v. People , 2020 CO 8 ( 2020 )


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    ADVANCE SHEET HEADNOTE
    February 10, 2020
    
    2020 CO 8
    No. 17SC815, Juarez v. People—Criminal Law—Plea—Effective Assistance—
    Immigration
    Juarez petitioned for review of the court of appeals’ judgment affirming the
    denial of his motion for postconviction relief. With regard to his challenge to the
    effectiveness of his counsel, the district court found both that defense counsel
    adequately advised his client concerning the immigration consequences of his plea
    of guilty to misdemeanor drug possession and that, in any event, there was no
    reasonable probability Juarez would not have taken the plea. The intermediate
    appellate court similarly found that counsel’s advice fell within the range of
    competence demanded of attorneys in criminal cases, but as a result of that
    finding, the appellate court considered it unnecessary to address the question
    whether counsel’s performance prejudiced Juarez.
    The supreme court affirmed, ruling that because Juarez conceded he was
    advised and understood that the misdemeanor offense to which he pleaded guilty
    would make him “deportable,” defense counsel’s advice concerning the
    immigration consequences of his plea correctly informed him of the controlling
    law and therefore did not fall below the objective standard of reasonableness
    required for effective assistance concerning immigration advice.
    The Supreme Court of the State of Colorado
    2 East 14th Avenue • Denver, Colorado 80203
    
    2020 CO 8
    Supreme Court Case No. 17SC815
    Certiorari to the Colorado Court of Appeals
    Court of Appeals Case No. 13CA1296
    Petitioner:
    Alfredo Juarez,
    v.
    Respondent:
    The People of the State of Colorado.
    Judgment Affirmed
    en banc
    February 10, 2020
    Attorneys for Petitioner:
    Megan A. Ring, Public Defender
    John Plimpton, Deputy Public Defender
    Denver, Colorado
    Attorneys for Respondent:
    Philip J. Weiser, Attorney General
    Carmen Moraleda, Senior Assistant Attorney General
    Denver, Colorado
    CHIEF JUSTICE COATS delivered the Opinion of the Court.
    JUSTICE GABRIEL concurs in the judgment, and JUSTICE MÁRQUEZ joins in
    the concurrence in the judgment.
    Juarez petitioned for review of the court of appeals’ judgment affirming the
    denial of his motion for postconviction relief. With regard to his challenge to the
    effectiveness of his counsel, the district court found both that defense counsel
    adequately advised his client concerning the immigration consequences of his plea
    of guilty to misdemeanor drug possession and that, in any event, there was no
    reasonable probability Juarez would not have taken the plea. The intermediate
    appellate court similarly found that counsel’s advice fell within the range of
    competence demanded of attorneys in criminal cases, but as a result of that
    finding, the appellate court considered it unnecessary to address the question
    whether counsel’s performance prejudiced Juarez.
    Because Juarez conceded he was advised and understood that the
    misdemeanor offense to which he pleaded guilty would make him “deportable,”
    defense counsel’s advice concerning the immigration consequences of his plea
    correctly informed him of the controlling law and therefore did not fall below the
    objective standard of reasonableness required for effective assistance concerning
    immigration advice. The judgment of the court of appeals is therefore affirmed.
    I.
    In April 2012, Alfredo Juarez pleaded guilty to one class 1 misdemeanor
    count of possessing a schedule V controlled substance, in exchange for the
    dismissal of a charge of felony possession. As stipulated in the plea agreement, he
    2
    received a sentence to two years of drug court probation. At the time of his offense
    and plea, the defendant was a citizen of Mexico and a lawful permanent resident
    of the United States.
    A month after his sentencing, the defendant violated the conditions of his
    probation, received a suspended two-day jail sentence, and two weeks later, after
    violating the conditions of that suspension, served those two days in jail. After he
    received an additional three-day jail sentence for again violating his probation,
    federal Immigration Customs and Enforcement (“ICE”) officers began removal
    proceedings. The defendant was eventually deported to Mexico.
    In October 2012 and January 2013, the defendant filed motions for
    postconviction relief, challenging the effectiveness of his plea counsel’s
    representation and, as a result, the constitutional validity of his guilty plea. Over
    a period of three days, the district court heard these motions, including the
    testimony of the defendant, taken by video over the internet; the testimony of his
    plea counsel; and the testimony of an immigration attorney retained by him in
    2011, prior to his acceptance of the plea agreement. Following that hearing, the
    court made findings and conclusions and denied the motions.            The hearing
    revealed the following pertinent facts.
    The defendant was charged with a felony following the discovery of cocaine
    on his person. After nearly a year of continuances, granted for the specific purpose
    3
    of allowing him to address potential immigration issues prior to accepting any
    plea agreement, the defendant finally agreed to plead guilty to class 1
    misdemeanor possession of a controlled substance in exchange for the dismissal
    of his felony charge. Prior to the court’s acceptance of the plea, defense counsel
    made a record that he had spoken to two immigration attorneys, advised the
    defendant to contact an immigration attorney himself after providing him with
    several names, and clearly informed the defendant that the misdemeanor offered
    by the prosecution was the equivalent of a felony under federal immigration law.
    At the postconviction hearing, defense counsel further testified that on a call
    with him and the defendant, an immigration attorney explained that the plea offer
    was not acceptable because it would likely get him deported, and that the
    immigration attorney followed up the call with a letter, reiterating that the
    proposed plea would probably result in deportation. Counsel further testified that
    he consulted another immigration attorney who gave largely the same advice, and
    that he communicated this response to the defendant, who understood that
    deportation was the probable outcome of accepting the plea.
    The defendant himself also testified that in the process of renewing his
    lawful permanent resident status, his own immigration counsel had informed him
    that the plea could make him deportable. The defendant further testified that he
    spoke to a second immigration attorney, who also informed him that the plea
    4
    “would” make him deportable.          The defendant specifically conceded that
    although no one told him that accepting the agreement and pleading guilty would
    “automatically” make him deportable or that he actually “was going to get
    deported,” nevertheless he understood that pleading guilty to the misdemeanor
    “would” make him “deportable.”
    The district court reasoned that any distinction between being automatically
    or mandatorily deportable and simply being deportable was illusory and in fact
    that being so advised would have created a misleading impression of the
    probability of deportation. Similarly, it found that the defendant regretted his plea
    only after he violated his probation and was deported and therefore there was no
    merit in his assertion that had he been told he would “automatically” be deported
    he would not have accepted the plea agreement. After agreeing that the defendant
    was adequately advised, the court of appeals found it unnecessary to opine
    concerning the likelihood that but for inadequate advice, the defendant would
    have rejected the plea offer.
    II.
    For the waiver of fundamental rights inherent in any guilty plea to be
    effective, a pleading defendant must understand, among other things, the direct
    consequences of his plea. Brady v. United States, 
    397 U.S. 742
    , 755 (1970) (for a
    guilty plea to be voluntary it must, among other things, be entered by one “fully
    5
    aware of the direct consequences”); People v. Birdsong, 
    958 P.2d 1124
    , 1128 (Colo.
    1998) (“[T]he trial court must advise the defendant of the direct consequences of
    the conviction to satisfy the due process concerns that a plea be made knowingly
    and with a full understanding of the consequences thereof.”). In addition, before
    pleading guilty to a crime, a defendant is entitled to advice from his counsel that
    falls within the range of competence demanded of attorneys in criminal cases.
    Hill v. Lockhart, 
    474 U.S. 52
    , 58 (1985) (holding that two-part test from Strickland v.
    Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    (1984), applies to challenges to guilty pleas based on
    ineffective assistance of counsel). Although it appears well settled that a trial court
    is not required to advise a defendant sua sponte of potential federal deportation
    consequences, People v. Pozo, 
    746 P.2d 523
    , 526 (Colo. 1987), defense counsel’s
    obligations and the adequacy of his advice concerning the deportation
    consequences of his client’s acceptance of a guilty plea have long been the subject
    of debate in both state and federal law, compare People v. Soriano, 
    240 Cal. Rptr. 328
    ,
    333–36 (Cal. Ct. App. 1987) (determining that the defendant was denied effective
    assistance of counsel because he was not adequately advised of the immigration
    consequences of his plea), and People v. Pozo, 
    712 P.2d 1044
    , 1047 (Colo. App. 1985)
    (determining that the defendant was denied effective assistance where defense
    attorney did not research and advise the defendant with respect to deportation
    consequences of guilty plea), rev’d, 
    746 P.2d 523
    (Colo. 1987), and People v.
    6
    Padilla, 
    502 N.E.2d 1182
    , 1186 (Ill. App. Ct. 1986) (determining that failure to advise
    of    deportation     consequences       constitutes     ineffective    assistance      of
    counsel), with Tafoya v. State, 
    500 P.2d 247
    , 252 (Alaska 1972) (concluding that alien
    defendant received effective assistance of counsel despite counsel’s failure to
    advise of deportation consequences), and State v. Ginebra, 
    511 So. 2d 960
    , 962 (Fla.
    1987) (determining that counsel’s failure to advise client of deportation
    consequence does not constitute ineffective assistance of counsel), superseded by
    rule as stated in State v. De Abreu, 
    613 So. 2d 453
    , 453 (Fla. 1993).
    More than thirty years ago, in Pozo, this court addressed a challenge to the
    effectiveness of counsel for failing to advise of possible deportation consequences,
    but unlike the intermediate appellate court considering the question before us, we
    expressly declined to determine whether any such duty 
    existed. 746 P.2d at 527
    .
    Instead, relying heavily on then-existing federal law that permitted a sentencing
    court to prevent deportation by recommending against it, we found that the
    potential deportation consequences of guilty pleas in criminal proceedings
    brought against alien defendants were material to critical phases of such
    proceedings. 
    Id. at 528–29.
    Rather than imposing a duty on counsel to advise
    specifically of deportation consequences, we relied on the more fundamental
    principle that attorneys must inform themselves of material legal principles that
    may significantly impact the particular circumstances of their clients.              
    Id. at 7
    529–30. In the absence of an existing adequate record, we therefore remanded for
    a determination whether defense counsel had reason to know of Pozo’s alien
    status but nevertheless failed to conduct appropriate research into federal
    immigration law. 
    Id. Nearly a
      quarter   century   later,   emphasizing    that   the   “judicial
    recommendation against deportation,” or “JRAD,” and the Attorney General’s
    authority to grant discretionary relief from deportation had both been eliminated
    from federal immigration law, the United States Supreme Court characterized that
    law as now making removal “nearly an automatic result” and deportation as now
    constituting an integral part of the penalty that may be imposed on noncitizen
    defendants who plead guilty to specified crimes. Padilla v. Kentucky, 
    559 U.S. 356
    ,
    363–64, 366 (2010). Expressly finding the collateral versus direct distinction ill-
    suited to evaluating a Strickland claim concerning the specific risk of deportation,
    and noting that in any event the Supreme Court had never applied the distinction
    between direct and collateral consequences to define the scope of constitutionally
    reasonable professional assistance of counsel, the Court concluded simply that
    advice regarding the unique consequence of deportation is not categorically
    removed from the ambit of the Sixth Amendment right to counsel. 
    Id. at 365–66.
    After considering various sources of professional responsibility, the Court
    ultimately articulated counsel’s duty with regard to the first, or objective-
    8
    standard-of-reasonableness, prong of the Strickland test in the context of this
    unique kind of penalty, holding “that counsel must inform her client whether his
    plea carries a risk of deportation.” 
    Id. at 374.
    Acknowledging that immigration
    law can be complex and that there will undoubtedly be cases in which the
    deportation consequences of a particular plea will be unclear or uncertain, the
    Court held that when “the law is not succinct and straightforward,” a defense
    attorney need do no more than advise a noncitizen client that pending criminal
    charges may carry a risk of adverse immigration consequences. 
    Id. at 369.
    On the
    other hand, when the deportation consequence is truly clear, the duty to give
    correct advice is equally clear. 
    Id. In Padilla
    itself, where federal law classified the
    defendant’s particular crime as “deportable,” the Court considered “the terms of
    the relevant immigration statute [to be] succinct, clear, and explicit in defining the
    removal consequence for Padilla’s conviction.” 
    Id. at 368.
    III.
    Whether or not our rationale in Pozo retains any force after the elimination
    of judicial discretion as a means of affecting deportation, there can be little
    question that counsel in the instant case went to substantial lengths to educate
    himself and ensure that his client was fully informed of the immigration
    consequences of taking the plea in question. The defendant’s counsel not only
    secured a number of continuances for the very purpose of ensuring that his client
    9
    was advised of and understood these consequences, but he also had the defendant
    advised by an immigration attorney in his presence, and he personally advised the
    defendant to seek further consultation with an immigration specialist, after
    providing the defendant with a list of such specialists.
    From the record of the providency hearing, as well as the testimony of
    defense counsel, the testimony of a separate immigration attorney who advised
    him, and his own admissions, it was undisputed that the defendant was advised
    and understood that the misdemeanor drug offense offered by the prosecution
    would be treated as a felony conviction for purposes of federal immigration law;
    that he could not afford to take the plea if he wanted to avoid deportation; and
    that by taking the plea agreement he would in fact be made deportable. The
    defendant has never asserted that he was affirmatively misinformed that he need
    not worry about his immigration status, as was the defendant in 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 359
    , or that he was not advised that taking the plea in question would make him
    deportable, just as would a plea to a felony. He testified only that he was never
    advised that his plea would make him “automatically” deportable or that he
    actually “was going to get deported.”
    The defendant now asserts that merely being advised that taking the plea in
    question would make him deportable according to federal immigration law was
    insufficient to satisfy the duty imposed upon defense counsel in Padilla to provide
    10
    advice regarding the risk of deportation. Relying on specific terms used by the
    Court in criticizing defense counsel’s erroneous advice in Padilla, the defendant
    argues instead that adequate advice required counsel’s use of the terms “automatic
    deportation” and “presumptively mandatory deportation,” and that advising him
    he would probably be deported was in fact misleading.
    In articulating its holding (“we now hold”), the Padilla Court commanded
    that “counsel must inform her client whether his plea carries a risk of deportation.”
    
    Id. at 374.
    Drawing a distinction between immigration law that is not succinct and
    straightforward in defining the removal consequence and immigration law that is
    succinct and straightforward in defining the removal consequence, the Court
    imposed a more limited duty of advice on defense counsel with regard to the
    former than the latter. See 
    id. at 369.
          When “the law” is not succinct and
    straightforward, counsel’s duty in this regard is limited to advising a noncitizen
    client that pending charges may carry a risk of adverse immigration consequences,
    but when the deportation consequence is truly clear, counsel has a duty to give
    correct advice. 
    Id. The “correct
    advice” that counsel has a duty to give therefore necessarily
    refers to a correct explanation of “the law.” The immigration law at issue here is
    the very law that the Supreme Court in Padilla found to be “truly clear,” for the
    reason that it specified the deportation consequence for conviction of the crime to
    11
    which Padilla was pleading guilty, by one of Padilla’s immigration status. That
    consequence was that such an individual would be “deportable.” See 8 U.S.C.
    § 1227(a)(2)(B)(i) (2018) (“Any alien who at any time after admission has been
    convicted of a violation of . . . any law or regulation of a State, the United States,
    or a foreign country relating to a controlled substance . . . other than a single
    offense involving possession for one’s own use of 30 grams or less of marijuana, is
    deportable.” (emphasis added)).      The “correct advice” concerning the legal
    consequence of the defendant’s plea required in the instant case, just as it was in
    Padilla, was that the alien defendant would, in the language of the statute, be
    “deportable.” Id.; see also State v. Sanmartin Prado, 
    141 A.3d 99
    , 126, 128 (Md. 2016)
    (holding defense counsel provided correct advice under Padilla by informing the
    defendant    that    his   child   abuse      offense   is   “deportable”    because
    8 U.S.C. § 1227(a)(2)(E)(i) defines it as such). That is precisely the advice the
    defendant in the instant case was given.
    The term “presumptively mandatory” nowhere appears in the Court’s
    opinion as a required advisement or as a description of the “correct advice”
    required of clear statutes, but rather in an explanation why the advice given by
    Padilla’s counsel was incorrect. See 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 368
    –69. As the Court
    indicated in its opinion, it was not hard to find counsel’s advice deficient for three
    reasons: the consequences of Padilla’s plea could easily be determined from
    12
    reading the removal statute, his deportation was presumptively mandatory, and
    his counsel’s advice was incorrect. 
    Id. Similarly, the
    Court never used the phrases
    “automatic deportation” or “automatically deportable” in describing a required
    advisement or “correct advice.” “Subject to automatic deportation” appears only
    in an introductory passage of the opinion generally summarizing the Court’s
    conclusion that defense counsel’s advice to the effect that the defendant need not
    worry about his immigration status was deficient and that the question whether
    the defendant would be entitled to relief for ineffective assistance of counsel would
    therefore depend upon the second or prejudice prong of the Strickland standard, a
    matter the Court for procedural reasons did not propose to address. 
    Id. at 360.
    The Court used the phrase “automatically deportable” only in the portion of its
    opinion describing historical developments in federal immigration law. 
    Id. at 362.
    In fact, the Padilla opinion does not again use the term “automatic
    deportation” or suggest in the body of the analysis any requirement for counsel to
    predict the likelihood that the law will actually be enforced and the defendant will
    actually be deported. Besides undoubtedly being an accurate prediction, the
    assessment by the defendant’s counsel, as well as that of the other immigration
    specialists advising him, that if he took the offered plea agreement he would
    probably be deported did not in any way detract from or minimize the “correct
    advice,” which the defendant also received, that the legal consequence of his
    13
    accepting the agreement would be to make him deportable. Quite the contrary,
    being advised that one would probably be deported arguably implies that, as a
    matter of law, he would at the very least be deportable.
    Whether such an advisement of probable consequences standing alone,
    however, could demonstrate reasonable professional competence; whether, even
    if so, prejudice could be established in the face of ignoring such an advisement; or
    whether even correct advice concerning the legal consequence of such a plea might
    nevertheless be deficient in light of other, contradictory advisements, are all
    questions we need not answer. In the case before us, it is enough that the
    defendant was correctly advised concerning both the legal consequence and the
    practical implications of his plea.
    IV.
    Because Juarez conceded he was advised and understood that the
    misdemeanor offense to which he pleaded guilty would make him “deportable,”
    defense counsel’s advice concerning the immigration consequences of his plea
    correctly informed him of the controlling law and therefore did not fall below the
    objective standard of reasonableness required for effective assistance concerning
    immigration advice. The judgment of the court of appeals is therefore affirmed.
    JUSTICE GABRIEL concurs in the judgment, and JUSTICE MÁRQUEZ joins in
    the concurrence in the judgment.
    14
    JUSTICE GABRIEL, concurring in the judgment.
    The majority concludes that plea counsel’s advice to defendant Alfredo
    Juarez regarding the immigration consequences of Juarez’s guilty plea to a class 1
    misdemeanor drug possession count was correct and did not fall below the
    objective standard of reasonableness required for effective assistance concerning
    immigration advice. Maj. op. ¶ 22. In my view, however, counsel’s advice was
    deficient under the standards set forth in Padilla v. Kentucky, 
    559 U.S. 356
    , 369
    (2010), and People v. Pozo, 
    746 P.2d 523
    , 529 (Colo. 1987), because it did not
    correctly convey the clear statutory deportation consequences of Juarez’s guilty
    plea. Nonetheless, like the majority, I would affirm the judgment here because the
    record does not support Juarez’s contention that but for counsel’s deficient advice,
    he would not have pleaded guilty and instead would have proceeded to trial.
    Accordingly, I respectfully concur in the judgment only.
    I. Factual Background
    No one disputes that under the applicable immigration statutes, Juarez’s
    guilty plea in this case rendered him automatically deportable. See 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 363
    –64, 366 (noting that under contemporary law, if a noncitizen commits a
    removable offense, then his or her removal is “practically inevitable” and that
    “recent changes in our immigration law have made removal nearly an automatic
    result for a broad class of noncitizen offenders”); United States v. Yansane,
    1
    
    370 F. Supp. 3d 580
    , 586 (D. Md. 2019) (construing the immigration provision at
    issue here as “automatically” rendering deportable defendants who are convicted
    of any federal law or regulation relating to controlled substances). 1 Indeed, the
    majority itself acknowledges the Supreme Court’s view that, under prevailing
    immigration law, removal is now “nearly an automatic result” for noncitizen
    offenders like Juarez, although the majority goes to some length to try to minimize
    the import of the Court’s statement in that regard. Maj. op. ¶¶ 12, 19 (citing 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 366
    ).
    Plea counsel, however, did not advise Juarez of this applicable law. To the
    contrary, counsel appears to have advised Juarez only that (1) his plea “could make
    [him] deportable”; (2) if he took the plea offer, he would probably be deported; or
    (3) if he took the plea offer, it “very likely [would] result in either deportation or
    some type of exclusion from the United States.” (Emphases added.) In addition,
    when, prior to accepting the plea offer, Juarez expressed his belief that a felony
    might be viewed by immigration authorities as worse than a misdemeanor,
    counsel did not correct Juarez’s misimpression, even though counsel knew that,
    1 Although current law has changed the terminology from “deportation” to
    “removal,” because counsel in this case advised Juarez in terms of “deportation,”
    to avoid confusion, I, too, will generally use that term.
    2
    from an immigration standpoint, Juarez’s plea to the misdemeanor would put him
    in the same position as if he had been convicted of a felony. Instead, counsel told
    Juarez, “[T]here’s a possibility over the next several years that maybe the law
    might change, and if you’re looking at a misdemeanor versus a felony, might that
    somehow benefit you [sic].”
    The matter proceeded to the providency hearing, and when the court asked
    Juarez if he understood that his plea could affect his immigration status, Juarez
    replied, “Yeah,” but indicated that he was willing to proceed because there was
    nothing else that he could do. Specifically, Juarez made clear that he understood
    that his counsel had tried to get a plea deal that would have avoided the possibility
    of deportation but that the prosecutor would not make such an offer. Juarez thus
    told the court, “[W]e got to go with what . . . we can do now,” and although an
    immigration lawyer had told Juarez that the plea offer was unacceptable, Juarez
    pleaded guilty.
    II. Analysis
    I begin by discussing the standards set forth in Padilla and Pozo. I then
    address why I believe that plea counsel’s advice in this case was deficient. Last, I
    turn to the question of prejudice, and I explain why I do not believe that counsel’s
    deficient advice prejudiced Juarez on the facts presented here.
    3
    A. Padilla and Pozo
    Addressing counsel’s obligations in a case like this, in 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 368
    –69, the Supreme Court concluded that when “the terms of the relevant
    immigration statute are succinct, clear, and explicit in defining the removal
    consequence for [the defendant’s] conviction,” counsel must give “correct advice.”
    In contrast, when the law is not succinct and straightforward, “a criminal defense
    attorney need do no more than advise a noncitizen client that pending criminal
    charges may carry a risk of adverse immigration consequences.” 
    Id. at 369.
    In so concluding, the Supreme Court reached the same conclusion that we
    had reached some twenty-three years earlier in 
    Pozo, 746 P.2d at 529
    –30. See
    People v. Hinojos, 
    2019 CO 60
    , ¶ 28, 
    444 P.3d 755
    , 761-62 (citing Pozo immediately
    after   describing    defense   counsel’s       obligations   under   Padilla);   People v.
    Chavez-Torres, 
    2019 CO 59
    , ¶ 26, 
    442 P.3d 843
    , 850 (same); Kazadi v. People, 
    2012 CO 73
    , ¶ 31, 
    291 P.3d 16
    , 25 (Bender, C.J., dissenting) (equating the obligations of
    defense counsel set forth in 
    Pozo, 746 P.2d at 529
    , with those set forth in 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 374
    ).
    Specifically, in 
    Pozo, 746 P.2d at 529
    , we made clear that attorneys practicing
    in Colorado who knew or had sufficient information to form a reasonable belief
    that their client was a noncitizen had a duty to “investigate relevant immigration
    law.” This duty, we said, stems “from the . . . fundamental principle that attorneys
    4
    must inform themselves of material legal principles that may significantly impact
    the particular circumstances of their clients.” 
    Id. Moreover, we
    noted that in cases
    involving noncitizen criminal defendants, “thorough knowledge of fundamental
    principles of deportation law may have significant impact on a client’s decisions
    concerning plea negotiations and defense strategies.”         
    Id. Accordingly, we
    remanded the case to determine, in light of the foregoing principles, whether
    counsel’s failure to advise Pozo of the immigration consequences of his plea
    constituted constitutionally ineffective assistance of counsel. 
    Id. at 529–30.
    B. Deficient Conduct
    Applying the foregoing principles here, I believe that plea counsel’s conduct
    fell below the constitutionally mandated standards set forth in Padilla and Pozo.
    As noted above, in 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 368
    –69, the Supreme Court concluded
    that when “the terms of the relevant immigration statute are succinct, clear, and
    explicit in defining the removal consequence for [the defendant’s] conviction,”
    counsel must give “correct advice.” Here, as in Padilla, the consequences of
    Juarez’s plea could “easily be determined from reading the removal statute.” 
    Id. at 369.
    Specifically, pursuant to applicable law, his plea made him automatically
    deportable, such that his deportation was, in the words of the Padilla Court,
    “practically inevitable.” See 
    id. at 363–64,
    366; 
    Yansane, 370 F. Supp. 3d at 586
    .
    5
    Counsel, however, did not advise Juarez of this applicable law. Instead, he
    told Juarez only that (1) his plea “could make [him] deportable”; (2) if he took the
    plea offer, he would probably be deported; or (3) if he took the plea offer, it “very
    likely [would] result in either deportation or some type of exclusion from the
    United States.” (Emphases added.) Moreover, when Juarez expressed his belief
    that a felony might be viewed by immigration authorities as worse than a
    misdemeanor, counsel did not correct Juarez’s misimpression, even though
    counsel knew that, from an immigration standpoint, Juarez’s plea to the
    misdemeanor would put him in the same position as if he had been convicted of a
    felony. Instead, counsel gave Juarez false hope that the law might change and that
    a misdemeanor might be more beneficial than a felony.
    In my view, this was not the “correct advice” that Padilla and Pozo required
    plea counsel to provide. As the majority correctly observes, those cases require
    plea counsel to advise their clients correctly as to what the law is. Maj. op. ¶ 18.
    Juarez’s counsel, however, did not so advise Juarez. Rather, he told Juarez, as a
    factual matter, what he thought the likely outcome of Juarez’s plea would be. I do
    not believe that this was sufficient under Padilla and Pozo.
    Nor do I agree with the majority’s apparent view that advising a defendant
    that deportation is “probable” or “likely” is the same thing as advising the
    defendant what the law is (here, that Juarez’s plea rendered him automatically
    6
    deportable). Telling a defendant that deportation is probable or likely does not
    tell him or her what the law is. It provides, instead, a factual prediction as to the
    plea’s likely outcome.      Moreover, advising a defendant that deportation is
    “probable” or “likely” tends to convey at least some possibility that deportation
    might not occur. In my view, giving a defendant in a case like this such a false
    sense of hope is contrary to what Padilla and Pozo require because misadvising a
    defendant in this way interferes with his or her ability to make the voluntary,
    intelligent, and knowing waiver of rights that must accompany a guilty plea.
    In contrast to advising a defendant that deportation is “probable” or
    “likely,” advising defendants in cases like this that their pleas render them
    automatically deportable provides the defendants with the correct statement of
    the law that Padilla and Pozo mandate. And so advising a client does not tend to
    convey false hope. Indeed, if anything, it tends to suggest a general lack of
    discretion under the law.
    For these reasons, I would conclude that plea counsel’s advice in this case
    was deficient. In my view, counsel’s advice understated the consequences of
    Juarez’s guilty plea, and in endorsing such deficient advice, I believe that the
    majority’s opinion substantially weakens the important safeguards that both
    Padilla and Pozo have provided to noncitizen defendants who are considering
    entering guilty pleas.
    7
    C. Prejudice
    The question for me thus becomes whether plea counsel’s deficient advice
    prejudiced Juarez. On the facts of this case, I cannot say that it did.
    In the plea context, to establish the requisite prejudice, a defendant must
    show a reasonable probability that but for counsel’s errors, the defendant would
    not have pleaded guilty but instead would have insisted on going to trial. Hill v.
    Lockhart, 
    474 U.S. 52
    , 59 (1985).
    Here, the record establishes that in deciding whether to accept the plea offer,
    Juarez was principally focused on the offer’s deportation consequences. The
    record further shows that Juarez knew that his counsel had tried to get a plea offer
    that would have avoided the possibility of deportation but that the prosecutor
    would not make such an offer. And the record reveals that Juarez knew that if he
    accepted the misdemeanor offer that was on the table, then he would probably be
    deported. Notwithstanding all of the foregoing, and although an immigration
    attorney had told him that the plea offer was unacceptable, Juarez chose to accept
    that offer, telling the providency court, “[W]e got to go with what . . . we can do
    now.”
    On these facts, I cannot say that but for plea counsel’s deficient conduct,
    Juarez would probably have rejected the plea offer and would instead have
    proceeded to trial. Although plea counsel did not properly advise Juarez as to the
    8
    applicable law, as a factual matter, Juarez knew that his deportation was probable
    or likely if he pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor, and against immigration counsel’s
    advice, he pleaded guilty anyway. In such circumstances, I do not believe that the
    record supports a finding that Juarez would have acted differently had he been
    told that his plea rendered him automatically deportable, such that his removal
    was practically inevitable.
    Accordingly, I would conclude that Juarez has not established the requisite
    prejudice in this case.
    III. Conclusion
    For these reasons, although I believe that plea counsel provided deficient
    advice regarding the immigration consequences of Juarez’s guilty plea, I do not
    believe that Juarez has shown that he suffered any prejudice from that deficient
    advice.
    Accordingly, like the majority, I would affirm the judgment below, but I
    would do so on different grounds. I therefore respectfully concur in the judgment
    only.
    I am authorized to state that JUSTICE MÁRQUEZ joins in this concurrence
    in the judgment.
    9