Commonwealth, Aplt. v. Torsilieri, G. ( 2020 )


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  •                             [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.]
    IN THE SUPREME COURT OF PENNSYLVANIA
    MIDDLE DISTRICT
    COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA,                  :   No. 37 MAP 2018
    :
    Appellant                  :   Appeal from the Order of Chester
    :   County Court of Common Pleas,
    :   Criminal Division, dated July 10,
    v.                                :   2018 at No. CP-15-CR-1570-2016
    :
    :   ARGUED: November 20, 2019
    GEORGE J. TORSILIERI,                          :
    :
    Appellee                   :
    DISSENTING OPINION
    JUSTICE DONOHUE                                               DECIDED: June 16, 2020
    “It would be easy enough to let this case go. After all, sex offenders are one of the
    most disfavored groups in our society.” Gundy v. United States, ___ U.S. ___, 
    139 S. Ct. 2116
    , 2144 (Gorsuch, J., dissenting). And it would be easy enough to put off our decision
    for another day by remanding for further development of Torsilieri’s challenges to the
    legislative finding that prompted the General Assembly to enact SORNA: that “[s]exual
    offenders pose a high risk of committing additional sexual offenses . . .” 42 Pa.C.S. §
    9799.11(a)(4). I respectfully dissent from the learned Majority’s disposition because a
    remand is not necessary. The Commonwealth stipulated to the content but not validity
    or relevance of three affidavits from experts retained by Torsilieri, which establish that
    sexual offenders do not recidivate at anywhere near the rates accepted by the courts in
    upholding registration laws. Despite having months to prepare for an evidentiary hearing
    on that point, the Commonwealth declined to present any contrary evidence. The Majority
    forgives “the Commonwealth’s tactics at the post-sentence hearing that potentially
    prevented the necessary development of the record” because Torsilieri bears a heavy
    burden in challenging SORNA’s constitutionality. Majority Op. at 43. Even accepting that
    as a valid excuse, I would examine the sources raised in its reply brief.               The
    Commonwealth’s competing evidence agrees that the precedents reflexively accepting
    the high degree of recidivism for sexual offenders as a guidepost for legal analysis about
    these challenges are mistaken. Instead, the Commonwealth shifts to a different argument
    to justify the revisions to SORNA, that sex crimes are underreported and therefore the
    true recidivism rate is unknown. While I do not doubt that sex crimes are underreported
    for a variety of reasons, I would hold that due process precludes the General Assembly
    from presuming that all persons convicted of one of the approximately thirty crimes
    mandating registration pose a high risk of committing additional sexual offenses. As a
    matter of due process, this is an unconstitutional irrebuttable presumption that implicates
    the constitutional right to reputation.     As SORNA already requires individualized
    assessments to determine whether the offender is a sexually violent predator (“SVP”), I
    agree with Torsilieri that this existing procedure demonstrates that a reasonable
    alternative exists to ascertain the relevant fact of risk of reoffending. I would thus affirm
    the trial court.
    The United States Supreme Court first addressed sexual offender registration laws
    in Smith v. Doe, 
    538 U.S. 84
    (2003), wherein it remarked that “Alaska could conclude that
    a conviction for a sex offense provides evidence of substantial risk of recidivism.”
    Id. at 103.
    To support this proposition, the Court quoted its decision in McKune v. Lile, 536
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 
    2 U.S. 24
    , 34 (2002), to establish that “[t]he risk of recidivism posed by sex offenders is
    ‘frightening and high,’” and further noted that “[w]hen convicted sex offenders reenter
    society, they are much more likely than any other type of offender to be rearrested for a
    new rape or sexual 
    assault.” 536 U.S. at 33
    . See Commonwealth v. Williams, 
    832 A.2d 962
    , 979 (Pa. 2003) (noting that legislative findings in prior version of SORNA “are
    consistent with grave concerns over the high rate of recidivism among convicted sex
    offenders.”).
    This Court has recognized that other evidence suggests the danger of recidivism
    was perhaps overstated by Smith. In Commonwealth v. Muniz, 
    164 A.3d 1189
    , 1192 (Pa.
    2017) (holding that SORNA violates the ex post facto clause of Pennsylvania
    Constitution), we noted the existence of conflicting studies regarding recidivism rates
    among sexual offenders when discussing whether SORNA promotes traditional aims of
    punishment like deterrence and retribution. The Commonwealth acknowledged that
    SORNA has that effect but urged this Court to find SORNA non-punitive because a
    contrary conclusion “would undermine the state's ability to regulate offenders and the risk
    of recidivism is too great a price to pay.”
    Id. at 1214.
    The Commonwealth, as here, argued
    that “because of contrasting studies and real recidivism concerns, this Court should be
    wary of . . . contrary conclusions.”
    Id. at 1215.
    See also Commonwealth v. Butler, ___
    A.3d ____, 
    2020 WL 1466299
    , at *15 (Pa. Mar. 26, 2020) (describing an “apparent
    conflict” regarding the recidivism rate among sexual offenders and whether registries are
    effective in preventing recidivism). We have therefore acknowledged that SORNA may
    sweep too broadly by saddling too many offenders with onerous registration obligations.
    But we have to date insulated SORNA from such challenges on the grounds that the
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 3
    legislative branch properly resolves such policy questions. And it is easy enough to defer
    to those findings, however questionable, given the visceral reaction to guarding the rights
    of sexual offenders.
    The validity of those findings was directly at issue in this case, and the
    Commonwealth asks us to again disfavor those offenders by deferring to the General
    Assembly’s policy judgments. I join the Majority’s refusal to do so as I agree that Torsilieri
    “poses colorable constitutional challenges to Revised Subchapter H’s registration and
    notification provisions” based upon his challenges to the determination that all sexual
    offenders pose a high risk of recidivation and that SORNA’s tier-based classification
    system protects the public from those dangers. Majority Op. at 23. The Majority cogently
    summarizes the research offered by Torsilieri attacking those two determinations:
    Appellee first presents a body of research indicating that adult
    sexual offender recidivism rates have been improperly
    exaggerated, including through citations by this Court and the
    United States Supreme Court. As an example, he references
    the Courts’ repeated declaration that sexual offenders have a
    “frightening and high” risk of recidivism, which in turn provided
    support for upholding various iterations of sexual offender
    registration systems. Appellee Brief at 17 (citing 
    Smith, 538 U.S. at 103
    (quoting McKune v. Lile, 
    536 U.S. 24
    , 34 (2002)));
    see also 
    Lee, 935 A.2d at 882
    . Appellee claims that this oft-
    quoted language derives not from rigorous scientific evidence
    but from an unsupported claim in “a 1988 National Institute of
    Corrections training manual, which in turn cited a 1986
    Psychology Today article written for a lay audience.” Appellee
    Brief at 17 (citing Ira Ellman and Tara Ellman, “Frightening
    and High”: The Supreme Court's Crucial Mistake About Sex
    Crime Statistics, 30 Const. Comment. 495 (2015)). He cites
    substantial recent evidence undermining this claim.
    ***
    Nevertheless, we are unable to conclude based upon the
    record currently before this Court whether Appellee has
    sufficiently undermined the validity of the legislative findings
    supporting Revised Subchapter H’s registration and
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 4
    notification provisions, especially in light of the contradictory
    scientific evidence cited by the Commonwealth during this
    appeal which may refute the Appellee’s experts. It is not the
    role of an appellate court to determine the validity of the
    referenced studies based on mere citations rather than
    allowing the opportunity for the truths to develop through a
    hearing on the merits of the evidence. Accordingly, a remand
    is appropriate to allow the parties to address whether a
    consensus has developed to call into question the relevant
    legislative policy decisions impacting offenders’ constitutional
    rights.
    Id. at 23-24.
    The Commonwealth stipulated to this evidence, including the conclusion that “[t]he
    simple fact is that the risk level, for nearly everyone on the registry, is nowhere near the
    ‘frightening and high’ rate assumed by Smith and McKune and all the later decisions that
    rely on them.” Ira Ellman & Tara Ellman, "Frightening and High": The Supreme Court's
    Crucial Mistake About Sex Crime Statistics, 30 Const. Comment. 495, 507 (2015). I find
    that we have a sufficient record to dispense of these challenges one way or the other, as
    prior decisions have already given the Commonwealth the benefit of the doubt on this
    score.     In Muniz, we concluded that the prior version of SORNA was punitive
    notwithstanding the existence of conflicting scientific evidence. Therefore, the lack of
    consensus on the recidivism danger posed by sex offenders has already been construed
    in the Commonwealth’s favor. Had this Court concluded in Muniz that the competing
    studies go against the Commonwealth, the conclusion that SORNA was punitive would
    have been even stronger. I therefore reject the Majority’s suggestion that the trial court
    failed to consider evidence contradicting Torsilieri’s experts. That point is already built
    into our existing law, and in context, the trial court’s order represents a legal conclusion
    that the strength of Torsilieri’s evidence renders SORNA constitutionally repugnant.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 5
    At this juncture, I note that Torsilieri presented arguments against SORNA under
    both due process grounds and as challenges to the constitutionality of revised Subchapter
    H’s imposition of punishment. The trial court declared the statute unconstitutional both
    facially and as-applied to Torsillieri on all grounds. Placing the challenges into either
    framework sets this Court down different paths here and on remand. In Muniz, we held
    that SORNA violated the ex post facto clause of the Pennsylvania Constitution when
    applied retroactively. In this case, Torsilieri had notice of his registration obligations, as
    he committed his crimes after SORNA’s effective date.1 If those obligations, including the
    lifetime registration period, are construed as punishment then the SORNA requirements
    may well be constitutionally permissible. In Smith, the United States Supreme Court held
    that Alaska’s sexual offender registration statute was non-punitive and could therefore be
    applied retroactively. Justice Stevens filed a dissent, concluding that the requirements
    were punitive in nature. Of note here, Justice Stevens opined that the obligations could
    be imposed as part of the punishment for offenses committed after the statute’s
    enactment:
    I think it equally clear, however, that the State may impose
    registration duties and may publish registration information as
    a part of its punishment of this category of defendants.
    Looking to the future, these aspects of their punishment are
    adequately justified by two of the traditional aims of
    punishment—retribution and deterrence. Moreover, as a
    matter of procedural fairness, Alaska requires its judges to
    include notice of the registration requirements in judgments
    imposing sentences on convicted sex offenders and in the
    colloquy preceding the acceptance of a plea of guilty to such
    1   I note for clarity’s sake that the applicable SORNA requirements changed in between
    commission of the crime and sentencing. Those changes are irrelevant to the notice
    issue because Torsilieri had notice of the penalties that were examined in Muniz. Thus,
    if the Commonwealth is correct that the obligations may be imposed on Torsilieri because
    he had notice, any change in the law would work to his favor by lessening the obligations.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 6
    an offense. See Alaska Rules Crim. Proc. 11(c)(4) and 32(c)
    (2002). Thus, I agree with the Court that these statutes are
    constitutional as applied to postenactment offenses.
    Accordingly, I would hold that the Alaska statute violates the
    constitutional prohibition on ex post facto laws. Because I
    believe registration and publication are a permissible
    component of the punishment for this category of crimes,
    however, for those convicted of offenses committed after the
    effective date of such legislation, there would be no separate
    procedural due process violation so long as a defendant is
    provided a constitutionally adequate 
    trial. 538 U.S. at 114
    (Stevens, J., dissenting) (emphasis added).
    These observations may be correct, and as the Commonwealth explains, the
    United States Supreme Court has upheld statutory schemes that call for draconian
    mandatory penalties. See, e.g., Harmelin v. Michigan, 
    501 U.S. 957
    , 961 (1991) (holding
    that statute calling for mandatory life imprisonment without parole for possessing more
    than 650 grams of cocaine did not constitute cruel and unusual punishment); Ewing v.
    California, 
    538 U.S. 11
    (2003) (upholding sentence of mandatory life imprisonment for
    theft of three golf clubs valued at $399 apiece under “three strikes” law). These schemes
    are valid because the proportionality of the punishment to the offense is generally of no
    constitutional concern. See Graham v. Florida, 
    560 U.S. 48
    , 59–60 (2010) (stating that
    the controlling opinion in Harmelin “concluded that the Eighth Amendment contains a
    narrow proportionality principle”) (quotation marks and citation omitted). The common
    example of a punishment that would violate the narrow proportionality principle is
    “ma[king] overtime parking a felony punishable by life imprisonment,” Rummel v. Estelle,
    
    445 U.S. 263
    , 274 n.11 (1980).
    Beyond those extreme cases, the exceptions to the rejection of assessing
    proportionality between the crime and authorized punishment appear limited to children
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 7
    and the death penalty. In Miller v. Alabama, 
    567 U.S. 460
    (2012), which held that
    juveniles could not receive a sentence of mandatory life imprisonment without parole, the
    Court rejected Harmelin as foreclosing relief. “Harmelin had nothing to do with children
    and did not purport to apply its holding to the sentencing of juvenile offenders. We have
    by now held on multiple occasions that a sentencing rule permissible for adults may not
    be so for children.”
    Id. at 481.
    As discussed infra, this division between children and
    adults was invoked by this Court in the sexual offender context. There is thus reason to
    believe that the lifetime registration punishments could be imposed as punishment for
    sexual offenses committed by adults as a general matter. Whether revised Subchapter
    H now qualifies as punishment is a matter of dispute in this case, but even if it is punitive
    the obligations are plainly less restrictive than actual incarceration. Whatever may be
    said of the wisdom of such laws, the host of obligations do not approach imposing a life
    sentence for parking violations.
    The Commonwealth asks us to uphold the statute on the grounds that even if
    revised Subchapter H is punitive it remains constitutional because the General Assembly
    could have authorized registration obligations as criminal penalties.2 Had the legislature
    done so, such punishments would doubtlessly be challenged on other grounds, as
    reflected in the parties’ competing arguments regarding whether, inter alia, the
    punishments would be subject to the holding in Alleyne v. United States, 
    570 U.S. 99
    2  SORNA limits the trial judge’s role to one of informing the offender of his or her
    obligations, 42 Pa.C.S. § 9799.20, and nothing in the Sentencing Code authorizes the
    judge to impose SORNA obligations as part of the criminal sentence. 42 Pa.C.S. § 9721.
    Thus, for SORNA obligations to qualify as a criminal sentence, we would have to hold
    that such obligations are authorized as implicit mandatory minimums that exist outside of
    the normal sentencing process.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 8
    (2013), that facts increasing the mandatory minimum sentence must be submitted and
    proven to the fact-finder beyond a reasonable doubt.
    I would reject the notion that the trial court may be reversed on this basis by
    crediting the General Assembly’s stated intent not to impose punishment. While I have
    previously expressed skepticism on that point owing to the evolution of the registration
    laws to expand the focus from sexually violent predators to sexual offenders, see
    Commonwealth v. Perez, 
    97 A.3d 747
    , 760-63 (Pa. Super. 2014) (Donohue, J.,
    concurring), the revisions set forth in Subchapter H were explicitly adopted to address our
    decision in Muniz. As the Majority observes, “the General Assembly has repeatedly
    reenacted the unambiguous statement that the purpose of the registration and notification
    provisions ‘shall not be construed as punitive.’” Majority Op. at 30 (quoting 42 Pa.C.S. §
    9799.11(b)(2)). The Commonwealth has likewise maintained throughout this litigation
    that the requirements struck as unconstitutional by the trial court do not amount to
    punishment. See Attorney General’s Brief at 12 (“The General Assembly passed Acts 10
    and 29 in direct response to Muniz and Butler, clarifying that the sex offender registration
    provisions were non-punitive collateral consequences of the original conviction”);
    id. at 18
    (“Act 29 is not punitive and does not require a judge to determine additional facts. All that
    is required is conviction for an enumerated offense.”);
    id. at 23
    (“But mere collateral
    consequences are not punishment. And committing any crime nearly always results in
    lost opportunities.”). Accordingly, I would simply elect not to examine whether revised
    Subchapter H may be alternatively upheld as authorizing punishment. It is sufficient to
    observe that the General Assembly has declined to take that route and we should not
    authorize a punishment that the General Assembly declined to enact.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 9
    Returning to any purpose to be served by a remand, the most favorable scenario
    for the Commonwealth is that the trial court agrees that the scientific evidence points in
    both directions. As discussed, Muniz already gave the Commonwealth the benefit of that
    doubt. Thus, giving the Commonwealth another opportunity to present more evidence on
    that point would almost certainly not change the outcome. The Majority opines it is
    possible that the trial court’s determination that Subchapter H is punitive may change
    based on reweighing several of the Mendoza-Martinez3 factors that govern whether a
    statute is so punitive in effect as to negate the stated intent to establish a civil scheme. I
    need not belabor my disagreement with the Majority on some of these points. I observe
    only that if the trial court concludes on remand that SORNA is punitive, we will still be
    required to address the Commonwealth’s claim that the obligations may be imposed
    nonetheless because Torsilieri had notice of the penalties. Accordingly, a remand is likely
    to cause unnecessary delay as we will have to resolve the punishment question.
    As stated, I believe that the trial court should be affirmed. For these purposes, I
    assume arguendo that Subchapter H is non-punitive. As urged by Torsilieri I would
    extend the holding of In re J.B., 
    107 A.3d 1
    (Pa. 2014), to adult offenders. In J.B., the
    parties had stipulated to research “indicat[ing] that recidivism rates for juvenile sex
    offenders are far lower than the recidivism rates of adult sexual offenders and, instead,
    are comparable to non-sexually offending juveniles.”
    Id. at 10.
    The trial court found that
    the statute violated due process because it applied an irrebuttable presumption “that the
    adjudication of a specified sexual crime equates to high risk of recidivism requiring
    registration.”
    Id. The irrebuttable
    presumption doctrine requires three conditions: (1)
    3   Kennedy v. Mendoza–Martinez, 
    372 U.S. 144
    (1963).
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 10
    whether there is an interest protected by the due process clause encroached by an
    irrebuttable presumption; (2) whether the presumption is universally true; and (3) whether
    a reasonable alternative means exists for ascertaining the presumed fact.
    Id. at 15-16.
    We found that the first criterion was met as to juvenile offenders. SORNA is
    “premised upon the presumption that all sexual offenders pose a high risk of recidivating,
    [which] impinge[s] upon juvenile offenders' fundamental right to reputation as protected
    under the Pennsylvania Constitution.”
    Id. at 17.
       Second, the presumption is not
    universally true. For that conclusion we relied upon the stipulated studies establishing
    that juveniles who commit sexual offenses do so due to impulsivity and sexual curiosity,
    traits which diminish with age. The J.B. Court contrasted juveniles to adults on that point:
    “While adult sexual offenders have a high likelihood of reoffense, juvenile sexual
    offenders exhibit low levels of recidivism (between 2–7%), which are indistinguishable
    from the recidivism rates for non-sexual juvenile offenders, who are not subject to SORNA
    registration.”4
    Id. We also
    cited 
    Miller, supra
    , as establishing that juveniles are
    fundamentally different than adults. Finally, addressing whether an alternative process
    could be used to establish the requisite fact of likely recidivism, we stated that one already
    exists. “A reasonable alternative, in fact, is already in use in Pennsylvania under SORNA.
    As 
    discussed supra
    , SORNA provides for individualized assessment for all sexual
    offenders . . . for designation of sexually violent predators.”
    Id. at 19
    (internal citation
    4   One of Torsilieri’s sources noted that our comparison was mistaken because it
    “compares juveniles to all adults, making no distinction among adult registrants. The
    Hanson study finds the re-offense rate for low and moderate-risk offenders, who probably
    account for most adults on the registry, is within the same 2-7% range the court attributes
    to juveniles.” Ira Ellman & Tara Ellman, "Frightening and High": The Supreme Court's
    Crucial Mistake About Sex Crime Statistics, 30 Const. Comment. 495, 507 (2015).
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 11
    omitted). We concluded that “[a] similar process could be utilized to assess which juvenile
    offenders are at high risk to recidivate.”
    Id. The Commonwealth
    avers that J.B. should not apply because the requisite due
    process concerns were satisfied by Torsilieri’s conviction at trial. I am aligned with the
    Majority’s apparent rejection of the claim that SORNA obligations may be imposed as
    collateral consequences stemming from the conviction itself. That question relates back
    to some degree to the question of whether Subchapter H remains punitive because the
    determination of whether obligations are civil often arises, as in Muniz itself, in tandem
    with the question of whether the requirements may be applied retroactively. See e.g.,
    Lehman v. Pennsylvania State Police, 
    839 A.2d 265
    , 270 (Pa. 2003) (upholding denial of
    firearm purchase based on application of regulation enacted well after disqualifying
    conviction; “the issue becomes whether the civil disability imposed on appellant—the
    inability to purchase firearms—constitutes punishment.”). See also 
    Muniz, 164 A.3d at 1238
    n.6 (Saylor, C.J., dissenting) (“Although the Mendoza–Martinez factors are the
    prevailing framework for determining the punitive effect of a statutory enactment, a
    number of scholars and jurists have expressed significant reservations with their use
    relative to assessing collateral consequence laws, such as SORNA.”) (collecting
    commentary). The General Assembly may lawfully impose civil consequences due to a
    conviction and such claims are not thought to implicate the irrebuttable presumption
    doctrine. Thus, for example, “loss of driving privileges is a civil collateral consequence of
    a conviction for underage drinking[.]” Commonwealth v. Duffey, 
    639 A.2d 1174
    , 1176
    (Pa. 1994). And the validity of imposing those consequences does not require proof that
    the establishment of one fact (e.g. underage drinking) bears on the consequence of the
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 12
    other (i.e. a person convicted of underage drinking is a dangerous driver). The conviction
    is enough. I therefore find it significant that J.B. applied the irrebuttable presumption
    doctrine without assessing whether SORNA constituted punishment. 
    J.B., 107 A.3d at 12
    n.21 (“The Commonwealth additionally contests the trial court's determinations that
    SORNA is violative of the ex post facto clause . . . . As we find SORNA unconstitutional
    based upon its use of an irrebuttable presumption, we do not recite the Commonwealth's
    arguments on the other constitutional issues.”). The inescapable conclusion drawn from
    J.B. is that SORNA unconstitutionally impaired juveniles’ constitutional right to reputation.
    While collateral consequences may infringe on rights, infringement of the constitutional
    right to reputation requires a corresponding greater justification.      We explained the
    magnitude of the right to reputation in In re Fortieth Statewide Investigating Grand Jury,
    
    197 A.3d 712
    , 715 (Pa. 2018):
    In our prior opinion authored by Chief Justice Saylor, we
    stressed that an individual's right to his or her personal
    reputation was regarded by the framers of our organic charter
    as a fundamental individual human right — one of the
    “inherent rights of mankind.” Grand Jury 
    I, 190 A.3d at 573
    .
    For that reason, throughout our Commonwealth's history, it
    has been accorded the same exalted status as other basic
    individual human rights, such as freedom of speech, freedom
    of assembly, and freedom of the press. Thus, as with all legal
    proceedings which affect fundamental individual rights, the
    judicial branch serves a critical role in guarding against
    unjustified diminution of due process protections for
    individuals whose right of reputation might be impugned.
    Id. at 715
    (footnote omitted).
    Along these same lines the Commonwealth also suggests that applying In re J.B.
    to adult offenders would conflict with the United States Supreme Court’s decision in
    Connecticut Dep’t of Public Safety v. Doe, 
    538 U.S. 1
    (2003), decided the same day as
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 13
    Smith and rejecting a similar due process challenge as raised here. Doe, who was
    convicted of a sexual offense, argued that Connecticut’s registration and publicization of
    his information “deprive[d] him of a liberty interest—his reputation combined with the
    alteration of his status under state law—without notice or a meaningful opportunity to be
    heard.”
    Id. at 6
    (citation omitted). The Court of Appeals agreed with Doe that due process
    required a hearing to determine whether or not Doe was likely to be currently dangerous
    as a condition of registration.
    Id. The Court
    reversed, finding that dangerousness was
    not relevant to the statutory scheme and therefore no hearing was needed. Accordingly,
    the fact Doe sought to establish would make no difference. “[E]ven if respondent could
    prove that he is not likely to be currently dangerous, Connecticut has decided that the
    registry information of all sex offenders—currently dangerous or not—must be publicly
    disclosed.”
    Id. at 7.
    The Attorney General suggests that J.B. would have come out the other way had
    this Court addressed Doe. The Attorney General argues that we “assumed that the policy
    judgment that sexual offenders, as a cohort, pose a risk of recidivating was material to
    the structure of SORNA. Respectfully, it was not.” Attorney General’s Brief at 39. More
    significantly, the Attorney General states that in J.B. we were “neither presented with, nor
    addressed, [Doe].       Had it done so, this Court would have determined that, like
    Connecticut, an individualized assessment of future dangerousness was not material to
    the statutory scheme in SORNA and, thus, the Irrebuttable Presumption Doctrine did not
    apply.”
    Id. The Majority
    properly rejects this premise. The J.B. Court found that recidivation
    was the lynchpin of SORNA. Absent overruling J.B., I submit that we are required to
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 14
    follow its ascertainment of legislative intent. Therefore, with respect to the first factor,
    SORNA infringes upon the protected interest of reputation.5
    As to whether that presumption is universally true, we have not applied this
    requirement literally; the existence of even one exception to the presumed fact would
    definitionally establish a lack of universality. Thus, the government seems to be given
    some leeway based on the strength of countervailing governmental interests.
    Unsurprisingly, the Commonwealth asks this Court to hold that the presumption is
    universally true simply because the General Assembly says it is so. “The General
    5 The High Court in Doe stated, “even assuming, arguendo, that respondent has been
    deprived of a liberty interest, due process does not entitle him to a hearing to establish a
    fact that is not material under the Connecticut 
    statute.” 538 U.S. at 7
    . Thus, the Court
    found that the deprivation of a protected liberty interest would not have mattered.
    I do not perceive that extending J.B. to adult offenders would conflict with Doe. Related
    to this point, the Majority declines to determine whether the irrebuttable presumption
    doctrine should be examined under substantive due process or procedural due process
    principles, citing our statement in DOT, Bureau of Driver Licensing v. Clayton, 
    684 A.2d 1060
    , 1066 (Pa. 1996),“we do not believe it wise to pigeonhole whether an analysis of an
    irrebuttable presumption is solely one of substantive or procedural due process.” The
    Doe Court remarked that the offender’s claim “is actually a substantive challenge . . .
    recast in procedural due process 
    terms.” 538 U.S. at 8
    (quotation marks and citation
    omitted). But Doe “expressly disavow[ed] any reliance” on substantive due process.
    Id. Justice Scalia’s
    concurring opinion remarked that even if the law implicated liberty
    interests, the categorical abrogation by a valid statute satisfied due process, just as a law
    stating that no one under sixteen years of age may drive validly takes away that right
    regardless of whether someone younger could show they were a safe driver. Thus,
    absent a claim “that the liberty interest in question is so fundamental as to implicate so-
    called ‘substantive’ due process, a properly enacted law can eliminate it.”
    Id. at 8
    (Scalia,
    J., concurring). The Commonwealth suggests that the same outcome applies here, and
    the conviction validly eliminated the right to reputation.
    Under the circumstances, we need not address the Commonwealth’s position that strict
    scrutiny is inapposite to deprivations of a criminally-convicted citizen’s right to reputation.
    Attorney General’s Brief at 47. As in J.B., it is the fundamental nature of the reputational
    interest, which has no analog in the United States Constitution, that is harmed by the
    irrebuttable presumption created by SORNA that justifies our departure from Doe.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 15
    Assembly, as a matter of policy, has determined that convicted sexual offenders as a
    cohort pose a particular danger to the public. Given the nature of these legislative
    findings, they should be accepted as true.” Attorney General’s Brief at 17.
    It is true that the legislature determined that sexual offenders “pose a particular
    danger,” but this argument overlooks that the finding of dangerousness derives from the
    likelihood of recidivism. The Commonwealth’s sources agree with Torsilieri's expert
    reports that the recidivism concerns cited as justifying these laws are overstated. "There
    is, obviously, a substantial gulf between the sexual recidivism rates observed in the
    empirical studies and the rates supposed by the laity and endorsed by the Supreme
    Court." Drs. Nicolas Scurich and Richard John, “The Dark Figure of Sexual Recidivism,”
    University of California Irvine, School of Law, Legal Studies Research Paper Series No.
    2019-09, at 4 (https://ssrn.com/abstract=3328831 (Feb. 4, 2019)). Having established
    that the General Assembly’s legislative findings regarding recidivism rates are not
    supported, we cannot accept the universality of the presumption.
    Of course, the General Assembly must be given some leeway in this arena given
    the public interest involved in protecting the community from sexual offenders. However,
    I have long criticized SORNA for casting too wide a net. “While it is true that public safety
    is a paramount governmental interest, the progressively rigid conditions imposed upon
    sexual offenders necessarily labels a broad number of people as high-risk recidivists
    without any means of proving otherwise.” 
    Perez, 97 A.3d at 761
    –762 (Donohue, J.,
    concurring).   Torsilieri’s research establishes that the risk of recidivism has been
    exaggerated across-the-board and proves that revised Subchapter H unjustifiably labels
    too many offenders as high-risk recidivists.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 16
    None of this is to say that the General Assembly cannot craft legislation properly
    tailored to the governmental interests.    Our recent decision in 
    Butler, supra
    , which
    reversed the Superior Court’s decision holding that the SVP designation process was
    unconstitutional because it permitted the imposition of punitive measures by a clear and
    convincing evidence standard, highlights that the threat posed by properly-identified
    classes of offenders is highly relevant. We concluded:
    Although we recognize the RNC requirements impose
    affirmative disabilities or restraints upon SVPs, and those
    requirements have been historically regarded as punishment,
    our conclusions in this regard are not dispositive on the larger
    question of whether the statutory requirements constitute
    criminal punishment. This is especially so where the
    government in this case is concerned with protecting the
    public, through counseling and public notification rather than
    deterrent threats, not from those who have been convicted
    of certain enumerated crimes, but instead from those
    who have been found to be dangerously mentally
    ill. 
    Hendricks, 521 U.S. at 362-63
    , 
    117 S. Ct. 2072
    . Under the
    circumstances, and also because we do not find the RNC
    requirements to be excessive in light of the heightened public
    safety concerns attendant to SVPs, we conclude the RNC
    requirements do not constitute criminal punishment.
    Butler, 
    2020 WL 1466299
    at *15 (emphasis added).
    Butler is not directly on point as the question there was whether SVP obligations
    constitute punishment, whereas the irrebuttable presumption doctrine involves civil
    consequences. Nevertheless, there is a clear relationship between the danger posed by
    a particular class of persons, like SVPs in Butler, and how far the General Assembly may
    go in imposing regulatory measures. The SVP designation process resulted from a
    particular finding as opposed to the mere fact of conviction, while the Commonwealth
    argues that the conviction alone justifies imposing registration requirements.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 17
    The time has come for this Court to recognize that a consensus will never exist on
    the question of whether sexual offenders pose a danger of recidivism because different
    types of offenders pose different types of risks. The Commonwealth now directs our
    attention to underreporting of sexual crimes as a general matter, and claims that the
    Subchapter H requirements “are not based upon an individualized assessment of the
    continuing dangerousness of any particular sex offender or how likely they are to reoffend.
    These items are both unknowable.” Attorney General’s Brief at 38 (emphasis added).
    It may well be that the continuing dangerousness of any particular offender or how likely
    they are to reoffend is unknowable as a matter of empirical fact. But that hardly justifies
    a legal conclusion that the General Assembly can simply treat all offenders as if they are
    highly likely to recidivate despite evidence to the contrary.
    We can also hardly ignore that the statutory scheme singles out sexual offenders
    as a class. That group of individuals is deemed by the General Assembly to present
    special risks that justify treating them differently from all other types of offenders. But the
    relevant question should not be whether convicted sexual offenders are committing
    unreported sexual crimes, but rather whether sexual offenders commit more sexual
    crimes than other groups not subject to similar registration laws. The sole justification for
    singling out convicted offenders is because their recidivism rates are purportedly so high.
    That finding having been debunked, the Commonwealth has shifted the goalposts by
    urging this Court to accept that the real rate of recidivism is unknown since so many
    crimes are underreported or otherwise fail to result in an arrest or conviction. Even
    granting the questionable proposition that the unknown could justify onerous registration
    laws, the Commonwealth does not explain why we should conclude that convicted sexual
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 18
    offenders are any more likely to commit new sexual offenses than other populations of
    offenders. I acknowledge that claims that the true rate of recidivism is unknowable
    because sexual crimes are underreported arguably justifies treating all sexual offenders
    as likely to reoffend. But that point cuts both ways: the specter of underreported crimes
    means that offenders convicted of non-sexual offenses also pose a threat of committing
    sexual offenses. The Commonwealth fails to establish that the population of offenders
    who are convicted of sexual crimes requiring registration are any more likely to recidivate
    than any other population of offenders. Nor does the Commonwealth offer any discussion
    of what percentage of sex offenses are committed by first-time offenders, or address
    whether a small number of offenders are disproportionately responsible for repeat crimes.
    Given that the Commonwealth defines the true rate of recidivism with reference to
    crimes that are underreported, we can accept that it is forever unknowable to the General
    Assembly or the judiciary what the true rate of recidivism is. But then the question
    becomes whether the Commonwealth, consistent with due process, can nonetheless
    deprive individuals of their constitutional rights to reputation based solely on a conviction.
    Because there is an alternative means to ascertain whether a particular offender is likely
    to reoffend, a conviction alone cannot support the infringement. As in J.B., I would hold
    that the individualized SVP assessment procedure can be expanded to include
    consideration of the likelihood of re-offense. Every offender who commits a SORNA
    crime is assessed by the Sexual Offenders Assessment Board (“SOAB”).                 SORNA
    defines a “sexual offender” as “[a]n individual who has committed a sexually violent
    offense. The term includes a sexually violent predator.” 42 Pa.C.S. § 9799.12. “Sexually
    violent offense,” in turn, is “[a]n offense specified in section 9799.14 (relating to sexual
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 19
    offenses and tier system) as a Tier I, Tier II or Tier III sexual offense committed on or after
    December 20, 2012, for which the individual was convicted.”
    Id. And the
    tier system
    outlined in section 9799.14 comprises only three tiers. Thus, any offense that carries
    SORNA obligations is considered a sexually violent offense. However, while all sexual
    offenders are deemed sexually violent, only a subset are sexually violent predators.
    “Predatory” is separately defined as “[a]n act directed at a stranger or at a person with
    whom a relationship has been initiated, established, maintained or promoted, in whole or
    in part, in order to facilitate or support victimization.” 42 Pa.C.S. § 9799.12.
    To qualify as an SVP, the SOAB must determine that the offender has “a mental
    abnormality or personality disorder that makes the individual likely to engage in predatory
    sexually violent offenses.”
    Id. Mental abnormality
    is defined as “[a] congenital or acquired
    condition of a person that affects the emotional or volitional capacity of the person in a
    manner that predisposes that person to the commission of criminal sexual acts to a
    degree that makes the person a menace to the health and safety of other persons.”
    Id. The SOAB’s
    assessment process entails an assessment that considers a large set
    of information, including whether the offender “exceeded the means necessary to achieve
    the offense,” the relationship of the victim to the offender, the age of the victim, whether
    the incident involved “unusual cruelty,” any prior offense history, and the characteristics
    of the individual offender. 42 Pa.C.S. § 9799.24(b)(1-3). Significantly, the procedure also
    requires the SOAB to consider “[f]actors that are supported in a sexual offender
    assessment field as criteria reasonably related to the risk of reoffense.” 42 Pa.C.S. §
    9799.24(b)(4).
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 20
    Taken together, the SOAB already considers a wide range of information, including
    the requirement that the experts employed by the State to serve on the SOAB use factors
    “reasonably related to the risk of reoffense” as accepted in their field. The Commonwealth
    offers no reason whatsoever why the expertise of such individuals is not a reasonable
    alternative to SORNA’s overinclusive reach.6 See In re 
    J.B., 107 A.3d at 10
    n .16 (“We
    recognize that the Commonwealth stipulated that the Juveniles' experts would testify
    consistently with their research, which does not necessarily entail accepting the
    underlying research. Nonetheless, the Commonwealth neither provides a substantive
    critique of this research nor produces any contrary empirical evidence.”).            The
    Commonwealth offers no response to Torsilieri’s argument that the SOAB is not only well-
    equipped to make such assessments, but has in fact suggested that process:
    There are well-established risk assessment tools which are
    already employed in Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania's SOAB,
    the body created and charged by the Legislature to perform
    the SVP assessments, 42 Pa.C.S. §§ 9799.24, 9799.35,
    declared over a decade ago that "actuarially derived"
    assessments are available and preferable to determine risk
    for monitoring those convicted of sexual crimes. SOAB,
    Containment 
    Model, supra, at 192-208
    . The SOAB can
    "distinguish between low-risk and high-risk sex offenders" and
    Pennsylvania's failure to do so "wastes resources" when
    "most sex offenders are never reconvicted for a sexual
    offense."
    Id. at 207.
    In no uncertain terms, the SOAB
    demanded that "[s]tructured, actuarial instruments should be
    routinely used."
    Id. Torsilieri’s Brief
    at 56-57.
    6  On some level, the fact that an SVP assessment returns a finding that the individual is
    not an SVP, as is the case here, implicitly rebuts SORNA’s irrebuttable presumption that
    all offenders are likely to recidivate. Whether an offender is likely to reengage in sexual
    offenses because of a mental abnormality or personality disorder (and therefore subject
    to an SVP finding) or due to some reason not falling within that construct would seem to
    be entirely irrelevant to the danger posed to the public.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 21
    This individualized process is superior to the existing scheme, which crudely
    separates sexual offenses into escalating tiers of severity that results in unjustifiably
    treating all offenses the same. For example, rape is a Tier III offense, but the crime of
    rape encompasses the rape of a child as well as sexual encounters between intoxicated
    individuals that involve disputed questions of consent. Treating the former the same as
    the latter is simply untenable. We need not, and should not, diminish Torsilieri’s conduct.
    But we should not also overlook that Torsilieri’s Tier III obligations are the same as those
    of a child rapist when determining whether due process has been violated. Once it is
    accepted that sexual offenders do not recidivate at the incredibly high rates as previously
    supposed, the justification for treating the two alike dissipates. The existence of a
    superior procedure that can make individual determinations demonstrates the availability
    of a reasonable alternative to the existing scheme.
    For the foregoing reasons, I would affirm the trial court.
    [J-104-2019] [MO: Baer, J.] - 22