State v. Michelle Lodzinski (083398) (Middlesex County & Statewide) ( 2021 )


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  •                                        SYLLABUS
    This syllabus is not part of the Court’s opinion. It has been prepared by the Office of the
    Clerk for the convenience of the reader. It has been neither reviewed nor approved by the
    Court. In the interest of brevity, portions of an opinion may not have been summarized.
    State v. Michelle Lodzinski (A-50-19) (083398)
    Argued October 27, 2020 -- Decided May 26, 2021
    PER CURIAM
    JUSTICE PATTERSON filed a concurrence, joined by JUSTICES FERNANDEZ-
    VINA and SOLOMON. JUSTICE ALBIN filed a dissent, joined by JUSTICES
    LaVECCHIA and PIERRE-LOUIS.
    Defendant Michelle Lodzinski appeals the Appellate Division’s decision affirming
    her conviction of the first-degree purposeful or knowing murder of her five-year-old son.
    She challenges her conviction on two grounds. First, defendant contends that she was
    entitled to a judgment of acquittal notwithstanding the verdict under Rule 3:18-2 because
    the evidence presented was insufficient to support the jury’s verdict that she was guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt. Second, defendant argues that she is entitled to a new trial
    pursuant to Rule 3:20-1 because the trial court dismissed a juror who contravened its
    instructions by conducting independent research, and replaced that juror with an alternate
    instead of declaring a mistrial.
    The following facts are drawn from Justice Patterson’s concurring opinion.
    Timothy Wiltsey (Timmy) resided with defendant, his mother, in South Amboy.
    A teenage neighbor, Dawn Matthews, initially babysat for Timmy. Later, following
    defendant’s move to a different neighborhood, her niece Jennifer Blair, later Jennifer
    Blair-Dilcher, became Timmy’s primary babysitter. When she babysat for Timmy, Blair-
    Dilcher was sometimes accompanied by her friend Danielle Gerding.
    Shortly after Timmy’s fifth birthday, defendant enrolled him in kindergarten at St.
    Mary’s School. School records reflect that Timmy arrived late sixty-three times during
    his kindergarten year and was absent on twenty-five school days. The record contains no
    indication that defendant was ever accused of abusing Timmy prior to the murder charge
    against her. Several witnesses testified at trial that they viewed her to be a loving and
    dedicated mother to her son, and that she considered the child her first priority.
    On the evening of Saturday, May 25, 1991, Blair-Dilcher and Gerding went to the
    carnival in Sayreville and looked for defendant and Timmy. They found defendant
    1
    standing alone. Defendant said that she did not know where Timmy was and that he had
    been missing for fifteen minutes.
    Blair-Dilcher and Gerding immediately began searching for Timmy. Between
    7:45 p.m. and 8:00 p.m., Gerding notified an auxiliary police officer, Kevin Skolnik, that
    her friend’s son was missing. Skolnik approached defendant and inquired about the
    missing child. Defendant, who did not appear to the officer to be upset, said that “she
    went to get her soda, she turned her back and her son was missing.” Defendant told
    Skolnik that Timmy “had Ninja Turtle sneakers, he had a crew cut, [and] a t-shirt on.”
    Sayreville police officers and firefighters conducted an extensive search of the carnival
    site and the surrounding area, but failed to locate Timmy. They searched defendant’s car
    and found no evidence relating to Timmy’s disappearance.
    The following morning, defendant stated that on the afternoon of May 25, she took
    Timmy to a park in Holmdel and then drove Timmy to the Sayreville carnival. She stated
    that they arrived at the carnival at 7:00 p.m. and that Timmy went on three rides.
    Defendant told Detective Richard Sloan that a half hour after they arrived she went to get
    a soda, leaving Timmy “where [she] could see him,” and when she turned around “he
    was gone.”
    On May 28, police searched defendant’s apartment but found no evidence relevant
    to their search for Timmy. In the days that followed, defendant gave police a series of
    inconsistent statements regarding her son’s disappearance but never admitted any
    involvement in his disappearance.
    In October 1991, a man walking near Raritan Center in Edison found a child’s left
    sneaker with Ninja Turtle images on it, put the sneaker in a plastic bag, and delivered it to
    Sayreville police. The sneaker was found approximately four-tenths of a mile from the
    office of defendant’s former workplace. Police later identified the sneaker as matching
    the serial number on the box that had contained sneakers purchased by defendant about a
    week before Timmy disappeared.
    In March 1992, FBI Agent Ronald Butkiewicz and another FBI agent interviewed
    defendant with her attorney present. The following month, Butkiewicz interviewed
    defendant’s mother, who disclosed that defendant had previously worked at the Raritan
    Center. Butkiewicz interviewed defendant again and asked her to provide a list of her
    employers. Defendant listed Florida Fulfillment. Asked where Florida Fulfillment was,
    defendant identified it as a “Florida-based” company. When asked directly for Florida
    Fulfillment’s New Jersey location, she identified the Raritan Center.
    In April 1992, investigators searched a wooded area on the Raritan Center
    property. On the first day of the search, a right sneaker with Ninja Turtle images on it
    was found. It was later identified as the other half of the pair of sneakers purchased by
    2
    defendant for Timmy. Later that day, an investigator found the skull of a child. Using
    dental records, investigators identified it as Timmy’s skull. Told by Sayreville police
    detectives that a skull had been found at the Raritan Center and it was “most probably”
    Timmy’s skull, defendant displayed “no reaction.”
    During the search, Butkiewicz found a partially-buried blanket within about
    twenty feet of the location where the skull was found. After dredging a portion of a creek
    that ran through the area, investigators found leg bones later identified as Timmy’s and
    two waistbands that appeared to be the remnants of clothing. The blanket, sneakers,
    waistbands, and other items found were sent to an FBI laboratory for testing. That testing
    revealed no evidence. A Sayreville police officer showed defendant and her parents the
    blanket; they stated that they did not recognize it.
    For more than two decades after Timmy’s disappearance, there were no significant
    developments in the investigation, and no one was charged in connection with his death.
    Defendant moved to Florida, where she raised two sons and worked as a paralegal.
    In 2011, an investigator reopened the investigation. He interviewed family
    members and friends of defendant and showed them the blanket and other items that had
    been discovered near Timmy’s remains. Several witnesses, including witnesses who
    were familiar with the home, stated that they did not recognize the items. Blair-Dilcher,
    who was estranged from her aunt and cooperating with the police, stated that she
    recognized the blanket as one she had seen in defendant’s home. In July 2014, a grand
    jury indicted defendant. After the indictment and before trial, Gerding and Matthews
    also stated that they recognized the blanket from defendant’s home. None of the
    photographs introduced into evidence at the trial showed the blanket.
    Defendant was tried before a jury over twenty-eight trial days beginning in March
    2016. On the third day of jury deliberations, the trial court received a note from a juror
    stating that “[r]esearch was done by [Juror No. 1] as to the FBI’s protocol back in the
    1990s.” The court immediately suspended deliberations. None of the eleven remaining
    jurors indicated that they had conducted independent research, and five denied
    knowledge of Juror No. 1’s independent research. Six jurors stated that they had heard a
    comment about the juror’s research regarding FBI protocols but said the comment had no
    effect on their ability to fairly decide the case. The trial court dismissed Juror No. 1 and
    substituted an alternate. In accordance with the applicable model jury charge, the trial
    court instructed the reconstituted jury to deliberate anew. The jury found defendant
    guilty of first-degree purposeful or knowing murder.
    Defendant moved for a judgment of acquittal on the ground that the evidence was
    insufficient to support the jury’s verdict. She also moved for a new trial based on the
    substitution of Juror No. 1. The trial court denied both motions, and defendant appealed.
    The Appellate Division affirmed. ___ N.J. Super. ___, ___ (App. Div. 2019) (slip op. at
    3
    7-34). Limiting its review to the State’s evidence, the court held that the State presented
    sufficient evidence to warrant denial of a judgment of acquittal. Id. at ___ (slip op. at 7-
    22). The court also affirmed the denial of defendant’s motion for a new trial based on the
    dismissal and replacement of Juror No. 1. Id. at ___ (slip op. at 27-34).
    The Court granted defendant’s petition for certification. 
    241 N.J. 81
     (2020).
    HELD: The judgment of the Appellate Division upholding defendant’s conviction is
    affirmed by an equally divided Court. Three members of the Court found the evidence
    sufficient and three members found the evidence insufficient to sustain the murder
    conviction. The six members of the Court who participated in this appeal unanimously
    modify the Appellate Division’s holding with respect to its characterization of the scope
    of the evidence that should be considered in reviewing a post-verdict motion for a
    judgment of acquittal as explained on pages 28-32 of Justice Patterson’s opinion. The
    Court also unanimously agrees with the Appellate Division that defendant was not
    entitled to a new trial because a juror substitution occurred, for the reasons set forth on
    pages 60-66 of Justice Patterson’s opinion.
    1. In State v. Reyes, the Court reviewed a trial court’s denial of a defendant’s motion for
    a judgment of acquittal of a charge of first-degree murder at the close of the State’s case.
    
    50 N.J. 454
    , 458 (1967). As the Court framed the test, “the question the trial judge must
    determine is whether, viewing the State’s evidence in its entirety, . . . and giving the State
    the benefit of all its favorable testimony as well as all of the favorable inferences which
    reasonably could be drawn therefrom, a reasonable jury could find guilt of the charge
    beyond a reasonable doubt.” 
    Id. at 458-59
    . When a defendant moves for a judgment of
    acquittal after all the proofs, however, the court considers not only the evidence presented
    by the State, but “the entirety of the evidence.” State v. Williams, 
    218 N.J. 576
    , 594
    (2014). Accordingly, the Court does not concur with the Appellate Division’s view that
    evidence presented by the defendant is irrelevant to the court’s consideration when it
    reviews a post-trial motion for a judgment of acquittal notwithstanding the verdict under
    Rule 3:18-2, and the Court considers defendant’s evidence in reviewing the trial court’s
    determination. The Reyes standard accords with the federal appellate standard for review
    of the sufficiency of the evidence. (pp. 28-32)
    2. There was no abuse of discretion in the trial court’s response to the juror’s
    misconduct. By virtue of his admitted violation of the court’s instructions, the juror made
    clear that he was unable to continue his jury service under Rule 1:8-2(d)(1) for a reason
    personal to him, and the court properly dismissed him from the panel. The trial court
    confirmed that the remaining jurors were not tainted by the incident; the jurors
    -- including several who had heard the dismissed juror say that he had conducted
    independent research -- stated that they would not allow the incident to affect their ability
    to fairly decide the case. There is no evidence that the jury had reached a preliminary or
    final determination on any issue prior to the substitution. The trial court properly
    4
    instructed the reconstituted jury to deliberate anew, and the reconstituted jury heard
    playback of testimony and conducted deliberations before reaching its verdict. The Court
    shares the Appellate Division’s view that the trial court properly exercised its discretion
    when it dismissed the juror, replaced him with an alternate rather than declaring a
    mistrial, instructed the reconstituted jury to begin deliberations anew, and denied
    defendant’s post-trial motion under Rule 3:20-1 for a new trial. (pp. 60-66)
    JUSTICE PATTERSON, concurring, writes that, when viewed in accordance
    with the Reyes standard, the evidence presented at trial -- including defendant’s proofs --
    is more than sufficient to support a reasonable jury’s determination that defendant is
    guilty beyond a reasonable doubt of purposely or knowingly killing her son. Justice
    Patterson expresses the view that the evidence supports the following reasonable
    inferences: (1) one or more individuals killed Timmy and left his body in or near the
    creek at the Raritan Center; (2) defendant was present when her son’s body was left there,
    and defendant chose a familiar location -- a desolate wooded area very close to her
    former workplace -- to dispose of her son’s remains; (3) the blanket was deposited in the
    woods with Timmy’s remains, and it came from defendant’s home; (4) when defendant
    arrived at the carnival on May 25, 1991, she was aware that her son was already dead and
    that any search for him would be futile, and defendant gave law enforcement false and
    contradictory accounts of his abduction to deflect attention from her own culpability and
    impede the investigation of her son’s disappearance; (5) defendant had a motive to kill
    her son; and (6) Timmy died as the result of a homicide. Justice Patterson reviews the
    evidence presented by defendant and concludes that it does not negate the State’s
    evidence. Justice Patterson concurs with the Appellate Division’s decision affirming the
    denial of defendant’s post-trial motion for a judgment of acquittal notwithstanding the
    verdict under Rule 3:18-2.
    JUSTICE ALBIN, dissenting, expresses the view that the direct and inferential
    evidence -- viewed in the light most favorable to the State -- cannot rationally justify the
    murder conviction of Michelle Lodzinski. Noting that a murder conviction cannot rest on
    speculation, Justice Albin writes that the sustaining of the conviction in this case on such
    a paucity of evidence has no parallel in this state. Justice Albin also points out that
    Lodzinski’s status as a single working mother was not a motive for murder and that,
    among other factors casting doubt on the identification of the blanket, Lodzinski’s
    estranged niece identified the blanket after first collaborating with the police. Justice
    Albin writes that there is no evidence of how Timothy Wiltsey died or the circumstances
    of his death. Even if the evidence suggests that Lodzinski had some knowledge or even
    involvement in Timothy’s death, Justice Albin observes, there is absolutely no evidence
    that she purposely or knowingly caused his death, and there is no evidence to distinguish
    whether Timothy died by accident or by the negligent, reckless, or purposeful or knowing
    acts of a person -- even if that person were Lodzinski. Justice Albin notes that not even
    the State’s medical examiner, in opining on the manner of death, distinguished between
    negligent, reckless, and purposeful or knowing homicide. Justice Albin stresses that due
    5
    process requires that the State establish beyond a reasonable doubt every element of the
    offense, including the accused’s state of mind, which is an essential element necessary to
    support a murder conviction.
    The Appellate Division’s judgment upholding defendant’s conviction is upheld
    by an equally divided Court, and the Court unanimously modifies the Appellate
    Division’s holding as to the standard of review on a post-verdict motion for a judgment
    of acquittal.
    JUSTICE PATTERSON filed a concurrence, joined by JUSTICES FERNANDEZ-
    VINA and SOLOMON. JUSTICE ALBIN filed a dissent, joined by JUSTICES
    LaVECCHIA and PIERRE-LOUIS. CHIEF JUSTICE RABNER did not participate.
    6
    SUPREME COURT OF NEW JERSEY
    A-50 September Term 2019
    083398
    State of New Jersey,
    Plaintiff-Respondent,
    v.
    Michelle Lodzinski,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    On certification to the Superior Court,
    Appellate Division.
    Argued                       Decided
    October 27, 2020               May 26, 2021
    Gerald Krovatin and David W. Fassett argued the cause
    for appellant (Krovatin Nau and Arseneault & Fassett,
    attorneys; Gerald Krovatin, David W. Fassett, and
    Gregory D. Jones, on the briefs).
    Joie D. Piderit, Acting Assistant Prosecutor/Special
    Deputy Attorney General, argued the cause for
    respondent (Yolanda Ciccone, Middlesex County
    Prosecutor, attorney; Joie D. Piderit, of counsel and the
    briefs).
    Lawrence S. Lustberg argued the cause for amici curiae
    American Civil Liberties Union of New Jersey and
    Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers of New Jersey
    (Gibbons and American Civil Liberties Union of New
    Jersey Foundation, attorneys; Lawrence S. Lustberg,
    1
    Michael R. Noveck, Alexander Shalom, and Jeanne
    LoCicero, on the brief).
    Paul J. Casteleiro argued the cause for amicus curiae
    Centurion Ministries, Inc., d/b/a Centurion (Centurion
    and Fox Rothschild, attorneys; Paul J. Casteleiro, of
    counsel and on the brief, and Karen A. Confoy, Jack L.
    Kolpen, Dominique J. Carroll, and Allison L. Hollows,
    on the brief).
    Debra G. Simms, Deputy Attorney General, argued the
    cause for amicus curiae Attorney General of New Jersey
    (Gurbir S. Grewal, Attorney General, attorney; Debra G.
    Simms, of counsel and on the brief).
    PER CURIAM
    The judgment of the Appellate Division is affirmed by an equally
    divided Court, but the six members of the Court who participated in this appeal
    unanimously modify the Appellate Division’s holding with respect to its
    characterization of the scope of the evidence that should be considered in
    reviewing a post-verdict motion for a judgment of acquittal. See State v.
    Lodzinski, ___ N.J. Super. ___, ___ (App. Div. 2019) (slip op. at 7-9). The
    Court’s articulation of the appropriate scope of review is set forth in Justice
    Patterson’s concurring opinion. See infra at ___ (slip op. at 28-32).
    The Court also unanimously affirms the Appellate Division’s affirmance
    of the trial court’s ruling that defendant Michelle Lodzinski was not entitled to
    a new trial because a juror substitution occurred, see Lodzinski, ___ N.J.
    2
    Super. at ___ (slip op. at 27-34), for the reasons set forth in Justice Patterson’s
    opinion, see infra at ___ (slip op. at 60-66).
    JUSTICE PATTERSON filed a concurrence, joined by JUSTICES
    FERNANDEZ-VINA and SOLOMON. JUSTICE ALBIN filed a dissent,
    joined by JUSTICES LaVECCHIA and PIERRE-LOUIS. CHIEF JUSTICE
    RABNER did not participate.
    JUSTICE PATTERSON, concurring.
    Defendant Michelle Lodzinski appeals the Appellate Division’s decision
    affirming her conviction of the first-degree purposeful or knowing murder of
    her five-year-old son. She challenges her conviction on two grounds.
    First, defendant contends that she was entitled to a judgment of acquittal
    notwithstanding the verdict under Rule 3:18-2 because the evidence presented
    was insufficient to support the jury’s verdict that she was guilty beyond a
    reasonable doubt.
    We review the trial court’s denial of defendant’s motion for a judgment
    of acquittal notwithstanding the verdict in accordance with State v. Reyes, 
    50 N.J. 454
    , 458-59 (1967). When a defendant moves for a judgment of acquittal
    after the verdict, we consider the evidence in its entirety, including the
    evidence that defendant presented. State v. Williams, 
    218 N.J. 576
    , 594
    (2014). Affording to “the State the benefit of all its favorable testimony as
    3
    well as all of the favorable inferences which reasonably could be drawn
    therefrom,” we determine whether a reasonable jury could find defendant
    guilty beyond a reasonable doubt of purposeful or knowing murder. Reyes, 
    50 N.J. at 459
    .
    Viewed in accordance with the Reyes standard, the evidence presented at
    trial -- including defendant’s proofs -- is more than sufficient to support a
    reasonable jury’s determination that defendant is guilty beyond a reasonable
    doubt. We therefore concur with the Appellate Division that the trial court
    properly denied defendant’s motion for a judgment of acquittal
    notwithstanding the verdict under Rule 3:18-2.
    Second, defendant argues that she is entitled to a new trial pursuant to
    Rule 3:20-1 because the trial court dismissed a juror who contravened its
    instructions by conducting independent research, and replaced that juror with
    an alternate instead of declaring a mistrial.
    We find no abuse of discretion in the trial court’s response to the juror’s
    misconduct. By virtue of his admitted violation of the court’s instructions, the
    juror made clear that he was unable to continue his jury service under Rule
    1:8-2(d)(1) for a reason personal to him, and the court properly dismissed him
    from the panel. The trial court confirmed that the remaining jurors were not
    tainted by the incident; the jurors -- including several who had heard the
    4
    dismissed juror say that he had conducted independent research -- stated that
    they would not allow the incident to affect their ability to fairly decide the
    case. There is no evidence that the jury had reached a preliminary or final
    determination on any issue prior to the substitution. The trial court properly
    instructed the reconstituted jury to deliberate anew, and the reconstituted jury
    heard playback of testimony and conducted deliberations before reaching its
    verdict. Accordingly, we concur with the Appellate Division that defendant is
    not entitled to a new trial.
    I.
    A.
    1.
    Timothy Wiltsey (Timmy) was born in Iowa on August 6, 1985.1 He
    was the son of defendant, then seventeen years old, and George Wiltsey, an
    eighteen-year-old resident of Iowa. When Timmy was six months old,
    defendant moved with him to New Jersey, her home state.
    After defendant and Timmy arrived in New Jersey, they moved into the
    home of her sister and brother-in-law, Linda and David Hisey. When Timmy
    was about two and a half years old, defendant and Timmy moved into their
    1
    We summarize the facts based on the trial record, and the record submitted
    to the trial court in pre-trial and post-trial motions.
    5
    own apartment in South Amboy. They later moved to two different
    apartments, also in South Amboy.
    Defendant worked for a series of employers following her return to New
    Jersey. For approximately six months in 1988 and 1989, defendant worked as
    a secretary for Florida Fulfillment, a direct mail business, at its New Jersey
    office located at Raritan Center in Edison. Raritan Center was described at
    trial as a hotel, office building, and warehouse complex with extensive wooded
    areas surrounding the commercial buildings and a stream known as Red Root
    Creek running through a portion of the property.
    After leaving her job at Florida Fulfillment, defendant worked for a few
    months at a law firm. In February 1991, she started a new job as a secretary at
    Consumers, a retail catalogue service located in Edison.
    When defendant lived in her first apartment in South Amboy, a teenage
    neighbor, Dawn Matthews, babysat for Timmy. Later, following defendant’s
    move to a different neighborhood in South Amboy, her niece Jennifer Blair,
    later Jennifer Blair-Dilcher, became Timmy’s primary babysitter. When she
    babysat for Timmy, Blair-Dilcher was sometimes accompanied by her friend
    Danielle Gerding.
    Shortly after Timmy’s fifth birthday, defendant enrolled him in
    kindergarten at St. Mary’s School in South Amboy for the 1990-1991 school
    6
    year. The school nurse at St. Mary’s described Timmy as a good boy who was
    healthy but was frequently late for school. School records reflect that Timmy
    arrived late for school sixty-three times during his kindergarten year and was
    absent on an additional twenty-five school days.
    The record contains no indication that defendant was ever accused of
    abusing Timmy prior to the murder charge against her. Several witnesses
    testified at trial that they viewed her to be a loving and dedicated mother to her
    son, and that she considered the child her first priority.
    2.
    On Friday, May 24, 1991, defendant and Timmy visited the home of her
    brother’s former girlfriend and offered to take defendant’s niece, who was
    approximately Timmy’s age, to a carnival at Kennedy Park in Sayreville the
    following day. The next day, however, defendant did not pick up her niece for
    the carnival or contact the child’s mother.
    A neighbor testified that on the morning of Saturday, May 25, 1991, she
    saw Timmy playing with another child in the street near his home; she stated
    that she shouted at him to get off the street and that he complied with her
    instruction.
    That evening, Timmy’s babysitters, Blair-Dilcher and Gerding, went to
    the carnival in Sayreville and looked for defendant and Timmy. They found
    7
    defendant standing alone. Defendant said that she did not know where Timmy
    was and that he had been missing for fifteen minutes.
    Blair-Dilcher and Gerding immediately began searching for Timmy.
    Between 7:45 p.m. and 8:00 p.m., Gerding notified an auxiliary police officer,
    Kevin Skolnik, that her friend’s son was missing. Skolnik approached
    defendant and inquired about the missing child. Defendant, who did not
    appear to the officer to be upset, said that “she went to get her soda, she turned
    her back and her son was missing.” Defendant told Skolnik that Timmy “had
    Ninja Turtle sneakers, he had a crew cut, [and] a t-shirt on.”
    Skolnik initially joined defendant in searching for Timmy and then
    informed his lieutenant, who in turn notified the Sayreville Police Department.
    Officer Timothy Brennan interviewed defendant, who again said that after she
    purchased a soda, she turned around and Timmy was gone.
    Carnival employees and defendant made announcements over the
    loudspeaker about the missing boy, and police officers shut down the carnival
    rides. Sayreville police officers and firefighters conducted an extensive search
    of the carnival site and the surrounding area, but failed to locate Timmy. They
    searched defendant’s car, which was parked at the back of a school near the
    carnival, but found no evidence relating to Timmy’s disappearance. After
    8
    several hours, the search for Timmy was suspended for the night and then
    resumed early in the morning of May 26, 1991.
    That morning, defendant gave an audiotaped statement to a Sayreville
    police officer, Detective Richard Sloan. She stated that on the afternoon of
    May 25, 1991, she took Timmy to Holmdel Park in Holmdel, where they
    remained from 3:00 p.m. until 6:00 or 6:30 p.m. Defendant said that she then
    drove Timmy to the Sayreville carnival. She stated that they arrived at the
    carnival at 7:00 p.m. and that Timmy went on three rides. Defendant told
    Sloan that a half hour after they arrived at the carnival, she went to a
    concession stand to get a soda, leaving Timmy “on the side of the trailer over
    where [she] could see him,” and when she turned around “he was gone.” She
    said that when Timmy disappeared, he was wearing “a red tank top, red printed
    jam shorts that had black letters on it and little green men,” and Ninja Turtle
    sneakers.
    On May 28, 1991, Sayreville police searched defendant’s apartment.
    They found no evidence relevant to their search for Timmy.
    In the days that followed, defendant gave police a series of inconsistent
    statements regarding her son’s disappearance.
    On June 4, 1991, defendant provided a handwritten statement to the
    Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), which participated in the case because
    9
    of the possibility that Timmy was the victim of an interstate kidnapping. In
    that statement, defendant reiterated her original account of Timmy’s
    disappearance.
    In a meeting two days later with Sloan and another Sayreville officer,
    Detective Raymond Szkodny, defendant told the officers to “go ahead and
    charge me if you think you could.” According to the officers’ report of the
    interview, defendant told them that at the carnival, she saw an “older man”
    taking Timmy off a ride. She stated that the man walked with the child toward
    the tennis courts at the park, “met up with a younger man,” and that when she
    yelled at the man, he “turned towards her and stated ‘[S]tay away or we will
    hurt the boy.’” Defendant said to the officers, “You wanted to hear something
    so I told you that.” She abruptly walked out of the interview and left the
    police station, but the officers caught up with her and drove her home. At a
    meeting later that day, defendant admitted that she had “made up th[e] story
    about those two men.”
    On June 7, 1991, defendant gave another recorded statement to Sloan.
    For the first time, defendant implicated a woman whom she identified as
    “Ellen” in Timmy’s abduction. Defendant stated that she had met Ellen,
    whose last name she did not recall, when defendant worked as a teller at a
    local bank in 1986 and 1987. She described Ellen as a “go-go girl” who drove
    10
    a Camaro and cashed welfare checks at the bank using an identification card
    required under bank procedure.
    Defendant said that at the carnival in Sayreville on May 25, 1991, she
    encountered Ellen, who was dressed in a black “jump suit or shorts suit.” She
    said that Ellen was accompanied by two men in their twenties or thirties, both
    about 6’3”, and a two- or three-year-old girl. According to defendant, Ellen
    offered to watch Timmy while defendant purchased a soda, but when
    defendant returned, Timmy, Ellen, the two men, and the little girl were gone.2
    On June 13, 1991, interviewed by New Jersey State Police detectives,
    defendant provided a different version of the events of May 25, 1991.
    According to one detective’s testimony, defendant said that she encountered
    Ellen, accompanied by her daughter and two white males, at the carnival.
    Defendant told the detectives that after Ellen offered to put Timmy on a ride
    while defendant bought a drink, one of the men threatened defendant with a
    2
    On the same day, according to a statement by defendant’s former boyfriend,
    defendant said that she had encountered Ellen with a man and a little girl at the
    carnival, and after the group accompanied her to her car to get money to pay
    for Timmy to go on a ride, “the woman pulled a knife and put it to Timmy, and
    -- and she took him in the car, and they drove off.” At the request of the
    investigating officers, defendant’s former boyfriend participated in two
    consensual intercepts of conversations between him and defendant. In a
    recorded call, defendant gave an account consistent with her June 7, 1991
    statement to police; she said that Ellen, who was at the carnival with two men
    and a little girl, offered to watch Timmy while defendant purchased a drink,
    and when defendant returned, the group had vanished.
    11
    knife. According to the detective, defendant initially described the knife as a
    long hunting knife but later said it was a pocket knife. The detective stated
    that defendant said that “at first, she was frightened, and then she kind of
    thought it was just a joke, and she turned around and looked and Timmy was
    still there at the ride, so she continued to the confectionary stand to get the
    soda.”3 The officers confronted defendant with the discrepancies in her
    account regarding the number of men involved in her son’s abduction and the
    description of the knife; defendant walked out of the interview and declined to
    speak further with the State Police.
    In a recorded statement to Sayreville police officers later that day,
    defendant said that her statement to police on May 26, 1991 had been untrue
    and explained that she had been “afraid to tell the truth” because she feared
    that the person who took Timmy “was going to hurt him.” Defendant stated,
    When I went to go get a drink the man came up behind
    me, the one with the gray and brown hair, put his arm
    around me and showed a knife and said that Timmy is
    cute and if I didn’t want anything to happen to that face
    I would keep my mouth shut and keep walking, and I
    3
    A witness who was not acquainted with defendant but recognized her from
    press accounts testified that she was behind defendant in line at the concession
    stand at the Sayreville carnival on the evening of May 25, 1991. The witness
    stated that she briefly spoke with defendant while they were in line, and that
    when defendant declined to order anything, the concession operator served her
    instead. She testified that she later saw defendant with a “concerned” look on
    her face talking to an auxiliary officer.
    12
    might see him, in a month I’d get a phone call if I didn’t
    say anything.
    Following up on defendant’s statement, police officers contacted local
    banks and investigated all women named “Ellen” or with similar names who
    had received welfare benefits in Middlesex County during the time period in
    which defendant said she became acquainted with “Ellen.” They identified no
    individual meeting defendant’s description of “Ellen.”
    3.
    On October 26, 1991, a man walking near Olympic Drive at the Raritan
    Center found a child’s left sneaker with Ninja Turtle images on it. The man
    was aware of defendant’s description of Timmy’s clothing at the time of his
    disappearance because he had read press reports on the case. He put the
    sneaker in a plastic bag and delivered it to Sayreville police.
    The sneaker was found approximately four-tenths of a mile from the
    office of defendant’s former workplace, Florida Fulfillment, at the Raritan
    Center.
    Szkodny met with defendant, showed her the sneaker, and told her that it
    had been found on Olympic Drive at the Raritan Center. According to
    Szkodny, defendant did not tell him that she had worked at the Raritan Center.
    Szkodny stated that defendant told him that the sneaker he showed to her was
    not her son’s sneaker. About a month later, after the discovery of the sneaker
    13
    was disclosed to the media by the man who found it, defendant asked to view
    the sneaker again. This time, defendant indicated to Szkodny that “[i]t could
    be his sneaker.” The serial number on the sneaker matched the serial number
    on the box that had contained sneakers purchased by defendant for her son
    about a week before he disappeared.
    On March 4, 1992, FBI Agent Ronald Butkiewicz and another FBI agent
    interviewed defendant with her attorney present. Defendant stated that she
    first saw Ellen with two men and a little girl at the carnival on May 25, 1991,
    and that Ellen later approached her, accompanied by only one man and a little
    girl. Defendant stated that she told Ellen that she wanted a soda, but Timmy
    wanted to go on a ride. Defendant said that she accepted Ellen’s offer to watch
    Timmy on the ride while defendant walked seventy-five to eighty yards to a
    concession stand.
    Defendant told the FBI agents that as she walked through a “bushy area”
    on the way to the concession stand, the man whom she had earlier seen with
    Ellen accosted her, put his arm around her shoulder, and threatened her with a
    knife. She stated that the man told her that her son was a “cute kid” and if she
    wanted him “to stay that way,” she should “keep walking,” and that she would
    “possibly hear from him in a month or so.” According to Butkiewicz,
    defendant told the agents that after the man let her go, she briefly looked back
    14
    and saw her son with Ellen but did not return to the boy. She said that she
    went to the concession stand, chose the shortest line, bought a soda, and
    looked for her son.
    The following month, Butkiewicz interviewed defendant’s mother, who
    disclosed that defendant had previously worked for Florida Fulfillment at the
    Raritan Center. Butkiewicz interviewed defendant again and asked her to
    provide a list of all employers for whom she had worked since completing her
    education. Defendant listed Florida Fulfillment as a former employer. Asked
    where Florida Fulfillment was, defendant identified it as a “Florida-based”
    company. When asked directly for Florida Fulfillment’s New Jersey location,
    she identified the Raritan Center.
    4.
    On April 23 and 24, 1992, investigators from the FBI, the New Jersey
    State Police, the Middlesex County Prosecutor’s office and the Sayreville
    Police Department searched a wooded area on the Raritan Center property.
    On the first day of the search, a right sneaker with Ninja Turtle images
    on it was found. It was later identified as the other half of the pair of sneakers
    purchased by defendant for Timmy.
    Later that day, a New Jersey State Police investigator found the skull of
    a child in the stream bed of Red Root Creek at Raritan Center. Using dental
    15
    records, investigators identified it as Timmy’s skull. Told by Sayreville police
    detectives that a skull had been found at the Raritan Center and it was “most
    probably” Timmy’s skull, defendant displayed “no reaction.”
    During the search, Butkiewicz found a partially-buried blanket within
    about twenty feet of the location where the skull was found. Although a police
    photographer was present, Butkiewicz did not direct that the blanket be
    photographed while it remained in the ground. Challenged at trial for a breach
    of forensic procedure, Butkiewicz stated that the “routine in the FBI” was not
    to “routinely photograph every single piece of evidence at a crime scene
    individually and then take measurements in reference to other known locations
    at the crime scene.”
    In the same area, investigators also found a pillowcase and a Mylar
    balloon decorated with images of Ninja Turtles.
    After dredging a portion of Red Root Creek, investigators found leg
    bones later identified as Timmy’s and two waistbands that appeared to be the
    remnants of clothing.
    The blanket, pillowcase, sneakers, waistbands, and balloons were sent to
    an FBI laboratory for testing. That testing revealed no trace evidence,
    biological evidence, or fingerprints. A Sayreville police officer showed
    16
    defendant and her parents the blanket found at Raritan Center; they stated that
    they did not recognize the blanket.
    For more than two decades after Timmy’s disappearance, there were no
    significant developments in the investigation, and no one was charged in
    connection with his death. Defendant moved to Florida, where she lived near
    several members of her family, raised two sons, and worked as a paralegal.
    5.
    In 2011, Scott Crocco, an investigator with the Middlesex County
    Prosecutor’s Office, received a tip regarding Timmy’s disappearance. The tip
    turned out to be inaccurate, but it prompted Crocco to reopen the investigation.
    Crocco interviewed family members and friends of defendant, and
    showed them the blanket, pillowcase and other items that had been discovered
    near Timmy’s remains at the Raritan Center. Several of the individuals
    interviewed by Crocco stated that they did not recognize the items. Blair-
    Dilcher “immediately stated that she recognized the blanket” as one she had
    seen in defendant’s home. Gerding similarly stated that she recognized the
    blanket as defendant’s. Matthews also told Crocco that she had seen the
    blanket at defendant’s home.4
    4
    Crocco submitted the blanket and pillowcase to the New Jersey State Police
    laboratory for additional testing. A single human hair was found on each item.
    However, mitochondrial DNA testing as to the identity of the person whose
    
    17 B. 1
    .
    On July 31, 2014, a grand jury indicted defendant of first-degree murder
    in violation of N.J.S.A. 2C:11-3(a)(1) and (a)(2).
    Defendant was tried before a jury over twenty-eight trial days, beginning
    on March 16, 2016. In its initial instructions to the jury, the trial court directed
    the jurors not to conduct independent research and to decide the case solely on
    the evidence.
    The State presented the testimony of law enforcement officers; family
    members and friends of defendant; individuals present at the Sayreville
    carnival on May 25, 1991; and other fact witnesses. It also presented the
    testimony of Donna Fontana, an expert on forensic anthropology; Geetha
    Natarajan, M.D., an expert on anatomical, clinical, and forensic pathology;
    Mark Kataryniak, an expert on civil engineering; Jay Kartagener, an expert on
    forensic odontology; Edward Gainsborg, an expert on forensic science trace
    evidence analysis; and Charity Holland, an expert on forensic mitochondrial
    DNA analysis.
    hair was located on the items was inconclusive, and no match between either
    hair and defendant or Blair-Dilcher was revealed.
    18
    At the close of the State’s case, defendant moved to dismiss her
    indictment pursuant to Rule 3:18-1 and this Court’s decision in Reyes. The
    trial court denied defendant’s motion.
    Defendant presented the testimony of law enforcement officers;
    members of defendant’s family; friends of defendant; several individuals who
    had reported seeing a boy resembling Timmy at the Sayreville carnival on May
    25, 1991; and witnesses who implicated individuals other than defendant in
    Timmy’s murder. Defendant also presented the testimony of Howard Ryan, an
    expert on crime scene investigation and reconstruction, and Nicholas Petraco,
    an expert on criminology and trace evidence.
    In rebuttal, the State presented additional fact witnesses to counter
    defendant’s evidence of third-party guilt and to address defendant’s contention
    that Butkiewicz improperly handled the blanket found at the Raritan Center.
    In addition to the charged offense of first-degree murder, N.J.S.A.
    2C:11-3(a)(1) and (a)(2), the trial court instructed the jury regarding the lesser
    included offenses of first-degree aggravated manslaughter, N.J.S.A. 2C:11-
    4(a)(1), and second-degree reckless manslaughter, N.J.S.A. 2C:11-4(b)(1).
    19
    2.
    On the third day of jury deliberations, the trial court received a note
    from a juror stating that “[r]esearch was done by [Juror No. 1] as to the FBI’s
    protocol back in the 1990s.” The court immediately suspended deliberations.
    Questioned by the trial judge, Juror No. 1 admitted that he had
    conducted research on his personal computer, and that the research “in a way
    swayed my thinking.” Juror No. 1 stated that he had searched the internet for
    whether “the FBI photographs evidence,” and that the research “really didn’t
    say anything,” except that in the 1800s, photographing evidence was “cutting
    edge.” Asked about conversations with other jurors regarding his research,
    Juror No. 1 said “we were talking about photographing evidence,” that “one
    [juror] was in the restroom, so it was -- it was more in passing, waiting to
    continue.” Juror No. 1 explained that he had said “the FBI should photograph
    evidence in place,” adding, “[a]nd I said that before. I mean, the very first day
    that we deliberated, it was my stance.”
    The trial court then spoke individually with the remaining jurors,
    inquiring as to whether any juror had conducted independent research or
    received information outside of the trial evidence. None of the eleven
    remaining jurors indicated that they had conducted independent research, and
    five denied knowledge of Juror No. 1’s independent research. Six jurors stated
    20
    that they had heard a comment about the juror’s research regarding FBI
    protocols. The trial court further questioned each of those jurors, cautioning
    them to avoid revealing the substance of the jury’s deliberations. The jurors
    said that Juror No. 1’s comment about FBI photography protocols had no
    effect on their ability to fairly decide the case.
    The following day, defense counsel stated that although defendant was
    not at that point moving for a mistrial, she objected to the dismissal of Juror
    No. 1, arguing that the juror did not taint the jury pool. The State argued in
    favor of the dismissal of Juror No. 1 but agreed that the juror did not taint the
    jury pool.
    The trial court dismissed Juror No. 1 from further service on the jury and
    substituted an alternate for the departed juror. In accordance with the
    applicable model jury charge, the trial court instructed the reconstituted jury to
    deliberate anew. See Model Jury Charges (Criminal), “Judge’s Instructions
    When Alternate Juror Empaneled After Deliberations Have Begun” (rev.
    March 14, 2016).
    The jury listened to readbacks of testimony for about a half hour and
    deliberated for part of the afternoon. The next morning, the jury further
    deliberated and then announced that it had reached a verdict. The jury found
    21
    defendant guilty of first-degree purposeful or knowing murder contrary to
    N.J.S.A. 2C:11-3(a)(1) and (a)(2).
    3.
    Defendant moved pursuant to Rule 3:18-2 for a judgment of acquittal
    notwithstanding the verdict on the ground that the evidence was insufficient to
    support the jury’s verdict of guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. She also
    moved pursuant to Rule 3:20-1 for a new trial, contending that the trial court
    should have declined to substitute an alternate for Juror No. 1 or ruled that the
    jury was tainted and declared a mistrial.
    The trial court denied both motions. With respect to the sufficiency of
    the evidence, the court noted that it had, “on many occasions, limited the
    [State’s] presentation of evidence it found to be in violation of the Rules of
    Evidence” and that the “past indiscretions and biases” of the State’s witnesses
    who identified the blanket were “fully on display before this jury.” The court
    also cited its instruction to the jury on the use of direct and circumstantial
    evidence. It observed that the jury “was persuaded that the blanket in
    question, with its evidential deficiencies, was from the home and so found.”
    As to the replacement of Juror No. 1 with an alternate, the trial court
    noted that it had clearly instructed the jurors that they were not investigators
    and that Juror No. 1’s admitted disregard of those instructions was personal to
    22
    him. The court held that the jury’s pre-substitution deliberations were not so
    advanced as to bar meaningful deliberations by the reconstituted jury, which
    deliberated for several hours before reaching a verdict. Finally, the trial court
    rejected a defense suggestion that it consider the substituted juror’s post-
    verdict comments to the press about the views of some of the jurors.
    The court sentenced defendant to a thirty-year term of incarceration
    subject to a thirty-year period of parole ineligibility and the application of jail
    credits, plus fines and penalties.
    C.
    1.
    Defendant appealed her conviction, challenging the trial court’s denial of
    her motion for a judgment of acquittal notwithstanding the verdict and its
    denial of her motion for a new trial based on the dismissal of Juror No. 1 and
    the substitution of an alternate.
    The Appellate Division affirmed defendant’s conviction. State v.
    Lodzinski, ___ N.J. Super. ___, ___ (App. Div. 2019) (slip op. at 7-34). It
    reiterated this Court’s test for a motion for a judgment of acquittal: whether
    the evidence, viewed in its entirety and “giving the State the benefit of all of
    its favorable testimony and all of the favorable inferences which can
    reasonably be drawn therefrom,” is sufficient “that a jury could properly find
    23
    beyond a reasonable doubt that the defendant was guilty of the crime charged.”
    
    Id.
     at ___ (slip op. at 7) (quoting State v. D.A., 
    191 N.J. 158
    , 163 (2007)) The
    Appellate Division noted that a jury may draw an inference from that evidence
    “whenever it is more probable than not that the inference is true,” and need not
    find that inference beyond a reasonable doubt. 
    Id.
     at ___ (slip op. at 8-9)
    (quoting State v. Brown, 
    80 N.J. 587
    , 592 (1979)). Limiting its review to the
    State’s evidence, the court held that the State presented sufficient evidence to
    warrant denial of defendant’s motion for a judgment of acquittal. 
    Id.
     at ___
    (slip op. at 7-22).
    The Appellate Division also affirmed the trial court’s denial of
    defendant’s post-trial motion for a new trial based on the dismissal and
    replacement of Juror No. 1.5 Noting that the jury’s deliberations before the
    substitution of the alternate were not protracted, the Appellate Division held
    that the trial court did not abuse its discretion when it concluded that Juror No.
    1’s independent research mandated his removal and that the circumstances
    were exclusively personal to that juror. 
    Id.
     at ___ (slip op. at 27-34).
    5
    The Appellate Division also rejected defendant’s challenge to the trial
    court’s denial of her pretrial motion to dismiss the indictment, based on the
    twenty-three year delay between the offense alleged and her indictment. 
    Id.
     at
    ___ (slip op. at 22-24). Defendant did not raise that issue before this Court.
    24
    2.
    We granted defendant’s petition for certification. 
    241 N.J. 81
     (2020).
    We also granted amicus curiae status to the American Civil Liberties Union of
    New Jersey and the Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers of New Jersey,
    appearing jointly; Centurion Ministries, Inc.; and the Attorney General.
    II.
    A.
    Defendant contends that the Appellate Division denied her due process
    under the standard set forth by the United States Supreme Court’s decision in
    Jackson v. Virginia, 
    443 U.S. 307
    , 317 (1979), because the court assessed only
    the State’s evidence, not the entirety of the evidence. Defendant views the
    trial evidence to be inadequate to sustain her conviction. She asserts that the
    State did not prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Timmy died as a result of a
    homicide rather than an accident. Defendant also contends that the State did
    not satisfy the element of causation because the evidence of her motive, her
    inconsistent statements, and her demeanor following her son’s disappearance
    do not constitute proof that she caused his death. Defendant argues that she is
    entitled to a new trial by virtue of the trial court’s dismissal of Juror No. 1 and
    its replacement of that juror with an alternate. She claims that the jury’s
    deliberations were too far advanced for the reconstituted jury to engage in
    25
    meaningful deliberations and that the dismissed juror’s independent research
    tainted the verdict.
    B.
    The State contends that the Reyes standard comports with federal due
    process standards for the sufficiency of evidence presented at a criminal trial
    and that the trial court and Appellate Division properly applied that standard to
    the evidence in this case. The State cites trial testimony that defendant had a
    motive to kill Timmy, that she was the sole individual with the opportunity to
    cause her son’s death, and that she repeatedly misled investigators about his
    disappearance. According to the State, defendant’s contradictory statements,
    demeanor, and conduct after her son’s disappearance constitute evidence of her
    guilt. As to the cause of Timmy’s death, the State argues that, because
    defendant had attended to Timmy’s medical needs when he sustained a dog
    bite, she would have done the same had Timmy suffered an accident; the State
    also relies on its expert opinion on the cause of the child’s death. Finally, the
    State asserts that the trial court properly exercised its discretion when it
    dismissed and replaced Juror No. 1 because the juror proved incapable of
    following the court’s direction, the misconduct was personal to that juror,
    deliberations had not progressed so far as to foreclose meaningful
    26
    deliberations, and the remaining jurors confirmed that they could fairly decide
    the case.
    C.
    Amici curiae the American Civil Liberties Union of New Jersey and the
    Association of Criminal Defense Lawyers of New Jersey assert that not only
    the State’s evidence, but also defense evidence, should be considered on a
    post-trial motion for a judgment of acquittal. Amici urge the court to reverse
    the Appellate Division’s decision or remand to the Appellate Division for a
    review of the evidence that defendant presented.
    D.
    Amicus curiae Centurion Ministries, Inc., argues that the New Jersey
    standard for a motion for a judgment of acquittal under Rule 3:18-1 or Rule
    3:18-2 precludes consideration of defense evidence, and thus violates a
    defendant’s due process rights. Amicus urges the Court to require trial courts
    deciding such motions to consider defense evidence as well as the State’s
    evidence.
    E.
    Amicus curiae the Attorney General asserts that the trial court properly
    replaced Juror No. 1 with an alternate, given the personal nature of the juror’s
    27
    misconduct, the timing of the substitution, and the evidence that the juror’s
    research did not taint the other jurors.
    III.
    A.
    1.
    We review de novo the trial court’s denial of defendant’s motion for a
    judgment of acquittal notwithstanding the verdict. State v. Jones, 
    242 N.J. 156
    , 168 (2020); Williams, 218 N.J. at 593-94. When an appellate court
    considers a sufficiency-of-the-evidence challenge to a conviction, it reviews
    the record evidence using the same standard that governed the trial court and
    “determine[s] therefrom how the motion should have been decided.” State v.
    Josephs, 
    174 N.J. 44
    , 81 (2002) (quoting State v. Gora, 
    148 N.J. Super. 582
    ,
    596 (App. Div. 1977)).
    2.
    Our court rules authorize a defendant to move for a judgment of
    acquittal at the close of the State’s case or after all of the evidence has been
    presented, pursuant to Rule 3:18-1. A defendant may also move for a
    judgment of acquittal following the jury’s return of a verdict, or the jury’s
    discharge without having returned a verdict, under Rule 3:18-2.
    28
    In Reyes, the Court reviewed a trial court’s denial of a defendant’s
    motion for a judgment of acquittal of a charge of first-degree murder at the
    close of the State’s case. 
    50 N.J. at 458
    . As the Court framed the test,
    the question the trial judge must determine is whether,
    viewing the State’s evidence in its entirety, be that
    evidence direct or circumstantial, and giving the State
    the benefit of all its favorable testimony as well as all
    of the favorable inferences which reasonably could be
    drawn therefrom, a reasonable jury could find guilt of
    the charge beyond a reasonable doubt.
    [Id. at 458-59.]
    When a court applies the Reyes standard, it determines whether the
    “evidence would enable a reasonable jury to find that the accused is guilty
    beyond a reasonable doubt of the crime or crimes charged.” State v. Perez,
    
    177 N.J. 540
    , 549 (2003) (citing Reyes, 
    50 N.J. at 459
    ). In that inquiry, “a
    jury may draw an inference from a fact whenever it is more probable than not
    that the inference is true” and need not find that inference beyond a reasonable
    doubt. State v. Brown, 
    80 N.J. 587
    , 592 (1979). “It is not fatal to the State’s
    case” if certain circumstances “permit of some other rational explanation of
    defendant’s conduct or fail to exclude every other conceivable hypothesis
    except guilt.” 
    Id. at 599
    .
    In the procedural setting of Reyes, in which the defendant moved at the
    close of the State’s case for a judgment of acquittal, the Court held that “no
    29
    consideration may be given to any evidence or inferences from the defendant’s
    case.” 
    50 N.J. at 459
    ; see also State v. Fiorello, 
    36 N.J. 80
    , 86-87 (1961)
    (noting that a motion for a judgment of acquittal at the close of the State’s case
    is decided “in the light of the evidence at that time without reference to any
    corroborative evidence introduced during the defendant’s case.”)
    When a defendant moves for a judgment of acquittal after all the proofs,
    however, the court considers not only the evidence presented by the State, but
    “the entirety of the evidence.”
    6 Williams, 218
     N.J. at 594; see also State v.
    Fuqua, 
    234 N.J. 583
    , 590-91 (2018) (noting that a court determining a motion
    for a judgment of acquittal evaluates “the evidence, viewed in its entirety, be it
    direct or circumstantial”) (quoting State v. Kluber, 
    130 N.J. Super. 336
    , 341-
    42 (App. Div. 1974)); Josephs, 
    174 N.J. at 86
     (holding that, in an appeal of a
    trial court’s denial of a post-verdict motion for a judgment of acquittal, “we
    examine the sufficiency of the evidence by viewing it in its entirety and by
    giving the State the benefit of all reasonable inferences that can be drawn from
    the evidence in its favor”); State v. Mayberry, 
    52 N.J. 413
    , 436-37 (1968)
    6
    The Court’s articulation of the test for a post-verdict motion for a judgment
    of acquittal in State v. Samuels, 
    189 N.J. 236
    , 245 (2007) -- that the court
    deciding such a motion should “confine [its] analysis of the adequacy of the
    evidence to the State’s case and the inferences to be derived therefrom” -- was
    a departure from our law. The Court clarified the correct standard for close-
    of-evidence motions in Williams, 218 N.J. at 594, and the Williams standard
    applies to post-verdict motions as well.
    30
    (“[T]he proper issue is simply whether the evidence, viewed in its entirety
    including the legitimate inferences therefrom, is sufficient to enable a jury to
    find that the State’s charge has been established beyond reasonable doubt.”).
    Accordingly, we do not concur with the Appellate Division’s view that
    evidence presented by the defendant is irrelevant to the court’s consideration
    when it reviews a post-trial motion for a judgment of acquittal notwithstanding
    the verdict under Rule 3:18-2. See Lodzinski, ___ N.J. Super. at ___ (slip op.
    at 7-9). We consider defendant’s evidence in our review of the trial court’s
    determination.
    3.
    We do not agree with defendant’s contention that New Jersey’s standard
    for a motion for acquittal notwithstanding the verdict falls short of federal due
    process requirements.
    The federal constitutional standard derives from the Sixth and
    Fourteenth Amendment guarantee “that no person shall be made to suffer the
    onus of a criminal conviction except upon sufficient proof -- defined as
    evidence necessary to convince a trier of fact beyond a reasonable doubt of the
    existence of every element of the offense.” Jackson, 
    443 U.S. at 316
    ; see also
    In re Winship, 
    397 U.S. 358
    , 364 (1970) (“[T]he Due Process Clause protects
    31
    the accused against conviction except upon proof beyond a reasonable doubt of
    every fact necessary to constitute the crime with which he is charged.”).
    Applying that standard, federal courts determine “whether, after viewing
    the evidence in the light most favorable to the prosecution, any rational trier of
    fact could have found the essential elements of the crime beyond a reasonable
    doubt.” Jackson, 
    443 U.S. at 319
    . As the Supreme Court noted, that “standard
    gives full play to the responsibility of the trier of fact fairly to resolve conflicts
    in the testimony, to weigh the evidence, and to draw reasonable inferences
    from basic facts to ultimate facts.” 
    Ibid.
    New Jersey’s standard does not diverge from federal constitutional
    norms; like the Jackson test, it requires the reviewing court to consider the
    evidence in the light most favorable to the prosecution, giving the State the
    benefit of all favorable inferences, and to determine whether a reasonable jury
    could find guilt beyond a reasonable doubt. Reyes, 
    50 N.J. at 458-59
    .
    As we have stated, “the Reyes standard is in full accord with the federal
    appellate standard for review of the sufficiency of the evidence. It is the apt
    standard of review here.” Josephs, 
    174 N.J. at 137
    .
    B.
    At defendant’s trial, the State had the burden to prove beyond a
    reasonable doubt that defendant was guilty of Timmy’s purposeful or knowing
    32
    murder, contrary to N.J.S.A. 2C:11-3(a)(1) and (a)(2). Under our Criminal
    Code, “criminal homicide constitutes murder when: (1) [t]he actor purposely
    causes death or serious bodily injury resulting in death; or (2) [t]he actor
    knowingly causes death or serious bodily injury resulting in death.” N.J.S.A.
    2C:11-3(a).
    Pursuant to the Legislature’s definition of the statutory term
    “purposely,”
    [a] person acts purposely with respect to the nature of
    his conduct or a result thereof if it is his conscious
    object to engage in conduct of that nature or to cause
    such a result. A person acts purposely with respect to
    attendant circumstances if he is aware of the existence
    of such circumstances or he believes or hopes that they
    exist.
    [N.J.S.A. 2C:2-2(b)(1).]
    Under the Legislature’s definition of the term “knowingly,”
    [a] person acts knowingly with respect to the nature of
    his conduct or the attendant circumstances if he is
    aware that his conduct is of that nature, or that such
    circumstances exist, or he is aware of a high probability
    of their existence. A person acts knowingly with
    respect to a result of his conduct if he is aware that it is
    practically certain that his conduct will cause such a
    result.
    [N.J.S.A. 2C:2-2(b)(2).]
    The State also had the burden of proving causation in two distinct
    respects. First, N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(a)(1) required the State to prove beyond a
    33
    reasonable doubt that defendant’s conduct was “an antecedent but for which
    the result in question would not have occurred,” termed “but-for causation.”
    See State v. Buckley, 
    216 N.J. 249
    , 263 (2013) (noting the State’s burden
    under N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(a) to prove that “the event would not have occurred
    absent the defendant’s conduct”). Here, the State was required to prove
    beyond a reasonable doubt that Timmy’s death would not have occurred absent
    defendant’s conduct.
    Second, the State was required to prove beyond a reasonable doubt the
    element of causation under N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(b). The statute provides that
    [w]hen the offense requires that the defendant
    purposely or knowingly cause a particular result, the
    actual result must be within the design or
    contemplation, as the case may be, of the actor, or, if
    not, the actual result must involve the same kind of
    injury or harm as that designed or contemplated and not
    be too remote, accidental in its occurrence, or
    dependent on another’s volitional act to have a just
    bearing on the actor’s liability or on the gravity of his
    offense.
    [N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(b).]
    As explained by a leading commentator on the Code, “[w]here an
    offense requires purpose, the result must be the kind of result designed by the
    actor; where an offense requires knowledge, the result must be the kind
    contemplated even if it is not the precise injury contemplated nor occurs in the
    34
    way contemplated.” Cannel, New Jersey Criminal Code Annotated, cmt. 4 on
    N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3 (2020).
    The State was permitted to rely entirely on circumstantial evidence, and
    was not required to present direct evidence of defendant’s guilt, as long as it
    proved the elements of the offense beyond a reasonable doubt. See Mayberry,
    52 N.J. at 437 (“[I]n many situations circumstantial evidence may be ‘more
    forceful and more persuasive than direct evidence.’”) (quoting State v. Corby,
    
    28 N.J. 106
    , 119 (1958)); State v. Rogers, 
    19 N.J. 218
    , 234 (1955) (“So long as
    the evidence is of sufficient quality to generate in the minds of the jurors a
    belief and conviction of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt, it matters not
    whether direct evidence of guilt is present.”).
    C.
    Against that backdrop, we review the evidence presented by the State at
    trial.7
    7
    In its opinion denying defendant’s motion for a judgment of acquittal, the
    trial court described defense counsel as “the best criminal defense attorney
    who has ever entered my courtroom,” and stated that “on occasion after
    occasion, [defense counsel] convinced this Court to rule against the
    prosecution.” Indeed, the record reflects that defendant prevailed in almost
    every evidentiary dispute that arose at trial and that the trial court afforded
    defendant a full opportunity to impeach the credibility of the State’s witnesses
    and present defendant’s theories of third-party guilt.
    35
    1.
    First, the State presented forensic evidence and other proofs regarding
    the skull, leg bones, sneakers, and remnants of clothing found at Raritan
    Center.
    Through the testimony of law enforcement officers, the State established
    that a child’s skull was found in the stream bed of Red Root Creek on April
    23, 1992. The State offered fact testimony and the expert opinion of a forensic
    odontologist that the skull found in Red Root Creek was Timmy’s skull. It
    also presented the testimony of law enforcement officers regarding the
    discovery of a child’s leg bones in the same area, and evidence identifying
    those bones as Timmy’s.
    The State presented evidence that sneakers decorated with Ninja Turtle
    characters were found at the Raritan Center close to Red Root Creek, and that
    they were the sneakers that defendant bought for Timmy a week before he
    disappeared. It also presented evidence that two waistbands found in the
    stream were the remnants of clothing that had decomposed.
    The State offered the testimony of fact and expert witnesses and
    photographic evidence regarding the topography of and tidal activity in the
    Raritan Center’s Red Root Creek area. That evidence provided background to
    the State’s proofs regarding the time frame in which Timmy’s remains were
    36
    left at the Raritan Center, and the likely location of the deposit of those
    remains.
    Contesting the opinion of a defense expert that Timmy’s remains may
    have been moved by storm surge from the Raritan River to the Red Root Creek
    area, the State presented the testimony of an expert witness in civil
    engineering. The expert opined, based on the topography of the area and tidal
    activity, that Timmy’s remains could not have been carried from the river by
    tidal influence to the location where they were found. The State also presented
    the testimony of an expert in forensic anthropology that the skull and bones
    had taken on the color of the soil in which they lay; that they had decomposed
    in the area where they were recovered; that bones not found at the site may
    have been moved by animal activity, water, or gravity; and that the condition
    of the skull and bones recovered was consistent with a “surface burial” of the
    child’s body at the Raritan Center.
    Viewed favorably to the State, and giving the State the benefit of all
    favorable inferences, the evidence supports a reasonable inference that one or
    more individuals killed Timmy and left his body in or near Red Root Creek at
    the Raritan Center.
    37
    2.
    Second, the State offered evidence that Timmy’s remains and the other
    items were found very close to defendant’s former workplace, and that
    defendant was familiar with the area.
    The State offered the testimony of two of defendant’s former co-workers
    that defendant had worked at the office of Florida Fulfillment at the Raritan
    Center. It presented photographic and other documentary evidence and the
    testimony of investigating officers regarding the proximity of Florida
    Fulfillment’s office to the location where the skull, bones, and other evidence
    were found.
    The man who discovered the first sneaker on October 26, 1991, testified
    about the location where it was found, and a law enforcement officer told the
    jury that the location was four-tenths of a mile from the building that housed
    Florida Fulfillment’s office at the Raritan Center. Defendant’s manager at
    Florida Fulfillment testified that defendant would sometimes take walks
    around Raritan Center during her lunch break.
    Viewed favorably to the State, the State’s evidence regarding the
    proximity of Timmy’s remains to the office of Florida Fulfillment supported a
    reasonable inference that defendant was present when her son’s body was left
    in or near Red Root Creek, and that defendant chose a familiar location -- a
    38
    desolate wooded area very close to her former workplace -- to dispose of her
    son’s remains.
    3.
    Third, the State presented evidence that the blanket found near Timmy’s
    remains came from defendant’s home.
    As the State conceded, no blood, bodily fluid, hair, fibers, or other trace
    evidence was found on the blanket or other items that law enforcement
    recovered at Raritan Center. No DNA, hair, or other forensic evidence linked
    any of those items to defendant or defendant’s home. 8
    To prove a connection between the blanket found at the Raritan Center
    and defendant, the State offered the testimony of four fact witnesses.
    Crocco testified that Blair-Dilcher, Gerding, and Matthews, Timmy’s
    former babysitters, recognized the blanket when he showed it to each of them
    in separate interviews after he reopened the case in 2011. He also identified
    several individuals who told him that they did not recognize the blanket found
    at Raritan Center. Five of those individuals -- defendant’s father, defendant’s
    sister-in-law, defendant’s brother’s former girlfriend, defendant’s former
    8
    The fact that the blanket was not photographed in the location in which it
    was found was thoroughly explored before the jury; indeed, a law enforcement
    officer testifying for the State conceded that the blanket was not handled in
    accordance with evidence protocols then in effect.
    39
    boyfriend, and defendant’s former neighbor -- testified at trial that they did not
    recognize the blanket. The jury was thus aware that most of the witnesses to
    whom the blanket was shown stated that they did not recognize it, and it had
    the opportunity to assess the credibility of all of the witnesses who testified
    about the blanket.
    Blair-Dilcher testified that she often babysat for Timmy during the final
    months of his life, and she would sometimes stay overnight in defendant’s
    apartment to care for the child. Blair-Dilcher testified that although she did
    not recognize a jacket that Crocco showed her, she recognized the blanket as
    one she would use when she “would snuggle up with Timothy.” Blair-
    Dilcher’s credibility was impeached during extensive cross-examination: she
    was questioned about her history of drug use, her longstanding rift with
    defendant, whom she blamed for her loss of custody of her children, and
    comments she made to a defense investigator suggesting that she was uncertain
    about which of defendant’s apartments she was in when she saw the blanket.
    Gerding testified that she had lost touch with Blair-Dilcher after she
    moved to a different state at the age of sixteen and that the two had not spoken
    during the fifteen years that preceded defendant’s trial. She stated that when
    she was thirteen years old, she had babysat for Timmy with Blair-Dilcher
    “once in a while” during a six-month period in 1990. Gerding testified that
    40
    she recognized the blanket found at Raritan Center as “[a] blanket that was in
    Michelle’s home in the living room.”
    Matthews testified that she was unacquainted with Blair-Dilcher or
    Gerding and that she did not know who they were. She stated that she babysat
    for Timmy in 1988 and 1989, when defendant and Timmy were living in their
    first apartment in South Amboy. Matthews testified that she recognized the
    blanket retrieved in the search at Raritan Center, noting that “[i]t’s like a light
    blue, it had like a metallic kind of threading in it. I used to see it because
    Timmy used to use it when he was, you know, a child when I used to babysit
    him.” On cross-examination, Matthews stated that Timmy “would cuddle with
    [the blanket] at night before he went to bed,” and that she did not babysit for
    Timmy after defendant and Timmy moved from her neighborhood in April
    1990. On redirect examination, Matthews stated that the blanket’s metallic
    thread was distinctive.
    Viewing the evidence regarding the blanket favorably to the State, the
    evidence supports a reasonable inference that the blanket was deposited in the
    woods at Raritan Center with Timmy’s remains, and that it came from
    defendant’s home.
    41
    4.
    Fourth, the State presented to the jury evidence of defendant’s
    contradictory accounts of her son’s disappearance at the carnival in Sayreville
    on May 25, 1991; evidence of defendant’s conduct inconsistent with her
    statements that Timmy had been abducted; and evidence that defendant sought
    to avoid disclosing her prior employment at Raritan Center.
    The jury heard evidence that defendant gave investigating officers six
    different accounts of her son’s disappearance at the May 25, 1991 carnival.
    Defendant’s versions of the events contradicted one another with respect
    to what she and Timmy were doing when he was abducted. According to some
    of defendant’s statements, she and Timmy were walking at the carnival when
    the abductors approached. In other statements, defendant claimed that when
    Timmy was abducted, she had just put him on a ride, was in line to buy a
    drink, or was returning to her car to get money.
    Defendant’s statements starkly diverged from one another with respect
    to the identity of Timmy’s abductors. In defendant’s initial statement to
    police, she said that she did not see the abductors who took her son and that
    Timmy vanished while she turned her back to buy a soda. In other statements,
    defendant said that the abductors were two men, one described as “older” and
    the other “younger.” In later descriptions of Timmy’s disappearance,
    42
    defendant said that the woman defendant identified as Ellen, accompanied by
    two men in their twenties or thirties and a small child, abducted Timmy.
    Defendant provided inconsistent descriptions of Ellen, her companions, and
    the knife that they wielded, as well as contradictory accounts of the abductors’
    threats to harm defendant or Timmy if defendant resisted them.
    The State presented evidence that defendant admitted that some of her
    accounts of Timmy’s abduction were untrue. Police officers testified that
    defendant told them that the version she had given them on June 7, 1991, not
    preceding accounts, was the accurate rendition of the events at the carnival. In
    that statement, defendant said that Ellen, a go-go dancer accompanied by two
    young white males and a two- or three-year-old girl, offered to watch Timmy
    while defendant bought a drink; when she returned they were gone.
    The State presented evidence that, in the wake of Timmy’s
    disappearance, defendant did not act as if she believed her son had just been
    abducted and might be found alive. Noting defendant’s calm demeanor when
    she told them that Timmy was missing, Blair-Dilcher and Gerding testified
    that they -- not defendant -- initiated the search for Timmy and alerted an
    auxiliary officer. Law enforcement officers and other witnesses who spoke
    with defendant at the carnival testified that she said only that Timmy had
    43
    disappeared, and defendant’s statements in the immediate aftermath of her
    child’s disappearance are indeed devoid of any reference to an abduction.
    Moreover, officers who interacted with defendant at the carnival
    described conduct suggesting that defendant did not view the search for her
    son to be a matter of urgency. A former Sayreville firefighter testified that he
    and another firefighter were assigned to drive defendant to her home to
    retrieve items belonging to Timmy to enable a canine search team to tra ck the
    child’s scent. After defendant collected the items at her home, she asked the
    officers to drive her to a bar in South Amboy, where her boyfriend worked,
    rather than directly returning to the search area to commence the canine search
    for her son. She remained inside the bar for ten to fifteen minutes, departing
    as the firefighters were about to enter the bar to find her. They then proceeded
    to the carnival site and gave the items to the canine search team.
    Another officer testified that he had anticipated that defendant would be
    upset when he told her that the search for Timmy had been suspended for the
    night, but “[s]he basically said to me, okay, what time do you want me back.”
    Other evidence presented by the State indicated that although defendant
    said the man who threatened her said she might receive a call about Timmy or
    see him in “a month,” she did not expect to be contacted by kidnappers holding
    her son. A neighbor who was in defendant’s home the night Timmy
    44
    disappeared testified that although the answering machine on defendant’s
    home was flashing, indicating that at least one voicemail message had been
    left on it, defendant did not check her messages; the neighbor did so instead.
    According to witnesses, defendant stayed with family and friends shortly after
    Timmy disappeared, and she later went on trips to Florida and the Bahamas
    while the search for her son was still underway.
    The State also presented evidence that defendant left Florida Fulfillment
    off a list of previous employers that she provided law enforcement, and that
    Sayreville officers were unaware of her connection to Raritan Center until they
    were alerted by a former co-worker that she had worked there. Butkiewicz, the
    FBI agent, testified that he was similarly unaware that defendant had worked
    at Raritan Center when the first sneaker was found at that location. He stated
    that when he asked defendant for a list of former employers, she identified
    Florida Fulfillment as a “Florida-based company” and disclosed her former
    employer’s Raritan Center location only when she was directly asked for the
    physical location where she had worked. A neighbor testified that when she
    asked defendant for directions to Raritan Center in order to attend a ceremony
    in Timmy’s memory at the site where his remains had been found, defendant
    initially denied knowing how to get to Raritan Center but then provided
    detailed directions to her former workplace.
    45
    The jury also heard that when investigators showed defendant the first
    sneaker discovered at Raritan Center, she initially denied that it belonged to
    Timmy but later asked to view it again, after which she said that “it could be
    his sneaker.”
    Viewed favorably to the State, the evidence supports a reasonable
    inference that when defendant arrived at the carnival on the evening of May
    25, 1991, she was aware that her son was already dead and that any search for
    him would be futile. The evidence further supports a reasonable inference that
    defendant gave law enforcement false and contradictory accounts of his
    abduction in order to deflect attention from her own culpability and impede the
    investigation of her son’s disappearance.
    5.
    Fifth, the State presented evidence regarding Timmy’s impact on
    defendant’s financial situation and personal life.
    Timmy’s father, George Wiltsey, testified that he provided no financial
    contribution for Timmy’s expenses or other assistance to defendant and that
    defendant had sole custody of her son.
    The State called defendant’s family members to testify about defendant’s
    reliance on her relatives for assistance with child care. It presented evidence
    that defendant lost her primary source of support when her sister and br other-
    46
    in-law moved from New Jersey to Florida in January 1990. The State offered
    testimony that defendant was struggling to hold a job and care for her son
    because she had inadequate child care, that she had to bring Timmy to work on
    many occasions, that she changed jobs often, and that Timmy was frequently
    late for or absent from school.
    The State also presented evidence that defendant’s efforts to establish a
    stable romantic relationship were hindered by the presence of her child .
    Witnesses testified that defendant’s inadequate child care limited her social
    life, that men whom defendant dated did not want to take on the responsibility
    of raising Timmy, and that Timmy had appeared to be jealous of the man
    whom defendant was dating in May 1991.
    Viewed favorably to the State, this evidence supports a reasonable
    inference that defendant had a motive to kill her son.
    6.
    Sixth, the State presented the testimony of an expert on anatomical,
    clinical, and forensic pathology to prove that Timmy’s death was a homicide,
    not the result of a disease, suicide, or an accident.
    The expert explained to the jury her observations based on photographs
    from Timmy’s autopsy and other evidence. She stated that children of
    Timmy’s age sometimes die as a result of diseases such as meningitis, severe
    47
    tracheal laryngitis, and pneumonia, but that such deaths occur at hospitals or at
    home; she observed that “[y]ou do not find a child dying of natural causes
    being found in a creek” in a skeletonized state. The expert stated that suicide
    in a five-year-old is extremely rare, and that a young child’s accidental
    hanging is sometimes mistaken for suicide. She opined that there was no
    evidence that Timmy died as a result of an accident. 9 Accordingly, the expert
    opined that although the cause of Timmy’s death was undetermined, the
    manner of death was homicide.
    Cross-examined about the basis for and scope of her opinion, the expert
    acknowledged the limitations of the evidence available to the State, and
    conceded that she reached her conclusion by process of elimination.
    Viewed favorably to the State, expert testimony on anatomical, clinical,
    and forensic pathology supports a reasonable inference that Timmy died as the
    result of a homicide.
    D.
    We next consider the evidence presented by defendant at trial.
    9
    Relying on the testimony of fact witnesses that when Timmy suffered an
    accidental injury -- a dog bite that required stitches -- defendant promptly
    obtained medical attention for him, the State contended that defendant would
    have sought medical attention had Timmy been injured accidentally.
    48
    1.
    First, defendant presented the testimony of defendant’s family members
    and friends to show that she was a loving and attentive parent to Timmy .
    Witnesses for the defense testified that defendant worked to support Timmy
    and pay his tuition at St. Mary’s School, that she did not punish him
    excessively or abuse him, and that she was shocked and distraught after his
    disappearance. Defendant’s younger sons, born years after Timmy’s death,
    testified that defendant displayed photographs of Timmy at their home and
    talked affectionately about him.
    Viewed favorably to the prosecution, this evidence does not negate the
    State’s evidence that defendant had a motive to kill Timmy. A reasonable jury
    could choose to disregard defendant’s evidence about her relationship with her
    son and accept the State’s evidence of motive.
    2.
    Second, defendant presented evidence that defendant was under
    significant emotional stress due to police interrogation when she gave her
    series of contradictory statements. She offered testimony of Sayreville police
    officers that local law enforcement were advised by the FBI about techniques
    for questioning her. Defendant called one of the investigating officers to
    testify that he learned that she was briefly hospitalized on June 13, 1991, after
    49
    being interrogated by the FBI and Sayreville police officers in turn; the officer
    stated that he had heard that she was suffering from a “mental breakdown”
    following police questioning.
    The jury was free to draw an inference from defendant’s evidence that
    she gave contradictory statements because of stress triggered by police
    interrogation, but a reasonable jury could reject such an inference and view
    defendant’s divergent accounts of her son’s disappearance as evidence of
    consciousness of guilt.
    3.
    Third, defendant presented witnesses who testified that they saw a child
    who could have been Timmy on May 25, 1991; their testimony thus
    corroborated defendant’s account of the events of that day.
    Defendant presented the testimony of a park ranger at Holmdel Park who
    stated that he saw a small boy, unaccompanied by an adult, playing with a
    basketball at the park that day.
    Defendant called as witnesses three former employees of the company
    that operated the carnival in Sayreville on May 25, 1991. All had given
    statements to law enforcement after Timmy’s disappearance that they saw a
    child fitting Timmy’s description at the carnival.
    50
    The first of those employee witnesses stated that at 7:00 to 7:15 p.m. on
    May 25, 1991, he helped a young boy matching Timmy’s description on and
    off a ride at the carnival. The witness conceded, after watching a video
    depicting him and a different little boy at the carnival, that he was uncertain
    that the child he saw was Timmy.
    In a 1991 statement to police, a second former carnival worker had
    reported that she saw and spoke with a young boy who was called away by a
    young woman, and she later saw that young woman looking worried and
    concerned. At trial, however, the former carnival worker denied any
    recollection of those events.
    A third former worker at the Sayreville carnival, eighty-five years old at
    the time of defendant’s trial, recanted her May 26, 1991 statement to police
    and denied that she saw a child of Timmy’s age at the carnival.
    Defendant also offered the testimony of two sisters and their friend who,
    as teenagers, attended the carnival on May 25, 1991, and told police officers
    that they had seen a child at the carnival who may have been Timmy. The
    three witnesses testified that as they were leaving the carnival that evening,
    they saw a boy wearing Ninja Turtle sneakers running in the opposite
    direction. They testified that they saw a woman and two men walking behind
    the boy. Each of the three witnesses conceded that she could not be certain
    51
    that the boy whom she saw on May 25, 1991, was Timmy, or that the boy she
    saw running was with the three adults who walked behind him.
    Viewed in the light most favorable to the prosecution, defendant’s
    presentation of evidence that witnesses saw a boy who looked like Timmy on
    the day he disappeared does not negate the reasonable inference, supported by
    the State’s evidence, that Timmy was not with defendant during the late
    afternoon and evening of May 25, 1991, and that he was not abducted at the
    carnival.
    4.
    Fourth, defendant presented evidence regarding the blanket found at
    Raritan Center.
    Defendant called as witnesses several of defendant’s family members,
    who stated that they did not recognize the blanket. She presented the
    testimony of the defense investigator who interviewed Blair-Dilcher and noted
    that Blair-Dilcher expressed uncertainty about which apartment she had been
    in when she saw the blanket.
    Defendant also presented expert testimony regarding the blanket. Her
    expert on crime scene investigation and reconstruction testified that
    Butkiewicz violated evidence-collection protocols when he retrieved the
    blanket from the ground at Raritan Center without first photographing it in the
    52
    condition in which it was found, and did not retain the soil that had partially
    covered the blanket for later analysis. Defendant’s expert on criminology and
    trace evidence testified that the blanket would be in far worse condition than it
    was had it been in the ground for eleven months between Timmy’s
    disappearance in May 1991 and its discovery in April 1992. The expert also
    opined that, had the blanket been in contact with Timmy when he died, there
    would have been trace evidence found on it, even if the child was killed by
    smothering or strangulation.
    Viewed favorably to the prosecution, defendant’s fact and expert
    testimony regarding the blanket found at Raritan Center does not negate the
    reasonable inference, based on the State’s evidence, that defendant took the
    blanket from her home with Timmy’s body to the wooded area near Red Root
    Creek at Raritan Center.
    5.
    Fifth, defendant’s crime-scene expert testified about the effect of water
    on the location of Timmy’s body. The expert observed that ninety-four
    percent of the bones that comprised Timmy’s skeleton were not found at
    Raritan Center and suggested that the skull and leg bones that were found may
    have been moved by tidal influence from the Raritan River to the location
    where they were found.
    53
    Defendant’s expert testimony, viewed favorably to the prosecution, does
    not nullify the evidence presented by the State regarding the location and
    condition of Timmy’s remains, or negate the reasonable inference from that
    evidence that Timmy’s body was left in or near Red Root Creek at the Raritan
    Center.
    6.
    Sixth, defendant presented evidence supporting two theories of third-
    party guilt.
    First, a defense witness testified that as he left the carnival during the
    evening of May 26, 1991, he saw two men leave an apartment complex with
    “probably about a four-foot object rolled up,” that “looked like a sheet.” The
    witness testified that the men threw the object into the trunk of a car and “sped
    off” in the car with the headlights off.
    Second, defendant presented the testimony of Damien Dowdle, a
    resident of Tucson, Arizona. Dowdle testified that in late 1990, he and another
    Arizona man, Joseph McShane, committed robberies in Arizona, then traveled
    to Texas before separating. Dowdle stated that he and McShane were both
    arrested later that year, and briefly shared a prison cell in Arizona. According
    to Dowdle, McShane told him that after the two had split up in Texas, he had
    gone to the “East Coast area,” stayed briefly with friends, and then proceeded
    54
    to a location that McShane called “Atlanta City,” or an area near “Atlanta
    City,” which Dowdle assumed was a town in Georgia. Dowdle testified that
    McShane told him that he went to “a park area” where a “big event” was going
    on and that he sexually assaulted and killed a boy who had run into the woods.
    Dowdle denied telling an Arizona police officer in 1991 that McShane had said
    that the child was murdered in Georgia; that the crime involved a mother, a
    daughter, a son, and a boyfriend; and that McShane had cut himself and stolen
    a car after the child’s murder. 10
    Viewed in the light most favorable to the prosecution, defendant’s
    evidence of third-party guilt could have been rejected by a reasonable jury,
    based upon the lack of any nexus between the object thrown into the trunk of a
    car and Timmy, Dowdle’s credibility issues, and Dowdle’s 1991 statement that
    the crime he alleged McShane committed took place in Georgia, not New
    Jersey.
    10
    In its rebuttal case, the State called McShane as a witness. McShane denied
    murdering any child, stated that he had never been to New Jersey before, and
    identified friends in Georgia and Pennsylvania with whom he stayed after he
    left Texas. The State also presented the testimony of the Arizona police
    officer who had investigated Dowdle’s claims about McShane. The officer
    stated that Dowdle told him in 1991 that McShane had admitted to killing a
    child in Georgia, prompting the officer to notify Georgia law enforcement.
    The officer testified that Dowdle said nothing to him about any alleged crime
    occurring in New Jersey and that there was no evidence linking McShane to
    the disappearance of any child. The officer also stated that when Dowdle
    made the claims about McShane, Dowdle was seeking a plea deal.
    55
    E.
    We apply the Reyes standard to the extensive evidence presented to the
    jury in this exceptionally well-tried case. Viewing the evidence in its entirety,
    and giving the State the benefit of all its favorable evidence as well as all of
    the favorable inferences which reasonably could be drawn from that evidence,
    we consider whether a reasonable jury could find defendant guilty beyond a
    reasonable doubt of purposeful or knowing murder. Reyes, 
    50 N.J. at 458-59
    .
    Giving the State the benefit of all favorable testimony and favorable
    inferences from that testimony, the State’s evidence established that defendant
    was the last person seen with Timmy before he disappeared. It supports the
    conclusion that defendant left Timmy’s body in the woods near her prior
    workplace at Raritan Center and that she knew when she went to the carnival
    during the early evening of May 25, 1991, that the child was already dead. If
    accepted by the jury, the State’s expert’s testimony supports the conclusion
    that Timmy died as the result of a homicide. A reasonable jury could draw a
    rational inference from that evidence that defendant caused the child’s death .
    Considered under the Reyes standard, the evidence was sufficient to
    establish beyond a reasonable doubt that defendant’s conduct was “an
    antecedent but for which” Timmy’s death would not have occurred, thus
    meeting N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(a)(1)’s “but-for” causation requirement.
    56
    Viewed favorably to the prosecution and giving the State the benefit of
    all favorable inferences, defendant’s contradictory and misleading statements
    to investigators, her apparent indifference to the urgency of searching for her
    son or awaiting word from his supposed abductors, and her “calm” demeanor
    in the wake of her son’s reported abduction at knifepoint, all support a
    reasonable inference that she knew her son was dead and sought to divert
    police attention from herself. As we have held, “post-crime consciousness of
    guilt evidence can support a logical connection to a desired inference about
    mental state in specific and non-specific intent crimes.” State v. Williams, 
    190 N.J. 114
    , 128 (2007); see also State v. Rechtschaffer, 
    70 N.J. 395
    , 413 (1976)
    (“Declarations subsequent to the commission of the crime which indicate
    consciousness of guilt, or are inconsistent with innocence or tend to establish
    intent are relevant and admissible.”).
    Viewed favorably to the prosecution, the trial testimony describing
    defendant’s financial condition, the inadequate child care she had following
    the departure of her sister and brother-in-law from New Jersey, and the
    difficulty she encountered in maintaining romantic relationships because of her
    son, constitutes evidence of motive. As we have noted, “[c]ase law and
    treatises have recognized the special role of motive evidence and its unique
    capacity to provide a jury with an overarching narrative, permitting inferences
    57
    for why a defendant might have engaged in the alleged criminal conduct.”
    State v. Calleia, 
    206 N.J. 274
    , 293 (2011). Evidence of motive “can ‘establish
    the identity of the defendant as the person who committed the offense.’” 
    Ibid.
    (quoting 1 Wharton on Criminal Evidence § 4.45 at 479 (15th ed. 1997)).
    Here, the evidence supported a reasonable inference that defendant was
    struggling financially and in her personal life and that she thought that her
    son’s death would alleviate the burdens that confronted her.
    The evidence supports the jury’s finding that the State met its burden to
    prove beyond a reasonable doubt the remaining elements of the offense: that
    defendant “purposely” or “knowingly” caused Timmy’s death or serious bodily
    injury resulting in death, and that the child’s death was either “within
    [defendant’s] design or contemplation,” or “involve[d] the same kind of injury
    or harm as that designed or contemplated and [was] not . . . too remote,
    accidental in its occurrence, or dependent on another’s volitional act to have a
    just bearing on [defendant’s] liability or on the gravity of [her] offense.”
    N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(b).11
    11
    The lesser included offenses as to which the jury was charged -- first-degree
    aggravated manslaughter and second-degree reckless manslaughter -- do not
    require proof beyond a reasonable doubt of the element of purposeful or
    knowing conduct. See N.J.S.A. 2C:11-4(a)(1); -4(b)(1). N.J.S.A. 2C:2-3(c)
    prescribes the standard of causation for offenses requiring “that the defendant
    recklessly or criminally negligently cause a particular result.” Because the
    58
    In short, we agree with the Appellate Division that when the State is
    afforded the benefit of all favorable testimony and the reasonable inferences
    that can be derived from that testimony, it presented sufficient evidence to
    prove beyond a reasonable doubt that defendant purposely or knowingly killed
    her son.12 We concur with the Appellate Division’s decision affirming the trial
    jury convicted defendant of purposeful or knowing murder, it did not return a
    verdict as to the lesser included offenses.
    12
    Our dissenting colleagues acknowledge the mandate of Reyes that when we
    review the evidence on a motion for a judgment of acquittal, we afford to the State
    the benefit of all favorable testimony and all favorable inferences which reasonably
    could be drawn from that testimony. Post at ___ (slip op. at 23) (citing Reyes, 
    50 N.J. at 458-59
    ). Our colleagues assess the evidence, however, in precisely the
    opposite manner: they embrace defendant’s theory of the case, reiterate defense
    counsel’s attacks on the credibility of the State’s witnesses at trial, and draw only
    inferences that favor the defense.
    Our dissenting colleagues adopt, for example, the points addressed by
    defense counsel in his cross-examination of Blair-Dilcher at trial and conclude that
    the witness’s identification of the blanket found at Raritan Center was not
    credible. Post at ___ (slip op. at 8-10). They dismiss as unpersuasive the expert
    testimony of Dr. Natarajan, whose qualifications to opine about the cause and
    manner of death were unchallenged at trial. Post at ___ (slip op. at 14-18). And
    they implausibly portray the State’s evidence of motive as “a gender stereotype
    about single working mothers,” as if the prosecution somehow sought to convict
    defendant on the basis that she was raising her child alone. Post at ___ (slip op. at
    18-21). To the contrary, the State presented substantial evidence of defendant’s
    state of mind, including her contradictory accounts of her son’s disappearance and
    the placement of his body near her former workplace -- an aspect of her
    employment history as to which she was less than forthcoming.
    The jury was entitled to believe or discredit the testimony of each and every
    witness who testified at trial, to draw or decline to draw inferences from the
    evidence, and to accept or reject the State’s theory of the case. When the record is
    59
    court’s denial of defendant’s post-trial motion for a judgment of acquittal
    notwithstanding the verdict.
    IV.
    A.
    We review for abuse of discretion the trial court’s decision to dismiss
    Juror No. 1 and to substitute an alternate for the dismissed juror. State v.
    Musa, 
    222 N.J. 554
    , 564-65 (2015).
    The trial court dismissed Juror No. 1 and substituted an alternate
    pursuant to Rule 1:8-2(d)(1), which provides in relevant part that,
    [i]f the alternate jurors are not discharged and if at any
    time after submission of the case to the jury, a juror dies
    or is discharged by the court because of illness or other
    inability to continue, the court may direct the clerk to
    draw the name of an alternate juror to take the place of
    the juror who is deceased or discharged. When such a
    substitution of an alternate juror is made, the court shall
    instruct the jury to recommence deliberations and shall
    give the jury such other supplemental instructions as
    may be appropriate.
    The Rule “and our case law delineate the circumstances in which juror
    substitution will not undermine the sanctity of the jury’s deliberative process.”
    State v. Jenkins, 
    182 N.J. 112
    , 124 (2004). When a trial court considers
    viewed in accordance with Reyes, it is clear that the State presented sufficient
    evidence to sustain a reasonable jury’s decision to convict.
    60
    whether the dismissal of a juror and the substitution of an alternate will impede
    full and fair deliberations, it conducts a two-step inquiry:
    First, the trial court must determine the cause of the
    juror’s concern and assess the impact of the juror’s
    departure on the deliberative process. Second, in light
    of the timing of the juror’s dismissal and other relevant
    considerations, the trial court must ascertain whether a
    reconstituted jury will be in a position to conduct open-
    minded and fair deliberations.
    [State v. Ross, 
    218 N.J. 130
    , 147 (2014).]
    When, as here, the court considers dismissing a juror for his or her
    “inability to continue” not caused by death or illness, it must first determine
    whether “the juror suffers from an inability to function that is personal and
    unrelated to the juror’s interaction with the other jury members.” State v.
    Valenzuela, 
    136 N.J. 458
    , 472-73 (1994). We “distinguish between reasons
    that are personal to the juror, which may permit a substitution under Rule 1:8-
    2(d)(1), and issues derived from ‘the juror’s interaction with the other jurors or
    with the case itself,’ which may not.” Ross, 218 N.J. at 147 (quoting State v.
    Williams, 
    171 N.J. 151
    , 163 (2002)). “[A]fter deliberations have begun, juror
    substitution ‘should be invoked only as a last resort.’” Jenkins, 
    182 N.J. at 126
    (quoting State v. Hightower, 
    146 N.J. 239
    , 254 (1996)).
    In the second inquiry, the court considers whether, given the timing of
    the juror substitution, a reconstituted jury will be in a position to meaningfully
    61
    deliberate on the case. Ross, 218 N.J. at 149; see also Musa, 222 N.J. at 568.
    The court should consider factors such as “the timing of the juror’s departure,
    his or her explanation of the problem prompting the inquiry, and any
    communications from the jury that may indicate whether deliberations have
    progressed to the point at which a reconstituted and properly charged jury will
    be unable to conduct open and mutual deliberations.” Ross, 218 N.J. at 149.
    In two appellate decisions, our courts have considered the effect of a
    juror’s acquisition of information relevant to the case from sources outside of
    the courtroom.
    In Hightower, a capital case, this Court addressed the dismissal of a
    juror who had overheard a conversation about the defendant while shopping
    and shared what he learned -- that the victim of the crime had three children
    -- with other jurors. Hightower, 
    146 N.J. at 248-50
    . The jury foreperson told
    the court that the juror had disclosed what he had learned about the victim’s
    family in the context of “a fairly intense debate” in which the juror “was
    taking a different position than some of the other people,” and “was almost
    lashing out.” 
    Id. at 249
    . The court learned that the jury deliberations had
    reached an advanced stage of the penalty phase: the jury had made tentative
    determinations on aggravating and mitigating factors, and the only inquiry yet
    62
    to be completed was “the jury’s ultimate conclusion with respect to the
    sentence.” 
    Id. at 250
    .
    The Court noted that “the juror did not follow the trial court’s
    instructions to report to the court any information he overheard outside of the
    courtroom[] and violated his oath by informing other jurors that the victim had
    children.” 
    Id. at 255
    . It held, however, that the case did not meet Rule 1:8-
    2(d)’s inability-to-continue standard because the circumstances were not
    exclusively personal to the juror, given the relationship of his misconduct “to
    the case and to his interactions with the other jurors.” 
    Ibid.
     The Court found
    that “[b]ecause the stakes are so high in a death penalty trial, where serious
    juror misconduct occurs, prejudice will be presumed,” 
    id. at 266
    .
    In State v. Holloway, the Appellate Division rejected the defendant’s
    challenge to the trial court’s dismissal of a juror. Following the jury’s return
    of a verdict, the trial court learned that a relative of the juror had told her about
    a case involving the defendant’s brother; the juror said that the revelation
    “helped me to decide but I had already made a decision.” 
    288 N.J. Super. 390
    ,
    397-98 (App. Div. 1996). The juror conceded that she had told the other jurors
    that she “wouldn’t be fair because, if they feel that I should say [the defendant
    is] guilty, because I don’t feel that way”; she also admitted that she had had a
    conversation with friends “that helped convince me and . . . boost me up,”
    63
    adding, “it will be a waste of my time to stay in here.” 
    Id. at 401-02
    . The
    court concluded that the juror was unable to continue for purposes of Rule 1:8-
    2(d) “because she was not able to continue as a fair and impartial juror, not
    because she appeared to be ‘pro-defendant.’” 
    Id. at 404
    . It excused the juror,
    substituted an alternate, and instructed the reconstituted jury to begin anew.
    
    Id. at 402
    .
    Noting that “[a] juror who has once disregarded the court’s unambiguous
    admonitions” is likely to do so in deciding the case; that the discharge did not
    result “from any interaction in the jury room”; and that the timing of the juror
    substitution indicated that the reconstituted jury could fairly return a verdict,
    the Appellate Division affirmed the defendant’s conviction. 
    Id. at 404-05
    .13
    B.
    We apply the two-part standard to the trial court’s dismissal of a juror
    and substitution of an alternate in this appeal.
    We concur with the Appellate Division that the trial court did not abuse
    its discretion when it determined that Juror No. 1 was unable to continue for
    reasons exclusively personal to him. See Lodzinski, ___ N.J. Super. at ___
    (slip op. at 29-34). As did the Appellate Division, we view this case to be
    13
    In Jenkins, the Court disapproved “that part of the holding in [Holloway]
    that allowed a substitute juror to join a jury that had announced its verdict to
    convict.” 
    182 N.J. at
    133 n.2 (discussing Holloway, 
    288 N.J. Super. at 405
    ).
    64
    distinct from Hightower, in which the juror’s misconduct was held to taint the
    entire jury in a capital case. See Hightower, 
    146 N.J. at 265
    . Here, the juror
    violated the court’s clear and repeated direction not to conduct independent
    research, thus demonstrating his inability or unwillingness to comply with the
    court’s instructions. As in Holloway, the juror acted independently of the
    other jurors; Juror No. 1 stated that he conducted the research on his own and
    that it produced very little information of interest to him.
    Based on the court’s detailed questioning of the other jurors, the jurors
    were either unaware of Juror No. 1’s research or were aware of it but
    unaffected by it; indeed, at least one juror knew that the research was improper
    and reported it the court. Nothing in the record suggests that the opinion of a
    single juror was swayed by their fellow juror’s improper conduct. The trial
    court properly instructed the jury to begin deliberations anew, consistent with
    the model charge. See Ross, 218 N.J. at 151; Musa, 222 N.J. at 561; Model
    Jury Charges (Criminal), “Judge’s Instructions When Alternate Juror
    Empaneled After Deliberations Have Begun” (rev. March 14, 2016).
    We also agree with the Appellate Division that at the time of the juror
    substitution, the jury’s deliberations had not proceeded too far for the
    reconstituted jury to conduct meaningful deliberations. On its first day of
    deliberations, the jury conferred for approximately three and a half hours; on
    65
    the second day of deliberations, it requested readbacks of certain witnesses’
    testimony, which the trial court provided, and deliberated for approximately an
    hour and a half. On the third day of deliberations, the court provided the
    jurors with additional readbacks that they had requested, and they deliberated
    for two or three hours before the court received the note alerting the court
    about the juror’s research at 1:53 p.m. Although the record does not reveal the
    precise amount of time that the reconstituted jury deliberated before reaching
    its verdict, it evidently deliberated for part of the afternoon following the juror
    substitution and part of the following morning. Nothing in the record suggests
    the jury had reached a partial verdict or even preliminary determinations on
    any issue; all of the remaining jurors assured the court that they could fairly
    decide the case.
    In short, we share the Appellate Division’s view that the trial court
    properly exercised its discretion when it dismissed the juror, replaced him with
    an alternate rather than declaring a mistrial, instructed the reconstituted jury to
    begin deliberations anew, and denied defendant’s post-trial motion under Rule
    3:20-1 for a new trial.
    66
    State of New Jersey,
    Plaintiff-Respondent,
    v.
    Michelle Lodzinski,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    JUSTICE ALBIN, dissenting.
    Our system of criminal justice places great faith and trust in juries to
    decide the fate of their fellow citizens. It is not a blind faith or trust, however.
    Jurors are not infallible. All human deliberations, including jury deliberations,
    are subject to error. For that reason, checks and balances are built into our
    justice system to ensure the integrity of a jury verdict -- to ensure that an
    accused is not convicted of a charge that is not rationally based in the
    evidence. A court generally is not charged with policing the correctness of a
    verdict, which represents a jury’s credibility determinations and factfindings;
    but a court has a commission to make certain that a verdict complies with the
    constitutional commands of due process. The court possesses a reservoir of
    power to dismiss a criminal charge or overturn a jury verdict when the
    evidence, viewed in the light most favorable to the State, cannot rationally
    1
    support the charge or verdict. See R. 3:18-1; R. 3:18-2; see also R. 3:20-1. It
    is a power that, although rarely invoked, guards against injustice. It is the
    system’s fail-safe mechanism.
    To be sure, the decision to exercise that power -- to take a case away
    from a jury or to overthrow its verdict -- is a difficult one, particularly in a
    murder case that has attracted sensational publicity. Nevertheless, a verdict
    cannot be upheld unless sustained by evidence grounded in the record. By that
    standard, the verdict in this case cannot stand.
    The direct and inferential evidence -- viewed in the light most favorable
    to the State -- cannot rationally justify the murder conviction of Michelle
    Lodzinski. In the modern annals of New Jersey legal history, as recorded in
    the New Jersey Reports and the Superior Court Reports, to my knowledge, no
    murder conviction has ever been upheld on such a dearth of evidence.
    There is no direct or inferential evidence of how Timothy Wiltsey died
    or the circumstances of his death. Even if the evidence suggests that Lodzinski
    had some knowledge or even involvement in Timothy’s death, there is
    absolutely no evidence that she purposely or knowingly caused his death.
    There is no evidence to distinguish whether Timothy died by accident or by the
    negligent, reckless, or purposeful or knowing acts of a person -- even if that
    person were Lodzinski.
    2
    The evidence portrayed Lodzinski as a loving mother, not as an
    uncaring, abusive, or homicidal caretaker. Lodzinski, like many single
    parents, faced financial and social challenges. That not-unfamiliar scenario
    does not constitute a motive or proof that Lodzinski purposely or knowingly
    killed her son. A murder conviction cannot rest on speculation. A jury verdict
    sheet is not a dartboard.
    The checks and balances in our criminal justice system have failed at all
    levels. The decades-long search for the cause of the tragic death of young
    Timothy has led only to a miscarriage of justice. Because the State failed to
    prove beyond a reasonable doubt that Lodzinski committed murder, I
    respectfully dissent. 1
    I.
    A.
    Sadly, the murder conviction in this case will stand despite the utter
    absence of proof that Michelle Lodzinski purposely or knowingly killed her
    young son. Due process requires that the State establish beyond a reasonable
    doubt every element of the offense, see In re Winship, 
    397 U.S. 358
    , 364
    1
    I concur that the trial court did not abuse its discretion by dismissing the
    juror who improperly conducted outside research and that our state’s legal
    standard for a judgment of acquittal -- as opposed to how that standard was
    applied in this case -- does not offend due process.
    3
    (1970), including the accused’s state of mind, which is an essential element
    necessary to support a murder conviction, see N.J.S.A. 2C:11-3(a)(1) to (2).
    Neither the trial court, the Appellate Division, nor this Court’s concurring
    opinion has explained satisfactorily how the jury rationally, rather than
    speculatively, arrived at its judgment. To better understand how this faulty
    verdict has been sustained -- and evaded the protection of our Court Rules and
    Constitution -- we must turn to a brief review of the overall evidence, and its
    shortcomings.
    B.
    No one disputes that on the morning of Saturday, May 25, 1991, a
    neighbor saw five-year-old Timothy Wiltsey playing near his home where he
    lived with his mother, Michelle Lodzinski. By nearly all accounts, Lodzinski
    was a kind and caring young mother who worked multiple jobs, provided for
    her son, and sent him to private school. That evening, according to Lodzinski,
    she took Timothy to a carnival at Kennedy Park in Sayreville. At
    approximately 7:45 p.m., she reported that Timothy, dressed in a tank top,
    shorts, and Ninja Turtles sneakers, had disappeared.
    Timothy’s disappearance set off a frantic search, with Sayreville police
    officers and firefighters combing the surrounding area looking for th e young
    boy. He was not found that evening or in the days that followed. The
    4
    prosecution would make much of Lodzinski’s seeming lack of emotional affect
    in public after her child had gone missing. Others would speak of her anguish
    in private.
    Lodzinski became the focus of an intensive police investigation into the
    disappearance of Timothy. Law enforcement officials searched her car at the
    scene twice and later searched her home, looking for some clue -- any forensic
    clue that might link Lodzinski to a crime against Timothy. Yet nothing was
    found.
    Officials from various law enforcement organizations -- the Sayreville
    Police Department, the Middlesex County Prosecutor’s Office, the New Jersey
    State Police, and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) -- would interview
    Lodzinski in the days, weeks, and months following Timothy’s disappearance.
    In all, she was subjected to at least ten interrogations.
    As the interviews continued and pressure mounted, she gave various
    conflicting accounts. After her initial narrative of events was not found
    satisfactory by investigating officers, she turned to another account and yet
    another version, as each was met with skepticism. Whether she altered her
    accounts in an effort merely to please her disbelieving interlocutors, or to
    5
    deceive them, was an issue for the jury. 2
    Lodzinski also became the focus of intense media scrutiny over the
    unsolved disappearance of her son. She expressed her frustration during an
    interview with two Sayreville police detectives by stating, “[g]o ahead and
    charge me if you think you could.” During that interview, Lodzinski told a
    story of Timothy’s abduction by two men, saying to the detectives, “you
    wanted to hear something, so I told you that” -- and abruptly walked out. Not
    long afterward, she told the detectives she had made up the story.
    In an effort to break the case, the police continued to interrogate
    Lodzinski, even attempting to secure an admission in clandestine recordings .
    The Middlesex County Prosecutor’s Office and the Sayreville Police
    Department coordinated with the FBI’s Behavioral Science Unit to devise
    interrogation strategies for the purpose of extracting “a confession out of
    [Lodzinski].” In one instance, the County Prosecutor’s Office sent a female
    investigator to interview Lodzinski at her home in an unsuccessful attempt to
    gather evidence and “possibly” admissions from her in a familiar environment.
    2
    See Welsh S. White, False Confessions and the Constitution: Safeguards
    Against Untrustworthy Confessions, 
    32 Harv. C.R.-C.L. L. Rev. 105
    , 124-25
    (1997) (“A suspect who is eager to please and anxious to avoid conflict with
    an authority figure will want to accept an interrogator’s view of the facts even
    if he disagrees with it.”).
    6
    In another, the Sayreville Police enlisted Lodzinski’s on-and-off boyfriend to
    secretly record her twice in an attempt to elicit incriminating information from
    her. One interrogation conducted by the State Police and the Sayreville Police
    lasted nearly twelve hours, from the time Lodzinski was picked up and
    dropped off at home. After that marathon interrogation session, Lodzinski
    checked herself into an emergency room for mental health counseling. The
    emotional strain of the investigation had apparently taken its toll. Although
    Lodzinski’s accounts varied, she never admitted to having any involvement in
    Timothy’s disappearance or death.
    In October 1991, a man found a child’s Ninja Turtles left sneaker in an
    area of Raritan Center in Edison -- a sneaker that matched the one purchased
    by Lodzinski for Timothy shortly before his disappearance. Six months later,
    in April 1992, investigators from the FBI, the State Police, the County
    Prosecutor’s Office, and the Sayreville Police Department scoured that area of
    Raritan Center and discovered Timothy’s remains -- in all, a skull and ten
    bones -- and nearby Timothy’s Ninja Turtles right sneaker, a Ninja Turtles
    balloon, a pillowcase, and a partially buried blue blanket. The discovery
    occurred about four-tenths of a mile from a business in Raritan Center where
    Lodzinski had worked between 1988 and 1989.
    7
    Forensic testing of those items revealed no trace evidence linking
    Lodzinski to Timothy’s death. Neither Lodzinski nor her parents recognized
    the blue blanket when it was shown to them. No one else was asked to view
    the blanket in 1992. In addition, the Medical Examiner issued a report that the
    cause of death was undetermined.
    At that point, the investigation came to an end with no charges filed
    against Lodzinski.
    C.
    Over the next twenty years, Lodzinski moved on with her life, relocating
    to Florida and raising two sons. She kept Timothy’s photograph in plain view
    in her home, reminding her sons they had a brother.
    Then in 2011, Sergeant Scott Crocco of the Middlesex County
    Prosecutor’s Office reopened the investigation into Timothy’s death. He
    showed the blue blanket recovered at the burial scene to a number of persons
    familiar with the Lodzinski home. At that time, none recognized the blanket
    but one person -- Lodzinski’s estranged niece, Jennifer Blair-Dilcher, who
    harbored a motive to avenge a wrong that she ascribed to her aunt .
    When Blair-Dilcher was thirteen and fourteen years old, she babysat for
    Timothy and considered Lodzinski a trusted aunt. That trust persisted long
    after the investigation of her aunt in 1991. Indeed, sometime between 1998
    8
    and 2001, when Blair-Dilcher entered an in-patient drug rehabilitation program
    in Florida to treat her heroin addiction, she placed her two children in the care
    of Lodzinski. While Blair-Dilcher remained in that detox program, however,
    Lodzinski allowed the children to return to New Jersey -- to the home of Blair-
    Dilcher’s mother-in-law, a woman Blair-Dilcher detested. Blair-Dilcher
    blamed Lodzinski for the temporary loss of custody of her children. From that
    point forward, Blair-Dilcher held an unabating animus toward her aunt.
    In April 2010 -- just a year before Sergeant Crocco interviewed her and
    showed her the blue blanket -- Blair-Dilcher expressed her feelings about
    Lodzinski in a letter sent to her uncle. Blair-Dilcher wrote that Lodzinski had
    “ruined [her] life” by turning her children over to her mother-in-law and that
    “[she] will never forgive [Lodzinski].” In testimony, Blair-Dilcher admitted
    that she was “angry” at Lodzinski for “betray[ing]” her.
    One year after Blair-Dilcher laid bare her feelings to her uncle, she was
    a willing collaborator with Sergeant Crocco, who enlisted her in an attempt “to
    elicit some sort of confession” from Lodzinski through a covert online-
    messaging scheme. That scheme to extract incriminating information failed.
    Nevertheless, nine days after Blair-Dilcher sent Lodzinski the first online
    message, she identified the blue blanket found at the burial scene as a blanket
    used by Timothy in Lodzinski’s home. That revelation came a full twenty
    9
    years after babysitting Timothy. During her testimony at trial, Blair-Dilcher
    admitted to giving differing accounts of -- and having some confusion about --
    when and where she babysat Timothy, not a surprising fact given the frailty of
    human memory.
    Blair-Dilcher’s identification of the blue blanket -- despite the inability
    of others to recognize it -- was a critical turning point in the renewed
    investigation. If believed, it seemingly debunked Lodzinski’s various accounts
    that Timothy disappeared at the carnival and suggested that Timothy was
    buried with the blue blanket from Lodzinski’s home.
    At the time a Middlesex County Grand Jury returned the indictment
    charging Lodzinski with murder in 2014, the only significant additional
    evidence in the case from the 1991-1992 investigation was the identification of
    the blue blanket.
    D.
    At Lodzinski’s trial, which began in January 2016, the blue blanket
    became one of the central threads of the State’s case. Of the many people
    familiar with Lodzinski’s residence in 1990 and 1991, only two, beside Blair-
    Dilcher, professed to recognize the blue blanket: Danielle Gerding and Dawn
    Matthews.
    10
    When Gerding was fourteen years old, between 1990 and 1991, she
    babysat Timothy “once in a while” along with her good friend Blair-Dilcher.
    Sergeant Crocco and another investigator interviewed Gerding in 2011 but did
    not show her the blue blanket then. During that interview, Gerding described
    the contents of Lodzinski’s apartment and recalled only one blanket -- a
    blanket with animated characters on it.
    Not until October 2015, just three months before the start of trial -- after
    the return of the indictment and amidst the pretrial publicity surrounding the
    case -- Sergeant Crocco for the first time showed Gerding the blue blanket,
    which she positively identified as present in Lodzinski’s apartment in 1990
    and 1991.3 She did not recall that blanket four years earlier during her
    3
    News coverage abounded about the Lodzinski case and Blair-Dilcher’s
    identification of the blanket in the weeks and months before Gerding and
    Matthews made their identifications. See, e.g., Mark Mueller & Susan K.
    Livio, Lodzinski Murder Trial to Proceed, Court Rules, Star-Ledger, Sept. 24,
    2015, at 15 (“The judge appeared to give credence to the state’s key piece of
    evidence: a blue-and-white blanket discovered near Timothy’s remains.
    Lodzinski’s niece, Jennifer Blair, identified the blanket as Timothy’s when
    investigators brought it to her in 2011 . . . .”); Suzanne Russell, State:
    Timothy Wiltsey’s Death Was No Accident, mycentraljersey (Sept. 23, 2015),
    https://www.mycentraljersey.com/story/news/local/middlesex-county/2015/09/
    23/wiltsey-fbi-file-has-no-impact-lodzinski-motions/72616764 (reporting that
    the trial court denied Lodzinski’s motion to dismiss the indictment and that
    Blair-Dilcher “positively identified that blanket as coming from defendant’s
    home”); Trial Date Set for Woman Accused of Killing Son in Decades-Old
    New Jersey Cold Case, CBSNewYork (Aug. 20, 2015),
    https://newyork.cbslocal.com/2015/08/20/michelle-lodzinski-trial-date-set
    11
    interview with Crocco. Her identification of the blanket occurred more than
    twenty-four years after she had babysat for Timothy.
    Dawn Matthews babysat for Timothy between 1988 and 1990 when she
    was between the ages of fifteen and seventeen. A little more than two weeks
    before the start of the trial, Sergeant Crocco showed Matthews the blue
    blanket. Matthews positively identified the blanket as the one she saw in
    Lodzinski’s apartment twenty-five years earlier. She admitted that at the time
    she identified the blanket she knew that Lodzinski had been charged with
    murder and was awaiting trial “because it was on TV, and . . . in the newspaper
    and whatnot.”
    Of the twelve people shown the blanket, only three made an
    identification. After he reopened the investigation, Sergeant Crocco exhibited
    the blanket to Renee Buckley, Lodzinski’s sister-in-law; Danielle Marquis,
    Lodzinski’s brother’s ex-girlfriend; Ed Lodzinski, Jr., Lodzinski’s brother;
    Michael Lodzinski, Lodzinski’s brother; Cheryl Kassay, Lodzinski’s friend;
    Theresa McConnell, Lodzinski’s landlord and neighbor; and Andrew Mianulli,
    Lodzinski’s former fiancé.
    (reporting that the State’s evidence against Lodzinski included “a blanket
    found near Timothy’s body,” which a “key witness immediately recognized”).
    12
    None recognized the blanket. Neither did Lodzinski’s parents when
    shown the blanket in 1992.
    Additionally, multiple witnesses testified that they recalled other
    blankets in Lodzinski’s various apartments in South Amboy. One photograph
    from Lodzinski’s residence showed “a pink and blue and white blanket” that
    Timothy used as an infant. Another photograph showed a “blue, purple, [and]
    white” crocheted blanket that belonged to Lodzinski. Neither of those blankets
    was the blanket discovered at the burial site. The blanket identified by Blair-
    Dilcher, Gerding, and Matthews does not appear in any of the photographs
    taken of Lodzinski’s home circa 1991.
    The potential for confusion was inevitable given that the Middlesex
    County Prosecutor’s Office did not display the blanket to anyone except
    Lodzinski and her parents after its discovery in 1992. That the County
    Prosecutor’s Office waited twenty to twenty-five years to ask witnesses to
    identify a critical piece of evidence -- a blanket, a rather mundane household
    item -- necessarily raises reasonable questions about the reliability of the
    identifications.
    Significantly, no biological or other forensic evidence tied the blanket to
    Lodzinski or her home.
    13
    E.
    Even crediting the testimony of Blair-Dilcher, Gerding, and Matthews
    over those who did not recognize the blanket and dismissing Lodzinski’s
    denials, and even accepting that Lodzinski had some knowledge or
    involvement in Timothy’s burial given the location of his remains, the State
    offered no evidence from which a rational jury could conclude that Lodzinski
    purposely or knowingly caused Timothy’s death.
    The testimony of the prosecution’s key medical expert, Dr. Geetha
    Natarajan, the retired Chief Medical Examiner of Middlesex County, did not
    give the jury license to conclude that Lodzinski murdered her son.
    Dr. Natarajan did not perform the autopsy in this case or ever examine
    Timothy’s remains. That was done by Dr. Marvin Shuster, the Chief Medical
    Examiner in 1992, who had died before the case came to trial. Instead, Dr.
    Natarajan -- retained as a consultant -- relied on Dr. Shuster’s autopsy report
    and photographs as well as reports by other experts in radiology, odontology,
    and anthropology to arrive at an opinion on the cause and manner of Timothy’s
    death.
    Dr. Natarajan, like Dr. Shuster, concluded that the cause of Timothy’s
    death was “undetermined.” She came to that conclusion because only eleven
    of Timothy’s bones were recovered. Missing were “the ribs and the
    14
    vertebrae,” and no organs or tissue remained. Although none of the few bones
    recovered showed any evidence of injury or fracture, she could not determine
    that “the entire skeleton [was] devoid of any injury.” In other words, there
    was no way of discerning whether any missing part of the skeleton would have
    revealed an injury or fracture. She conceded that she was unable to explain
    “when,” “where,” or “how” Timothy died.
    Nevertheless, Dr. Natarajan opined that the manner of his death was
    “homicide.” She reached that conclusion by a “preponderance of evidence” --
    without ever observing any actual evidence of homicide, such as evidence of a
    knife or gunshot wound, strangulation, physical abuse, poisoning, or some
    other tangible sign indicating the manner of death. Rather, Dr. Natarajan
    arrived at her determination through the process of elimination, ruling out
    natural death, suicide, and accident. For Dr. Natarajan, that process of
    elimination stemmed primarily from the fact that Timothy’s “body was found
    in a creek, and remained there for [a] considerable period of time,” and
    therefore his death would “have to be an unnatural death, particularly
    homicide.”
    That is not an ineluctable deduction, however; it does not follow from
    the laws of science or medicine in which Dr. Natarajan clothed her opinion.
    Dr. Natarajan openly acknowledged that she did not know “how” or “where”
    15
    Timothy died. She stated that “there is nothing that is pointing towards any
    kind of accident”; yet nothing pointed medically in some other direction given
    the absence of most of the bones from Timothy’s body. Timothy could have
    died in some accidental scenario (the how) in some unknown place (the where)
    and then been transported to Raritan Center where he was buried among the
    items he loved. Of course, that is utter speculation -- but no more so than Dr.
    Natarajan’s wholesale elimination of accident as a manner of death based
    primarily on the location of the body.
    But even if we were to accept Dr. Natarajan’s conclusion that the
    manner of death was “homicide” and not accident, she never opined on what
    particular type of homicide caused Timothy’s death -- nor could she without
    entering into the realm of conjecture. The criminal law recognizes various
    degrees of homicide: negligent, reckless, purposeful or knowing, and strict
    liability vehicular homicide.4
    The New Jersey Code of Criminal Justice provides that “[a] person is
    guilty of criminal homicide if he purposely, knowingly, recklessly or, under
    the circumstances set forth in N.J.S.A. 2C:11-5 or [N.J.S.A. 2C:11-5.3], causes
    4
    Although New Jersey does not recognize the crime of negligent homicide,
    other states do. See, e.g., 
    N.Y. Penal Law § 125.10
     (McKinney) (“A person is
    guilty of criminally negligent homicide when, with criminal negligence, he
    causes the death of another person.”).
    16
    the death of another human being.” N.J.S.A. 2C:11-2(a). Under the Code,
    “[c]riminal homicide is murder, manslaughter or death by auto or vessel.”
    N.J.S.A. 2C:11-2(b). To prove that a defendant committed one of those crimes
    as opposed to another, the State must prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the
    defendant possessed the requisite mental state to commit the crime. See
    N.J.S.A. 2C:2-2(a) to (b); State v. Sexton, 
    160 N.J. 93
    , 98-99 (1999).
    To prove murder, the State must establish that the defendant “purposely”
    or “knowingly” “cause[d] death or serious bodily injury resulting in death.”
    N.J.S.A. 2C:11-3(a)(1) to (2) (emphases added). To prove manslaughter or
    aggravated manslaughter, the State must establish that the defendant
    “recklessly” caused death, N.J.S.A. 2C:11-4(b)(1) (emphasis added), or
    “recklessly cause[d] death under circumstances manifesting extreme
    indifference to human life,” N.J.S.A. 2C:11-4(a)(1) (emphasis added).
    Moreover, a person is guilty of strict liability vehicular homicide when she
    causes death “by driving a vehicle while intoxicated in violation of [N.J.S.A. ]
    39:4-50.” N.J.S.A. 2C:11-5.3(a).
    The point is that Dr. Natarajan concluded only that the manner of death
    was homicide; she never ventured a medical or scientific opinion that a person
    purposely or knowingly caused Timothy’s death. To do so would have
    constituted sheer speculation.
    17
    But in her summation, that is precisely what the prosecutor asked the
    jury to do -- speculate about the cause and manner of Timothy’s death. In
    summation, the prosecution seemingly equated Dr. Natarajan’s opinion that the
    manner of death was homicide with purposeful or knowing murder. The
    prosecutor did tell the jury that the difference between the murder and
    manslaughter charges was intent. But the prosecutor did not and could not
    know whether Lodzinski engaged in purposeful or knowing conduct. Without
    evidence to fill the void, the prosecutor suggested that Lodzinski’s “disposing
    of [Timothy’s] body in a ditch was [the] purposeful act” necessary to prove
    murder. Certainly, disposing of a body is a purposeful act, but that is different
    from purposely causing death.
    To establish that Lodzinski purposefully caused the death of her son, the
    prosecutor also asked the jury to infer a motive to kill from Lodzinski’s social
    and financial circumstances -- the stereotypical circumstances facing many
    single parents raising a child.
    F.
    The prosecution’s only evidence of motive to prove that Lodzinski
    intended to kill her son was built on a gender stereotype about single working
    mothers. In summation, the prosecutor urged the jury to find that Lodzinski
    purposely or knowingly killed Timothy because “Lodzinski was a young
    18
    struggling mother”; because her boyfriends were not “willing to care for
    someone else’s child” and therefore were not going to marry her; because
    Timothy had become a “burden on her”; and because -- as the prosecutor
    surmised -- “[Lodzinski] had had enough.” But that theorizing was based not
    only on a generalized and unfounded trope about single working mothers, but
    was also belied by the real relationship between Lodzinski and her son as
    detailed during the trial.
    By nearly all accounts, Lodzinski was a loving mother who worked
    tirelessly to care for and support Timothy. She saved money to send him to
    Catholic school; helped him with his homework; bought him new clothes
    decorated with his favorite cartoons; took him camping and to parks and
    birthday parties; sent him to the dentist; and brought him to the hospital when
    he was injured. She also secured childcare from friends and family to watch
    Timothy while she was away. Lodzinski’s landlord and neighbor testified that
    she did not notice any unusual tension or stress in Lodzinski’s life in the days
    leading up to Timothy’s disappearance, including on the night before he went
    missing.
    Against that backdrop, what proof did the prosecutor offer that
    Lodzinski resented Timothy to the point that she had a motive to purposely kill
    him? That she raised Timothy as a single mother without child support from
    19
    his father; that she brought Timothy to her workplace when she could not find
    daycare; that she changed jobs with some frequency and was often late to
    work; that she forgot to call the babysitter a “handful of times” when she could
    not make it home; that Timothy was often late or absent from school; that she
    struggled financially as his sole caregiver; and that she was “unable to find a
    steady, satisfying relationship.” From those circumstances, the prosecutor
    urged the jury to believe that Lodzinski murdered her son because he was a
    “social burden.”
    Although single-parent child-rearing is exceedingly common, societal
    stereotypes about single parents, particularly single mothers, persist. See, e.g.,
    Nancy E. Dowd, Stigmatizing Single Parents, 18 Harv. Women’s L.J. 19, 20,
    49 (1995) (“Both socially and legally, we relentlessly stigmatize single parents
    as bad parents who have broken, incomplete, dysfunctional families which
    result in predictably disastrous consequences for their children” -- a stigma
    that is “primarily directed at single mothers.”). This Court has rejected
    invidious class assumptions to establish a general motive to commit a crime.
    For example, we have held that the State cannot offer a defendant’s financial
    distress as a general basis for concluding he had a motive to rob. See State v.
    Mathis, 
    47 N.J. 455
    , 471-72 (1966) (“[T]here must be something more than
    poverty to tie a defendant into a criminal milieu.”).
    20
    The “burdens” that the State says motivated Lodzinski to kill are the
    same financial and social challenges facing many single working parents -- the
    struggle to stay in a job, to find daycare, and to maintain a relationship. They
    do not establish a motive to commit murder.5
    II.
    A.
    A jury trial -- one of our most valued and vaunted rights -- is not a
    guarantee that perfect justice will be rendered by a verdict. Inherent in any
    factfinding or a trial is a “margin of error” that must be taken into account.
    See Winship, 
    397 U.S. at 364
    . The safeguards in our system of justice are
    intended to minimize that margin of error, particularly in a criminal case where
    a wrongful conviction will lead to the deprivation of a person’s liberty. 
    Id. at 363-64
    . Due process requires that the State prove beyond a reasonable doubt
    an accused’s guilt. 
    Id. at 364
    . That high standard of proof reduces the
    5
    The prosecutor also relied on gender stereotypes about female emotions to
    argue that Lodzinski did not display the proper affect of a mother after
    Timothy’s disappearance, stating in summation, “Michelle Lodzinski acted
    wholly inconsistent with how a mother who lost her child would act”: “She is
    not emotional, because her son is missing. She’s not panicked. She’s not
    running around looking for him. She’s calm in the face of her son being
    missing for minutes, hours, and then days.” That stereotype, of course, ignores
    the reality that people exhibit emotional shock and grief differently. See
    Kenneth J. Doka & Terry L. Martin, Grieving Beyond Gender 4 (2010).
    21
    potential for error and makes less likely that an innocent person will be
    wrongly condemned and imprisoned. 
    Id. at 363-64
    .
    The courts -- as guardians of our Federal and State Constitutions -- are
    charged with ensuring that the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard is not just
    a watchword but that it remains a vital bulwark protecting the rights of the
    accused. Our Court Rules place on our trial and appellate judges the solemn
    responsibility of determining when the evidence presented at trial is so
    inadequate that a verdict of guilty cannot be sustained. It is not an easy task
    for a single jurist to overturn a verdict rendered by twelve jurors, nor should it
    be; but it is an inescapable duty when there is no rational basis to support a
    finding of guilty.
    Rule 3:18-1 provides that a court must enter a judgment of acquittal if
    after the close of the State’s case or after the submission of all evidence by the
    State and the defendant “the evidence is insufficient to warrant a conviction.”
    Rule 3:18-2 adds another layer of procedural protection by authorizing a court,
    even after the entry of a verdict of guilty, to enter a judgment of acquittal
    because of insufficiency of evidence. Those rules ensure that there is no
    weakening of the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard, even if the jury is
    swayed to render a guilty verdict in the absence of sufficient evidence.
    22
    Our courts are cautioned not to enter a judgment of acquittal, pre- or
    post-verdict, unless after viewing the direct and circumstantial evidence in its
    entirety and after giving the State the benefit of all the favorable testimony and
    inferences to be drawn from the evidence, no “reasonable jury could find guilt
    of the charge beyond a reasonable doubt.” See State v. Reyes, 
    50 N.J. 454
    ,
    458-59 (1967). A court’s overturning a jury verdict and entering a judgment
    of acquittal for insufficiency of evidence is a remedy not often invoked. Yet,
    as the United States Supreme Court has recognized, “a properly instructed jury
    may occasionally convict even when it can be said that no rational trier of fact
    could find guilt beyond a reasonable doubt.” Jackson v. Virginia, 
    443 U.S. 307
    , 317 (1979). Under Winship, “when such a conviction occurs in a state
    trial, it cannot constitutionally stand.” 
    Id. at 317-18
    . It is the judge’s role to
    make certain that a verdict does not rest on “conjecture” or “pure speculation”
    or “passion, prejudice or sympathy.” See Curley v. United States, 
    160 F.2d 229
    , 232 (D.C. Cir. 1947).
    We must also be mindful that “the State’s right to the benefit of
    reasonable inferences should not be used to shift or lighten the burden of
    proof, or become a bootstrap to reduce the State’s burden of establishing the
    essential elements of the offense charged beyond a reasonable doubt.” State v.
    Brown, 
    80 N.J. 587
    , 592 (1979) (citing Cnty. Ct. of Ulster Cnty. v. Allen, 442
    
    23 U.S. 140
    , 156 (1979)). Undoubtedly, the Reyes standard is a high hurdle to
    clear, but when it is cleared, a trial or appellate judge has a duty to set aside a
    jury verdict.
    B.
    Missing in this case is direct or inferential evidence to prove an essential
    element of the offense of murder -- that Lodzinski purposely or knowingly
    caused Timothy’s death. Conjecture, disguised as reasonable inferences, is not
    the equivalent of evidence; and bootstrapped inferences were insufficient to
    establish Lodzinski’s state of mind. See Brown, 
    80 N.J. at 592
    .
    The concurrence’s broadside against the dissent -- as somehow taking
    sides and weighing credibility -- will not obscure or deflect from the record.
    The Reyes standard does not require this Court to disregard inconvenient or
    messy facts. More than two decades after Timothy’s disappearance, three
    witnesses identified a blanket purportedly from Lodzinski’s household. T he
    circumstances surrounding the identification of the blanket by those witnesses
    -- one who had an undisguised animus toward Lodzinski, and two others who
    were shown the blanket on the eve of trial amidst saturated negative press
    coverage -- are undisputed facts. Those circumstances are recounted because
    bootstrapped inferences are drawn from those identifications about Lodzinski’s
    state of mind.
    24
    To fill the void of evidence and lighten the burden of proof concerning
    Lodzinski’s state of mind, the prosecution and now the concurrence rely on
    other strained inferences. That Lodzinski had a motive to murder her child, as
    the prosecutor argued, because she was navigating life as a single working
    mother under challenging financial and social circumstances, is not grounded
    in the evidence but on unfounded tropes and stereotypes that apply with equal
    force to millions of other parents.
    Moreover, Lodzinski’s conflicting accounts to the police are not
    evidence of murder. She knew that her account of Timothy’s disappearance
    met with disbelief from law enforcement, so she gave other accounts. Despite
    those conflicting accounts, the investigation was closed in 1992.
    Last, Dr. Natarajan’s testimony offers no assistance in proving the
    essential element of state of mind. Dr. Natarajan eliminated accident by a
    preponderance of the evidence -- not through any forensic medical discovery.
    In concluding homicide as the manner of death, Dr. Natarajan did not
    distinguish -- or even try to distinguish -- between negligent, reckless, or
    purposeful or knowing homicide. In the end, the evidence does not establish
    whether Timothy died from an accident or by a negligent, reckless, or
    purposeful act.
    25
    C.
    The sustaining of the murder conviction in this case on such a paucity of
    evidence has no parallel in this state, to my knowledge. The concurrence does
    not cite to any case even remotely similar where such a verdict has been
    upheld. Even the Appellate Division distinguished the murder conviction in
    State v. Zarinsky, 
    143 N.J. Super. 35
     (App. Div. 1976), aff’d, 
    75 N.J. 101
    (1977) -- a case arguably near the outer limits of a sustainable verdict -- from
    the conviction in this case. See State v. Lodzinski, ___ N.J. Super. ___, ___
    (App. Div. 2019) (slip op. at 14-15).
    In Zarinsky, the victim’s body was never found but the State presented
    extensive direct and circumstantial evidence that the defendant caused her
    death: the defendant was identified as attempting to lure young girls into his
    car; the victim was last seen riding in the defendant’s car; panties and hairclips
    similar to those worn by the victim were found in the defendant’s car; blood
    was discovered on its rear bumper and taillight; and the defendant told jail
    inmates that he had tossed the victim’s body into a river. 
    143 N.J. Super. at 41-47
    . The Appellate Division in this case acknowledged that not even
    Zarinsky was comparable, stating that “[t]he contrast between such evidence of
    the defendant’s conduct in Zarinsky, and what the State adduced here, requires
    no further comment.” Lodzinski, ___ N.J. Super. at ___ (slip op. at 15).
    26
    No direct or circumstantial evidence in this case established the cause or
    manner of Timothy’s death. No trace evidence -- not a fiber, a hair, or DNA --
    tied Lodzinski to the crime of murder. The limited number of bones recovered
    from Timothy’s body revealed no fracture or injury. No witnesses came
    forward that Lodzinski ever harmed her child. No confession was forthcoming
    from Lodzinski, despite repeated interrogations and secret recordings of her
    conversations.
    Even if one were to concede, based on the identification of the blanket
    and the location of Timothy’s remains, that Lodzinski had some involvement
    in Timothy’s burial or even his death, the prosecution offered no direct or
    inferential evidence that Lodzinski purposely or knowingly caused Timothy’s
    death -- an essential element of the crime of murder. The prosecutor in
    summation could not and the concurrence does not explain how a jury could
    rationally choose between reckless manslaughter or purposeful or knowing
    murder.
    The due process requirements of both our Federal and State
    Constitutions mandate that our courts vacate a conviction that rests on
    “conjecture” or “pure speculation,” see Curley, 
    160 F.2d at
    232 -- a conviction
    based on evidence from which “no rational trier of fact could find guilt beyond
    a reasonable doubt,” Jackson, 
    443 U.S. at 317
    . See also State v. Medina, 147
    
    27 N.J. 43
    , 49-50 (1996). Under Winship and the commands of due process,
    Lodzinski’s murder conviction cannot stand. See Jackson, 
    443 U.S. at 317-18
    .
    But it will, at least for now, because the three dissenting votes in this appeal
    are insufficient to prevent this miscarriage of justice.
    I therefore respectfully dissent.
    28