Commonwealth v. Roberts , 472 Mass. 355 ( 2015 )


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    SJC-11825
    COMMONWEALTH   vs.   JOSEPH L. ROBERTS.
    Plymouth.     April 7, 2015. - July 30, 2015.
    Present:    Gants, C.J., Spina, Cordy, Botsford, Duffly, Lenk, &
    Hines, JJ.
    Sex Offender. Practice, Criminal, Plea, Sentence, Waiver.     Due
    Process of Law, Plea. Constitutional Law, Waiver of
    constitutional rights.
    Indictments found and returned in the Superior Court
    Department on November 8, 2002.
    A motion to withdraw a plea of guilty and for a new trial,
    filed on February 10, 2012, was heard by Raymond P. Veary, Jr.,
    J.
    The Supreme Judicial Court on its own initiative
    transferred the case from the Appeals Court.
    Carolyn A. Burbine, Assistant District Attorney, for the
    Commonwealth.
    Jeanne M. Kempthorne for the defendant.
    Jeffrey G. Harris, for William J. Sylvester, amicus curiae,
    submitted a brief.
    CORDY, J.     In 2005, the defendant pleaded guilty to several
    sexual offenses, including forcible rape, committed against
    2
    three children.   Neither his defense counsel nor the judge who
    accepted his guilty pleas informed the defendant that his sexual
    offense convictions could, pursuant to G. L. c. 123A, serve as a
    predicate for civil confinement as a sexually dangerous person
    for from one day to life.   Although each conviction of forcible
    rape of a child carried a maximum sentence of life in prison, by
    pleading guilty to them the defendant obtained a sentence of
    from not less than nine to not more than thirteen years in the
    State prison.
    Subsequently, after learning of the possibility of a
    lifetime of civil confinement, the defendant moved to withdraw
    his guilty pleas.   A judge in the Superior Court allowed the
    defendant's motion on the ground that the failure of the plea
    judge to inform the defendant of possible civil commitment
    violated due process and Mass. R. Crim. P. 12 (c) (3) (B), as
    appearing in 
    442 Mass. 1511
    (2004) (rule 12).1   The fulcrum of
    the judge's decision was an analogy to Padilla v. Kentucky, 
    559 U.S. 356
    , 369 (2010), a case in which the United States Supreme
    Court held that the failure of counsel to advise a noncitizen
    that his or her guilty plea likely would lead to deportation
    1
    In relevant part, Mass. R. Crim. P. 12 (c) (3) (B), as
    appearing in 
    442 Mass. 1511
    (2004) (rule 12), provided that a
    judge accepting a guilty plea "shall inform the defendant on the
    record, in open court . . . of any different or additional
    punishment based upon subsequent offense or sexually dangerous
    persons provisions of the General Laws, if applicable."
    3
    constituted ineffective assistance of counsel under the Sixth
    Amendment to the United States Constitution.
    We conclude that the analogy to Padilla is inapt.
    Nonetheless, given the significant deprivation of liberty at
    stake, we also conclude that the defendant may withdraw his plea
    if he can establish a reasonable probability that he would not
    have pleaded guilty had he been informed by the judge of the
    possibility of future civil confinement as required by rule 12.
    Because the record is not fully developed on this point, we
    vacate the order allowing the defendant to withdraw his guilty
    pleas and remand the matter for further findings and rulings
    germane to the correct legal standard.2
    1.   Background.   We summarize the material facts in the
    record, reserving certain details for the issues raised on
    appeal.   In November, 2002, the defendant was indicted on five
    counts of rape of a child under sixteen years of age by force,
    in violation of G. L. c. 265, § 22A; four counts of rape of a
    child under sixteen years of age, in violation of G. L. c. 265,
    § 23; four counts of indecent assault and battery of a child
    under fourteen years of age, in violation of G. L. c. 265,
    § 13B; and one count of assault and battery, in violation of
    G. L. c. 265, § 13A (a).    The indictments were premised on a
    2
    We acknowledge the amicus curiae brief submitted by
    William J. Sylvester.
    4
    series of sexual acts committed against three children over a
    period of six years.
    According to the affidavits and other materials submitted
    in support of the defendant's motion to withdraw his guilty
    pleas, in April, 2003, he first met with the attorney whom he
    hired to represent him in defending against these charges.      His
    attorney was frequently unreachable by telephone to discuss the
    case, missed several court dates, and did not meet with the
    defendant again until around January, 2005.3   On February 1,
    2005, the defendant met with the attorney for about five minutes
    in a hallway in the court house.   The attorney advised him that
    he was not prepared to go to trial, that he had "brokered" a
    deal with the judge, and that the defendant had to plead guilty
    to get the deal.   He did not advise the defendant that pleading
    guilty could serve as a predicate for his civil confinement as a
    sexually dangerous person pursuant to G. L. c. 123A.
    The next day, the defendant pleaded guilty to each of the
    fourteen counts.   A judge in the Superior Court (plea judge)
    conducted a colloquy in which she advised the defendant of
    several consequences of his pleas, but did not mention the
    possibility of civil confinement as a sexually dangerous person.
    The judge inquired whether the defendant was under the influence
    3
    The attorney was publicly reprimanded by the Board of Bar
    Overseers in connection with his performance in this case.
    5
    of alcohol or drugs; the defendant stated that he had taken only
    prescribed medications and confirmed that he understood the
    consequences of his pleas.   The judge accepted the pleas and
    sentenced the defendant to concurrent terms resulting in an
    aggregate sentence of not less than nine to not more than
    thirteen years in the State prison.   The defendant was also
    sentenced to five years of probation, ordered to participate in
    sexual offender treatment, and notified of his obligation to
    register as a sexual offender.
    Soon thereafter, the defendant had second thoughts about
    the sentences he received and contacted his attorney, who filed
    a motion to revoke and revise the sentences, which motion was
    denied.   The defendant was then provided with appellate counsel
    by the Committee for Public Counsel Services (CPCS).     Although
    civil confinement proceedings had not -- and have still not --
    been commenced, the defendant learned of the possibility that he
    could be confined as a sexually dangerous person as a
    consequence of his convictions.   The defendant requested that
    his appointed appellate counsel file a motion to withdraw his
    guilty pleas on the grounds that, inter alia, his plea counsel
    was ineffective and that he was never advised of the possibility
    of civil confinement as a consequence of his pleas.     Appellate
    counsel declined to include these arguments in the motion
    because they detracted from what counsel viewed as the
    6
    defendant's strongest argument, which was that the defendant was
    not mentally competent at the time of his guilty pleas.     The
    defendant's motion to withdraw his pleas was denied without a
    hearing.    In an unpublished memorandum and order pursuant to its
    rule 1:28, the Appeals Court affirmed, and we denied the
    defendant's application for further appellate review.     See
    Commonwealth v. Roberts, 
    73 Mass. App. Ct. 1116
    , S.C., 
    453 Mass. 1107
    (2009).
    Subsequently, in 2009, the defendant filed pro se a second
    motion to withdraw his guilty pleas, this time asserting the
    claims of ineffective assistance of counsel and the judge's
    failure to advise him of the possibility of civil confinement.
    The defendant was appointed new counsel and an evidentiary
    hearing was held on the defendant's motion.   A judge in the
    Superior Court (not the judge who accepted the guilty pleas)
    allowed the defendant's motion to withdraw his pleas on the
    ground that the plea judge's failure to advise the defendant of
    the possibility of civil confinement violated due process and
    rule 12.4   The motion judge did not address the defendant's
    ineffective assistance of counsel argument.    The Commonwealth
    4
    The plea judge retired prior to the defendant's first
    motion to withdraw his pleas, which was therefore decided by a
    different judge. A third judge held the hearing on the
    defendant's second motion to withdraw his pleas, but retired
    prior to deciding it. The fourth judge rendered his decision
    based on the hearing held by the third judge.
    7
    appealed, and we transferred the case to this court on our own
    motion.
    2.    Discussion.    a.    Waiver.   "A postsentence motion to
    withdraw a plea is treated as a motion for a new trial."
    Commonwealth v. Berrios, 
    447 Mass. 701
    , 708 (2006), cert.
    denied, 
    550 U.S. 907
    (2007), quoting Commonwealth v. Conaghan,
    
    433 Mass. 105
    , 106 (2000).        Any grounds for relief not raised by
    the defendant in his original or amended motion for a new trial
    are "waived unless the judge in the exercise of discretion
    permits them to be raised in a subsequent motion, or unless such
    grounds could not reasonably have been raised in the original or
    amended motion."   Mass. R. Crim. P. 30 (c) (2), as appearing in
    
    435 Mass. 1501
    (2001).        "The rule of waiver 'applies equally to
    constitutional claims which could have been raised, but were not
    raised' on direct appeal or in a prior motion for a new trial."
    Commonwealth v. Watson, 
    409 Mass. 110
    , 112 (1991), quoting
    Commonwealth v. Deeran, 
    397 Mass. 136
    , 139 (1986).        We have
    recommended that judges restrict the exercise of their
    discretion to review previously unraised claims to "those
    extraordinary cases where, upon sober reflection, it appears
    that a miscarriage of justice might otherwise result."        
    Id., quoting Fogarty
    v. Commonwealth, 
    406 Mass. 103
    , 107-108 (1989).
    The Commonwealth contends that the motion judge abused his
    discretion by considering the new arguments contained in the
    8
    defendant's second motion to withdraw his guilty pleas.     We
    disagree.   It was undisputed that the plea judge failed to
    properly inform the defendant pursuant to rule 12 regarding the
    possibility of a future civil confinement, and that plea counsel
    had been reprimanded in connection with his representation of
    the defendant in the underlying proceedings.5   The defendant
    specifically requested that his appointed appellate counsel make
    arguments regarding ineffective assistance of counsel and the
    failure of the plea judge to advise him of possible civil
    confinement.   When counsel declined to do so, the defendant
    complained to CPCS and was told that he had to accept his
    attorney's judgment or proceed without the assistance of CPCS.
    Although the judge did not address the Commonwealth's
    waiver argument in his decision, it strikes us as rather harsh
    that a defendant -- who suffered from significant mental health
    5
    The Commonwealth makes much of the defendant's failure to
    submit an affidavit from plea counsel stating that he did not
    advise the defendant of the possibility of civil confinement.
    However, the judge was entitled to consider the fact that plea
    counsel was incarcerated at the time of the second motion to
    withdraw his plea and, as a result, the defendant had difficulty
    communicating with him. The motion judge, who was not the plea
    judge, was also entitled to consider the letter sent to the
    defendant by his plea counsel's attorney, indicating that a
    flood had destroyed certain files relating to the defendant's
    case. Cf. Commonwealth v. Colon, 
    439 Mass. 519
    , 530 (2003)
    ("where the judge, the defendant, and the prosecutor could not
    remember the 1994 plea hearing, no weight should be given to the
    fact that the defendant's attorney from the 1994 hearing did not
    testify as to any recollection of the 1994 hearing").
    9
    conditions -- would be required to choose between being
    represented by appointed counsel and asserting a claim that
    affected substantially his liberty interest, particularly where
    that claim derived from deficiencies that were apparent in the
    record.   See Commonwealth v. Pariseau, 
    466 Mass. 805
    , 808 (2014)
    (civil confinement implicates liberty interest and due process
    protections).   Considering the unusual circumstances presented
    by this case, the judge did not abuse his discretion in
    considering the new arguments presented in the defendant's
    second motion to withdraw his pleas.    See Commonwealth v.
    Cavanaugh, 
    371 Mass. 46
    , 56 (1976).
    b.    Failure to explain possibility of civil confinement.       A
    judge has discretion to allow a defendant's motion to withdraw
    his guilty pleas "at any time if it appears that justice may not
    have been done."     Mass. R. Crim. P. 30 (b), as appearing in 
    435 Mass. 1501
    (2001).    See 
    Berrios, 447 Mass. at 708
    .   As a matter
    of constitutional due process, "[j]ustice is not done, and a new
    trial is therefore warranted, where a defendant pleads guilty
    without an understanding of the proceedings."     Commonwealth v.
    Nikas, 
    431 Mass. 453
    , 456 (2000).    Absent such constitutional
    concerns, "a judge should only grant a postsentence motion to
    withdraw a plea if the defendant comes forward with a credible
    reason which outweighs the risk of prejudice to the
    Commonwealth" (footnote omitted).     Commonwealth v. DeMarco, 387
    
    10 Mass. 481
    , 486 (1982).   Judges are to apply this standard
    "rigorously."   
    Id. at 487.
    Rule 12 describes the procedure for entering a guilty plea.
    At the time of the defendant's plea, rule 12 (c) (3) (B)
    provided that the judge accepting the plea "shall inform the
    defendant on the record, in open court . . . where appropriate,
    of the maximum possible sentence on the charge, and where
    appropriate, the possibility of community parole supervision for
    life;[6] of any different or additional punishment based upon
    subsequent offense or sexually dangerous persons provisions of
    the General Laws, if applicable; where applicable, that the
    defendant may be required to register as a sex offender; and of
    the mandatory minimum sentence, if any, on the charge" (emphasis
    added).   The Reporters' Note to rule 12 offers valuable insight
    into its intended application:
    "[I]f the defendant is subject to commitment as a sexually
    dangerous person, see G. L. c. 123A, the judge must include
    notice of that possibility prior to accepting the plea or
    admission. This provision has been part of Rule 12 since
    its adoption, changing the practice that prevailed prior to
    1979. See Commonwealth v. Morrow, 
    363 Mass. 601
    , 606
    (1973) (being subject to the 'sexually dangerous person'
    provision 'is but one of many contingent consequences of
    being confined' after conviction, and therefore need not be
    6
    Rule 12 has since been revised to remove the requirement
    that judges inform defendants of the possibility of community
    parole supervision for life pursuant to G. L. c. 127, § 133D
    (c), which was held unconstitutional in Commonwealth v. Cole,
    
    468 Mass. 294
    , 308 (2014). See generally Mass. R. Crim. P. 12,
    as appearing in 
    470 Mass. 1501
    (2015).
    11
    explained to a defendant). Since a 2004 amendment to G. L.
    c. 123A, § 12, makes a defendant subject to commitment as a
    sexually dangerous person despite the nature of the offense
    to which the defendant is pleading guilty, so long as the
    defendant has been convicted any time in the past of a
    designated sex offense, a warning of the possibility of
    commitment under c. 123A should be included as a matter of
    routine unless it is clear from the defendant's prior
    record that it is not relevant."
    Reporters' Note to Rule 12, Mass. Ann. Laws Court Rules, Rules
    of Criminal Procedure, at 1495 (LexisNexis 2014).7   It was the
    view of the motion judge in this case that the admonition set
    forth in the Reporters' Note anticipated the holding of the
    United States Supreme Court in Padilla v. Kentucky, 
    559 U.S. 356
    , 369 (2010) (failure to advise noncitizen that guilty plea
    7
    There is no specific statute that, like rule 12, requires
    a judge to inform a defendant pleading guilty to a sexual
    offense that he or she could be civilly confined as a sexually
    dangerous person as a collateral consequence of a guilty plea.
    Contrast G. L. c. 6, § 178E (d) ("Any court which accepts a plea
    for a sex offense shall inform the sex offender prior to
    acceptance and require the sex offender to acknowledge, in
    writing, that such plea may result in such sex offender being
    subject to [provisions regarding registration as a sex
    offender]. Failure to so inform the sex offender shall not be
    grounds to vacate or invalidate the plea"); G. L. c. 279,
    § 25 (d) ("prior to accepting a guilty plea for any qualifying
    offense listed in subsection [b], the court shall inform the
    defendant that a . . . plea of guilty for such an offense
    implicates the habitual offender statute and that upon . . .
    plea of guilty for the third or subsequent of said offenses:
    [1] the defendant may be imprisoned in the state prison for the
    maximum term provided by law for such third or subsequent
    offense; [2] no sentence may be reduced or suspended; and [3]
    the defendant may be ineligible for probation, parole, work
    release or furlough, or to receive any deduction in sentence for
    good conduct. No otherwise valid plea . . . shall be vacated
    based upon the failure to give such warnings").
    12
    likely would result in deportation was constitutionally
    ineffective assistance of counsel).    We do not share this view.8
    Due process requires that "[a] 'plea is valid only when the
    defendant offers it voluntarily, with sufficient awareness of
    the relevant circumstances . . . and with the advice of
    competent counsel.'"   
    Berrios, 447 Mass. at 708
    , quoting Brady
    v. United States, 
    397 U.S. 742
    , 748-749, 758 (1970).
    "Generally, under Massachusetts law, failure to inform a
    defendant of collateral or contingent consequences of a plea
    does not render a plea involuntary."     Commonwealth v. Shindell,
    
    63 Mass. App. Ct. 503
    , 505 (2005).     Cf. Steele v. Murphy, 
    365 F.3d 14
    , 17 (1st Cir.), cert. denied, 
    543 U.S. 893
    (2004),
    quoting Brady, supra at 755 ("defendant need only be 'fully
    aware of the direct consequences' of such a plea").    In Morrow,
    8
    The case of Padilla v. Kentucky, 
    559 U.S. 356
    (2010),
    arose in a context very different from the circumstances
    described in the Reporters' Note and presented by this case. In
    Padilla, an attorney advised his noncitizen client that pleading
    guilty to certain drug charges would not have adverse
    immigration consequences. That advice was incorrect. 
    Id. at 368.
    The defendant pleaded guilty and, as a consequence, was
    subjected to deportation proceedings. The United States Supreme
    Court concluded that the Sixth Amendment to the United States
    Constitution requires a criminal defense attorney to provide
    accurate advice regarding the near certain deportation
    consequences arising from a guilty plea. 
    Id. at 368-369.
    Defense counsel's failure to provide such advice was, therefore,
    a "constitutional deficiency" that satisfied the first prong of
    the test for ineffective assistance of counsel set forth in
    Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    (1984). Padilla, supra
    at 369.
    
    13 363 Mass. at 606
    , we held that civil confinement was a
    contingent consequence of a conviction and that the failure to
    advise a defendant of such a possibility did not render his
    guilty plea constitutionally infirm.   The adoption of rule 12 in
    1980 was intended to modify judicial practice by broadening the
    scope of the duty to advise a criminal defendant of the
    implications of a guilty plea, but that did not transform civil
    confinement into a direct consequence of a conviction for
    constitutional purposes.   See Reporters' Note to Rule 12, supra
    at 169, quoting Commonwealth v. Nolan, 
    19 Mass. App. Ct. 491
    ,
    495 (1985) ("not every omission of a particular from the
    protocol of the rule . . . entitles a defendant at some later
    stage to negate his plea and claim a trial").   See also 
    Steele, 365 F.3d at 17
    ("possibility of confinement for life as a
    sexually dangerous person [under G. L. c. 123A] is a collateral
    consequence of pleading guilty").   Nor did the Padilla case
    effect any such transformation.9
    9
    The defendant contends that the Padilla case cast doubt on
    the continued viability of Morrow, pointing to the Supreme
    Court's observation that deportation's close connection to the
    criminal process made it "uniquely difficult to classify as
    either a direct or a collateral consequence." 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 366
    . However, at the core of the Court's analysis in Padilla
    was a series of changes in Federal immigration law that
    eliminated the authority of the Attorney General and sentencing
    judges to grant discretionary relief from deportation. 
    Id. at 361-362.
    As a result of these changes in the law, the
    defendant's decision to follow his attorney's incorrect advice
    14
    Civil confinement as a sexually dangerous person, although
    tangentially connected to the criminal process, is not a
    "virtually mandatory" consequence of a sexual offense
    conviction.   Contrast 
    Padilla, 559 U.S. at 359
    .   Conviction of a
    sexual offense is but one element of the government's case.    See
    generally Commonwealth v. Fay, 
    467 Mass. 574
    , 580, cert. denied,
    
    135 S. Ct. 150
    (2014).   A person may be confined as a sexually
    dangerous person only if, in addition to being convicted of a
    sexual offense, the person suffers from a mental abnormality or
    personality disorder that renders him or her a menace to the
    health and safety of others and is likely to engage in sexual
    offenses if not confined.    G. L. c. 123A, §§ 1, 14.   In contrast
    to deportation proceedings, the government has discretion
    whether to initiate confinement proceedings and, even then, only
    on a finding of probable cause to believe the person is a
    sexually dangerous person.    G. L. c. 123A, § 12 (b), (c).   The
    person has a right to a jury trial in which the government bears
    the burden of proving beyond a reasonable doubt that the person
    is a sexually dangerous person.    G. L. c. 123A, § 14.   Simply
    put, the connection between civil confinement and the criminal
    process is not so close that it becomes "uniquely difficult to
    and plead guilty "made his deportation virtually mandatory."
    
    Id. at 359.
                                                                      15
    classify as either a direct or a collateral consequence."
    Padilla, supra at 366.
    Moreover, as the Supreme Court has made clear, an
    attorney's obligations under the Sixth Amendment to advise his
    or her client of consequences of a guilty plea are broader than
    the judge's obligations under the Fifth and Fourteenth
    Amendments to the United States Constitution to ensure that the
    plea is voluntary.10   Libretti v. United States, 
    516 U.S. 29
    , 50-
    51 (1995).   The Sixth Amendment analysis in Padilla did not
    erode the well-settled principle that a judge's failure to
    inform a defendant of a collateral consequence -- such as civil
    confinement -- is, without more, insufficient to render a
    defendant's guilty plea involuntary under the due process
    clause.   See United States v. Youngs, 
    687 F.3d 56
    , 62 (2d Cir.
    2012) ("advising of the possibility of civil commitment . . .
    does not fall within the scope of a [D]istrict [C]ourt's due
    process obligations because the concerns expressed by the
    Supreme Court in Padilla as to deportation in the context of
    10
    Although the defendant raised an ineffective assistance
    of counsel argument in his motion, the judge did not rule on it
    and the issue is not before us here. However, to the extent
    that it could be argued that the Padilla case implicates the
    "advice of competent counsel" aspect of the due process inquiry,
    it is clear that the Court's holding was limited to the context
    of deportation. See Chaidez v. United States, 
    133 S. Ct. 1103
    ,
    1110 (2013) (emphasizing that unique nature of deportation drove
    Padilla decision).
    16
    adequate counsel under the Sixth Amendment do not apply to such
    a remote and uncertain consequence as civil commitment"); Hamm
    v. State, 
    403 S.C. 461
    , 465 (2013) ("rationale under Padilla
    does not extend to a person's civil commitment under the
    [Sexually Violent Predator] Act").   Consequently, the failure of
    the judge in this case to advise the defendant of the
    possibility of civil confinement did not rise to the level of
    constitutional error.
    This is not to say that a judge's failure to accurately
    inform a defendant of the possibility of civil confinement is
    irrelevant to the merits of a defendant's motion to withdraw his
    guilty plea under rule 30.   The failure to provide information
    (as required by our rules) to a defendant with respect to a
    matter as significant as the possibility of a c. 123A commitment
    may provide a basis for withdrawing the plea, so long as the
    defendant shows that he or she was prejudiced by the omission.
    See, e.g., Commonwealth v. Scott, 
    467 Mass. 336
    , 360 (2014)
    ("claim of prosecutorial nondisclosure require[s] the defendant
    to make some showing of prejudice or materiality").     Cf.
    Cepulonis v. Ponte, 
    699 F.2d 573
    , 577 (1st Cir. 1983)
    ("defendant seeking to set aside a guilty plea must at the very
    least show that correct information would have made a difference
    in his decision to plead guilty").   In some circumstances,
    information about the possibility of civil confinement might be
    17
    quite relevant to a defendant's decision to plead guilty,
    whereas in other circumstances, it might not.   See Commonwealth
    v. Rodriguez, 
    52 Mass. App. Ct. 572
    , 580 (2001) ("Each case must
    be analyzed individually to determine whether compliance with
    rule 12 would have made a difference in the decision of the
    defendant to plead guilty").    Accordingly, we hold that where a
    judge improperly neglects to inform a defendant of the
    possibility that his or her conviction could serve as a
    predicate for civil confinement as a sexually dangerous person,
    the defendant must demonstrate a reasonable probability that but
    for the judge's error he or she would not have pleaded guilty
    and would have insisted on proceeding to trial.    Where such a
    showing is made, the magnitude of the deprivation of liberty
    potentially arising from what the defendant was not told may be
    sufficient to raise a doubt as to whether justice has been done.
    Mass. R. Crim. P. 30 (b).
    Although, at a minimum, the defendant must aver facts
    suggesting prejudice, the averment must be credible in the sense
    that the decision not to plead guilty would have been rational
    under the circumstances.    See 
    Scott, 467 Mass. at 356
    ; 
    DeMarco, 387 Mass. at 486
    & n.11.    "Factors to consider in deciding
    whether the defendant's reason for withdrawing his pleas is
    credible include whether the defendant asserted his legal
    innocence; referenced weaknesses in the Commonwealth's case or a
    18
    possible defense; and whether the parties had reached a plea
    agreement."   Commonwealth v. Murphy, 
    73 Mass. App. Ct. 57
    , 67
    (2008).   A judge may also consider "the timing of [the] request
    to vacate the plea," id.; "whether '[t]he defendant was
    represented by, and had the advice of, able counsel
    throughout,'" 
    id., quoting Rodriguez,
    52 Mass. App. Ct. at 583;11
    the sentence the defendant received versus the maximum allowable
    sentence had he or she gone to trial, see Commonwealth v. Furr,
    
    454 Mass. 101
    , 112 (2009); "the force and plausibility of the
    proffered reason," Rodriguez, supra at 580 n.10, quoting United
    States v. Gray, 
    63 F.3d 57
    , 60 (1st Cir. 1995); and, in sexual
    offense cases, the likelihood of civil confinement in light of
    any evidence relevant to the other elements of sexually
    dangerous person status.   See 
    Shindell, 63 Mass. App. Ct. at 505
    n.3 ("there is nothing in the record to suggest that the
    defendant meets the remaining portion of the definition of
    'sexually dangerous person' set out in [G. L. c.123A, § 1].
    11
    Where, for example, counsel has informed the defendant of
    the possibility and parameters of civil confinement as a sexual
    offender, the prospect of prejudice arising from the judge's
    omission will be diminished significantly. See Commonwealth v.
    Rodriguez, 
    52 Mass. App. Ct. 572
    , 583 (2001), quoting
    Commonwealth v. Russell, 
    37 Mass. App. Ct. 152
    , 157 (1994),
    cert. denied, 
    513 U.S. 1094
    (1995) ("Representation and
    consultation with counsel are significant factors in determining
    whether a guilty plea . . . not accompanied by a [sufficient
    plea colloquy] was, nonetheless, knowingly and voluntarily
    made").
    19
    Therefore, it seems unlikely that advisement of the possibility
    of proceedings pursuant to c. 123A would have made any
    difference in the decision to plead guilty").   "Ultimately, a
    defendant's decision to tender a guilty plea is a unique,
    individualized decision, and the relevant factors and their
    relative weight will differ from one case to the next."      Scott,
    supra at 356.
    Here, the motion judge's memorandum of decision did not
    include findings as to whether knowledge of the possibility of
    civil confinement would have affected materially the defendant's
    decision to plead guilty.   The judge did not engage in an
    analysis of the credibility of the defendant's reason for
    withdrawal, including, for example, the fact that the defendant
    faced the possibility of multiple life sentences had he been
    convicted following a trial on the fourteen indictments and, by
    pleading guilty, reduced his maximum time in prison to thirteen
    years.   See 
    Furr, 454 Mass. at 112
    ("highly generous sentence
    recommendation that the defendant received in light of the
    offenses with which he was charged strongly supports the
    conclusion that the defendant chose voluntarily to plead to
    those offenses").   It is, thus, unclear on the present record
    whether the defendant has established a reasonable probability
    that he would not have pleaded guilty had he been informed of
    the possibility of civil confinement.   Accordingly, the matter
    20
    must be remanded for further findings and rulings on the merits
    of the defendant's motion to withdraw his guilty pleas.   See
    Gibney v. Commonwealth, 
    375 Mass. 146
    , 148 (1978) ("arguments
    raised by the petitioners are based on factual questions that
    are best left for resolution in the first instance by the trial
    judge on a motion for new trial").
    3.   Conclusion.   The order allowing the defendant's motion
    to withdraw his pleas is vacated, and the matter is remanded to
    the Superior Court for further findings and rulings consistent
    with this opinion.
    So ordered.