Pico Neighborhood Association v. City of Santa Monica ( 2023 )


Menu:
  •         IN THE SUPREME COURT OF
    CALIFORNIA
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION et al.,
    Plaintiffs and Respondents,
    v.
    CITY OF SANTA MONICA,
    Defendant and Appellant.
    S263972
    Second Appellate District, Division Eight
    B295935
    Los Angeles County Superior Court
    BC616804
    August 24, 2023
    Justice Evans authored the opinion of the Court, in which
    Chief Justice Guerrero and Justices Corrigan, Liu, Kruger,
    Groban, and Jenkins concurred.
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v.
    CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    S263972
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    Local governments make many of the most important
    decisions that affect Californians’ everyday lives. They build
    and repair public streets, they define a neighborhood’s character
    through planning and zoning, and they decide where to place
    public parks and where to allow restaurants, bars, and liquor
    stores to operate. They make decisions about public transit and
    decide where to site industries that cause pollution. They
    provide police services and determine the level and type of
    policing and other first responder services, they educate our
    children, they operate or regulate local utilities, and they have
    the power to levy taxes. The people exercise control over these
    choices by electing representatives to city councils, county
    boards, boards of education, community college boards, special
    district boards, and other bodies.
    The genius of representative government, in all its guises,
    is that it is responsive to the people it serves. But its ability to
    be responsive is dependent in a fundamental way on the
    assumption that each person’s vote is of equal weight. While we
    often take that assumption for granted, sometimes the actual
    value of one’s vote can vary based on the way the voting is
    structured. For example, a minority of voters may find itself
    unable to elect even a single member of a multimember body
    when the members are elected at large, but would be able to
    1
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    elect one or more representatives if the members were elected
    by districts or by another lawful method.
    In such circumstances, the voting rules may effectively
    decide whether a group of voters can have a voice in the myriad
    decisions made by local representatives. With a seat at the
    table, the voters’ representative can have a say in the topics and
    terms of the debate on the many crucial decisions that local
    governments make. Without a seat, though, the voters’ voice
    may be effectively muted or silenced and their needs and
    preferences may be ignored or given less weight.
    To address this problem, federal and state law restrict at-
    large voting systems from unfairly submerging or diluting the
    votes of a minority in the majority’s greater numbers. Section 2
    of the federal Voting Rights Act of 1965 (
    52 U.S.C. § 10301
    ;
    VRA) prohibits states and their political subdivisions from using
    an at-large method of election when such a scheme would “result
    in unequal access to the electoral process” based on protected
    characteristics of race, color, or membership in a language
    minority group. (Thornburg v. Gingles (1986) 
    478 U.S. 30
    , 46
    (Gingles).) In an effort to provide greater protections to
    California voters than those provided by the VRA, the
    Legislature subsequently enacted the California Voting Rights
    Act of 2001 (Elec. Code, § 14025 et seq.; CVRA). The CVRA
    prohibits an at-large method of election “that impairs the ability
    of a protected class” (id., § 14027) — as defined by race, color, or
    language minority group (id., § 14026, subd. (d)) — “to elect
    candidates of its choice or its ability to influence the outcome of
    an election, as a result of the dilution or the abridgment of the
    rights of voters who are members of a protected class” (id.,
    § 14027).
    2
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    Both statutory schemes require a plaintiff to show racially
    polarized voting — i.e., that the protected class members vote as
    a politically cohesive unit, while the majority votes “sufficiently
    as a bloc usually to defeat” the protected class’s preferred
    candidate. (Gingles, 
    supra,
     478 U.S. at p. 56; accord, Elec. Code,
    §§ 14026, subd. (e) [providing that “racially polarized voting”
    may be established by “[t]he methodologies for estimating group
    voting behavior as approved in applicable federal cases to
    enforce the [VRA]”], 14028, subd. (a).) The CVRA, however,
    “make[s] it easier to successfully challenge at-large districts” in
    two significant respects.        (Assem. Com. on Elections,
    Reapportionment and Const. Amends., Analysis of Sen. Bill
    No. 976 (2001–2002 Reg. Sess.) as amended Mar. 18, 2002, p. 4.)
    First, the CVRA, unlike the VRA, does not require a plaintiff to
    demonstrate that the members of the protected class would be
    geographically compact or concentrated enough to constitute a
    majority of a hypothetical single-member district. (Compare
    Elec. Code, § 14028, subd. (c) with Gingles, at p. 50.) Second,
    while a plaintiff can succeed under either the VRA or the CVRA
    by showing that the at-large method dilutes a protected class’s
    voting power by impairing its ability “to elect” candidates of its
    choice (
    52 U.S.C. § 10301
    (b); Elec. Code, § 14027), only the
    CVRA allows the plaintiff to prevail by demonstrating, in the
    alternative, that the at-large method impairs the class’s ability
    “to influence the outcome of an election.” (Elec. Code, § 14027,
    italics added; cf. League of United Latin American Citizens v.
    Perry (2006) 
    548 U.S. 399
    , 446 (LULAC) (plur. opn. of Kennedy,
    J.) [“The failure to create an influence district . . . does not run
    afoul of § 2 of the [VRA]”].)
    In this case, the trial court determined that because of
    racially polarized voting, the at-large method of electing city
    3
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    council members in the City of Santa Monica (the City) diluted
    Latino voters’ ability to elect their preferred candidates and
    their ability to influence the outcome of council elections, as
    compared to several alternative electoral methods, including
    district elections. To remedy this violation, the trial court
    ordered the City to promptly conduct a special election using a
    seven-district map drafted by an expert who testified at trial.
    The Court of Appeal granted a stay of the judgment and
    then reversed. It disagreed with the trial court’s finding that
    the at-large method of election had “impaired Latinos’ ability to
    elect candidates of their choice or to influence the outcome of an
    election.” In the Court of Appeal’s view, there had been no
    dilution of Latino voters’ ability to elect their preferred
    candidates because Latino voters were too few and too
    geographically dispersed “to muster a majority, no matter how
    the City might slice itself into districts.” The court likewise
    found no dilution of Latino voters’ ability to influence the
    outcome of an election because a group’s ability to influence an
    election, the Court of Appeal reasoned, has no meaning
    independent of the group’s ability to elect its preferred
    candidate. In light of its findings, the Court of Appeal found it
    unnecessary to consider whether racially polarized voting had
    been established.
    We conclude the Court of Appeal misconstrued the CVRA.
    To prevail on a CVRA claim, a plaintiff who has established the
    existence of racially polarized voting in an at-large system need
    not prove that the protected class would constitute a majority —
    or, as the City proposes, a near majority — of a hypothetical
    single-member district. City council elections, after all, are
    nonpartisan (Cal. Const., art. II, § 6), and the record here shows
    that winning candidates often earn only a plurality of the vote.
    4
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    Accordingly, what is required to establish “dilution” of a
    protected class’s “ability . . . to elect candidates of its choice”
    (Elec. Code, § 14027) is proof that, under some lawful
    alternative electoral system, the protected class would have the
    potential, on its own or with the help of crossover voters, to elect
    its preferred candidate. The lawful alternative electoral system
    may include, but is not limited to, single-member district
    elections.
    A court presented with a dilution claim should undertake
    a searching evaluation of the totality of the facts and
    circumstances (see, e.g., Elec. Code, § 14028, subd. (e)),
    including the characteristics of the specific locality, its electoral
    history, and “ ‘an intensely local appraisal of the design and
    impact’ of the contested electoral mechanisms” as well as the
    design and impact of the potential alternative electoral system.
    (Gingles, 
    supra,
     478 U.S. at p. 79; see Allen v. Milligan (2023)
    ___ U.S. ___, ___ [
    216 L.Ed.2d 60
    , 75] (Milligan).) In predicting
    how many candidates are likely to run and what percentage may
    be necessary to win, courts may also consider the experiences of
    other similar jurisdictions that use alternative electoral
    systems. (Cf. Gingles, at p. 56.)
    Because the Court of Appeal did not evaluate the dilution
    element of the CVRA under this standard, we reverse the
    judgment and remand the matter to the Court of Appeal for it to
    reconsider in the first instance the CVRA claim presented here.
    I. BACKGROUND
    Defendant, the City of Santa Monica, has a seven-member
    city council. Members are elected at large through staggered
    elections: four are elected during the year of a presidential
    election, while the other three are elected during the year of a
    5
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    gubernatorial election. Plaintiff Pico Neighborhood Association
    is a nonprofit organization dedicated to advancing the interests
    of the residents of the City’s Pico neighborhood, where its Latino
    residents are concentrated. While Latinos constitute only 13.64
    percent of the City’s citizen-voting-age population, they make up
    30 percent of Pico’s citizen-voting-age population.
    In April 2016, plaintiffs Pico Neighborhood Association
    and Maria Loya, a Latina registered voter, filed this action
    against the City, alleging that the City’s at-large method of
    electing its city council unlawfully impaired the ability of Latino
    voters to elect their preferred candidates or, alternatively, to
    influence the outcome of council elections. The at-large scheme,
    in plaintiffs’ view, violated the CVRA as well as the equal
    protection clause of the California Constitution (Cal. Const.,
    art. I, § 7, subd. (a)).
    Following a six-week trial, the Los Angeles County
    Superior Court ruled in plaintiffs’ favor on both claims, but this
    appeal concerns only the CVRA claim. After reviewing elections
    over the preceding 24 years, the court declared that “a consistent
    pattern of racially-polarized voting emerges. In most elections
    where the choice is available, Latino voters strongly prefer a
    Latino candidate running for Defendant’s city council, but,
    despite that support, the preferred Latino candidate loses.”
    Indeed, at the time of the court’s ruling, “only one Latino ha[d]
    been elected to the Santa Monica City Council in the 72 years of
    the current election system.”1 The court further observed that
    1
    The City asserts that in the 2020 city council election, four
    and one-half years after plaintiffs filed this action, three of the
    five winning candidates were Latino. Plaintiffs dispute this
    6
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    the statistical evidence of racially polarized voting was
    corroborated by multiple qualitative factors within the meaning
    of Elections Code section 14028, subdivision (e): a history of
    discrimination against Latinos in Los Angeles County generally
    and in the City specifically; the use of staggered elections, which
    may have discriminatory effects in some circumstances; an
    income disparity between the City’s Latinos and its majority
    population that is “far greater than the national disparity”; the
    use of racist appeals in city council campaigns; and the lack of
    responsiveness to the interests and concerns of the City’s Latino
    community, including the substantial underrepresentation of
    Latinos on the City’s various commissions.
    The trial court further found that the City’s at-large voting
    system unlawfully diluted the electoral strength of its Latino
    residents within the meaning of the CVRA, in that several
    alternative voting systems — e.g., district-based elections,
    cumulative voting, limited voting, and ranked choice voting —
    would better enable Latino voters “to elect candidates of their
    choice or influence the outcomes of elections.” In light of “the
    national, state and local experiences with district elections,
    particularly those involving districts in which the minority
    group is not a majority of eligible voters,” the court adopted the
    election map drafted by plaintiffs’ expert, which created seven
    council districts. The court ordered a special, district-based
    election for all seven seats to be held on July 2, 2019.
    The City successfully petitioned for a writ of supersedeas
    to stay the trial court’s order for new elections pending
    resolution of its appeal. In that appeal, the Second Appellate
    characterization of the winning candidates’ ethnicities. Given
    the limited issue before us, we express no view on the dispute.
    7
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    District, Division Eight, reversed the trial court judgment,
    finding that the City’s at-large voting system violated neither
    the CVRA nor the California Constitution. The Court of Appeal
    began by rejecting plaintiffs’ one-sentence argument that a
    CVRA violation could be established merely by evidence of
    racially polarized voting without any further showing that the
    City’s at-large voting system “diluted” Latino voting power as
    compared to “ ‘some alternative method of election.’ ” The court
    next concluded that changing from an at-large system (where
    Latinos constituted approximately 14 percent of the voting
    population) to a district system (where Latinos would constitute
    30 percent of a district centered around the Pico neighborhood)
    would not enhance Latino voters’ ability to elect their candidates
    of choice or influence the outcome of an election in a “legally
    significant” way and therefore failed to demonstrate that the
    City’s at-large system “dilut[ed]” their voting power within the
    meaning of the CVRA. Plaintiffs’ theory, the Court of Appeal
    reasoned, “would create absurd results,” in that “any unrealized
    increase in a group’s percentage would satisfy the dilution
    element,” even if the group had “a vanishingly small numerical
    presence.” The court likewise rejected plaintiffs’ contention that
    other voters might “ ‘cross over’ and vote for Latino candidates,
    buoying Latino power and clearing the 50 percent threshold to
    electoral success.” Such a suggestion, the Court of Appeal
    claimed, “arbitrarily embraces racially polarized voting when it
    helps and abandons it when it hurts.” In light of its conclusion
    that plaintiffs had failed to demonstrate dilution, the court did
    not consider whether plaintiffs had demonstrated the existence
    of racially polarized voting.
    We granted plaintiffs’ petition for review to determine
    what constitutes dilution of a protected class’s ability to elect
    8
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    candidates of its choice or to influence the outcome of an election
    within the meaning of the CVRA. We also ordered depublication
    of the Court of Appeal opinion. (Pico Neighborhood Assn. v. City
    of Santa Monica, S263972, Supreme Ct. Mins., Oct. 21, 2020.)
    II. DISCUSSION
    Different electoral systems can lead to different outcomes.
    (See Engstrom, Modified Multi-Seat Election Systems As
    Remedies for Minority Vote Dilution (1992) 21 Stetson L.Rev.
    743, 743 (Engstrom).) For example, where a racial minority and
    a racial majority consistently prefer different candidates,
    “multimember districts and at-large voting schemes may
    ‘ “operate to minimize or cancel out the voting strength of racial
    [minorities in] the voting population.” ’ ” (Gingles, 
    supra,
     478
    U.S. at p. 47.) The use of at-large voting schemes in such
    circumstances allows the majority, by virtue of its numerical
    superiority, not only to regularly defeat the candidates preferred
    by the minority (id. at p. 48), but also to “ ‘ignore [minority]
    interests without fear of political consequences,’ [citation]
    leaving the minority effectively unrepresented.” (Id. at p. 48,
    fn. 14.) If, on the other hand, the political unit were “divided
    into single-member districts,” those same minority groups “may
    be able to elect several representatives.” (Rogers v. Lodge (1982)
    
    458 U.S. 613
    , 616.) This potential disparity is why the high
    court has “stated on many occasions that multimember
    districting plans, as well as at-large plans, generally pose
    greater threats to minority-voter participation in the political
    process than do single-member districts.” (Growe v. Emison
    (1993) 
    507 U.S. 25
    , 40.)
    The VRA and the CVRA each offer an opportunity for
    racial and language minority groups to challenge the dilution of
    9
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    their voting power caused by at-large voting systems. But they
    do so in somewhat different ways. Because the CVRA bears
    some similarities to the VRA, while also seeking to address
    perceived inadequacies in the VRA, we begin with a review of
    both statutory schemes.
    A. The VRA and the CVRA, Compared
    1. The VRA
    The VRA, as amended in 1982, prohibits a state or its
    political subdivisions from using any “voting qualification or
    prerequisite to voting or standard, practice, or procedure” that
    “results in a denial or abridgement of the right of any citizen of
    the United States to vote on account of race or color, or
    [membership in a language minority group]” where, “based on
    the totality of circumstances, it is shown that the political
    processes leading to nomination or election in the State or
    political subdivision are not equally open to participation by
    members of [the protected] class of citizens . . . in that its
    members have less opportunity than other members of the
    electorate . . . to elect representatives of their choice.” (
    52 U.S.C. § 10301
    (a), (b).) An at-large electoral system or multimember
    district 2 can qualify as a prohibited practice under the VRA
    when the plaintiff can show that a bloc-voting majority is
    2
    “In an at-large (or multi-member district) system, all
    voters elect all representatives, and each voter has as many
    ballots as there are positions available. This system contrasts
    with a single-member district plan, under which the entire
    political jurisdiction is divided into districts roughly equal in
    population, each of which selects one representative by vote
    within the district.” (Badillo v. Stockton (9th Cir. 1992) 
    956 F.2d 884
    , 889.)
    10
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    “usually . . . able to defeat candidates supported by a politically
    cohesive, geographically insular minority group.” (Gingles,
    
    supra,
     478 U.S. at p. 49.) “ ‘[T]he greater the degree to which
    the electoral minority is homogenous and insular and the
    greater the degree that bloc voting occurs along majority-
    minority lines, the greater will be the extent to which the
    minority’s voting power is diluted by multimember districting.’ ”
    (Id. at p. 50.)
    A plaintiff asserting a “vote dilution” challenge to an at-
    large voting system under the VRA must satisfy “three
    threshold conditions.” (Voinovich v. Quilter (1993) 
    507 U.S. 146
    ,
    157.) “First, the minority group must be able to demonstrate
    that it is sufficiently large and geographically compact to
    constitute a majority in a single-member district. . . . Second,
    the minority group must be able to show that it is politically
    cohesive. . . . Third, the minority must be able to demonstrate
    that the white majority votes sufficiently as a bloc to enable it —
    in the absence of special circumstances, such as the minority
    candidate running unopposed, [citation] — usually to defeat the
    minority’s preferred candidate.” (Gingles, supra, 478 U.S. at pp.
    50–51, fn. omitted.) Once those predicate facts have been
    established, “the trial court is to consider the ‘totality of the
    circumstances’ and to determine, based ‘upon a searching
    practical evaluation of the “past and present reality,” ’ [citation],
    whether the political process is equally open to minority voters.
    ‘ “This determination is peculiarly dependent upon the facts of
    each case,” ’ [citation], and requires ‘an intensely local appraisal
    of the design and impact’ of the contested electoral
    mechanisms.” (Id. at p. 79.) In undertaking this analysis, the
    court considers a number of factors that “typically may be
    relevant” to a claim under the VRA (Gingles, at p. 44) and that
    11
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    are sometimes called “ ‘the Senate factors’ ” 3 because they
    appeared in the 1982 Senate Judiciary Committee majority
    report that accompanied the bill amending the VRA (Yumori-
    Kaku v. City of Santa Clara (2020) 
    59 Cal.App.5th 385
    , 394).
    2. The CVRA
    While the CVRA is “much like” the VRA in some ways,
    there are notable differences between the two statutory
    schemes. (Assem. Com. on Judiciary, Analysis of Sen. Bill No.
    976 (2001–2002 Reg. Sess.) as amended Apr. 9, 2002, p. 2.) Four
    stand out in this proceeding. First, unlike the VRA, the CVRA
    applies only to “[a]n at-large method of election” (Elec. Code,
    § 14027) for nonpartisan offices (id., § 14026, subds. (a), (c); see
    Cal. Const., art. II, § 6). Second, the CVRA addresses not only
    impairments to a protected class’s “ability . . . to elect candidates
    of its choice” (Elec. Code, § 14027; cf. 
    52 U.S.C. § 10301
    (b)
    [“opportunity . . . to elect representatives of their choice”]), but
    3
    The Senate factors include “the history of voting-related
    discrimination in the State or political subdivision; the extent to
    which voting in the elections of the State or political subdivision
    is racially polarized; the extent to which the State or political
    subdivision has used voting practices or procedures that tend to
    enhance the opportunity for discrimination against the minority
    group, such as unusually large election districts, majority vote
    requirements, and prohibitions against bullet voting; the
    exclusion of members of the minority group from candidate
    slating processes; the extent to which minority group members
    bear the effects of past discrimination in areas such as
    education, employment, and health, which hinder their ability
    to participate effectively in the political process; the use of overt
    or subtle racial appeals in political campaigns; and the extent to
    which members of the minority group have been elected to
    public office in the jurisdiction.” (Gingles, supra, 478 U.S. at
    pp. 44–45.)
    12
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    also the class’s “ability to influence the outcome of an election”
    (Elec. Code, § 14027, italics added). Third, the CVRA made it
    easier to challenge at-large electoral systems by explicitly
    rejecting the first Gingles precondition: “The fact that members
    of a protected class are not geographically compact or
    concentrated may not preclude a finding of racially polarized
    voting, or a violation of Section 14027 and this section, but may
    be a factor in determining an appropriate remedy.” (Elec. Code,
    § 14028, subd. (c).) Fourth, the CVRA includes its own list of
    potentially probative factors, many of which overlap with the
    Senate factors above, but cautions that they are “not necessary
    factors to establish a violation” of the CVRA. (Elec. Code,
    § 14028, subd. (e).)4
    Despite these differences, the CVRA, like the VRA,
    requires a plaintiff claiming vote dilution arising from an at-
    large voting system to establish the existence of racially
    polarized voting — i.e., that the protected class members vote as
    a politically cohesive unit, while the majority votes “sufficiently
    as a bloc usually to defeat” the protected class’s preferred
    candidate. (Gingles, supra, 478 U.S. at p. 56; accord, Elec. Code,
    §§ 14026, subd. (e) [providing that “racially polarized voting”
    4
    The CVRA factors include “the history of discrimination,
    the use of electoral devices or other voting practices or
    procedures that may enhance the dilutive effects of at-large
    elections, denial of access to those processes determining which
    groups of candidates will receive financial or other support in a
    given election, the extent to which members of a protected class
    bear the effects of past discrimination in areas such as
    education, employment, and health, which hinder their ability
    to participate effectively in the political process, and the use of
    overt or subtle racial appeals in political campaigns.” (Elec.
    Code, § 14028, subd. (e).)
    13
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    may be established by “[t]he methodologies for estimating group
    voting behavior as approved in applicable federal cases to
    enforce the [VRA]”], 14028, subd. (a).)5
    B. Defining Terms in the CVRA
    The CVRA prohibits the use of an at-large method of
    election when it “impairs the ability of a protected class to elect
    candidates of its choice or its ability to influence the outcome of
    an election, as a result of the dilution or the abridgment of the
    rights of voters who are members of a protected class.” (Elec.
    Code, § 14027.) Plaintiffs contend that the City’s at-large city
    council elections prevent Latino voters from electing, either on
    their own or with the support of crossover voters, their preferred
    candidate. They argue this diluted their ability to elect their
    candidate of choice as well as their ability to influence the
    outcome of an election. The statute, however, does not define
    “dilution,” “ability . . . to elect candidates of its choice,” or “ability
    . . . to influence the outcome of an election.” (Ibid.) The meaning
    of these undefined terms presents a pure question of law that
    we review de novo. (See Lopez v. Ledesma (2022) 
    12 Cal.5th 848
    ,
    857.)
    1. “Dilution”
    In plaintiffs’ view, proof of racially polarized voting, in
    itself, establishes “dilution” within the meaning of the CVRA.
    5
    We do not consider here whether the City’s elections are
    racially polarized — an issue the Court of Appeal has not yet
    addressed — but we do note that, under the CVRA, “[e]lections
    conducted prior to the filing of an action . . . are more probative
    to establish the existence of racially polarized voting than
    elections conducted after the filing of the action.” (Elec. Code,
    § 14028, subd. (a).)
    14
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    They rely on the “plain language” of Elections Code section
    14028, subdivision (a), which provides, “A violation of Section
    14027 is established if it is shown that racially polarized voting
    occurs in elections for members of the governing body of the
    political subdivision . . . .” (Italics added.) According to
    plaintiffs, “Section 14028 expressly states how a violation of
    Section 14027 is shown” — i.e., simply by demonstrating the
    existence of racially polarized voting in an at-large jurisdiction.
    When considered in isolation, this single sentence might
    arguably be susceptible to plaintiffs’ reading. However, a court
    construing a statute does not view a fragment in isolation, but
    considers the statute as a whole, in context with related
    provisions and the overall statutory structure, so that it may
    best identify and effectuate the scheme’s underlying purpose.
    (See People v. Pennington (2017) 
    3 Cal.5th 786
    , 795.) As
    plaintiffs concede, and as the legislative history reveals, the
    CVRA is in many ways “very similar” to the VRA. (Governor’s
    Off. of Planning & Research, Enrolled Bill Rep. on Sen. Bill No.
    976 (2001–2002 Reg. Sess.) July 1, 2002, p. 4.) When we
    construe “dilution” under the CVRA, we must therefore be
    mindful that it is a term of art with a settled meaning under
    section 2 of the VRA: “ ‘The phrase vote dilution itself suggests
    a norm with respect to which the fact of dilution may be
    ascertained.’ ” (Holder v. Hall (1994) 
    512 U.S. 874
    , 880 (plur.
    opn. of Kennedy, J.).) To establish vote dilution under the VRA,
    “a court must find a reasonable alternative practice as a
    benchmark against which to measure the existing voting
    practice.” (Holder, at p. 880 (plur. opn. of Kennedy, J.); id. at
    p. 887 (conc. opn. of O’Connor, J.) [“On this, there is general
    agreement”]; id. at p. 951 (dis. opn. of Blackmun, J.) [“There is
    widespread agreement”].) So while the existence of racially
    15
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    polarized voting “ ‘is relevant to a vote dilution claim’ ” under
    the VRA (Gingles, 
    supra,
     478 U.S. at p. 55) — and is indeed “a
    key element” (ibid.) — it is not in itself sufficient.
    We find, for several reasons, the same is true under the
    CVRA. The similarities between the two schemes strongly
    suggest that “dilution” requires not only a showing that racially
    polarized voting exists, but also that the protected class thereby
    has less ability to elect its preferred candidate or influence the
    election’s outcome than it would have if the at-large system had
    not been adopted. (Cf. Ferra v. Loews Hollywood Hotel, LLC
    (2021) 
    11 Cal.5th 858
    , 874 [concluding that the Legislature
    intended to adopt the “ ‘widely understood’ ” meaning of a term
    in federal law]; Davis v. City of Berkeley (1988) 
    47 Cal.3d 512
    ,
    533 [concluding that undefined “terms of art” in a statute refer
    to the definitions provided by federal law].) Although the
    legislative history materials can be read in different ways, one
    committee analysis recognized that the CVRA targets racially
    polarized voting in at-large elections only “if it Impairs the Right
    of Protected Groups” to elect their preferred candidates or
    influence the outcome of an election. (Assem. Com. on Judiciary,
    Analysis of Sen. Bill No. 976, supra, as amended Apr. 9, 2002,
    p. 2.) After all, “the very concept of vote dilution implies — and,
    indeed, necessitates — the existence of an ‘undiluted’ practice
    against which the fact of dilution may be measured.” (Reno v.
    Bossier Parish School Bd. (1997) 
    520 U.S. 471
    , 480.)
    Plaintiffs’ construction would allow a party to prevail
    based solely on proof of racially polarized voting that could not
    be remedied or ameliorated by any other electoral system.
    Moreover, such a construction would render the word “dilution”
    in Elections Code section 14027 surplusage. Accordingly, we
    agree with the Court of Appeal that dilution is a separate
    16
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    element under the CVRA. To establish the dilution element, a
    plaintiff in a CVRA action must identify “a reasonable
    alternative voting practice” to the existing at-large electoral
    system that will “serve as the benchmark ‘undiluted’ voting
    practice.” (Reno v. Bossier Parish School Bd., 
    supra,
     520 U.S. at
    p. 480.)
    2. “The Ability . . . to Elect Candidates of Its Choice”
    The CVRA does not explicitly define what it means to
    “impair[] the ability of a protected class to elect candidates of its
    choice.” (Elec. Code, § 14027.) On this question, we find the
    VRA illuminating, but not dispositive.
    An at-large electoral system impairs a protected class’s
    ability “to elect representatives of their choice” under the federal
    act (
    52 U.S.C. § 10301
    (b)) only when the class can “demonstrate
    that it is sufficiently large and geographically compact to
    constitute a majority in a single-member district.” (Gingles,
    
    supra,
     478 U.S. at p. 50.) The rationale for the VRA approach is
    that “if the minority group is spread evenly throughout a
    multimember district, or if, although geographically compact,
    the minority group is so small in relation to the surrounding
    white population that it could not constitute a majority in a
    single-member district, these minority voters cannot maintain
    that they would have been able to elect representatives of their
    choice in the absence of the multimember electoral structure.”
    (Gingles, at p. 50, fn. 17.)
    For some period after Gingles, it was uncertain whether
    the first Gingles requirement (i.e., whether the minority group
    is sufficiently large and compact) could be satisfied by proof that
    the minority population “is large enough to elect the candidate
    of its choice with help from voters who are members of the
    17
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    majority and who cross over to support the minority’s preferred
    candidate.” (Bartlett v. Strickland (2009) 
    556 U.S. 1
    , 13 (plur.
    opn. of Kennedy, J.) (Strickland).) Strickland settled the
    question. It held that the VRA does not impose “a duty to give
    minority voters the most potential, or the best potential, to elect
    a candidate by attracting crossover voters.” (Strickland, at p. 15
    (plur. opn. of Kennedy, J.).) Dispensing with the requirement
    that the minority group, by itself, be sufficiently large and
    compact to constitute a majority in the hypothetical district, the
    court reasoned, “would call in question the Gingles framework.”
    (Strickland, at p. 16 (plur. opn. of Kennedy, J.).)
    The Court of Appeal effectively embraced the Strickland
    approach in construing the CVRA. It required a showing that
    Latino voters could constitute a majority, all by themselves, in
    a hypothetical single-member district. Indeed, it noted that “30
    percent is not enough to win a majority” and rejected plaintiffs’
    contention that an ability to elect a preferred candidate could be
    shown in this case if non-Latino voters were to “ ‘cross over’ and
    vote for Latino candidates, buoying Latino power and clearing
    the 50 percent threshold to electoral success.”
    The Court of Appeal erred in importing the VRA’s
    majority-minority requirement into the CVRA. In enacting the
    CVRA, the Legislature wanted to make it “easier” for protected
    classes to demonstrate an ability to elect their preferred
    candidates under an alternative voting system. (Assem. Com.
    on Elections, Reapportionment and Const. Amends., Analysis of
    Sen. Bill No. 976, supra, as amended Mar. 18, 2002, p. 4.) No
    longer would plaintiffs need to show the protected class was
    sufficiently large and geographically compact to muster a
    majority in a hypothetical district: “The fact that members of a
    protected class are not geographically compact or concentrated
    18
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    may not preclude a finding of racially polarized voting, or a
    violation of Section 14027 and this section . . . .” (Elec. Code,
    § 14028, subd. (c); see Sen. Com. on Elections and
    Reapportionment, Analysis of Sen. Bill No. 976 (2001–2002 Reg.
    Sess.) as amended May 1, 2001, p. 3 [“Unlike the preconditions
    established by the Supreme Court in Thornburg v. Gingles, this
    bill does not require that the minority community be
    geographically compact or concentrated”]; Assem. Com. on
    Elections, Reapportionment and Const. Amends., Analysis of
    Sen. Bill No. 976, supra, as amended Mar. 18, 2002, p. 4 [“This
    bill requires that only two of those [Gingles] conditions be met”].)
    The Legislature’s rationale for rejecting the majority-
    minority requirement seems clear enough: It would make little
    sense to require CVRA plaintiffs to show that the protected class
    could constitute a majority of a hypothetical district, given that
    the CVRA is not limited to ability-to-elect claims nor are its
    remedies limited to district elections. (See, e.g., Sanchez v. City
    of Modesto (2006) 
    145 Cal.App.4th 660
    , 670 [“In a cumulative
    voting system, a politically cohesive but geographically
    dispersed minority group can elect a single candidate . . .
    although it would be unable to elect any candidates in a
    conventional winner-take-all at-large system and could not form
    a majority in any feasible district in a district system”].) Though
    the parties have focused in this court on district elections, the
    trial court found that, in addition to district elections, several
    alternative at-large election methods — cumulative voting, 6
    6
    Under cumulative voting, “a voter receives as many votes
    as there are candidates to elect, but may cast multiple votes for
    a single candidate.” (Portugal v. Franklin County (Wn. 2023)
    
    530 P.3d 994
    , 1002 (Portugal).)
    19
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    limited voting, 7 and ranked choice voting 8 — would each
    enhance Latino voting power and their ability to elect
    candidates of their choice. None of these methods would require
    a winning candidate to muster a majority in a hypothetical
    district. We can think of no reason why a CVRA claim based on
    any of these alternate at-large election methods should depend
    on such a showing. (Cf. Elec. Code, § 14028, subd. (c) [“that
    members of a protected class are not geographically compact or
    concentrated . . . may be a factor in determining an appropriate
    remedy”].) Furthermore, the Legislature clearly intended to
    make the CVRA more expansive than the VRA — by, for
    example, explicitly recognizing claims based on dilution of the
    “ability to influence the outcome of an election.” (Elec. Code,
    § 14027.)
    Even in the context of district elections, the Court of
    Appeal’s focus on a majority-minority district was misguided.
    The Court of Appeal feared that allowing a plaintiff to rely on
    crossover votes “arbitrarily embraces racially polarized voting
    when it helps and abandons it when it hurts,” which it viewed
    as creating “a manipulable standard boiling down to plaintiff
    7
    Under limited voting, “a voter receives fewer votes than
    there are candidates to elect.” (Portugal, supra, 530 P.3d at
    p. 1002.)
    8
    Under ranked choice voting, a voter ranks candidates in
    order of preference. If no candidate has a majority of first-place
    votes, then the candidate with the least number of votes is
    eliminated and that candidate’s ballots are reviewed for the
    voter’s second choice. The process continues until only two
    candidates remain, and the candidate with the greater number
    of votes is declared the winner. (Portugal, supra, 530 P.3d at
    p. 1002; see Kohlhaas v. State (Alaska 2022) 
    518 P.3d 1095
    ,
    1102.)
    20
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    always wins.” But far from embracing racially polarized voting
    “when it helps” and abandoning it “when it hurts,” plaintiffs are
    merely pointing out the differing effects of racially polarized
    voting in two different settings. To challenge an at-large
    electoral system, a plaintiff must first demonstrate the existence
    of racially polarized voting — i.e., cognizable differences “in the
    choice of candidates or other electoral choices that are preferred
    by voters in a protected class, and in the choice of candidates
    and electoral choices that are preferred by voters in the rest of
    the electorate.” (Elec. Code, § 14026, subd. (e).) The plaintiff
    must next show that the protected class would have the
    potential to elect its preferred candidate or candidates under a
    different electoral system (say, district elections). In calculating
    the protected class’s voting strength under the alternative
    system, the plaintiff does not “abandon[]” racially polarized
    voting. Rather, the plaintiff must prove that, assuming the
    same degree of racial polarization, the greater concentration of
    protected class voters in the hypothetical district would
    nonetheless be sufficient to enable them to elect their preferred
    candidate when combined with the available crossover votes.
    Alternatively, the plaintiff may be able to demonstrate sufficient
    voting strength where racially polarized voting by other voters
    in the hypothetical district is lower than in the community as a
    whole. In neither instance is the plaintiff seeking to “abandon”
    racially polarized voting “when it hurts.”9
    9
    We recognize that where there is complete racial
    polarization, the protected class may itself need to make up a
    majority of the district in order to have an ability to elect its
    preferred candidate. But “ ‘[i]n practice, such extreme conditions
    are never present.’ ” (Strickland, 
    supra,
     556 U.S. at p. 45 (dis.
    21
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    The City’s position in this court is slightly more nuanced,
    but no more persuasive. The City allows that there may be
    “room to expand vote-dilution claims beyond section 2’s narrow
    ambit,” but only “where the relevant minority group would
    account for a near-majority of voters in a hypothetical district
    with a history of reliable crossover support from other voters.”
    The City does not dispute, however, that defining a near
    majority presents a new set of line-drawing problems. And in
    any case the CVRA permits consideration of at-large remedies
    such as cumulative voting, limited voting, or ranked choice
    voting — none of which would depend on the existence of a near
    majority in some hypothetical district that would never be
    drawn or used.
    These omissions counsel against adoption of the City’s
    position. Rather than quibble over whether a protected class
    falls on one side or the other of an undefined near-majority line,
    we think it more sensible to inquire directly whether the
    prospect of crossover support from other voters under a lawful
    alternative electoral scheme would offer the protected class,
    opn. of Breyer, J.) [“No voting group is 100% cohesive”]; see 
    id.
    at pp. 32–33 (dis. opn. of Souter, J.) [“of course minority voters
    constituting less than 50% of the voting population can have an
    opportunity to elect the candidates of their choice, as amply
    shown by empirical studies confirming that such minority
    groups regularly elect their preferred candidates with the help
    of modest crossover by members of the majority”].) As the high
    court has acknowledged, “there are communities in which
    minority citizens are able to form coalitions with voters from
    other racial and ethnic groups, having no need to be a majority
    within a single district in order to elect candidates of their
    choice.” (Johnson v. De Grandy (1994) 
    512 U.S. 997
    , 1020 (De
    Grandy).)
    22
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    whatever its size, the potential to elect its preferred candidate.
    When the hypothetical alternative is district elections, a high
    degree of racially polarized voting may, in many cases,
    effectively require the protected class to constitute a substantial
    or very substantial minority of voters. The higher the degree of
    racial polarization, the greater the percentage required by the
    protected class to demonstrate it would be able, in combination
    with crossover voters, to elect its preferred candidate. But there
    is no reason to layer this inquiry with an additional predicate
    showing of some undefined near majority. All that is required
    is that the protected class be “sufficiently large . . . to elect
    candidates of its choice,” even if it falls short of “an absolute
    majority of the relevant population.” (De Grandy, supra, 512
    U.S. at pp. 1008, 1009.)10
    We are also sensitive to the fact that Gingles’s majority-
    minority requirement is a poor fit for the CVRA, which applies
    exclusively to nonpartisan elections. (See Cal. Const., art. II,
    § 6.) In the City, for example, multiple candidates may vie for
    office, and a plurality can be sufficient to win. Requiring a
    protected class to demonstrate it could constitute a majority or
    near-majority of a hypothetical district would impose a
    10
    An amicus curiae letter submitted in support of Pico
    Neighborhood Association’s petition for review by the chairs of
    the Assembly’s Latino, Black, and Asian and Pacific Islander
    caucuses recites that while some members were elected in
    majority-minority districts, many others were elected in
    districts in which their membership group made up only 20 to
    40 percent of the eligible voters. The trial court here similarly
    found that candidates from minority groups who had been
    “unsuccessful in at-large elections have won district elections”
    in districts “where the minority group is one-third or less of a
    district’s electorate.”
    23
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    threshold far higher than what the protected class’s preferred
    candidate would actually need to be elected. (See Romero v. City
    of Pomona (9th Cir. 1989) 
    883 F.2d 1418
    , 1424, fn. 7 [“Less than
    a majority, of course, might suffice in a district where candidates
    are elected by plurality”], overruled on other grounds in
    Townsend v. Holman Consulting Corp. (9th Cir. 1990) 
    929 F.2d 1358
    , 1363.) We therefore decline to require a protected class
    demonstrate it would constitute a majority or near majority of a
    hypothetical district in all circumstances.
    3. “Dilution” of “the Ability . . . to Elect Candidates of
    Its Choice”
    Accordingly, to establish dilution of a protected class’s
    ability to elect its preferred candidate under the CVRA, a
    plaintiff must demonstrate “the potential to elect
    representatives” under some lawful alternative electoral
    method. (Gingles, 
    supra,
     478 U.S. at p. 50, fn. 17.) One way to
    demonstrate the class’s potential to elect its preferred
    candidates would be to show, as the VRA requires, that the class
    would be “sufficiently large and geographically compact to
    constitute a majority in a single-member district.” (Gingles, at
    p. 50.) But that is not the only way. (See Elec. Code, § 14028,
    subd. (c).) Because the CVRA applies exclusively to nonpartisan
    elections, where there may be more than two candidates, the
    winner may prevail with far less than a majority of the vote.
    Moreover, the protected class may be able to demonstrate its
    ability to attract crossover votes for its preferred candidate.
    Finally, a plaintiff may identify nondistrict remedies that would
    enable the class, on its own or with the assistance of crossover
    votes, to elect its preferred candidate. The minority population
    percentage necessary to win an election under some alternative
    at-large electoral systems — cumulative or ranked-choice
    24
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    voting, for example — may be less than 25 percent. (See Dillard
    v. Chilton County Bd. of Education (M.D.Ala. 1988) 
    699 F.Supp. 870
    , 874 (Dillard) [“in a jurisdiction with seven seats, the
    threshold of exclusion[11] would be 12.5% plus” in a cumulative
    voting system]; Mulroy, The Way Out: A Legal Standard for
    Imposing Alternative Electoral Systems as Voting Rights
    Remedies (1998) 33 Harv. C.R.-C.L. L.Rev. 333, 342 [threshold
    for ranked-choice voting “is identical to that of cumulative
    voting”].)
    Determining whether the protected class has the potential
    to elect its preferred candidate under some alternative system
    requires a “ ‘functional’ analysis of the political process” in that
    locality and a “ ‘searching practical evaluation of the “past and
    present reality.” ’ ” (Gingles, 
    supra,
     478 U.S. at pp. 62–63.)
    Courts should consider the totality of the facts and
    circumstances of the particular case (see, e.g., Elec. Code,
    § 14028, subd. (e)), including the characteristics of the specific
    locality, its electoral history, and “ ‘an intensely local appraisal
    of the design and impact’ of the contested electoral mechanisms”
    as well as the design and impact of the potential alternative
    system. (Gingles, at p. 79; see Milligan, supra, ___ U.S. at p. ___
    [216 L.Ed.2d at p. 75].) This fact-specific inquiry accords with
    the legislative understanding that California is a large and
    diverse state that needs a flexible approach to address our
    changing demographics. (See Assem. Com. on Judiciary,
    11
    “The threshold of exclusion ‘is the percentage of the vote
    that will guarantee the winning of a seat even under the most
    unfavorable circumstances.’ ” (Dillard, 
    supra,
     699 F.Supp. at p.
    874.) It “is calculated according to the following formula: 1/(1 +
    number of seats available).” (U.S. v. Vill. of Port Chester
    (S.D.N.Y. 2010) 
    704 F.Supp.2d 411
    , 450.)
    25
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    Analysis of Sen. Bill No. 976, supra, as amended Apr. 9, 2002,
    p. 2 [“In California, we face a unique situation where we are all
    minorities”].)
    The key inquiry in establishing dilution of a protected
    class’s ability to elect its preferred candidate under the CVRA,
    therefore, is what percentage of the vote would be required to
    win — an inquiry that is not short-circuited merely because the
    protected class may fall short of an absolute majority (or
    something close to that). In predicting how many candidates are
    likely to run and what percentage may be necessary to win,
    courts may also consider the experiences of other similar
    jurisdictions that use district elections or other alternatives to
    traditional at-large elections. Courts should likewise keep in
    mind that the inquiry at the liability stage “is simply ‘to prove
    that a solution is possible, and not necessarily to present the
    final solution to the problem.’ ” (Pope v. County of Albany (2d
    Cir. 2012) 
    687 F.3d 565
    , 576; see Gingles, 
    supra,
     478 U.S. at
    p. 50, fn. 17.)
    At the remedial stage the focus will shift to which electoral
    system is “appropriate” and “tailored to remedy the violation.”
    (Elec. Code, § 14029.) If the court selects a district remedy, then
    there must also be at least two public hearings before the maps
    are drafted and at least two more hearings once the maps have
    been drawn and published. (Id., § 10010, subds. (a)(1), (2), (c).)
    In other words, the remedy the court ends up selecting under
    section 14029 may, but need not, be the benchmark the plaintiff
    offered to show the element of dilution.
    The Court of Appeal feared that failing to craft a majority-
    minority requirement “would give a winning cause of action to
    any group, no matter how small, that can draw a district map
    26
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    that would improve its voting power by any amount, no matter
    how miniscule.” To prove its point, the court offered a
    hypothetical in which a protected class’s share of the electorate
    could increase from 0.1 percent under an at-large system to 1.5
    percent in a proposed district. Even though the group’s voting
    power would increase 15-fold, it could have “no practical
    numerical influence in any voting system” because there would
    be “simply too few voters . . . to be numerically effective in an
    environment of race-based voting.” This would, the Court of
    Appeal warned, “merely ensure plaintiffs always win.”
    We agree with the Court of Appeal that a plaintiff cannot
    prove dilution of its ability to elect its preferred candidate under
    the CVRA by showing that its voting share would increase 15-
    fold, from 0.1 percent to 1.5 percent, in a hypothetical district.
    In that circumstance, as the Court of Appeal explained, “[t]here
    are simply too few voters . . . to be numerically effective in an
    environment of race-based voting.” But it does not follow that a
    majority (or near-majority) requirement should be judicially
    engrafted onto the CVRA. After all, by eliminating Gingles’s
    geographic compactness requirement, the Legislature rejected
    any requirement that the protected class constitute a majority
    of a hypothetical district. (See Elec. Code, § 14028, subd. (c).)
    What enables courts to sort successful claims from unsuccessful
    claims is the dilution element itself, which requires the plaintiff
    to show that the protected class would, under some lawful
    alternative, have a “real electoral opportunity” to elect its
    candidate of choice, either on its own or with the aid of crossover
    27
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    voters. (LULAC, supra, 548 U.S. at p. 428; see Pope v. County
    of Albany, 
    supra,
     687 F.3d at p. 575, fn. 8.)12
    The dilution element also ensures the protected class is
    not made worse off. To replace at-large with district elections
    under a dilution theory, a successful plaintiff must show not
    merely that the protected class would have a real electoral
    opportunity in one or more hypothetical districts, but also that
    the incremental gain in the class’s ability to elect its candidate
    of choice in such districts would not be offset by a loss of the
    class’s potential to elect its candidates of choice elsewhere in the
    locality. (Cf. Georgia v. Ashcroft (2003) 
    539 U.S. 461
    , 479 [“in
    examining whether the new plan is retrogressive, the inquiry
    must encompass the entire statewide plan as a whole”].) While
    “[t]he fact that the proposed remedy does not benefit all of the
    [protected class] in the City does not justify denying any remedy
    at all” (Gomez v. Watsonville (9th Cir. 1988) 
    863 F.2d 1407
    ,
    1414, italics added), it remains the plaintiff’s burden to
    demonstrate that some lawful alternative method of election
    would improve the protected class’s overall ability to elect its
    preferred candidates. As both sides in this proceeding agree,
    unless the plaintiff can demonstrate a net gain in the protected
    class’s potential to elect candidates under an alternative system,
    it has not shown the at-large method of election “impairs” the
    ability of the protected class to elect its preferred candidates.
    (Elec. Code, § 14027; cf. Beer v. United States (1976) 
    425 U.S. 130
    , 141 [“the purpose of § 5 [of the VRA] has always been to
    12
    Plaintiffs suggest it would be rare for a group constituting
    less than 25 percent of the relevant voting population to make
    the required showing. We have no occasion here to explore that
    suggestion, since the Latino population in the proposed district
    exceeds that threshold.
    28
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    insure that no voting-procedure changes would be made that
    would lead to a retrogression in the position of racial minorities
    with respect to their effective exercise of the electoral
    franchise”].)
    We also reject the City’s contention that a majority-
    minority requirement — or something close to it in the form of
    a near-majority requirement — is necessary to avoid difficult
    constitutional questions under the equal protection clause. In
    the City’s view, it would be perilous for courts to draw race-
    based districts in the absence of a compelling justification. (See
    Cooper v. Harris (2017) 
    581 U.S. 285
    , 291–293.) Merely
    increasing the percentage of minority voters in a hypothetical
    district where “the increase will have no real-world effect,” the
    City warns, is not a compelling justification. But the CVRA does
    not require a court to grant relief that has no real world effect.
    As stated above, the alternative voting system must offer the
    protected class at least a “potential” to elect its preferred
    candidates that did not exist under the at-large system.
    (Gingles, supra, 478 U.S. at p. 50, fn. 17.) Moreover, nothing in
    the CVRA requires a municipality or a court to select a district-
    based remedy or, even if it chooses to do so, to draw district lines,
    as the City contends, based “principally on race.” To the
    contrary: California law directs that district boundaries comply
    with the state and federal Constitutions (as well as the VRA)
    (Elec. Code, § 21621, subd. (b)) and requires, to the extent
    practicable, that boundaries be “geographically contiguous” and
    maintain the integrity of “any local neighborhood or local
    community of interest.” (Id., subd. (c)(1), (2).) State law also
    encourages district lines to be drawn along “natural and
    artificial barriers” and with “geographical compactness.” (Id.,
    subd. (c)(3), (4).) The City does not explain how or why districts
    29
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    drawn in accordance with the above criteria would run afoul of
    the Constitution. (See Miller v. Johnson (1995) 
    515 U.S. 900
    ,
    916 [“legislatures will . . . almost always be aware of racial
    demographics”]; cf. 
    ibid.
     [strict scrutiny applies only where “race
    was the predominant factor motivating the legislature’s
    decision” and “the legislature subordinated traditional race-
    neutral districting principles, including but not limited to
    compactness, contiguity, and respect for political subdivisions or
    communities defined by actual shared interests, to racial
    considerations”].) Indeed, assuming lines are drawn “based on
    proper factors,” whether to create a district where a protected
    class has the potential to elect its candidate of choice is “a matter
    of legislative choice or discretion.” (Strickland, supra, 556 U.S.
    at p. 23 (plur. opn. of Kennedy, J.); see Higginson v. Becerra (9th
    Cir. 2019) 
    786 Fed.Appx. 705
    , 707–708.) That’s precisely the
    choice the Legislature made in enacting the CVRA: “An at-large
    method of election may not be imposed or applied in a manner
    that impairs the ability of a protected class to elect candidates
    of its choice . . . .” (Elec. Code, § 14027.)
    4. “Dilution” of “the Ability . . . to Influence the
    Outcome of an Election”
    Unlike its federal analogue, the CVRA prohibits the use of
    an at-large electoral system that dilutes not only the ability of a
    protected class “to elect candidates of its choice,” but also “its
    ability to influence the outcome of an election.” (Elec. Code,
    § 14027.) The inclusion of the latter phrase further supports our
    conclusion that the CVRA cannot be read in the limited manner
    the City would like; indeed, the influence prong suggests a focus
    broader than the class’s ability to elect its preferred candidates
    (with or without the help of crossover voters). (Cf. Strickland,
    
    supra,
     556 U.S. at p. 13 (plur. opn. of Kennedy, J.) [“a minority
    30
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    group can influence the outcome of an election even if its
    preferred candidate cannot be elected”]; LULAC, supra, 548
    U.S. at pp. 445–446 (plur. opn. of Kennedy, J.) [distinguishing
    between a group’s “ability to influence the outcome [of an
    election] between some candidates, none of whom is their
    candidate of choice,” and the ability to elect “their candidate of
    choice”]; 10 Ill. Comp. Stat. 120/5-5(b) [“The phrase ‘influence
    district’ means a district where a racial minority or language
    minority can influence the outcome of an election even if its
    preferred candidate cannot be elected”].) As the Attorney
    General (who is appearing in this action as amicus curiae)
    suggests, a protected class’s ability to influence the outcome of
    an election could include, for example, “forming a coalition with
    another group to elect a candidate acceptable to each” or
    “blocking an unacceptable candidate.”
    We need not decide the scope of the CVRA’s ability-to-
    influence prong in this case, however. Plaintiffs did not argue
    in the trial court or in this court an influence theory distinct
    from their claim that the City’s at-large election system diluted
    their ability to elect their candidates of choice.
    III. CONCLUSION
    A group’s ability “to compete successfully at electoral
    politics, in short, is often dependent on how the competition is
    structured.” (Engstrom, supra, 21 Stetson L.Rev. at p. 743.)
    The CVRA represents the Legislature’s effort to make that
    competition more fair. It bars the use of an at-large method of
    election if that method dilutes a protected class’s ability to elect
    candidates of its choice or its ability to influence the outcome of
    an election. Dilution occurs when an at-large system denies a
    protected class the potential to elect its preferred candidate or
    31
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    influence the election’s outcome. The plaintiff in a CVRA action
    must identify a lawful alternative to the existing at-large
    electoral system that will serve as the benchmark undiluted
    voting system.
    A protected class has the ability to elect its preferred
    candidate if it would have the potential to elect that candidate,
    on its own or with the assistance of crossover support from other
    voters, under an alternative voting system; there is no
    additional requirement that the protected class constitute a
    majority or near-majority of a hypothetical district. A court
    presented with a dilution claim should undertake a searching
    evaluation of the totality of circumstances (see, e.g., Elec. Code,
    § 14028, subd. (e)), including the characteristics of the specific
    locality, its electoral history, and the design and impact of the
    at-large system as well as the potential impact of lawful
    alternative electoral systems.         In predicting how many
    candidates are likely to run and what percentage may be
    necessary to win, courts may also consider the experiences of
    other similar jurisdictions that use district elections or some
    method other than traditional at-large elections.
    We express no view on the ultimate question of whether
    the City’s at-large voting system is consistent with the CVRA.
    The parties vigorously contested in the Court of Appeal whether
    plaintiffs had established two elements of a CVRA claim:
    whether voting in city council elections was racially polarized
    and whether the at-large method of election diluted the voting
    power of Latino residents in those elections. Because the Court
    of Appeal concluded that plaintiffs had failed to demonstrate
    dilution of the Latino vote, it did not consider whether voting in
    council elections was racially polarized. We have determined
    that the Court of Appeal relied on an incorrect legal standard to
    32
    PICO NEIGHBORHOOD ASSOCIATION v. CITY OF SANTA MONICA
    Opinion of the Court by Evans, J.
    conclude that plaintiffs had failed to satisfy the dilution element
    of their CVRA claim. Under the circumstances, we find it
    appropriate to remand the matter to the Court of Appeal to
    decide in the first instance whether, under the correct legal
    standard, plaintiffs have established that at-large elections
    dilute their ability to elect their preferred candidate; whether
    plaintiffs have demonstrated the existence of racially polarized
    voting; and any of the other unresolved issues in the City’s
    appeal. (See Central Coast Forest Assn. v. Fish & Game Com.
    (2017) 
    2 Cal.5th 594
    , 606.)
    DISPOSITION
    We reverse the judgment of the Court of Appeal and
    remand for further proceedings consistent with our opinion.
    EVANS, J.
    We Concur:
    GUERRERO, C. J.
    CORRIGAN, J.
    LIU, J.
    KRUGER, J.
    GROBAN, J.
    JENKINS, J.
    33
    See next page for addresses and telephone numbers for counsel who
    argued in Supreme Court.
    Name of Opinion Pico Neighborhood Assn. v. City of Santa Monica
    __________________________________________________________
    Procedural Posture (see XX below)
    Original Appeal
    Original Proceeding
    Review Granted (published) XX 
    51 Cal.App.5th 1002
    Review Granted (unpublished)
    Rehearing Granted
    __________________________________________________________
    Opinion No. S263972
    Date Filed: August 24, 2023
    __________________________________________________________
    Court: Superior
    County: Los Angeles
    Judge: Yvette M. Palazuelos
    __________________________________________________________
    Counsel:
    Lane Dilg, City Attorney, George Cardona, Interim City Attorney;
    Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher, Theodore J. Boutrous, Jr., Marcellus A.
    McRae, Kahn A. Scolnick, Tiaunia N. Henry and Daniel R. Adler for
    Defendant and Appellant.
    Cole Huber and Derek P. Cole for League of California Cities and
    California Special Districts Association as Amici Curiae on behalf of
    Defendant and Appellant.
    Strumwasser & Woocher, Bryce A. Gee and Caroline C. Chiappetti for
    The Santa Monica Transparency Project as Amicus Curiae on behalf of
    Defendant and Appellant.
    John K. Haggerty as Amicus Curiae on behalf of Defendant and
    Appellant.
    The Law Office of Joseph Pertel, Joseph A. Pertel; and Christopher M.
    Harding for League of Women Voters of Santa Monica, Alliance of
    Santa Monica Latino and Black Voters, Human Relations Council
    Santa Monica Bay Area and Community for Excellent Public Schools
    as Amici Curiae on behalf of Defendant and Appellant.
    Shenkman & Hughes, Kevin I. Shenkman, Mary R. Hughes, Andrea A.
    Alarcon; Law Office of Robert Rubin, Robert Rubin; Goldstein, Borgen,
    Dardarian & Ho, Morris J. Baller, Laura L. Ho, Anne P. Bellows,
    Ginger L. Grimes; Parris Law Firm, R. Rex Parris, Ellery S. Gordon;
    Law Offices of Milton C. Grimes, Milton C. Grimes; Schonbrun Seplow
    Harris & Hoffman, Paul Hoffman and John Washington for Plaintiffs
    and Respondents.
    Panish Shea & Boyle and Brian Panish for Richard Polanco, Sergio
    Farias, Juan Carrillo, Richard Loa and Austin Bishop as Amici Curiae
    on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    Hogan Lovells US, Ira M. Feinberg, Erin Chapman, Zach Martinez,
    Patrick C. Hynds, Derek Centola and Joseph M. Charlet for FairVote
    as Amicus Curiae on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    Greenberg Glusker Fields Claman & Machtinger, Douglas E. Mirell
    and Michelle A. Mabugat for Sara Sadhwani, Bernard Fraga, Janelle
    Wong, Marisa Abrajano, Jason Casellas, Lorrie Frasure, Matthew
    Mendez Garcia, Christian Grose, Eric Gonzalez Juenke, Jane Junn,
    Taeku Lee, Gabriele Magni, Jennifer Merolla, Melissa Michelson,
    Jessica Lavariega Monforti, Jason Morin, Ricardo Ramírez, Paru Shah,
    LaFleur Stephens, Dara Strolovitch, Christopher Towler and Tom
    Wong as Amici Curiae on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    UCLA Voting Rights Project, Chad W. Dunn and Sonni Waknin for
    Matt Barreto, Lorrie Frasure, Chelsea Jones, Natalie Masuoka, Gary
    Segura, Efrén Pérez and Chris Zepeda-Millán as Amici Curiae on
    behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    Keker, Van Nest & Peters, R. Adam Lauridsen and Connie P. Sung for
    Asian Americans Advancing Justice–Asian Law Caucus, Asian
    Americans Advancing Justice–Los Angeles and Asian Law Alliance as
    Amici Curiae on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    Rosenfeld Meyer & Susman and Todd W. Bonder for Oscar de la Torre
    as Amicus Curiae on behalf of Plaintiffs and Respondents.
    Lowenstein & Weatherwax, Nathan Lowenstein and Kenneth J.
    Weatherwax for Bruce A. Wessel as Amicus Curiae.
    Rob Bonta, Attorney General, Jonathan L. Wolff, Chief Assistant
    Attorney General, Heather Hoesterey and Kristin A. Liska, Deputy
    Attorneys General, for the Attorney General as Amicus Curiae.
    Stephen Bosworth and L. Stevan Leonard as Amicus Curiae.
    Counsel who argued in Supreme Court (not intended for
    publication with opinion):
    Theodore J. Boutrous, Jr.
    Gibson, Dunn & Crutcher LLP
    333 South Grand Avenue
    Los Angeles, CA 90071
    (213) 229-7804
    Kevin I. Shenkman
    Shenkman & Hughes
    28905 Wight Road
    Malibu, CA 90265
    (310) 457-0970