Oliver v. Hhs , 900 F.3d 1357 ( 2018 )


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  •   United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    LAURA OLIVER AND EDDIE OLIVER, JR.,
    PARENTS AND LEGAL REPRESENTATIVES OF
    E.O., III,
    Petitioners-Appellants
    v.
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN
    SERVICES,
    Respondent-Appellee
    ______________________
    2017-2540
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States Court of Federal
    Claims in No. 1:10-vv-00394-EDK, Judge Elaine Kaplan.
    ______________________
    Decided: August 17, 2018
    ______________________
    CLIFFORD JOHN SHOEMAKER, Shoemaker and Associ-
    ates, Vienna, VA, argued for petitioners-appellants.
    DANIEL ANTHONY PRINCIPATO, Torts Branch, Civil
    Division, United States Department of Justice, Washing-
    ton, DC, argued for respondent-appellee. Also represent-
    ed by CHAD A. READLER, C. SALVATORE D’ALESSIO,
    CATHARINE E. REEVES, HEATHER LYNN PEARLMAN.
    ______________________
    2                  OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.
    Before NEWMAN, LOURIE, and WALLACH, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the court filed by Circuit Judge WALLACH.
    Dissenting opinion filed by Circuit Judge NEWMAN.
    WALLACH, Circuit Judge.
    Appellants Laura Oliver and Eddie Oliver, Jr. (to-
    gether, “the Olivers”), parents and legal representatives of
    E.O., III (“E.O.”), sued the Secretary of Health and Hu-
    man Services (“the Government”) for compensation under
    the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986 (“Vac-
    cine Act”), Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3755 (codified as
    amended at 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-2–300aa-33 (2012)). The
    Olivers allege that E.O. developed Dravet syndrome 1 as a
    result of certain vaccinations. The Chief Special Master
    of the U.S. Court of Federal Claims determined that, inter
    alia, the Olivers “failed to show by preponderant evidence
    that E.O.’s injuries were caused by his . . . vaccinations,”
    such that the Olivers were not entitled to compensation.
    Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs. (Oliver I), No.
    10-394V, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *2 (Fed. Cl. Feb. 1, 2017).
    The Olivers filed a motion for review in the Court of
    Federal Claims, and the Court of Federal Claims denied
    it. See Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs. (Oliver
    II), 
    133 Fed. Cl. 341
    , 344 (2017); see also J.A. 52 (Judg-
    ment).
    1 According to a 2010 study on the relation between
    vaccination and Dravet syndrome, “Dravet syndrome,
    formerly severe myoclonic epilepsy of infancy (SMEI), is
    characterized by prolonged febrile seizures starting at
    about the age of [six] months.” J.A. 1221. “Mutations in
    [the] SCN1A [gene] can be identified in the majority of
    patients, and epileptic seizures in the setting of fever are
    a clinical hallmark” of Dravet syndrome. J.A. 1221 (ital-
    ics omitted).
    OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.               3
    The Olivers appeal. We have jurisdiction pursuant to
    28 U.S.C. § 1295(a)(3) (2012). We affirm.
    BACKGROUND 2
    On April 9, 2009, E.O. visited a pediatrician for his
    six-month visit and received vaccinations for Diphtheria-
    Tetanus-acellular Pertussis, Hepatitis B, Inactivated
    Poliovirus, Pneumococcal Conjugate, and Rotavirus.
    Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *4. At approximately 11:30
    PM that night, Mrs. Oliver “found E.O. seizing in his bed”
    and called 9-1-1. 
    Id. (citation omitted).
    When he arrived
    at the emergency room, E.O. presented with “a fever of
    101.3 degrees, red eyes with discharge from his right eye,
    and a runny nose.” 
    Id. (internal quotation
    marks and
    citation omitted). The emergency room physician diag-
    nosed E.O. with a febrile seizure and discharged E.O.
    with instructions to see his pediatrician. 
    Id. On April
    10,
    2009, E.O.’s pediatrician recorded E.O.’s temperature as
    97.1 degrees and diagnosed E.O. with “complex febrile
    seizure and conjunctivitis in the right eye.” 
    Id. (citation omitted).
        “E.O. did not have any health issues or seizures for
    the next two months.” 
    Id. However, E.O.
    had several
    seizures over the summer of 2009 and began to experience
    prolonged seizures in March 2010, with each seizure
    resulting in an emergency room visit. 
    Id. at *5.
    In April
    2010, E.O. was referred to a pediatric neurologist, who
    diagnosed E.O. with an SCN1A gene defect in June 2010.
    
    Id. at *5–6.
    In July 2010, E.O. began to exhibit develop-
    2    The relevant facts and procedural history are
    largely undisputed and are set forth in the Chief Special
    Master’s and Court of Federal Claims’ decisions below.
    See Oliver 
    II, 133 Fed. Cl. at 344
    –48; Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *1–9. For convenience, we cite those opinions
    in outlining the undisputed facts relevant to this appeal.
    4                 OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.
    mental delay, and the pediatric neurologist performed
    general physical, neurological, and motor examinations,
    which demonstrated “intractable, symptomatic childhood
    absence and complex partial seizures of independent
    hemisphere origin secondary to SCN1A gene defect (bor-
    derline SMEI syndrome) and encephalopathy character-
    ized by speech delay.” 
    Id. at *6
    (internal quotation marks
    and citation omitted).
    DISCUSSION
    I. Standard of Review and Legal Standard
    “We review an appeal from the Court of Federal
    Claims in a Vaccine Act case de novo, applying the same
    standard of review [as the Court of Federal Claims]
    applied in reviewing the special master’s decision.” Milik
    v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    822 F.3d 1367
    , 1375
    (Fed. Cir. 2016) (citation omitted). “Although we review
    legal determinations without deference, we review the
    special master’s factual findings under the arbitrary and
    capricious standard.” 
    Id. at 1376
    (citation omitted). This
    standard is “uniquely deferential” and “difficult for an
    appellant to satisfy with respect to any issue, but particu-
    larly with respect to an issue that turns on the weighing
    of evidence by the trier of fact.” 
    Id. (internal quotation
    marks and citations omitted). “[A]s long as the special
    master’s conclusion is based on evidence in the record
    that is not wholly implausible, we are compelled to uphold
    that finding as not being arbitrary or capricious.” 
    Id. (internal quotation
    marks, brackets, and citation omit-
    ted).
    Where, as here, a petitioner alleges an injury not
    found on the Vaccine Injury Table (“the Table”), 3 they
    3   The Table is published in 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-14.
    For injuries listed in the Table, i.e., “Table Injuries,”
    “causation is presumed when a designated condition
    OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.                5
    “must show that the vaccine was not only a but-for cause
    of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing
    about the injury.” 
    Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321
    (internal
    quotation marks and citation omitted). To demonstrate
    causation, the petitioner’s “burden is to show by prepon-
    derant evidence” each of the requirements set forth in
    Althen v. Secretary of Health and Human Services (“the
    Althen prongs”): “(1) a medical theory causally connecting
    the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of
    cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the
    reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate
    temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.”
    
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). “If [the petitioner]
    satisfies this burden, she is entitled to recover unless the
    [G]overnment shows, also by a preponderance of evidence,
    that the injury was in fact caused by factors unrelated to
    the vaccine.” 
    Id. (internal quotation
    marks, brackets, and
    citation omitted).
    II. The Court of Federal Claims Did Not Err in Sustaining
    the Chief Special Master’s Determination
    The Chief Special Master determined that the Olivers
    failed to satisfy their burden as to each of the Althen
    prongs. Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *11–21. The Oli-
    vers aver that the Chief Special Master erred in her
    evaluation of the Althen prongs by: (1) “misappl[ying]
    Daubert [v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 
    509 U.S. 579
    (1993)] and thus appl[ying] an evidentiary standard
    not in accordance with law,” Appellants’ Br. 17 (capitali-
    follows the administration of a designated vaccine within
    a designated period of time.” Moberly ex rel. Moberly v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    , 1321
    (Fed. Cir. 2010). For “all other injuries alleged to be
    caused by a vaccine” that are not listed in the Table, i.e.,
    “off-Table injuries,” “causation must be proved in each
    case.” 
    Id. (citation omitted).
    6                 OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.
    zation modified); see 
    id. at 17–33;
    and (2) “improperly
    using estoppel and a faulty scientific premise to deny both
    a full and fair hearing, in an abuse of her discretion, as
    well as a finding of causation,” 
    id. at 34
    (italics omitted);
    see 
    id. at 34
    –43. We disagree with the Olivers.
    First, although the Olivers claim that the Chief Spe-
    cial Master misapplied Daubert, their argument amounts
    to no more than a challenge to the weight afforded to their
    expert’s testimony and supporting evidence. 4 See 
    id. at 17–33.
    The Chief Special Master thoroughly evaluated
    both parties’ evidence as to each Althen prong and found
    the Government’s more persuasive. See Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *11–21. For example, regarding the first
    Althen prong, the Chief Special Master found that “none
    of the articles cited by [the Olivers’ expert] suggest that
    vaccines can cause . . . or change the clinical course of
    Dravet syndrome, and several come to the opposite con-
    clusion,” whereas the Government’s expert “provide[d]
    strong evidence [in the form of animal studies] that
    Dravet syndrome will develop in children with the
    SCN[1]A mutation, whether or not they receive vaccina-
    tions.” 
    Id. at *16;
    see 
    id. at *11–16
    (reviewing the parties’
    4   While the Chief Special Master referenced Daub-
    ert in the “Standards for Adjudication” section of her
    opinion, see Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *10, she did not
    exclude either parties’ evidence and made no reference to
    Daubert when weighing the parties’ evidence to determine
    whether the Olivers had satisfied their burden of estab-
    lishing each of the Althen prongs, see 
    id. at *11–21.
    Nevertheless, the Government acknowledges that the
    Chief Special Master implicitly conducted a Daubert
    analysis in finding the Olivers’ expert’s testimony and
    supporting evidence unpersuasive. See Oral Arg. at
    18:39–19:17,        http://oralarguments.cafc.uscourts.gov/
    default.aspx?fl=2017-2540.mp3.
    OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.                  7
    evidence as to the first Althen prong). In light of these
    findings, the Chief Special Master determined that the
    Olivers’ expert “did not provide a ‘sound and reliable’
    medical theory to explain how the vaccinations at issue
    cause Dravet syndrome.” 
    Id. at *16.
    The Chief Special
    Master made similar findings with respect to the second
    and third Althen prongs. See 
    id. at *16–20
    (reviewing the
    parties’ evidence as to the second Althen prong), *20
    (finding, with respect to the second Althen prong, that the
    Olivers’ expert’s testimony was “not persuasive” in light of
    the Government’s expert’s testimony and E.O.’s medical
    records, such that the Olivers “failed to prove by a pre-
    ponderance of the evidence a logical sequence of cause and
    effect showing that the vaccines E.O. received caused his
    Dravet syndrome”), *20–21 (reviewing the parties’ evi-
    dence as to the third Althen prong), *21 (finding, with
    respect to the third Althen prong, that, “[w]hile the prox-
    imity between vaccination and seizure onset might sug-
    gest a causal relationship between the two events, E.O.
    did not develop Dravet syndrome until . . . more than a
    year after these vaccinations,” such that the Olivers’
    evidence “[wa]s not sufficient to establish a causal link”).
    The Olivers repeatedly fault the Chief Special Master
    for failing to afford greater weight to their expert’s testi-
    mony and supporting evidence. See, e.g., Appellants’
    Br. 25 (stating that “the [Chief] Special Master is highly
    dismissive of all of [their expert]’s testimony”), 26 (stating
    that the Olivers’ expert’s “theory and . . . mechanisms
    were, in fact, supported by the literature even if his con-
    clusions were not yet published”), 33 (stating that the
    Chief Special Master “essentially reject[ed]” their expert’s
    supporting evidence). We cannot review such challenges.
    See 
    Milik, 822 F.3d at 1376
    (“[W]e do not reweigh the
    factual evidence, assess whether the special master
    correctly evaluated the evidence, or examine the probative
    value of the evidence or the credibility of the witnesses—
    these are all matters within the purview of the fact find-
    8                 OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.
    er.” (internal quotation marks and citation omitted));
    Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    219 F.3d 1357
    ,
    1362 (Fed. Cir. 2000) (stating that “assessments of the
    credibility of the witnesses and the relative persuasive-
    ness of the competing medical theories of the case” “are
    virtually unchallengeable on appeal”). Therefore, we hold
    that the Chief Special Master did not misapply Daubert in
    weighing the parties’ experts’ testimony and supporting
    evidence and that the Chief Special Master’s factual
    findings were neither arbitrary nor capricious. See de
    Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    539 F.3d 1347
    ,
    1352 n.4 (Fed. Cir. 2008) (rejecting similar arguments on
    the grounds that “Daubert is inapposite here because the
    special master did not exclude any expert evidence under
    Daubert” and, instead, “admitted and weighed both par-
    ties’ evidence but simply decided that the [G]overnment’s
    evidence was more persuasive”); Terran ex rel. Terran v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    195 F.3d 1302
    , 1316
    (Fed. Cir. 1999) (affirming a “[s]pecial [m]aster’s analy-
    sis . . . using Daubert[] . . . as a tool or framework for
    conducting the inquiry into the reliability of the evidence,”
    where the special master’s “application of the Daubert
    factors [was] reasonable,” because “[t]he [s]pecial [m]aster
    found that the Daubert inquiry raised serious questions
    about the [petitioner’s expert’s] testimony,” such that “the
    proffered theory of causation was not sufficiently relia-
    ble”). 5
    5   At oral argument, the Olivers asked the court to
    take judicial notice of an extra-record scientific article
    published in 2017 (“the 2017 Article”). Oral Arg. at
    10:12–11:41; see Reply Br. 20 & n.8 (discussing Valentina
    Cetica et al., Clinical and Genetic Factors Predicting
    Dravet Syndrome in Infants with SCN1A Mutations,
    88(11) Neurology 1037, 1037 (2017), available at
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5384833/
    OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.                  9
    (exploring the “prognostic value of initial clinical and
    mutational findings in infants with SCN1A mutations”
    and concluding that, “[i]n individuals with SCN1A muta-
    tions, age at seizure onset appears to predict outcome
    better than mutation type” (italics omitted)). The Olivers
    allege that this article demonstrates that one “can have
    the SCN1A [gene] and not develop Dravet syndrome” and
    that E.O.’s “vaccination triggered the onset of seizures
    within his first [twelve] months” and, thus, was a but-for
    cause of his injuries because it “did impact his clinical
    course.” Reply Br. 21.
    Scientific “theories that are so firmly established as to
    have attained the status of scientific law, such as the laws
    of thermodynamics, properly are subject to judicial notice
    under Federal Rule of Evidence 201.” 
    Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592
    n.11; see Fed. R. Evid. 201(b) (“The court may
    judicially notice a fact that is not subject to reasonable
    dispute because it: (1) is generally known within the trial
    court’s territorial jurisdiction; or (2) can be accurately and
    readily determined from sources whose accuracy cannot
    reasonably be questioned.”). However, the Olivers have
    failed to establish that this theory has garnered such
    widespread acceptance, as evidenced by the Chief Special
    Master’s extensive discussion of articles with contradicto-
    ry findings. See, e.g., Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *15
    (discussing “studies show[ing] that the occurrence of
    febrile seizures following vaccinations does not change the
    clinical course or outcome of Dravet syndrome”). There-
    fore, we decline to take judicial notice of the 2017 Article.
    See Brown v. Piper, 
    91 U.S. 37
    , 42–43 (1875) (explaining
    that a courts’ power to take judicial notice “is to be exer-
    cised . . . with caution,” that “[c]are must be taken that
    the requisite notoriety exists,” and that “[e]very reasona-
    ble doubt upon the subject should be resolved promptly in
    the negative”). To the extent the Olivers ask us to consid-
    er findings in the 2017 Article, “studies that were not
    10                 OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.
    Second, the Chief Special Master did not apply estop-
    pel to either deny a fair hearing or bar the Olivers’ theory
    of causation. The Olivers assert that the Chief Special
    Master “effectively estopped the [Olivers] from fully
    presenting [their] case,” Appellants’ Br. 39, by noting
    that, “[t]o date, there have been at least [fifteen] oth-
    er . . . cases which involved children with SCN1A muta-
    tions[] and compensation has been denied in all of these
    cases,” Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *1 (footnote omitted);
    see 
    id. at *1
    n.3 (listing the prior cases); see also Estoppel,
    Black’s Law Dictionary (10th ed. 2014) (defining estoppel
    as, inter alia, “[a] bar that prevents the relitigation of
    issues”). However, one reference to other cases rejecting
    similar claims does not constitute the application of
    estoppel. Cf. Waymo LLC v. Uber Techs., Inc., 
    870 F.3d 1350
    , 1361 (Fed. Cir. 2017) (“We will not find legal error
    based upon an isolated statement stripped from its con-
    text.” (internal quotation marks and citation omitted)).
    Indeed, the Chief Special Master made no reference to
    estoppel, see generally Oliver I, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , and the
    Olivers concede that they cannot identify where the Chief
    Special Master applied estoppel to bar their claims, see
    Oral Arg. at 2:04–41 (acknowledging that the Chief Spe-
    cial Master’s opinion did not apply equitable estoppel and
    failing to identify any authority for finding an improper
    application of equitable estoppel under those circum-
    stances). As we explained above, the Chief Special Mas-
    ter thoroughly considered the parties’ evidence and found
    the Government’s more persuasive, Oliver I, 2017 WL
    before the [Chief S]pecial [M]aster are not appropriate for
    consideration on appellate review.” Whitecotton ex rel.
    Whitecotton v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    81 F.3d 1099
    , 1104–05 (Fed. Cir. 1996) (citation omitted).
    OLIVER   v. SEC’Y OF HEALTH & HUMAN SERVS.              11
    747846, at *11–27, and we may not reweigh that evidence
    on appeal, see 
    Milik, 822 F.3d at 1376
    . 6
    CONCLUSION
    We have considered the Olivers’ remaining arguments
    and find them unpersuasive. Accordingly, the Judgment
    of the U.S. Court of Federal Claims is
    AFFIRMED
    6    To the extent the Olivers contend that, even if the
    Chief Special Master did not improperly apply estoppel,
    the Chief Special Master abused her discretion by denying
    their request for an evidentiary hearing, see Appellants’
    Br. 39, we disagree. Special masters have “wide discre-
    tion” to determine whether to hold an evidentiary hear-
    ing. Burns ex rel. Burns v. Sec’y of Dep’t of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    3 F.3d 415
    , 417 (Fed. Cir. 1993); see 42
    U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(3)(B)(v) (providing that the special
    master “may conduct such hearings as may be reasonable
    and necessary”); Rule 8(d) of App. B to the Rules of the
    Court of Federal Claims (permitting the special master to
    “decide a case on the basis of written submissions without
    conducting an evidentiary hearing”). Because the record
    was fully developed and the Olivers have not identified
    any factual or legal errors by the Chief Special Master
    that would have necessitated an evidentiary hearing, we
    conclude that the Chief Special Master acted within her
    discretion in denying the Olivers’ request for such a
    hearing. See 
    Burns, 3 F.3d at 417
    .
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    LAURA OLIVER AND EDDIE OLIVER, JR.,
    PARENTS AND LEGAL REPRESENTATIVES OF
    E.O., III,
    Petitioners-Appellants
    v.
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN
    SERVICES,
    Respondent-Appellee
    ______________________
    2017-2540
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States Court of Federal
    Claims in No. 1:10-vv-00394-EDK, Judge Elaine Kaplan.
    ______________________
    NEWMAN, Circuit Judge, dissenting.
    Infant E.O. was described by his pediatrician, at his
    6-month well-baby visit on April 9, 2009, as developing
    normally, temperature 97.4º F. He was given the third
    dose of the DTaP 1 vaccine. At about 11:30 that night he
    was found convulsing and with a fever. He was rushed by
    ambulance to the emergency room, where a temperature
    of 101.3º F was recorded. By August 2009 E.O. had six
    observed seizure episodes. By the following year seizures
    1   Diptheria-Tetanus-acellular Pertussis. J.A. 2.
    2                                               OLIVER   v. HHS
    were occurring daily, and normal mental and physical
    development were affected.
    E.O.’s parents obtained genetic analysis of both his
    and their DNA. E.O. was found to have a mutation of the
    SCN1A gene, which has become associated with “severe
    myoclonic epilepsy in infancy,” also called “Dravet syn-
    drome,” as characterized by Dr. Dravet in 1978. 2 The
    Petitioners duly sought the benefits of the Vaccine Act,
    but the Special Master held that since E.O. has this
    genetic mutation, any vaccine relationship is irrelevant
    and the Vaccine Act does not apply. My colleagues now
    affirm this ruling.
    I respectfully dissent, for this is a classic case of vac-
    cine injury, within the purpose, policy, and text of the
    Vaccine Act. Advances in scientific understanding of why
    some infants experience vaccine-related seizures and
    their tragic consequences, support the statutory plan.
    DISCUSSION
    It was known that about one half of one percent of ap-
    parently normal infants experience a serious adverse
    reaction to vaccine. See S. Hrg. 98-1060, at 21 (1984).
    Vaccine injury of healthy infants has long been believed to
    be affected by some aberration within the infant; advanc-
    es in genetic science now are enabling exploration of such
    aspects.
    The Special Master held that E.O.’s “destiny” is to be
    mentally and physically disabled because of his SCN1A
    gene mutation. The Special Master held that it is irrele-
    vant that E.O. experienced a classic Vaccine Act injury,
    and irrelevant whether the vaccine triggered or contribut-
    ed to his ensuing disability. The Special Master discarded
    2  The record states that E.O.’s parents do not have
    the mutation.
    OLIVER   v. HHS                                          3
    the studies that show at least half of the persons found to
    have the SCN1A mutation never manifest Dravet syn-
    drome. The Special Master deemed it irrelevant that 20–
    30% of persons afflicted with Dravet syndrome do not
    have the SCN1A mutation.
    The reported studies found that vaccination within
    the first 6 months of infancy almost always produced
    seizures and led to Dravet syndrome for infants having
    the SCN1A mutation, while vaccination after 12 months
    never produced seizures and Dravet syndrome. The
    studies show that both vaccination and the mutation have
    a role in Dravet syndrome. Nonetheless, my colleagues
    hold that if a genetic relationship to the injury can be
    found, the triggering role of vaccination is irrelevant.
    Science is at last providing answers to why some in-
    fants manifest a severe reaction to vaccination. However,
    these are the infants for whom the Vaccine Act was
    enacted. Instead, HHS and the courts now exclude these
    infants from the Vaccine Act—in contravention of the
    statute and the legislative purpose. 3
    3    Congress recognized the consequences of govern-
    ment-mandated vaccination when it instituted a compen-
    sation scheme. See S. Hrg. 98-1060, at 5 (1984) (“In all of
    our States, vaccination is required before a child will be
    allowed to enter public school. Federal, State, and local
    government officials urge all parents to immunize their
    children. For all practical purposes, immunization pro-
    grams have become obligatory. Should a child sustain
    injury as a consequence of such an immunization pro-
    gram, it hardly seems fair that that child or its parents
    should sustain the entire burden of the consequences
    which may follow.”). Congress was also well aware that
    the DTP vaccine could cause the injuries sustained by
    E.O. See S. Hrg. 98-350, at 1 (1983) (“The occurrence of
    4                                               OLIVER   v. HHS
    THE EVOLVING SCIENCE OF VACCINE INJURY
    HHS acknowledges that E.O.’s 6-month DTaP vac-
    cination produced an immediate reaction of seizures and
    fever, squarely within the statutory vaccine injury. 4
    However, HHS insists that vaccine injury is irrelevant if
    the SCN1A mutation is present.
    The Petitioners cite several scientific articles that re-
    port studies of the role of vaccination when the SCN1A
    mutation is present. These articles illustrate evolving
    understanding, drawing on the capabilities of DNA analy-
    sis. I have placed these publications in chronological
    order, for they illustrate the growth of this area of scien-
    tific knowledge, as well as the continuing uncertainties.
    1.
    M. Nieto-Barrera et al., Severe Myoclonic Epilepsy in
    Infancy. An Analytical Epidemiological Study, 30
    REV. NEUROL. 620–24 (2000).
    The authors report their study of patients afflicted in
    infancy with Severe Myoclonic Epilepsy (SMEI, referred
    to as “Dravet’s syndrome” by the early 2000s). The article
    recites the history of vaccine-related convulsions, and
    traces the appearance and effects of infant myoclonic
    epilepsy. The authors state:
    Our study emphasizes, however, the high fre-
    quency in which the first convulsion is related
    with the DTP vaccination (six times with the first
    occasional central nervous system reactions to pertussis
    vaccines is well-established, ranging from simple, short-
    lived convulsions to encephalopathy with permanent
    brain damage and, rarely, death.”).
    4   The Vaccine Act establishes a presumption of vac-
    cine injury when fever and seizure occur within 3 days
    after immunization, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-14(a); 14(b)(2).
    OLIVER   v. HHS                                            5
    dose, eight with the second and two with the
    third), [a] fact that we consider, with discrete res-
    ervations, something more than a coincidence.
    The relation between the vaccine DTP and the
    convulsions has been discussed extensively. It is
    considered by some as mere coincidence etárea, is
    estimated that the majority of the seizures that
    follow to the pertussis vaccination are associated
    with the fever . . . .
    J.A. 1197 (internal citations omitted). The authors state
    that “[a] relative increase has been verified of the inci-
    dence of convulsions in the three first days that follow to
    the vaccination,” 
    id., and that
    “[w]ith independence of the
    differences among vaccines of the diverse manufacturers .
    . . sufficient experimental data exist to imply to the endo-
    toxin and to the germ pertussis in the neurological ad-
    verse reactions to the pertussis vaccination.” 
    Id. 2. Charlotte
    Dravet et al., Severe myoclonic epilepsy in
    infancy (Dravet Syndrome), in Epileptic Syndromes
    in Infancy, Childhood and Adolescence 89–113 (J.
    Roger et al. eds., 4th ed. 2005).
    The authors review the scientific literature and de-
    scribe “Dravet syndrome.” They note that some studies
    have concluded that “in a significant number of SME
    cases a genetic aetiology is likely . . . .” 
    Id. at 90.
    The
    authors report that many studies confirm that the syn-
    drome does not manifest exclusively in individuals with
    the SCN1A mutation. 
    Id. at 108.
    The authors discuss
    their attempts to understand the biophysical properties of
    SCN1A gene mutations and find phenotype/genotype
    correlations, and state that the relationship between
    genotype and phenotype is “complex.” 
    Id. at 91.
    The
    authors state that:
    6                                             OLIVER   v. HHS
    afebrile seizures usually occur in the context of a
    vaccination or of an infectious episode, or after a
    bath. Later on, they are associated with febrile
    seizures in 80 per cent of the patients. Nieto-
    Barrera et al. (2000) emphasized the coincidence
    between the first seizure and the DTP (diphthe-
    ria-tetanus-polio) vaccination.
    
    Id. at 92.
                                 3.
    Samuel F. Berkovic et al., De-novo mutations of the
    sodium channel gene SCN1A in alleged vaccine
    encephalopathy: a retrospective study, 5 LANCET
    NEUROL. 488–92 (2006).
    The authors state that “[v]accination, particularly for
    pertussis, has been implicated as a direct cause of an
    encephalopathy with refractory seizures and intellectual
    impairment.” 
    Id. at 488
    (Summary). They trace the
    association with SCN1A mutations, and state that “[t]he
    mechanism by which SCN1A mutations cause SMEI is
    unknown.” 
    Id. at 491.
    The authors state that some
    patients with the SCN1A mutation may develop the
    syndrome without a vaccine trigger, and also state:
    In the presence of SCN1A mutations, vaccination
    can still be argued to be a trigger for the encepha-
    lopathy, perhaps via fever or an immune mecha-
    nism.
    
    Id. The authors
    state that this study was not designed to
    address that question.
    4.
    Anne M. McIntosh et al., Effects of vaccination on
    onset and outcome of Dravet syndrome: a retrospec-
    tive study, 9 LANCET NEUROL. 592–98 (2010).
    OLIVER   v. HHS                                             7
    The authors, reviewing the scientific literature, state
    that about 70–80% of children with Dravet syndrome
    have the SCN1A gene mutation, and about 20–30% do not
    have the mutation. 
    Id. at 592.
    They report that about
    one-third of children with Dravet syndrome exhibited
    onset in less than 3 days after vaccination. The authors
    state that “[v]accination might trigger earlier onset of
    Dravet syndrome in children who, because of an SCN1A
    mutation, are destined to develop the disease.” 
    Id. at 592.
                                5.
    Blanca Tro-Baumann et al., A retrospective study of
    the relation between vaccination and occurrence of
    seizures in Dravet syndrome, 52(1) EPILEPSIA 175–78
    (2011).
    The authors state that for infants with SCN1A muta-
    tions,
    epileptic seizures in the setting of fever are a clin-
    ical hallmark. Fever is also commonly seen after
    vaccinations and provocation of epileptic seizures
    by vaccinations in patients with Dravet syndrome
    has been reported, but not systematically as-
    sessed.
    
    Id. at 175
    (Summary). They report that “[t]he majority of
    seizures occurred after DPT vaccinations and within 72 h
    after vaccination.” 
    Id. The authors
    state that seizures after vaccination are
    “a common feature in Dravet syndrome and emphasize
    the need for preventive measures for seizures triggered by
    vaccination or fever in these children.” 
    Id. at 175
    .
    6.
    Meral Özmen et al., Severe myoclonic epilepsy of
    infancy (Dravet syndrome): Clinical and genetic
    8                                              OLIVER   v. HHS
    features of nine Turkish patients, 14(3) ANNALS             OF
    INDIAN ACADEMY OF NEUROLOGY 178 (2011).
    The authors studied patients having the SCN1A mu-
    tation, and discuss the complexities of the relation to
    vaccines. They summarize past studies, and state:
    Sudden occurrence of seizures and developmental
    regression after the pertussis vaccine in previous-
    ly healthy children may confound as that it may
    be related with vaccination. There are several
    reasons for seizures and developmental regression
    in infancy. Some of them were incorrectly identi-
    fied as vaccine encephalopathies. However, later
    studies did not support the link between perma-
    nent brain damage and vaccines. On the other
    hand, similarities were observed between clinical
    progressions of SMEI and vaccine encephalopathy
    as more data was gained about special epilepsy
    syndromes like SMEI. Berkovic et al. detected
    SCN1A gene mutations in 11 out of 14 patients
    who were diagnosed with vaccine encephalopathy.
    It was reported that the cause of vaccine encepha-
    lopathy was not vaccination but rather the genet-
    ically     determined        age-specific   epileptic
    encephalopathy.      In our patients, convulsions
    started after whole cell pertussis vaccination.
    Similarly, recent data from a study by McIntosh
    et al. showed that 37 patients out of 40 in the co-
    hort had their first seizure after at least one DTP
    vaccination. They concluded that while the per-
    tussis vaccine is a trigger for earlier onset of the
    disease, it does not affect its outcome.
    J.A. 1310 (internal citations omitted). The authors con-
    clude that:
    Pertussis vaccination acts as a trigger for the on-
    set of [SMEI]. Neuro-developmental delay and
    behavioral problems that appear after two years
    OLIVER   v. HHS                                           9
    of age should be expected in all patients as long-
    term complications of the disease.
    J.A. 1311.
    7.
    Nelia Zamponi et al., Vaccination and Occurrence of
    Seizures in SCN1A Mutation–positive Patients: A
    Multicenter Italian Study, PEDIATRIC NEUROLOGY
    xxx 1–5 (2013).
    The authors acknowledge the controversy concerning
    the relation of vaccination to Dravet syndrome (“DS”), and
    consider whether vaccination should be withheld for
    infants with the SCN1A mutation. They state:
    The relationship between vaccination and clinical
    evolution of SCN1A-mutated patients is still con-
    troversial. Moreover, the possible advantage to
    suspend vaccination route in these patients has
    not been addressed. Recently, some authors have
    argued that vaccination might trigger the onset of
    DS in patients carrying a genetic mutation be-
    cause these patients are genetically inclined to
    developing the disease. However, according to
    these studies, vaccination does not seem to affect
    clinical outcome of DS and therefore it should not
    be withheld. In contrast, other authors have stat-
    ed that vaccination, performed either before or af-
    ter DS onset, might affect clinical outcome of
    these patients.
    
    Id. at 2
    (internal citations omitted). The authors are
    cautious about extrapolating vaccination recommenda-
    tions from their results, although they state that “patients
    who experienced seizures close to vaccination had an
    earlier seizure onset and a higher frequency of status
    epilepticus during development.” 
    Id. at 4.
    10                                             OLIVER   v. HHS
    8.
    Valentina Cetica et al., Clinical and Genetic Factors
    Predicting Dravet Syndrome in Infants with SCN1A
    Mutations, 88(11) NEUROLOGY 1037 (2017).
    This is a study of 200 persons having the SCN1A mu-
    tation, wherein 97 had Dravet syndrome, including bor-
    derline forms, and 103 did not have the syndrome. All
    200 subjects were more than 24 months of age, which is
    when Dravet syndrome can usually be diagnosed; the
    sample had an average age of 18.58 years.
    Of these subjects, the relation of seizure occurrence to
    Dravet syndrome was analyzed, with 182 patients having
    had seizures as their presenting symptom. The authors
    report that “age at first seizure and frameshift mutations
    were associated with Dravet Syndrome. The risk of
    [developing] Dravet Syndrome was 85% [if the first sei-
    zure occurred] in the 0- to 6-month group, 51% in the 6- to
    12-month range, and 0% after the 12th month.” 
    Id. at 1037.
    The authors report that: “None of the patients who
    experienced their first seizure after 12 months of age
    developed Dravet syndrome.” 
    Id. at 1040.
    Thus, “an
    older age at seizure onset represents a protective factor
    against the risk of developing Dravet syndrome.” 
    Id. APPLICATION TO
    E.O.
    The government’s position is that “E.O.’s mutation is
    the sole cause of his Dravet syndrome and his resulting
    neurological condition.” J.A. 2. Although the science is
    still evolving, it is apparent that this simplistic statement
    is incorrect.
    All of the reported studies show a role of vaccination
    in producing seizures in infants with the SCN1A muta-
    tion. The Petitioners agree that there is a relationship
    between E.O.’s genetic mutation and his seizures and
    ensuing disabilities; they argue that “his DTaP vaccina-
    tion in conjunction, with his SCN1A mutation . . . likely
    OLIVER   v. HHS                                          11
    caused his seizure disorder, encephalopathy, and devel-
    opmental delays.” Reply Br. 1.
    It is not known whether E.O. would have manifested
    Dravet syndrome without the vaccination. The only
    certainty is that E.O. experienced a dramatic reaction
    within a few hours of DTaP vaccination, that the seizures
    continued, and that there were developmental conse-
    quences. The Special Master so acknowledged, but leaped
    to the conclusion that “[a]lthough E.O.’s vaccinations may
    have caused a fever or otherwise triggered his first sei-
    zure, neither that initial seizure nor his vaccinations
    caused his Dravet syndrome or neurological complica-
    tions.” Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 10-
    394V, 
    2017 WL 747846
    , at *2 (Fed. Cl. Feb. 1, 2017).
    This conclusion does not withstand scrutiny. The sci-
    entific studies all show a reasonable likelihood that E.O.’s
    vaccination in his first 6 months triggered the adverse
    events he suffered. The seizures and fever on the evening
    of E.O.’s 6-month DTaP vaccination are recognized in the
    scientific literature as likely to have contributed to or
    triggered the Dravet syndrome in conjunction with the
    SCN1A mutation.
    “Likelihood” is the standard of Vaccine Act recovery,
    for the Vaccine Act arose because certainty was not avail-
    able. Until modern science discovered a genetic founda-
    tion for at least some vaccine injury, E.O.’s vaccine
    response would have been classified as a “Table Injury”
    and routinely entitled to the support of the Vaccine Act.
    Though science has begun to understand previously
    unexplained responses to vaccines, such understanding
    does not alter the Vaccine Act.
    Until every infant is genetically analyzed before vac-
    cination and all aberrant genes are identified, the Vaccine
    Act is the nation’s response to potential vaccine-induced
    consequences such as Dravet syndrome. HHS is required
    to administer the Vaccine Act in accord with its text and
    12                                         OLIVER   v. HHS
    purpose. From my colleagues’ contrary ruling, I respect-
    fully dissent.