Sierra Club v. FERC , 867 F.3d 1357 ( 2017 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued April 18, 2017                Decided August 22, 2017
    No. 16-1329
    SIERRA CLUB, ET AL.,
    PETITIONERS
    v.
    FEDERAL ENERGY REGULATORY COMMISSION,
    RESPONDENT
    DUKE ENERGY FLORIDA, LLC, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    Consolidated with 16-1387
    On Petitions for Review of Orders of the
    Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    Elizabeth F. Benson argued the cause for petitioners Sierra
    Club, et al. With her on the briefs was Eric Huber. Keri N.
    Powell entered an appearance.
    Jonathan Perry Waters argued the cause and filed the brief
    for petitioners G.B.A. Associates, LLC, et al.
    Ross R. Fulton, Attorney, Federal Energy Regulatory
    Commission, argued the cause for respondent. With him on the
    2
    brief were David L. Morenoff, General Counsel, Robert H.
    Solomon, Solicitor, and Nicholas M. Gladd, Attorney. Anand
    Viswanathan, Attorney, entered an appearance.
    Jeremy C. Marwell argued the cause for respondent-
    intervenors. With him on the brief were Michael B. Wigmore,
    James D. Seegers, Gregory F. Miller, P. Martin Teague, James
    H. Jeffries, IV, Charles L. Schlumberger, Sid J. Trant, Anna M.
    Manasco, Brian D. O’Neill, Michael R. Pincus, and William
    Lavarco. Marc J. Ayers and Emily M. Ruzic entered
    appearances.
    Mohammad O. Jazil and David W. Childs were on the brief
    for amicus curiae The Florida Reliability Coordinating
    Council, Inc. in support of respondent.
    Before: ROGERS, BROWN, and GRIFFITH, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed by Circuit Judge GRIFFITH.
    Opinion concurring in part and dissenting in part filed by
    Circuit Judge BROWN.
    GRIFFITH, Circuit Judge: Environmental groups and
    landowners have challenged the decision of the Federal Energy
    Regulatory Commission to approve the construction and
    operation of three new interstate natural-gas pipelines in the
    southeastern United States. Their primary argument is that the
    agency’s assessment of the environmental impact of the
    pipelines was inadequate. We agree that FERC’s
    environmental impact statement did not contain enough
    information on the greenhouse-gas emissions that will result
    from burning the gas that the pipelines will carry. In all other
    respects, we conclude that FERC acted properly. We thus grant
    3
    Sierra Club’s petition for review and remand for preparation of
    a conforming environmental impact statement.
    I
    The Southeast Market Pipelines Project comprises three
    natural-gas pipelines now under construction in Alabama,
    Georgia, and Florida. The linchpin of the project is the Sabal
    Trail pipeline, which will wend its way from Tallapoosa
    County in eastern Alabama, across southwestern Georgia, and
    down to Osceola County, Florida, just south of Orlando: a
    journey of nearly five hundred miles. Sabal Trail will connect
    the other two portions of the project. The first—the Hillabee
    Expansion—will boost the capacity of an existing pipeline in
    Alabama, which will feed gas to Sabal Trail’s upstream end for
    transport to Florida. At the downstream end of Sabal Trail will
    be the Florida Southeast Connection, which will link to a power
    plant in Martin County, Florida, 120 miles away. Shorter spurs
    will join Sabal Trail to other proposed and existing power
    plants and pipeline networks. By its scheduled completion in
    2021, the project will be able to carry over one billion cubic
    feet of natural gas per day.
    The three segments of the project have different owners, 1
    but they share a common purpose: to serve Florida’s growing
    demand for natural gas and the electric power that natural gas
    can generate. At present, only two major natural-gas pipelines
    serve the state, and both are almost at capacity. Two major
    utilities, Florida Power & Light and Duke Energy Florida, have
    1
    Sabal Trail is owned by Spectra Energy Partners, NextEra
    Energy, and Duke Energy; the Hillabee Expansion is owned by the
    Williams Companies; and Florida Southeast Connection is owned by
    NextEra. Duke Energy, and NextEra’s subsidiary Florida Power &
    Light, will also be the project’s primary customers.
    4
    already committed to buying nearly all the gas the project will
    be able to transport. Florida Power & Light claims that without
    this new project, its gas needs will begin to exceed its supply
    this year. But the project’s developers also indicate that the
    increased transport of natural gas will make it possible for
    utilities to retire older, dirtier coal-fired power plants.
    Despite these optimistic predictions, the project has drawn
    opposition from several quarters. Environmental groups fear
    that increased burning of natural gas will hasten climate change
    and its potentially catastrophic consequences. Landowners in
    the pipelines’ path object to the seizure of their property by
    eminent domain. And communities on the project’s route are
    concerned that pipeline facilities will be built in low-income
    and predominantly minority areas already overburdened by
    industrial polluters.
    Section 7 of the Natural Gas Act places these disputes into
    the bailiwick of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    (FERC), which has jurisdiction to approve or deny the
    construction of interstate natural-gas pipelines. See 15 U.S.C.
    § 717f. Before any such pipeline can be built, FERC must grant
    the developer a “certificate of public convenience and
    necessity,” 
    id. § 717f(c)(1)(A),
    also called a Section 7
    certificate, upon a finding that the project will serve the public
    interest, see 
    id. § 717f(e).
    FERC is also empowered to attach
    “reasonable terms and conditions” to the certificate, as
    necessary to protect the public. 
    Id. A certificate
    holder has the
    ability to acquire necessary rights-of-way from unwilling
    landowners by eminent domain proceedings. See 
    id. § 717f(h).
    FERC launched an environmental review of the proposed
    project in the fall of 2013. The agency understood that it would
    need to prepare an environmental impact statement (EIS)
    5
    before approving the project, as the National Environmental
    Policy Act of 1969 (NEPA) requires for each “major Federal
    action[] significantly affecting the quality of the human
    environment.” See 42 U.S.C. § 4332(2)(C). FERC solicited
    public comment and held thirteen public meetings on the
    project’s environmental effects, and made limited
    modifications to the project plan in response to public
    concerns, before releasing a draft impact statement in
    September 2015 and a final impact statement in December
    2015. In the meantime, the pipeline developers formally
    applied for their Section 7 certificates in September and
    November 2014.
    In the Certificate Order, issued on February 2, 2016, FERC
    granted the requested Section 7 certificates and approved
    construction of all three project segments, subject to
    compliance with various conditions not at issue here. Order
    Issuing Certificates and Approving Abandonment, Fla. Se.
    Connection, LLC, 154 FERC ¶ 61,080 (2016) (Certificate
    Order). This order recognized a number of parties as
    intervenors in the agency proceedings, among them three
    environmental groups (Sierra Club, Flint Riverkeeper, and
    Chattahoochee Riverkeeper) and two Georgia landowners
    whose land Sabal Trail will cross (GBA Associates and K.
    Gregory Isaacs). These parties timely sought rehearing and a
    stay of construction; FERC agreed to entertain their arguments
    but denied a stay. Construction on the pipelines began in
    August 2016. On September 7, 2016, FERC issued its
    Rehearing Order, denying rehearing and declining to rescind
    the pipelines’ certificates. Order on Rehearing, Fla. Se.
    Connection, LLC, 156 FERC ¶ 61,160 (2016) (Rehearing
    Order).
    6
    Both the environmental groups (collectively, “Sierra
    Club”) and the landowners timely petitioned our court for
    review of the Certificate Order and the Rehearing Order. Sierra
    Club argues that FERC’s environmental impact statement
    failed to adequately consider the project’s contribution to
    greenhouse-gas emissions and its impact on low-income and
    minority communities. Sierra Club also contends that Sabal
    Trail’s service rates were based on an invalid methodology.
    The landowners allege further oversights in the EIS, dispute the
    public need for the project, and assert that FERC used an
    insufficiently transparent process to approve the pipeline
    certificates. Their petitions were consolidated before us.
    II
    We have jurisdiction to hear these petitions under the
    Natural Gas Act. See 15 U.S.C. § 717r(b). Any party to a
    proceeding under the Act who is “aggrieved” by a FERC order
    may petition for review of that order in our court, provided that
    they first seek rehearing before FERC. 
    Id. § 717r(a)-(b).
    Sierra
    Club was an intervenor in the proceedings on all three pipeline
    applications, see Certificate Order App. A, and the landowner
    petitioners were intervenors in the Sabal Trail proceedings, see
    
    id. A party
    is “aggrieved” by a FERC order if it challenges the
    order under NEPA and asserts an environmental harm. See
    Gunpowder Riverkeeper v. FERC, 
    807 F.3d 267
    , 273-74 (D.C.
    Cir. 2015). A landowner forced to choose between selling to a
    FERC-certified developer and undergoing eminent domain
    proceedings is also “aggrieved” within the meaning of the Act.
    See B&J Oil & Gas v. FERC, 
    353 F.3d 71
    , 75 (D.C. Cir. 2004);
    Moreau v. FERC, 
    982 F.2d 556
    , 564 n.3 (D.C. Cir. 1993).
    7
    Sierra Club falls into the former camp, and the Georgia
    landowners into the latter.
    We also have an independent duty to ensure that at least
    one petitioner has standing under Article III of the Constitution.
    See Ams. for Safe Access v. DEA, 
    706 F.3d 438
    , 442-43 (D.C.
    Cir. 2013). A petitioner invoking federal-court jurisdiction has
    the burden to establish that she has suffered an injury in fact
    that is fairly traceable to the challenged action of the defendant
    and “likely” to be redressed by a favorable judicial decision.
    WildEarth Guardians v. Jewell, 
    738 F.3d 298
    , 305 (D.C. Cir.
    2013). And an association, like Sierra Club, can sue on behalf
    of its members if at least one member would have standing to
    sue in her own right, the organization is suing to vindicate
    interests “germane to its purpose,” and nothing about the claim
    asserted or the relief requested requires an individual member
    to be a party. Sierra Club v. FERC, 
    827 F.3d 36
    , 43 (D.C. Cir.
    2016). On direct review of agency action, an association can
    establish its standing by having its individual members submit
    affidavits to accompany the association’s opening brief. See
    Pub. Citizen, Inc. v. Nat’l Highway Traffic Safety Admin., 
    489 F.3d 1279
    , 1289 (D.C. Cir. 2007).
    Several individual Sierra Club members submitted such
    affidavits, explaining how the pipeline project would harm
    their “concrete aesthetic and recreational interests.” 
    WildEarth, 738 F.3d at 305
    . For example, one member, Robin Koon,
    explained that the Sabal Trail pipeline will cross his property
    (on an easement taken by eminent domain), that construction
    noise will impair his enjoyment of his daily activities, and that
    trees shading his house will be permanently removed. Other
    Sierra Club members similarly averred that the pipeline project
    will affect their homes and daily lives. “Such credible claims
    of exposure to increased noise and its disruption of daily
    8
    activities, backed up by specific factual representations in an
    affidavit or declaration, are sufficient to satisfy Article III’s
    injury-in-fact requirement.” Sierra 
    Club, 827 F.3d at 44
    . And
    nobody disputes that the prevention of this sort of injury is
    germane to Sierra Club’s conservation-oriented purposes, or
    cites any reason why these individual members would need to
    join the petition in their own names.
    Because they allege concrete injury from FERC’s order
    certifying the pipeline project, and because that certification
    was based on an allegedly inadequate environmental impact
    statement, these Sierra Club members, and therefore Sierra
    Club itself, have standing to object to any deficiency in the
    environmental impact statement. 2 See WildEarth 
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 306-08
    . The deficiency need not be directly tied to
    the members’ specific injuries. For example, Sierra Club may
    argue that FERC did not adequately consider the pipelines’
    contribution to climate change. See 
    id. The members’
    injuries
    are caused by the allegedly unlawful Certificate Order, and
    would be redressed by vacatur of that order on the basis of any
    defect in the environmental impact statement. See 
    id. at 308.
    3
    2
    Though GBA Associates and Isaacs raise different arguments
    as to why the Certificate and Rehearing Orders are unlawful, the
    standing analysis does not differ for them, as they seek the same
    remedy and allege similar injuries to their property interests.
    3
    The same reasoning goes for Sierra Club’s argument that
    FERC used an arbitrary and capricious methodology in determining
    Sabal Trail’s initial rates. A finding that FERC failed to justify its
    approach to this issue would lead us to “hold unlawful and set aside”
    Sabal Trail’s certificate, see 5 U.S.C. § 706(2), which would in turn
    redress the Sierra Club members’ environmentally based injuries in
    fact. See Ctr. for Biological Diversity v. U.S. Dep’t of Interior, 
    563 F.3d 466
    , 479 (D.C. Cir. 2009) (finding Article III standing on the
    9
    Transco, owner of the Hillabee Expansion, argues that no
    Sierra Club member has alleged an injury caused by Transco’s
    section of the overall project, which would suggest that Sierra
    Club lacks standing to seek the vacatur of Hillabee’s certificate.
    Transco thus implicitly argues that the Certificate Order is
    severable. Under this view, if Sierra Club succeeds on the
    merits, but has standing to challenge only Sabal Trail’s
    certificate, we could vacate only the portion of the Certificate
    Order pertaining to Sabal Trail, and leave the rest intact.
    The question whether an agency order is severable turns
    on the agency’s intent. See Epsilon Elecs., Inc. v. U.S. Dep’t of
    Treasury, 
    857 F.3d 913
    , 929 (D.C. Cir. 2017). “Where there is
    substantial doubt that the agency would have adopted the same
    disposition regarding the unchallenged portion if the
    challenged portion were subtracted, partial affirmance is
    improper.” 
    Id. (quoting North
    Carolina v. FERC, 
    730 F.2d 790
    ,
    795-96 (D.C. Cir. 1984)). Since the beginning of its
    environmental review, FERC has treated the project as a single,
    integrated proposal. See Notice of Intent to Prepare an
    Environmental Impact Statement for the Planned Southeast
    Market Pipelines Project, 79 Fed. Reg. 10,793, 10,794 (Feb.
    26, 2014) (explaining that FERC would prepare a single EIS
    for the three pipelines, to help the agency determine “whether
    the SMP Project is in the public convenience and necessity”).
    That characterization carried through to the Certificate Order.
    See J.A. 1075 (describing the pipelines as “separate but
    connected” and noting that the Hillabee Expansion’s purpose
    grounds that an agency’s “irrationally based” permitting program
    threatened the arctic animals that the petitioners wanted to observe,
    and that “setting aside and remanding” the program would redress
    this threat).
    10
    is to give Sabal Trail’s customers access to upstream gas
    supplies); J.A. 1096 (explaining that in the absence of Sabal
    Trail, existing pipelines will not be able to deliver the gas that
    the Florida Southeast Connection requires).
    We substantially doubt that FERC would have approved
    the Southeast Market Pipelines Project only in part, and we
    especially doubt that the agency would have certified either of
    the other two segments if Sabal Trail were not part of the
    project. Because Sierra Club and the landowners have alleged
    injury-in-fact caused by Sabal Trail, and because the
    Certificate Order is not severable, both sets of petitioners have
    standing to challenge the Certificate Order as a whole.
    Having concluded that we have jurisdiction to entertain all
    of petitioners’ claims, we turn to the merits of those claims.
    III
    Both sets of petitioners rely heavily on the National
    Environmental Policy Act of 1969, Pub. L. No. 91-190, 83 Stat.
    852 (1970). NEPA “declares a broad national commitment to
    protecting and promoting environmental quality,” and brings
    that commitment to bear on the operations of the federal
    government. Robertson v. Methow Valley Citizens Council,
    
    490 U.S. 332
    , 348 (1989). The statute “commands agencies to
    imbue their decisionmaking, through the use of certain
    procedures, with our country’s commitment to environmental
    salubrity.” Citizens Against Burlington, Inc. v. Busey, 
    938 F.2d 190
    , 193-94 (D.C. Cir. 1991). One of the most important
    procedures NEPA mandates is the preparation, as part of every
    “major Federal action[] significantly affecting the quality of the
    human environment,” of a “detailed statement” discussing and
    11
    disclosing the environmental impact of the action. 42 U.S.C.
    § 4332(2)(C).
    This environmental impact statement, as it has come to be
    called, has two purposes. It forces the agency to take a “hard
    look” at the environmental consequences of its actions,
    including alternatives to its proposed course. See 
    id. § 4332(2)(C)(iii);
    Balt. Gas & Elec. Co. v. Nat. Res. Def.
    Council, Inc., 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 97 (1983). It also ensures that these
    environmental consequences, and the agency’s consideration
    of them, are disclosed to the public. See WildEarth 
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 302
    . Importantly, though, NEPA “directs agencies
    only to look hard at the environmental effects of their
    decisions, and not to take one type of action or another.”
    Citizens Against 
    Burlington, 938 F.2d at 194
    . That is, the
    statute is primarily information-forcing.
    The role of the courts in reviewing agency compliance
    with NEPA is accordingly limited. Furthermore, because
    NEPA does not create a private right of action, we can entertain
    NEPA-based challenges only under the Administrative
    Procedure Act and its deferential standard of review. See
    Theodore Roosevelt Conservation P’ship v. Salazar, 
    616 F.3d 497
    , 507 (D.C. Cir. 2010). That is, our mandate “is ‘simply to
    ensure that the agency has adequately considered and disclosed
    the environmental impact of its actions and that its decision is
    not arbitrary or capricious.’” WildEarth 
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 308
    (quoting City of Olmsted Falls v. FAA, 
    292 F.3d 261
    ,
    269 (D.C. Cir. 2002)). We should not “‘flyspeck’ an agency’s
    environmental analysis, looking for any deficiency no matter
    how minor.” Nevada v. Dep’t of Energy, 
    457 F.3d 78
    , 93 (D.C.
    Cir. 2006) (citation omitted).
    12
    But at the same time, we are responsible for holding
    agencies to the standard the statute establishes. An EIS is
    deficient, and the agency action it undergirds is arbitrary and
    capricious, if the EIS does not contain “sufficient discussion of
    the relevant issues and opposing viewpoints,” 
    Nevada, 457 F.3d at 93
    (quoting Nat. Res. Def. Council v. Hodel, 
    865 F.2d 288
    , 294 (D.C. Cir. 1988)), or if it does not demonstrate
    “reasoned decisionmaking,” Del. Riverkeeper Network v.
    FERC, 
    753 F.3d 1304
    , 1313 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (quoting Found.
    on Econ. Trends v. Heckler, 
    756 F.2d 143
    , 154 (D.C. Cir.
    1985)). The overarching question is whether an EIS’s
    deficiencies are significant enough to undermine informed
    public comment and informed decisionmaking. See 
    Nevada, 457 F.3d at 93
    . This is NEPA’s “rule of reason.” See Dep’t of
    Transp. v. Pub. Citizen, 
    541 U.S. 752
    , 767 (2004).
    With those principles in mind, we direct our attention to
    the specific deficiencies the petitioners have alleged in the EIS
    for the Southeast Market Pipelines Project. As noted above,
    FERC prepared a single unified EIS for the project’s three
    pipelines, and no party has challenged that approach. Thus, for
    purposes of our NEPA analysis, we will consider the project as
    a whole.
    A
    The principle of environmental justice encourages
    agencies to consider whether the projects they sanction will
    have a “disproportionately high and adverse” impact on low-
    income and predominantly minority communities. 4 See J.A.
    1353-54. Executive Order 12,898 required federal agencies to
    4
    Like petitioners, we refer to these two types of community
    collectively as “environmental-justice communities.”
    13
    include environmental-justice analysis in their NEPA reviews,
    and the Council on Environmental Quality, the independent
    agency that implements NEPA, see 42 U.S.C. § 4344, has
    promulgated environmental-justice guidance for agencies, see
    J.A. 1369-78.
    Sierra Club argues that the EIS failed to adequately take
    this principle into account. Like the other components of an
    EIS, an environmental justice analysis is measured against the
    arbitrary-and-capricious standard. See Cmtys. Against Runway
    Expansion, Inc. v. FAA, 
    355 F.3d 678
    , 689 (D.C. Cir. 2004).5
    The analysis must be “reasonable and adequately explained,”
    but the agency’s “choice among reasonable analytical
    methodologies is entitled to deference.” 
    Id. As always
    with
    NEPA, an agency is not required to select the course of action
    that best serves environmental justice, only to take a “hard
    look” at environmental justice issues. See Latin Ams. for Social
    & Econ. Dev. v. Fed. Highway Admin., 
    756 F.3d 447
    , 475-77
    (6th Cir. 2014). We conclude that FERC’s discussion of
    environmental justice in the EIS satisfies this standard.
    The EIS explained that 83.7% of the pipelines’ proposed
    route would cross through, or within one mile of,
    environmental-justice communities (defined as census tracts
    where the population is disproportionately below the poverty
    line and/or disproportionately belongs to racial or ethnic
    minority groups). That percentage varied from 54 to 80 percent
    for the alternative routes proposed by stakeholders and
    5
    Because FERC voluntarily performed an environmental-
    justice review, we need not decide whether Executive Order 12,898
    is binding on FERC. See Runway 
    Expansion, 355 F.3d at 689
    (explaining that arbitrary-and-capricious analysis applies to every
    section of an EIS, even sections included solely at the agency’s
    discretion).
    14
    commenters, albeit with only one option below 70 percent.
    This type of data appeared not only in the section of the EIS
    specifically dedicated to environmental justice, but also in the
    chapter that compared the various alternative routes. That later
    chapter weighed environmental-justice statistics alongside
    factors like total route length, wetlands impact, and the number
    of homes near the route. It also discussed one additional
    proposed route, which would cross the Gulf of Mexico and
    avoid Georgia completely. This option would affect far fewer
    environmental-justice communities, but in FERC’s assessment
    would be infeasible because it would cost an additional two
    billion dollars.
    FERC concluded that the various feasible alternatives
    “would affect a relatively similar percentage of environmental
    justice populations,” and that the preferred route thus would not
    have a disproportionate impact on those populations. See J.A.
    836. The agency also independently concluded that the project
    would not have a “high and adverse” impact on any population,
    meaning, in the agency’s view, that it could not have a
    “disproportionately high and adverse” impact on any
    population, marginalized or otherwise. 6
    Sierra    Club    contends      that    FERC        misread
    “disproportionately high and adverse,” the standard for when a
    particular environmental effect raises an environmental-justice
    concern. By Sierra Club’s lights, any effect can fulfill the test,
    regardless of its intensity, extent, or duration, if it is not
    beneficial and falls disproportionately on environmental-
    6
    Sierra Club argues that the project will in fact have “high and
    adverse” impacts, but does so only in a brief and cursory fashion. See
    CTS Corp. v. EPA, 
    759 F.3d 52
    , 64 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (explaining that
    we need not address cursory arguments).
    15
    justice communities. But even if we assume that understanding
    to be correct, we cannot see how this EIS was deficient. It
    discussed the intensity, extent, and duration of the pipelines’
    environmental effects, and also separately discussed the fact
    that those effects will disproportionately fall on environmental-
    justice communities. Recall that the EIS informed readers and
    the agency’s ultimate decisionmakers that 83.7% of the
    pipelines’ length would be in or near environmental-justice
    communities. The EIS also evaluated route alternatives in part
    by looking at the number of environmental-justice
    communities each would cross, and the mileage of pipeline
    each would place in low-income and minority areas. FERC
    thus grappled with the disparate impacts of the various possible
    pipeline routes. Perhaps Sierra Club would have a stronger
    claim if the agency had refused entirely to discuss the
    demographics of the populations that will feel the pipelines’
    effects, and had justified this refusal by pointing to the limited
    intensity, extent, and duration of those effects. However, as the
    EIS stands, we see no deficiencies serious enough to defeat the
    statute’s goals of fostering well-informed decisionmaking and
    public comment. See 
    Nevada, 457 F.3d at 93
    .
    The same goes for Sierra Club’s other arguments. The
    agency’s methodology was reasonable, even where it deviated
    from what Sierra Club would have preferred. See Runway
    
    Expansion, 355 F.3d at 689
    . Take the agency’s decision to
    compare the demographics along the various proposed routes
    to each other instead of “the general population.” Sierra Club
    Opening Br. 18. An EIS is meant to help agency heads choose
    among the relevant alternatives, including the alternative of
    taking no action, and to help the public weigh in. Thus, FERC’s
    decision to directly compare the proposed alternatives to one
    another, rather than to some broader population, was
    reasonable under the circumstances. See 
    id. (approving an
                                   16
    environmental-justice review that compared “the population
    predicted to be affected by . . . [a] project to the demographics
    of the population that otherwise might conceivably be affected”
    by the project). Another methodology might be more
    appropriate in a case where some feasible alternative, with a
    lower environmental-justice impact, has been left out of the
    analysis. However, no party has offered any such alternative
    here.
    Sierra Club is particularly concerned about Sabal Trail’s
    plan to build a compressor station (a facility that helps “pump”
    gas along the pipeline, and gives off air and noise pollution
    while doing so) in an African American neighborhood of
    Albany, Dougherty County, Georgia. The agency identified
    environmental-justice communities by looking at the
    demographics of census tracts, which are county subdivisions
    created to organize census data. The neighborhood in question
    is a 100% African American census block, an even smaller
    census subdivision, but because it sits in the midst of a
    majority-white census tract, FERC did not designate it an
    environmental-justice community. Sierra Club’s objection to
    this omission elevates form over substance. The goal of an
    environmental-justice analysis is satisfied if an agency
    recognizes and discusses a project’s impacts on predominantly-
    minority communities, even if it does not formally label each
    such community an “environmental justice community.”
    FERC did recognize the existence and demographics of the
    neighborhood in question, and discussed the neighborhood
    extensively. The EIS listed community features, including
    subdivisions, schools, and churches, along with their distances
    from the proposed compressor station, and explained that the
    station’s noise and air-quality effects on these locations were
    expected to remain within acceptable limits.
    17
    More persuasive is Sierra Club’s argument that FERC
    disregarded the extent to which Dougherty County is already
    overburdened with pollution sources. A letter to FERC from
    four members of Georgia’s congressional delegation cites the
    grim statistics: southern Dougherty County has 259 hazardous-
    waste facilities, 78 air-polluting facilities, 20 toxic-polluting
    facilities, and 16 water-polluting facilities. The EIS did not
    mention these existing polluters in its discussion of Dougherty
    County. Sierra Club thus argues that FERC inadequately
    considered the project’s “cumulative impacts,” that is, its
    effects taken in combination with existing environmental
    hazards in the same area. See 40 C.F.R. § 1508.7; Del.
    
    Riverkeeper, 753 F.3d at 1319-20
    .
    Perhaps FERC could have said more, but the discussion it
    undertook of the cumulative impacts of the proposed route
    fulfilled NEPA’s goal of guiding informed decisionmaking.
    The EIS acknowledged that the Sabal Trail project will
    generate air pollution and noise pollution in Albany, and it
    projected cumulative levels of both of these types of pollution
    from all sources in the vicinity of the compressor station,
    finding that both would remain below harmful thresholds. 7 We
    are sensitive to Sierra Club’s broader contention that it is unjust
    to locate a polluting facility in a community that already has a
    high concentration of polluting facilities, even if those older
    7
    FERC appropriately relied on EPA’s national ambient air
    quality standards (NAAQS) as a standard of comparison for air-
    quality impacts. By presenting the project’s expected emissions
    levels and the NAAQS standards side-by-side, the EIS enabled
    decisionmakers and the public to meaningfully evaluate the project’s
    air-pollution effects by reference to a generally accepted standard.
    See Runway 
    Expansion, 355 F.3d at 689
    (explaining that in an
    environmental-justice analysis, the agency’s “choice among
    reasonable analytical methodologies is entitled to deference”).
    18
    facilities produce pollution of a different type or in different
    locations. We note, however, that FERC took seriously
    commenters’ concerns about locating Sabal Trail facilities in
    Dougherty County. The agency reopened the comment period
    on the EIS to seek input on relocating the compressor station,
    and then actually secured Sabal Trail’s agreement to relocate
    the station, moving it in part to mitigate effects on
    environmental-justice communities. The EIS also considered
    four route alternatives proposed by Sierra Club and its fellow
    environmental petitioners that would have partially or
    completely avoided Albany, but rejected them all, mainly on
    the ground that they would have had a greater overall impact
    on residences and populated areas.
    To sum up, the EIS acknowledged and considered the
    substance of all the concerns Sierra Club now raises: the fact
    that the Southeast Market Pipelines Project will travel
    primarily through low-income and minority communities, and
    the impact of the pipeline on the city of Albany and Dougherty
    County in particular. The EIS also laid out a variety of
    alternative approaches with potential to address those concerns,
    including those proposed by petitioners, and explained why, in
    FERC’s view, they would do more harm than good. The EIS
    also gave the public and agency decisionmakers the qualitative
    and quantitative tools they needed to make an informed choice
    for themselves. NEPA requires nothing more.
    B
    It’s not just the journey, though, it’s also the destination.
    All the natural gas that will travel through these pipelines will
    be going somewhere: specifically, to power plants in Florida,
    some of which already exist, others of which are in the planning
    stages. Those power plants will burn the gas, generating both
    19
    electricity and carbon dioxide. And once in the atmosphere,
    that carbon dioxide will add to the greenhouse effect, which the
    EIS describes as “the primary contributing factor” in global
    climate change. J.A. 915. The next question before us is
    whether, and to what extent, the EIS for this pipeline project
    needed to discuss these “downstream” effects of the pipelines
    and their cargo. We conclude that at a minimum, FERC should
    have estimated the amount of power-plant carbon emissions
    that the pipelines will make possible.
    An agency conducting a NEPA review must consider not
    only the direct effects, but also the indirect environmental
    effects, of the project under consideration. See 40 C.F.R.
    § 1502.16(b). “Indirect effects” are those that “are caused by
    the [project] and are later in time or farther removed in
    distance, but are still reasonably foreseeable.” 
    Id. § 1508.8(b).
    The phrase “reasonably foreseeable” is the key here. Effects
    are reasonably foreseeable if they are “sufficiently likely to
    occur that a person of ordinary prudence would take [them] into
    account in reaching a decision.” EarthReports, Inc. v. FERC,
    
    828 F.3d 949
    , 955 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (citation omitted).
    What are the “reasonably foreseeable” effects of
    authorizing a pipeline that will transport natural gas to Florida
    power plants? First, that gas will be burned in those power
    plants. This is not just “reasonably foreseeable,” it is the
    project’s entire purpose, as the pipeline developers themselves
    explain. See Intervenor Br. 4-5 (explaining that the project
    “will provide capacity to transport natural gas to the electric
    generating plants of two Florida utilities”). It is just as
    foreseeable, and FERC does not dispute, that burning natural
    gas will release into the atmosphere the sorts of carbon
    compounds that contribute to climate change.
    20
    The pipeline developers deny that FERC would be the
    legally relevant cause of any power plant carbon emissions, and
    thus contend that FERC had no obligation to consider those
    emissions in its NEPA analysis. They rely on Department of
    Transportation v. Public Citizen, 
    541 U.S. 752
    (2004), a case
    involving the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration’s
    development of safety standards for Mexican trucks operating
    in the United States. The agency had proposed those standards
    because the President planned to lift a moratorium on Mexican
    motor carriers operating in this country. These standards would
    require roadside inspections, which had the potential to create
    adverse environmental effects. The agency’s EIS discussed the
    effects of these roadside inspections, but Public Citizen
    contended that the EIS was also required to address the
    environmental effects of increased truck traffic between the
    two countries. See 
    id. at 765.
    The Supreme Court sided with the agency. The Court
    noted that the agency would have no statutory authority to
    exclude Mexican trucks from the United States once the
    President lifted the moratorium; it would only have power to
    set safety rules for those trucks. See 
    id. at 766-67.
    And because
    the agency could not exclude Mexican trucks from the United
    States, it would have no reason to gather data about the
    environmental harms of admitting them. The purpose of NEPA
    is to help agencies and the public make informed decisions. But
    when the agency has no legal power to prevent a certain
    environmental effect, there is no decision to inform, and the
    agency need not analyze the effect in its NEPA review. See 
    id. at 770.
    We recently applied the Public Citizen rule in three
    challenges to FERC decisions licensing liquefied natural gas
    (LNG) terminals. See Sierra Club v. FERC (Freeport), 827
    
    21 F.3d 36
    (D.C. Cir. 2016); Sierra Club v. FERC (Sabine Pass),
    
    827 F.3d 59
    (D.C. Cir. 2016); EarthReports, Inc. v. FERC, 
    828 F.3d 949
    (D.C. Cir. 2016). Companies can export natural gas
    from the United States through an LNG terminal, but such
    natural gas exports require a license from the Department of
    Energy. See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 40
    . They also require
    physical upgrades to a terminal’s facilities. The Department of
    Energy has delegated to FERC the authority to license those
    upgrades. See 
    id. A question
    presented to us in all of these cases
    was whether FERC, in licensing physical upgrades for an LNG
    terminal, needed to evaluate the climate-change effects of
    exporting natural gas. Relying on Public Citizen, we answered
    no in each case. FERC had no legal authority to consider the
    environmental effects of those exports, and thus no NEPA
    obligation stemming from those effects. See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    ; accord Sabine 
    Pass, 827 F.3d at 68-69
    ; 
    EarthReports, 828 F.3d at 956
    .
    An agency has no obligation to gather or consider
    environmental information if it has no statutory authority to act
    on that information. That rule was the touchstone of Public
    Citizen, 
    see 541 U.S. at 767-68
    , and it distinguishes this case
    from the LNG-terminal trilogy. Contrary to our dissenting
    colleague’s view, our holding in the LNG cases was not based
    solely on the fact that a second agency’s approval was
    necessary before the environmental effect at issue could
    occur. 8 Rather, Freeport and its companion cases rested on the
    8
    We also note that Florida Power & Light, which expects to be
    one of the pipelines’ two primary customers, represented to FERC
    that “its commitments on Sabal Trail’s and Florida Southeast’s
    systems are to provide gas to existing natural gas-fired plants.”
    Certificate Order ¶ 85, J.A. 1100. So even if the dissent were correct
    that Florida regulators’ authority over power-plant construction
    excuses FERC from considering emissions from new or expanded
    22
    premise that FERC had no legal authority to prevent the
    adverse environmental effects of natural gas exports. See
    
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    .
    This raises the question: what did the Freeport court mean
    by its statement that FERC could not prevent the effects of
    exports? After all, FERC did have legal authority to deny an
    upgrade license for a natural gas export terminal. See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 40
    -41. And without such an upgrade license,
    neither gas exports nor their environmental effects could have
    occurred.
    The answer must be that FERC was forbidden to rely on
    the effects of gas exports as a justification for denying an
    upgrade license. Cf. Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Ass’n of U.S. v. State
    Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 
    463 U.S. 29
    , 43 (1983) (explaining
    that an agency acts arbitrarily and capriciously if it makes a
    decision based on “factors which Congress had not intended it
    to consider”). The holding in Freeport, then, turned not on the
    question “What activities does FERC regulate?” but instead on
    the question “What factors can FERC consider when regulating
    in its proper sphere?” In the LNG cases, FERC was acting not
    on its own statutory authority but under a narrow delegation
    from the Department of Energy. See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 40
    -
    41. Thus, the agency would have acted unlawfully had it
    refused an upgrade license on grounds that it did not have
    delegated authority to consider. See State 
    Farm, 463 U.S. at 43
    .
    Here, FERC is not so limited. Congress broadly instructed
    the agency to consider “the public convenience and necessity”
    power plants, that argument would not apply to the significant
    portion of these pipelines’ capacity that is earmarked for existing
    plants.
    23
    when evaluating applications to construct and operate interstate
    pipelines. See 15 U.S.C. § 717f(e). FERC will balance “the
    public benefits against the adverse effects of the project,” see
    Minisink Residents for Envtl. Pres. & Safety v. FERC, 
    762 F.3d 97
    , 101-02 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (internal quotation marks omitted),
    including adverse environmental effects, see Myersville
    Citizens for a Rural Cmty. v. FERC, 
    783 F.3d 1301
    , 1309 (D.C.
    Cir. 2015). Because FERC could deny a pipeline certificate on
    the ground that the pipeline would be too harmful to the
    environment, the agency is a “legally relevant cause” of the
    direct and indirect environmental effects of pipelines it
    approves. See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    . Public Citizen thus did
    not excuse FERC from considering these indirect effects. 9
    FERC next raises a practical objection, arguing that it is
    impossible to know exactly what quantity of greenhouse gases
    will be emitted as a result of this project being approved. True,
    that number depends on several uncertain variables, including
    the operating decisions of individual plants and the demand for
    electricity in the region. But we have previously held that
    NEPA analysis necessarily involves some “reasonable
    forecasting,” and that agencies may sometimes need to make
    educated assumptions about an uncertain future. See Del.
    
    Riverkeeper, 753 F.3d at 1310
    . Indeed, FERC has already
    estimated how much gas the pipelines will transport: about one
    9
    The dissent contends that if FERC refused to approve these
    pipelines, Florida utilities would find a way to deliver an equivalent
    amount of natural gas to the state regardless. See Dissenting Op. 7.
    This argument, however, does not bear on the question whether
    FERC is legally authorized to consider downstream environmental
    effects when evaluating a Section 7 certificate application. In any
    case, the record suggests that there is no other viable means of
    delivering the amount of gas these pipelines propose to deliver. See
    J.A. 920-25.
    24
    million dekatherms (roughly 1.1 billion cubic feet) per day.
    The EIS gave no reason why this number could not be used to
    estimate greenhouse-gas emissions from the power plants, and
    even cited a Department of Energy report that gives emissions
    estimates per unit of energy generated for various types of
    plant.
    We conclude that the EIS for the Southeast Market
    Pipelines Project should have either given a quantitative
    estimate of the downstream greenhouse emissions that will
    result from burning the natural gas that the pipelines will
    transport or explained more specifically why it could not have
    done so. As we have noted, greenhouse-gas emissions are an
    indirect effect of authorizing this project, which FERC could
    reasonably foresee, and which the agency has legal authority to
    mitigate. See 15 U.S.C. § 717f(e). The EIS accordingly needed
    to include a discussion of the “significance” of this indirect
    effect, see 40 C.F.R. § 1502.16(b), as well as “the incremental
    impact of the action when added to other past, present, and
    reasonably foreseeable future actions,” see WildEarth
    
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 309
    (quoting 40 C.F.R. § 1508.7).
    Quantification would permit the agency to compare the
    emissions from this project to emissions from other projects, to
    total emissions from the state or the region, or to regional or
    national emissions-control goals. Without such comparisons, it
    is difficult to see how FERC could engage in “informed
    decision making” with respect to the greenhouse-gas effects of
    this project, or how “informed public comment” could be
    possible. See 
    Nevada, 457 F.3d at 93
    ; see also WildEarth
    
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 309
    (accepting an agency’s contention
    that the “estimated level of [greenhouse-gas] emissions can
    serve as a reasonable proxy for assessing potential climate
    change impacts, and provide decision makers and the public
    25
    with useful information for a reasoned choice among
    alternatives”).
    We do not hold that quantification of greenhouse-gas
    emissions is required every time those emissions are an indirect
    effect of an agency action. We understand that in some cases
    quantification may not be feasible. See, e.g., Sierra Club v. U.S.
    Dep’t of Energy, --- F.3d ---, No. 15-1489, slip op. at 22 (D.C.
    Cir. Aug. 15, 2017). But FERC has not provided a satisfactory
    explanation for why this is such a case. We understand that
    “emission estimates would be largely influenced by
    assumptions rather than direct parameters about the project,”
    see J.A. 916, but some educated assumptions are inevitable in
    the NEPA process, see Scientists’ Inst. for Pub. Info. v. Atomic
    Energy Comm’n, 
    481 F.2d 1079
    , 1092 (D.C. Cir. 1973). And
    the effects of assumptions on estimates can be checked by
    disclosing those assumptions so that readers can take the
    resulting estimates with the appropriate amount of salt. See
    WildEarth 
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 309
    (approving an EIS that
    took this approach).
    Nor is FERC excused from making emissions estimates
    just because the emissions in question might be partially offset
    by reductions elsewhere. We thus do not agree that the EIS was
    absolved from estimating carbon emissions by the fact that
    some of the new pipelines’ transport capacity will make it
    possible for utilities to retire dirtier, coal-fired plants. The
    effects an EIS is required to cover “include those resulting from
    actions which may have both beneficial and detrimental
    effects, even if on balance the agency believes that the effect
    will be beneficial.” 40 C.F.R. § 1508.8. In other words, when
    an agency thinks the good consequences of a project will
    outweigh the bad, the agency still needs to discuss both the
    good and the bad. In any case, the EIS itself acknowledges that
    26
    only “portions” of the pipelines’ capacity will be employed to
    reduce coal consumption. See J.A. 916. An agency
    decisionmaker reviewing this EIS would thus have no way of
    knowing whether total emissions, on net, will be reduced or
    increased by this project, or what the degree of reduction or
    increase will be. In this respect, then, the EIS fails to fulfill its
    primary purpose.
    We also recognize that the power plants in question will
    be subject to “state and federal air permitting processes.” J.A.
    917. But even if we assume that power plants’ greenhouse-gas
    emissions will be subject to regulation in the future, see Exec.
    Order No. 13,783, § 4(a), 82 Fed. Reg. 16,093, 16,095 (Mar.
    28, 2017) (instructing the EPA administrator to consider
    “whether to revise or withdraw” federal regulation of these
    emissions), the existence of permit requirements overseen by
    another federal agency or state permitting authority cannot
    substitute for a proper NEPA analysis. See Calvert Cliffs’
    Coordinating Comm. v. Atomic Energy Comm’n, 
    449 F.2d 1109
    , 1122-23 (D.C. Cir. 1971). In any event, FERC quantified
    the project’s expected emissions of other air pollutants, despite
    the fact that the project will presumably comply with the
    requirements of the Clean Air Act and state air-pollution laws.
    Our discussion so far has explained that FERC must either
    quantify and consider the project’s downstream carbon
    emissions or explain in more detail why it cannot do so. Sierra
    Club proposes a further analytical step. The EIS might have
    tried to link those downstream carbon emissions to particular
    climate impacts, like a rise in the sea level or an increased risk
    of severe storms. The EIS explained that there is no standard
    methodology for making this sort of prediction. Cf. WildEarth
    
    Guardians, 738 F.3d at 309
    (“[C]urrent science does not allow
    for the specificity demanded” by environmental challengers.).
    27
    In its rehearing request, Sierra Club asked FERC to convert
    emissions estimates to concrete harms by way of the Social
    Cost of Carbon. This tool, developed by an interagency
    working group, attempts to value in dollars the long-term harm
    done by each ton of carbon emitted. But FERC has argued in a
    previous EIS that the Social Cost of Carbon is not useful for
    NEPA purposes, because several of its components are
    contested and because not every harm it accounts for is
    necessarily “significant” within the meaning of NEPA. See
    
    EarthReports, 828 F.3d at 956
    . We do not decide whether those
    arguments are applicable in this case as well, because FERC
    did not include them in the EIS that is now before us. On
    remand, FERC should explain in the EIS, as an aid to the
    relevant decisionmakers, whether the position on the Social
    Cost of Carbon that the agency took in EarthReports still holds,
    and why.
    C
    GBA Associates alleges two further flaws in the EIS, but
    we find neither charge persuasive.
    First, the landowners contend that “FERC has erroneously
    limited the scope of its examination of alternatives” to the
    proposed project. GBA Assocs. Br. 21. However, GBA
    provides no arguments in support of this claim, nor does it cite
    any reasonable alternatives that FERC failed to consider. As
    the agency explained, the EIS considered, and ultimately
    rejected, twelve major route alternatives, as well as the “no
    action” alternative. We defer to the agency’s discussion of
    alternatives, and uphold it “so long as the alternatives are
    reasonable and the agency discusses them in reasonable detail.”
    Citizens Against 
    Burlington, 938 F.2d at 196
    . GBA has given
    us no reason to reach any other conclusion here.
    28
    GBA also accuses FERC of giving too little consideration
    to the safety risks involved in the construction of the pipeline,
    and specifically to the fact that in some places, new pipeline
    will cross, or run alongside, existing pipeline. As GBA’s own
    brief recognizes, though, the EIS recognized and discussed the
    risk of pipeline crossings, ultimately concluding that some
    crossings were necessary to minimize impacts on natural
    resources and homes. GBA’s only response is that commenters,
    including the owner of one of the existing pipelines, submitted
    letters to FERC expressing safety concerns. But the EIS
    responded to those comments, and GBA does not explain why
    the responses were insufficient. Again, NEPA does not require
    a particular substantive result, like the elimination of all
    pipeline crossings; it only requires the agency to take a “hard
    look” at the problem. This FERC has done.
    IV
    All of these pipelines, of course, are being built for a
    reason: to make a profit for their shareholders, and their
    shareholders’ shareholders. But the profits they can make are
    constrained by the Natural Gas Act, the “fundamental purpose”
    of which “is to protect natural gas consumers from the
    monopoly power of natural gas pipelines.” Nat’l Fuel Gas
    Supply Corp. v. FERC, 
    468 F.3d 831
    , 833 (D.C. Cir. 2006).
    FERC carries out that purpose by, among other duties,
    regulating the rates that a newly authorized pipeline can charge
    its customers. See Atl. Ref. Co. v. Pub. Serv. Comm’n, 
    360 U.S. 378
    , 388-91 (1959). The rate derives from a complicated
    calculation that boils down to three elements: (1) the pipeline’s
    cost of doing business; (2) the “rate base,” which is roughly the
    total value of the pipeline’s assets; and (3) a rate of return,
    calculated as a percentage of the rate base, that is “sufficient to
    29
    ensure that pipeline investors are fairly compensated.” See N.C.
    Utils. Comm’n v. FERC (NCUC), 
    42 F.3d 659
    , 661 (D.C. Cir.
    1994). These three factors, together, determine the total amount
    of revenue that a pipeline is entitled to earn through the rates it
    charges its customers. See 
    id. 10 Drilling
    down further, we can see that the rate of return
    itself has two main components. Like most businesses, a
    pipeline company is funded by both equity (i.e., investments
    made by shareholders) and debt. See 
    NCUC, 42 F.3d at 661
    . A
    pipeline’s ratio of equity financing to debt financing is called
    its “capital structure.” See 
    id. Typically, equity
    investors will
    earn a higher rate of return than debt investors (i.e., creditors)
    because an equity investment is riskier. See 
    id. at 664;
    MarkWest Pioneer, LLC, 125 FERC ¶ 61,165, at ¶ 27 (2008).
    Therefore, all else being equal, the more a pipeline’s financing
    takes the form of equity, the greater the total amount the
    pipeline will pay its investors, and the higher its rates will be.
    See MarkWest, 125 FERC ¶ 61,165, at ¶ 27. At the same time,
    the more indebted a pipeline is, the greater the risk to its equity
    investors, and the greater the return they will expect. See
    
    NCUC, 42 F.3d at 664
    . So, deciding on the capital structure,
    rate of return on equity, and rate of return on debt for a pipeline
    becomes a delicate balancing act.
    In its original application for a Section 7 certificate, Sabal
    Trail sought to design its rates based on a capital structure with
    60% equity and 40% debt. It anticipated that the interest rate
    10
    For a highly simplified illustration, suppose that the rate base
    is $1 billion and the rate of return allowed is 10%. In that case, the
    pipeline can earn a total annual return of $100 million. Thus, if the
    pipeline’s annual costs are $150 million, then the pipeline can collect
    total annual revenues of $250 million, and can set its rates
    accordingly.
    30
    on its debt would be 6.2%, and proposed to pay a 14% return
    to its equity investors. The weighted average of those two rates
    would yield an overall rate of return of 10.88%.
    FERC, however, felt that a 14% rate of return on equity
    was too high for a pipeline with only 40% debt. (Recall that a
    high rate of return must be justified by a high investment risk,
    and that pipelines with less debt are less risky for equity
    investors.) The agency explained that Sabal Trail could design
    its rates around a 14% return on equity if it wanted to, but only
    if it also changed the proposed capital structure. With a 50%
    equity/50% debt capital structure, FERC explained, a 14% rate
    of return on equity would be reasonable.
    Sierra Club objects to FERC’s decision to allow Sabal
    Trail to base its rates on a “hypothetical capital structure.” It
    argues that, having concluded that Sabal Trail’s proposed
    return on equity was too high, FERC should have either cut the
    rate of return or denied the pipeline a certificate altogether. We
    review FERC’s capital-structure decision under the deferential
    standard of the Administrative Procedure Act, and may disturb
    that decision only if it is “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of
    discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.” See
    
    NCUC, 42 F.3d at 663
    (quoting 5 U.S.C. § 706(2)(A)).
    We think that FERC adequately explained its decision to
    allow Sabal Trail to employ a hypothetical capital structure.
    FERC’s job, when evaluating a proposed rate for a new
    pipeline, is to see that the pipeline’s investors receive a
    reasonable, but not excessive, return on their investment. See
    
    id. at 661.
    The returns must be proportionate to the business
    and financial risk the investors take on: more risk, more reward.
    See id.; MarkWest, 125 FERC ¶ 61,165, at ¶ 27. In the case of
    pipeline financing, as discussed above, the “risk” for investors
    31
    depends in part on the pipeline’s level of indebtedness, and the
    “reward” is the return on equity. If the risk and reward are out
    of alignment, there are two ways to fix the problem: decrease
    the reward by lowering the return on equity, or increase the risk
    by increasing the pipeline’s debt level. FERC determined that
    with a 14% return on equity, and only 40% debt, the risk and
    reward would be out of alignment. As FERC explained, by
    imposing a hypothetical capital structure that raised the debt
    level to 50%, the agency brought the risk and reward into sync.
    Sierra Club’s objection stems, in part, from a
    misunderstanding of FERC’s role in the rate-setting process.
    FERC does not directly control either the pipeline’s return on
    equity or its capital structure. FERC merely approves the initial
    rates the pipeline will charge, a price that is based in part on an
    anticipated return on equity and an anticipated debt level. See
    
    NCUC, 42 F.3d at 661
    , 664; MarkWest, 125 FERC ¶ 61,165, at
    ¶¶ 26-27. So whichever methodology FERC chooses for
    ensuring that risk matches reward—lowering the hypothetical
    return on equity, or raising the hypothetical debt—the practical
    effect is the same: FERC requires the pipeline to charge a lower
    rate than it had originally requested.
    Nothing in our precedent is to the contrary. Sierra Club
    claims that in NCUC we disapproved FERC’s use of a
    hypothetical capital structure. That’s true, but our reasoning
    there is inapposite here. In that case FERC had used a
    hypothetical capital structure to increase, rather than decrease,
    the rates the pipeline could charge, and to “mask an otherwise
    anomalous[ly high] return as something more appealing.” 
    See 42 F.3d at 664
    . We expressly recognized, however, that FERC
    is allowed to do the opposite: use a hypothetical capital
    structure to decrease a pipeline’s proposed rates, in the interest
    of consumer protection. See 
    id. FERC has
    done just that here.
    32
    FERC also acted consistently with its own precedent. Its
    approach in this case was identical to its order in MarkWest.
    See 125 FERC ¶ 61,165, at ¶¶ 26-27. There, too, a pipeline
    proposed a 14% return on equity and a capital structure with
    60% equity and 40% debt. FERC saw the proposed return on
    equity as too high, and rectified the situation by applying a
    hypothetical capital structure with 50% equity and 50% debt.
    See 
    id. Sierra Club
    also points to Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line
    Co., 71 FERC ¶ 61,228 (1995), where FERC explained that its
    “policy is to use the actual capital structure of the entity that
    does the financing for the regulated pipeline,” 
    id. at 61,827
    (emphasis added). But in Panhandle Eastern FERC promoted
    a flexible approach, noting that it “may use a different capital
    structure where the actual capital structure is not representative
    of the pipeline’s risk profile.” See 
    id. at 61,828.
    Panhandle
    Eastern was also decided under section 4 of the Act (which
    governs existing pipelines), rather than section 7 (new
    pipelines), and so is silent on what to do when a pipeline does
    not yet have an “actual capital structure.” 
    Id. at 61,822,
    61,827-
    28. Pine Needle LNG Co., 77 FERC ¶ 61,229 (1996), is also
    cited by Sierra Club but supports FERC’s position, because it
    confirms that FERC has the option to “resort to a hypothetical
    capital structure if the equity ratio of the actual capitalization is
    abnormally high,” 
    id. at 61,916.
    Though we see nothing arbitrary or capricious in FERC’s
    choice to use a hypothetical capital structure in rate-setting,
    substantial evidence must support the capital structure FERC
    ultimately uses in the rate calculation, hypothetical or not. See
    
    NCUC, 42 F.3d at 663
    . FERC explained that a 14% return on
    equity, combined with a 50% equity/50% debt capital structure,
    was justified because FERC had approved the same
    combination of capital structure and return on equity in prior
    33
    cases. We confess to being skeptical that a bare citation to
    precedent, derived from another case and another pipeline,
    qualifies as the requisite “substantial evidence.” See 
    NCUC, 42 F.3d at 664
    (citing Maine Pub. Serv. Co. v. FERC, 
    964 F.2d 5
    ,
    9 (D.C. Cir. 1992), for the proposition that “FERC’s use of a
    particular percentage in a ratemaking calculation was not
    adequately justified by citation of a prior use of the same
    percentage without further reasoning or explanation”).
    However, Sierra Club does not make this argument in its
    opening brief, confining itself to attacking the use of a
    hypothetical capital structure more generally. See Sierra Club
    Opening Br. 43 (“FERC has not stated an adequate explanation
    for allowing a high rate of return based upon a hypothetical
    capital structure.”); see also, e.g., Fox v. Gov’t of Dist. of
    Columbia, 
    794 F.3d 25
    , 30 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (“[W]here a
    litigant has forfeited an argument by not raising it in the
    opening brief, we need not reach it.”). On the arguments
    presented to us, we see no basis for setting aside FERC’s
    ratemaking determination.
    V
    We turn to GBA’s two remaining arguments, both of
    which we find unavailing.
    The landowners challenge FERC’s conclusion that the
    Southeast Market Pipelines Project will serve the public
    convenience and necessity. As mentioned previously, a finding
    that a proposed natural-gas pipeline “is or will be required by
    the present or future public convenience and necessity” is a
    prerequisite for FERC certification. See 15 U.S.C. § 717f(e).
    The “public convenience and necessity” analysis has two
    components. First, the applicant must show that the project will
    34
    “stand on its own financially” because it meets a “market
    need.” See 
    Myersville, 783 F.3d at 1309
    (internal quotation
    marks omitted). The applicant can make this showing by
    presenting evidence of “preconstruction contracts” for gas
    transportation service. If FERC finds market need, it will then
    proceed to balance the benefits and harms of the project, and
    will grant the certificate if the former outweigh the latter. See
    
    id. The landowner
    petitioners take issue with FERC’s market-
    need analysis, alleging that this project serves only the profit
    motive of the pipeline developers, rather than any public need.
    See GBA Opening Br. 28. That argument misunderstands our
    test. The criterion is “market need”—whether the pipelines will
    be self-supporting—which the applicants here satisfied by
    showing that 93% of their capacity has already been contracted
    for. The landowners also assert that the pipeline will be
    “redundant as it largely parallels existing pipelines,” see GBA
    Opening Br. 29, but as FERC found, and the petitioners do not
    refute, the “expansion of existing pipelines will not satisfy the
    identified need,” see J.A. 1101.
    The landowner petitioners also assert that FERC violated
    the Government in the Sunshine Act, 5 U.S.C. § 552b, by
    approving the pipelines’ certificates via notational voting, a
    procedure where the members of a multimember agency cast
    their votes individually and separately, rather than at a public
    meeting. But we have expressly approved of notational voting,
    and held it to be consistent with the Sunshine Act, on multiple
    occasions. See R.R. Comm’n of Tex. v. United States, 
    765 F.2d 221
    , 230-31 (D.C. Cir. 1985) (citing cases). “The Sunshine Act
    does not require that meetings be held in order to conduct
    agency business; rather, that statute requires only that, if
    meetings are held, they be open to the public.” 
    Id. at 230
                                  35
    (emphasis added). GBA also suggests that there should be a
    presumption that meetings are required when controversial
    issues are under consideration, but we have rejected that exact
    argument as well. See 
    id. VI The
    petition for review in No. 16-1329 is granted. The
    orders under review are vacated and remanded to FERC for the
    preparation of an environmental impact statement that is
    consistent with this opinion. The petition for review in No. 16-
    1387 is denied.
    So ordered.
    BROWN, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting
    in part: I join today’s opinion on all issues save the Court’s
    decision to vacate and remand the pipeline certificates on the
    issue of downstream greenhouse emissions. Case law is clear:
    When an agency “‘has no ability to prevent a certain effect due
    to’ [its] ‘limited statutory authority over the relevant action[],’
    then that action ‘cannot be considered a legally relevant
    cause’” of an indirect environmental effect under the National
    Environmental Policy Act (“NEPA”). Sierra Club (Freeport)
    v. FERC, 
    827 F.3d 36
    , 47 (D.C. Cir. 2016) (quoting Dep’t of
    Transp. v. Pub. Citizen, 
    541 U.S. 752
    , 770 (2004)). Thus, when
    the occurrence of an indirect environmental effect is contingent
    upon the issuance of a license from a separate agency, the
    agency under review is not required to address those indirect
    effects in its NEPA analysis. Although this case seems
    indistinguishable from earlier precedent, the Court now insists
    the action taken by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
    (“FERC” or “the Commission”) is the cause of an
    environmental effect, even though the agency has no authority
    to prevent the effect. But see Pub. 
    Citizen, 541 U.S. at 767
    (holding “but for” causation is insufficient to make an agency
    responsible for a particular effect under NEPA). More
    significantly, today’s opinion completely omits any discussion
    of the role Florida’s state agencies play in the construction and
    expansion of power plants within the state—a question that
    should be dispositive. Because the Court’s holding is legally
    incorrect and contravenes our duty to examine all arguments
    presented, I respectfully dissent.
    When examining a NEPA claim, our role is limited to
    ensuring the relevant agency took a “hard look at the
    environmental consequences” of its decisions and “adequately
    considered and disclosed the environmental impact of its
    actions.” Balt. Gas & Elec. Co. v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, 
    462 U.S. 87
    , 97–98 (1983).         We examine the agency’s
    determinations under the “deferential rule of reason,” which
    governs which environmental impacts the agency must discuss
    2
    and the “extent to which it must discuss them.” WildEarth
    Guardians v. Jewell, 
    738 F.3d 298
    , 310 (D.C. Cir. 2013).
    FERC thus has broad discretion to determine “whether and to
    what extent to [discuss environmental impacts] based on the
    usefulness of any new potential information to [its]
    decisionmaking process.” Pub. 
    Citizen, 541 U.S. at 767
    . Here,
    FERC declined to engage in an in-depth examination of
    downstream greenhouse gas emissions because there is no
    causal relationship between approval of the proposed pipelines
    and the downstream greenhouse emissions; and, even if a
    causal relationship exists, any additional analysis would not
    meaningfully contribute to its decisionmaking.            Both
    determinations were reasonable and entitled to deference.
    Regarding causation, the Court is correct that NEPA
    requires an environmental analysis to include indirect effects
    that are “reasonably foreseeable,” 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 46
    , but
    it misunderstands what qualifies as reasonably foreseeable.
    The Court blithely asserts it is “not just the journey,” it is “also
    the destination.” Maj. Op. at 18. In fact, NEPA is a procedural
    statute that is all about the journey. It compels agencies to
    consider all environmental effects likely to result from the
    project under review, but it “does not dictate particular
    decisional outcomes.” Sierra Club v. U.S. Army Corps of
    Engineers, 
    803 F.3d 31
    , 37 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (emphasis added).
    The statute therefore “requires a reasonably close causal
    relationship between the environmental effect and the alleged
    cause” that is “akin to proximate cause in tort law.” Pub.
    
    Citizen, 541 U.S. at 754
    , 767. Thus, the fact that the
    Commission’s action is a “but for” cause of an environmental
    effect is insufficient to make it responsible for a particular
    environmental effect.       
    Id. Instead, the
    effect must be
    “sufficiently likely to occur that a person of ordinary prudence
    would take it into account in reaching a decision.” 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    . There is a further caveat: An effect the agency
    3
    is powerless to prevent does not fall within NEPA’s ambit.
    Here, the Commission explained in its denial of rehearing that
    any “environmental effects resulting from end use emissions
    from natural gas consumption are generally neither caused by
    a proposed pipeline (or other natural gas infrastructure) project
    nor are they reasonably foreseeable consequences of our
    approval of an infrastructure project.” JA 1330. FERC’s
    conclusion is both logical and consistent with this Court’s
    precedent. While the Court concludes FERC’s approval of the
    proposed pipelines will be the cause of greenhouse gas
    emissions because a significant portion of the natural gas
    transported through the pipeline will be burned at power plants,
    see Maj. Op. at 19, the truth is that FERC has no control over
    whether the power plants that will emit these greenhouse gases
    will come into existence or remain in operation.
    In several recent cases, petitioners sought review of a
    downstream environmental effect that fell within the oversight
    of another agency. We held the occurrence of a downstream
    environmental effect, contingent upon the issuance of a license
    from another agency with the sole authority to authorize the
    source of those downstream effects, cannot be attributed to the
    Commission; its actions “cannot be considered a legally
    relevant cause of the effect for NEPA purposes.” See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    ; Sierra Club (Sabine Pass) v. FERC, 
    827 F.3d 59
    , 68 (D.C. Cir. 2016); EarthReports, Inc. v. FERC, 
    828 F.3d 949
    , 952 (D.C. Cir. 2016); see also Sierra Club v. FERC, 672
    F. App’x 38, 39 (D.C. Cir. 2016). In Freeport, for example,
    the petitioners argued the Commission failed to adequately
    consider the downstream greenhouse gas emissions that would
    result from increased exports of natural gas because the
    Commission authorized construction of a natural gas export
    facility. We said the Commission’s NEPA analysis did not
    have to address these downstream effects because the
    Department of Energy (“DOE”) had the “sole authority to
    4
    license the export of any natural gas going through [the export
    facility].” See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    ; see also 
    EarthReports, 828 F.3d at 955
    . Relying on binding precedent from the
    Supreme Court, we reasoned causation could not exist where
    an agency “‘has no ability to prevent a certain effect due to’
    that agency’s ‘limited statutory authority over the relevant
    action.’” 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    (quoting Pub. 
    Citizen, 541 U.S. at 770
    ) (alteration omitted); see also 
    EarthReports, 828 F.3d at 955
    .
    This case presents virtually identical circumstances.
    Under the Florida Electrical Power Plant Siting Act, “a power
    plant cannot be built unless a site certification is obtained” from
    the Florida Power Plant Siting Board (“the Board”). Ecodyne
    Cooling Div. of Ecodyne Corp. v. City of Lakeland, 
    893 F.2d 297
    , 299 (11th Cir. 1990) (citing Fla. Stat. §§ 403.506,
    403.511). “Such certification constitutes the sole license for a
    power plant’s construction and operation.” 
    Id. (citing Fla.
    Stat.
    § 403.511); see also Seminole Tribe of Fla. v. Hendry Cty., 
    114 So. 3d 1073
    , 1075 (Fla. Dist. Ct. App. 2013) (“It is clear from
    this statutory language that the [Florida Electrical Power Plant
    Siting Act] is a centrally coordinated, one-stop licensing
    process.”). Accordingly, no power plant is built or expanded
    in the state of Florida—and consequently no greenhouse gases
    are emitted from Florida power plants—without the Board’s
    approval. See Fla. Stat. § 403.506(1) (stating no power plant
    may be constructed or expanded “without first obtaining
    certification” from the Board). This breaks the chain of
    causation. See Pub. 
    Citizen, 541 U.S. at 754
    (analogizing the
    NEPA causal relationship to “proximate cause in tort law”).
    NEPA does not require FERC to address indirect
    environmental effects resulting from the Board’s licensing
    decision. See 
    Freeport, 827 F.3d at 47
    –48 (holding the
    Commission need not address downstream environmental
    effects if “triggering [the] chain of events” leading to those
    5
    effects requires the “critical . . . intervening action” of another
    agency).
    Despite this clearly-controlling case law and the exclusive
    authority of the state Board to license the construction and
    expansion of power plants in Florida, the Court concludes
    FERC’s approval of the pipeline is a “legally relevant cause”
    of the greenhouse gas emissions from the Florida power plants.
    See Maj. Op. at 23. But its attempt to explain why NEPA
    operates more expansively when applied to pipelines compared
    to export terminals, as well as its arguments as to why the
    Florida Board should be treated differently than DOE under
    NEPA, are both ultimately unpersuasive. Both projects qualify
    as “major [f]ederal actions significantly affecting the quality of
    the human environment,” 42 U.S.C. § 4332(C), so there is no
    reason why NEPA’s requirement to consider indirect
    environmental effects would not apply equally to both.
    Moreover, nothing in the statutory language empowering the
    Commission to regulate export terminals and pipelines
    suggests the Commission’s authority is more limited in one
    circumstance than another.         Congress has granted the
    Commission “the exclusive authority to approve or deny an
    application for the siting, construction, expansion, or operation
    of an [export] terminal,” 15 U.S.C. § 717b(e)(1), and to impose
    any conditions on those terminals the Commission finds to be
    “necessary or appropriate,” 
    id. § 717b(e)(3)(A).
    Thus, the
    Commission has the power to approve or deny the construction
    and operation of export terminals subject to any conditions it
    wishes to impose. Likewise, Congress requires any applicant
    seeking to construct or extend natural gas transportation
    facilities to obtain a “certificate of public convenience and
    necessity” from the Commission. 
    Id. § 717f(c)(1)(A).
    The
    Commission “shall” issue a certificate if “the applicant is able
    and willing properly to do the acts and to perform the service
    proposed” and if the proposed service or construction “is or
    6
    will be required by the present or future public convenience and
    necessity.” 
    Id. § 717f(e).
    FERC also has the “power to attach
    to the issuance of the certificate . . . such reasonable terms and
    conditions as the public convenience and necessity may
    require.” 
    Id. Accordingly, nothing
    in the text of either statute
    empowers the Commission to entirely deny the construction of
    an export terminal or the issuance of a certificate based solely
    on an adverse indirect environmental effect regulated by
    another agency. See 
    id. §§ 717b(e),
    717f(e).
    The actual distinction between this case and the DOE cases
    discussed above is doctrinally invisible. We stated in Freeport
    that “[i]n the specific circumstances where . . . an agency has
    no ability to prevent a certain effect due to that agency’s limited
    statutory authority over the relevant action, then that action
    cannot be considered a legally relevant ‘cause’ of the effect for
    NEPA 
    purposes.” 827 F.3d at 47
    .                   Those “specific
    circumstances” exist here. FERC’s statutory authority is
    limited by the fact that the Board, not FERC, has the “sole
    authority” to authorize or prohibit the construction or
    expansion of power plants in Florida. See 
    id. at 48.
    If this
    Court wishes to apply the “touchstone of Public Citizen” that
    “[a]n agency has no obligation to gather or consider
    environmental information if it has no statutory authority to act
    on that information,” Maj. Op. at 21, it must consider not only
    whether an agency can act, but whether the results of such
    action would have an effect on the indirect environmental
    impact.
    Even if the Court is correct that the Commission has the
    power to deny pipeline certificates based on indirect
    environmental concerns, such a denial represents the limit of
    the Commission’s statutory power. Nothing would prevent the
    Florida Board from independently approving the construction
    or expansion of the power plants at issue. In fact, the record
    7
    shows the Board has already approved some of these projects
    prior to the Commission reaching a decision on the proposed
    pipelines. JA 910–11. Moreover, there is also nothing
    preventing the Intervenors from pursuing an alternative method
    of delivery to account for the same amount of natural gas.
    Practical considerations point in the opposite direction. Both
    the Board and the Commission have concluded Florida has a
    need for additional natural gas, and nothing in today’s opinion
    takes issue with those holdings. Additionally, the Commission
    has concluded that the failure to take action to address this
    natural-gas shortage “could result in . . . fuel shortages” and
    “could lead to insufficient energy production to meet expected
    demands.” JA 920. Given the dire consequences of failing to
    act, it is inconceivable that the Intervenor utility companies
    would stand idly by and allow a power crisis to develop. The
    much more likely result is that they would simply choose
    another alternative—albeit a much more inconvenient,
    expensive,      and      possibly     environmentally-harmful
    alternative—in response to a denial of a certificate by FERC.
    See Oral Arg. Rec. at 59:45–59:50 (stating the Intervenors are
    “going to keep the lights on” regardless of whether FERC
    approves the pipelines).
    Thus, just as FERC in the DOE cases and the Federal
    Motor Carrier Safety Administration in Public Citizen did not
    have the legal power to prevent certain environmental effects,
    the Commission here has no authority to prevent the emission
    of greenhouse gases through newly-constructed or expanded
    power plants approved by the Board. To be sure, the
    Commission could make it extremely inconvenient to deliver
    the same amount of natural gas to the plants, but this is an issue
    of practicality, which, as conceded by the majority, is irrelevant
    under NEPA. See Maj. Op. at 23. Accordingly, the
    Commission was not obligated under NEPA to discuss
    8
    downstream greenhouse gas emissions, and I would deny the
    entire petition for review.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 16-1329

Citation Numbers: 867 F.3d 1357

Filed Date: 8/22/2017

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

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