Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Kent Chandler ( 2023 )


Menu:
  •                                 RECOMMENDED FOR PUBLICATION
    Pursuant to Sixth Circuit I.O.P. 32.1(b)
    File Name: 23a0018p.06
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE SIXTH CIRCUIT
    ┐
    FORESIGHT COAL SALES, LLC.,
    │
    Plaintiff-Appellant,      │
    >        No. 21-6069
    │
    v.                                                   │
    │
    KENT CHANDLER, in his official capacity as Chairman         │
    and Commissioner of Kentucky Public Service                 │
    Commission, et al.,                                         │
    Defendants-Appellees.         │
    ┘
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Kentucky at Frankfort.
    No. 3:21-cv-00016—Gregory F. Van Tatenhove, District Judge.
    Argued: June 7, 2022
    Decided and Filed: February 3, 2023
    Before: BATCHELDER, CLAY, and LARSEN, Circuit Judges.
    _________________
    COUNSEL
    ARGUED: Joshua I. Hammack, BAILEY & GLASSER, LLP, Washington, D.C., for
    Appellant. Matthew F. Kuhn, OFFICE OF THE KENTUCKY ATTORNEY GENERAL,
    Frankfort, Kentucky, for Appellee. ON BRIEF: Joshua I. Hammack, Nicholas S. Johnson,
    BAILEY & GLASSER, LLP, Washington, D.C., Christopher D. Smith, BAILEY & GLASSER,
    LLP, Charleston, West Virginia, for Appellant. Matthew F. Kuhn, Brett R. Nolan, OFFICE OF
    THE KENTUCKY ATTORNEY GENERAL, Frankfort, Kentucky, for Appellee.
    LARSEN, J., delivered the opinion of the court in which CLAY, J., joined in full.
    BATCHELDER, J. (pg. 19), delivered a separate opinion concurring in the judgment.
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.              Page 2
    _________________
    OPINION
    _________________
    LARSEN, Circuit Judge. Kentucky imposes a severance tax on coal extracted within its
    borders. At the same time, Kentucky directs its utilities to buy the most competitive coal, with
    cost being one of the most important factors. Predictably, this combination of measures, along
    with the fact that many coal-producing states don’t impose a severance tax, makes Kentucky
    utilities less likely to buy Kentucky coal. Recognizing the problem, the Kentucky legislature
    decided to have its cake and eat it, too. The legislature directed the agency that regulates
    Kentucky utilities to evaluate the reasonableness of coal prices after subtracting any severance
    tax paid from the actual bid price. In practice, the policy makes coal from states with severance
    taxes, like Kentucky, cheaper for the utilities by the amount of the severance tax.
    A coal producer from Illinois, where there is no severance tax, challenged the policy as a
    violation of the Commerce Clause. The Commission responded that it wasn’t discriminating
    against interstate commerce because it was only leveling the playing field tilted against
    Kentucky coal by its own severance tax. Twice the district court bought this argument. We do
    not.
    I.
    The Public Service Commission, a state agency, regulates utilities in Kentucky.
    The Commission is tasked with ensuring that energy rates remain “reasonable” for consumers.
    
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 278.030
    ; see 
    id.
     § 278.040. One of the Commission’s regulations, the fuel
    adjustment clause, allows utilities to adjust the base rates they charge customers to account for
    fluctuating fuel costs. See 807 Ky. Admin. Regs. § 5:056(1)(1). If the rate charged to customers
    is unreasonable, the charges are disallowed, the utility eats the cost, and the utility may be
    suspended from using the fuel adjustment clause. Id. § 5:056(3)(1). To determine what charges
    are reasonable, the Commission conducts six-month and two-year reviews of each utility. Id.
    § 5:056(3)(3)–(4). And one of the most substantial factors during review is the price the utility
    No. 21-6069                  Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                Page 3
    paid for raw materials, like coal. Basically, Kentucky utilities are encouraged to buy cheaper
    coal.
    This setup is a problem for Kentucky coal producers, who must pay a severance tax equal
    to 4.5% of the gross value of the coal upon extraction.           
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 143.020
    .
    Compared to states with no severance tax, Kentucky coal is relatively expensive. So, because of
    the fuel adjustment clause and its reasonableness requirement, Kentucky utilities are
    discouraged, on the margin, from buying Kentucky coal.
    Kentucky has tried several times to solve this problem. In 2019, the Kentucky House of
    Representatives adopted House Resolution 144, which encouraged the Commission “to amend
    its administrative regulations to consider all costs, including fossil fuel-related economic impacts
    within Kentucky, when analyzing coal purchases under the fuel adjustment clause.” H.R. 144,
    2019 Reg. Sess. (Ky. 2019). Weeks later, the Commission issued a draft regulation stating that,
    in determining the reasonableness of fuel costs, the Commission would consider the cost of the
    fuel less the Kentucky severance tax. Simply put, the Commission would artificially discount
    the price of Kentucky coal by 4.5%. However, the Commission never adopted the drafted
    language out of concern that the regulation might violate the dormant Commerce Clause.
    Instead, the final regulation stated that the Commission would artificially discount a utility’s fuel
    costs by the amount of the severance tax paid to any jurisdiction.
    In late 2019, Foresight Coal Sales, LLC, an Illinois coal producer, sent a letter to the
    Commission arguing that the amended regulation was still unconstitutional under the Commerce
    Clause.     In response, the Commission briefly suspended enforcement.           But the Kentucky
    Attorney General issued an opinion saying that the regulation was legal because, while it might
    benefit Kentucky coal relative to producers in some states, it might hurt Kentucky coal relative to
    others. So the Commission resumed its enforcement.
    Foresight Coal sued in the Eastern District of Kentucky and sought a preliminary
    injunction. The district court denied the motion, and Foresight Coal appealed to this court. The
    parties fully briefed the appeal, and oral argument was scheduled for December 4, 2020. Then,
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                 Page 4
    right before argument, the Commission agreed to rescind the regulation, and Foresight Coal
    dropped the case.
    Kentucky wasn’t done, though. On March 25, 2021, the Kentucky Governor signed
    Senate Bill 257 into law. The new law requires the Commission to “evaluate the reasonableness
    of fuel costs in contracts and competing bids based on the cost of the fuel less any coal severance
    tax imposed by any jurisdiction.” 
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 278.277
    (1). In form and function, the
    new law is the same as the old regulation. The new law went into effect on July 1, 2021.
    Foresight Coal again sued the Commission members in their official capacities and,
    again, sought a preliminary injunction. With “a distinct sense of déjà vu,” the district court again
    denied the preliminary injunction. Foresight Coal Sales, LLC v. Chandler, No. 3:21-cv-00016-
    GFVT, 
    2021 WL 5139491
    , at *1 (E.D. Ky. Nov. 3, 2021). Foresight Coal appeals.
    II.
    A    court    must    balance     four   factors    when     considering    a    preliminary
    injunction: “(1) whether the movant has a strong likelihood of success on the merits; (2) whether
    the movant would suffer irreparable injury without the injunction; (3) whether issuance of the
    injunction would cause substantial harm to others; and (4) whether the public interest would be
    served by issuance of the injunction.” Union Home Mortg. Corp. v. Cromer, 
    31 F.4th 356
    , 365–
    66 (6th Cir. 2022) (quoting City of Pontiac Retired Emps. Ass’n v. Schimmel, 
    751 F.3d 427
    , 430
    (6th Cir. 2014) (en banc) (per curiam)). We review the district court’s ultimate determination of
    whether these factors favor an injunction for an abuse of discretion. Id. at 366. But the
    likelihood of success on the merits is often the determinative factor. Dahl v. Bd. of Trs. of W.
    Mich. Univ., 
    15 F.4th 728
    , 735 (6th Cir. 2021) (per curiam). And that factor we review de novo.
    Union Home Mortg. Corp., 31 F.4th at 366.
    Congress has the power “[t]o regulate Commerce . . . among the several States.” U.S.
    Const. art. I, § 8, cl. 3. “[T]he Commerce Clause is written as an affirmative grant of authority to
    Congress.” South Dakota v. Wayfair, Inc., 
    138 S. Ct. 2080
    , 2089 (2018). And some have argued
    that, under the plain text of the Constitution, its reach ends there.                  E.g., Camps
    Newfound/Owatonna, Inc. v. Town of Harrison, 
    520 U.S. 564
    , 610 (1997) (Thomas, J.,
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                Page 5
    dissenting). Nonetheless, the Supreme Court has long held that the Commerce Clause goes
    further and imposes limitations on the states even when Congress hasn’t acted. Wayfair, 
    138 S. Ct. at 2089
    . This negative, or dormant, Commerce Clause requires courts to preserve the “free
    flow of interstate commerce,” S. Pac. Co. v. Arizona ex rel. Sullivan, 
    325 U.S. 761
    , 770 (1945),
    with the aim of preventing the “economic Balkanization” that plagued the early colonies,
    Wayfair, 
    138 S. Ct. at 2089
     (quoting Hughes v. Oklahoma, 
    441 U.S. 322
    , 325 (1979)).
    The Supreme Court has articulated two principles for applying the dormant Commerce
    Clause. “First, state regulations may not discriminate against interstate commerce.” Id. at 2091.
    Once a regulation is found to be discriminatory, it is “virtually per se” invalid. Granholm v.
    Heald, 
    544 U.S. 460
    , 476 (2005) (quoting City of Philadelphia v. New Jersey, 
    437 U.S. 617
    , 624
    (1978)). Second, if the regulation isn’t discriminatory, the doctrine still asks whether the state
    has imposed an “undue burden[] on interstate commerce.”            Wayfair, 
    138 S. Ct. at 2091
    .
    Specifically, state policies effectuating “a legitimate local public interest . . . will be upheld
    unless the burden imposed on [interstate] commerce is clearly excessive in relation to the
    putative local benefits.” Pike v. Bruce Church, Inc., 
    397 U.S. 137
    , 142 (1970). A theme
    throughout is that courts should inquire whether the policy “is basically a protectionist measure.”
    City of Philadelphia, 
    437 U.S. at 624
    ; see also Am. Beverage Ass’n v. Snyder, 
    735 F.3d 362
    , 378
    (6th Cir. 2013) (Sutton, J., concurring) (“The key point of today’s dormant Commerce Clause
    jurisprudence is to prevent States from discriminating against out-of-state entities in favor of in-
    state ones.”); Donald H. Regan, The Supreme Court & State Protectionism: Making Sense of the
    Dormant Commerce Clause, 
    84 Mich. L. Rev. 1091
    , 1092 (1986) (arguing that the Supreme
    Court has been “concerned exclusively with preventing states from engaging in purposeful
    economic protectionism”).
    A.
    Dormant Commerce Clause jurisprudence is famously complex. See Saikrishna Prakash,
    Our Three Commerce Clauses & the Presumption of Intrasentence Uniformity, 
    55 Ark. L. Rev. 1149
    , 1169 (2003) (calling the doctrine “complicated and byzantine”). The Supreme Court itself
    has recognized the doctrine’s “very considerable judicial oscillation.” Prudential Ins. Co. v.
    Benjamin, 
    328 U.S. 408
    , 420 (1946); see also Am. Trucking Ass’ns, Inc. v. Smith, 
    496 U.S. 167
    ,
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                 Page 6
    203 (1990) (Scalia, J., concurring) (“The ‘negative’ Commerce Clause is inherently
    unpredictable[.]”); Kassel v. Consol. Freightways Corp. of Del., 
    450 U.S. 662
    , 706 (1981)
    (Rehnquist, J., dissenting) (calling the doctrine “hopelessly confused”). As a lower court, we
    must chart a course through the doctrine’s “cloudy waters.” Wardair Can., Inc. v. Fla. Dep’t of
    Revenue, 
    477 U.S. 1
    , 17 (1986) (Burger, C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the
    judgment).
    The parties agree that “discrimination” in the Commerce Clause context “means
    differential treatment of in-state and out-of-state economic interests that benefits the former and
    burdens the latter.” Or. Waste Sys., Inc. v. Dep’t of Env’t Quality of Or., 
    511 U.S. 93
    , 99 (1994).
    They also agree that both laws that discriminate on their face and those that discriminate in effect
    run afoul of the doctrine. They debate the role of purpose, however. Foresight Coal points to
    statements from this court and the Supreme Court that could be read to suggest that a
    discriminatory purpose, standing alone, can serve to invalidate a state’s regulation of commerce.
    E. Ky. Res. v. Fiscal Ct. of Magoffin Cnty., 
    127 F.3d 532
    , 540 (6th Cir.1997) (“A [state
    regulation] can discriminate against out-of-state interests in three different ways: (a) facially,
    (b) purposefully, or (c) in practical effect.”); Bacchus Imports, Ltd. v. Dias, 
    468 U.S. 263
    , 270
    (1984) (noting that a regulation may be unlawful because of a “discriminatory purpose or
    discriminatory effect” (citation omitted)). The Commission responds with Comptroller of the
    Treasury v. Wynne, which stated that “the Commerce Clause regulates effects, not motives, and it
    does not require courts to inquire into voters’ or legislators’ reasons for enacting a law that has a
    discriminatory effect.” 
    575 U.S. 542
    , 561 n.4 (2015) (emphasis added). The Commission reads
    Wynne to say both that motive without effect can never be enough, and that a discriminatory
    effect suffices to invalidate a law, even absent discriminatory purpose. Thoughtful scholarship
    has offered a third approach, noting that in a string of cases before Wynne (and unrepudiated by
    it), the Court had upheld even discriminatory laws “in cases without evidence of a subjective
    intention to distort competition.”    Daniel Francis, The Decline of the Dormant Commerce
    Clause, 94 Denv. L. Rev. 255, 292 (2017) (collecting cases); see also Regan, supra, at 1092. On
    this theory, discriminatory purpose is necessary, though perhaps never sufficient; and Wynne
    might be confined to the special realm of tax cases. Francis, supra, at 292.
    No. 21-6069                     Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                            Page 7
    Happily, we need not settle the place of protectionist purpose in the “quagmire” of
    Commerce Clause jurisprudence. See W. Lynn Creamery, Inc. v. Healy, 
    512 U.S. 186
    , 210
    (1994) (Scalia, J., concurring). Here, the law discriminates, if not on its face, then in effect, and
    so we have no occasion to consider whether discriminatory purpose alone could ever suffice.1
    And, to the extent that a protectionist purpose is necessary, we find that too.
    B.
    The parties spend considerable energy debating whether SB 257, which does not mention
    any state by name, nonetheless discriminates on its face. Foresight Coal says that it does because
    it “extend[s] beneficial treatment to producers from severance-tax states” and denies them to
    others. Appellant Br. at 28. But in the Commission’s view, that “is an argument that a facially
    neutral statute discriminates in effect.” Id. at 24. Which party is right turns on how close a
    proxy must be before we may find facial discrimination. But, in this case, not much turns on the
    answer. Whether labeled as “facial” or “in effect” discrimination, SB 257 discriminates against
    out-of-state coal.
    SB 257 requires the Commission to “evaluate the reasonableness of fuel costs in
    contracts and competing bids based on the cost of the fuel less any coal severance tax imposed
    by any jurisdiction.” 
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 278.277
    (1) (emphasis added). A severance tax is a
    tax imposed by a state (or political subdivision) upon natural resources extracted or “severed”
    from the land within its borders.2 See Maryland v. Louisiana, 
    451 U.S. 725
    , 759 (1981). Only
    the state from which a natural resource was extracted may impose a severance tax on it. 
    Id.
    (noting that “Louisiana ha[d] no sovereign interest in being compensated for the severance of
    resources” outside of its borders).            So “any coal” that has paid a severance tax to “any
    1
    Still, we are skeptical. It’s hard to “imagine a case in which a state legislature intended to discriminate
    against interstate commerce but did not make that purpose clear in the statute (and thereby did not facially
    discriminate) and also failed to achieve that purpose (and thereby did not discriminate in effect).” Wynne v.
    Comptroller of Md., 
    228 A.3d 1129
    , 1142 n.28 (Md. 2020); see also Am. Trucking Ass’ns, Inc. v. Alviti, 
    14 F.4th 76
    ,
    89 (1st Cir. 2021). Nor would such a case seem practically problematic. See Associated Indus. of Mo. v. Lohman,
    
    511 U.S. 641
    , 654 (1994) (“[T]he flow of commerce is measured in dollars and cents, not legal abstractions.”).
    2
    That a municipality could, in theory, impose a severance tax makes no difference for Commerce Clause
    purposes. See Fort Gratiot Sanitary Landfill, Inc. v. Mich. Dep’t of Nat. Res., 
    504 U.S. 353
    , 357, 361 (1992)
    (rejecting the state’s argument that policies did “not discriminate against interstate commerce on their face or in
    effect because they” differentiated based on “county”).
    No. 21-6069                  Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.              Page 8
    jurisdiction” necessarily originated in that jurisdiction, and SB 257’s text requires the
    Commission to discount coal that has paid severance taxes. Quite plainly then, the statute
    demands that coal from non-severance taxing states (e.g., Illinois) be treated one way, and coal
    from severance-taxing states (e.g., Kentucky) another. Even coal from the various severance-
    taxing states is given further disparate treatment, depending on the amount of each state’s tax.
    Thus, applying SB 257 starts and ends with the state. The fact of the severance tax is, therefore,
    a near perfect proxy for the coal’s state of origin.
    Acknowledging the proxy problem, the Commission argues that SB 257 doesn’t
    differentiate based on state because coal from the same state may be treated differently. For
    example, “Montana imposes a different severance tax based on how the coal is severed . . . and
    the coal’s heating quality.” Appellee Br. at 23. But regardless of whether all Montana coal is
    treated the same, Montana coal is treated differently from coal in other states by virtue of its
    being Montana coal. Applying SB 257 to Montana coal still starts and ends with the state, even
    if that state’s law is more complex.
    Does this tight correlation mean that we should call SB 257’s severance-tax-based
    discrimination “facial” state-of-origin discrimination? The question is interesting but ultimately
    unimportant. Whether a law discriminates in explicit terms against out-of-state goods, or does so
    merely “in effect,” the result is the same. As is true of other constitutional doctrines, “[t]he
    commerce clause forbids discrimination, whether forthright or ingenious.”         Best & Co. v.
    Maxwell, 
    311 U.S. 454
    , 455 (1940); cf. Bray v. Alexandria Women’s Health Clinic, 
    506 U.S. 263
    , 270 (1993) (“A tax on wearing yarmulkes is a tax on Jews.”). So a law discriminatory in
    effect must be justified as if it discriminated on its face. See Wyoming v. Oklahoma, 
    502 U.S. 437
    , 454 (1992) (“When a state statute clearly discriminates against interstate commerce, it will
    be struck down, unless the discrimination is demonstrably justified by a valid factor unrelated to
    economic protectionism.” (citation omitted)).
    C.
    The real question then is not whether SB 257 differentiates between in-state and out-of-
    state coal but whether it impermissibly discriminates, as that term is used in the Commerce
    No. 21-6069                Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                 Page 9
    Clause. That is, does the law benefit in-staters and burden outsiders? Or. Waste Sys., 
    511 U.S. at 99
    . We conclude it does. SB 257 requires the Commission to treat coal that has paid
    severance taxes (to Kentucky or the handful of other states that impose them) better than it treats
    coal that has not paid such a tax: Coal from severance tax states is artificially discounted by the
    amount of the tax; other coal is not discounted at all. So, “[t]he [Kentucky] provision at issue
    here explicitly deprives certain products of generally available beneficial [regulatory] treatment
    because they are made in certain other States . . . .” New Energy Co. of Ind. v. Limbach, 
    486 U.S. 269
    , 274 (1988).
    The Commission points out that some out-of-state coal could benefit from SB 257—if
    that state had a higher severance tax than Kentucky. But that can’t save the statute. In Hunt v.
    Washington State Apple Advertising Commission, the Supreme Court held that a North Carolina
    statute forbidding nonfederal grading of apples violated the Commerce Clause because it
    stripped Washington of the competitive and economic advantages of its superior grading system,
    while giving a boost to North Carolina’s apples. 
    432 U.S. 333
    , 351 (1977). The North Carolina
    statute also benefitted apple producers from nearly half of the other states competing in the North
    Carolina apple market, which had no state grading systems of their own. See 
    id. at 349
    . But that
    made no difference to the Court. Id.; see also Lohman, 
    511 U.S. at 645
    , 649–50 (rejecting the
    contention that the “overall effect of the use tax scheme across the State was to place a lighter
    aggregate tax burden on interstate commerce than on intrastate commerce”). Nor could it. “The
    facial unconstitutionality of [a state regulation] cannot be alleviated by examining the effect of
    legislation enacted by its sister States.” Tyler Pipe Indus. v. Wash. State Dep’t of Revenue, 
    483 U.S. 232
    , 242 (1987); see also Freeman v. Hewit, 
    329 U.S. 249
    , 256 (1946) (“The immunities
    implicit in the Commerce Clause and the potential taxing power of a State can hardly be made to
    depend, in the world of practical affairs, on the shifting incidence of the varying tax laws of the
    various States at a particular moment.”). And, to violate the dormant Commerce Clause, a
    regulation needn’t discriminate against every state or industry.      Limbach, 
    486 U.S. at 276
    (“[N]either a widespread advantage to in-state interests nor a widespread disadvantage to out-of-
    state competitors need be shown.”); Lohman, 
    511 U.S. at 650
     (“[D]iscrimination is appropriately
    assessed with reference to the specific subdivision in which applicable laws reveal differential
    treatment.”).
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                Page 10
    The Commission raises several arguments in response. First, it points us to the standard
    of review. The district court declined “to find at this time that S.B. 257 discriminates in effect,”
    concluding that there was “not enough evidence in the record to properly ascertain whether S.B.
    257 will disadvantage states that do not impose severance taxes.” Foresight Coal Sales, 
    2021 WL 5139491
    , at *9. The Commission says this is a finding of fact that we may set aside only if
    “clearly erroneous.” City of Pontiac Retired Emps. Ass’n, 
    751 F.3d at 430
    . But, as we will
    show, the district court didn’t err by finding a wrong fact; it erred by asking the wrong question.
    So the district court’s determination that SB 257 likely doesn’t have a discriminatory effect (i.e.,
    that it does not treat out-of-staters worse than in-staters) is a legal error that we review de novo.
    
    Id.
    As for findings of fact, the district court found it “obvious that cost is an important factor
    in the reasonableness analysis” but that it is “only one factor that the Commission analyzes when
    conducting its reasonableness inquiry.” Foresight Coal Sales, 
    2021 WL 5139491
    , at *9. The
    Commission’s review is “holistic.” 
    Id.
     And, at least once, a utility purchased more expensive
    coal based on “other considerations.”       
    Id.
       From these facts, the district court essentially
    concluded that, even with SB 257 in effect, Kentucky utilities might still buy Illinois coal, based
    on factors besides cost, and still qualify for the fuel-adjustment clause. 
    Id.
     Even if each of these
    findings is correct, they don’t lead to a legal conclusion that SB 257 isn’t discriminatory.
    The question the Commerce Clause cases ask is whether SB 257 burdens Illinois coal—
    not whether that burden is so insurmountable that no Illinois coal will ever again be sold to a
    Kentucky utility. See Or. Waste Sys., 
    511 U.S. at 99
    . The question isn’t even whether Foresight
    will necessarily lose market share.      Instead, any economic disadvantage will do—whether
    measured in loss of market share or in lost profits due to decreased prices. W. Lynn Creamery,
    
    512 U.S. at
    195 n.11 (forcing out-of-state industry “to cut its profits by reducing its sales price
    below the market price sufficiently to compensate” for an imposed disadvantage is “an economic
    barrier against competition”). We can see that in Hunt. There, the Court concluded that North
    Carolina’s forced “downgrading” of Washington apples would “[a]t worst, . . . have the effect of
    an embargo against those Washington apples in the superior grades,” and “[a]t best . . . will
    deprive Washington sellers of the market premium that such apples would otherwise command.”
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.               Page 11
    Hunt, 
    432 U.S. at 352
    .        Either effect constituted impermissible “discrimination against
    commerce.” 
    Id. at 353
    .
    Here, Kentucky artificially discounts its own coal, and coal from other severance-tax
    states, by the amount of the tax. Because non-severance-tax state coal gets no such discount, the
    effect is to make Illinois coal relatively more expensive. That, in turn, will cause Illinois coal
    either to lose market share or to lower its price. See, e.g., W. Lynn Creamery, 
    512 U.S. at
    195
    n.11. Either way, Illinois coal is worse off as a matter of basic economics and Supreme Court
    precedent. And either result is sufficient to find discrimination. Id.; Hunt, 
    432 U.S. at
    352–53.
    In this litigation, everyone agrees that cost is one of the most substantial factors for the
    utilities. This is also common sense. When Kentucky utilities incur high energy costs, they want
    to be able to pass them on to customers; the fuel adjustment clause lets them do that. See 807
    Ky. Admin. Regs. § 5:056(1)(1). But, to keep this ability, the utilities must pay “[]reasonable”
    prices for coal. Id. § 5:056(3)(3)–(4). Under SB 257, the Commission must discount severance
    taxes from the reasonableness calculation; the law gives it no discretion. 
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 278.277
    . And we assume that the Commission will follow the law. Cf. U.S. Postal Serv. v.
    Gregory, 
    534 U.S. 1
    , 10 (2001) (“[A] presumption of regularity attaches to the actions of
    Government agencies.” (citing United States v. Chem. Found., Inc., 
    272 U.S. 1
    , 14–15 (1926))).
    So coal from severance tax states will be treated as cheaper for the utilities (though not for their
    customers) by the amount of that severance tax. The district court may well be right that the
    amount of loss is still unknown. But “the magnitude and scope of the discrimination have no
    bearing on the determinative question whether discrimination has occurred.” Lohman, 511 U.S.
    at 650; see also Maryland, 
    451 U.S. at
    759–60 (“It may be true that further hearings would be
    required to provide a precise determination of the extent of the discrimination . . . but this is an
    insufficient reason for not now declaring the Tax unconstitutional.”).
    D.
    SB 257 is also purposefully discriminatory. To determine the purpose of a statute, we
    start with the text. Am. Bev. Ass’n, 735 F.3d at 371. Usually, the text is sufficient to determine
    purpose. E. Ky. Res., 
    127 F.3d at 542
    . Such is the case here.
    No. 21-6069                   Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                      Page 12
    The text of SB 257 is plain: In calculating the reasonableness of fuel costs for
    Kentucky’s utilities, the Commission must consider the “cost of the fuel less any coal severance
    tax imposed by any jurisdiction.” The immediate goal of this text is to make severance-tax-state
    coal cheaper, which will, in turn, encourage Kentucky utilities to buy more coal from severance-
    tax jurisdictions, like Kentucky, and less from other states. And, as we have explained above,
    that purpose is discriminatory.
    The parties debate the importance of the prior regulation and of various floor
    statements—some suggesting that the aim of the bill was to prop up the Kentucky coal industry,
    others suggesting that the legislators had no intent to “run afoul of interstate commerce.” But
    none of that matters, at least not when the purpose is plain from the text. See Int’l Dairy Foods
    Ass’n v. Boggs, 
    622 F.3d 628
    , 648 (6th Cir. 2010). We note, moreover, that the Commission
    itself has offered only one purpose for SB 257: to “even out the playing field” between
    Kentucky coal and competing coal from non-severance tax states. And, as we explain next, that
    purpose is itself discriminatory.
    III.
    A.
    The Commission’s primary defense of SB 257 is that the law does not impermissibly
    discriminate within the meaning of the Commerce Clause because Kentucky coal isn’t really
    advantaged by the policy; it’s just no longer disadvantaged by Kentucky’s own severance tax.
    Similarly, Illinois coal isn’t really burdened by the policy, it’s just no longer unfairly propped up
    by its state’s lack of a severance tax. As the Commission puts it, SB 257 at most “evens a
    playing field” that the severance-tax states have tilted against themselves. Appellee Br. at 13.
    The Commission believes that such a law cannot be discriminatory. But a discriminatory policy
    is no less discriminatory because it has a “leveling” effect. In fact, the “leveling” effect may be
    precisely what is discriminatory.3 See Hunt, 
    432 U.S. at 351
     (holding that a state statute which
    had “a leveling effect” violated the Commerce Clause).
    3
    The Commission offers Lebamoff Enters. Inc. v. Whitmer, where we briefly suggested in dictum that
    “evening the playing field” might be a “legitimate goal.” 
    956 F.3d 863
    , 874 (6th Cir. 2020). But Lebamoff is a
    No. 21-6069                     Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                           Page 13
    This conclusion follows naturally from three principles in the Supreme Court’s dormant
    Commerce Clause jurisprudence.              First, one state’s discriminatory policy doesn’t authorize
    another’s. See Limbach, 
    486 U.S. at 278
     (“[E]ven if [an] Indiana subsidy were invalid [under the
    Commerce Clause], retaliatory violation of the Commerce Clause by Ohio would not be
    acceptable.”). Such a tit for tat is precisely the kind of economic balkanization the dormant
    Commerce Clause seeks to prevent. See Wayfair, 
    138 S. Ct. at 2089
    . And “[a]ny other rule
    would mean that the constitutionality of [a regulation] would depend” on the laws in “49 other
    States.” Armco Inc. v. Hardesty, 
    467 U.S. 638
    , 644–45 (1984). So SB 257 isn’t somehow
    justified by Illinois’ policy not to have a severance tax.
    Second, with one exception discussed below, a policy that benefits out-of-state interests
    doesn’t justify another that burdens them. In Armco Inc. v. Hardesty, the Court rejected West
    Virginia’s argument that it could exempt local manufacturers from a gross receipts tax because
    they paid “a much higher manufacturing tax.” 
    467 U.S. at
    641–42. In Tyler Pipe, the Court
    invalidated Washington’s exemption to its manufacturing tax for goods sold locally, even though
    “absent the exemption, a local manufacturer might be at an economic disadvantage because it
    would pay both a manufacturing and a wholesale tax, while the manufacturer from afar would
    pay only the wholesale tax.” 
    483 U.S. at 243
    . And, in Baldwin, the Court held that New York
    couldn’t protect local milk, which had to conform to New York minimum price laws, from
    Vermont milk, which had no such minimum price restrictions. 294 U.S. at 520, 528. The
    caselaw is clear: SB 257 must be judged discriminatory or not, regardless of other Kentucky
    policies that might benefit out-of-state coal. So SB 257 isn’t justified by Kentucky’s severance
    tax.
    Third, a policy is discriminatory if its claim to neutrality depends on another state
    enacting the same policy. See id. at 521 (“New York has no power to project its legislation into
    Vermont.”).      The Court has repeatedly rejected attempts by states to condition favorable
    Twenty-First Amendment case, which has an “accordion-like interplay” with the Commerce Clause and, therefore,
    requires a “different” test. Id. at 869, 871. “The Twenty-first Amendment ‘gives the states regulatory authority that
    they would not otherwise enjoy.” Id. (quoting Tenn. Wine & Spirits Retailers Assoc. v. Thomas, 
    139 S. Ct. 2449
    ,
    2474 (2019)). Lebamoff didn’t consider Limbach, Hunt, or the other dormant Commerce Clause cases. Anyway,
    our comment about legitimate ends was just one response to a “doubtful” piece of legislative history that didn’t
    affect the outcome. Id. at 874.
    No. 21-6069                     Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.            Page 14
    treatment for out-of-state interests on reciprocal or similar legislation. See, e.g., Tyler Pipe, 
    483 U.S. at 242
    ; Great Atl. & Pac. Tea Co. v. Cottrell, 
    424 U.S. 366
    , 380–81 (1976); Sporhase v.
    Nebraska ex rel. Douglas, 
    458 U.S. 941
     (1982). In Limbach, the state regulation at issue gave
    tax subsidies to local ethanol as well as to out-of-state ethanol that returned the favor. 
    486 U.S. at 272
    . Nonetheless, the Court found that the state regulation was facially discriminatory, even
    though “many States” would be treated equally. 
    Id. at 271
    ; see also Hunt, 
    432 U.S. at 349
    (holding that North Carolina’s statute banning state grading of apples was discriminatory even
    though six other states also had no state grading). So, here, SB 257’s discrimination isn’t
    alleviated either by the fact that some states already impose severance taxes (in varying amounts)
    and that others may choose to impose severance taxes of their own. See Tyler Pipe, 
    483 U.S. at 242
     (1987) (noting that a discriminatory policy cannot be alleviated by “examining the effect of
    legislation” in other states).
    A contrary result in this case would violate these three principles. And it would mean
    that a state could “force its own judgments” on other states by using access to its market to
    encourage them to enact certain policies. See Cottrell, 
    424 U.S. at 380
    . A state with a high
    minimum wage, like Illinois, or California, might, for example, manipulate its sales tax to “level
    out” its high labor costs relative to states like Kentucky, whose policy has been to track the
    federal minimum wage. 
    Ky. Rev. Stat. Ann. § 337.275
    . This process could play out in every
    state; no doubt every tapestry of regulations has some economic effects to “even out.” But the
    principal aim of the dormant Commerce Clause cases is to avoid such “commercial warfare.”
    See H. P. Hood & Sons, Inc. v. Du Mond, 
    336 U.S. 525
    , 533 (1949).
    B.
    The Commission draws our attention to the one exception where the Supreme Court has
    deemed leveling a permissible purpose. In Henneford v. Silas Mason Co., the Supreme Court
    held that a 2% use tax on out-of-state goods did not violate the Commerce Clause because it was
    equivalent to the 2% sales tax on goods sold in the state. 
    300 U.S. 577
    , 579–81 (1937). The
    Court pointed to the complementary nature of the two taxes, noting that “retail sellers in
    Washington will be helped to compete upon terms of equality with retail dealers in other states
    who are exempt from a sales tax or any corresponding burden.” 
    Id. at 581
    . The Commission
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                Page 15
    compares SB 257 to the use tax in Silas Mason, arguing that SB 257 helps Kentucky coal
    “compete upon terms of equality” with Illinois coal not subject to a severance tax. See 
    id.
    Initially, we note that Silas Mason confirms our conclusion that leveling the playing field
    is discriminatory under the Commerce Clause. A compensatory tax à la Silas Mason is still a
    facially discriminatory tax, just one that is sufficiently justified. See Or. Waste Sys., 
    511 U.S. at 102
     (“Though our cases sometimes discuss the concept of the compensatory tax as if it were a
    doctrine unto itself, it is merely a specific way of justifying a facially discriminatory tax as
    achieving a legitimate local purpose that cannot be achieved through nondiscriminatory
    means.”).
    And Silas Mason created a narrow exception. See Fulton Corp. v. Faulkner, 
    516 U.S. 325
    , 344 (1996) (“While we doubt that . . . a [compensatory tax] showing can ever be made
    outside the limited confines of sales and use taxes, it is enough to say here that no such showing
    has been made.”); Or. Waste Sys., 
    511 U.S. at
    105 n.8 (calling the compensatory tax cases
    “carefully confined”). The compensatory tax exception exists to ensure that states can collect
    revenue through sales taxes, see generally Wayfair, 
    138 S. Ct. at 2096
    , but it has not extended
    further, Fulton, 
    516 U.S. at 338
     (The Supreme Court “ha[s] shown extreme reluctance to
    recognize new compensatory categories”; indeed, “use taxes on products purchased out of state
    are the only taxes [the Court] ha[s] upheld in recent memory under the compensatory tax
    doctrine”). It does not apply here.
    First, SB 257 is not a tax. Silas Mason appears to extend only to use taxes—not even
    other kinds of taxes—so it certainly doesn’t apply to regulatory schemes that aren’t taxes at all.
    See Fulton, 
    516 U.S. at 344
    . Expanding Silas Mason to a non-tax would hardly keep the
    doctrine “carefully confined,” as the Supreme Court has directed us to do. 
    Id. at 335
     (quoting
    Or. Waste Sys., 
    511 U.S. at
    105 n.8). Second, even if SB 257 were a tax, it wouldn’t qualify for
    the Silas Mason exception. Compensatory taxes must meet three criteria. First, the State must
    identify a “burden for which the State is attempting to compensate.” Tyler Pipe, 
    483 U.S. at 242
    (quoting Maryland, 
    451 U.S. at 758
    ). Second, the State must demonstrate “[e]qual treatment of
    interstate commerce.” Id. at 243 (quoting Bos. Stock Exch., 429 U.S. at 331) (alteration in
    original). Third, the State must show “‘substantially equivalent’ events on which the ‘mutually
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                Page 16
    compensating taxes’” are imposed. Id. at 244 (quoting Armco, 
    467 U.S. at 643
    ). SB 257 doesn’t
    pass the test.
    The “substantially equivalent” prong asks whether the taxes fulfill the same purpose.
    Tyler Pipe, 
    483 U.S. at 244
    . But the purpose of the severance tax and SB 257 are different. We
    know this because the Supreme Court told us so in a remarkably similar case. In Maryland v.
    Louisiana, the Supreme Court held that a severance tax is not substantially equivalent to a use
    tax. 
    451 U.S. at 759
    . There, Louisiana had a 7-cent severance tax for natural gas, imposed per
    thousand cubic feet extracted. 
    Id. at 731
    . Concerned about the influx of gas from federal
    reserves in the Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana imposed an equivalent use tax on gas coming from
    territories without a severance tax. 
    Id.
     Most states had a severance tax equal to Louisiana’s at
    the time and would have been treated equally, but the Court still found that the use tax could not
    be justified as a compensatory tax; instead, it violated the Commerce Clause. 
    Id.
     at 758–59. The
    Court emphasized the difference between a sales tax and a severance tax.             Specifically, a
    severance tax serves the “interest in protecting [the State’s] natural resources.” 
    Id. at 759
    . But a
    use tax could not be “designed to meet these same ends since Louisiana ha[d] no sovereign
    interest in being compensated for the severance of resources from [federally owned land].” 
    Id.
    Here, Kentucky has no interest in the extraction of natural resources from Illinois land, so it can’t
    enact a Silas Mason-like tax to level the effects of its severance tax. 
    Id.
    C.
    Framing the argument another way, the Commission contends that Illinois coal did not
    “earn” whatever advantage it had before the enactment of SB 257, so Kentucky is free to nullify
    it. But that argument also misunderstands Commerce Clause jurisprudence. The Commission
    gleans its “earned advantage” principle from Hunt. There, the Supreme Court held a statute
    unenforceable where it stripped away “the competitive and economic advantages [the
    Washington apple industry] ha[d] earned for itself through its expensive inspection and grading
    system.” Hunt, 
    432 U.S. at 351
    . But Hunt didn’t say that “unearned” advantages could be
    stripped away. The cases remark on whether there is an advantage; they do not turn on how it is
    derived. See, e.g., Or. Waste Sys., 
    511 U.S. at 99
     (focusing on “differential treatment,” not the
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                Page 17
    source of the difference); W. Lynn Creamery, 
    512 U.S. at 194
     (asking whether the state policy
    “neutraliz[es] advantages belonging to the place of origin” (quoting Baldwin, 294 U.S. at 527)).
    What’s more, the Commission does not tell us what it means by “earned.” It might mean
    that only the fruits of human labor and ingenuity, perhaps combined with the blessings of nature,
    are protected by the Commerce Clause. The Commission suggests, for example, that if Foresight
    had shown that its “coal [was] of a better quality” or that it could “transport its coal more cheaply
    or quickly,” those advantages would be protected. Appellee Br. at 13. That leaves in the
    unprotected category state-created advantages, like (the lack of) a severance tax. But this
    argument is squarely foreclosed by Hunt itself; it was the Washington “state legislature [that]
    ha[d] sought to enhance the market for Washington apples through the creation of . . . the
    Washington State Apple Advertising Commission.” 
    432 U.S. at 336
    . The state’s “stringent,
    mandatory inspection program, administered by the State’s Department of Agriculture” graded
    the apples. 
    Id.
     And this state-created grading system was the advantage protected in Hunt. 
    Id.
    The dormant Commerce Clause prohibited North Carolina from leveling the playing field that
    Washington law had tilted toward itself. 
    Id. at 350
    .
    Limbach, too, stands in the way. There, the Court took note of Indiana’s cash subsidy
    “program for in-state ethanol producers,” remarking that it was surely “effective in conferring a
    commercial advantage over out-of-state competitors.” Limbach, 
    486 U.S. at 278
    . Still, the Court
    cautioned that Ohio could not erase the effects of this state-created advantage through a
    discriminatory tax: “Direct subsidization of domestic industry does not ordinarily run afoul of
    [the Commerce Clause]; discriminatory taxation of out-of-state manufacturers does.” 
    Id.
    In any event, the Commission never explains how it would have us distinguish between
    human (or nature)-created and state-created advantages. How much of a business’s “economic
    and competitive advantage” is traceable to natural resources or individual pluck? And what
    portion shall we assign to labor policies, the educational system, corporate tax rates, or
    environmental policy in the State? For good reason, the caselaw doesn’t parse whether an
    advantage is state created. See Tyler Pipe, 
    483 U.S. at 234
     (manufacturing taxes); Limbach, 
    486 U.S. at 271
     (ethanol tax credits).
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.             Page 18
    D.
    Foresight Coal is likely to be able to show that SB 257 discriminates against interstate
    commerce. There remains, however, the question whether that discrimination can nonetheless be
    justified. Laws that discriminate against interstate commerce are “virtually per se” invalid, City
    of Philadelphia, 
    437 U.S. at 624
    . But a few survive. E.g., Maine v. Taylor, 
    477 U.S. 131
    , 148
    (1986) (upholding absolute ban on the importation of baitfish into Maine because of
    environmental risks). Here, the Commission has proffered no explanation for SB 257 except that
    it is designed to nullify the competitive disadvantages created by Kentucky’s severance tax. See
    City of Philadelphia, 
    437 U.S. at 624
     (noting that the “crucial inquiry” is whether the policy “is
    basically a protectionist measure” or is instead directed “to legitimate local concerns” with only
    “incidental” effects on interstate commerce). Because Kentucky may not level the playing field
    in this way, Foresight Coal is likely to succeed on the merits.
    ***
    Having concluded that Foresight Coal was not likely to succeed on the merits, the district
    court declined to address the rest of the preliminary injunction factors. We remand for the
    district court to examine the other three factors in the first instance. See Nationwide Biweekly
    Admin., Inc. v. Owen, 
    873 F.3d 716
    , 738 (9th Cir. 2017).
    We REVERSE and REMAND for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    No. 21-6069                 Foresight Coal Sales, LLC. v. Chandler, et al.                 Page 19
    ______________________________________
    CONCURRING IN THE JUDGMENT
    ______________________________________
    ALICE M. BATCHELDER, Circuit Judge, concurring in the judgment. While I agree
    with the majority’s conclusion, I depart slightly from the underlying analysis.
    As I see it, SB 257 is not facially discriminatory. To be sure, SB 257 treats different
    states differently based on their differing severance taxes. But suppose Kentucky were to repeal
    its coal severance tax. In that scenario, SB 257 would not favor Kentucky, meaning it would not
    discriminate against out-of-state interests. Therefore, SB 257 does not discriminate on its face; it
    discriminates in effect due to the existence of Kentucky’s coal severance tax.
    SB 257 is discriminatory in effect because Kentucky’s coal severance tax makes it
    discriminatory. By requiring the Commission to pretend that the price of Kentucky coal is 4.5%
    lower than its true price, SB 257 gives Kentucky coal a comparative price advantage over out-of-
    state coal that does not receive this pretend discount. This is virtually the same case as New
    Energy Co. v. Limbach, 
    486 U.S. 269
     (1988), in which the Court rejected Ohio’s attempt to deny
    its tax credit to Indiana’s ethanol. I would stop there and take the analysis no further.