United States of America v. Google LLC ( 2023 )


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  •                       UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
    _________________________________________
    )
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, et al.,         )
    )
    Plaintiffs,                         )
    )
    v.                           ) Case No. 20-cv-3010 (APM)
    )
    GOOGLE LLC,                               )
    )
    Defendant.                          )
    _________________________________________ )
    _________________________________________
    )
    STATE OF COLORADO, et al.,                )
    )
    Plaintiffs,                         )
    )
    v.                           ) Case No. 20-cv-3715 (APM)
    )
    GOOGLE LLC,                               )
    )
    Defendant.                          )
    _________________________________________ )
    MEMORANDUM OPINION
    I.      INTRODUCTION
    Google LLC operates the largest Internet general search engine in the United States.
    Its brand name has become so ubiquitous that dictionaries recognize it as a verb. 1
    A Google search can be performed in a variety of ways—through (1) web browsers, like
    Apple’s Safari, Microsoft’s Edge, Mozilla’s Firefox, and Google’s Chrome; (2) search widgets
    1
    See, e.g., Google, DICTIONARY.COM, https://www.dictionary.com/browse/google (last visited July 31, 2023) (“to
    search the internet for information about (a person, topic, etc.)”); Google, OXFORD ENGLISH DICTIONARY,
    https://www.oed.com/dictionary/google v2?tab=meaning and use#10568538 (last visited July 31, 2023) (“To use
    the Google search engine to find information on the internet.”); Google, MERRIAM-WEBSTER’S DICTIONARY,
    https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/google (last visited July 31, 2023) (“to use the Google search engine to
    obtain information about (someone or something) on the World Wide Web.”).
    that appear on the face of Android devices; (3) the Google Search application, available through
    various app stores; and (4) Google’s webpage. Users can search using Google on a host of devices,
    including personal computers, mobile phones, tablets, and Internet-of-Things (“IoT”) devices such
    as smart speakers, home appliances, and cars.
    There are other search engines, of course: Microsoft’s Bing, Yahoo!, and DuckDuckGo, to
    name a few. But their market penetration pales in comparison to Google’s. In 2020, Google’s
    share of the U.S. general search services market was nearly 90%, and even higher on mobile
    devices. The market share of Google’s closest competitor, Bing, was roughly 6%.
    Google, like most search engines, generates revenue from digital advertising. Digital
    advertising is incredibly lucrative. Advertisers spend over $80 billion annually just to reach
    general search users (and billions more on other forms of digital advertising). Not surprisingly,
    because of its large market share in general search services, Google also holds a superior market
    position in various search-related advertising markets.
    A dominant firm like Google does not violate the law, however, merely because it occupies
    a monopoly market position. It must act in a manner that produces anticompetitive effects in the
    defined markets. That is, a company with monopoly power acts unlawfully only when its conduct
    stifles competition.
    In these consolidated cases, the United States and the Attorneys General of 38 states have
    accused Google of doing just that. They contend that Google has violated Section 2 of the Sherman
    Act, 
    15 U.S.C. § 2
    , by unlawfully maintaining monopolies through exclusionary practices in four
    relevant markets. The United States and Attorneys General jointly allege anticompetitive conduct
    in the markets for (1) general search services and (2) general search text advertising. The United
    2
    States identifies another relevant market for (3) search advertising, and the Attorneys General
    assert one more, (4) general search advertising. 2
    Both sets of plaintiffs allege that Google has unlawfully maintained its monopoly power
    through a set of exclusive contracts. These agreements make Google the default search engine on
    a range of products in exchange for a share of the advertising revenue generated by searches run
    on Google. Google has such agreements with (1) web browser developers, most notably Apple
    and Mozilla, and (2) original equipment manufacturers (like Samsung) and wireless carriers (like
    Verizon) who sell Android devices. So, for example, when a purchaser buys a new iPad, Google
    will be the out-of-the-box default search engine on Apple’s Safari web browser. Similarly, if a
    user prefers Android devices, the search widget that appears on the home screen typically is
    preloaded with Google’s search engine. Occupying the default search engine position on these
    products, Plaintiffs contend, is exclusionary conduct that unlawfully prevents Google’s rivals from
    effectively competing in the relevant markets.
    The Attorneys General also charge Google with two other forms of anticompetitive
    conduct, which they contend reinforce Google’s monopolies. First, the Attorneys General claim
    that Google’s conduct has weakened Specialized Vertical Providers (“SVPs”), which are
    companies focused on niche markets—like Expedia or Tripadvisor for travel, OpenTable for
    restaurant reservations, and Amazon or eBay for shopping. Google has harmed SVPs, the
    Attorneys General allege, by (1) limiting the visibility of SVPs on Google’s Search Engine Results
    Page, and (2) demanding that SVPs make their data available to Google on terms no less favorable
    than it does to others. The weakening of SVPs, the Attorneys General say, harms competition in
    the general search and general search-related advertising markets.
    2
    The relevant markets are discussed in Section III.A.
    3
    Second, the Attorneys General claim that Google uses its proprietary search engine
    marketing tool—SA360—to thwart competition.            Buyers use SA360 to purchase digital
    advertisements across multiple platforms, including on Google (through Google Ads) and its
    closest rival Bing (through Microsoft Ads). The Attorneys General accuse Google of harming
    competition by delaying the implementation of various SA360 product features for Microsoft Ads
    that have long been available for Google Ads, thus harming Microsoft’s ability to compete.
    Before the court are Google’s motions for summary judgment as to all claims in both cases.
    At this stage, Google is not contesting the markets as Plaintiffs have defined them. Nor does it
    dispute that it possesses monopoly power in those markets. What Google challenges is the
    accusation that its alleged conduct has harmed competition in the relevant markets.
    After having considered the parties’ briefing and the extensive record, and for the reasons
    explained below, the court grants Google’s motions in part and denies them in part. With respect
    to the complaint filed by the United States, and joined by the Attorneys General, the court denies
    summary judgment as to the claim that Google’s alleged exclusive dealing arrangements violate
    Section 2 of the Sherman Act. There remain genuine disputes of material fact that warrant a trial.
    Google’s motion is granted, however, insofar as the United States’ claims rest on (1) Google’s
    Android Compatibility Commitments and Anti-Fragmentation Agreements; (2) Google’s
    agreements relating to Google Assistant and IoT devices; and (3) Google’s management of its
    Android Open Source Project. Plaintiffs have not offered any opposition as to those three parts of
    their claims.
    As for the Attorneys General’s additional claims, the court grants judgment in favor of
    Google insofar as those claims rely on Google’s alleged weakening of SVPs. With respect to those
    allegations, Plaintiffs have not demonstrated the requisite anticompetitive effect in the relevant
    4
    markets to make out a Section 2 prima facie case. However, there remains a genuine dispute of
    material fact with regard to the anticompetitive effect of Google’s disparate development of
    SA360’s ad-buying features. Summary judgment is therefore denied as to that part of the
    Attorneys General’s claims.
    II.     PROCEDURAL HISTORY
    On October 20, 2020, the United States Department of Justice (“DOJ”) and the Attorneys
    General of eleven states 3 (collectively, “DOJ Plaintiffs”) filed a complaint (“DOJ Action”) against
    Google asserting violations of Section 2 of the Sherman Act. DOJ Compl., ECF No. 1. The
    DOJ Plaintiffs accused Google of unlawful monopoly maintenance “in the markets for general
    search services, search advertising, and general search text advertising in the United States through
    anticompetitive and exclusionary practices.” 
    Id. at 2
    . Its Complaint contained three Section 2
    claims, each corresponding to one of the alleged markets. 
    Id.
     ¶¶ 173–193.
    Two months later, the Attorneys General of 38 states and territories, 4 led by the State of
    Colorado (“Colorado Plaintiffs”), filed a separate complaint (“Colorado Action”) against Google
    alleging unlawful monopoly maintenance in the markets for “general search services, general
    search text advertising, and general search advertising in the United States.” Compl., Colorado v.
    Google, No. 20-cv-3715 (APM) (D.D.C.) [hereinafter Colorado Docket], ECF No. 3 [hereinafter
    Colorado Compl.], ¶ 1. The Colorado Action incorporated “[t]he search advertising market
    defined in the DOJ Complaint” and the claims made by the DOJ Plaintiffs, 
    id.
     at 22 n.3, and
    “allege[d] additional facts demonstrating a broader pattern of Google’s anticompetitive conduct,”
    3
    The 11 states that initially joined DOJ are Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi,
    Missouri, Montana, South Carolina, and Texas. See DOJ Compl. at 1–2.
    4
    The 38 states and territories in the Colorado Action are Colorado, Nebraska, Arizona, Iowa, New York, North
    Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, Alaska, Connecticut, Delaware, the District of Columbia, Guam, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois,
    Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, North
    Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, Virginia,
    Washington, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Colorado Compl. at 4–5.
    5
    
    id. ¶ 58
    . The Colorado Plaintiffs also asserted three Section 2 claims, each corresponding to one
    of the alleged markets. 
    Id.
     ¶¶ 212–232.
    On January 7, 2021, the court consolidated the two cases under Federal Rule of Civil
    Procedure 42(a) “for pretrial purposes, including discovery and related proceedings.”
    Order Granting in Part and Denying in Part Pls.’ Mot. to Consolidate, Colorado Docket,
    ECF No. 67, at 1; see FED. R. CIV. P. 42(a)(1). On January 15, 2021, the DOJ Plaintiffs filed an
    Amended Complaint, adding California, Michigan, and Wisconsin as plaintiffs. DOJ Am. Compl.,
    ECF No. 94, at 2.
    After a rigorous period of discovery, Google moved for summary judgment as to all claims
    in both cases. Def.’s Mot. Summ. J., ECF No. 421 (DOJ Action); Def.’s Mot. for Summ. J.,
    ECF No. 426 (Colorado Action).
    III.   BACKGROUND
    The following recitation of background facts is largely undisputed by the parties.
    A.      Relevant Markets
    General Search Services. The general search services market consists of “general search
    engines, which are ‘one-stop shops’ consumers can use to search the internet for answers to a wide
    range of queries.” Pls.’ Mem. in Opp’n to Def.’s Mot., ECF No. 476 [hereinafter DOJ Opp’n],
    Pls.’ Ctstmt. of Mat. Facts, ECF No. 476-2 [hereinafter DOJ CSMF], ¶ 400. Google and Bing are
    the two leading general search engines in the United States. Smaller players in the market include
    Yahoo!, DuckDuckGo, Brave, Ecosia, and Neeva. 
    Id. ¶ 405
    .
    General Search Text Advertising. The general search text advertising market is a subset of
    the general search advertising market described below.        It consists of a specific type of
    advertisement sold by general search engines that are “typically placed just above or below the
    6
    organic search results on a Search Engine Results Page (“SERP”), and resemble the organic results
    that appear on a general search engine’s SERP, with a subtle notation that they are ‘ads’ or
    ‘sponsored.’” DOJ Am. Compl. ¶ 101. Figure 1 is an example of a general search text ad.
    Figure 1
    General Search Advertising. The general search advertising market includes all
    advertisements sold “by a general search engine in connection with a general search query.”
    Colorado Compl. ¶ 82. Only the Colorado Plaintiffs allege unlawful monopoly maintenance in
    this market. 
    Id. ¶ 59
    .
    The general search advertising market encompasses not only search text ads, but other
    types of ads that appear on Google’s SERP, such as “vertically-focused search ads” and
    “universals.” Pl. States’ Mem. in Opp’n to Def.’s Mot., ECF No. 465, Pl. States’ Stmt. of Mat.
    Facts as to Which There is No Genuine Issue, ECF No. 465-1 [hereinafter Colorado SMF], ¶¶ 23–
    26. Vertically focused search ads include product listings, local search ads, and hotel ads. 
    Id. ¶ 25
    .
    Google also has universals for hotels, flights, shopping, and vacation rentals, to name a few.
    
    Id. ¶ 26
    . Figure 2 illustrates the different types of general search ads.
    7
    Figure 3
    Search Advertising. “The search advertising market consists of all types of ads generated
    in response to online search queries, including general search text ads (offered by general search
    engines such as Google and Bing) and other, specialized search ads (offered by general search
    engines and specialized search providers such as Amazon, Expedia, or Yelp).” DOJ Am. Compl.
    9
    ¶ 97; see also DOJ CSMF ¶ 413 (“There is a search ads market that consists of advertising that is
    displayed on the SERP that general or specialized search engines return in response to consumer
    real-time queries.”). Only the DOJ Plaintiffs allege that Google unlawfully monopolizes the search
    advertising market. DOJ Am. Compl. ¶ 108; Colorado Compl. ¶¶ 59–89.
    B.       Distribution Agreements
    Both the DOJ Plaintiffs and Colorado Plaintiffs contend that “Google has unlawfully
    maintained its monopolies by implementing and enforcing a series of exclusionary agreements
    with distributors over at least the last decade.” DOJ Am. Compl. ¶ 112; Colorado Compl. ¶ 58.
    Plaintiffs 5 take issue with two types of contracts: Browser Agreements and Android Agreements.
    The court provides a brief summary of these agreements before discussing them in detail.
    Browser Agreements are between Google and web browser developers, primarily Apple
    and Mozilla. Under these arrangements, the developers have agreed to make Google the default
    search engine for all search access points on their browsers in exchange for a share of the search
    advertising revenue generated by Google. The Browser Agreements do not, however, prohibit a
    user from changing the default to a different search engine. So, a user who types a query into
    Safari’s integrated search bar will search the Internet using Google, unless the user changes the
    default setting. The same is true on Firefox.
    Android Agreements are between Google and original equipment manufacturers
    (“OEMs”) of Android devices, like Samsung, or phone carriers that sell Android devices, like
    Verizon. These contracts—there are two—(1) require OEMs that choose to pre-install any of
    Google’s proprietary apps to pre-install 11 Google apps (including Google Search and Chrome)
    5
    References to “Plaintiffs” when discussing the Distribution Agreements in Section III.B. and V.A. refer to both the
    DOJ Plaintiffs and the Colorado Plaintiffs. References to “Plaintiffs” when discussing allegations in the Colorado
    Action in Section III.C. and V.B refer to the Colorado Plaintiffs only.
    10
    and place the Google search widget on the device’s home screen; and (2) as part of a separate
    revenue share agreement, prohibit OEMs and carriers from preinstalling or otherwise promoting
    an alternative general search engine. As a result of these agreements, an Android device user that
    enters a search query on a new device will default to Google, unless the user first changes that
    setting.
    1.       Browser Agreements
    Web browsers, like Apple’s Safari and Mozilla’s Firefox, have built-in search access points
    that automatically route user queries to a default search engine. In Plaintiffs’ view, “[b]eing the
    preset default search engine for a search access point on a preinstalled and prominently placed app
    is the most efficient and effective way for a search engine to reach users.” DOJ CSMF ¶ 445.
    Apple. In 2005, Google and Apple entered into an agreement where,
    Def.’s Stmt. of Mat. Facts as to Which There is No Genuine Issue in
    Supp. of Mot., ECF No. 423 [hereinafter Google DOJ SMF], ¶ 14; see Google 429 Exs., 6
    ECF No. 429, Ex. 7, ECF No. 429-7 [hereinafter Apple Agreement]. Importantly, Safari is the
    only web browser that is pre-installed on Apple devices. See Google 429 Exs., Ex. 2, ECF No.
    429-2, at 126:3–17. Thus, under the Browser Agreement with Apple,
    Apple Agreement at 4. 7
    Def.’s Mem. of P. & A. in Supp. of Def.’s Mot. for
    6
    Citations to “Google 429 Exs.” refer to Google’s exhibits filed under ECF No. 429. Similarly, citations to “Colorado
    470 Exs.” refers to Colorado Plaintiffs’ exhibits filed under ECF No. 470. This citing convention will be used for
    exhibits throughout the Memorandum Opinion.
    7
    ECF pagination is used for all exhibits.
    11
    Summ. J., ECF No. 422 [hereinafter Google DOJ Mot.], at 9.
    
    Id.
    Mozilla. The year before it entered into a browser agreement with Apple, Google reached
    a similar agreement with Mozilla. Under that contract,
    Google DOJ Mot. at 14; Google DOJ SMF ¶ 109; Google 430
    Exs., ECF No. 430, Ex. 32, ECF No. 430-7. In 2014, Mozilla decided to change the default search
    engine on its Firefox web browser in the United States from Google Search to Yahoo!. See Google
    430 Exs., Ex. 31, ECF No. 430-6, at 69:12–19. Two years later it switched back to Google. 
    Id.,
    Ex. 39, ECF No. 430-14. As with Google’s agreements with Apple, the contract with Mozilla did
    “not limit or preclude” users from changing the default search engine. 
    Id. at 3
    .
    Smaller Web Browser Developers. Google also has agreements with two smaller browser
    developers, Opera and UCWeb, which “provide revenue-share payments in exchange for being
    the default search engine upon first use, without preventing the promotion of rival search services
    or user’s ability . . . to change the default.” Google DOJ Mot. at 18–19.
    2.     Android Agreements: MADAs and RSAs
    The Android Operating System (“Android OS”) is a mobile phone operating system that
    Google acquired in 2005. DOJ CSMF ¶ 570. It is now the “second most widely used mobile
    phone operating system in the U.S.” behind Apple’s iOS. Google DOJ SMF ¶ 198. Unlike iOS,
    which can only be used on Apple devices, Android OS is open source, meaning that numerous
    OEMs can use Android OS on their smartphones and other devices. 
    Id. ¶ 199
    . In the United
    12
    States, “consumers purchase Android devices directly from OEMs (such as Samsung or Motorola)
    as well as from carriers (such as Verizon or AT&T).” 
    Id. ¶ 223
    .
    The DOJ and Colorado Plaintiffs take issue with two types of agreements between Google
    and OEMs/carriers—Mobile Application Distribution Agreements (“MADAs”) and Revenue
    Share Agreements (“RSAs”).
    MADAs. Google has entered into MADAs with OEMs, whereby Google provides the
    OEMs a non-exclusive, royalty-free license to 11 proprietary Google applications. 
    Id.
     ¶¶ 212–
    13. 8 If an OEM chooses to download any of the proprietary apps, absent an exemption, the OEM
    must “(i) preload on that device [the 11] applications licensed pursuant to the MADA and (ii) place
    on the device’s default home screen the Google Search widget, the Google Play application, and a
    folder containing the other MADA applications.” 
    Id. ¶ 217
    . Among the 11 applications are the
    Google Search App and Chrome browser. DOJ CSMF ¶ 584. The MADA prohibits OEMs from
    “encouraging, teaching, or helping end users to change an Android device’s out-of-the-box default
    settings if Google apps are preinstalled on the device.” 
    Id. ¶ 585
    . MADAs do not, however,
    “restrict an OEM from preloading a search application, widget, or browser provided by a search
    engine other than Google on any of its devices, including devices on which it chooses to install the
    MADA applications.” DOJ Opp’n, Pls.’ Stmt. of Genuine Issues, ECF No. 476-1, [hereinafter
    DOJ SGI], ¶ 219.
    RSAs. Under its RSAs with “carriers and OEMs, Google makes monthly payments to the
    counterparty in exchange for Google being (1) the exclusive general search engine preinstalled on
    Android devices covered by the RSA, as well as (2) the search default for all search access points
    8
    The 11 applications are Google Search, Google Play Store, Google Chrome, YouTube, Google Maps, Gmail, Google
    Photos, YouTube Music, Google Duo, Google Drive, and Google Play Movies and TV. DOJ 480 Exs., ECF No. 480,
    Ex. 160, ECF No. 480-12, at 21.
    13
    Etsy are part of the “shopping vertical,” while Expedia and Booking are part of both the “flight
    vertical” and “hotel vertical.” SVPs differ from general search engines “because of their much
    narrower commercial focus and because many of them afford users the convenience of completing
    transactions on their websites, such as purchasing a pair of shoes (Amazon) or reserving a hotel
    room (Booking).” 
    Id. ¶ 129
    .
    Limited Visibility in Google’s SERP. To understand the Colorado Plaintiffs’ theory of how
    Google’s monopoly power affects SVPs, it is critical to understand how Google designs its Search
    Engine Results Page (“SERP”). Google’s SERP includes three types of search results that appear
    in response to a query: (1) organic web results, which are the blue “plain text hyperlinks to
    webpages for which Google does not receive any payment, ranked according to relevancy and
    quality”; (2) search text ads, which look like the organic web results but are actually “paid
    advertisements relevant to a query that has been entered”; and (3) specialized search results in
    various commercial segments (“universals” or “verticals”), including “‘vertical’ units for certain
    categories of information.” Def.’s Stmt. of Mat. Facts as to Which There is No Genuine Issue in
    Supp. of Def.’s Mot., ECF No. 428 [hereinafter Google Colorado SMF], ¶¶ 3–5, 8.
    The third category, specialized vertical units, refers to results organized around a particular
    search query. For example, when a user searches for “hotels in Washington, DC,” in addition to
    organic web results and search text ads, Google “offers a hotels unit organized around hotel listings
    in a specified location in response to the query.” 
    Id. ¶ 6
    ; see Figure 4. “Unlike text ads, vertically-
    focused search ads look less like algorithmic results and may include photos and information such
    as prices, customer ratings, and business hours.” Colorado SMF ¶ 24. “Google has universals that
    can appear on its SERP for hotels, flights, shopping, and vacation rentals, among others.” 
    Id. ¶ 26
    .
    “Over time, Google has altered its SERP for commercial queries to increasingly display Google’s
    15
    own search universals above the unpaid blue links,” and the blue links often appear “below the
    fold” requiring users to scroll down to see them. 
    Id.
     ¶¶ 33–34.
    Figure 4
    Plaintiffs take issue with Google’s imposition of “visibility restrictions on SVPs” in certain
    commercial segments. Errata Pl. States Mem. in Opp’n to Def.’s Mot., ECF No. 491 [hereinafter
    Colorado Opp’n], at 18. For example, “SVPs cannot appear in results in the free listings in
    Google’s hotel universal, flights universal, or in the local universal triggered by searches for
    nearby businesses” and “cannot purchase ads in their own name” or “appear prominently in the
    tile of local services ads on Google’s SERP.” Id.; see Figure 4. However, SVPs can and do appear
    in other universals, like vacation rentals. Colorado SMF ¶ 154; see Figure 5 (listing SVPs
    Vio.com, Evolve, and Sojourn).
    16
    Figure 5
    Data-acquisition Agreements. The Colorado Plaintiffs’ allegations concerning SVPs also
    center on how Google obtains data from them. Google collects information in two primary ways:
    (1) “by crawling and indexing websites throughout the internet,” Colorado SMF ¶ 6, and (2) by
    acquiring “structured data” (such as flight availability on a given day or a restaurant’s hours of
    operation) from third parties, information that “is not otherwise available through Google’s
    internet crawling and indexing.” 
    Id. ¶¶ 7, 173
    .
    Google acquires “structured data” from SVPs. “[A]s a condition of participating in its
    vertically-focused search advertising, Google requires certain SVPs to provide access to their
    data.” 
    Id. ¶ 175
    . “Google uses SVP data for its own purposes in its hotels, flights, and local
    universals, in local services ads, and in the hotel and flights immersive pages.” 
    Id. ¶ 180
    . SVPs
    who share data with Google are not restricted from providing that same data to Google’s rivals.
    
    Id. ¶ 183
    . However, SVPs are required to give Google “data equivalent to any competitor.” 
    Id.
    17
    2.       SA360
    The Colorado Plaintiffs’ claims also concern Google’s development and use of its search
    engine marketing (“SEM”) tool, SA360. Advertisers can purchase online advertisements in a
    variety of ways. The three most notable are: (1) directly from online content publishers, like
    The New York Times, (2) directly from online platforms like Google, Amazon, Facebook, and
    Microsoft through “native tools” or “interface tools,” and (3) through an SEM tool. See Google
    Colorado SMF ¶ 243. Native advertising tools allow advertisers to place ads directly on a single
    general search engine or platform. Colorado SMF ¶ 75. For example, an advertiser could use
    Google’s native tool—Google Ads—to place an ad on Google, and Microsoft’s native tool—
    Microsoft Ads—to place an ad on Bing. 
    Id.
     Alternatively, advertisers can use SEM tools, which
    “allow advertisers to plan and manage search advertising campaigns across multiple” general
    search engines. 
    Id. ¶ 76
    .
    “SEM tools are popular because they save advertisers time and effort by allowing them to
    use a single product to manage and compare ad campaigns across multiple native tools, evaluate
    the relative performance of ad campaigns across multiple platforms, and use powerful tools to
    assist with ad placement and bidding strategies.” 
    Id. ¶ 81
    . Google’s SEM tool—SA360—is the
    most used SEM tool, accounting for               of general search ad revenue among ads placed through
    SEM tools. 
    Id. ¶ 80
    . Rival SEM tools include Skai, Marin, and Adobe. Google Colorado SMF
    ¶ 253. 11 “When an advertiser places ads through an SEM tool, including SA360, the tool earns a
    commission on the dollar it manages.” Colorado SMF ¶ 78.
    11
    SA360 allows advertisers to place ads across multiple search engines, including Google, Bing, Yahoo! Japan, and
    Baidu. Google Colorado SMF ¶ 252. Some SEM tools like Skai, Marin, and Adobe “allow advertisers to buy ads on
    search engines, social media, and other sites, and, unlike SA360, integrate not just with search engines like Google
    and Bing, but also with sites like Amazon, Facebook, Twitter, and Pinterest.” Google Colorado Mot. at 13; Google
    Colorado SMF ¶ 254.
    18
    Feature Parity. SEM tools offer various features that make ad buying campaigns more
    efficient, such as “language targeting” and “location search specific targeting.” Google 436 Exs.,
    ECF No. 436, Ex. 87, ECF No. 436-7 at 5 [hereinafter Google Ex. 87]. Historically, SA360 has
    supported more features on Google Ads than Microsoft Ads, meaning users of SA360 could buy
    ads more efficiently on Google Ads than Microsoft Ads. Colorado SMF ¶¶ 117, 125. The absence
    of “feature parity”—which “refers to parity between Google Ads features and Microsoft Ads
    features offered by SA360,” Google Colorado SMF ¶ 268—is not unique amongst SEM tools.
    “SA360, Marin, Skai, and Adobe offer differing levels of support for Microsoft Ads and other ad
    platforms.” 
    Id. ¶ 250
    .
    In November 2019,
    
    Id.
     Plaintiffs’
    Complaint identifies five            SA360 features that “Google either delayed support for, or
    failed to support: auction-time bidding, call extensions, dynamic search ads, responsive search ads,
    and local inventory ads.” Google Colorado SMF ¶ 272; see also Colorado Compl. ¶¶ 152, 160.
    A new version of SA360 launched in February 2022, less than two years after Plaintiffs
    filed the instant complaint. Google Colorado SMF ¶ 291. The new version supported four of the
    five features for Microsoft Ads that Plaintiffs had identified as lacking: “call extensions, dynamic
    19
    search ads, responsive search ads, and local inventory ads.” 
    Id.
     Google began working on
    developing the fifth feature—auction-time bidding—in early 2021, and it “is currently in the
    testing phase.” Google Colorado SMF ¶ 308–09; Hr’g Tr., ECF No. 580, at 180:15–181:18
    (counsel for the Colorado Plaintiffs conceding that “it is undisputed that Google is going to install
    the very auction time bidding that [Plaintiffs] have complained” of).
    IV.    LEGAL STANDARD
    A.      Summary Judgment
    Summary judgment is appropriate if “there is no genuine dispute as to any material fact
    and the movant is entitled to judgment as a matter of law.” FED. R. CIV. P. 56. A material fact is
    one that is capable of affecting the outcome of the litigation, and a genuine dispute exists when “a
    reasonable jury could return a verdict for the nonmoving party.” Anderson v. Liberty Lobby, Inc.,
    
    477 U.S. 242
    , 248 (1986). The party seeking summary judgment must demonstrate the absence
    of a genuine issue of material fact. See Celotex Corp. v. Catrett, 
    477 U.S. 317
    , 323 (1986). When
    determining whether a genuine issue of material fact exists, the trier of fact must view all facts,
    and reasonable inferences drawn therefrom, in the light most favorable to the nonmoving party.
    See Matsushita Elec. Indus. Co. v. Zenith Radio Corp., 
    475 U.S. 574
    , 587–88 (1986).
    B.      Monopolization: Microsoft Burden-Shifting Framework
    Section 2 of the Sherman Act makes it unlawful for a person to “monopolize, or attempt to
    monopolize, or combine or conspire with any other person or persons[] to monopolize any part of
    the trade or commerce among the several States.” 
    15 U.S.C. § 2
    . The offense of monopolization
    has two elements: (1) “the possession of monopoly power in the relevant market” and (2) “the
    willful acquisition or maintenance of that power” through “exclusionary conduct ‘as distinguished
    from growth or development as a consequence of a superior product, business acumen, or historic
    20
    accident.’” United States v. Microsoft Corp., 
    253 F.3d 34
    , 50, 58 (D.C. Cir. 2001) (per curiam)
    (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting United States v. Grinnell Corp., 
    384 U.S. 563
    , 570–
    71 (1966)). For purposes of summary judgment, Google does not contest element one—monopoly
    power in the relevant markets. Hr’g Tr. at 6:11–12. The sole issue for the court to resolve is
    whether Google has maintained monopoly power in the relevant markets through “exclusionary
    conduct” as opposed to procompetitive means. Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 58
    .
    The D.C. Circuit in Microsoft established a burden-shifting framework for determining
    “[w]hether any particular act of a monopolist is exclusionary, rather than merely a form of vigorous
    competition.” 
    Id.
     First, the plaintiff bears the burden of establishing a prima facie case that the
    monopolist’s conduct has an “anticompetitive effect.” 
    Id.
     at 58–59. “That is, [the alleged conduct]
    must harm the competitive process and thereby harm consumers. In contrast, harm to one or more
    competitors will not suffice.” 
    Id. at 58
    ; 
    id. at 59
     (stating that the plaintiff “must demonstrate that
    the monopolist’s conduct harmed competition, not just a competitor”).
    Second, “if a plaintiff successfully establishes a prima facie case under § 2 by
    demonstrating anticompetitive effect, then the monopolist may proffer a ‘procompetitive
    justification’ for its conduct.” Id. Conduct is procompetitive if it “is indeed a form of competition
    on the merits because it involves, for example, greater efficiency or enhanced consumer appeal.”
    Id. If the defendant offers a procompetitive justification, the burden shifts back to the plaintiff to
    rebut it. Id.
    Finally, “if the monopolist’s procompetitive justification stands unrebutted, then the
    plaintiff must demonstrate that the anticompetitive harm of the conduct outweighs the
    procompetitive benefit.” Id. In carrying out this balancing, which resembles a “rule of reason”
    analysis, courts must focus “upon the effect of [the] conduct, not upon the intent behind it.” Id.
    21
    Evidence of intent is relevant only insofar as it bears on the “likely effect of the monopolist’s
    conduct.” Id.
    Google’s motion for summary judgment targets the first step of the burden-shifting
    framework. Hr’g Tr. at 13:6–12. In other words, it has not asked the court to evaluate the
    procompetitive justification for its alleged conduct nor rule that any procompetitive benefit
    outweighs the anticompetitive harm. Its argument is simply that “plaintiffs have not made out
    their prima facie case.” Id.
    Though the Microsoft burden-shifting framework would seem straightforward, the parties
    disagree on precisely how to apply it. They contest two points: (1) the constituent elements of the
    prima facie case, and (2) whether the challenged conduct should be considered in the aggregate or
    independently. The court addresses each in turn.
    1.     Prima Facie Case
    The parties disagree about what the prima facie case entails. Google contends that
    establishing a prima facie case is a “two-step process.” Id. at 14:19–25. First, Plaintiffs must
    show that the conduct is by nature anticompetitive, as opposed to conduct that is “competition on
    the merits.” Id. Second, Plaintiffs must proffer evidence of substantial anticompetitive effects in
    the relevant market. Id. Plaintiffs disagree with Google’s bifurcation of the prima facie burden.
    Id. at 50:3–51:5. In their view, establishing a prima facie case is a one-step inquiry that considers
    only whether the conduct at issue has an anticompetitive effect in the relevant market. Id.
    Despite their apparent differences, there is not much daylight between the parties on what
    the prima facie showing requires. All parties agree that there are categories of conduct that
    generally do not harm competition. Id. at 51:1–22 (DOJ counsel agreeing that “[t]here are certain
    things that generally don’t harm competition” like “cutting your price or improving your product,”
    22
    and “[s]ome conduct is generally not problematic”); Def.’s Mem. of P. &. A in Supp. of Def.’s
    Mot., ECF No. 427 [hereinafter Google Colorado Mot.], at 20 (“[I]f a product design change
    improves a product, the conduct reflects ‘competition on the merits,’ and cannot [standing alone]
    form the basis for an antitrust violation.”). Where they part ways is that Plaintiffs contend that
    even conduct that is typically thought of as competition on the merits still could be anticompetitive
    depending on the circumstances. See Hr’g Tr. at 51:15–22. For example, price cutting, though
    ordinarily procompetitive, can be anticompetitive if done for a predatory purpose. So, Plaintiffs
    say, the court must determine whether there are anticompetitive effects regardless of the “nature”
    of the conduct.
    Whether conceived as a one-step or two-step inquiry, the prima face case boils down to
    one fundamental question:        Has the plaintiff shown that the monopolist’s conduct harmed
    competition? Plaintiffs are not required to make a further showing that the challenged conduct by
    its nature is anticompetitive.
    2.   Individual v. Aggregation of Harm
    The parties’ more significant disagreement is over how the court should go about
    determining whether Google’s “conduct indeed has the requisite anticompetitive effect.”
    Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at
    58–59. Google maintains that the court should not “consider[] the
    challenged conduct in the aggregate without first considering whether each category of conduct is
    exclusionary and in fact has some anticompetitive effect on its own.” Reply in Supp. of Def.’s
    Mot., ECF No. 523 [hereinafter Google Colorado Reply], at 6.
    Plaintiffs take a different view. They insist that “anticompetitive effects are analyzed
    contextually, not through the formalistic granularity proposed by Google.” DOJ Opp’n at 17.
    Plaintiffs ask the court to instead aggregate the anticompetitive effects of Google’s conduct—
    23
    including conduct that is not anticompetitive on its own—when determining whether the conduct
    has an overall anticompetitive effect. See 
    id.
     at 20 n.10 (“Google’s agreements are anticompetitive
    when the effects of each type of agreement are viewed in light of each other and cumulatively.
    They are mutually reinforcing, not discrete acts that should be ‘isolatedly viewed.’”) (internal
    citations omitted); Colorado Opp’n at 24 (“Google wants to rewrite the States’ Complaint to assert
    three independent claims, thus sidestepping and leaving unchallenged the States’ assertion that the
    totality of conduct harms competition.”); Hr’g Tr. at 52:18–53:25 (DOJ Plaintiffs’ counsel
    asserting in response to a hypothetical that the court would be required to consider the Apple
    Browser Agreement in assessing anticompetitive effect, even if the court were to conclude that the
    agreement on its own is not anticompetitive).
    The Colorado Plaintiffs, in particular, insist that their SA360 and SVP allegations cannot
    be viewed independently of each other or the exclusive distribution agreements. “[T]aken
    together,” they assert, “Google’s SA360 and SVP tactics weaken its rivals, amplifying Google’s
    ability to secure distribution agreements, and creating [a] monopoly feedback loop.” Colorado
    Opp’n at 27.
    Not surprisingly then, the parties offer different interpretations of how the D.C. Circuit
    measured anticompetitive harm in Microsoft.           Plaintiffs contend that “the Microsoft Court
    illustrated in its careful review of the multiple forms of conduct” that trial courts must conduct “a
    fact-intensive inquiry that considers whether ‘the monopolist’s conduct on balance harms
    competition.’” Id. at 22 (quoting Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 59
    ). Microsoft “analyzed five forms of
    conduct that together constituted the offense of monopoly maintenance under Section 2 of the
    Sherman Act,” and “[i]n assessing liability, the Court examined the interaction among different
    contracts and categories of conduct.” 
    Id.
     at 21–22. In Plaintiffs’ view, “the D.C. Circuit did not
    24
    analyze each of Microsoft’s acts in isolation; instead, it examined them in light of each other” and
    “in light of market realities, including the role that scale played in reinforcing [Microsoft’s]
    operating systems monopoly.” DOJ Opp’n at 17–18. As an example, Plaintiffs point to the court’s
    analysis of Microsoft’s agreements with independent software vendors (ISVs). Id. at 17. ISVs
    represented “a relatively small channel for browser distribution” but Microsoft’s agreements with
    ISVs were nevertheless found anticompetitive because “Microsoft had largely foreclosed the two
    primary channels [for browser distribution] to its rivals,” Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 72
    , and thus “the
    anticompetitive effect of the ISV agreements took on ‘greater significance’” and “amplified the
    effect that Microsoft’s conduct had on distorting the competitive process,” DOJ Opp’n at 17–18
    (quoting Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 72
    ). 12
    Google responds that “the Microsoft court did not, as Plaintiffs do here, lump together both
    exclusionary and non-exclusionary conduct in assessing whether there was an anticompetitive
    effect,” and “expressly rejected the approach Plaintiffs urge here.” Google Colorado Reply at 6–
    7. When “assessing whether the [Microsoft] plaintiffs had met their prima facie burden of showing
    harm to competition,” Google argues, “[t]he court considered only” the particular exclusionary
    conduct. Id. at 7. Google points to the “range of challenged conduct in the [Internet Access
    Provider (IAP)] distribution channel” and argues that the D.C. Circuit “analyzed the conduct
    separately to determine whether it was competitive or exclusionary, and effects from competitive
    acts were thereafter excluded from the analysis.” Id. at 7.
    12
    In Microsoft, the trial court had found that Microsoft, through various anticompetitive means, had maintained its
    monopoly in personal computer operating systems (Windows) by suppressing competition with Netscape’s Navigator
    web browser. See 
    253 F.3d at 50
    . Among other things, Microsoft sought to block distribution channels for Navigator
    through various agreements. The most cost-effective of those were exclusive agreements with OEMs to install
    Microsoft’s Internet Explorer as the default web browser. 
    Id. at 60
    . The second prominent agreement involved
    bundling its browser with internet access software distributed by Internet Access Providers, like America Online.
    See 
    id.
     at 67–68. These two exclusionary arrangements “largely foreclosed the two primary channels [of distribution]
    to its rivals.” 
    Id. at 72
    . The third, and smallest, of the distribution channels was through ISVs. 
    Id.
     It is in this context
    that the court held the exclusive arrangements with ISVs “amplified” Microsoft’s monopoly power. 
    Id.
    25
    The court agrees with Google that, under Microsoft, courts must evaluate whether each
    type of alleged exclusionary practice has the requisite anticompetitive effect. In other words, when
    determining whether plaintiffs have met their prima facie burden, courts can only aggregate
    conduct that is itself deemed anticompetitive (even if only minimally so). This approach is best
    illustrated, as Google notes, by the D.C. Circuit’s evaluation of IAP distribution channels in
    Microsoft. The district court had “condemned as exclusionary Microsoft’s agreements with
    various IAPs,” and had determined that five challenged “actions” were anticompetitive. Microsoft,
    
    253 F.3d at
    67–68. On appeal, the Circuit analyzed each of the five actions separately and held
    that only one—an exclusive dealing arrangement—was anticompetitive. 
    Id.
     at 67–71. And, only
    as to that conduct did the burden shift to Microsoft “to defend its exclusive dealing contracts with
    IAPs by providing a procompetitive justification for them.” 
    Id. at 71
    . Notably, the Circuit did not
    evaluate whether the practices deemed separately not to violate Section 2 were in fact
    anticompetitive when viewed alongside the exclusive dealing arrangement. The other four
    allegations—which the Circuit found did not harm competition—were not considered further. 13
    Plaintiffs’ reliance on the D.C. Circuit’s analysis of Microsoft’s agreements with ISVs is
    misplaced. DOJ Opp’n at 17–18. In those agreements, Microsoft “promised to give preferential
    support” to ISVs that agreed to, among other things, “use Internet Explorer as the default browsing
    software.” Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 71
    . The D.C. Circuit found that these were “exclusive deals,”
    and when determining “what share of the market for browser distribution the exclusive deals with
    the ISVs foreclose[d],” the Circuit reasoned that “[a]lthough the ISVs are a relatively small channel
    13
    The D.C. Circuit’s analysis of “course of conduct” liability is also instructive. Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 78
    . Under
    this theory, a plaintiff must “point to any series of acts, each of which harms competition only slightly but the
    cumulative effect of which is significant enough to form an independent basis for liability.” 
    Id.
     (emphasis added).
    Thus, even “course of conduct” liability must be premised on forms of conduct that are, at least, “slightly”
    anticompetitive. 
    Id.
     Microsoft did not suggest that conduct deemed procompetitive could be included in that calculus.
    The court notes that the Colorado Plaintiffs have eschewed a course-of-conduct theory. See Colorado Opp’n at 25 n.9
    (“So, there is no need to consider a separate ‘course of conduct.’”).
    26
    for browser distribution, they take on greater significance because, as discussed above, Microsoft
    had largely foreclosed the two primary channels to its rivals.” 
    Id. at 72
    . In other words, the court
    held that, although the ISV market foreclosure on its own was not significant, the exclusive
    arrangements with the ISVs were anticompetitive when aggregated with the foreclosure occurring
    through the two main channels of browser distribution.
    Microsoft’s aggregation of harm—which aggregates foreclosure in the exclusive dealing
    context—is different than what Plaintiffs, most notably the Colorado Plaintiffs, have asked the
    court to do here. They argue that three different types of monopolistic conduct—exclusive
    distribution agreements, denied or delayed functionality of SA360, and the suppression and
    exploitation of SVPs—must effectively be viewed as one in order to evaluate harm in the relevant
    markets. Colorado Opp’n at 25–28. But that is not the approach the Microsoft court took, and it
    is contrary to how other appeals courts generally have proceeded. See, e.g., Covad Commc’ns Co.
    v. Bell Atl. Corp., 
    398 F.3d 666
    , 672 (D.C. Cir. 2005) (evaluating separately “five types of
    conduct” alleged to have violated the Sherman Act); In re EpiPen (Epinephrine Injection, USP)
    Mktg., Sales Pracs. & Antitrust Litig., 
    44 F.4th 959
    , 982 (10th Cir. 2022) (When “[r]eal-world
    monopolists . . . engage in allegedly exclusionary conduct which does not fit within a single
    paradigm[,] . . . the courts disaggregate the exclusionary conduct into its component parts before
    applying the relevant law.”; “For the sake of accuracy, precision, and analytical clarity, we must
    evaluate [the defendant’s] allegedly exclusionary conduct separately. Only then can we evaluate
    the evidence in totality to see if any synergistic effect saves [the plaintiff’s] case.”) (internal
    quotation marks omitted); Retractable Techs., v. Becton Dickinson & Co., 
    842 F.3d 883
    , 891 (5th
    Cir. 2016) (stating that a jury’s finding of anticompetitive conduct that rested on “three types of
    ‘deception’” “must be separately analyzed in light of settled principles of antitrust law”).
    27
    The Supreme Court’s decision in Continental Ore, on which the Colorado Plaintiffs rely,
    is inapposite. Colorado Opp’n at 24. In Continental Ore, six defendants were accused of
    “conspiring to restrain, by monopolizing, and by attempting and conspiring to monopolize, trade
    and commerce” in the vanadium industry. Cont’l Ore Co. v. Union Carbide & Carbon Corp., 
    370 U.S. 690
    , 693 (1962)). The court of appeals had “examined seriatim” the conduct of various
    defendants and “ruled separately upon [each defendant’s] alleged damage to Continental.” 
    Id. at 698
    . The Supreme Court found this analysis “improper,” explaining—in language that the
    Colorado Plaintiffs highlight in their opposition—that “plaintiffs should be given the full benefit
    of their proof without tightly compartmentalizing the various factual components and wiping the
    slate clean after scrutiny of each.” Continental Ore, 
    370 U.S. at 699
    ; see Colorado Opp’n at 24.
    But the Colorado Plaintiffs fail to cite both what precedes that quotation—“In cases such
    as this”—and what follows it—“The character and effect of a conspiracy are not to be judged by
    dismembering it and viewing its separate parts, but only by looking at it as a whole.” Continental
    Ore, 
    370 U.S. at 699
     (cleaned up). The full context thus shows that the Court’s statement
    concerned proof of antitrust conspiracy, not, as here, an alleged monopolist’s “unilateral conduct.”
    Eatoni Ergonomics, Inc. v. Rsch. In Motion Corp., 
    826 F. Supp. 2d 705
    , 710 (S.D.N.Y. 2011); see
    also Intergraph Corp. v. Intel Corp., 
    195 F.3d 1346
    , 1366–67 (Fed. Cir. 1999) (“Continental Ore
    did not hold . . . that the degrees of support for each legal theory should be added up. Each legal
    theory must be examined for its sufficiency and applicability, on the entirety of the relevant facts.”)
    (citing City of Groton v. Conn. Light & Power Co., 
    662 F.2d 921
    , 929 (2d Cir. 1981) (“Even though
    many of the issues the municipalities raise are interrelated and interdependent, however, we must,
    like the municipalities’ briefs, analyze the various issues individually.”)).
    28
    The other out-of-circuit cases cited by the Colorado Plaintiffs (Conwood, Actavis, and
    LePage’s) do not instruct otherwise. Colorado Opp’n at 24–25. In Conwood Company v. United
    States Tobacco Company, the Sixth Circuit determined that the defendant “began a systematic
    effort to exclude competition” and “sought to achieve its goals of excluding competition and
    competitors’ products by numerous avenues.” 
    290 F.3d 768
    , 783 (6th Cir. 2002). The court
    evaluated the various kinds of anticompetitive conduct and, in so doing, cited to an earlier Sixth
    Circuit decision, Byars v. Bluff City News Co., 
    609 F.2d 843
     (6th Cir. 1979). See Conwood, 290
    F.3d at 784. In Byars, the Sixth Circuit observed that, “[i]n a § 2 case, only a thorough analysis of
    each fact situation will reveal whether the monopolist’s conduct is unreasonably anti-competitive
    and thus unlawful.” Byars, 609 F.2d at 860.
    In New York v. Actavis, the Second Circuit affirmed that “when a monopolist combines
    product withdrawal with some other conduct, the overall effect of which is to coerce consumers
    rather than persuade them on the merits, and to impede competition, its actions are anticompetitive
    under the Sherman Act.” N.Y. ex rel. Schneiderman v. Actavis PLC, 
    787 F.3d 638
    , 654 (2d Cir.
    2015) (internal citations omitted). There, the defendant company had introduced a new product
    and withdrawn the old one relatively close in time. 
    Id.
     While acknowledging that “neither product
    withdrawal nor product improvement alone is anticompetitive,” the Second Circuit reasoned that
    the combination of the two created a singular “hard switch” that resulted in anticompetitive effects
    in the relevant market. 
    Id.
     at 653–54.
    And in LePage’s v. 3M, while the Third Circuit did state that “[t]he relevant inquiry is the
    anticompetitive effect of 3M’s exclusionary practices considered together,” it did so only after
    separately finding that 3M’s bundled rebates and exclusive dealing practices were themselves
    anticompetitive. 
    324 F.3d 141
    , 157, 159, 162 (3d Cir. 2003).
    29
    None of these cases support the proposition that the court must combine the anticompetitive
    effects across different types of monopolistic behavior, when deciding whether any particular type
    of conduct has anticompetitive effects. Rather, the court must “disaggregate the exclusionary
    conduct into its component parts before applying the relevant law.” EpiPen, 44 F.4th at 982.
    V.     DISCUSSION
    A.      Joint Claims: Browser Agreements & Android Agreements
    Having established the proper framework, the court first addresses Plaintiffs’ allegations
    concerning Google’s Browser Agreements and Android Agreements. Recall, Plaintiffs claim that
    both agreements are exclusive contracts that foreclose a substantial part of the relevant markets.
    DOJ Opp’n at 18–19. Google concedes that the Android RSAs are exclusive but contests the
    exclusive nature of the Browser Agreements and the Android MADAs. Google DOJ Mot. at 26,
    39. Additionally, the parties disagree on how to measure “substantial foreclosure” and the extent
    of foreclosure. Google Reply in Supp. of Google Mot., ECF No. 522, at 22–25. The court first
    addresses whether the Browser Agreements and MADAs are exclusive or de facto exclusive
    agreements, and then turns to the proper measure of substantial foreclosure.
    1.     Exclusive Dealing
    “An exclusive dealing arrangement is an agreement in which a buyer agrees to purchase
    certain goods or services only from a particular seller for a certain period of time.” ZF Meritor,
    LLC v. Eaton Corp., 
    696 F.3d 254
    , 270 (3d Cir. 2012). “Despite some initial confusion, today
    exclusive dealing contracts are not disfavored by the antitrust laws.” E. Food Servs., Inc. v.
    Pontifical Cath. Univ. Servs. Ass’n, 
    357 F.3d 1
    , 8 (1st Cir. 2004). In many circumstances,
    exclusive dealing contracts are understood to “pose no competitive threat at all.” Id.; see also
    Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 70
     (“[I]mposing upon a firm with market power the risk of an antitrust suit
    30
    every time it enters into [an exclusive dealing] contract, no matter how small the effect, would
    create an unacceptable and unjustified burden upon any such firm.”). Such contracts, however,
    “are of special concern when imposed by a monopolist.” ZF Meritor, 
    696 F.3d at 271
    ; Microsoft,
    
    253 F.3d at 70
     (acknowledging that a lower foreclosure rate may give rise to a Section 2 violation
    by a monopolist). The primary worry is that the monopolist might use such agreements “to
    strengthen its position, which may ultimately harm competition.” ZF Meritor, 
    696 F.3d at 270
    .
    “The legality of [an exclusive] arrangement ultimately depends on whether the agreement
    foreclosed a substantial share of the relevant market such that competition was harmed.” 
    Id.
     at 283
    (citing Tampa Elec. Co. v. Nashville Coal Co., 
    365 U.S. 320
    , 326–28 (1961). “The share of the
    market foreclosed is important because, for the contract to have an adverse effect upon
    competition, ‘the opportunities for other traders to enter into or remain in that market must be
    significantly limited.’” Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 69
     (quoting Tampa Elec., 
    365 U.S. at 328
    ). The
    D.C. Circuit has not conclusively determined what constitutes substantial foreclosure under § 2 of
    the Sherman Act, but in Microsoft said that “a monopolist’s use of exclusive contracts, in certain
    circumstances, may give rise to a § 2 violation even though the contracts foreclose less than the
    roughly 40% or 50% share usually required in order to establish a § 1 violation.” Id. at 70.
    Plaintiffs “must both define the relevant market and prove the degree of foreclosure.” Id. at 69.
    a.      Browser Agreements
    Google’s Browser Agreements require the developers to set Google as the default search
    engine on their web browsers but allow end users to change the default. See e.g., Apple Agreement
    at 4. Still, Plaintiffs contend the agreements constitute exclusive dealing because they make
    Google “the de facto exclusive general search engine.” DOJ Am. Compl. ¶ 119. Plaintiffs’
    argument centers on the “stickiness” of the default position—they argue that “[b]eing the default
    31
    search engine on a preinstalled and prominently placed app is by far the most efficient and effective
    way for a general search engine to reach users.” DOJ Opp’n at 8. “Even where search users might
    want to switch defaults, the effort and knowledge required to make that change biases them
    towards sticking with the default option,” and “[d]efaults are particularly powerful on mobile
    devices.” Id. at 9.
    Google responds that their “agreements with browser developers such as Apple and
    Mozilla are not ‘exclusive’ or ‘de facto exclusive’ under any established meaning of those
    concepts” for two reasons: (1) the agreements “have never prevented [Apple, Mozilla, and other
    browser developers] from promoting rival search engines to consumers in the same browsers,” and
    (2) web browser developers “have decided to design their browsers with a single search engine set
    as the default upon first use” and Google simply “supplied a superior product in response to a
    customer’s product design demands.” Google DOJ Mot. at 26–27. Alternatively, even if the
    Browser Agreements were exclusive, Google argues that they “are the product of customer-driven
    ‘competition on the merits,’ which antitrust law protects rather than condemns,” and therefore
    could not result in any anticompetitive effect. Id. at 27.
    Exclusivity. The court first addresses Google’s argument that the Browser Agreements are
    not de facto exclusive because the agreements do not restrict web browser developers from
    promoting rival search engines. Google asserts that, “[g]enerally speaking, ‘[e]xclusive dealing
    involves an agreement between a vendor and a buyer that prevents the buyer from purchasing a
    given good from any other vendor.’” Google DOJ Mot. at 28 (quoting Allied Orthopedic
    Appliances Inc. v. Tyco Health Care Grp. LP, 
    592 F.3d 991
    , 996 (9th Cir. 2010)). Plaintiffs’
    claims regarding the Browser Agreements “fail at the threshold,” Google maintains, “because the
    contracts indisputably do not prevent Apple, Mozilla, or other browser developers from integrating
    32
    and promoting any other search engine, or users from otherwise accessing search rivals via these
    browsers.” 
    Id.
     In Google’s view, “agreements ‘are not exclusive dealing arrangements, de facto
    or actual, unless they prevent the buyer from purchasing a given good from any other vendor.’”
    
    Id.
     (quoting FTC v. Qualcomm Inc., 
    969 F.3d 974
    , 1004 (9th Cir. 2020)). “Apple and Mozilla not
    only are permitted to promote other search engines under the terms of their agreements with
    Google, but actually do promote rival search engines in Safari and Firefox in exchange for
    revenue-share payments from those rivals.” 
    Id.
     at 28–29. Furthermore, they “have no obligation
    to ensure that any particular volume of search traffic flows to Google, and the revenue share
    percentage that Google pays does not vary based on the number or percentage of queries submitted
    to Google instead of rival search engines.” 
    Id. at 30
    .
    Plaintiffs respond that “an agreement need not close off all channels of distribution to be
    considered exclusive.” DOJ Opp’n at 45. In Plaintiffs’ view, the Browser Agreement with Apple
    is “exclusive because it requires Apple to make Google the preset default search engine on the
    only preinstalled search access point on its devices—the address bar in Safari—
    and
    
    Id. at 44
    . Google’s Browser Agreements with browser
    developers Mozilla, Opera, and UCWeb—“which require [them] to make Google the preset
    default search engine [on their browsers] and cover nearly all search access points on nearly all
    versions of third-party browsers in the United States”—are also de facto exclusive for the same
    reason. 
    Id. at 47
    . At a minimum, Plaintiffs contend, “Google’s argument that its distribution
    agreements are not exclusive . . . raises factual disputes about whether these agreements are
    actually or de facto exclusive.” 
    Id. at 44
    .
    33
    The court finds that there is a genuine dispute of material fact as to whether Google’s
    Browser Agreements are, at least, de facto exclusive. Google is, of course, correct that its Browser
    Agreements do not prevent users from switching the default search engine, and do not prohibit
    browser developers from promoting and entering into revenue-share agreements with other search
    engines. In fact, developers have entered into such agreements. See Google DOJ SMF ¶ 64. But
    that is not dispositive. “Antitrust analysis must always be attuned to the particular structure and
    circumstances of the industry at issue.” Verizon Commc’ns Inc. v. L. Offs. of Curtis V. Trinko,
    LLP, 
    540 U.S. 398
    , 411 (2004). And “[l]egal presumptions that rest on formalistic distinctions
    rather than actual market realities are generally disfavored in antitrust law.” Eastman Kodak Co.
    v. Image Tech. Servs., Inc., 
    504 U.S. 451
    , 466–67 (1992).
    The Browser Agreements do lock in Google as the default search engine for years at a time.
    In the case of Apple products, that means Google is a purchaser’s out-of-the-box search engine.
    That is arguably a form of exclusivity—rivals are prevented from occupying default position in
    the browser’s integrated search bar at the time of purchase. Cf. Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 68
     (finding
    that Microsoft’s arrangement with AOL that required AOL not to “promote any non-Microsoft
    browser, nor provide software using any non-Microsoft browser except at the customer’s request”
    qualified as an exclusive contract) (emphasis added); 14 ZF Meritor, 
    696 F.3d at 283
     (“[W]e decline
    to adopt [the defendant’s] view that a requirements contract covering less than 100% of the buyer’s
    needs can never be an unlawful exclusive dealing arrangement.”).
    Critically, the competitive effects of holding default status, when combined with Google’s
    scale advantage, is a hotly disputed issue in this case. Even Google’s own positions reflect that
    14
    The court acknowledges that there are differences between the Browser Agreements and Microsoft’s agreement
    with AOL. The Browser Agreements do not, for example, foreclose the browser developers from entering into
    promotional arrangements with other search engines. See e.g., Google DOJ SMF ¶ 61. In fact, they permit it. 
    Id.
     ¶ 64
    However, the legal significance of that factual distinction is a matter left to resolve after a trial.
    34
    dispute. Compare Redacted Reply in Supp. of Google’s Mot., ECF No. 560, Google’s Resp. to
    DOJ CSMF, ECF No. 560-1 [hereinafter Google DOJ CSMF], ¶ 445 (Google denying that
    “[b]eing the preset default search engine for a search access point on a preinstalled and prominently
    placed app is the most efficient and effective way for a search engine to reach users.”), with id.
    ¶ 454 (Google agreeing that “search defaults can increase search volume for the default search
    provider.”). It is best to await a trial to determine whether, as a matter of actual market reality,
    Google’s position as the default search engine across multiple browsers is a form of exclusionary
    conduct.
    Google’s second argument against exclusivity fares no better. The fact that the single-
    preset default search “is a consequence of Apple, Mozilla, and other companies having chosen to
    design their browsers with a single search engine set as the default upon first use,” Google DOJ
    Mot. at 32, does not change the fact that Google has exclusive rights to the default across multiple
    web browsers. A purchaser of an Apple device is not, for example, given the out-of-the-box option
    to select a default search engine. Google occupies that space by agreement. Again, the competitive
    market effects of holding the default is a disputed issue. Accordingly, the court finds that Google
    has not shown as a matter of law that the Browser Agreements are not exclusive contracts.
    Competition for the Contract. In the alternative, Google says that, even if the Browser
    Agreements are exclusive or de facto exclusive, they are lawful because they are “‘merely a form
    of vigorous competition’ that the antitrust laws encourage rather than condemn.” Id. at 38 (quoting
    Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 58
    ). Google contends that it “has prevailed in the ongoing competition to
    be the default search engine in most third-party browsers in the U.S. since the mid-2000s because
    companies such as Mozilla and Apple have repeatedly determined it is the best option for creating
    a compelling search experience for their customers.” 
    Id. at 36
    . Rival search engines “can and do
    35
    compete with Google to be the default search engine in Safari, Firefox, and other third-party
    browsers,” and “[w]hen Google wins this competition, it has done so on the merits as established
    and judged by its customers, not through anticompetitive or exclusionary conduct.” 
    Id. at 35
    .
    Google cites the example of Mozilla, which in 2014 switched to Yahoo! as the default search
    engine for Firefox, only to return to Google soon after. 
    Id. at 37
    . “Any ‘concern’ that may
    potentially arise under other circumstances involving allegations of ‘exclusive dealing’ is wholly
    absent here,” Google argues, “as there is no evidence of coercive conduct, and Google has won
    based on considerations of quality and price.” 
    Id. at 38
    .
    Plaintiffs respond that “[t]he existence of multiple bidders does not transform an
    anticompetitive agreement into a permissible one.” DOJ Opp’n at 27. Under Google’s approach,
    Plaintiffs warn that “a monopolist could enter into any contract—no matter its effects on
    competition—so long as one rival existed and made some feeble attempt to secure the business, or
    the buyer had another option,” and would be insulated from any “Section 2 challenge[] to [an]
    exclusionary agreement[] until the dominant firm had managed to wipe out all vestiges of present
    or future competition.” 
    Id.
     at 27–28. “What matters here is whether the terms of Google’s
    contracts harm competition, not whether Google beat out a rival in imposing those terms,” and
    “competitors are at a distinct disadvantage relative to a monopolist in the bidding process, which
    means that a monopolist’s offer will often be the winning bid.” Id. at 28. Finally, Plaintiffs
    contend that “Google fails to cite a single case supporting the proposition that a showing of
    ‘competition for the contract’ is sufficient to warrant summary judgment against a claim that the
    contract is exclusionary.” Id.
    The court thinks that Google’s “competition for the contract” defense cannot be resolved
    on summary judgment at the prima facie stage and is better left for the procompetitive prong of
    36
    the Microsoft analysis. See Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 59
     (describing a procompetitive justification as
    “a nonpretextual claim that [the monopolist’s] conduct is indeed a form of competition on the
    merits because it involves, for example, . . . enhanced consumer appeal”) (emphasis added).
    Microsoft is instructive here. The D.C. Circuit encountered three types of agreements that
    were either explicitly exclusive or “exclusive as a practical matter”—Microsoft’s deals with ISVs
    (independent software vendors), IAPs (internet access providers), and Apple. 
    Id. at 71, 76
    .
    For each exclusive agreement, at the prima facie stage, the Circuit simply determined whether the
    exclusive agreement foreclosed a substantial share of the market. 
    Id.
     at 71–74. If it did, the court
    looked to Microsoft to provide a procompetitive justification. 
    Id.
     For instance, when it analyzed
    the exclusive agreements between Microsoft and ISVs, the D.C. Circuit held that the plaintiff had
    met its prima facie burden because “Microsoft’s exclusive deals with the ISVs had a substantial
    effect in further foreclosing rival browsers from the market” and “in preserving Microsoft’s
    monopoly.” 
    Id. at 72
    . Similarly, the Circuit held that Microsoft’s exclusive contract with Apple
    “ha[d] a substantial effect upon the distribution of rival browsers,” and because it “serve[d] to
    protect Microsoft’s monopoly, its deal with Apple must be regarded as anticompetitive.” 
    Id.
     at
    73–74. The analysis was the same for IAPs. 
    Id. at 71
    .
    At no point did the D.C. Circuit, at the prima facie stage, consider whether the exclusive
    agreements were the result of a lawful “competition for the contract” or something akin to that.
    
    Id.
     at 71–74. Only after satisfying itself that these agreements were anticompetitive did the court
    turn to asking whether there was a procompetitive justification for the exclusive arrangements.
    See 
    id. at 71
     (IAPs), 72 (ISVs), 74 (Apple). Because Microsoft had offered none, the agreements
    were deemed exclusionary and therefore violated Section 2. 
    Id.
     Here, Google will have the
    37
    opportunity to proffer a procompetitive justification and show that the Browser Agreements
    resulted from “competition for the contract”—it will just have to wait until trial.
    The out-of-circuit cases Google cites (Menasha, Balaklaw, Race Tires, and EpiPen) do not
    entitle it to judgment as a matter of law at this stage. Google DOJ Mot. at 35–38. Google quotes
    Menasha to argue that “competition for the contract” is “a vital form of rivalry . . . which the
    antitrust laws encourage rather than suppress.” 
    Id. at 35
     (quoting Menasha Corp. v. News Am.
    Mktg. In-Store, Inc., 
    354 F.3d 661
    , 663 (7th Cir. 2004)). Menasha, however, merely confirms that
    exclusive agreements are not per se anticompetitive. Menasha, 
    354 F.3d at 663
     (“In the district
    court Menasha argued that these contractual devices, which it deems exclusionary, are unlawful
    per se. That argument has been abandoned on appeal—sensibly so, as competition for the contract
    is a vital form of rivalry, and often the most powerful one, which the antitrust laws encourage
    rather than suppress.”).    In Balaklaw—a Section 1 case—the Second Circuit did state that
    exclusive agreements “may actually encourage, rather than discourage, competition,” but clarified
    that “[t]his is not to say that under proper pleading and proof exclusive-dealing contracts could not
    still be scrutinized under the antitrust laws.” Balaklaw v. Lovell, 
    14 F.3d 793
    , 799–800 (2d Cir.
    1994). And in Race Tires, the Third Circuit observed that “[i]t is well established that competition
    among businesses to serve as an exclusive supplier should actually be encouraged,” but
    emphasized that “such exclusive agreements are not exempt from antitrust scrutiny.” Race Tires
    Am., Inc. v. Hoosier Racing Tire Corp., 
    614 F.3d 57
    , 76, 83 (3d Cir. 2010).
    Google also cites to EpiPen to argue that customer-instigated exclusive dealing eases “any
    anticompetitive concern arising from a monopolist’s use of exclusive dealing contracts,” and that
    “rival search engines need only ‘offer a better product or a better deal to reverse’” Google’s default
    status in Safari, Firefox, and other third-party browsers. Google DOJ Mot. at 38 (quoting EpiPen,
    38
    44 F.4th at 995). While EpiPen does state that customer-instigated exclusivity “sometimes eases
    any anticompetitive concern arising from a monopolist’s use of exclusive dealing contracts,” it
    caveated that observation: “This does not mean that exclusive dealing arrangements instigated by
    the monopolist cannot be procompetitive or that exclusive dealing arrangements instigated by the
    customer cannot be anticompetitive.” EpiPen, 44 F.4th at 995 n.14 (emphasis added). Ultimately,
    the Tenth Circuit made clear that to “analyze the legality of exclusive dealing contracts, we apply
    the rule of reason,” and under that approach, courts must “conduct a fact-specific assessment of
    market power and market structure to assess the challenged restraint’s actual effect on
    competition.” Id. at 983–84 (citing Ohio v. Am. Express Co., 
    138 S. Ct. 2274
    , 2284 (2018))
    (internal quotation marks omitted); see also Menasha, 
    354 F.3d at 663
     (stating that even exclusive
    deals preferred by retailers and manufacturers must be subject to a rule-of-reason analysis). That
    is an inquiry better left for trial.
    Accordingly, Google cannot prevail at this stage based on a “competition for the contract”
    theory. Importantly, the court is not taking the position that Google’s “competition for the
    contract” argument is irrelevant to the ultimate Section 2 question. Rather, as stated, the argument
    is better suited for the procompetitive prong of the Microsoft analysis.
    Having determined that Plaintiffs have carried their burden of showing that the Browser
    Agreements are, at least, de facto exclusive contracts, they still must be subject to a market
    foreclosure analysis to determine whether they are anticompetitive. See Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 69
    (“Following Tampa Electric, courts considering antitrust challenges to exclusive contracts have
    taken care to identify the share of the market foreclosed.”). The court addresses foreclosure in
    Section V.A.2.
    39
    b.     Android Agreements
    The court now considers the Android MADAs and whether they are exclusive dealing
    arrangements. Plaintiffs argue that Google’s Android Agreements—MADAs and RSAs—are
    exclusive because they work together as a “belt and suspenders” in order to “guarantee Google is
    the only preset default search engine on any Android preinstalled search access point.” DOJ Opp’n
    at 45. “[A]lmost all Android devices sold in the United States” are subject to a MADA, id. at 30,
    and Plaintiffs argue that “[m]arket realities require OEMS to sign MADAs” because, “[f]or an
    Android mobile device to be successful in the United States, it must have proprietary Google
    Software preinstalled,” like the Google Play Store, which is only available to MADA signatories.
    DOJ SGI at 132. MADAs require OEMs to preinstall the Google Search App and Chrome
    browser, and to place Google’s search widget on the device home screen, all of which default to
    Google Search. DOJ Opp’n at 32. The RSA then “ensures that all preinstalled search access points
    will have Google as the preset default and no rival search will be preinstalled.” Id. at 46. “When
    viewed collectively,” Plaintiffs say, “the MADAs and Android RSAs ensure all roads on Android
    lead to Google. That is exclusivity.” Id. at 47.
    Google concedes that RSAs are exclusive but argues that MADAs are not because “MADA
    licensees can preinstall other browsers and search apps and set them as the default upon first use.”
    Google DOJ Mot. at 39. “Any purported ‘exclusivity’ arguably arises only if an OEM or wireless
    carrier choose to earn revenue from Google on its Android device by signing an RSA.” Id. And,
    like the Browser Agreements, nothing in the MADA or the RSA prevents the end user from
    downloading a rival’s search engine from the Google Play Store or changing the default search
    engine on the preinstalled Chrome browser. Id. at 40.
    40
    The court finds that although, by its terms, the MADA is not an exclusive contract, there
    is a dispute of fact as to whether market realities make it one. For instance, Google’s expert
    Dr. Kevin Murphy admits that OEMs “can’t sign an RSA unless [they have] also signed the
    MADA,” therefore “thinking about the advantages of the RSA would be relevant for deciding
    whether to sign a MADA.” DOJ 478 Exs., ECF No. 478, Ex. 87, ECF No. 478-22, at 220:19–22.
    Indeed, it would seem contrary to an OEM’s economic self-interest to sign a MADA but not an
    RSA. Further, Google admits that, “[i]n the past three years, no manufacturer has sold an Android
    phone into the United States, preinstalled with Google’s search widget and an additional search
    widget for a different search engine.” Google DOJ CSMF ¶ 591. So, even though the MADA
    permits an OEM to install a second search widget, OEMs have declined to do so. Google says that
    is by choice, but it may be that market realities are such that once Google occupies the default
    search widget, a rival cannot realistically hope to compete for another place on an Android device’s
    home screen. So, as with the Browser Agreement, the mere fact that the MADA does not prohibit
    an OEM from engaging with competitors does not mean the MADA is not an exclusive agreement.
    2.      Substantial Foreclosure
    As discussed, the Sherman Act does not make it per se unlawful for a monopolist to secure
    an exclusive contract.    Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 70
    .      To determine whether such a deal is
    anticompetitive, courts must ask how much of the relevant market the agreement forecloses from
    competition. 
    Id. at 69
    . In other words, courts must “identify the share of the market foreclosed.”
    
    Id.
     “[W]hat is ‘significant’ may vary depending upon the antitrust provision under which an
    exclusive deal is challenged.” 
    Id.
     The Microsoft decision declined to adopt a rigid test of what
    degree of foreclosure is required for a successful Section 2 challenge but observed “that a
    monopolist’s use of exclusive contracts, in certain circumstances, may give rise to a § 2 violation
    41
    even though the contracts foreclose less than the roughly 40% or 50% share usually required in
    order to establish a § 1 violation.” Id. at 70. Plaintiffs have the burden of proving “a significant
    degree of foreclosure.” Id. at 69. The court therefore must inquire whether Plaintiffs here have
    met their burden, as part of their prima facie case, of showing that the Browser Agreements and
    Android Agreements have caused “a significant degree of foreclosure.” Id.
    Plaintiffs contend that substantial foreclosure “is measured by looking at the percentage of
    the market that is ‘tied up’ by the exclusive-dealing contract, and thus by considering how much
    of the market is available to rival sellers.” DOJ Opp’n at 47 (quoting 7D-2 Phillip E. Areeda &
    Herbert Hovenkamp, Antitrust Law ¶ 768b4 n.39 (5th ed. 2022)). In other words, “the foreclosure
    created by exclusive contracts is equal to the percentage of the market those contracts cover.” Id.
    So, Plaintiffs ask the court to aggregate the foreclosure numbers resulting from the Browser
    Agreements and Android Agreements. Their expert’s analysis shows that the Browser Agreements
    and Android Agreements “cover almost 50% of all U.S. general search traffic . . . 45% of U.S.
    general search text ads, and 36% of U.S. search ads.” Id. at 47–48. “These coverage numbers—
    especially when viewed in light of the              of searches controlled by the Google default on Chrome
    for Windows and Apple devices—easily qualify as ‘significant foreclosure’ under Microsoft.” Id.
    at 48 (internal citations omitted). 15
    Google’s foreclosure argument focuses only on the Android Agreements. See Google DOJ
    Mot. at 40–43; Hr’g Tr. at 39:8–18 (Google counsel clarifying that a foreclosure analysis was done
    15
    Google rejects Plaintiffs’ attempt to include in the foreclosure analysis any Google searches made through Chrome
    on Windows and Apple devices, because the default browser on Windows devices is Edge and on Apple devices is
    Safari. Hr’g Tr. at 41 (“Our getting search[es] from Chrome on Windows should be counted in a foreclosure analysis?
    That’s crazy. Or Chrome on Apple devices. We’re not preloaded on Apple devices any more than Apple is not
    preloaded on Android devices.”). Plaintiffs seem to implicitly concede that the foreclosure analysis should not include
    searches through Chrome on Windows and Apple devices, id. at 56–60 (DOJ counsel stating that “generally speaking,
    doing what you want with your own products and making them better, that is not exclusionary conduct, and that’s
    certainly not being challenged here”), but argue that “it’s a market reality the Court needs to consider,” id. at 97.
    42
    with respect to the Apple Agreement but noting that it wasn’t “focused on” in the briefing). As to
    the Android Agreements, Google argues that the appropriate way to measure foreclosure is to
    identify “the impact of those agreements relative to a but-for world in which the alleged unlawful
    agreements do not exist.” Google DOJ Mot. at 41. Plaintiffs’ expert, Professor Whinston, “has
    offered no opinion about what a but-for world without Google’s Android MADA or RSA
    agreements would look like,” but he “has opined that if all Android OEMs and carriers were to
    choose to display a choice screen prompting their customers in the U.S. to select a default search
    engine from a list of options . . . Google would be selected more than 90% of the time.” Id. at 41–
    42. “The estimated ‘shift’ from Google to other search engines in this mandatory choice screen
    world would total approximately 1% of all search queries in the U.S.” Id. at 42. Google further
    argues that there is no evidence of substantial foreclosure even if a rival search engine were the
    “exclusive preinstalled default search engine on all search access points on Android devices in the
    U.S.” because even Plaintiffs’ expert estimated that, in that scenario, only “approximately 11.6%
    to 13.5% of total U.S. search queries may have shifted from Google to other general search
    engines.” Google DOJ SMF ¶ 251; Google 430 Exs., Ex. 40, ECF No. 430-15, ¶ 905 (opining that
    between 18.2% to 21.2% of U.S. mobile phone queries may shift in such scenario).
    As the above summary of the parties’ positions shows, there is sufficient conflict about the
    extent of foreclosure—and, importantly, the proper way to measure it—to preclude a finding of
    summary judgment. Among the questions the court will have to consider at trial are: (1) what
    channels of distribution are included in the foreclosure analysis; (2) whether either the Browser
    Agreements or Android Agreements, or both, are part of the foreclosure calculus; and (3) whether
    a but-for approach is the appropriate way to measure foreclosure. Accordingly, Plaintiffs’ claims
    regarding the Browser Agreements and Android Agreements survive summary judgment.
    43
    B.      The Colorado Plaintiffs’ Claims: SVPs & SA360
    The court now turns to the allegations raised only by the Colorado Plaintiffs related to
    Google’s treatment of SVPs and Google’s development of SA360, which they contend has
    anticompetitive effects in three markets: general search services, general search text advertising,
    and general search advertising. Colorado Opp’n at 2 (citing Colorado Compl. ¶ 59).
    1.      Google’s Conduct Directed at SVPs
    “SVPs deal with Google in two ways.” Colorado Opp’n at 16. “First, SVPs depend on
    Google as a source of customers, especially new customers, through unpaid results (like the blue
    links) and advertising.” Id. “Second, SVPs are important suppliers to Google of structured data—
    proprietary information that SVPs create that is not available to be crawled on the web,” such as
    hotel and flight availability and prices. Id. Plaintiffs take issue with Google (1) placing “visibility
    limitations” on SVPs, and (2) requiring SVPs to share data with Google to the same extent they
    share it with Google’s rivals. Id. at 17–20.
    Visibility Limitations. Plaintiffs argue that Google “imposes visibility restrictions on SVPs
    in certain strategically important commercial arenas such as hotels, flights, and local services.”
    Id. at 18. For example, (1) “SVPs cannot appear in results in the free listings in Google’s hotel
    universal, flights universal, or in the local universal triggered by searches for nearby businesses,”
    (2) “SVPs cannot purchase ads in their own name and cannot appear prominently in the tile of
    local services ads on Google’s SERP,” and (3) “when a user clicks on an ad paid for by the SVP
    featuring the name of a supplier, the consumer is directed to another Google site, not the SVP’s
    site.” Id. Because Google “insert[s] the restricted universals in a prominent place on the SERP,
    typically above the fold, Google demotes the blue [organic web result] links, in which SVPs often
    appear, making it less likely users will click on them.” Id. “The demotion of blue links magnifies
    44
    the impact of Google’s visibility restrictions on SVPs that are excluded from its universals.”
    Id. at 19. Plaintiffs allege that “Google’s visibility-limitation practices, in combination with its
    demotion of the unpaid blue links, have raised customer acquisition costs for the affected SVPs,
    often by inducing them to purchase more advertising in an effort to restore their visibility.” Id.
    Data Sharing. Plaintiffs also contend that “Google abuses its monopoly power to acquire
    valuable proprietary data [from SVPs] that it cannot obtain by crawling the web.” Id. at 42.
    “Google mandates that SVPs . . . provide it with data equivalent to what they provide to any of
    Google’s competitors, robbing SVPs of control over their valuable assets and potentially
    foreclosing a differentiated data deal with a [general search engine] rival.” Id. at 44. Furthermore,
    “Google uses SVP data within SERP features where SVPs are not permitted to appear, such as in
    the restricted universals on its SERP, and also uses data without attribution to SVPs in immersives
    that link to the SERP.” Id. at 19.
    Plaintiffs’ theory of competitive harm in the relevant markets arising from these practices
    is as follows: (1) search-related advertising on Google is the primary way users get to SVPs
    because “Google’s monopoly makes SVPs depend almost entirely on Google,” Colorado Opp’n
    at 27; (2) because Google has reduced SVPs’ visibility in key selected verticals in multiple ways—
    i.e., the anticompetitive conduct—SVPs have had to spend more on customer acquisition in the
    form of higher advertising costs, see id. at 16–19; (3) the limited visibility and increased customer
    acquisition costs weaken SVPs, see id.; (4) by weakening SVPs, Google discourages “stronger
    content partnerships and other arrangements” between its rivals and SVPs, id. at 45; (5) if there
    were there stronger partnerships between Google’s rivals and SVPs, other search engines would
    be more attractive to end users, leading to greater competition in the search and general search-
    related ad markets, id. at 45; and (6) at the same time, Google’s demand for parity, or “most favored
    45
    nation status,” with respect to SVPs’ data “disincentivizes SVPs from investing in the creation of
    valuable structured data,” which forecloses “differentiated data deal[s]” with Google’s rivals. Id.
    at 44. In Plaintiffs’ view, “[u]nhampered growth of partnerships” between SVPs and Google’s
    rivals would “facilitate competition in the Relevant Markets” and “aid the growth of innovative
    challengers to Google’s monopoly.” Id. at 45.
    Google responds that Plaintiffs “cannot meet either element of their prima facie burden”
    for two primary reasons. Google Colorado Mot. at 23. First, Google argues that “the challenged
    [SVP] conduct is a genuine product improvement,” id., and where a “product design improve[s]
    [a] product . . . it is lawful procompetitive conduct and not exclusionary conduct as a matter of
    law,” Google Colorado Reply at 12. Second, Plaintiffs fail to “raise a triable issue with respect to
    the requisite anticompetitive effects.” Google Colorado Mot. at 23. “Plaintiffs have painted
    themselves into a corner by proposing markets fundamentally disconnected from the harms they
    allege,” and because SVPs “are outside the proffered general search services and derivative
    [general-]search advertising markets,” “[t]here is no basis to conclude that the alleged harm to
    SVPs harms competition in the alleged markets.” Id. at 31–32. “Most fundamentally, Plaintiffs
    have no answer to the question at the core of their harm-to-competition theory: What basis is there
    to believe that stronger SVPs would somehow increase competition among general search
    engines?” Google Colorado Reply at 20.
    The court agrees with Google’s second argument. 16 Plaintiffs’ theory of anticompetitive
    harm rests on a multi-linked causal sequence that relies not on evidence but almost entirely on the
    16
    Because the court agrees that Plaintiffs’ SVP claim fails due to the absence of factual dispute showing injury in any
    of the relevant markets, it does not reach the issue of whether a product design improvement is actionable under
    Section 2.
    46
    opinion and speculation of its expert, Professor Jonathan Baker. Plaintiffs cite Professor Baker’s
    report for the following propositions:
    •   Google’s conduct “make[s] SVPs less attractive and less valuable partners for general
    search firms.” Colorado SMF ¶ 188 (citing Colorado 466 Exs., ECF No. 466, Baker
    Opening Rep., ECF No. 466-1, ¶ 325; id., Baker Rebuttal Rep., ECF No. 466-2, ¶¶ 62–
    66).
    •   “Google’s data requirements disincentivize SVPs from using their data to strike better
    deals with Google rivals by, for example, providing some of their data to only select
    [general search engines].” Colorado Opp’n at 45 (citing Baker Opening Rep. ¶¶ 324–
    25); see Colorado SMF ¶ 187 (citing Colorado 466 Exs, Baker Reply Rep.,
    ECF No. 466-3, ¶ 165).
    •   “Google’s data restrictions disincentivize SVPs from investing in their data further, as
    they cannot realize a meaningful return on these investments.” Colorado Opp’n at 44
    (citing Baker Opening Rep. ¶ 278; Baker Reply Rep. ¶ 163).
    •   “[B]y requiring SVPs to provide Google all data provided to any other [general search
    engine], these mandates appear to prevent SVPs from granting exclusive access to some
    data to Google’s rivals.” Colorado Opp’n at 44 (citing Colorado SMF ¶ 186 (citing
    Baker Reply Rep. ¶¶ 166–67)).
    Remarkably, not one of Professor Baker’s opinions, on which these fact assertions are based, cites
    to any record evidence.
    47
    many such partnerships. Nor have they cited any evidence that an SVP has reduced or altered in
    any way its investments in structured data as a result of Google’s data demands, or that an SVP
    has sought a deal with a Google competitor based on unique structured data only to be stymied
    because it was also required to provide such data to Google. Simply put, there is no record
    evidence of anticompetitive harm in the relevant markets resulting from Google’s treatment of
    SVPs.
    That leaves Professor Baker, but Plaintiffs cannot survive summary judgment on his
    unsupported opinions alone. “To hold that Rule 703 prevents a court from granting summary
    judgment against a party who relies solely on an expert’s opinion that has no more basis in or out
    of the record than [the expert’s] theoretical speculations would seriously undermine the policies
    of Rule 56.” Merit Motors, Inc. v. Chrysler Corp., 
    569 F.2d 666
    , 673 (D.C. Cir. 1977). Put more
    simply, “[i]n this circuit, a party cannot avoid summary judgment when it offers an expert opinion
    that is speculative and provides no basis in the record for its conclusions.” Martin v. Omni Hotels
    Mgmt. Corp., 
    321 F.R.D. 35
    , 40 (D.D.C. 2017); see also Evers v. Gen. Motors Corp., 
    770 F.2d 984
    , 986 (11th Cir. 1985) (“[A] party may not avoid summary judgment solely on the basis of an
    expert’s opinion that fails to provide specific facts from the record to support its conclusory
    allegations.”). Professor Baker’s opinions do not rest on facts; only his ruminations about the
    market effects of Google’s conduct.
    Plaintiffs’ various other arguments do not help establish a prima facie case. First, Plaintiffs
    assert that Google has a motive to diminish SVPs to prevent users from skipping over Google and
    going directly to the SVPs for specialized information. Colorado Opp’n at 38–39. Such consumer
    behavior would threaten “Google’s monopoly revenues.” 
    Id.
     That argument does not, however,
    describe harm to competition in the relevant markets. If a user bypasses Google to go directly to
    50
    an SVP, the user would presumably also bypass a rival search engine. In other words, greater
    navigation directly to SVPs does not depress competition in the relevant markets because SVPs do
    not compete with Google in general search or the general search-related ad markets.
    Second, Plaintiffs takes Google to task for failing to produce evidence showing that the
    visibility limits actually benefit users. Colorado Opp’n at 39–40. But that argument puts the cart
    before the horse. Google need only establish a procompetitive justification for the visibility limits
    if Plaintiffs first show them to be anticompetitive in the general search or the derivative general
    search advertising markets. See Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 59
    . They have not done so.
    Third, Plaintiffs contend that Google’s inclusion of SVPs in some verticals—Vacation
    Rentals and Shopping, for example—undercuts Google’s claim of user benefit. Colorado Opp’n
    at 40–41. But differential treatment of SVPs among various verticals does not, once again, prove
    anticompetitive harm in the relevant markets.
    Fourth, Plaintiffs point to documented complaints from SVPs about Google’s data
    demands. 
    Id.
     at 43–44. The court accepts these statements at face value. The relevant inquiry
    here, however, is not whether Google is leveraging its monopoly position to unfairly extract data
    from SVPs, but instead whether that practice harms competition in the marketplaces for general
    search services and general-search related advertising. Plaintiffs offer only Professor Baker’s
    speculation that Google’s “data requirements disincentivize SVPs from investing in the creation
    of valuable structured data,” 
    id. at 44
    , which in turn makes them “less attractive, and less valuable,
    as partners” to Google’s rivals, 
    id. at 45
    . They offer no proof to support those contentions or the
    chain of causation.
    Fifth, Plaintiffs rely on the fact that Google requires SVPs to “provide it with data
    equivalent to what they provide to any of Google’s competitors” to argue that this “rob[s] SVPs
    51
    of control over their valuable assets and potentially foreclosing a differentiated deal with a [general
    search engine] rival.” 
    Id. at 44
    . But, once more, Plaintiffs cite only to Professor Baker’s
    hypothesis that this requirement translates into a weakening of competition in general search and
    the related general-search advertising markets. 
    Id.
     Google may be acting heavy-handed with
    respect to SVPs’ data, but the Colorado Action is not about competition in the marketplace for
    search advertising (which would include SVPs). Only the DOJ Plaintiffs allege a Section 2
    violation in that market. DOJ Compl. ¶ 97.
    Finally, Plaintiffs rely on two case studies to support their theory of harm, but neither move
    the dial. Plaintiffs point to internal Google communications about the “importance of developing
    strategic partnerships” with SVPs in Japan to compete with Yahoo! Japan. 
    Id. at 45
    . From that
    evidence, Plaintiffs assert that “[j]ust as partnerships with SVPs facilitate Google’s competition
    with Japanese rivals, so too would the unhampered growth of partnerships between SVPs and
    [general search engines] in the U.S. facilitate competition in the Relevant Market.” 
    Id.
     No one
    disputes, however, that partnerships with SVPs are “important.” There is ample evidence that
    Google’s rivals have entered into partnerships with SVPs. The question is whether Google’s
    treatment of domestic SVPs has diminished their attractiveness to Google’s general search rivals,
    and there is no proof to support that proposition.
    Plaintiffs also cite the example of
    
    Id. at 46
    . Google does not dispute this factual assertion. See Google Colorado
    Reply, Def.’s Resp. to Colorado SMF, ECF No. 523-1 [hereinafter Google Colorado CSMF], ¶ 70.
    52
    Colorado Opp’n at 45–46. But again,
    conduct that discourages users from navigating directly to SVPs for information does not harm
    competition in general search and related general-search ad markets. As previously observed, if a
    user looks to an SVP for specialized information instead of Google, the user is not using Google’s
    rivals, either.
    In sum, the court holds that Plaintiffs have not shown that there is a genuine dispute of
    material fact that would warrant a trial to determine whether Google’s treatment of SVPs has
    anticompetitive effects in the general search and related general-search ad markets. Accordingly,
    the court grants Google summary judgment as to those portions of the Colorado Plaintiffs’ claims
    that rest on Google’s conduct directed at SVPs. See FED. R. CIV. P. 56 (authorizing entry of
    summary judgment as to a “part” of a claim); 
    id.,
     Committee Notes on Rules—2010 Amend.
    (stating that summary judgment may be requested not only as to an entire case but also as to each
    “claim, defense, or part of a claim or defense”) (emphasis added).
    2.   Google’s Conduct Directed at Rivals as it Relates to SVPs
    Plaintiffs argue that Google degrades partnerships between SVPs and its rivals in another
    way. They write: “One cannot fully understand harm to competition without examining the
    continuing interrelationship among harmful acts. . . . Google’s SVP conduct weakens SVPs,
    making them less attractive as partners to Google rivals. In the other direction, Google’s
    distribution agreements deprive its rivals of users, making them less attractive to SVPs.” Colorado
    Opp’n at 28 (emphasis added); see also id. at 4 (“Consider the ripple effects of the distribution
    agreements. By pushing rivals to the edges of the marketplace, these agreements effectively
    53
    eliminate the ability of . . . SVPs to substitute Google rivals for Google as a way to attract users.”).
    “Google has thus degraded both sides of the bargaining table.” Id. at 28.
    Plaintiffs’ theory seems to be that (1) Google’s distribution agreements limit its rivals’
    ability to attract users, (2) this weakens Google’s rivals, and make them less attractive partners to
    SVPs, and (3) the inability to form better partnerships with SVPs depresses Google’s rivals’ ability
    to compete for general search users. There is arguably some evidence to support the theory.
    See supra note 19 (testimony from
    ).
    Nevertheless, it remains unclear to the court whether Plaintiffs contend that this is a
    different form of exclusionary conduct, or it is merely a downstream effect of Google’s distribution
    agreements. It would seem to be the later. Plaintiffs’ papers do not give this theory much airtime,
    instead focusing on how Google’s conduct allegedly weakens SVPs. The court therefore will defer
    ruling on what role, if any, this theory will play at trial.
    3.       SA360
    The court now turns to the Colorado Plaintiffs’ allegations regarding Google’s
    development of SA360 and the lack of “feature parity” between Google Ads and Microsoft Ads.
    Google argues that summary judgment is appropriate on Plaintiffs’ SA360 theory because
    “[t]he record contains no support for Plaintiffs’ only theory of anticompetitive harm—that SA360s
    feature design and development process has foreclosed advertisers from running campaigns on
    Microsoft Bing’s search advertising platform.” Google Colorado Mot. at 36–37. 20 “Plaintiffs
    20
    Google further argues that “Plaintiffs have not even attempted to estimate the market foreclosure caused by Google’s
    [SA360] feature development decisions, much less quantify it.” Google Colorado Mot. at 37. Plaintiffs correctly note
    that Google’s foreclosure argument “conflates exclusive dealing and exclusionary conduct,” and that “[t]he
    ‘substantial foreclosure’ test applies only to exclusive dealing contracts.” Colorado Opp’n at 36. “The difference
    54
    have identified no advertiser who was prevented or even dissuaded from buying search ads on
    Microsoft Ads because of SA360’s feature (un)availability,” Google argues, “[n]or can they show
    that any purported feature delay, individually or collectively, caused advertisers to buy less search
    advertising on Microsoft Ads, which is their theory of anticompetitive harm.” Id. at 37. “There is
    literally no record evidence that any lack of specific features for Microsoft Ads on SA360 affects
    advertisers’ ability or propensity to buy search ads. . . . Nor is there any evidence that advertising
    spend in the alleged markets would have increased on Microsoft Ads had SA360 developed
    features for Microsoft Ads sooner.” Id. at 38.
    Plaintiffs respond that “by offering ‘day zero support’ for new SA360 features for Google
    Ads—but not for rival advertising platforms—[Google] makes ad campaigns more efficient on
    Google than on Bing (and other actual or potential competitors),” and thus “steers ad spend towards
    Google and away from its competitors.” Colorado Opp’n at 34. “When advertisers cannot access
    Microsoft Ads features that would make their ad campaigns more efficient and productive, they
    spend less on Microsoft Ads, which widens the scale gap.” Id. Furthermore, advertisers are
    compelled to use SA360 because “Google’s undisputed general search monopoly makes Google
    Search a ‘must have’ for digital advertisers” and “all other advertising alternatives—such as using
    native advertising tools, switching SEM tools, or using multiple SEM tools—are costly and
    burdensome for advertisers that place ads on multiple online channels.” Id. Plaintiffs argue that
    “Google’s claim that advertisers can simply switch SEM tools or avoid SEM tools altogether
    ignores these market realities.” Id.
    between the traditional rule of reason and the rule of reason for exclusive dealing is that in the exclusive dealing
    context, courts are bound by Tampa Electric’s requirement to consider substantial foreclosure.” McWane, Inc. v.
    F.T.C., 
    783 F.3d 814
    , 835 (11th Cir. 2015) (citing Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 69
    ). Plaintiffs are not required to proffer
    evidence of substantial foreclosure resulting from Google’s SA360 conduct because it is not an exclusive dealing
    contract.
    55
    The court finds that there is a genuine dispute of material fact as to anticompetitive effects
    in the alleged markets that precludes summary judgment. Specifically, Plaintiffs point to
    Colorado SMF ¶ 124; see Colorado 470 Exs., ECF No. 470, Ex.
    168, ECF No. 470-8 [hereinafter Colorado Ex. 168], at 3; Colorado 466 Exs., ECF No. 466, Ex.
    21, ECF No. 466-21, at 241:2–5 (testimony from
    Google responds that Plaintiffs’ “entire causation theory hangs on” this “back of the napkin”
    calculation, Hr’g Tr. at 145–46, and
    Google Colorado CSMF ¶ 124. Maybe so. But Google’s effort to discount this evidence goes to
    its weight and, at this stage, the court must draw all reasonable inferences in Plaintiffs’ favor.
    Summary judgment is not appropriate in the circumstances.
    Google further contends that this “unsubstantiated claim of ‘spend shift’ from Bing to
    Google on SA360” is not relevant because “the antitrust laws were not designed to . . . protect
    particular competitors, as opposed to competition itself.” Google Colorado Mot. at 39. Google is
    right that the antitrust laws are not meant to protect competitors, but that is not the salient issue
    here. The issue is whether Google’s delayed rollout of SA360 support for Microsoft Ads inhibited
    or dissuaded advertisers from placing ads on its competitor’s search engine, thereby harming
    competition in the general search advertising market. Plaintiffs offer some evidence that it has.
    56
    Colorado Ex. 168 at 3. The issue of whether advertiser spending actually shifted from Microsoft
    Ads to Google Ads due to the lack of full feature parity on SA360 is a disputed material fact that
    precludes a finding of summary judgment.
    Finally, Google argues that, at most, Plaintiffs have established a “transitory delay” in
    providing parity of services in SA360 that does not rise to a Section 2 violation. Google Colorado
    Mot. at 45. It contends that “building complex features like automated bidding for Google Ads
    and Microsoft Ads takes substantial time and resources,” and notes that “SA360’s integration of
    Google Ads’ auction-time bidding feature took at least three years to build.” 
    Id. at 44
    . Yet, Google
    admits to evidence suggesting that it was “technically feasible” for Google to have introduced
    auction-time bidding for Microsoft Ads sooner, but it did not do so because achieving parity was
    not a priority. Google Colorado CSMF ¶¶ 114–115. It also does not dispute that
    
    Id.
     ¶¶ 112–
    113. Thus, there remains a genuine dispute of material fact as to whether the time it took Google
    to create feature parity for Microsoft Ads on SA360 was a mere “transitory delay,” or whether the
    delay was intended to harm competition. See Microsoft, 
    253 F.3d at 59
     (“Evidence of the intent
    behind the conduct of a monopolist is relevant only to the extent it helps us understand the likely
    effect of the monopolist’s conduct.”). Accordingly, the SA360 component of the Colorado
    Plaintiffs’ claims survive summary judgment.
    C.      Additional Theories of Anticompetitive Effect
    Finally, Google asks the court to grant summary judgment as to those elements of
    Plaintiffs’ claims related to Google’s Android Compatibility Commitments (“ACCs”) and Anti-
    57
    Fragmentation Agreements (“AFAs”), Google Assistant, Internet-of-Things (“IoT”) Devices, and
    the Android Open-Source Project (“AOSP”). Google DOJ Mot. at 43–50.
    1.     ACCs and AFAs
    Google’s ACCs (previously known as AFAs) prohibit manufacturers from distributing
    devices that do not comply with Google’s hardware and software specifications.” See Google DOJ
    SMF ¶ 270 (ACCs specify that “‘[a]ll devices based on Android that [an OEM] manufactures,
    distributes or markets will be Android Compatible Devices,’ which are defined as devices that
    comply with the [Android Compatibility Definition Document].”). Plaintiffs allege that the ACCs
    and AFAs “restrict manufacturers’ ability to build and distribute innovative versions of mobile
    phones . . . smart TVs, watches, and automotive devices” and “inhibit the development of an
    operating system based on an Android fork that could serve as a viable path to market for a search
    competitor.”   DOJ Am. Compl. ¶¶ 71, 126–32.         Google argues that summary judgment is
    appropriate because Plaintiffs provide no evidence that “limitations on OEMs’ marketing of
    incompatible Android devices has a substantial anticompetitive effect in a search or search
    advertising market.” Google DOJ Mot. at 44.
    Plaintiffs’ opposition mentions ACCs and AFAs once in passing in a footnote, and simply
    states that “[o]n top of the MADA’s own compatibility requirements, the MADA also generally
    requires OEMs to have signed either an Antifragmentation Agreement (AFA) or an Android
    Compatibility Commitment (ACC), which separately prevent OEMs from distributing Android
    devices (with limited exceptions) that do not comply with Google’s [Compatibility Definition
    Document], regardless of whether the OEM preinstalls [Google’s proprietary apps] or not.” DOJ
    Opp’n at 13 n.7. Because Plaintiffs offer no evidence showing that ACCs and AFAs have an
    58
    anticompetitive effect in the relevant markets, summary judgment is granted with respect to those
    parts of the claims.
    2.      Google Assistant and IoT Devices
    Plaintiffs’ Complaint alleges anticompetitive conduct related to the promotion of Google
    Assistant in IoT devices, which are “internet-enabled devices such as smart speakers, home
    appliances, and automobiles.” DOJ Am. Compl. ¶¶ 12, 139–41, 163. “Google’s Assistant, like
    Apple’s Siri or Amazon’s Alexa, is a virtual assistant that can respond to voice commands” to
    perform various tasks. Google DOJ Mot. at 47. “Google’s MADAs have recently included the
    Google Assistant and made it the out-of-the-box default assistant; and Google’s Android RSAs
    with OEMs and carriers provide for forms of increased promotion for Google Assistant.” 
    Id.
    Google argues that summary judgment is warranted on claims related to Google Assistant
    because “[n]one of Plaintiffs’ experts opine on Google’s IoT Agreements” and “Google’s
    Assistant agreements lack any substantial anticompetitive effect in search.”        
    Id.
     at 47–48.
    Plaintiffs’ opposition does not address the Google Assistant arguments. See generally DOJ Opp’n.
    Accordingly, summary judgment is granted to the extent Plaintiffs’ claims rest on conduct relating
    to Google Assistant. See Wilkins v. Jackson, 
    750 F. Supp. 2d 160
    , 162 (D.D.C. 2010) (“It is well
    established that if a plaintiff fails to respond to an argument raised in a motion for summary
    judgment, it is proper to treat that argument as conceded.”); Sykes v. Dudas, 
    573 F. Supp. 2d 191
    ,
    202 (D.D.C. 2008) (“[W]hen a party responds to some but not all arguments raised on a Motion
    for Summary Judgment, a court may fairly view the unacknowledged arguments as conceded.”).
    3.      Android Open-Source Project (AOSP)
    Finally, Google asks this court to grant summary judgment on the parts of Plaintiffs’ claims
    relating to “Google’s decisions regarding which Android apps to develop on an open-source or
    59
    proprietary basis.” Google DOJ Mot. at 26. Plaintiffs’ Complaint does not allege that Google’s
    decision-making regarding the AOSP had an anticompetitive effect in the relevant markets.
    Plaintiffs do allege, however, that “[o]ver time, Google has chosen to include important features
    and functionality in Google’s own ecosystem of proprietary apps and [application program
    interfaces], rather than the open-source Android code,” DOJ Am. Compl. ¶ 73, and “as the
    functionality gap between open-source Android apps and Google’s proprietary apps grows,
    developers are more dependent on [Google Play Services],” id. ¶ 75.
    In their opposition brief, Plaintiffs repeat that “[o]ver time, Google has removed or
    deprecated many AOSP apps (e.g., calendar, camera, email) and placed newly developed features
    exclusively within its proprietary apps and services.” DOJ Opp’n at 12. Yet, they offer no proof
    of any anticompetitive effect in the relevant markets. Accordingly, summary judgment is entered
    in Google’s favor to the extent Plaintiffs’ claims rest on AOSP development decisions.
    VI.     CONCLUSION
    For the stated reasons, Google’s Motion for Summary Judgment in the DOJ Action,
    ECF No. 421, is granted in part with respect to the parts of Plaintiffs’ claims that rest on allegations
    relating to ACCs, AFAs, Google Assistant, IoT Devices, and AOSP. Google’s Motion for
    Summary Judgment in the Colorado Action, ECF No. 426, is granted insofar as it is premised on
    Google’s conduct directed against SVPs. Google’s motions are otherwise denied.
    Dated: August 3, 2023                                          Amit P. Mehta
    United States District Judge
    60