John Doe v. San Diego Unified School Dist ( 2022 )


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  •                               FOR PUBLICATION                            FILED
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS                        JAN 14 2022
    MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    JOHN DOE, an individual; JANE DOE,              No.   21-56259
    individually and as parent and next friend of
    Jill Doe, a minor child; JILL DOE, a minor      D.C. No.
    child, by and through her next friend, Jane     3:21-cv-01809-CAB-LL
    Doe,                                            Southern District of California,
    San Diego
    Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    ORDER
    v.
    SAN DIEGO UNIFIED SCHOOL
    DISTRICT; RICHARD BARRERA, in his
    official capacity as Board President;
    SHARON WHITEHURST-PAYNE, in her
    official capacity as Board Vice President;
    MICHAEL MCQUARY, in his official
    capacity as Board member; KEVIN BEISER,
    in his official capacity as Board member;
    SABRINA BAZZO, in her official capacity
    as Board member; LAMONT JACKSON, in
    his official capacity as Interim
    Superintendent,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    Before: BERZON, IKUTA, and BENNETT, Circuit Judges.
    The majority of the panel has voted to deny appellants’ motion for
    reconsideration en banc. Judge Berzon and Judge Bennett have voted to deny the
    motion for reconsideration en banc. Judge Ikuta has voted to grant the motion for
    reconsideration en banc.
    The full court has been advised of the motion for reconsideration en banc. A
    judge of the court requested a vote on en banc rehearing. The majority of the
    active judges have voted to deny rehearing the matter en banc. Fed. R. App.
    P. 35(f).
    The motion for reconsideration en banc is DENIED. Judge Bumatay’s
    dissent from the denial of rehearing en banc, Judge Berzon and Judge Bennett’s
    concurrence in the denial of reconsideration en banc, Judge O’Scannlain’s
    statement respecting the denial of rehearing en banc, Judge Bress’s dissent from
    the denial of rehearing en banc, and Judge Forrest’s dissent from the denial of
    rehearing en banc are filed concurrently herewith.
    Judge Owens did not participate in the deliberations or vote in this case.
    2
    FILED
    JAN 14 2022
    John Doe, et al. v. San Diego Unified School District, No. 21-56259 MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    BUMATAY, J., Circuit Judge, with whom CALLAHAN, IKUTA, R. NELSON,
    COLLINS, LEE, and VANDYKE, Circuit Judges, join, dissenting from the denial
    of rehearing en banc:
    Here we go again. When it comes to dealing with the COVID-19 crisis, the
    “Supreme Court’s instructions have been clear, repeated, and insistent: no COVID-
    19 restriction can disfavor religious practice.” Tandon v. Newsom, 
    992 F.3d 916
    ,
    939 (9th Cir. 2021) (Bumatay, J., dissenting in part and concurring in part). The
    Supreme Court has again and again admonished this court for failing to follow its
    guidance. Indeed, almost a year ago, the Court expressed frustration that, for the
    “fifth time,” it had to “summarily reject[] the Ninth Circuit’s analysis of California’s
    COVID restrictions on religious exercise.” Tandon v. Newsom, 
    141 S. Ct. 1294
    ,
    1297 (2021) (per curiam) (emphasis added). With this case, our court is gunning for
    a sixth.
    Jill Doe is a 16-year-old student-athlete at a public high school in San Diego,
    California. She plays multiple sports and hopes to earn a college sports scholarship
    by excelling at those sports during the upcoming semester. In addition to being an
    avid athlete, Jill is devoted to her Christian beliefs. While Doe has developed natural
    immunity to COVID-19 from a prior infection, her religious beliefs forbid her from
    receiving any of the COVID-19 vaccines. But the San Diego Unified School District
    has implemented a COVID-19 vaccine mandate for its students. That mandate
    requires all students over the age of 16 to be vaccinated by January 4, 2022, or be
    1
    banned from attending school in-person starting January 24. While the mandate has
    plenty of secular exemptions, it expressly prohibits religious exemptions.
    Jill appeals to this court to protect her religious convictions. She requests that
    we enjoin enforcement of the District’s vaccine mandate against her before January
    24; otherwise, she will be forced into an online, independent study program and
    isolated from her teachers and classmates. If she does not succumb to the mandate
    and violate her religious beliefs, she will be barred from campus and from playing
    on any school sports teams. All this while thousands of other unvaccinated students
    will continue to attend San Diego public schools under secular exemptions.
    We should not have turned our back on Jill. Our duty is always to safeguard
    the people’s rights no matter the challenges facing our communities. And the right
    to the free exercise of religion is foremost among our freedoms. It should go without
    saying—the Constitution protects Jill Doe’s religious liberty even in times of crisis.
    Because the government should never force a student to choose between her
    religious beliefs and her education unless such a restriction is the least restrictive
    means of achieving a compelling government interest, we should have enjoined the
    application of the District’s vaccine mandate in this case.
    Today, our court failed Jill Doe on several grounds. But our crucial error was
    applying the wrong legal framework to her claim. Tandon teaches us that COVID-
    19 regulations trigger strict scrutiny “whenever they treat any comparable secular
    2
    activity more favorably than religious exercise.” 141 S. Ct. at 1296. Yet the
    District’s vaccine mandate not only has numerous comparable secular exemptions,
    but expressly prohibits exemptions for the religious. That alone should trigger strict
    scrutiny.
    Instead, our court rubberstamps the District’s mandate—opting for the anemic
    rational basis review. Doe v. San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., 
    19 F.4th 1173
    , 1177 (9th
    Cir. 2021). We get there by blindly accepting the District’s characterizations of its
    secular exemptions, denying the comparability of the religious exemptions, and
    speculating about the risks of allowing those with religious exemptions to continue
    to attend class on campus. 
    Id.
     at 1177–80. But these reasons cannot support the
    infringement of a fundamental freedom.
    Our court’s decision once again disregards Supreme Court precedent and
    threatens the religious liberty of tens of thousands of students in one of the largest
    counties in the United States. We should have granted en banc review to correct this
    grievous mistake before being told to do so yet again.1
    1
    Separate parties have obtained a “tentative” writ of mandate preventing
    implementation of the District’s vaccine mandate under state law. Let Them Choose
    v. San Diego Unified Sch. Dist., No. 37-2021-43172-CU-WM-CTL (Cal. Super. Ct.
    Dec. 20, 2021) (“SDUSD’s attempt to impose an additional vaccine mandate and
    force students . . . who defy it into non-classroom-based independent study directly
    conflicts with state law.”). Yet, as the Supreme Court of California has not
    definitively resolved this issue, it remained our duty to fix our erroneous decision.
    3
    I.
    A.
    The First Amendment commands that government “shall make no law . . .
    prohibiting the free exercise [of religion].” U.S. Const. amend. I. In responding to
    COVID-19, that means governments may not “single[] out religion for worse
    treatment than . . . secular activities.” South Bay United Pentecostal Church v.
    Newsom, 
    141 S. Ct. 716
    , 719 (2021) (statement of Gorsuch, J.) (joined in relevant
    part by four other Justices). “When a State so obviously targets religion for
    differential treatment,” courts must apply the most exacting scrutiny. Id. at 717.
    Last year, California enacted a set of COVID-19 restrictions that “openly imposed
    more stringent regulations on religious institutions than on many businesses.” Id.
    Five justices of the Court found that this type of naked targeting of religion required
    strict scrutiny. Id. at 717–18.
    In Tandon, the Court provided a framework for evaluating COVID-19-related
    restrictions:
    First, “government regulations are not neutral and generally applicable . . .
    whenever they treat any comparable secular activity more favorably than religious
    exercise.” 141 S. Ct. at 1296 (emphasis in original). And it is “no answer” that the
    government treats some secular activity “as poorly as or even less favorably than the
    religious exercise at issue.” Id.
    4
    Second, “whether two activities are comparable for purposes of the Free
    Exercise Clause must be judged against the asserted government interest that
    justifies the regulation at issue.” Id. (simplified). In judging comparability, we must
    look at the “risks various activities pose,” not the purported reasons for the
    distinctions. Id. Thus, government regulations cannot treat secular activities more
    favorably when they “‘contribute[] to the spread of COVID–19’ or . . . present[]
    similar risks” as religious activities. Id. (quoting Roman Catholic Diocese of
    Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 
    141 S. Ct. 63
    , 67–68 (2020) (per curiam)).
    Third, if a regulation is not neutral and generally applicable, “the government
    has the burden to establish that the challenged [regulation] satisfies strict scrutiny.”
    
    Id.
     To do so, the government “must do more than assert that certain risk factors ‘are
    always present in worship, or always absent from the other secular activities’ the
    government may allow.” 
    Id.
     (quoting South Bay, 141 S. Ct. at 718 (statement of
    Gorsuch, J.)). Instead, strict scrutiny requires “narrow tailoring” and proof that “less
    restrictive” measures could not achieve the interest in reducing the spread of
    COVID-19. Id. at 1296–97. “Where the government permits other activities to
    proceed with precautions, it must show that the religious exercise at issue is more
    dangerous than those activities even when the same precautions are applied.
    Otherwise, precautions that suffice for other activities suffice for religious exercise
    too.” Id. at 1297.
    5
    Fourth, even if the “government withdraws or modifies a COVID restriction
    in the course of litigation, that does not necessarily moot the case.” Id.
    B.
    The District’s vaccine mandate expressly forbids exemptions for religious
    students:
    Under San Diego Unified’s vaccine mandate for students who are 16
    and older as of November 1, 2021, students who are not fully
    vaccinated by December 20, 2021 will transition from in-person
    learning to an independent study program at the start of the new
    semester and quarter on January 24, 2022. . . .
    All students 16 and older who are eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine
    under the district mandate are required to be vaccinated, excluding
    those with qualified exemptions or conditional admissions. San Diego
    Unified does not allow religious exemptions for this particular
    vaccine. 2
    But the District provides at least four secular exemptions to its vaccine
    mandate: it allows a student to avoid vaccination if she (1) turns 16 after November
    1, 2021; (2) has a medical exemption; (3) is a “conditional student” who has recently
    been admitted; or (4) has an individualized education program (“IEP”) under the
    Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (“IDEA”), 
    20 U.S.C. § 1415
    (j). See
    Doe, 19 F.4th at 1175–76. Additionally, while the District prohibits religious
    2
    COVID-19 Status, San Diego Unified School District, available at:
    https://sandiegounified.org/covid-19_status (last visited Jan. 7, 2022). Also
    available at Appendix A below.
    6
    exemptions for unvaccinated students, it permits religious exemptions for
    unvaccinated staff.
    According to Jill, under the District’s system of exemptions, nearly 85% of its
    student body will not be subject to the mandate. And for high school students, that
    number is over 60%. In real numbers, that translates into over 83,000 San Diego
    students, including 21,900 high schoolers, who will be allowed to attend in-person
    classes while unvaccinated.         These figures provide important context for
    understanding the District’s vaccination scheme and the real risks posed by its
    system of exemptions.
    Under Supreme Court precedent, the question in this case is quite simple:
    Does the District’s vaccine mandate treat religious exemptions less favorably than
    comparable secular exemptions? If so, we must apply strict scrutiny. The answer
    here is plainly “yes.”
    First, the District expressly targets the religious for worse treatment in direct
    violation of Supreme Court precedent. See South Bay, 141 S. Ct. at 719 (statement
    of Gorsuch, J.). The District’s mandate baldly states: “San Diego Unified does not
    allow religious exemptions for this particular vaccine.” 3 This statement alone should
    trigger strict scrutiny. When the government calls out religion by name, that is a
    clarion sign that we are not dealing with a neutral and generally applicable law. See
    3
    Id. (last visited Jan. 7, 2022). Also available at Appendix A below.
    7
    Fulton v. City of Philadelphia, 
    141 S. Ct. 1868
    , 1877 (2021) (“Government fails to
    act neutrally when it proceeds in a manner intolerant of religious beliefs or restricts
    practices because of their religious nature.” (simplified)). Just like in South Bay, the
    District’s singling out and rejection of a religious exemption shows that it is
    “target[ing] religion for differential treatment.” South Bay, 141 S. Ct. at 717
    (statement of Gorsuch, J.). And so, just as in South Bay, such discriminatory actions
    cannot stand unless the government can meet its exceptionally demanding burden
    under strict scrutiny.
    And the District’s justification for its decision has nothing to do with the
    health and safety risks involved with a religious exemption. The District admits as
    much. On its website, the District explains that because “state law does not
    recognize religious or personal belief exemptions,” it cannot provide “religious
    exemptions for students.”4 Leaving no doubt about the District’s targeting of
    religion, School Board President Richard Barrera explained to the local press that
    the District did not want to “create[] kind of a loophole” by allowing a “sort of
    personal belief” exemption.5 So the District’s vaccine mandate falls easily into the
    4
    Back to School FAQ—Vaccines, San Diego Unified School District,
    https://www.sandiegounified.org/cms/One.aspx?portalId=27732478&pageId=3547
    1525#Vaccines (last visited Jan. 7, 2022). Also available at Appendix B below.
    5
    What you need to know about San Diego Unified’s vaccine mandate, The
    San        Diego        Union         Tribune,       (Sept.       29,       2021),
    https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/education/story/2021-09-29/what-
    parents-need-to-know-about-san-diego-unifieds-new-covid-vaccine-mandate.
    8
    category of regulations nakedly targeting religion. And even if it were true that state
    law prevents religious exemptions,6 such a rationale clearly has nothing to do with
    the District’s asserted interest in health and safety and cannot save it from strict
    scrutiny. And contrary to the District president’s views, religious exercise isn’t a
    “loophole,” but a fundamental freedom.        So to be faithful to Supreme Court
    precedent and our Constitution, we must apply strict scrutiny.
    Second, because the District’s secular exemptions pose nearly identical risks
    as religious ones, strict scrutiny is again triggered. A few scenarios demonstrate the
    irrefutable comparability of risk:
    Post-November 1 Birthday Exemption: The District exempts any 16-year-
    old student whose birthday falls after November 1, 2021, from the vaccine mandate.7
    But this makes no sense from a risk perspective.
    Imagine hypothetical students, Timmy and Tommy. Timmy and Tommy are
    both classmates and soccer teammates at a San Diego high school. Like Jill Doe,
    Timmy is devoutly religious and believes his faith prevents him from taking the
    6
    A California Superior Court has recently held that the District’s reading of
    the law is incorrect. See Let Them Choose, supra note 1.
    7
    See Student Vaccine FAQs, San Diego Unified School District,
    https://sites.google.com/sandi.net/nursingwellness/covid-19-vaccine/student-
    vaccine-faqs (“Students who are 16 as of November 1, 2021 will be required to
    fulfill the vaccine requirement for January 4, 2022. Newly eligible students who
    turn age 16 after November 1, 2021 will be required to be vaccinated before the start
    of the new school year Fall 2022.”) (last visited Jan. 7, 2022). Also available at
    Appendix C below.
    9
    COVID-19 vaccine. Tommy isn’t so religious, but he prefers not to take the vaccine.
    Timmy has the misfortune of being born on October 31. Tommy, meanwhile, was
    lucky enough to be born two days later on November 2. Today, both students are
    16-years old. Yet, under the District’s mandate, Timmy will be expelled from in-
    person classes, forced into online learning, and kicked off the soccer team for being
    unvaccinated—all because he adheres to his religious beliefs. Meanwhile, Tommy
    will be exempt from the mandate for the entire school year and remain on the soccer
    team despite being unvaccinated.
    The District, perhaps as a matter of administrative convenience, chooses to
    force Timmy into online learning while it allows Tommy to pose an identical risk to
    the student body. But the District cannot force Timmy to renounce his faith and
    submit to the mandate simply because he was born two days earlier than Tommy.
    More fundamentally, the Constitution forbids the government from using
    administrative convenience, rather than its asserted interest, to infringe on religious
    exercise.
    Medical Exemption: The District permits medical exemptions from its
    vaccine mandate so long as the student gets a doctor’s note. But once again, the
    District’s medical exemption does not further its interest in the health and safety of
    the student body.
    10
    Let’s look at another example. Assume Betty and Bea are 16-year-old twin
    sisters attending another San Diego high school. Betty has always been more
    devoted to her faith. She sincerely believes that receiving the COVID-19 vaccine
    would violate her religion. On the other hand, Bea once had a mild allergy to one of
    the components of the vaccine and qualifies for the District’s medical exemption.8
    Of course, Betty and Bea share the same home. Both spent time over the holidays
    mingling with friends and family. Both are unvaccinated. But starting on January
    24, Betty will be banned from campus, while Bea will continue her in-person
    education. Each day after school ends, Bea goes back to the same home as Betty,
    they eat the same meal, and interact with the same parents. But every morning, Betty
    watches her sister go back to school, while she must remain confined at home
    indefinitely.
    It is abundantly clear that Betty and Bea, both unvaccinated, present the exact
    same risk of infecting their fellow students. After all, even beyond their vaccination
    status, they are both in constant interaction with the same group of people. But under
    the District’s vaccination scheme, Bea’s medical exemption permits her to enjoy the
    benefits of an in-person education, while her sister Betty is expelled from campus
    8
    The medical exemption applies to “[a]nyone with a history of immediate
    allergic reaction of any severity to any component of the COVID-19 vaccine.” Id.
    Also available at Appendix D below.
    11
    and condemned to online schooling—all for the crime of adhering to her religious
    beliefs.
    Conditional Student Exemption: The conditional student exemption allows
    at least four types of new students (foster youth, homeless students, migrants, and
    military families) to be conditionally admitted to school without being vaccinated
    for 30 days. Say one of these newly enrolled students shows up on campus and is
    unvaccinated. The moment he steps foot on campus, he presents the same health
    and safety risks as an unvaccinated religious student. Even if these admissions only
    last 30 days, a flow of unvaccinated conditional students will remain on campus for
    the school year. And it’s unclear what the District intends to do with conditional
    students who do not comply with the vaccine mandate after the grace period. The
    District’s website only states “that a conditional admission is not an exemption, and
    a recurring effort is made by the school nursing team to support the child and family
    to access their records or receive a vaccination in a timely manner.” 9 But it’s hard
    to imagine that the District will force homeless students to enroll in online schooling.
    IEP Exemption: Next, the District permits unvaccinated students with an
    IEP to remain on campus pending separate proceedings to bar them from attending
    school in person. And there’s no telling how long that will take. But what is clear
    is that COVID-19 doesn’t discriminate based on a student’s status under the IDEA.
    9
    San Diego Unified School District, supra note 7 (last visited Jan. 7, 2022).
    12
    So an unvaccinated IEP student has an equal chance of being infected and spreading
    COVID-19 throughout the school as an unvaccinated religious student.
    To sum up, the following factual points about the District’s policy are
    uncontested:
    • An unvaccinated student born on November 2 can attend in-person classes,
    while an unvaccinated religious student born on October 31 cannot.
    • An unvaccinated student with an allergy to the COVID-19 vaccine can attend
    in-person classes, while an unvaccinated religious student cannot.
    • An unvaccinated student who conditionally enrolls on campus can attend in-
    person classes, while an unvaccinated religious student cannot.
    • An unvaccinated student with an IEP can attend in-person classes, while an
    unvaccinated religious student cannot.
    Taken together, the District’s patchwork of exemptions is inconsistent with
    its asserted interest in protecting the health of students from the COVID-19
    pandemic.      Given that the risks posed by unvaccinated students with secular
    exemptions are the same as those posed by unvaccinated religious students, the
    District’s failure to provide a religious exemption must be subject to strict scrutiny
    under Tandon.
    C.
    To distract from the obvious similarity of risks created by the secular and
    religious exemptions, the panel majority instead focused on the reasons why the
    secular exemptions exist. Such an approach flouts the Supreme Court’s commands
    in Tandon, which renders nearly irrelevant the reason why secular exemptions are
    granted. 141 S. Ct. at 1296. That was a critical error.
    13
    As the panel majority sees it, the medical exemption makes sense because it
    serves the health and safety of the individual student. Doe, 19 F.4th at 1178. But
    that is not the District’s stated interest here—it is to combat the spread of COVID-
    19 school-district wide. 10 To this day, the District claims that the vaccination of
    students in kindergarten through high school is a “major step toward preventing the
    spread of the virus in our community and nationwide.”11 So while the medical
    exemption is certainly prudent, it undermines the District’s interest in mitigating
    risks to the student body by stopping the transmission of COVID-19. In other words,
    if the District can grant a reprieve for medical exemptions, it can also do so for the
    religious.
    The same goes for the IEP exemptions. The panel majority doesn’t seriously
    dispute that an unvaccinated IEP student poses a risk of spreading the COVID-19
    virus. But it instead justifies that exemption because federal law requires schools to
    follow certain protocols to bar student admission. Id. at 1179–80. That may be so,
    but I see no reason to defer to a student’s statutory right under the IDEA, while
    10
    See Vaccinate Roadmap at 2, San Diego Unified School District (Sept. 28,
    2021),                                  available                                  at:
    https://go.boarddocs.com/ca/sandi/Board.nsf/files/C797R4004A4C/$file/Vaccine%
    20Mandate%20Plan.pdf (“Why are we recommending mandating vaccines for staff
    and students? San Diego Unified is working to ensure the highest-quality instruction
    in the safest environment possible for all students and employees. Strong scientific
    evidence shows that vaccinations are an essential part of protecting our
    communities.”) (last visited Jan. 7, 2022).
    11
    San Diego Unified School District, supra note 2 (last visited Jan. 7, 2022).
    14
    completely disregarding a student’s constitutional right to the free exercise of
    religion.
    As for the conditional students, the panel majority again turns to state law.
    Though it acknowledges that there is no current California law requiring proof of
    COVID-19 vaccination for school attendance, it speculates that such a mandate will
    be the law in the future. Id. at 1179. At that point, the majority surmises, conditional
    students will be subject to the vaccine mandate. Id. So no one needs to fear; the
    majority assures us that these students will be vaccinated soon enough.
    Finally, the majority simply has no answer to explain the inexplicable—why
    the November 1, 2021, cut-off date for the vaccine mandate has any basis in the
    District’s interest in the health and safety of the student body.
    Simply put, the District can’t have it both ways by allowing secular
    exemptions but prohibiting religious ones. If the District offers any secular vaccine
    exemption with a similar risk profile to a religious exemption, it must satisfy strict
    scrutiny to exclude a religious exemption. The Constitution forbids the District from
    picking and choosing its preferred secular exemptions while disfavoring religious
    exemptions. And this remains true in times of crisis. See Tandon, 992 F.3d at 930
    (Bumatay, J., dissenting). In short, the panel majority’s attempt to transform the
    constitutional inquiry from assessing the comparability of risks to asking whether
    15
    the District had a good reason for a secular exemption falls well short of what our
    Constitution demands.
    D.
    As a fallback, the panel majority attempts to bolster its position by speculating
    on the number of students using the secular exemptions and the length of those
    exemptions to justify the exclusion of religious exemptions:
    [A]lthough the record does not disclose the number of students who
    have sought or are likely to seek a medical exemption, if that number is
    very small and the number of students likely to seek a religious
    exemption is large, then the medical exemption would not qualify as
    “comparable” to the religious exemption in terms of the “risk” each
    exemption poses to the government’s asserted interests.
    Doe, 19 F.4th at 1178; see also id. at 1180 (noting that the “limited time period” of
    secular exemptions make them incomparable to religious ones). The majority thus
    concludes, so long as there won’t be as many secular exemptions as religious
    exemptions and so long as secular exemptions won’t last as long as religious ones,
    then the District is free to forbid religious exemptions. Id. at 1178–80. In other
    words, the government can favor secular interests over religious liberty if that
    preferential treatment isn’t permanent or isn’t as popular as the religious interest.
    But that’s not how the Constitution works. Whether the First Amendment
    right to religious liberty is protected has nothing to do with the number of religious
    observers or the persistence of their religious beliefs. As Judge Ikuta noted in her
    dissent, even the temporary loss of an individual’s free exercise rights constitutes an
    16
    unconstitutional infringement. Id. at 1186 (Ikuta, J., dissenting) (“But the majority
    identifies no authority suggesting that the School District can treat secular activity
    more favorably than religious activity simply because the disparate treatment is only
    temporary.”) (citing Elrod v. Burns, 
    427 U.S. 347
    , 373 (1976) (“The loss of First
    Amendment freedoms, for even minimal periods of time, unquestionably constitutes
    irreparable injury.”)).
    Even setting aside the majority’s legal errors, the majority relies on unfounded
    speculation to reach its desired result. First, the majority suggests that fewer students
    will use the medical exemption than the religious exemption. See Doe, 19 F.4th at
    1178. But the District’s rules do not cap or otherwise limit the number of students
    who are eligible to receive a medical exemption. So, the majority just speculates
    that fewer students will avail themselves of the medical exemption. But this sort of
    speculative reasoning cannot be used to cast aside a student’s religious liberty. Cf.
    Tandon, 141 S. Ct. at 1296 (holding that the government “must do more than assert
    that certain risk factors are always present in worship, or always absent from the
    other secular activities the government may allow.” (simplified)).
    Second, according to the panel majority, the medical exemption is also
    temporary and thus distinguishable from the religious exemption. Once again, the
    majority relies on wrongheaded speculation. There is no basis to suggest that a
    student who has a medical allergy to the COVID-19 vaccine will overcome that
    17
    allergy and be medically cleared to take the vaccine during the school year. Simply
    put, a medical allergy can potentially last a lifetime and so there’s no way for the
    majority to know when such medical exemptions will expire. See Doe, 19 F.4th at
    1186 n.7 (Ikuta, J., dissenting). Furthermore, the District requires students with
    longer-term medical exemptions to reapply for an exemption once a year. Id. at
    1178. So one doctor’s note is sufficient to be excused from the mandate for the
    school year. In short, it is just as likely that a student with a medical exemption will
    retain his condition throughout the school year as a religious student will retain her
    faith throughout the school year.
    Lastly, no amount of speculation can explain why 16-year-old students with
    birthdays after November 1 present less risk to health and safety than religious
    students. As the school year goes on, more and more students will turn 16—
    increasing the number of students taking advantage of the November 1 exemption.
    And once a student turns 16, they are exempt for the rest of the school year—nothing
    temporary about that. So there is no conceivable link to health and safety that can
    support the District’s arbitrary decision to pick a random date on the calendar while
    categorically excluding religious exemptions.
    18
    E.
    Having made clear that strict scrutiny applies, the District’s vaccination
    scheme fails to meet that exceptionally high bar. Strict scrutiny requires the District
    to further its asserted health and safety interests through narrowly tailored means.
    See Tandon, 141 S. Ct. at 1298. The District must show that “measures less
    restrictive of the First Amendment activity could not address its interest in reducing
    the spread of COVID.” Id. at 1296–97. If the District chooses to allow unvaccinated
    students on campus through secular exemptions, it must show how exemptions for
    unvaccinated religious students are “more dangerous” to the student body. See id.
    at 1297. “Otherwise, [exemptions] that suffice for [secular reasons] suffice for
    religious exercise too.” Id. (simplified).
    The District can’t meet its burden of showing that the ban on religious
    exemptions is the least restrictive means of combatting COVID-19. The undeniable
    fact is that San Diego public schools are teeming with students who are
    unvaccinated, because of either their birthdays, allergies, learning disabilities, or
    familial statuses. Thus, the District has shown that it can accommodate these
    students but has barely even tried to prove why it could not offer the same
    arrangement to the religious.
    Moreover, it turns out that the District does allow some religious
    exemptions—but only to unvaccinated staff. That means that unvaccinated teachers,
    19
    librarians, custodians, coaches, and staff may appear in person if they are religious,
    while unvaccinated religious students cannot. No one can seriously deny that
    unvaccinated religious staff and unvaccinated religious students pose similar health
    and safety risks of spreading COVID-19 on school grounds.12 If the staff exemption
    is consistent with the District’s interest in the health and safety of its campuses, it
    strains credulity to believe that the District could not offer the same for its students.
    For all these reasons, “the vaccine mandate is stricter than necessary to meet
    the School District’s asserted goals, and therefore is not narrowly tailored.” Doe, 19
    F.4th at 1187 (Ikuta, J., dissenting).
    ***
    In short, Jill has easily proven she’s entitled to an injunction. She has shown
    both “serious questions going to the merits” and that “the balance of hardships tips
    sharply in [her] favor.” See All. for the Wild Rockies v. Cottrell, 
    632 F.3d 1127
    ,
    1131 (9th Cir. 2011) (simplified). As discussed above, the District’s prohibition
    against religious exemptions cannot be justified under the First Amendment given
    the patchwork of comparable secular exemptions. And no one can question the
    hardship that Jill faces—she either will be coerced to violate her religious beliefs
    12
    Arguably unvaccinated staff pose a greater risk of COVID-19 transmission
    because they speak and lecture to classrooms of students every day.
    20
    and take the vaccine or be forced into inferior online classes, harming her education,
    wellbeing, and future.
    II.
    Today, our court allows the threat of COVID-19 to force Jill Doe and other
    San Diego students to violate their religious beliefs or face severe punishment.
    Expulsion from school. Kicked off sports teams. Isolated from teachers and
    classmates. But because our Constitution endures through times of crisis, Jill should
    not have to face these life-altering consequences.
    I respectfully dissent.
    21
    Appendix
    A.
    B.
    22
    C.
    D.
    23
    John Doe, et al. v. San Diego Unified School District, No. 21-56259      FILED
    BERZON and BENNETT, Circuit Judges, concurring in the denial of JAN 14 2022
    reconsideration en banc:                                      MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    The only question presented to the district court and addressed by the
    motions panel was whether Doe’s request for an injunction pending appeal should
    be granted. Notably, the motions panel’s majority opinion is explicit that, under
    Ninth Circuit case law, its reasoning is not binding on the panel to which the
    preliminary injunction appeal is assigned.1 Judge Bumatay’s dissent from the
    denial of rehearing en banc loses sight of the limited issue the motions panel
    decided. It also inaccurately recasts this case. 2
    First, Judge Bumatay states that San Diego Unified School District
    (“SDUSD”) is requiring all students over the age of 16 to become fully vaccinated
    “by January 4, 2022.” Bumatay Dissent at 1–2. SDUSD has explained that,
    although students were encouraged to become fully vaccinated by January 4, the
    1
    See Slip Op. at 10 n.4 (citing E. Bay Sanctuary Covenant v. Biden,
    
    993 F.3d 640
    , 660 (9th Cir. 2021)). The opening brief on the merits for that appeal
    is currently due on January 18, 2022, the answering brief is due on February 17,
    2022, and the optional reply brief is due 21 days after service of the answering
    brief. Oral argument has not yet been scheduled.
    2
    The motions panel’s majority opinion adequately responds to the dissents
    from denial of rehearing en banc of Judge Bress and Judge Forrest, and to Judge
    O’Scannlain’s statement respecting the denial of rehearing en banc, so we do not
    address them here.
    1
    actual deadline for vaccination is “the start of the Spring” semester on January 24,
    2022.
    Second, Judge Bumatay states that the motions panel’s “crucial error was
    applying the wrong legal framework to [Doe’s] claim.” Bumatay Dissent at 2. But
    the motions panel’s majority opinion and Judge Bumatay’s dissent cite the same
    legal rules, including the Supreme Court’s guidance in Tandon that a regulation is
    subject to strict scrutiny review when it “treat[s] any comparable secular activity
    more favorably than religious exercise.” Tandon v. Newsom, 
    141 S. Ct. 1294
    ,
    1296 (2021) (per curiam); see also, e.g., Slip Op. at 13 (Motions Panel Majority
    Opinion); Bumatay Dissent at 2–3. The panel majority applied rational basis
    review to the mandate because it concluded that no comparable secular activity
    was treated more favorably than religious activity. See Slip Op. at 9–15 (Motions
    Panel Majority Opinion). So the disagreement between the panel majority and the
    en banc dissenters is fundamentally factual. It is not a dispute over the relevant
    legal standards.
    Third, Judge Bumatay states that “[s]eparate parties have obtained a
    ‘tentative’ writ of mandate preventing implementation of” the vaccination
    mandate. Bumatay Dissent at 3 n.1. It is our understanding that the writ of
    mandate, issued from the bench by the San Diego Superior Court on December 20,
    2
    2021, is not currently in effect pending appeal by operation of state law. But the
    decision itself is final, not tentative. 3
    Fourth, Judge Bumatay asserts that the mandate is facially discriminatory
    against religion, citing language from a January 7, 2022 screenshot of an SDUSD
    webpage, which, at that time, stated that SDUSD “does not allow religious
    exemptions for this particular mandate.” Bumatay Dissent at 7. Judge Bumatay
    argues that “[t]his statement alone should trigger strict scrutiny.” 
    Id.
     at 7–8.
    But, at the time of the passage of the mandate, its terms did not “make any
    reference to religion or ‘a religious practice without a secular meaning discernable
    from the language or context.’” Slip Op. at 10 (Motions Panel Majority Opinion)
    (quoting Church of the Lukumi Babalu Aye, Inc. v. City of Hialeah, 
    508 U.S. 520
    ,
    533 (1993)). The webpage cited by Judge Bumatay is not in the record. As
    presently constituted, the webpage no longer contains any statement about
    religious exemptions. 4 And the statement cited by Judge Bumatay was not
    included on the webpage at the time of the mandate’s passage or the initiation of
    3
    See, e.g., Respondents’ Letter re: State Case, Doe v. San Diego Unified
    Sch. Dist., Case No. 21A217 (Dec. 26, 2021),
    https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/21A217/206447/202112261934321
    42_Ltr%20Responding%20to%20Applicant%20Ltr%2012262021.pdf.
    4
    See COVID-19 Information, San Diego Unified Sch. Dist.,
    https://sandiegounified.org/covid-19_status (last visited Jan. 13, 2022).
    3
    this litigation.5 So the statement is irrelevant for present purposes. Further, even if
    the webpage statement were considered relevant, there is no meaningful distinction
    between a policy that does not provide religious exemptions but makes no express
    mention of that fact, and a policy that does not provide religious exemptions and
    includes, for clarity, a statement to that effect. The statement—which, in this case,
    may have been included on the SDUSD webpage to inform the community about
    the boundaries of the mandate in light of ongoing litigation—does not evince
    animus toward or discriminatory treatment of religion. 6
    Fifth, Judge Bumatay contends that SDUSD intentionally treated religious
    students less favorably than other students because “School Board President
    Richard Barrera explained to the local press,” in response to the question whether
    students could receive a personal belief exemption, that “the District did not want
    5
    See The Wayback Machine,
    https://web.archive.org/web/20201001000000*/https://sandiegounified.org/covid-
    19_status (last visited Jan. 13, 2022) (capturing snapshots of the SDUSD webpage
    at different points in time in 2021 and 2022).
    6
    A PowerPoint presentation regarding the mandate explained that “[s]tate
    law does not recognize religious or personal belief exemptions for student
    immunizations.” Even if the presentation is considered part of the mandate itself,
    its inclusion of a single, accurate remark about the state law applicable to other
    required vaccines does not qualify as targeting religion for inferior treatment. See
    
    Cal. Health & Safety Code § 120325
     (not permitting religious or personal belief
    exemptions for a list of 10 required vaccinations); see also 
    id.
     § 120338
    (permitting religious or personal belief exemptions for vaccinations “deemed
    appropriate” by the Department of Public Health but not yet added by name to the
    Health and Safety Code by the California legislature).
    4
    to ‘create[] kind of a loophole’” by allowing for such exemptions. Bumatay
    Dissent at 8. That statement was made after the School Board adopted the
    mandate, and in response to a question that focused on personal belief exemptions,
    which the District treats as a distinct category of exemptions separate from
    religious exemptions. The statement therefore did not undermine the neutrality of
    the mandate as to religion.
    Sixth, Judge Bumatay states that “nearly 85%” of SDUSD’s student body
    “will not be subject to the mandate,” which “translates into over 83,000 San Diego
    students, including 21,900 high schoolers, . . . attend[ing] in-person classes while
    unvaccinated.” Bumatay Dissent at 7. That understanding is incorrect. The
    mandate applies to students who are 16 or older, those who are 12 to 15, and those
    who are 5 to 11 in three stages, “[p]ending FDA approval” of vaccines for each age
    group. It cannot be that proceeding in a phased manner in light of ongoing clinical
    research and staged FDA vaccine approvals—in other words, doing one’s best to
    safely promote the health of students while also complying with federal and state
    law—demonstrates animus toward or discriminatory treatment of religion, or that
    SDUSD’s policy is not neutral. Additionally, as of September 29, 2021, “more
    than 64 percent of [SDUSD] students 12 and older ha[d] received at least one dose
    of the Covid-19 vaccine, and more than 57 percent [we]re fully vaccinated.” Many
    more have surely been vaccinated against COVID since then, as have many
    5
    younger children. And, in fact, much of the material submitted by the plaintiffs in
    the district court and in plaintiffs’ stay motion seemingly attacked the
    constitutionality of the policy not only as applied to Doe, but also as to be applied
    to younger students. Judge Bumatay’s figures therefore are not accurate, nor is his
    characterization of the scope of the mandate.
    Seventh, Judge Bumatay states that SDUSD “exempts any 16-year-old
    student whose birthday falls after November 1, 2021, from the vaccine mandate.”
    Bumatay Dissent at 9. Such students are not exempt from the mandate. Instead,
    they are subject to a different vaccination deadline. And importantly, plaintiffs did
    not advance any argument about this subset of students before the district court or
    the motions panel. The very first time this argument surfaced before this Court
    was in the plaintiffs’ request for reconsideration en banc. The District therefore
    had no opportunity to submit any factual information concerning the cutoff date or
    to consider whether to vary the birthday deadline for the mandate. Plaintiffs’
    argument, and any allegations of fact related to it, should have been presented to
    the district court, not in a motion seeking en banc review. If the argument had
    been raised earlier, the District may have revised this aspect of the policy, as it did
    the now defunct per se pregnancy exemption. See Slip Op. at 6–8, 20 n.1.
    Eighth, Judge Bumatay states that SDUSD “permits medical exemptions
    from its vaccine mandate so long as the student gets a doctor’s note.” Bumatay
    6
    Dissent at 10. This characterization of the medical exemption is incorrect. The
    medical exemption is “limited to students with contraindications or precautions
    recognized by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the vaccine
    manufacturer,” and must be “certified by a physician” as necessary for the health
    and safety of an individual student. Slip Op. at 11 (Motions Panel Majority
    Opinion). The policy also places other limitations on medical exemptions. For
    example, if the certifying physician is not the primary care physician of the
    student, the student must explain why he or she relied on the services of the
    certifying physician. In short, the medical exemption, substantively and
    procedurally, is far more stringent than Judge Bumatay’s portrayal. 7
    At times, Judge Bumatay appears to view SDUSD’s asserted interest as
    confined to single-mindedly suppressing COVID infections, no matter the harm to
    a few medically vulnerable students. See, e.g., Bumatay Dissent at 11, 14; see also
    7
    The prerequisites to obtaining a medical exemption also mean that such
    exemptions are likely to be either temporary or rare. Indeed, some “precautions”
    to COVID-19 vaccines, such as “moderate or severe acute illness,” are inherently
    limited in duration. See COVID-19 Vaccine FAQs for Healthcare Professionals,
    Ctrs. for Disease Control & Prevention, https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-
    19/hcp/faq.html (last updated Dec. 17, 2021) (under the question, “What are
    precautions to COVID-19 vaccination?”). And “contraindications” to the vaccine
    are exceedingly rare. See, e.g., id. (under the question, “What are contraindications
    to COVID-19 vaccines?”); see also Allergic Reactions Including Anaphylaxis After
    Receipt of the First Dose of Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 Vaccine—United States,
    December 14–23, 2020, Ctrs. for Disease Control & Prevention (Jan. 6, 2021),
    https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7002e1.htm.
    7
    Bress Dissent at 1–2. But the record demonstrates that SDUSD’s core interest in
    promulgating the student vaccination mandate was to promote “the health and
    safety of [its] students” overall, including through medical exemptions. The
    mandate is consistent with that interest, as it requires vaccination in all cases in
    which vaccination will not harm the health and safety of a specific student. See
    also, e.g., Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 
    141 S. Ct. 63
    , 68 (2020)
    (per curiam) (recognizing that the State’s interest was “public health,” not reducing
    COVID cases for its own sake); Emp. Div., Dep’t of Human Res. of Or. v. Smith,
    
    494 U.S. 872
    , 874, 878–82 (1990) (upholding a law criminalizing controlled
    substance possession that had an incidental effect of burdening religion even
    though the law contained an exemption for substances prescribed for medical
    purposes); Prince v. Massachusetts, 
    321 U.S. 158
    , 166–67 (1944) (stating that
    “[t]he right to practice religion freely” is not “beyond regulation in the public
    interest,” including regulation aimed at reducing the risk of “expos[ing] the
    community or the child to communicable disease or the latter to ill health or
    death”).
    Ninth, Judge Bumatay characterizes the 30-day conditional enrollment
    period for foster youth, students in “migrant” status, homeless students, and
    military families as an “exemption.” Bumatay Dissent at 12. He also characterizes
    the temporary procedural protections for students with Individualized Education
    8
    Progams as an “exemption.” 
    Id.
     at 12–13. The motions panel’s majority opinion
    explains why those aspects of the mandate do not treat secular activity more
    favorably than religious activity and so do not trigger strict scrutiny. Slip
    Op. at 13–15 (Motions Panel Majority Opinion). We emphasize, once more, that
    these students are not exempt from the mandate. The only students exempt from
    the mandate are those who receive a medical exemption. What Doe is requesting
    is an exemption, not a delay in the deadline for compliance or further consultation
    regarding how and when she must comply. 8
    Finally, this case is not Tandon. Tandon concerned an outright ban on group
    worship in private homes. 141 S. Ct. at 1296–97. SDUSD is not preventing Jill
    Doe from practicing her religion, as was the case in Tandon. Doe may worship as
    she pleases and may continue to abstain from vaccination for religious reasons.
    The SDUSD policy prevents her only from attending school in person and from
    participating in school sports—not from receiving a public education, participating
    in private sports leagues, or fully practicing her religion.
    8
    Judge Bumatay also argues that the student vaccination mandate is not
    generally applicable because the employee vaccination mandate includes a
    religious accommodation procedure. Bumatay Dissent at 19–20. But the student
    vaccination mandate and employee vaccination mandate are distinct policies. And,
    in any event, the procedure is not a religious exemption. It is a legally required
    interactive process that may ultimately result in a denial of the requested
    accommodation, such as on the ground that an exemption would pose an “undue
    hardship” on the employer by burdening “the conduct of the employer’s business.”
    Slip Op. at 15–16 (Motions Panel Majority Opinion).
    9
    In sum, the COVID-19 pandemic has claimed the lives of more than 840,000
    Americans. 9 As we explained, “[t]he record indicates that vaccines are safe and
    effective at preventing the spread of COVID-19, and that SDUSD’s vaccination
    mandate is therefore likely to promote the health and safety of SDUSD’s students
    and staff, as well as the broader community.” Slip Op. at 18 (Motions Panel
    Majority Opinion). Plaintiffs have not carried their burden to establish “that the
    mandate was implemented with the aim of suppressing religious belief, rather than
    protecting the health and safety of students, staff, and the community.” Id. at 10.
    Accordingly, the motions panel properly denied plaintiffs’ motion for an injunction
    pending appeal.
    9
    Covid Data Tracker, Ctrs. for Disease Control & Prevention,
    https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#datatracker-home (last visited Jan. 13,
    2022).
    10
    FILED
    JAN 14 2022
    Doe v. San Diego Unified School District, No. 21-56259
    MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    O’SCANNLAIN, Circuit Judge, 1 respecting the denial of rehearing en banc:
    I agree with the views expressed by Judge Bumatay in his dissent from
    denial of rehearing en banc.
    1
    As a judge of this court in senior status, I no longer have the power to vote
    on calls for rehearing cases en banc or formally to join a dissent from failure to
    rehear en banc. See 
    28 U.S.C. § 46
    (c); Fed. R. App. P. 35(a). Following our
    court’s general orders, however, I may participate in discussions of en banc
    proceedings. See Ninth Circuit General Order 5.5(a).
    FILED
    JAN 14 2022
    Doe v. San Diego Unified School Dist., No. 21-56259
    MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    BRESS, Circuit Judge, joined by BADE, Circuit Judge, dissenting from the denial
    of rehearing en banc:
    I would have heard this matter en banc because the panel majority’s analysis
    is inconsistent with the analytical approach for Free Exercise Clause claims that the
    Supreme Court set forth in Tandon v. Newsom, 
    141 S. Ct. 1294
     (2021) (per curiam).
    There are understandable and important reasons why a school district would want to
    impose a COVID-19 vaccine mandate for its students. It is also understandable why
    a school district may want to exempt some students from that mandate, such as
    students who would experience an adverse medical reaction to a vaccine or those
    who have just arrived in the area due to a parent’s military transfer. But when a
    school district, as here, allows secular exemptions to its vaccine mandate but
    disallows exemptions for students with sincerely held religious objections, we must
    examine whether the adverse treatment of “comparable” activity by religious
    students is justified based on “the risks” of the activity in connection with “the
    asserted government interest that justifies the regulation at issue.” 
    Id.
     at 1296 (citing
    Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 
    141 S. Ct. 63
    , 67 (2020) (per
    curiam)).
    Here, there is no indication that the risks of spreading COVID-19 that the
    plaintiff poses as an unvaccinated student are any different than the risks posed by
    other unvaccinated students who are nonetheless allowed to attend school in person
    based on an approved secular exemption to the district’s vaccine mandate. That
    basic feature of this case required us to apply strict scrutiny, and there is little doubt
    that the district’s policy would fail that rigorous review.
    The harm here is also substantial. There is, of course, an innate constitutional
    harm associated with treating persons with religious objections differently without
    justification. And as many parents of schoolchildren would by now attest, the
    difference between in-person and virtual learning is a significant one. Requiring the
    plaintiff to experience high school through a computer screen when her unvaccinated
    classmates can attend school in person based on secular exemptions is not the
    situation Tandon envisioned.
    Like other of my colleagues who have dissented at both the panel and en banc
    stages, I respectfully dissent from the denial of rehearing en banc.
    2
    FILED
    JAN 14 2022
    John Doe, et al., v. San Diego Unified School District, No. 21-56259  MOLLY C. DWYER, CLERK
    FORREST, Circuit Judge, dissenting from the denial of rehearing en banc:U.S. COURT OF APPEALS
    I agree that strict scrutiny applies to the plaintiffs’ First Amendment challenge
    where the San Diego Unified School District’s COVID-19 vaccine mandate allows
    unvaccinated students who are otherwise subject to the mandate to continue
    attending school and school activities in-person for secular reasons but requires
    students who are unvaccinated for religious reasons to attend online classes and
    forgo school activities that cannot be performed remotely. See Tandon v. Newsom,
    
    141 S. Ct. 1294
    , 1296 (2021) (“[G]overnment regulations are not neutral and
    generally applicable, and therefore trigger strict scrutiny under the Free Exercise
    Clause, whenever they treat any comparable secular activity more favorably than
    religious exercise.”); Roman Cath. Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, 
    141 S. Ct. 63
    , 67
    (2020). I also agree that plaintiffs have raised “serious questions going to the merits”
    of whether the San Diego Unified School District can satisfy strict scrutiny and, as
    such, they have shown that they are likely to suffer irreparable harm without a stay
    and that the “balance of hardships” weighs in their favor. Alliance for the Wild
    Rockies v. Cottrell, 
    632 F.3d 1127
    , 1131 (9th Cir. 2011); see also Roman Cath.
    Dioceses, 141 S. Ct. at 67 (“The loss of First Amendment freedoms, for even
    minimal periods of time, unquestionably constitutes irreparable injury.”). We should
    rehear en banc the motion for a stay pending appeal.
    I respectfully dissent from the denial of rehearing en banc.