United States v. Leslie Mayfield , 771 F.3d 417 ( 2014 )


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  •                                   In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Seventh Circuit
    No. 11-2439
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Plaintiff-Appellee,
    v.
    LESLIE C. MAYFIELD,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division.
    No. 09 CR 687-1 — Harry D. Leinenweber, Judge.
    ARGUED APRIL 16, 2013 — DECIDED NOVEMBER 13, 2014
    BeforeWOOD, Chief Judge, and BAUER, POSNER,
    EASTERBROOK, KANNE, ROVNER, WILLIAMS, SYKES, TINDER, and
    HAMILTON, Circuit Judges.*
    SYKES, Circuit Judge. Leslie Mayfield was indicted for
    conspiring with a coworker and a drug courier to rob a stash
    house controlled by the courier’s suppliers. The conspiracy was
    a setup; the drug courier was an undercover government agent
    *
    Circuit Judge Joel M. Flaum took no part in the consideration or decision
    of this case.
    2                                                    No. 11-2439
    and the coworker was an informant. At his trial Mayfield
    wanted to present a defense of entrapment, but the govern-
    ment opposed it and moved in limine to preclude the defense,
    arguing that there wasn’t enough evidence to show that the
    government induced the crime or that Mayfield lacked the
    predisposition to commit it. Mayfield responded with a
    narrative of the informant’s persistent campaign to secure his
    participation in the stash-house robbery and his repeated
    resistance to the scheme. The district court granted the
    government’s motion and barred the defense. The jury,
    uninstructed on the entrapment issue, convicted Mayfield of
    several federal crimes stemming from the conspiracy.
    A divided panel of this court affirmed, see United States v.
    Kindle, 
    698 F.3d 401
     (7th Cir. 2012), and a petition for rehearing
    en banc followed. Recognizing some confusion in our entrap-
    ment jurisprudence, we granted rehearing en banc to clarify
    the doctrine both substantively and procedurally.
    Entrapment is a defense to criminal liability when the
    defendant was not predisposed to commit the charged crime
    before the intervention of the government’s agents and the
    government’s conduct induced him to commit it. The two
    elements of the defense—lack of predisposition and govern-
    ment inducement—are conceptually related but formally and
    temporally distinct. We define the two elements here and
    resolve some conflicting strains in our caselaw about the
    relationship between them.
    Procedurally, the entrapment defense is an issue of fact for
    the jury. The defendant is entitled to an entrapment jury
    instruction if he can show that some evidence supports both
    No. 11-2439                                                    3
    elements of the defense. When the issue is raised before trial on
    the government’s motion to preclude the defense, the court
    must accept the defendant’s factual proffer as true and not
    weigh the evidence against the government’s counterstatement
    of the facts.
    Here, Mayfield proffered enough evidence to justify giving
    the issue to the jury. He provided some facts showing that he
    was not predisposed to commit the charged crimes prior to
    being approached by the informant, and he narrated a story of
    substantial government inducement going beyond the mere
    offer of a chance to rob a stash house. His story may be false or
    unpersuasive, but that’s for the jury to decide. The district
    court erred by crediting the government’s evidence over
    Mayfield’s and precluding the entrapment defense before trial.
    We vacate the judgment and remand for a new trial.
    I. Background
    We take the facts from Mayfield’s pretrial proffer (most of
    which was excluded pretrial) and the evidence introduced at
    trial. Mayfield was convicted of residential burglary in 1987 at
    age 18 and served time in jail for this crime. In 1994 he was
    convicted of several violent crimes stemming from an armed
    carjacking; he received a lengthy prison sentence. While in
    prison he earned a GED, an associate degree in general studies,
    and vocational certificates in commercial custodial services and
    cosmetology. He was released in 2005 and returned home to
    Waukegan, Illinois, where he participated in the Second
    Chance Program operated by the Urban League of Lake
    4                                                                 No. 11-2439
    County, the Waukegan Township Coalition to Reduce Recidi-
    vism, and Cease Fire Waukegan.
    But not all was well. At some point after his release from
    prison (we don’t know exactly when), Mayfield was charged
    with unlawful possession of a firearm. That prosecution was
    still pending when the events in this case took place. In 2008 he
    moved with his fiancée from Waukegan to Naperville, ostensi-
    bly to escape gang violence.
    Although jobs for convicted felons were hard to come by,
    Mayfield managed to find sporadic work. After moving to
    Naperville, he found a temporary job in nearby Bolingbrook
    that allowed him to work a 40-hour workweek. He started this
    new job in late April or early May of 2009 and soon thereafter
    met Jeffrey Potts, a coworker with whom he had much in
    common. Potts was also a felon with convictions for drug
    trafficking, robbery, and gun possession. The two men com-
    miserated about their financial straits, their difficulty finding
    permanent jobs, and their struggle to support their families.
    What Mayfield did not know was that his new friend was
    supplementing his income as a confidential informant for the
    Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives
    (“ATF”).1
    As an informant Potts was supposed to identify targets for
    sting operations and, as in this case, participate in the stings.
    1
    This can be surprisingly lucrative. See, e.g., United States v. Estrada, 
    256 F.3d 466
    , 469 (7th Cir. 2001) (describing a DEA agreement to pay an informant
    25% of the proceeds of sting operations he helped orchestrate, which
    totaled more than $400,000).
    No. 11-2439                                                          5
    He selected Mayfield as a target because he knew that
    Mayfield had a criminal record.2 What followed, according to
    Mayfield, was a concerted effort to entrap him into committing
    a stash-house robbery.
    In his first overture to Mayfield, Potts explained that he had
    returned to selling cocaine and invited Mayfield to join him in
    the drug trade. Mayfield rebuffed this offer. A few days later
    Potts learned that Mayfield had a pending gun-possession
    charge, so he tried another tack. He told Mayfield of a one-time
    opportunity “that was worth a lot of money.” His drug
    supplier was planning to “stickup” his wholesaler, a robbery
    that would net tens of thousands of dollars in cocaine. Potts
    invited Mayfield to participate in the robbery in return for a
    share of the profits. Mayfield rejected the invitation.
    Potts persisted. Each day at work he tried to persuade
    Mayfield to join the conspiracy by appealing to his concerns
    about money. He urged Mayfield to think about the financial
    needs of his family, saying “I know you [are] tired of working
    for this chump change” and “I know you need this money,”
    among other similar lines of persuasion. Potts also flaunted his
    expensive Dodge Ram pickup truck, telling Mayfield that he
    bought it with $40,000 he had “earned” in another drug
    robbery. Mayfield continued to decline the offers.
    On June 25, 2009, Mayfield’s car was damaged in an
    accident. He borrowed money from a family member to have
    the car towed but did not have enough to pay for the needed
    2
    At oral argument the government told us that Mayfield was not on ATF’s
    radar prior to Potts’s identification of him as a target.
    6                                                  No. 11-2439
    repairs. He missed three days of work before he found another
    way to get to his job in Bolingbrook. When Potts asked him
    why he had missed work, Mayfield told him about the accident
    and explained his financial predicament. Potts unexpectedly
    gave him $180 in cash to pay for the car repairs.
    Two days later Potts returned to the subject of the stash-
    house robbery, again pressuring Mayfield to join the conspir-
    acy. Mayfield equivocated but did not agree to anything. The
    following week Potts tried again. When Mayfield continued to
    resist, Potts gestured to a Gangster Disciples tattoo on
    Mayfield’s arm. The tattoo dated from Mayfield’s membership
    in the street gang before his carjacking conviction; he knew
    that failure to repay a debt risked harsh punishment from the
    gang. When Potts said he was still associated with the Gangster
    Disciples, Mayfield took it as a warning that he would be in
    danger if he did not quickly pay up. By the end of the day,
    Mayfield agreed to participate in the stash-house robbery
    conspiracy.
    According to the standard ATF script for the sting, a
    fictional drug courier was disgruntled with his organization
    and wanted to rob one of its stash houses. Mayfield was to
    meet with the courier to discuss logistics, then recruit a crew,
    gather weapons, and help the courier carry out the robbery.
    Mayfield contends that because he was still reluctant to
    participate, Potts went off script and instead urged him to play
    along with the plan to rob the stash house but at the last
    minute rob the courier instead, which would be a less risky way
    to repay the debt—or at least not as dangerous as running into
    a guarded stash house.
    No. 11-2439                                                   7
    Potts and Mayfield met with the “drug courier”—actually
    undercover Special Agent Dave Gomez—on July 23, 2009.
    Depending on whose version is believed, this meeting involved
    not one but two setups: Gomez and Potts were setting up
    Mayfield for prosecution; Mayfield and Potts were setting up
    Gomez for a robbery. Gomez told the pair that he normally
    received instructions to transport cocaine about once a month
    and that the shipments typically involved six to eight kilo-
    grams. He also said his organization typically kept 20 to
    30 kilograms at its guarded stash houses, the locations of which
    were kept secret until just before the transport.
    Recordings of this meeting indicate that Mayfield helped
    plan the robbery. He told Gomez that he had experience in
    knocking off stash houses but had not done a robbery quite
    like this one before. He said he felt like he was going in blind
    and suggested that the “element of surprise” would be
    essential. He assured Gomez that the people he was going to
    recruit were “for real” and agreed to gather the guns, bullet-
    proof vests, and other equipment for the robbery. Mayfield
    claims it was all a bluff.
    On July 27, 2009, Gomez and Mayfield spoke again by
    phone, and Mayfield reported that his recruits were ready to
    meet. Gomez and Mayfield kept in touch by phone for about
    two weeks, and the next meeting took place on August 9, 2009.
    Mayfield brought along Montreece Kindle, who in turn
    brought Nathan Ward and a person known only as “New
    York.” The group went over the strategy and logistics of the
    operation. Mayfield again emphasized the need for surprise.
    Kindle, “New York,” and Gomez discussed the possibility that
    8                                                 No. 11-2439
    the guards at the stash house might have to be killed. “New
    York” bragged about his ability to distribute the cocaine
    obtained in the robbery. Gomez asked the group if the robbery
    was too much for them to handle. “New York” and Kindle said
    it was not. Finally, Gomez made clear that if they thought they
    couldn’t handle the job, they could call it off.
    Mayfield claims that after the meeting with Gomez, he
    informed his crew that the actual plan was to rob Gomez, not
    the stash house, and that they were to play along to dupe him
    into believing that they were serious about the stash-house
    robbery. Later that evening Gomez called Mayfield to let him
    know the robbery would happen the following night. Mayfield
    then called Potts, ostensibly to say he was prepared to rob
    Gomez to settle the debt and be done with the whole affair.
    Potts did not answer the call.
    Mayfield tried again to reach Potts the next day, and again
    Potts did not answer the call. Mayfield then called a friend,
    Dwayne White, who agreed to come meet him. White had no
    transportation, so Mayfield arranged for Kindle and Ward to
    pick him up. White, Kindle, and Ward met at Mayfield’s
    apartment, and the group drove in Ward’s van to meet Gomez
    in a parking lot in Aurora, Illinois, the prearranged meeting
    spot.
    Gomez was waiting in the parking lot in a Cadillac Esca-
    lade. Mayfield got out of the van to speak with Gomez, who
    explained that he planned to get out of town right after the
    robbery but wanted his share of the cocaine placed in a storage
    locker. Gomez told Mayfield to get into the Escalade so he
    could show him the location of the storage facility. The two
    No. 11-2439                                                      9
    men left the parking lot in the Escalade, with White, Kindle,
    and Ward following behind in Ward’s van.
    When they arrived at the storage facility, all five men got
    out of their vehicles. Gomez then noticed White, whom he had
    not met before. Mayfield said that White was his little brother
    and assured Gomez that he was “100.” Gomez asked White
    whether he understood the plan to rob a stash house, and
    White said he did. Gomez then asked if everyone was ready.
    When he got a positive response, he gave the arrest signal. ATF
    agents swarmed the scene and arrested the four men. Inside
    Ward’s van agents discovered a sawed-off shotgun, a
    .40-caliber Glock semiautomatic pistol, a .44-caliber revolver,
    two bulletproof vests, and a duffel bag large enough to hold 25
    to 30 kilograms of cocaine. They also recovered a .357 Magnum
    revolver from Gomez’s Escalade, apparently tossed there by
    Mayfield after he saw Gomez give the arrest signal.
    Mayfield and the others were charged with conspiracy and
    attempt to distribute cocaine, see 
    21 U.S.C. § 846
    , possession of
    a firearm in connection with a drug crime, see 
    18 U.S.C. § 924
    (c)(1)(A), and possession of a firearm by a felon, see 
    id.
    § 922(g)(1). The case against Mayfield, White, and Ward
    proceeded to trial before the same jury; the charges against
    Kindle were tried separately because he had given a postarrest
    statement that inculpated the others. The government moved
    in limine to prevent Mayfield from presenting an entrapment
    defense, arguing that the following evidence established his
    predisposition as a matter of law: (1) his criminal record; (2) his
    recorded statements to Gomez that he had committed similar
    stash-house robberies; (3) his extensive preparation and arsenal
    10                                                    No. 11-2439
    at the time of arrest; and (4) his failure to abort the plan when
    Gomez gave him the opportunity.
    Mayfield opposed the government’s motion with a formal
    response and a six-page handwritten “statement of fact.”
    Together, these two documents amounted to a proffer on
    Mayfield’s entrapment defense and narrated the events we
    have recounted above. The proffer’s description of the interac-
    tions between Potts and Mayfield is reasonably detailed,
    emphasizing that Mayfield repeatedly rebuffed Potts’s ad-
    vances and that Potts played on Mayfield’s indebtedness and
    Potts’s affiliation with the Gangster Disciples. The description
    of the planning and execution of the robbery scheme is more
    cursory, but the proffer indicates that Potts coached Mayfield
    on what to say at the various meetings with Gomez and
    provided the weapons for use in the robbery. (The government
    denies this, of course.) Mayfield’s initial proffer addressed only
    the issue of inducement; he took the position that once a
    defendant has presented sufficient evidence of government
    inducement, the burden shifts to the government to convince
    the jury beyond a reasonable doubt either that its agents did
    not induce the crime or that the defendant was predisposed to
    commit it.
    The district court granted the government’s motion and
    precluded the entrapment defense. Mayfield moved for
    reconsideration, this time addressing the issue of predisposi-
    tion directly. He proffered evidence of his efforts to rehabilitate
    himself while in prison, his ongoing participation in antirecidi-
    vist programs, and his employment history after his release.
    He also provided more detail about Potts’s repeated efforts to
    No. 11-2439                                                               11
    induce his participation in the crime, explaining that he
    resisted his friend’s overtures for weeks and only agreed to get
    involved in response to Potts’s persuasion at a moment of
    financial need. The government continued to oppose the
    defense. The judge reiterated his earlier ruling precluding the
    defense.
    Mayfield was convicted on all counts, and the judge
    sentenced him to a whopping 322 months in prison. A divided
    panel of this court affirmed. The panel majority concluded that
    the judge properly excluded the entrapment defense because
    Mayfield ultimately accepted the government’s offer to
    participate in the robbery, which though perhaps routine as
    stash-house robberies go was nonetheless highly dangerous.
    See Kindle, 698 F.3d at 408–09. The majority reasoned that only
    a person already predisposed to such a risky crime would
    choose to participate, so Mayfield must have been predisposed.
    Id. Judge Posner dissented, concluding that Mayfield offered
    enough evidence to get his entrapment defense before the jury.
    Id. at 412–16 (Posner, J., dissenting). We granted rehearing en
    banc.3
    3
    Kindle, Ward, and White also appealed, and their appeals were consoli-
    dated with Mayfield’s. The panel unanimously rejected the codefendants’
    challenges to their convictions. See United States v. Kindle, 
    698 F.3d 401
    ,
    406–08, 412 (7th Cir. 2012). We granted rehearing en banc solely on the issue
    of Mayfield’s entrapment defense, so we now reinstate the panel opinion
    to the extent that it resolved the appeals of the codefendants.
    12                                                    No. 11-2439
    II. Discussion
    Some of our recent entrapment cases have given conflicting
    signals about the substance of the defense, the procedure for
    raising and presenting it, and the quantum of evidence
    necessary to get the issue before the jury. The government
    commonly seeks to block the defense before trial, proffering
    evidence that its agents did not induce the crime, the defendant
    was predisposed to commit it, or both. These are the two
    formal elements of entrapment, but our circuit’s caselaw could
    be clearer about the relationship between them and what the
    defendant must do to overcome the government’s motion in
    limine to preclude the defense at trial. To that end, we begin
    with some history.
    A. History
    Entrapment is a relative newcomer to the catalog of
    criminal defenses. It’s not just that the defense is new; it’s that
    entrapment-like activity is new, having arisen as law enforce-
    ment professionalized and developed techniques of artifice and
    deception in the pursuit of criminals. Still, courts were slow to
    recognize entrapment as a defense to criminal liability. This
    statement from a nineteenth century state appellate decision
    colorfully captures the judiciary’s resistance:
    Even if inducements to commit crime could be
    assumed to exist in this case, the allegation of the
    defendant would be but the repetition of the plea
    as ancient as the world, and first interposed in
    Paradise: “The serpent beguiled me and I did
    No. 11-2439                                                  13
    eat.” That defence was overruled by the great
    Lawgiver, and whatever estimate we may form,
    or whatever judgment pass upon the character
    or conduct of the tempter, this plea has never
    since availed to shield crime or give indemnity to
    the culprit, and it is safe to say that under any
    code of civilized, not to say christian ethics, it
    never will.
    Bd. of Comm’rs of Excise of Onondaga Cnty. v. Backus,
    
    29 How. Pr. 33
    , 42, 
    1864 WL 3628
    , at *6 (N.Y. 1864). By the turn
    of the twentieth century, however, state courts and lower
    federal courts had begun to recognize some form of an
    entrapment defense. The Supreme Court eventually followed
    suit.
    1. Adoption
    The Supreme Court’s first significant encounter with the
    entrapment defense came in Casey v. United States, 
    276 U.S. 413
    (1928). When jail officials suspected a lawyer of smuggling
    narcotics into the jail for his clients, they laid a trap. They
    recruited a prisoner and instructed him to summon the lawyer
    and offer him $20 in exchange for a delivery of morphine. The
    lawyer made the deal and smuggled the drug in. A jury
    convicted him of drug trafficking, and his case made its way to
    the Supreme Court. In the view of a majority of the justices,
    entrapment wasn’t properly before the Court. Writing for the
    majority, Justice Holmes intimated that a defense of entrap-
    ment might be available in an appropriate case, but held that
    14                                                      No. 11-2439
    the Court should not rule on the issue on its own initiative.
    
    Id.
     at 418–19.
    Justice Brandeis dissented, arguing in favor of recognizing
    an entrapment defense. His premise was that courts have both
    the authority and responsibility not to partake in the disreputa-
    ble conduct of other agents of government and thus should not
    preside over the prosecutions of entrapped defendants:
    The obstacle to the prosecution lies in the fact
    that the alleged crime was instigated by officers
    of the government; that the act for which the
    government seeks to punish the defendant is the
    fruit of their criminal conspiracy to induce its
    commission. The government may set decoys to
    entrap criminals. But it may not provoke or
    create a crime and then punish the criminal, its
    creature. If [the defendant] is guilty … , it is
    because he yielded to the temptation presented
    by the officers. Their conduct is not a defense to him.
    For no officer of the government has power to
    authorize the violation of an act of Congress, and
    no conduct of an officer can excuse the violation.
    But it does not follow that the court must suffer a
    detective-made criminal to be punished. To permit
    that would be tantamount to a ratification by the
    government of the officers’ unauthorized and unjusti-
    fiable conduct.
    
    Id.
     at 423–24 (Brandeis, J., dissenting) (emphases added)
    (footnote omitted). For Justice Brandeis, then, the rationale for
    an entrapment defense was grounded in the court’s duty to
    No. 11-2439                                                    15
    ensure the integrity of its own proceedings: “This prosecution
    should be stopped, not because some right of [the defendant’s]
    has been denied, but in order to protect the government. To
    protect it from illegal conduct of its officers. To preserve the
    purity of its courts.” 
    Id. at 425
    .
    This position attracted ardent supporters, among them
    Justice Roberts (the first one), see Sorrells v. United States,
    
    287 U.S. 435
    , 454–55 (1932) (Roberts, J., concurring in part and
    dissenting in part); Justices Frankfurter, Douglas, Harlan, and
    Brennan, see Sherman v. United States, 
    356 U.S. 369
    , 380 (1958)
    (Frankfurter, J., concurring, joined by Douglas, Harlan, and
    Brennan, J.J.); and later on Justices Stewart and Marshall, see
    United States v. Russell, 
    411 U.S. 423
    , 439 (1973) (Stewart, J.,
    joined by Brennan and Marshall, JJ., dissenting); Hampton v.
    United States, 
    425 U.S. 484
    , 496 (1976) (Brennan, J., joined by
    Stewart and Marshall, JJ., dissenting); Mathews v. United States,
    
    485 U.S. 58
    , 67 (1988) (Brennan, J., concurring).
    But when the Court eventually adopted the entrapment
    defense in Sorrells v. United States, Justice Brandeis’s rationale
    did not carry the day. Sorrells involved a Prohibition-era
    prosecution for possession and sale of whiskey. An undercover
    government agent pressured the defendant into providing him
    with liquor. The agent was introduced to the defendant by a
    common friend and exploited their shared status as veterans of
    World War I in an effort to persuade the defendant to get some
    alcohol. The defendant initially resisted the agent’s repeated
    appeals to camaraderie. When the defendant finally re-
    lented—after the fifth request, by one witness’s account—he
    left the scene and returned a few minutes later with a half-
    16                                                  No. 11-2439
    gallon of whiskey. Testimony of other witnesses suggested that
    the defendant had no existing ties to the bootlegging business.
    The Supreme Court reversed the trial court’s refusal to
    submit the issue of entrapment to the jury, but expressly
    rejected the “judicial integrity” justification for the defense:
    We are unable to approve the view that the
    court, although treating the statute as applicable
    despite the entrapment, and the defendant as
    guilty, has authority to grant immunity, or to
    adopt a procedure to that end. It is the function
    of the court to construe the statute, not to defeat
    it as construed. Clemency is the function of the
    Executive. … Where defendant has been duly
    indicted for an offense found to be within the
    statute, and the proper authorities seek to pro-
    ceed with the prosecution, the court cannot
    refuse to try the case in the constitutional meth-
    od because it desires to let the defendant go free.
    
    287 U.S. at
    449–50. Instead, the Court based its decision on a
    loose (some might say implausible) theory of statutory inter-
    pretation:
    We are unable to conclude that it was the inten-
    tion of the Congress in enacting this statute that
    its processes of detection and enforcement
    should be abused by the instigation by govern-
    ment officials of an act on the part of persons
    otherwise innocent in order to lure them to its
    commission and to punish them. We are not
    No. 11-2439                                                   17
    forced by the letter to do violence to the spirit
    and purpose of the statute.
    
    Id. at 448
    . This rationale endured despite repeated attacks from
    the Brandeis camp. See Hampton, 
    425 U.S. at 490
    ; Russell,
    
    411 U.S. at
    432–33; Sherman, 
    356 U.S. at 372
    .
    The debate over the justification for the entrapment defense
    is not merely academic; it determined the elements of the
    doctrine and even now has important practical implications for
    how the defense is litigated. Most importantly, the Court’s
    choice of rationale eventually determined the content of the
    defense and the priority and weight given its constituent parts.
    Recall that the ground of principle underlying the Brandeis
    view was that courts have the authority and responsibility to
    protect the integrity of the judicial process from the corrupting
    influence of disreputable police conduct that creates rather than
    detects and captures criminals. Disreputable police conduct is
    disreputable regardless of the characteristics of the defendant,
    and the doctrinal test favored by the Brandeis camp reflected
    this conception. As articulated by Justice Frankfurter: “[The]
    test [for entrapment] shifts attention from the record and
    predisposition of the particular defendant to the conduct of the
    police and the likelihood, objectively considered, that it would
    entrap only those ready and willing to commit crime.”
    Sherman, 
    356 U.S. at 384
    . This “objective” test held sway with
    almost everyone who agreed with Brandeis that the entrap-
    ment defense is rooted in the need for courts to protect their
    own integrity.
    But because the Court ultimately grounded the defense in
    statutory interpretation—the premise that Congress could not
    18                                                   No. 11-2439
    possibly have intended to criminalize conduct instigated by
    government agents—a different test emerged, one that placed
    decisive weight on the defendant’s predisposition. Hence the
    doctrine that the defense of entrapment consists of two
    elements—government inducement and the defendant’s lack
    of predisposition—with predisposition standing as the
    “principal element.” Russell, 
    411 U.S. at 433
    . The relationship
    between this “subjective” test and the statutory-interpretation
    rationale is not entirely clear, but the basic idea seems to be
    that Congress could not have intended to criminalize the
    conduct of “otherwise innocent” persons (i.e., those not
    “predisposed”) who were ensnared by government ploys.
    The adoption of the statutory-interpretation rationale also
    dictated whether the entrapment defense is a question for the
    judge or the jury. Judge Friendly neatly explained the point:
    The Supreme Court has long been divided as
    to who should decide [the entrapment] issue, the
    majority holding for the jury and a strong minor-
    ity for the judge. The view of the Sorrells majority
    [that entrapment is a jury question] followed
    logically from its concept that a case of entrap-
    ment was implicitly excepted from the statutory
    definition of the crime; the minority’s view
    flowed with equal logic from its concept that the
    defense was for the protection of the court’s
    “own functions and the preservation of the
    purity of its own temple.”
    United States v. Riley, 
    363 F.2d 955
    , 957 (2d Cir. 1966) (quoting
    Sorrells, 
    287 U.S. at 457
     (Roberts, J., concurring) (citations
    No. 11-2439                                                     19
    omitted)). The majority view won out; it’s now well established
    that entrapment is a jury question.
    2. Elaboration
    Sorrells established that the defendant may raise an entrap-
    ment defense and the test for entrapment had something to do
    with the defendant’s characteristics and the circumstances
    surrounding the government’s undercover operation. But the
    doctrine was skeletal and details had to be hammered out.
    Much of this was accomplished in a single case, albeit one that
    involved two trials and several appeals.
    Joseph Sherman was a recovering heroin addict. Sherman,
    
    356 U.S. at 371, 373
    . His record included a 1942 conviction for
    narcotics distribution and a 1946 conviction for possession of
    narcotics. 
    Id. at 375
    . In the summer and fall of 1951, he was
    working to kick the habit with the aid of a Dr. Grossman, when
    by chance he met another of Grossman’s patients, one
    Kalchinian. 
    Id. at 371
    . Federal agents caught Kalchinian dealing
    drugs and recruited him as an informant; his task was “to go
    out and try to induce a person to sell narcotics.” United States v.
    Sherman, 
    200 F.2d 880
    , 881 (2d Cir. 1952). So when Kalchinian
    crossed paths with Sherman at a pharmacy where both were
    waiting to have prescriptions filled, Kalchinian started a
    campaign to persuade Sherman to help him obtain heroin.
    
    356 U.S. at 371
    . Claiming to be suffering from withdrawal, he
    repeatedly asked Sherman for help finding the drug; Sherman
    repeatedly refused. 
    Id.
     After a number of these requests,
    Sherman acquiesced and several times obtained quantities of
    20                                                   No. 11-2439
    the narcotic, which he shared with Kalchinian in exchange for
    half the purchase price, plus cab fare and other expenses. Id.;
    
    200 F.2d at 881
    . Sherman was arrested and charged with selling
    narcotics. 
    356 U.S. at 370
    .
    The first time the case went to trial, the jury rejected
    Sherman’s entrapment defense. On appeal he challenged the
    entrapment jury instruction and also argued that the district
    court should have found entrapment as a matter of law.
    Writing for the court, Judge Learned Hand agreed that
    instructional error had occurred and warranted a new trial.
    What is most significant about the Second Circuit’s opinion is
    that Judge Hand gave the entrapment defense its two formal
    elements: “[I]n [cases of entrapment,] two questions of fact
    arise: (1) did the agent induce the accused to commit the
    offence charged in the indictment; [and] (2) if so, was the
    accused ready and willing without persuasion and was he
    awaiting any propitious opportunity to commit the offence.”
    
    200 F.2d at 882
    .
    A second jury convicted Sherman. He again complained
    that the court should have directed a verdict in his favor, and
    this time his appeal went all the way to the Supreme Court.
    The Court agreed that the evidence established entrapment as
    a matter of law. Sherman, 
    356 U.S. at 373
    . Three aspects of the
    Court’s opinion deserve note.
    First, the Court firmly rejected the proposal of the concur-
    ring justices to abandon the subjective test of Sorrells and adopt
    the objective test under which a defendant’s predisposition is
    irrelevant. 
    Id. at 376
    ; see also 
    id.
     at 378–85 (Frankfurter, J.,
    No. 11-2439                                                   21
    concurring). Second, the Court implicitly endorsed Judge
    Hand’s two-element formula:
    To determine whether entrapment has been
    established, a line must be drawn between the
    trap for the unwary innocent and the trap for the
    unwary criminal. The principles by which the
    courts are to make this determination were
    outlined in Sorrells. On the one hand, at trial the
    accused may examine the conduct of the govern-
    ment agent; and on the other hand, the accused
    will be subjected to an appropriate and searching
    inquiry into his own conduct and predisposition
    as bearing on his claim of innocence.
    
    Id.
     at 372–73 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The last point concerns the Court’s treatment of Sherman’s
    narcotics convictions. During the second trial, the government
    introduced the convictions to show that Sherman was predis-
    posed to commit the crime. At the time of the charged conduct,
    the convictions were five and nine years old, respectively. 
    Id. at 375
    . The Court found the passage of time significant, holding
    as a matter of law that the two convictions were insufficient to
    prove that Sherman “had a readiness to sell narcotics at the time
    Kalchinian approached him, particularly when we must assume
    from the record he was trying to overcome the narcotics habit
    at the time.” 
    Id.
     at 375–76 (emphasis added).
    This aspect of the case is important in several respects. The
    premise is that predisposition is not an immutable characteris-
    tic or one-way ratchet. Past convictions for similar conduct
    may show predisposition, but only if reasonably close in time
    22                                                  No. 11-2439
    to the charged conduct, and even then only in combination
    with other evidence tending to show predisposition. More
    abstractly, the Court’s decision implies that predisposition
    requires more than a mere desire, urge, or inclination to engage
    in particular conduct, for surely Sherman was “predisposed”
    to obtain and share heroin with a fellow addict in that sense.
    The Court used the word “readiness” and amplified the point
    later on in the opinion; the Court explained that the predisposi-
    tion inquiry focuses on whether the defendant “otherwise
    would … have attempted” the crime without government
    intervention. 
    Id. at 376
    .
    In other words, predisposition is chiefly probabilistic, not
    psychological. See United States v. Hollingsworth, 
    27 F.3d 1196
    ,
    1203 (7th Cir. 1994) (en banc) (explaining that a predisposed
    person is one who “is likely to commit a particular type of
    crime without being induced to do so by government agents”
    so that “by arranging for him to commit it now, in circum-
    stances that enable the government to apprehend and convict
    him, the government punishes or prevents real criminal
    activity”).
    3. Entrenchment and Refinement
    The Supreme Court’s later forays into the entrapment
    doctrine represent entrenchment and refinement rather than
    innovation. Three cases are important for present purposes. In
    United States v. Russell, the Court held that entrapment has no
    constitutional dimension; it is a common-law defense, not a
    requirement of due process. 
    411 U.S. at 430
    . Russell also
    confirmed that “the principal element in the defense of entrap-
    No. 11-2439                                                    23
    ment [i]s the defendant’s predisposition to commit the crime,”
    
    id. at 433
     (emphasis added), and that a jury finding of predis-
    position is “fatal to [a] claim of entrapment.” 
    Id. at 436
    .
    Mathews v. United States established that a defendant who
    denies one or more elements of the crime may raise an entrap-
    ment defense. 
    485 U.S. at
    63–66. On the way to this holding, the
    Court confirmed that entrapment is a question of fact for the
    jury, 
    id. at 63
    , and explained that the defendant “is entitled to
    an entrapment instruction whenever there is sufficient evi-
    dence from which a reasonable jury could find entrapment,” 
    id. at 62
    .
    Jacobson v. United States is the Court’s most recent entrap-
    ment case and requires more unpacking. In February 1984,
    Keith Jacobson, a Nebraska farmer, ordered several publica-
    tions containing child pornography from a California adult
    bookstore, although he testified that he didn’t realize they
    contained child pornography when he placed the mail order.
    
    503 U.S. 540
    , 542–44 (1992). This conduct was not a federal
    crime at the time, but three months later Congress passed the
    Child Protection Act of 1984 criminalizing the receipt through
    the mail of visual depictions of children engaged in sexually
    explicit conduct. 
    Id.
     After finding Jacobson’s name on the
    bookstore’s mailing list, the government repeatedly sent him
    fake leaflets and other solicitations from fictional organizations
    promoting the idea that child pornography is acceptable, that
    efforts to ban it were illegitimate, and offering various items
    for sale. 
    Id.
     at 543–48. This campaign continued for more than
    two years. In March 1987 Jacobson ordered a publication from
    24                                                 No. 11-2439
    a catalog sent by the government; federal agents made a
    controlled delivery and arrested him. 
    Id.
    Jacobson was indicted and tried for violating the Act, and
    the jury rejected his entrapment defense. 
    Id.
     at 547–48. The
    Supreme Court reversed, holding that the government failed
    as a matter of law to prove that Jacobson was predisposed to
    purchase illegal child pornography. 
    Id.
     at 553–54. To reach this
    conclusion, the Court refined what it means for a person to be
    “predisposed” to commit a crime.
    A conceptual problem in entrapment doctrine is that the
    mere fact that the defendant committed the crime suggests that
    he was predisposed to commit it—or so it was commonly
    thought. Jacobson modified this understanding. But first, the
    Court reinforced the idea that “where the defendant is simply
    provided with the opportunity to commit a crime, the entrap-
    ment defense is of little use because the ready commission of
    the criminal act amply demonstrates the defendant’s predis-
    position.” 
    Id. at 550
    . In Jacobson, however, there was something
    more. Although the defendant readily accepted the govern-
    ment’s solicitation to purchase child pornography, he did so
    only after the government had spent more than two years
    bombarding him with material insisting that child pornogra-
    phy is perfectly acceptable and encouraging him to purchase
    it.
    The dissenters thought that was enough to show the
    defendant’s predisposition at the time he accepted the govern-
    ment’s offer. See 
    id. at 556
     (O’Connor, J., dissenting). For the
    majority, however, the relevant question was whether the
    No. 11-2439                                                    25
    defendant was predisposed prior to the government’s initial
    contact:
    Petitioner’s ready response to these solicita-
    tions cannot be enough to establish beyond
    reasonable doubt that he was predisposed, prior
    to the [g]overnment acts intended to create predispo-
    sition, to commit the crime of receiving child
    pornography through the mails. The evidence
    that petitioner was ready and willing to commit
    the offense came only after the [g]overnment had
    devoted 2½ years to convincing him that he had
    or should have the right to engage in the very
    behavior proscribed by law. Rational jurors
    could not say beyond a reasonable doubt that
    petitioner possessed the requisite predisposition
    prior to the [g]overnment’s investigation and that it
    existed independent of the [g]overnment’s many
    and varied approaches to petitioner.
    
    Id. at 553
     (emphases added) (citation omitted).
    Jacobson thus establishes that although the ready and
    willing acceptance of the government’s offer to commit a crime
    on customary terms may indicate predisposition, it only does
    so if acceptance occurs when the offer is first made, or soon
    thereafter, without the need for other persuasion by the
    government’s agents. Jacobson also makes explicit what was
    only implicit in Sherman: that a person is not predisposed to
    commit a crime simply because he has the urge or inclination
    to do so. If the defendant’s interest in child pornography alone
    26                                                    No. 11-2439
    made him “predisposed,” the outcome in Jacobson cannot be
    explained or defended.
    Finally, the Court tied the concept of predisposition to the
    rationale for the entrapment doctrine: “Law enforcement
    officials go too far when they ‘implant in the mind of an
    innocent person the disposition to commit the alleged offense
    and induce its commission in order that they may prosecute.’”
    
    Id. at 553
     (quoting Sorrells, 
    287 U.S. at 442
    ). Put more succinctly,
    entrapment is “the apprehension of an otherwise law-abiding
    citizen who, if left to his own devices, likely would have never
    run afoul of the law.” 
    Id.
     at 553–54.
    B. Synthesizing the Doctrine: Inducement, Predisposition,
    and the Relationship Between the Two
    It should be clear from this trip through the Supreme
    Court’s key entrapment cases that although the defense has
    two distinct elements—government inducement and lack of
    predisposition—the elements are conceptually related. See
    Mathews, 
    485 U.S. at 63
     (explaining that the defense has “two
    related elements: government inducement of the crime, and a
    lack of predisposition on the part of the defendant” (emphasis
    added)). We addressed the relationship twenty years ago in
    our en banc decision in Hollingsworth. There we noted that the
    two elements of the entrapment defense are formally distinct
    but related in the sense that inducement is “evidence bearing
    on predisposition: the greater the inducement, the weaker the
    inference that in yielding to it the defendant demonstrated that
    No. 11-2439                                                        27
    he was predisposed to commit the crime in question.”
    Hollingsworth, 
    27 F.3d at 1200
    .
    Our cases since then, however, have given conflicting
    guidance about the meaning of “inducement” and “predispo-
    sition” and the relationship between the two. One specific area
    of confusion relates to a fundamental principle in entrapment
    law that the government’s offer of a run-of-the-mill opportu-
    nity to commit the charged crime isn’t entrapment. Where does
    this principle fit in the two-element framework and what role
    does it play?
    As a doctrinal limitation on the availability of the entrap-
    ment defense, this principle has been around from the begin-
    ning. See Sorrells, 
    287 U.S. at 441
     (“It is well settled that the fact
    that officers or employees of the government merely afford
    opportunities or facilities for the commission of the offense
    does not defeat the prosecution.”); see also Mathews, 
    485 U.S. at 66
     (“[E]vidence that [g]overnment agents merely afforded an
    opportunity or facilities for the commission of the crime would
    be insufficient to warrant … an [entrapment] instruction.”).
    Although this proposition enjoys widespread acceptance, the
    circuits are divided about where to locate it within the induce-
    ment/predisposition structure. The point has practical signifi-
    cance for how the defense is litigated.
    The Second Circuit folds the principle into the analysis of
    predisposition. This choice follows by default from the circuit’s
    broad definition of inducement. In United States v. Riley, the
    Second Circuit held that the entrapment doctrine’s “first
    element [inducement] goes simply to the [g]overnment’s
    initiation of the crime and not to the degree of pressure
    28                                                    No. 11-2439
    exerted.” 
    363 F.2d at 958
    . This expansive understanding of
    inducement encompasses almost any government solicitation
    of the crime, which in turn establishes a very light trigger for
    the defense and requires an inquiry into predisposition even in
    cases in which the government’s agents simply furnished the
    ordinary opportunity to commit the crime without additional
    efforts at persuasion. See 
    id.
     at 958–59; see also United States v.
    Brand, 
    467 F.3d 179
    , 190 (2d Cir. 2006) (describing the defen-
    dant’s burden of showing inducement as “relatively slight,”
    requiring only that “the government initiated the crime”
    (internal quotation marks omitted)). As the D.C. Circuit
    observed in rejecting the Second Circuit’s approach, “[t]he
    practical effect of Riley is to require something more than
    government solicitation or initiation, but to do so in terms of
    predisposition rather than in terms of inducement.” United
    States v. Burkley, 
    591 F.2d 903
    , 913 (D.C. Cir. 1978).
    The D.C. Circuit, in contrast, defines inducement as
    requiring more than mere government initiation or solicitation
    of the crime: “Inducement … [is] … persuasion, fraudulent
    representations, threats, coercive tactics, harassment, promises
    of reward, or pleas based on need, sympathy or friend-
    ship[,] … [or other] government conduct that would create a
    risk of causing an otherwise unpredisposed person to commit
    the crime charged.” 
    Id.
     at 913–14. By defining inducement more
    restrictively, the D.C. Circuit situates the “ordinary opportu-
    nity” limiting principle on the inducement side of the analysis,
    effectively foreclosing the entrapment defense for routine
    stings without the need to inquire into evidence of the
    defendant’s predisposition. See 
    id.
     (describing the evidentiary
    foundation necessary for an entrapment instruction).
    No. 11-2439                                                                   29
    Most circuits follow this understanding of inducement. See,
    e.g., United States v. Stephens, 
    717 F.3d 440
    , 444 (5th Cir. 2013)
    (explaining that inducement requires governmental involve-
    ment “more substantial than simply providing an opportunity
    or facilities to commit the offense”); United States v. Vincent,
    
    611 F.3d 1246
    , 1250 (10th Cir. 2010) (“Evidence that the
    government initiated the contact with the defendant, proposed
    the crime, or solicited or requested the defendant to engage in
    criminal conduct, standing alone, is insufficient to constitute
    inducement.”); United States v. Myers, 
    575 F.3d 801
    , 806 (8th Cir.
    2009) (same); United States v. Hsu, 
    364 F.3d 192
    , 200 (4th Cir.
    2004) (“[T]o be entitled to an entrapment instruction, a defen-
    dant must produce … evidence of ‘inducement,’ defined as
    solicitation plus some overreaching or improper conduct on the
    part of the government.”).4
    This approach makes sense. Where the government’s
    agents merely initiate contact with the defendant, solicit the
    crime, or furnish an opportunity to commit it on customary
    terms, the government has not “induced” the crime within the
    meaning of the entrapment doctrine and the defense should be
    unavailable without the need for a more complex inquiry into
    evidence of predisposition.
    4
    For a time the First Circuit followed a third approach, collapsing the two
    formal elements of entrapment into a single inquiry, albeit one that looked
    for evidence of “corrupting” conduct by the government and “unreadiness”
    on the part of the defendant (i.e., lack of predisposition). See United States v.
    Kadis, 
    373 F.2d 370
    , 373 (1st Cir. 1967); see also United States v. Espinal,
    
    757 F.2d 423
    , 425–26 (1st Cir. 1985). Although Kadis has not been overruled,
    more recent cases follow the traditional two-element framework. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Tom, 
    330 F.3d 83
    , 89 (1st Cir. 2003).
    30                                                    No. 11-2439
    Our cases have not always been clear about this point.
    Some opinions seem to situate the “ordinary opportunity”
    limiting principle within the predisposition element, though
    without saying so in so many words. See, e.g., United States v.
    Santiago-Godinez, 
    12 F.3d 722
    , 728 (7th Cir. 1993) (“A predis-
    posed person is one ‘who takes advantage of an ordinary
    opportunity to commit criminal acts—not an extraordinary
    opportunity, the sort of thing that might entice an otherwise
    law-abiding person … .’” (quoting United States v. Evans,
    
    924 F.2d 714
    , 717 (7th Cir. 1991))). Others put the principle on
    the inducement side of the analysis. See, e.g., United States v.
    Pillado, 
    656 F.3d 754
    , 764 (7th Cir. 2011) (“We recognize that
    where there is insufficient evidence of inducement—either
    because there is no such evidence at all, or because the govern-
    ment did nothing more than offer a standard market deal in a sting—
    there is no need to consider predisposition.” (emphasis
    added)); 
    id.
     (stating that inducement does not occur where “the
    government’s actions simply provided an opportunity for a
    person who was already ready and willing to commit the
    offense”); United States v. Johnson, 
    32 F.3d 304
    , 308 (7th Cir.
    1994).
    The conflicting strains in our caselaw may be attributable to
    our lack of a settled definition of “inducement.” It’s clear that
    we do not subscribe to the Second Circuit’s expansive under-
    standing of the term; our cases reflect the principle that “the
    mere solicitation by the government’s agent by itself is not
    sufficient” to show inducement. United States v. Blackman,
    
    950 F.2d 420
    , 424 (7th Cir. 1991); see also United States v. Gunter,
    
    741 F.2d 151
    , 154 (7th Cir. 1984). Our decision in Pillado hinted
    in a definitional direction by suggesting that inducement is
    No. 11-2439                                                   31
    something more than “offer[ing] a standard market deal in a
    sting.” 
    656 F.3d at 764
    .
    But the focus in Pillado was on predisposition; the decision
    did not give further guidance on the meaning of inducement.
    We take the opportunity to do so now. Inducement requires
    more than government solicitation of the crime; the fact that
    the government’s agents initiated contact with the defendant
    and offered an ordinary opportunity to commit the charged
    crime is insufficient to raise an entrapment defense. “[T]he
    term ‘ordinary’ in this context … mean[s] something close to
    what unfolds when a sting operation mirrors the customary
    execution of the crime charged.” 
    Id. at 765
    . Something more is
    required, either in terms of the character and degree of the
    government’s persistence or persuasion, or the nature of the
    enticement or reward.
    A second area of confusion is whether a predisposed
    defendant may assert an entrapment defense if the government
    inducement is strong enough. Pillado suggests as much:
    “[W]hen the record reveals that a defendant was predisposed
    to commit the crimes charged, she is not entitled to an entrap-
    ment instruction unless she can show that the government
    provided an opportunity to commit the crime that was out of
    the ordinary.” 
    Id. at 766
    ; see also 
    id. at 764
     (“Whether a defen-
    dant is predisposed to commit the crime charged informs the
    nature and level of government inducement that must be
    identified to warrant an entrapment instruction.”); see also 
    id. at 765
     (“The upshot is that once a court has concluded that a
    person was predisposed to commit a crime, a defendant must
    do more to earn the [entrapment] instruction than assert that
    32                                                   No. 11-2439
    the government provided an ordinary opportunity to commit
    the crime; he must show extraordinary inducement.”).
    Earlier opinions, however, say otherwise. See, e.g., United
    States v. Sanchez, 
    984 F.2d 769
    , 773 (7th Cir. 1993) (“The entrap-
    ment analysis ends without inquiry into government induce-
    ment if the defendant was predisposed to commit the charged
    conduct.”); United States v. Kaminski, 
    703 F.2d 1004
    , 1007 (7th
    Cir. 1983) (“[T]he defense of entrapment is not available to a
    predisposed defendant … .”). More importantly, the Supreme
    Court has said otherwise: “We [have] ruled out the possibility
    that the defense of entrapment could ever be based upon
    governmental misconduct in a case, such as this one, where the
    predisposition of the defendant to commit the crime was
    established.” Hampton, 
    425 U.S. at
    488–89 (Rehnquist, J.,
    plurality opinion); see also Russell, 
    411 U.S. at 436
     (explaining
    that the defendant’s concession that “the jury finding as to
    predisposition was supported by the evidence is … fatal to his
    claim of entrapment”).
    This principle is a corollary of the Court’s settled doctrine
    that entrapment rests on a subjective judgment about the
    defendant’s predisposition; if he was predisposed to commit
    the crime, he cannot have been entrapped. It follows that the
    quantum of inducement necessary to raise the defense does not
    vary depending on whether the defendant was predisposed
    because no level of inducement can overcome a finding of
    predisposition. The nature and degree of the government’s
    inducement may, however, affect the jury’s determination of
    predisposition; we will return to this point in a moment.
    No. 11-2439                                                    33
    A related complication involves the role of “extraordinary
    inducement.” This phrase appears throughout our entrapment
    cases, but we have not used it consistently. Some of our
    opinions say that the entrapment defense requires a threshold
    showing of “extraordinary” government inducement. See, e.g.,
    United States v. Mandel, 
    647 F.3d 710
    , 718 (7th Cir. 2011); United
    States v. Millet, 
    510 F.3d 668
    , 676–77 (7th Cir. 2007); United
    States v. Haddad, 
    462 F.3d 783
    , 790 (7th Cir. 2006). Others
    explain that “[t]he government’s inducement does not always
    need to be ‘extraordinary’ to satisfy the inducement element;
    even minor government inducements may be sufficient in
    some cases.” United States v. Plowman, 
    700 F.3d 1052
    , 1057 (7th
    Cir. 2012) (second internal quotation marks omitted); see also
    Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at
    765–76 (to the same effect).
    Perhaps “extraordinary” in this context means only that the
    government’s conduct must consist of something more than a
    simple offer of an opportunity to commit the crime on custom-
    ary terms. If that’s how the qualifier “extraordinary” is
    understood and applied, then it works just fine. But as we’ve
    noted, the concept of “extraordinary inducement” has acquired
    a much stronger meaning in some of our cases, and this sets the
    bar for entrapment too high. The touchstone of an illegitimate
    inducement is that it creates a risk that a person who otherwise
    would not commit the crime if left alone will do so in response
    to the government’s persuasion. The conduct of the govern-
    ment’s agents need not be “extraordinary” to create this risk.
    As we explained in Pillado, “subtle, persistent, or persuasive”
    conduct by government agents or informants may qualify as an
    illegitimate inducement. 
    656 F.3d at 765
    . Pillado also cautioned
    34                                                 No. 11-2439
    against “taking the adjective ‘extraordinary’ out of context to
    divine a new legal standard.” 
    Id.
     at 765–66.
    Retracing the Supreme Court’s key entrapment cases may
    help illuminate the problem and point toward a solution. In
    Sorrells the Court found that an entrapment instruction was
    warranted even though the defendant was promised no
    extravagant profit for obtaining alcohol for the undercover
    informant; the informant’s persistent appeal to military
    camaraderie qualified as a potentially entrapping inducement.
    
    287 U.S. at 441
    . In Sherman the Court found entrapment as a
    matter of law even though the defendant was offered little
    more than reimbursement for his costs if he would obtain
    heroin; the inducement there consisted of repeated requests
    from an informant posing as a fellow recovering addict who
    had fallen off the wagon. 
    356 U.S. at 371
    . In Jacobson the Court
    found entrapment as a matter of law where the defendant took
    up a relatively standard offer to purchase child pornography;
    the inducement in that case was a two-year campaign of fake
    mail-order entreaties conditioning the defendant to believe that
    child porn was acceptable and encouraging him to purchase it.
    
    503 U.S. at
    546–47.
    Nothing about the transactions at issue in Sorrels, Sherman,
    and Jacobson can be characterized as “extraordinary” as that
    term is colloquially understood. The entrapment defense was
    available because the government’s solicitation of the crime
    was accompanied by subtle and persistent artifices and devices
    that created a risk that an otherwise law-abiding person would
    take the bait. The ploys were not “extraordinary” in the strong
    sense of that word, but they exceeded the typical sting in which
    No. 11-2439                                                 35
    the government merely offers an ordinary opportunity to
    commit a crime, without more.
    *   *   *
    Clarity and consistency would be served if we made a fresh
    start with a definition of inducement. We hold that inducement
    means more than mere government solicitation of the crime;
    the fact that government agents initiated contact with the
    defendant, suggested the crime, or furnished the ordinary
    opportunity to commit it is insufficient to show inducement.
    Instead, inducement means government solicitation of the
    crime plus some other government conduct that creates a risk
    that a person who would not commit the crime if left to his
    own devices will do so in response to the government’s efforts.
    The “other conduct” may be repeated attempts at persuasion,
    fraudulent representations, threats, coercive tactics, harass-
    ment, promises of reward beyond that inherent in the custom-
    ary execution of the crime, pleas based on need, sympathy, or
    friendship, or any other conduct by government agents that
    creates a risk that a person who otherwise would not commit
    the crime if left alone will do so in response to the govern-
    ment’s efforts.
    *   *   *
    Moving on to predisposition, our circuit has long used a
    nonexclusive list of five factors to determine whether the
    defendant was predisposed to commit the charged crime.
    Formally adopted in 1983, see Kaminski, 
    703 F.2d at 1008
    , our
    test includes the following factors:
    36                                                    No. 11-2439
    (1) the defendant’s character or reputation;
    (2) whether the government initially suggested
    the criminal activity; (3) whether the defendant
    engaged in the criminal activity for profit;
    (4) whether the defendant evidenced a reluctance
    to commit the offense that was overcome by
    government persuasion; and (5) the nature of the
    inducement or persuasion by the government.
    Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at 766
    ; see also United States v. Hall, 
    608 F.3d 340
    , 343 (7th Cir. 2010); Santiago-Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at 728
    . No one
    factor controls, and the “most significant is whether the
    defendant was reluctant to commit the offense.” Pillado,
    
    656 F.3d at 766
    .
    Multifactor tests are common in our law but they can be
    cryptic when unattached to a substantive legal standard, as this
    one is. Knowing what factors to look at is useless unless one
    knows what to look for. Without a legal definition of predispo-
    sition, jurors are left to weigh the listed factors in the abstract,
    or perhaps to weigh them against an intuitive understanding
    of the term. Some concepts in our law are appropriately left to
    the common sense and collective wisdom of the jury. See
    United States v. Hatfield, 
    591 F.3d 945
    , 949–50 (7th Cir. 2010)
    (explaining that the term “reasonable doubt” is best left
    undefined); United States v. Glass, 
    846 F.2d 386
    , 387 (7th Cir.
    1988) (“Jurors know what is ‘reasonable’ and are quite familiar
    with the meaning of ‘doubt.’”). The concept of predisposition
    is not so well understood that it belongs in this category. Our
    multifactor test for predisposition would be more useful if we
    defined the term.
    No. 11-2439                                                  37
    Again we take our cues from the Supreme Court’s key
    entrapment cases. We know from Sherman and Jacobson that
    predisposition requires more than a mere desire, urge, or
    inclination to engage in the charged criminal misconduct.
    Sherman surely had an inclination or urge to obtain narcotics;
    he was struggling to overcome an addiction, after all. Sherman,
    
    356 U.S. at 371
    . If the mere urge was enough to make him
    predisposed to sharing drugs, the outcome of the case would
    have been different. Similarly, Jacobson may have been
    predisposed in the sense of having an inclination to view child
    pornography, but the Supreme Court rejected that understand-
    ing of predisposition:
    Petitioner’s responses to the many communica-
    tions prior to the ultimate criminal act were at
    most indicative of certain personal inclinations,
    including a predisposition to view photographs
    of preteen sex and a willingness to promote a
    given agenda by supporting lobbying organiza-
    tions. Even so, petitioner’s responses hardly
    support an inference that he would commit the
    crime of receiving child pornography through
    the mails. Furthermore, a person’s inclinations and
    fantasies … are his own and beyond the reach of
    government … .
    Jacobson, 
    503 U.S. at
    551–52 (emphases added) (footnote and
    internal quotation marks omitted). In short, a person who
    resists his baser urges is not “predisposed” simply because he
    experiences them.
    38                                                    No. 11-2439
    This conclusion follows from the animating principles of
    the entrapment doctrine. A legitimate sting takes an actual
    criminal off the streets and thus reduces the actual crime rate.
    See United States v. Manzella, 
    791 F.2d 1263
    , 1269 (7th Cir. 1986).
    The entrapment defense guards against government overreach
    in this context, “reflect[ing] the view that the proper use of the
    criminal law in a society such as ours is to prevent harmful
    conduct for the protection of the law abiding, rather than to
    purify thoughts and perfect character.” Hollingsworth, 
    27 F.3d at 1203
    . When government agents “tempt[] [a] person to
    commit a crime that he would not otherwise have committed,
    punishing him will not reduce the crime rate; it will merely
    deflect law enforcement into the sterile channel of causing
    criminal activity and then prosecuting the same activity.”
    Manzella, 
    791 F.2d at 1269
    .
    Predisposition thus refers to the likelihood that the defen-
    dant would have committed the crime without the govern-
    ment’s intervention, or actively wanted to but hadn’t yet found
    the means. In Sherman the Court asked whether the defendant
    “otherwise would … have attempted” the crime absent the
    government’s effort to beguile him, 
    356 U.S. at 376
    , and
    concluded that he would not have. The Court used the word
    “readiness”: It was the government’s burden “to prove
    petitioner had a readiness to sell narcotics at the time [the
    informant] approached him.” 
    Id. at 375
     (emphasis added). In
    Jacobson the Court described entrapment as “the apprehension
    of an otherwise law-abiding citizen who, if left to his own
    devices, likely would have never run afoul of the law.”
    
    503 U.S. at
    553–54.
    No. 11-2439                                                    39
    Our en banc decision in Hollingsworth helpfully described
    the concept of predisposition this way:
    The defendant must be so situated by reason of
    previous training or experience or occupation or
    acquaintances that it is likely that if the govern-
    ment had not induced him to commit the crime
    some criminal would have done so; only then
    does a sting or other arranged crime take a
    dangerous person out of circulation.
    
    27 F.3d at 1200
     (emphasis added). But we tacked on an impor-
    tant caveat: “We do not wish to be understood as holding that
    lack of present means to commit a crime is alone enough to
    establish entrapment if the government supplies the means.”
    
    Id. at 1202
    . Instead, a defendant who lacks the means to
    commit the crime when first approached by the government is
    nonetheless predisposed if he “had the idea for the crime all
    worked out and lacked merely the present means to commit it,
    and if the government had not supplied [the means,] someone
    else very well might have.” 
    Id. at 1203
    . Put slightly differently,
    a predisposed person is not one who “on his own might, under
    some conceivable set of circumstances, commit the crime.”
    Burkley, 591 F.2d at 916. Rather, a predisposed person is one
    who “is presently ready and willing to commit the crime.” Id.
    Importantly, predisposition is measured prior to the
    government’s attempts to persuade the defendant to commit
    the crime. See United States v. Theodosopoulos, 
    48 F.3d 1438
    , 1444
    (7th Cir. 1995) (explaining that a predisposed defendant is one
    who “was disposed to commit the crime prior to being ap-
    proached by government agents”); Kaminski, 
    703 F.2d at
    1008
    40                                                  No. 11-2439
    (“[P]redisposition is, by definition, the defendant’s state of
    mind and inclinations before his initial exposure to government
    agents.” (internal quotation marks omitted)). Jacobson specifi-
    cally confirmed this point. See 
    503 U.S. at 553
     (“Rational jurors
    could not say beyond a reasonable doubt that petitioner
    possessed the requisite predisposition prior to the [g]overn-
    ment’s investigation and that it existed independent of the
    [g]overnment’s many and varied approaches to petitioner.”
    (emphases added)). In other words, “a criminal predisposition
    induced by government action cannot be used to defeat an
    entrapment defense.” Hollingsworth, 
    27 F.3d at 1201
    .
    We are not suggesting that the defendant’s conduct after he
    encountered the government’s agents is irrelevant to the
    determination of predisposition. To the contrary, the defen-
    dant’s response to the government’s offer may be important
    evidence of his predisposition. See Kaminski, 
    703 F.2d at 1008
    (explaining that because “there is little direct evidence of the
    defendant’s state of mind prior to interaction with [g]overn-
    ment agents[,] … we must instead rely upon indirect proof
    available through examination of the defendant’s conduct after
    contact with the agents”). This is where the conceptual overlap
    between the two elements becomes important: The character
    and degree of the inducement—and the defendant’s reaction
    to it—may affect the jury’s assessment of predisposition. That
    the defendant eventually agreed to commit the crime in
    response to the government’s efforts does not necessarily
    prove predisposition, for if the inducement was significant
    enough to cause even a nonpredisposed person to commit the
    crime, no inference can be drawn about predisposition from
    the success of the government’s efforts.
    No. 11-2439                                                 41
    It’s worth repeating what we said in Hollingsworth: The
    nature of the government inducement is “significant chiefly as
    evidence bearing on predisposition: the greater the induce-
    ment, the weaker the inference that in yielding to it the
    defendant demonstrated that he was predisposed to commit
    the crime in question.” 
    27 F.3d at 1200
    .
    Relatedly, we have long emphasized that evidence of the
    defendant’s reluctance to commit the crime looms large in the
    analysis of predisposition. See, e.g., Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at 766
    (explaining that the most significant factor in predisposition
    analysis is “whether the defendant was reluctant to commit the
    offense”); Hall, 
    608 F.3d at 343
     (same); United States v.
    Blassingame, 
    197 F.3d 271
    , 281 (7th Cir. 1999) (same);
    Theodosopoulos, 
    48 F.3d at 1444
     (“The most important factor is
    whether the defendant exhibited a reluctance to commit the
    offense that government agents overcame.”); Kaminski,
    
    703 F.2d at 1008
     (same). Other evidence of the defendant’s
    conduct after the initial contact by the government’s agents—
    for example, his actions or statements during the planning
    stages of the criminal scheme—also may be relevant to the
    determination of predisposition. All this evidence must be
    considered with care, of course; by definition, the defendant’s
    later actions may have been shaped by the government’s
    conduct.
    Better evidence of the defendant’s predisposition may come
    from his past conduct. Entrapment is one of the few areas in
    the criminal law in which past is legitimately considered to be
    prologue. But is any history of criminal misconduct sufficient
    to make the defendant “predisposed,” or must the defendant’s
    42                                                  No. 11-2439
    prior crimes be similar to the charged offense? One position is
    that only a totally law-abiding person may be entrapped; on
    this view, prior criminal misconduct of any kind makes the
    defendant “predisposed” to criminality writ large. A contrary
    view is that even someone with a history of committing one
    kind of crime may be entrapped into a crime of a substantially
    different kind or degree.
    Although the Supreme Court hasn’t spoken directly to this
    question, the answer is implicit in the Court’s entrapment
    cases, and Judge Hand specifically addressed it in his influen-
    tial opinion for the Second Circuit in Sherman:
    The proof of this [predisposition] may be by
    evidence of his past offences, of his preparation,
    even of his “ready compliance.” Obviously, it is
    not necessary that the past offences proved shall
    be precisely the same as that charged, provided
    they are near enough in kind to support an infer-
    ence that his purpose included offences of the sort
    charged.
    
    200 F.2d at 882
     (emphases added). This point reappears, if only
    by implication, in the Supreme Court’s opinion in Sherman. As
    the Court framed the issue, the relevant inquiry was whether
    Sherman was “ready and willing to sell narcotics”; the Court
    concluded that “[t]here is no evidence that petitioner himself
    was in the trade.” 
    356 U.S. at 375
     (emphases added). Since then,
    the Court has said that “the principal element in the defense of
    entrapment [i]s the defendant’s predisposition to commit the
    crime”—not just any crime. Russell, 
    411 U.S. at 433
     (emphasis
    added).
    No. 11-2439                                                    43
    Our own precedent confirms this understanding of the role
    of the defendant’s criminal history. See United States v. McGill,
    
    754 F.3d 452
    , 458 (7th Cir. 2014) (“[T]he ranks of the ‘unwary
    innocent’ are not limited to those whose lives are crime free.”);
    United States v. Sanders, 
    962 F.2d 660
    , 677 (7th Cir. 1992)
    (explaining that a defendant was predisposed if he was
    “willing to commit a crime like the one charged in the indictment”
    (emphasis added) (quotation marks omitted)); United States v.
    Townsend, 
    555 F.2d 152
    , 155 n.3 (7th Cir. 1977) (“[E]ven the
    most habitual offender can be entrapped if the officers use
    coercive inducement to overbear the defendant’s reluctance.”).
    A related question concerns the timing of the defendant’s
    prior crimes relative to the charged conduct. We return again
    to Sherman, which held that the defendant’s prior drug
    crimes—a nine-year-old conviction for selling drugs and a five-
    year-old conviction for possession—were insufficient as a
    matter of law to establish his predisposition to sell drugs.
    
    356 U.S. at
    373–77. The Court’s conclusion was based in part on
    the additional fact that Sherman was trying to kick the habit at
    the time he was approached by the government’s informant. 
    Id.
    The upshot is that although the defendant’s criminal history
    is relevant to the question of his predisposition, it’s not
    dispositive. Notwithstanding a checkered past, a defendant may
    lack the predisposition to commit the charged crime.
    *   *   *
    To summarize then, a defendant is predisposed to commit
    the charged crime if he was ready and willing to do so and
    likely would have committed it without the government’s
    44                                                   No. 11-2439
    intervention, or actively wanted to but hadn’t yet found the
    means. The defendant’s predisposition is measured at the time
    the government first proposed the crime, but the nature and
    degree of the government’s inducement and the defendant’s
    responses to it are relevant to the determination of predisposi-
    tion. A prior conviction for a similar offense is relevant but not
    conclusive evidence of predisposition; a defendant with a
    criminal record can be entrapped.
    C. Procedure
    Generally speaking, entrapment is a question for the jury,
    not the court. Jacobson, 
    503 U.S. at 549
    ; Mathews, 
    485 U.S. at 63
    ;
    McGill, 754 F.3d at 457; Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at 763
    . As we’ve
    explained, the subjective basis of the defense makes entrap-
    ment a fact question for the jury to decide “as part of its
    function of determining the guilt or innocence of the accused.”
    Sherman, 
    356 U.S. at 377
    ; see also Mathews, 
    485 U.S. at
    62–63.
    Two important procedural questions remain: (1) What is
    the burden of proof for entrapment and who bears it?
    (2) Under what circumstances may the court preclude a
    defendant from asserting the defense at all?
    1. Burden of Proof
    “Where … the defense of entrapment is at issue, … the
    prosecution must prove beyond reasonable doubt that the
    defendant was disposed to commit the criminal act prior to
    first being approached by [g]overnment agents.” Jacobson,
    No. 11-2439                                                    45
    
    503 U.S. at
    548–49. This statement admits of no ambiguity: The
    government bears the burden, and the level of proof is beyond
    reasonable doubt. See also Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at 763
    ; Santiago-
    Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at 728
    .
    The Supreme Court’s decision in Dixon v. United States did
    not disturb this allocation of the proof burden. 
    548 U.S. 1
    (2006). Keshia Dixon was charged with receiving a firearm
    while under indictment and making false statements in
    connection with the acquisition of a firearm; she raised a
    defense of duress. 
    Id. at 4
    . The district court required her to
    prove the defense by a preponderance of the evidence; she
    urged the Supreme Court to hold that the government must
    disprove duress beyond a reasonable doubt. 
    Id. at 6
    . The Court
    declined to do so, holding instead that because the defense of
    duress does not negate an element of the offense, neither the
    Due Process Clause nor the federal common law requires the
    government disprove the defense beyond a reasonable doubt.
    
    Id.
     at 7–16. In the absence of a statute specifically addressed to
    the question, the Court assumed that Congress defined the
    charged crimes with the common-law understanding of
    affirmative defenses in mind. 
    Id.
     at 12–17. In the case of duress,
    the Court assumed that Congress incorporated the traditional
    view that the defendant bears the burden of proving the
    defense by a preponderance of the evidence. 
    Id.
    Congress has never addressed the defense of entrapment.
    Unlike other common-law defenses, however, established
    entrapment doctrine places the burden squarely on the
    46                                                            No. 11-2439
    government to disprove the defense beyond a reasonable
    doubt. Nothing in Dixon undermines this settled principle.5
    One final point on the burden of proof before we move on:
    We have consistently held that the government can defeat the
    entrapment defense at trial by proving either that the defendant
    was predisposed to commit the crime or that there was no
    government inducement. See, e.g., Santiago-Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at 728
    ; Gunter, 
    741 F.2d at 153
     (explaining that the prosecution
    must “prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the defendant
    was predisposed or that there was no [g]overnment induce-
    ment” (emphasis added)); see also Burkley, 591 F.2d at 916
    (explaining that the government “need not, though it may,
    prove that there was no government inducement of or partici-
    pation in the crime”). This is a fair reading of the two-element
    structure of the defense; no one here has questioned this
    understanding of the government’s burden.
    5
    We spoke too broadly in United States v. Orr when we said that the burden
    of persuasion “is placed squarely on the shoulders of the defendant
    claiming entrapment.” 
    622 F.3d 864
    , 868 (7th Cir. 2010). The defendant there
    insisted that he was entitled to judgment of acquittal based on an entrap-
    ment argument that he raised for the first time on appeal. 
    Id.
     We of course
    rejected that argument. 
    Id.
     (“The district court did not err by denying Orr’s
    motion to acquit based on a defense he never asserted … .”). Orr stands for
    the proposition that the defendant has the initial burden of raising the
    entrapment defense and must do so before or at trial. The question of the
    burden of persuasion was not before the court.
    No. 11-2439                                                    47
    2. Raising the Entrapment Defense
    Because entrapment is a fact question on which the govern-
    ment bears the burden of proof, the defendant is entitled to a
    jury instruction on the defense “whenever there is sufficient
    evidence from which a reasonable jury could find entrapment.”
    Mathews, 
    485 U.S. at 62
    ; see also Plowman, 700 F.3d at 1057;
    Theodosopoulos, 
    48 F.3d at 1444
    ; Santiago-Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at 727
    .
    We have held that to obtain a jury instruction and shift the
    burden of disproving entrapment to the government, the
    defendant must proffer evidence on both elements of the
    defense. See Plowman, 700 F.3d at 1057; Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at 763
    ;
    Santiago-Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at 728
    . But this initial burden of
    production is not great. An entrapment instruction is war-
    ranted if the defendant proffers “some evidence” that the
    government induced him to commit the crime and he was not
    predisposed to commit it. Pillado, 
    656 F.3d at 764
     (“[A] defen-
    dant must proffer some evidence on both elements of the
    entrapment defense to warrant the instruction … .”); see also
    Theodosopoulos, 
    48 F.3d at 1445
    ; Gunter, 
    741 F.2d at 153
    . Put
    another way, “[a]lthough more than a scintilla of evidence of
    entrapment is needed before instruction on the defense
    becomes necessary, the defendant need only point to evidence
    in the record that would allow a rational jury to conclude that
    he was entrapped.” McGill, 754 F.3d at 457; see also Santiago-
    Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at 727
    .
    Mathews used the phrase “sufficient evidence” to describe
    the defendant’s burden of production, but this should not be
    understood as an invitation to the court to weigh the evidence
    or assess the credibility of witnesses. As with any other factual
    48                                                   No. 11-2439
    question, the ultimate merit of the entrapment defense is
    entrusted to the jury. Accordingly, assessing “sufficiency” in
    this context does not mean that the judge weighs the evidence
    or decides whether the defense is believable. “[W]here there is
    at least some evidence [of entrapment] in the record, it is for
    the jury … to weigh conflicting testimony, to draw reasonable
    inferences from the evidence[,] and to make credibility
    determinations.” Theodosopoulos, 
    48 F.3d at 1445
    .
    As a practical matter, entrapment is now regularly litigated
    as it was here: before trial, on the government’s motion in
    limine to preclude the defense. Though this practice is permis-
    sible, see Plowman, 700 F.3d at 1057; Santiago-Godinez, 
    12 F.3d at
    727–28, it carries an increased risk that the court will be
    tempted to balance the defendant’s evidence against the
    government’s, invading the province of the jury. In ruling on
    a pretrial motion to preclude the entrapment defense, the court
    must accept the defendant’s proffered evidence as true and not
    weigh the government’s evidence against it. See Plowman,
    700 F.3d at 1057; Blassingame, 
    197 F.3d at 279
    . This important
    point is sometimes obscured, subtly raising the bar for present-
    ing entrapment evidence at trial.
    One final observation before we consider Mayfield’s case:
    The two elements of the entrapment inquiry are not equally
    amenable to resolution before trial. Predisposition rarely will
    be susceptible to resolution as a matter of law. Predisposition,
    as we’ve defined it, refers to the likelihood that the defendant
    would have committed the crime without the government’s
    intervention, or actively wanted to but hadn’t yet found the
    means. This probabilistic question is quintessentially factual;
    No. 11-2439                                                 49
    it’s hard to imagine how a particular person could be deemed
    “likely” to do something as a matter of law. The inducement
    inquiry, on the other hand, may be more appropriate for
    pretrial resolution; if the evidence shows that the government
    did nothing more than solicit the crime on standard terms, then
    the entrapment defense will be unavailable as a matter of law.
    D. Application
    We now return to Mayfield’s case. Did he proffer enough
    evidence to create an entrapment issue for trial? Accepting the
    facts in his pretrial proffer as true and drawing reasonable
    inferences in his favor, we conclude that he did.
    Mayfield’s proffer contains sufficient evidence from which
    a reasonable jury could find that the government induced him
    to commit the crime. Potts targeted Mayfield at a moment of
    acute financial need and against a backdrop of prolonged
    difficulty finding permanent, family-supporting work. Potts
    also appealed to Mayfield’s friendship and camaraderie and to
    their common struggle as convicted felons trying to make a
    living. Appeals of this sort are among the oldest tactics
    recognized as forms of government inducement. See, e.g.,
    Sorrells, 
    287 U.S. at 441
    . Moreover, Potts gave Mayfield money
    in order to create a debt that he knew Mayfield would be
    unable to repay and then exploited that debt by alluding to his
    status as a member of the Gangster Disciples. Drawing
    inferences in Mayfield’s favor, this action was arguably
    calculated to convey an implied threat of violence if the debt
    was not repaid. Threats obviously qualify as inducements.
    Finally, Potts pestered Mayfield over a substantial period of
    50                                                 No. 11-2439
    time; a reasonable jury could find that this persistent pressure
    amounted to harassment.
    We do not need to decide whether any of these tactics
    standing alone would suffice to establish inducement; some of
    them almost certainly would not. But together, they are
    enough to permit a reasonable jury to conclude that the
    government induced Mayfield to commit the crime. That is, a
    rational jury could find that the government’s actions created
    a risk that a person who otherwise would not have committed
    the crime would do so in response to the government’s efforts.
    It’s true that when push came to shove, Potts offered
    Mayfield an opportunity to participate in what was apparently
    a typical stash-house robbery, at least as far as the record
    shows. If the government had done nothing more than make
    this opportunity available, then its actions would not qualify
    as an illegitimate inducement. But the government did more;
    it paired the reward of a stash-house robbery with an extended
    campaign of persuasion that played on Mayfield’s financial
    need and culminated in a veiled threat of reprisal from a
    vicious street gang. A rational jury could find that the govern-
    ment induced him to commit the crime.
    Mayfield also proffered enough evidence to permit a
    rational jury to find reasonable doubt about his predisposition
    to commit the stash-house robbery at the time Potts first
    approached him with the offer. Mayfield repeatedly rejected
    Potts’s entreaties over the course of several weeks, relenting
    only when faced with an implied threat that the Gangster
    Disciples street gang might retaliate against him if he did not
    repay his debt. Accepted as true, Mayfield’s initial reluctance
    No. 11-2439                                                    51
    and continued resistance is substantive evidence that he was
    not predisposed to commit the crime when Potts first proposed
    it.
    True, the government offered its own evidence that
    Mayfield had a serious criminal record, and that once he
    accepted Potts’s overture, he recruited a crew and actively
    participated in planning the scheme, and also bragged about
    having experience robbing stash houses. However substantial
    or substantiated the government’s evidence may seem to the
    court, its weight is a question for the jury. If Mayfield had been
    allowed to present his entrapment evidence at trial, he might
    have persuaded the jury that it was all a bluff.
    As a logical and legal matter, Mayfield’s active engagement
    in the scheme after the government’s extended efforts to
    procure his participation has limited bearing on his predisposi-
    tion when the government first proposed it. If a jury were to
    conclude that the government’s conduct might have ensnared
    a person who otherwise would not have committed the crime,
    the fact that Mayfield, once ensnared, actively participated in
    it doesn’t tell us much about his predisposition. See Evans,
    
    924 F.2d at 716
     (explaining that if the defendant “was indeed
    entrapped, it is irrelevant that the entrapment was so effective
    as to make him not only a willing but an eager participant”).
    Moreover, as we’ve explained, the trial judge cannot weigh the
    competing evidentiary proffers and accept the government’s
    as more persuasive than the defendant’s. That’s exactly what
    the judge did here, and quite expressly.
    Of course, Mayfield can’t escape his criminal record, which
    contains a conviction for armed carjacking. But he proffered
    52                                                 No. 11-2439
    evidence that after his release from prison, he joined
    antirecidivism programs and found honest work in an effort to
    go straight and not return to a life of crime. Even without this
    evidence of rehabilitation, the fact that Mayfield committed a
    different kind of robbery in the past is not conclusive evidence
    that he was predisposed to commit this crime—a stash-house
    robbery—when Potts first proposed it. See Sherman, 
    356 U.S. at
    375–76.
    In the end, the inferences to be drawn from the evidence as
    a whole are varied and ultimately for the jury. Mayfield
    proffered enough evidence to defeat the government’s motion
    in limine. The district court should not have precluded him
    from presenting his entrapment evidence at trial.
    III. Conclusion
    To recap, entrapment is a defense to criminal liability when
    the defendant was not predisposed to commit the charged
    crime before the intervention of the government’s agents and
    the government’s conduct induced him to commit it. The two
    elements of the defense—lack of predisposition and govern-
    ment inducement—are conceptually related but formally and
    temporally distinct.
    The predisposition element focuses on the defendant’s
    circumstances before and at the time the government first
    approached him with a proposal to commit the crime. A
    defendant is predisposed to commit the charged crime if he
    was ready and willing to do so and likely would have commit-
    No. 11-2439                                                    53
    ted it without the government’s intervention, or actively
    wanted to but hadn’t yet found the means.
    As for the inducement element, the fact that the govern-
    ment initiated contact with the defendant, suggested the crime,
    or created the ordinary opportunity to commit it is not suffi-
    cient; something more is required, either in terms of the
    character and degree of the government’s persistence or
    persuasion, the nature of the enticement or reward, or some
    combination of these. Conduct by the government’s agents
    amounts to inducement if, considering its character and the
    factual context, it creates a risk that a person who otherwise
    would not commit the crime if left alone will do so in response
    to the government’s persuasion.
    Procedurally, entrapment is an issue of fact for the jury. The
    defendant is entitled to present the defense at trial if he shows
    that some evidence supports it. This initial burden is not great;
    the defendant must produce some evidence from which a
    reasonable jury could find government inducement and lack of
    predisposition. If he can make this showing, the court must
    instruct the jury on entrapment and the government must
    prove beyond a reasonable doubt that the defendant was
    predisposed to commit the charged crime, or alternatively (but
    less commonly), that there was no government inducement.
    When the issue is raised before trial on the government’s
    motion to preclude the defense, the court must accept the
    defendant’s factual proffer as true and not weigh it against the
    government’s evidence.
    Applying these substantive and procedural principles here,
    we conclude that Mayfield’s proffer was sufficient to overcome
    54                                                No. 11-2439
    the government’s motion in limine. The district court erred by
    crediting the government’s evidence over Mayfield’s and
    precluding him from presenting his entrapment evidence at
    trial. He is entitled to a new trial.
    VACATED and REMANDED.
    No. 11-2439                                                       55
    BAUER, Circuit Judge, with whom EASTERBROOK, Circuit
    Judge, joins, dissenting. The gist of my argument against the
    majority opinion is contained in a footnote addressing the
    dissent in the panel opinion (now dead) when this case was
    first before us. I repeat it now:
    The dissent believes that Mayfield was entitled to an
    entrapment defense. It argues that a jury could have
    found the government inducement “extraordinary,”
    because stash-house robberies are particularly lucrative
    compared to other sorts of robberies. The dissent
    reasons that the inducement would only be extraordi-
    nary to a non-veteran stash-house robber, and that it
    was for the jury to decide if Mayfield had robbed stash
    houses before. We cannot endorse this analysis. It
    effectively collapses the inducement and predisposition
    elements of entrapment and would allow otherwise
    predisposed criminals to claim entrapment simply
    because they were entering a new, more lucrative field
    of crime. Whether a government agent’s offer is extraor-
    dinary should be considered in light of the terms on
    which crimes of this sort are typically committed. See
    United States v. Pillado, 
    656 F.3d 754
    , 765 (7th Cir. 2011).
    Nothing in the record suggests that this planned stash-
    house robbery would be any more lucrative than the
    typical stash-house robbery. And as we stressed previ-
    ously, the risk-adjusted rewards for this crime were not
    so great; Mayfield planned to risk his life and to risk
    prosecution for murder if he lived.
    56                                                No. 11-2439
    The record shows the defendant was salivating to commit
    the crime. The fact that he was exceptionally greedy should not
    entitle him to an entrapment defense.
    No. 11-2439                                                    57
    EASTERBROOK, Circuit Judge, dissenting. I joined Judge
    Bauer’s opinion for the panel, United States v. Kindle, 
    698 F.3d 401
     (7th Cir. 2012), and still agree with his views, so I join his
    dissent from the en banc decision.
    My colleagues continue to employ, and extend, the ap-
    proach adopted by United States v. Hollingsworth, 
    27 F.3d 1196
     (7th Cir. 1994) (en banc). I was not persuaded by Hol-
    lingsworth at the time (see 
    27 F.3d at
    1211–13; I also joined
    most of Judge Ripple’s dissent, 
    27 F.3d at
    1213–19) and am
    not persuaded now. Jacobson v. United States, 
    503 U.S. 540
    (1992), remains the Supreme Court’s most recent analysis of
    entrapment. We should apply the doctrine as the Justices
    stated it rather than adopt local elaborations.
    Mayfield demonstrated that he was willing to rob stash
    houses, even at great risk to himself, if the price was right.
    That he waited until the anticipated gains made the venture
    attractive does not allow a jury to find entrapment under Ja-
    cobson’s approach. No ordinarily law-abiding person would
    have agreed to a plan that, as the venture was described, en-
    tailed a considerable risk of violence to others, including the
    need to deal with the stash house’s three armed guards (po-
    tentially by killing them), and a substantial risk of injury or
    death to oneself if the guards could not be overcome. May-
    field contends that he planned to rob only the courier, but
    even that would have encountered armed resistance. By de-
    picting the robbery as likely to be forcibly resisted, Potts and
    Gomez ensured that only someone predisposed to violent
    crime would join the venture. Nothing that Potts or Gomez
    said to Mayfield implanted, or could have created, a disposi-
    58                                              No. 11-2439
    tion to commit mayhem in order to reap financial rewards.
    Mayfield assembled and armed a strike team; the district
    judge properly treated him as a leader, not (as Jacobson re-
    quires for entrapment) a person whose will was worn down
    and finally overborne.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 11-2439

Citation Numbers: 771 F.3d 417

Judges: Sykes

Filed Date: 11/13/2014

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

Authorities (38)

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