle
    Manufacturers Ass’n of the United States, Inc. v. State Farm
    Mutual Automobile Insurance Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983),
    traditionally used to determine whether an agency action is
    arbitrary and capricious.9 First, the ALJ concluded “MSHA
    improperly relied on two factors: unreliable smoke tests
    conducted inside the perimeter cuts, and a bias against
    8
    Although the ALJ noted that “Commission case law regarding
    the standard of review applicable to . . . a district manager’s rejection
    of a ventilation plan appears to be in a state of flux,” the ALJ
    correctly concluded that “the most recent Commission
    precedent . . . applies an arbitrary and capricious standard in these
    circumstances.” Knight Hawk I, 41 FMSHRC at 544, 548.
    9
    The Motor Vehicle Mfrs. “arbitrary and capricious” factors are:
    “if the agency has relied on factors which Congress has not intended
    it to consider, entirely failed to consider an important aspect of the
    problem, offered an explanation for its decision that runs counter to
    the evidence before the agency, or is so implausible that it could not
    be ascribed to a difference in view or the product of agency
    expertise.” Id.
    11
    perimeter mining.” Knight Hawk I, 41 FMSHRC at 549, 548–
    51. Second, the ALJ found MSHA failed to consider important
    factors, including (1) the statutory requirement of the no-less
    protection standard, (2) the failure to use tracer gas tests and
    (3) the differences of opinion among the MSHA survey team
    members regarding the chemical smoke test results. Id. at 552–
    54. Third, the ALJ concluded MSHA’s explanation for
    revoking the ventilation plan ran counter to the evidence
    because the record did not establish non-compliance with the
    regulations. Id. at 555–59. Moreover, the ALJ found that,
    “insofar as the Secretary relies on [Program Policy Letter
    (PPL)] P13-V-12 as the impetus that changed the substantive
    requirements for the submitted ventilation plan and maps, such
    reliance is improper as PPL P13-V-12 did not go through
    proper notice-and-comment rulemaking.” Id. at 559. Based on
    these deficiencies, the ALJ concluded MSHA’s revocation of
    Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan was arbitrary and
    capricious.
    On July 23, 2020, in a 3–2 decision, the Commission
    affirmed the ALJ’s decision and order. Knight Hawk II, 42
    FMSHRC at 453–54. The Commission confirmed that the
    Secretary’s decision to revoke a ventilation plan is reviewed
    under the arbitrary and capricious standard. The Commission
    “then determine[d] whether substantial evidence support[ed]
    the [ALJ]’s finding as to whether the agency action was
    arbitrary and capricious.” Id. at 445 (citing Prairie State
    Generating Co. v. Sec’y of Labor, 
    35 FMSHRC 1985
    , 1989–
    91 (July 2013), aff’d, 
    792 F.3d 82
     (D.C. Cir. 2015); Sec’y of
    Labor v. Mach Mining, LLC, 
    34 FMSHRC 1784
    , 1790–91
    (Aug. 2012), aff’d, 
    728 F.3d 643
     (7th Cir. 2013)). Under the
    substantial evidence standard of review, in a 3–2 decision, the
    Commission concluded that “substantial evidence supports the
    [ALJ’s] finding that the Secretary failed to articulate a
    satisfactory explanation, rationally connected to the facts,
    12
    justifying a finding that [Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle]
    ventilation plan was unsuitable.” 
    Id. at 447
    .
    First, the Commission concluded that the ALJ correctly
    determined that MSHA does not require uniform air flow
    throughout the worked-out areas in mines that conduct types of
    retreat mining other than perimeter mining. Because MSHA
    does not require this information from mines that do not use
    perimeter mining, the Commission found “[s]uch an
    informational requirement is not necessary without a showing
    of need, for safety, to require travel within worked-out areas to
    evaluate airflow in entries and crosscuts.” 
    Id. at 448
    . In this
    respect, the only potential hazard that MSHA had identified as
    relevant to its ventilation survey was “the possibility of a
    buildup of methane” and the Commission concluded that
    MSHA presented no evidence that supported finding a risk of
    methane buildup. 
    Id. at 449
    . Specifically, the Commission
    found that:
    Although the tests conducted by MSHA were
    deeply flawed, even those tests do not support
    the proposition that the pattern of airflow within
    perimeter cuts and through the worked-out area
    created any dangers for miners. Every methane
    reading in perimeter cuts and other areas
    demonstrated methane levels far below the
    danger threshold. MSHA’s survey did not
    reveal any fact-based reasons to suspect that
    ignitions might arise as a result of the
    ventilation plan.
    
    Id.
     (footnote omitted). Accordingly, the Commission
    concluded “substantial evidence supports the [ALJ]’s finding
    that the Secretary failed to rebut Knight Hawk’s testimony
    regarding the low risk of dangers associated with methane
    13
    buildup in the mine at issue.” 
    Id. at 451
    . Simply put, “MSHA’s
    investigation did not show any prospect of an ignition or lack
    of oxygen in the mine.” 
    Id. at 450
    .
    Second, the Commission determined that PPL P13-V-12
    “redefined bleeder systems to include pillared areas and thus
    information would now be required on airflow within such
    areas.” 
    Id. at 449
    . The Commission found that the PPL’s
    redefinition of bleeder systems was a substantive change rather
    than an interpretive rule and therefore required notice-and-
    comment rulemaking. Because PPL P13-V-12 did not go
    through the notice-and-comment process, the Commission
    concluded that the ALJ “correctly found that it was improper
    for MSHA to rely on the PPL to revoke the plan without a
    reasonable fact-based finding of safety deficiencies in the
    plan.” 
    Id. at 450
    .
    Third, the Commission agreed with the ALJ’s finding that
    “MSHA failed to explain why the revocation satisfied the ‘no-
    less protection’ standard under 
    30 U.S.C. § 811
    (a)(9).” 
    Id. at 451
    . Finally, the Commission concluded that substantial
    evidence supports the ALJ’s conclusion because “the Secretary
    has not provided the necessary explanation as to why th[e
    existing ventilation] plan was unsuitable either because it does
    not comply with the substantive requirements of 
    30 C.F.R. § 75.374
    (b) or creates plausible dangers of a methane buildup.”
    
    Id. at 452
    .
    Two Commissioners dissented. The dissent claimed that
    the majority “create[d] a new legal standard . . . that a District
    Manager may only exercise his/her discretion to require
    additional information in a proposed ventilation plan if he/she
    can connect that specific requirement to a ‘plausible harm.’”
    
    Id. at 454
     (Jordan and Traynor, Comm’rs, dissenting) (quoting
    
    id. at 445
     (majority opinion)). Moreover, the dissent concluded
    14
    that “the District Manager provided a reasonable fact-based
    rationale for declining to approve Knight Hawk’s proposed
    plan,” namely, “[t]he surveys demonstrated problems with
    ventilating the deep perimeter cuts, and accordingly the District
    Manager requested that the mine include more specific
    information in its ventilation plan.” 
    Id. at 457
    .
    On August 7, 2020, the Secretary timely petitioned this
    court for review.10 The Secretary argues that (1) the
    Commission did not properly apply the arbitrary and capricious
    standard; (2) substantial evidence does not support finding that
    the Secretary arbitrarily revoked Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle
    ventilation plan; and (3) in the event the Secretary’s plan
    revocation was arbitrary, the appropriate remedy was remand,
    not reinstatement of the previously approved plan. Knight
    Hawk responds that (1) the Commission applied the proper
    standard of review; (2) the ALJ’s determination that the
    Secretary arbitrarily revoked Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle
    ventilation plan is supported by substantial evidence; and (3)
    the Secretary waived its appropriate remedy argument by
    failing to raise the issue in its petition before the Commission.
    II. ANALYSIS
    A. Standard of Review
    We think it important to first determine our standard of
    review and, in the process, set forth the Mine Act’s unique
    statutory structure for review of the Secretary’s actions. The
    10
    The Secretary also moved to stay the Commission’s decision
    with the Commission and with our court. Both motions were denied.
    See Order at 1, Sec’y of Labor v. Knight Hawk Coal, LLC, No. 20-
    1299 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 17, 2020); Sec’y of Labor v. Knight Hawk Coal,
    LLC (Knight Hawk III), 
    2020 WL 5500868
    , at *1 (FMSHRC Sept.
    1, 2020).
    15
    Commission has the authority to assign an ALJ appointed by
    the Commission to hear matters arising under the Mine Act.
    See 
    30 U.S.C. § 823
    (d)(1). Section 823(d) further provides that
    a person adversely affected by an ALJ decision may file a
    petition for discretionary review by the Commission on one or
    more of five specific grounds:
    (I) A finding or conclusion of material fact is
    not supported by substantial evidence.
    (II) A necessary legal conclusion is erroneous.
    (III) The decision is contrary to law or to the
    duly promulgated rules or decisions of the
    Commission.
    (IV) A substantial question of law, policy or
    discretion is involved.
    (V) A prejudicial error of procedure was
    committed.
    
    Id.
     § 823(d)(2)(A)(ii). The statute then directs that, “[i]f
    granted, review shall be limited to the questions raised by the
    petition.” Id. § 823(d)(2)(A)(iii). Accordingly, “the only
    ‘question’ relating to the factual findings of an ALJ that the
    Commission can consider is whether those findings are
    supported by substantial evidence.” Donovan ex rel. Chacon v.
    Phelps Dodge Corp., 
    709 F.2d 86
    , 91 (D.C. Cir. 1983). Thus,
    “[u]nlike the Administrative Procedure Act, the Commission’s
    generic statute limits the agency’s review of an ALJ’s findings
    of fact to an inquiry into whether they are supported by
    substantial evidence.” 
    Id. at 87
     (citation omitted).
    If a party petitions for review of the Commission’s
    decision, we then review the ALJ’s factual findings for
    16
    substantial evidentiary support. 
    30 U.S.C. § 816
    (a)(1)
    (“findings of the Commission with respect to questions of fact,
    if supported by substantial evidence on the record considered
    as a whole, shall be conclusive” in any subsequent judicial
    review proceeding).11 We accord “great deference” to the
    ALJ’s credibility determinations. Sec’y of Labor v. Keystone
    Coal Mining Corp., 
    151 F.3d 1096
    , 1107 (D.C. Cir. 1998). And
    we review the Commission’s legal conclusions de novo. See
    Black Beauty Coal Co. v. Fed. Mine Safety & Health Rev.
    Comm’n, 
    703 F.3d 553
    , 558 (D.C. Cir. 2012); Keystone Coal,
    151 F.3d at 1099.
    The question arises whether the ALJ’s determination that
    the Secretary acted arbitrarily and capriciously in revoking
    Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan is a question of
    law or fact. Here, however, the parties agree that we assess the
    ALJ’s finding that the Secretary acted arbitrarily and
    capriciously, and the Commission’s affirmance of that finding,
    under the substantial evidence standard. Accordingly, we
    assume, without deciding, that the substantial evidence
    standard governs our review of the ALJ’s and the
    Commission’s decisions regarding this dispute.
    B. Commission’s Application of Arbitrary and
    Capricious Standard
    Before applying the substantial evidence test, we address
    the Secretary’s argument that the Commission improperly
    11
    We have concluded that “[t]his reference to ‘the Commission’
    does not focus on the Commission as distinguished from an ALJ;
    indeed, in many cases the ALJ’s decision will become the decision
    of the Commission for lack of further review within the agency.”
    Phelps Dodge Corp., 
    709 F.2d at
    91 n.7 (citing 
    30 U.S.C. § 823
    (d)(1)).
    17
    applied the arbitrary and capricious standard.12 All parties
    agree that the arbitrary and capricious standard applies to the
    ALJ’s review of the Secretary’s revocation of Knight Hawk’s
    Prairie Eagle ventilation plan. The Secretary disputes only
    whether the Commission in fact applied the arbitrary and
    capricious standard in its substantial evidence review of the
    ALJ’s decision.
    The United States Supreme Court has made clear that:
    [D]ivorcing of the rule announced from the rule
    applied . . . frustrates judicial review. If
    revision of the . . . standard of proof can be
    achieved thus subtly and obliquely, it becomes
    a much more complicated enterprise for a court
    of appeals to determine whether substantial
    evidence supports the conclusion that the
    required standard has or has not been
    met. . . . Because reasoned decisionmaking
    demands it, and because the systemic
    consequences of any other approach are
    unacceptable, the [adjudicatory body] must be
    required to apply in fact the clearly understood
    legal standards that it enunciates in
    principle . . . . Reviewing courts are entitled to
    take those standards to mean what they say, and
    12
    Granted, as explained infra at 19–20, the Commission applied
    the substantial evidence test to the ALJ’s arbitrary and capricious
    determination; it did not apply the arbitrary and capricious standard
    in the first instance. We nonetheless address the Secretary’s
    argument because the Commission’s understanding of the arbitrary
    and capricious standard is relevant to its application of the substantial
    evidence test in this context.
    18
    to conduct substantial-evidence review on that
    basis.
    Allentown Mack Sales & Serv., Inc. v. NLRB, 
    522 U.S. 359
    ,
    376–77 (1998).
    The Secretary argues that the Commission imposed a
    “plausible harm” requirement on him and that requirement is
    inconsistent with the arbitrary and capricious standard. The
    Commission’s affirmance of the ALJ’s decision uses the term
    “plausible harm” twice. See Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at
    445 (“[A]ny decision not to approve a ventilation plan
    necessarily involves a finding by the Secretary that the plan has
    a deficiency which fails to address some plausible harm to
    miners from methane, dust, noxious gases, or some other
    ventilation-related hazard . . . .”), 451 (“[N]ot only has the
    Secretary failed to identify a plausible harm arising from the
    alleged deficiencies as required to meet his burden under the
    arbitrary and capricious standard, the Secretary would impose
    requirements on the mine that potentially places a measure of
    unnecessary exposure on [Prairie Eagle] examiners.”).
    It is well-settled that, under arbitrary and capricious
    review, “the agency must examine the relevant data and
    articulate a satisfactory explanation for its action including a
    ‘rational connection between the facts found and the choice
    made.’” Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n, 
    463 U.S. at 43
     (quoting
    Burlington Truck Lines, Inc. v. United States, 
    371 U.S. 156
    ,
    168 (1962)). In response to the dissent’s claim that the
    Commission created a new legal standard, the Commission
    asserted that the Secretary’s articulation of a “plausible harm”
    was necessary to demonstrate a rational connection between
    the facts found and the choice made by the Secretary where, as
    here, the choice made was to revoke a ventilation plan that the
    Secretary had previously approved. See Knight Hawk II, 42
    19
    FMSHRC at 446 n.22. In its subsequent denial of the
    Secretary’s motion to stay the Commission’s decision, the
    Commission was even more explicit:
    The term “plausible harm” as used in the
    decision is simply a means of expressing that if
    an operator submits a plan, a determination by
    MSHA finding the plan unsuitable must be
    explained by a rational and reasonable
    assessment of, and citation to, the facts of the
    plan’s operation. . . . It is a means of explaining
    the arbitrary and capricious standard.
    Knight Hawk III, 
    2020 WL 5500868
    , at *3 n.4.
    In any event, as noted in Part II.A, the Commission was
    not charged with applying the arbitrary and capricious standard
    in the first instance. The ALJ determined whether the
    Secretary’s revocation of the ventilation plan was arbitrary and
    capricious. The Mine Act requires the Commission, on
    discretionary review, to determine only whether substantial
    evidence supported the ALJ’s determination. See 
    30 U.S.C. § 823
    (d)(2). The Commission explicitly stated as much in its
    decision. See Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 445 (“The
    current standard of review of the Secretary’s determination not
    to approve a ventilation plan is under the arbitrary and
    capricious standard. In turn, the Commission then determines
    whether substantial evidence supports the [ALJ’s] finding as to
    whether the agency action was arbitrary and capricious.”).
    Accordingly, any error in the Commission’s articulation of the
    arbitrary and capricious standard is now remedied via our
    application of the substantial evidence test to the ALJ’s
    arbitrariness determination. Cf. Allentown Mack, 
    522 U.S. at
    376–77 (“Reviewing courts are entitled to take those standards
    20
    to mean what they say, and to conduct substantial-evidence
    review on that basis.”).
    C. Substantial Evidence Test
    We find that substantial evidence supports the ALJ’s
    determination that the Secretary’s revocation of Knight
    Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan was arbitrary and
    capricious. Specifically, substantial evidence supports the
    ALJ’s findings that the chemical smoke test results were
    unreliable and inconsistent and the Secretary ignored
    disagreements among the MSHA ventilation survey team
    members about the results.
    “Substantial-evidence review is highly deferential to the
    agency fact-finder, requiring only ‘such relevant evidence as a
    reasonable mind might accept as adequate to support a
    conclusion.’” Rossello ex rel. Rossello v. Astrue, 
    529 F.3d 1181
    , 1185 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (quoting Pierce v. Underwood,
    
    487 U.S. 552
    , 565 (1988)). We “may not reject reasonable
    findings and conclusions, even if we would have weighed the
    evidence differently.” Cumberland Coal Res., LP v. Fed. Mine
    Safety & Health Rev. Comm’n, 
    717 F.3d 1020
    , 1028 (D.C. Cir.
    2013). Thus, the question is “whether a theoretical ‘reasonable
    factfinder’ could have reached the conclusions actually reached
    by the Commission and the ALJ.” Keystone Coal, 151 F.3d at
    1104 (citing United Steelworkers of Am. v. NLRB, 
    983 F.2d 240
    , 244 (D.C. Cir. 1993)). We have noted that “[r]eversal of
    an agency decision under th[e] [substantial evidence] standard
    is rare.” Astrue, 
    529 F.3d at 1185
    .
    The Secretary first argues that it was not arbitrary to treat
    ventilation plans for perimeter mining differently from other
    forms of retreat mining that involve roof collapse. In this
    respect, the Secretary plainly has the authority to treat
    perimeter mining differently. As noted, the Congress decided
    21
    that “individually tailored plans, with a nucleus of commonly
    accepted practices, are the best method of regulating such
    complex and potentially multifaceted problems as ventilation,
    roof control and the like.” Dole, 
    870 F.2d at 669
     (quoting S.
    Rep. No. 95–181 at 25, 1977 U.S.C.C.A.N. at 3425) (emphasis
    added). Accordingly, the Secretary evaluates ventilation plans
    “based on each mine’s unique geology and proposed mining
    system.” Prairie State, 792 F.3d at 86 (citing 
    30 U.S.C. §§ 862
    (a), 863(o)) (emphasis added).
    Here, the Secretary apparently based its ventilation plan
    revocation decision on the results of a ventilation survey. The
    Secretary performed similar ventilation surveys at two other
    mines doing perimeter mining in the same jurisdiction as
    Prairie Eagle—Gateway North and Viper. Thus, the Secretary
    did not arbitrarily conduct the Prairie Eagle ventilation survey
    as compared to other mines using similar perimeter mining
    techniques.
    The problem for the Secretary, however, is that the ALJ
    did not find the Secretary’s revocation arbitrary and capricious
    solely on the basis that the Secretary conducted a different
    ventilation survey at a mine doing perimeter mining. And the
    Commission did not affirm the ALJ on that basis. The ALJ
    found the Secretary’s revocation arbitrary and capricious
    because it improperly relied on inconsistent smoke test results
    without addressing the “differences in the opinions and
    observations from the survey team.” Knight Hawk I, 41
    FMSHRC at 554. Substantial evidence supports the ALJ’s
    finding that the Secretary’s revocation was arbitrary and
    capricious based on that flaw.13
    13
    The Commission affirmed the ALJ’s arbitrariness
    determination in part on this basis. See Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC
    at 439 (observing smoke tests from 44-foot distance “generated
    22
    As noted, the Secretary apparently relied exclusively on
    the ventilation survey results to support his revocation
    decision. See Knight Hawk I, 41 FMSHRC at 543 (District
    Manager “Burns verified that nothing [at Prairie Eagle] had
    changed at all since 2010, except for the ventilation study”);
    Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 443 (ALJ “found that
    MSHA’s decision to revoke the operator’s ventilation plan
    rested on the survey results”). Prairie Eagle’s previously
    approved ventilation plan had been in place for 12 years
    without serious incident. With this backdrop, the 2018
    ventilation survey’s diminished credibility undermines its
    capability to provide the necessary rational connection between
    the facts found and the choice made by the Secretary.
    Specifically, at the administrative hearing, a Knight Hawk
    witness testified that there was disagreement among MSHA
    team members when an MSHA engineer said there was
    perceptible movement from the smoke test but Beiter said there
    was no movement.14 Knight Hawk’s witness “assume[d] [the
    disagreements] were marked down as no movement” because
    disputed testimony regarding the ability to make such observations
    so far away and whether MSHA supervisors asserted pressure on the
    MSHA team members to make findings in accord with Team Leader
    Beiter’s expectations”), 449 n.26 (ALJ’s “objections to MSHA’s
    methodology are correct: the use of fatally flawed and inaccurate
    smoke tests, [and] Beiter’s intimidation of Inspector Doyle-Combs
    to report his suggested findings rather than her own
    observations . . . are among a multitude of errors identified by the
    [ALJ] and in our Decision”).
    14
    Another Knight Hawk witness similarly testified that there
    was “[g]eneral uncertainty [among MSHA personnel] in regards to
    [whether there was] movement or no movement” during the
    perimeter cut chemical smoke tests. J.A. 100.
    23
    Beiter “was the supervisor.” J.A. 120.15 In rebuttal, Beiter
    testified that his conversations with team members should be
    classified as clarifying discussions, not disputes. Beiter
    claimed he was explaining proper smoke test technique to his
    colleagues and repeating smoke tests in areas where he saw
    inconsistent results.
    The ALJ credited the testimony of Knight Hawk’s
    witnesses and discredited Beiter’s testimony, finding that
    Beiter “actively suppressed” disagreement within the MSHA
    team. Knight Hawk I, 41 FMSHRC at 554.16 Specifically, the
    ALJ found Beiter “to be, by and large, unreliable. He was
    evasive and frequently avoided answering questions directly.”
    Id. at 546. We accord “great deference” to the ALJ’s credibility
    determinations, Keystone Coal, 151 F.3d at 1107, and thus find
    that substantial evidence supports the ALJ’s finding that the
    Secretary suppressed and/or ignored differences of opinion
    within the MSHA ventilation survey team.
    The ALJ further found that other record evidence
    corroborated the conclusion that the chemical smoke tests
    15
    See also J.A. 112–13 (Knight Hawk witness testimony that
    “[t]here w[ere] definitely some varying interpretations of movement
    of the smoke. . . . I do recall Mr. Beiter arriving and very quickly
    making a determination that the current perimeter cut we were in
    when smoke was released was no perceptible movement. I disagreed
    with that interpretation of that particular cut. From that point
    forward, MSHA personnel – I’ll just say they seemed to be very
    quick as to a determination if there was movement or not.”).
    16
    See also id. at 535 (Knight Hawk witness “credibly testified
    that at least one member of the [MSHA] survey team . . . observed
    perceptible movement, but became visibly upset when Beiter
    overruled her observations and then directed that some of her notes
    be rewritten and some of her observations, or those of Knight Hawk’s
    representatives, be changed in accordance with Beiter’s
    interpretations”).
    24
    performed in the perimeter cuts were unreliable. See Knight
    Hawk I, 41 FMSHRC at 545 (“substantial evidence
    demonstrated that the smoke tests as conducted at the mine
    were unreliable”). Specifically, Beiter admitted that the
    chemical smoke test results “were not always repeatable.” Id.
    at 534 (citing J.A. 166). Moreover, “[t]he survey team made
    observations of smoke rising approximately 44-feet away in
    dimly lit perimeter cuts from areas that miners do not normally
    work or travel.” Id. at 554.17 Given that the ventilation survey’s
    findings involved observations of smoke movement from more
    than a 40-foot distance in a dark, underground mine, it is no
    surprise that there were disagreements among MSHA
    personnel as to what the smoke was doing. See J.A. 147
    (according to Knight Hawk’s expert witness, “one of the
    biggest problems is trying to see what the smoke is doing [at]
    that . . . distance in the coal mine”).
    Moreover, the ALJ found that the air purity test results
    obtained during the ventilation survey did not provide the
    necessary rational connection between the facts found and the
    choice made. The Secretary relies primarily on his conclusion
    that “the risk of methane accumulation made the ventilation
    plan unsuitable.” Pet’r’s Br. 44.18 But the ALJ found:
    17
    See also Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 440 (“[T]he MSHA
    team was attempting to see smoke movement at the end of a 40 foot
    darkened tunnel from a vantage point that was approximately 44 feet
    away, and the only form of illumination was from a pair of cap lights
    on the probe itself. Not unexpectedly, therefore, the results of the
    smoke tests were not always repeatable.”) (citations and footnote
    omitted).
    18
    See also Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 444 n.20 (“MSHA’s
    only expressed concern with the perimeter cuts was the possibility of
    methane in those cuts . . . .”).
    25
    Concerning air quality, the [MSHA ventilation]
    report stated that the highest concentration of
    methane was 0.12% and that the lowest
    concentration of oxygen was 20.2%. These
    results were well within the allowable limit of
    methane below 1% under 
    30 C.F.R. § 75.323
    (c)(1), and the allowable minimum
    level of oxygen above 19.5% under 
    30 C.F.R. § 75.321
    [(a)].
    Knight Hawk I, 41 FMSHRC at 536 (citations omitted).19 That
    is not to say that these objective air quality readings, standing
    alone, provide substantial evidence supporting the ALJ’s
    determination that the Secretary’s revocation decision was
    arbitrary and capricious. As the Secretary points out, “what is
    true generally or at a particular point in time is not true
    invariably, and methane can be encountered at any time.”
    Pet’r’s Br. 45. But where, as here, the objective evidence—the
    above air purity readings—does not undermine the ALJ’s
    finding that the subjective evidence relied on by the Secretary
    was unreliable, inconsistent and ignored opposing viewpoints,
    substantial evidence supports the ALJ’s arbitrary and
    capricious determination.
    Accordingly, substantial evidence supports the ALJ’s
    finding that the Secretary’s reliance on the smoke test results
    to revoke Knight Hawk’s Prairie Eagle ventilation plan was
    arbitrary and capricious. We again accord great deference to
    the ALJ’s credibility determinations, which provide substantial
    19
    See also Knight Hawk II, 42 FMSHRC at 443 (“MSHA took
    methane readings throughout the section. In all these methane
    measurements taken at sites in the various entries, crosscuts, and
    fullest extent of the perimeter cuts, there was no hint of a buildup of
    methane. Indeed, the methane measurements taken by MSHA at
    various points in the area were far below any danger threshold.”).
    26
    evidence for the conclusion that the smoke test results were
    inconsistent and the Secretary ignored disagreements among
    MSHA survey team members regarding the results.20
    D. Proper Remedy
    Finally, the Secretary argues that, if we affirm the ALJ’s
    and the Commission’s decisions that the Secretary’s revocation
    of the ventilation plan was arbitrary and capricious, remand to
    the Secretary, rather than reinstatement of the previously
    approved ventilation plan, is the appropriate remedy. We lack
    jurisdiction to consider the Secretary’s suggested remedy.
    The Secretary concedes he “did not explicitly raise to the
    Commission the issue of remedy.” Pet’r’s Br. 54. The
    Secretary’s failure to raise the argument is fatal. Section
    816(a)(1) limits our review of the Commission’s decision to
    arguments urged before the Commission. See 
    30 U.S.C. § 816
    (a)(1) (“No objection that has not been urged before the
    Commission shall be considered by the court, unless the failure
    or neglect to urge such objection shall be excused because of
    extraordinary circumstances.”). The Secretary makes no
    argument that extraordinary circumstances excuse his failure to
    raise his remedy argument before the Commission here.
    Accordingly, we reject the Secretary’s remedy argument for
    lack of jurisdiction. See, e.g., Pendley v. Fed. Mine Safety &
    Health Rev. Comm’n, 
    601 F.3d 417
    , 428 (6th Cir. 2010)
    (“Petitioner cannot raise this objection here because he failed
    to raise it before the Commission.”); see also U.S. Dep’t of the
    20
    Because we determine that the inconsistent smoke test results
    and the Secretary’s failure to address intra-team disagreement about
    the results provide substantial evidence supporting the ALJ’s
    determination that the Secretary’s revocation decision was arbitrary
    and capricious, we do not reach the other bases on which the ALJ
    and the Commission rejected the Secretary’s revocation decision.
    27
    Treasury v. FLRA, 
    670 F.3d 1315
    , 1319 (D.C. Cir. 2012)
    (treating as jurisdictional statutory language in the Federal
    Service Labor–Management Relations Act that is nearly
    identical to the language in 
    30 U.S.C. § 816
    (a)(1)).
    For the foregoing reasons, the Secretary’s petition for
    review is denied.
    So ordered.