McCulloch v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2015 )


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  •        In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS
    No. 09-293V
    Filed: May 22, 2015
    [TO BE PUBLISHED]
    * * ** * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *
    RACHEL MCCULLOCH                             *
    as parent and legal guardian of A.M.,        *
    *
    Petitioner,            *
    *     Ruling on Entitlement;
    *     Human Papillomavirus Vaccine;
    v.                                   *     Autoimmune Limbic Encephalitis;
    *     Intractable Epilepsy; Aquaporin-4;
    *     Developmental Delay; FIRES; Molecular
    *     Mimicry
    SECRETARY OF                                 *
    HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES,                   *
    *
    Respondent.            *
    * * * * * * * * * * * * * ** ** * *
    Christina Ciampolillo, Sylvia Chin-Caplan and Ronald C. Homer, Conway, Homer & Chin-
    Caplan, P.C., Boston, MA, for petitioner.
    Debra A. Filteau Begley, United States Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent.
    RULING ON ENTITLEMENT1
    Gowen, Special Master:
    On May 11, 2009, Rachel McCulloch (“petitioner”) filed a petition on behalf of her minor
    daughter (“A.M.” or “minor child”) for compensation under the National Vaccine Injury
    Compensation Program, 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-10 – 34 (2006)2 (the “Vaccine Act” or “the Program”).
    Petitioner alleged that as a result of receiving a Human Papillomavirus vaccine (“HPV” or
    “Gardasil”) on August 16, 2007, her minor child developed a severe neurological injury. On
    1
    Because this published ruling contains a reasoned explanation for the action in this case, I intend
    to post it on the United States Court of Federal Claims' website, in accordance with the E-
    Government Act of 2002, Pub. L. No. 107-347, 116 Stat. 2899, 2913 (Dec. 17, 2002). In
    accordance with Vaccine Rule 18(b), petitioner has 14 days to identify and move to delete medical
    or other information, the disclosure of which would constitute an unwarranted invasion of privacy.
    If, upon review, I agree that the identified material fits within this definition, I will delete such
    material from public access.
    2
    National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3755. Hereinafter,
    for ease of citation, all “§” references to the Vaccine Act will be to the pertinent subparagraph of
    42 U.S.C. § 300aa (2006).
    December 7, 2009, petitioner filed an Amended Petition alleging that the HPV vaccine caused the
    minor child to develop encephalitis, intractable epilepsy, and subsequent developmental delays.
    (Amended Petition at Preamble).
    The Vaccine Act provides that a special master may not make a finding awarding
    compensation based on the claims of a petitioner alone, unsubstantiated by medical records or
    medical opinion. See § 13(a)(1). Petitioner has proffered both medical records and expert medical
    opinions providing a theory of a causal link between A.M.’s HPV vaccination and her injuries.
    Respondent has countered with an expert medical opinion. Both parties submitted extensive
    medical literature. 3
    Petitioner contended that A.M.’s diagnosis was seizures caused by autoimmune
    encephalitis (ALE). Respondent countered that the evidence was only sufficient to establish the
    more general diagnosis of febrile infection related epilepsy syndrome (FIRES). Petitioner also
    asserted that cross reactivity caused by molecular mimicry between the viral particles in Gardasil
    and the aquaporin 4 water channels in the temporal lobe and particularly the hippocampus damaged
    the aquaporin 4 water channels and thereby disrupted the osmotic homeostasis in this area of the
    brain causing a hyperexcitable state and severe seizures.
    For the reasons stated herein, I find that petitioner has provide sufficient evidence to
    demonstrate that A.M. had ALE and that the molecular mimicry between the vaccine and the
    aquaporin 4 water channels caused hyperexcitability in the temporal lobe and severe seizures.
    Accordingly, I have concluded that petitioner is entitled to compensation.
    I.     Procedural History
    This case was filed on May 11, 2009, and assigned to then-Chief Special Master
    Golkiewicz. In the ensuing eight months following the filing of the petition, petitioner filed
    extensive medical records detailing A.M.’s diagnosis and treatment of “encephalitis of unknown
    origin.” See Pet. Ex. 1-20, 23. On December 30, 2009, petitioner filed a status report informing
    the court that all medical records necessary to substantiate the petition have been filed.
    Petitioner filed an Amended Petition on December 7, 2009 alleging that the HPV vaccine
    caused petitioner to develop encephalitis, intractable epilepsy, and developmental delay.
    (Amended Petition at Preamble). On March 9, 2010, respondent filed her Rule 4(c) Report against
    compensation under the Vaccine Act asserting, petitioner had not produced any medical or
    scientific explanation of her claim sufficient to establish causation. Res. Rep. at 10-11.
    Respondent further argued that none of A.M.’s treating physicians linked her condition to the HPV
    vaccination. 
    Id. Accordingly, on
    April 8, 2010, petitioner was ordered to file an expert report
    addressing the Althen4 criteria.
    3
    I have considered the entire record in arriving at my decision (§ 300aa–13(a)(1)). This includes
    extensive medical literature submitted by both parties which I have read and considered. I will
    discuss in the course of this opinion the exhibits that are most relevant to the resolution of this
    case.
    4
    Althen v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005).
    2
    Petitioner filed a motion to stay the proceedings on September 7, 2010. In support of her
    motion, petitioner argued that then-current medical literature and scientific evidence did not
    adequately address the safety of the HPV vaccine, and that additional time was therefore needed
    “to allow the science surrounding the [HPV vaccine] to develop.” Pet. Mot. To Stay Proceedings
    at 8. On October 7, 2010, respondent filed a response to petitioner’s motion arguing against an
    indefinite stay of the proceedings—stating that there was no legal basis under the Vaccine Act for
    such a request. Resp. Response at 4 (citing Hennessey v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    2009 WL 1709053
    at *5
    n.21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 29, 2009), aff’d, 
    91 Fed. Cl. 126
    (2010), which held that “the
    Vaccine Act contains no express or implied ‘right’ to [indefinitely] park a [] claim . . . in which no
    expert is presently prepared to opine in favor of vaccine causation . . . .”). Respondent further
    argued that the reports and literature petitioner relied on in support of her motion do not
    demonstrate that scientific evidence will develop to causally link the HPV vaccine to any of A.M.’s
    conditions. 
    Id. at 6-10.
    After holding a status conference to discuss petitioner’s motion to stay, Special Master
    Golkiewicz denied petitioner’s motion on November 23, 2010. Petitioner was granted ninety days
    to file an expert report. Petitioner subsequently filed an expert report from Dr. Svetlana Blitshteyn
    along with several exhibits of medical literature in support of the opinion on February 22, 2011.
    See Pet. Ex. 25-26.
    The case was reassigned to Special Master Zane on March 16, 2011. Thereafter, respondent
    filed a responsive expert report along with medical literature from Dr. John Sladky on April 22,
    2011. See Resp. Exs. A-G. A status conference was held on June 1, 2011 and petitioner was
    ordered to file a supplemental expert report addressing several issues with Dr. Blitshteyn’s initial
    report. Respondent was also ordered to file a responsive supplemental expert report within sixty
    days from the filing of petitioner’s supplemental expert report.
    Petitioner filed a supplemental expert report from Dr. Blitshteyn on August 16, 2011. See
    Pet. Ex. 27. Respondent filed a supplemental amended expert report from Dr. Arun Venkatesan on
    November 21, 2011. See Resp. Ex. H. Petitioner was then ordered to file another supplemental
    expert report in response to respondent’s expert report, or file a status report if she determined an
    additional report was not needed.
    Petitioner filed a supplemental report from Dr. Lawrence Steinman on October 10, 2012.
    See Pet. Ex. 34. Respondent filed a responsive supplemental expert report from Dr. Venkatesan
    on March 25, 2013. See Resp. Exs. Q-R.
    After the parties indicated a willingness to engage in settlement discussions, Special Master
    Zane ordered the filing of periodic status reports on the progress of settlement beginning on July
    15, 2013. In addition, a two-day entitlement hearing was scheduled for April 10, and 11, 2014.
    After several months of settlement discussions, the parties filed a joint status report on December
    20, 2013 stating settlement was not feasible.
    Chief Special Master Vowell was assigned this case on September 6, 2013. Thereafter the
    undersigned was assigned to this case on March 4, 2014. The parties filed their respective pre-
    3
    hearing briefs on March 14, 2014 and an entitlement hearing was held before the undersigned on
    April 10, and 11, 2014.
    On May 22, 2014, a post-hearing status conference was held. The undersigned ordered the
    parties to file, in addition to post-hearing briefs on the matter, a joint stipulation of facts not in
    dispute. The parties filed the joint stipulation on September 2, 2014. On December 16, 2014, the
    parties filed their respective post-hearing briefs, thus making this case ripe for a decision on
    entitlement. The Special Master has accepted the stipulation of facts prepared by the parties as
    follows:
    II.     Evidentiary Record
    Petitioner’s minor daughter, A.M., was born on October 8, 1994. Pet. Ex. 1 at 5. At twelve
    years old, on June 8, 2007, she received the first of three HPV vaccinations, as well as
    meningococcal and varicella vaccines. Pet. Ex. 10 at 1. On August 16, 2007, A.M. received her
    second dose of the HPV vaccine. 
    Id. Approximately five
    weeks later, on September 22, 2007, A.M. presented to the emergency
    room with “a one day history of fever . . . a sore throat and right sided neck pain.” Pet. Ex. 1 at
    125-26. A.M.’s temperature was noted to be 102.1° F. The emergency room physician diagnosed
    “viral pharyngitis . . . [and] [r]ight cervical adenopathy most likely due to viral etiology.” 
    Id. at 126.
    A throat culture was negative for Group A Streptococcus. 
    Id. A.M. was
    discharged later that
    day. 
    Id. A.M.’s symptoms
    persisted for several days after the initial emergency room visit. On
    September 26, 2007, her pediatrician noted a sore throat for the previous four days, as well as a
    stiff back and shoulders, swollen lymph nodes on both sides of her neck, and a headache. 
    Id. at 14-
    16. Additionally, A.M. continued to suffer from a fever of 100.9° F. 
    Id. Petitioner reported
    that her
    daughter’s fever persisted over the previous four days, reaching as high as 102° F. 
    Id. at 14-
    16.
    A.M.’s pediatrician, Dr. Ashu, assessed a viral infection and pharyngitis. 
    Id. at 14-
    16. A throat
    culture performed during that visit was positive for Group A Streptococcus infection. 
    Id. at 123-
    24.
    On September 27, 2007, petitioner witnessed A.M. having a tonic clonic seizure. Pet. Ex.
    11 at 18. When paramedics arrived, petitioner reported that A.M. had been sick over the previous
    five days with a persistent fever. 
    Id. The paramedics
    arrived to observe A.M. in a postictal state
    with drooling and some convulsions. 
    Id. The paramedics
    noted that A.M. began seizing enroute to
    the hospital and upon arrival, and that she continued to seize for five minutes once at the hospital.
    Id.; Pet. Ex. 7 at 22. A.M.’s temperature was recorded as 100.6° F at the emergency room. Pet. Ex.
    7 at 17.
    A brain CT showed “no acute disease,” and a cerebral spinal fluid (CSF) analysis showed
    no white blood cells, no growth, no organisms, and protein within normal limits. 
    Id. at 18,
    37; Pet.
    Ex. 24 at 109, 283. A blood chemistry test revealed elevated AST and ALT, as well as abnormal
    glucose, calcium and salicylate levels. Pet. Ex. 7 at 33. A.M. was taken by helicopter to Miami
    Children’s Hospital (“MCH”) for continued care.
    4
    Upon arrival at MCH, A.M. was “[c]hemically paralyzed and sedated, unarousable to
    painful stimuli[,]” intubated and ventilated. Pet. Ex. 4 at 478. Her temperature was recorded at
    102.2° F. 
    Id. A September
    28, 2007 EEG was abnormal—showing “diffusely slow activity for
    [her] age, [and] diffuse cerebral dysfunction, without focality.” 
    Id. at 266.
    An MRI of her brain
    showed no intracranial pathology; although, the study was limited due to her dental braces. 
    Id. at 422.
    A.M. was treated unsuccessfully with medications to control the seizure activity.
    On September 29, 2007, after being extubated, A.M. continued to experience seizure
    activity with facial twitching. 
    Id. at 483-85.
    The neurology assessment on that day noted a febrile
    illness, new onset of seizures, and elevated AST and ALT. Pet. Ex. 18 at 62. A.M.’s treating
    physicians suspected encephalitis. 
    Id. at 62-63.
    An October 1, 2007 EEG was “very abnormal,”
    showing an awake (but sedated) state, diffusely slow background, and diffuse cerebral dysfunction,
    without focality. 
    Id. at 189.
    The EEG findings were consistent with encephalopathy. 
    Id. Despite several
    different anti-seizure medications and an increase in her Versed5 drip
    dosage, A.M. continued to have seizures with facial twitching and tonic-clonic movements. Pet.
    Ex. 18 at 75. A.M. began intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) treatments on October 2, 2007. 
    Id. at 85.
    Also on that day, A.M. began multi-day video EEG monitoring. Pet. Ex. 4 at 266. The EEG
    findings showed persistent clinical and subclinical seizure activity and “diffuse cerebral
    dysfunction and bilateral epileptogenicity having emphasis in the left fronto-central region.” 
    Id. A brain
    CT was unremarkable. 
    Id. at 267.
    On October 3, 2007, A.M. was placed in a chemically induced coma due to continued
    seizure activity. 
    Id. at 491-92.
    The next day, A.M. was assessed with “status epilepticus likely
    from infectious etiologies;” although her treating physicians did not rule out other causes. Pet. Ex.
    18 at 7. On October 6, 2007, A.M. was noted to be suffering from “encephalitis of unknown
    cause[.]” 
    Id. at 97.
    A brain MRI performed on October 10, 2007, while A.M. remained in the
    chemically induced coma, revealed “no gross abnormality.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 267. A.M. continued to
    undergo testing while sedated from October 11 to 29, 2007. A.M.’s treating physicians opined
    over the course of her sedation that A.M. suffered a seizure disorder of unknown etiology with
    encephalitis of unknown cause—most likely viral encephalitis. See Pet. Ex. 18 at 126, 131, 263,
    275. A.M.’s seizures were classified as status epilepticus. 
    Id. at 275.
    On October 31, 2007, A.M. was weaned from sedation and continued to experience
    multiple clinical seizures. Pet. Ex. 4 at 692; Pet. Ex. 18 at 302. A CT scan of the brain on November
    2, 2007 showed “stable mild atrophy of the cerebral hemisphere.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 267; see also 
    id. at 267
    (also noting “mild cerebral atrophy”). An MRI of the brain performed on November 8, 2007
    showed areas of (possible) cortical dysplasia – associated with hippocampal sclerosis or seizure
    edema, central and cortical atrophic changes, and an area of high signal abnormality in the left
    parietal region – “likely representing an artifact.” 
    Id. at 267.
    These findings were consistent with
    another brain MRI performed on November 14, 2007. 
    Id. A.M. began
    receiving IV steroid
    treatments on November 8, 2007. Pet. Ex. 18 at 380-81.
    5
    “Trademark for a preparation of Midazolam.” Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary 2050
    (32d ed. 2012) [hereinafter, “Dorland’s”].
    5
    On November 19, 2007, A.M.’s pediatric neurologist, Dr. Sayed Naqvi, noted she was
    doing better neurologically, as reported by her nurse and mother. Pet. Ex. 18 at 507. Specifically,
    A.M. had last experienced a seizure on November 15, 2007 at which time she responded to her
    name, attempted to talk, and was able to speak a few words. 
    Id. A neurological
    exam noted that
    A.M. was “alert, move[d] head to voice[s] – track[ed] with eyes . . . move[d] all extremities –
    minimally . . . [and] respond[ed] to tactile stimulus.” 
    Id. Nonetheless, on
    November 25, 2007, petitioner reported that A.M. was exhibiting a
    “change in neurologic status as manifested by regression and abnormal movements [.]” 
    Id. at 585.
    A CT scan showed “[s]table generalized central and cortical loss of volume but no acute
    pathology[.]” Pet. Ex. 4 at 470. Petitioner also reported that A.M.’s behavior was child-like and
    not age-appropriate, as it was prior to her illness. Pet. Ex. 18 at 588.
    To aid in her recovery, A.M. received occupational, physical and speech therapies while
    hospitalized. See generally Pet. Ex. 4 at 608, 613. “Mild to moderate cognitive communication
    deficits and word finding deficits” were noted on December 6, 2007. 
    Id. at 613.
    In addition,
    conversational speech was noted to be low and labored. 
    Id. at 613.
    A.M. continued to experience
    clinical seizure activity and was disoriented to place and time. Pet. Ex. 18 at 694.
    A.M. was discharged from MCH to Jackson Memorial Hospital for rehabilitation on
    December 14, 2007. Pet. Ex. 4 at 404-07. Her discharge summary stated that her mental status was
    not fully recovered and that her level of orientation fluctuated from day to day. 
    Id. Her diagnoses
    upon discharge included status-post status epilepticus, seizure disorder, and status-post
    encephalitis (suspected). 
    Id. Because A.M.’s
    seizure activity increased while at Jackson Memorial Hospital, she was
    returned to MCH on December 18, 2007. Pet. Ex. 8 at 1, 6-8. Her medical records at MCH noted
    A.M. was impulsive and had difficulties with recent memory formation. 
    Id. at 6-8.
    It was also
    noted that A.M. had three seizures over the previous twenty-four hours. 
    Id. Her treating
    physicians
    noted that “[i]t was difficult to assess whether or not [her] cognition was partly due to her
    encephalopathy [or] her medication dosages.” 
    Id. at 8.
    An EEG performed on December 18, 2007
    indicated diffuse cerebral dysfunction along with potentially epileptogenic dysfunction. 
    Id. at 13-
    14.
    A.M. did not experience clinical seizures from December 19 to 24, 2007. Pet. Ex. 4 at 270-
    72. However, she experienced clinical seizure activity on December 25, 2007. 
    Id. A.M. was
    discharged from MCH on January 2, 2008 with a diagnosis of “epilepsy secondary to encephalitis,”
    “probably secondary to sudden decrease in medication blood levels.” 
    Id. at 77.
    A.M. was admitted to Baptist Children’s Hospital for daily occupational, physical and
    speech therapies on January 2, 2008 and stayed until January 18, 2008. Pet. Ex. 5 at 10. She showed
    “steady slow progress in all areas” during rehabilitation. 
    Id. Upon discharge,
    it was recommended
    that A.M. continue outpatient therapy, as her therapy efforts had become stagnant due to her lack
    of cooperation. 
    Id. at 9-11.
    It was noted that A.M. continued to experience cognitive difficulties
    associated with increased processing time, decreased short-term memory, decreased attention, and
    some mild apathy—suggestive of frontal lobe dysfunction. 
    Id. 6 The
    records reflect that as of January 22, 2008, A.M. continued to experience cognitive
    limitations, behavioral changes, and approximately two to three seizures per day. See Pet. Ex. 1 at
    20-23; Pet. Ex. 2 at 43. A.M. was medicated with Keppra, Dilantin, Phenobarbital, Ativan,
    Prevacid, Diastat, Acudial, and Lovenox. Pet. Ex. 1 at 20-23.
    On February 13, 2008, A.M. was transported to the emergency room and later admitted to
    the hospital for breakthrough seizures. Pet. Ex. 6 at 343-45. The examining physician believed
    A.M.’s illness was most likely a viral infection that lowered her seizure threshold, resulting in
    increased seizure frequency. 
    Id. at 344.
    However, the physician further noted that “given the
    presentation and the recurrent multiple seizures that are back to back without a return to baseline,
    [he was] forced to call [her illness] status epilepticus . . . .” 
    Id. A.M. was
    admitted for observation
    and discharged with the diagnosis of status epilepticus on February 15, 2008. Pet. Ex. 4 at 343,
    367.
    A.M. received her third HPV vaccine on February 21, 2008. Pet. Ex. 10 at 1. Later that
    day, she developed a fever and “brief generalized tonic-clonic seizure.” Pet. Ex. 6 at 438-39. Her
    fever was noted to be 103.5° F on admission to the hospital. 
    Id. at 438.
    She was discharged home
    on February 22, 2008. 
    Id. at 449.
    Thereafter, A.M. was seizure free for six weeks, from February
    2008 to early April 2008. Pet. Ex. 2 at 5, 9. Due to A.M.’s poor short-term memory and cognitive
    impairments, she was deemed medically unable to return to school. Pet. Ex. 9 at 78-79.
    A.M. presented to the emergency room on September 14, 2008 after experiencing eight
    seizures. Pet. Ex. 6 at 117. Her temperature was noted to be 100.5° F. While admitted, A.M.
    underwent a psychiatric evaluation due to “suicidal ideation as well as verbal and physical
    aggressiveness towards her mother and grandmother . . . .” Pet. Ex. 3 at 494. A neuropsychological
    evaluation performed on September 24, 2008 revealed low average range of intellectual
    functioning and significant behavioral issues. Pet. Ex. 14 at 204-09.
    On December 10, 2008, A.M. underwent brain surgery; specifically, a left fronto-temporal
    craniotomy, intraoperative electrocorticography, tailored left anterior temporal lobectomy and an
    amygdalohippocampectomy. Pet. Ex. 23 at 130-31. A biopsy of the anterior temporal lobe taken
    during the procedure showed mild, multifocal, neuronal disorganization “insufficient for Palmini
    Classification – Chaslin gliosis,6 mild, multifocal – heterotopic neurons, subcortical white matter,”
    no evidence of inflammatory or neoplastic process, and no definite evidence of cortical dysplasia.7
    
    Id. at 164.
    Her discharge summary on December 13, 2008 noted that an MRI of the brain showed
    bilateral hippocampal atrophy. 
    Id. at 2.
    It was also noted that a work-up showed that her seizures
    were predominately left-sided in origin—especially in the medial structures—and that she had
    persistent post-operative seizures with a different etiology than before, but that her condition
    improved once prescribed anticonvulsants. 
    Id. After her
    surgery, A.M. continued to experience
    three or four seizures weekly, typically occurring over a few days in a row. Pet. Ex. 17 at 18.
    6
    Chaslin’s gliosis is a type of gliosis (the proliferation or hypertrophy of several different types of
    supportive cells in the central nervous system) that is associated with status epilepticus. Tr. at 251.
    7
    “Abnormality of development.” Dorland’s at 579.
    7
    Despite a vagal nerve stimulator implant on September 11, 2009 to control her seizure
    activity, A.M. continued to experience three to four seizures per week and exhibited a behavior
    disorder. Pet. Ex. 12 at 7-8; Pet. Ex. 29 at 78. A.M. was hospitalized intermittently throughout
    2009 for continued seizure activity. Pet. Ex. 11 at 9; Pet. Ex. 3 at 16-18, 82, 319-20, 255-57; Pet.
    Ex. 6 at 58-59.
    On August 5, 2011, A.M was hospitalized due to a three-day history of fever, increased
    seizure activity, altered mental status, and skin lesions on her forehead, thigh, and back. Pet. Ex.
    37 at 162. It was suspected that A.M. suffered a herpes simplex infection, but she tested negative
    for the herpes simplex virus (“HSV”). 
    Id. at 154-57,
    161. A CSF test, and blood, urine, and wound
    cultures showed no growth of organisms and were also negative for HSV. 
    Id. Nevertheless, A.M.’s
    infectious disease physician recommended a twenty-one day course of acyclovir to treat what
    appeared to be a clinical course of HSV. 
    Id. at 244.
    A.M. experienced intermittent episodes of
    auditory and visual hallucinations and was diagnosed with a second episode of encephalitis. 
    Id. at 161-63.
    She was discharged on August 26, 2011. 
    Id. A June
    2013 psychological evaluation revealed profoundly impaired intellectual ability,
    with 99.99% of others her age performing better—a drastic change since her 2008 evaluation. Pet.
    Ex. 41 at 1-2. A.M.’s intellectual disability is consistent with individuals who have had severe
    traumatic brain injury. 
    Id. Testing for
    possible autoimmune epilepsy was completed in October 2013 and revealed
    negative results. Pet. Ex. 42 at 285, 475-77. A.M. is currently under the continued care of her
    physicians. Pet. Ex. 38 at 3-4, 25-31.
    III.   Discussion
    A. Legal Standards to Establish Entitlement to Compensation
    The Vaccine Act established the Program to compensate vaccine-related injuries and
    deaths. § 300aa-10(a). “Congress designed the Vaccine Program to supplement the state law civil
    tort system as a simple, fair and expeditious means for compensating vaccine-related injured
    persons. The Program was established to award ‘vaccine-injured persons quickly, easily, and with
    certainty and generosity.’” Rooks v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    35 Fed. Cl. 1
    , 7 (1996) (quoting H.R. Rep. No.
    908 at 3, reprinted in 1986 U.S.C.C.A.N. at 6287, 6344).
    In order to prevail under the Program, a petitioner must prove either a “Table” injury8 or
    that a vaccine listed in the Table was the cause in fact of an injury (an “off-Table” injury).
    Petitioner alleges A.M. suffered non-Table injuries, autoimmune encephalitis and an intractable
    seizure disorder. Therefore, petitioner must demonstrate by preponderant evidence that a covered
    vaccine is responsible for A.M.’s injuries.
    8
    A “Table” injury is an injury listed on the Vaccine Injury Table, 42 C.F.R. § 100.3 (2011),
    corresponding to the vaccine received within the time frame specified.
    8
    An “off-Table” injury is initially established when the petitioner demonstrates, by a
    preponderance of the evidence: (1) that she received a vaccine set forth on the Vaccine Injury
    Table; (2) that she received the vaccine in the United States; (3) that she sustained or had
    significantly aggravated an illness, disease, disability, or condition caused by the vaccine; and (4)
    that the condition has persisted for more than six months. § 13(a)(1)(A). To satisfy her burden of
    proving causation in fact, petitioner must establish each of the three Althen factors by preponderant
    evidence: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical
    sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a
    proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury. Althen v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005); see de Bazan v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    539 F.3d 1347
    , 1351-52 (Fed. Cir.
    2008); Caves v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    100 Fed. Cl. 119
    , 132 (2011), aff. per curiam, 463 Fed. Appx. 932
    (Fed. Cir. 2012) (specifying that each Althen factor must be established by preponderant evidence).
    The preponderance of the evidence standard, in turn, has been interpreted to mean that a fact is
    more likely than not. See Moberly v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    592 F.3d 1315
    , 1322 n.2 (Fed. Cir. 2010).
    Proof of medical certainty is not required. Bunting v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    931 F.2d 867
    , 873 (Fed. Cir.
    1991).
    The Federal Circuit in Althen noted that “while [Althen’s petition] involves the possible
    link between [tetanus toxoid] vaccination and central nervous system injury, a sequence hitherto
    unproven in medicine, the purpose of the Vaccine Act’s preponderance standard is to allow the
    finding of causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human
    body.” 
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280
    (quoting Capizzano v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1325 (Fed.
    Cir. 2006)) (emphasis added).
    Once petitioner establishes each of the Althen factors by preponderant evidence, the burden
    of persuasion shifts to respondent, who must show that the alleged injury was caused by a factor
    unrelated to the vaccination. Knudsen v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994); §
    13(a)(1)(B). Respondent must demonstrate that “the factor unrelated to the vaccination is the more
    likely or principal cause of the injury alleged. Such a showing establishes that the factor unrelated,
    not the vaccination, was ‘principally responsible’ for the injury.” Deribeaux v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    717 F.3d 1363
    , 1369 (Fed. Cir. 2013). Section 13(a)(2) specifies that factors unrelated do “not include
    any idiopathic, unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumented causal factor, injury,
    illness, or condition.” Close calls regarding causation must be resolved in favor of the petitioner.
    
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280
    .
    In determining whether petitioner is entitled to compensation, a special master must
    consider the entire record and is not bound by any particular piece of evidence. § 13(b)(1) (stating
    a special master is not bound by any “diagnosis, conclusion, judgment, test result, report, or
    summary” contained in the record). Thus a special master must weigh and evaluate opposing
    expert opinions, medical and scientific evidence, and the evidentiary record in deciding whether
    petitioners have met their burden of proof. ‘Although Althen and Capizzano make clear that a
    claimant need not produce medical literature or epidemiological evidence to establish causation
    under the Vaccine Act , where such evidence is submitted , the special master can consider it in
    reaching an informed judgment as to whether a particular vaccination likely caused a particular
    injury….Medical literature and epidemiological evidence must be viewed, however, not through
    9
    the lens of the laboratorian, but instead from the vantage point of the Vaccine Act’s preponderant
    evidence standard.” Andreu v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    569 F.3d 1367
    , 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2009).
    B. Parties’ Contentions Regarding Entitlement
    There is no dispute that petitioner received a covered vaccine administered in the United
    States. It is also clear from the medical records that approximately five weeks after receiving a
    second dose of the HPV vaccine on September 22, 2007, A.M. developed a persistent fever over
    the course of five days and experienced tonic-clonic seizures on September 27, 2007. The medical
    records further reveal that A.M. developed a severe seizure disorder diagnosed as intractable
    epilepsy, status epilepticus and encephalitis, and that she has undergone treatment for her condition
    for longer than six months. Therefore, the issues left to resolve are the diagnostic category of her
    illness and whether the HPV vaccine was the cause-in-fact of petitioner’s encephalitis, intractable
    epilepsy, and subsequent cognitive impairments.
    The hearing testimony was presented by two experts for the petitioner, Dr. Svetlana
    Blitshteyn and Dr. Lawrence Steinman; and one expert for the respondent, Dr. Arun Venkatesan.
    All experts came to the court with excellent credentials to address the issues in this case. Dr.
    Steinman was particularly well qualified in the research on the interactions between the immune
    system and the central nervous system, while Dr. Venkatesan was exceptionally well qualified in
    the clinical diagnosis of encephalitis.
    i. Petitioner’s Experts’ Credentials
    1. Svetlana Blitshteyn, M.D.
    Dr. Blitshteyn, as a clinical neurology expert, opined that A.M. developed autoimmune
    limbic encephalitis (“ALE”) due to the HPV vaccine.
    Dr. Blitshteyn is a board certified neurologist and assistant clinical professor of neurology
    at the State University of New York at Buffalo School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences. Pet.
    Ex. 26. In this role, Dr. Blitshteyn educates medical students and residents about basic neurology
    principles and supervises their research projects. 
    Id. In addition
    to teaching medical students and
    residents, Dr. Blitshteyn also has clinical responsibilities as the director and founder of Amherst
    Neurology Practice, where she treats adolescents and adults with neurological conditions. 
    Id. Dr. Blitshteyn
    has been published in numerous peer-reviewed journals and has ongoing
    editorial responsibilities as an ad hoc reviewer and contributing editor for several medical
    neurology journals, including the European Journal of Neurology. 
    Id. Additionally, Dr.
    Blitshteyn
    has been invited to make numerous presentations to her colleagues in the field of neurology. 
    Id. Dr. Blitshteyn
    earned her Bachelor of Science in Biochemistry at State University of New York at
    Buffalo, graduating as the valedictorian of her class. She received her M.D. from the State
    University of New York School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, where she also completed
    her internship year in Internal Medicine. 
    Id. Subsequently, she
    completed her Neurology
    Residency at the Mayo Clinic, School of Graduate Medical Education. Id.; Tr. at 8.
    10
    2. Lawrence Steinman, M.D.
    Dr. Steinman offered an opinion on three topics: (1) based upon A.M.’s medical records,
    he believes A.M.’s diagnosis is ALE, (2) a theory by which he proposed the August 16, 2007 HPV
    vaccine A.M. received could have caused an autoimmune response leading to her ALE, and (3)
    his explanation as to how the vaccine logically did cause the injury in this case.
    Dr. Steinman is a board-certified neurologist and was the former Chair of the Stanford
    University Medical Center’s interdepartmental program in neuro-immunology. Pet. Ex. 35; Tr. at
    131. Dr. Steinman currently is the George A. Zimmerman Chair and Professor in Pediatrics,
    Neurology and Neurologic Sciences at Stanford University School of Medicine, where he has
    clinical and research responsibilities. Pet. Ex. 35. Dr. Steinman is a renowned researcher within
    the field of autoimmunity and whose National Institute of Health (“NIH”) funded work has led to
    the grant of over thirty patents and numerous publications in respected medical journals. 
    Id. Specifically, within
    vaccine research, Dr. Steinman has conducted research and published
    numerous medical articles on the mechanisms of vaccination triggered autoimmunity. 
    Id. His ongoing
    research focuses on generating patents related to specific components of certain vaccines.
    Tr. at 133.
    He also serves on editorial boards for prominent medical journals, including the
    International Immunology and Neurobiology of Disease. 
    Id. For his
    notable work, he has won the
    Charcot Prize for lifetime achievement in multiple sclerosis research and was elected to the
    Institute of Medicine by the National Academy of Sciences in neurology. 
    Id. Dr. Steinman
    graduated from Dartmouth College with a B.A. in Physics and received his M.D. at Harvard
    Medical School. 
    Id. Thereafter, he
    completed an NIH Fellowship at Harvard Medical School. 
    Id. Subsequently, Dr.
    Steinman completed his internship at Stanford University in surgery, pediatrics
    and neurology, and thereafter completed his post-doctoral fellowship in neuroimmunology at the
    Weizmann Institute of Science. Id.; Tr. at 131.
    ii. Respondent’s Expert’s Credentials9
    1. Arun Venkatesan, M.D.
    Dr. Venkatesan offered opinions as to (1) whether or not A.M. suffered autoimmune limbic
    encephalitis or another illness known as Febrile Infection-Related Epilepsy Syndrome (“FIRES”),
    and (2) whether there is sufficiently reliable scientific evidence to support the petitioner’s proffered
    molecular mimicry theory linking A.M.’s HPV vaccination to her seizure condition. He testified
    in favor of a FIRES diagnosis, and opined that there was insufficiently reliable medical evidence
    to support the petitioner’s theory.
    Dr. Venkatesan is an assistant professor in the Department of Neurology at Johns Hopkins
    University School of Medicine. Resp. Ex. S. He also serves as the director of the Johns Hopkins
    9
    The respondent also filed an expert report from Dr. John T. Sladky, but did not present his
    testimony during the hearing and did not otherwise rely on his opinion. In light of Dr. Sladky’s
    ethical issues noted in Contreras v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    116 Fed. Cl. 472
    (2014), his opinion has been
    completely disregarded in the analysis of this case.
    11
    Encephalitis Center, and as the program director for the Johns Hopkins Neurology Residency
    Program. 
    Id. He has
    been invited to serve on the professional advisory board of the Encephalitis
    Society, based in the United Kingdom, and on which he is the only non-British member. Tr. at
    228.
    Dr. Venkatesan has published his research in numerous prestigious journals and has been
    invited to write book chapters on various medical topics, including issues related to encephalitis.
    
    Id. Furthermore, he
    has been an ad hoc reviewer on several prestigious medical journals, including
    Brain, Journal of Neuroscience, and Journal of Neuroimmunology. 
    Id. Dr. Venkatesan
    received his B.S. in Bioengineering from the University of California,
    Berkeley and completed his Ph.D. in microbiology and immunology. He received a medical degree
    from the University of California, Los Angeles. 
    Id. Thereafter he
    completed his internship year at
    the Santa Clara Valley County Medical Center and finished his neurology residency at Johns
    Hopkins Hospital. 
    Id. At Johns
    Hopkins Hospital, he also completed a fellowship in
    neuroimmunology and neuroinfectious diseases. 
    Id. He is
    on the faculty at Johns Hopkins in the
    Division of Neuroimmunology and Neuroinfectious Diseases. Tr. at 222.
    iii. Overview of Dr. Blitshteyn’s Diagnosis and Opinion on Causation
    Dr. Blitshteyn opined, that A.M. suffered from autoimmune limbic encephalitis (“ALE”)
    as a result of receiving the second of a three-shot series of the HPV vaccine. Pet. Ex. 25 at 4. She
    made that diagnosis based on (1) A.M.’s multiple EEGs, (2) her November 2007 MRI of the brain
    showing increased signal in the left temporal lobe, (3) the intractable epilepsy A.M. developed in
    the context of a febrile illness, (4) the December 2008 biopsy demonstrating neuronal
    disorganization and gliosis without inflammatory, neoplastic or cortical dysplasia, and (4) A.M.’s
    subsequent behavioral disorder.
    According to Dr. Blitshteyn, ALE often presents with a prodromal viral-like illness and an
    acute amnestic syndrome10 with seizures evolving over less than one week. Pet. Ex. 25 at 4.
    Patients with ALE usually have persistent cognitive impairment and seizures. 
    Id. Dr. Blitshteyn
    cited literature which reported on a series of patients who experienced a prodromal illness before
    an amnesic syndrome in association with seizures that developed acutely. See Pet. Ex. 24A. 11 All
    of whom, had persistent cognitive impairment and seizures with normal cerebrospinal fluid
    (“CSF”) counts and highly localized signal change on MRI in the hippocampus, thought to be due
    to seizure induced edema or gliosis. 
    Id. at 392-93.
    These signs and symptoms, in the view of the
    authors, provided circumstantial evidence for an autoimmune process. 
    Id. Dr. Blitshteyn
    noted the
    similarity of the presentations to A.M., in which there was a flu like prodrome with rapidly
    developing seizures, normal CSF, increased signal intensity in the left temporal lobe on the third
    MRI, gliosis, and persistent cognitive deficits and seizures. Tr. at 30-31.
    10
    “Affected with or characterized by amnesia.” Dorland’s at 64.
    11
    Samarasekera, Welch, Jackson, Course and Outcome of Acute Limbic Encephalitis with
    Negative Voltage-gated Potassium Channel Antibodies, J. of Neurology Neurosurgery Psychiatry,
    vol. 78, 391-94 (2007).
    12
    In this case, Dr. Blitshteyn opined that the temporal association between the onset of
    encephalitis and the administration of the second HPV vaccine “likely caused an overwhelming
    autoimmune response [in A.M.], resulting in the development of [ALE].” Pet. Ex. 25 at 5. Based
    on scientific literature on the occurrence of Acute Disseminated Encephalomyelitis (“ADEM”)12
    in persons receiving an HPV vaccine, Dr. Blitshteyn noted that A.M. developed her condition in
    approximately the same timeframe—five weeks after the second “booster shot” of HPV—as the
    reported development of ADEM in other persons who have received an HPV vaccine. 
    Id. Dr. Blitshteyn
    opined that since a booster shot is expected to generate a stronger immune-mediated
    response than the first injection, “it is not surprising” that A.M. developed encephalitis after receipt
    of the second HPV vaccine. Id.; Tr. at 26-28. According to Dr. Blitshteyn, this theory is further
    supported by the fact that A.M. developed a febrile illness and seizures after receipt of the third
    HPV vaccine on February 21, 2008. Tr. at 95-96.
    Dr. Blitshteyn noted that the treating physicians did a very thorough job of ruling out other
    causes, including viral, fungal, bacterial, other infectious pathogens, genetic, metabolic, toxic,
    nutritional, congenital, and paraneoplastic (cancer) etiologies of A.M.’s condition—based on the
    diagnostic workups she received in 2007, documented in the medical records. Tr. at 29. The most
    likely etiology of A.M.’s encephalitis, according to Dr. Blitshteyn, is an autoimmune response in
    the limbic portion of her brain. Tr. at 26. More explicitly, Dr. Blitshteyn’s opinion was that the
    HPV vaccine “likely resulted in [a] vaccination-induced autoimmune response and formation of
    [an] autoantibody cross-reaction with the neuronal components of the limbic system, thereby
    resulting in a vaccine-induced acute autoimmune limbic encephalitis.” Pet. Ex. 25 at 6; see also
    Pet. Ex. 27 at 1; Tr. at 27. She testified that from what is known from other types of autoimmune
    limbic encephalitis, such as the voltage gated potassium channel antibody encephalitis, antibodies
    form against the voltage gated potassium channels in the cellular membranes which cause the
    normal electrical and water balance to be disturbed. When that occurs, she said, the neurons
    become hyperexcitable, secondary to this process and thereby result in seizures. Tr. at 26-27. She
    noted that seizures have been reported to occur in the wake of some vaccinations. Tr. at 27. In
    this case, she said that it was logical to expect a more pronounced autoimmune response after the
    second vaccination than the first, that the signs and symptoms were consistent with an autoimmune
    limbic encephalitis, that the timing was appropriate and that the mechanism of molecular mimicry
    would explain the syndrome. Tr. at 31.
    iv. Respondent argues that a diagnosis must be determined before
    reaching a causation analysis under the Althen prongs.
    Respondent argues that a threshold issue in this case is whether A.M. had ALE, as opined
    by her experts, or whether her diagnosis was more appropriately FIRES. Respondent argues that
    a determination of what afflicted A.M. is a prerequisite to a causation analysis consistent with
    Broekelschen v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    618 F.3d 1339
    , 1346 (Fed. Cir. 2010). Resp. Post hearing br. at 8.
    12
    Acute Disseminated Encephalomyelitis is an acute or subacute encephalomyelitis or myelitis
    characterized by lymphocyte and mononuclear cell infiltration and demyelination. Dorland’s at
    613.
    13
    The undersigned does not agree that this case presents a Broekelschen issue because the
    injury being analyzed by all experts is the same. It is merely the diagnosis that differs, and the
    criteria for FIRES can readily include a presentation of ALE when the cause is unknown. But
    nevertheless, I will address the argument raised by the respondent. For the reasons discussed
    below, the undersigned finds that petitioner presented preponderant evidence to conclude that
    A.M. has ALE.
    1. Overview of Autoimmune Limbic Encephalitis (ALE)
    Limbic encephalitis (LE) is inflammation that predominantly occurs within the limbic
    system of the brain. Tr. at 11, 15, 353-54. The limbic system is the area of the brain that consists
    of several structures, mainly the hippocampus, limbic cortex, parts of the thalamus and various
    connections to the prefrontal cortex and parahippocampal gyrus. Tr. at 13-14. It plays a critical
    role in memory, perception and emotions. One structure of the limbic system, the hippocampus,
    plays a particularly important role in forming new memories, specifically short-term memories.
    There is a complex pathway in the hippocampus for formation of short term memories which are
    also critical for formation of long-term memory. Tr. at 14. Anatomically, the hippocampus lies in
    the mesial13 temporal lobe, and damage to this area of the limbic system can result in problems
    with memory, learning, behavior, and emotions. Tr. at 14-15.
    Submitted literature on limbic encephalitis14 describes changes in the definition of the
    disease and the continuing progress in its understanding.15 Limbic encephalitis can result from
    infectious, genetic, metabolic or autoimmune causes; in those instances in which the limbic
    encephalitis is due to autoimmune conditions, the diagnosis is labeled as autoimmune limbic
    encephalitis, or ALE. Tr. at 253.
    Traditionally, autoimmune forms of limbic encephalitis were considered extremely rare
    disorders that were predominantly related to cancer. Resp. Ex. J at 1. Presently, however, many
    presentations of limbic encephalitis are increasingly understood to occur without any relationship
    to cancer, and as autoimmune diseases. The literature describes the autoimmune forms of limbic
    13
    Mesial lobe refers to the median aspect of the temporal lobe. Tr. at 14.
    14
    The terms limbic encephalitis (LE) and autoimmune limbic encephalitis (ALE) are used
    throughout the hearing transcript. As a point of clarification, referring to the disease as
    autoimmune limbic encephalitis, instead of limbic encephalitis, more precisely denotes the
    autoimmune origin of the disease. Tr. at 35, 239-40, 253.
    15
    “The last decade has seen many changes in the definition of and our understanding of the cause
    of limbic encephalitis.” Pet. Ex. 25M at 1. [Pet. Ex. 25M is McCoy, Akiyama, Widjaja, et al.,
    Autoimmune Limbic Encephalitis: Case Report and Review of the Literature, J. of Child
    Neurology, vol. 26, 218-22 (2011)]. "Once considered an extremely rare disorder, almost always
    related to cancer, and refractory to treatment, limbic encephalitis is now regarded as a relatively
    frequent disorder, often unrelated to cancer, and with clinical-immunologic variants that respond
    to treatment." Resp. Ex. J at 1. [Resp. Ex. J is Tuzin, and Dalmau, Limbic Encephalitis and
    Variants: Classification, Diagnosis, and Treatment, The Neurologist, vol. 13, 261-71 (2007)].
    14
    encephalitis as being “a relatively frequent disorder, often unrelated to cancer, and with clinical-
    immunologic variants that respond to treatment.” Resp. Ex. J at 1; Tr. at 15.
    The understanding of non-paraneoplastic (not related to cancer) forms of ALE continues
    to evolve as researchers find additional cell-membrane antigens associated with ALE, which
    therefore suggests that there is tremendous antigen diversity within the disease.16 For both forms
    of ALE, paraneoplastic and non-paraneoplastic, the exact mechanisms of neuronal dysfunction are
    still unknown. Resp. Ex. J at 8.
    2. Classic Presentation of ALE
    Clinically, patients with the classic presentation of ALE usually manifest with “rapidly
    progressive short-term memory deficits, psychiatric symptoms, and seizures." Resp. Ex. J at 1.
    However, the literature acknowledges that traditional hallmarks of ALE—the short-term memory
    deficits and behavioral changes—can be overshadowed by other dominant symptoms, such as
    refractory seizures.17 In fact, the literature suggests that the first signs to be recognized in
    childhood cases of ALE are often non-psychiatric symptoms, such as seizures and status
    epilepticus. “[I]n children, the first symptom to be recognized is often non-psychiatric – e.g.
    seizures, status epilepticus, dystonia, verbal reduction or mutism.” Pet. Ex. 25N at 64. 18 As there
    has never been a suggestion that A.M. suffered from any type of cancer, the focus of this analysis
    is on those studies that have examined more recently recognized patterns of limbic encephalitis
    where the agent appears to be antibodies to neuronal cell surface antigens. See Resp. Ex J at 1.
    The Tuzin and Dalmau article states “[s]tudies have now shown that many of [ALE patients] do
    in fact have antibodies to neuronal cell surface antigens. These antigens may be ubiquitously
    expressed in the nervous system but usually are distinctively enriched in the hippocampus and
    sometimes the cerebellum. They include voltage-gated potassium channels, N-methyl-D-aspartate
    receptors and others that remain uncharacterized.” 
    Id. Tuzin and
    Dalmau further note that “the diagnosis of limbic encephalitis is no longer
    dependent on the pathologic confirmation of inflammation involving the limbic system. In most
    studies, the diagnosis relies on the clinical picture combined with the demonstration of [magnetic
    resonance imaging (“MRI”)] and [electroencephalogram (“EEG”)] abnormalities in the temporal
    16
    "Recent studies show that in addition to anti-VGKC, there are other limbic encephalitis-related
    antibodies that target novel cell-membrane antigens (nCMAg). These findings have broadened the
    spectrum of limbic encephalitis and suggest extensive antigen diversity." Pet. Ex. 25B at 381. [Pet.
    Ex. 25B is Bataller, Kleopa, Fu, et al., Autoimmune Limbic Encephalitis in 39 Patients:
    Immunophenotypes and Outcomes, J. Neural Neurosurg Psychiatry, vol. 78, 381-85 (2007)].
    17
    "In other instances the clinical picture of limbic encephalitis is overshadowed by symptoms of
    "higher cortical dysfunction," decreased level of consciousness, or refractory seizures." Resp. Ex.
    J at 2.
    18
    Pet. Ex. 25N is Dalmau, Lancaster, Martinez-Hernandez, et al., Clinical Experience and
    Laboratory Investigations in Patients with anti-NMDAR Encephalitis, Lancet Neurol, vol. 10, 63-
    74 (2011).
    15
    lobes, along with the frequent presence of inflammatory changes in the CSF.” Resp. Ex. J at 2.
    But, “some patients, particularly those with antibodies to voltage-gated potassium channels may
    have normal CSF or only oligoclonal bands with normal total protein concentration.” Resp. Ex J
    at 2. As noted above, in a 2011 article, Dalmau, Lancaster et al. stated that “[i]n children, the first
    symptom to be recognized is often non-psychiatric—e.g., seizures, status epilepticus, dystonia,
    verbal reduction or mutism.” Pet. Ex 25N at 64 (emphasis added).
    Overall, the diagnosis of ALE relies on the clinical picture as a whole, combined with
    objective test results, which include MRI scans, EEG, and CSF testing.19 To diagnose all forms
    of ALE, viral and systemic autoimmune disorders are first excluded prior to examining
    abnormalities in objective test findings.20
    EEG testing is described in the literature as being the “most sensitive tool” in making a
    diagnosis of encephalitis. Resp. Ex. D at 484.21 Irrespective of the type of presentation, the results
    of the EEG are “almost always abnormal, revealing foci of epileptic activity in one or both
    temporal lobes, or focal or generalized slow activity.” Resp. Ex. J at 2. Specifically for ALE
    patients, EEG tests are “abnormal in most patients, usually showing non-specific, slow, and
    disorganized activity sometimes with electrographic seizures.” Pet. Ex. 25N at 64. These
    abnormalities are generally seen in the temporal lobes of patients with limbic encephalitis. MRI
    findings are normal in approximately fifty percent of cases and CSF is often negative as well. 
    Id. at 64-65.
    3. Petitioner Expert Opinions – A.M.’s case clinically fits ALE.
    Dr. Blitshteyn opined that A.M.’s clinical symptoms are consistent with ALE. Tr. at 16-
    17. She reached this diagnosis after examining A.M.’s complete clinical picture. Clinically, Dr.
    Blitshteyn noted the following evidence in reaching her diagnosis: (1) A.M.’s localized damage to
    the limbic structures within the left temporal lobe and hippocampus; (2) A.M.’s severe seizures
    and post onset memory impairment and behavioral changes; (3) MRI, EEG, and biopsy findings
    revealing abnormalities in the temporal lobe; and (4) the treating physician’s extensive tests ruling
    out other causes. Tr. at 36-37, 165.
    A.M.’s EEGs were consistently abnormal with initial EEGs revealing diffuse slow
    activity compatible with cerebral dysfunction. Tr. at 17-18; Pet. Ex. 4 at 266. Thereafter, her EEGs
    showed epileptiform foci in the left anterior temporal region, with occasional emanations from the
    19
    "In most studies, the diagnosis relies on the clinical picture combined with the demonstration of
    MRI and EEG abnormalities in the temporal lobes, and frequent presence of inflammatory changes
    in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF)." Resp. Ex. J at 2.
    20
    "After excluding viral and systemic autoimmune disorders, many patients with limbic
    encephalitis (paraneoplastic or not) have cerebrospinal fluid inflammatory findings, EEG or MRI
    abnormalities in the temporal lobes, and anti-neuronal antibodies," in particular cell membrane
    antibodies. Resp. Ex. J at 1.
    21
    Resp. Ex. D is Fowler, Stoberg, Eriksson, et al., Childhood Encephalitis in Sweden: Etiology,
    Clinical Presentation and Outcome, European J. of Pediatric Neurology, vol. 12, 484-90 (2008).
    16
    right temporal region, demonstrating localization to the bilateral temporal lobes, left greater than
    right. Tr. at 18-19. As A.M.’s condition progressed, later EEGs showed multiple foci of her
    seizures as, by that stage, her seizures had become intractable and difficult to treat. 
    Id. They took
    on a life of their own and emanated from multiple sources. 
    Id. A.M.’s initial
    MRIs performed on September 29, 2007, and October 10, 2007, did not
    reveal any abnormality. Pet. Ex. 4 at 438. The interpreting radiologist noted that these were limited
    studies due to the presence of braces on her teeth, which frequently cause artifact obscuring the
    images. 
    Id. Respondent’s expert,
    Dr. Venkatesan, reviewed the films himself and found them
    adequate to conclude that they did not show inflammation. Tr. at 367. Her third MRI, after the
    braces were removed, showed increased signal in the temporal lobe with atrophy in the
    hippocampus. Pet. Ex. 4 at 457; Tr. at 19-20. A PET scan done in November 2007 demonstrated
    hypometabolism of glucose in the temporal lobe. Pet. Ex. 4 at 461; Tr. at 20-21. While these two
    results do not verify an instigating cause of the seizures, they do localize the damage caused by
    the seizures to her temporal lobes, particularly on the left.
    With that clinical underpinning, Dr. Blitshteyn opined that A.M.’s clinical symptoms,
    including severe seizures, status epilepticus, subsequent memory deficits, severe learning
    disabilities, and behavioral problems, were consistent with ALE. Tr. At 24. She testified the EEG
    findings were quite consistent with limbic encephalitis and the MRI and PET scans helped to
    localize the damage to the temporal lobes. Tr. at 21-23, 17-20. She also noted that the operative
    biopsy after A.M.’s temporal lobe was removed ruled out cortical dysplasia and cancer, and found
    gliosis consistent with a reaction to seizures. Tr. at 20-23. Further, a flu-like prodromal illness
    has been reported in case reports on limbic encephalitis. Tr. at 30 (referencing Pet. Ex 25A at
    392).22
    Dr. Steinman concurred with the ALE diagnosis and agreed that the second HPV
    vaccination was the etiologic trigger for A.M.’s ALE. Tr. at 134-35. Both experts also agreed that
    A.M. likely had a susceptibility to an autoimmune disease, in that she suffered from a previous
    autoimmune disorder, idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura23 (“ITP”), when she was eight years
    old. Tr. at 378-79; Pet. Ex. 25 at 6; Pet. Ex. 34 at 6. All experts, including Dr. Venkatesan, agreed
    that a prior autoimmune disorder may make a patient more susceptible to a subsequent one. Tr. at
    350.
    Dr. Blitshteyn acknowledged that some of the more typical presentations of ALE, mainly
    the short-term memory and behavioral deficits, were not initially noticed in A.M.’s case; rather,
    she opined that these deficits were overshadowed by her rapidly developing severe seizure
    22
    Pet. Ex. 25A is Samarasekera, Vincent, Welch, et al., Course and Outcomes of Acute Limbic
    Encephalitis with Negative Voltage-gated Potassium Channel Antibodies, J. Neurol Neurosurg
    Psychiatry, vol. 78, 391-94 (2007).
    23
    Idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) is “an acquired autoimmune disorder defined by
    isolated [deficiency of platelets in the blood (also known as thrombocytopenia)] and the exclusion
    of other causes of thrombocytopenia.” Pet. Ex. 25S at 4. [Pet. Ex. 25S is Stasi, Evangelista, Stipa,
    et al., Idiopathic Thrombocytopenic Purpura: Current Concepts in Pathophysiology and
    Management, Thromb Haemost, vol. 99, 4-13 (2008).
    17
    disorder. Tr. at 59. In this regard, as A.M. went straight into severe seizures and became
    unresponsive shortly after being admitted, Dr. Blitshteyn opined that A.M.’s treating physicians
    did not have an opportunity to notice these memory and behavioral changes. Tr. at 59-60. She
    does state, however, that shortly after A.M. came out of her coma, her treating physicians did in
    fact notice significant memory deficits and behavioral changes. 
    Id. Dr. Venkatesan
    agreed that
    once the seizures began, it would have been very “difficult to ascertain whether there were any
    memory changes or personality changes.” Tr. at 356.
    4. Respondent Expert Opinion – A.M.’s symptoms do not clinically
    fit ALE.
    Dr. Venkatesan contended that there was insufficient evidence in A.M.’s case to make a
    diagnosis of ALE. Tr. at 252-55. He opined that the lack of history of memory disturbance or
    personality disorder in the days preceding the onset of seizures, and the lack of documentation of
    inflammation in the brain or CSF, were missing pieces in what is known as a typical presentation
    of ALE. 
    Id. In Dr.
    Venkatesan’s view, A.M.’s post-induced coma medical history, which
    significantly documented behavioral and memory deficits, are not convincing for an ALE
    diagnosis, as in his view, seizures alone, regardless of the cause, can also cause memory problems
    and personality changes. 
    Id. Dr. Venkatesan
    noted the lack of evidence for inflammation on A.M.’s CSF testing that
    would support a diagnosis of autoimmune limbic encephalitis. Tr. at 253-54. He did not view the
    localization of the encephalitic activity in the temporal lobe, or the unquestionable evidence of
    severe damage in that area of the brain, as being sufficiently specific evidence for ALE in that the
    temporal lobe is a common area that, for reasons that are not well understood, serves as a focus of
    seizures, regardless of their etiology. Tr. at 325.
    For Dr. Venkatesan, A.M.’s EEG findings are “potentially sensitive, but, unfortunately,
    not specific for the diagnosis of encephalitis.” Tr. at 312. In other words they could suggest a
    diagnosis of ALE but not rule out alternatives. Similarly, Dr. Venkatesan acknowledged that the
    documented MRI and PET scan abnormalities could be caused by limbic encephalitis, but were
    not specific and could have resulted from the prolonged seizures that she suffered in that area of
    the brain. Tr. at 326-27. Furthermore, Dr. Venkatesan attributed the differences from A.M.’s first
    MRI to the third as being common changes that occur in the setting of refractory seizures,
    regardless of etiology. Tr. at 367-68. Overall, Dr. Venkatesan’s contention is that by simply
    examining the MRI, one cannot make an assessment whether the damage in her left temporal lobe
    caused the seizures, or whether the seizures caused the damage seen on the MRI. Tr. at 249-50.
    Notwithstanding the above, Dr. Venkatesan acknowledged that limbic encephalitis is
    encephalitis that occurs in the limbic system, Tr. at 353, that the fact that she was having seizures
    is likely indicative of neuronal excitability, Tr. at 353, that a seizure disorder like this may begin
    without an initiating inflammatory response, Tr. at 362, that it would have been very difficult to
    evaluate A.M.’s mental status before the onset of seizures when she presented with severe seizures,
    Tr. at 356, and that he could imagine a case of ALE presenting with the seizures dominating the
    clinical picture. Tr. at 357.
    18
    5. Alternative Diagnosis of FIRES
    Respondent, through Dr. Venkatesan, offered an alternative diagnosis for A.M.’s
    symptoms, suggesting that A.M. has febrile infection-related epilepsy syndrome, or FIRES.
    FIRES is defined as “a catastrophic epileptic encephalopathy with a yet undefined etiology.” Resp.
    Ex. L at 1.24 This rare syndrome comprises a small minority of all patients with status epilepticus
    (SE). Resp. Ex. L at 1.
    There is extensive debate in the medical community as to how to name and characterize
    FIRES. Resp. Ex. L at 1. The Japanese medical community prefers to highlight the presumed
    pathogenesis of the syndrome, and has used the term "acute encephalitis with refractory, repetitive
    partial seizures” or (AERPS) to refer to the syndrome. 
    Id. Others within
    the medical community
    prefer the term FIRES, as it emphasizes the characteristics of acute refractory partial epilepsy.25
    Dr. Venkatesan explained his diagnosis of FIRES as one that has been applied to a clinical
    subgroup of patients who clinically presented with “expected encephalitis, who did not have an
    identifiable cause of the encephalitis, but had very distinct signs and symptoms”Tr. at 230-31.
    Dr. Venkatesan stated that the distinguishing factors of FIRES are: (1) no known etiology
    for the syndrome, and (2) a characteristic time course. Tr. at 357-58. “The necessary symptoms
    include a febrile illness followed shortly thereafter by refractory seizures or status epilepticus.” Tr.
    at 234-35; Res. Ex. H at 2; Resp. Ex. M at 6.26 The median age at onset of the syndrome is eight
    years of age, with seizures developing into status epilepticus within a few days. Tr. at 234.
    Furthermore, FIRES patients have very poor outcomes, as they continue to suffer refractory
    seizures as well as cognitive and intellectual impairments. Tr. at 237.
    The exact mechanism of FIRES is unidentified, but some authors suspect genetic
    predisposition, an immunologic source, or inflammation-mediated causes, as potential factors.27
    24
    Resp. Ex. L is Kramer, Chi, Lin, et al., Febrile Infection-related Epilepsy Syndrome (“FIRES):
    Pathogenesis, Treatment, and Outcome. A Multicenter Study on 77 Children, Epilepsia, vol. 52,
    1956-65 (2011).
    25
    "The syndrome described as FIRES has been known by many names that emphasize either the
    characteristics of acute refractory partial epilepsy or the presumed pathogenesis, among them:
    "acute encephalitis with refractory, repetitive partial seizures (AERPS), "severe refractory status
    epilepticus due to presumed encephalitis," "idiopathic catastrophic epileptic encephalopathy,"
    "new-onset refractory status epilepticus (NORSE),” “devastating epileptic encephalopathy in
    school-aged children (DESC)," and FIRES. Japanese authors prefer the term AERPS and European
    authors prefer FIRES." Resp. Ex. L at 1.
    26
    Resp. Ex. M is van Baalen, Hausler, Boor, et al., Febrile Infection-related Epilepsy Syndrome
    (FIRES): A Nonencephalitic Encephalopathy in Childhood, Epilepsia, vol. 51, 1323-28 (2010).
    27
    "The mechanism underlying this prolonged state is not clear, and an immunologic source, a
    genetic predisposition, and an inflammation-mediated process have been hypothesized." Resp. Ex.
    L at 2; see also Resp. Ex. M at 6 (stating, "[t]here is increasing evidence for involvement of the
    19
    Typical MRI findings for FIRES show no abnormalities at the onset of seizures, but MRI
    abnormalities do develop over the course of the disease, primarily due to refractory seizures. Tr.
    at 236. These abnormalities tend to involve the temporal lobes and the hippocampal areas of the
    brain, with either one or both lobes potentially affected. 
    Id. Given the
    rarity of the syndrome, there is a limited sample size28 of brain biopsies
    conducted on FIRES patients; however, in the ones that have been conducted, typical findings
    include the presence of gliosis,29 and an absence of inflammation. Resp. Ex. L at 2; Resp. Ex. M
    at 6; Tr. at 236-37. On EEG testing, FIRES patients show evidence of focality, multifocality, or
    generalization. Resp. Ex. H at 2. Upon CSF testing, approximately forty percent of FIRES patients
    demonstrate normal results, and extensive CSF studies do not identify infectious pathogens. Resp.
    Ex. H at 2; Resp. Ex. L at 322.
    At the outset, the undersigned notes that FIRES is a very rare syndrome, but that Dr.
    Venkatesan has significant clinical expertise in the syndrome having treated between five to ten
    FIRES patients per year in his clinical practice. Tr. at 226. Dr. Venkatesan opined that his clinical
    experience led him to conclude that A.M. has FIRES. Tr. at 283-84. He posits that A.M.’s clinical
    picture, along with her EEGs, brain MRI results, CSF findings, and biopsies are consistent with
    the diagnosis of FIRES. Tr. at 244-46, 249-50. Furthermore, he also contends that no portion of
    A.M.’s medical records is inconsistent with this diagnosis. Tr. at 240.
    Specifically, Dr. Venkatesan notes that the febrile illness experienced by A.M. five days
    prior to the onset of seizures initiated her FIRES syndrome. Resp. Ex. H at 3. He contends that
    this timing between the onset of the febrile illness and her seizures is consistent with the
    appropriate time frame established in the literature for FIRES patients. Tr. at 241-42; Resp. Ex. H
    at 2-3. Furthermore, A.M. was twelve years old at the onset of her seizures, which Dr. Venkatesan
    indicates is within the appropriate age range for a FIRES diagnosis. Tr. at 234.
    Dr. Venkatesan was asked to explain the difference between limbic encephalitis and
    FIRES. He responded that the clinical syndromes are very different:
    “In FIRES, what one has is this kind of acute febrile illness followed very rapidly
    by this refractory seizure condition. In limbic encephalitis, one typically has a
    immune system in the pathogenesis of some forms of severe epilepsy syndrome. Our clinical
    findings suggest an immune mechanism as well, but prospective studies are needed to clarify the
    relation between banal febrile infections and this evidently nonencephalitic encephalopathy. These
    studies should address both immune and nonimmune mechanisms (e.g. channelopathies,
    antibodies against ion channels and receptors, and infection-triggered alterations of receptor
    expression)”).
    28
    In one particular study, only seven out of the total twenty-two patients studied had brain biopsies
    performed. Resp. Ex. M at 6.
    29
    Gliosis is the reactive change in the glial (supportive) cells within the brain due to an injury. Tr.
    at 236-37.
    20
    subacute development of short-term memory loss, behavioral changes, and one can
    develop seizures, but typically not so acutely and typically not without the other
    symptoms that I mentioned.” Tr. at 238 (emphasis added).
    Dr. Venkatesan testified that A.M.’s condition is consistent with FIRES and indeed she did
    demonstrate the general, non- specific characteristics of FIRES. However, these symptoms could
    also describe a presentation of ALE. She had a fever that began several days before the onset of
    seizures, the seizures from the outset were catastrophic and her condition remained refractory to
    treatment. She also developed over time severe deficits of memory and IQ, and personality
    problems consistent with injury to the limbic area of the brain.
    Dr. Venkatesan also opined that the “typical” presentation of limbic encephalitis was
    different than what occurred in this case, in that “typically” the patient has subacute symptoms of
    memory loss or personality problems. However, as Dr. Venkatesan himself acknowledged, it
    would have been difficult to assess A.M.’s higher cognitive functions or whether she was behaving
    normally when she presented with severe seizures that rapidly went into status epilepticus. Tr. at.
    326. Dr. Venkatesan also acknowledged that while he may expect other neurologic signs and
    symptoms in limbic encephalitis, he “could imagine a case where the seizures dominated the
    picture.” Tr. at 357. Indeed some of the literature submitted by the parties discusses the evolving
    knowledge of limbic encephalitis, which was previously thought to be primarily related to the
    presence of a tumor, but is now recognized to be a much more common disorder with non-
    neoplastic origins. See Resp. Exhibit J at 2 (stating “[i]n other instances the clinical picture of
    limbic encephalitis is overshadowed by symptoms of higher cortical dysfunction, decreased level
    of consciousness or refractory seizures”); see also Pet. Ex 25N at 63 (discussing the rapid change
    in the management of many conditions including seizures and limbic encephalitis since the 2007
    discovery of the anti-NMDAR antibodies). “In children, the first symptom to be recognized is
    often non-psychiatric—e.g., seizures, status epilepticus, dystonia, verbal reduction or mutism.”
    Pet. Ex. 25N at 64 (emphasis added). Thus while A.M.’s presentation did not match that of
    “classic” limbic encephalitis, it certainly appeared to be within the realm of less typical
    presentations that are described in the literature as commonly occurring.
    Dr. Venkatesan also correctly notes that there was no specific test done for an anti-AQP-4
    antibody30 in A.M. However, he and Dr. Steinman both agree that this test would not have been
    generally available at the time A.M. had seizures. Tr. at 358. Dr. Venkatesan notes that there was
    no finding of inflammation in her brain at the time various tests, such as CSF tests, MRI, and
    biopsy, were done. Tr. at 254. Yet, he also acknowledges that this could be a function of when
    these tests were done. Tr. at 365-66; Tr. at 361-62. CSF tests are usually followed a couple of days
    later with another, when there is a negative result—as was the case here—but a follow-up was not
    done in this case until six weeks later. Tr. at 306-07. The evidence of inflammation could have
    readily come and gone in that time period. The biopsy done at the time of surgery, more than a
    year later, found no evidence of active inflammation but that did not rule out prior inflammation.
    30
    Petitioner’s theory is that the Gardasil vaccine caused an autoimmune response to the aquaporin-
    4 (“AQP-4”) water channels in the brain thus triggering her seizures. Dr. Venkatesan explained
    that the test for anti-AQP-4 antibodies was just coming out in 2007 and it was not widely available.
    Tr. at 358.
    21
    There was significant scarring in the hippocampus, noted by A.M.’s surgeon, which could have
    been caused by inflammation or by the seizures themselves. Pet. Ex. 23 at 131
    Dr. Venkatesan acknowledges that there is great potential for science to understand more
    about both autoimmune and infectious causes of limbic encephalitis. Tr. at 239. Consequently, he
    did not rule out the explanation provided by petitioner, but questioned whether there was sufficient
    evidence to establish the diagnosis and the causal mechanism.
    6. Petitioner Expert Opinion - Symptoms of FIRES can fit ALE
    Dr. Blitshteyn viewed FIRES as being a relatively new diagnosis. The diagnosis can be
    applied to “just about anything that has no known cause.” Tr. at 46. It is a syndrome or collection
    of symptoms, not a disease. 
    Id. In this
    regard, she observed that FIRES includes encephalitis of
    unknown causes, and remarked that the FIRES label was not used as a diagnosis during her
    residency at the Mayo Clinic. Tr. at 46-47. Dr. Blitshteyn further stated that if she retrospectively
    reviewed the patients she treated during her training at the Mayo Clinic, the FIRES label could be
    attached to all groups of patients that presented with encephalitis of various origins. Tr. at 46.
    Indeed the criteria for FIRES are themselves quite non-specific and could be suggestive of multiple
    etiologies. The undersigned observes that, for example, respondent’s exhibit H notes that EEG
    findings in FIRES can be focal, multifocal or general, and thus are so non-specific as to be of
    limited value in distinguishing the condition from other diagnostic entities. Resp. Ex. H at 2.
    Dr. Steinman concurred with Dr. Blitshteyn’s opinion and testified about the vague criteria
    associated with FIRES. Dr. Steinman also remarked that he does not diagnose patients with FIRES
    because he believes that the diagnosis does not constitute a “bona fide syndrome.” Tr. at 166-67.
    In this regard, he referred to FIRES as a “holding tank of unknown diagnoses” because “as soon
    as we make a diagnosis then we remove it from the holding tank and call it something else.” Tr. at
    374. Dr. Steinman further observes that the literature on FIRES supports his view that this
    condition can also be a manifestation of limbic encephalitis. In fact, limbic encephalitis can be a
    subcategory of FIRES. Tr. at 211; Tr. at 166-67.
    C. Pre-Althen FIRES or ALE Analysis
    The undersigned acknowledges that ascribing a diagnosis in this case is a close call. The
    presenting symptoms, EEGs, imaging studies, operative observation of severe scarring in the
    hippocampus, and post initial seizure symptoms could reasonably place the diagnosis in either
    category. However, I am inclined to find that the criteria for FIRES are very non-specific and can
    readily describe a presentation of ALE. In fact, Dr. Venkatesan testified that if a particular antibody
    were identified in the context of these symptoms, he would remove the diagnosis from the category
    of FIRES, the hallmark of which is an unknown cause. Tr. at 357-58.
    I am persuaded that petitioner has proven by a preponderance of the evidence that A.M.
    has ALE. The Vaccine Act requires that a Special Master consider the treatment record as a whole
    in evaluating the evidence offered to establish petitioner’s illness. § 13(a)(1). Here, the record
    supports the conclusion that A.M.’s proffered diagnosis, ALE, is made out by the evidence, taking
    into account the following facts: (1) the differential diagnoses of petitioner’s experts of ALE, (2)
    the multiple references in the literature noting the clinical variation in manifestations of ALE
    22
    which include A.M.s clinical course, (3) the non-specific, general and idiopathic nature of the
    criteria for FIRES, and (4) the localization of the epileptogenic activity and damage to the brain in
    the limbic area of her brain by EEG, MRI, PET, electrocorticography, operative observation, and
    biopsy.
    Respondent argues that a determination of what afflicted petitioner is a prerequisite to a
    causation analysis, consistent with 
    Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1346
    . Resp. Post Hearing Br. at 8.
    In Broekelschen, the “injury” itself was in dispute and the question of causation turned on the
    nature of the injury. In that case, the pathology of the injuries in question differed markedly. A
    diagnosis of transverse myelitis was compared to a diagnosis of spinal artery syndrome caused by
    an occlusion of the spinal artery. These conditions were completely different in nature and would
    give rise to potentially different conclusions about the relatedness of the vaccine to the injury. 
    See 618 F.3d at 1346
    .
    In this case, the injury being described by the experts is the same injury—a severe seizure
    disorder and status epilepticus—it is the name given to the disorder that differs. There is no
    disagreement that A.M. suffered severe seizures five days after the onset of a fever, and that the
    seizures rapidly progressed to status epilepticus and were extremely difficult to treat. She was
    placed in a medically induced burst suppression coma for weeks and has suffered severe cognitive
    impairments. Her EEGs showed generalized slowing with epileptiform discharges from the
    temporal lobe when seizures were recorded. Her PET scan showed hypometabolism in the
    temporal lobe and the third MRI showed hyperintense signal in the temporal lobe. The operative
    findings when her mesial temporal lobe was removed showed evidence of significant scarring in
    the hippocampus and evidence of Chaslin’s Gliosis. Dr. Venkatesan testified that the fact that A.M.
    was having seizures is likely indicative of neuronal excitability, which is consistent with Dr.
    Steinman’s theory of AQP-4 autoimmunity. Tr. at 354. Accordingly, while these physical findings
    may be consistent with FIRES, they are also consistent with autoimmune limbic encephalitis,
    which itself may be a sub-category of the more general FIRES syndrome.
    Thus, what is fundamentally debated is whether a diagnosis of ALE can be made if all of
    the “classical” symptoms are not present. Dr. Venkatesan, not unreasonably, testified that he
    would be more comfortable with more evidence to support the diagnosis that Drs. Blitshteyn and
    Steinman have made, and in the absence of that level of evidence, believes that the more general
    idiopathic diagnosis of FIRES is the most definitive diagnosis that can be made. The submitted
    literature on ALE, however, strongly suggests that seizures may be the dominant presenting
    symptom in ALE in children, and that the non-classical presentations of ALE are more common
    than previously recognized. Res. Ex. J at 262.
    Dr. Venkatesan disputes the ALE diagnosis on three grounds. First, the lack of common
    presenting neuro-psychiatric symptoms; second, the lack of evidence of inflammation; and third,
    his dissatisfaction with the level of certainty of the evidence for the proposed autoimmune
    mechanism. It is interesting to note that he describes the first two requirements as being those of
    the “typical” presentation of limbic encephalitis. Tr. at 364. I think it is clear, however, that the
    literature submitted, as described above indicates that less typical presentations are more common
    than previously recognized, multiple autoimmune causes of limbic encephalitis are now thought
    to exist, and that these patients often “do in fact have antibodies to neuronal cell surface antigens.
    23
    These antigens may be ubiquitously expressed in the nervous system but usually are distinctively
    enriched in the hippocampus receptors (NMDAR), and [that there are] others that remain
    uncharacterized.” Resp. Ex. J. at 1. At the time of the writing of the Tuzin, Dalmau article, AQP-
    4 could certainly have been among the neuronal cell surface antigens that had yet to be
    characterized. See Res. Ex. J. More recent literature, as will be discussed below, suggests a likely
    role for these antigens in the generation of seizures.
    The second criticism of the ALE diagnosis is the lack of specific evidence of inflammation
    that Dr. Venkatesan would like to see to make a diagnosis of encephalitis—as he stated the “itis”
    in the term refers to inflammation. Tr. at 238. Aside from the notations in the literature that specific
    evidence of inflammation is not necessary to diagnose ALE, Dr. Venkatesan testified that he has
    seen cases of autoimmune encephalitis that presented with no signs of inflammation in the CSF or
    on MRI. Tr. at 364. The criteria of inflammation goes to the condition of encephalitis in general
    and not just to autoimmune limbic encephalitis, and it is here that the opinions of the numerous
    treating physicians managing A.M.’s care, as delineated in the lengthy footnote provided by
    petitioner’s counsel as set forth below, must be given weight.31 There are numerous references in
    31
    See, e.g., Pet. Ex. 18 at 63 (“suspected encephalitis”); 
    id. at 76
    (“suspect encephalitis-onset
    9/29/2007”); 
    id. at 88
    (“suspect encephalitis-onset 9/29/2007”); 
    id. at 97
    (“encephalitis of
    unknown cause”); 
    id. at 131
    (“viral encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 1 at 621 (“suspected encephalitis”);
    Pet. Ex. 18 at 703 (“encephalitis of unknown cause”); Pet. Ex. 4 at 404 (“encephalitis of unknown
    cause”); 
    id. at 407
    (“[status post] encephalitis (suspected)”); Pet. Ex. 24 at 6 (“encephalitis of
    unknown cause”); 
    id. at 9
    (“[status post] encephalitis (suspected)”); 
    id. at 251
    (“encephalitis of
    unknown cause”); 
    id. at 254
    (“[status post] encephalitis (suspected)”); Pet. Ex. 2 at 41
    (“[diagnosed] with encephalitis of unknown etiology”); Pet. Ex. 4 at 76 (“[diagnosed] with
    encephalitis of unknown etiology”); Pet. Ex. 24 at 47 (“suspected encephalitis on 9/21/07”); 
    id. at 48
    (“suspected encephalitis”); 
    id. at 49
    (“new onset [seizures] and encephalitis”); 
    id. at 50
    (“[patient] [with] encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 4 at 257 (“viral encephalitis”); 
    id. at 338
    (“encephalitis”);
    
    id. at 339
    (“[patient] [with] encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 24 at 33 (“suspected encephalitis on 9/21/07”);
    
    id. at 34
    (“suspected encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 4 at 369 (“[status post] encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 24 at
    3 (“encephalitis of unknown etiology”); 
    id. at 4
    (“epilepsy secondary to encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 5
    at 13 (“encephalitis and motor delay. . . .encephalitis”); 
    id. at 12
    (“Encephalitis . . . [Seizures]
    secondary to encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 1 at 20 (“[Diagnosed] with encephalitis”); 
    id. at 22
    (“[Diagnosis] of Encephalitis”); 
    id. at 117
    (“[Patient] had the onset of encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 6 at
    513 (“Patient had the onset of encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 2 at 45 (“suffered encephalitis of unclear
    etiology”); Pet. Ex. 4 at 17 (“suffered encephalitis of unclear etiology”); Pet. Ex. 6 at 436 (“bout
    of viral encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 1 at 75 (“Encephalitis of unknown cause 9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 2 at 9
    (“Encephalitis of unknown cause 9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 1 at 51 (“encephalitis in October of 2007”);
    Pet. Ex. 3 at 625 (“encephalitis in October of 2007”); Pet. Ex. 1 at 66 (“Encephalitis of unknown
    cause 9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 2 at 5 (“Encephalitis of unknown cause 9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 1 at 50
    (“Encephalitis of unknown origin 9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 2 at 2 (“Encephalitis of unknown origin
    9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 17 at 91 (“Encephalitis of unknown origin 9/27/07”); Pet. Ex. 2 at 25
    (“encephalitis of unknown origin”); Pet. Ex. 3 at 515 (“status post encephalitis”); 
    id. at 49
    4 (“status
    post encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 4 at 2 (“[status post] encephalitis of unknown origin”); Pet. Ex. 17 at
    81 (“Encephalitis of unknown origin 9/07”); Pet. Ex. 12 at 1 (“after an encephalitis of
    undetermined etiology”); Pet. Ex. 3 at 255 (“secondary to encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 15 at 5 (“episode
    of encephalitis”); Pet. Ex. 37 at 199 (“encephalitis of undetermined etiology”).
    24
    the medical records to “encephalitis,” “possible encephalitis,” “encephalitis of unknown cause”
    and so forth. The treating physicians certainly considered that they were managing a case of
    encephalitis regardless of whether there was specific molecular evidence of inflammation.
    “[M]edical records and medical opinion testimony are favored in vaccine cases.” Capizzano v.
    Sec’y of HHS, 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1326 (Fed. Cir. 2006). At least as to the diagnosis of encephalitis,
    the opinions of the treating physicians expressed in the medical records are important and support
    a diagnosis of limbic encephalitis.
    Finally, Dr. Venkatesan’s opinion regarding the consistency of A.M.’s symptoms with
    FIRES, which are non-specific in that they could also be the product of other causes and thus could
    also be consistent with autoimmune limbic encephalopathy, is significantly grounded in his
    opinion that the cause is unknown. He opined essentially that there is no reliable evidence that: (1)
    associates the HPV vaccine with FIRES, (2) the HPV vaccine can cause an autoimmune response
    directed to AQP-4, or that (3) AQP-4 antibodies can induce a seizure condition. Tr. at 230. If, on
    the other hand, it is determined that the petitioner through her experts have put forth a reasonable
    and persuasive explanation of an autoimmune cause for how the HPV vaccine can trigger a seizure
    disorder, then the cause is no longer unknown and by Dr. Venkatesan’s own definition, A.M.’s
    condition would no longer fit within the rubric of FIRES.
    As I have concluded, for reasons set forth below in the Althen analysis, Drs. Steinman and
    Blitshteyn have presented sufficiently reliable evidence to satisfy prongs one and two of Althen,
    and given that the parties do not dispute that prong three has been satisfied, there is enough
    evidence to define the cause of A.M.’s illness. It is therefore also reasonable to conclude, by the
    preponderant standard required in this Program, that the cause not being unknown, A.M. suffered
    from autoimmune limbic encephalitis as diagnosed by Dr. Blitshteyn and not FIRES. Moreover,
    in the end it does not appear that it makes a difference whether the diagnosis is called ALE or
    FIRES. All experts agree that, given the severe seizure condition that A.M. has suffered, she has
    experienced hyperexcitation in the brain causing seizures; and Drs. Blitshteyn and Steinman have
    proposed a logical mechanism by which cross reactivity to the AQP-4 water channels caused by
    molecular mimicry with two parts of the Gardasil vaccine causes loss of neuronal, osmotic
    homeostasis giving rise to neuronal excitability and seizures. The known physical findings,
    including epileptogenic activity, MRI hyperintense signal in the temporal lobe, PET scan
    hypometabolism in the left temporal lobe and severe scarring in the hippocampus, localize the
    disease to the limbic area of the brain. For all of the above reasons, I have concluded that the
    diagnosis of ALE made by Drs. Blitshteyn and Steinman is reasonable and provides a sufficient
    predicate to undertake the Althen analysis.
    D. Althen Analysis
    Initially it is important to note that the parties have agreed on several elements key to the
    issue of causation in this case. First, Drs. Steinman, Blitshteyn and Venkatesan agree that the
    timing of the onset of A.M.’s seizure disorder is appropriate relative to the second dose of Gardasil,
    assuming a causal mechanism of molecular mimicry. Tr. at 28, 165, 256, 272, 356. Second, Dr.
    Blitshteyn, Dr. Steinman and Dr. Venkatesan agreed that the Miami Children’s Hospital did a very
    thorough job of ruling out known alternative causes. Tr. at 29, 381. They acknowledged that there
    could be a virus that is not yet known at the root of her condition, but agreed that she underwent
    25
    comprehensive testing to rule out known disease entities and genetic defects and all were negative.
    Tr. at 164-65. Third, Dr. Steinman and Dr. Venkatesan agreed that strep was unlikely to be the
    cause of the seizures. Tr. at 211, 292. Dr. Steinman explained that strep causes a unique set of
    conditions if it affects the nervous system such as St. Vitus Dance, rheumatic fever or chorea. 
    Id. Fourth, the
    doctors agreed that a child who had exhibited a prior autoimmune condition such as
    idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura, which A.M. had suffered several years before, could be
    more susceptible to an autoimmune attack, as petitioner contends occurred in this case. Tr. at 350,
    380. Additionally, all agreed that molecular mimicry is a generally accepted theory of
    autoimmunity, but disagreed as to whether there was sufficient evidence to conclude that it had
    occurred this case. Tr. at 135, 254.
    With the above factors agreed upon, the analysis turns to the questions presented by Althen
    prongs one and two. First, could the Gardasil vaccine stimulate an autoimmune response by
    molecular mimicry that could give rise to a severe seizure disorder? Second, has the petitioner
    presented a logical cause and effect explanation for how it did?
    In addressing these questions, definitions of several of the key terms are helpful. First
    Gardasil is a quadrivalent vaccine, administered in three doses, and is designed to provide
    immunity to four human papillomaviruses. Tr. at 25. Gardasil contains virus like particles
    developed from the L1 protein of HPV 6, 11, 16, 18 along with amorphous aluminum
    hydroxyphosphate sulfate as the adjuvant.32 A.M. received the first dose earlier in the summer of
    2007. Pet. Ex. 10 at 1. She received the second dose on August 16, 2007. 
    Id. Molecular mimicry
    is a mechanism for the instigation of autoimmune disease where there
    occurs sufficient homology or structural similarity between a foreign antigen, such as that
    presented in a wild virus or a vaccine, and a self-structure, such as some part of the central nervous
    system. Tr. at 142-46. When such biological overlap occurs, the immune system may mistakenly
    recognize a body structure such as the hippocampus as being the foreign antigen and attack the
    body structure rather than the foreign antigen. 
    Id. Both parties
    agree that molecular mimicry is an
    accepted theory of autoimmunity in the medical profession that is taught in medical school, and
    has been discussed in peer reviewed journals and textbooks. Tr. at 138, 254.
    The aquaporin-4 (“AQP-4”) water channels are pore like structures that occur in abundance
    in the surface of cells in different parts of the brain. Pet. Ex. 340 at 1204. They are particularly
    prevalent in the hippocampus. Tr. at 213. The AQP-4 channels facilitate the movement of water
    back and forth between the interior and exterior of the cells. Pet. Ex. 34O at 1204; Tr. at 148.
    Together with the inwardly rectifying potassium channels, they also appear to play a critical role
    in managing the amount of extracellular fluid, and thus influence the movement of potassium in
    the brain as Dr. Venkatesan testified. Tr. at 360-61.
    i.      Althen Prong One
    Dr. Steinman has done considerable research and publication in the field of molecular
    mimicry, with particular reference to the mimicry between the HPV virus and myelin basic protein.
    32
    IOM (Institute of Medicine), ADVERSE EFFECTS OF VACCINES: EVIDENCE AND CAUSALITY 506
    (The National Academies Press 2012).
    26
    See Pet. Ex. 35. Myelin basic protein is a major constituent of the myelin which wraps and insulates
    the axons in the brain. See generally Pet. Exs. 34A, 34B. Axons carry the signals sent from neuron
    to neuron. 
    Id. The insulation
    provided by the myelin facilitates the rapid transit of the messages
    being sent from nerve to nerve and protects the underlying axon. 
    Id. When the
    myelin is damaged,
    the function of the brain in that area becomes impaired by slowing the transit of signals and
    ultimately, in some situations, the axons can become completely disrupted. 
    Id. Dr. Steinman
    ’s
    research has demonstrated molecular mimicry between the HPV virus and myelin basic protein at
    the FFK motif of the amino acid chain in the T cell epitopes. Pet. Ex. 34A at 7.
    In this case, his focus was not on the molecular mimicry between Gardasil and myelin basic
    protein, but rather between Gardasil and the aquaporin-4 water channels in the mesial temporal
    lobe and particularly in the hippocampus. Tr. at 147-53; see also Pet. Ex. 34O at 13-14.
    Knowledge of the AQP-4 water channels in the brain is of fairly recent vintage. See Pet. Ex. 34O.33
    Petitioner’s exhibit 34O, the Binder article, provides a review of the literature on the potential roles
    of the glial water channel AQP-4, and explains that:
    The aquaporins [(“AQPs”)] are a family of membrane proteins that function as
    water channels in many cell types and tissues in which fluid transport is crucial.
    (internal citation removed). The AQPs are small hydrophobic integral membrane
    proteins that facilitate bidirectional water transport in response to osmotic gradients
    . . . . AQP-4 is of particular interest in neuroscience as it is expressed in brain and
    spinal cord by glial cells, especially at specialized membrane domains including
    astroglial end feet in contact with blood vessels and astrocyte membranes that
    ensheath glutamatergic synapses. Pet. Ex. 34O at 1204.
    The article also explains that “alteration of water and potassium (“K+”) homeostasis could
    dramatically affect seizure susceptibility. The authors state, “brain tissue excitability is exquisitely
    sensitive to osmolarity and the size of the extracellular space (“ECS”). Decreasing ECS volume
    with hypoosmolar treatment produces hyperexcitability and enhanced epileptiform activity.” 
    Id. (internal citation
    removed).
    The Binder article reviewed multiple articles discussing research done with AQP-4
    “knockout” mice in which the AQP-4 water channels were deleted in laboratory mice and in which
    stimulation evoked frequent and prolonged seizures. 
    Id. at 1207.
    Binder went on to explain that
    the most common pathology in patients with medically intractable Temporal Lobe Epilepsy
    (“TLE”) is a mesial temporal sclerosis34, characterized by marked neuronal cell loss in specific
    hippocampal areas, gliosis, and microvascular proliferation. 
    Id. Emerging work
    also demonstrates
    dysregulation of water and K+ homeostasis in patients with mesial TLE. Both Binder and Dr.
    33
    Pet. Ex. 34O is Binder, Nagelhus, and Ottersen, Aquaporin-4 and Epilepsy, Glia, vol. 60.8,
    1204-14 (2012).
    34
    Mesial temporal sclerosis is scarring in the temporal area of the brain. Tr. 214. The operating
    surgeon in A.M.’s case observed during surgery that her hippocampus was quite obviously scarred.
    Pet. Ex. 23 at 131.
    27
    Steinman, in his testimony, made reference to the article by Lee, Pet. Ex. 34G.35 In this study, Lee
    and colleagues injected kainic acid, an excitatory amino acid, into both AQP-4 positive and AQP-
    4 negative, or knockout mice, to induce status epilepticus. Pet. Ex. 34G at 248. During post status
    epilepticus, both positive and negative mice experienced seizures, but AQP-4 negative mice
    experienced significantly more seizures per day, and in addition, there was a trend toward greater
    total seizure duration per day in the knockout mice. 
    Id. Binder, concluded:
    Compelling evidence indicates that the glial water channel AQP-4 plays a
    fundamental role in water transport in the brain. AQP-4 is expressed in astrocytes,
    and along with the inwardly rectifying K+ channel Kir4.1 is thought to be
    responsible for water and K+ homeostasis during neural activity . . . . Dysfunctional
    K+ homeostasis and upregulation and altered subcellular distribution of AQP-4
    have been observed in human epileptic tissue. Pet. Ex. 34O at 1211.
    Consistent with Binder’s explanation of the effect of damage to the AQP-4 water channels,
    Dr. Steinman’s theory is that there is molecular mimicry between the HPV virus like particles 16
    and 18, which are found in the Gardasil vaccine, and the AQP-4 water channels in the brain. Tr. at
    148. He proposed that there are segments on these HPV types in the vaccine which have homology
    at five or six different amino acids, as shown in Petioner’s Exhibit 34F at 286.36 Tr. at 150. Dr.
    Steinman testified that based on his research and knowledge of the field, homology between four
    or five amino acids is enough to instigate molecular mimicry and that there are suitable
    substitutions for some molecules that extend the level of potential mimicry. Tr. at 151-52.
    His theory essentially proposes two questions. First, can damage to the aquaporin-4 water
    channels in the brain cause seizures? Second, can molecular mimicry between components of the
    Gardasil vaccine and aquaporin-4 proteins in the brain cause damage to the water channels thus
    producing seizures? In answering in the affirmative, Dr. Steinman examined the function of the
    aquaporin-4 water channels—the discovery of which, about fifteen years ago, led to a Nobel Prize
    for a member of the Johns Hopkins faculty, according to Dr. Steinman. Tr. at 162. Since their
    relatively recent discovery in molecular biology, Dr. Steinman indicated that there has been
    growing scientific interest in their function in the brain and their potential role in epileptogenesis
    or the cause of seizures. Tr. at 149. He explained that experiments have been done whereby the
    AQP-4 channels were eliminated or knocked out in mice exposed to kainic acid. Pet. Ex. 34G at
    248; Tr. at 197-98. The experiment caused a condition known as experimental autoimmune
    encephalitis. Tr. at 369-71. In this condition, the mice experienced more frequent and more
    prolonged seizures. Tr. at 153. The likely explanation was that when the AQP-4 water channels in
    the brain were knocked out, the facilitation of water movement through the cell membranes and in
    the extracellular space was impaired, which then influenced the movement of potassium, and
    35
    Pet. Ex. 34G is Lee, Hsu, Seldin, et al., Decreased Expression of the Glial Water Channel
    Aquaporin-4 in the Intrahippocampal Kainic Acid Model of Epileptogeneis, Experimental
    Neurology, vol. 235 (2012).
    36
    Pet. Ex. 34F is Menge, Cree, Saleh, et al., Neuromyelitis Optica Following Human
    Papillomavirus Vaccination, Neurology, vol. 79, 285 (2012).
    28
    together resulted in the increase in neuronal hyperexcitability and seizures secondary to the loss of
    osmotic homeostasis. Pet. Ex. 34G at 253.
    Dr. Blitshteyn noted that the research linking the AQP-4 water channels to epilepsy started
    to be produced in about 2012. Tr. at 106. Dr. Steinman testified that “the water channels are a
    very important component of our ability to either be susceptible or resistant to seizures.” Tr. at
    153. In summary, he explained that the AQP-4 water channels are likely to play an important role
    in facilitating the transport of water and potassium back and forth across the cellular membranes.
    Tr. at 148. This process is critical to the maintenance of homeostasis or balance in the cellular
    environment. Tr. at 383. Sodium, water, and potassium are constantly moving back and forth
    across cellular membranes in the normal brain and in the extracellular space. 
    Id. Disturbance of
    the balance of water and ion movement can result in unopposed excitatory impulses in the brain
    giving rise to seizures. 
    Id. In reviewing
    studies done to date, the Lee article notes that experimental
    data parallel extensive clinical experience indicating that hypoosmolar states lower seizure
    thresholds while hyperosmolar states elevate seizure threshold and that millimolar increases in
    extracellular potassium concentration powerfully enhance epileptiform activity in the
    hippocampus. Pet. Ex. 34G at 246. This small increase in extracellular potassium can be produced
    by interference with water transport secondary to damage to the AQP-4 water channels. 
    Id. As Binder
    observed, “brain tissue excitability is exquisitely sensitive to tissue osmolarity and the size
    of the extracellular space.” Pet. Ex. 34O at 1204.
    Given that the aquaporin-4 water channels in the brain are a relatively recent discovery and
    the investigation of their role in epileptogenesis even more so, the considerable amount of
    scientific interest and consistent opinion as to the role of dysfunctional aquaporin-4 water channels
    in the causation of epilepsy, particularly in the temporal lobe and hippocampus, gives significant
    support to the foundational basis of Dr. Steinman’s theory. He makes reference to submitted
    articles and work by Lee, Binder, Menge, and Verkman, among others, proposing the same theory.
    Dr. Steinman’s theory is persuasively supported in the literature as to the role of AQP-4 in the
    brain and as to the effect of damage to these water channels in the generation of frequent and
    prolonged epileptic seizures.
    The second part of the theoretical basis for epileptic causation is its foundation in molecular
    mimicry between the Gardasil vaccine and the AQP-4 water channels in the mesial temporal lobe.
    Dr. Steinman explained that the homology between a foreign antigen and a self-structure is based
    upon the structural homology or identity between amino acids in the foreign antigen and the self.
    Tr. at 135-36, 143. Homology is usually discussed in terms of alphabetical or sequence homology.
    But the alphabetical homology is used essentially for ease of description. Tr. at 144. Drs. Steinman
    and Venkatesan agree that the actual chemical structure is determinative of the potential for
    molecular mimicry. Tr. at 145-56; 342. Dr. Steinman explained structural homology as analogous
    to a child building a castle with a Lego set. Tr. at 135-36. He explained that nature builds molecules
    that have similar molecular features. 
    Id. What may
    be part of the major capsid protein in human
    papillomavirus can mimic a myelin protein or an aquaporin-4. Tr. at 135. When this occurs, cross
    reactivity may occur when the immune system, believing that it is attacking the foreign antigen,
    mistakenly attacks a self-antigen causing some people to develop autoimmune disease as a result.
    Tr. at 138. Dr. Steinman explained that an autoimmune response to the AQP-4 water channels can
    either kill the cell or block the channel. Tr. at 154. According to Dr. Steinman, both arms of
    29
    adaptive immunity can be at play, with the T-cells actually killing the underlying cells, and the
    antibodies, produced by B-cells, blocking the channel. Tr. at 154-55. He added that the B-cells
    can actually kill the cells if they stimulate complement. 
    Id. In this
    case, he focused upon the homology between AQP-4 and two strains of the Gardasil
    vaccine. As previously noted, Gardasil contains the capsid L1 protein of HPV types 6, 11, 16 and
    18. In the Menge study, the authors found, using Blastp (Basic Local Alignment Search Tool for
    proteins-National Center for Biotechnology Information) that three sequence homologies between
    the L1 capsid protein of HPV 16 and 18, and AQP-4 were identified. Tr. at 25, 147. The authors
    stated that “three sequence homologies between AQP-4 and the L1 capsid proteins of HPV were
    identified, one being a shared epitope of HPV 16 and 18, and one unique to HPV 16 . . . . None of
    the three alignment pairs required gap insertions or substitutions for improved alignment.” Pet.
    Ex. 34F at 286. Dr. Steinman testified that the five of nine amino acid homologies at two segments
    of HPV 16 and 18 with AQP-4, and six of thirteen amino acid identities at another segment of
    HPV 16, as shown in the Menge article, were sufficient to cause molecular mimicry. Tr. at 146.
    Dr. Steinman referenced the chart reported by researchers in the Menge article, showing the
    homology between Gardasil 16 and 18 and AQP-4. See Pet. Ex. 34F at 286.
    Through cross examination, respondent emphasized that the four subjects on whom the
    Menge article reported as having experienced autoimmune disease after receiving the Gardasil
    vaccine did so at about the four-to-five month time period after the most recent vaccination. Tr. at
    181-90; see generally Pet. Ex. 34F. Dr. Steinman acknowledged that it would be unlikely that an
    adaptive immune response would be the cause of the autoimmune disease in these young women
    that far out from the vaccination, at least by the frequently agreed upon period of eight weeks as
    the outside time period for an adaptive immune response, and so their conditions would not provide
    significant support for autoimmunity in themselves. Tr. at 185. However, the undersigned notes
    that this does not negate the value of the article. First, the basic research to which Dr. Steinman
    refers, in which homology between Gardasil viruses 16 and 18 and AQP-4 is shown through the
    computer database of the National Center for Biotechnology Information, detailing the amino acid
    sequences in the respective peptides, is of significant importance. Dr. Steinman testified that he
    selected the article because of the molecular mimicry table. Tr. at 192. Second, even if there were
    unquestioned homology between a vaccine and a self-structure such as AQP-4 or myelin basic
    protein, the disease causing autoimmune response would still be the atypical outcome. If it was
    not, then one would expect a very large number of autoimmune responses when there is homology
    between a body structure and a vaccine. Thus, even if the autoimmune diseases of the four study
    subjects in the Menge article are discounted based on timing, and they are, that does not discount
    the value of the research on homology showing the overlap in the requisite number of amino acids
    to serve as a foundation for molecular mimicry in a patient such as A.M.
    The Menge authors did not find humoral cross reactivity, but also did not report on T-cell
    reactivity, which Dr. Steinman indicated was the important factor in experimental autoimmune
    encephalitis. Tr. at 193. Dr. Steinman referenced his work with colleagues on experimental
    autoimmune encephalomyelitis, in which he explained that experimental autoimmune encephalitis
    (“EAE”) is “the quintessential autoimmune model for encephalitis.” Tr. at 369-70; see Pet. Ex.
    30
    34D.37 He stated that autoimmune encephalitis is mediated by T-cells because you cannot initially
    get antibodies across the blood brain barrier as they are too big. Tr. at 373. He testified that T-
    cells do cross the barrier, and once the barrier is broken, antibodies (B-cell produced) may become
    present. 
    Id. Dr. Steinman
    referenced petitioner’s exhibit 34D, which discussed the fact that he and
    his colleagues had demonstrated that homology at just five amino acids could induce EAE in mice,
    but noted that in the actual sequence shown, there were only three contiguous amino acids and
    EAE was still induced. Pet. Ex. 34D at 1280; Tr. 370. He explained that initially in the work on
    molecular mimicry, they had discussed the need for four or five amino acids in sequence, but that
    was in 1998 and “science is a work in progress,” and we are now fifteen years past that initial
    study. Tr. at 370-71. He testified that it is now known that “dense sequence homology” is not
    needed. Tr. at 371. He made particular reference to petitioner’s exhibit 34A which discussed that
    the FFK sequence in myelin basic protein had to be conserved for autoantibody binding, but that
    in T-cell autoimmunity, which is what is involved with encephalitis, the second F or phenylalanine
    in the FFK sequence may be substituted in the T-cell epitope by other hydrophobic acids. Tr. at
    371; see Pet. Ex. 34A at 1119.38
    Dr. Steinman also discussed the McKeon article. This article reported on a study of fifty-
    seven NMO serum IgG positive patients. See Pet. Ex. 34N at 94.39 In the McKeon study ninety-
    eight percent (98%) of the patients had either optic neuritis or transverse myelitis consistent with
    neuromyelitis optica (“NMO”)40. Pet. Ex. 34N at 95; Tr. at 204. But eleven percent (11%) also
    had seizures and/or encephalopathy in the temporal lobe. Tr. at 158. Given that NMO IgG was the
    selection criterion for the study, it is not surprising that ninety-eight percent (98%) of the patients
    had symptoms of NMO. The study found that sixty percent of the subjects had antibodies to AQP-
    4. Pet. Ex. 34N at 96. Although, A.M. does not have NMO, Dr. Steinman noted that eleven percent
    (11%) of the patients did present with seizures and that given the support in the other literature for
    the role of AQP-4 damage in epilepsy, the spectrum of non-NMO disorders shown in this study,
    including seizures, suggests a much broader role for AQP-4 in autoimmune encephalitis. Tr. at
    158; Pet. Ex. 35N at 95. Dr. Steinman further referenced some of the papers that he submitted
    which talk about AQP4 water channels in the brain, and in particular in the hippocampus and
    temporal lobe. He explained that they are part of the fundamental homeostatic mechanism which
    allows water to move in and out of cells by travelling through these channels. Because of their
    integral role in maintaining osmotic homeostasis, he expressed the view that an immune response
    37
    Pet. Ex. 34D is Ruiz, Garren, Hirschberg, Steinman, et al., Microbial Epitopes Act as Altered
    Peptide Ligands to Prevent Experimental Autoimmune Encephalomyelitis, J. of Experimental
    Medicine, vol. 189, 1275-84 (1999).
    38
    Pet. Ex. 34A is Wucherpfennig, Catz, Hausmann, Steinman, et al., Recognition of the
    Immunodominant Myelin Basic Protein Peptide by Autoantibodies and HLA-DR2-restricted T
    Cell Clones from Multiple Sclerosis Patients, J. of Clinical Investigation, vol. 100, 1114-22 (1997).
    39
    Pet. Ex. 34N is McKeon, Lennon, Lotze, et al., CNS Aquaporin-4 Autoimmunity in Children,
    Neurology, vol. 71, 93 (2008).
    40
    Neuromyelitis optica or NMO is combined, but not usually clinically simultaneous,
    inflammation and demyelination of the optic nerve and the spinal cord. Dorland’s at 1267.
    31
    against the AQP-4 channels can have an effect well beyond neuromyelitis optica particularly in
    the production of seizures. Tr. At 158, 383-84.
    1. Dr. Venkatesan’s Testimony
    Dr. Venkatesan testified in response to the testimony of Drs. Blitshteyn and Steinman. He
    testified as a specialist in the field of encephalitis and as the director of a national encephalitis
    clinic at Johns Hopkins. He disagreed with the diagnosis of limbic encephalitis, questioned the
    degree of homology that would be necessary to cause an autoimmune attack, and stated that Dr.
    Steinman’s theory was possible but that he would like to see more evidence for binding to support
    the diagnosis before he would be able to agree with it. He advocated a diagnosis of FIRES which
    has been addressed above.
    The theory of molecular mimicry was also questioned by the respondent through Dr.
    Venkatesan’s testimony. He questioned whether there was sufficient proof of homology to cause
    the response that Dr. Steinman described. Tr. at 267-68, 273. He also questioned whether enough
    proof existed of the excitatory and seizure producing effect of the absence of AQP-4 water
    channels in the knockout mice, and whether it equated to the same effect in humans. Tr. at 328.
    He questioned whether the effect would be the same if the AQP-4 channels were just reduced and
    not knocked out in the experimental mice. Tr. at 269. He testified that he did not think there was
    sufficiently reliable evidence developed to date to prove those points convincingly so that he could
    agree with this analysis of causation. Tr. at 328. Dr. Venkatesan said that it was difficult to come
    to a more specific diagnosis than FIRES based upon the available evidence in this case. Tr. at 292.
    His questioning of homology largely focused on a 1997 article by Dr. Steinman and
    colleagues in which molecular mimicry with myelin basic protein was first described. See Pet. Ex.
    34A; Tr. at 258-65. He questioned, based on this article whether sequence identity with at least
    four or five amino acids would be required to produce mimicry. Tr. at 273. Dr. Steinman however,
    in response, testified that science has moved on and that fifteen years later it is understood that the
    required structural homology does not require five sequential amino acids, but rather a three
    dimensional chemical structure that sufficiently fits together through the presence of both identical
    amino acids and similar substitutions. Tr. at 370-71. Dr. Venkatesan agreed that the potential for
    molecular mimicry is actually based upon structural homology rather than sequence homology,
    and that it is possible that there could be an entirely different set of amino acids that would
    sufficiently fit structurally that they could cause molecular mimicry. Tr. at 340.
    In short, Dr. Venkatesan would have liked to have seen more definitive scientific studies
    of molecular mimicry, such as specific studies of cross reactive binding, and cause-and-affect
    between disruption of the aquaporin-4 water channels and the production of seizures. Tr. at 276;
    328. However, he admitted that the type of studies he seeks to definitely establish evidence on the
    level of homology necessary for molecular mimicry are hard to undertake and hard to model. He
    candidly opined that the evidence that Dr. Steinman presents “is really the best evidence that we
    have at this point.” Tr. at 267-68.
    The type of evidence which Dr. Venkatesan would have preferred is more than is required
    to carry the burden of proof in the Vaccine Program. “Causation in fact under the Vaccine Act is
    thus based on the circumstances of the particular case, having no hard and fast per se scientific or
    32
    medical rules. The determination of causation in fact under the Vaccine Act involves ascertaining
    whether a sequence of cause and effect is ‘logical’ and legally probable, not medically or
    scientifically certain.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548-49 (Fed. Cir. 1994).
    While Dr. Venkatesan’s view of the level of proof that he would like to see before
    attributing an autoimmune cause can be respected from a scientific point of view, it is requiring
    more than the law of the cases in this Program require. As the Federal Circuit observed in Knudsen,
    “to require identification and proof of specific biological mechanisms would be inconsistent with
    the purpose and nature of the vaccine compensation program.” 
    Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 551
    (quoting
    House Report 99-908 at 3, 1986 U.S. Code Cong. & Admin. News at 6344). The Program is “not
    to be seen as a vehicle for ascertaining precisely how and why vaccines sometimes destroy the
    health and lives of certain individuals while safely immunizing others.” 
    Id. at 549.
    To the extent
    that the fever played a role in pushing the adaptive response into full blown seizures, it is clear that
    the petitioner’s experts testified that the adaptive reaction to the vaccine was a substantial factor
    in producing the severe seizure disorder, even if it was aided by the prodromal fever. Under
    Shyface v Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    165 F.3d 1344
    (Fed. Cir. 1999), when two forces act
    in concert, as long as the vaccine was a “but for cause” and a substantial factor in producing the
    harm, causation may be found. I have concluded that the vaccine was the “but for cause” and
    substantial factor in the development of A.M.’s seizures, status epilepticus, and ongoing seizure
    disorder, as well as the severe cognitive deficits that she has suffered secondary to this illness.
    As the Federal Circuit noted in Althen, “the purpose of the Vaccine Act’s preponderance
    standard is to allow the finding of causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how
    vaccines affect the human body.” Althen v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1280 (Fed. Cir. 2005).
    “The assessment of whether a proffered theory of causation is reputable can involve assessment of
    the relevant scientific data. Medical literature and epidemiological evidence must be viewed,
    however, not through the lens of the laboratorian, but instead from the vantage point of the Vaccine
    Act’s preponderant evidence standard . . . .” Andreu v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    569 F.3d 1367
    , 1380 (Fed.
    Cir. 2009). “Causation in fact under the Vaccine Act is thus based on the circumstances of the
    particular case, having no hard and fast per se scientific or medical rules. The determination of
    causation in fact under the Vaccine Act involves ascertaining whether a sequence of cause and
    effect is ‘logical’ and legally probable, not medically or scientifically certain.” Knudsen v. Sec’y
    of HHS, 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548-49 (Fed. Cir. 1994).
    The Federal Circuit held in Knudsen that to require identification and proof of specific
    biological mechanisms would be inconsistent with the purpose and nature of the Vaccine
    Compensation Program. 
    Id. at 549.
    Dr. Steinman presented a physiologically reasonable and
    persuasive explanation of the role of the AQP-4 water channels in maintaining water and
    potassium homeostasis by managing the water flow into and out of cells and in the extracellular
    space. He testified persuasively to the role of impaired AQP-4 in generating seizures, a theory
    supported in multiple peer reviewed articles. He also testified as to the mechanism of molecular
    mimicry and presented evidence of sufficient homology between the HPV virus particles 16 and
    18 in Gardasil and the aquaporin-4 water channels in the brain. As such, Dr. Steinman has
    reasonably and persuasively explained how molecular mimicry between the Gardasil 16 and 18
    virus like particles and the aquaporin-4 water channels could cause the severe seizure disorders
    that befell A.M. In fact, petitioner has presented more specific evidence than that which would be
    33
    necessary to carry her burden, and I find that Dr. Steinman’s and Dr. Blitshteyn’s testimony and
    supporting literature have satisfied prong one of Althen.
    Accordingly, I conclude that petitioner has shown by a preponderance of the evidence that
    autoimmune damage to the aquaporin-4 water channels can disrupt the critical water and potassium
    homeostasis in structures, including the hippocampus, giving rise to unopposed excitatory
    impulses and more frequent and prolonged seizures as demonstrated in the Lee study, consistent
    with Dr. Steinman’s opinion. See Tr. at 153. Further, I have concluded that Dr. Steinman has
    presented evidence to support the mechanism of molecular mimicry between Gardasil and the
    AQP4 water channels sufficient to demonstrate that an adaptive immune response to these
    channels can occur secondary to the administration of the vaccine.
    ii.     Althen Prong Two
    Proof of Althen prong two requires a logical explanation as to how the vaccine did cause
    the injury in the petitioner. “A logical sequence of cause and effect’ means what it sounds like—
    the claimant’s theory of cause and effect must be logical.” Capizzano v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1326 (Fed. Cir. 2006). The proof need not rise to the level of scientific certainty but rather
    to the Vaccine Act’s preponderance standard under the system created by Congress, in which close
    calls regarding causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants.’” 
    Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1378
    .
    A treating physician may rely on the close temporal proximity between a vaccine and an injury in
    concluding that there is a logical sequence of cause and effect between the vaccine and the injury.
    
    Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326
    . “Requiring epidemiologic studies . . . or general acceptance in the
    scientific or medical communities . . . impermissibly raises a claimant’s burden under the Vaccine
    Act and hinders the system created by Congress . . . .” 
    Id. at 1325-26.
    A claimant was entitled to
    recover in Althen even “where her theory linking the tetanus vaccine to a central nervous system
    injury involved ‘a sequence hitherto unproven in medicine.’” 
    Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1378
    (quoting
    
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280
    ).
    Dr. Steinman explained that the hippocampus is richly supplied with aquaporin-4 water
    channels. Tr. at 213. When A.M. presented with her severe seizure disorder and status epilepticus,
    she showed generalized slowing in the brain and epileptogenic activity in the mesial temporal lobe
    including the hippocampus. Her initial scans, not surprisingly, were negative, but eventually a
    PET scan, done on November 14, 2007, demonstrated hypometabolism in the left temporal lobe
    extending into the left occipital, temporal and parietal junction area. Pet. Ex. 4 at 461. These
    findings in the mesial temporal area are indicative of damage to that area of the brain. Tr. at 250.
    An MRI, done on November 8, 2007, identified a subtle increase in signal intensity of the cortex
    in the left temporal lobe and haziness of the gray-white matter interface, better seen on the FLAIR
    images consistent with seizure edema in the limbic area of the brain. Pet. Ex. 4 at 457. There was
    also a decrease in size of the hippocampal formation especially on the left side. Pet. Ex. 4 at 457.
    The findings in the left temporal lobe were interpreted as possibly representing areas of cortical
    dysplasia41 associated with hippocampal sclerosis (scarring) or seizure edema with central and
    cortical atrophic changes (atrophy). Pet. Ex. 4 at 457-58. Dr. Venkatesan testified that these
    findings are suggestive of injury to the brain and very typical of someone who has been in status
    41
    Cortical dysplasia is a genetic abnormality that can result in severe seizures. It was subsequently
    ruled out in the post lobectomy pathology report. Tr. at 22, 23; Pet. Ex. 23 at 164.
    34
    epilepticus. Tr. at 249. I have concluded that the imaging studies do not shed significant light on
    the triggering mechanism of the seizures, but they do localize the injury to the limbic area and in
    particular to the temporal lobe and hippocampus consistent with the diagnosis of limbic
    encephalitis.
    When her doctors eventually decided to do a mesial temporal lobectomy (surgical removal
    of the mesial temporal lobe) before proceeding and after opening of the craniotomy, intraoperative
    electrocorticography (placing of electrodes directly on the exposed surface of the brain) was
    performed with a thirty-two channel EEG recording, which revealed a severely abnormal
    discontinuous background over the anterior and medial temporal lobe and temporal gyrus with
    diffuse irregular spikes in the bursting activity, which were seen most prominently over the anterior
    temporal pole. Pet. Ex. 23 at 168. These EEG readings from the open brain convincingly localized
    the seizure activity to the temporal lobe and the left hippocampus such that based on the finding
    of frequent discharges (descriptive of epileptic or seizure activity) arising from the anterior two
    centimeters of the temporal lobe and the medial structures, the surgeons decided to remove the
    anterior two centimeters of the temporal lobe and proceeded with dissection of the mesial
    structures including the amygdala and the left hippocampus. The operating surgeon observed that
    “the hippocampus was quite obviously scarred.” Pet. Ex. 23 at 131.
    The electrocorticography readings, as well as the surgeon’s observation of the open brain,
    were sufficiently convincing of the locale of the seizure generation to justify the decision to remove
    the left mesial temporal lobe of the brain. They are also sufficiently convincing to localize the
    source of the seizures in the limbic area of the brain for the purposes of this case.
    The pathology report indicated the presence of Chaslin’s gliosis, heterotopic neurons in
    the subcortical white matter, no evidence of cortical dysplasia, and scattered foci of macrophage
    proliferation and gliosis. Pet. Ex. 23 at 164. Dr. Venkatesan explained that Chaslin’s gliosis is a
    type of gliosis that is associated with status epilepticus. Tr. at 251. He noted that there were no
    findings of active inflammation at the time that the surgery was done, but he acknowledged that
    the operative procedure performed more than fourteen months after the onset of seizures did not
    rule out inflammation at the outset. Tr. at 251. He stated that the pathology findings indicated
    damage and that scarring is a reaction to damage that was likely the result of refractory seizures
    and status epilepticus. Tr. at 365.
    All of the above findings are consistent with Dr. Steinman’s theory that A.M. suffered
    damage as a result of molecular mimicry to the aquaporin-4 water channels causing severe
    generalized seizures in the temporal lobe and status epilepticus. These findings are consistent with
    an autoimmune limbic encephalitis triggered by cross reactivity to strands 16 and 18 of the
    Gardasil vaccine. They could also be consistent with a less specific diagnosis such as FIRES, but
    they are not inconsistent with limbic encephalitis and do strongly localize the source of the seizures
    to the limbic area of the brain.
    Dr. Steinman also addressed the issue of the prodromal fever that A.M. experienced in the
    days before the onset of her seizures. The fever may have been secondary to “strep throat.” A.M.
    initially tested negative for strep, but on September 26, 2007, the day before her seizures began,
    she had a positive strep test. Dr. Steinman said, and Dr. Venkatesan agreed, that it was unlikely
    35
    that the strep directly caused the seizures as strep would likely cause much different conditions
    which A.M. did not have. It would be unlikely to cause encephalitis. Tr. at 211, Tr. 287. However,
    according to Dr. Steinman, if she had the underlying adaptive immune response to the vaccine
    building at the time of the fever, the fever may have been enough to push her off the edge into this
    intractable seizure disorder but the adaptive immune response remained the dominant force at
    work. Tr. 211, 175. Interestingly, support for this proposition is found in respondent’s exhibit M,
    a study of patients diagnosed with FIRES by van Baalen and colleagues. After reviewing all of
    the data in their study, the authors noted that many patients suffered a biphasic course in which the
    fever preceded the seizures and may have played a role in triggering them, but that the seizures
    and not the fever became the main clinical course, as was the case with A.M. van Baalen noted
    that frequently there was no specific evidence of inflammation, and concluded:
    “Altogether, this points to neuronal hyperexcitation rather than to inflammatory
    cerebral damage as the leading process. Accordingly, the main clinical course was
    dominated by intractable recurrent or prolonged seizures but not by fever. In our
    cohort, fever was considerably more characteristic before than at seizure onset . . .
    There is increasing evidence for involvement of the immune system in the
    pathogenesis of some forms of severe epilepsy syndrome.” Res. Ex. M at 1328.
    Dr. Steinman’s theory of an autoimmune attack on the aquaporin-4 water channels in the temporal
    lobe, and especially the hippocampus, is consistent with van Baalen’s observation. The prodromal
    fever may have played a role in triggering the seizures but the adaptive immune process was likely
    the dominant factor in their production. The autoimmune disruption of osmotic homeostasis,
    giving rise to hyperexcitation and seizures in the temporal lobe, is exactly the theory proposed by
    Dr. Steinman, which is supported by the aquaporin-4 literature such as the articles by Binder and
    Lee.
    Dr. Steinman explained the process of a differential diagnosis that he applied in reaching
    his conclusion as to causation in this case. He explained that molecular mimicry between Gardasil
    and AQP-4 were at the top of his differential:
    It was at the top of my differential diagnosis and way higher than all the
    rest, and it’s there because there’s a plausible scientific mechanism for relating
    aquaporin-4 to a neurologic problem that could be seizures, in which case, it was
    with [A.M.]. There are segments in the Gardasil vaccine that are similar to
    aquaporin-4. We know that aquaporin-4 immunity can lead to seizures. So we
    have a scientific basis for making that claim. The time frame is right.
    And then I said I made a differential diagnosis. So the list–on the list was—
    and still is—viral encephalitis. But I can’t find the virus. And they looked very,
    very hard. So, that goes to a much lower position, far beyond 50 percent
    probability, somewhere around closer to zero percent because I don’t know what it
    is. And they also ruled out other metabolic and genetic possibilities.
    Now tomorrow, they might find out it’s some other virus that we never
    heard of, but until that comes, for my purposes, I think that beyond reasonable
    36
    doubt, it was the Gardasil vaccine that triggered her horrendous seizure situation.
    Tr. at 164-65.
    At a later point in the testimony, when asked by the undersigned whether there was
    anything else from an evidentiary standpoint that helped him to put the autoimmune response to
    Gardasil at the top of his differential diagnosis, Dr. Steinman responded that the fact that A.M. had
    a prior autoimmune disease, idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura at age eight makes him think
    that she has more propensity to break down self-tolerance. Tr. at 380. He noted that strep could
    also cause a breakdown in normal tolerance, but that strep could not have done this directly because
    it causes other autoimmune diseases not consistent with what happened here. “So given her
    propensity to autoimmune disease, the Gardasil rises ahead of the strep.” Tr. at 380.
    Dr. Venkatesan also agreed that a child who had a previous autoimmune disorder such as
    idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura, as A.M. had at the age of eight may make a patient more
    susceptible to a subsequent autoimmune disorder. Tr. at 349-50. Dr. Steinman stated that the prior
    ITP reinforced his differential diagnosis of causation in this case. Tr. at 380.
    Differential diagnosis is a well-accepted medical methodology for determining diagnoses
    and causation. It has been accepted by multiple courts under a Daubert analysis. The Third Circuit
    addressed the reliability of differential diagnosis as a method for assessing causation. The court
    held:
    We have recognized that differential diagnosis is a technique that involves
    assessing causation with respect to a particular individual, In Re Paoli R.R. Yard
    PCB Litigation, 
    35 F.3d 717
    , 758 (3d Cir. 1994). Differential diagnosis is defined
    for physicians as “the determination of which of two or more diseases with similar
    symptoms is the one from which the patient is suffering, by a systematic
    comparison and contrasting of the clinical findings.” STEDMAN’S MEDICAL
    DICTIONARY 428 (25th Ed. 1990). The elements of a differential diagnosis may
    consist of the performance of physical examinations, the taking of medical
    histories, and the review of clinical tests, including laboratory tests. A doctor does
    not have to employ all of these techniques in order for the doctor’s diagnosis to be
    reliable. See 
    Paoli, 35 F.3d at 759
    . A differential diagnosis may be reliable with
    less than all the types of information set out above. See 
    id. Indeed as
    we held in
    Paoli to the extent that the district court concluded otherwise [i.e. that a differential
    diagnosis made on less than all types of information cannot be reliable] we hold
    that it abused its discretion . . . . As noted by this court in Paoli, evaluation of the
    patient’s medical records is a reliable method of concluding that a patient is ill even
    in the absence of a physical exam. Kannankeril v. Terminix, 
    126 F.3d 802
    , 807-08
    (3d Cir. 1997).
    I conclude that Dr. Steinman applied reliable methodology in making his differential
    diagnosis, which is supported by his own extensive scientific research regarding molecular
    mimicry and is consistent with medical literature regarding AQP-4 and epilepsy, as well as his
    review of A.M.’s extensive medical records.
    37
    Respondent argues that the treating physicians did not suspect a connection of Gardasil to
    the seizures. It is not clear from the records that they even considered the vaccine before 2013,
    when two of her physicians raised the issue. However, given the extensive expert analysis in this
    case, A.M. can still satisfy this prong of the Althen test. Further, the fact that the treating
    physician’s ruled out all other known potential causes significantly reinforces this conclusion. In
    order to establish that petitioner’s vaccination did cause her injury, she is “permitted to use
    evidence eliminating other potential causes to help carry the burden on causation.” Walther v. Sec'y
    of HHS, 
    485 F.3d 1146
    , 1151 (Fed. Cir. 2007). In fact, “the exclusion of alternative etiologies is
    usually quite probative with respect to prong two of the Althen analysis – i.e., whether the vaccine
    caused the injury in a particular case.” Caves v. Sec’y of HHS, 
    100 Fed. Cl. 119
    , 144 (Fed. Cl.
    2011), aff’d, 
    463 F. App'x 932
    (Fed. Cir. 2012).
    In this case, Dr. Steinman testified that the physicians at Miami Children’s Hospital tried
    very hard to identify a viral, genetic or metabolic cause of A.M.’s seizures and essentially ruled
    out all known alternative causes. Tr. at 381. Dr. Venkatesan also agreed that they had been quite
    comprehensive in ruling out known causes. Tr. at 381. Both doctors agreed that there may be an
    unknown virus or as yet unidentified autoimmune, genetic or molecular cause that could have been
    at work in this case. Tr. at 164-65. But in 2007 and 2008, when A.M. was hospitalized with this
    severe seizure disorder, extensive testing did not identify an alternative cause. The Federal Circuit
    has held, “[a]ny idiopathic, unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumentable cause, factor,
    injury, illness, or condition’ may not be considered a ‘factor [] unrelated to the administration of
    the vaccine’ and therefore cannot defeat a petitioner’s recovery.” 
    Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 547-48
    (quoting 42 U.S.C. ' 300aa-13(a)(2)).
    For all of the above reasons, I have concluded that Dr. Steinman and Dr. Blitshteyn have
    presented a logical cause and effect explanation of the way molecular mimicry caused the severe
    seizure disorder and status epilepticus in A.M. by damaging the AQP-4 water channels, and further
    find that Dr. Steinman’s explanation of molecular mimicry between Gardasil 16 and 18 and the
    AQP-4 water channels to be logical, persuasive and preponderant.
    E. Alternative Cause
    The Vaccine Act permits the respondent to present evidence of an alternative, unrelated
    cause once the petitioner has made out a case sufficient to satisfy the Althen prongs. In this case,
    the respondent did not propose FIRES as an alternative, unrelated cause but rather as a question of
    the appropriate diagnostic entity at issue. But even if the respondent had presented FIRES as an
    alternative cause, the result would have been the same. FIRES is at its essence a collection of
    idiopathic symptoms. Dr. Venkatesan testified that if a specific autoantibody was identified that
    could cause the symptoms, he would take the diagnosis out of FIRES. That testimony is much
    like that which was offered by the respondent in Koston v. Sec’y of HHS , 974 F.2d at 157 (Fed.
    Cir. 1992), where the respondent’s experts described the symptoms of Rett Syndrome as an
    alternative explanation for a seizure disorder which fit the petitioner’s symptoms but
    acknowledged that medicine had not identified a cause for the condition. The Federal Circuit held,
    that “[s]ection 300aa-13(a)(2)(A) defines unrelated factors as not including ‘any idiopathic,
    unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumentable cause, factor, injury, illness, or
    condition.’ Since the word ‘or’ is used with both the adjectives (idiopathic, unexplained, unknown,
    38
    or hypothetical) and the nouns (cause, factor, injury, illness, or condition), it is apparent that an
    unrelated factor is not an idiopathic illness, an unexplained illness, or an unknown cause. As
    [petitioner] says, ‘[t]he statute is plain enough. An 'idiopathic' condition, or a condition with an
    'unknown cause', is not a 'factor unrelated to the administration of the vaccine.'’" 
    Id. at 160.
    The Federal Circuit further stated that it did not suggest that Rett Syndrome could never be
    an unrelated factor if someday the medical community identified a specific cause for it. 
    Id. at 161.
    But under the state of knowledge about the condition at the time, it held that an idiopathic diagnosis
    such as Rett Syndrome could not be an unrelated factor used to defeat compensation under the
    language of the statute. 
    Id. The undersigned
    finds this case persuasive in applying the same logic
    here.
    IV.      Conclusion
    I find that petitioner has presented a persuasive medical theory and a logical explanation
    of cause and effect in this case consistent with the theory of causation. Further, the parties agreed
    that despite extensive testing there was no identified alternative cause such as a virus or bacteria.
    They have further stipulated, and I agree, that the timing of the onset of A.M.’s seizure disorder
    relative to the second dose of Gardasil was medically appropriate for the theory of molecular
    mimicry. I therefore conclude that petitioner has satisfied her burden under Althen.
    Ultimately, there can be no doubt that A.M. suffered a devastating seizure disorder and
    early status epilepticus resulting in severe damage to her mesial temporal lobe which would be
    consistent with limbic encephalitis or FIRES. She has also suffered severe neuropsychological or
    cognitive damage as documented after she came out of her coma and subsequently, which is
    consistent both with ALE and a post status epilepticus condition. Drs. Blitshteyn and Steinman
    have presented theories of causation that are sufficiently probable to satisfy the preponderant
    evidentiary requirements of Althen in this Program. As such, I have concluded that petitioner has
    presented sufficient evidence to establish causation in this Program and she is entitled to
    compensation.
    A separate damages order will issue.
    IT IS SO ORDERED.
    s/ Thomas L. Gowen
    Thomas L. Gowen
    Special Master
    39