IN RE: Appraisal of Panera Bread Company ( 2020 )


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  •       IN THE COURT OF CHANCERY OF THE STATE OF DELAWARE
    IN RE APPRAISAL OF PANERA               )
    BREAD COMPANY                           )    C.A. No. 2017-0593-MTZ
    )
    MEMORANDUM OPINION
    Date Submitted: October 7, 2019
    Date Decided: January 31, 2020
    Samuel T. Hirzel, II, Elizabeth A. DeFelice, and Melissa N. Donimirski,
    HEYMAN ENERIO GATTUSO & HIRZEL LLP, Wilmington, Delaware;
    Steven M. Hecht, Michael T.G. Long, Jarett N. Sena, Natalie F. Dallavalle, Frank
    T.M. Catalina, Edoardo Murillo, and Jonathan M. Kass, LOWENSTEIN
    SANDLER LLP, New York, New York; Attorneys for Petitioners.
    Paul J. Lockwood, Jennifer C. Voss, Jenness E. Parker, Alyssa S. O’Connell,
    Kaitlin E. Maloney, Daniel S. Atlas, Bonnie W. David, and Andrew D. Kinsey,
    SKADDEN ARPS SLATE MEAGHER & FLOM LLP, Wilmington, Delaware;
    Attorneys for Respondent.
    Zurn, Vice Chancellor.
    In this appraisal action, I must determine the fair value of each share of the
    subject company on the closing date of its acquisition. I find that the process by
    which the company was sold bore several objective indicia of reliability, which were
    not undermined by flaws in that process. I therefore find that the deal price is
    persuasive evidence of fair value, and give no weight to other valuation metrics. I
    deduct some synergies, but find others were not adequately proven. I undergo that
    synergies analysis solely to fulfill my statutory mandate, rather than to effectuate
    any transfer of funds between the parties, because the company prepaid the entire
    deal price and has no recourse for a refund under the appraisal statute.
    I.      BACKGROUND1
    This appraisal action generated an extensive record. During six days of trial,
    the parties introduced 1,336 exhibits and lodged seventeen depositions in evidence.2
    1
    Citations in the form “PTO ¶ ––” refer to stipulated facts in the pre-trial order. See Docket
    Item (“D.I.”) 108. Citations in the form “[Name] Tr.” refer to witness testimony from the
    trial transcript. Citations in the form “[Name] Dep.” refer to witness testimony from a
    deposition transcript. Citations in the form “JX –– at ––” refer to a trial exhibit.
    2
    See D.I. 103, Ex. 1. The subset of exhibits the parties relied on is set forth on the schedule
    of evidence. See D.I. 148, Ex. A; D.I. 151.
    1
    Five experts and six fact witnesses testified live. These are the Court’s findings
    based on a preponderance of the evidence.
    Respondent Panera Bread Company (“Panera” or the “Company”) is a
    national bakery-cafe concept in the United States and Canada.3          Panera is a
    corporation organized and existing under the laws of Delaware, with headquarters
    in St. Louis, Missouri.4 Until July 18, 2017, Panera’s stock was listed on the
    NASDAQ stock exchange under the symbol “PNRA.”5
    On that date, JAB Holdings B.V. purchased Panera for $315.00 per share. 6
    That entity is a private limited liability company incorporated under the laws of the
    Netherlands that indirectly has a controlling interest in JAB Holding Company,
    LLC.7           JAB Holding Company, LLC is a private limited liability company
    incorporated under the laws of Delaware and headquartered in Washington D.C. that
    indirectly has held a controlling interest in Panera since the acquisition.8 JAB
    Holding Company S.à.r.l. has an ultimate controlling interest in JAB Holdings B.V.,
    3
    PTO ¶¶ 48, 89.
    4
    Id. ¶ 48.
    5
    Id. ¶ 49.
    6
    Id. ¶ 1.
    7
    Id. ¶¶ 66–67.
    8
    Id. ¶ 65.
    2
    JAB Holding Company, LLC and Panera.9 I refer to all of these entities collectively
    as “JAB.”
    In the wake of JAB’s acquisition, certain dissenting Panera stockholders
    (“Petitioners” or “Dissenting Stockholders”) are entitled to an appraisal of the fair
    value of their Company shares in accordance with their demands.10 Petitioners hold
    785,108 shares of Panera’s common stock.11 Petitioners include Short Hills Capital
    Partners, holding 35,800 shares of Panera common stock;12 Weiss Asset
    Management, including 2017 Arlington, LLC, holding 154,669 shares of Panera
    common stock;13 Canyon International LLC, holding 31,794 shares of Panera
    common stock;14 and Yellowstone Global LLC, holding 47,692 shares of Panera
    common stock.15 Each of the Petitioners demanded appraisal before the vote on the
    merger, held the appraisal shares through the merger date, and maintained their
    appraisal demand.
    9
    Id. ¶ 68.
    10
    Id. ¶ 20.
    11
    Id. ¶ 22.
    12
    Id. ¶ 26.
    13
    Id. ¶ 32.
    14
    Id. ¶ 37.
    15
    Id. ¶ 42.
    3
    Relevant non-parties include Panera board members Domenic Colasacco,
    Fred K. Foulkes, Larry J. Franklin, Diane Hessan, Thomas E. Lynch, William W.
    Moreton, Ronald M. Shaich, Mark Stoever, and James D. White.16
    Shaich founded Panera in 1981.17 He served on the board from 1981 to
    December 2018 in various capacities, including Chairman, Co-Chairman, Executive
    Chairman, and Non-Executive Chairman.18 Shaich served as Chief Executive
    Officer from 1984 to May 2010, when he stepped back from the Company to
    co-found an organization called “No Labels,” which he hoped would reduce
    partisanship in American politics.19 During this time, Shaich remained Panera’s
    largest stockholder and Executive Chairman, and Moreton served as CEO.20 In
    2012, Moreton had a family issue and asked Shaich to return to a greater leadership
    position.21 Shaich agreed and served as Co-Chief Executive Officer, along with
    Moreton, from March 2012 to August 2013.22 At that time, Moreton stepped down
    as Co-Chief Executive Officer, and Shaich resumed his role as sole Chief Executive
    16
    Id. ¶ 50. These directors served from January 2016 until the merger closed.
    17
    Id. ¶ 51.
    18
    Id.
    19
    Id.; Shaich Tr. 936:2–937:10.
    20
    Shaich Tr. 937:11–938:1.
    21
    Id. 940:12–21; accord PTO ¶ 51.
    22
    PTO ¶ 51.
    4
    Officer until January 1, 2018.23 The market and the restaurant industry both
    recognize Shaich as a visionary.24
    Moreton joined Panera’s board in May 2010, after serving as Executive Vice
    President and Chief Financial Officer from October 1998 to March 2003 and
    Executive Vice President and Co-Chief Operating Officer from November 2008 to
    May 2010.25 Moreton also served as President and Co-Chief Executive Officer from
    March 2012 to August 2013, Chief Financial Officer (Interim) from August 6, 2014
    to April 15, 2015, and Executive Vice Chairman from August 2013 to July 18,
    2017.26
    Colasacco, the lead independent director, served as an outside director along
    with directors Hessan, Foulkes, Franklin, Lynch, Stoever, and White.27
    Panera’s relevant management includes Blaine Hurst, who began serving as
    Panera’s Chief Executive Officer after Shaich left that post in January 2018.28 Prior
    to that time, Hurst served as Executive Vice President and Chief Transformation and
    23
    Id.; see also JX0005.
    24
    PTO ¶ 98.
    25
    Id. ¶ 52.
    26
    Id.
    27
    See id. ¶¶ 53–59.
    28
    Id. ¶ 60.
    5
    Growth Officer from December 2010 to December 2016.29 Then, Hurst served as
    Panera’s President from December 2016 to January 2018.30
    Michael Bufano has served as Panera’s Chief Financial Officer, since April
    2015.31 Bufano also served as the Vice President of Planning from July 2010 to
    August 2014.32
    Andrew Madsen was Panera’s President from May 2015 to December 9, 2016,
    when he left the Company.33
    A.    Shaich Founds Panera And Leads It Through Unmatched Growth.
    In 1980, Shaich founded a single 400-square-foot cookie store.34 That store
    would eventually become Panera. In 1982, Shaich merged the cookie store with a
    small regional bakery called Au Bon Pain.35 That entity purchased the Saint Louis
    Bread Company in 1987.36 Shaich took this company public in 1991,37 rebranded
    the Saint Louis Bread Company as Panera in 1997, and divested the Au Bon Pain
    29
    Id.
    30
    Id.
    31
    Id. ¶ 61.
    32
    Id.
    33
    Id. ¶ 62.
    34
    Id. ¶ 86; Shaich Tr. 924:4–17.
    35
    PTO ¶ 86.
    36
    Id.
    37
    Id.; Shaich Tr. 926:20–927:3.
    6
    division in 1999.38 After the divestiture, Shaich changed the company’s name to
    Panera Bread Company.39 After divesting Au Bon Pain, Panera stock traded at $6.00
    per share.40
    Panera pioneered a new restaurant segment called “fast casual,” which found
    a niche between “quick service restaurants like McDonald’s and Wendy’s and
    restaurants like that and casual dining, full sit-down service.”41 From 2000 to 2010,
    Panera expanded rapidly into a national restaurant chain.42 Panera operated in three
    segments: company bakery-cafe operations, franchise operations, and fresh dough
    and other product operations.43 By 2004, Panera’s stock was trading around $30.00
    per share, and by 2010, it was trading around $70.00 per share.44
    Despite the Company’s growth, by 2010 or 2011, Shaich felt “great distress”
    because Panera’s same store sales were weakening and market share gains slowed.45
    38
    PTO ¶ 86.
    39
    Id.
    40
    JX0400 at 17.
    41
    Moreton Tr. 710:23–711:12.
    42
    Moreton Tr. 714:5–20, 732:11–24. From 2007–2009, Panera also expanded by acquiring
    Paradise Bakery & Café, a Phoenix, Arizona-based concept with over 70 locations in 10
    states. PTO ¶¶ 87–88.
    43
    PTO ¶ 92.
    44
    See JX0400 at 18.
    45
    Shaich Tr. 938:2–16.
    7
    Increasingly, Panera faced competitive pressures and needed to differentiate for
    future growth.46 In response to these pressures, Shaich spent his time as Executive
    Chairman focusing almost exclusively “on a range of strategic and innovation efforts
    for Panera.”47 During this time, Shaich wrote “the Amazon memo” on how he would
    compete with Panera if he were not part of the Company.48 His vision focused on
    changing the guest experience, creating a new ordering system, and providing a
    delivery service.49 After discussing these initiatives with Moreton, Shaich led the
    effort to prototype these ideas during the 2010–2012 period before re-assuming a
    management post as co-CEO in 2012.50
    In 2013, Panera signaled to the market that it was “deploying significant
    transaction-driving initiatives.”51     By early 2014, Fortune magazine featured
    Panera’s “big bet on tech,” detailing how Shaich’s early prototypes had developed
    into new company initiatives.52 After launching that technology in fourteen cafes,
    46
    Id. 938:2–939:22.
    47
    PTO ¶ 102.
    48
    Shaich Tr. 938:7–939:8.
    49
    Id. 938:7–939:10.
    50
    Id. 938:7–939:16; see also PTO ¶ 51; Moreton Tr. 742:23–743:8.
    51
    JX0006 at 1.
    52
    See JX0007 (examining Panera 2.0 and the associated costs of the investments); see also
    JX0008 (CheatSheet article detailing the purchase of a “to-go bread bowl via smart
    phone”).
    8
    the Company formally announced the Panera 2.0 initiative in April 2014.53 Panera
    2.0 offered “a series of integrated technologies to enhance the guest experience”54
    through “new mechanisms for ordering, payment, food production, and, ultimately,
    consumption.”55 Panera 2.0 enhanced ordering through Rapid Pick-Up, fast lane
    kiosks, and online/mobile ordering.56            Panera also committed to “operational
    excellence” with new production equipment and systems to increase capacity and
    accuracy.57 Along with these changes, Panera focused on “activat[ing] innovation
    in store design.”58 To adopt these initiatives, Hurst “create[d] a ‘digital flywheel’
    whereby all systems and consumer touchpoints—point of sale (PoS), back of house,
    integrated customer data, big customer data, one-to-one marketing—are
    interconnected for operational gain.”59
    These initiatives rolled out in stages. In 2014, the Company kicked off Panera
    2.0 with Rapid Pick-Up, an advanced ordering system.60 Over the next two years,
    53
    JX0009 at 1–2.
    54
    Id. at 1.
    55
    Id. at 2.
    56
    Id. at 1–2.
    57
    Id. at 2.
    58
    Shaich Tr. 946:3–8.
    59
    JX2009 at 2; accord JX0564 at 79.
    60
    PTO ¶¶ 113–14.
    9
    the Company rolled out the remaining Panera 2.0 initiatives to all company-owned
    bakery-cafes.61
    Panera developed other initiatives during this period of innovation. In 2013,
    the Company rolled out two initiatives including Panera at Home, providing
    consumer packaged goods, as well as Panera catering hubs, which were attached to
    bakery-cafes.62 In 2015, Panera launched its “Food As It Should Be” campaign,
    developing “clean food” without “artificial colors, flavors, preservatives, and
    sweeteners.”63 In 2016, Panera rolled out its national delivery program.64
    While leading Panera through these initiatives, in early February 2015, Shaich
    informed the board that he wanted to step away from Panera and pursue other
    endeavors.65 Shaich had returned to Panera when Moreton needed him. And
    although Shaich extended his time with the Company through 2015, he did not want
    to remain at Panera forever.66 Shaich explained to the board that after working on
    innovations as Executive Chairman during the 2010 to 2012 period, he “had come
    back to transform” Panera and felt he had “done [his] work in getting [Panera 2.0]
    61
    Id. ¶¶ 115, 121, 126.
    62
    Id. ¶¶ 106–109.
    63
    Shaich 945:19–23.
    64
    PTO ¶ 122.
    65
    Moreton Tr. 718:21–719:11.
    66
    Shaich Tr. 1017:23–1018:10.
    10
    going.”67 The board outlined a succession plan during a board meeting held on
    February 26, 2015.68 The identified succession candidate, Madsen, became Panera’s
    president in May 2015 with the intention of replacing Shaich as CEO in 2016.69 But
    the board did not view Madsen as a suitable replacement,70 so Shaich stayed on as
    CEO. Shaich annually reminded the board of his desire to leave.71 At the time of
    the merger, Shaich owned approximately six percent of Panera’s outstanding stock.72
    B.      Panera Tracks Its Initiatives Through A Five-Year Strategic Plan
    And Five-Year Financial Model.
    In May 2015, management assembled all of Panera’s new initiatives into a
    strategic plan (the “Five-Year Strategic Plan”).73 To track the financial effects of
    these initiatives, management also created a five-year financial model (the “Five-
    Year Financial Model”) that tracked “between 15 and 30 key initiatives and many
    projects underneath each of them that we had various assumptions on, how they
    would perform, how they would roll out” and forecasted five years of future results.74
    67
    Id. 1017:23–1018:10.
    68
    JX0010 at 3; accord Moreton Tr. 718:14–719:11.
    69
    PTO ¶ 62.
    70
    Moreton Tr. 800:3–17.
    71
    Shaich Tr. 1017:23–1018:10.
    72
    Id. 1026:11–24.
    73
    PTO ¶ 117; JX0315; Moreton Tr. 724:4–725:6.
    74
    Moreton Tr. 724:18–22, 768:19–769:8; accord PTO ¶ 118.
    11
    Management based the Five-Year Financial Model on the Five-Year Strategic Plan
    and would evaluate them side-by-side “to really understand what the vision involved
    and the costs involved in what we saw.”75 This Five-Year Financial Model operated
    as a “roadmap” that management updated every six months and that the board
    discussed, at least in part, at every meeting.76
    At its core, the 2015 Five-Year Financial Model set a goal to double earnings
    per share over the next five years and “re-engage” double-digit earnings growth,
    including projected earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization
    (“EBITDA”) of nearly $750 million by 2019.77 Shaich recognized that “[f]ew
    companies have taken on as audacious a path to renewal.”78
    75
    Moreton Tr. 724:4–725:6.
    76
    PTO ¶ 118; see also Moreton Tr. 734:19–735:4, 764:17–765:8; Shaich Tr. 1015: 19–21;
    Colasacco Dep. 197:19–198:19. Petitioners object to Respondent’s use of Colasacco’s
    deposition testimony at trial. See D.I. 108 ¶ 216; D.I. 131; D.I. 148 Ex. A at 9. Under
    Court of Chancery Rule 32, “[t]he deposition of a witness, whether or not a party, may be
    used by any party for any purpose if the Court finds . . . that the witness is out of the State
    of Delaware, unless it appears that the absence of the witness was procured by the party
    offering the deposition.” Ct. Ch. R. 32(a)(3)(B). Colasacco is a Massachusetts resident
    and Petitioners do not contend that Panera procured Colasacco’s absence from Delaware.
    D.I. 119 at 24:2–14, 25:9–11. Petitioners argue that even if the testimony could come in
    under Rule 32, Delaware Rule of Evidence 802 precludes this testimony. See Trial Tr. at
    642:11–16. Rule 32 testimony is not an out of court statement, but treated “as though the
    witness were then present and testifying.” Ct. Ch. R. 32(a). Colasacco’s testimony is
    thereby admissible under Rule 32.
    77
    JX0315 at 3–4; accord Shaich Tr. 941:10–943:18 (“So I had a goal of sustained double-
    digit earnings but reengaging this company and moving it forward—it was mature—and
    taking it to the next place.”).
    78
    JX0315 at 131; JX0134 at 118.
    12
    Some board members were skeptical. Moreton described the Five-Year
    Financial Model as “what’s classically called a hockey stick projection” that faced
    “healthy skepticism in the board.”79 Lynch wrote to Shaich in October 2016, “I
    worry, though not with a lot of basis, that we are overestimating our future earnings
    power. We are now in a negative 3 transaction comp environment and I am
    concerned that we could be overestimating our ability to fight this headwind.”80
    Moreton recognized management risk-adjusted the Five-Year Financial Model “in
    part,” but “major” risk remained around execution.81 Colasacco considered Panera’s
    Five-Year Strategic Plan as “not impossible, not a lie, not a bad faith effort in any
    way,” but “one possible range of scenarios that could play out[.]” 82 Some analysts
    79
    Moreton Tr. 729:2–20; accord Colasacco Dep. 217:3–219:15 (understanding that “if it
    worked I would have considered it a home run,” but recognizing “there aren’t many
    companies that can do” “25 percent per annum compounded for five years,” so the model
    “had some risk attached to achieving it”).
    80
    JX0228 at 2 (emphasis in original).
    81
    Moreton Dep. 218:23–219:20 (“So the risk then switches to: Is it possible? Yes. Is it a
    guarantee? No. And what’s the major . . . risk . . . is around execution. So . . . that’s
    really the time period that we’re in and how Panera saw it during my time.”). Petitioners
    identify the Company’s 90% confidence in its ability to achieve several initiatives in the
    model. See JX0616 at 29. In using this to cast the Five-Year Financial Model as risk
    adjusted, however, Petitioners improperly conflate the model’s “comp buffer”—designed
    to learn how different initiatives overlap—with risks associated with competition or
    execution. See Moreton Tr. 740:4–741:15, 860:15–861:7.
    82
    Colasacco Dep. 217:3–219:15.
    13
    agreed: “[W]e remain on the sidelines as PNRA’s stock appears to incorporate the
    benefits of its strategic initiatives and the outlook is not without risks.”83
    C.      Investors React, And Panera Weighs Its Options.
    In reaction to the Five-Year Strategic Plan, an investment fund called Luxor
    Capital threatened a proxy contest because it opposed the “very significant capital
    spending” necessary to support the plan.84 The board engaged Goldman Sachs &
    Co. LLC (“Goldman”) in March 2015 to advise it in a strategic review of potential
    opportunities to maximize stockholder value.85               On June 25, 2015, Goldman
    presented potential strategic alternatives alongside valuation scenarios under the
    Five-Year Strategic Plan.86
    Consistent with the Five-Year Financial Model, Goldman “assume[d] 100%
    implementation success with no probability weighting adjustment.”87 For this
    reason, Goldman called the Five-Year Strategic Plan “aggressive” because
    “everything would have to go exactly as was foreseen,” which “[t]hey didn’t think
    83
    JX0104 at 1; see also JX0343 at 19 (analysts acknowledging that Panera’s strategic
    initiatives were “a very ambitious target”).
    84
    Moreton Tr. 720:18–721:20; Colasacco Dep. 65:19–66:20.
    85
    PTO ¶ 75.
    86
    See JX0019 at 18–25; PTO ¶ 120.
    87
    See, e.g., JX0019 at 19–20, 24, 33, 34, 41, 42, 44, 50, 52, 56.
    14
    [] was very likely.”88 Goldman advised that Panera’s “growth initiatives were too
    early on in the game for the market . . . to give [Panera] full credit for [the Five-Year
    Strategic Plan].”89 Goldman evaluated a potential sale and advised that a financial
    sponsor would not have interest in Panera,90 but identified a “limited number of
    potential strategic buyers,” with Starbucks as the most likely. 91 At the end of the
    meeting, the board determined
    that while the Company would, as it had done in the past,
    continue to observe the markets and consider activities in
    the best interest of shareholders on an ongoing basis, given
    current conditions it was not in the best interest of the
    Company and its stockholders to engage in a process to
    initiate and pursue a strategic transaction or solicit interest
    from potential purchasers at this time.92
    After consulting with Goldman, Panera agreed to some of Luxor’s demands.93
    Luxor dropped their remaining demands after Panera “convince[d] them that [its]
    88
    Moreton Tr. 773:9–774:5.
    89
    Id. 770:24–771:15.
    90
    JX0019 at 18; Shaich Tr. 956:4–22; Moreton Tr. 770:24–771:19.
    91
    See Shaich Tr. 955:24–957:7, 958:1–19; accord Moreton Tr. 770:24–771:19.
    92
    JX0019 at 2.
    93
    See Moreton Tr. 722:11–19 (“[W]e agreed to increase our share buyback, again a
    program we’d had going on for a long time, but we agreed to buy back $500 million worth
    of shares over a 12-month period. We agreed to evaluate selling company stores to
    franchisees without a specific number.”).
    15
    G&A actually was average to low for the industry as a whole, and the technology
    investments were necessary for initiatives.”94
    D.     Panera Counteracts Failures And Plants Seeds For Future
    Rewards.
    In 2016, following the adoption of the Five-Year Strategic Plan, Panera
    reduced its estimate for 2019 EBITDA by almost $128 million as “revenues hadn’t
    increased in line with” expectations and the Plan was not “going quite as smoothly
    as [Panera] had hoped.”95 Panera offset the initiatives’ high costs by orchestrating
    share buybacks, refranchising, and implementing nonstrategic cost reduction.96
    In the wake of this setback, Shaich led efforts to publicize the Five-Year
    Strategic Plan to generate market recognition.             Through “hundreds”97 of
    presentations, Shaich shared Panera’s plan of “sustained double-digit EPS earnings
    growth.”98 The market responded and gave Panera “a great deal of credit for the
    initiatives already done.”99 Panera’s stock rose to $214.54 by July 2016.100
    94
    Id. 722:11–23.
    95
    Id. 776:5–778:16, 778:17–779:2.
    96
    Id. 785:17–786:8; JX0238 at 33.
    97
    Shaich Tr. 948:6–13, 960:8–961:3; see, e.g. JX0194 at 1; JX0192 at 5, 11; JX2028 at 3,
    17; JX0032 at 51; JX0041 at 5, 22; JX0064 at 2; JX0260 at 4–5, 15; JX0331 at 3–4; JX0345
    at 4–5, 14; JX0029; JX1039; JX0063 at 3; JX0304.
    98
    JX0063 at 3.
    99
    Moreton Tr. 792:4–13.
    100
    JX0104 at 1.
    16
    E.     Panera and Shaich Weigh Their Options.
    In the midst of Shaich’s PR campaign, Shaich received an unusual call from
    Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz, proposing a visit.101 Shaich discussed the visit with
    Colasacco and other board members, explaining, “Howard doesn’t come up on a
    Saturday afternoon for just anything. Maybe he [i]s interested in a transaction.”102
    To prepare, Shaich asked Goldman for an updated comparison of selected restaurant
    companies that Goldman had presented the year before in 2015.103 This comparison
    included updated financial metrics for Starbucks and other restaurants in the fast
    growth, quick service, and casual dining segments.104
    When Schultz and Shaich met on July 31, 2016, Schultz proposed a
    collaboration between Starbucks and Panera “whereby Panera would provide food
    to Starbucks for lunch and breakfast and [Starbucks] would upgrade [Panera’s]
    coffee program.”105      After the meeting, Shaich updated Moreton, Colasacco, and
    Lynch.106 Lynch viewed this as “[t]he first step of the dance,” so that Starbucks
    101
    Shaich Tr. 965:11–966:5; accord Moreton Tr. 793:14–22.
    102
    Shaich Tr. 967:13–19.
    103
    JX0111.
    104
    See id. at 4–5.
    105
    See JX0110; JX0118; JX0772 at 56; Moreton Tr. 793:14–22.
    106
    JX0116; JX0118; JX1012; accord Shaich Tr. 968:22–969:5.
    17
    could pursue “a potential acquisition attempt by Starbucks of Panera.”107 Colasacco
    commented that the proposed collaboration was “[c]ertainly worth exploring further,
    though raises many questions.”108 And Moreton thought it was “interesting . . . even
    if not tying every thing up in a nice bow.”109
    At the August 2 board meeting, the board reviewed elements of the Five-Year
    Strategic Plan and Five-Year Financial Model, per usual.110 During the executive
    session of that meeting, Shaich informed the board about Starbucks’ proposed
    collaboration.111 Moreton characterized the board’s response by explaining, “if
    [Starbucks] wanted to take advantage of our food and things, the best way to do that
    would be to acquire the company.”112 With that directive, Shaich had a new focus
    for future conversations with Schultz.113
    Schultz had invited Shaich to Seattle to visit Starbucks’ roastery that fall;114
    the teams met October 4 through 5.115 Starbucks came to discuss a joint venture,
    107
    JX0118; Shaich Tr. 969:17-970:1.
    108
    JX1012.
    109
    JX0116.
    110
    See JX0122 at 2; JX0128.
    111
    JX0116; JX0122 at 1; JX0125 at 4; accord Moreton Tr. 794:8–796:8.
    112
    Moreton Tr. 796:3–8.
    113
    See id. 796:9–17.
    114
    See JX0239 at 2–3.
    115
    See JX0156; JX0153; accord Shaich Tr. 970:14–21.
    18
    with Starbucks selling Panera’s food and Panera selling Starbucks coffee.116 Shaich
    used this opportunity to attempt to solicit an offer.117 Both Shaich and Schultz
    discussed their companies’ “very intimate strategic plans.”118 During the visit,
    Shaich pitched Schultz the Five-Year Strategic Plan.119 On October 26, Shaich
    rejected Schultz’s joint-venture idea, but floated the idea that Starbucks could
    purchase Panera.120 Schultz responded: “we’re really interested in this. Let’s get a
    group of people to work on it.”121
    Moreton worked with Shaich to interface with Starbucks and help conduct
    financial analyses.122 In November, the companies discussed their shared goal “to
    determine whether [the] companies can unlock significant value by combining.”123
    Panera proposed EBITDA and synergies figures for the combined companies, which
    Starbucks generally found reasonable.124 Starbucks took this analysis and ran the
    116
    See JX0156 at 4.
    117
    Shaich Tr. 970:6–972:8.
    118
    Id. 971:20–972:8.
    119
    Id. 970:14–21.
    120
    JX0197; accord Shaich Tr. 972:12–973:3.
    121
    Shaich Tr. 973:4–16.
    122
    JX0243; JX0250; Moreton Tr. 797:2–798:22; Shaich Tr. 974:2–10.
    123
    JX0243.
    124
    See JX0250; Moreton Tr. 798:6–17.
    19
    numbers internally.125 At the end of November,126 Schultz called Shaich to explain
    that after giving it “some serious thought,”127 Starbucks was “not going forward”
    with the transaction.128 Although Starbucks viewed the combination as a “pretty
    good idea,” Starbucks could not “get to [Panera’s] public market price, let alone pay
    a premium”129 and “there were other things going on within Starbucks.”130 The
    parties did not discuss any further.131
    In tandem with Panera’s conversations with Starbucks, in August 2016,
    Shaich acted on his own initiative and asked Goldman to facilitate an introductory
    meeting with JAB.132 Goldman inquired after JAB’s CEO Olivier Goudet,133 but
    JAB postponed meeting with Panera until “early the next year”134 because JAB was
    busy pursuing an acquisition that fall.135
    125
    Moreton Tr. 796:21–797:1.
    126
    JX0266; JX0263.
    127
    Shaich Tr. 973:4–11.
    128
    Id. 975:15–24.
    129
    Id. 974:11–22, 975:15–976:10; accord JX0625 at 4 (“There were conversations with
    Starbucks last year, they ultimately declined to proceed citing that Panera was trading too
    richly (and it has since only traded up).”); JX0772 at 56; Moreton Tr. 798:23–799:10.
    130
    Shaich Tr. 976:1–4.
    131
    Moreton Tr. 799:24–800:2.
    132
    Shaich Tr. 976:11–23; accord Bell Tr. 1143:12–15.
    133
    Bell Tr. 1143:4–22.
    134
    Id. 1143:16–22.
    135
    Id. 1143:12–22; accord Shaich Tr. 976:24–977:6.
    20
    F.      Panera Reaches An “Inflection Point,” And Shaich Engages With
    JAB.
    Although Panera continued to face competitive pressures, it experienced
    impressive growth and success with its initiatives. Panera’s stock price rose from
    $170.00 per share in 2014 to $210.00 per share in early December 2016.136 As of
    October 2016, Panera was the ninth most valuable restaurant company in America
    with a market capitalization of $4.5 billion.137 Panera completed its Panera 2.0
    rollout for company-owned bakery-cafes by the end of 2016.138 And by the end of
    2016, Panera served approximately 9 million customers per week, making it one of
    the largest food service companies in the United States.139
    By January 13, 2017, Panera removed all of its “No No List” ingredients in
    pursuit of its “clean food” goal.140 Panera hit another benchmark on February 8,
    2017, when MyPanera accounted for 51% of the Company’s transactions, becoming
    the largest customer loyalty program in the restaurant industry.141 Other Panera 2.0
    136
    Moreton Tr. 792:4–13; accord Shaich Tr. 976:5–10; JX0631 at 10.
    137
    JX1041 at 4.
    138
    PTO ¶ 126.
    139
    Id. ¶ 91.
    140
    Id. ¶ 127; JX0306.
    141
    PTO ¶ 129. Panera completed rollout of its MyPanera customer loyalty program in
    November 2010. See JX0003.
    21
    initiatives experienced success, with digital orders representing 26% of sales142 and
    the Rapid Pick-Up Program representing about 9% of sales.143
    On February 7, 2017, Shaich announced 2017 to be Panera’s “inflection
    point”144: “[w]ith peak investments and significant scale behind us, we are now
    focused on completing the rollout of our initiatives and reaping the benefits.” 145 In
    particular, “[t]he company has guided to double digit EPS growth for 2017.”146 The
    market reacted positively to this announcement and Panera’s stock rose $20.00 that
    day.147
    In this positive environment, Shaich prepared to meet JAB’s Chief Executive
    Officer, Olivier Goudet, and Head of M&A, David Bell.148 Shaich prepared for the
    meeting with Goldman, who arranged his introduction to JAB.149 Shaich informed
    some of Panera’s directors before the meeting, and Colasacco helped Shaich gather
    JAB’s public information.150 JAB hosted Shaich at its Washington, D.C. office on
    142
    JX0741 at 1.
    143
    JX0359 at 4.
    144
    JX0331 at 3–4.
    145
    JX0342 at 7.
    146
    JX0129 at 1.
    147
    See Moreton Tr. 801:20–21; JX0364 at 1; JX0342 at 7.
    148
    JX0334.
    149
    Shaich Tr. 976:11–977:6; accord JX0318; JX0334.
    150
    See Shaich Tr. 977:17–978:7; JX0338.
    22
    February 9.151 During the meeting, Shaich presented Panera’s standard external
    investor presentation.152 Bell interpreted the presentation as a way to try to entice
    JAB to come and make an offer for Panera.153 During his pitch, Shaich discussed
    his thirty-year career at Panera, but was “very uncertain” about his personal plans.154
    Shaich saw that Goudet’s eyes lit up as Shaich discussed Panera.155
    On Friday, February 24, Shaich, Goudet, and Bell had a follow-up phone
    discussion during which JAB expressed its interest in acquiring Panera.156 The next
    day, Shaich and Colasacco met to discuss JAB’s expression of interest. 157 At this
    time, Shaich did not engage a financial advisor or engage in negotiations.158 Shaich
    planned to inform the rest of the board at the upcoming Wednesday, March 1 board
    meeting.159
    151
    PTO ¶ 130.
    152
    See JX0374; PTO ¶ 130.
    153
    Bell Tr. 1147:11–1148:8.
    154
    Id. 1148:9–22.
    155
    Shaich Tr. 1043:15–1043:24.
    156
    PTO ¶ 131.
    157
    See JX0287 at 9; accord Shaich Tr. 980:11–981:4; 1045:15–22.
    158
    Shaich Tr. 1044:5–1044:24.
    159
    PTO ¶ 131; JX0407 at 1; JX0408 at 3–4.
    23
    At that board meeting, Shaich informed the full board of JAB’s interest.160
    Shaich did not mention that he had initiated the conversation with JAB.161 The board
    discussed Shaich’s introductory meeting and conversations with JAB, as well as
    JAB’s potential interest in an acquisition of the Company.162            “[T]he Board
    authorized Mr. Shaich to continue conversations with JAB and to report back to the
    Board with an update as to the discussions and the status of any offer.”163 At that
    time, the board did not retain a financial advisor, as it had not received a formal
    offer.164
    At this same meeting, the board reviewed 2016 financial results and tracked
    them against the Five-Year Strategic Plan and the projections in the Five-Year
    Financial Model.165 Panera management typically updated the Five-Year Financial
    160
    JX0408 at 3–4.
    161
    Shaich Tr. 1048:2–1048:17.
    162
    PTO ¶ 131; JX0408 at 3–4.
    163
    PTO ¶ 131; JX0408 at 4.
    164
    Shaich Tr. 984:14–23 (“I don’t think anybody on the board, myself or anybody on the
    board would have thought to bring an investment banker in. We had been through this
    kind of process before, and bankers are very expensive, and we had no offer. So I think
    we needed to understand, what was JAB going to say.”); accord Moreton Tr. 804:18–
    805:1; Colasacco Dep. 138:18–139:15.
    165
    See JX0407 at 47–102; JX0408 at 1 (“The agenda for the Board of Directors meeting
    included the following matters: administrative matters, Special Focus topics, including a
    review of the 2016 Key Initiatives, 2017 Key Initiatives and financial plan and related
    business strategy updates, review of financial results . . . .”).
    24
    Model every spring and fall since May 2015.166 In March, management updated the
    Five-Year Financial Model in preparation for merger discussions with JAB.167
    G.   JAB Makes An Offer, And Both Parties Secure Advisors.
    On March 10, 2017, Shaich met with Bell and Goudet in Washington D.C.168
    JAB offered to acquire Panera at a price of $286.00 per share in cash.169 At this
    time, Panera’s stock was trading at $234.91; the offer represented a 21.7%
    premium.170
    JAB was a serial acquirer that maintained a “playbook” for their
    acquisitions.171 Following that playbook, JAB conditioned their offer to Panera on
    (i) a confidentiality provision; (ii) a public support measure for Shaich and certain
    affiliates; (iii) a no-shop provision with a fiduciary out; (iv) matching rights; and (v)
    a 4.0% termination fee.172 JAB’s terms did not include a financing or regulatory
    condition.173 JAB expressed the desire and ability to sign on April 7, 2017, with an
    166
    PTO ¶ 118; Moreton Tr. 780:24–781:9, 859:4–16.
    167
    Moreton Tr. 828:22–830:18.
    168
    PTO ¶ 132.
    169
    Id.
    170
    JX0631 at 6.
    171
    Bell Tr. 1107:24–1108:22; Shaich Tr. 1039:22–24.
    172
    PTO ¶ 132.
    173
    Id.
    25
    announcement on April 10, 2017.174 At trial, Bell explained the “playbook.”175
    Regarding the deal’s speed, JAB was “not interested in a protracted negotiation that
    results in significant management distraction, so they always go very quickly.”176
    Because of this short timeline, JAB also never discusses post-merger leadership roles
    during negotiations.177 Bell also explained that a bilateral deal is part of the JAB
    playbook in part because it typically leads to the lowest price.178
    JAB hired Ernst & Young in March 2017 to conduct their due diligence
    review of Panera.179 JAB conducted their diligence in five days because Panera’s
    public information and “transparency is off the charts.”180 During the process, Bell
    expressed satisfaction with the smooth diligence and was “really impressed by the
    speed and quality of the data.”181 He also noted that Panera was one of the “cleanest
    companies they have ever seen.”182
    174
    Id. ¶ 133.
    175
    Bell Tr. 1104:2–1106:9, 1107:24–111:8.
    176
    JX0581.
    177
    Bell Tr. 1109:17–1111:8.
    178
    Bell Dep. 49:9–14.
    179
    PTO ¶¶ 79–80.
    180
    JX0581.
    181
    Id.
    182
    Id.
    26
    As for financing, Goudet told Shaich that JAB would “use [Goldman] for our
    financing, so it is logical we take them on the buyside.”183 Shaich and Moreton were
    not concerned about using another advisor, despite Panera’s prior relationship with
    Goldman.184 JAB recommended that Panera use Adam Taetle from Barclays or
    David Ciagne from Morgan Stanley because it was “important [for Panera] to pick
    someone who understands [JAB’s] playbook, otherwise could be dangerous.”185
    Ciagne was JAB’s coverage banker at Morgan Stanley.186
    Upon receipt of an offer, on March 14, the board engaged advisors. The board
    retained Sullivan & Cromwell LLP (“Sullivan & Cromwell”) as the board’s outside
    183
    JX0418 at 2. Goldman participated in a $3 billion credit facility in connection with the
    merger. Goldman agreed to provide 33.3% of the credit facility, along with J.P. Morgan
    Chase & Co. and the Bank of America Corporation. PTO ¶ 76.
    Petitioners moved to restrict Respondent’s use of any JAB evidence to support its
    case. See D.I. 139 at 12 n.53. I considered and denied this argument in my March 20,
    2019 bench ruling on Petitioners’ motion in limine. See D.I. 111. I maintain that
    Petitioners’ attempt and failure to obtain additional discovery in the Netherlands precludes
    their later attempt to restrict use of any documents in this Court. See id. at 5:9–6:9.
    Petitioners deposed Bell and received documents from Bell as a custodian. Petitioners used
    Bell’s testimony and JAB documents in its post-trial arguments. Petitioners have not
    shown that Respondent relied on any JAB documents that were not produced in discovery.
    For these reasons, along with those explained in my March 20 bench ruling, Petitioners’
    request is denied.
    184
    Moreton Tr. 775:17–22; Shaich Tr. 988:19–999:4 (“I knew Goldman, but I knew many
    bankers. I had worked with others. And I think that I felt we could be well represented in
    many ways.”).
    185
    JX0418 at 2.
    186
    Kwak Tr. 1194:7–13.
    27
    legal counsel for the potential transaction with JAB.187 Frank Aquila served as
    Sullivan & Cromwell’s lead partner on the matter.188 Shaich proposed engaging
    Barclays Capital or Morgan Stanley as Panera’s financial advisor,189 but did not tell
    the board that JAB had suggested those firms, or specifically Ciagne. 190 After
    deliberation and discussion, the board directed the Company to explore a potential
    engagement and selected Morgan Stanley as its financial advisor.191 Specifically, on
    Aquila’s recommendation, Panera selected Michael Boublik of Morgan Stanley.192
    Boublik had not worked for JAB, and neither Bell, nor anyone else at JAB, knew
    him.193
    On March 15, Morgan Stanley cleared an initial conflicts check.194 Two days
    later, Morgan Stanley gave Panera a key request list that included the Five-Year
    187
    PTO ¶ 77.
    188
    Id. ¶ 78.
    189
    Id. ¶ 135.
    190
    See JX0421 at 2.
    191
    PTO ¶ 135; JX0421 at 2. On March 15, the board initiated the engagement process with
    Morgan Stanley. PTO ¶ 137. On April 2, the Company entered into an engagement letter
    with Morgan Stanley. JX0596.
    192
    JX0466 at 2. Boublik was the lead senior banker from Morgan Stanley advising Panera
    management and the board in connection with the potential transaction with JAB during
    the Panera engagement. At Morgan Stanley, he served as Chairman of M&A for the
    Americas and Managing Director. PTO ¶ 71.
    193
    Bell Tr. 1113:21–1114:4.
    194
    PTO ¶ 141.
    28
    Strategic Plan, and started putting together initial valuation metrics.195 Then, on
    March 20, Sullivan & Cromwell informed the board that Morgan Stanley “had
    cleared an initial conflicts check on March 15 and the parties were now negotiating
    an engagement letter for the transaction.”196
    On March 29, Panera management and Morgan Stanley met to review the
    Five-Year Strategic Plan and Five-Year Financial Model as updated after the March
    1 board meeting.197 Paul Kwak, a Vice President of M&A at Morgan Stanley,198
    prepared questions about Panera’s Five-Year Financial Model.199 In conducting its
    analysis, Morgan Stanley “immediately noticed that [management projections] were
    clearly more bullish and had higher growth, higher margins than what the street
    consensus was,”200 but used the Five-Year Financial Model to develop its
    management case DCF analysis.201
    195
    JX0689; Kwak Tr. 1256:8–1258:8.
    196
    JX0448 at 1.
    197
    PTO ¶ 151.
    198
    Id. ¶ 72.
    199
    See JX0606.
    200
    Kwak Tr. 1219:23–1220:16.
    201
    See JX0625 at 3.
    29
    On March 30, the bank sent its engagement letter. 202 Panera agreed to pay
    Morgan Stanley $42 million: $8 million became payable upon execution of the
    merger agreement, and the remainder was contingent upon closing.203                The
    disclosure letter identified the scope of conflict and formally disclosed all of Morgan
    Stanley’s prior dealings with JAB.204          Morgan Stanley disclosed they “have
    provided, currently are providing, and/or in the future may provide, certain
    investment banking and other financial services to the Company, The Potential
    Buyer, and the Buyer Related entities.”205 Morgan Stanley also included in the letter
    that other than Patrick Gallagher, no senior deal team member “is a member of the
    coverage team for the Potential Buyer or the Buyer Related Entities.”206
    Even though Panera’s deal team did not include any JAB coverage bankers, a
    JAB coverage banker twice passed messages between the JAB and Panera deal
    teams. First, on March 27 (before execution of the engagement letter), Ciagne
    emailed Boublik to communicate JAB’s fears that Morgan Stanley was not doing
    enough to assure Panera that JAB could finance the deal.207       Second, on April 1,
    202
    JX0562.
    203
    JX0789 at 52–53.
    204
    PTO ¶ 155; JX0562.
    205
    JX0562 at 2.
    206
    Id. at 3.
    207
    See JX2021.
    30
    Boublik caused Ciagne to deliver the board’s message to JAB that “Panera is serious,
    and there has to be a higher price.”208 The board did not know that Ciagne had
    previously communicated with Boublik about financing.209 Indeed, Shaich and
    Moreton learned about that communication for the first time at trial.210
    H.       Panera Rejects JAB’s Offer, And JAB Compresses The Timeline.
    On March 14, the board met to discuss JAB’s $286.00 offer.211 The board
    agreed that JAB would need to raise its offer and authorized Shaich to pursue further
    discussions in pursuit of a higher price.212 The board instructed Shaich to inform
    JAB “that the Board would not agree to any proposed offer for the Company that
    was not significantly higher than the $286.00 per share currently proposed by
    JAB.”213
    The next day, Morgan Stanley conducted initial valuation work with Panera’s
    trading history, trading multiples, and precedent transaction multiples.214 From this
    208
    Moreton Tr. 837:9–838:9.
    209
    Shaich Tr. 1068:21–1070:1.
    210
    Id. 1068:21–1070:1; Moreton Tr. 905:7–908:11.
    211
    PTO ¶¶ 134, 136.
    212
    Id. ¶¶ 134, 136.
    213
    Id. ¶ 134.
    214
    See Kwak Tr. 1208:6–1209:9.
    31
    and JAB’s bidding precedents, Morgan Stanley was comfortable that it could
    negotiate a price that was above $300.00.215
    On March 17, Morgan Stanley advised Shaich and Moreton on JAB’s
    historical bidding approach and helped them formulate a strategy to raise JAB’s offer
    price.216         Shaich stayed up until 3 a.m. digesting JAB’s historical bidding
    approach.217 While reviewing, Shaich wrote to Moreton that he wanted to push JAB
    on price; Moreton cautioned him not to push it too hard by being too greedy, because
    “pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered.”218
    The next day, on March 18, Shaich informed JAB that although the board
    approved continued discussions and targeted due diligence, it expected that JAB
    would have to increase their $286.00 offer north of $300.00 per share.219 JAB agreed
    to discuss the possibility of offering a higher price internally and to get back to
    Shaich on March 20.220
    215
    See id..
    216
    JX0455.
    217
    See Shaich Tr. 996:10–997:5.
    218
    JX0435; accord Moreton Tr. 822:9–823:1.
    219
    PTO ¶ 139.
    220
    Id.
    32
    On March 20, JAB made a second offer of $296.50 per share, with the warning
    that JAB would “not go one penny over 299. We’re not going to hit 300.” 221
    Panera’s stock had closed at $255.24 the day before, so the offer represented a 16.2%
    premium to that trading price.222 The board met that same day to review the second
    offer.223 The board “supported continued discussions with JAB and JAB initiating
    due diligence on the Company but expressed its expectation that any final offering
    price be significantly higher.”224 Boublik agreed and commented, “I would hope
    that we get another collective move of at least the same magnitude.”225
    On March 22, Shaich and Moreton communicated to Bell and Goudet the
    board’s expectation to Bell and Goudet that JAB find additional value in the
    Company.226 Shaich explained, “You’ve made a meaningful move once, and I and
    my board appreciate that, but it’s going to take another meaningful move once
    again . . . I’m confident that once we sit down and go through our business plan and
    you’ve done your diligence you’ll be able to get there.”227
    221
    Id. ¶ 140; accord Shaich Tr. 1002:9–23; JX0483.
    222
    JX0552 at 3.
    223
    PTO ¶ 141.
    224
    JX0448 at 1; see also JX0432 at 2.
    225
    JX0456 at 2.
    226
    PTO ¶ 142.
    227
    JX0494 at 1.
    33
    A few days later, on March 26, JAB and Panera signed a confidentiality
    agreement and discussed the due diligence process.228 Bell testified that when JAB
    makes an offer without a financing contingency, they conduct due diligence at “the
    appropriate level” “to have this minimum amount of information in order to ensure
    that [they] could get the debt commitments” from their lenders.229          In these
    discussions, JAB asked Panera to move up the transaction with an anticipated
    announcement during the week of April 3.230 Shaich recognized that JAB wanted to
    move quickly,231 but responded that it was “material” to Panera that JAB “robustly
    (and genuinely) understand the drivers in the business [s]o they can fully appreciate
    the value that we understand is here and seek from them.”232
    Shaich and Moreton also spoke with their legal and financial advisors about
    the feasibility, benefits, and risks of JAB’s proposed accelerated timeline.233 The
    transaction was the fastest in Kwak’s career.234 Nevertheless, Panera’s advisors said
    228
    PTO ¶¶ 144–45.
    229
    Bell Tr. 1105:3–1106:9.
    230
    See PTO ¶ 146.
    231
    See JX0494 at 1.
    232
    JX0491.
    233
    PTO ¶ 143.
    234
    Kwak Tr. 1254:24–1255:3.
    34
    that they had adequate time.235 The board liked the shortened timeline, valuing less
    distraction.236 It was feasible for the board because of its extensive review of the
    Five-Year Strategic Plan, Panera’s financial results, and the Five-Year Financial
    Model.237 Shaich understood that the Company’s future value lay in its initiatives,
    so he conditioned the compressed timeline on meeting with JAB to review the Five-
    Year Strategic Plan and Five-Year Financial Model.238 JAB agreed and the parties
    agreed to work toward entering into a definitive agreement during the week of April
    3.239
    On March 27, JAB’s counsel provided Sullivan & Cromwell a draft merger
    agreement and a draft voting agreement.240 The board did not counteroffer on deal
    price or deal terms at that time.
    Also on March 27, the Company learned that a Bloomberg reporter had called
    Bell inquiring about a possible sale of Panera.241 Shaich wrote in an email that he
    learned this through “a desperate call from [D]avid [B]ell [after] Bloomberg called
    235
    Moreton Tr. 827:10–24; accord Kwak Tr. 1233:10–20.
    236
    Colasacco Dep. 142:11–143:15.
    237
    See, e.g., Moreton Tr. 748:4–13, 768:13–769:8, 780:22–781:9, 805:2–16, 839:17–
    840:3; Shaich Tr. 951:18–952:2, 1015:15–21.
    238
    JX0491; accord JX0490.
    239
    PTO ¶ 146.
    240
    Id. ¶ 149; JX1011.
    241
    PTO ¶148; JX0513.
    35
    him inquiring about Panera.”242 At trial, Shaich commented that during the call, Bell
    had “anxiety in his voice” and “was very nervous and concerned about it.”243
    Despite the JAB playbook’s tenet of confidentiality,244 JAB did not walk after the
    leak. Instead, JAB began their diligence in Panera’s data room on March 28.245
    While JAB was conducting their due diligence, Morgan Stanley presented its
    initial valuation analysis to the board.246 At the March 30 board meeting, Morgan
    Stanley presented seven different valuation metrics to guide the negotiations and
    frame JAB’s outstanding offer of $296.50.247 Morgan Stanley also identified and
    ranked “Potential Interlopers” by their strategic rationale and ability to pay.248 In
    order, these included Starbucks, Chipotle, Restaurant Brands International (“RBI”),
    242
    JX0513.
    243
    Shaich Tr. 1007:7–17.
    244
    See JX0418 at 2 (“We are making a friendly, confidential offer. If there is a leak, we
    will walk away.”); Bell Tr. 1104:5–16 (referencing JX0418 and stating “the way we give
    offers at JAB, among other things, is to require confidentiality. We think it’s in the mutual
    interests of both parties. It’s just the way we work. And so we said that fundamental to
    our offer was the fact that it had to remain confidential.”); Kwak Tr. 1196:22–1198:1
    (testifying that Morgan Stanley was familiar with the JAB playbook and understood that
    JAB’s threat to walk was real).
    245
    PTO ¶ 150.
    246
    Id. ¶ 154; JX0545 at 1–2; JX0552.
    247
    PTO ¶ 154; accord JX0552 at 3–12 (valuing the Company through a multiples-based
    valuation matrix from the street and management cases, historical trading and multiples
    analyses, comparable companies analyses and a precedent transactions analysis).
    248
    JX0552 at 14–15.
    36
    Dunkin’, Domino’s, McDonald’s, Yum!, and Darden.249 Morgan Stanley ruled out
    financial sponsors,250 focused on strategic buyers like Starbucks, and explained why
    others were unlikely to compete.251 In its analysis, Morgan Stanley recognized that
    Starbucks had “[p]reviously engaged with [Panera] in acquisition discussions,” and
    “[h]ad mentioned concerns that acquisition multiple would be above where
    Starbucks traded.”252
    This analysis fit with Shaich’s and the board’s deep knowledge of the
    industry.253 According to Shaich, the “big three” were not viable options: Starbucks
    had just passed on Panera months earlier; Chipotle was in an E. coli crisis; and RBI
    had just acquired Popeyes.254 As for the remainder, Shaich knew Dunkin’ very well,
    had discussions with them, and knew they were 100% franchised, operated at smaller
    volume, and would not be interested in Panera.255 Shaich knew Domino’s CEO as
    a dear friend and understood their business was 100% franchised and 100% pizza
    249
    Id.
    250
    Kwak Tr. 1199:9–1200:3, 1228:18–1229:5.
    251
    See JX0552 at 14–15.
    252
    Id. at 14.
    253
    Shaich Tr. 1019:18–1021:16; Moreton Tr. 811:19–812:17, 824:3–12, 912:12–16.
    254
    Shaich Tr. 1019:18–1020:13.
    255
    Id. 1020:14–19.
    37
    and that they were not acquiring.256      Shaich previously had discussions with
    McDonald’s and knew that, based on mistakes in their acquisition history, they had
    pulled back and were not acquiring, so Panera “wouldn’t be for them.”257 Shaich
    also had discussions with Yum! years earlier and knew that, at the time of the merger,
    Yum! faced activist pressure to leave China and also would not run company
    stores.258 Finally, Shaich knew that Darden was acquiring Cheddars and faced
    activist pressure.259 Shaich explained: “[I]t was just patently clear to me that,
    knowing what I know, and knowing these people and where this had played out, that
    there really wasn’t a viable interested party.”260 The board agreed. Moreton
    explained that “there was nobody else out there talking to [the board] about
    potentially acquiring [the Company], nor did [the board] think there would be.”261
    256
    Id. 1020:20–23.
    257
    Id. 1020:24–1021:4.
    258
    Id. 1021:5–9.
    259
    Id. 1021:10–12.
    260
    Id. 1021:13–16.
    261
    Moreton Tr. 811:19–812:17; accord id. 912:7–11 (“[T]here was nobody else to reach
    out to . . . [w]e went through the process.”).
    38
    I.     JAB Reviews Panera’s Five-Year Strategic Plan And Five-Year
    Financial Model And Makes Their Final Offer.
    Shaich met with four JAB leaders on March 31, as well as two of their
    advisors.262 The group met for three to four hours, and Shaich presented a deck titled
    “Five-Year Strategy & Financial Model.”263 The Company presented nonpublic
    information, including the status of the Five-Year Strategic Plan and the financial
    projections contained in the Five-Year Financial Model.264 Days later, on April 2,
    JAB confirmed its pre-diligence estimates for cost savings265 and internally revised
    their target price upwards from $290.00 to $305.00 per share.266
    The next day, on the morning of April 3, Bloomberg reported that Panera was
    exploring strategic options, including a possible sale of the Company to potential
    suitors such as JAB, Starbucks, and Domino’s.267 In response to the leak, Panera’s
    stock price jumped to $261.87, an 8% increase from the pre-public speculation price,
    and closed at $282.63.268
    262
    JX0546 at 1. These leaders included Bell, Axel Bhat (JAB partner and CFO), Trevor
    Ashley (JAB principal), and Tim Hennessy (JAB Beech CFO). Id.
    263
    Shaich Tr. 1010:9–22; JX0564.
    264
    See generally JX0564; accord Moreton Tr. 840:14–23.
    265
    JX0593 at 49–50 (confirming JAB’s pre-diligence estimates and predicting $365 to
    $570 million in cost savings).
    266
    Compare JX0400 at 44, with JX0593 at 65.
    267
    PTO ¶ 159; JX0609.
    268
    See, e.g., JX0631 at 5; JX0982 at 61.
    39
    Later that day, on April 3, Shaich, Hurst, and Bufano met with JAB’s senior
    partners including Goudet, Bell, Peter Harf (JAB senior partner), Bart Becht (JAB
    partner and chairman), and two of their advisors.269 The Company presented a deck
    also titled “Five-Year Strategy & Financial Model,”270 which was substantially
    similar to the deck delivered to the other JAB leaders on March 31.271 Both decks
    contained an in-depth look into the Five-Year Strategic Plan and the Five-Year
    Financial Model.272 Both decks discussed Panera’s opportunities in international
    franchising,273 “Panera At Home” (including coffee),274 and technology.275
    The April 3 deck contemplated “other opportunities” that would stem from
    combining JAB and Panera.276              These opportunities included joint efforts in
    consumer packaged goods (“CPG”), coffee, international expansion, technology,
    marketing, real estate modeling, sourcing, and franchising.277 The parties did not
    269
    JX0546 at 1.
    270
    JX0607.
    271
    Compare JX0564, with JX0607.
    272
    See JX0564; JX0607; accord Moreton Tr. 840:14–23.
    273
    See JX0564 at 131; JX0607 at 145.
    274
    See JX0564 at 141–152; JX0607 at 155–169.
    275
    JX0564 at 154–158; JX0607 at 171–175.
    276
    JX0607 at 229.
    277
    Id.
    40
    quantify the amount of savings generated by these efforts.278 After this discussion,
    Bell explained that JAB
    did some back-of-the-envelope math and got excited about
    it. But since we had no discussion with anyone about it,
    and it was a short period of time, we didn’t, quote/unquote,
    put it in the model, financially. But I will tell you––you
    even heard it earlier—coffee was core to our strategy of
    doing this. It’s just something that was difficult for us to
    quantify at the time we were doing diligence.279
    JAB did not quantify any growth opportunity synergies either before or after
    diligence.280
    Also on April 3, Panera countered JAB’s draft merger agreement and
    proposed lowering the termination fee from 4.0% to 2.5% of the equity value of the
    transaction.281 In response to that counter, also on April 3, JAB communicated to
    Shaich a “best and final” offer of $315.00 per share and a 3.0% termination fee.282
    The $315.00 offer represented a 34.1% premium from the March 10 trading price of
    $234.91 and a 20.3% premium from the March 31 pre-public speculation trading
    278
    See id.
    279
    See Bell Tr. 1129:2–24.
    280
    See JX0400 at 43; JX0593 at 64.
    281
    PTO ¶ 160.
    282
    Id. ¶ 161.
    41
    price of $261.87.283 JAB informed Panera that this offer would expire when the
    United States market opened on April 5.284
    J.    Morgan Stanley Offers Its Fairness Opinion, And Panera
    Approves The Deal.
    At 9:00 p.m. on April 3, Morgan Stanley’s fairness committee met to discuss
    the proposed transaction between Panera and JAB, and found that the $315.00 per
    share offer exceeded the historical trading range, analyst price targets, public trading
    benchmarks, and the street discounted equity value analysis.285 The analysis also
    showed that the $315.00 per share offer fell within the range of precedent
    transactions, management discounted equity value analysis, and both the street and
    management discounted cash flow analyses.286 The committee prepared to present
    these findings to the board the next day.
    On April 4 at 9:30 a.m., the board held a meeting to discuss JAB’s “last and
    final” offer.287 Shaich, Bufano, and Hurst presented highlights from the “Five-Year
    Strategic Plan & Financial Model” previously shared with JAB leaders.288 During
    283
    JX0631 at 6.
    284
    PTO ¶ 161.
    285
    See JX0627 at 20.
    286
    See id.
    287
    PTO ¶ 163.
    288
    Id.; JX0608; JX0628 at 1; JX0629.
    42
    this meeting, management also reviewed the Company’s full Five-Year Financial
    Model with the board.289
    Morgan Stanley presented its fairness committee’s findings.290 The analysis
    included the evolution of merger discussions; a summary of JAB proposals with
    implied transaction multiples; a JAB company and precedent transaction overview;
    Panera’s historical stock performance, next-twelve-month multiple measurements,
    and valuation comparables; and analyst perspectives on Panera.291
    Morgan Stanley also presented its preliminary standalone valuation summary
    from both a street case and an internal management case based on the Five-Year
    Model.292 The discounted cash flow analysis for the street case ranged from $231.00
    to $318.00 per share, while the management case ranged from $300.00 to $410.00
    per share.293 The board discussed these valuations at length and asked Morgan
    Stanley questions about the underlying assumptions.294 Morgan Stanley explained
    that the management case reflected assumptions for Panera’s various initiatives and
    that “all those initiatives had to go right in order to achieve this management case
    289
    PTO ¶ 164; JX0629; JX0616; accord Moreton Tr. 840:4–20.
    290
    See PTO ¶ 165; JX0631.
    291
    JX0631 at 1–14.
    292
    Id. at 15–20.
    293
    Id. at 19.
    294
    JX0628 at 2; Moreton Tr. 843:14–845:3.
    43
    and then . . . there was execution risks in executing or in getting all those initiatives
    to the point that management was assuming within their management case.”295
    While Morgan Stanley highlighted the effect of these assumptions, it accepted
    management’s data in creating the management case and did not test it for
    reasonableness.296 Morgan Stanley concluded that the merger consideration of
    $315.00 per share “was fair to and in the best interests of, from a financial point of
    view, the Company’s shareholders and that it would be prepared to issue an opinion
    to the Company and its Board to that effect.”297
    After the board discussed their perspectives on the proposed transaction and
    the valuation of the Company, “[t]he directors expressed their strong support for the
    proposed transaction, noting particularly that the price was fair for the Company’s
    295
    Kwak Tr. 1236:18–1237:10. Kwak explained:
    A few considerations:
    You’ve got to believe that 80+% of your value is in the terminus
    Everything has got to go right; there is always risk of execution which may
    not be captured by our calculated WACC
    All initiatives are proven strategies, but not all are proven on a large scale
    Restaurant space is competitive – our guys are ahead of the pack now in terms
    of technology, for instance, but it’s a r[i]sk that others are striving to catch
    up[.]
    JX0625 at 3–4.
    296
    Kwak Tr. 1221:2–11, 1235:17–1236:8, 1240:11–13.
    297
    JX0628 at 2.
    44
    shareholders and that the deal protection mechanisms in the merger agreement were
    not preclusive to an alternative proposal for the Company’s shares.”298 The board
    then recessed and reconvened at 4:00 p.m. for the final review of the proposed
    transaction.299
    At that time, Sullivan & Cromwell updated the board about the merger
    agreement, the voting agreement, and the non-competition agreement.300 Boublik
    orally delivered Morgan Stanley’s fairness opinion (confirmed the next day in
    writing)301 that the merger was fair from a financial point of view to Panera and its
    stockholders.302 The board unanimously approved the proposed resolutions to adopt,
    execute, and deliver the merger agreement.303
    On April 5, Panera and JAB issued a joint press release announcing the
    merger.304
    298
    Id. at 3.
    299
    Id.
    300
    PTO ¶ 167; JX0630 at 1.
    301
    JX0647.
    302
    PTO ¶ 167; JX0628 at 2.
    303
    PTO ¶ 167; JX0630 at 2.
    304
    PTO ¶ 170; accord JX0655.
    45
    K.      Panera Solicits And Obtains Stockholder Approval.
    On May 12, Panera filed a preliminary proxy statement on Schedule 14A
    recommending that Panera’s stockholders vote in favor of the merger.305 On June 1,
    Panera issued a definitive Schedule 14A proxy statement, by which Panera notified
    all stockholders of their appraisal rights for their shares of Panera common stock
    pursuant to 8 Del. C. § 262, and attached a copy of 8 Del. C. § 262 as Annex C to
    the proxy.306 On June 16, Panera issued supplemental disclosures.307 On July 11,
    Panera stockholders approved the merger at a special meeting, at which over 97%
    of votes cast favored the merger, representing 80.26% of the outstanding shares.308
    The merger closed on July 18.309 No potential bidders emerged at any time,
    including after Bloomberg’s March 27 request for comment or after the parties
    announced the deal on April 5.310 As of the merger date, Panera operated 910
    company-owned bakery-cafes and 1,132 franchisee bakery-cafes across 46 states,
    the District of Columbia, and Ontario, Canada.311
    305
    PTO ¶ 2.
    306
    Id. ¶ 3.
    307
    Id. ¶ 4.
    308
    Id. ¶¶ 5-6; JX0842 at 3.
    309
    PTO ¶ 7.
    310
    Kwak Tr. 1215:24–1218:2; Moreton Tr. 842:22–843:2.
    311
    PTO ¶ 89.
    46
    On November 8, Panera announced that effective January 1, 2018, Shaich
    would step down as Chief Executive Officer of Panera and remain with the Company
    as Executive Chairman, and Hurst would succeed Shaich as Chief Executive
    Officer.312
    L.       Dissenting Stockholders Seek Appraisal.
    In early July 2017, thirty Dissenting Stockholders notified Panera of their
    desire to exercise their appraisal rights pursuant to 8 Del. C. § 262 over a collective
    1,863,578 shares of Panera common stock.313 The Dissenting Stockholders did not
    withdraw their demands within sixty days of the effective date of the merger.314
    Between August 16, 2017 and September 13, 2017, Dissenting Stockholders
    filed five separate petitions seeking appraisal relating to the merger. The Court
    consolidated those petitions into this action.315
    Between December 19, 2017 and May 10, 2018, Panera prepaid twenty-nine
    of the Dissenting Stockholders the full amount of the merger consideration, $315.00,
    312
    Id. ¶ 180.
    313
    Id. ¶ 9.
    314
    Id. ¶ 10.
    315
    Id. ¶ 11.
    47
    and statutory interest accrued through the payment date, for each share of Panera
    common stock beneficially owned.316
    Certain Dissenting Stockholders withdrew their demands, and Panera and
    these Dissenting Stockholders jointly stipulated to dismiss their petitioners from this
    action.317
    The Court held a six-day trial between April 1 and April 8, 2019. Post-trial
    briefing was completed on August 1.318 The Court ordered supplemental briefing
    on August 22,319 which the parties completed on September 27.320 The Court held
    post-trial argument on October 7.321
    II.     ANALYSIS
    Petitioners contend that the fair value of their shares is $361.00.322 Petitioners
    support this valuation with a three-pronged approach. They give no weight to deal
    price.323 Instead, they give 60% weight to a discounted cash flow model prepared
    316
    Id. ¶ 13.
    317
    See id. ¶¶ 14–19.
    318
    See D.I. 134.
    319
    D.I. 142.
    320
    See D.I. 144.
    321
    See D.I. 154.
    322
    JX0983 at 10.
    323
    Id.; accord Shaked Tr. 394:10–12.
    48
    by their expert, Israel Shaked, professor of finance and economics at Boston
    University’s Questrom School of Business.324 Petitioners attribute 30% of their
    valuation to Shaked’s comparable companies analysis, and 10% to his precedent
    transaction analysis.
    Throughout this proceeding, including at trial, Respondent pursued a
    valuation of $304.44.325 Respondent argued that deal price minus synergies deserves
    dispositive weight. Respondent’s expert was Glenn Hubbard, the Dean and Russell
    L. Carson Professor in finance and economics at the Graduate School of Business of
    Columbia University, as well as professor of economics at Columbia University.326
    Seizing on Bell’s trial testimony regarding revenue synergies, Respondent lowered
    its valuation to $293.44 in post-trial briefing. Respondent seeks a refund of any
    difference between its prepayment at $315.00 per share and fair value.
    A.      Legal Standard
    “An appraisal proceeding is a limited legislative remedy intended to provide
    shareholders dissenting from a merger on grounds of inadequacy of the offering
    price with a judicial determination of the intrinsic worth (fair value) of their
    shareholdings.”327 “Section 262(h) unambiguously calls upon the Court of Chancery
    324
    JX0983 at 6.
    325
    See JX0982 at 55–56; accord Hubbard Tr. 1479:23–1480:6.
    326
    JX0982 at 5.
    327
    Cede & Co. v. Technicolor, Inc., 
    542 A.2d 1182
    , 1186 (Del. 1988).
    49
    to perform an independent evaluation of ‘fair value’ at the time of a
    transaction . . . [and] vests the Chancellor and Vice Chancellors with significant
    discretion to consider ‘all relevant factors’ and determine the going concern value
    of the underlying company.”328 The determination of fair value is intended to ensure
    the stockholder is “paid for that which has been taken from him, viz., his
    proportionate interest in a going concern.”329 Valuation of the corporation as a going
    concern must be “based upon the operative reality of the company as of the time of
    the merger, taking into account its particular market position in light of future
    prospects.”330 “Given that ‘[e]very company is different; every merger is different,’
    the appraisal endeavor is ‘by design, a flexible process.’”331
    “In a statutory appraisal proceeding, both sides have the burden of proving
    their respective valuation positions by a preponderance of [the] evidence.”332 In
    328
    DFC Glob. Corp. v. Muirfield Value P’rs, L.P., 
    172 A.3d 346
    , 364 (Del. 2017) (quoting
    Golden Telecom, Inc. v. Glob. GT LP, 
    11 A.3d 214
    , 217–18 (Del. 2010)); accord 8 Del. C.
    § 262(h).
    329
    Tri-Continental Corp. v. Battye, 
    74 A.2d 71
    , 72 (Del. 1950); accord Verition P’rs
    Master Fund Ltd. v. Aruba Networks, Inc., 
    210 A.3d 128
    , 132–133 (Del. 2019).
    330
    In re Appraisal of Stillwater Min. Co., 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *19 (Del. Ch.
    Aug. 21, 2019) (internal quotation marks omitted) (quoting M.G. Bancorp., Inc. v. Le
    Beau, 
    737 A.2d 513
    , 525 (Del. 1999)), judgment entered 
    2019 WL 4750400
     (Del. Ch.
    Sept. 27, 2019).
    331
    Dell, Inc. v. Magnetar Glob. Event Driven Master Fund Ltd., 
    177 A.3d 1
    , 21 (Del. 2017)
    (footnote omitted) (quoting In re Appraisal of PetSmart, 
    2017 WL 2303599
    , at *26 (Del.
    Ch. May, 26, 2017), and then quoting Golden Telecom, 
    11 A.3d at 218
    ).
    332
    M.G. Bancorp., 
    737 A.2d at 520
    .
    50
    evaluating the parties’ positions, “[n]o presumption, favorable or unfavorable,
    attaches to either side’s valuation,”333 and “[e]ach party also bears the burden of
    proving the constituent elements of its valuation position . . . , including the propriety
    of a particular method, modification, discount, or premium.” 334 Because the Court
    determines fair value based on an adversarial presentation blending facts, opinions,
    and argument, the Court’s conclusions in one appraisal proceeding may not squarely
    inform its conclusions in another.335
    The appraisal exercise occurs in the context of the efficient market hypothesis,
    “long endorsed” by the Delaware Supreme Court.336 “It teaches that the price
    produced by an efficient market is generally a more reliable assessment of fair value
    than the view of a single analyst, especially an expert witness who caters her
    valuation to the litigation imperatives of a well-heeled client.”337 In view of this
    principle, the Delaware Supreme Court has acknowledged “the economic reality that
    333
    Pinson v. Campbell-Taggart, Inc., 
    1989 WL 17438
    , at *6 (Del. Ch. Feb. 28, 1989).
    334
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *18 (quoting Jesse A. Finkelstein & John D.
    Hendershot, Appraisal Rights in Mergers and Consolidations, Corp. Prac. Series (BNA)
    No. 38-5th, at A-90 (2010 & 2017 Supp.)).
    335
    See In re Appraisal of Jarden Corp., 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *1 (Del. Ch. July 19, 2019),
    reargument granted in part, denied in part, 
    2019 WL 4464636
     (Del. Ch. Sept. 16, 2019).
    Merion Capital L.P. v. Lender Processing Servs., L.P., 
    2016 WL 7324170
    , at *16 (Del.
    Ch. Dec. 16, 2016); Glob. GT LP v. Golden Telecom, Inc., (Golden Telecom Trial), 
    993 A.2d 497
    , 517 (Del. Ch.), aff’d, 
    11 A.3d 214
     (Del. 2010);
    336
    Dell, 177 A.3d at 24.
    337
    Id.
    51
    the sale value resulting from a robust market check will often be the most reliable
    evidence of fair value, and . . . second-guessing the value arrived upon by the
    collective views of many sophisticated parties with a real stake in the matter is
    hazardous.”338 At the same time, the Delaware Supreme Court does not view “the
    market [a]s always the best indicator of value, or that it should always be granted
    some weight.”339 “There is no presumption that the deal price reflects fair value.”340
    “[T]he persuasiveness of the deal price depends on the reliability of the sale process
    that generated it.”341 If the sale process is not open or sufficiently reliable, “the deal
    price should not be regarded as persuasive evidence of fair value.”342
    338
    DFC, 172 A.3d at 366.
    339
    Dell, 117 A.3d at 35.
    340
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *21 (citing Dell, 177 A.3d at 21; DFC, 172 A.3d at
    366–67).
    341
    Id.
    342
    Id. at *22; accord Aruba, 210 A.3d at 137 (“[A] buyer in possession of material
    nonpublic information about the seller is in a strong position (and is uniquely incentivized)
    to properly value the seller when agreeing to buy the company at a particular deal price,
    and that view of value should be given considerable weight by the Court of Chancery
    absent deficiencies in the deal process.”); Jarden, 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *23 (“This court
    has heeded the Supreme Court’s guidance and regularly rests its appraisal analysis on the
    premise that when a transaction price represents an unhindered, informed and competitive
    market valuation, that price ‘is at least first among equals of valuation methodologies in
    deciding fair value.’” (quoting In re Appraisal of AOL Inc., 
    2018 WL 1037450
    , at *1 (Del.
    Ch. Feb. 23, 2018))).
    52
    There is no checklist or set of minimum characteristics for giving weight to
    the deal price.343 Indeed, Delaware Supreme Court precedent announced in “Aruba,
    Dell, and DFC do[es] not establish legal requirements for a sale process.”344 A deal
    price serves as a persuasive indicator of fair value where the sale process bears
    “objective indicia of fairness that rendered the deal price a reliable indicator of fair
    value.”345 Vice Chancellor Glasscock described a “Dell compliant” process as one
    “where (i) information was sufficiently disseminated to potential bidders, so that (ii)
    an informed sale could take place, (iii) without undue impediments imposed by the
    deal structure itself.”346     In Stillwater, Vice Chancellor Laster recited several
    objective indicia of reliability approved by the Delaware Supreme Court:
    negotiations “[at] arm’s-length”;347 board deliberations without “any conflicts of
    interest”;348 buyer “due diligence and recei[pt of] confidential information about [the
    343
    See Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *21.
    344
    Id. at *22.
    345
    Id. at *44.
    346
    AOL, 
    2018 WL 1037450
    , at *8.
    347
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *22 (citing DFC, 172 A.3d at 349).
    348
    Id.; see also DFC, 172 A.3d at 375–76.
    53
    company’s] value”;349 and seller “extract[ion of] multiple price increases.”350 The
    Delaware Supreme Court has particularly stressed the absence of post-signing
    bidders as an objective indicator that the sale process was reliable and probative of
    fair value.351
    The presence of objective indicia of reliability does not establish a
    presumption in favor of the deal price.352 Where these indicia are present, I must
    determine whether they outweigh weaknesses in the sale process, or whether those
    weaknesses undermine the persuasiveness of the deal price.353
    349
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *23 (citing Aruba, 210 A.3d at 137–38); see also Dell,
    177 A.3d at 30 (review of “the Company’s confidential information”); DFC, 172 A.3d at
    355–56 (same).
    350
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *23 (citing Aruba, 210 A.3d at 139; Dell, 177 A.3d at
    28).
    351
    Id. (citing Aruba, 210 A.3d at 136 (“It cannot be that an open chance for buyers to bid
    signals a market failure simply because buyers do not believe the asset on sale is
    sufficiently valuable for them to engage in a bidding contest against each other.”); Dell,
    177 A.3d at 29 (“Fair value entails at minimum a price some buyer is willing to pay—not
    a price at which no class of buyers in the market would pay.”); id. at 33 (finding that
    absence of higher bid meant “that the deal market was already robust and that a topping
    bid involved a serious risk of overpayment,” which “suggests the price is already at a level
    that is fair”)).
    352
    Id. at *22.
    353
    Cf. id. (synthesizing the three recent Supreme Court appraisal decisions in Aruba, Dell,
    and DFC).
    54
    B.     Panera’s Sale Process Was Sufficiently Reliable To Make Deal
    Price Persuasive Evidence Of Fair Value.
    I find several objective indicia of reliability in this case. As a prefatory matter,
    Panera’s stock traded in an efficient market, such that indicia of reliability in
    Panera’s sale process support giving weight to deal price.354 First, as Petitioners’
    process expert James Redpath recognized, the parties negotiated in an arm’s-length
    354
    This point does not appear to be in serious dispute. Petitioners’ opening post-trial brief
    did not assert that Panera’s stock did not trade in an efficient market. The parties discussed
    the efficiency of the market for Panera’s stock only while talking past each other about
    whether weight should be given to Panera’s stock price. Compare D.I. 138 at 60–65, and
    D.I. 141 at 23, with D.I. 140 at 40–46. Out of an abundance of caution, I make the
    unsurprising finding that Panera “ha[d] many stockholders; no controlling stockholder;
    ‘highly active trading’; and . . . information about the company [was] widely available and
    easily disseminated to the market.” See Dell, 177 A.3d at 25 (citation omitted). Panera
    also had a large market capitalization, substantial public float and trading volume, a low
    bid-ask spread, a high number of equity analysts, and a rapid response to transaction
    rumors. See id. at 7, 25. Hubbard’s report on these factors was persuasive and supported
    by evidence presented at trial. JX0982 at 58–61; Hubbard Tr. 1504:11–1505:14, 1506:11–
    24. In my view, these straightforward factors are plainly present and provide conclusive
    evidence of an efficient market for Panera’s stock. This conclusion is undisturbed by
    Shaked’s analyses of market reactions to Panera news, which I find to be plagued by
    subjectivity in what is “new and material” information, and a failure to account for trading
    volume. See JX0988 at 83–84, 90–92.
    55
    transaction.355 Redpath similarly conceded that the board was independent, and
    labored without conflicts of interest.356
    Second, JAB assessed Panera’s value using both Panera’s extensive public
    information and focused due diligence into Panera’s confidential information.357 In
    DFC, deal price was the best evidence of fair value in part because it was “informed
    by robust public information[] and easy access to deeper, non-public
    information.”358 Bell found Panera’s “transparency [was] off the charts[,]”and
    JAB’s legal advisors shared the view that “much of [JAB’s diligence] is check the
    box and that they have reviewed everything that is public.”359 Shaich explained that
    he presented the Five-Year Strategic Plan “hundreds of times” to “internal groups,
    355
    Redpath Tr. 635:6–9. Redpath is a senior investment banking partner at Cypress
    Associates, a “nationally recognized investment banking firm.” See id. 499:9–14, 505:18–
    21.
    356
    Id. 635:24–638:9, 643:12–644:8. Petitioners claim a special committee was necessary
    here, but Petitioners cannot point to a conflict that a special committee could remedy where
    Panera had seven independent board members on its nine-member board.
    357
    JX0476 at 2; JX0583 at 1.
    358
    172 A.3d at 349.
    359
    JX0461 at 1; JX0581; accord JX0476 at 2 (“Remember, this is a very clean public
    company, so have to tone down the voluminous generic requests . . . .”).
    56
    external groups” and “every investment conference” he attended (“twenty a year”)
    “to get everybody to understand [] what’s the vision and where we were.”360
    In addition, JAB received and reviewed the specific nonpublic information
    that Shaich believed would lead JAB to see greater value in Panera.361 After
    reviewing that information, JAB internally raised their offer from $296.50 to
    $305.00, as the information confirmed a “[s]ignificant [c]ash [o]pportunity” through
    working capital and other cost savings.362              Ultimately, JAB offered Panera
    $315.00.363 Although JAB limited their access to non-public information, they did
    so as a natural result of Panera’s widespread public dissemination of meaningful
    information.
    Third, Panera used Boublik’s guidance364 and Shaich’s doggedness to extract
    two price increases.365          Even operating under their own preferred terms of
    360
    Shaich Tr. 921:7–9, 948:2–18, 960:8–961:3, 962:17–23; see, e.g., JX0194 at 1; JX0192
    at 5, 11; JX2028 at 3, 17; JX0032 at 51; JX0041 at 5, 22; JX0064 at 2; JX0260 at 4–5, 15;
    JX0331 at 3–4; JX0345 at 4–5, 14; JX0029; JX1039; JX0063 at 3; JX0304.
    361
    JX0490; accord Moreton Tr. 840:7–23.
    362
    JX0593 at 49–50. These findings are discussed further in Section II(D), infra.
    363
    PTO ¶ 161.
    364
    Kwak Tr. 1206:15–1207:6; accord Moreton Tr. 821:7–14 (“Q. Did Panera at any time
    in the negotiations give a, quote, unquote, counteroffer in the sense of a specific price point
    at which it would agree to a deal? A. No. We never did. This was part of the strategy
    that Morgan Stanley helped craft, that there was no reason to do that. At this point, it was
    just a push for more.”).
    365
    Shaich Tr. 999:9–1002:4.
    57
    engagement, JAB raised their price twice. The board rejected JAB’s initial $286.00
    offer, communicating its expectation that JAB would find more value for the
    Company during the diligence process.366 Boublik agreed and encouraged Shaich,
    the lead negotiator, and Moreton, a board negotiation advisor, to seek additional
    value.367 When JAB revised their offer to $296.50, JAB also explained that they
    would not raise the offer a penny over $299.00.368 This was still too low for the
    board.369 Shaich and Moreton listened to Morgan Stanley’s guidance and believed
    the Company could break JAB’s stated ceiling price without giving a counteroffer.370
    Morgan Stanley was right. After conducting diligence, confirming its anticipated
    cost savings, and reviewing the Five-Year Strategic Plan and Five-Year Model, JAB
    raised its price to $315.00.371
    366
    PTO ¶¶ 139, 141; JX0448 at 1; accord Moreton Tr. 822:1–8 (“JAB’s transactions had
    gone from the initial discussions and initial bids, through due diligence, to the end, and
    how they had a history of raising their offer price as they went through.”).
    367
    Moreton Tr. 820:4–13; accord JX0519 at 1.
    368
    PTO ¶ 140; accord Shaich Tr. 1002:9–23; JX0483.
    369
    PTO ¶ 141 (“The Board supported moving forward with further discussions and due
    diligence but again expressed its expectation that any final offering price be significantly
    higher.”).
    370
    See Moreton Tr. 821:7–822:8.
    371
    PTO ¶ 161.
    58
    Fourth, no other potential bidders emerged, despite a leak during negotiations
    and nonpreclusive deal protections.372 A leak gives potential bidders notice of the
    transaction and an opportunity to bid.373 According to Kwak, leaks typically happen
    at the tail end of a process,374 and a potentially interested buyer with the capacity to
    acquire a $7 billion company would “have the experience and the know-how and the
    team members to know that you do need to move swiftly because at any point they
    could sign a transaction with the rumored buyer.”375 Kwak explained that when a
    rumored transaction surfaces, coverage bankers immediately identify and contact
    potential buyers “to explore whether th[ose] compan[ies] ha[ve] interest in pursuing
    an acquisition.”376
    The first evidence of a leak emerged on March 27, when Bloomberg called
    JAB for a comment. The leak concerned Bell greatly, evidencing that JAB feared
    372
    Id. ¶¶ 148, 159; Kwak Tr. 1215:24–1218:2.
    373
    In re Appraisal of Solera Hldgs., Inc., 
    2018 WL 3625644
    , at *14 (Del. Ch.
    July 30, 2018) (analyzing Dell and commenting that “[g]iven leaks in the press that Dell
    was exploring a sale . . . the world was put on notice of the possibility of a transaction so
    that any interested parties would have approached the Company before the go-shop if
    serious about pursuing a deal.” (internal quotation marks omitted)); cf. DFC, 172 A.3d at
    376 (identifying “the failure of other buyers to pursue the company when they had a free
    chance to do so” as an objective indicator of fairness supporting deal price).
    374
    Kwak Tr. 1216:11–1217:16.
    375
    Id. 1216:11–23.
    376
    Id. 1216:24–1217:16.
    59
    another bidder might surface. The transaction became public on April 3, when
    Bloomberg published its article.377 No bidders surfaced.
    Further, no third-party bidders expressed interest or submitted a bid during
    the three-month post-signing period after the parties announced the deal.378 Panera’s
    deal protections included a no-shop provision with a fiduciary out, matching rights,
    a 3% termination fee, and 104 days between signing and closing.379 Morgan Stanley
    considered each post-signing protection to be customary or insufficiently preclusive
    to post-signing bidders.380 Kwak viewed a 3 to 4% break-up fee as “typical” and
    3% as “customary,”381 and recognized that even “customary” matching rights “may
    discourage in a way and make it more challenging” for other bidders to come
    forward, but such rights would not prevent them.382 Kwak testified at trial that an
    interested bidder “could contact and put forth an offer to the company.” 383 Kwak
    377
    JX0609.
    378
    Kwak Tr. 1242:11–1243:3. In Kwak’s view, the leak gave interested bidders sufficient
    time to come forward before signing. Id. 1242:11–23. Redpath agreed. JX0985 at 76
    (“There was sufficient time for a topping bidder to emerge post-signing.”).
    379
    PTO ¶¶ 132, 161; JX0789 at 71–75, 79–81; see also JX0772 at 97–100, 106–107.
    380
    See, e.g., Kwak Tr. 1240:14–21, 1241:10–24.
    381
    Id. 1241:10–15.
    382
    Id. 1241:16–24.
    383
    Id. 1241:5–9.
    60
    concluded there was sufficient time between signing and closing, noting, “[I]f there
    was someone, we would have expected to at least get some form of an inbound.”384
    Petitioners have not meaningfully challenged the terms Panera’s post-signing
    passive market check, or offered any evidence that an interested bidder did not have
    a reasonable chance to bid.385 To the contrary, Redpath conceded, “[t]here was
    384
    Id. 1242:11–23.
    385
    This Court has recently posited that deal price is persuasive evidence of fair value, even
    with a limited pre-signing outreach, if the merger agreement’s deal protections are
    sufficiently open to permit a post-signing passive market check in line with what decisions
    have held is sufficient to satisfy enhanced scrutiny. Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *24–
    30. As Stillwater’s holdings have been appealed to the Delaware Supreme Court, I limit
    my holding today to the unremarkable conclusion that no bidders emerged in the face of
    nonpreclusive deal protections. But with the aid of the parties’ briefing on the issue, it
    seems to me that Panera’s post-signing market check would survive enhanced scrutiny and
    therefore under Stillwater, would support deal price as fair value. For example, in C & J
    Energy, the parties bargained for a suite of deal protections, including a no-shop clause
    subject to a fiduciary out, a 2.27% termination fee, and a post-signing passive market check
    lasting 153 days. See C & J Energy Servs., Inc. v. City of Miami Gen. Emps., 
    107 A.3d 1049
    , 1063 (Del. 2014). The Delaware Supreme Court explained that under this suite, “a
    potential competing bidder faced only modest deal protection barriers,” id. at 1052, and
    “there were no material barriers that would have prevented a rival bidder from making a
    superior offer,” id. at 1070. In support, the Delaware Supreme Court approvingly cited In
    re Dollar Thrifty Shareholder Litigation, 
    14 A.3d 573
    , 612–13, 615 (Del. Ch. 2010). In
    Dollar Thrifty, this Court found the board used reasonable judgment to deal exclusively
    with the buyer without conducting a pre-signing market check where deal protections
    included a no-shop provision with a fiduciary out, matching rights, a 3.9% termination fee,
    and a passive post-signing market check lasting 126 days. 
    Id.
     at 592–93, 614–16. And in
    In re PLX Technology Inc. Stockholders Litigation, the Delaware Supreme Court affirmed
    this Court’s damages ruling where the trial court determined damages based on a quasi-
    appraisal theory that the company should have remained a standalone company. 
    211 A.3d 137
     (Del. 2019) (TABLE), aff’g In re PLX Tech. Inc. S’holders Litig., 
    2018 WL 5018535
    (Del. Ch. Oct. 16, 2018). At trial, this Court found that the sale process as a whole was
    sufficiently reliable to reject a DCF methodology where the process included a fifty-day
    passive, post-signing market check with a suite of deal protections, including a no-shop
    with a fiduciary out, unlimited matching rights, and a 3.5% termination fee. PLX, 2018
    61
    sufficient time for a topping bidder to emerge post-signing.”386 After the leak and
    the public deal announcement, other market participants “failed to pursue a merger
    when they had a free chance to do so.”387 “The failure of any other party to come
    forward provides significant evidence of fairness, because ‘[f]air value entails at
    minimum a price some buyer is willing to pay—not a price at which no class of
    buyers in the market would pay.’”388
    In particular, none of the “big three”389 potential bidders that Morgan Stanley
    identified—Starbucks, Chipotle, and RBI—showed any interest in bidding for
    Panera, both before and after the parties announced the deal. Chipotle knew about
    the leak before the deal signed, but did not express interest before or after signing.
    390 WL 5018535
     at *2, *26–27, *44, *55. Panera’s deal protections differ little from those in
    C & J Energy, Dollar Thrifty, and PLX. Panera’s 3.0% termination fee falls on the low
    end of the range presented by these deals. As for the time between announcement and
    closing or injunction, Panera’s falls in the middle. Each deal contained a no-shop provision
    with a fiduciary out, and Dollar Thrifty and PLX included matching rights. Panera’s deal
    protections fall within what Delaware courts have held to satisfy enhanced scrutiny.
    386
    JX0985 at 76.
    387
    DFC, 172 A.3d at 376; accord Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *35.
    388
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *42 (quoting Dell, 177 A.3d at 29); see also Dell, 177
    A.3d at 32–34; Aruba, 210 A.3d at 136.
    389
    Shaich Tr. 1019:18–1020:13.
    390
    See JX0700 at 2.
    62
    Both RBI and Chipotle sent post-announcement congratulatory messages to Morgan
    Stanley after the parties announced the deal.391
    Finally, Panera solicited all logical buyers consistent with its knowledge of
    the Company’s value and the market. The Delaware Supreme Court has identified
    “outreach to all logical buyers” as a key indicator of reliability. 392 Petitioners
    contend that Panera engaged in a closed, single-bidder strategy during the pre-
    signing process. Respondent asserts that Panera engaged “all logical buyers.”393
    In Dell, the board similarly limited its pre-signing canvass to two bidders,
    based on its financial advisor’s recommendation that those two firms were “among
    the best qualified potential acquirers” and that “there was a low probability of
    strategic buyer interest in acquiring the company.”394 The Dell board also conducted
    a go-shop, soliciting interest from sixty-seven potential bidders.395 As a result, the
    391
    See id.; JX0654 at 1–2. The other referenced potential bidder in the Bloomberg article,
    Domino’s, expressed that it was not interested and was not “having any conversations
    regarding the purchase of Panera” because it has “a lot more opportunity for growth in
    pizza.” JX0609 at 2, 4.
    392
    Dell, 117 A.3d at 35.
    393
    Id.
    394
    Id. at 9 (quoting In re Appraisal of Dell, 
    2016 WL 3186538
    , at *6 (Del. Ch. May 31,
    2016), aff’d in part, rev’d in part sub nom. Dell, Inc. v. Magnetar Glob. Event Driven
    Master Fund Ltd., 
    177 A.3d 1
     (Del. 2017)).
    395
    Id. at 12.
    63
    Supreme Court determined the deal price “deserved heavy, if not dispositive,
    weight.”396
    Panera led outreach to all logical buyers:      Starbucks and JAB.       The
    negotiations with the two companies followed the same pattern. Shaich asserted
    Panera’s value based on the Five-Year Strategic Plan to “sell[]” the company, or
    solicit interest,397 listened to gauge interest, and then consulted with the board.398
    The failed negation with Starbucks prepared Shaich and the board to negotiate with
    JAB.
    As a recap, in June 2015, Goldman identified several potential strategic
    bidders, and identified Starbucks as Panera’s most likely buyer.399 Starbucks was
    the most likely bidder because Panera was “such a valued company” “trading at very
    high multiples.”400 Goldman concluded a financial buyer was unlikely, and the
    board understood that financial sponsors were limited and none could afford the
    Company.401        With that analysis, the board decided that it should remain an
    396
    Id. at 23.
    397
    Compare Shaich Tr. 970:14–21; 971:20–973:3, with id. 978:8–979:18; accord Bell. Tr.
    1147:11–1148:8.
    398
    Compare Shaich Tr. 968:9–969:5, with id. 980:8–981:4, 983:7–984:13.
    399
    JX0019 at 18; Shaich Tr. 955:7–956:3, 958:1–19; accord Moreton Tr. 770:22–771:19.
    400
    Shaich Tr. 955:18–23; accord Moreton Tr. 770:22–771:19.
    401
    Shaich Tr. 956:14–957:7.
    64
    independent company, but that “the Company would, as it had done in the past,
    continue to observe the markets and consider activities in the best interest of
    shareholders on an ongoing basis.”402
    About a year later, in July 2016, Starbucks initiated a possible collaboration403
    and the board instructed Shaich to solicit Starbucks’ interest in an acquisition.404 In
    August 2016, Shaich started the conversation with JAB, another potential buyer that
    was conducting acquisitions at “huge multiples.”405 Shaich explained:
    I saw an article in Nation’s Restaurant News, I think [JAB]
    had just done an acquisition.          They were buying
    companies every six months at huge multiples. And I
    thought they were at least worth getting to know in some
    way, so I picked up the phone and called Goldman, said
    do you know these guys and can you introduce me. That
    was August.406
    After August, Panera continued its negotiations with Starbucks, which concluded by
    December 2016.407 JAB expressed interest in meeting with Shaich, but with another
    402
    JX0019 at 2; accord JX0022 at 3–4 (Goldman’s November 4, 2015 board presentation
    confirming the board’s decision to remain a standalone company due to the broader market
    trends).
    403
    See JX0110; JX0118; JX0772 at 56.
    404
    JX0125 at 4; Moreton Tr. 795:10–796:17.
    405
    Shaich Tr. 976:11–23.
    406
    Id.
    407
    Id. 975:15–24; Moreton Tr. 798:23–799:10.
    65
    ongoing acquisition, JAB did not engage with Shaich until February 2017.408 After
    JAB expressed interest in acquiring Panera on March 24, Shaich probed Goldman
    for more information about the acquisition landscape, especially after RBI
    announced its acquisition of Popeyes on February 21.409 Goldman replied, “Best
    buyer today is a JAB, with a long term perspective that counters near term valuation
    trends. Or Starbucks. Or a merger with someone like Chipotle.”410 Shaich shared
    Goldman’s analysis with Colasacco.411
    As conversations with JAB proceeded, Morgan Stanley identified the same
    four strategic primary strategic buyers as Goldman: JAB, Starbucks, Chipotle, and
    RBI.412 Morgan Stanley also excluded other potential acquirers. Morgan Stanley
    recognized that Dunkin and Dominos were highly leveraged like RBI and all three
    would have difficulty paying all cash.413             Beyond this, Morgan Stanley
    recommended that Dunkin and Dominos also had “slightly different business
    408
    Shaich Tr. 976:24–977:6; accord JX0318; JX0334.
    409
    JX0399 at 1–2.
    410
    Id..
    411
    Id. at 1.
    412
    JX0625 at 4; JX0631 at 23. The companies that Petitioners cite as potential buyers were
    identified by Morgan Stanley and passed over because of fit or limitations. See JX0631 at
    23–24; JX0625 at 4.
    413
    See JX0625 at 4.
    66
    models” and lacked a clear strategic fit.414 With this guidance from both Goldman
    and Morgan Stanley, the board viewed JAB as the only remaining logical bidder.
    Like Goldman, Morgan Stanley viewed Starbucks as the only other potential buyer
    that could afford Panera,415 but the board had already exhausted that option.416 The
    board knew that Chipotle was recovering from a food safety crisis and otherwise
    focused on share buybacks.417 And the board knew that RBI had agreed to acquire
    Popeyes.418 The board concluded that no other bidders were out there.419 Morgan
    Stanley confirmed the board’s conclusion: “JAB represents the buyer with the most
    interest, wherewithal, and ability to pay and would be a good fit.”420 Moreton
    414
    Id.
    415
    JX0631 at 23; accord Kwak Tr. 1226:21–1227:12.
    416
    Shaich Tr. 974:11–22, 975:23–976:10, 1019:18–1020:5; accord JX0625 at 4 (“There
    were conversations with Starbucks last year, they ultimately declined to proceed citing that
    Panera was trading too richly (and it has since only traded up).”); JX0772 at 56; Moreton
    Tr. 798:23–799:10.
    417
    Shaich Tr. 1020:6–9; JX0631 at 23.
    418
    See JX0631 at 23.
    419
    Moreton Tr. 811:19–812:17 (“[T]here was nobody else out there talking to [the board]
    about potentially acquiring [the Company], nor did [the board] think there would be.”); see
    also id. 912:7–11 (“[T]here was nobody else to reach out to . . . [w]e went through the
    process.”). Market analysts confirmed this conclusion after the Bloomberg leak: “[W]e
    believe Starbucks is the only one with any real (even slight) probability. We also note that
    JAB might be interested, given its acquisitions of Krispy Kreme, Einstein/Noah, Keurig,
    Caribou, and Peet’s Coffee. . . . All-in, we suspect JAB would be the more likely suitor
    than Starbucks, as we believe a newly minted CEO and a relatively sizable acquisition
    would increase Starbucks’ risk profile.” JX0609 at 12–13.
    420
    JX0625 at 4.
    67
    summarized, “we had just gone through the key strategic buyer. Starbucks had told
    us no. And Morgan Stanley and Goldman had told us there were no financial bidders
    out there. So we really thought this was an opportunity to see if we could get a price
    that was reasonable for shareholders.”421 The leak added certainty to the board’s
    conclusion.422
    Petitioners argue that a logical buyer universe of only two buyers is “absurd”
    because “Panera could not have known buyers were ‘out’ without ever conducting a
    market check.”423       The Delaware Supreme Court has held that when “the directors
    possess a body of reliable evidence with which to evaluate the fairness of a
    transaction, they may approve that transaction without conducting an active survey
    of the market.”424 And “if a board fails to employ any traditional value maximization
    tool, such as an auction, a broad market check, or a go-shop provision, that board
    must possess an impeccable knowledge of the company’s business for the Court to
    determine that it acted reasonably.”425
    421
    Moreton Tr. 824:3–12.
    422
    JX0625 at 4 (“Since the leak yesterday, no one has come forward to express an
    interest.”).
    423
    D.I. 140 at 17.
    424
    Barkan v. Amsted Indus., Inc., 
    567 A.2d 1279
    , 1287 (Del. 1989).
    425
    In re OPENLANE, Inc. S’holders Litig., 
    2011 WL 4599662
    , at *5 (Del. Ch.
    Sept. 30, 2011).
    68
    I find that the board possessed a robust body of evidence that it used to
    determine the universe of logical buyers. The board’s impeccable knowledge of the
    market in the pre-signing phase, and the lack of interested bidders in the post-signing
    phase, leads me to find that the board led outreach to all logical buyers. Because
    Panera engaged with Starbucks first, JAB’s confidentiality requirement did not
    preclude the board’s outreach to all logical buyers. The absence of a wider canvass
    or go-shop does not change the reliability of Panera’s outreach.426 This decision was
    confirmed when no other bidders came forward either after the leak or during the
    post-signing passive market check. The preponderance of the evidence shows that
    the board used its knowledge of the market and its advisors’ advice to engage all
    logical buyers in a value-maximizing process.
    Panera’s deal process bears many indicia of reliability, including an arm’s
    length negotiation, a disinterested and independent board, numerous price increases,
    no emerging bidders post-leak or post-announcement, and outreach to all logical
    buyers. The process also terminated with an open passive post-signing market
    426
    Petitioners point to Morgan Stanley’s label of “Potential Interlopers” in claiming that
    Panera should have contacted additional potential bidders. As explained herein, the
    preponderance of the evidence shows that Panera contacted all logical buyers. Morgan
    Stanley’s label, which they later changed to “Potentially Interested Parties,” does not
    disturb this result. Compare JX0552 at 14–15, with JX0631 at 23–24; accord Kwak Tr.
    1237:11–20. And even if the use of the term “interlopers” signaled a fear of intruders, as
    explained herein, Morgan Stanley advised the board to negotiate for less restrictive deal
    terms, enabling another interested party to bid.
    69
    check. I therefore turn to the weaknesses in the process to determine whether they
    undermine its reliability.
    C.    Weaknesses In Panera’s Process Do Not Undermine The Deal
    Price’s Reliability.
    Petitioners point to weaknesses in the pre-signing process that they believe
    undermine the deal price’s reliability. They focus on actions taken by the board,
    Shaich, and Morgan Stanley. In all, I find that the transaction’s flaws do not
    undermine its numerous indicia of reliability.
    1. The board did not undermine the deal process.
    Petitioners characterize the pre-signing phase as exhibiting the board’s
    “apathy,” ignorance, and “flat-footed[ness].”427 According to Petitioners, these traits
    manifested in the board’s failures to 1) authorize Shaich’s initial outreach to JAB,
    2) oversee the negotiations, 3) negotiate with a proper valuation, 4) reject JAB’s
    confidentiality and speed provisions, and 5) negotiate deal protections.
    First, while the board had authorized Shaich to solicit Starbucks’ interest in
    acquiring Panera,428 Shaich did not obtain specific board authorization for his
    August 2016 outreach to JAB. Shaich’s independent outreach did not generate a
    response until early 2017. At that time, when JAB offered to meet with Shaich,
    427
    D.I. 139 at 20, 48.
    428
    See JX0116; JX0122 at 1; JX0125 at 4; accord Moreton Tr. 794:8–795:13, 796:3–8.
    70
    Shaich informed Colasacco and other board members.429 When JAB expressed an
    interest in acquiring Panera on February 24, 2017, Shaich informed Colasacco the
    next day,430 and informed the board three business days later on March 1.431 Thus,
    although Shaich initiated Panera’s outreach to JAB, he timely and fully updated the
    board when JAB expressed interest in a transaction.432 Shaich did not negotiate for
    a role post-merger or negotiate for change-in-control compensation.433 Petitioners
    provided no evidence that the outreach alone––Shaich’s only act that was not
    specifically authorized—led to any diminution in value or in the board’s power to
    negotiate or decline a transaction with JAB.
    Second, while Shaich initiated and led the negotiations, the board exercised
    active oversight. The board of directors “has the sole power to negotiate the terms
    429
    See JX0338; Shaich Tr. 977:17–978:7; accord Moreton Tr. 803:7–11 (“Did any of the
    directors know about Mr. Shaich’s discussions with JAB before the March 1st board
    meeting? A. Certainly, I did. I believe Domenic did, and perhaps Tom [Lynch] did.”).
    430
    See JX0287 at 9; accord Shaich Tr. 980:11–981:4.
    431
    JX0408 at 3–4; accord Moreton Tr. 802:17–803:11. Moreton described Shaich’s
    “typical way of communicating [as] concentric circles, first with [him], and then Domenic
    [Colasacco], our lead director, and Tom Lynch, and then the board as a whole.” Moreton
    Tr. 794:2–7. Shaich testified about this procedure, and explained that on an unspecified
    date he informed the board that he used Goldman to reach out to JAB. See Shaich Tr.
    1048:2–23. Shaich had followed this same pattern in the Starbucks negotiations. When
    Schultz proposed a collaboration with Panera on July 31, 2016, Shaich informed Moreton,
    Lynch, and Colasacco that evening, and informed the board two days later on August 2.
    See JX0118; JX0116; JX0122 at 1; JX0125 at 4; accord Moreton Tr. 793:14–795:13.
    432
    JX0408; Shaich Tr. 983:7–984:13.
    433
    JX0421 at 1; Bell Tr. 1109:17–1111:8.
    71
    on which the merger will take place and to arrive at a definitive merger agreement
    embodying its decisions as to those matters.”434 The preponderance of the evidence
    shows the board negotiated the terms of the merger and unanimously approved the
    final merger agreement.
    A CEO’s rogue negotiations can undermine a deal process. In Jarden, the
    CEO “immediately took charge and, consistent with a stereotypical ‘cut to the chase’
    CEO mentality, he laid Jarden’s cards on the table before the negotiations began in
    earnest and before the board and its financial advisors had a chance to formulate a
    plan.”435       Beyond this, the Jarden CEO failed to inform the board of the
    negotiations.436 He also did not receive authorization from the board to suggest a
    price, make counteroffers, or negotiate his “change-in-control compensation,” but
    did so anyway.437 These facts contributed to the Court’s finding that the merger
    price was not a reliable indicator of fair value.438
    434
    Stephen M. Bainbridge, Mergers and Acquisitions 56 (2d ed. 2009) (citing 8 Del. C. §
    251(b)); accord 8 Del. C. § 141 (“The business and affairs of every corporation organized
    under this chapter shall be managed by or under the direction of a board of directors . . . .”).
    435
    Jarden, 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *24 (footnote omitted).
    436
    Id. at *9, *24.
    437
    Id. at *24.
    438
    Id. at *25.
    72
    I do not find similar troubling facts in this case. Unlike in Jarden, the board
    directed Shaich’s negotiations, and Shaich observed the bounds of the board’s
    authorization. Shaich informed the board of JAB’s interest before JAB made an
    offer.439 At that time, the board authorized Shaich to “continue the conversations
    with JAB and report back to the Board with an update as to the discussions and the
    status of any offer.”440 When JAB offered to acquire Panera on March 10, 2017, for
    $286.00 per share, Shaich formally informed the board on March 14.441 The board
    instructed Shaich to move forward with the discussions,442 but directed him to
    communicate to JAB that the board “would not agree to any proposed offer for the
    Company that was not significantly higher than the $286.00.”443
    The board also used Sullivan & Cromwell as its outside legal counsel for the
    potential transaction with JAB.444 Sullivan & Cromwell advised the board during
    439
    JX0408 at 3–4 (Shaich reported, “while no offer had been made during those
    discussions, Olivier Goudet, Chief Executive Officer of JAB, and David Bell, Head of
    M&A of JAB, indicated that JAB had internally discussed the potential for a transaction
    with the Company and JAB was considering making an offer to buy the Company”);
    accord Shaich Tr. 977:23–978:7.
    440
    JX0408 at 4.
    441
    PTO ¶ 134.
    442
    JX0421 at 1–2.
    443
    PTO ¶ 134.
    444
    Id. ¶ 77.
    73
    its March 14 meeting and helped the board select financial advisors. 445 On March
    15, the board initiated the process to retain Morgan Stanley as its financial advisor.446
    From then on, Shaich and Moreton worked with the board and Morgan Stanley to
    adopt a proven strategy to raise JAB’s price through diligence.447
    When JAB raised their offer to $296.50 per share on March 20,448 Shaich
    informed the board that same day.449 At the meeting, the board considered the offer,
    and “various directors asked questions and provided their thoughts and
    comments.”450 Shaich testified that “the board supported [him] in pushing” JAB to
    a higher price451 and “expressed its expectation that any final offering price be
    significantly higher.”452
    Shaich conveyed that message to JAB and focused on generating additional
    value through the diligence process.453          When JAB asked to move up the
    445
    Id. ¶¶ 134–135; JX0466 at 2.
    446
    PTO ¶ 137.
    447
    JX0455, JX2019; Kwak Tr. 1206:15–1207:6, 1208:6–1209:9; Moreton Tr. 821:7–14,
    821:15–822:8; Shaich Tr. 996:15–1000:11.
    448
    PTO ¶ 140;
    449
    Id. ¶¶ 140–41; see JX0448 at 1.
    450
    See JX0448 at 1.
    451
    Shaich Tr. 1004:14–18.
    452
    PTO ¶ 141; JX0448 at 1.
    453
    See JX0494 at 1; JX0491; JX0490; JX0519.
    74
    announcement by a week, Shaich discussed this proposal with Moreton, Bufano, and
    the Company’s legal and financial advisors, and explained he did not find the
    compressed timeline material; he cared about JAB understanding Panera’s value.454
    Accordingly, Shaich told JAB that “[w]e think we need to spend some more time
    with you so we can show you the prospects in our plan, in order to get you
    comfortable at a value that my board and I can support.”455 While Shaich led
    diligence meetings between Panera and JAB, the board counteroffered against JAB’s
    4.0% termination fee, proposing 2.5%.456
    At the culmination of JAB’s diligence, Shaich informed the board of JAB’s
    final offer.457 The board then reviewed the Five-Year Strategic Plan and Five-Year
    Model,458 vetted the deal with Morgan Stanley,459 and ultimately “expressed their
    strong support for the proposed transaction.”460 Later that same day, the board
    reconvened to discuss the proposed merger with Sullivan & Cromwell.461 After
    454
    See JX0491.
    455
    JX0494 at 1; accord JX0490.
    456
    PTO ¶ 160.
    457
    Id. ¶ 163.
    458
    Id. ¶ 164; JX0608; JX0629.
    459
    PTO ¶ 165; JX0631.
    460
    JX0628 at 3.
    461
    PTO ¶ 167.
    75
    discussing the proposed merger, the board unanimously approved the proposed
    resolutions to adopt, execute and deliver the merger agreement.462                     The
    preponderance of the evidence shows that the board directed Shaich’s negotiations
    and “arrive[d] at a definitive merger agreement embodying its decisions as to th[ose]
    matters.”463 Petitioners have likewise failed to prove that Shaich acted outside the
    bounds of the board’s authorization.
    Third, Petitioners assert the board negotiated in the dark, without a formal
    valuation by its advisors. The board entered negotiations with an existing deep
    knowledge of internal metrics of Panera’s value. During the negotiations, the board
    analyzed seven valuation metrics with Morgan Stanley. When considering JAB’s
    final offer, the board evaluated Morgan Stanley’s standalone valuation for Panera.
    Initially, the board did not have a full valuation, but it had steeped itself in
    management’s numbers. At several prior board meetings, the board reviewed parts
    of the Five-Year Strategic Plan and Five-Year Financial Model.                  Without a
    valuation, the board was not prepared to make a counteroffer when JAB’s initial
    offer came in,464 so it limited its negotiating position to general pricing guidance.
    462
    Id.; JX0630 at 2.
    463
    Bainbridge, supra note 434, at 56.
    464
    See Kwak Tr. 1214:18–1215:14 (“I don’t remember that we suggested that [the board]
    not offer a number. But . . . as an advisor, we certainly were not in a position to make any
    76
    This dovetailed with Morgan Stanley’s advice, based on JAB’s bidding precedents,
    to focus on raising JAB’s ceiling.465
    On March 14, the board instructed Shaich to convey to JAB that it would not
    agree to any proposed offer for the company that was not significantly higher than
    $286.00.466 Again, when JAB raised its offer to $296.50 and stated a max price of
    $299,467 the board did not think JAB’s $296.50 was high enough and directed Shaich
    to communicate to JAB that they expected additional value.468
    Morgan Stanley met with management to review Panera’s updated Five-Year
    Financial Model, an essential input for Morgan Stanley’s valuation.469 Morgan
    Stanley incorporated these numbers into its implied transaction multiples and
    recommendations of a number at that time because we had not completed our valuation
    analysis.”).
    465
    See supra Section II(C)(3)(d).
    466
    PTO ¶ 136. Moreton explained that “significantly higher” would “convey that [the
    board] had to get the best price that we could, and that we thought that they had to go over
    their ceiling. And we thought that when they had a chance to go through and do the
    diligence on the company, that they would be able to do that.” Moreton Tr. 823:14–824:2.
    In rejecting JAB’s initial offer, Shaich explained, “[i]n order for our Board to get fully
    comfortable with and supportive of a transaction, your value will need to reflect a price
    ‘that begins with a 3’ . . . [a]lthough I am not suggesting you need to be deeply in the
    $300s, I am also not talking about $300.00 either.” JX2019 at 2.
    467
    PTO ¶140; accord Shaich Tr. 1002:9–23; JX0483.
    468
    PTO ¶ 141; JX0448 at 1.
    469
    PTO ¶ 151.
    77
    illustrative valuation matrices.470 On March 30, Morgan Stanley presented its
    preliminary valuation analysis to the board.471 This presentation contained two
    illustrative valuation matrices, Panera’s historical stock performance, next-twelve-
    month multiples, operating comparables, valuation comparables, precedent
    transactions, and JAB’s precedent transaction overview.472 This presentation did not
    include Panera’s standalone valuation.
    Morgan Stanley’s full valuation, including Panera’s standalone valuation,
    came on April 4, the day after the board received JAB’s final $315.00 per share
    offer.473 Also on April 4, the board discussed the updated Five-Year Financial
    Model.474 The standalone valuation included two DCFs: the management case
    generated from Panera’s Five-Year Financial Model, and the street case generated
    from consensus of broker projections.475 The board assessed these metrics using its
    knowledge of the Five-Year Financial Model. When reviewing the management
    case DCF, Morgan Stanley cautioned the board that risks could prevent Panera from
    reaching the valuation predicted using the Five-Year Financial Model. Morgan
    470
    See JX0552 at 3, 6.
    471
    PTO ¶ 153; JX0545; JX0552.
    472
    See JX0552.
    473
    PTO ¶¶ 161, 165.
    474
    Id. ¶ 164; JX0608; JX0629; Moreton Tr. 831:22–832:5.
    475
    See JX0628 at 2.
    78
    Stanley explained that “[y]ou’ve got to believe that 80+% of your value is in the
    terminus” and highlighted risks in competition and execution.476 The board asked
    questions about “assumptions used in the presentation and differences among the
    various valuation techniques.”477 The board ultimately decided that the management
    case “wasn’t the proper way to look at the valuation.”478 Morgan Stanley presented
    its oral fairness opinion for the transaction, which it would provide in writing the
    following day.479 After Morgan Stanley left, the board met in executive session and
    discussed the transaction and the Company’s valuation. 480 The board found JAB’s
    $315.00 offer consistent with its understanding of Panera’s value and unanimously
    approved the transaction.481
    It is problematic that the board, through Shaich, gave early guidance toward a
    price that was not “deeply in the $300s,”482 but this pricing guidance was not a
    potentially binding counteroffer, and did not set a ceiling on the price. The board
    476
    JX0625 at 3–4.
    477
    JX0628 at 2; accord Moreton Tr. 843:14–845:3.
    478
    Moreton Tr. 843:14–845:3.
    479
    PTO ¶¶ 167, 171; JX0630 at 1; JX0647.
    480
    JX0628 at 3.
    481
    PTO ¶ 167; JX0628 at 3 (stating that after conferring as a board, “[t]he directors
    expressed their strong support for the proposed transaction, noting particularly that the
    price was fair for the Company’s shareholders and that the deal protection mechanisms in
    the Merger Agreement were not preclusive to an alternative proposal for the Company’s
    shares”); JX0630 at 2.
    482
    JX2019 at 2.
    79
    rejected JAB’s initial offer because it knew Panera’s value from its continual review
    of the Five-Year Financial Model. Panera’s strategy of pressuring JAB to raise its
    ceiling ushered in an offer that Morgan Stanley opined was fair and the board found
    consistent with its understanding of Panera’s value.          The board checked its
    understanding of Panera’s value against Morgan Stanley’s seven valuation metrics
    on March 31. And the board reviewed and discussed the Company’s standalone
    value in depth on April 4 by reviewing the Five-Year Financial Model and Morgan
    Stanley’s DCF valuations. Although the board did not have each of these valuation
    metrics at the outset of the negotiations, it reviewed each of them before it accepted
    JAB’s final offer.
    Fourth, while JAB conditioned its offer on confidentiality and speed, Panera’s
    board valued those traits as a way to minimize disruption. The board had enacted
    confidentiality protections in its discussions with Starbucks, too.           In both
    negotiations, Shaich and other board members used their Gmail accounts.483 Shaich
    did this because he worried “intensely” about disruption.484          At trial, Shaich
    explained:
    483
    Compare JX0118, and Shaich Tr. 969:6–10, with JX0318 at 1, and JX0435, and
    JX0491, and Shaich Tr. 1000:12–23; 1004:19–1005:7.
    484
    Shaich Tr. 1000:15–23, 1004:19–1005:13.
    80
    I am very sensitive to any discussion about anything that
    could be perceived as a potential acquisition and upsetting
    the company. . . . It would upset our relationships with our
    franchisees, our vendors, and, quite frankly, would shut
    down the work on this transformation plan for three to six
    months, whatever time period that would be the basic
    discussion in the company.485
    Thus, JAB’s desire for speed benefitted the Company.486 Moreton explained it was
    “to our advantage to go quickly from the standpoint we don’t want to disrupt our
    people either, if things got out in the press. So everyone said they had adequate time,
    so we said, Okay. Let’s shoot for it.”487 Colasacco agreed: “I would like this period
    to be as short as possible, because I believe that eventually management becomes
    aware, general management becomes aware. In the due diligence process—other
    processes, it’s hard—it’s very hard to keep a secret.”488
    This internal practice aligned with Morgan Stanley’s guidance to limit
    outreach outside of Panera. Morgan Stanley advised that JAB would “walk away if
    485
    Id. 969:6–16; accord id. 957:8–24.
    486
    JX0581 (stating JAB is “not interested in a protracted negotiation that results in
    significant management distraction, so they always go very quickly”).
    487
    Moreton Tr. 827:17–24.
    488
    Colasacco Dep. 142:11–25; see also id. 143:6–9 (“[A] short period, a yea or nay period
    on whether [JAB] would . . . have an actual interest in signing an agreement was a
    positive.”).
    81
    [Panera] or its advisors talk[ed] to other parties.”489 Morgan Stanley encouraged
    compliance:
    Based on our familiarity with [JAB’s] behavior, we did
    believe that their threat to walk was real. And we do see
    potential buyers throughout our projects really do walk
    away if, for example, a deal leaks or they get roped into an
    auction process, because there are certain buyers that just
    have no interest being in part of an auction process.490
    Redpath confirmed that “if you were serious about JAB, you would need to pursue
    those discussions on an exclusive basis.”491
    When JAB sought to accelerate the process by one week, Shaich conditioned
    the tight timeframe on “a full vetting of the five-year and our strategic presentation
    because for [Panera] this is a discussion of value” to ensure that JAB would “robustly
    (and genuinely) understand the drivers in the business [s]o they [could] fully
    appreciate the value that we understand is here and seek from them.”492 The board
    also ensured Panera’s advisors had adequate time.493 After conducting diligence and
    489
    JX0418 at 2.
    490
    Kwak Tr. 1197:16–1198:7.
    491
    Redpath Tr. 658:1–11.
    492
    JX0491.
    493
    Moreton Tr. 827:17–24; accord Kwak Tr. 1233:14–20.
    82
    attending these meetings, JAB internally revised their target price upwards to
    $305.00 per share494 and eventually offered $315.00.495
    Finally, contrary to Petitioners’ complaint, the board negotiated for less
    restrictive deal protections. Panera’s deal protections included a no-shop provision
    with a fiduciary out, matching rights, and a 3% termination fee.496              During
    negotiations, the board achieved a reduction in the termination fee from 4.0% to
    3.0% by counteroffering 2.5%.497 Kwak testified, “a 3 percent break-up fee is
    customary. And our rule of thumb is, generally for a transaction of this size, 3 to 4
    percent is typical.”498 Kwak testified that the deal’s no-shop with the fiduciary out
    and matching rights were also customary.499 Redpath agreed.500
    The board successfully negotiated a lower termination fee. Otherwise, it
    assented to the no-shop with a fiduciary out because the board understood that JAB
    was the only remaining logical buyer. The board otherwise assented to the deal
    494
    JX0593 at 65.
    495
    PTO ¶ 161.
    496
    Id. ¶¶ 132, 161; JX0789 at 71–75, 79–81; see also JX0772 at 97–101, 106–107.
    497
    PTO ¶¶ 160–61.
    498
    Kwak Tr. 1241:10–15.
    499
    Id. 1240:14–21, 1241:16–24.
    500
    JX0990 at 39.
    83
    terms, including matching rights, which its advisors viewed as “customary.” 501
    Petitioners have not shown that the board failed to challenge JAB’s suggested deal
    protections.      Instead, the board “bargain[ed] for value in negotiating the deal
    protections and only acceded to the termination fee when it reached terms regarding
    price and deal certainty that it viewed as attractive.”502
    The preponderance of the evidence does not support a finding that the Panera
    board was apathetic, ignorant, or flat-footed. Rather, I find that the board started the
    negotiations well versed in Panera’s financials and projections; empowered Shaich
    to press JAB to raise its price and fully consider Panera’s internal evidence of value,
    and supervised the negotiations; obtained a full valuation in time to meaningfully
    consider JAB’s final offer within JAB’s compressed timeline; and successfully
    negotiated less restrictive deal protections. The board’s performance does not render
    Panera’s pre-signing process unreliable.
    501
    Kwak Tr. 1241:16–22 (“Q. And there were also matching rights in the merger
    agreement here. In Morgan Stanley’s view, did matching rights prevent other bidders from
    coming forward? A. It doesn’t prevent. It may discourage in a way and make it more
    challenging, but it doesn’t prevent other bidders from coming forward.”).
    502
    Dollar Thrifty, 
    14 A.3d at 614
    .
    84
    2. Shaich’s personal interests did not undermine the sale
    process.
    Petitioners contend that Shaich led negotiations despite personal conflicts,
    specifically his desire to retire. Shaich’s prior attempts to step down had been
    unsuccessful, and Shaich disliked aspects of running a public company.503
    According to Petitioners, Shaich acquiesced to JAB’s demand for exclusivity and
    left value on the table so that he could separate from the Company.504
    In Aruba, the Delaware Supreme Court used the deal price as the most reliable
    indicator of value when making its fair value determination.505 That was true even
    though the company’s top executive had conflicting incentives over retirement. At
    trial, this Court found that these conflicts did not undermine the deal price as an
    indicator of fair value because the conflict “would not have changed [the company’s]
    standalone value.”506 The Stillwater Court recently synthesized the role of conflicts
    503
    See Shaich Tr. 1077:11–1079:14.
    504
    Petitioners present a secondary contention that Shaich was apathetic on price because
    he focused on closing a deal so that he could liquidate and diversify his assets. There is no
    evidence in the record that he wished to liquidate. Redpath Tr. 645:12–646:11 (identifying
    no evidence of Shaich’s intent to liquidate his Panera assets); Shaich Tr. 1022:20–1023:1
    (“I hadn’t diversified in 36 years. Why was I going to start now?”). For this reason, I focus
    my analysis on the potential conflict from Shaich’s desire to step away from Panera.
    505
    Aruba, 210 A.3d at 141–42.
    506
    See Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *32–34 (citing Verition P’rs Master Fund Ltd. v.
    Aruba Networks, Inc., 
    2018 WL 922139
    , at *7–8 (Del. Ch. Feb. 15, 2018), reargument
    denied, 
    2018 WL 2315943
     (Del. Ch. May 21, 2018), judgment entered (Del. Ch. 2018),
    rev’d and remanded, 
    210 A.3d 128
     (Del. 2019)).
    85
    in evaluating fair value: the “critical question” in considering a CEO’s motivation
    is whether “personal interests undermined the sale process.”507
    A CEO’s significant stock holdings may align her personal interests with the
    company’s. “When directors or their affiliates own ‘material’ amounts of common
    stock, it aligns their interests with other stockholders by giving them a ‘motivation
    to seek the highest price’ and the ‘personal incentive as stockholders to think about
    the trade off between selling now and the risks of not doing so.’”508 Alternatively, a
    CEO’s personal interests can derail negotiations and cast doubt on the reliability of
    deal price as a fair value. In Norcraft, the Court found the CEO was as focused on
    securing a role with the future company as he was on securing the best deal price. 509
    During the process, the CEO negotiated to divert funds from the merger into tax
    receivable agreements that would benefit him personally.510
    Petitioners have not proven that Shaich was conflicted or otherwise
    uncommitted to obtaining the best price possible because he wanted to retire. The
    507
    Id. at *32.
    508
    Chen v. Howard-Anderson, 
    87 A.3d 648
    , 670–71 (Del. Ch. 2014) (quoting Dollar
    Thrifty, 
    14 A.3d at 600
    ); see also Merion Capital, 
    2016 WL 7324170
    , at *22 (noting the
    CEO in “particular had an incentive to maximize the value of his shares, because he
    planned to retire.”).
    509
    Blueblade Capital Opportunities LLC v. Norcraft Cos., Inc., 
    2018 WL 3602940
    , at *25
    (Del. Ch. July 27, 2018), judgment entered, (Del. Ch. Aug. 8, 2018).
    510
    
    Id.
    86
    record shows that when the Company needed him, Shaich came back to his role as
    Co-CEO with Moreton. And when Moreton had to step down, Shaich stayed on.
    Then, when Shaich’s successor failed to materialize, he promised he would not leave
    the Company in a lurch.511 Shaich repeatedly prioritized the Company’s success
    over his preferred professional trajectory. Unlike the executive in Norcraft, Shaich
    did not negotiate future employment with JAB,512 even with analyst speculation at
    closing that Shaich could now “run the company privately[,] [n]ot a bad deal!”513
    The record shows that Shaich was intent on driving the price upwards. During
    the negotiations, the board cautioned Shaich, holding him back: on March 17,
    Moreton cautioned not to push it too hard by being too greedy, because “pigs get fat,
    hogs get slaughtered.”514 The next day, Shaich informed JAB that they would have
    to increase their initial offer beyond $300.00 per share.515 During the negotiations,
    Morgan Stanley described Shaich as “supremely focused on finding a good home
    for the company and preserving the legacy of the business he’s built for 35 years.”516
    No evidence disturbs this conclusion.
    511
    Shaich Tr. 1017:23–1018:10.
    512
    Bell Tr. 1109:17–1111:8; Shaich Tr. 1023:10–13; Hurst Tr. 1349:14–1350:10.
    513
    JX0777 at 2.
    514
    JX0435; accord Moreton Tr. 822:9–823:1.
    515
    JX2019 at 2.
    516
    JX0582 at 1.
    87
    My perceptions of Shaich from trial do not fit with Petitioners’ theory. Shaich
    testified that he would not have sold Panera without getting the best price.517 I
    believe him. Shaich’s commitment to realizing value for Panera appeared to run
    deep. In my view, his commitment stemmed from his pride in Panera, a desire to
    reward those who had built Panera with him, and an attachment to Panera itself.518
    Correspondence between Moreton and Shaich on the date of the sale shows Shaich’s
    perspective. Moreton wrote:
    Ron - I imagine that you have thought about Louie and
    your Dad more than a few times these past few days. This
    morning I woke up thinking of George Kane and him
    asking you: Ronnie - how much cash do we have. The
    answer today would be quite a lot. I am sure George (and
    your Dad and Louie) are resting peaceful and are
    incredibly proud of you. You have touched so many
    lives . . . especially mine. 519
    Shaich replied, “Wonderful and very sad . . . Indeed I was thinking about my dad
    yesterday.      He always told me to take the money . . . I always ignored
    517
    Shaich Tr. 1024:7–1025:14.
    518
    See, e.g., Moreton Tr. 856:11–857:15 (“Mr. Shaich went to bed thinking about Panera
    and how to make it better and woke up thinking about Panera and how to make it better.
    He had the shareholders’ interests in mind at all times.”); Shaich Tr. 1021:10–1022:19
    (“This was my life, and I very much wanted to maximize the value for that, and I very
    much wanted to do something that served all the constituencies of our company. In
    particular, our shareholders, who had hung with me through some tough times, and I
    wanted to deliver for them.”).
    519
    JX0657.
    88
    him . . . Though that has never been my way [t]his is probably the right time . . .”520
    Shaich’s trial testimony on this email was credibly emotional.
    After weighing all the evidence, I am convinced that Shaich would not, and
    did not, agree to a deal after a 35-year career before he found the right place and
    value for Panera. Shaich wanted to exit Panera and he led the negotiations. Those
    parallel facts do not convince me that either he or the impartial board accepted a low
    offer—or any offer—because of Shaich’s personal goals. Shaich’s desire to retire
    did not undermine the deal process or diminish Panera’s standalone value. “As a
    matter of professional pride, he wanted to sell [Panera] for the best price he could.”521
    3. Morgan Stanley’s actions and advice did not undermine
    the pre-signing process.
    Petitioners view Morgan Stanley as a conflicted advisor because of the firm’s
    late conflict disclosures, financial incentives, and backchannel discussions about
    financing via a JAB coverage banker. Petitioners also try to cast doubt on the
    adequacy of Morgan Stanley’s representation. Respondent counters that Morgan
    Stanley informed the board of its prior work with JAB, and the board determined
    Morgan Stanley was not conflicted; Panera and Morgan Stanley used JAB’s
    520
    
    Id.
    521
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *34.
    89
    coverage banker to drive up value; and Morgan Stanley’s financial incentives
    aligned with Panera’s stockholders. I take each in turn.
    a. Morgan Stanley disclosed its prior JAB work to the
    board.522
    On March 15, the board initiated the process to retain Morgan Stanley as its
    financial advisor.523 Moreton testified that he participated in those discussions, and
    that Morgan Stanley had disclosed its prior work for JAB.524 Nothing in the record
    casts doubt on this testimony.525 Then, on March 20, Sullivan & Cromwell informed
    the board that Morgan Stanley “had cleared an initial conflicts check on March 15
    and the parties were now negotiating an engagement letter for the transaction.”526
    Morgan Stanley provided its formal disclosure of past work with JAB on March 30,
    but the board already knew that Morgan Stanley had previous engagements with
    JAB.527 There is no indication that these disclosures changed the board’s view of
    522
    As I determined above, although Shaich passed along JAB’s suggestion that the board
    should choose either Barclays or Morgan Stanley, the board’s legal advisor recommended
    Michael Boublik of Morgan Stanley, and the board followed that recommendation. See
    JX0466 at 2. Boublik did not have preexisting relationships with JAB. JAB did not select
    Panera’s financial advisors.
    523
    PTO ¶ 137.
    524
    Moreton Tr. 816:11–21.
    525
    Even Petitioners’ process expert conceded that Morgan Stanley cleared conflicts.
    Redpath Tr. 673:16–674:1.
    526
    JX0448 at 1.
    527
    JX0562; Kwak Tr. 1222:7–16; accord Moreton Tr. 833:21–834:1 (“[Q.] Was this the
    first time that the board was learning that Morgan Stanley had previous engagements with
    90
    Morgan Stanley’s ability to serve as its financial advisor. Moreton reflected on the
    disclosures and testified:
    [Y]ou wonder if it might be an advantage because they
    might understand JAB. And certainly, I had faith in the
    fact that the people that were going to work on the
    transaction on our behalf were of the utmost integrity, and
    so it didn’t bother me individually or the board as a
    collective whole.528
    The facts here diverge from those in Jarden, in which the board “made no
    inquiry” about advisor conflicts and “there [wa]s no indication that either [the CEO]
    or [the advisor] made any effort to disclose their past relationships to the board.”529
    In this case, Morgan Stanley shared its past JAB work twice, including a formal
    representation letter. The board reviewed the formal disclosure in advance, even if
    only by a few days, before approving the deal. Petitioners have provided no basis
    to conclude that the timing of Morgan Stanley’s disclosures undermined Panera’s
    sale process.
    JAB? A. No. The board knew about it immediately, as we did, so this was just more
    formal.”).
    528
    Moreton Tr. 816:22–817:7; see also Kwak Tr. 1197:6–1197:10 (testifying that “because
    [Morgan Stanley] had team members that [were] familiar with [JAB’s] strategy, we were
    able to, very quickly, have discussions with Ron Shaich and Bill Moreton and to educate
    them on JAB’s practices in the past”).
    529
    Jarden, 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *15 n.194.
    91
    b. Morgan Stanley’s financial incentives             were
    commonplace and unremarkable.
    Contingency clauses are standard in financial advisor agreements and seldom
    create a conflict of interest. “Contingent fees for financial advisors in a merger
    context are somewhat ‘routine’ and previously have been upheld by Delaware
    courts.”530 This Court has recognized that “[c]ontingent fees are undoubtedly
    routine; they reduce the target’s expense if a deal is not completed; perhaps, they
    properly incentivize the financial advisor to focus on the appropriate outcome.”531
    Petitioners contend that Morgan Stanley’s compensation relied on the signing
    and closing of the deal with JAB. Morgan Stanley’s $40 million fee was contingent
    in part on signing for $8 million and in part on closing for $32 million.532 The fee
    contingency does not specify that the signing and closing must have involved JAB
    for Morgan Stanley to be compensated under the terms of the agreement. Contrary
    to Petitioners’ contention, the fact remains that, had another bidder emerged, Morgan
    Stanley’s compensation would result from a “proposed sale of the Company” to “any
    buyer.”533
    530
    Smurfit-Stone, 
    2011 WL 2028076
    , at *23 (citing In re Atheros Commc’ns, Inc., 
    2011 WL 864928
    , at *8 (Del. Ch. Mar. 4, 2011); In re Toys ‘R’ Us, Inc., S’holder Litig., 
    877 A.2d 975
    , 1005 (Del. Ch. 2005)).
    531
    Atheros, 
    2011 WL 864928
    , at *8.
    532
    JX0789 at 52–53.
    533
    JX0594 at 1; Kwak Tr. 1190:15–17.
    92
    A conflict in advising a company in favor of a sale rather than in remaining a
    standalone company is possible. No such conflict exists here. Morgan Stanley
    presented the board with a full valuation analysis that included a standalone
    valuation based on a number of metrics, including the comparatively high
    management case based on the Five-Year Strategic Plan. And although Petitioners
    contend that Panera should not have agreed to JAB’s price because its standalone
    value was far higher, the $315.00 offer still fell within the management case’s
    valuation range.534      Rather than accepting the management case, the board
    recognized that there was execution risk to the Five-Year Strategic Plan, including
    that Shaich would not be there to guide Panera 3.0 and beyond. Both the board and
    Morgan Stanley found that the price was fair for the Company’s stockholders. In
    any event, Morgan Stanley’s fairness opinion would not have precluded a board
    determination that it was better for Panera to remain a standalone company.
    c. Both parties used Morgan Stanley coverage
    contacts outside the deal team to press their
    respective advantages.
    In its disclosure letter, Morgan Stanley advised that with the exception of
    Gallagher, no senior deal team member “is a member of the coverage team for the
    Potential Buyer or the Buyer Related Entities.”535 Morgan Stanley did not create a
    534
    JX0631 at 19, 38; Kwak Tr. 1280:22–1281:5.
    535
    JX0562 at 3.
    93
    wall between its JAB coverage team, including Ciagne, and its Panera senior deal
    team.536 Kwak testified that Morgan Stanley “didn’t set up a wall because there was
    no conflict[.]”537
    Ciagne, as a member of JAB’s coverage team, relayed two communications
    between the deal teams. In the first, on March 27, JAB told Ciagne to tell Boublik
    that JAB feared Morgan Stanley was not doing enough to assure Panera that JAB
    could finance the deal.538 In the second, on April 1, Boublik told Ciagne to tell JAB
    “Panera is serious, and there has to be a higher price.”539 Although the board did not
    know that Ciagne passed JAB’s message to Boublik,540 the board used Ciagne to
    pass its own message to JAB.541
    Petitioners point to Ciagne’s involvement as a fatal flaw in Panera’s process.
    If this channel affected the deal price, it would have increased it. JAB limited their
    536
    Kwak Tr. 1195:1–16, 1293:3–12, 1294:24–1295:2.
    537
    
    Id.
     1293:3–12.
    538
    See JX2021.
    539
    Moreton Tr. 837:9–838:9; accord JX0582 at 1 (“[O]ur goal is to have [Ciagne] deliver
    a message that (i) suggests our very strong confidence in [the] business and (ii) points to
    our valuation expectations, directionally.”).
    540
    Shaich Tr. 1068:21–1070:1; Moreton Tr. 905:7–908:11.
    541
    Moreton Tr. 837:23–838:9 (“The purpose was not for this individual, who I never met,
    to negotiate. It was simply for one more message to Olivier that the price has to be over
    $300 and they have to do the best that they can. So we were pulling every lever we could
    think of to try to get the price increase.”).
    94
    message to JAB financing, while the Company used it to ratchet up pressure and
    leverage the price. In my view, this flaw did not undermine a fair process.
    d. Petitioners have not shown that Morgan Stanley’s
    advice was inadequate.
    JAB’s negotiation playbook contains four key principles:            bilateral,
    confidential, friendly, and fast.542 The playbook earned respect in the marketplace
    because JAB had intimated they would walk if their counterpart did not follow it.543
    But on one occasion when a JAB target, Krispy Kreme, pushed JAB to deviate to
    the target’s advantage, JAB still closed the deal.544 Morgan Stanley knew about
    Krispy Kreme’s success, and Petitioners fault Morgan Stanley for not counseling
    Panera to similarly pursue a go-shop or reduced termination fee.
    Petitioners fail to acknowledge that Morgan Stanley informed the board of
    Krispy Kreme’s negotiation process and advised Panera to adopt a similar
    negotiation strategy.545     Morgan Stanley educated Shaich and Moreton “very
    quickly” on JAB’s negotiation playbook and assisted them in developing their own
    542
    Bell Tr. 1107:24–1108:17.
    543
    Kwak Tr. 1197:16–1198:7.
    544
    JX0455 at 13–23.
    545
    Id. at 5, 13–23.
    95
    strategy.546 On March 17, Boublik sent Shaich and Moreton a proposed script and
    slide decks summarizing “JAB Historical Bidding Precedents” and “JAB Merger
    Backgrounds.”547 Morgan Stanley presented these detailed precedent analyses when
    the board was “thinking about strategies in terms of how to go back to JAB in terms
    of negotiation . . . to show that JAB has bid up from their initial bid in the past
    and . . . to show how much they had bid up after their initial bid.”548 Shaich reviewed
    this deck and used it to inform his negotiation strategy.549
    Moreton viewed these decks as “very important” because “they were able to
    show us, in the bidding precedents, how JAB’s transactions had gone from the initial
    discussions and initial bids, through due diligence, to the end, and how they had a
    history of raising their offer price as they went through.”550 Shaich stayed up
    digesting this deck until 3 a.m.,551 and later thanked Boublik “for [his] very valued
    546
    Kwak Tr. 1196:22–1197:10 (attributing Morgan Stanley’s insights into the JAB
    playbook to Gallagher, who was a JAB coverage team member), 1206:15–1207:6; accord
    JX0431 at 1; JX0432.
    547
    PTO ¶ 138; JX0455.
    548
    Kwak Tr. 1202:5–1203:9.
    549
    Shaich Tr. 997:6–998:3.
    550
    Moreton Tr. 821:15–822:8.
    551
    See Shaich Tr. 996:10–997:5.
    96
    input,” noting “it really made a difference in how [Shaich] approached
    it . . . particularly relative to the history of their other deals.”552
    The JAB Merger Backgrounds deck detailed the Krispy Kreme offer, strategy,
    and negotiation timeline. After JAB made Krispy Kreme an initial offer, Krispy
    Kreme asked for more time because it did not have a complete long-term financial
    plan and felt it could not yet “appropriately assess JAB Holdings’ indication of
    interest.”553 While Krispy Kreme was securing this information and advisors, JAB
    postponed the Krispy Kreme negotiations until after it closed an acquisition with
    Keurig Green Mountain, Inc.554 While JAB was working on the Keurig deal, a
    financial buyer expressed interest in Krispy Kreme, but did not engage in
    negotiations.555 Four and a half months after the initial offer, JAB and Krispy Kreme
    resumed their negotiations.556 Krispy Kreme’s board insisted on additional value
    552
    JX0456 at 2. At trial, Shaich explained how Boublik “pushed [him] at some critical
    times when there was a question to push for more price, and to push against JAB for more
    price.” Shaich Tr. 995:18–996:6; see also id. 1003:11–21 (“He pushed me intensely. I
    mean, you know, there’s this question, you don’t want to blow this up. On the other hand,
    you want to push for as much as you can get, X plus 1. And Michael and I went through,
    and we went through their precedent history, and I think the sense was it was a wise, all
    considered, smart bet to push this deal further, even though this was already a very
    attractive offer for the company.”).
    553
    JX0455 at 15.
    554
    Id. at 17.
    555
    Id.
    556
    Id. at 18.
    97
    based on their internal diligence, and threatened a go-shop unless JAB increased the
    price and reduced the termination fee.557              JAB accepted Krispy Kreme’s
    counteroffer, resulting in a 12% bid premium and a reduced termination fee.558
    Petitioners assert that Krispy Kreme negotiated for six months, when in reality, JAB
    postponed negotiations while pursuing another deal.                 Once they resumed
    negotiations, they lasted forty-five days.
    In comparison, Shaich initially reached out to JAB in August 2016, but JAB
    was pursuing another transaction at the time. At the conclusion of that deal, Panera
    and JAB negotiated for forty days. Unlike Krispy Kreme, Panera’s board did not
    need additional time to educate itself on Panera’s long-term financial plan: the Five-
    Year Financial Model was the board’s catechism. Like Krispy Kreme, the board
    insisted that JAB find additional value through diligence.
    Petitioners assert that Morgan Stanley should have advised the board to seek
    a go-shop like Krispy Kreme. Krispy Kreme had another interested bidder. Panera’s
    board and Morgan Stanley understood that there were no other bidders out there with
    the interest and capacity to purchase Panera.559 Accordingly, instead of pursuing a
    557
    Id. at 21.
    558
    Id. at 5.
    559
    Kwak Tr. 1200:4–17 (sharing Morgan Stanley’s perspective with the board that “it
    wasn’t likely that the potentially interested parties that we had, considering at that time
    their strategic rationale and a potential combination with Panera, and . . . their ability to
    98
    go shop, the board obtained a lower 3.0% termination fee and conditioned JAB’s
    timeline on a review of the Five-Year Strategic Plan and Five-Year Financial Model,
    which generated an additional $18.50 in value.560 In the end, no other party
    expressed an interest in acquiring Panera, which confirms the board’s understanding
    that a go-shop would not result in a higher price for Panera stockholders. Morgan
    Stanley did not fail to advise the board about prior negotiating strategies. Rather, I
    find Morgan Stanley helped the board implement a proven negotiation strategy, with
    the lessons learned from the Krispy Kreme transaction, to generate additional value.
    Next, Petitioners contend that Morgan Stanley provided inadequate
    substantive advice by failing to perform a leveraged buyout (“LBO”) analysis,
    thereby failing to assess a financial sponsor’s ability to purchase Panera. Morgan
    Stanley understood that “for an LBO of [$]6 to $7 billion, putting in equity that
    represents more than 60 percent of the total purchase price is just not what financial
    sponsors do for their LBO.”561 Petitioners’ process expert agreed that it was unlikely
    that a financial sponsor would be interested in Panera,562 and Petitioner’s valuation
    pay an all-cash offer . . . [were] going to be likely to compete with a transaction that JAB
    had put forth”); Shaich Tr. 1021:13–16 (“[I]t was just patently clear to me that, knowing
    what I know, and knowing these people and where this had played out, that there really
    wasn’t a viable interested party.”).
    560
    JX0491; accord JX0490.
    561
    Kwak Tr. 1199:9–24; see also id. 1228:18–1229:5.
    562
    See Redpath Tr. 663:10–664:22.
    99
    expert failed to perform an LBO analysis.563 Petitioners have not shown any flaw
    with Morgan Stanley’s focus on strategic bidders. This is especially true when
    Morgan Stanley found that financial sponsors could not afford Panera, and identified
    only one bidder besides JAB that could afford Panera: Starbucks.564
    To Petitioners, Morgan Stanley’s most significant shortcoming is its failure to
    evaluate Panera’s standalone value until the final day of the transaction. Petitioners
    have not shown that the board did not know Panera’s standalone value before it
    approved the merger. The board had a deep knowledge of Panera’s performance
    and projections derived from the Five-Year Strategic Plan that it reviewed at every
    meeting,565 including the March 1 board meeting.566 The board received and
    reviewed Morgan Stanley’s full valuation before voting for the merger.567 That
    valuation included a standalone valuation derived from the Five-Year Strategic
    Plan.568 Petitioners have not shown that reviewing the valuation earlier would have
    convinced the board to reject JAB’s offer, or that the valuation even encouraged
    remaining a standalone entity.         The deal price fell within the range of the
    563
    See generally JX0983.
    564
    Kwak Tr. 1226:21–1227:12; Shaich Tr. 1019:18–1020:5.
    565
    Shaich Tr. 951:21–952:2.
    566
    See JX0407 at 1, 46–205; JX0408 at 2–3.
    567
    See JX0631.
    568
    Id. at 15–20.
    100
    management case DCF.569 While the board had very little time with the valuation,
    this flaw did not undermine value, particularly given the board’s facility with
    Panera’s financials.
    In all, I find that some of the Company’s pre-signing deal decisions were sub-
    optimal.           Morgan Stanley’s JAB coverage banker was involved in the deal
    communications, Shaich pushed for an offer “not deep in the 300s” before the board
    received a full valuation, and the accelerated timeline meant the board had very little
    time with Morgan Stanley’s valuation. I find that these issues did not undermine the
    sale process “so as to prevent the deal price from serving as a persuasive indicator
    of fair value.”570
    Panera’s board had a deep knowledge of the market and of Panera’s value.
    The board led discussions with the two logical bidders, which were identified by the
    board through their extensive personal knowledge, and by Goldman in 2015,
    Goldman in 2017, and Morgan Stanley in 2017. The board negotiated with JAB
    according to their advisors’ strategy, which was tailored to JAB and executable
    based on the board’s working knowledge of Panera’s value. The board authorized
    Shaich to lead these negotiations, which he did in reliance on board members and
    Morgan Stanley; in full transparency to the board; and in relentless pursuit of value.
    569
    Id. at 19.
    570
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *30.
    101
    That strategy successfully extracted two price increases totaling $18.50 per share
    and a lower termination fee, and generated a final offer that the board concluded was
    fair in view of Morgan Stanley’s comprehensive valuation. Panera’s outreach to the
    only two logical buyers resulted in a deal that both the board and its advisors
    identified as fair to its stockholders. Accordingly, I find Panera’s deal process to be
    persuasive evidence of fair value.
    D.    Respondent Has Proven $11.56 In Synergies.
    Section 262 mandates that I determine fair value “exclusive of any element of
    value arising from the accomplishment or expectation of the merger or
    consolidation.”571 I must “exclude from any appraisal award the amount of any value
    that the selling company’s shareholders would receive because a buyer intends to
    operate the subject company, not as a stand-alone going concern, but as a part of a
    larger enterprise, from which synergistic gains can be extracted.”572 This excludes
    not only “the gains that the particular merger will produce, but also the gains that
    might be obtained from any other merger.”573 And because deal price is a persuasive
    571
    8 Del. C. § 262(h) (“[T]he Court shall determine the fair value of the shares exclusive
    of any element of value arising from the accomplishment or expectation of the merger or
    consolidation . . . .”).
    572
    Aruba, 210 A.3d at 133 (quoting Union Ill. 1995 Inv. Ltd. P’ship v. Union Fin. Grp.,
    Ltd., 
    847 A.2d 340
    , 356 (Del. Ch. 2004)).
    573
    
    Id.
     (citing Solera, 
    2018 WL 3625644
    , at *1; Highfields Capital, Ltd. v. AXA Fin., Inc.,
    
    939 A.2d 34
    , 60–64 (Del. Ch. 2007); Union Ill., 
    847 A.2d at
    355–56).
    102
    metric of fair value in this case, I must also “excise[] a reasonable estimate of
    whatever share of synergy or other value the buyer expects from changes it plans to
    make to the company’s ‘going concern’ business plan that has been included in the
    purchase price as an inducement to the sale.”574 Respondent bears the burden of
    proving any downward adjustment to deal price.
    Respondent contends that the Court should excise $21.56 per share from the
    deal price because it proved that JAB anticipated, and paid for, synergies from
    deploying their characteristic management framework. Respondent identifies three
    categories of such synergies: incremental cost savings, incremental leverage tax
    benefits, and revenue synergies. Petitioners generally assert that JAB is a financial
    sponsor, not a strategic buyer, and specifically challenge Respondent’s evidence of
    synergies.
    Panera’s board and financial advisors viewed JAB as a strategic buyer,575 and
    JAB identified Panera as a strategic acquisition.576 JAB had previously acquired
    574
    
    Id.
     (citing Solera, 
    2018 WL 3625644
    , at *1; Highfields Capital, 
    939 A.2d at
    59–61;
    Union Ill., 
    847 A.2d at 343
    ); see also DFC, 172 A.3d at 368 (recognizing that a “going
    concern” valuation requires the court to excise “any value that might be attributable to
    expected synergies by a buyer, including that share of synergy gains left with the seller as
    a part of compensating it for yielding control of the company”).
    575
    Shaich Tr. 956:4–957:7; Moreton Tr. 824:3–12; Kwak Tr. 1200:18–1201:14.
    576
    See JX0400 at 3–4.
    103
    Einstein Bros., Caribou Coffee, and Krispy Kreme.577 JAB identified Panera as a
    “Fresh Baked / Coffee Adjacency” that would fill gaps in their portfolio by
    expanding JAB’s holdings in the coffee and fresh baked lunch category.578         Even
    if JAB were not a strategic buyer, labeling them as a financial acquirer would not do
    the work Petitioners hope it would. “[I]n theory, if the acquisition of a company by
    a financial acquirer is at a market price that includes speculative elements of value
    which arise only from the merger, that acquisition value may exceed the going-
    concern value.”579 That is the case here.
    JAB has a three-pronged “playbook” that they implement after a deal closes.
    That playbook addresses people, cost and cash, and growth.580 Under the people
    prong, JAB develops a “short list of CEO candidates,” installs a “CFO and
    establish[es] Product Management Office,” assesses the “management team,” and
    deploys the “JAB ownership model.”581 Under their cost and cash prong, JAB
    identifies “[q]uick wins in cash, working capital (particularly AP), [and] cost
    577
    Id. at 4.
    578
    Id. at 3–4.
    579
    Huff Fund Inv. P’ship v. CKx, Inc., 
    2014 WL 2042797
    , at *2 (Del. Ch.
    May 19, 2014), judgment entered, (Del. Ch. June 17, 2014), aff’d, 
    2015 WL 631586
     (Del.
    Feb. 12, 2015) (TABLE); see also Petsmart, 
    2017 WL 2303599
    , at *31 n.364 (recognizing
    “synergies financial buyers may have with target firms arising from other companies in
    their portfolio”).
    580
    JX0400 at 32.
    581
    
    Id.
    104
    structure” to implement a “cash and cost discipline culture.”582 As for growth, JAB
    conducts target-specific analyses and identifies strategic opportunities from
    combining companies under its umbrella.583 JAB approached Panera with the
    intention of extracting synergies through these plays. JAB’s pre-diligence model,
    setting a target price of $290.00, was based in part on value gains from implementing
    their playbook at Panera.584
    First, JAB measured the investment opportunity for its cash and cost prong,
    recognizing Panera’s lack of “discipline culture” in working capital and supply
    chain.585 JAB’s initial investment model outlined $300 million in working capital
    savings.586 JAB had successfully implemented working capital changes at Krispy
    Kreme, Caribou Coffee, and Peet’s Coffee.587 JAB planned similar changes for
    582
    
    Id.
    583
    
    Id.
    584
    See 
    id.
     at 43–44.
    585
    Id. at 32, 34, 37.
    586
    Id. at 43.
    587
    JX0554 at 15 (“Cost rationalization and synergies. JAB’s plans to achieve cost
    synergies and working capital improvements could fail to materialize . . . . Mitigating
    factors: JAB has a long-track record of successful acquisitions and integration, and have
    delivered expected cost savings on recent deals including Keurig Green Mountain and
    Krispy Kreme.”); JX0589 at 19 (“Working Capital—Panera currently has ~ 4 days payable
    compared to Keurig at ~50, Caribou at >90, and Peet’s at ~ 85.”); accord Bell Tr. 1121:13–
    1122:10, 1123:3–23; Hubbard Tr. 1495:8–19.
    105
    Panera by increasing the Company’s days payable outstanding from about four to
    about fifty to ninety days.588
    As for cost savings opportunities, JAB identified potential savings in SG&A,
    store level efficiency, and supply chain amounting to $70 to over $100 million.589
    To accomplish this, JAB hoped to cut public company expenses, optimize franchise
    costs, introduce procurement savings, and reduce waste.590
    After performing due diligence, JAB concluded their diligence confirmed
    “significant” opportunities for cash and for cost savings.591 JAB confirmed $300 to
    $500 million by maximizing working capital, more than $30 million in procurement
    savings, $18 million in SG&A optimization, $15 million in supply chain
    optimization, and $2.5 to $5 million in public company costs.592 JAB expanded
    working capital estimates as “[Panera] currently has the lowest [days payable
    outstanding] across nearly all public peers and much lower than other JAB Beech
    588
    JX0982 at 51; accord Hubbard Tr. 1666:5–13.
    589
    JX0400 at 37.
    590
    Id.; JX0589 at 23.
    591
    See JX0593 at 49–50.
    592
    JX0593 at 49–50, 52–54, 78; JX0982 at 49–50; Bell Tr. 1131:12–22. Shaked agreed
    with the public company cost savings. See Shaked Tr. 368:4–16.
    106
    assets.”593 At this point, JAB recognized that they would have to pay more than their
    early target price594 and raised their internal target offer from $290.00 to $305.00.595
    In addition to the management playbook, JAB applied their bedrock
    negotiation playbook principle of not conditioning their deal on receiving financing
    approval, and securing financing during the diligence phase.596 Respondent noted
    that because JAB financed $3 billion for the deal, Panera would carry greater debt
    than it did as a standalone value.597 JAB quantified their anticipated debt and
    associated tax effects when they formulated their target deal price.598
    Hubbard found that “[i]nternal documents show that JAB anticipated
    significant synergies from the acquisition of Panera, and factored these synergies
    into their valuation of Panera.”599 Hubbard found that with increased debt, Panera
    would have higher interest tax deductions, generating a merger-specific tax synergy
    593
    JX0593 at 49.
    594
    Bell Tr. 1133:9–18.
    595
    See JX0593 at 65.
    596
    Bell Tr. 1106:21–1107:23.
    597
    Hubbard Tr. 1493:24–1494:7.
    598
    See JX0593 at 69.
    599
    JX0982 at 41.
    107
    of $9.18 per share.600 Hubbard agreed with the cost and cash synergies as well,
    finding synergies totaling $37.29 per share.
    Petitioners argue that these cost savings and tax synergies are not merger-
    specific synergies because Panera management could have also made these
    changes.601 In support, Petitioners cite Huff Fund Investment Partnership v. CKx,
    Inc., in which this Court found that the record contained insufficient evidence to
    support a finding that the respondent formed its bid on, or believed that there were,
    merger-specific cost savings.602
    That is not true of this case. Panera’s management culture and priorities did
    not support the changes JAB intended to make. Panera was in the “habit” of paying
    its vendors within four to six days603 and invested in extensive initiatives.604 JAB’s
    “Cash Opportunities” arose from Panera’s failure to “focus on working capital at
    all” while spending “top dollar to get the best without ever re-engineering costs out
    600
    Id. at 54; Hubbard Tr. 1493:24–1494:7.
    601
    Petitioners’ expert testified “the company elected not to” increase its days payable
    outstanding. Shaked Tr. 451:2–8.
    602
    
    2014 WL 2042797
    , at *3. The Court explained it was not “reaching the theoretical
    question of under what circumstances cost-savings may constitute synergies excludable
    from going-concern value under Section 262(h).” 
    Id.
    603
    Hurst Dep. 219:4–23 (“[T]he general philosophy had been pay quickly, use that as
    leverage in some of the vendor relationships to actually get a lower price. But it ultimately
    became just the habit of Panera.”); accord Shaked Tr. 451:21–452:13.
    604
    JX0984 at 42 (“Panera invested over $120 million in IT from mid-2014 through mid-
    2017.”).
    108
    of the business.”605 Panera forecasted cost savings, but limited its changes to
    sourcing and process improvements.606 Any overlap between Panera’s forecast and
    JAB’s playbook demonstrates differences in scale. As an example, Panera evaluated
    “FDF” and G&A savings in its forecast, predicting new cost savings between
    $300,000 and $600,000 each year from 2018–2021;607 JAB projected $18 million in
    its first year alone.608 JAB believed that it could achieve much greater savings
    because of its expertise in executing those savings across their portfolio
    companies.609 When Hurst saw JAB’s plan, he thought JAB had “lost their freakin’
    minds based on SG&A savings.”610                  JAB contemplated “Day 1 [p]laybook
    implementation.”611
    As for the tax synergies, Petitioners argue that Panera could “re-leverage its
    balance sheet as it saw fit” so the tax deductions associated with JAB’s $3 billion
    financing were not an element of value arising from the merger.612 Petitioners
    605
    JX0400 at 37.
    606
    See JX0607 at 181–85.
    607
    See id. at 185.
    608
    See JX0593 at 78.
    609
    Bell Tr. 1122:4–1123:23; cf. JX0904 at 1.
    610
    Hurst Dep. at 203:8–24 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    611
    See JX0593 at 48.
    612
    PTO ¶ 76.
    109
    concede that Panera’s debt increased “dramatically” after the transaction, from $480
    million to $2.7 billion.613 Here, unlike in Huff, the evidence shows JAB had similarly
    financed other deals in the past and saw value in doing it again with Panera, while
    Panera intentionally maintained low debt.614
    The preponderance of the evidence demonstrates that JAB formed its bid in
    anticipation of applying its management playbook to Panera to generate merger-
    specific savings. Before JAB made an offer, it recognized that it could realize
    working capital and cost savings when it ran its plays on Panera. JAB formed its
    initial offer in view of that predicted value. JAB confirmed it could realize that value
    during due diligence, and that conclusion informed their offer price. JAB predicted
    additional value in tax savings from increasing the Company’s debt through JAB’s
    characteristic financing technique. Hubbard calculated the combined value of these
    synergies at $37.29 per share.615 I find that by running its plays on Panera, JAB
    predicted $37.29 in value arising out of the merger.
    Hubbard estimated that JAB built in 31% of these synergies, or $11.56, into
    the merger price.616 In support, Hubbard cites a 2013 Boston Consulting Group
    613
    D.I. 139 at 58.
    614
    JX0593 at 77 (“The company had $332.0 million of net debt in December 2016.”);
    JX0238 at 16.
    615
    JX0982 at 55.
    616
    Id. at 55–56.
    110
    study of 365 deals that analyzes the “median portion of synergies shared with the
    seller.”617 Petitioners object to the BCG study’s breadth and its lack of specificity
    across industry or comparable companies.             Respondent cites Solera for the
    proposition that this study is an appropriate estimation of synergies belonging to the
    buyer.618 But the adoption of a methodology, expert opinion, or metric in one
    appraisal action does not mandate its adoption in a different appraisal action.619 This
    Court’s previous acceptance of Hubbard’s proffered study is not conclusive in this
    case. Instead, I find that Petitioners have not cast doubt on the reliability of this
    study, or put forward a more appropriate percentage. Respondent has proven
    deduction of cost and tax synergies of $11.56 per share by a preponderance of the
    evidence.620
    617
    Solera, 
    2018 WL 3625644
    , at *28 & n.364.
    618
    
    Id.
     at *28 & n.364.
    619
    Jarden, 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *1 (“The appraisal exercise is, at bottom, a fact-finding
    exercise, and our courts must appreciate that, by functional imperative, the evidence,
    including expert evidence, in one appraisal case will be different from the evidence
    presented in any other appraisal case.”); accord Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *20
    (“[T]he approach that an expert espouses may have met ‘the approval of this court on prior
    occasions,’ but may be rejected in a later case if not presented persuasively or if ‘the
    relevant professional community has mined additional data and pondered the reliability of
    past practice and come, by a healthy weight of reasoned opinion, to believe that a different
    practice should become the norm . . . .’” (quoting Golden Telecom Trial, 
    993 A.2d at 517
    )).
    620
    Petitioners argue that the Court should not agree with Hubbard’s analysis because he
    “ignores the negative synergies, or costs, that resulted from the acquisition.” D.I. 140 at
    81. Petitioners have not shown that JAB failed to consider these costs when JAB evaluated
    111
    I turn now to JAB’s third playbook prong of growth, in which Respondent
    sees revenue synergies. Unlike the cost and cash playbook prongs, JAB did not
    quantify these growth opportunities in its models. JAB recognized that while it is
    “relatively simplistic to quantify potential cost savings[,] [i]t’s much more difficult
    to quantify for-sure growth areas, even though they may be extremely important.”621
    Leading up to and throughout trial, Respondent and its expert presented a fair value
    that did not quantify any revenue synergies attributable to JAB’s growth
    opportunities. This is consistent with the record evidence and both parties’ experts’
    opinions.
    In their pre-diligence model, JAB identified growth opportunities for coffee,
    technology, international expansion, and CPG.622 At a March 31 meeting, Panera
    also identified opportunities in international franchising, CPG (including coffee),
    and technology.623 After this meeting, on April 2, JAB created its post-diligence
    model, expressly clarifying that CPG, coffee, and international expansion were
    their implementation of their playbook, calculated Panera’s resulting value, or formed their
    offer price. I do not find that this undermines Hubbard’s synergy analysis.
    621
    Bell Tr. 1127:13–21.
    622
    See JX0400 at 38–41. Possible plans included leveraging Panera’s technology platform
    across JAB’s portfolio, enhancing Panera’s in-store coffee program, focusing on CPG,
    increasing K-cup sales, and expanding internationally. Id. at 32.
    623
    See JX0564 at 131, 141–152, 154–158.
    112
    “Growth Areas Not in [the] Investment Model[.]”624                In this same model, as
    explained, JAB increased its internal target price to $305.00 based on quantified
    anticipated cost savings.625
    At an April 3 meeting, the parties again discussed opportunities for CPG,
    coffee, international expansion, technology, as well as marketing, real estate, food
    sourcing, and franchising.626 Bell testified that these strategic growth opportunities
    played a role in JAB’s decision to increase their offer from $305.00 to $315.00627
    because JAB
    did some back-of-the-envelope math and got excited about
    it. But since we had no discussion with anyone about it,
    and it was a short period of time, we didn’t, quote/unquote,
    put it in the model, financially. But I will tell you—you
    even heard it earlier—coffee was core to our strategy of
    doing this. It’s just something that was difficult for us to
    quantify at the time we were doing diligence.628
    624
    See JX0593 at 57–62. Although JAB had developed a “coffee procurement savings
    program,” they did not include these synergies in the post-diligence model. Id. at 60–61;
    accord Bell Tr. 1123:3–1126:19, 1129:2–24.
    625
    See JX0593 at 65.
    626
    See JX0607 at 145, 155–169, 171–175, 229.
    627
    See Bell Tr. 1135:1–10 (“Q. And when you went higher, to 315, did those strategic
    opportunities or synergies play a role in the decision to raise your offer from 305 to 315?
    A. I would say they did, because, you know, again, as a long-term holder, we ended up for
    this one going to a price that was below . . . a return. That we priced into a return that was
    below what we initially thought we would have to do. But we took a big leap of faith on
    these strategic opportunities, which we didn’t quantify in the model.”).
    628
    Id. 1129:5–24.
    113
    Bell testified that JAB took a “leap of faith” on these “strategic opportunities,” and
    justified the $10.00 increase with their “back-of-the-envelope” calculations.629
    Later, Bell testified that coffee procurement was not a “back-of-the-envelope”
    calculation because JAB “hadn’t done the analysis.”630
    After trial, Respondent latched onto a new synergy theory that deducted
    $10.00 per share for these growth or revenue synergies. Respondent’s post-trial
    position finds no support from its expert. Hubbard did not include any revenue
    synergies in his analysis.631 When pressed, Hubbard affirmatively declined to adopt
    Bell’s testimony, as he saw no support for it in the trial exhibits or in his work for
    Respondent.632 “Thus, in its zeal to reach a desired litigation outcome, Respondent
    finds itself in the awkward position of advancing a position at odds with its own
    expert . . . .”633 At post-trial argument, Respondent’s counsel explained that they
    “never asked [Hubbard] to adjust his opinion” because the trial strategy required
    629
    Id. 1132:5–21; 1134:19–1135:10.
    630
    Id. 1168:8–21 (“Q. Coffee procurement, was that one of the ones that was on the back
    of the envelope? A. I don’t even think it was that, because we hadn’t done the analysis.”).
    631
    See JX0982 at 55–56; accord Hubbard Tr. 1593:17–1594:3, 1694:22–1695:8.
    632
    Hubbard Tr. 1482:18–24, 1663:6–14, 1664:20–24, 1665:24–1666:4.
    633
    Manichaean Capital, LLC v. SourceHOV, C.A. No. 2017-0673-JRS, at 54 (Del. Ch.
    Jan. 30, 2020).
    114
    Hubbard to stick with his synergy analysis, leaving counsel to argue the additional
    $10.00 in synergies in post-trial briefing.634
    This series of events casts doubt over Respondent’s post-trial position on
    revenue synergies. At bottom, Respondent puts forward conclusory fact testimony
    contradicted by JAB’s contemporaneous financial modeling and rejected by its
    expert. There is no evidence that JAB quantified revenue synergies. JAB’s financial
    modeling assumes the opposite:           “no uplift . . . from any strategic synergy
    opportunities.”635    JAB’s contemplation of potential growth opportunities is
    insufficient to prove ten dollars’ worth of revenue synergies in JAB’s best and final
    offer price. Further, JAB provided no evidence to support the conclusion that all ten
    dollars inured to JAB’s benefit and should be excised from the amount paid to
    stockholders. Hubbard did not find any revenue synergies, and therefore did not
    apportion any. Respondent has failed to prove revenue synergies that would support
    an excise of $10.00 from the deal price. In all, Respondent has proven $11.56 from
    its cost savings and tax synergies. The deal price minus synergies valuation method
    yields a price per share of $303.44.
    634
    D.I. 154 at 117:21–120:13 (“We never asked him to adjust his opinion. . . . And, you
    know, frankly, Your Honor, that’s a trial strategy decision that I made, right? These are
    the sort of things that we do. And I still think that we have a strong record evidence for
    this $10.”).
    635
    JX0593 at 64.
    115
    E.    The Supplied Alternative Valuation Methodologies Are
    Unreliable.
    While Respondent asserts that deal price minus synergies deserves dispositive
    weight, Petitioners press three alternative valuation methodologies: discounted cash
    flow (“DCF”), comparable companies, and precedent transactions.636 In the context
    of a persuasive deal price, I disregard those methodologies for the reasons that
    follow.
    1. Petitioners have not proven their DCF model’s reliability.
    “While the particular assumptions underlying its application may always be
    challenged in any particular case, the validity of [the DCF] technique qua valuation
    methodology is no longer open to question.”637 Nevertheless, the Supreme Court
    “cautioned against using the DCF methodology when market-based indicators are
    636
    Neither party argues in favor of the unaffected stock price.
    637
    Pinson, 
    1989 WL 17438
    , at *8 n.11. “The DCF model entails three basic components:
    an estimation of net cash flows that the firm will generate and when, over some period; a
    terminal or residual value equal to the future value, as of the end of the projection period,
    of the firm’s cash flows beyond the projection period; and finally a cost of capital with
    which to discount to a present value both the projected net cash flows and the estimated
    terminal or residual value.” Cede & Co. v. Technicolor, Inc., 
    1990 WL 161084
    , at *7 (Del.
    Ch. Oct. 19, 1990).
    116
    available.”638      Compared to a persuasive, market-based deal price metric, “the DCF
    technique ‘is necessarily a second-best method to derive value.’”639
    Petitioners and Respondent each introduced a DCF valuation prepared by
    their expert. Hubbard introduced a DCF that generated a value of $291.71 per
    share.640      He gave his DCF no independent weight, but viewed it solely as
    corroborative of his deal-price-minus-synergies value of $303.44.641
    In a “very subjective” weighting exercise, Shaked gave sixty percent weight
    to his DCF model, which generated a value of $354.00 per share, exceeding the deal
    price by $39.00.642 By this model, Shaked asserted over a billion dollars was left on
    the table.643 The experts are approximately $63.00 per share apart.               Because
    Petitioners are urging the Court to give significant weight to Shaked’s DCF model,
    they bear the burden of convincing the Court that the model is sufficiently reliable
    to merit weight in the face of Panera’s reliable deal process.
    638
    Stillwater, 
    2019 WL 3943851
    , at *60 (citing Dell, 177 A.3d at 37–38, and DFC, 172
    A.3d at 369–370, 369 n.118).
    639
    Id. at *61 (quoting Union Ill., 
    847 A.2d at 359
    ).
    640
    JX0982 at 84.
    641
    As explained, Hubbard did not accept Respondent’s post-trial market value of $293.44.
    642
    Shaked Tr. 179:12–181:12, 239:24–241:17.
    643
    Hubbard Tr. 1483:15–1584:11.
    117
    Petitioners have fallen short: Shaked’s model as presented at trial is of
    questionable reliability. The primary flaw is Shaked’s concession regarding the
    investment rate for the terminal period. In his report, he put forward an investment
    rate of 3.1% that he “conservative[ly]” cushioned with a $116 million buffer, as
    “kind of an extra slack for the maintenance.”644
    Hubbard put forward a 35.6% investment rate.645 This rate was based on the
    principle that “growth isn’t free,”646 particularly in the extraordinarily competitive
    restaurant industry.647 He anchored his investment rate in Panera’s historical
    investment rate,648 and utilized the formula IR=g/RONIC, where the investment rate
    equals the terminal growth rate over the return on new invested capital.649 Hubbard
    set RONIC equal to the weighted average cost of capital (“WACC”) on the premise
    that “[i]n a competitive industry, abnormal profits tend to vanish over time.”650 In
    644
    Shaked Tr. 203:9–19 (explaining the reason for the buffer as a hypothetical: “let’s
    assume that in my terminal year, the maintenance will be 259, not 143. This is 81 percent
    increase compared to what it used to be. Last year is 143, and I assume that it will be 259.
    So I build in $116 million, kind of an extra slack for the maintenance”).
    645
    JX0982 at 95–96.
    646
    D.I. 141 at 67 (citing Hubbard Tr. 1536:22–1537:7).
    647
    
    Id.
     (citing JX0982 at 14–20; Goldin Tr. 1409:22–1411:24).
    648
    See 
    id.
     at 68 (citing Hubbard Tr. 1546:17–1547:6; 1687:7–19).
    649
    JX0982 at 96.
    650
    
    Id.
    118
    Respondent’s view, Shaked’s original investment rate assumed “startlingly high
    returns on ROIC [([return on invested capital)] forever.”651
    When Shaked took the stand at trial, he addressed this criticism by presenting
    for the first time a “corrected” ROIC chart with an investment rate that diverged
    from, and was significantly higher than, the investment rate in his report.652 Shaked
    did not base his “corrected” chart on the analysis found in his report or mentioned
    in his deposition. Notwithstanding this correction, Shaked did not adjust his DCF
    with the “corrected” investment rate.
    When Hubbard applied Shaked’s corrected investment rate to his other DCF
    inputs, he found “the valuation attached to this [investment rate] is $100 off the one
    he is tendering.”653 Hubbard testified that if Shaked were to plug his corrected 33%
    investment rate into his DCF, this would erase much of the difference between the
    experts’ DCF calculations.654
    After Hubbard’s testimony, Shaked took the stand as a rebuttal witness, but
    did not address his failure to adjust his DCF in light of his corrected investment
    651
    See D.I. 141 at 63.
    652
    Shaked Direct Demonstrative Deck at 148 (“Assumed Panera will be using 2/3 of its
    net income to pay out dividends and/or repurchase shares, and will have 1/3 of it flow to
    retained earnings (grow book value of equity).”); see Hubbard Tr. 1571:21–1572:18.
    653
    Hubbard Tr. 1571:21–1572:18.
    654
    See 
    id.
     1570:9–1571:15.
    119
    rate.655 Shaked’s trial concession on his investment rate weakens his credibility: he
    abandoned the rate in his report after learning of Hubbard’s criticisms, but stood by
    his DCF reliant on that rate, even after Hubbard pointed out the inconsistency.
    Shaked’s original, unadjusted investment rate is a significant driver of his
    DCF model. Hubbard pointed to this aspect of Shaked’s model to explain the wild
    swings in value when substituting different perpetuity growth rate (“PGR”) inputs.
    Under Shaked’s initial model, inputting the different growth rates from banker-
    supplied DCFs creates outputs that are $1.3 billion apart.656 This sensitivity to PGR
    arises because Shaked initially assumed such a low investment rate while predicting
    outsized growth.657 Because “the perpetuity growth rate and the investment rate are
    linked,” changing the PGR in Shaked’s original model would cause “a very large
    swing in his DCF value.”658 Shaked described his model’s sensitivity to PGR based
    on his low investment rate as a “built-in problem.”659 Given the significant impact
    of Shaked’s initial investment rate on his DCF, his concession on that input and
    failure to adjust the model introduces fatal unreliability.
    655
    See Shaked Tr. 1699:14–1742:7.
    656
    See 
    id.
     486:5–18.
    657
    See Hubbard Tr. 1536:3–21.
    658
    
    Id.
     1572:19–1574:6.
    659
    Shaked Tr. 311:11–312:8.
    120
    Above, I determined that the market guides my analysis of this transaction.
    The Supreme Court has “cautioned against using the DCF methodology when
    market-based indicators are available.”660 Shaked’s shift in his investment rate, the
    fact that he did not adjust his DCF to accommodate that shift, and the significance
    of his original investment rate to the output of his DCF render his model unreliable.
    Petitioners have failed to carry their burden to establish that Shaked’s DCF model is
    a sufficiently reliable indicator, particularly in the shadow of a reliable market-based
    deal price. I do not attribute any weight to this metric.661
    2. There is not a suitable peer group for a reliable
    comparative companies analysis.
    “[B]efore a comparable companies multiples analysis can be undertaken with
    any measure of reliability, it is necessary to establish a suitable peer group through
    appropriate empirical analysis.”662 “If, and only if, a proper peer set can be selected,
    the next step in the comparable companies analysis is to select an appropriate
    multiple and then determine where on the distribution of peers the target company
    falls.”663 Where the experts’ identified companies are “too divergent from [the
    660
    See Dell, 177 A.3d at 37–38; DFC, 172 A.3d at 369–370, 369 n.118.
    661
    See Solera, 
    2018 WL 3625644
    , at *29 (citing Union Ill., 
    847 A.2d at 359
    ); id. at *32.
    662
    Jarden, 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *32.
    663
    Id. at *33.
    121
    company] in terms of size, public status, and products, to form meaningful analogs
    for valuation purposes,”664 this Court will disregard this valuation metric.665
    The parties dispute the relevant peer group and argue that neither expert tested
    the reasonableness of the comparable companies selected.                   Hubbard selected
    comparable companies by reviewing equity analysts’ reports in the year before the
    merger date and selecting the firms mentioned by three or more analysts at least
    once.666 As a result, Hubbard included companies that operate outside the fast casual
    segment, including full-service restaurants like Brinker International, Darden
    Restaurants, Texas Roadhouse, and The Cheesecake Factory.667 Hubbard found this
    analysis produced fair values ranging from $218.58 to $310.99668; he did not afford
    any weight to his comparable companies analysis, but viewed it as corroborative of
    deal price.669 Petitioners question Hubbard’s peer group as it includes much smaller
    664
    Hoyd v. Trussway Hldgs., LLC, 
    2019 WL 994048
    , at *5 (Del. Ch. Feb. 28, 2019).
    665
    See Merion Capital, L.P. v. 3M Cogent, Inc., 
    2013 WL 3793896
    , at *5 (Del. Ch.
    July 8, 2013) (“[W]hen the ‘comparables’ involve companies that offer different products
    or services, are at a different stage in their growth cycle, or have vastly different multiples,
    a comparable companies or comparable transactions analysis is inappropriate.”).
    666
    JX0982 at 115.
    667
    Hubbard Dep. 360:5–361:23.
    668
    JX0982 at 12–13, 120–21.
    669
    Id. at 123.
    122
    companies, including sectors other than fast casual, and does not widely overlap with
    the comparable companies the bankers identified.
    Meanwhile, Respondent highlights that weakness in Shaked’s metric. Shaked
    used a peer group identified by at least 75% of bankers involved. 670 These results
    exclude all of the fast casual companies the bankers contemporaneously identified,
    except for Chipotle.671 It also included and excluded similarly situated companies.
    For example, Shaked included McDonald’s and Burger King, but excluded
    Wendy’s; he included Domino’s, but excluded Papa John’s.672 Shaked found this
    approach resulted in fair values falling between $377.00 and $382.00 per share; he
    weighed this valuation at 30%.673
    Where an expert defers to a peer set without conducting a “meaningful,
    independent assessment of comparability” between the seller’s business and the
    business of its peer companies it “is not useful and, frankly, not credible.”674 Neither
    expert presents a reliable empirical analysis to show a suitable peer group; both sets
    have material weaknesses. For that reason, I do not find comparable companies as
    a fair measure of value. Instead, I view both parties’ comparable companies analyses
    670
    Shaked Tr. 439:23–440:18.
    671
    Compare JX0983 at 150–51, with JX0554 at 44, and JX0589 at 39, and JX0826 at 37.
    672
    See Shaked Tr. 441:9–14, 439:16–22.
    673
    JX0983 at 59–61.
    674
    Jarden, 
    2019 WL 3244085
    , at *34.
    123
    as an attempt to corroborate their preferred valuation. I decline to afford them any
    weight.
    3. There are insufficient comparable precedent transactions
    to generate a reliable valuation metric.
    Both parties’ experts performed a precedent transaction analysis.675 Hubbard
    selected precedent transactions by reviewing eleven transactions that Morgan
    Stanley included in its April 4, 2017 presentation to the board.676 He “calculated
    valuations that are corroborative using multiples of EV/EBITDA based on . . .
    precedent transactions” that led to a price per share range of $143.58 to $236.22. 677
    Hubbard used this data point as corroborative and gave it no weight678 because a
    precedent transaction analysis is “model-based” while “the market evidence is the
    real world.”679
    Shaked conducted a precedent transaction analysis by using data from the
    FactSet database filtered by acquisitions of restaurant companies in the United States
    or Canada with an enterprise value over $1 billion.680 He then compared Panera’s
    675
    See JX0982 at 121–22; JX1023; JX0983 at 59–60.
    676
    JX0982 at 121.
    677
    See id. at 123.
    678
    See id.
    679
    Hubbard Tr. 1481:13–23.
    680
    JX0983 at 59.
    124
    forecasted revenue growth to the upper quartile EBITDA multiples of three
    comparative transactions and conducted an analysis that led to a price per share range
    of $338.00 to $361.00 with a midpoint of $350.00 per share.681 Even though Shaked
    explained at trial that he “was not really very thrilled with getting only three
    transactions[,]”682 he still afforded it 10% weight.
    The accuracy of these analyses depends, as with a comparable companies
    analysis, on the closeness of the comparable transaction. As Morgan Stanley
    recognized, there was not a “particular transaction that should serve as a direct
    comparable.”683 I find that neither sample size is reliable enough to afford it weight.
    F.      Respondent Is Not Entitled To A Refund Of Its Prepayment.
    I turn now to the relief sought.          The Company prepaid Dissenting
    Stockholders the full deal price, or $315.00 per share. Petitioners have obtained
    more than fair value, which I have found to be $303.44. The Company seeks a
    refund in the amount of the deducted synergies, or the difference between fair value
    and prepayment, plus interest on that amount. Petitioners and Respondent did not
    agree to a clawback provision in the event Respondent overpaid. Respondent cites
    no support for its request. Like others who have thought about this issue, including
    681
    Id. at 59–60.
    682
    Shaked Tr. 255:4–17; see also id. 180:24–181:12.
    683
    Kwak Tr. 1210:8–1211:6.
    125
    counsel’s firm, I find the request for a refund has no present basis in Delaware’s
    appraisal statute.684
    Under Section 262(h), a surviving corporation seeking to lessen the significant
    amount of interest that can otherwise accrue in an appraisal action can prepay
    petitioning stockholders “an amount in cash.”685            As the General Assembly
    explained, “[t]here is no requirement or inference that the amount so paid by the
    surviving corporation is equal to, greater than, or less than the fair value of the shares
    to be appraised.”686 Upon prepayment, interest accrues only upon the sum of the
    difference between the amount prepaid and the judicially determined fair value, and
    any interest accrued to date unless paid at that time.687 Section 262 does not
    684
    See generally Charles K. Korsmo & Minor Myers, Interest in Appraisal, 
    42 J. Corp. L. 109
     (2016); R. Garrett Rice, Give Me Back My Money: A Proposed Amendment to
    Delaware’s Prepayment System in Statutory Appraisal Cases, 73 Bus. Law 1051 (2018);
    Abigail Pickering Bomba et al., Proposed Appraisal Statute Amendments Would Permit
    Companies To Reduce Their Interest Cost—Likely To Discourage “Weaker” Appraisal
    Claims And Make Settlement Of “Stronger Claims” Harder, Fried Frank M&A Briefing
    (Mar. 23, 2015), https://www.friedfrank.com/siteFiles/Publications/FINAL%20-%203-
    23-2015%20-%20Proposed%20Appraisal%20Statute%20Amendments.pdf; Arthur R.
    Bookout et al., Delaware Appraisal Actions: When Does It Make Sense to Prepay?,
    Skadden,     Arps,   Slate,     Meagher   &     Flom    LLP      (May 29,       2018),
    https://www.skadden.com/insights/publications/2018/05/insights-the-delaware-
    edition/delaware-appraisal-actions.
    685
    8 Del. C. § 262(h).
    686
    Del. H.B. 371, 148th Gen. Assem., 80 Del. Laws, ch. 265, §§ 8–11 (2016).
    687
    8 Del. C. § 262(h).
    126
    explicitly contemplate any refund.         Accordingly, appraisal litigants sometimes
    stipulate to a clawback provision in their prepayment agreement.688
    “Under Delaware law, the appraisal remedy is entirely a creature of statute.”689
    “The goal of statutory construction is to determine and give effect to legislative
    intent.”690 “The courts may not engraft upon a statute language which has been
    clearly excluded therefrom by the Legislature.”691 “[S]uch action would place the
    court in a position of making law.”692 Nor may this Court “assume that the omission
    was the result of an oversight on the part of the General Assembly.”693 Where, as
    with Section 262, “a statute is silent on a particular matter, the otherwise detailed
    nature of the statute in other respects can be significant.”694 “[I]n drafting Section
    688
    E.g., Artic Invs. LLC v. Medivation, Inc., C.A. No. 2017-0009-JRS, D.I. 20 at 5 (Del.
    Ch. Mar. 6, 2016) (stipulating for clawback rights if the prepayment amount were to exceed
    the Court’s fair value determination of the appraisal shares along with any accrued
    interest); see Rice, supra note 684, at 1082 (recognizing that petitioners sometimes
    stipulate to clawbacks).
    689
    Ala. By-Prods. Corp. v. Cede & Co. ex rel. Shearson Lehman Bros., 
    657 A.2d 254
    , 258
    (Del. 1995) (citation and internal quotations omitted).
    690
    One-Pie Invs., LLC v. Jackson, 
    43 A.3d 911
    , 914 (Del. 2012) (quoting LeVan v. Indep.
    Mall, Inc., 
    940 A.2d 929
    , 932 (Del. 2007)).
    691
    Giuricich v. Emtrol Corp., 
    449 A.2d 232
    , 238 (Del. 1982).
    692
    Goldstein v. Mun. Court for City of Wilm., 
    1991 WL 53830
    , at *5 (Del. Super.
    Jan. 7, 1991) (citing State v. Rose, 
    132 A. 864
    , 867 (Del. Super. 1926)).
    693
    Giuricich, 
    449 A.2d at 238
    .
    694
    Terex Corp. v. S. Track & Pump, Inc., 
    117 A.3d 537
    , 544 (Del. 2015), as
    revised (June 16, 2015).
    127
    262(h), the General Assembly made a determination as to the proper balance of the
    competing interests of appraisal petitioners, who have been cashed out of their
    preferred investment and denied the ability to invest the merger consideration in the
    market pending outcome of the case, and respondents, against whom too large an
    interest award may operate as a penalty.”695
    Here, the only permissible conclusion is fortunately a logical one: the General
    Assembly intended to omit a refund mechanism. In 2016, the General Assembly
    enacted an optional and scalable prepayment scheme without mention of a refund.
    It did so in the shadow of the Model Business Corporation Act (the “Model Act”),
    adopted by the majority of other states, which is a mandatory and fixed prepayment
    scheme: it mandates prepayment of what the corporation believes is fair value to
    stockholders who purchased their stock before the merger was announced, and
    permits it for stock acquired after the merger announcement.696 Other amendments
    to Section 262 have tracked the Model Act, evidencing a legislative awareness of its
    content.697 The Model Act is silent on the effects of overpayment, like Section 262,
    695
    Huff Fund Inv. P’ship v. CKx, Inc., 
    2014 WL 545958
    , at *3 (Del. Ch. Feb. 12, 2014).
    696
    Model Bus. Corp. Act § 13.24(a) (2016).
    697
    Compare Del. H.B. 160, 144th Gen. Assem., 76 Del. Laws, ch. 145 §§ 13, 16 (2007),
    and 8 Del. C. § 262(h), with Model Bus. Corp. Act § 13.01 (adopting the legal rate as the
    applicable interest rate for dissenting stockholders).
    128
    and has been interpreted to allow petitioning stockholders to keep any
    overpayment.698
    Commentators have also interpreted Section 262’s silence as an indication
    that overpayment is not recoverable.699 This Court has not yet resolved the issue.700
    I conclude Section 262 does not explicitly provide for a refund, and that therefore I
    cannot order one. I am not the first to conclude that the Court must stay within the
    bounds of Section 262’s plain language. In 1948, the Delaware Supreme Court
    concluded that because the operative version of Section 262 did not provide for
    interest, the judiciary could not award it.701 More recently, before the prepayment
    provision was enacted, Vice Chancellor Glasscock found he was unable to order
    698
    See Model Bus. Corp. Act § 13.30(e); see also Rice, supra note 684, at 184–86; Mary
    Siegel, An Appraisal of the Model Business Corporation Act’s Appraisal Rights
    Provisions, 
    74 Law & Contemp. Probs. 231
    , 236 (2011) (“[I]f the corporation’s estimate
    of fair value is greater than the amount ultimately determined by the court, the corporation
    will have paid this greater amount to the shareholder without any statutory right to require
    the shareholder to return the difference between the court’s determination of fair value and
    the corporation’s estimate of fair value.” (footnote omitted)).
    699
    See Korsmo & Meyers, supra note 864, at 125; Bookout et al., supra note 864.
    700
    In Artic Investments LLC v. Medication, Inc., the company argued under an unjust
    enrichment theory that the Court should find the corporation entitled to a refund for
    overpayment after trial. See C.A. No. 2017-0009-JRS, D.I. 15 at 24 (Del. Ch. Mar. 28,
    2017). The Court did not resolve this issue, or grant the party’s proposed stipulation for a
    clawback provision, before the parties stipulated to dismissal. See id. D.I. 23 (Del. Ch.
    Mar. 6, 2018).
    701
    Meade v. Pac. Gamble Robinson Co., 
    58 A.2d 415
    , 417–18 (Del. 1948).
    129
    prepayment.702 After those exercises in judicial restraint, amendments in the statute
    soon followed.703 I will not encroach on the General Assembly’s prerogative.704
    III.   CONCLUSION
    For the reasons discussed above, I find the fair value of the Company’s
    common stock at time of the merger was $303.44, calculated as deal price minus
    synergies. Respondent chose to prepay the $315.00 deal price to the Dissenting
    Stockholders. Because Respondent is not entitled to a refund of the difference
    between $315.00 and $303.44, Petitioners have received more than fair value. The
    parties shall submit a stipulated implementing order.
    702
    See Huff, 
    2014 WL 545958
     at *3.
    703
    See 47 Del. Laws ch. 136, § 7 (1949) (affording the Court the power to award interest);
    Del. H.B. 371, 148th Gen. Assem., 80 Del. Laws, ch. 265, §§ 8–11 (2016) (creating the
    possibility of prepayment).
    704
    “[T]he expression of dictum is ordinarily to be avoided.” State ex rel. Smith v. Carey,
    
    112 A.2d 26
    , 28 (Del. 1955). Accordingly, I note only that refraining from awarding a
    refund here does not offend my sensibilities. A refund is not available under the Model
    Act, which tethers the mandatory prepayment amount to the corporation’s position on fair
    value, and therefore gives the prepayment amount significance in the litigation context.
    Under the DGCL, prepayment is optional, and a corporation can pay any amount it chooses
    without making a commitment to fair value. Prepayment under the DGCL is a business
    decision, made with knowledge of the company’s sale process that is superior to the
    stockholder’s, and with counsel’s prediction of how long the litigation may take and how
    much interest may accrue. In my view, expressed in dictum, the case for a refund under
    the DGCL is less compelling than under the Model Act, which does not provide for one.
    130