Standing Rock Sioux Tribe v. United States Army Corps of Engineers ( 2021 )


Menu:
  •                            UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
    STANDING ROCK SIOUX TRIBE, et al.,
    Plaintiffs,
    and
    CHEYENNE RIVER SIOUX TRIBE, et al.,
    Plaintiff-Intervenors,
    v.                                        Civil Action No. 16-1534 (JEB)
    U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS,
    Defendant,
    and
    DAKOTA ACCESS, LLC,
    Defendant-Intervenor.
    MEMORANDUM OPINION
    Just like the Dakota Access Pipeline, which meanders over hill and dale before carrying
    its crude oil underneath Lake Oahe — a large reservoir on the Missouri River between North and
    South Dakota — the current litigation has wound its way through myriad twists and turns. Last
    year, in a hard-earned victory for the American Indian Tribe Plaintiffs whose reservations lie
    nearby, this Court found that Defendant U.S. Army Corps of Engineers had violated federal law
    by failing to produce an Environmental Impact Statement before granting Defendant-Intervenor
    Dakota Access, LLP an easement to run the pipeline under Lake Oahe. The Court subsequently
    vacated that easement and ordered the pipeline emptied of oil until the Corps could complete the
    federally mandated EIS.
    1
    Wasting no time, both Dakota Access and the Government promptly appealed to the D.C.
    Circuit. In a partial win for the Tribes, the Court of Appeals affirmed the two central elements of
    this Court’s rulings — specifically, that the Corps should have prepared an EIS and that the
    easement was properly vacated in the interim. The Circuit thus confirmed that the pipeline was,
    in legal speak, an unlawful encroachment on federal land.
    It was there, however, that the Tribes ran out of luck. Prior to the cessation of any oil
    flow, the Circuit stayed and eventually reversed the aspect of this Court’s order shutting down
    the pipeline, reasoning that it had not made the necessary findings for what was essentially
    injunctive relief. In other words, although vacatur of the easement rendered the pipeline an
    encroachment on federal property, vacatur could not itself bring about the stoppage of oil. For
    that to occur, the Court of Appeals clarified, this Court needed to conduct an additional, distinct
    inquiry, a component of which requires the Tribes to demonstrate that — among other things —
    they will likely suffer irreparable harm in the absence of an order closing the pipeline.
    As a result, for all of the headlines and controversy that this litigation has spawned, its
    tangible consequences for the pipeline itself have been few. Even though this Court vacated the
    easement for DAPL to cross beneath Lake Oahe, and even though the D.C. Circuit affirmed such
    vacatur, the pipeline has maintained operations as if none of these developments had occurred.
    Those seeking an explanation for the persistence of this surprising state of affairs over the past
    ten-odd months need look no further than the Defendant in this case: the Corps.
    Ever since this Court’s vacatur order in July 2020, and across two presidential
    administrations, the Corps has conspicuously declined to adopt a conclusive position regarding
    the pipeline’s continued operation, despite repeated prodding from this Court and the Court of
    Appeals to do so. On the one hand, the agency has refrained from exercising its enforcement
    2
    powers to halt Dakota Access’s use of the pipeline, notwithstanding its status as an unlawful
    encroachment. At the same time, however, neither has the Corps affirmatively authorized the
    pipeline’s occupation of the area underneath Lake Oahe per the process contemplated in its
    internal procedures. Its chosen course has instead been — and continues to be — one of
    inaction. Such indecision, it is important to note, does not stem from a lack of time. Nor from a
    lack of attention. Whatever the reason, the practical consequences of the Corps’ stasis on this
    question of heightened political controversy are manifest: the continued flow of oil through a
    pipeline that lacks the necessary federal authorization to cross a key waterway of agricultural,
    industrial, and religious importance to several Indian Tribes.
    Those Tribes thus find themselves forced to return to this Court to seek what they have so
    far been unable to obtain from the Government: an order halting pipeline operations until the
    Corps completes its new EIS. Before the Court may grant them such relief, however, binding
    caselaw requires that the Tribes make an evidentiary showing far beyond anything the Corps
    needs to itself shut down DAPL. As previously mentioned, they must demonstrate a likelihood
    of irreparable injury from the action they seek to enjoin — to wit, the pipeline’s operation. For
    the reasons articulated in this Opinion, Plaintiffs have not cleared that daunting hurdle.
    The Court acknowledges the Tribes’ plight, as well as their understandable frustration
    with a political process in which they all too often seem to come up just short. If they are to win
    their desired relief, however, it must come from that process, as judges may travel only as far as
    the law takes them and no further. Here, the law is clear, and it instructs that the Court deny
    Plaintiffs’ request for an injunction.
    3
    I.     Background
    The Court has recounted the factual and procedural history underlying this litigation on
    numerous occasions since it commenced in the summer of 2016. Eleven Opinions later, the
    Court need relate only information necessary to set the stage for the present Motion; it refers
    readers hungry for more to its prior writings. See, e.g., Standing Rock Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army
    Corps of Eng’rs (Standing Rock III), 
    255 F. Supp. 3d 101
    , 114–16 (D.D.C. 2017); Standing
    Rock Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs (Standing Rock VII), 
    471 F. Supp. 3d 71
    , 77–78
    (D.D.C. 2020).
    A. Pre-Vacatur
    This case began as an effort by several Tribes to halt the construction — and eventually
    the operation — of DAPL. The pipeline carries crude oil from North Dakota to Illinois along a
    1,200-mile path, a small segment of which runs deep beneath Lake Oahe. Standing Rock Sioux
    Tribe v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs (Standing Rock VI), 
    440 F. Supp. 3d 1
    , 9 (D.D.C. 2020).
    An artificial reservoir created in 1958 following a congressional taking of land from the Standing
    Rock Sioux Tribe and the Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe, the “lake” supplies the Tribes with
    drinking water and supports myriad other critical functions. 
    Id.
     at 9–10.
    Given that no permit is generally required for oil pipelines traversing private land, the
    legal dispute here has largely fixated on that relatively small segment buried under Lake Oahe.
    After an initial pair of failed bids to enjoin the pipeline’s construction and operation under two
    federal statutes irrelevant to the present Motion, the Tribes finally pinned their hopes on the
    National Environmental Policy Act. 
    Id.
     at 10–11. Under NEPA, agencies must “consider every
    significant aspect of the environmental impact of a proposed action,” Balt. Gas & Elec. Co. v.
    NRDC, 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 97 (1983) (quoting Vt. Yankee Nuclear Power Corp. v. NRDC, 
    435 U.S.
                                                   4
    519, 553 (1978)), so as to “inform the public that it has indeed considered environmental
    concerns in its decisionmaking process.” 
    Id.
     (citing Weinberger v. Catholic Action of Haw., 
    454 U.S. 139
    , 143 (1981)). Agencies must draft an Environmental Assessment, see 
    40 C.F.R. § 1501.4
    (b), that “[b]riefly provide[s] sufficient evidence and analysis for determining whether
    to prepare an environmental impact statement [EIS] or a finding of no significant impact
    [FONSI].” 
    Id.
     § 1508.9(a). “If any ‘significant environmental impacts might result from the
    proposed agency action[,] then an EIS must be prepared before agency action is taken.” Grand
    Canyon Trust v. FAA, 
    290 F.3d 339
    , 340 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (quoting Sierra Club v. Peterson, 
    717 F.2d 1409
    , 1415 (D.C. Cir. 1983)); see also 
    42 U.S.C. § 4332
    (2)(C). In order to determine
    whether an action may have “significant” environmental impacts, an agency must consider —
    among other criteria — “[t]he degree to which the effects on the quality of the human
    environment are likely to be highly controversial.” 
    40 C.F.R. § 1508.27
    (b)(4).
    In its EA, the Corps concluded that no EIS was necessary before issuing Dakota Access a
    couple of necessary authorizations — a permit for DAPL’s placement at Lake Oahe under the
    Rivers and Harbors Act, 
    33 U.S.C. § 408
    , and an easement to cross beneath the lake under the
    Mineral Leasing Act, 
    30 U.S.C. § 185
     — on July 25, 2016, and February 8, 2017, respectively.
    Standing Rock VI, 440 F. Supp. 3d at 10; Standing Rock III, 255 F. Supp. 3d at 114, 116; ECF
    No. 183-9 (Section 408 Decision Package) at ECF pp. 3–4, 6–7; ECF No. 172-11 (Easement).
    The Tribes argued that the Corps’ failure to require an EIS before granting those approvals
    violated NEPA. Standing Rock VI, 440 F. Supp. 3d at 11. Following a 2017 decision in which
    this Court remanded the matter to the agency for additional evaluation, see Standing Rock III,
    255 F. Supp. 3d at 112, the Court in March 2020 finally agreed that the Corps should have
    prepared an EIS before conferring the easement. Standing Rock VI, 440 F. Supp. 3d at 8, 17
    5
    (finding “unresolved scientific controversy” that confirmed “necessity of an EIS”). It thus
    granted summary judgment to Plaintiffs and remanded for the agency to complete one. Id. at 26.
    Such NEPA violation established, the question then became what to do about the
    easement during the time necessary to prepare an EIS. This Court provided the answer on July
    6, 2020, when it vacated such easement and ordered that the pipeline be emptied of oil during the
    remand process. Standing Rock VII, 471 F. Supp. 3d at 88; see also id. at 79 (noting that vacatur
    is “the ‘standard remedy’ in this Circuit for an ‘action promulgated in violation of NEPA’”)
    (quoting Humane Soc’y of U.S. v. Johanns, 
    520 F. Supp. 2d 8
    , 37 (D.D.C. 2007)). Although it
    acknowledged that “at least some immediate harm to the North Dakota oil industry should be
    expected from a DAPL shutdown,” the Court determined that the “seriousness of the Corps’
    NEPA error, the impossibility of a simple fix, the fact that Dakota Access did assume much of its
    economic risk knowingly, and the potential harm each day the pipeline operates” collectively
    outweighed such negative economic effects. 
    Id. at 84, 88
    . The legal effect of vacating the
    easement was to render the pipeline an “encroachment” on federal land. 
    Id. at 87
    ; see also ECF
    No. 562-4 (8/17/20 Ltr. from Corps to Dakota Access) at ECF p. 2 (explaining that, following
    Court’s remedy order, “the portion of the pipeline subject to the vacated easement is no longer
    considered by the Corps as an active easement, and its status has been changed to an
    encroachment on the Corps-managed federal land at Lake Oahe”). As for vacatur’s practical
    effect, the Court “require[d] the oil to stop flowing and the pipeline to be emptied within 30
    days.” Standing Rock VII, 471 F. Supp. 3d at 88.
    B. Post-Vacatur
    Displeased with that outcome, Dakota Access and the Corps promptly noticed their
    appeals. See ECF Nos. 548, 557. Their recourse to the court upstairs soon bore fruit — at least
    6
    in part. On August 5, 2020, a D.C. Circuit motions panel denied Defendants’ bid to stay this
    Court’s decisions that the Corps erred in not preparing an EIS and that the MLA easement should
    be vacated pending the statement’s completion. Standing Rock Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army Corps
    of Eng’rs (Standing Rock VIII), 
    2020 WL 4548123
    , at *1 (D.C. Cir. Aug. 5, 2020). The panel,
    however, placed on hold the aspect of this Court’s order shutting down the pipeline and
    emptying it of oil, reasoning that the Court “did not make the findings necessary for” such
    injunctive relief in NEPA cases. 
    Id.
     (citing Monsanto Co. v. Geertson Seed Farms, 
    561 U.S. 139
    , 158 (2010)). The Circuit also noted, “We expect [Government] appellants to clarify their
    positions before the district court as to whether the Corps intends to allow the continued
    operation of the pipeline notwithstanding vacatur of the easement and for the district court to
    consider additional relief if necessary.” 
    Id.
    Such “clari[t]y,” 
    id.,
     did not obtain. As merits briefing continued in the Court of
    Appeals, the parties returned to this Court where the Corps, in light of the Circuit’s having stayed
    the stoppage of oil flow, took its first stab at “detailing the options it is considering on vacatur.”
    8/10/20 Min. Order. Acknowledging that the pipeline now constituted an encroachment, the
    agency explained that its “general policy is to require removal of encroachments and restoration
    of the premises.” ECF No. 562 (8/31/20 Status Rep.) at 3 (internal quotation marks and citation
    omitted). That outcome was not inevitable, though, as another option available to the Corps —
    called an “outgrant” — would authorize Dakota Access to use the government-controlled
    property as it did prior to vacatur, thus effectively issuing it another easement. 
    Id.
     at 4–5. As the
    agency admitted, however, that process was subject to the strictures of NEPA, the very statute
    under which this Court had ordered the preparation of an EIS before any such easement could be
    granted. 
    Id.
     at 5–6; Standing Rock VI, 440 F. Supp. 3d at 8.
    7
    The Corps additionally maintained — without citing any authority — that it was under no
    obligation “to take any particular action to cure an encroachment within a specified time period”
    or even “to ultimately cure the encroachment at all.” 8/31/20 Status Rep. at 4. It estimated that
    it would make an “initial decision” as to a potential enforcement action against the pipeline by
    early October 2020, though it emphasized that it retained the “enforcement discretion to adapt its
    enforcement recommendations based on new information” at any time. Id. at 9. In the
    meantime, the agency would engage in multi-level “coordination . . . to ascertain whether the
    Pipeline’s unauthorized use presents risk to the Corps’ project and to find the best way . . . to
    resolve the situation of unauthorized use of the property interest.” Id. at 6; see also ECF No. 564
    (9/8/20 Joint Status Rep.) at 2 (Corps reiterating that it “is proceeding with its encroachment
    review process”). It also expressed its desire to discuss “potential additional safety measures”
    with both Dakota Access and the Tribes. See 8/31/20 Status Rep. at 7–9.
    Having thus received minimal concrete assistance from the Corps, the Court acceded to
    the Tribes’ request for a briefing schedule on the propriety of an injunction to halt the flow of oil
    (as contemplated by the D.C. Circuit’s August stay order). See ECF No. 567 (9/11/20 Order) at
    1–2; 9/17/20 Min. Order (setting briefing schedule). The Court noted its expectation that such
    briefing would focus on the issue of irreparable harm, one of the four requirements for
    permanent injunctive relief. See 9/11/20 Order at 2. The Tribes soon filed the present Motion,
    see ECF No. 569 (Pl. Mot.), which the Corps and Dakota Access opposed. See ECF Nos. 573
    (Corps Opp.), 577 (DA Opp.). October, meanwhile, came and went without any word from the
    Corps regarding its promised “initial decision” as to a potential enforcement action. See 8/31/20
    Status Rep. at 9.
    8
    On January 26, 2021 — shortly after the district-court briefing on Plaintiffs’ injunctive-
    relief request became ripe, see ECF No. 586 (Pl. Reply) — the D.C. Circuit issued its merits-
    panel opinion in the pending appeal of this Court’s summary-judgment and vacatur orders. In a
    detailed and comprehensive ruling, that court followed the roadmap previewed by the motions
    panel and affirmed this Court’s top-line conclusions that: 1) the Corps’ decision not to prepare an
    EIS violated NEPA, and 2) the easement should be vacated pending such statement’s
    completion. Standing Rock Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs (Standing Rock IX), 
    985 F.3d 1032
    , 1039 (D.C. Cir. 2021). The Circuit subsequently denied Dakota Access’s request for
    en banc review of these holdings on April 23, 2021, and the court’s mandate issued shortly
    thereafter. See Order, No. 20-5197 (D.C. Cir. Apr. 23, 2021); Mandate (D.C. Cir. May 19,
    2021).
    The Circuit also reversed this Court’s order shutting down the pipeline. Standing Rock
    IX, 985 F.3d at 1053–54. This time, the Court of Appeals elaborated on why vacatur of the
    easement was not itself sufficient to bring about a stoppage of oil flow. Unlike a challenge to an
    agency-issued construction or operating permit, vacatur of which would “naturally impl[y] an
    end” to such construction or operation, the present litigation involves an easement merely
    “authorizing the pipeline to cross federal lands.” Id. at 1054. “With or without oil flowing,”
    accordingly, “the pipeline will remain an encroachment, leaving the precise consequences of
    vacatur uncertain.” Id. That posture, the Circuit emphasized, rendered this case “quite unusual”;
    it could not identify a single other instance “in which the sole issue before a court was whether
    an easement already in use (rather than a construction or operating permit) must be vacated on
    NEPA grounds.” Id. At any rate, the panel made clear that this Court “could not order the
    9
    pipeline to be shut down without . . . making the findings necessary for injunctive relief” under
    the traditional four-factor test. Id. (citing Monsanto, 
    561 U.S. at 158
    ).
    The Circuit closed in the same fashion as its August 2020 stay order: with an overt prod
    of the Corps. While noting that “how and on what terms the Corps will enforce its property
    rights is, absent a properly issued injunction, a matter for the Corps to consider in the first
    instance,” the Court of Appeals emphasized that it “would expect [the agency] to decide
    promptly. To do otherwise would be to issue a de facto outgrant without engaging in the NEPA
    analysis that the Corps concedes such an action requires.” 
    Id.
    With the Circuit’s opinion and attendant guidance in hand, this Court promptly scheduled
    a status hearing for the purpose of discussing its impact on Plaintiffs’ bid for injunctive relief, as
    well as “how the Corps expects to proceed given the vacating of the easement.” 1/27/21 Min.
    Order. Two days before that hearing, the Corps — fresh off a change of administration in
    January 2021 — sought a two-month continuance for the purpose of “brief[ing] new officials
    regarding this case.” ECF No. 587 at 1. No party opposed the request, which the Court granted.
    Id. at 2; 2/9/21 Min. Order.
    When the long-awaited hearing finally arrived on April 9, 2021, however, the Corps —
    despite the instruction from both the Court of Appeals and this Court, as well as its own
    continuance request — had surprisingly little to say about the pipeline’s encroachment status.
    Indeed, far from issuing the contemplated “prompt[]” determination as to how it would “enforce
    its property rights,” Standing Rock IX, 985 F.3d at 1054, the Corps’ decision appeared to be that
    it would make no decision at all. According to Government counsel, “[T]he Corps is in a [sic]
    essentially continuous process of evaluating the status of the encroachment and what steps are
    best to take.” ECF No. 602 (4/9/21 Tr.) at 10:23–25. While the agency would “continue[]
    10
    monitor[ing]” the pipeline and could “take an enforcement action at any time,” it had “no . . .
    enforcement action to announce” at present nor any “timeline” for such potential action moving
    forward. Id. at 8:5–6, 8:12–14, 9:3–5, 11:7–8. At one point, the Corps seemed to acknowledge
    the possibility that it might not even decide how to enforce its property rights prior to completion
    of the judicially mandated EIS (currently estimated for March 2022). Id. at 8:19–20; ECF No.
    601 (5/3/21 Status Rep.) at 1. In light of that report, both Plaintiffs and the Government agreed
    that the proper course was for the Court to resolve the fully briefed injunction motion. See
    4/9/21 Tr. at 13:10–12, 15:9–14.
    Following receipt of short supplemental filings from both Dakota Access and the Tribes,
    see ECF Nos. 593 (Dakota Access Surreply), 597 (Pl. Surreply Resp.), the Court ordered the
    Corps to clarify its position on whether an injunction should issue. See 4/26/21 Min. Order. The
    agency’s response was less than decisive. While the Corps appeared to tepidly reiterate its prior
    opposition to the Tribes’ injunctive-relief bid, its submission also contained some hedging:
    As to whether an injunction should issue, the EIS process in which
    the Corps is currently engaged examines many factors including
    some that may be relevant to the permanent injunction standard. It
    is possible that in the EIS process the Corps would find new
    information, but to date the Corps is not aware of information that
    would cause it to evaluate the injunction factors differently than in
    its previous filing.
    5/3/21 Status Rep. at 2 (citing Corps Opp.). With this long procedural history in tow, the Court
    is finally prepared to rule on the Tribes’ request for an injunction.
    II.    Analysis
    The Court begins with an overview of the permanent-injunction factors, devoting
    particular attention to the requirement that a plaintiff suffer irreparable injury. It then applies
    that requirement to the circumstances of this case. Because the Court concludes that Plaintiffs
    11
    have not established irreparable harm, it has no need to address the other factors or Defendants’
    additional arguments for why injunctive relief is improper.
    Before diving in, the Court briefly disposes of a threshold argument made by the Tribes
    — specifically, that it should “clarify that pipeline operations must be suspended pursuant to its
    vacatur order even without an injunction.” Pl. Mot. at 3 (emphasis added). This misses the
    mark. The D.C. Circuit held precisely to the contrary in its January 2021 opinion reversing this
    Court’s shutdown order. See Standing Rock IX, 985 F.3d at 1054 (“[W]e nonetheless conclude
    that [the district court] could not order the pipeline to be shut down without, as required by
    Monsanto, making the findings necessary for injunctive relief.”); id. at 1053–54 (explaining why
    vacatur of easement was itself insufficient to stop oil flow). That ruling postdated Plaintiffs’
    briefing on the present Motion. Because it is now clear that the Tribes’ shutdown request “seeks
    more than mere vacatur,” the Court must find the permanent-injunction criteria fulfilled before
    issuing such relief. Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. Ross, 
    480 F. Supp. 3d 236
    , 250 (D.D.C.
    2020).
    A. Irreparable Harm
    A permanent injunction “is a drastic and extraordinary remedy.” Monsanto, 
    561 U.S. at 165
    . It “should not be granted as a matter of course,” 
    id.,
     and it “does not follow from success
    on the merits.” Winter v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, Inc., 
    555 U.S. 7
    , 32 (2008). Rather, it “should
    issue only if the traditional four-factor test is satisfied.” Monsanto, 
    561 U.S. at 157
    . In order to
    pass that test, a plaintiff must convince the Court:
    (1) that it has suffered an irreparable injury; (2) that remedies
    available at law, such as monetary damages, are inadequate to
    compensate for that injury; (3) that, considering the balance of
    hardships between the plaintiff and defendant, a remedy in equity is
    warranted; and (4) that the public interest would not be disserved by
    a permanent injunction.
    12
    
    Id.
     at 156–57 (quoting eBay Inc. v. MercExchange, LLC, 
    547 U.S. 388
    , 391 (2006)) (applying
    four factors when plaintiff sought permanent injunction to remedy NEPA violation). While the
    irreparable-harm requirement is recited in the past tense, it is clear that future harm may qualify.
    Id. at 162 (determining that respondents did not adequately show “that they will suffer
    irreparable injury” if agency were “allowed to proceed”).
    The Supreme Court “has repeatedly held that the basis for injunctive relief in the federal
    courts has always been irreparable injury and the inadequacy of legal remedies.” Weinberger v.
    Romero-Barcelo, 
    456 U.S. 305
    , 312 (1982); see also Chaplaincy of Full Gospel Churches v.
    England, 
    454 F.3d 290
    , 297 (D.C. Cir. 2006) (same). “A movant’s failure to show any
    irreparable harm is therefore grounds for refusing to issue” injunctive relief. Chaplaincy of Full
    Gospel Churches, 
    454 F.3d at 297
    ; see also CityFed Fin. Corp. v. Off. of Thrift Supervision, 
    58 F.3d 738
    , 747 (D.C. Cir. 1995) (“Because [plaintiff] has made no showing of irreparable injury
    here, that alone is sufficient for us to conclude that the district court did not abuse its discretion
    by rejecting [plaintiff’s] request.”); Sierra Club v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs, 
    990 F. Supp. 2d 9
    ,
    38 (D.D.C. 2013) (“Plaintiffs must demonstrate that they will suffer irreparable harm absent an
    injunction in order to be eligible for injunctive relief.”). “Indeed, if a court concludes that a
    movant has not demonstrated irreparable harm, it need not even consider the remaining factors.”
    Dallas Safari Club v. Bernhardt, 
    453 F. Supp. 3d 391
    , 398 (D.D.C. 2020) (citing CityFed Fin.
    Corp., 
    58 F.3d at 747
    ); see also Colo. Wild Horse v. Jewell, 
    130 F. Supp. 3d 205
    , 218 (D.D.C.
    2015).
    The D.C. Circuit “has set a high standard for irreparable injury.” Chaplaincy of Full
    Gospel Churches, 
    454 F.3d at 297
    . “[T]he injury must be both certain and great; it must be
    actual and not theoretical.” 
    Id.
     (quoting Wis. Gas Co. v. FERC, 
    758 F.2d 669
    , 674 (D.C. Cir.
    13
    1985)). Of critical importance is a demonstration that the “injury complained of is of such
    imminence that there is a clear and present need for equitable relief to prevent irreparable harm.”
    
    Id.
     (quoting Wis. Gas., 
    758 F.2d at 674
    ) (cleaned up); see also Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
    (“Injunctive relief will not be granted against something merely feared as liable to occur at some
    indefinite time . . . .”) (citation and internal quotation marks omitted). Notwithstanding some
    Circuit language using a “certainty” standard, all agree here that a plaintiff seeking permanent
    injunctive relief must at least “demonstrate that irreparable injury is likely in the absence of an
    injunction.” Winter, 
    555 U.S. at 22
    ; see Pl. Reply at 13; DA Opp. at 9–10; Corps Opp. at 5–6;
    see also Winter, 
    555 U.S. at
    32–33 (noting that analysis of preliminary-injunction requirements
    applies to permanent injunctions); Monsanto, 
    561 U.S. at 162
    ; Ctr. for Biological Diversity, 480
    F. Supp. 3d at 251 (acknowledging lack of clarity regarding whether future irreparable harm
    must be “certain” or merely “likely” to occur). A mere “possibility” of future harm is
    insufficient. Winter, 
    555 U.S. at
    21–22; see also 11A Charles Alan Wright & Arthur R. Miller,
    Fed. Prac. and Proc. § 2942 (3d ed.) (“There must be more than a mere possibility or fear that the
    injury will occur.”).
    A plaintiff attempting to establish irreparable harm thus faces a “considerable burden,”
    Save Jobs USA v. U.S. Dep’t of Homeland Sec., 
    105 F. Supp. 3d 108
    , 112 (D.D.C. 2015)
    (citation omitted), and a “very high bar.” Coal. for Common Sense in Gov’t Procurement v.
    United States, 
    576 F. Supp. 2d 162
    , 168 (D.D.C. 2008). In order to clear it, the movant must
    “substantiate [its] claim that irreparable injury is ‘likely’ to occur.” Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
    .
    “Bare allegations” to that effect “are of no value”; a court, rather, requires affirmative “proof” of
    likelihood and imminence. 
    Id.
     Additionally, “the movant must show that the alleged harm will
    directly result from the action which [it] seeks to enjoin.” 
    Id.
    14
    B. Application
    The Tribes posit three different kinds of injuries, each of which they claim independently
    qualifies as imminent irreparable harm and entitles them to permanent injunctive relief. The
    Court will spend most of its time on the first of these before disposing of the last two with
    greater dispatch.
    1. Threat of Damaging Oil Spill
    Plaintiffs’ principal claim of irreparable injury derives from the threat of an oil spill
    underneath Lake Oahe. See Pl. Mot. at 9–14; Pl. Reply at 13–16. That reservoir, as previously
    mentioned, provides the Tribes with water for drinking, industry, and sacred practices. In order
    for them to realize any harm from a pipeline leak, however, a series of contingent events must
    occur: 1) a spill under Lake Oahe; 2) of sufficiently large size; 3) the oil from which rises 92 feet
    from the pipeline to the bottom of the lake; and 4) which cannot be sufficiently mitigated or
    contained either before or upon entering the lake. See DA Opp. at 11. Simply itemizing that
    causal chain suggests the fundamental problem with Plaintiffs’ irreparable-harm argument: they
    have not established, as they must, that any of the chain’s individual components — let alone the
    feared end result — is “likely,” as opposed to merely “possibl[e].” Winter, 
    555 U.S. at 22
    .
    Without such showing, of course, they cannot demonstrate the probability of a damaging DAPL
    spill at Lake Oahe sufficient to warrant injunctive relief.
    Start with the threat of a spill itself. Throughout this long-running litigation, the Court
    has repeatedly determined that such risk is low. See Standing Rock Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army
    Corps of Eng’rs (Standing Rock IV), 
    282 F. Supp. 3d 91
    , 101, 105 (D.D.C. 2017) (referencing
    “low” likelihood and “minimal risk” of oil spill under Lake Oahe); Standing Rock VI, 440 F.
    Supp. 3d at 29 (similar); Standing Rock VII, 471 F. Supp. 3d at 85 (similar). Indeed, in 2017,
    15
    this Court rebuffed Standing Rock’s challenge to the Corps’ assessment that the risk of a spill
    under Lake Oahe is “very low,” “unlikely,” or “negligible,” finding that the agency had taken a
    “hard look” at the issue and sufficiently “support[ed] its conclusion that such a risk was low.”
    Standing Rock III, 255 F. Supp. 3d at 125–27, 149; see also ECF No. 172-1 (Final EA) at 48, 87,
    92 (“[T]he risk of an inadvertent release in, or reaching, Lake Oahe . . . is extremely low.”).
    Even Plaintiffs seem to acknowledge that a spill at Lake Oahe is of “lower probability.” Pl. Mot.
    at 11.
    The Court need not rehash all the evidence giving rise to those prior determinations. See,
    e.g., Standing Rock III, 255 F. Supp. 3d at 125–27; DA Opp. at 14–15. It bears noting, though,
    that reportable-incident data from the Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration
    (PHMSA) reflect but a single, 1.7-barrel leak between 2010 and 2020 on any crude-oil pipeline
    installed using horizontal directional drilling technology, the very method in place at DAPL’s
    Lake Oahe crossing. See ECF No. 593-4 (Supplemental Declaration of John F. Godfrey), ¶ 16.
    Dakota Access deployed HDD in order to bury the pipeline far beneath the bottom of Lake Oahe,
    thus mitigating — among other things — the risk of damage from outside forces. See ECF No.
    543-2 (Second Declaration of John F. Godfrey), ¶ 40; ECF No. 520-1 (Declaration of Michael C.
    Aubele), ¶ 8. In addition, Dakota Access reports that no spills have occurred at Lake Oahe or
    anywhere else along DAPL’s nearly 1,200-mile mainline since the pipeline commenced
    operations nearly four years ago. See Godfrey Suppl. Decl., ¶ 3e; ECF No. 585-6 (Fifth
    Declaration of Todd Stamm), ¶ 4. The Tribes do not dispute that record, instead pointing to
    several spills on a different pipeline operated by Energy Transfer (DAPL’s owner), along with a
    few minor incidents at Dakota Access facilities (as opposed to the mainline), the spilled oil from
    which was all remediated. See Pl. Mot. at 14 (citing ECF No. 527-5 (Third Declaration of
    16
    Donald Holmstrom), ¶¶ 14, 18); Godfrey 2d Decl., ¶ 6; DA Opp. at 14. An early declaration
    from one of Plaintiffs’ own experts, moreover, indicates that a DAPL mainline spill is even less
    probable today than during its (incident-free) start-up phase, as “pipelines are mostly likely to
    leak or fail when they are brand new.” ECF No. 272-2 (Third Declaration of Richard B.
    Kuprewicz), ¶¶ 9–10; see also Godfrey 2d Decl., ¶ 20. These historical data, when combined
    with the numerous safety measures in place at Lake Oahe, see ECF No. 562-5 (8/20/20 Ltr. from
    Dakota Access Counsel to Plaintiffs’ Counsel) at 2 (listing some), suggest that the chance of a
    spill at the crossing is especially unlikely.
    The Tribes face similar challenges when it comes to the remaining links in the
    aforementioned causal chain. With respect to the size of any pipeline leak under Lake Oahe —
    should one occur — their present briefing never rebuts Dakota Access’s evidence that, in light of
    historical spill data and DAPL’s leak-detection and shutdown systems, the probability of any
    large spill is relatively low. See DA Opp. at 15–16. Nor do they acknowledge additional safety
    features recently added at Lake Oahe, including backup power for remotely actuating local
    shutoff valves in the event of a primary-power failure. See Stamm 5th Decl., ¶ 7. While
    Plaintiffs gesture at Dakota Access’s “plans” to increase the pipeline’s throughput, see Pl. Mot.
    at 18, they have not explained precisely how any such occurrence would measurably augment
    the likelihood of a large spill, nor offered any information suggesting that a significant increase
    in oil flow is imminent.
    Even if a large leak did occur underneath the lake, moreover, the oil would have to rise
    more than 90 feet — roughly the length of an NBA basketball court — through a collection of
    low-permeability deposits, sediments, and clay before reaching the lakebed. See Aubele Decl.,
    ¶ 15. That is no easy journey. Indeed, according to the Corps’ remand analysis, the deep,
    17
    underground HDD installation “virtually eliminates the ability of a spill to interact with the
    surface water.” ECF No. 407-1 (Remand Analysis Record) at 58 (alteration omitted); see also
    Aubele Decl., ¶ 15 (similar); ECF No. 520-3 (Declaration of Todd Stamm), ¶ 41. Plaintiffs, once
    again, never acknowledge these physical barriers. Finally, the Tribes do not here account for
    Dakota Access’s PHMSA-approved response plans, which are aimed at promptly mitigating and
    remediating any large hypothetical spill that might reach the lake. See Stamm Decl., ¶¶ 19–23;
    Aubele Decl., ¶ 22; cf. Manzanita Band of Kumeyaay Nation v. Wolf, 
    496 F. Supp. 3d 257
    , 264–
    65 (D.D.C. 2020) (finding plaintiff’s irreparable-harm argument “undermined by . . . measures in
    place” to “mitigate” any such harm, including surveys, re-surveys, consultation, and additional
    protocol).
    Whether framed in terms of likelihood or imminence, Plaintiffs have not made a
    successful showing of irreparable harm based on the threat of an oil spill at Lake Oahe. Not only
    do they fail to engage with Dakota Access’s evidence that a large, damaging, irremediable spill
    is unlikely, they never actually point to evidence suggesting that such an incident is likely. That
    will not do. The “burden is on the Tribe[s] to indicate why” the flow of oil “must be enjoined to
    prevent an injury likely to occur to [them].” Standing Rock Sioux Tribe v. U.S. Army Corps of
    Eng’rs (Standing Rock I), 
    205 F. Supp. 3d 4
    , 36 (D.D.C. 2016); see also Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
     (explaining that movant must “substantiate the claim that irreparable harm is ‘likely’ to
    occur” with affirmative “proof,” not just “[b]are allegations of what is likely to occur”). Without
    such substantiation, each successive link in Plaintiffs’ chain of events — along with the ultimate
    outcome they fear — appears far too “hypothetical” to support an award of injunctive relief.
    Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 675
    ; see also Cuomo v. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comm’n, 
    772 F.2d 972
    ,
    976 (D.C. Cir. 1985) (deeming likelihood of irreparable harm “too small” where plaintiffs “only
    18
    vaguely sketch[ed] the contours of th[e] asserted harm”); Bill Barrett Corp. v. U.S. Dep’t of
    Interior, 
    601 F. Supp. 2d 331
    , 335–36 (D.D.C. 2009) (no irreparable harm where “the weight of
    the evidence is, at best, inconclusive as to whether” injury “is likely to occur”).
    It so happens that another court in this district has encountered a similar argument from
    plaintiffs in comparable circumstances — to wit, that operation of a particular pipeline “risks a
    devastating oil spill that would be damaging to nearby communities” and that such “harm is
    sufficient to warrant an injunction.” Sierra Club, 990 F. Supp. 2d at 41. There, as here, the
    movants insisted that a potential spill “poses an unacceptable risk” to water supplies. Id. at 41
    n.18; see, e.g., Pl. Mot. at 11 (quoting ECF No. 527-8 (Declaration of Patrick S. Flanders), ¶¶ 9,
    20 (same exact language)). Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson, however, found such assertions
    insufficient to establish irreparable harm because the plaintiffs “have not shown that a damaging
    oil spill is likely to occur.” Sierra Club, 990 F. Supp. 2d at 41. In other words, because “the
    harms that an oil spill might potentially someday cause . . . are not certain,” they could not
    “satisfy the ‘irreparable harm’ standard.” Id.; see also Sierra Club v. U.S. Army Corps of Eng’rs,
    
    482 F. Supp. 3d 543
    , 559 (W.D. Tex. 2020) (rejecting irreparable-harm argument based on “a
    series of assumptions” that “tends toward speculation” — namely, “that a similar drilling
    accident is likely to happen again at a water crossing, that drilling fluid will be released, that
    drilling fluid will cause harm, and that the harm will be irreparable”); City of Austin v. Kinder
    Morgan Tex. Pipeline, LLC, 
    447 F. Supp. 3d 558
    , 570–71 (W.D. Tex. 2020) (rejecting
    irreparable-harm argument where “the conditions required for that harm to occur are neither
    imminent nor reasonably certain” and where plaintiffs’ posited “causal chain becomes
    increasingly attenuated by surmise and speculation”). The same is true in this case.
    19
    Rather than actively disputing the low likelihood of a damaging spill and offering
    evidence to the contrary, the Tribes’ briefing gestures back to this Court’s summary-judgment
    ruling, which determined that expert commenters had identified “serious gaps in crucial parts of
    the Corps’ analysis” regarding the effectiveness of the pipeline’s leak-detection system, its
    operator’s less-than-sterling safety record, and the agency’s worst-case-discharge calculation.
    See Pl. Mot. at 10 (quoting Standing Rock VI, 440 F. Supp. 3d at 26). That tack, however,
    confuses the evidentiary showing required at summary judgment with the distinct and lofty
    burden they encounter here. While the existence of “unresolved scientific controversy” and
    “unanswered” questions in the Corps’ published materials could win the Tribes a remand for
    preparation of an EIS under NEPA on the ground that such issues made the easement approval
    “highly controversial,” Standing Rock VI, 440 F. Supp. 3d at 8, 17, it does little to establish a
    likelihood that the Tribes will suffer imminent, irremediable harm at Lake Oahe from the
    pipeline’s continued operation. Put differently, Plaintiffs cannot simply fall back on their
    evidentiary proffer at summary judgment and this Court’s concomitant conclusions, as that stage
    involved a different legal inquiry than does the present.
    So, too, with their invocation of last year’s vacatur proceedings. For instance, the Tribes
    contend that the Court “has already considered all th[e] evidence” of low spill risk cited by
    Dakota Access “and nonetheless found that shutting down the pipeline was warranted under a
    vacatur standard.” Pl. Reply at 15. This Court’s vacatur Opinion, however, did not have cause
    to explore the likelihood of a damaging pipeline spill in any capacity; it instead turned on “the
    serious deficiencies in the Corps’ decision not to prepare an EIS” and “the disruptive
    consequences” that might follow a shutdown order. See Standing Rock VII, 471 F. Supp. 3d at
    82 (citing Allied-Signal v. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Comm’n, 
    988 F.2d 146
    , 150–51 (D.C. Cir.
    20
    1993)). Notwithstanding that ruling, the Court of Appeals has since made clear that this Court
    may only order an oil stoppage upon finding that (among other things) the Tribes will likely
    experience irreparable harm absent such relief. The prior vacatur holding has little relevance to
    that question.
    Nor can Plaintiffs argue that, regardless of the “precise extent” of the risk of a spill, they
    “have made the requisite showing that DAPL has cut corners on safety, thereby exacerbating the
    risks of a dangerous enterprise, which supports injunctive relief.” Pl. Reply at 15. The mere fact
    that an injunction would cause a “reduction in risk” is insufficient “to establish that irreparable
    harm is likely in the absence of an injunction.” Ctr. for Biological Diversity, 480 F. Supp. 3d at
    251. It is precisely that latter showing that they have not made out. Similarly, they cannot point
    to the Corps’ NEPA violation as somehow discharging or lowering the “very high bar” they must
    clear in proving a likelihood of irreparable injury. Coal. for Common Sense, 
    576 F. Supp. 2d at 168
    ; see Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence v. Salazar, 
    612 F. Supp. 2d 1
    , 24 (D.D.C.
    2009) (“[A] procedural violation of NEPA is not itself sufficient to establish irreparable
    injury . . . .”). To the extent that the agency’s incomplete environmental evaluation deprived the
    Tribes of certain information that might aid their case, see Pl. Mot. at 13, “[b]y definition,” such
    “uncertainty falls short of the type of actual and imminent threat needed to show irreparable
    injury.” Cal. Ass’n of Pvt. Postsecondary Schs. v. DeVos, 
    344 F. Supp. 3d 158
    , 172 (D.D.C.
    2018) (citing Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
    ). The absence of information regarding potential
    environmental harm is a far cry from affirmative evidence of irreparable injury. Contrary to the
    Tribes’ formulation, the question is not whether “the Corps . . . can[] assure that [an irremediable
    spill] will not occur,” Pl. Mot. at 14 (emphasis added), but rather whether they can establish a
    likelihood of such harm. Indeed, no lesser authority than the Supreme Court has expressly
    21
    rejected the argument that there is a “thumb on the scales” favoring injunctive relief — or a
    shifting of the burden of proof therefor — when an agency runs afoul of NEPA. Monsanto, 
    561 U.S. at 157
    .
    At times, the Tribes adopt a different approach. Seemingly acknowledging that damage
    from a large oil spill at Lake Oahe is of “lower probability,” they maintain that an injunction is
    nonetheless warranted because any such spill would be “devastating” and have “catastrophic
    consequences.” Pl. Mot. at 9–11. This Court, Plaintiffs volunteer, should take it upon itself to
    “exercise [its] equitable discretion to balance the probability and the consequences of harm on
    the facts of” the case before it. Id. at 11. Such invitation notwithstanding, the Court must take
    the law as it finds it. And the law requires that irreparable injury be “likely in the absence of an
    injunction,” Winter, 
    555 U.S. at 22
    , and “of such imminence that there is a clear and present
    need for equitable relief to prevent” it. Chaplaincy of Full Gospel Churches, 
    454 F.3d at 297
    (quoting Wis. Gas., 
    758 F.2d at 674
    ) (cleaned up). The D.C. Circuit has provided no exception
    to these longstanding principles for harms that are of remote possibility but of great potential
    effect. Indeed, in an earlier stage of the present litigation, the Court spoke to this very issue:
    Although the potential injury may be significant, the Tribe must
    show that it is probable to occur in the absence of the preliminary
    injunction it now seeks. . . . This is the burden the law imposes for
    this form of relief. The Court must faithfully and fairly apply that
    standard in all cases, regardless of how high the stakes or how
    worthy the cause.
    Standing Rock I, 205 F. Supp. 3d at 33–34 (citing Winter, 
    555 U.S. at 22
    ). So too here. See
    Sierra Club, 990 F. Supp. 2d at 41 & n.18 (notwithstanding plaintiff’s argument that pipeline
    operation “risks a devastating oil spill that would be damaging to nearby communities” and
    “threaten [their] survival,” no irreparable harm because plaintiffs “have not shown that a
    damaging oil spill is likely to occur”) (citation omitted); Nat. Res. Def. Council v. Kempthorne,
    22
    
    525 F. Supp. 2d 115
    , 126 (D.D.C. 2007) (deeming irreparable harm not “likely” given its remote
    chance of occurring, even though alleged potential harm was severe).
    None of Plaintiffs’ cited cases from this district finding a likelihood of irreparable harm
    remotely suggests otherwise. See, e.g., Nat’l Ass’n of the Deaf v. Trump, 
    486 F. Supp. 3d 45
    , 58
    (D.D.C. 2020) (“little debate” that irreparable harm established where plaintiffs were denied
    access to critical health information in midst of COVID-19 pandemic, thus hampering their
    ability to protect themselves against virus that had already infected millions); Brady, 
    612 F. Supp. 2d at 25
     (finding likelihood of irreparable harm given “almost universal view” that agency
    action “will have some environmental impacts,” even if “extent” of such harm was “not fully
    known”); Ctr. for Biological Diversity, 480 F. Supp. 3d at 251–52 (deploying “probabilistic
    reasoning” to determine that irreparable injury was “likely” in absence of injunction). Nor does
    their non-binding, out-of-circuit precedent move the ball. See, e.g., Michigan v. U.S. Army
    Corps of Eng’rs, 
    667 F.3d 765
    , 785–86, 789 (7th Cir. 2011) (irreparable harm would “likely . . .
    come to pass” where invasive carp were already “knocking on the door” to Great Lakes, where
    carp had demonstrated ability to “dominate” ecosystems, and where threat “may be increasing
    with each day that passes”); Greater Yellowstone Coalition v. Flowers, 
    321 F.3d 1250
    , 1258
    (10th Cir. 2003) (pre-Winter case requiring only “significant risk” of irreparable harm); Van De
    Sande v. Van De Sande, 
    431 F.3d 567
    , 568–70 (7th Cir. 2005) (Hague Convention case
    unrelated to irreparable harm). At bottom, the Tribes have not put forth a single case involving
    an improbable and remote future harm — let alone of the degree present here — that somehow
    satisfied the irreparable-injury requirement on account of its great potential magnitude.
    To be sure, the concept of irreparable harm “does not readily lend itself to definition.”
    Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
    . The Court does not gainsay that the extent or severity of a potential
    23
    future harm may factor into the irreparable-injury calculus. Neither does it hold that a plaintiff
    cannot establish irreparable harm absent a “specific finding that the threatened harm was more
    likely than not.” Pl. Reply at 14. Indeed, it readily acknowledges that courts have found the
    requirement satisfied without undertaking a “statistical analysis to calculate the precise
    likelihood” of future injury. See Pl. Mot. at 12. The Court does not purport to know the precise
    probability of a damaging, irremediable oil spill at Lake Oahe. What it does know, however, is
    that the law requires the Tribes to make a “clear showing” that such harm is at least “likely” in
    the absence of an injunction. Winter, 
    555 U.S. at 22
    ; see also Monsanto, 
    561 U.S. at 162
    (requiring “present or imminent risk of likely irreparable harm”). While the concept of
    “likelihood” may blur around the edges in certain hypothetical applications, the above discussion
    renders abundantly plain that — at least at present — Plaintiffs have not come close to
    discharging this burden. All they have shown, rather, is a mere “possibility” of injury — and a
    fairly minimal one at that. This cannot get them over the hump. No matter the stakes and no
    matter the cause, courts may not grant the “extraordinary remedy” of an injunction “based only
    on a possibility of irreparable harm.” Winter, 
    555 U.S. at 22
    .
    2. Other Claimed Harms
    Apart from the risk of a damaging oil spill, the Tribes assert two other harms that require
    somewhat less discussion. They maintain that they are irreparably injured by “the ongoing
    trauma of the government’s refusal to comply with the law,” as well as the “undermining [of] the
    Tribes’ sovereign governmental role to protect their members and respond to potential disasters.”
    Pl. Mot. at 1, 14–18. Neither tack finds the wind.
    The problem with both is simple: they depend on the same remote threat of a pipeline
    spill that the Court has just found insufficient to constitute irreparable injury. Consider the first.
    24
    According to Plaintiffs, they are irreparably injured from “the impacts of living under the
    existential threat of a pipeline [oil spill]” in the form of “anxiety, trauma, and stress.” 
    Id. at 15
    .
    In the words of the Cheyenne River Sioux Tribe’s historic preservation officer, such emotional
    harms stem from the “looming threat of seepage, leak, and rupture,” which “inflicts ceaseless
    anxiety upon us that will not end until the pipeline is removed.” 
    Id.
     (quoting ECF No. 527-10
    (Declaration of Steve Vance), ¶ 17); see also 
    id.
     (arguing that Tribes’ “sense of safety is
    compromised by the operation of the pipeline”); 
    id. at 16
     (referencing “stress of living under an
    existential catastrophe”). The Court does not doubt the sincerity of these feelings. As Judge
    Jackson explained in Sierra Club, however, the fact that “some of the people who live in areas
    near the pipeline . . . are sincerely worried about the harm that an oil spill might cause” does not
    constitute irreparable harm absent a showing that “a damaging oil spill is likely to occur.” 990 F.
    Supp. 2d at 41; see also Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
     (“Injunctive relief will not be granted against
    something merely feared as liable to occur at some indefinite time.”) (citation and internal
    quotation marks omitted). As no damaging, irremediable spill at Lake Oahe is likely to occur
    here, the Tribes cannot establish irreparable injury simply by raising their fear of a hypothetical
    future spill. Were it otherwise, the irreparable-harm bar would not be much of a bar at all.
    Plaintiffs’ reliance on Fund for Animals v. Norton, 
    281 F. Supp. 2d 209
     (D.D.C. 2003), is
    misplaced for the same reason. There, the plaintiffs made a showing of irreparable injury based
    in part on emotional distress from their contemplation of the government’s impending killing of
    hundreds of swans. 
    Id.
     at 221–22. As multiple courts have subsequently explained, however,
    when the risk of the feared harm from the agency action in question is “low,” plaintiffs cannot
    claim irreparable injury from any “emotional distress” surrounding the prospect of that
    speculative harm. See Colo. Wild Horse, 130 F. Supp. 3d at 220 (distinguishing Fund for
    25
    Animals); see also Friends of Animals v. U.S. Bureau of Land Mgmt., 
    232 F. Supp. 3d 53
    , 66
    (D.D.C. 2017) (“Plaintiff’s observation or contemplation of the possible — though unlikely —
    physical harm that [animals] may suffer [from agency action] does not rise to the level of a
    ‘certain and great’ irreparable injury.”) (quoting Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
    ); Manzanita Band,
    496 F. Supp. 3d at 267 (“The [Tribe] only cite[s] . . . concerns and fears about the Projects’ effect
    on the sacred sites, not any evidence that injuries are likely to occur. While sincere, [these]
    sentiments do not meet the required showing for a preliminary injunction.”) (citation omitted).
    That principle controls here: the Tribes’ anxiety and trauma regarding a hypothetical damaging
    spill at Lake Oahe do not constitute irreparable harm where they have not demonstrated a
    likelihood of any such spill.
    Plaintiffs adopt a slightly different approach in their Reply brief, more directly
    emphasizing a related, but ultimately distinct, type of emotional injury. Specifically, they claim
    that “allowing the pipeline to continue operating despite a serious NEPA violation is part of a
    pattern” of “‘historic trauma’” experienced by “‘every Tribal member,’” one deriving from the
    government’s “continued refusal to respect the rights of the Tribes throughout the nation’s
    history” and its “prioritizing non-Indians” at the expense of Tribal members. See Pl. Reply at 17
    (cleaned up) (quoting ECF No. 569-5 (Fourth Declaration of John Eagle, Sr.), ¶ 13). The Court
    does not deny that shameful past. On the contrary, it fully acknowledges and appreciates the
    “tragic history of the Great Sioux Nation’s repeated dispossessions at the hands of a hungry and
    expanding early America,” along with the persistent “threat that new injury will compound old.”
    Standing Rock I, 205 F. Supp. 3d at 33. Plaintiffs’ argument based on ongoing, compounding
    historical trauma, however, does not qualify as irreparable harm within the context of this case.
    26
    The Tribes, critically, never explain how their asserted trauma — at least as it pertains to
    the pipeline — exists independent of the threat of an oil spill. In other words, the issue is not the
    mere existence of a buried pipe or the flow of oil within it. The culprits, rather, are the risk of a
    spill that inevitably accompanies the pipeline’s operation and Plaintiffs’ belief that the
    Government has forced them to bear that risk for the benefit of non-Tribal interests. See Pl.
    Reply at 17 (referencing “compounding impact of prioritizing non-Indians who privatize benefits
    but socialize risks on the backs of the Tribes”); Eagle 4th Decl., ¶ 13 (discussing, in context of
    “historic trauma,” pain caused by fact that pipeline “gets to keep operating, exposing us to risk
    and stress of catastrophe”). Once more, then, this variant of the Tribes’ earlier trauma-based
    arguments cannot be meaningfully disentangled from the remote threat of an oil spill at Lake
    Oahe that does not independently constitute irreparable harm. Nor do Plaintiffs explain how
    shutting down the pipeline would remedy these “longstanding,” deep-rooted feelings stemming
    from the “continued refusal to respect the rights of the Tribes throughout the nation’s history.”
    Pl. Reply at 17; see Standing Rock I, 205 F. Supp. 3d at 34 (finding no irreparable harm where
    harm was “destined to ensue whether or not the Court grants the injunction the Tribe desires”);
    Wis. Gas, 
    758 F.2d at 674
     (explaining that party seeking injunction “must show that the alleged
    harm will directly result from the action which [it] seeks to enjoin”) (emphasis added).
    Plaintiffs’ second claimed harm founders for similar reasons as the first. According to
    the Tribes, “[T]he Corps’ NEPA violations have undermined [their] sovereign governmental role
    to protect their citizens, respond to disasters, and mitigate harm.” Pl. Mot. at 16–17. It soon
    becomes clear, however, that these governance-based harms are once again derivative of the
    same speculative spill-risk harms handled above. See Pl. Reply at 18 (“[A]ny mistake by the
    Corps or DAPL immediately would become the Tribe’s problem, impact its core functions, and
    27
    threaten the citizens whom the Tribe is responsible for.”); 
    id.
     (arguing that “a spill would
    immediately and indisputably interfere with the Tribe’s sovereignty over its land”); Pl. Mot. at
    18 (referencing potential spill hindering ability of Tribe to protect “sacred and ceremonial sites
    that would be at risk”); 
    id.
     (discussing challenges in “spill response planning” and guarding
    against “risks and impacts” of potential spill). To the extent the Tribes assert injury arising from
    the process of “planning for” a potential pipeline leak and the “scarce resources” they devote
    thereto, see Pl. Reply at 18, moreover, such “present costs and burdens” stemming from a course
    undertaken to guard against a “speculative threat” cannot form the basis for irreparable harm.
    See Clapper v. Amnesty Int’l USA, 
    568 U.S. 398
    , 416 (2013) (rejecting similar argument in
    Article III injury-in-fact context). Finally, DAPL itself does not implicate any “loss of
    sovereignty over Tribal land,” Pl. Mot. at 17, as the Lake Oahe segment traverses only federal
    property. Standing Rock III, 255 F. Supp. 3d at 114.
    ***
    As the Tribes have not carried their burden to demonstrate a likelihood of irreparable
    injury absent an injunction, the Court must deny them the relief they seek. It does not reach that
    conclusion lightly. Fully aware of the unshakable indignities visited upon the Tribes across
    generations, the Court, as it has throughout this litigation, scrutinizes the record with care. It
    likewise acknowledges the quandary in which Plaintiffs find themselves and the undeniable
    frustration that comes with it — namely, having achieved (and successfully defended on appeal)
    the vacatur of a key pipeline easement, they must now turn around and make an even steeper
    showing to obtain the injunctive relief necessary to stop the flow of oil. As the preceding
    discussion demonstrates, establishing the harm necessary to earn this relief in circumstances such
    as the present is a tall task indeed. Yet, where the Court of Appeals has required that the Tribes
    28
    put forth a particular showing before securing any order shutting down the pipeline, this Court
    must hold them to that showing, no matter how lofty the bar.
    The Court closes this analysis where it began: with the Corps. Plaintiffs, no doubt, will
    wish that the Court’s Opinion today had come out differently. Simply by ruling, however, the
    Court has at least given them something the Corps has not: a decision. Notwithstanding repeated
    instruction from this Court and the D.C. Circuit to “decide promptly” and “in the first instance”
    how it “will enforce its property rights” vis-à-vis the pipeline’s encroaching on federal land at
    Lake Oahe, the Corps has not yet issued any determination on the matter at all — more than ten
    months since the invalidation of the underlying easement. Standing Rock IX, 985 F.3d at 1054.
    Much like the Circuit, this Court presently “ha[s] no occasion to consider” whether, by way of
    such inaction, the Corps has effectively granted “a de facto outgrant without engaging in the
    NEPA analysis that the Corps concedes such an action requires.” Id. For now, it suffices to note
    that by ducking the controversy surrounding the Oahe crossing, the Corps actively tolerates
    DAPL’s continued operation underneath a key federal waterway that it lacks the necessary
    authorization to traverse. That, of course, is a political decision outside this Court’s area of
    inquiry. Whether the Corps formally acknowledges such decision or not, this is the outcome it
    now owns.
    C. Section 408 Permit
    One final issue merits mention. Although the majority of the Tribes’ opening brief
    concerns their bid for injunctive relief, a single paragraph requests something entirely different
    — to wit, “clarification” from the Court that its vacatur order from last July was not limited to
    the Mineral Leasing Act easement but also included the permit issued under Section 408 of the
    Rivers and Harbors Act. See Pl. Mot. at 6–7. As a reminder, Dakota Access was required to —
    29
    and in July 2016 did — obtain such permit, which authorized it to lay the pipeline underneath
    Lake Oahe. See Standing Rock III, 255 F. Supp. 3d at 114, 116; 
    33 U.S.C. § 408
    (a) (making it
    unlawful to alter or make use of certain public works absent determination that occupation will
    not impair their usefulness or be injurious to public interest); Section 408 Decision Package at
    ECF pp. 3–4, 6–7. While the Court last year vacated the MLA easement pending the Corps’
    completion of an EIS, it said nothing in either its summary-judgment or vacatur Opinion about
    the status of the separate Section 408 permit (which the Tribes now maintain “indisputably relied
    on the invalidated environmental assessment” and thus cannot stand). See Pl. Mot. at 6–7.
    It quickly becomes clear why Plaintiffs request this additional “clarification.” According
    to them, “[V]acatur of the § 408 regulatory authorization would mean the pipeline could not
    continue operations,” thus excusing them from the need to satisfy the traditional injunction
    criteria before obtaining such relief. Id. at 7. Nowhere across their briefing, however, do they
    begin to explain why vacatur of the Section 408 permit would yield that result. Indeed, the
    opposite appears true. As the Government clarifies, “[T]here is no federal permit required to
    operate a crude oil pipeline,” nor does the Corps regulate such operation. See Corps Opp. at 4;
    see also Federal Appellant’s Reply Brief at 15 & n.3 (D.C. Cir. Sept. 30, 2020) (explaining that
    Dakota Access “do[es] not need a permit or license from the Corps to operate [DAPL] because
    the Corps does not regulate the operation of oil pipelines” and contrasting natural-gas pipelines,
    operation of which is regulated by federal agency); DA Opp. at 24 (noting that “oil pipelines
    need no federal license to operate”). The Section 408 permit, rather — much like the MLA
    easement — simply denotes the Corps’ approval of Dakota Access’s plans to site the pipeline on
    federal property, thereby altering the prior federal design. See Section 408 Decision Package at
    ECF pp. 3–4, 6–7. It follows that any potential vacatur of such permit — again like the easement
    30
    — could not by itself bring about a shutdown in pipeline operations. See Standing Rock IX, 985
    F.3d at 1054 (holding that mere vacatur of DAPL’s federal authorization to cross government
    property could not itself stop flow of oil absent independent findings necessary for injunctive
    relief).
    As the Tribes have offered no grounds for concluding that vacatur of the Section 408
    permit would put them in a different place from where they are now — i.e., in need of an
    injunction to close the pipeline — the Court declines to entertain their alternative bid to expand
    its prior order. That course seems all the more prudent in the absence of more dedicated briefing
    exploring precisely how this Court’s summary-judgment and vacatur Opinions bear on Plaintiffs’
    request.
    III.       Conclusion
    For the aforementioned reasons, the Court will deny Plaintiffs’ Motion for Clarification
    and a Permanent Injunction. A separate Order so stating will issue this day.
    /s/ James E. Boasberg
    JAMES E. BOASBERG
    United States District Judge
    Date: May 21, 2021
    31
    

Document Info

Docket Number: Civil Action No. 2016-1534

Judges: Judge James E. Boasberg

Filed Date: 5/21/2021

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 5/21/2021

Authorities (22)

Greater Yellowstone Coalition v. Flowers , 321 F.3d 1250 ( 2003 )

Davy Van De Sande v. Jennifer Van De Sande , 431 F.3d 567 ( 2005 )

Grand Canyon Trust v. Federal Aviation Administration , 290 F.3d 339 ( 2002 )

Chaplaincy of Full Gospel Churches v. England , 454 F.3d 290 ( 2006 )

Sierra Club v. R. Max Peterson, in His Official Capacity as ... , 717 F.2d 1409 ( 1983 )

allied-signal-inc-v-us-nuclear-regulatory-commission-and-the-united , 988 F.2d 146 ( 1993 )

mario-m-cuomo-governor-of-the-state-of-new-york-and-county-of-suffolk-v , 772 F.2d 972 ( 1985 )

cityfed-financial-corp-v-office-of-thrift-supervision-united-states , 58 F.3d 738 ( 1995 )

wisconsin-gas-company-v-federal-energy-regulatory-commission-michigan , 758 F.2d 669 ( 1985 )

Bill Barrett Corp. v. United States Department of the ... , 601 F. Supp. 2d 331 ( 2009 )

Humane Soc. of US v. Johanns , 520 F. Supp. 2d 8 ( 2007 )

Coalition for Common Sense in Government Procurement v. ... , 576 F. Supp. 2d 162 ( 2008 )

Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence v. Salazar , 612 F. Supp. 2d 1 ( 2009 )

Natural Resources Defense Council v. Kempthorne , 525 F. Supp. 2d 115 ( 2007 )

Weinberger v. Catholic Action of Hawaii/Peace Education ... , 102 S. Ct. 197 ( 1981 )

Weinberger v. Romero-Barcelo , 102 S. Ct. 1798 ( 1982 )

eBay Inc. v. MERCEXCHANGE, LL , 126 S. Ct. 1837 ( 2006 )

Winter v. Natural Resources Defense Council, Inc. , 129 S. Ct. 365 ( 2008 )

Monsanto Co. v. Geertson Seed Farms , 130 S. Ct. 2743 ( 2010 )

Fund for Animals v. Norton , 281 F. Supp. 2d 209 ( 2003 )

View All Authorities »