Union of Medical Marijuana Patients v. City of San Diego ( 2019 )


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  •         IN THE SUPREME COURT OF
    CALIFORNIA
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    Plaintiff and Appellant,
    v.
    CITY OF SAN DIEGO,
    Defendant and Respondent;
    CALIFORNIA COASTAL COMMISSION,
    Real Party in Interest.
    S238563
    Fourth Appellate District, Division One
    D068185
    San Diego County Superior Court
    37-2014-00013481-CU-TT-CTL
    August 19, 2019
    Chief Justice Cantil-Sakauye authored the opinion of the
    Court, in which Justices Chin, Corrigan, Liu, Cuéllar, Kruger
    and Groban concurred.
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    S238563
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    The California Environmental Quality Act, Public
    Resources Code sections 21000 et seq. (CEQA), applies to
    “projects,” a term defined by statute. In general, a project is an
    activity that (1) is undertaken or funded by, or subject to the
    approval of a public agency and (2) may cause “either a direct
    physical change in the environment, or a reasonably
    foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment.”
    (Pub. Res. Code, § 21065.)1 Although section 21065 supplies
    the definition of a project, another provision of CEQA, section
    21080, subdivision (a), can be interpreted to declare specified
    public agency activities, including the amendment of a zoning
    ordinance, to be a project as a matter of law, without regard to
    their potential for causing a physical change in the
    environment. In this matter, we must decide whether to adopt
    this interpretation of section 21080, which would prevail over
    section 21065 with respect to the specific public agency
    activities listed in section 21080.
    In 2014, the City of San Diego (City) adopted an
    ordinance authorizing the establishment of medical marijuana
    1
    Unless indicated otherwise, all further           statutory
    references are to the Public Resources Code.
    1
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    dispensaries and regulating their location and operation. The
    central provisions of this ordinance amended various City
    zoning regulations to specify where the newly established
    dispensaries may be located. Because the City found that
    adoption of the ordinance did not constitute a project for
    purposes of CEQA, it did not conduct any environmental
    review. Petitioner Union of Medical Marijuana Patients
    (UMMP) challenged the City’s failure to conduct CEQA review
    in a petition for writ of mandate, which was denied by the trial
    court.
    On appeal, UMMP argued (1) the amendment of a zoning
    ordinance, one of the public agency activities listed in section
    21080, is conclusively declared a project by that statute and
    (2) the City’s ordinance, in any event, satisfied the definition of
    a project under section 21065. The former argument was
    premised in part on Rominger v. County of Colusa (2014)
    
    229 Cal. App. 4th 690
    (Rominger), which relied on section 21080
    in concluding that a county’s approval of a tentative
    subdivision map, another activity listed in section 21080, was a
    project as a matter of law. Here, the Court of Appeal disagreed
    with Rominger, concluding that the amendment of a zoning
    ordinance is subject to the same statutory test as public agency
    activities not listed in section 21080. The court proceeded to
    find no error in the City’s conclusion that the ordinance was
    not a project because it did not have the potential to cause a
    physical change in the environment. We granted review to
    resolve the conflict between the two Courts of Appeal regarding
    the interpretation of section 21080.
    We agree with the Court of Appeal below that section
    21080 does not override the definition of project found in
    2
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    section 21065. Accordingly, the various activities listed in
    section 21080 must satisfy the requirements of section 21065
    before they are found to be a project for purposes of CEQA. On
    the other hand, we conclude that the Court of Appeal
    misapplied the test for determining whether a proposed
    activity has the potential to cause environmental change under
    section 21065, which was established in Muzzy Ranch Co. v.
    Solano County Airport Land Use Commission (2007) 
    41 Cal. 4th 372
    (Muzzy Ranch), and erred in affirming the City’s finding
    that adoption of the ordinance did not constitute a project. For
    that reason, we reverse and remand for further proceedings.
    I. FACTUAL AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    A. The City’s Medical Marijuana Ordinance
    Health and Safety Code section 11362.83, a provision of
    the Medical Marijuana Program (Health & Saf. Code,
    § 11362.7 et seq.), recognizes the authority of local
    governments to adopt ordinances regulating the “location,
    operation, or establishment of a medicinal cannabis
    cooperative or collective.” (Health & Saf. Code, § 11362.83,
    subd. (a); see Kirby v. County of Fresno (2015) 
    242 Cal. App. 4th 940
    , 956.) In 2014, the City enacted such a regulation, San
    Diego Ordinance No. O-20356 (Ordinance). The Ordinance
    amended a variety of City Municipal Code sections to authorize
    the establishment, and regulate the siting and operation of,
    “medical marijuana consumer cooperatives” (dispensaries),
    which were defined as “a facility where marijuana is
    transferred to qualified patients or primary caregivers in
    accordance with the Compassionate Use Act of 1996 and the
    Medical Marijuana Program Act.” (Ord., § 1.)
    3
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    The primary provisions of the Ordinance amended
    several of the City’s zoning regulations to cap the number of
    dispensaries and specify where in the City they could be
    located. Dispensaries were added to the list of permitted uses
    in two of the City’s six categories of commercial zones and two
    of the four categories of industrial zones (Ord., §§ 6, 7, 13, 15),
    and they were expressly excluded from open space,
    agricultural, and residential zones.          (Id., §§ 3, 4, 5.)
    Dispensaries were also added to the list of permitted uses in
    certain planned districts of the City. (Id., §§ 10, 11, 13.) The
    Ordinance placed an upper limit of four dispensaries in any
    single city council district and required a dispensary to be
    located more than 1,000 feet from certain sensitive uses, such
    as parks and schools, and more than 100 feet from a
    residential zone. (Id., § 8.) Regardless of location, the
    Ordinance required the grant of a conditional use permit for a
    dispensary’s operation. (Id., §§ 2, 6, 7, 8.)
    In addition to defining the location of dispensaries, the
    Ordinance imposed basic conditions on their operation, such as
    prohibiting the provision of medical consultation services,
    requiring particular lighting and security, defining permissible
    signage, and limiting hours of operation. (Ord., § 8.)
    Because the City contains nine city council districts, the
    Ordinance’s limit of four dispensaries per district permitted, in
    theory, the establishment of 36 dispensaries.          A study
    commissioned by the City, however, found that the other
    restrictions placed on the location of dispensaries by the
    Ordinance, such as the limitation to particular zoning districts
    and the minimum distance from sensitive uses, precluded the
    establishment of a dispensary entirely in one city council
    4
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    district and limited two other districts to three dispensaries
    each. This left a practical maximum of 30 dispensaries. City
    planning staff concluded that the actual number of
    dispensaries to be created “is very likely to be significantly
    less,” since “factors such as available units for rent, rental
    rates, overall demand for dispensaries, and proximity of
    potential sites to target markets would rule out some sites.”
    Because the City found CEQA inapplicable to the
    Ordinance’s enactment, it conducted no environmental review
    prior to its adoption.          The City’s finding explained its
    reasoning: “The . . . Ordinance is not subject to [CEQA] . . . , in
    that it is not a Project . . . . Adoption of the ordinance does not
    have the potential for resulting in either a direct physical
    change in the environment, or reasonably for[e]seeable indirect
    physical change in the environment. Future projects subject to
    the ordinance will require a discretionary permit and CEQA
    review, and will be analyzed at the appropriate time in
    accordance with CEQA.”
    B. This Litigation
    According to its President, UMMP is “a civil rights
    organization that is devoted to defending and asserting the
    rights of medical cannabis patients as well as promoting safe
    access to medical marijuana.”        Prior to adoption of the
    Ordinance, UMMP submitted two letters to the City Council
    objecting to the failure to conduct environmental review under
    CEQA. The letters argued that the Ordinance should have
    been found to be a project for purposes of CEQA because it had
    the potential to cause either a direct physical change in the
    environment or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical
    change. (§ 21065.) According to UMMP, adoption of the
    5
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Ordinance could affect the environment because (1) restrictions
    on the siting of dispensaries would require “thousands of
    patients to drive across the City” to obtain medical marijuana;
    (2) the City might prosecute and close existing, unpermitted
    marijuana dispensaries, causing medical marijuana users to
    engage in the “inherently agricultural practice” of growing
    their own marijuana; and (3) “the unique development impacts
    associated with [dispensaries] [would be] shifted to certain
    areas of the City and intensified due to the limit on the total
    number of [dispensaries].”
    After the City disregarded UMMP’s arguments and
    adopted the Ordinance without further environmental review,
    UMMP filed a petition for writ of mandate challenging the
    adoption of the Ordinance under CEQA. The trial court, in an
    extensive written minute order, rejected UMMP’s claims of the
    Ordinance’s potential for causing environmental change,
    concluding there was insufficient evidence in the record to
    support those claims.
    On appeal, UMMP repeated its argument that the
    Ordinance should have been considered a project as a result of
    its potential for physical change in the environment, but it
    raised the additional argument that the Ordinance should be
    deemed a project as a matter of law under section 21080, which
    states that CEQA “shall apply to discretionary projects
    proposed to be carried out or approved by public agencies,
    including, but not limited to, the enactment and amendment of
    zoning ordinances . . . .” (§ 21080, subd. (a).) In effect, UMMP
    argued, section 21080 classifies every zoning amendment as a
    project under CEQA, regardless of its potential for effecting
    environmental change. In a published opinion that will be
    6
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    discussed in more detail post, the Court of Appeal rejected both
    arguments. (Union of Medical Marijuana Patients, Inc. v. City
    of San Diego (2016) 4 Cal.App.5th 103, 116, 119-124
    (Marijuana Patients).)      In doing so, the court expressly
    disagreed    with    the     holding  of    
    Rominger, supra
    ,
    
    229 Cal. App. 4th 690
    , that section 21080 declares the specified
    public agency activities to be CEQA projects as a matter of law.
    (Rominger, at pp. 702-703; Marijuana Patients, at p. 118.)
    II. DISCUSSION
    A. Governing Law
    1. Statutory interpretation
    Statutory interpretation is “an issue of law, which we
    review de novo.” (United Riggers & Erectors, Inc. v. Coast Iron
    & Steel Co. (2018) 4 Cal.5th 1082, 1089.)
    Our overriding purpose in construing a provision of
    CEQA, as with any statute, is “to adopt the construction that
    best gives effect to the Legislature’s intended purpose.”
    (California Building Industry Assn. v. Bay Area Air Quality
    Management Dist. (2015) 
    62 Cal. 4th 369
    , 381 (Building
    Industry).) In determining that intended purpose, we follow
    “[s]ettled principles.” (Elk Hills Power, LLC v. Board of
    Equalization (2013) 
    57 Cal. 4th 593
    , 609 (Elk Hills).) “We
    consider first the words of a statute, as the most reliable
    indicator of legislative intent.” (Tuolumne Jobs & Small
    Business Alliance v. Superior Court (2014) 
    59 Cal. 4th 1029
    ,
    1037 (Tuolumne Jobs).) In doing so, we give the words “their
    usual and ordinary meaning,” viewed in the context of the
    statute as a whole. (Pineda v. Williams-Sonoma Stores, Inc.
    (2011) 
    51 Cal. 4th 524
    , 529.) As part of this process, “ ‘ “[every]
    7
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    statute should be construed with reference to the whole system
    of law of which it is a part so that all may be harmonized and
    have effect.” ’ ” (Elk Hills, at p. 610.)
    When the language of a statute is ambiguous — that is,
    when the words of the statute are susceptible to more than one
    reasonable meaning, given their usual and ordinary meaning
    and considered in the context of the statute as a whole — we
    consult other indicia of the Legislature’s intent, including such
    extrinsic aids as legislative history and public policy. (Ceja v.
    Rudolph & Sletten, Inc. (2013) 
    56 Cal. 4th 1113
    , 1119; Elk
    
    Hills, supra
    , 57 Cal.4th at pp. 609-610.) If there is no
    ambiguity, “ ‘ “ ‘we presume the Legislature meant what it said
    and the plain meaning of the statute governs.’ ” ’ ” (Ceja, at
    p. 1119.)
    In construing provisions of CEQA, two unique
    considerations apply. First, CEQA is implemented by an
    extensive series of administrative regulations promulgated by
    the Secretary of the Natural Resources Agency, ordinarily
    referred to as the “CEQA Guidelines.”2 (Guidelines, § 15000.)
    Through long practice, we “afford great weight to the
    Guidelines except when a provision is clearly unauthorized or
    erroneous under CEQA.” (Laurel Heights Improvement Assn.
    v. Regents of University of California (1988) 
    47 Cal. 3d 376
    , 391,
    fn. 2; see Building 
    Industry, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 381.)
    Second, from CEQA’s inception we have held that “the
    2
    We will cite and refer to CEQA’s implementing
    regulations, codified at title 14, division 6, chapter 3 of the
    California Code of Regulations, as the “Guidelines.”
    8
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Legislature intended . . . [C]EQA to be interpreted in such
    manner as to afford the fullest possible protection to the
    environment within the reasonable scope of the statutory
    language.” (Friends of Mammoth v. Board of Supervisors
    (1972) 
    8 Cal. 3d 247
    , 259; see Building Industry, at p. 381.)
    2. CEQA generally
    “CEQA was enacted to advance four related purposes: to
    (1) inform the government and public about a proposed
    activity’s potential environmental impacts; (2) identify ways to
    reduce, or avoid, environmental damage; (3) prevent
    environmental damage by requiring project changes via
    alternatives or mitigation measures when feasible; and
    (4) disclose to the public the rationale for governmental
    approval of a project that may significantly impact the
    environment.” (Building 
    Industry, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 382.)
    “CEQA embodies a central state policy to require state and
    local governmental entities to perform their duties ‘so that
    major consideration is given to preventing environmental
    damage.’ [Citations.] [¶] CEQA prescribes how governmental
    decisions will be made when public entities, including the state
    itself, are charged with approving, funding — or themselves
    undertaking — a project with significant effects on the
    environment.” (Friends of the Eel River v. North Coast
    Railroad Authority (2017) 3 Cal.5th 677, 711-712, italics
    omitted (Eel River).)
    “CEQA review is undertaken by a lead agency, defined as
    ‘the public agency which has the principal responsibility
    for carrying out or approving a project which may have a
    significant effect upon the environment.’ ” (Eel 
    River, supra
    ,
    3 Cal.5th at p. 712, quoting § 21067, italics omitted.)
    9
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    A putative lead agency’s implementation of CEQA proceeds by
    way of a multistep decision tree, which has been characterized
    as having three tiers. (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at
    p. 380.)   First, the agency must determine whether the
    proposed activity is subject to CEQA at all. Second, assuming
    CEQA is found to apply, the agency must decide whether the
    activity qualifies for one of the many exemptions that excuse
    otherwise covered activities from CEQA’s environmental
    review. Finally, assuming no applicable exemption, the agency
    must undertake environmental review of the activity, the third
    tier.3 (Muzzy Ranch, at pp. 380-381.) We examine the three-
    tier process in more detail below.
    CEQA’s applicability: When a public agency is asked to
    grant regulatory approval of a private activity or proposes to
    fund or undertake an activity on its own, the agency must first
    decide whether the proposed activity is subject to CEQA.
    (Guidelines, § 15060, subd. (c).) In practice, this requires the
    agency to conduct a preliminary review to determine whether
    the proposed activity constitutes a “project” for purposes of
    CEQA. (Tuolumne 
    Jobs, supra
    , 59 Cal.4th at p. 1037; see
    § 21065; Guidelines, § 15378, subd. (a) [both defining
    3
    In a very early CEQA case, No Oil, Inc. v. City of Los
    Angeles (1974) 
    13 Cal. 3d 68
    , we described the three tiers
    differently, disregarding the project step and dividing the third
    tier into two parts, the preparation of an initial study and, if
    required, an environmental impact report (EIR). (Id. at p. 74.)
    Because the initial study and EIR are both aspects of
    environmental review, we find the Muzzy Ranch
    characterization more helpful in understanding CEQA’s
    procedures.
    10
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    “project”].) If the proposed activity is found not to be a project,
    the agency may proceed without further regard to CEQA.4
    (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 380; Guidelines,
    § 15060, subd. (c)(3) [if a proposed activity does not qualify as a
    project, it “is not subject to CEQA”].)
    Exemption from environmental review: If the lead agency
    concludes it is faced with a project, it must then decide
    “whether the project is exempt from the CEQA review process
    under either a statutory exemption [citation] or a categorical
    exemption set forth in the CEQA Guidelines.” (Building
    
    Industry, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 382.)         The statutory
    exemptions, created by the Legislature, are found in section
    21080, subdivision (b). Among the most important exemptions
    is the first, for “[m]inisterial” projects, which are defined
    generally as projects whose approval does not require an
    agency to exercise discretion.       (§ 21080, subd. (b)(1);
    Guidelines, § 15369; see Sierra Club v. County of Sonoma
    (2017) 11 Cal.App.5th 11, 19-20 (Sierra Club).) The categorical
    exemptions, found in Guidelines sections 15300 through 15333,
    were promulgated by the Secretary for Natural Resources in
    response to the Legislature’s directive to develop “a list of
    4
    Courts have often labeled the project decision
    “jurisdictional” because it determines whether CEQA applies
    at all. (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 380; Davidon
    Homes v. City of San Jose (1997) 
    54 Cal. App. 4th 106
    , 112.)
    The term is inapposite because an agency’s jurisdiction over a
    proposed activity does not depend upon the application of
    CEQA. Nonetheless, its use conveys the preliminary nature of
    the project determination.
    11
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    classes of projects which have been determined not to have a
    significant effect on the environment.” (§ 21084, subd. (a);
    Guidelines, § 15354; see generally, Berkeley Hillside
    Preservation v. City of Berkeley (2015) 
    60 Cal. 4th 1086
    , 1100-
    1101 (Berkeley Hillside).) If the lead agency concludes a
    project is exempt from review, it must issue a notice of
    exemption citing the evidence on which it relied in reaching
    that conclusion. (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at pp. 380,
    386-387.) The agency may thereafter proceed without further
    consideration of CEQA.
    Environmental review: Environmental review is required
    under CEQA only if a public agency concludes that a proposed
    activity is a project and does not qualify for an exemption. In
    that case, the agency must first undertake an initial study to
    determine whether the project “may have a significant effect on
    the environment.” (Guidelines, § 15063, subd. (a); Friends of
    the College of San Mateo Gardens v. San Mateo County
    Community College Dist. (2016) 1 Cal.5th 937, 945 (San Mateo
    Gardens).) If the initial study finds no substantial evidence
    that the project may have a significant environmental effect,
    the lead agency must prepare a negative declaration, and
    environmental review ends. (§ 21080, subd. (c)(1); San Mateo
    Gardens, at p. 945.) If the initial study identifies potentially
    significant environmental effects but (1) those effects can be
    fully mitigated by changes in the project and (2) the project
    applicant agrees to incorporate those changes, the agency must
    prepare a mitigated negative declaration. This too ends CEQA
    review. (§ 21080, subd. (c)(2); San Mateo Gardens, at p. 945.)
    Finally, if the initial study finds substantial evidence that the
    project may have a significant environmental impact and a
    12
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    mitigated negative declaration is inappropriate, the lead
    agency must prepare and certify an environmental impact
    report before approving or proceeding with the project.
    (§ 21080, subd. (d); Building 
    Industry, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at
    p. 382.)
    3. The Court of Appeal’s decision
    At issue before the Court of Appeal was the first tier in
    the CEQA process, the determination by a putative lead
    agency whether a proposed activity constitutes a project. In
    particular, the court was asked to decide whether a public
    agency’s amendment of a zoning ordinance constitutes a
    project as a matter of law.
    As suggested ante, two separate provisions of the Public
    Resources Code are potentially relevant to this question.
    “Project” is defined in section 21065 as an activity
    (1) undertaken or funded by or requiring the approval of a
    public agency that (2) “may cause either a direct physical
    change in the environment, or a reasonably foreseeable
    indirect physical change in the environment.”5 (See Sunset
    5
    The full text of section 21065 follows:
    “ ‘Project’ means an activity which may cause either a
    direct physical change in the environment, or a reasonably
    foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment, and
    which is any of the following:
    “(a) An activity directly undertaken by any public agency.
    “(b) An activity undertaken by a person which is
    supported, in whole or in part, through contracts, grants,
    subsidies, loans, or other forms of assistance from one or more
    public agencies.
    13
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Sky Ranch Pilots Assn. v. County of Sacramento (2009)
    
    47 Cal. 4th 902
    , 907 (Sky Ranch Pilots).) The controversy
    arises because a related statute, section 21080, can be
    interpreted to override section 21065 with respect to the
    classification of zoning ordinance amendments and certain
    other public agency activities: “Except as otherwise provided
    in this division, this division shall apply to discretionary
    projects proposed to be carried out or approved by public
    agencies, including, but not limited to, the enactment and
    amendment of zoning ordinances, the issuance of zoning
    variances, the issuance of conditional use permits, and the
    approval of tentative subdivision maps unless the project is
    exempt from this division.” (§ 21080, subd. (a), italics added.)
    As UMMP argued, this language can be read to classify the
    various listed agency activities as “discretionary projects” in
    every case, regardless of their potential for bringing about a
    physical change in the environment.
    The Court of Appeal rejected UMMP’s argument that
    “any enactment of a zoning ordinance by a public agency
    necessarily constitutes a project.” (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    ,
    4 Cal.App.5th at p. 114.) The court began its analysis by
    concluding that section 21080’s listing of various local agency
    activities is ambiguous. As the court viewed it, the Legislature
    could have intended either “that the examples given . . . are
    illustrations of activities that are ‘discretionary projects
    “(c) An activity that involves the issuance to a person of a
    lease, permit, license, certificate, or other entitlement for use
    by one or more public agencies.”
    14
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    proposed to be carried out or approved by public agencies,’ or
    . . . are illustrations of activities ‘proposed to be carried out or
    approved by public agencies,’ but that not all such activities
    will qualify as ‘discretionary projects.’ ” (Marijuana Patients,
    at p. 115.) The court rejected the first reading on the basis of
    section 21065. It noted that section 21065 defines a project as
    having two characteristics, the potential to cause a physical
    change in the environment and the involvement of a public
    agency. To harmonize the “more specific provision” of section
    21065 with the “more general provision” of section 21080, the
    court held that the “most reasonable interpretation” of section
    21080, subdivision (a), is that the various listed public agency
    activities are examples of “ ‘[a]n activity directly undertaken by
    any public agency’ as set forth in section 21065, but that the
    enactment or amendment of a zoning ordinance will not
    constitute a CEQA project unless it also meets the second
    requirement in section 21065, namely that it ‘may cause either
    a direct physical change in the environment, or a reasonably
    foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment.’ ”
    (Marijuana Patients, at p. 116.)
    The court found support for its interpretation in
    Guidelines section 15378.       (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    ,
    4 Cal.App.5th at p. 116.) As noted above, the Guidelines are
    “afford[ed] great weight” in interpreting CEQA. (Building
    
    Industry, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 381.) In defining “project,”
    Guidelines section 15378, subdivision (a)(1) partially melds
    sections 21065 and 21080: “ ‘Project’ means the whole of an
    action, which has a potential for resulting in either a direct
    physical change in the environment, or a reasonably
    foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment, and
    15
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    that is any of the following: [¶] (1) An activity directly
    undertaken by any public agency including but not limited to
    public works construction and related activities[,] clearing or
    grading of land, improvements to existing public structures,
    enactment and amendment of zoning ordinances, and the
    adoption and amendment of local General Plans or elements
    thereof . . . .”6 Although Guidelines section 15378 includes an
    express reference to the enactment or amendment of a zoning
    ordinance, it classifies those activities merely as examples of
    “activit[ies] directly undertaken by any public agency.”
    (Id., subd. (a)(1).) The requirement that an activity have the
    potential to cause a change in the environment is classified by
    6
    The complete text of Guidelines section 15378,
    subdivision (a), is as follows:
    “ ‘Project’ means the whole of an action, which has a
    potential for resulting in either a direct physical change in the
    environment, or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical
    change in the environment, and that is any of the following:
    “(1) An activity directly undertaken by any public agency
    including but not limited to public works construction and
    related activities[,] clearing or grading of land, improvements
    to existing public structures, enactment and amendment of
    zoning ordinances, and the adoption and amendment of local
    General Plans or elements thereof pursuant to Government
    Code Sections 65100-65700.
    “(2) An activity undertaken by a person which is
    supported in whole or in part through public agency contracts,
    grants, subsidies, loans, or other forms of assistance from one
    or more public agencies.
    “(3) An activity involving the issuance to a person of a
    lease, permit, license, certificate, or other entitlement for use
    by one or more public agencies.”
    16
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Guidelines section 15378 as an independent element of
    “project,” applicable whether or not the activity is listed in
    section 21080. “Thus,” the Court of Appeal concluded, “under
    the CEQA Guidelines, the enactment and amendment of a
    zoning ordinance is a project only if that action also creates ‘a
    potential for resulting in either a direct physical change in the
    environment, or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical
    change in the environment.’ ” (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    , at
    p. 116.)
    The Court of Appeal rejected the contrary conclusion of
    
    Rominger, supra
    , 
    229 Cal. App. 4th 690
    , because that court’s
    “analysis ignores the definition of a project as set forth in
    CEQA and the CEQA Guidelines.” (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    ,
    4 Cal.App.5th at p. 118.) Rominger, in holding that a county’s
    approval of a tentative subdivision map constituted a project as
    a matter of law under section 21080, did not base its ruling on
    an analysis of the respective texts of sections 21065 and 21080.
    Rather, it looked to our observation in Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 
    41 Cal. 4th 372
    , that “[w]hether an activity constitutes a project
    subject to CEQA is a categorical question respecting whether
    the activity is of a general kind with which CEQA is concerned,
    without regard to whether the activity will actually have
    environmental impact.” (Id. at p. 381.) Taking this principle
    as its guide, Rominger concluded that “the Legislature has
    determined [in section 21080, subdivision (a)] that certain
    activities, including the approval of tentative subdivision
    maps, always have at least the potential to cause a direct
    physical change or a reasonably foreseeable indirect physical
    change in the environment.” (Rominger, at p. 702.) In
    reaching this conclusion, Rominger did not, as Marijuana
    17
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Patients rightly noted, take into account the language of
    section 21065 or otherwise attempt to reconcile the two
    statutes.
    Having held that the Ordinance was not a project unless
    it had the potential to cause a direct or reasonably foreseeable
    indirect physical change in the environment, as required by
    section 21065, the Court of Appeal proceeded to consider
    UMMP’s argument that the City erred in concluding that the
    Ordinance did not have that potential. (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    , 4 Cal.App.5th at p. 119.) UMMP effectively conceded
    that the Ordinance did not have the potential to cause a direct
    physical change (Marijuana Patients, at p. 113), but it
    contended, as noted above, that the Ordinance had the
    potential to cause various indirect effects, namely, increased
    traffic from patients driving to the new dispensaries, increased
    self-cultivation of marijuana, and changed patterns of urban
    development within the City. (Marijuana Patients, at p. 120.)
    After evaluating each of the claimed indirect effects
    individually, the court concluded that all were too speculative
    or lacking in evidentiary support in the administrative record
    to permit a finding that they were reasonably foreseeable, as
    required by section 21065. (Marijuana Patients, at pp. 120-
    124.) Finding no error in the City’s determination that CEQA
    was inapplicable, the Court of Appeal affirmed the trial court’s
    denial of a writ of mandate. (Marijuana Patients, at p. 124.)
    18
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    B. Whether Section 21080 Conclusively Declares
    the Amendment of a Zoning Ordinance To Be a
    CEQA “Project”
    We agree with the Court of Appeal that section 21080
    does not dictate the result here as a matter of law, and we
    agree for essentially the reasons cited by that court.7
    As the Court of Appeal concluded, section 21080’s
    statement that CEQA applies to “discretionary projects
    proposed to be carried out or approved by public agencies,”
    followed by its listing of the amendment of a zoning ordinance
    as an example, is ambiguous, at least when considered in
    isolation. It is unclear from the text of section 21080 whether
    the amendment of a zoning ordinance, as well as the other
    listed activities, are examples of “discretionary projects” to
    7
    The City urges us to dismiss this appeal as moot on the
    basis of Business and Professions Code section 26055,
    subdivision (h), enacted after we granted review (Stats. 2017,
    ch. 27, § 41), which exempts from CEQA a public agency’s
    enactment of any regulation that requires discretionary review
    of licenses to engage in “commercial cannabis activity.” The
    City does not argue that subdivision (h) applies retroactively to
    exempt the Ordinance from CEQA, and we offer no opinion on
    that issue. Instead, the City contends that UMMP can no
    longer be granted effective relief because the City could re-
    enact the Ordinance without environmental review. (See In re
    David B. (2017) 12 Cal.App.5th 633, 644 [a matter becomes
    moot if effective relief can no longer be granted].) We reject the
    argument because the trial court can still grant some of the
    relief requested by UMMP by vacating the City’s approval of
    the Ordinance, if such relief is appropriate. (See Save Tara v.
    City of West Hollywood (2008) 
    45 Cal. 4th 116
    , 127 [matter not
    moot because petitioner “can still be awarded the relief it
    seeks, an order that [the] [c]ity set aside its approvals”].)
    19
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    which CEQA does apply, or whether they are examples of
    discretionary activities “proposed to be carried out or approved
    by public agencies” to which CEQA might apply.
    When interpreting the provisions of CEQA, however, we
    do not consider them in isolation, but in the context of the
    entire statute. (Tuolumne 
    Jobs, supra
    , 
    59 Cal. 4th 1029
    , 1037.)
    Within CEQA, “project” is not merely a word; it is a defined
    term. “ ‘If the Legislature has provided an express definition of
    a term, that definition ordinarily is binding on the courts.’ ”
    (State ex rel. Dept. of California Highway Patrol v. Superior
    Court (2015) 
    60 Cal. 4th 1002
    , 1011.) As a corollary of this
    principle, “[t]erms defined by the statute in which they are
    found will be presumed to have been used in the sense of the
    definition.” (Faulder v. Mendocino County Bd. of Supervisors
    (2006) 
    144 Cal. App. 4th 1362
    , 1371.) In the case of CEQA, this
    judicial presumption is legislatively mandated. Section 21060
    expressly states that CEQA’s definitions “govern the
    construction of this division.”
    Applying this principle of interpretation, we must
    assume that in using the defined term “project” in section
    21080, the Legislature intended it to bear the definition
    assigned in section 21065. Accordingly, the first portion of
    section 21080, subdivision (a) — “Except as otherwise provided
    in this division, this division shall apply to discretionary
    projects proposed to be carried out or approved by public
    agencies” — must be understood to mean that CEQA applies to
    activities proposed to be carried out or approved by a public
    agency that both (1) are discretionary and (2) satisfy the
    requirements for a project under section 21065. Although all of
    the exemplary activities listed in section 21080 necessarily
    20
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    satisfy section 21065’s requirement of public agency
    involvement, there is no reason to conclude that they
    invariably satisfy its requirement of the potential to cause a
    physical change in the environment. For that reason, we must
    interpret the listing of public agency activities in section
    21080, subdivision (a), merely to offer generic examples of the
    type of “discretionary [activities] proposed to be carried out or
    approved by public agencies” to which CEQA could apply.
    CEQA does apply only to activities that qualify as projects —
    in other words, to specific examples of the listed activities that
    have the potential to cause, directly or indirectly, a physical
    change in the environment.
    UMMP has not suggested any reason why the ordinary
    presumption requiring a defined term to carry that meaning
    should not apply in these circumstances, and we aware of none.
    As noted, the definition in section 21065 is legislatively
    mandated to apply to section 21080, as well as to the
    remainder of CEQA. (§ 21060.) Nothing in section 21080
    suggests that the Legislature intended to exempt the listed
    activities from satisfying the requirements for a project. On
    the contrary, its use of the defined term “project,” rather than a
    generic term such as “activity,” suggests that the Legislature
    intended to incorporate the defined concept. Finally, using the
    defined meaning does not result in an absurdity or otherwise
    impair the enforcement of CEQA. It simply confirms that the
    public agency activities listed in section 21080 must satisfy the
    same requirement applicable to nonlisted activities before they
    are subject to CEQA, the requirement of potential for physical
    change in the environment. (See § 21065.)
    21
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Because the plain language of section 21080 is
    unambiguous when evaluated in context, it is unnecessary for
    us to consider other indicia of meaning. Yet it is worth noting
    that other available indicia support our interpretation. First
    and most important, as the Court of Appeal recognized, our
    interpretation is consistent with that of the Secretary for
    Natural Resources in the Guidelines, to which we must “afford
    great weight.” (Building 
    Industry, supra
    , 62 Cal.4th at p. 381.)
    In defining “project,” the Guidelines impose the requirement of
    a potential for causing a physical change in the environment
    on all public agency activities. (Guidelines, § 15378, subd. (a).)
    Although Guidelines section 15378 mentions enactment and
    amendment of a zoning ordinance, activities also mentioned in
    section 21080, it cites those activities merely as examples of
    activities “directly undertaken by any public agency” (§ 15378,
    subd. (a)(1)), a usage equivalent to our understanding of the
    significance of the list of activities in section 21080. Guidelines
    section 15378 does not suggest that the enactment or
    amendment of a zoning ordinance constitutes a project without
    regard to its potential for causing environmental change.
    Policy considerations favor this interpretation as well.
    Finding a proposed activity subject to CEQA can lead to
    additional costs, in time and money, for both a public agency
    and a private applicant. (Sky Ranch 
    Pilots, supra
    , 
    47 Cal. 4th 902
    , 909.) As section 21065 recognizes, there is no reason to
    impose those costs by subjecting a proposed activity to CEQA if
    the activity does not have the potential to affect the
    environment. Declaring all of the activities listed in section
    21080 to be a project would necessarily subject them to these
    22
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    incremental costs without regard to their potential for causing
    an environmental impact.
    The legislative history of sections 21065 and 21080 also
    supports our conclusion. As originally enacted, section 21065
    defined “project” merely as an activity undertaken, financed or
    subject to approval by a government agency, using the text
    now contained in subdivisions (a) through (c) of the statute.
    (Stats. 1972, ch. 1154, § 1, pp. 2271-2272.) The statute did not
    contain the further requirement that a proposed activity have
    the potential to cause environmental change. At that time,
    section 21080, subdivision (a) was materially identical to its
    present text. (Stats. 1972, ch. 1154, § 1, p. 2272.) Accordingly,
    the local government activities listed in section 21080
    necessarily constituted examples of “projects,” since all land
    use regulations and approvals constituted projects under the
    version of section 21065 in effect at the time.8 In 1994, section
    21065 was amended to its present form, limiting “projects” to
    governmental activities that posed the possibility of an
    environmental effect. (Stats. 1994, ch. 1230, § 4, p. 7682.) The
    purpose of the amendment was to “prohibit CEQA from being
    used to delay or kill [activities] that have no direct or indirect
    effect on the environment” by narrowing the definition of
    project. (Assem. Natural Resources Com., Republican Analysis
    of Sen. Bill No. 749 (1993-1994 Reg. Sess.) Aug. 22, 1994, p. 1.)
    8
    The significance of the list in section 21080 was
    presumably to classify the activities as “discretionary” projects,
    which made them ineligible for the ministerial exemption
    under section 21080, subdivision (b).
    23
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    To continue to treat all of the activities listed in section 21080
    as “projects” following this amendment of section 21065,
    regardless of their potential for producing an environmental
    change, would entirely defeat the narrowing purpose of the
    amendment, at least as far as the listed activities are
    concerned.
    The Rominger court, in holding that section 21080
    declared all tentative subdivision map approvals to be projects,
    explained its reasoning in part by noting, “Presumably no one
    goes to the trouble of subdividing property just for the sake of
    the process; the goal of subdividing property is to make that
    property more useable. And with the potential for greater or
    different use comes the potential for environmental impacts
    from that use.” (
    Rominger, supra
    , 229 Cal.App.4th at p. 702.)
    Even assuming this to be true with respect to tentative
    subdivision maps, the rationale supports Rominger’s statutory
    interpretation only if the same logic also holds for the other
    public agency activities listed in section 21080. It does not. As
    amici curiae League of California Cities and California State
    Association of Counties point out, many types of local
    government regulations are labeled “zoning ordinances,”
    covering a wide range of regulatory subjects. Whether the
    enactment or amendment of a regulation denominated a
    “zoning ordinance” carries the potential for environmental
    change depends entirely on the nature of the particular
    regulation.    A potential environmental effect cannot be
    presumed solely from the label applied to it. The same point
    applies with equal force to the two other activities listed in
    section 21080, zoning variances and conditional use permits.
    Neither can reliably be presumed to have the potential to
    24
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    create environmental change. To subject such activities to
    CEQA as a matter of course serves no obvious public policy
    purpose.
    It might be objected that this interpretation of section
    21080, subdivision (a), strips the provision of its legal
    significance, rendering it surplusage (e.g., Berkeley 
    Hillside, supra
    , 
    60 Cal. 4th 1086
    , 1097 [we should avoid “interpretations
    that render any language surplusage”]), but that argument
    misunderstands the significance of section 21080 within
    CEQA. Section 21080, subdivision (a) establishes that CEQA
    applies to activities proposed to be carried out or approved by a
    public agency that are (1) discretionary and (2) satisfy the
    requirements for a project. This limitation to activities
    requiring the exercise of agency discretion is not otherwise
    reflected in CEQA, at least as stated in the affirmative. The
    only other statutory reference occurs by negative inference
    from the exemption for ministerial activities, which are defined
    as activities not requiring an agency’s exercise of discretion.
    (Sierra 
    Club, supra
    , 11 Cal.App.5th at pp. 19-20.) Not by
    coincidence, this exemption is contained in subdivision (b)(1) of
    section 21080, the subdivision immediately following the
    statute’s reference to “discretionary projects.”9 Because it
    establishes the requirement of discretionary agency action,
    section 21080, subdivision (a) retains a legal significance
    9
    As originally enacted, section 21080 consisted of the
    present text of subdivision (a) and a single exemption, the
    ministerial exemption, which was codified as subdivision (b).
    (Stats. 1972, ch. 1154, § 1, p. 2272.)
    25
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    independent of its purported classification of the agency
    activities it specifies.
    UMMP relies on 
    Rominger, supra
    , 
    229 Cal. App. 4th 690
    ,
    in arguing that our decision in Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 
    41 Cal. 4th 372
    , dictates the conclusion that section 21080 declares the
    listed public agency activities to be a project as a matter of law.
    Again, we do not agree. Muzzy Ranch did not address, or even
    purport to consider, the question before us. Because the
    activity of concern in Muzzy Ranch was a local agency’s
    approval of a land use compatibility plan (Muzzy Ranch, at
    p. 378), an activity not mentioned in section 21080, we had no
    reason to construe that statute, and the decision mentions
    section 21080 only once, in a general discussion of statutory
    exemptions. (Muzzy Ranch, at p. 380.) Muzzy Ranch is in no
    way binding in the present circumstances.10
    We recognize that the Muzzy Ranch observation cited by
    Rominger, “[w]hether an activity constitutes a project subject
    to CEQA is a categorical question respecting whether the
    activity is of a general kind with which CEQA is concerned,”
    may be interpreted to suggest that certain types of activities
    can be considered projects as a matter of law. (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 381, italics added.) Yet the decision
    does not so state. Other than its particular choice of phrase,
    10
    For reasons stated in the text, we disapprove Rominger v.
    County of 
    Colusa, supra
    , 
    229 Cal. App. 4th 690
    , to the extent it
    holds that the various public agency activities listed in section
    21080, subdivision (a), are conclusively declared to be CEQA
    projects.
    26
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    there is no indication in Muzzy Ranch that the description of
    the project decision as a “categorical question” was intended to
    imply that entire categories of local governmental activities
    may be deemed projects, without consideration of their
    individual substance. Instead, as discussed further below, that
    characterization was intended to convey the relatively abstract
    and preliminary nature of the project decision.
    C. Whether the Ordinance Is the Sort of Activity
    That May Cause a Direct or Indirect Physical
    Change in the Environment
    Because we conclude that section 21080 does not declare
    every zoning amendment to be a CEQA project as a matter of
    law, we must, like the Court of Appeal, review the City’s
    conclusion that the Ordinance did not qualify as a project
    under section 21065. On this issue, we part ways with the
    Court of Appeal.
    The governing decision is Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    ,
    
    41 Cal. 4th 372
    . The lead agency in Muzzy Ranch was a Solano
    County commission (commission) established to regulate land
    uses associated with county airports. (Id. at p. 378.) The
    activity of concern was the commission’s adoption of the Travis
    Air Force Base land use compatibility plan (TALUP), which set
    out model land use policies for portions of the county
    neighboring the military air base. The policies were designed
    “ ‘to ensure that future land uses in the surrounding area will
    be compatible with the realistically foreseeable, ultimate
    potential aircraft activity at the base.’ ” (Ibid.) The Muzzy
    Ranch plaintiff was particularly concerned with the TALUP’s
    model policy for a 600-square-mile area exposed to low altitude
    overflights by aircraft using the base. The policy, which did
    27
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    not apply to developed areas within existing city limits,
    “purport[ed] to restrict residential development within [areas
    subject to overflights] to levels currently permitted under
    existing general plans and zoning regulations. Specifically, the
    TALUP state[d] that ‘[n]o amendment of a general plan land
    use policy or land use map designation and no change of zoning
    shall be permitted if such amendment or change would allow
    more dwelling units in the affected area than are allowed
    under current zoning.’ ” (Muzzy Ranch, at p. 379.)
    In approving the TALUP, the commission initially
    adopted a resolution finding that the approval was not a
    project under CEQA because the TALUP would not cause a
    direct or reasonably foreseeable indirect physical change in the
    environment. (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 378.)
    Five days later, the commission also adopted a CEQA notice of
    exemption, finding that the TALUP’s adoption “created ‘[n]o
    possibility of significant effect on the environment.’ ” (Id. at
    p. 379.)    Muzzy Ranch reviewed both the commission’s
    conclusion that TALUP’s approval was not a project and its
    finding that, if a project, the approval was exempt from
    environmental review.
    As noted above, we began our discussion of the TALUP’s
    status as a project by observing, “Whether an activity
    constitutes a project subject to CEQA is a categorical question
    respecting whether the activity is of a general kind with which
    CEQA is concerned, without regard to whether the activity will
    actually have environmental impact.” (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    ,
    41 Cal.4th at p. 381.) Because there was no question the
    commission’s approval satisfied section 21065’s requirement of
    public agency involvement, we addressed only “whether the
    28
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Commission’s adoption of the TALUP is the sort of activity
    that may cause a direct physical change or a reasonably
    foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment.”
    (Muzzy Ranch, at p. 382.)
    On this issue, the plaintiff contended that the TALUP’s
    limitation of development in the relevant area to existing
    approved levels could cause intensified development in other
    parts of the county, a phenomenon referred to as “displaced
    development.” (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 382.)
    The commission responded that such effects were “inherently
    too speculative to be considered a reasonably foreseeable effect
    of an airport land use compatibility plan.” (Ibid.) We began
    our analysis by recognizing that “no California locality is
    immune from the legal and practical necessity to expand
    housing due to increasing population pressures.” (Id. at
    p. 383.) Given this expectation of growth, we reasoned that a
    local agency “may reasonably anticipate that its placing a ban
    on development in one area of a jurisdiction may have the
    consequence, notwithstanding existing zoning or land use
    planning, of displacing development to other areas of the
    jurisdiction.” (Ibid.) On that reasoning alone, we held that the
    TALUP’s approval might cause a reasonably foreseeable
    indirect physical change in the environment and therefore
    constituted a project. (Ibid.)
    Our analysis of the commission’s notice of exemption was
    quite different.      In finding the TALUP exempt from
    environmental review, the commission relied on the
    “commonsense” exemption of the Guidelines, which applies
    “[w]here it can be seen with certainty that there is no
    possibility that the activity in question may have a significant
    29
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    effect on the environment.” (Guidelines, § 15061, subd. (b)(3).)
    In contrast to the decision under section 21065, which we
    treated as an issue of law, Muzzy Ranch held that the TALUP’s
    eligibility for the commonsense exemption “presents an issue of
    fact, and . . . the agency invoking the exemption has the
    burden of demonstrating it applies.” (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    ,
    41 Cal.4th at p. 386.) Applying this standard of review, we
    held that the commission correctly found that the
    commonsense exemption applied, notwithstanding our
    conclusion that the TALUP’s possible environmental impact
    was sufficient to require its treatment as a project. As we
    reasoned, “When approving a project that is consistent with a
    community plan, general plan, or zoning ordinance for which
    an environmental impact report already has been certified, a
    public agency need examine only those environmental effects
    that are peculiar to the project and were not analyzed or were
    insufficiently analyzed in the prior environmental impact
    report.” (Id. at pp. 388-389.) In restricting growth in areas of
    the county affected by overflights, the TALUP merely
    incorporated limits already imposed by existing general plan
    and zoning provisions. (Id. at p. 389.) As a result, “any
    potential displacement the TALUP might otherwise have
    effected already has been caused by the existing land use
    policies and zoning regulations to which the TALUP is keyed.”
    (Ibid.)
    Under Muzzy Ranch, a local agency’s task in
    determining whether a proposed activity is a project is to
    consider the potential environmental effects of undertaking the
    type of activity proposed, “without regard to whether the
    activity will actually have environmental impact.” (Muzzy
    30
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 381.) Applying this test, our
    discussion of the TALUP’s status as a project was brief and
    straightforward. We made no reference to any evidence in the
    record bearing on the actual impact of the TALUP on
    development in Solano County. Instead, the decision restricted
    itself to an examination of the potential effects that could
    reasonably be anticipated from adopting a land use policy of
    the type contained in the TALUP. Reasoning that population
    growth and resulting development can be anticipated in
    California counties, and that a policy capping development in
    one area might be expected to divert this growth to other areas
    of a county, we found the TALUP to be the sort of activity that
    could result in a physical change in the environment. (Id. at
    p. 383.)
    To encapsulate the Muzzy Ranch test, a proposed activity
    is a CEQA project if, by its general nature, the activity is
    capable of causing a direct or reasonably foreseeable indirect
    physical change in the environment. This determination is
    made without considering whether, under the specific
    circumstances in which the proposed activity will be carried
    out, these potential effects will actually occur. Consistent with
    this standard, a “reasonably foreseeable” indirect physical
    change is one that the activity is capable, at least in theory, of
    causing. (Guidelines, § 15064, subd. (d)(3).) Conversely, an
    indirect effect is not reasonably foreseeable if there is no causal
    connection between the proposed activity and the suggested
    environmental change or if the postulated causal mechanism
    connecting the activity and the effect is so attenuated as to be
    “speculative.” (Ibid.; e.g., City of Livermore v. Local Agency
    Formation Com. (1986) 
    184 Cal. App. 3d 531
    , 541-543
    31
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    [amendment of local agency formation commission guidelines
    to permit urban development outside cities constitutes a
    project]; Kaufman & Broad-South Bay, Inc. v. Morgan Hill
    Unified School Dist. (1992) 
    9 Cal. App. 4th 464
    , 474 [creation of
    a Mello-Roos district for the purposes of funding an anticipated
    future school system in an undeveloped portion of the city not a
    project because “the causal link between the [formation of the
    district] and the alleged environmental impact (construction of
    new schools) is missing”].)
    The somewhat abstract nature of the project decision is
    appropriate to its preliminary role in CEQA’s three-tiered
    decision tree. Determination of an activity’s status as a project
    occurs at the inception of agency action, presumably before any
    formal inquiry has been made into the actual environmental
    impact of the activity. The question posed at that point in the
    CEQA analysis is not whether the activity will affect the
    environment, or what those effects might be, but whether the
    activity’s potential for causing environmental change is
    sufficient to justify the further inquiry into its actual effects
    that will follow from the application of CEQA. If the proposed
    activity is the sort that is capable of causing direct or
    reasonably foreseeable indirect effects on the environment,
    some type of environmental review is justified, and the activity
    must be deemed a project. CEQA analysis is then undertaken
    to evaluate the likelihood and nature of the project’s
    environmental impacts, in order to determine the extent of
    environmental review required.
    Only as so understood is the nature of the project
    decision consistent with the scope of appellate review. As
    noted, we evaluate that decision as a question of law, rather
    32
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    than fact, to be decided on “undisputed data in the record on
    appeal.” (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 382; see San
    Mateo 
    Gardens, supra
    , 1 Cal.5th at p. 952 [whether an activity
    constitutes a project under CEQA is “a predominantly legal
    question”].) Given the often disputed nature of the real-world
    environmental impacts of a typical project and the discretion
    invested in an agency to make related factual findings, the
    environmental effects of a proposed activity can be reviewed as
    a matter of law only if the analysis is restricted to the effects
    that the activity is capable of causing, rather than those it
    actually will cause if implemented.
    Our understanding of Muzzy Ranch is therefore
    somewhat different from Rominger’s understanding, which
    UMMP urges here. UMMP argues that Muzzy Ranch’s
    reference to “a categorical question respecting whether the
    activity is of a general kind with which CEQA is concerned”
    (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 381) makes it
    unnecessary to consider the substance of a proposed activity.
    Instead, UMMP argues, it is sufficient to know the nature of
    the agency action involved — for example, approval of a zoning
    amendment or of a permit for private land development. On
    the contrary, as our discussion demonstrates, Muzzy Ranch
    clearly requires a public agency to consider the substance of a
    proposed activity in determining its status as a project. What
    need not be considered is the activity’s actual impact in the
    specific circumstances presented. As Muzzy Ranch noted, the
    analysis is conducted “without regard to whether the activity
    will actually have environmental impact.”         (Ibid., italics
    added.)      Similarly irrelevant is the specific type of
    governmental action required, so long as the proposed activity
    33
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    satisfies one of the criteria for governmental involvement
    established in section 21065, subdivisions (a) through (c).11
    Applying the foregoing test, we conclude the City erred in
    determining that the adoption of the Ordinance was not a
    project.    Prior to the Ordinance, no medical marijuana
    dispensaries were legally permitted to operate in the City. The
    Ordinance therefore amended the City’s zoning regulations to
    permit the establishment of a sizable number of retail
    businesses of an entirely new type. Although inconsistency
    with prior permissible land uses is not necessary for an activity
    to constitute a project (see Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at
    p. 388), establishment of these new businesses is capable of
    causing indirect physical changes in the environment. At a
    minimum, such a policy change could foreseeably result in new
    retail construction to accommodate the businesses.             In
    addition, as UMMP suggests, the establishment of new stores
    could cause a citywide change in patterns of vehicle traffic
    from the businesses’ customers, employees, and suppliers. The
    necessary causal connection between the Ordinance and these
    effects is present because adoption of the Ordinance was “an
    essential step culminating in action [the establishment of new
    11
    The characterization of the project decision in Muzzy
    Ranch as a “categorical question” derives from the description
    of the relevant question as whether “the activity is of a general
    kind with which CEQA is concerned.” (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    ,
    41 Cal.4th at p. 381, italics added.) Given the demonstrated
    potential for confusion in using the term, however, we now
    refrain from characterizing the project decision as a
    “categorical question.” This will also avoid any confusion with
    “categorical exemptions,” an unrelated concept.
    34
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    businesses] which may affect the environment.” (Fullerton
    Joint Union High School Dist. v. State Board of Education
    (1982) 
    32 Cal. 3d 779
    , 797 (Fullerton).) The theoretical effects
    mentioned above are sufficiently plausible to raise the
    possibility that the Ordinance “may cause . . . a reasonably
    foreseeable indirect physical change in the environment”
    (§ 21065), warranting its consideration as a project.
    Although UMMP raised these potential effects in the
    Court of Appeal, as well as other, less plausible effects, it
    framed them in the context of the specific circumstances it
    claimed to prevail in the City, hypothesizing various City-
    specific reasons why the Ordinance might indirectly produce
    physical changes.       The Court of Appeal understandably
    rejected these specific impacts as speculative, given the
    absence of any evidence to support their occurrence. For the
    reasons discussed above, however, both UMMP’s framing of
    the arguments in this manner and the court’s rejection of them
    put the cart before the horse. The likely actual impact of an
    activity is not at issue in determining its status as a project.12
    12
    The Court of Appeal misunderstood its task in reviewing
    the City’s decision. Although the court noted Muzzy Ranch’s
    characterization of the project decision as requiring a
    “categorical approach,” it ultimately described the required
    analysis in a very different way. Quoting Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.
    v. City of Turlock (2006) 
    138 Cal. App. 4th 273
    , 290-291, the
    court held, “ ‘The correct analysis of the relevant physical
    change in the environment involves a comparison of (1) the
    physical conditions that existed at the time the Ordinance was
    proposed or approved with (2) forecasts of reasonably
    foreseeable future conditions that may occur as a result of the
    adoption of the Ordinance.’ ” (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    ,
    35
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    Further, at this stage of the CEQA process virtually any
    postulated indirect environmental effect will be “speculative”
    in a legal sense — that is, unsupported by evidence in the
    record (e.g., People v. Murtishaw (2011) 
    51 Cal. 4th 574
    , 591
    [“defendant’s claim . . . is entirely speculative, for he points to
    nothing in the record that supports his claim”]) — because
    little or no factual record will have been developed. A lack of
    support in the record, however, does not prevent an agency
    from considering a possible environmental effect at this initial
    stage of CEQA analysis. Instead, such an effect may be
    rejected as speculative only if, as noted above, the postulated
    causal mechanism underlying its occurrence is tenuous.
    Finally, the City argues, in passing, that environmental
    review would be more appropriate at the time each dispensary
    applies for a conditional use permit, which is required by the
    Ordinance for operation of a dispensary.          We withhold
    comment on the significance of this argument for tiers two and
    three of the CEQA decision tree, but we note that the
    requirement of individual use permits does not prevent the
    Ordinance from being considered a project if section 21065 is
    otherwise satisfied. As we observed in 
    Fullerton, supra
    ,
    4 Cal.App.5th 103, 120.) The test quoted from Wal-Mart,
    however, was not intended to govern the project decision but
    instead concerned the application of Guidelines section 15183,
    which permits “a streamlined environmental review for
    qualifying projects that are consistent with a general plan for
    which an EIR was certified.” 
    (Wal-Mart, supra
    , at p. 286; see
    
    id. at pp.
    286-288.) The project decision never arose in Wal-
    Mart because the court assumed that the activity under
    consideration was a project. (Id. at p. 286.)
    36
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    32 Cal.3d at page 795, a local agency “cannot argue” that
    approval of a regulation is not a project “merely because
    further decisions must be made” before the activities directly
    causing environmental change will occur. The City argues that
    too little is known about the environmental impact of the
    Ordinance to permit effective environmental review at this
    stage, but that argument conflates the various tiers of CEQA
    review. (Muzzy 
    Ranch, supra
    , 41 Cal.4th at p. 383 [“That
    further governmental decisions need to be made before a land
    use measure’s actual environmental impacts can be
    determined with precision does not necessarily prevent the
    measure from qualifying as a project”].) At this initial tier in
    the CEQA process, the potential of the Ordinance to cause an
    environmental change requires the City to treat it as a project
    and proceed to the next steps of the CEQA analysis.
    It ultimately might prove true that, in the context of the
    City, the actual environmental effects of the Ordinance will be
    minimal. It is possible, as the Court of Appeal assumed, that
    the City’s commercial vacancy rate is sufficient to provide
    retail space for the new businesses without the need for
    expansion. (Marijuana 
    Patients, supra
    , 4 Cal.App.5th at
    p. 123 [dispensaries “could simply cho[o]se to locate in
    available commercial space in an existing building”].) It is also
    possible, as UMMP suggests, that a significant number of
    unlicensed businesses selling medical marijuana already exist
    in the City and that the newly licensed businesses will simply
    displace them. Rather than causing increased traffic and other
    activity, the net effect of this substitution might be little or no
    additional environmental burden on the City. All of these
    factors can be explored in the second and, if warranted, third
    37
    UNION OF MEDICAL MARIJUANA PATIENTS, INC.,
    v. CITY OF SAN DIEGO
    Opinion of the Court by Cantil-Sakauye, C. J.
    tiers of the CEQA process. As to those tiers, we are in no
    position to offer, and do not express, an opinion on the
    applicability of the various exemptions or, alternatively, the
    appropriate level of environmental review.
    III. DISPOSITION
    The judgment of the Court of Appeal is reversed. That
    court is directed to vacate the order of the superior court
    denying a writ of mandate and to remand the case to the trial
    court for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    CANTIL-SAKAUYE, C. J.
    We Concur:
    CHIN, J.
    CORRIGAN, J.
    LIU, J.
    CUÉLLAR, J.
    KRUGER, J.
    GROBAN, J.
    38
    See next page for addresses and telephone numbers for counsel who argued in Supreme Court.
    Name of Opinion Union of Medical Marijuana Patients, Inc. v. City of San Diego
    __________________________________________________________________________________
    Unpublished Opinion
    Original Appeal
    Original Proceeding
    Review Granted XXX 4 Cal.App.5th 103
    Rehearing Granted
    __________________________________________________________________________________
    Opinion No. S238563
    Date Filed: August 19, 2019
    __________________________________________________________________________________
    Court: Superior
    County: San Diego
    Judge: Joel R. Wohlfeil
    __________________________________________________________________________________
    Counsel:
    Channel Law Group, Jamie T. Hall and Julian Killen Quattlebaum for Plaintiff and Appellant.
    Jan I. Goldsmith and Mara W. Elliott, City Attorneys, George F. Schaefer, Assistant City Attorney, Glenn
    T. Spitzer and M. Travis Phelps, Deputy City Attorneys, for Defendant and Respondent.
    Best Best & Krieger, Michelle Ouellette, Charity Schiller and Sarah E. Owsowitz for League of California
    Cities and California State Association of Counties as Amici Curiae on behalf of Defendant and
    Respondent.
    No appearance for Real Party in Interest.
    Counsel who argued in Supreme Court (not intended for publication with opinion):
    Jamie T. Hall
    Channel Law Group
    8383 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 750
    Beverly Hills, CA 90211
    (310) 982-1760
    Julian K. Quattlebaum
    Channel Law Group
    8383 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 750
    Beverly Hills, CA 90211
    (310) 982-1760
    M. Travis Phelps
    Deputy City Attorney
    Office of the City Attorney
    1200 Third Avenue, Suite 1100
    San Diego, CA 92101-4100
    (619) 533-5800