Nippon Steel Corp. v. United States ( 2006 )


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    United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit
    05-1404, -1417
    NIPPON STEEL CORPORATION, NKK CORPORATION,
    KAWASAKI STEEL CORPORATION, and TOYO KOHAN CO., LTD.,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    UNITED STATES,
    Defendant-Appellant,
    and
    MITTAL STEEL USA ISG INC.,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    James P. Durling, Willkie Farr & Gallagher, LLP, of Washington, DC, argued for
    plaintiffs-appellees. With him on the brief were Daniel L. Porter and Robert E.
    DeFrancesco.
    Neal J. Reynolds, Assistant General Counsel for Litigation, Office of the General
    Counsel, United States International Trade Commission, of Washington, DC, argued for
    defendant-appellant United States. With him on the brief was James M. Lyons, General
    Counsel.
    Terence P. Stewart, Stewart and Stewart, of Washington, DC, argued for
    defendant-appellant Mittal Steel USA ISG Inc. With him on the brief were Eric P.
    Salonen, Patrick J. McDonough, and Sarah V. Stewart.
    John J. Mangan, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP, of Washington,
    DC, for amicus curiae United States Steel Corporation. With him on the brief were
    Robert E. Lighthizer, James C. Hecht, and Stephen P. Vaughn.
    Appealed from: United States Court of International Trade
    Chief Judge Jane A. Restani
    United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit
    05-1404, -1417
    NIPPON STEEL CORPORATION, NKK CORPORATION,
    KAWASAKI STEEL CORPORATION, and TOYO KOHAN CO., LTD.,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    UNITED STATES,
    Defendant-Appellant,
    and
    MITTAL STEEL USA ISG INC.,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    _________________________
    DECIDED: August 10, 2006
    _________________________
    Before MICHEL, Chief Judge, LINN and PROST, Circuit Judges.
    MICHEL, Chief Judge.
    The United States and Mittal Steel USA ISG Inc. (“Mittal”) appeal the decision of
    the United States Court of International Trade (“trade court”) instructing the United
    States International Trade Commission (“Commission”) to issue a determination that the
    domestic industry was not materially injured by less-than-fair-value (“LTFV”) imports of
    tin- and chromium-coated steel sheets (“TCCSS”) from Japan. Nippon Steel Corp. v.
    United States, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d 1186
    , 1189, 1222 (Ct. Int’l Trade 2004) (“Nippon IV”).
    The Commission accordingly entered determinations of no material injury and no threat
    of material injury.   Tin- and Chromium-Coated Steel Sheet from Japan (Views on
    Remand), USITC Pub. 3751, Inv. No. 731-TA-860 (Final) (Dec. 2004) (Third Remand
    Determination) (“TRD”).    The Court of International Trade sustained the negative
    determinations. Nippon Steel Corp. v. United States, No. 00-09-00479 (Ct. Int’l Trade
    Mar. 23, 2005) (“Nippon V”).
    Appellants argue that the Court of International Trade erred in Nippon IV by
    reweighing the facts and substituting its own credibility determinations, in contravention
    of law and this court’s remand instructions in Nippon Steel Corp. v. Int’l Trade Comm’n,
    
    345 F.3d 1379
    , 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2003) (“Nippon III”). Appellants further argue that the
    Court of International Trade erred in holding in Nippon IV that the Commission’s
    affirmative material injury determination in its second remand determination, Tin- and
    Chromium-Coated Steel Sheet From Japan, Inv. No. 731-TA-860 (Feb. 2004) (A.R.2-
    263R) (Second Remand Determination) (“SRD”), was supported by less than
    substantial evidence.
    We agree. Accordingly, we reverse the Court of International Trade’s decisions
    in Nippon IV and Nippon V, and instruct the trade court to vacate the Commission’s
    negative material injury and negative threat of material injury determinations in TRD and
    reinstate the Commission’s affirmative material injury determination in SRD.
    I
    This antidumping case has a procedural history spanning six years, which now
    includes four determinations by the Commission, four opinions from the Court of
    International Trade, and one prior opinion from this court. Given the voluminous record
    in this case, we presume familiarity with the prior proceedings, issues and factual
    05-1404, -1417                              2
    background. Accordingly, we provide only a cursory overview of the procedural history,
    and discuss only those factual and evidentiary issues that remain in dispute.
    In 2000, the Commission made a final determination that the domestic industry
    was materially injured by TCCSS dumping from Japan, which required consideration of
    import volume, price effects, impact on domestic producers, and causation. Tin- and
    Chromium-Coated Steel Sheet From Japan, 
    65 Fed. Reg. 50,005
    , USITC Pub. 3300,
    Inv. No. 731-TA-860 (final determ.) (Aug. 2000) (A.R.2-148) (“Final Determination”).
    See 
    19 U.S.C. § 1677
    (7)(B)(i); Gerald Metals, Inc. v. United States, 
    27 F. Supp. 2d 1351
    , 1356 & n.8 (Ct. Int’l Trade 1998). Nippon Steel Corporation, NKK Corporation,
    Kawasaki Steel Corporation, and Toyo Kohan Co., Ltd. (collectively, “Nippon”) sought
    review in the Court of International Trade, which sustained the Commission’s finding of
    a small but significant volume, but remanded for a reevaluation of price effects and
    causation.1 Nippon Steel Corp. v. United States, 
    182 F. Supp. 2d 1330
    , 1340, 1356 (Ct.
    Int’l Trade 2001) (“Nippon I”).
    On remand, the Commission again made an affirmative material injury
    determination. Tin- and Chromium-Coated Steel Sheet From Japan, Inv. No. 731-TA-
    860 (final determ.) (March 2002) (A.R.2-261R) (First Remand Determination) (“FRD”).
    Nippon again appealed, and the Court of International Trade found lingering flaws in the
    Commission’s analysis of price effects and causation. Nippon Steel Corp. v. United
    States, 
    223 F. Supp. 2d 1349
     (Ct. Int’l Trade 2002) (“Nippon II”). However, rather than
    remand for further proceedings, the court vacated the affirmative material injury
    determination and directed the Commission to enter a negative material injury
    1
    Nippon did not appeal the Commission’s finding of significant impact on
    domestic producers. See id. at 1335.
    05-1404, -1417                              3
    determination.    Id. at 1372.   The court declined to remand because, it stated, the
    Commission had “demonstrated an unwillingness or inability to address the substantial
    claims made by the respondents or the concerns expressed by the court in Nippon I.”
    Id. at 1371-72.
    The Commission then appealed to this court. We vacated the decision of the
    Court of International Trade in Nippon II and ordered a remand to the Commission for
    additional data gathering and analysis. Nippon III, 
    345 F.3d at 1380
    . We explained that
    “to the extent the Court of International Trade engaged in refinding the facts (e.g., by
    determining witness credibility), or interposing its own determinations on causation and
    material injury . . .[it] exceeded its authority”, and held that the trade court abused its
    discretion by declining to remand the case to the Commission. 
    Id. at 1381
    .
    On the second remand, the Commission yet again made an affirmative material
    injury determination.   SRD.     Nippon sought review once more, and the Court of
    International Trade remanded for a third time, again instructing the Commission to enter
    a negative material injury determination. Nippon IV, 350 F. Supp. 2d. at 1189. In
    addition, the trade court directed the Commission to determine whether the domestic
    industry was threatened with material injury. Id. at 1222.
    The Commission entered a negative material injury determination on the third
    remand, stating: “this outcome is dictated by the Court’s findings in Nippon IV; it is not,
    however, the determination we would have made in the absence of those findings.”
    TRD at 1. Similarly, the Commission found that certain statutory factors weighed in
    favor of an affirmative threat determination, but explained that the trade court’s
    statement in Nippon IV that “the record fully supports a negative determination and will
    05-1404, -1417                              4
    not support an affirmative one”, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1222
     (emphasis in original),
    “constrained significantly” its ability to perform a threat analysis and, in effect, required it
    to issue a ruling contrary to its factual findings. TRD at 5-6. As such, the Commission
    issued a negative threat of material injury determination.            
    Id.
       The Commission
    expressed concern that the Court of International Trade had again exceeded the scope
    of its authority:
    Although we comply with the Court’s order, we are concerned the
    Court has again exceeded the scope of its review authority in this case . . .
    [W]e believe that the trade court has committed the same mistakes
    identified by the Federal Circuit in Nippon III. For example, the Court has
    again re-found facts by substituting its view of the record for that of the
    Commission on such important issues as the significance of subject
    underselling or the existence of correlations between underselling and
    increased purchases of subject imports during the [period of investigation].
    The Court has also rejected the Commission’s witness credibility
    determinations, substituting in its place the Court’s own assessment of the
    accuracy of testimony offered by purchasers during the investigation.
    Finally, by directing the Commission to issue a determination that
    subject imports did not cause material injury to the industry, the Court has
    again substituted its own findings on the ultimate issues of causation and
    injury for those of the Commission, even though the Federal Circuit
    specifically directed the Court in Nippon III not to do so.
    Id. at 5.
    Defendant-intervenor International Steel Group Inc. (“ISG”)2 sought review of the
    third remand determination in the Court of International Trade, arguing that the record
    supported an affirmative threat determination, and Nippon challenged certain subsidiary
    findings of the Commission’s negative threat determination. Nippon V, slip op. at 3.
    The court sustained the negative material injury determination. Id., slip op. at 5. The
    court agreed with plaintiffs that two of the three appealed subsidiary rulings regarding
    2
    During the course of these proceedings, ISG merged with Weirton, and
    was substituted as defendant-intervenor on November 24, 2004. Nippon V, slip op. at
    4. ISG-Weirton merged with Mittal Steel USA effective April 2005.
    05-1404, -1417                                 5
    threat of material injury—relating to production capacity, and volume and market
    penetration, see 
    19 U.S.C. § 1677
    (7)(F)(ii)—were flawed, but sustained as “reasonable”
    the Commission’s ultimate negative determination of threat of material injury. 
    Id.,
     slip
    op. at 9, 14.
    The United States and Mittal appeal. We have jurisdiction pursuant to 
    28 U.S.C. § 1295
    (a)(5).
    II
    Congress created a highly specialized system for resolving antidumping
    allegations, which recognizes and exploits each participant’s area of expertise.        An
    antidumping inquiry is divided into two sub-inquiries: a determination of whether the
    subject imports were, or were likely to be, sold at LTFV, and a material injury
    determination. Congress placed responsibility for the LTFV determination with industry
    experts at the Department of Commerce, 19 U.S.C. § 1673d(a)(1), and placed
    responsibility for the material injury determination with trade experts at the Commission.
    Id. § 1673d(b)(1).
    Commissioners are appointed by the President, and confirmed by the Senate,
    because of their expertise in recognizing, and distinguishing between, fair and unfair
    trade practices. They presumably are selected to be Commissioners based on their
    expertise in, inter alia, foreign relations, trade negotiations, and economics. Because of
    this expertise, Commissioners are the factfinders in the material injury determination: “It
    is the Commission’s task to evaluate the evidence it collects during its investigation.
    Certain decisions, such as the weight to be assigned a particular piece of evidence, lie
    05-1404, -1417                              6
    at the core of that evaluative process.” U.S. Steel Group v. United States, 
    96 F.3d 1352
    , 1357 (Fed. Cir. 1996).
    In contrast, Article III judges have expertise primarily in law.       Accordingly,
    Congress assigned the Court of International Trade, and, through our appellate
    authority, this court, the responsibility to review the legal sufficiency of a Commission
    determination. When the Commission has made a final determination of material injury
    or threat of material injury to a domestic industry, 19 U.S.C. § 1516a(b)(1)(B)(i) provides
    that the Court of International Trade “shall hold unlawful any determination, finding, or
    conclusion found . . . to be unsupported by substantial evidence on the record, or
    otherwise not in accordance with law.” To be sure, judges of the Court of International
    Trade are experts in such cases, which form most of their docket, while this court’s
    judges are characterized as generalists, as trade cases comprise only about six percent
    of the Federal Circuit docket.
    Congress did not specify a standard of review for this court in reviewing
    judgments of the Court of International Trade. In Atlantic Sugar, Ltd. v. United States,
    
    744 F.2d 1556
    , 1559 n.10 (Fed. Cir. 1984), however, we adopted the “substantial
    evidence” judicial review standard prescribed at § 1516a(b)(1)(B)(i) for the trade court
    as our appellate standard of review.3      Because the substantial evidence standard
    requires review of the entire administrative record, we consider both the trade court’s
    3
    Appellees ask this panel to overrule the Atlantic Sugar standard of
    appellate review in favor of the more deferential “misapprehended or grossly
    misapplied” standard that the Supreme Court has adopted for itself in its discretionary
    review of agency actions via certiorari petitions. See Universal Camera v. NLRB, 
    340 U.S. 474
    , 491 (1951). Our panel, of course, does not have authority to entertain this
    argument, as only the court en banc may overrule precedent. George E. Warren Corp.
    v. United States, 
    341 F.3d 1348
    , 1351-52 (Fed. Cir. 2003).
    05-1404, -1417                              7
    prior decisions and the Commission determinations, see Am. Silicon Techs. v. United
    States, 
    334 F.3d 1033
    , 1037 (Fed. Cir. 2003), including “the evidence presented to and
    the analysis by the Commission”, Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co. v. United States, 
    750 F.2d 927
    , 932 (Fed. Cir. 1984). In undertaking this review, we give great weight to “the
    informed opinion of the Court of International Trade.”       Suramerica de Aleaciones
    Laminadas, C.A. v. United States, 
    44 F.3d 978
    , 983 (Fed. Cir. 1994). Indeed, it is
    nearly always the starting point of our analysis.
    III
    In Nippon III, we expressly declined to decide whether the evidence supporting
    the Commission’s affirmative material injury determination was substantial, stating that
    “[i]f and when the case reaches us again there will be time enough to do so.” 
    345 F.3d at 1380
    . The case has reached us again, and we must now examine the substantiality
    of the evidence.
    A
    “Substantial evidence” is difficult to define precisely.   However, the Supreme
    Court, Congress, and prior panels of this court have provided some guidance. In NLRB
    v. Columbian Enameling & Stamping Co., 
    306 U.S. 292
    , 300 (1939), the Court
    explained that “[s]ubstantial evidence is more than a scintilla, and must do more than
    create a suspicion of the existence of the fact to be established.” A reviewing court
    must consider the record as a whole, including that which “fairly detracts from its
    weight”, to determine whether there exists “such relevant evidence as a reasonable
    mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion.” Universal Camera, 
    340 U.S. at 477-78
     (quoting Consol. Edison Co. v. NLRB, 
    305 U.S. 197
    , 229 (1938)). As Judge
    05-1404, -1417                               8
    Nies explained in her additional views in SSIH Equipment SA v. United States ITC, 
    718 F.3d 365
    , 381 (Fed. Cir. 1983), in the hierarchy of the four most common standards of
    review, substantial evidence is the second most deferential, and can be translated
    roughly to mean “is [the determination] unreasonable?”
    In the legislative history of the APA, which adopted the “substantial evidence”
    standard of judicial review for certain agency decisions, see 
    5 U.S.C. § 706
    (2)(E), the
    Senate Judiciary Committee report recognized the difficulty of precise definition:
    As a matter of language, substantial evidence would seem to be an
    adequate expression of law. The difficulty comes about in the practice of
    agencies to rely upon (and of courts to tacitly approve) something less – to
    rely upon suspicion, surmise, implications, or plainly incredible evidence.
    It will be the duty of the courts to determine in the final analysis and in the
    exercise of their independent judgment, whether on the whole record the
    evidence in a given instance is sufficiently substantial to support a finding,
    conclusion, or other agency action as a matter of law.
    S. Rep. No. 752, 79th Cong., 1st Sess. 28, 30-31, quoted in Universal Camera, 
    340 U.S. at
    484 n.17. Accordingly, the Court in Universal Camera instructed that, under the
    substantial evidence standard, “a reviewing court is not barred from setting aside a
    Board decision when it cannot conscientiously find that the evidence supporting that
    decision is substantial, when viewed in the light that the record in its entirety furnishes,
    including the body of evidence opposed to the Board’s view.” 
    340 U.S. at 467-68
    .
    A party challenging the Commission’s determination under the substantial
    evidence standard “has chosen a course with a high barrier to reversal.” Mitsubishi
    Heavy Indus., Ltd. v. United States, 
    275 F.3d 1056
    , 1060 (Fed. Cir. 2001). We have
    explained that “even if it is possible to draw two inconsistent conclusions from evidence
    in the record, such a possibility does not prevent [the Commission’s] determination from
    being supported by substantial evidence.” Am. Silicon Techs. v. United States, 261
    05-1404, -1417 
    9 F.3d 1371
    , 1376 (Fed. Cir. 2001).          Accordingly, the question for the Court of
    International Trade was, and for this court is, “not whether we agree with the
    Commission’s decision, nor whether we would have reached the same result as the
    Commission had the matter come before us for decision in the first instance.” U.S.
    Steel, 
    96 F.3d at 1357
    . Rather, “we must affirm a Commission determination if it is
    reasonable and supported by the record as a whole, even if some evidence detracts
    from the Commission’s conclusion.” Altx, Inc. v. United States, 
    370 F.3d 1108
    , 1121
    (Fed. Cir. 2004) (internal quotation marks omitted).      In short, we do not make the
    determination; we merely vet the determination.
    B
    In a material injury inquiry, the Commission is required by statute to evaluate the
    volume, price effects, and impact of the subject imports. 
    19 U.S.C. § 1677
    (7). When
    the Commission makes an affirmative material injury determination, it must decide
    whether the material injury to the domestic industry is “by reason of” the subject imports.
    19 U.S.C. § 1673d(b)(1).
    The Commission engaged in substantial research and analysis prior to issuing its
    initial affirmative material injury determination.   It created, distributed, and analyzed
    responses to detailed questionnaires sent to all seven domestic TCCSS producers, as
    well as the five largest domestic purchasers of TCCSS.              From producers, the
    Commission obtained and analyzed information on production, geographic scope of
    sales, pricing and discounting practices, capacity utilization, shipments, inventories, and
    employment. From purchasers, the Commission obtained and analyzed information on
    final bids of domestic and Japanese suppliers, negotiation tactics, and purchasing
    05-1404, -1417                              10
    volume, and attempted to verify producers’ lost sale allegations. Two Commission staff
    members visited complainant Weirton Steel’s premises and interviewed several
    employees regarding the TCCSS manufacturing process, negotiations, pricing, and
    contracts. In addition, Commissioners heard a full day of testimony, including that of
    officers of four domestic purchasers, the CEO of Weirton Steel, and seven members of
    Congress, including Senator John D. Rockefeller IV.
    The Court of International Trade likewise engaged in careful, thoughtful review of
    each of the Commission’s findings.       In Nippon I, the Court of International Trade
    sustained the Commission’s finding of a small but significant volume. 182 F. Supp. 2d
    at 1340. The Commission also found significant impact, which Nippon did not appeal.
    See id. at 1335. Thus, as of Nippon IV, the Court of International Trade had already
    approved Commission findings on two of the three factors to be considered in a material
    injury determination.     The evidence rejected by the Court of International Trade in
    Nippon IV related to the remaining factor, price effects, and to causation. We therefore
    state the issue before us as whether the Commission’s findings that Japanese TCCSS
    dumping could be linked to price effects in, and causation of injury to, the domestic
    market so distorts or detracts from the evidence in favor of injury as to render the
    evidence supporting the Commission’s ultimate affirmative material injury determination
    insubstantial on the record.
    1
    Section 1677(7)(C)(ii) provides that in evaluating price effects, the Commission
    shall consider whether:
    05-1404, -1417                              11
    (I) there has been significant price underselling by the imported
    merchandise as compared with the price of domestic like products of the
    United States, and
    (II) the effect of imports of such merchandise otherwise depresses
    prices to a significant degree or prevents price increases, which otherwise
    would have occurred, to a significant degree.
    The trade court clearly was warranted in concluding that one finding of the Commission
    was unsupported by substantial evidence. However, we agree with the appellants that,
    with respect to other Commission findings, the record contained “such relevant
    evidence as a reasonable mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion.”
    Universal Camera, 
    340 U.S. at 477-78
     (quoting Consol. Edison, 
    305 U.S. at 229
    ).
    The Court of International Trade rejected the Commission’s price effects
    evidence because, it stated, Japanese underselling and domestic price depression or
    suppression was “insignificant over the period of investigation” and “certain conditions of
    competition also minimized any effect subject imports could have had on domestic
    prices.” Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1221
    . In particular, the trade court cited a low to
    moderate ability of the imported TCCSS to impact domestic sales and prices;
    compartmentalized and segmented price negotiations with domestic and foreign
    producers, largely due to superior domestic lead times; the fact that domestic producers
    supplied the majority of product; and Weirton’s inability to produce documentary
    evidence of Japanese price competition. 
    Id.
    On the one hand, the trade court correctly rejected evidence of price effects that
    contained a mathematical miscalculation. In an earlier determination, the Commission
    had provided disaggregated data on Purchaser A’s facilities and product types, FRD at
    10; in response to remand instructions, Nippon II, 
    223 F. Supp. 2d at 1355
    , the
    Commission aggregated Purchaser A’s data. SRD at 24. Post-aggregation, however,
    05-1404, -1417                              12
    the calculations were inconsistent. The number of underselling bids decreased, while
    the volumes associated with underselling bids—and the total underselling bid volume—
    increased. Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1191
    . The Court of International Trade
    correctly pointed out that aggregation should not affect the total bid volume and, after
    noting that the Commission had provided no explanation for the change in the total
    volume, correctly disregarded the evidence.        
    Id.
       However, because the Court of
    International Trade approved the other two Commission findings relating to compilation
    of price comparison data, 
    id. at 1192
    , even setting aside the flawed calculation, the
    trade court largely accepted the Commission’s methodology.
    On the other hand, we cannot support the Court of International Trade’s rejection
    of the Commission’s analysis of certain domestic producer accounting data, and thus its
    conclusion regarding domestic price suppression.           The trade court rejected the
    Commission’s finding that the subject imports caused the suppression of domestic
    prices, which was based on the Commission’s underlying finding that the domestic
    industry was suffering from a cost-price squeeze.4        The Commission evaluated the
    producers’ financial data, noting that the domestic industry’s overall cost of goods sold
    (“COGS”) had increased in relation to net sales, from 96.4 percent of sales in 1997 to
    97.8 percent in 1998 and 101.3 percent in 1999.           SRD at 26.     The Commission
    attributed this change to a corresponding decline in unit prices “at a rate that outstripped
    the industry’s unit costs” and noted that the industry’s profitability levels also declined
    consistently during the relevant period, with operating losses increasing from 0.9
    4
    When cost of goods sold (“COGS”) exceeds price, the producer is unable
    to sell the product for more than what it costs to produce the product; if the producer is
    unable to raise prices, the industry finds itself in what is referred to as a cost-price
    squeeze. See Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1198
    .
    05-1404, -1417                              13
    percent in 1997 to 3.0 percent in 1998 to 6.5 percent in 1999. 
    Id.
     The Commission
    acknowledged that the operating losses decreased to 1.9 percent in the interim year
    2000, but attributed this change to the filing of the antidumping petition in October 1999.
    Id. at 26-27. Likewise, the Commission considered and rejected Nippon’s assertion that
    “members of the domestic industry were able to increase their prices during the period
    in the face of subject import underselling for certain purchasers”, stating that the record
    data indicates that “any such price increases were not sufficient to offset any
    corresponding changes in the industry’s [COGS].” Id. at 27.
    The Court of International Trade agreed that “the domestic industry generally
    may have been experiencing a cost-price squeeze”, but rejected the Commission’s
    conclusion based on Nippon’s assertion that the two domestic producers competing
    most directly with Japanese TCCSS importers reported positive operating margins
    during the period of investigation. Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at
    1198 & n.27. Implicit
    in Nippon’s assertion, and the Commission’s rejection thereof, is the fact that other
    domestic producers showed negative operating margins. Thus, we are faced with a
    situation where some domestic producers, and the industry as a whole, were in a cost-
    price squeeze, while two major producers were not. Substantial evidence exists on
    both sides of the issue. The Commission opted for one inference, and the Court of
    International Trade for another. In such a situation, however, the statutory substantial
    evidence standard compels deference to the Commission.
    Likewise, we cannot uphold two of the trade court’s rejections of Commission
    findings regarding conditions of competition in the domestic industry. First, the trade
    court rejected the Commission’s finding that U.S. and Japanese negotiations take place
    05-1404, -1417                              14
    on equal footing.     In Nippon II, the Court of International Trade instructed the
    Commission to “evaluate purchaser perceptions with respect to the domestic industry’s
    lead-time advantage as a potential explanation for keeping negotiations on separate
    tracks with volume allocated among domestic versus foreign suppliers.” Nippon II, 
    223 F. Supp. 2d at 1352
    . In its SRD, the Commission found that domestic producers’ lead
    time advantage was offset by purchasers engaging in negotiations far in advance of
    production needs and by Japanese producers’ willingness to carry the cost of
    consignment inventories at storage facilities in the United States. SRD at 75-77. In
    support, the Commission cited purchaser testimony indicating that purchasers mitigated
    risks by giving a “finite number of specifications” to an offshore source, and two
    purchasers’ internal memoranda discussing consignment, one of which stated that the
    purchaser was “working through to insure consignment inventories would be in place in
    an effort to mitigate problems [with on-time delivery from foreign sources].” Id. at 76-77.
    The Commission noted that the internal memoranda were consistent with a third
    purchaser’s testimony regarding consignment. Id. at 77.
    The Court of International Trade stated that “[t]he fact that purchasers negotiate
    for advance specifications and for consignment inventories with Japanese suppliers but
    not with domestic suppliers, undercuts the Commission’s finding that U.S. and
    Japanese negotiations take place on equal footing.” Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1211-12
    . We do not agree that the Commission’s finding was unreasonable in light of
    the evidence as a whole. In any purchasing situation, competing producers are not
    identical.   As the Commission explained in its SRD, “each supplier, regardless of
    whether it is foreign or domestic, negotiates to maximize premiums based on its unique
    05-1404, -1417                              15
    capabilities.”   SRD at 77.    Purchasers attempt to negotiate concessions that will
    minimize each producer’s drawbacks, and undertake a cost-benefit analysis in making
    the optimal purchasing decisions. This individualized assessment of producers may not
    mean that foreign and domestic producers do not compete for the same piece of
    business, and may indicate merely that purchasers cannot evaluate foreign and
    domestic producers in an identical way. The Commission’s finding of equal footing was
    thus plausible given the evidence in the record as a whole.
    Second, the trade court substituted its own inference regarding the significance
    of Weirton’s inability to provide contemporaneous documentary evidence of Japanese
    price competition. The Weirton representative submitted documentation from the period
    of investigation that only contained pricing data from other domestic firms. See Nippon
    IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1212
    . He testified that he only discovered “after the fact” that
    Weirton was competing with Japanese prices, and thus was not informed by customers
    that a particular quoted price was from a Japanese producer. 
    Id.
     at 1212 n.62.          In its
    FRD, the Commission accorded the absence of contemporaneous documentation little
    weight, FRD at 22-23, and reevaluated this finding after the Court of International Trade
    criticized its decision in Nippon II. Nippon II, 
    223 F. Supp. 2d at 1352
    .
    On    remand,   the    Commission     again   concluded    that      the   absence    of
    contemporaneous documentation deserved little weight.              SRD at 78-80.            The
    Commission stated that “the record reflects that purchasers do not specify the identity of
    suppliers with which they are negotiating, making it more difficult for a supplier to
    pinpoint its competition.” Id. at 78. In support, it cited testimony from Weirton’s CEO,
    who stated that the company never knows when specific Japanese bids are being
    05-1404, -1417                              16
    introduced into contract negotiations, and a sworn affidavit from a Weirton sales
    manager indicating that several purchasers informed him in negotiations of their intent
    to purchase low-priced product from Japan. Id. at 78-79. The Commission noted that
    the sales manager’s testimony was corroborated by the purchasers’ own documents,
    and was supported by another domestic producer’s questionnaire response. SRD at
    79-80.     As such, the Commission concluded that “the fact that this information is
    contained in an affidavit of a [Weirton official] rather than in contemporaneous
    documents submitted by [Weirton] is not significant given that a purchaser’s own
    contemporaneous documents effectively corroborate the affidavit.” Id.
    The trade court rejected the Commission’s inference-drawing, stating that “the
    fact that Weirton—a party to this action and principal supporter of the petition—is unable
    to provide evidence supporting its allegations, is important evidence of lack of injury.”
    Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1212-13
    . The trade court expressed skepticism over
    Weirton’s failure to document offshore competition, and failure to document Japanese
    competition after the fact. 
    Id.
     Again, we do not agree that the Commission’s finding
    was unreasonable in light of the evidence as a whole. The Weirton representative’s
    testimony was consistent and was not impeached, and was corroborated by testimony
    of its sales manager and by documents from the purchaser involved in the negotiations.
    The assessment of the proper weight to accord to testimony is within the role of the
    Commission, not this court and not the Court of International Trade. Perhaps Senior
    Judge Nichols best explained this principle in his additional views in Matsushita. The
    appellants in Matsushita challenged a Commission determination of threat of material
    05-1404, -1417                             17
    injury which, like the appellants’ challenge here, rested largely on the weight given to
    testimony of an allegedly injured domestic producer. Senior Judge Nichols wrote:
    There may not be a word of truth in any of his testimony, but we are
    required to supposed otherwise, since it was given in person and under
    oath and subject to cross-examination, since his knowledge of the subject
    was obviously unsurpassed, and since no opposing testimony was
    introduced, as it easily could have been if Mr. Moss’ testimony were false
    or if his opinions were erroneous. The Moss testimony is just the kind a
    court must look for when it is required to review a determination under the
    “substantial evidence” standard. One who seeks to overturn a quasi-
    legislative determination, reviewed under that standard, without such
    testimony in support of his own position is undertaking a heavy load
    indeed.
    Matsushita, 
    750 F.2d at 937
    .      Here, the record as a whole contained substantial
    evidence    supporting    Weirton’s     assertions,   which   the   mere   absence    of
    contemporaneous documentation, without more, cannot nullify. Accordingly, the trade
    court erred in rejecting the Commission’s conclusion regarding the conditions of
    competition in the domestic industry.
    2
    Section 1673d(b)(1) provides that, once the Commission has made an affirmative
    material injury determination, it must determine whether the injury arises “by reason of
    imports, or sales (or the likelihood of sales) for importation . . . . If the Commission
    determines that imports of the subject merchandise are negligible, the investigation
    shall be terminated.”    This causation requirement is met so long as the effects of
    dumping are not merely incidental, tangential, or trivial. Gerald Metals, Inc. v. United
    States, 
    132 F.3d 716
    , 721-22 (Fed. Cir. 1997).
    In rejecting the Commission’s finding on causation, we must conclude that the
    Court of International Trade again improperly substituted its own credibility
    05-1404, -1417                              18
    determinations for those of the Commission. The Commission’s finding of causation
    was based entirely on its interpretation of purchaser questionnaires, testimony, and
    purchasing history. For example, Purchaser F stated in its questionnaire that it dropped
    two domestic suppliers because of price, and two for poor performance. See Nippon IV,
    
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1215
    . The Purchaser F representative testified that, after “a series
    of delivery and quality disappointments with certain U.S. mills”, specifically Weirton, it
    made “a strategic decision to diversify its sourcing including additional sourcing [of
    TCCSS] from abroad” during the period of investigation. 
    Id.
    In its FRD, the Commission noted that Purchaser F’s testimony that it dropped
    Weirton due to delivery and quality disappointments could not be reconciled with
    Purchaser F’s increased TCCSS purchases from Weirton in 1999, Purchaser F’s
    questionnaire response indicating that two domestic suppliers had been dropped
    because of price, or internal documents indicating that its sourcing decisions were
    driven primarily by price. FRD at 33. The Commission concluded that the evidence that
    import purchases were made because of price was more credible, and found that injury
    to the domestic industry was not caused solely by problems with domestic producers’
    quality and delivery. 
    Id.
    In Nippon II, the trade court rejected the Commission’s explanation by stating
    that Purchaser F’s increased purchases from Weirton in 1999 was not necessarily
    inconsistent with its citation of delivery and quality issues, because Purchaser F was
    also experiencing delivery and quality issues with another domestic supplier in 1999.
    Nippon II, 
    223 F. Supp. 2d at 1367
    . In its SRD, the Commission considered the trade
    court’s comments, but reaffirmed its conclusion that Purchaser F’s testimony was
    05-1404, -1417                             19
    inconsistent with, and less credible than, other data of record pointing to price concerns.
    SRD at 95.       The Commission emphasized that the purchaser questionnaire was
    executed and signed by the testifying representative, and thus the “unambiguous”
    testimony and questionnaire responses, which offered opposing reasons for dropping
    domestic suppliers, were unquestionably contradictory. Id. at 97-98. In addition, the
    Commission again pointed out that Purchaser F’s purchasing patterns during the
    relevant period were inconsistent with its testimony, and thus supported the
    Commission’s decision to discount the testimony. Id. at 98.
    The Court of International Trade again rejected the Commission’s findings. It
    restated its position that Purchaser F’s testimony and questionnaire responses were
    consistent, this time emphasizing that the questionnaire also listed quality as one of the
    reasons leading to its switch to foreign producers. Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1215
    .
    The court expressly declined to readdress the Commission’s assertion that Purchaser
    F’s documented purchasing patterns were inconsistent with its testimony, 
    id.
     at 1215
    n.66, and held that, when considering all of the evidence, it was clear that “the harm
    suffered by the domestic industry was not by reason of subject imports.” 
    Id. at 1222
    .
    We need not decide whether Purchaser F’s testimony can be reconciled with its
    questionnaire response and documented purchasing history, because the record
    contains substantial evidence pointing to both price and quality as reasons for
    Purchaser F’s switch to a foreign producer. It may well be that the trade court’s analysis
    of the evidence relating to Purchaser F was correct, but the basis of that decision rested
    upon a determination that Purchaser F’s testimony was entitled to more weight than the
    Commission gave it.       Under the substantial evidence standard, when adequate
    05-1404, -1417                              20
    evidence exists on both sides of an issue, assigning evidentiary weight falls exclusively
    within the authority of the Commission.
    C
    The Court of International Trade engaged in an extremely thorough, careful
    examination of the record. Indeed, we can accept that the Court of International Trade
    may well have conducted a better analysis than did the Commission, and that we would
    have reached the same conclusion as the trade court if deciding the case in the first
    instance.   However, even with the most generous interpretation of the Court of
    International Trade’s conclusions, we cannot agree that the evidence before the
    Commission with respect to price effects and causation fell short of “such relevant
    evidence as a reasonable mind might accept as adequate to support a conclusion.”
    Universal Camera, 
    340 U.S. at 477-78
     (quoting Consol. Edison, 
    305 U.S. at 229
    ).
    As explained supra, a party challenging the Commission’s determination under
    the substantial evidence standard “has chosen a course with a high barrier to reversal.”
    Mitsubishi, 
    275 F.3d at 1060
    .      “[E]ven if it is possible to draw two inconsistent
    conclusions from evidence in the record, such a possibility does not prevent [the
    Commission’s] determination from being supported by substantial evidence.”          Am.
    Silicon Techs. v. United States, 
    261 F.3d 1371
    , 1376 (Fed. Cir. 2001). Here, it is
    significant that the trade court already had accepted the Commission’s findings on the
    first two factors supporting its affirmative material injury determination: volume and
    impact. It is dispositive, however, that ample evidence existed on both sides of the
    remaining factor, price effects, and on the question of causation.      Evidence of an
    industry cost-price squeeze—as a whole and thus necessarily for some producers
    05-1404, -1417                             21
    individually—may or may not outweigh the existence of positive operating margins for
    the two domestic producers competing most directly with Japan.           The existence of
    inconsistencies between a purchaser’s questionnaire responses and testimony means
    that this record contained potentially credible evidence on both sides of the issue.
    Likewise, the existence of factors suggesting that domestic and Japanese negotiations
    do, or do not, take place on equal footing, and the question of whether to discount
    Weirton’s unimpeached testimony for lack of contemporaneous documentation, relate to
    credibility and the proper weight of evidence; the resolution of these questions must be
    left to the expert factfinder.
    The Court of International Trade’s rejection of the Commission’s error in
    calculation is permissible, indeed required, under the substantial evidence standard of
    review, which intends that a reviewing court correct exactly this type of obvious error.
    However, when the totality of the evidence does not illuminate a black-and-white
    answer to a disputed issue, it is the role of the expert factfinder—here the majority of the
    Presidentially-appointed, Senate-approved Commissioners—to decide which side’s
    evidence to believe. So long as there is adequate basis in support of the Commission’s
    choice of evidentiary weight, the Court of International Trade, and this court, reviewing
    under the substantial evidence standard, must defer to the Commission.
    IV
    The United States also argues that the Court of International Trade acted ultra
    vires in directing the Commission to enter a negative material injury determination, and
    asserts that § 1516a does not permit the court to reverse a determination of the
    Commission, directly or indirectly. We have stated in dicta that “[s]ection 1516a limits
    05-1404, -1417                              22
    the Court of International Trade to affirmances and remand orders; an outright reversal
    without a remand does not appear to be contemplated by the statute.” Altx, 
    370 F.3d at
    1111 n.2. However, we implied the opposite in Atlantic Sugar, also in dicta, where we
    said that if the evidence supporting a material injury determination is “insubstantial, then
    the reviewing court must either reverse the [Commission]’s determination or remand the
    case for further fact-finding.” 
    744 F.2d at 1561
    . Because, here, substantial evidence
    supports the Commission’s original affirmative material injury determination, we need
    not and do not decide the scope of Court of International Trade authority to reverse
    under § 1516a. It may well be that, in another situation, the trade court may be faced
    with a Commission determination that is unsupported by substantial evidence, and for
    which a remand would be “futile.” Nippon IV, 
    350 F. Supp. 2d at 1222
    . We hold only
    that this is not the case today.
    V
    For the reasons articulated above, we hold that the Court of International Trade
    erred in assessing credibility and in reweighing the evidence before the Commission,
    and erred in concluding that the Commission’s finding of material injury to the domestic
    injury was not supported by substantial evidence. Accordingly, we reverse the Court of
    International Trade’s decisions in Nippon IV and Nippon V, set aside the Commission’s
    negative material injury and negative threat of material injury determinations in TRD,
    and direct that the trade court reinstate the Commission’s affirmative material injury
    determination in SRD.
    REVERSED.
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