State of Iowa v. Ethan L. Davis ( 2022 )


Menu:
  •                    IN THE SUPREME COURT OF IOWA
    No. 19–0453
    Submitted November 16, 2021—Filed May 27, 2022
    STATE OF IOWA,
    Appellee,
    vs.
    ETHAN LANDON DAVIS,
    Appellant.
    On review from the Iowa Court of Appeals.
    Appeal from the Iowa District Court for Appanoose County, Myron K.
    Gookin, Judge.
    Defendant seeks further review of a court of appeals decision rejecting his
    challenge to jury instruction on reasonable doubt and instruction to break a jury
    deadlock. DECISION OF COURT OF APPEALS AFFIRMED; DISTRICT COURT
    JUDGMENT AFFIRMED AND CASE REMANDED WITH INSTRUCTIONS.
    Christensen, C.J., delivered the opinion of the court, in which Waterman,
    Mansfield, McDonald, Oxley, and McDermott, JJ., joined. Appel, J., filed an
    opinion concurring in part and dissenting in part.
    2
    Martha J. Lucey, State Appellate Defender, and Vidhya K. Reddy (argued),
    Assistant Appellate Defender, for appellant.
    Thomas J. Miller, Attorney General, Louis S. Sloven (argued) and Scott D.
    Brown, Assistant Attorneys General, for appellee.
    3
    CHRISTENSEN, Chief Justice.
    On further review from the court of appeals, we decide to address two jury
    instructions provided by the district court after evidence was presented in a
    murder trial. First, we decide whether a jury instruction that explains reasonable
    doubt in terms of “hesitate to act” should have been added to a jury instruction
    that already contained an explanation of reasonable doubt in terms of “firmly
    convinced.” Second, we decide whether a verdict-urging instruction improperly
    coerced the jury verdict.
    The “hesitate to act” formulation of reasonable doubt is a legally adequate
    instruction on reasonable doubt. However, we determine the inclusion of
    “hesitate to act” language was not legally required because it would not have
    amplified the concept of reasonable doubt already present in the trial court’s
    “firmly convinced” instruction. Therefore, the district court did not abuse its
    discretion by refusing to add the discretionary “hesitate to act” instruction.
    The verdict-urging instruction lacked content that we have previously
    disapproved of in past caselaw. The timing of the verdict from the verdict-urging
    instruction indicates that the jury adequately considered the case. Each member
    of the jury was polled and indicated that guilty was indeed their verdict.
    Therefore, the content and circumstances indicate that the jury was not
    improperly coerced by the court’s verdict-urging instruction.
    I. Facts and Procedural Background.
    The defendant, Ethan Davis, lived with his parents and brother on a
    400-acre family farm near the Wayne-Appanoose county line in Promise City in
    4
    2017. Davis was the parent of a one-and-a-half-year-old son with his
    ex-girlfriend. Davis thought their son would be with him starting on
    Thanksgiving Day 2017 through the weekend, but he learned the day before that
    his ex-girlfriend did not agree to such an arrangement. On Thanksgiving Day,
    Davis drove around Moravia, Centerville, and Promise City before visiting his
    friend Joseph Babbitt that evening in Plano. Babbitt described Davis as upset
    because of a recent breakup, losing his job, and the situation with his child.
    Davis returned to his parents’ home at about midnight.
    The next day (Friday), Davis left his parents’ place to buy cigarettes at a
    Casey’s in Seymour. As Davis left the Casey’s, he noticed his ex-girlfriend’s car
    outside the house of her new boyfriend, Jarvis Kennebeck. Davis entered
    Kennebeck’s home, “fired a round into the air” from the 9 mm gun he generally
    carried, and took his son and left. The ex-girlfriend called 911 to report the
    incident at 11:42 a.m.
    With his child in tow, Davis headed back to the family farm, taking gravel
    roads to avoid law enforcement in case police were looking to arrest him for what
    he had done at Kennebeck’s home. Davis tried dropping off his son at his parents’
    home, but no one was there. He also traveled to find other friends and family,
    but no one was home.
    Eventually, Davis ended up at the house of Babbitt, who was home.
    According to Babbitt, Davis drove erratically into Babbitt’s backyard. This was
    not normal behavior. It was clear to Babbitt that Davis was “pretty upset” when
    he arrived. Specifically, Babbitt noticed Davis was fast-talking and had been
    5
    crying. Davis left his sleeping child on Babbitt’s living room floor and scribbled
    down his mother’s phone number for Babbitt. Davis then quickly fled the house
    at about 1:05 p.m. and Babbitt called Davis’s mother. This was the last time
    anyone claimed to have seen Davis until approximately 5:00 p.m. the next day
    (Saturday).
    Not too far away, Curtis Ross began his Thanksgiving weekend. Davis and
    Ross had never met before. Ross was an avid hunter from northwest Iowa who
    traveled to Lucas to bow-hunt deer in Appanoose and Wayne counties. He spent
    Thanksgiving night with a friend, William Tyler Jensen, at Jensen’s home in
    Lucas. Ross and Jensen had been hunting friends for five or six years. The two
    regularly communicated with each other through calls, texts, and Snapchat.1
    In the early morning hours on the day after Thanksgiving (Friday), the two
    friends separately left Jensen’s home to hunt in different areas. Jensen was the
    first to return home to take a nap after his early morning hunt at around
    10:00 a.m. Soon after, Ross returned as well. The two discussed how Ross
    planned to go hunting that afternoon at a place he fondly referred to as “Narnia,”
    a public hunting ground located near the border of Appanoose and Wayne
    counties. Jensen saw Ross leave his house around noon. This was the last time
    Jensen saw Ross alive.
    1Snapchat  is a social media application that allows individuals to send pictures, videos,
    and messages (colloquially known as “Snaps”) to other individuals with a Snapchat username. A
    Snapchat username is a handle that is unique to an individual’s account. Snaps have time
    stamps that indicate when the sender sends a message and when the receiver opens the message.
    6
    Ross sent a Snap to several individuals on Friday at 1:26 p.m. This Snap
    was a picture of his hunting gear with a text that said, “It’s going to be a long
    walk outta here.” This was the last Snap communication sent by Ross. Donna
    Westphal, another one of Ross’s friends, sent Ross a Snap shortly afterward.
    This Snap was opened at 1:38 p.m. But starting at 1:59 p.m., Snaps sent to
    Ross’s Snapchat account were not opened. The last cell phone ping2 to Ross’s
    phone was at 3:31 p.m. In between this time period, around 2:30 p.m., Kenneth
    Brown was washing his work truck near the same public hunting ground where
    Ross was supposedly hunting when he heard several ringing, rapid-fire
    gunshots. The shots persisted for several rounds and sounded so close that
    Brown took cover.
    Jensen attempted to communicate to Ross through text message around
    3:30 p.m. and Snapchat around 3:50 p.m. Ross did not respond. Jensen
    attempted to make contact with Ross again at 11:30 p.m. when he had not
    returned to the house. Jensen again received no response and he began to worry.
    He checked for Ross at a local bar that Ross had been to when in the area, but
    Ross was not there.
    Jensen’s search for his friend continued into the early Saturday morning
    hours. At about 1:00 a.m., he arrived at the entrance to the public hunting
    ground where Ross told Jensen he would be hunting. Jensen spotted Ross’s
    vehicle at the end of a road where it abuts into a lake, but Ross was nowhere to
    2A ping involves a message sent to the cellular device through a signal tower. A signal is
    then returned to the tower with the device’s location.
    7
    be seen. Jensen shouted Ross’s name into the woods but heard nothing in
    response.
    At this point, Jensen called the Appanoose County Sheriff’s Office to report
    Ross as missing, and a law-enforcement-led search soon began. Jensen and law
    enforcement officers attempted to search the public hunting area for a couple of
    hours, which proved to be difficult because it was dark and densely wooded. At
    8:00 a.m., Wayne County Sheriff Officer Cody Jellison was shielding his eyes
    from the sun when something caught his eye in a nearby creek. Upon closer
    observation, the eerie sight appeared to be a naked human body, obviously
    deceased, submerged in the middle of the creek. The body was later confirmed
    to be Ross.
    Upon removing Ross’s body from the water, it was clear that his body had
    been mutilated. The medical examiner who performed the autopsy testified that
    Ross had been shot at least ten times, had five sweeping incise wounds, and
    twenty-six plunging stab wounds. Stippling, an indicator of being shot at close
    range, was noticed, burned into the left side of Ross’s face. Many of his stab
    wounds were four to six inches deep. There were four extensive incise wounds
    carved into his legs, one on each thigh and one on each calf. Vital organs were
    damaged such as the liver, kidneys, diaphragm, lungs, and intestines. One
    particularly serious stab severed his carotid artery and another incise wound
    severed his femoral artery. Some of the injuries were determined to have
    occurred before death, some at the time of death, and some after death. It was
    unclear which specific wound was the fatal shot, stab or incise. However, it was
    8
    clearly evident that several of the shots or cuts would have been fatal on their
    own.
    A massive evidence collection effort began at the creek with the
    collaboration of law enforcement from the Appanoose and Wayne county sheriff
    departments, the Department of Natural Resources, and the Department of
    Criminal Investigation (DCI). Officers canvassed the surrounding area after
    locating Ross’s body. They observed small areas of blood in the water near the
    body. Hanging onto a rope, officers lined up side by side and slowly walked the
    creek in an effort to gather any evidence floating or submerged in the creek. The
    areas surrounding the creek were photographed and processed for evidence.
    Although neither Ross’s clothes nor any other personally identifiable
    evidence was ever found during the search, other evidence was gathered. The
    officers found several 5.56 mm and .223 mm shell casings located in two areas
    near the murder—one casing near a grassy bloody area determined to contain
    Ross’s blood and four casings located on a hilltop overseeing the grassy bloody
    area and the creek. While standing on that same hilltop where the shell casings
    were found, law enforcement noted that there was a line of sight to where Ross’s
    body was found as well as where the other shell casings were found in the grass.
    Nearby the crime scene, officers discovered an ammunition can stashed in
    a rusty old refrigerator and multiple gun magazines, some loaded with
    ammunition, concealed inside a culvert. The ammunition can contained loose
    ammunition including 5.56 and .223 ammunition. The gun magazines contained
    .223 rounds with green polymer tips. According to the officers, 5.56 and .223
    9
    ammunition are the type of ammunition typically used with an AR-15 rifle. The
    ammunition can and gun magazines were immediately sent to the DCI lab for
    analysis.
    A couple of days later, the forensic analysis identified Davis’s fingerprints
    on the ammunition can and on some of the gun magazines. Based on the
    fingerprint evidence and a report from Davis’s ex-girlfriend that Davis owned an
    AR-15, officers obtained a search warrant and conducted a search of the Davis
    family farm, which was two and a half miles away from the crime scene. Among
    other evidence, during that search, officers uncovered an AR-15 hidden under a
    parked hay mower. This AR-15 was later identified as purchased by and owned
    by Davis.
    At the DCI lab, the AR-15 was carefully analyzed for fingerprints and DNA.
    Reddish spots on the AR-15 scope were identified as Ross’s blood. The AR-15
    butt plate also had blood on it, which was also identified as Ross’s blood. In
    addition to Ross’s blood, Davis’s fingerprints were identified on the AR-15. The
    shell casings found near the crime scene were identified as having markings
    specific to the same AR-15.
    Davis was charged with first-degree murder to which he entered a plea of
    not guilty. A six-day jury trial occurred in early February 2019. At the trial, Davis
    testified in his own defense as to what happened between 1:05 p.m. Friday and
    5:00 p.m. Saturday on the Thanksgiving weekend of 2017. He claimed that he
    never entered into the public hunting grounds and mostly stayed within the
    confines of his parents’ property. On Friday, after dropping off his child at
    10
    Babbitt’s house, Davis returned to his family’s home. He parked in a remote
    wooded area of the farm to avoid an interaction with the police regarding what
    happened at Kennebeck’s home. He stayed in his car listening to music and
    smoking, and later walked to a nearby church, where he prayed for a couple of
    hours before returning to his car where he slept overnight.
    On Saturday morning, Davis testified that he wandered from his car to his
    parents’ house to eat, but no one from his family saw him do so. He then returned
    to his car until about 5:00 p.m., at which time he once again returned to his
    parents’ home. This time, his family was present and he agreed to turn himself
    into law enforcement because of what happened at Kennebeck’s home a couple
    of hours later.
    Davis admitted he owned the ammunition can, gun magazines, and AR-15
    but claimed they had been stolen from his car four to six weeks before the
    murder. Davis acknowledged that he never reported his weapon and ammunition
    being stolen. He suggested that someone had deliberately placed the
    incriminating evidence near the murder scene or on the family farm in order to
    frame him for the murder.
    Upon conclusion of the six-day trial, the jury deliberated over two days
    before returning a guilty verdict to murder in the first degree. Davis filed a timely
    appeal, and we transferred the case to the court of appeals. The court of appeals
    affirmed the conviction but remanded the case to the district court for the limited
    purpose of entering an order removing the court costs and attorney fee
    obligations from the sentencing order to be consistent with the oral
    11
    pronouncement at sentencing. We take this case on further review upon Davis’s
    application.
    II. Standard of Review.
    “We have discretion to choose which issues we review when we take a case
    on further review.” In re D.M., 
    965 N.W.2d 475
    , 480 n.2 (Iowa 2021) (quoting
    Holmes v. Pomeroy, 
    959 N.W.2d 387
    , 389 (Iowa 2021)). We use our discretion to
    review the jury instruction on reasonable doubt and instruction to break a jury
    deadlock. However, we let the court of appeals decision stand on the remaining
    issues, including the sufficiency of the evidence, challenges to the closing
    arguments, and the need for a nunc pro tunc order.
    “[W]e generally review a district court’s refusal to give a requested jury
    instruction for errors at law; however, if the jury instruction is not required but
    discretionary, we review for an abuse of discretion.” State v. Bynum, 
    937 N.W.2d 319
    , 324 (Iowa 2020) (alteration in original) (quoting State v. Plain, 
    898 N.W.2d 801
    , 811 (Iowa 2017)) “[W]e consider the jury instructions as a whole rather than
    in isolation to determine whether they correctly state the law.” State v. Benson,
    
    919 N.W.2d 237
    , 242 (Iowa 2018).
    III. Analysis.
    A. Reasonable Doubt Instruction. Davis disputes whether the trial court
    was correct to exclude his proposed reasonable doubt instruction. The trial court
    provided the following jury instruction:
    The burden is on the State to prove Ethan Landon Davis guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    12
    A reasonable doubt is one that fairly and naturally arises from
    the evidence in the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence
    produced by the State.
    If, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence, you
    are firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you have no
    reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant guilty.
    But if, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence in
    the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence produced by the
    State, you are not firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you
    have a reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant not
    guilty.
    (Emphasis added.) In addition to the language cited above, Davis requested the
    insertion of an additional paragraph that included a “hesitate to act” formulation:
    A reasonable doubt is a doubt based upon reason and
    common sense, and not the mere possibility of innocence. A
    reasonable doubt is the kind of doubt that would make a reasonable
    person hesitate to act. Proof beyond a reasonable doubt, therefore,
    must be proof of such a convincing character that a reasonable
    person would not hesitate to reply and act upon it. However, proof
    beyond a reasonable doubt does not mean proof beyond all possible
    doubt.
    (Emphasis added.) The trial court denied the request to include this paragraph,
    relying on State v. Frei, in which we approved an instruction that solely provided
    the “firmly convinced” formulation of reasonable doubt. 
    831 N.W.2d 70
    , 79
    (Iowa 2013), overruled on other grounds by Alcala v. Marriott Int’l Inc., 
    880 N.W.2d 699
    , 708 n.3 (Iowa 2016). The court of appeals determined the trial court was
    not legally required to provide the “hesitate to act” formulation because the
    “firmly convinced” formulation adequately addressed reasonable doubt and did
    not abuse its discretion by refusing to add the “hesitate to act” formulation.
    Reasonable doubt is one of the most recognizable concepts in our criminal
    justice system. It sets forth a demanding burden of proof on the government.
    13
    “[A]n understanding of reasonable doubt is crucial to the deliberations of the jury
    in nearly every criminal case.” State v. McGranahan, 
    206 N.W.2d 88
    , 92
    (Iowa 1973) (en banc). Despite its grave importance, “[c]ourts have struggled . . .
    in settling upon a serviceable definition of the ‘reasonable doubt’ standard.” Frei,
    831 N.W.2d at 77. Notably, “[t]he Due Process Clause provides no definitional
    guidance as it requires no ‘particular form of words be used in advising the jury
    of the government’s burden of proof.’ ” Id. (quoting Victor v. Nebraska, 
    511 U.S. 1
    , 5 (1994)). The lack of definitional guidance has produced several jury
    instructions explaining reasonable doubt in different ways such as “hesitate to
    act,” “firmly convinced,” “abiding conviction,” and their respective variations.
    2A Charles Alan Wright & Peter J. Henning, Federal Practice and Procedure:
    Criminal: Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure § 502 (4th ed. 2009) [hereinafter
    Wright & Henning]; see 1 Barbara E. Bergman, Nancy Hollander, & Theresa M.
    Duncan, Wharton’s Criminal Evidence § 2.4, Westlaw (15th ed. database updated
    Oct. 2020). As the concurrence in part and dissent in part in this case mentions,
    some jurisdictions do not provide any jury instruction defining or describing
    reasonable doubt. See, e.g., United States v. Walton, 
    207 F.3d 694
    , 696–99
    (4th Cir. 2000) (per curiam).
    1. The Iowa State Bar Association’s uniform criminal jury instructions on
    reasonable doubt. The Iowa State Bar Association (ISBA) publishes uniform jury
    instructions every year that attorneys and district courts rely upon for civil and
    criminal proceedings. These uniform instructions include a jury instruction
    explaining “reasonable doubt.” We have acknowledged that “trial courts should
    14
    generally adhere to the uniform instructions.” State v. Becker, 
    818 N.W.2d 135
    ,
    143 (Iowa 2012) (quoting State v. Mitchell, 
    568 N.W.2d 493
    , 501 (Iowa 1997)),
    overruled on other grounds by Alcala, 880 N.W.2d at 708 n.3. Even though
    “we normally approve the submission of uniform instructions, we [can] conclude
    [a] particular instruction is faulty.” State v. McMullin, 
    421 N.W.2d 517
    , 518
    (Iowa 1988). “[T]rial courts are [not] bound by any model or form in formulating
    instructions.” McGranahan, 
    206 N.W.2d at 92
    ; see Becker, 818 N.W.2d at 141.
    Moreover, “[t]rial courts have a rather broad discretion in the language that may
    be chosen to convey a particular idea to the jury.” Stringer v. State, 
    522 N.W.2d 797
    , 800 (Iowa 1994).
    One of the first ISBA jury instructions on reasonable doubt was published
    in 1972. Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Unif. Jury Instr. (Criminal) 501.11 (1972). This
    1972 uniform jury instruction defined reasonable doubt as:
    A “reasonable doubt” is such a doubt as fairly and naturally
    arises in your mind and by reason of which you cannot say that you
    have a full and abiding conviction of the guilt of the defendant; and
    if, after considering all of the circumstances as disclosed by the
    evidence, you find your mind wavering or vaci[l]lating, then you have
    a reasonable doubt, and the defendant is entitled to the benefit of
    such doubt and you must acquit him. A reasonable doubt may arise
    from the evidence in the case or it may arise from a lack or failure of
    evidence, and it must be such a doubt as would cause a reasonable,
    prudent and considerate man to pause and hesitate before acting in
    the graver and more important affairs of life. But you should not
    ignore credible evidence to hunt for doubt, and you should not
    entertain such doubt as is purely imaginary or fanciful or based on
    groundless conjecture. If, after a careful and impartial consideration
    of all of the evidence in the case, you have a full and abiding
    conviction of the guilt of the defendant, then you are satisfied
    beyond a reasonable doubt, otherwise you are not satisfied beyond
    a reasonable doubt.
    15
    
    Id.
     (emphasis added). In State v. McGranahan, we determined that any one of the
    emphasized reasonable doubt formulations—“full or abiding conviction,”
    “wavering or vaci[l]lating,” or “hesitate before acting in the graver and more
    important affairs of life”—would be more acceptable than a jury instruction that
    did not substantively define reasonable doubt. 
    206 N.W.2d at
    91–92.
    Sixteen years later, the ISBA instruction on reasonable doubt changed to
    solely define reasonable doubt with a “firmly convinced” formulation. Iowa State
    Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury Instruction 100.10 (1988). This instruction is
    substantially similar to what the district court in this case provided:
    The burden is on the State to prove (name of defendant) guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    A reasonable doubt is one that fairly and naturally arises from
    the evidence, or lack of evidence produced by the State.
    If, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence, you
    are firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you have no
    reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant guilty.
    But if, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence or
    lack of evidence produced by the State, you are not firmly convinced
    of the defendant’s guilt, then you have a reasonable doubt and you
    should find the defendant not guilty.
    
    Id.
     (emphasis added). Nearly twenty years later, in 2007, a new paragraph
    expressing a “hesitate to act” formulation was included along with the “firmly
    convinced” language in the ISBA’s jury instruction on reasonable doubt. This
    instruction is almost identical to what Davis proposed to the district court:
    The burden is on the State to prove (name of defendant) guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    16
    A reasonable doubt is one that fairly and naturally arises from
    the evidence in the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence
    produced by the State.
    A reasonable doubt is a doubt based upon reason and common
    sense—the kind of doubt that would make a reasonable person
    hesitate to act. Proof beyond a reasonable doubt, therefore, must be
    proof of such a convincing character that a reasonable person would
    not hesitate to rely and act upon it. However, proof beyond a
    reasonable doubt does not mean proof beyond all possible doubt.
    If, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence, you
    are firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you have no
    reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant guilty.
    But if, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence in
    the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence produced by the
    State, you are not firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you
    have a reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant not
    guilty.
    Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury Instruction 100.10 (2007) (emphasis
    added). The current ISBA instruction remains substantially similar to this
    instruction. Compare Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury Instruction
    100.10 (2007), with Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury Instruction 100.10
    (2020).
    2. The “firmly convinced” formulation is a legally adequate definition of
    reasonable doubt. Both parties agree that “firmly convinced” is a legally adequate
    formulation of reasonable doubt and that we explicitly approved this formulation
    in Frei, 831 N.W.2d at 76–79. In Frei, we noted that previous Iowa caselaw
    approved of an analogous “firmly and abidingly convinced” formulation as
    “an objective standard for measuring the jurors’ doubts.” Id. at 78 (quoting State
    v. McFarland, 
    287 N.W.2d 162
    , 163 (Iowa 1980)). We also acknowledged that
    several academics, respected jurists, and multiple courts also had endorsed the
    17
    “firmly convinced” formulation. 
    Id.
     at 78–79. Furthermore, we concluded that
    the dictionary definitions of “firmly” and “firm” showed them to be “plain, well-
    understood word[s] commonly used in modern speech . . . [that] adequately
    expressed . . . the extent of certitude the jury must possess to convict a
    defendant of a crime in this state.” Id. at 79. Despite our approval of the “firmly
    convinced” language in Frei, we noted that “this case should not be viewed as a
    rejection of any other formulation expressing in equivalent terms the state’s
    burden of proof.” Id. at 79 n.7.
    3. Davis’s proposed “hesitate to act” formulation is a legally adequate
    definition of reasonable doubt. The “hesitate to act” formulation carries some
    similar traits of the “firmly convinced” formulation we approved in Frei. The
    United States Supreme Court has historically approved “hesitate to act”
    formulations to define reasonable doubt. Holland v. United States, 
    348 U.S. 121
    ,
    140 (1954) (“We think this section of the charge should have been in terms of
    the kind of doubt that would make a person hesitate to act . . . .” (citation
    omitted)); see Victor, 
    511 U.S. at
    20–21 (“[T]he hesitate to act standard gives a
    common sense benchmark for just how substantial such a doubt must be.”);
    cf. Hopt v. Utah, 
    120 U.S. 430
    , 441 (1887) (“If the evidence produced be of such
    a convincing character that they would unhesitatingly be governed by it in such
    weighty and important matters, they may be said to have no reasonable doubt
    respecting the guilt or innocence of the accused, notwithstanding the
    18
    uncertainty that attends all human evidence.”). Several federal circuits3 and
    state courts4 have also approved variations of the “hesitate to act” formulation.
    See 2A Wright & Henning § 502 (“The most acceptable form of instruction is that
    a reasonable doubt is a doubt that would cause a prudent person to hesitate
    before acting in matters of importance to themselves, but other formulations are
    not erroneous.”); see also Robert C. Power, Reasonable and Other Doubts: The
    Problem of Jury Instructions, 
    67 Tenn. L. Rev. 45
    , 73–76 (1999) [hereinafter
    Power].
    We also indicated in McGranahan that one “hesitate to act” variation—“it
    must be such a doubt as would cause a reasonable, prudent and considerate
    man to pause and hesitate before acting in the graver and more important affairs
    3See, e.g., United States v. Owens, 
    966 F.3d 700
    , 705 n.2 (8th Cir. 2020) (“A reasonable
    doubt is the kind of doubt that would make a reasonable person hesitate to act.”); United States
    v. Stewart, 
    306 F.3d 295
    , 306–07 (6th Cir. 2002) (“Proof beyond a reasonable doubt means proof
    which is so convincing that you would not hesitate to rely and act on it in making the most
    important decisions in your own lives.”); United States v. Isaac, 
    134 F.3d 199
    , 202–04
    (3d Cir. 1998) (“A reasonable doubt is a fair doubt, based upon reason and common sense—the
    kind of doubt that would make a reasonable person hesitate to act. Proof beyond a reasonable
    doubt must, therefore, be proof of such a convincing character that you would be willing to rely
    and act upon it, unhesitatingly, in the most important of your own affairs.”); United States v.
    Morris, 
    647 F.2d 568
    , 571 (5th Cir. 1981) (“[P]roof beyond a reasonable doubt, therefore, is proof
    of such a convincing character that you would be willing to rely and act upon it without hesitation
    in the most important of your own affairs.”).
    4See, e.g., Smith v. United States, 
    709 A.2d 78
    , 82 (D.C. 1998) (en banc) (“Reasonable
    doubt is the kind of doubt that would cause a reasonable person, after careful and thoughtful
    reflection, to hesitate to act in the graver or more important matters in life.”); Hilbish v. State,
    
    891 P.2d 841
    , 850 (Alaska Ct. App. 1995) (“[P]roof of such a convincing character that after
    careful consideration of all relevant facts and circumstances, you would be willing to rely and
    act upon it without hesitation in your important affairs.”); State v. Gomez, 
    622 A.2d 1014
    , 1017
    n.8 (Conn. 1993) (“[A] reasonable doubt is a doubt which would cause you as reasonable and
    prudent men and women to hesitate to act in the more weighty and important matters relating
    to your own affairs.”); Commonwealth v. Bowser, 
    624 A.2d 125
    , 137–38 (Penn. Super. Ct. 1993)
    (“A reasonable doubt is a doubt that would cause a reasonably careful and sensible person to
    hesitate or refrain from acting upon some matter of the highest importance in your own daily
    life.”); State v. Darby, 
    477 S.E.2d 710
    , 710 (S.C. 1996) (approving a reasonable doubt definition
    as “the kind of doubt that would cause a reasonable person to hesitate to act”).
    19
    of life”—would be an acceptable definition of reasonable doubt as compared to
    no substantive definition. 
    206 N.W.2d at
    91–92; see McFarland, 
    287 N.W.2d at 163
     (“We quoted with approval Iowa Uniform Jury Instruction 501.11 with its
    three distinct standards [in McGranahan] . . . .”); see also State v. Pierce, 
    21 N.W. 195
    , 197–98 (Iowa 1884) (approving a jury instruction as a whole which included
    reasonable doubt “must be such a doubt as would cause a reasonable, prudent,
    and considerate man to hesitate and pause before acting in the graver and more
    important affairs of life” (emphasis omitted)).
    Davis’s specific “hesitate to act” variation was most notably present in the
    Eighth Circuit’s Model Jury Instructions and in the ISBA’s current criminal jury
    instructions. Jud. Comm. on Model Jury Instructions for the Eighth Cir., Manual
    of Model Jury Instructions for the District Courts of the Eighth Circuit § 3.11 (2011)
    (“Proof beyond a reasonable doubt, therefore, must be proof of such a convincing
    character that a reasonable person would not hesitate to rely and act upon it.”);
    Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury Instruction 100.10 (2020).5 On its own,
    “hesitate” means “to hold back in doubt or indecision” and is synonymous with
    “waver,” “vacillate,” and “falter.” Hesitate, Webster’s Third International
    Dictionary 1061 (unabr. ed. 2002). Similar to “firmly,” “hesitate to act” is
    generally understood and can adequately explain to the jury the level of certainty
    needed to convict. Victor, 
    511 U.S. at
    20–21; cf. Frei, 831 N.W.2d at 79. We
    5The  Eighth Circuit’s model jury instruction was recently updated to include a phrase “in
    life’s most important decisions” after the “hesitate to act” portion. Jud. Comm. on Model Jury
    Instructions for the Eighth Cir., Manual of Model Jury Instructions for the District Courts of the
    Eighth Circuit § 3.11 (2021). The “in life’s most important decisions” portion is not present in the
    ISBA’s current jury instruction on reasonable doubt.
    20
    conclude that Davis’s proposed “hesitate to act” formulation is also a legally
    sufficient jury instruction to define reasonable doubt.
    4. The district court’s decision to reject the “hesitate to act” formulation was
    not an abuse of discretion. Davis argues the district court’s rationale in rejecting
    the “hesitate to act” instruction amounts to an abuse of discretion. Specifically,
    he argues that we approved of the “hesitate to act” variations in McGranahan
    and Pierce. See McGranahan, 
    206 N.W.2d at 92
    ; Pierce, 21 N.W. at 197–98.
    Because of this prior approval, Davis asserts the district court’s rationale that
    the Iowa Supreme Court has not given its “imprimatur” to the “hesitate to act”
    language was wrong and constitutes an abuse of discretion.
    Our precedent is explicit that the district court need only provide one of
    the approved “reasonable doubt” definitions from the ISBA’s uniform jury
    instructions to the jury in order for it to be legally sufficient. While we indicated
    that any of the ISBA’s reasonable doubt formulations in its 1972 jury instruction
    would be better than no formulation in McGranahan, we warned that “[w]e do
    not hold all or any of these three frames of reference must be included or
    described in the instruction.” 
    206 N.W.2d at 92
    . In State v. McFarland, we
    specifically stated that the jury instruction, which utilized solely the “abidingly
    and firmly convinced” language, “was not deficient for failing to provide more
    than one standard.” 
    287 N.W.2d at 163
    . Similarly, in Frei, we held the district
    court did not err by providing a reasonable doubt jury instruction that solely
    contained the legally adequate “firmly convinced” language rather than the
    defendant’s proposed “hesitate to act” instruction. 831 N.W.2d at 75–76.
    21
    This district court’s action is comparable to what occurred in State v.
    Williams, 
    929 N.W.2d 621
     (Iowa 2019). In Williams, the district court rejected the
    defendant’s     additional    implicit-bias    instruction     because     the    additional
    “instruction had not been reviewed by any Iowa court to its knowledge” and
    another implicit-bias instruction modeled after the ISBA’s instruction already
    “covered the subject matter.” Id. at 633. We determined the district court did not
    abuse its discretion because its instruction adequately addressed the
    defendant’s concerns of implicit bias. Id. An abuse of discretion may have
    occurred here if the district court’s instruction did not substantively define
    reasonable doubt or if the district court believed it lacked authority to define
    reasonable doubt at all. McGranahan, 
    206 N.W.2d at
    91–92; see Plain,
    898 N.W.2d at 816–17 (finding abuse of discretion when the trial court
    erroneously believed it did not have authority to provide any implicit-bias
    instruction). Similar to Williams, the district court here gave an approved
    instruction that adequately explained the legal concept at issue.6 Therefore, the
    trial court did not abuse its discretion in refusing to include the additional
    “hesitate to act” language in the jury instruction on reasonable doubt.
    5. District courts should solely utilize the “firmly convinced” formulation.
    Agreeing on a jury instruction for reasonable doubt remains a contentious issue
    in district court. The debate on an appropriate reasonable doubt instruction has
    been the subject of unpublished decisions by the Iowa Court of Appeals since
    6We make no determination as to whether the implicit-bias instruction given in Williams,
    929 N.W.2d at 632–33, is better than the most recent ISBA implicit-bias instruction.
    22
    the 2007 ISBA jury instruction on reasonable doubt included the “hesitate to
    act” formulation. See State v. Chamberlain, No. 17–1426, 
    2018 WL 6719730
    , at
    *6–7   (Iowa   Ct.   App.   Dec.   19,   2018);   State   v.   Tullar,   No. 13–1567,
    
    2014 WL 6680927
    , at *3–4 (Iowa Ct. App. Nov. 26, 2014); State v. Thinh Van
    Quang, No. 12–0739, 
    2013 WL 4504934
    , at *5–6 (Iowa Ct. App. Aug. 21, 2013);
    State v. Merrett, No. 11–0776, 
    2013 WL 104545
    , at *4 (Iowa Ct. App. Jan. 9,
    2013); State v. Tabor, No. 10–0475, 
    2011 WL 238427
    , at *2–3 (Iowa Ct. App. Jan.
    20, 2011); State v. White, No. 09–1463, 
    2011 WL 227587
    , at *3–4 (Iowa Ct. App.
    Jan. 20, 2011). Each of these court of appeals decisions has held the district
    court does not err when it solely provides the “firmly convinced” definition
    instead of adding or solely using the “hesitate to act” definition in a reasonable
    doubt jury instruction.
    The ISBA uniform criminal jury instructions committee, whose committee
    members are regularly handling criminal jury instructional issues in our district
    courts, is undoubtedly aware of the several different formulations of reasonable
    doubt jury instructions provided in both opinions. Ultimately, the committee has
    settled on two formulations—“hesitate to act” and “firmly convinced”—as the best
    reasonable doubt formulations. But as exemplified by the unpublished court of
    appeals opinions, the specific legal debate between using the hesitate to act and
    firmly convinced formulation, or “race” as the concurrence in part and dissent
    in part puts it, has been occurring for nearly fifteen years in our court system.
    As with all marathons, they must come to an end. Guidance is appropriate to
    23
    reduce further appellate litigation and confusion in district court on which
    formulation for a jury instruction on reasonable doubt is most preferred.7
    We believe the “firmly convinced” formulation as used in this case best
    captures reasonable doubt. “[T]he ‘firmly convinced’ standard has achieved
    extensive recognition and is likely the formulation of the reasonable doubt
    standard most widely approved by American jurists, academics, and litigants.”
    Frei, 831 N.W.2d at 78 (citing Lawrence M. Solan, Refocusing the Burden of Proof
    in Criminal Cases: Some Doubt About Reasonable Doubt, 
    78 Tex. L. Rev. 105
    , 145
    (1999) and Jon O. Newman, Beyond “Reasonable Doubt,” 
    68 N.Y.U. L. Rev. 979
    ,
    990–91 (1993)). A highly regarded report from distinguished federal judges at the
    Federal Judicial Center (FJC) endorsed solely utilizing the “firmly convinced”
    definition. Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Criminal Jury Instructions § 21, at 28–29 (1987)
    [hereinafter Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Instructions]. Justice Ginsburg described
    “firmly convinced” as “clear, straightforward, and accurate.” Victor, 
    511 U.S. at
    26–27 (Ginsburg, J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment). One
    prominent study, cited by the concurrence in part and dissent in part, found the
    “firmly convinced” formulation more accurately distinguished weak and strong
    criminal cases as compared to other mainstream reasonable doubt formulations.
    7The   concurrence in part and dissent in part worries that section III.A.5 of this opinion
    amounts to overruling “a long and well-established line of our caselaw providing discretion to
    district court judges” on jury instructional issues and that this opinion amounts to an “advisory
    opinion.” Those concerns fail to account for the advantages of having a single, consistent jury
    instruction on reasonable doubt in Iowa courts and our inherent supervisory authority over Iowa
    district courts. See State v. Portillo, 
    898 P.2d 970
    , 974 (Ariz. 1995) (en banc) (invoking supervisory
    authority to utilize “firmly convinced” reasonable doubt jury instruction). Moreover, we have
    previously provided guidance to district courts on jury instructions in other areas. See, e.g., State
    v. Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d 803
    , 812–13 (Iowa 1980) (endorsing a jury deadlock instruction from
    American Bar Association and ISBA).
    24
    Irwin A. Horowitz, Reasonable Doubt Instructions: Commonsense Justice and
    Standard of Proof, 3 Psychol. Pub. Pol’y & L. 285, 296–97, 300 (1997) [hereinafter
    Horowitz] (concluding that “[r]esearch suggests that at least one definition of the
    reasonable doubt standard (i.e., the [‘firmly convinced’] instruction) is more likely
    to enhance jury performance than others”).
    Despite the “hesitate to act” formulation being legally sufficient and having
    historic approval, this formulation has recently drawn significant criticism.
    Power, 67 Tenn. L. Rev. at 78–81; see Paulson v. State, 
    28 S.W.3d 570
    , 572
    (Tex. Crim. App. 2000) (“Judgments that brand men and women as criminals,
    and take their money, their liberty, or their lives are deadly serious. They are
    decisions that make us hesitate if we have any human feelings or sensitivity at
    all.”). Criticism of “hesitate to act” is especially increased when the hesitancy is
    framed in the context of important personal affairs—an analogy that has been
    examined as inappropriate for deciding criminal cases. See Victor, 
    511 U.S. at 24
     (Ginsburg, J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment)
    (“[T]he analogy it uses seems misplaced. In the decisions people make in the
    most important of their own affairs, resolution of conflicts about past events does
    not usually play a major role [and] . . . generally involve a very heavy element of
    uncertainty and risk-taking.” (quoting Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Instructions § 21
    cmt., at 29)); id. at 34 (Blackmun, J., concurring in part and dissenting in part)
    (“ ‘[H]esitate to act’ language is far from helpful, and may in fact make matters
    worse by analogizing the decision whether to convict or acquit a defendant to the
    frequently high-risk personal decisions people must make in their daily lives.”);
    25
    United States v. Ashrafkhan, 
    964 F.3d 574
    , 579–80 (6th Cir. 2020) (“[J]urists
    have noted that such language may tend to understate the government’s burden
    of proof and have expressed trepidation at fully endorsing it.”); Commonwealth
    v. Ferreira, 
    364 N.E.2d 1264
    , 1273 (Mass. 1977) (“The degree of certainty
    required to convict is unique to the criminal law. We do not think that people
    customarily make private decisions according to this standard nor may it even
    be possible to do so.”); Mandeep K. Dhami et. al., Instructions on Reasonable
    Doubt: Defining the Standard of Proof and the Juror’s Task, 21 Psychol. Pub. Pol’y
    & L. 169, 175 (2015) (“[B]y reducing the standard of proof below that intended
    by the law, the ‘doubt-hesitate’ instruction is more likely to lead to false
    convictions.”). A “real doubt means a hesitation” or “waiver or facilitate”
    formulation has also shown greater statistical variability than “firmly convinced”
    with juries deciding between strong and weak criminal cases. Horowitz,
    3 Psychol. Pub. Pol’y & L. at 296–97.
    In acknowledging this criticism, we expressly approve jury instructions
    that use the “firmly convinced” formulation without the “hesitate to act”
    formulation. Because of the difference in superiority between the two definitions,
    an additional “hesitate to act” definition would not serve as an amplification to a
    jury instruction on reasonable doubt. Additionally, allowing the defendant to add
    an additional “hesitate to act” formulation to compete with the pre-existing
    “firmly convinced” formulation would have confused the jury on how to approach
    reasonable doubt and probably lead to individual jurors understanding
    reasonable doubt differently during jury deliberations. See Darryl K. Brown,
    26
    Regulating Decision Effects of Legally Sufficient Jury Instructions, 
    73 S. Cal. L. Rev. 1105
    , 1110–11 (2000) (explaining how the “firmly convinced” definition
    is superior). A similar concern exists if we were to include the “real possibility”
    portion from the FJC’s model instruction to compete with the “firmly convinced”
    formulation. Cf. United States v. Porter, 
    821 F.2d 968
    , 973 (4th Cir. 1987)
    (indicating the “real possibility” portion impermissibly places the burden of
    persuasion back onto the defense); United States v. McBride, 
    786 F.2d 45
    , 51–52
    (2d Cir. 1986) (same); State v. Jackson, 
    925 A.2d 1060
    , 1067 n.3 (Conn. 2007)
    (“[U]se of [‘real possibility’] actually may create confusion about the meaning of
    reasonable doubt and impermissibly shift the burden of proof to the defendant.”).
    We join the several states that have strongly urged their district courts to
    solely utilize the “firmly convinced” definition for reasonable doubt jury
    instructions. See, e.g., State v. Portillo, 
    898 P.2d 970
    , 974 (Ariz. 1995) (en banc);
    Jackson, 925 A.2d at 1065–70; Winegeart v. State, 
    665 N.E.2d 893
    , 902
    (Ind. 1996); State v. Medina, 
    685 A.2d 1242
    , 1251–52 (N.J. 1996); State v. Reyes,
    
    116 P.3d 305
    , 314 (Utah 2005).8 By explicitly approving the “firmly convinced”
    8Among    state jurisdictions, the concurrence in part and dissent in part mainly relies on
    the Hawaii Court of Appeals case State v. Perez, 
    976 P.2d 427
     (Haw. Ct. App. 1998), and the
    Nebraska Supreme Court case State v. Putz, 
    662 N.W.2d 606
     (Neb. 2003) (per curiam), for
    support that the “firmly convinced” instruction lowers the burden of proof. However, Perez and
    Putz are uniquely limited to Hawaii and Nebraska because their civil jury instructions also use
    “firm belief” to describe clear and convincing evidence that could lead to improper conflation
    between reasonable doubt and clear and convincing standards. Perez, 
    976 P.2d at 442
    ; Putz,
    662 N.W.2d at 613. That concern doesn’t appear in Iowa’s current uniform civil jury instructions.
    Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Civil Jury Instruction 100.19 (2020) (“Clear, convincing and
    satisfactory evidence. Evidence is clear, convincing and satisfactory if there is no serious or
    substantial uncertainty about the conclusion.”); see Commonwealth v. Russell, 
    23 N.E.3d 867
    ,
    873–74 (Mass. 2015) (“Unlike the Hawaii standard for clear and convincing evidence, our cases
    27
    formulation of reasonable doubt, we hope to “eliminate confusion and foster
    fairness for defendants, the state, and jurors alike” and “obviate the need for any
    future appeals on this issue.” Portillo, 
    898 P.2d at 974
    ; see Reyes, 116 P.3d at
    314. We hold that use of solely the “firmly convinced” formulation for a jury
    instruction on reasonable doubt will be considered a “safe harbor” instruction in
    Iowa district courts. Reyes, 116 P.3d at 314.9
    B. Verdict-Urging Instruction. After seven hours of jury deliberation, the
    court attendant informed the court that the jury may be deadlocked. The court
    then told the parties that a verdict-urging instruction, also known as an Allen
    charge,10 would be given to the jury. Davis objected on the grounds that such an
    instruction would have a coercive effect on the jury. The trial court provided the
    following instruction over Davis’s objection:
    You’ve been deliberating on this case now for a considerable
    period of time, yesterday afternoon and most of this morning, and
    the Court deems it proper to advise you further in regard to the
    desirability of agreement, if possible.
    The case has been exhaustively and carefully tried by both
    sides and has been submitted to you for decision and verdict, if
    possible. It’s the law that a unanimous verdict is required, and while
    this verdict must be the conclusion of each juror and not mere
    acquiescence of the jurors in order to reach an agreement, it is still
    necessary for all jurors to examine the issues and questions
    and instructions on clear and convincing evidence are not cast in terms of the ‘firmness’ of the
    jury’s conclusions.”); see also Jackson, 925 A.2d at 1066 n.2 (rejecting Perez).
    9However, this decision does not prevent the use of other legally adequate jury
    instructions on reasonable doubt besides the “firmly convinced” formulation provided that both
    parties agree and the court approves the other legally adequate jury instruction on reasonable
    doubt.
    10An “Allen charge” is a common name for a verdict-urging instruction originating from
    the Supreme Court case Allen v. United States, 
    164 U.S. 492
    , 500–02 (1896).
    28
    submitted to them with candor and fairness and with proper regard
    for, and deference to, the opinion of each other.
    A proper regard for the judgment of others will greatly aid us
    in forming our own judgment. So each juror should listen to the
    arguments of the other jurors with a disposition to be convinced by
    them, and if the members of the jury differ in their views of the
    evidence, such difference of opinion should cause them to scrutinize
    the evidence more closely and to reexamine the grounds of their
    problem.
    Your duty is to decide the issues of fact which have been
    submitted to you, if you can conscientiously do so.
    In conferring, you should lay aside all mere pride of opinion
    and should bear in mind that the jury room is no place for espousing
    and maintaining in a spirit of controversy either side of a cause. The
    aim ever to be kept in view is the truth as it appears from the
    evidence, examined in the light of the instructions of the Court.
    So you will again retire to the jury room, examine your
    differences in the spirit of fairness and candor, and try to arrive at a
    verdict. So I am advising you to please continue to review the
    evidence, review the jury instructions that have been provided to
    you, and continue your deliberations.
    So at this time I’ll have the court attendant return you to the
    jury room.
    After the jury was provided with this instruction verbally, they deliberated
    for approximately four and a half hours before returning with a guilty verdict.
    Davis argues that this supplemental verdict-urging instruction had a
    coercive effect on the jury and, as such, constitutes an abuse of discretion. State
    v. Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d 803
    , 808–13 (Iowa 1980). Some jurisdictions have
    banned Allen charge instructions because of their coercive effect on the jury.
    See, e.g., State v. Weidul, 
    628 A.2d 135
    , 136 (Maine 1993); Commonwealth v.
    Spencer, 
    275 A.2d 299
    , 303 (Pa. 1971). However, as Davis acknowledges, Iowa
    29
    courts have never held an Allen charge to be per se error. Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 809
    .
    In State v. Campbell, we reviewed and upheld a verdict-urging instruction
    quite similar to the one provided to the jury here. 
    Id. at 808
    . When reviewing an
    Allen charge, we look at “whether the instruction improperly coerced or helped
    coerce a verdict or merely initiated a new train of real deliberation which
    terminated the disagreement.” 
    Id.
     According to Campbell, “each case is to be
    decided on its own circumstances” and the court “has considerable discretion in
    determining whether [a] verdict-urging instruction[] should be given.” 
    Id.
     at
    808–09. Only in cases where prejudice has been demonstrated by surrounding
    circumstances will the trial court be reversed. 
    Id.
    Several factors are considered in determining whether coercion existed
    under the context and circumstances. Our caselaw has mainly focused on the
    content of the verdict-urging instruction and the timing surrounding the verdict.
    State v. Piper, 
    663 N.W.2d 894
    , 911–12 (Iowa 2003), overruled on other grounds
    by State v. Hanes, 
    790 N.W.2d 545
    , 551 (Iowa 2010). We have also looked at
    responses from juror polling to ensure each juror was not coerced into their
    verdict. Middle States Utils. Co. v. Inc. Tel. Co., 
    271 N.W. 180
    , 184–85 (Iowa 1937);
    see In re Cocklin’s Est., 
    5 N.W.2d 577
    , 583–84 (Iowa 1942).
    1. The district court’s verdict-urging instruction lacked problematic content.
    We have specifically condemned instructions targeting jurors in the minority by
    asking those jurors to reevaluate their opinions to possibly conform to the
    majority. Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 809
    ; see Middle States Utils. Co., 
    271 N.W. at
    30
    184 (“[I]f any of the jurors differ in their view of the evidence from a larger number
    of their fellow jurors, such differences of opinion should induce the minority to
    doubt the correctness of their own judgment, and cause them to scrutinize the
    evidence more closely and re-examine the grounds of their opinion.”); Clemens
    v. Chi., R.I. & P. Ry., 
    144 N.W. 354
    , 357–58 (Iowa 1913) (same). Closely related
    to this concern is an action by the district court that proactively identifies the
    number of jurors of the minority opinion. Piper, 
    663 N.W.2d at 912
    ; State v.
    Cornell, 
    266 N.W.2d 15
    , 19–20 (Iowa 1978) (en banc). We have also condemned
    language that requires the jury to reach a verdict and states that a hung jury
    would lead to a retrial or create further litigation expenses. Piper, 
    663 N.W.2d at
    911–12; Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 809
    .
    This instruction lacks the problematic content that we have previously
    condemned. It does not target jurors in the minority to conform to other jurors.
    Rather, the instruction warns against acquiescence and implores all jurors to
    fully consider each other’s opinions. Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 811
    . Moreover, the
    district court did not identify the number of jurors with a minority opinion to
    further coerce the jury. Piper, 
    663 N.W.2d at 912
    ; Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 811
    .
    The instruction at issue also does not express any requirement that the jury
    reaches a verdict. Instead, the jury is repeatedly made aware they only have to
    reach a unanimous verdict “if possible” or “if you can conscientiously do so.”
    Burton v. Neill, 
    118 N.W. 302
    , 303 (Iowa 1908) (“The court was justified in
    insisting that the jurors should give further deliberation to the case for the
    purpose of reaching an agreement, if possible, and the instruction was in
    31
    accordance with the proper practice in such cases, and not erroneous in the
    language used.”). Lastly, the instruction does not discuss the possibility of a
    retrial or the mounting litigation expenses that Campbell found concerning.
    Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at
    810–11 (collecting cases, including Taylor v. Murray
    and In re Stern, on litigation expenses); see, e.g., Taylor v. Murray, 
    115 S.E.2d 776
    , 778 (Ga. Ct. App. 1960) (discouraging a specific instruction that asked the
    jury to continue deliberating considering “the viewpoint of the litigants and from
    the viewpoint of the county and the expense to the county to have this problem
    to continue in the courts unresolved”); In re Stern, 
    95 A.2d 593
    , 594 (N.J. 1953)
    (reversing based on instruction that stated that “[i]t costs a lot of money to the
    state to maintain the court”).
    Davis takes issue with specific language pointing to how the jury had
    deliberated for a “considerable period of time” and how the parties have
    “exhaustively and carefully tried” the case. He argues that these considerations
    were directly linked to “the desirability of agreement” and the duty to reach a
    verdict. Again, any harm from this linkage is diminished by the repetitive
    “if possible” or “if you can conscientiously do so” reminders attached to the
    desirability of agreement and duty to reach a verdict. Even so, instructions about
    “deliberating for a considerable period of time” and how the parties have
    “exhaustively and carefully tried” the case don’t go to influencing the jury on the
    expenses of the parties or the judicial system. Rather, these statements suggest
    that the evidence has been fully examined by both parties and that the jury
    should continue to deliberate with open minds.
    32
    Davis also objects to certain language discussing how “the jury room is no
    place for espousing and maintaining in a spirit of controversy either side of a
    cause.” Davis claims that this sentence is coercive because it implies that the
    failure to reach an agreement arose from the jurors’ personal failings or
    intentional obstruction of proper deliberations. We disagree. We have not found
    this specific language objectionable in the past. Armstrong v. James & Co., 
    136 N.W. 686
    , 690 (Iowa 1912) (approving an instruction that included “on the other
    hand, the jury room, as said, is no place for mere pride of opinion, or for
    maintaining in the spirit of controversy either side of a cause”). Additionally, this
    language is buttressed with other instructions imploring jurors to have a
    “proper regard for the judgment of others,” “the aim ever to be kept in view is the
    truth as it appears from the evidence,” and to “examine . . . differences in the
    spirit of fairness and candor.” With this context, we think this surrounding
    language “merely encourages the thoughtful consideration of all viewpoints
    before forming individual judgments” rather than putting blame on the jurors for
    failing to agree. Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 812
    ; see Armstrong, 136 N.W. at 690.
    2. The timing surrounding the verdict after the Allen charge does not indicate
    coercion. The timing of the verdict involves several distinct observations.
    However, we are primarily concerned with whether the jury spent enough time
    engaging in “further worthwhile consideration before a verdict was agreed to.”
    Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 811
     (quoting State v. Kelley, 
    161 N.W.2d 123
    , 126
    (Iowa 1968)); see Piper, 
    663 N.W.2d at 912
    . For example, in Coulthard v. Keenan,
    we expressed our disapproval of an oral verdict-urging instruction given to a
    33
    deadlocked jury at two in the morning after eleven and a half hours of
    uninterrupted jury deliberation. 
    129 N.W.2d 597
    , 601–02 (Iowa 1964). The
    verdict in Coulthard was returned within ten minutes of the instruction. 
    Id. at 601
    . Five of the ten minutes were likely spent on the formalities of courtroom
    procedure. 
    Id.
     Five minutes could not have possibly been enough for the jury to
    engage in “any real deliberation after it returned to the jury room.” 
    Id.
     In other
    cases, we have noted that timeframes as short as forty-one minutes are sufficient
    indicia that the jury engaged in real deliberation of the case. State v. Myers,
    
    140 N.W.2d 891
    , 898 (Iowa 1966); see, e.g., Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 811
     (two
    and a half hours); Kelley, 
    161 N.W.2d at 126
     (two and a half hours); State v.
    Bogardus, 
    176 N.W. 327
    , 329 (Iowa 1920) (one and a half hours); Armstrong, 136
    N.W. at 690 (one and a half hours).
    The timing factor includes other aspects, although less relevant. In
    Clemens v. Chicago, R.I. & P. Ry., we were concerned that the lengthy
    confinement before and after the verdict-urging instruction with suspect content
    would lead a reasonable juror to believe that they would not be able to leave
    unless they submitted to the jurors’ majority opinion. 144 N.W. at 357. We have
    also looked at the ratio of “the time spent in deliberation before, and the duration
    of the deliberations after, such an instruction was given.” State v. Peirce,
    
    159 N.W. 1050
    , 1054 (Iowa 1916) (explaining prejudice arose when the jury
    spent forty-eight hours deliberating before a verdict-urging instruction
    containing suspect content and returned with a guilty verdict only four hours
    later), overruled on other grounds by State v. McLaughlin, 
    94 N.W.2d 303
    , 310
    34
    (Iowa 1959); see Piper, 
    663 N.W.2d at 912
     (“[W]e note that the length of
    deliberations must be considered in the context of the entire case in deciding
    whether the jury was unfairly coerced into returning a verdict.”). We are also
    cognizant of the time of day and specific day of the week when the verdict is
    announced. See Peirce, 159 N.W. at 1055 (determining prejudice arose after the
    verdict-urging instruction was given when confinement of the jury would have
    been extended into a Sunday because the district judge would not be present to
    receive a verdict on Saturday).
    In the present case, the jury verdict was returned four and a half hours
    after the verdict-urging instruction was given. Four and a half hours was ample
    time for the jurors to engage in meaningful conversation on the evidence
    presented and thoroughly evaluate each other’s opinions. Spending seven hours
    deliberating before the verdict-urging instruction and four and a half hours after
    the instruction is not a suspect ratio to indicate prejudice.
    We do acknowledge that the jury returned a verdict in the late afternoon
    on a Friday. United States v. Murvine, 
    743 F.2d 511
    , 515 (7th Cir. 1984)
    (“[J]urors who begin deliberations at 9:30 on a Friday night, after a full day of
    trial and after serving all week, may be eager to reach a verdict and go home.”).
    However, the court did not mention it was Friday or that there was an upcoming
    weekend in the verdict-urging instruction. See United States v. Flannery, 
    451 F.2d 880
    , 883 (1st Cir. 1971) (finding error when the judge reminded the jury it
    was Friday afternoon). Moreover, the instruction was given at around noon on a
    Friday rather than late at night. United States v. Bailey, 
    468 F.2d 652
    , 664
    35
    (5th Cir. 1972). The four and a half hours of deliberation after the verdict-urging
    instruction is enough to show the jury adequately reconsidered the case even
    with it being a Friday afternoon. See id.
    3. The polling of the jury supports a lack of coercion. “The purpose of polling
    the jury is to determine that the verdict returned is actually the verdict of each
    individual member.” State v. Morelock, 
    164 N.W.2d 819
    , 823 (Iowa 1969). In
    Middle States Utilities Co. v. Incorporated Telephone Co., the district court used a
    verdict-urging instruction that targeted jurors with the minority opinion to
    re-examine their own judgment. 
    271 N.W. at 184
    . A verdict was returned seven
    hours after the instruction. 
    Id.
     During polling, a juror stated “No--I had to” before
    quickly conforming. 
    Id.
     We explained this first utterance “strongly indicates that
    the giving of the verdict inducing instruction had an effect not intended by the
    court in giving the same, namely, to overpersuade or coerce an agreement on the
    part of this particular juror to the verdict which was returned.” 
    Id.
     (granting a
    new trial based on other errors).
    Here, each juror was polled in open court before the trial court judge,
    prosecution, and defense trial counsel. The record indicates the court attendant
    asked each juror whether guilty was that juror’s verdict. Each juror responded
    “yes” to the question. In the record, neither party nor the trial court judge
    identified any hesitation, comments, or body language from the jurors during
    polling that would indicate coercion during the return of the verdict or in the
    motion for a new trial.
    36
    An Allen charge has been sometimes referred to as a “dynamite charge.”
    Kelley, 
    161 N.W.2d at 127
     (Rawlings, J., dissenting) (quoting Green v. United
    States, 
    309 F.2d 852
    , 854 (5th Cir. 1962)). Under the context and circumstances
    of this case, the court’s verdict-urging instruction was no such thing. If anything,
    it was more like a sparkler than a stick of dynamite. It simply refocused the
    jurors on their responsibilities to go back to the jury room and consider the
    evidence and each other’s opinions fairly and properly. We note that similar
    verdict-urging charges were upheld in Campbell and in State v. Parmer, an
    unpublished court of appeals decision referenced by both parties. See Campbell,
    
    294 N.W.2d at 808
    ; State v. Parmer, No. 13–2033, 
    2015 WL 2393652
    , at *6
    (Iowa Ct. App. May 20, 2015). The trial court did not abuse its discretion in
    providing this verdict-urging instruction.
    4. Guidance to the trial courts. We remain steadfast in our approval of the
    verdict-urging instruction procedure suggested for trial courts nearly forty years
    ago in Campbell. Campbell endorsed Iowa Uniform Jury Instruction No. 115
    (currently 100.18), which significantly conforms with section 5.4(a) of the
    American Bar Association (ABA) Standards relating to Trial by Jury. 
    294 N.W.2d at
    812–13. In the present case, we noted the instruction’s absence of problematic
    language and its widespread support across jurisdictions. See 
    id.
     Instead of
    polling it out when a jury appears to be stuck, this instruction should be
    “given at the conclusion of the trial, with the other instructions given to the jury
    before any deliberations have begun.” 
    Id. at 812
    . “If it later appears that the jury
    37
    cannot reach an agreement, the trial court may repeat the instruction before
    requiring continued deliberations.” 
    Id.
     at 812–13.
    Davis argues in his further review application that Campbell prospectively
    mandated the ABA-approved approach. That is incorrect. Campbell’s support of
    the ABA standard was couched in phrases of “we recommend” or “we advise.” 
    Id.
    Campbell did not announce that the ABA approach was mandatory. See, e.g.,
    State v. Jensen, 
    189 N.W.2d 919
    , 924 (Iowa 1971) (“We realize that the present
    decision changes a rule of evidence for criminal trials. The new rule will not be
    applied retrospectively.”); accord Weidul, 
    628 A.2d at 136
     (“Accordingly, we
    announce that departures from the ABA standard, if the subject of a proper
    objection, will be met by this court with summary reversal.”); People v. Sullivan,
    
    220 N.W.2d 441
    , 450 (Mich. 1974) (“Therefore, prospectively from the date of this
    opinion, the ABA standard jury instruction 5.4 as set forth herein is adopted by
    this Court. Any substantial departure therefrom shall be grounds for reversible
    error.”).11
    Regardless, Campbell’s endorsement of the ABA/ISBA instruction is best
    illustrated in State v. Piper. 
    663 N.W.2d at
    910–13. In Piper, the jury told the
    district court that it was unable to reach a verdict after four days of deliberation.
    11This   court cited the American Law Report (ALR) extensively in deciding Campbell.
    
    294 N.W.2d at
    808–13. The ALR explained: “Associated with the determination of prejudicial
    effect is the question of prospective application. In many of the cases in which the Allen charge
    has been abandoned or modified, the courts have announced the new rule prospectively, without
    reversing the conviction under challenge.” Wayne F. Foster, Annotation, Instructions Urging
    Dissenting Jurors in State Criminal Case to Give Due Consideration to Opinion of Majority (Allen
    Charge)—Modern Cases, 
    97 A.L.R.3d 96
    , 104 (1980). Campbell’s lack of an explicit mandatory
    language prospectively adopting the ABA standards appears purposeful in light of the ALR and
    several cases cited therein.
    38
    
    Id.
     at 910–11. In response, the district court “referred the jury to” a verdict-
    urging instruction, modeled substantially after the ABA instruction that was
    approved in Campbell, provided in the original instructions. 
    Id.
     at 911 (citing
    Campbell, 
    294 N.W.2d at 812
    ). The Piper court found no objectionable language
    in this instruction and concluded that ten to eleven hours of deliberation after
    the postverdict-urging instruction was enough time for the jury to adequately
    reconsider the evidence and their opinions. 
    Id. at 912
    . We believe the best option
    is to closely follow the process set out in Piper and utilize the approved ABA/ISBA
    instruction described in Campbell in the initial instructions and remind the jury
    of this initial instruction if the jury is deadlocked:
    When you begin your deliberations, you should select a
    foreperson. He or she shall see that your deliberations are carried
    on in an orderly manner, that the issues are fully and freely
    discussed, and that every juror is given an opportunity to express
    his or her views.
    In order to return a verdict, each juror must agree to it. Your
    verdict must be unanimous.
    It is your duty as jurors to consult with one another and reach
    an agreement, if you can do so without compromising your
    individual judgment. Each of you must decide the case for yourself,
    but do so only after an impartial consideration of the evidence with
    the other jurors.
    During your deliberations, do not hesitate to re-examine your
    view and change your opinion if convinced it is wrong. But do not
    change your opinion as to the weight or effect of the evidence just
    because it is the opinion of the other jurors or for the mere purpose
    of returning a verdict.
    Your attitude at the beginning of your deliberations is
    important. It is not a good idea for you to take a position before
    thoroughly discussing this case with the other jurors. If you do this,
    individual pride may become involved and you may later hesitate to
    change an announced position even if shown it may be incorrect.
    39
    Remember, you are not partisans or advocates but are judges—
    judges of the facts. Your sole interest is to find the truth and do
    justice.
    
    Id.
     at 911 n.3.
    IV. Conclusion.
    For these reasons, we affirm the decision of the court of appeals and the
    district court judgment, and we remand the case for entry of the nunc pro tunc
    order.
    DECISION OF COURT OF APPEALS AFFIRMED; DISTRICT COURT
    JUDGMENT AFFIRMED AND CASE REMANDED WITH INSTRUCTIONS.
    Christensen, C.J., and Waterman, Mansfield, McDonald, Oxley, and
    McDermott, JJ., join this opinion. Appel, J., files a concurrence in part and
    dissent in part.
    40
    #19–0453, State v. Ethan Davis
    APPEL, Justice (concurring in part and dissenting in part).
    I. Introduction.
    I respectfully concur in part and dissent in part. I agree with the court’s
    thorough reasoning on instructional issues related to deadlocked juries. I would
    not, however, provide muscular dicta declaring that while both the “firmly
    convinced” instruction offered by the State and the “firmly convinced” and
    “hesitate to act” instruction offered by the defendant are constitutionally
    acceptable, district courts should “solely” use the State’s “firmly convinced”
    formulation.
    I cannot agree for several reasons. First, the majority’s straightjacket on
    the acceptable formulation of a reasonable doubt instruction by the district court
    is unnecessary to resolve the case. We are not, of course, an Article III court, and
    thus our constitution does not expressly limit our power to “cases” and
    “controversies,” but we should exercise caution in deciding complicated jury
    instruction issues in advisory opinions not essential to the judgment. U.S. Const.
    art. III, § 2. As will be seen below, this case is a poor vehicle to reach out to
    engage in a rulemaking-type proceeding as a number of instructional
    alternatives have not been thoroughly explored or illuminated.
    Second, we have repeatedly not engaged in prescriptive wordsmithing on
    jury instructions. The well-established law is that the district court “is not
    required to give any particular form of an instruction; rather, the court must
    merely give instructions that fairly state the law as applied to the facts of the
    41
    case.” State v. Marin, 
    788 N.W.2d 833
    , 838 (Iowa 2010), overruled on other
    grounds by Alcala v. Marriott Int’l, Inc., 
    880 N.W.2d 699
    , 708 n.3 (Iowa 2016).
    But today, the majority concludes that the district court may not decide to
    use a constitutionally acceptable alternative jury instruction on reasonable
    doubt. Although not stated in the majority opinion, there can be little doubt that
    it overrules a long and well-established line of our caselaw providing discretion
    to district court judges relating to the formulation of appropriate jury
    instructions. See State v. Hibdon, 
    505 N.W.2d 502
    , 506 (Iowa Ct. App. 1993).
    Whatever is at work in the majority’s advisory opinion, it is not stare decisis.
    Third, the majority does not recognize that the “firmly convinced”
    instruction that the State urges us to approve, and which the majority so warmly
    embraces, is not the “firmly convinced” instruction approved by the Federal
    Judicial Center (FJC) in 1987. As will be seen below, the language in the State’s
    proposed instruction varies materially from the FJC’s version.
    Finally, if we are now in the business of fashioning a mandatory reasonable
    doubt jury instruction for all Iowa judges to use through the end of time, we
    should at least broaden our horizons to select the best reasonable doubt
    instruction available. Before putting judicial concrete around our reasonable
    doubt instruction, we should engage in a thorough analysis of all available
    alternatives. We do not want to entomb an instruction in our law when we’ve
    limited our choices to two alternatives even though many others are available.
    42
    II. The Majority Does Not Address the Question of Whether
    “Reasonable Doubt” Should Be Further Defined or Why the Phrase “Firmly
    Convinced” is Helpful.
    The majority is confident that reasonable doubt needs to be further defined
    with its proposed brief “firmly convinced” language. Note the word “reasonable”
    is replaced with “firmly” and the word “doubt” is replaced with the word
    “convinced.” On the surface, the majority’s preferred reformulation looks to me
    like a ratcheting up of language rather than an effort to clarify it.
    As a result of similar concerns, many courts have been more cautious than
    the majority in providing alternative words for “reasonable doubt.” There is
    authority for the proposition that the term “reasonable doubt” should not be
    further defined because to do so introduces more trouble than benefit. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Walton, 
    207 F.3d 694
    , 697–99 (4th Cir. 2000) (en banc) (per
    curiam) (noting that any attempts to define reasonable doubt do not usually
    result in making it clearer and that only a jury can truly define reasonable
    doubt); United States v. Cassiere, 
    4 F.3d 1006
    , 1024 (1st Cir. 1993) (concluding
    that an instruction that requires a reasonable doubt standard “without [a]
    definition adequately apprises the jury of the proper burden of proof” (quoting
    United States v. Olmstead, 
    832 F.2d 642
    , 646 (1st Cir. 1987))); United States v.
    Taylor, 
    997 F.2d 1551
    , 1558 (D.C. Cir. 1993) (pointing out that ordinarily, a
    judge may be best advised to attempt no definition of reasonable doubt unless
    the jury requests it because experience has shown that doing so “add[s] little in
    the way of clarity and often add[s] much in the way of confusion and
    controversy”); People v. Johnson, 
    171 N.E.3d 936
    , 940 (Ill. App. Ct. 2020) (noting
    43
    that Illinois law is clear that neither the court nor the attorneys should attempt
    to define reasonable doubt because the term should be self-defining and needs
    no elaboration); State v. Levitt, 
    148 A.3d 204
    , 211 (Vt. 2016) (recognizing that
    “attempting to define reasonable doubt is a ‘hazardous undertaking,’ ” and thus
    the court “continue[s] to discourage trial judges from trying such an explanation”
    (quoting State v. Francis, 
    561 A.2d 392
    , 396 (Vt. 1989))); Paulson v. State, 
    28 S.W.3d 570
    , 573 (Tex. Crim. App. 2000) (holding that “the better practice is to
    give no definition of reasonable doubt at all to the jury”); The Comm. on Federal
    Criminal Jury Instructions of the Seventh Cir., The William J. Bauer Pattern
    Criminal Jury Instructions of the Seventh Circuit § 1.04 & comm. cmt. (2020)
    [hereinafter 7th Circuit’s Criminal Jury Instructions] (providing no model
    instruction on reasonable doubt and noting that it would be “inappropriate” for
    the trial judge to attempt to do so). As noted in one United States Court of
    Appeals for the First Circuit case, “[m]ost efforts at clarification result in further
    obfuscation of the concept.” United States v. Campbell, 
    874 F.2d 838
    , 843 (1st
    Cir. 1989) (quoting Olmstead, 
    832 F.2d at 645
    ). I am not ready to embrace the
    nihilistic view that no adequate reasonable doubt construction may be
    developed, but I regard the above line of cases as waiving a yellow flag as this
    court roars past on its racecar docket. We need to be very careful to analyze any
    proposed instruction and carefully weigh its virtues and vices against those that
    inhere in other alternatives.
    44
    III. The Majority’s Proposed Mandatory Reasonable Doubt Instruction
    Omits Critical Language in the Federal Judicial Center Model Instruction.
    The majority apparently believes that the “firmly convinced” instruction as
    used in this case best captures reasonable doubt. The majority defends its
    endorsement by pointing out that some jurists, academics, and litigants seem to
    embrace a version of a reasonable doubt instruction approved by the FJC about
    fifty years ago. See Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Criminal Jury Instructions § 21, at 28–
    29 (1987) [hereinafter Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Instructions]; see also State v. Frei,
    
    831 N.W.2d 70
    , 78–79 (Iowa 2013), overruled on other grounds by Alcala, 880
    N.W.2d at 708 n.3.
    But the clipped “firmly convinced” version endorsed by the majority in this
    case lacks critical language contained in the FJC model. The materially different
    FJC model instruction on reasonable doubt is as follows:
    Proof beyond a reasonable doubt is proof that leaves you
    firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt. There are very few things
    in this world that we know with absolute certainty, and in criminal
    cases the law does not require proof that overcomes every possible
    doubt. If, based on your consideration of the evidence, you are firmly
    convinced that the defendant is guilty of the crime charged, you
    must find him guilty. If, on the other hand, you think there is a real
    possibility that he is not guilty, you must give him the benefit of the
    doubt and find him not guilty.
    Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Instructions § 21, at 28–29 (emphasis added).
    Now, compare that FJC language to the district court instruction issued
    in this case endorsed by the majority:
    The burden is on the State to prove Ethan Landon Davis guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    45
    A reasonable doubt is one that fairly and naturally arises from
    the evidence in the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence
    produced by the State.
    If, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence, you
    are firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you have no
    reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant guilty.
    But if, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence in
    the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence produced by the
    State, you are not firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you
    have a reasonable doubt and you should find the defendant not
    guilty.
    These two instructions, of course, are quite different. The last paragraph from
    the State’s version in this case is merely a repetition of the previous language
    expressed but put in a negative voice. It adds nothing to help the jurors
    understand the concept of reasonable doubt—and perhaps even makes it more
    confusing. See Paulson, 
    28 S.W.3d at 573
     (cautioning that it would be ill advised
    for the court to provide the jury with a redundant and confusing definition). And,
    strikingly and inexplicably, the majority’s proposed instruction lacks the critical
    last sentence of the FJC version, namely: “If on the other hand, you think there
    is a real possibility that he is not guilty, you must give him the benefit of the
    doubt and find him not guilty.” Fed. Jud. Ctr., Pattern Instructions § 21, at 28.
    The majority does not explain why it approves an instruction that omits this
    important language from the FJC model instruction.
    In fact, none of the cases cited in Frei—United States v. Rodriguez, 
    162 F.3d 135
    , 145–46 (1st Cir. 1998) (including the “real possibility” language in the
    46
    FJC model instruction)12, United States v. Reese, 
    33 F.3d 166
    , 170 (2d Cir. 1994)
    (adopting the FJC model instruction verbatim), United States v. Williams, 
    20 F.3d 125
    , 127–28 (5th Cir. 1994) (same), and United States v. Conway, 
    73 F.3d 975
    ,
    980 (10th Cir. 1995) (same)—resemble the language we have here. See Frei, 831
    N.W.2d at 78–79. Notably, there is no model jury instruction in the federal
    circuits that resembles the instruction endorsed in this case.13
    The majority cites Irwin Horowitz’s study to show that the “firmly
    convinced” formation is more likely to enhance jury performance. See Irwin A.
    12In   Rodriquez, the instruction at issue read, in part:
    A reasonable doubt may arise not only from the evidence produced but also from
    the lack of such evidence. A reasonable doubt exists when, after weighing and
    considering all the evidence in the case, using your reason and common sense,
    you cannot say that you have a firm and settled conviction that the charge is true.
    It is not enough for the government to establish a probability, even a strong
    probability, that a defendant is more likely guilty than not. That is not enough.
    Proof beyond a reasonable doubt must be proof of such a convincing character
    that you can, consistent with your oath as jurors, conscientiously base your
    verdict upon it. If you so find as to a defendant, you will return a verdict of guilty.
    On the other hand, if you think there is a real possibility that the defendant is not
    guilty of the charges, you must give the defendant the benefit of that doubt and
    find him not guilty.
    
    162 F.3d at 145
    .
    13Among all the circuit courts’ pattern jury instructions, five have adopted the “hesitate
    to act” language. See Comm. on Model Criminal Jury Instructions: Third Cir., Model Criminal
    Jury Instructions § 3.06 (2018); Comm. on Pattern Jury Instructions, Pattern Jury Instructions
    (Criminal Cases) § 1.05 (2019) (Fifth Circuit); Sixth Cir. Comm. on Pattern Criminal Jury
    Instructions, Pattern Criminal Jury Instructions § 1.03 (2021); Jud. Comm. on Model Jury
    Instructions for the Eighth Cir., Manual of Model Jury Instructions for the District Courts of the
    Eighth Circuit § 3.11 (2021); Jud. Council of the United States Eleventh Judicial Cir., Pattern
    Jury Instructions for Criminal Cases § B3 (2022). Only the First Circuit, the Ninth Circuit, and
    the Tenth Circuit have chosen the FJC’s “firmly convinced” formulation. See United States
    District Court: District of Maine, 2022 Revisions to Pattern Criminal Jury Instructions for the
    District Courts of the First Circuit § 3.02 & cmt. 4 (2022); Ninth Circuit Jury Instructions Comm.,
    Manual of Model Criminal Jury Instructions for the District Courts of the Ninth Circuit § 6.5 (2021);
    Criminal Pattern Jury Instruction Comm. of the United States Court of Appeals for the Tenth
    Cir., Criminal Pattern Jury Instructions § 1.05 (2021). The Seventh Circuit refuses to provide any
    definition of reasonable doubt. See 7th Circuit’s Criminal Jury Instructions § 1.04. Notice that
    even the circuit courts that have adopted the “firmly convinced” instruction follow the FJC
    formulation, which little resembles the one in this case.
    47
    Horowitz, Reasonable Doubt Instructions: Commonsense Justice and Standard of
    Proof, 3 Psychol. Pub. Pol’y & L. 285, 296–97, 300 (1997) [hereinafter Horowitz].
    Yet, Horowitz’s study actually used the FJC model instruction, which, as
    established earlier, was nothing like the one favored by the majority. Id. at 294–
    98. The majority cites to no empirical study establishing that the clipped “firmly
    convinced” formulation used here would yield the same result. Additionally, the
    “hesitation” formulation Horowitz used in his research was also materially
    different from the “hesitate to act” language in The Iowa State Bar Association’s
    (ISBA) model instruction. Compare id. at 294 (“Proof beyond a reasonable doubt
    means that you are not left with a real doubt that the defendant is not guilty;
    real doubt means a hesitation[.]”), with Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury
    Instruction 100.10 (2020) (“A reasonable doubt is a doubt based upon reason and
    common sense, and not the mere possibility of innocence. A reasonable doubt is the
    kind of doubt that would make a reasonable person hesitate to act.”).
    The bottom line is that the clipped “firmly convinced” instruction in this
    case is materially different from the one proposed by the FJC. To adopt the
    majority’s instruction is to reject the work of the FJC in favor of a repetitive and
    potentially unbalanced instruction.
    IV. Mixed Judicial Responses to the “Firmly Convinced” Approach to
    the Reasonable Doubt Instruction of the Federal Judicial Center.
    A. Federal Courts. The federal courts are not uniform on the issue of the
    reasonable doubt instruction. As noted above, the Seventh Circuit has declined
    to provide further elaboration on the ground of causing confusion. And, some
    48
    courts have been critical of the “firmly convinced” formulation. For instance, in
    United States v. Woodward, the First Circuit stated:
    [W]e have previously joined other circuits in criticizing the Federal
    Judicial Center Instruction from which the district court’s “firmly
    convinced” language is drawn. . . . We have expressed particular
    concern that “many definitions reduce the burden of proof on the
    government by expanding the degree of doubt permissible . . . .”
    
    149 F.3d 46
    , 69 n.15 (1st Cir. 1998) (citations omitted). The First Circuit
    subsequently endorsed a reasonable doubt instruction given by the district court
    in United States v. Cleveland that avoided the firmly convinced language. 
    106 F.3d 1056
     (1st Cir. 1997), abrogated on other grounds by Brache v. United States,
    
    165 F.3d 99
     (1st Cir. 1999).
    In 1994, the Fifth Circuit considered the “firmly convinced” language in
    United States v. Williams, 
    20 F.3d at 131
    . The Williams court concluded that the
    “firmly convinced” formulation was satisfactory in light of the instructions as a
    whole, which included the “real possibility” language contained in the FJC model
    but excised in the State’s proposed instruction in this case. 
    Id.
    The great majority of the federal circuit courts have also not gone along
    with the recommendations of the FJC and instead include in their model
    instructions the “hesitate to act”-type approach in the ISBA’s model instruction.
    See Comm. on Model Criminal Jury Instructions: Third Cir., Model Criminal Jury
    Instructions § 3.06 (2018) (“A reasonable doubt is a fair doubt based on reason,
    logic, common sense, or experience. It is a doubt that an ordinary reasonable
    person has after carefully weighing all of the evidence, and is a doubt of the sort
    that would cause him or her to hesitate to act in matters of importance in his or
    49
    her own life.”); Comm. on Pattern Jury Instructions, Pattern Jury Instructions
    (Criminal Cases) § 1.05 (2019) (Fifth Circuit instruction stating: “Proof beyond a
    reasonable doubt, therefore, is proof of such a convincing character that you
    would be willing to rely and act upon it without hesitation in making the most
    important decisions of your own affairs”); Sixth Cir. Comm. on Pattern Criminal
    Jury Instructions, Pattern Criminal Jury Instructions § 1.03 (2021) (“Proof beyond
    a reasonable doubt means proof which is so convincing that you would not
    hesitate to rely and act on it in making the most important decisions in your own
    lives.”); Jud. Comm. on Model Jury Instructions for the Eighth Cir., Manual of
    Model Jury Instructions for the District Courts of the Eighth Circuit § 3.11 (2021)
    (“Proof beyond a reasonable doubt is proof of such a convincing character that a
    reasonable person, after careful consideration, would not hesitate to rely and act
    upon that proof in life’s most important decisions.”); Judicial Council of the
    United States Eleventh Judicial Cir., Pattern Jury Instructions for Criminal Cases
    § B3 (2022) (“ ‘Proof beyond a reasonable doubt’ is proof so convincing that you
    would be willing to rely and act on it without hesitation in the most important of
    your own affairs.”).
    The Tenth Circuit in one case even noted that the “hesitate to act”
    instruction is the better language to describe reasonable doubt. United States v.
    Barrera-Gonzales, 
    952 F.2d 1269
    , 1273 (10th Cir. 1992) (“[I]t should be
    emphasized that the ‘hesitate to act’ language in our opinion more effectively
    conveys to a jury the meaning of reasonable doubt than most other
    50
    formulations.” (alteration in original) (quoting United States v. Hart, 
    407 F.2d 1087
    , 1091 (2d Cir. 1969))).
    The bottom line is that in the federal courts, there is a somewhat mixed
    view of the FJC model instruction on reasonable doubt. There is some authority,
    however, for the proposition that the inclusion of the “real possibility” language
    might help save the instruction from understating the State’s burden when using
    the term “firmly convinced.”
    The majority pointed out that the “real possibility” language could lead to
    the burden shifting to the defendant. That argument was, of course, repeatedly
    rejected by courts. Victor v. Nebraska, 
    511 U.S. 1
    , 26 (1994) (Ginsburg, J.,
    concurring in part and concurring in the judgment) (describing the FJC
    instruction containing the “real possibility” language as “clear, straightforward,
    and accurate”); United States v. Gibson, 
    726 F.2d 869
    , 874 (1st Cir. 1984)
    (holding that when the charge is read as a whole, the “real possibility” language
    would not cause burden shifting because other parts of the instruction were
    sufficient to dispel any possible confusion); Reese, 
    33 F.3d at 172
     (rejecting
    argument that “real possibility” language burdens the defendant and holding
    that “[j]ury instructions must be viewed as a whole and in the context of the
    entire trial”).
    B. State Courts. The approach to reasonable doubt instructions in the
    state courts is mixed. For instance, in State v. Perez, the Intermediate Court of
    Appeals of Hawaii rejected the “firmly convinced” formulation as “so like the term
    ‘firm belief of conviction’ that is associated in law with . . . clear and convincing
    51
    evidence” to be beyond a reasonable doubt. 
    976 P.2d 427
    , 443 (Haw. Ct. App.
    1998), aff’d in part, rev’d in part on other grounds, 
    976 P.2d 379
     (Haw. 1999).
    The Hawaii court declared that the “firmly convinced” language of the instruction
    “diminished the very high standard by which the jury must abide in order to
    convict.” 
    Id. at 443
    .
    Hawaii is not alone in rejecting the “firmly convinced” language. Although
    representing a minority of jurisdictions, several other states have latched onto
    the notion of reasonable doubt as “having a ‘convincing character’ which a
    reasonable person ‘would not hesitate to rely and act upon.’ ” See Richard E.
    Welch III, “Give Me That Old Time Religion”: The Persistence of the Webster
    Reasonable Doubt Instruction and the Need to Abandon It, 
    48 New Eng. L. Rev. 31
    , 45 n.73 (2013) (citing state jury instructions using the “convincing character”
    language).
    In State v. Putz, the Nebraska Supreme Court considered a “firmly
    convinced” instruction. 
    662 N.W.2d 606
    , 611–15 (Neb. 2003) (per curiam). Like
    the Fifth Circuit in United States v. Williams, the Nebraska Supreme Court
    acknowledged the critique of the “firmly convinced” language. Putz, 662 N.W.2d
    at 613–14 (noting that the Hawaii court’s criticism of the “firmly convinced”
    formula was “valid”). Yet, it found the instruction’s overall language acceptable
    in large part due to the other amplifications within the instructions. Id. at 614–
    15; see also Winegeart v. State, 
    665 N.E.2d 893
    , 904–05 (Ind. 1996) (DeBruler,
    J., concurring in result) (“I do not believe that ‘firmly convinced’ equates to
    ‘beyond a reasonable doubt.’ Both objectively and subjectively, ‘firmly convinced’
    52
    seems more similar to ‘clear and convincing’ than to beyond a ‘reasonable
    doubt.’ ”); State v. Crenshaw, 
    366 N.E.2d 84
    , 85 (Ohio Ct. App. 1977) (stating
    that the “firmly convinced” language represents an appropriate but lesser
    standard of proof than the former “moral certainty” language).
    C. Scholarly Commentary. The “firmly convinced” language of the FJC
    has been the subject of scholarly criticism. As noted by one commentator, “[a]t
    least at a common sense level, it would seem possible to be ‘firmly convinced’ of
    something about which we may not have ‘proof beyond a reasonable doubt.’ ”
    Miller W. Shealy, Jr., A Reasonable Doubt About “Reasonable Doubt”, 
    65 Okla. L. Rev. 251
    , 253 n.155 (2013). And another commentator observed: “I do not think
    it a semantic quibble to say that while ‘firmly convinced’ is a phrase less
    sententious and archaic than ‘abiding conviction,’ it does not connote the
    emphasis and specificity of ‘subjective state of certitude’ or ‘subjective state of
    near certitude.’ ” Stephen J. Fortunato, Jr., Instructing on Reasonable Doubt after
    Victor v. Nebraska: A Trial Judge’s Certain Thoughts on Certainty, 
    41 Vill. L. Rev. 365
    , 390 n.105 (1996).
    Although the meaning of “firmly convinced” is quickly grasped, the
    standard of proof suggested by the phrase is vague. A juror satisfied
    by the less rigorous “clear and convincing evidence” standard might
    also be described as “firmly convinced” of a fact. Determining
    whether proof has been established beyond a reasonable doubt
    requires a unique thought process. Simply stating that a juror must
    be “firmly convinced of the defendant’s guilt” undermines this
    process.
    Paul C. Smith, Note, The Process of Reasonable Doubt: A Proposed Instruction in
    Response to Victor v. Nebraska, 
    41 Wayne L. Rev. 1811
    , 1839 (1995).
    53
    V. The Controversial “Hesitate to Act” Language is Not Included in
    ISBA’s Model Instruction.
    The majority emphasizes Justice Ginsburg’s offhand comment in Victor
    seemingly to approve of the “firmly convinced” approach. But, the United States
    Supreme Court in Holland v. United States declared that a reasonable doubt
    instruction “should have been in terms of the kind of doubt that would make a
    person hesitate to act.” 
    348 U.S. 121
    , 140 (1954).
    Of course, as the majority correctly points out, the “hesitate to act”
    language in a reasonable doubt instruction has been subject to criticism. See,
    e.g., Gilday v. Callahan, 
    59 F.3d 257
    , 264 (1st Cir. 1995) (noting that “hesitate
    to act” language is arguably unhelpful); United States v. O’Brien, 
    972 F.2d 12
    ,
    15–16 (1st Cir. 1992) (per curiam) (asserting that “hesitate to act” instruction
    undermines the constitutionally required burden of proof). But so has the “firmly
    convinced” language. And, the criticism of “hesitate to act” instruction often
    focuses on the comparison of “conviction” in a criminal trial to important private
    decisions, a comparison notably not made in the ISBA’s model instruction.14
    14The   Iowa State Bar Association’s model instruction provides, in part:
    The burden is on the State to prove (name of defendant) guilty beyond a
    reasonable doubt.
    A reasonable doubt is one that fairly and naturally arises from the evidence
    in the case, or from the lack or failure of evidence produced by the State.
    A reasonable doubt is a doubt based upon reason and common sense, and
    not the mere possibility of innocence. A reasonable doubt is the kind of doubt that
    would make a reasonable person hesitate to act. Proof beyond a reasonable doubt,
    therefore, must be proof of such a convincing character that a reasonable person
    would not hesitate to rely and act upon it. However, proof beyond a reasonable
    doubt does not mean proof beyond all possible doubt.
    54
    VI. Overview of Choices.
    I am concerned that there has been a general erosion of the concept of
    reasonable doubt. In the past, instructions were often based upon the concept
    of moral certainty but now tend to embrace secular language in an effort to
    update the language. But any substituted “firmly convinced” language may imply
    a lesser burden. See Crenshaw, 
    366 N.E.2d at 85
     (characterizing “firmly
    convinced” as providing less of a burden than the old definition of “moral
    certainty” and thus giving an advantage to the state).
    I would hesitate to act in this case to endorse the clipped version of the
    “firmly convinced” language given the advisory posture of the case, the limited
    briefing, and the wide variety of considerations that might be brought to bear on
    the question. If there is a need to address a reasonable doubt instruction yet
    again, I would instead engage in a rulemaking-type process on the question that
    can consider the issue more broadly. Empirical research showed that what
    definition is used makes a “significant difference” in the outcome of a case.
    Horowitz, 3 Psychol. Pub. Pol’y & L. at 292. Any rush decision on this important
    matter would be ill advised.
    If, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence, you are firmly
    convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you have no reasonable doubt and you
    should find the defendant guilty.
    But if, after a full and fair consideration of all the evidence in the case, or
    from the lack or failure of evidence produced by the State, you are not firmly
    convinced of the defendant’s guilt, then you have a reasonable doubt and you
    should find the defendant not guilty.
    Iowa State Bar Ass’n, Iowa Criminal Jury Instruction 100.10 (2020).
    55
    If forced to choose today, however, I would not warmly embrace the old
    Frei language but would likely follow the ISBA’s model instruction until we come
    up with something better. In the alternative, I’d give strong consideration to the
    formulation of reasonable doubt in the trial court’s instruction approved by the
    First Circuit in Cleveland, 
    106 F.3d at
    1062–63,15 and to the Eighth Circuit’s
    model instruction. But the majority makes its choice with a truncated analysis
    that gives insufficient attention to the crosscurrents implicated by the
    15In   Cleveland, the instruction read:
    As I have said, the burden is upon the Government to prove beyond a
    reasonable doubt that a defendant is guilty of the charge made against the
    defendant. It is a strict and heavy burden, but it does not mean that a defendant’s
    guilt must be proved beyond all possible doubt. It does require that the evidence
    exclude any reasonable doubt concerning a defendant’s guilt.
    A reasonable doubt may arise not only from the evidence produced but
    also from a lack of evidence. Reasonable doubt exists when, after weighing and
    considering all the evidence, using reason and common sense, jurors cannot say
    that they have a settled conviction of the truth of the charge.
    Of course, a defendant is never to be convicted on suspicion or conjecture.
    If, for example, you view the evidence in the case as reasonably permitting either
    of two conclusions—one that a defendant is guilty as charged, the other that the
    defendant is not guilty—you will find the defendant not guilty.
    It is not sufficient for the Government to establish a probability, though a
    strong one, that a fact charged is more likely to be true than not true. That is not
    enough to meet the burden of proof beyond reasonable doubt. On the other hand,
    there are very few things in this world that we know with absolute certainty, and
    in criminal cases, the law does not require proof that overcomes every possible
    doubt.
    Concluding my instructions on the burden, then, I instruct you that what
    the Government must do to meet its heavy burden is to establish the truth of each
    part of each offense charged by proof that convinces you and leaves you with no
    reasonable doubt, and thus satisfies you that you can, consistently with your oath
    as jurors, base your verdict upon it. If you so find as to a particular charge against
    a defendant, you will return a verdict of guilty on that charge. If, on the other
    hand, you think there is a reasonable doubt about whether the defendant is guilty
    of a particular offense, you must give the defendant the benefit of the doubt and
    find the defendant not guilty of that offense.
    
    106 F.3d at
    1062–63.
    56
    reasonable doubt instruction. As a result, I cannot join the opinion on the
    reasonable doubt instruction question.16
    16Davis does not challenge the constitutionality of the Frei instruction. There can be no
    abuse of discretion for giving a constitutionally valid instruction absent some other infirmity. So
    here, given the advocacy, it is not possible to find an abuse of discretion in this case.