Doug Lair v. Steve Bullock , 787 F.3d 989 ( 2015 )


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  •                  FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    DOUG LAIR; STEVE DOGIAKOS;              No. 12-35809
    AMERICAN TRADITION
    PARTNERSHIP; AMERICAN                      D.C. No.
    TRADITION PARTNERSHIP PAC;              6:12-cv-00012-
    MONTANA RIGHT TO LIFE                        CCL
    ASSOCIATION PAC; SWEET GRASS
    COUNCIL FOR COMMUNITY
    INTEGRITY; LAKE COUNTY
    REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE;
    BEAVERHEAD COUNTY REPUBLICAN
    CENTRAL COMMITTEE; JAKE OIL,
    LLC; JL OIL, LLC; CHAMPION
    PAINTING,
    Plaintiffs-Appellees,
    v.
    STEVE BULLOCK, in his official
    capacity as Attorney General of the
    State of Montana; JAMES MURRAY,
    “Jim”, in his official capacity as
    Commissioner of Political Practices;
    LEO GALLAGHER, in his official
    capacity as Lewis and Clark County
    Attorney,
    Defendants-Appellants.
    2                     LAIR V. BULLOCK
    DOUG LAIR; STEVE DOGIAKOS;              No. 12-35889
    AMERICAN TRADITION
    PARTNERSHIP; AMERICAN
    TRADITION PARTNERSHIP PAC;                 D.C. No.
    MONTANA RIGHT TO LIFE                   6:12-cv-00012-
    ASSOCIATION PAC; SWEET GRASS                 CCL
    COUNCIL FOR COMMUNITY
    INTEGRITY; LAKE COUNTY
    REPUBLICAN CENTRAL COMMITTEE;             OPINION
    BEAVERHEAD COUNTY REPUBLICAN
    CENTRAL COMMITTEE; JAKE OIL,
    LLC; JL OIL, LLC; CHAMPION
    PAINTING,
    Plaintiffs,
    and
    RICK HILL, Warden; A LOT OF
    FOLKS FOR RICK HILL; LORNA
    KUNEY,
    Intervenor-Plaintiffs–Appellants,
    v.
    STEVE BULLOCK, in his official
    capacity as Attorney General of the
    State of Montana; JAMES MURRAY,
    “Jim”, in his official capacity as
    Commissioner of Political Practices;
    LEO GALLAGHER, in his official
    capacity as Lewis and Clark County
    Attorney,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                              3
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the District of Montana
    Charles C. Lovell, Senior District Judge, Presiding
    Argued and Submitted
    February 5, 2015—Seattle Washington
    Filed May 26, 2015
    Before: Raymond C. Fisher, Carlos T. Bea,
    and Mary H. Murguia, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion by Judge Bea
    SUMMARY*
    Civil Rights
    The panel reversed the district court’s judgment, entered
    following a non-jury trial, and remanded in an action
    challenging, under the First Amendment, Montana’s dollar
    limits on contributions to political candidates.
    The panel held that the district court applied the wrong
    legal standard prior to enjoining permanently the enforcement
    of Montana’s restrictions on campaign contributions by
    individuals, political action committees, and political parties.
    The panel held that the district court applied neither the new
    formulation of what constitutes an important state interest set
    *
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It has
    been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    4                    LAIR V. BULLOCK
    forth in Citizens United v. Fed. Election Comm’n, 
    558 U.S. 310
    (2010), nor the correct formulation, set forth in Mont.
    Right to Life Ass’n v. Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d 1085
    (9th Cir.
    2003), of whether the state’s contribution limits are “closely
    drawn” to the state’s goal of preventing quid pro quo
    corruption or its appearance. The panel remanded in order to
    allow Montana’s political contribution limits to be tested
    under the new and more restrictive standard of Citizens
    United, and the correct “closely drawn” test set forth in
    Eddleman.
    COUNSEL
    Matthew T. Cochenour (argued) and Michael G. Black,
    Assistant Attorneys General, and Tim Fox, Attorney General,
    Montana Department of Justice, Helena, Montana, for
    Defendants-Appellants.
    Matthew G. Monforton (argued), Monforton Law Offices,
    PLLC, Bozeman, Montana, for Intervenor-Plaintiffs–
    Appellants.
    James Bopp, Jr. (argued) and Jeffrey Gallant, The Bopp Law
    Firm, PC, Terre Haute, Indiana; Anita Y. Milanovich, The
    Bopp Law Firm, PC, Bozeman, Montana, for Plaintiffs-
    Appellees.
    J. Gerald Hebert, Paul S. Ryan, Tara Malloy, and Megan
    McAllen, Campaign Legal Center, Washington, D.C., for
    Amici Curiae Campaign Legal Center, Common Cause,
    Justice at Stake, and League of Women Voters.
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                              5
    Ronald A. Fein and John C. Bonifaz, Free Speech for People,
    Amherst, Massachusetts, for Amici Curiae Free Speech for
    People, The Honorable James C. Nelson, American
    Independent Business Alliance, and American Sustainable
    Business Counsel.
    OPINION
    BEA, Circuit Judge:
    We are called on to determine whether Montana’s dollar
    limits on contributions to political candidates are
    constitutional under the federal Constitution’s First
    Amendment. The claims against the limits are familiar.
    Limitations on contributions effectively abridge free speech
    in two primary ways. First, the contribution itself is a general
    expression of the donor’s support for the candidate and his
    views. Limiting the amount a donor can contribute curtails
    that expression. Second, it costs the candidate money to
    produce political speech that will be heard. Without that
    money, candidates will be silenced; their ideas will not be
    considered by the voters at elections.
    These claims are doubly familiar to us because we have
    already considered some of Montana’s contribution limits
    and found they passed constitutional muster.1 Why consider
    them again? We must because, after Citizens United,2 what
    constitutes a sufficiently important state interest to justify
    limits on contributions has changed. Now, the prevention of
    1
    Mont. Right to Life Ass’n v. Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d 1085
    (9th Cir. 2003).
    2
    Citizens United v. Fed. Election Comm’n, 
    558 U.S. 310
    (2010).
    6                          LAIR V. BULLOCK
    quid pro quo corruption, or its appearance, is the only
    sufficiently important state interest to justify limits on
    campaign contributions. Before Citizens United, it was
    enough to show the state’s interest was simply to prevent the
    influence contributors of large sums have on politicians, or
    the appearance of such influence. No longer so.
    After a non-jury trial, the district court held Montana’s
    contribution limits were unconstitutional, and permanently
    enjoined their enforcement.3 But the district court applied
    neither Citizens United’s new formulation of what constitutes
    an important state interest nor the correct formulation of
    whether the state’s contribution limits are “closely drawn”4 to
    the state’s goal of preventing quid pro quo corruption or its
    appearance. To allow Montana’s political contribution limits
    to be tested under the new and more restrictive standard of
    Citizens United, and the correct “closely drawn” test, we
    reverse and remand for proceedings consistent with this
    opinion.
    I.
    A.
    Since 1994, Montana has limited how much individuals,
    political action committees, and political-party-affiliated
    committees are allowed to contribute to candidates for state
    3
    We granted a stay of that injunction, pending determination of this
    appeal. Lair v. Bullock, 
    697 F.3d 1200
    , 1202 (9th Cir. 2012).
    4
    A “closely drawn” test is one that ensures the state’s contribution limits
    are not lower than needed to accomplish the state’s goal of preventing
    quid pro quo corruption or its appearance.
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                                 7
    office. See Mont. Code Ann. § 13-37-216; Lair v. Bullock,
    
    697 F.3d 1200
    , 1201 (9th Cir. 2012) (“Lair I”). By statute,
    individuals and political action committees (“PACs”) can
    contribute up to $500 total to two candidates who filed jointly
    and are running together for the offices of governor and
    lieutenant governor, $250 to candidates running for other
    statewide offices, and $130 to candidates running for any
    other state public office, including candidates for the state
    senate and the state house of representatives. Mont. Code
    Ann. § 13-37-216(1)(a) (“Individual/PAC Limits”). These
    amounts are adjusted for inflation using the Consumer Price
    Index as a marker. Mont. Code Ann. § 13-37-216(4)(a). The
    current limits are $650, $320, and $170, respectively. Mont.
    Admin. R. § 44.10.338(1).
    Political parties and their affiliated committees can
    contribute more than can individuals. Montana treats all
    committees that are affiliated with a political party as one
    entity.5 Mont. Code Ann. § 13-37-216(3). A political party
    or its party-affiliated committees can contribute, in the
    aggregate, up to $18,000 to two candidates running together
    for the offices of governor and lieutenant governor, $6,500 to
    candidates running for other statewide offices, $2,600 to
    candidates for public service commissioner, $1,050 to
    candidates for state senate, and $650 to candidates running
    for any other state public office, including the state house of
    representatives. Mont. Code Ann. § 13-37-216(3) (“Party
    Limits”). These amounts are also adjusted for inflation using
    5
    The statute defines political parties as “any political organization that
    was represented on the official ballot at the most recent gubernatorial
    election.” Mont. Code Ann. § 13-37-216(3). Donations that come from
    the political party itself and from political committees affiliated with that
    party are subject to one aggregate limit. 
    Id. 8 LAIR
    V. BULLOCK
    the Consumer Price Index, and the current limits are $23,350,
    $8,450, $3,350, $1,350, and $850 respectively. Mont.
    Admin. R. § 44.10.338(2).
    Appellees are individuals, PACs, and party-affiliated
    committees (together, “Lair”) that challenge these restrictions
    as unconstitutional burdens on their freedom of speech under
    the federal Constitution’s First Amendment. Intervenors are
    Rick Hill, a 2012 candidate for governor, Hill’s campaign
    treasurer, and a committee associated with the Hill campaign
    (together, “Hill Campaign”). The Hill Campaign supports
    Lair’s challenge. Appellants are the Attorney General of the
    State of Montana, Montana’s Commissioner of Political
    Practices, and a county attorney, each sued in their official
    capacity (together, “Montana”).
    B.
    The district court held a non-jury trial in September 2012
    and shortly after issued findings of fact and conclusions of
    law. The district court concluded Montana’s Individual/PAC
    Limits and Party Limits were unconstitutional under the
    federal Constitution’s First Amendment and permanently
    enjoined their enforcement. The district court’s decision
    turned on our prior case addressing the constitutionality of
    Montana’s contribution limits and a Supreme Court case that
    followed. Montana has appealed that decision. Because our
    decision today relies in large part on the chronology of those
    prior cases, as well as subsequent cases, we discuss them in
    chronological order.
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                         9
    1. Montana Right to Life Association v. Eddleman,
    
    343 F.3d 1085
    (9th Cir. 2003).
    The story begins with our opinion in Montana Right to
    Life Ass’n v. Eddleman, 
    343 F.3d 1085
    (9th Cir. 2003), upon
    whose continued validity this appeal turns. There, the district
    court conducted a non-jury trial on the constitutionality of the
    Individual/PAC Limits and found those limits were
    constitutional under Buckley v. Valeo, 
    424 U.S. 1
    (1976), and
    its progeny. See Montana Right to Life Assoc. v. Eddleman,
    96-165-BLG-JDS, 
    2000 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 23161
    , at *3 (D.
    Mont. Sept. 19, 2000). We affirmed. We first set out the
    Supreme Court’s framework for addressing campaign
    contribution limits per Buckley, the Court’s foundational
    opinion on what governmental limitations of campaign
    finance violate the free speech rights guaranteed by the First
    Amendment. 
    Eddleman, 343 F.3d at 1090
    –92. In Buckley,
    the Supreme Court struck down limitations on how much
    candidates could spend on their campaigns, but upheld
    limitations on how much donors could give to candidates’
    campaigns. 
    Id. at 1090.
    Central to the Supreme Court’s
    decision validating contribution limits was its finding of the
    minimal effect those contribution limits had on individuals’
    First Amendment free speech rights: “A limitation upon the
    amount that any one person or group may contribute to a
    candidate or political committee entails only a marginal
    restriction upon the contributor’s ability to engage in free
    communication.” 
    Id. (emphasis omitted)
    (quoting 
    Buckley, 424 U.S. at 20
    ). Per the Supreme Court, a contribution
    “serves as a general expression of support for the candidate
    and his views, but does not communicate the underlying basis
    for the support.” 
    Id. (quoting Buckley,
    424 U.S. at 21). For
    that reason, a contribution limitation “involves little direct
    restraint on [the contributor’s] political communication, for
    10                         LAIR V. BULLOCK
    it permits the symbolic expression of support evidenced by a
    contribution but does not in any way infringe the
    contributor’s freedom to discuss candidates and issues.” 
    Id. (quoting Buckley,
    424 U.S. at 21). The Supreme Court
    therefore did not apply the “strict scrutiny” doctrine to
    contribution limits. 
    Id. at 1091.6
    Instead, the Court explained
    that contribution limits will be upheld “if the State
    demonstrates a sufficiently important interest and employs a
    means closely drawn to avoid unnecessary abridgment of
    associational freedoms.” 
    Id. (quoting Buckley,
    424 U.S. at
    25).
    We noted in Eddleman that the Supreme Court reaffirmed
    Buckley in Nixon v. Shrink Missouri Gov’t PAC, 
    528 U.S. 377
    (2000). 
    Eddleman, 343 F.3d at 1091
    . We synthesized those
    two cases to create a test for challenges to contribution limits:
    [S]tate campaign contribution limits will be
    upheld if (1) there is adequate evidence that
    the limitation furthers a sufficiently important
    state interest, and (2) if the limits are “closely
    drawn”—i.e., if they (a) focus narrowly on the
    state’s interest, (b) leave the contributor free
    to affiliate with a candidate, and (c) allow the
    candidate to amass sufficient resources to
    wage an effective campaign.
    6
    “Strict scrutiny” is the most demanding test that the First Amendment
    requires to test governmental regulation of speech for its constitutionality.
    It requires the governmental regulation serve “a compelling government
    interest and [be] narrowly drawn to serve that interest.” Brown v. Entm’t
    Merchants Ass’n, 
    131 S. Ct. 2729
    , 2738 (2011).
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                         11
    
    Eddleman, 343 F.3d at 1092
    . In conducting this “closely
    drawn” tailoring analysis, courts must be “mindful that the
    dollar amounts employed to prevent corruption should be
    upheld unless they are ‘so radical in effect as to render
    political association ineffective, drive the sound of a
    candidate’s voice beyond the level of notice, and render
    contributions pointless.’” 
    Id. at 1094
    (quoting Shrink
    
    Missouri, 528 U.S. at 397
    ). “[W]e look at all dollars likely to
    be forthcoming in a campaign, rather than the isolated
    contribution, and we also consider factors such as [1] whether
    the candidate can look elsewhere for money, [2] the
    percentage of contributions that are affected, [3] the total cost
    of the campaign, and [4] how much money each candidate
    would lose.” 
    Id. (internal citations
    omitted).
    In Eddleman, we identified Montana’s asserted
    “important state interest” as “preventing corruption or the
    appearance of corruption.” 
    Id. at 1092.
    We explained that a
    “state’s interest in preventing corruption or the appearance of
    corruption is not confined to instances of bribery of public
    officials, but extends ‘to the broader threat from politicians
    too compliant with the wishes of large contributors.’” 
    Id. (quoting Shrink
    Missouri, 528 U.S. at 389
    ). We affirmed the
    district court’s finding that Montana carried its burden to
    show that latter interest: the threat of large contributors
    affecting over-compliant politicians. 
    Id. at 1092–93;
    see also
    Eddleman, 
    2000 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 23161
    , at *6–8, *11–12
    (finding Montana had shown an important state interest in
    combating “influence”). Neither we nor the district court
    relied on a finding that Montana showed quid pro quo
    corruption or its appearance. See 
    Eddleman, 343 F.3d at 1092
    –93; Eddleman, 
    2000 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 23161
    , at *6–8,
    *11–12. We also held the Individual/PAC Limits were
    12                    LAIR V. BULLOCK
    “closely drawn” under this newly minted standard. 
    Id. at 1093–96.
    2. Randall v. Sorrell, 
    548 U.S. 230
    (2006).
    The Supreme Court decided Randall v. Sorrell, 
    548 U.S. 230
    (2006), after our opinion in Eddleman. That case
    addressed the constitutionality of Vermont’s campaign
    contribution limits. 
    Id. at 236.
    Like Montana, Vermont
    limited contributions by individuals, PACs, and political
    parties to candidates for state office. 
    Id. at 238–39.
    The
    Supreme Court found the contribution limits violated First
    Amendment free speech rights and were unconstitutional. 
    Id. at 262–63.
    But no single opinion garnered a majority of the
    justices. Justice Breyer wrote the plurality opinion, which
    Chief Justice Roberts and Justice Alito joined in relevant part.
    
    Id. at 246–53.
    The plurality outlined a new two-part, multi-
    factor “closely drawn” test for restrictions on contributions.
    Under that test, the reviewing court first should identify if
    there are any “danger signs” that the restrictions on
    contributions prevent candidates from amassing the resources
    necessary to be heard or put challengers at a disadvantage vis-
    a-vis incumbents. 
    Id. at 249–52.
    The plurality found four
    “danger signs” in Vermont’s contribution limits: “(1) The
    limits are set per election cycle, rather than divided between
    primary and general elections; (2) the limits apply to
    contributions from political parties; (3) the limits are the
    lowest in the Nation; and (4) the limits are below those we
    have previously upheld.” 
    Id. at 268
    (Thomas, J., concurring)
    (listing the plurality’s “danger signs”); see also 
    id. at 249–53
    (plurality op.); Lair 
    I, 697 F.3d at 1208
    –10. The plurality
    held, if such danger signs exist, then the court must determine
    whether the limits are “closely drawn.” 
    Randall, 548 U.S. at 249
    , 253.
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                        13
    The plurality looked to “five sets of considerations” to
    determine whether the statute was closely drawn: (1) whether
    the “contribution limits will significantly restrict the amount
    of funding available for challengers to run competitive
    campaigns”; (2) whether “political parties [must] abide by
    exactly the same low contribution limits that apply to other
    contributors”; (3) whether “volunteer services” are considered
    contributions that would count toward the limit; (4) whether
    the “contribution limits are . . . adjusted for inflation”; and
    (5) “any special justification that might warrant a contribution
    limit so low or so restrictive.” 
    Id. at 253–62;
    Lair 
    I, 697 F.3d at 1210
    . The plurality found each factor weighed against the
    contribution limits’ constitutionality and held the limits
    violated First Amendment free speech rights. 
    Randall, 548 U.S. at 262
    .
    Justice Thomas, joined by Justice Scalia, concurred in the
    decision to strike down Vermont’s contribution limits. 
    Id. at 265
    (Thomas, J., concurring in the judgment). But Justice
    Thomas expressly disagreed with the plurality’s “rationale for
    striking down that statute.” 
    Id. Instead, he
    would overrule
    Buckley and its progeny because “Buckley provides
    insufficient protection to political speech.” 
    Id. at 266.
    He
    noted “[t]he illegitimacy of Buckley is . . . underscored by the
    continuing inability of the Court (and the plurality here) to
    apply Buckley in a coherent and principled fashion.” 
    Id. Justice Kennedy
    concurred “only in the judgment” in a
    separate opinion that expressed skepticism of Buckley and its
    progeny’s viability. 
    Id. at 264–65
    (Kennedy, J., concurring
    in the judgment).
    14                    LAIR V. BULLOCK
    3. Lair’s Challenge in the District Court: Lair v. Murry,
    
    903 F. Supp. 2d 1077
    (D. Mont. 2012).
    Lair now challenges the Individual/PAC Limits, which
    the Ninth Circuit upheld in Eddleman, and the Party Limits,
    which were not at issue in Eddleman. After a non-jury trial,
    the district court issued a brief order, without any analysis.
    It found the Individual/PAC Limits and Party Limits
    unconstitutional and enjoined their enforcement. Seven days
    later, the district court issued its findings of fact and
    conclusions of law. Lair v. Murry, 
    903 F. Supp. 2d 1077
    (D.
    Mont. 2012). The district court concluded it was not bound
    by the Ninth Circuit’s decision in Eddleman because the
    Supreme Court’s “closely drawn” analysis in Randall
    abrogated both Eddleman’s “closely drawn” analysis and
    Eddleman’s ultimate holding that the Individual/PAC Limits
    are constitutional. 
    Id. at 1086–89.
    Unbound by Eddleman,
    the district court then proceeded to analyze Montana’s
    Individual/PAC Limits and Party Limits under the Randall
    plurality’s standard. The court first “assum[ed] that the State
    of Montana has a ‘sufficiently important interest’ in setting
    contribution limits.” 
    Id. at 1089
    (quoting 
    Randall, 548 U.S. at 247
    ). The court then applied the Randall plurality’s two-
    part, multi-factor “closely drawn” analysis to the facts
    presented at the bench trial and found Montana’s limits were
    not closely drawn. 
    Id. at 1089
    –93. The district court
    therefore permanently enjoined Montana from enforcing the
    Individual/PAC and Party Limits. 
    Id. at 1093–94.
    4. Emergency Motion in the Ninth Circuit to Stay: Lair
    v. Bullock, 
    697 F.3d 1200
    (9th Cir. 2012).
    Montana filed in the Ninth Circuit an emergency motion
    to stay the district court’s injunction. Lair I, 697 F.3d at
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                       15
    1203. As a part of its analysis, our motions panel was
    required to determine whether Montana “made a strong
    showing that [it] is likely to succeed on the merits” of its
    appeal. 
    Id. (quoting Nken
    v. Holder, 
    556 U.S. 418
    , 434
    (2009)). The panel concluded Montana made that showing
    because, contrary to what the district court had stated, the
    Supreme Court’s decision in Randall did not abrogate the
    Ninth Circuit’s opinion upholding the Individual/PAC Limits
    in Eddleman. To that end, the panel applied the Supreme
    Court’s test from Marks v. United States, 
    430 U.S. 188
    (1977), to determine whether Randall had a binding majority
    opinion. 
    Id. at 1204–06.
    That test asks whether, in a
    fractured Supreme Court decision, “one opinion can be
    meaningfully regarded as narrower than another and can
    represent a common denominator of the Court’s reasoning.”
    
    Id. at 1205
    (quoting United States v. Rodriguez–Preciado,
    
    399 F.3d 1118
    , 1140 (9th Cir. 2005)). The panel held that
    Justice Breyer’s plurality opinion could not represent a
    “common denominator” with Justice Thomas’s concurring
    opinion because Justices Thomas and Scalia would strike
    down Buckley and its progeny in their entirety rather than
    apply Buckley, as did Justice Breyer’s plurality. 
    Id. As a
    result, there was no majority, controlling opinion in Randall:
    “The only binding aspect of Randall . . . is its judgment,
    striking down the Vermont contribution limit statute as
    unconstitutional.” 
    Id. at 1206.
    The motions panel therefore
    held Montana was likely to succeed on the merits of its
    appeal and, after addressing the other stay factors, stayed the
    district court’s permanent injunction pending a decision by a
    merits panel. 
    Id. at 1215–16.
    The case then came before us.
    16                    LAIR V. BULLOCK
    II.
    We review for abuse of discretion a district court’s
    decision to issue a permanent injunction. Gathright v. City of
    Portland, 
    439 F.3d 573
    , 576 (9th Cir. 2006). Under that
    standard, we review legal conclusions de novo. Brown v.
    California DOT, 
    321 F.3d 1217
    , 1221 (9th Cir. 2003). We
    review the district court’s findings of fact for clear error, but
    review the application of law to those facts de novo on free
    speech issues. Id.; see also La Quinta Worldwide LLC v.
    Q.R.T.M., S.A. de C.V., 
    762 F.3d 867
    , 879 (9th Cir. 2014) (“If
    the district court identified and applied the correct legal rule
    to the relief requested, we will reverse [a permanent
    injunction] only if the court’s decision resulted from a factual
    finding that was illogical, implausible, or without support in
    inferences that may be drawn from the facts in the record.”
    (citation omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted)).
    The most important standard for this case comes from our
    en banc decision in Miller v. Gammie, 
    335 F.3d 889
    (9th Cir.
    2003) (en banc). Gammie explained that three-judge panels
    are normally bound by the decisions of prior three-judge
    panels. 
    Id. at 892–93.
    But “where the reasoning or theory of
    our prior circuit authority is clearly irreconcilable with the
    reasoning or theory of intervening higher authority, a
    three-judge panel should consider itself bound by the later
    and controlling authority, and should reject the prior circuit
    opinion as having been effectively overruled.” 
    Id. at 893.
    A.
    The central question in this appeal is what parts of
    Eddleman, if any, remain good law in this circuit. Lair
    contends the district court was not bound to apply
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                       17
    Eddleman’s “closely drawn” analysis or to follow
    Eddleman’s holding that the Individual/PAC Limits are
    constitutional. Lair makes two arguments in support:
    (1) Citizens United abrogated Eddleman’s “important state
    interest” analysis because, after Citizens United, a state may
    no longer justify limits on political contributions as a means
    to prevent politicians too compliant with the interests of
    contributors of large sums—only quid pro quo corruption or
    its appearance can justify contribution limits; and
    (2) Randall’s two-part, multi-factor “closely drawn” test,
    which evaluates various “danger signs” and case-specific
    factors, abrogated Eddleman’s “closely drawn” test, which
    analyzes (a) whether the contribution limits narrowly combat
    quid pro quo corruption or its appearance, (b) whether
    contributors are able to associate with the candidate in ways
    other than donating money, and (c) whether the candidate is
    able to amass sufficient resources to wage an effective
    campaign. We address each argument in turn.
    1. Citizens United abrogated Eddleman’s “important
    state interest” analysis.
    Lair argues the Supreme Court’s decision in Citizens
    United v. Federal Election Commission, 
    558 U.S. 310
    (2010),
    and by extension McCutcheon v. Federal Election
    Commision, 
    134 S. Ct. 1434
    (2014), abrogated Eddleman’s
    “important state interest” analysis; therefore, Eddleman is no
    longer binding precedent on the point of what constitutes an
    “important state interest” sufficient to limit political speech
    through contribution limitations. The Supreme Court has
    long held that preventing “corruption or the appearance of
    corruption” is the only valid interest that supports limits on
    campaign contributions. See, e.g., Shrink 
    Missouri, 528 U.S. at 388
    –89. But what constitutes “corruption” has been open
    18                    LAIR V. BULLOCK
    to debate. Buckley held that “corruption” includes quid pro
    quo arrangements or the appearance thereof. 
    Id. (explaining Buckley).
    The Supreme Court in Shrink Missouri defined
    “corruption” more broadly, explaining that “corruption” is
    “not confined to bribery of public officials, but extend[s] to
    the broader threat from politicians too compliant with the
    wishes of large contributors.” 
    Id. at 389.
    To that end, the
    government can “constitutionally address the power of money
    ‘to influence governmental action’ in ways less ‘blatant and
    specific’ than bribery.” 
    Id. (quoting Buckley,
    424 U.S. at 28).
    In Eddleman, the district court and the Ninth Circuit
    relied on Shrink Missouri’s broader definition of corruption
    to find Montana had shown an “important state interest.” In
    that regard, the district court found Montana provided
    sufficient evidence that “money results in improper influence
    or the appearance thereof.” Eddleman, 2000 U.S. Dist.
    LEXIS 23161, at *7 (emphasis added). The district court
    expressly relied on Shrink Missouri’s holding that the valid
    corruption interest is “not confined to bribery of public
    officials, but extend[s] to the broader threat from politicians
    too compliant with the wishes of large contributions.” 
    Id. at *9
    (quoting Shrink 
    Missouri, 528 U.S. at 389
    ); see also 
    id. at *6–7,
    *11–12 (reiterating the district court was relying on an
    “influence” standard). On appeal, we also relied on the same
    broader definition of “corruption” in affirming the district
    court. See 
    Eddleman, 343 F.3d at 1092
    –93.
    The Supreme Court has since clarified what qualifies as
    “corruption” under the “important state interest” analysis. In
    Citizens United, the Court explained that “[w]hen Buckley
    identified a sufficiently important governmental interest in
    preventing corruption or the appearance of corruption, that
    interest was limited to quid pro quo corruption.” Citizens
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                       19
    
    United, 558 U.S. at 359
    (emphasis added). The Court
    rejected the broader “influence” standard: “Reliance on a
    ‘generic favoritism or influence theory . . . is at odds with
    standard First Amendment analyses because it is unbounded
    and susceptible to no limiting principle.’” 
    Id. (alteration in
    original) (emphasis added) (quoting McConnell v. Fed.
    Election Comm’n, 
    540 U.S. 93
    , 296 (2003) (Kennedy, J.,
    concurring)). We have already recognized that Citizens
    United “narrowed the scope of the anti-corruption rationale
    to cover quid pro quo corruption only, as opposed to money
    spent to obtain influence over or access to elected officials.”
    Thalheimer v. City of San Diego, 
    645 F.3d 1109
    , 1119 (9th
    Cir. 2011) (quoting Long Beach Area Chamber of Commerce
    v. City of Long Beach, 
    603 F.3d 684
    , 694 n.5 (9th Cir. 2010))
    (internal quotation marks omitted). Because Eddleman relied
    on a state’s interest in combating “influence,” whereas
    Citizens United narrowed the analysis to include quid pro quo
    corruption but to exclude the state’s interest in combating
    “influence,” Citizens United abrogated Eddleman’s
    “important state interest” analysis. See 
    Gammie, 335 F.3d at 893
    . Eddleman’s holding that the Individual/PAC Limits are
    constitutional is no longer binding on this panel or courts of
    the Ninth Circuit because that holding relied on a state
    interest analysis now made invalid by Citizens United. We
    must now follow Citizens United’s narrower analysis:
    “corruption” means only quid pro quo corruption, or its
    appearance.
    2. Randall did not abrogate Eddleman’s “closely drawn”
    analysis.
    Lair also reprises the argument that the Supreme Court
    abrogated Eddleman’s “closely drawn” analysis in Randall
    when a plurality outlined a different “closely drawn” analysis,
    20                    LAIR V. BULLOCK
    and the district court’s reliance on the Randall plurality was
    therefore not legal error. This argument is foreclosed by
    Gammie because of our motions panel decision. The motions
    panel in Lair I explicitly held that Randall did not contain a
    majority opinion capable of abrogating Eddleman. Lair 
    I, 697 F.3d at 1204
    (“Randall is not binding authority because
    there was no opinion of the Court.”); 
    id. at 1206
    (“The only
    binding aspect of Randall . . . is its judgment, striking down
    the Vermont contribution limit statute as unconstitutional.”);
    
    id. (“Since Randall
    is otherwise only persuasive, in this
    context it could not have altered the law as previously
    dictated by such cases as Buckley and Shrink Missouri, the
    law we expressly relied upon in Eddleman.”). Lair contended
    at oral argument that a motions panel’s decision cannot bind
    a merits panel, and as a result we are not bound by the
    motions panel’s analysis in this case. Not so. We have held
    that motions panels can issue published decisions. See
    Haggard v. Curry, 
    631 F.3d 931
    , 933 n.1 (9th Cir. 2010);
    Pearson v. Muntz, 
    606 F.3d 606
    , 608 n.2 (9th Cir. 2010); see
    also General Order 6.3(g)(3)(ii); Circuit Rule 36-1. Under
    Gammie, we are bound by a prior three-judge panel’s
    published opinions, 
    Gammie, 335 F.3d at 892
    –93, and a
    motions panel’s published opinion binds future panels the
    same as does a merits panel’s published opinion, see Circuit
    Rule 36-1 (“A written, reasoned disposition of a case or
    motion which is designated as an opinion [under the Ninth
    Circuit’s criteria for publication] is an OPINION of the
    Court. . . . All opinions are published . . . . As used in this
    rule, the term PUBLICATION means to make a disposition
    available to legal publishing companies to be reported and
    cited.” (emphasis added)). In any event, the Lair I panel was
    not the first one to hold that no opinion in Randall carried a
    majority. Another panel arrived at that same conclusion in
    2011. See 
    Thalheimer, 645 F.3d at 1127
    n.5. We can hold
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                       21
    Eddleman was abrogated only if “the reasoning or theory” of
    Eddleman “is clearly irreconcilable with the reasoning or
    theory of . . . later and controlling authority.” 
    Gammie, 335 F.3d at 893
    (emphasis added). With no majority opinion,
    Randall cannot serve as the requisite “controlling authority”
    capable of abrogating our precedent. See 
    Thalheimer, 645 F.3d at 1127
    n.5.
    B.
    Where does this leave us? We hold today the district
    court was incorrect to find Randall’s “closely drawn” analysis
    abrogated Eddleman’s “closely drawn” analysis, because
    there simply was no binding Randall decision on that point.
    But we also hold that Citizens United did abrogate Eddleman
    because Eddleman relied on a now-invalid “important state
    interest”—combating influence, not just preventing quid pro
    quo corruption or its appearance. Because Eddleman relied
    on a now-invalid state interest, its ultimate holding that the
    Individual/PAC Limits are constitutional is abrogated. But
    Citizens United left untouched Eddelman’s formulation of the
    overall framework for determining whether contribution
    limits are constitutional; it simply narrowed what constitutes
    an “important state interest.” Eddleman’s framework is
    otherwise still sound, and the test remains the same going
    forward:
    [S]tate campaign contribution limits will be
    upheld if (1) there is adequate evidence that
    the limitation furthers a sufficiently important
    state interest, and (2) if the limits are “closely
    drawn”—i.e., if they (a) focus narrowly on the
    state’s interest, (b) leave the contributor free
    to affiliate with a candidate, and (c) allow the
    22                         LAIR V. BULLOCK
    candidate to amass sufficient resources to
    wage an effective campaign.
    
    Eddleman, 343 F.3d at 1092
    . As a result, the district court’s
    decision to apply Randall’s “closely drawn” analysis to the
    Individual/PAC Limits and the Party Limits was legal error.
    The district court therefore abused its discretion when it
    entered a permanent injunction, and we remand for the
    district court to apply the correct standard.7
    We provide some instruction on remand. The district
    court here assumed Montana had shown an “important state
    interest” but did not identify what that interest was. But it is
    difficult to address whether contribution limits further the
    state’s asserted interest, and whether the limits are “closely
    drawn” to that interest, unless we know exactly what that
    interest is. See, e.g., 
    McCutcheon, 134 S. Ct. at 1445
    (“[W]e
    7
    At oral argument, Lair asked us to review the record independently to
    determine whether Montana’s contribution limits are valid. Though we
    have recognized our review in First Amendment cases is more rigorous
    than other cases, we still give some deference to the district court’s factual
    findings. See Newton v. Nat’l Broad. Co., 
    930 F.2d 662
    , 670 (9th Cir.
    1990) (“[W]e must simultaneously ensure the appropriate appellate
    protection of First Amendment values and still defer to the findings of the
    trier of fact.”); see also Planned Parenthood of Columbia/Willamette, Inc.
    v. Am. Coal. of Life Activists, 
    290 F.3d 1058
    , 1082 (9th Cir. 2002). We
    have no factual findings to review for either the “important state interest”
    prong, because the district court assumed Montana had shown an
    important state interest (without identifying what that interest was), or the
    correct Eddleman “closely drawn” analysis, because the district court
    applied the incorrect Randall “closely drawn” analysis. Further, the
    parties developed a record with a different “important state interest”
    standard in mind. Montana should have an opportunity to develop a
    record aimed at the new “important state interest” standard as well as the
    corresponding “closely drawn” analysis. We express no opinion on how
    the parties should supplement the current record if they so choose to do.
    LAIR V. BULLOCK                                 23
    must assess the fit between the stated governmental objective
    and the means selected to achieve that objective.”); 
    id. at 1456
    (“In the First Amendment context, fit matters.”). On
    remand, we instruct the district court either (1) to decide
    whether Montana has carried its burden in showing the
    contribution limits further a valid “important state interest”
    or, if the district court again assumes the state has carried its
    burden, (2) to identify expressly what interest the district
    court assumes exists. Doing so will ensure the district court
    and any reviewing courts will be able to evaluate whether the
    contribution limits are “closely drawn.”8
    8
    Intervenor Rick Hill was the Republican nominee for governor for the
    2012 election who received a $500,000 contribution from the Montana
    Republican Party during the few days the district court’s injunction was
    in effect. The Montana Commissioner of Political Practices opened an
    investigation into Hill for his receipt and use of the $500,000 donation.
    The Commissioner has stayed that investigation pending the outcome of
    this appeal.
    Hill intervened in this appeal after the Lair I panel vacated the district
    court’s injunction. Hill argues that if we reverse the district court and
    vacate the injunction against the enforcement of the Party Limits, as we
    do today, we should leave in place the district court’s order enjoining
    enforcement of those limits for the few days the injunction was in place.
    In effect, Hill asks this panel to enjoin Montana from prosecuting Hill for
    receiving the $500,000 donation while the district court’s permanent
    injunction was in place. This issue was not presented to the district court,
    as Hill intervened after the Lair I decision. Moreover, it is not clear there
    is a live dispute between Hill and Montana; indeed, a district court has
    already found Hill’s attempt to enjoin Montana from prosecuting him to
    be unripe because the threat of prosecution was too remote. See Order at
    13–14, Hill v. Motl, 6:13-cv-41-RKS (D. Mont. Oct. 18, 2013), ECF No.
    35. We therefore decline to grant the relief Hill requests.
    24                        LAIR V. BULLOCK
    III
    The district court applied the wrong legal standard prior
    to enjoining permanently the enforcement of Montana’s
    restrictions on campaign contributions by individuals, PACs,
    and political parties. We therefore reverse and remand for
    proceedings consistent with this opinion.9
    REVERSED AND REMANDED.
    9
    Because we reverse and remand, Lair’s renewed motion to lift our stay
    of the district court’s injunction and Montana’s motion to strike portions
    of Lair’s motion are denied as moot. We grant the Hill Campaign’s
    motion for judicial notice.