Lambert v. State , 435 P.3d 1011 ( 2018 )


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    IN THE COURT OF APPEALS OF THE STATE OF ALASKA
    NEWTON PATRIC LAMBERT,
    Court of Appeals No. A-11699
    Appellant,                Trial Court No. 1JU-10-551 CI
    v.
    OPINION
    STATE OF ALASKA,
    Appellee.                No. 2623 — November 16, 2018
    Appeal from the Superior Court, First Judicial District, Juneau,
    William B. Carey, Judge.
    Appearances: Michael Schwaiger, Assistant Public Defender,
    and Quinlan Steiner, Public Defender, Anchorage, for the
    Appellant. Elizabeth T. Burke, Assistant Attorney General,
    Office of Criminal Appeals, Anchorage, and Craig W. Richards,
    Attorney General, Juneau, for the Appellee.
    Before: Allard, Judge, Coats, Senior Judge,* and Suddock,
    Superior Court Judge. **
    [Mannheimer, Chief Judge, not participating]
    Judge ALLARD, writing for the Court and concurring
    separately.
    *
    Sitting by assignment made pursuant to Article IV, Section 11 of the Alaska
    Constitution and Administrative Rule 23(a).
    **
    Sitting by assignment made pursuant to Article IV, Section 16 of the Alaska
    Constitution and Administrative Rule 24(d).
    In 1982, Ann Benolken and her husband, James Benolken, were discovered
    brutally murdered in their Juneau apartment. Both victims had been sexually assaulted.
    The physical evidence at the murder scene indicated that there were at least
    two perpetrators. The State charged Emmanuel Telles and nineteen-year-old Newton
    Patric Lambert as principals and accomplices in the murders. The two men were tried
    separately. At Lambert’s trial, the jury convicted Lambert of Ann Benolken’s murder
    but acquitted him of James Benolken’s murder. Telles was acquitted of both murders at
    his later trial.
    In 2010, almost thirty years after the Benolken murders, the Alaska
    legislature enacted a post-conviction DNA testing statutory scheme.1 These statutes
    created a procedural mechanism through which defendants who claimed to be factually
    innocent of the crimes for which they were convicted could seek DNA testing of material
    physical evidence that could support their claim of innocence.2 Lambert filed an
    application under the new statutes, seeking DNA testing of the only physical evidence
    remaining in his case — forensic samples of the blood and semen stains found on Mr.
    Benolken’s clothing. Lambert argued that DNA testing of the blood and semen samples
    could lead to the identification of the true perpetrators of this double murder, thereby
    raising a reasonable probability that Lambert was wrongfully convicted of Mrs.
    Benolken’s murder.
    The State opposed the proposed DNA testing and the superior court
    ultimately denied Lambert’s application, concluding that Lambert had failed to show that
    the proposed testing of blood and semen on Mr. Benolken’s clothing could raise a
    reasonable probability that Lambert was not guilty of Mrs. Benolken’s murder, given all
    of the State’s evidence that directly linked Lambert to Mrs. Benolken’s murder.
    1
    See AS 12.73.010.090.
    2
    
    Id. –2– 2623
    For the reasons explained here, we affirm this ruling.
    Factual background and prior proceedings
    On April 6, 1982, a Juneau building manager entered the apartment of
    James and Ann Benolken due to a bad smell emanating from the apartment. Inside the
    apartment, the manager found the Benolkens’ bodies. Both the husband and the wife had
    been sexually assaulted and violently killed.
    Mrs. Benolken’s body was found naked and lying face up on a bloody
    mattress on the floor. The mattress was saturated with blood, and there was blood spray
    extending six to seven feet up the wall at the head of the mattress. At trial, the medical
    examiner testified that Mrs. Benolken had been stabbed approximately sixty times. A
    broken piece of a knife was found beneath Mrs. Benolken’s body, and strands of hair
    were found between her legs. To the immediate left of Mrs. Benolken’s body was a void
    in the blood spatter. The State’s expert later testified that this void was consistent with
    a person kneeling next to the body during the murder. A paper bag with a liquor bottle
    was found within arm’s reach of where that person would have been kneeling. A single
    latent fingerprint was found on the paper bag. The fingerprint was later identified as
    belonging to Lambert.
    Mr. Benolken’s body was lying next to the bloody mattress, with his body
    bent over and his face lying on the mattress. Mr. Benolken’s body was still clothed, and
    there was a bloodstain on his shirt and a semen stain on his pants. The medical
    examination indicated that both Mr. and Mrs. Benolken had been sexually assaulted.
    The police investigated multiple suspects, but their investigation ultimately
    focused on Lambert.3 In addition to Lambert’s fingerprint on the paper bag, Lambert had
    3
    As part of his request for DNA testing, Lambert provided the police reports from the
    case. The police reports indicate that the police investigated a number of other suspects
    (continued...)
    –3–                                       2623
    also been seen by a Juneau police officer near the Benolkens’ apartment on the morning
    after the murders occurred. Witnesses had also seen two dark-haired men with Mr.
    Benolken in the apartment building the night before the murders. (Lambert has dark
    hair.)
    However, when Lambert was questioned by the police, Lambert denied
    having been near the building that morning. Lambert told the police that he had been
    drinking heavily the night before and had woken up in a cave under Gastineau Avenue.
    He claimed to have no idea how his fingerprint could have ended up on the paper bag
    found next to Mrs. Benolken’s murdered body.
    Shortly after his interview with the police, Lambert went to a friend, Gary
    Moses, and asked him to lie to the police on his behalf. Moses reported this conversation
    to the police, and Moses later testified to this conversation at trial. Moses’s girlfriend,
    who was present during the conversation, corroborated Moses’s account.
    During the course of their investigation, the police also discovered that
    Lambert had gone to a local emergency room the day after the murder with a wound on
    his arm. At trial, the State introduced evidence that the wound could have either been
    caused by broken glass or by the broken knife found under Mrs. Benolken. (The
    Benolken apartment had a window with broken glass.) The State also introduced
    evidence that Lambert had bought a new knife a few days after the murder occurred.
    The State introduced additional evidence from two jailhouse informants
    who testified that Lambert had confessed to them while he was in jail following his arrest
    on the murder charges. The first jailhouse informant, Robert Ewers, was housed with
    3
    (...continued)
    including two men who allegedly confessed to murdering and raping the Benolkens, a man
    who allegedly confessed to “two homicides last night” the day after the bodies were
    discovered, various local drug dealers, and a Vietnam veteran who was implicated in the
    murders by an FBI informant.
    –4–                                       2623
    Lambert at Ketchikan Correctional Center. Ewers testified that Lambert confessed to
    stabbing Mrs. Benolken while his co-defendant, Emannuel Telles, killed Mr. Benolken.
    Ewers also testified that Lambert said that he had thrown the knife he used to kill Mrs.
    Benolken in the water.
    The second jailhouse informant, Jeff Bowen, was housed with Lambert at
    Lemon Creek Correctional Center. Bowen testified that Lambert confessed to stabbing
    and raping Mrs. Benolken while Telles raped and killed Mr. Benolken. According to
    Bowen, Lambert said that he stabbed Mrs. Benolken to make her stop screaming while
    he raped her. Bowen also testified that Lambert told him that he threw the knife in the
    channel after the murders. (The Juneau police officer who saw Lambert near the
    Benolkens’ apartment building on the morning of the murder testified that Lambert was
    in the general area where Lambert told Bower he threw the knife into the channel.)
    Lastly, the State introduced the testimony of Michael Malone, an FBI expert
    on microscopic comparative hair analysis. Malone testified that, in his expert opinion,
    the strands of hair found between Mrs. Benolken’s legs came from an Alaska Native and
    the hair visually “matched” sample hairs taken from Lambert, who is Alaska Native.
    According to Malone, the visual match meant that there was only a one-in-five thousand
    chance that the strands of hair did not belong to Lambert.
    (We note that the reliability of this expert testimony is seriously in dispute.
    Since the advent of DNA testing, microscopic comparative hair analysis has come under
    increased scrutiny, and there is now significant doubt as to its scientific reliability.4
    4
    See Spencer S. Hsu, FBI admits flaws in hair analysis over decades, THE
    WASHINGTON POST, (April 18, 2015), https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/crime/fbi­
    overstated-forensic-hair-matches-in-nearly-all-criminal-trials-for-decades/2015/04/18 (“The
    Justice Department and FBI have formally acknowledged that nearly every examiner in an
    elite FBI forensic unit gave flawed testimony in almost all trials in which they offered
    evidence against criminal defendants over more than a two-decade period before 2000.”);
    (continued...)
    –5–                                         2623
    Agent Malone’s expert testimony has been discredited in other cases, and there has been
    at least one case in which a defendant who was convicted based on Agent Malone’s
    testimony has since been exonerated by DNA testing.5 According to the record, Lambert
    is litigating the reliability of Agent Malone’s testimony separately and that issue is not
    currently before us in this appeal.)
    Lambert testified in his own defense at trial. In his trial testimony, Lambert
    admitted that he lied to the police about his whereabouts on the night of the murder, and
    he admitted that he was at the Benolkens’ apartment when the Benolkens were murdered.
    Lambert testified that he had ingested cocaine, marijuana, amphetamines, LSD, and
    alcohol that night, and that he had a very limited memory of what had occurred. Lambert
    recalled having a seizure, seeing “red flashes,” waking up in the Benolkens’ bathtub, and
    discovering their murdered bodies in the living room. Lambert denied any involvement
    in the murders, although he testified that “[a]t one point [he] thought [he] might have
    done it.”
    4
    (...continued)
    see, e.g., Pitts v. State, 
    501 S.W.3d 803
    , 804-06 (Ark. 2016) (permitting defendant to seek
    relief via a writ of error coram nobis after determining that the tainted testimony of Malone
    was material to the defendant’s conviction); Horstman v. State, 
    530 So. 2d 368
    , 370 (Fla.
    App. Dist. 1988) (holding that the court does “not share Mr. Malone’s conviction in the
    infallibility of hair comparison evidence. Thus, we cannot uphold a conviction dependent
    on such evidence.”).
    5
    See, e.g., 
    Pitts, 501 S.W.3d at 804-06
    ; 
    Horstman, 530 So. 2d at 370
    ; see also Geoff
    Earle, Discredited ex-FBI agent hired back as a private contractor years later, New York
    Post, (July 21, 2014), https://nypost.com/2014/07/21/discredited-ex-fbi-agent-hired-back-as­
    a-private-contractor-years-later/ (“Malone’s criminal forensics work has come under heavy
    scrutiny by investigators — including his involvement in a case that sent former DC resident
    Donald Gates to prison for 28 years for a murder he didn’t commit.”).
    –6–                                        2623
    During closing arguments, the State argued it had proven, beyond a
    reasonable doubt, that Lambert had killed Mrs. Benolken and had aided and abetted
    another person — either Telles or someone else — in killing Mr. Benolken. Lambert’s
    attorney argued that the State had failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Lambert
    was anything other than an innocent bystander to a brutal double murder committed by
    any number of other people.
    After deliberating for two days, the jury convicted Lambert of first-degree
    murder for the intentional killing of Mrs. Benolken. However, the jury acquitted
    Lambert of killing Mr. Benolken. Lambert was sentenced to 99 years to serve.
    Lambert’s co-defendant, Emmanuel Telles, was later tried for the murders
    of Mr. and Mrs. Benolken at a separate trial. The jury acquitted Telles of both murders.
    A few years after these acquittals, Telles died.
    Lambert appealed his conviction for Mrs. Benolken’s murder to this Court.
    We affirmed Lambert’s conviction and his sentence in an unpublished memorandum
    decision.6
    The enactment of Alaska’s post-conviction DNA testing statutory scheme
    In 2010, almost thirty years after the Benolken murders, the Alaska
    legislature enacted AS 12.73, Alaska’s post-conviction DNA testing statutory scheme.
    Under AS 12.73.010, a person convicted of a felony crime against a person under
    AS 11.41 may apply to the superior court for an order for DNA testing of physical
    evidence in their case.7 The application must be filed in the court that entered the
    6
    See Lambert v. State, 
    1985 WL 1078006
    , at *7 (Alaska App. Dec. 26, 1985)
    (unpublished).
    7
    AS 12.73.010(a).
    –7–                                      2623
    judgment of conviction, and a copy must be sent to the prosecuting authority responsible
    for obtaining the conviction.8
    An application filed under AS 12.73.010 must specifically identify the
    evidence sought to be tested,9 and it must include facts from which the court can make
    the findings required under AS 12.73.020.10 The application must include, inter alia, an
    affidavit in which the defendant swears under oath that he or she is factually innocent of
    the crime for which they were convicted — i.e., the person must swear under oath that
    they did not commit the crime for which they were convicted, nor did they commit any
    lesser included offense, solicit another person to commit the crime, or aid or abet another
    person in planning or committing the crime.11
    Alaska Statute 12.73.020(7) requires that the defendant “identify a theory
    of defense that would establish the [defendant’s] innocence.”12 Unlike its federal
    counterpart, Alaska’s post-conviction DNA testing statute does not require this theory
    of defense to be consistent with the defense that was raised at trial.13
    8
    
    Id. 9 AS
    12.73.010(b).
    10
    AS 12.73.020(1)-(11).
    11
    AS 12.73.010(b)(1)(A)-(B).
    12
    AS 12.73.020(7).
    13
    See Minutes of House Finance Comm., Senate Bill 110, at 2:16-2:21 (April 12, 2010)
    (amending the proposed bill to eliminate this consistency requirement on the ground that a
    factually innocent defendant should not be precluded as a matter of law from seeking DNA
    testing that could establish his innocence based on the strategic decisions that his defense
    attorney may have made at trial — decisions over which the defendant did not exercise direct
    control).
    –8–                                        2623
    Alaska Statute 12.73.020(9) also requires the defendant to show, by a
    preponderance of the evidence, that:
    [t]he proposed DNA testing of the specific evidence may
    produce new material evidence that would
    (A) support the theory of defense described in
    [AS 12.73.020(7)]; and
    (B) raise a reasonable probability that the applicant did
    not commit the offense.14
    Alaska Statute 12.73.020(7) and AS 12.73.020(9) work in concert and
    essentially require the defendant to explain two things: (1) how the proposed DNA
    testing could produce evidence that would be materially relevant to the defendant’s guilt
    or innocence; and (2) why the DNA results, if favorable to the claim of innocence, would
    raise “a reasonable probability” that the jury would find reasonable doubt in this case
    where previously it had found none.
    Lambert’s application
    Prior to the enactment of AS 12.73, Lambert filed an application for post-
    conviction relief alleging “newly discovered evidence” regarding the unreliability of
    Agent Malone’s comparative hair analysis and seeking DNA testing of the hairs used in
    that analysis, as well as DNA testing of any other physical evidence still remaining from
    the case. After the new statutory scheme went into effect, Lambert’s request for DNA
    testing was converted into an application for post-conviction relief under AS 12.73. In
    support of his application, Lambert submitted an affidavit attesting that he was factually
    innocent of Mrs. Benolken’s murder. Lambert also requested discovery on whether there
    14
    AS 12.73.020(9).
    –9–                                      2623
    was any physical evidence still remaining in his case that could be tested. In response,
    the State provided documentation establishing that the evidence no longer existed.
    Lambert’s attorney continued to investigate what had happened to the
    evidence that had been sent to outside agencies for testing. Although most of this
    evidence had also been destroyed, Lambert’s attorney discovered that a private crime
    laboratory in California still had physical evidence from the murders. This evidence
    consisted of blood and semen samples taken from stains on Mr. Benolken’s clothing.
    These samples had been sent to the California laboratory at the request of Telles’s
    attorney who had apparently considered having them tested. Although this testing had
    not occurred, the laboratory had still preserved the samples and they were therefore
    available for DNA testing.
    Lambert filed a theory of defense, requesting DNA testing of the blood and
    semen samples. Lambert argued that the blood and semen samples should be tested to
    determine if the DNA belonged to James Benolken, Ann Benolken, Newton Lambert,
    or Emmanuel Telles. Lambert asserted that if the DNA results excluded Lambert, Telles,
    and the victims, then the results would support his theory of innocence — i.e., the results
    would be consistent with his claim that two other persons (who were not Lambert or
    Telles) had killed the Benolkens. Conversely, if the blood and semen were determined
    to belong to the victims, Lambert, and/or Telles, then these results would be consistent
    with the State’s theory of prosecution and could potentially confirm Lambert and/or
    Telles’s guilt.
    Lambert also asserted that testing the blood and semen could yield two
    different DNA profiles. Lambert posited that the semen could have come from the first
    man who raped and killed Mr. Benolken, while the blood could have come from the
    second man who killed Mrs. Benolken — the theory being that the second man injured
    – 10 –                                     2623
    himself while stabbing Mrs. Benolken and then transferred his own blood onto Mr.
    Benolken’s clothing when he assisted the first man in subduing Mr. Benolken.
    Lambert also argued that if the DNA results excluded Lambert, Telles, and
    the victims as possible sources of the blood and semen, the results could be run through
    the national DNA database (CODIS15), which could lead to the identification and future
    prosecution of the true perpetrators of this double homicide.
    The State opposed any DNA testing of the blood and semen samples. The
    State’s initial concern was that the evidence had been contaminated.16 The court held an
    evidentiary hearing on these concerns and ultimately concluded that it would not deny
    the proposed testing on these grounds alone.
    The State also argued that Lambert had failed to meet the statutory
    requirements under AS 12.73.020(7). The State argued, in particular, that Lambert had
    failed to show how the proposed DNA testing would actually establish his innocence for
    purposes of AS 12.73.020(7).17 The State also argued that Lambert was required to meet
    the three-part test articulated by this Court in Osborne v. State, and to show that the DNA
    testing would be conclusive on the issue of perpetrator identity.18
    15
    CODIS is the generic term used to describe the FBI’s program of support for criminal
    justice DNA databases as well as the software used to run these databases. See
    https://www.fbi.gov/about-us/lab/biometric-analysis/codis/codis-and-ndis-fact-sheet (last
    visited Nov. 7, 2018).
    16
    See AS 12.73.020(5) (requiring court to find that “the evidence to be tested has been
    subject to a chain of custody and retained under conditions that ensure that the evidence has
    not been substituted, contaminated, or altered in any manner material to the proposed DNA
    testing”).
    17
    See AS 12.73.020(7).
    18
    Osborne v. State, 
    110 P.3d 986
    (Alaska App. 2005).
    – 11 –                                      2623
    In addition, the State argued that Lambert had failed to show how the
    identification of two previously unidentified perpetrators based on evidence from Mr.
    Benolken’s clothing would materially undermine the State’s evidence linking Lambert
    to Mrs. Benolken’s murder given the strength of that evidence.
    The superior court agreed with the State that Lambert had failed to make
    an adequate showing under AS 12.73.020(7). Applying Osborne, the court found that
    Lambert failed to show that the DNA testing could conclusively establish his
    innocence.19 The court also separately ruled that Lambert had failed to satisfy the
    statutory requirements under AS 12.73.020(9). The court concluded that, given the
    weight of the evidence against Lambert, the DNA results, even if favorable, would not
    raise a reasonable probability that Lambert was not guilty of killing Mrs. Benolken. The
    court therefore denied Lambert’s application on these two grounds.
    This appeal now follows.
    The superior court erred in applying Osborne to Lambert’s application
    On appeal, Lambert argues that the superior court misconstrued
    AS 12.73.020(7) and the court held Lambert to a higher standard than the statutory
    provision requires. Lambert also argues that the superior court erred when it structured
    its analysis around Osborne v. State.20
    We agree with Lambert that the superior court’s analysis of AS 12.73.­
    020(7) is flawed. We also agree that the superior court’s reliance on the three-pronged
    test in Osborne was error.
    19
    See 
    id. at 995.
    20
    Osborne v. State, 
    110 P.3d 986
    , 995 (Alaska App. 2005).
    – 12 –                                  2623
    In the first part of its order, the superior court interpreted AS 12.73.020(7)
    as requiring Lambert to prove that the proposed DNA testing would conclusively
    establish his innocence. But Lambert’s burden in relation to AS 12.73.020(7) was far
    more modest. Alaska Statute 12.73.020(7) requires the defendant to “identif[y] a theory
    of defense that will establish the defendant’s innocence,” but it does not require the
    defendant to prove that this theory is true or that the DNA testing will prove the theory
    true.21
    As the State acknowledges on appeal, the defendant bears only a burden of
    pleading with regard to AS 12.73.020(7) — that is, the defendant is only required to
    identify his or her theory of innocence. Alaska Statute 12.73.020(9)(A) also requires the
    defendant to show how the proposed DNA testing could produce new material evidence
    that would “support” — i.e., be consistent with — that theory of innocence. But neither
    statutory provision requires the defendant to prove that the DNA testing, if favorable,
    will “establish” his or her innocence or that the DNA testing will “conclusively” exclude
    the defendant as a possible perpetrator.
    Instead of recognizing the limited showing required under AS 12.73.020(7)
    and AS 12.73.020(9)(A), the superior court appears to have conflated the statutory
    requirements with the three-pronged constitutionally based test we articulated in
    Osborne.22 As Lambert correctly points out, Osborne was decided prior to the enactment
    of AS 12.73, and our decision in that case has been largely superseded by that
    subsequent legislation.
    The question we faced in Osborne was whether, in the absence of any
    statutory right to post-conviction DNA testing, there was a free-standing constitutional
    21
    AS 12.73.020(7) (emphasis added).
    22
    
    Osborne, 110 P.3d at 995
    .
    – 13 –                                      2623
    right to post-conviction DNA testing in cases involving claims of actual innocence.23 We
    concluded that a defendant might have such a due process right if the defendant could
    meet the following three-part test: (1) his conviction rested primarily on eyewitness
    identification evidence; (2) there was a demonstrable doubt concerning the identification
    of the defendant as the perpetrator; and (3) scientific testing of the available evidence
    would likely be conclusive on this issue.24
    When the Alaska legislature enacted AS 12.73, it did not adopt this three-
    part test. Instead, the legislature modeled Alaska’s post-conviction statutory scheme
    after the federal Innocence Protection Act.25 Osborne is therefore of marginal relevance
    to applications for post-conviction DNA testing and likely to simply muddy the analysis
    of claims brought under AS 12.73, as it did here.
    The superior court did not err when it concluded that the DNA testing, even
    if favorable, would not raise a reasonable probability that the outcome of
    Lambert’s trial would be different
    To fulfill the statutory requirement under AS 12.73.020(9)(B), a defendant
    must show that the proposed DNA testing may produce new material evidence that
    would “raise a reasonable probability that the applicant did not commit the offense.”
    Importantly, the defendant need not show any likelihood that the DNA results will
    actually be favorable to his claim of innocence. Instead, he need only show that,
    assuming the results are as favorable as the defendant has shown they could be, these
    23
    
    Id. 24 Id.;
    see Osborne v. State, 
    163 P.3d 973
    , 982 (Alaska App. 2007) (holding Osborne
    was unable to meet this three-part test).
    25
    Compare 18 U.S.C. § 3600 (2004) et seq. with AS 12.73.010-090.
    – 14 –                                      2623
    favorable results would raise “a reasonable probability” that the outcome of the
    defendant’s trial would be different.26
    The reasonable probability analysis requires the trial court to look at the
    trial record as a whole and to assess the potential evidentiary significance of these
    favorable DNA results in light of all the known evidence in the case.27 This fact-
    intensive inquiry is probably best made by the trial judge who presided over the original
    trial.28 In Lambert’s case, however, the original trial judge is no longer available.
    The term “reasonable probability” has a specialized legal meaning.29
    Reasonable probability means “a probability sufficient to undermine confidence in the
    26
    See State v. Armour, 
    141 A.3d 381
    , 391 (N.J. App. 2016) (“Given the difficulty of
    anticipating the outcome of a DNA (or fingerprint) test, ‘the trial court should postulate
    whatever realistically possible test results would be most favorable to [the] defendant’”);
    State v. Peterson, 
    836 A.2d 821
    , 827 (N.J. App. 2003) (emphasizing that a court may not
    deny a motion for DNA testing because the court finds it unlikely that DNA testing would
    produce favorable results; instead the court has to consider the evidential significance of
    whatever “favorable” DNA test results could be obtained).
    27
    See State v. Marra, 
    988 A.2d 865
    , 874 (Conn. 2010) (reasonable probability analysis
    requires court to take into account totality of evidence adduced at original trial in order to
    determine whether absence of exculpatory DNA evidence undermines confidence in verdict).
    28
    See United States v. Jordan, 
    594 F.3d 1265
    , 1269 (10th Cir. 2010) (noting that trial
    judge considering a motion for post-conviction DNA testing “is most often the judge who
    presided over the defendant’s trial,” and that this judge is “in a unique position to assess the
    evidence against the defendant and to evaluate whether new DNA testing may produce
    evidence which would raise a reasonable probability that [the defendant] did not commit the
    offense”).
    29
    See AS 01.10.040 (declaring that words and phrases “that have acquired a peculiar
    and appropriate meaning, whether by legislative definition or [judicial construction] shall be
    construed according to the peculiar and appropriate meaning”).
    – 15 –                                        2623
    defendant’s conviction.”30 A“reasonable probability” is “a reasonable chance and not
    merely an abstract possibility.”31 Notably, the reasonable probability standard does not
    require a showing of more likely than not.32 Thus, a defendant need not show that the
    favorable DNA test results would likely result in an acquittal. Instead, he is only
    required to show a “reasonable chance, not an abstract possibility” that the DNA test
    results, if favorable, would create a reasonable doubt where none had previously been
    found to exist.33
    30
    Strickland v. Washington, 
    466 U.S. 668
    , 694 (1984); see also Hood v. United States,
    
    28 A.3d 553
    , 564 (D.C. App. 2011) (applying Strickland “reasonable probability” standard
    to claim brought under federal Innocence Protection Act); Richardson v. Superior Court, 
    183 P.3d 1199
    , 1205 (Cal. 2008) (applying Strickland reasonable probability standard when
    construing comparable post-conviction DNA testing statute); State v. Dupigney, 
    988 A.2d 851
    , 859 (Conn. 2010) (same); In re Towne, 
    86 A.3d 429
    , 432 (Vt. 2013) (same).
    31
    
    Richardson, 183 P.3d at 1205
    .
    32
    See Kyles v. Whitley, 
    514 U.S. 419
    , 434 (1995); 
    Richardson, 183 P.3d at 1205
    (emphasizing that that a “reasonable probability” for purposes of obtaining post-conviction
    DNA testing “does not mean more likely than not”) (citations omitted); State v. Cote, 
    21 A.3d 589
    , 593 (Conn. App. 2011) (“The question is not whether the defendant would more
    likely than not have received a different verdict with the evidence, but whether in its absence
    he received a fair trial, understood as a trial resulting in a verdict worthy of confidence.”).
    See generally Jed Handelsman Shugerman, Unreasonable Probability of Error, 111 Yale L.
    J. 435, 440 (2001) (explaining that courts have misinterpreted the “reasonable probability
    standard” to mean “more likely than not” when in fact the burden is less than that).
    33
    
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    ; 
    Richardson, 183 P.3d at 1205
    ; In re 
    Towne, 86 A.3d at 432
    (“A petitioner must demonstrate that the evidence ‘creates a reasonable doubt that did
    not otherwise exist.’”) (internal citations omitted).
    – 16 –                                       2623
    This is the same standard that is used to evaluate the prejudice prong of an
    ineffective assistance of counsel claim in federal law under Strickland v. Washington.34
    However, it is a higher standard than is used to evaluate the prejudice prong of an
    ineffective assistance claim in Alaska law under Risher v. State.35 Under Risher, a
    defendant is required to show only that there is “a reasonable possibility” that the
    outcome of his trial would have been different but for his attorney’s deficient
    performance.36 This is a “less demanding” standard than the reasonable probability
    standard required here.37
    The relative strength of the State’s evidence and the importance of the
    evidence to be tested has clear import in analyzing whether the reasonable probability
    standard has been met in a given case.38 Thus, in cases where the evidence to be tested
    could be dispositive on the question of the defendant’s guilt or innocence, the strength
    of the State’s evidence will be largely irrelevant. However, in cases where the evidence
    to be tested is only tangentially relevant to the defendant’s guilt or innocence, the relative
    strength or weaknesses in the State’s evidence will become more determinative of
    whether the standard has been met.
    34
    
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 694
    .
    35
    Risher v. State, 
    523 P.2d 421
    (Alaska 1974).
    36
    
    Id. at 425.
       37
    State v. Jones, 
    759 P.2d 558
    , 572 (Alaska App. 1988) (comparing the “reasonable
    possibility” standard to the “harmless beyond a reasonable doubt” standard used for
    constitutional errors under Chapman, with the critical distinction being that the defendant
    (not the State) bears the burden of showing the prejudice under this standard).
    38
    See In re 
    Towne, 86 A.3d at 435-36
    ; see also 
    Strickland, 466 U.S. at 696
    (“[A] verdict
    or conclusion only weakly supported by the record is more likely to have been affected by
    errors than one with overwhelming record support”).
    – 17 –                                       2623
    One of the problems that Lambert faces in the current case is that the
    evidence he seeks to test is blood and semen found on Mr. Benolken’s clothing, but
    Lambert was not convicted of Mr. Benolken’s murder. The jury convicted Lambert only
    of Mrs. Benolken’s murder, and the jury rejected the State’s theory that Lambert had
    assisted another person or persons in killing Mr. Benolken. Thus, demonstrating that
    Lambert’s DNA was not on Mr. Benolken’s clothing would not directly undermine
    confidence in the jury’s verdict.
    Demonstrating that the DNA belonged to two unknown men (i.e., not
    Lambert, Telles, or either of the victims) could potentially undermine confidence in the
    jury’s verdict, but the significance of such a finding depends on the weight of the
    evidence directly linking Lambert to Mrs. Benolken’s murder. Although the State’s
    primary theory of prosecution was that only two men (Lambert and Telles) were
    involved in the murders, the forensic evidence suggested that more than two people may
    have been involved. This was a particularly brutal and violent double homicide that
    involved the murder and rape of two victims. In his arguments to the jury, the prosecutor
    emphasized that the person who killed Mr. Benolken — whether Telles or someone else
    — could not have done it alone. Lambert’s defense attorney similarly argued that there
    could have been any number of people involved in the murders.
    The question therefore becomes, if the DNA testing showed that there were
    two additional perpetrators who were involved in killing Mr. Benolken (neither of whom
    was Lambert and Telles), would these favorable test results raise a reasonable probability
    that Lambert was not involved in killing Mrs. Benolken? As the superior court noted,
    the “biggest problem” that Lambert faced in making this showing was that Lambert
    himself had admitted to being present at the Benolken apartment when the murders
    occurred. Lambert also admitted that “at one point [he] thought [he] might have done
    – 18 –                                    2623
    it.” As the superior court also emphasized, the State’s evidence linking Lambert to Mrs.
    Benolken’s murder was strong. This evidence included not only Lambert’s own
    admissions at trial, but also Lambert’s out-of-court confessions to two different inmates
    in two different correctional facilities. The State’s evidence also included (1) Lambert’s
    fingerprint on a paper bag next to Mrs. Benolken’s body and within arm’s reach of where
    the person stabbing Mrs. Benolken would have been situated given the blood splatter;
    (2) the broken knife found under Mrs. Benolken’s body and Lambert’s purchase of a
    new knife a few days after the murders; (3) Lambert’s visit to the emergency room to
    treat a wound that could have been caused by broken glass or the broken knife; and (4)
    Lambert’s various lies to the police and his efforts to get his friends to lie to the police
    on his behalf.
    On appeal, Lambert argues that the superior court erred in assuming that
    this evidence could not be controverted through other means. Lambert argues, in
    particular, that the superior court erred when it assumed that Lambert’s trial testimony
    was true. According to Lambert, the superior court should have questioned the veracity
    of Lambert’s trial testimony because his admissions bore all of the hallmarks of a false
    confession, in that they were admissions by a young defendant who was confronted with
    seemingly incontrovertible, but perhaps false, physical evidence — i.e., Agent Malone’s
    hair comparison analysis.
    But Lambert never argued that his trial testimony was false in his
    application for post-conviction DNA testing. Nor did he ever claim that he was not
    present in the apartment at the time the murders occurred. He also did not refute any of
    the other evidence against him (other than asserting Agent Malone’s general lack of
    reliability as an expert). Given all this, we conclude that the superior court did not err
    when it determined that Lambert failed to show that the proposed DNA testing, if
    – 19 –                                      2623
    favorable, would raise a reasonable probability that the outcome of trial would be
    different — i.e., a reasonable chance, not an abstract possibility, that reasonable doubt
    regarding Lambert’s guilt would be found where none had previously existed.
    Accordingly, we uphold the superior court’s denial of Lambert’s application for post-
    conviction DNA testing.
    Conclusion
    The judgment of the superior court is AFFIRMED.
    – 20 –                                    2623
    Judge ALLARD, concurring separately.
    I write separately to point out that there is nothing preventing the State from
    DNA testing the evidence in this case for its own reasons. As the United States Supreme
    Court noted “DNA testing has an unparalleled ability both to exonerate the wrongly
    convicted and to identify the guilty. It has the potential to significantly improve both the
    criminal justice system and police investigative practices.”1 Here, the jury’s verdicts
    from the two defendants’ trials have left the public with many unanswered questions
    about these brutal murders. How many people were involved in these murders? Was
    Telles involved? Was Lambert involved in killing Mr. Benolken as well as Mrs.
    Benolken? Testing the blood and semen from Mr. Benolken’s clothing has the potential
    to provide answers to at least some of these questions. Moreover, if the results are
    matched to DNA profiles in the national FBI database CODIS, the testing could
    potentially lead to the identification and future prosecution of at least one (if not two)
    previously unknown perpetrator(s) from this thirty-year-old double homicide.
    It is also worth noting that DNA testing is relatively inexpensive, generally
    costing no more than a few thousand dollars. In contrast, the costs of fully litigating the
    requirements under AS 12.73 can be quite high, consuming a significant amount of
    attorney, judge, and court time — most of which comes from public funds. Partially for
    this reason, the Alaska legislature has recognized the benefits of proceeding with the
    initial testing outside the formal requirements of AS 12.73 in certain circumstances.
    Alaska Statute 12.73.060 therefore provides:
    The provisions of this chapter do not prohibit an applicant
    and the prosecuting authority from agreeing to conduct
    post-conviction DNA testing without the person’s filing an
    application under this chapter. The parties may also stipulate
    1
    Dist. Attorney’s Office for Third Dist. v. Osborne, 
    557 U.S. 52
    , 55 (2009).
    – 21 –                                      2623
    to the payment of costs for the DNA testing and other costs
    associated with the terms of the agreement.
    One advantage of this approach is that the parties are not forced to speculate as to the
    universe of potentially exculpatory results. Instead, they can streamline the litigation and
    focus on the actual known results. Moreover, in cases where the specific evidence to be
    tested is particularly material to the question of guilt or innocence, there will likely be
    times when the DNA testing simply confirms the defendant’s guilt, thereby obviating the
    need for costly litigation altogether.
    – 22 –                                      2623