Delfina Soto-Soto v. Merrick Garland ( 2021 )


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  •                      FOR PUBLICATION
    UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS
    FOR THE NINTH CIRCUIT
    DELFINA SOTO-SOTO,                                 No. 20-70587
    Petitioner,
    Agency No.
    v.                           A209-406-355
    MERRICK B. GARLAND, Attorney
    General,                                             OPINION
    Respondent.
    On Petition for Review of an Order of the
    Board of Immigration Appeals
    Argued and Submitted January 11, 2021
    San Francisco, California
    Filed June 11, 2021
    Before: J. CLIFFORD WALLACE and MILAN D.
    SMITH, JR., Circuit Judges, and JANE A. RESTANI, *
    Judge.
    Opinion by Judge Milan D. Smith, Jr.;
    Partial Concurrence and Partial Dissent by Judge Wallace
    *
    The Honorable Jane A. Restani, Judge for the United States Court
    of International Trade, sitting by designation.
    2                   SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    SUMMARY **
    Immigration
    Granting Delfina Soto-Soto’s petition for review of a
    decision of the Board of Immigration Appeals’ reversing an
    immigration judge’s grant of deferral of removal under the
    Convention Against Torture, and remanding for the Board to
    grant CAT relief, the panel held that the Board erred by
    reviewing the IJ’s decision de novo, rather than for clear
    error, and concluded that the record compelled the
    conclusion that Soto-Soto met her burden of proof to
    establish that it is more likely than not that she will suffer
    future torture if removed to Mexico.
    Michoacán state police arrested and brutally tortured
    Soto-Soto until she confessed to the kidnapping and murder
    of a five-year old boy. After the Mexican trial court
    dismissed the charges against her as a result of due process
    errors during the investigation, she fled to the United States.
    Mexican prosecutors subsequently conducted a new
    investigation and filed new charges against Soto-Soto,
    INTERPOL put out a Red Notice for her extradition to
    Uruapan in Michoacán, Mexico, which is 67 miles from
    where Soto-Soto was tortured in Morelia, Michoacán.
    Relying on Soto-Soto’s past torture, her reporting of the
    torture to the Michoacán State Commission of Human
    Rights despite warnings not to do so, the reissued arrest
    warrant, and country condition evidence showing that
    indigenous women like Soto-Soto are particularly
    **
    This summary constitutes no part of the opinion of the court. It
    has been prepared by court staff for the convenience of the reader.
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                       3
    vulnerable to torture, the IJ held that Soto-Soto was more
    likely than not to be tortured again if removed to Mexico.
    The Board reversed and held that the IJ’s determination was
    clearly erroneous because he did not acknowledge the
    Mexican judicial system’s appropriate steps to correct past
    due process errors, that Soto-Soto was not harmed while in
    custody for eight months after reporting the torture, and that
    members of Soto-Soto’s family remain in Mexico
    unharmed.
    The panel concluded that the Board’s decision reflected
    that it engaged in a de novo weighing of the evidence, rather
    than clear error review. The panel explained that the Board
    may find an IJ’s factual finding to be clearly erroneous if it
    is illogical or implausible, or without support in inferences
    that may be drawn from the facts in the record, but in this
    case, the Board failed to explain how the IJ’s decision was
    illogical, implausible, or without support.
    The panel’s majority also concluded that the Board’s
    view of the evidence was not supported by the record. First,
    the majority wrote that the record emphatically did not show
    that the Mexican court took steps to cure the due process
    errors caused by the state police officers torturing a
    confession out of Soto-Soto. Further, the majority wrote that
    even if the record supported the Board’s factual findings,
    that would not be enough to overturn the IJ’s decision under
    clear error review, because the IJ’s predictive finding as to
    the likelihood of torture is entitled to broad deference, which
    the Board failed to provide. Second, the majority wrote that
    because Soto-Soto’s human rights commission complaint
    was not filed until after she was released from custody, and
    nothing in the record suggested that the state police officers
    were aware of her report, Soto-Soto’s physical safety while
    in custody was not probative of the state police officers’
    4                 SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    intent to carry out their threat of future torture. Finally, the
    majority wrote that the lack of harm to Soto-Soto’s family
    was irrelevant because threats of such harm hinged on Soto-
    Soto’s return to Mexico, which had not yet occurred. The
    panel also observed that the Board failed to discuss the IJ’s
    other key factual findings, including country condition
    reports establishing that indigenous women are more likely
    to be tortured in Mexico than other groups.
    Reviewed under the proper standard of review, the
    majority concluded that the IJ’s decision was not clearly
    erroneous, and that the record compelled the conclusion that
    Soto-Soto met her burden of proof to establish that it is more
    likely than not that she will suffer future torture if removed
    to Mexico. The majority remanded the petition to the Board
    with the direction to grant deferral of removal.
    Concurring in part and dissenting in part, Judge Wallace
    agreed that the Board impermissibly applied de novo review
    in reversing the IJ’s grant of relief. However, Judge Wallace
    wrote that he believes that the IJ erred in the likelihood of
    future torture analysis, and he relatedly disagreed with the
    majority’s and IJ’s conflation of the various Mexican law
    enforcement actors in the state of Michoacán into a unitary
    actor—i.e., the Michoacán state police—in assessing the
    likelihood of torture. Judge Wallace also highlighted that
    the IJ found Soto-Soto was ineligible for asylum and
    withholding of removal because there are serious reasons to
    believe that she did, in fact, kidnap and murder the child
    when his family refused to pay the demanded ransom. Judge
    Wallace believed that her likely guilt should have been
    considered as well because her original criminal case was
    not dismissed due to factual innocence but due process errors
    that have been corrected. Judge Wallace concluded that the
    majority’s direction to the Board to grant CAT relief rather
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                      5
    than reversing and remanding the petition to the Board for
    further consideration goes against the court’s ordinary
    practice, especially because the record did not compel the
    conclusion that Soto-Soto satisfied her burden of proof.
    COUNSEL
    Hector A. Vega-Reyes (argued), Public Defender’s Office,
    San Francisco, California, for Petitioner.
    Jeff Beelaert (argued) and Virginia Lum, Trial Attorneys;
    Justin Markel, Senior Litigation Counsel; Ethan P. Davis,
    Acting Assistant Attorney General; Office of Immigration
    Litigation, Civil Division, United States Department of
    Justice, Washington, D.C.; for Respondent.
    OPINION
    M. SMITH, Circuit Judge:
    Petitioner Delfina Soto-Soto was brutally tortured by
    Mexican state police until she confessed to the kidnap and
    murder of five-year-old Bernardino Bravo Gomez. After the
    Mexican trial court dismissed the charges against her due to
    lack of evidence of the crimes charged, she fled to the United
    States. Mexican prosecutors subsequently refiled the
    charges against Soto-Soto, INTERPOL put out a Red Notice
    for her extradition to Mexico, and the Department of
    Homeland Security (DHS) placed her in removal
    proceedings. The Immigration Judge (IJ) granted deferral of
    removal under the Convention Against Torture (CAT) based
    on a factual finding that Soto-Soto was more likely than not
    to be tortured again if removed to Mexico. The Board of
    6                 SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    Immigration Appeals (BIA) reversed the grant of CAT relief
    and ordered Soto-Soto removed. Soto-Soto appealed. We
    vacate the BIA’s order and remand with instructions to grant
    relief.
    FACTUAL AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND
    Delfina Soto-Soto is a 42-year-old indigenous woman
    from Uruapan, a city in the Mexican state of Michoacán. On
    April 20, 2012, Michoacán state police—in plainclothes and
    driving unmarked vehicles—arrested Soto-Soto at her home
    in Uruapan for allegedly kidnapping and murdering
    Bernardino. The police drove her to Morelia, a town
    approximately two hours away from Uruapan. She initially
    denied any involvement in the kidnapping.
    Michoacán state police brutalized her for hours.
    According to Soto-Soto’s testimony, the police first grabbed
    her by her hair and threw her to the ground. While she was
    on the ground, they tied her hands behind her back, placed
    her face-up, and kicked her repeatedly. One officer held her
    head between his knees while the others poured water into
    her nose and punched her stomach. The officers then put a
    plastic bag over her head and sat on her stomach so that she
    was unable to breathe, all the while calling her a “fucking
    bitch.”
    The torture continued to escalate as Soto-Soto refused to
    admit involvement in the kidnapping. The police officers
    slapped her face, threw her to the ground, tied the plastic bag
    over her head until she was at the point of suffocation, and
    then repeated the sequence for hours. Next, the officers sat
    her in a chair and hit her head against the wall. One officer
    pointed a gun at her head several times, telling her that if she
    did not sign a confession, they would “keep [her] right there
    like a bitch.” Still, with the gun pressed against her forehead,
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                       7
    Soto-Soto did not relent. Finally, as relayed in Soto-Soto’s
    testimony, one of the officers told Soto-Soto, “[I]f you don’t
    sign this [confession] in the next 15 minutes, I will give the
    order for them to go get your daughters and bring them here,
    first they will rape them and then they will kill them in front
    of you.” At that point, Soto-Soto signed the confession. The
    officers also told her that she would be tortured again if she
    reported their acts to anyone.
    Soto-Soto was held in custody in Uruapan for the next
    eight months and was not tortured again. On December 10,
    2012, the Mexican court dismissed the charges for lack of
    evidence and released Soto-Soto from custody. Upon her
    release, Soto-Soto immediately fled to the United States. On
    December 19, 2012, the Michoacán State Human Rights
    Commission filed a complaint about the torture on Soto-
    Soto’s behalf, but it was dismissed two days later because
    Soto-Soto did not provide an address where she could be
    contacted.
    In 2013, the Government renewed its investigation of
    Soto-Soto and secured an arrest warrant after presenting
    testimony of sixteen witnesses to the Mexican trial court.
    Soto-Soto contends that these witnesses’ testimony also
    underlay the first prosecution, and that the witnesses are
    individuals from her village who believe that she is a witch.
    On November 12, 2015, INTERPOL issued a Red Notice for
    Soto-Soto, which called for her return to the state of
    Michoacán. She was taken into custody from her workplace
    in Madera, CA on November 28, 2017.
    After a multi-day hearing, the IJ found that Soto-Soto
    was credible and accorded her testimony full evidentiary
    weight. The IJ further held that Soto-Soto was statutorily
    ineligible for asylum, withholding of removal under the
    INA, and withholding of removal under the CAT because
    8                 SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    the warrant for her arrest in the second investigation
    provided “serious reasons to believe” that she committed a
    “serious nonpolitical crime” before arriving in the United
    States.
    The IJ also considered whether Soto-Soto was eligible
    for deferral of removal under CAT, concluding that the
    alleged serious nonpolitical crime did not bar her from this
    remedy. In order to obtain deferral of removal, Soto-Soto
    had the burden to show that it was more likely than not that
    she would be tortured with government involvement or
    acquiescence if removed to Mexico.               
    8 C.F.R. §§ 1208.16
    (c)(2), 1208.17(a).
    In the IJ’s evaluation of the likelihood of future torture,
    the IJ first found that Soto-Soto had suffered torture at the
    hands of Michoacán state police from the Office of Anti-
    Kidnapping and Extortions. Based on the reissued arrest
    warrant in the second prosecution, the IJ further found that
    it was more likely than not that Soto-Soto would be stopped
    by authorities upon her return and taken back into custody.
    The IJ noted that country condition evidence for Mexico
    documents that indigenous women like Soto-Soto are
    particularly vulnerable to torture. Finally, the IJ determined
    that the fact that Soto-Soto reported the previous torture to
    the Michoacán State Commission of Human Rights also
    makes it more likely that she will be tortured—the state
    police officers specifically threatened her with this. Based
    on these facts, the IJ found that Soto-Soto had satisfied her
    burden to show that she would likely suffer torture with
    government involvement or acquiescence if removed to
    Mexico. The Government appealed.
    The BIA reversed the IJ’s grant of deferral of removal
    under CAT. The BIA held that the IJ’s findings were clearly
    erroneous because he did not acknowledge the Mexican
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                            9
    judicial system’s appropriate steps to correct past due
    process errors, that Soto-Soto was not harmed while in
    custody for 8 months after reporting the torture, and that
    members of Soto-Soto’s family remain in Mexico
    unharmed.
    With respect to the first alleged error, the BIA further
    wrote, “[T]he Immigration Judge clearly erred in finding that
    the Mexican authorities ‘reinitiated the prosecution against
    the Respondent,’ without acknowledging that the Mexican
    judicial system excluded the evidence obtained through
    torture and conducted a new investigation that independently
    resulted in the current charges against the respondent.”
    Furthermore, the BIA stated, “The Immigration Judge
    clearly erred in finding that the respondent’s HRC complaint
    was dismissed on a technicality (IJ at 9); the respondent
    testified that she did not attempt to pursue the claim or
    contact the HRC after she was released and departed the
    country.” 1 For these reasons, the BIA held that the IJ
    committed clear error and reversed the IJ’s grant of CAT
    deferral of removal. Soto-Soto appealed.
    On appeal, Soto-Soto contends that—though the BIA’s
    opinion says it reviews the IJ’s finding under the clear error
    standard—the substance of the BIA opinion improperly
    engages in de novo review. We agree.
    1
    It is undisputed that HRC did not file Soto-Soto’s complaint of
    torture until after she was released from custody, meaning that while
    Soto-Soto was in custody, the state police were not aware that she had
    disclosed the torture.
    10               SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    STANDARD OF REVIEW
    “Whether the BIA has applied the correct standard of
    review is a question of law” that we review de novo.
    Rodriguez v. Holder, 
    683 F.3d 1164
    , 1169 (9th Cir. 2012).
    ANALYSIS
    A.
    The parties agree that the BIA ought to have reviewed
    the IJ’s factual findings for clear error. As this court has
    stated:
    Where the BIA engages in de novo review of
    an IJ’s factual findings instead of limiting its
    review to clear error, it has committed an
    error of law, as our sister circuits have
    recognized, and we have no difficulty in
    agreeing with that conclusion. We do not rely
    on the Board’s invocation of the clear error
    standard; rather, when the issue is raised, our
    task is to determine whether the BIA
    faithfully employed the clear error standard
    or engaged in improper de novo review of the
    IJ’s factual findings.
    Rodriguez v. Holder, 
    683 F.3d 1164
    , 1170 (9th Cir. 2012)
    (citations and footnote omitted).
    To determine whether “the BIA faithfully employed the
    clear error standard,” courts look at the BIA’s reasoning for
    reversing the IJ’s decision. 
    Id.
     “The BIA may find an IJ’s
    factual finding to be clearly erroneous if it is illogical or
    implausible, or without support in inferences that may be
    drawn from the facts in the record.” 
    Id. at 1170
     (internal
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                      11
    quotation marks omitted). Where the BIA does not address
    the “key factual findings” on which the IJ based its
    conclusion, that strongly suggests that the BIA did not
    faithfully engage in clear error review. Zumel v. Lynch,
    
    803 F.3d 463
    , 475, 476 (9th Cir. 2015).
    Furthermore, if it appears that the BIA gave more weight
    to certain facts in the record than to others, leading to a
    different conclusion from the IJ, our court may justifiably
    infer that the BIA applied the wrong standard of review. See
    Guerra v. Barr, 
    974 F.3d 909
    , 914 (9th Cir. 2020). In
    Guerra, we reversed the BIA for reviewing the IJ’s decision
    de novo, rather than for clear error, reasoning that “the clear
    error standard does not allow the BIA to reweigh the
    evidence when the IJ’s account of the evidence is plausible.”
    
    Id.
     (citing Rodriguez, 683 F.3d at 1171). In explaining our
    reasoning, we wrote:
    The BIA assumed without deciding that
    Guerra faces a likelihood of being
    institutionalized in a Mexican mental health
    institution. But it rejected the IJ’s finding of
    specific intent, noting “there is insufficient
    record evidence from which it is reasonable
    to conclude that health care workers
    implement such [primitive and abusive]
    practices for the specific purpose of inflicting
    harm on the patients.” Instead, the BIA
    accorded more weight to country reports in
    the record that the extreme measures were
    taken as a misguided effort to prevent
    patients from harming themselves or others.
    Id. at 913–14 (alterations in original). In other words, “[a]n
    appellate court cannot substitute its interpretation of the
    12                 SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    evidence for that of the trial court simply because the
    reviewing court might give the facts another construction
    [or] resolve the ambiguities differently[.]” Inwood Labs.,
    Inc. v. Ives Labs., Inc., 
    456 U.S. 844
    , 857–58 (1982)
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    In Soto-Soto’s case, the IJ found: (1) Soto-Soto had
    suffered torture in the past; (2) she would likely be arrested
    if returned to Mexico, putting her back within reach of her
    torturers; (3) her status as an indigenous woman made her
    more likely to be tortured according to the country reports;
    and (4) her report of the torture to the human rights
    commission increased her likelihood of torture.
    The BIA disagreed with the IJ’s view of the evidence.
    But its only explanation of why the IJ’s decision was
    illogical, implausible, or without support was that “[the IJ]
    did not acknowledge that ‘the Mexican judicial system took
    appropriate steps to correct any past due process errors
    committed by the officers of the Office of Anti-kidnapping
    and Extortions,’ that the respondent reported the torture and
    was not subsequently harmed or threatened while in custody
    for nearly 8 months, and that other members of her family
    have remained unharmed in Mexico.” The BIA did not
    explain how these alleged errors showed lack of logic,
    plausibility, or support in the record on the part of the IJ. The
    BIA’s reasoning is therefore insufficient to demonstrate that
    the BIA engaged in clear error review. Instead, the BIA’s
    reasoning reflects a de novo weighing of the evidence.
    Moreover, the BIA’s view of the evidence lacks support
    in the record. First, the record emphatically does not show
    that the Mexican court took steps to cure the “due process
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                           13
    errors” 2 caused by the state police officers torturing a
    confession out of Soto-Soto. Instead, the record shows that
    the Mexican court issued “a court order dismissing charges
    . . . for lack of evidence in accordance with the law.” As part
    of its conclusion that the evidence against Soto-Soto was
    insufficient, the Mexican court held that Soto-Soto’s
    confession lacked probative value because “police carried
    out questionings at various domiciles without judicial
    authorization, nor permission from the owners,” and because
    there were “several contradictions regarding . . . the
    confession of the accused[.]” Additionally, the court
    determined that Soto-Soto’s confession lacked probative
    value because she did not have a Purepecha interpreter
    during the questioning. Notably absent from this order is
    any acknowledgment that state police had tortured Soto-Soto
    to obtain her confession, a bar upon her re-prosecution, or
    punishment for the officers who tortured her. The court also
    did not impose safeguards to ensure that the reopened
    investigation would not result in further torture or another
    improper confession. The record therefore contains no facts
    to support the BIA’s finding that the due process errors in
    Soto-Soto’s case were remedied.
    Furthermore, even if the record supported the BIA’s
    factual findings, that would not be enough for the BIA to
    overturn the IJ under the clear error standard of review.
    Inwood Labs., Inc., 
    456 U.S. at
    857–58. The IJ’s predictive
    fact finding leading to the holding that Soto-Soto was likely
    to be tortured again upon return to Mexico recognized that
    the second investigation resulted in the issuance of a warrant
    for her arrest. But in its discretion as factfinder, the IJ
    reasoned that this increased her likelihood of torture—rather
    2
    Though it strains credulity to call the brutal torture Soto-Soto
    endured a “due process error,” we use the BIA’s terms for consistency.
    14                SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    than decreasing it—because it meant that Soto-Soto would
    almost certainly end up in the hands of the state police who
    had previously tortured her and had threatened to do so
    again. This type of fact finding—how the facts in the record
    affect the likelihood of future torture—is entitled to broad
    deference from the BIA. See Vitug v. Holder, 
    723 F.3d 1056
    ,
    1063 (9th Cir. 2013). The BIA’s review of that predictive
    fact finding, however, exhibits no deference to the IJ’s
    decision.
    The second reason the BIA gave for reversing the IJ—
    that Soto-Soto was unharmed for eight months after
    disclosing the prior torture—is also unmoored from the
    record. The human rights commission complaint was not
    filed until after Soto-Soto was released from custody.
    Nothing in the record suggests that the state police officers,
    who threatened to torture her if she reported the abuse, were
    aware that she had done so. Soto-Soto’s physical safety
    while in custody is therefore not probative of the state police
    officers’ intent to carry out their threat of future torture if
    Soto-Soto reported their past torture.
    The BIA’s final point, that Soto-Soto’s family members
    remain unharmed in Mexico, is irrelevant. The current
    threats to Soto-Soto’s family members hinge on whether
    Soto-Soto returns to Mexico. For example, Soto-Soto’s
    daughter, Leonarda Bravo Soto, wrote, “I still receive threats
    that if my mother returns[,] . . . they will take my daughter
    away. . . . [We], her children, do not want her to return to
    the town. . . . We love our mother so much and want her
    alive for many years more.” Because Soto-Soto has not
    returned to Mexico, the current physical safety of her family
    members does not indicate that the threats against them are
    baseless.
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                      15
    Moreover, the BIA failed to discuss the IJ’s other “key
    factual findings,” specifically that country condition reports
    established that indigenous women are more likely to be
    tortured in Mexico than other groups. See Zumel, 803 F.3d
    at 475, 476. The BIA stated only that “the Mexican
    government has made strident efforts to combat the use of
    torture[.]” In concluding that the government’s “strident
    efforts” to eliminate torture outweighed the country
    conditions report showing that indigenous women are at an
    increased risk of torture, the BIA re-weighed evidence and
    failed to engage in clear error review. Similarly, in
    countering the IJ’s finding that community members had
    credibly threatened Soto-Soto, the BIA wrote that when
    these individuals were actively beating Soto-Soto’s co-
    defendant, “the local police did arrive and intervene to some
    degree[.]” But the local police who arrived testified that they
    did not stop the crowd from beating the co-defendant. The
    BIA’s assertion is, again, both unfounded and reflective of
    an independent weighing of the evidence rather than clear
    error review.
    Based on this analysis, the BIA’s decision reflects de
    novo, rather than clear error, review. The BIA therefore
    applied the wrong standard of review, substituting its own
    view of the evidence for the IJ’s.
    B.
    Reviewed under the proper standard of review, the IJ’s
    factual findings were not clearly erroneous. A court
    “assessing whether it is more likely than not that an applicant
    would be tortured in the proposed country of removal” must
    consider:
    (i)     Evidence of past torture inflicted
    upon the applicant;
    16               SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    (ii)    Evidence that the applicant could
    relocate to a part of the country of
    removal where he or she is not likely
    to be tortured;
    (iii)   Evidence of gross, flagrant or mass
    violations of human rights within the
    country of removal, where applicable;
    and
    (iv)    Other relevant information regarding
    conditions in the country of removal.
    
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (c)(3). Of these,
    [p]ast torture is ordinarily the principal factor
    on which we rely when an applicant who has
    been previously tortured seeks relief under
    [CAT]        because,       absent      changed
    circumstances, if an individual has been
    tortured and has escaped to another country,
    it is likely that she will be tortured again if
    returned to the site of her prior suffering.
    Xochihua-Jaimes v. Barr, 
    962 F.3d 1175
    , 1188 (9th Cir.
    2020) (cleaned up).
    In accordance with the items listed in 
    8 C.F.R. § 1208.16
    (c)(3), the IJ found that the Michoacán state police
    tortured Soto-Soto, and the revived arrest warrant
    guaranteed she would be placed back in custody of the
    Michoacán state police, who previously tortured her,
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                             17
    precluding relocation. 3 Moreover, the state police officers
    specifically threatened to torture Soto-Soto again if she
    reported their misconduct—which she did. 4 Finally, the IJ
    3
    Our dissenting colleague believes that we improperly conflate “the
    various Mexican law enforcement actors in the state of Michoacán into
    a unitary actor,” because there is no evidence that the Michoacán Office
    of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions in the city of Morelia is a
    “component” of the Michoacán police force in the city of Uruapan,
    where Soto-Soto would have been held for trial. We disagree that the
    record lacks such evidence.          For instance, the Human Rights
    Commission Complaint filed on Soto-Soto’s behalf states that she was
    tortured by “members of the State Ministry Police of the Office of Anti-
    kidnapping and Extortions of the State Attorney General.”
    Furthermore, the Anti-Kidnapping Office found Soto-Soto at her
    home in Uruapan and took her to Morelia to brutalize her before she was
    transferred back to Uruapan to be held in prison pending trial. Uruapan
    and Morelia are both in the state of Michoacán. It would be illogical to
    conclude that, although Soto-Soto was not safe from the “State Ministry
    Police of the Office of Anti-kidnapping and Extortions” in her home in
    Uruapan, she would be safe from them in a jail cell there, watched over
    by other state police. Moreover, the BIA never concluded—and the
    Government never argued—that Soto-Soto was ineligible for CAT relief
    because the Michoacán Anti-Kidnapping Office was separate from the
    Michoacán state police. We therefore respectfully disagree with Judge
    Wallace that it would be appropriate for us to base our decision on this
    waived factual issue. See Clem v. Lomeli, 
    566 F.3d 1177
    , 1182 (9th Cir.
    2009) (stating that, in general, appellees waive issues that they fail to
    raise in their answering brief); United States v. Dreyer, 
    804 F.3d 1266
    ,
    1277–78 (9th Cir. 2015) (en banc) (same); Moran v. Screening Pros,
    LLC, 
    943 F.3d 1175
    , 1180 (9th Cir. 2019) (same).
    4
    Our dissenting colleague need not be concerned that our
    disposition of Soto-Soto’s case improperly relies on the dissent in
    Dawson v. Garland, Case No. 19-73142, 
    2021 WL 2125800
     (9th Cir.
    May 26, 2021). Dissent at 23. In Dawson, the majority affirmed the
    denial of CAT relief where the petitioner suffered past torture at the
    hands of her intimate partner before obtaining a protective order that
    stopped the torture because “[t]he inference that future torture is likely
    18                  SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    considered the country condition reports showing an
    increased threat of torture for indigenous women. The IJ did
    not err, and a proper application of the clear error standard
    of review would have resulted in the BIA affirming the IJ’s
    grant of relief. Indeed, the record compels the conclusion
    that Soto-Soto “met her burden of proof to establish that it is
    more likely than not that she will suffer future torture if
    removed to her native country.” 
    Id. at 1188
    .
    CONCLUSION
    Because the record compels the conclusion that Soto-
    Soto carried her evidentiary burden, we GRANT the petition
    and REMAND for the BIA to grant deferral of removal
    pursuant to CAT. 
    Id.
     (citing Haile v. Holder, 
    658 F.3d 1122
    ,
    1133 (9th Cir. 2011)).
    to recur breaks down where ‘circumstances or conditions have changed
    significantly, not just in general, but with respect to the particular
    individual.’” 
    2021 WL 2125800
    , at *6 (quoting Nuru v. Gonzales,
    
    404 F.3d 1207
    , 1218 (9th Cir. 2005)). Dawson does not apply to this
    case because—as set forth above—Soto-Soto’s circumstances have not
    significantly changed.
    Moreover, the rule that past torture is the principal factor for
    evaluating the likelihood of future torture was established long before
    Dawson. See Xochihua-Jaimes, 962 F.3d at 1188; Avendano-Hernandez
    v. Lynch, 
    800 F.3d 1072
    , 1080 (9th Cir. 2015); Nuru, 
    404 F.3d at
    1217–
    18. By relying on that rule here, we tread no new or uncertain ground.
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                       19
    WALLACE, Senior Circuit Judge, concurring in part and
    dissenting in part:
    I concur with the majority’s holding limited to the issue
    that the Board of Immigration Appeals (Board)
    impermissibly applied de novo review when it reversed the
    Immigration Judge’s (IJ) grant of relief pursuant to the
    Convention Against Torture (CAT) to Soto-Soto. The
    Board’s use of “clear error” before each respective
    conclusion does not automatically mean it conducted clear
    error review. See Vitug v. Holder, 
    723 F.3d 1056
    , 1063 (9th
    Cir. 2013). The Board, instead, reweighed the evidence here
    when it emphasized factors ignored by the IJ rather than
    rejecting reasons relied upon by the IJ as illogical or
    impermissible inferences.         See Rodriguez v. Holder,
    
    683 F.3d 1164
    , 1170–71 (9th Cir. 2012) (acknowledging the
    Department of Justice’s position that “[a] factfinding may
    not be overturned simply because the Board would have
    weighed the evidence differently or decided the facts
    differently had it been the factfinder”) (alteration in original)
    (citations omitted). This is further evinced by the fact that
    the Board did not discuss the role of Soto-Soto’s status as an
    indigenous woman in its analysis. See Vitug, 723 F.3d at
    1064 (holding that the Board “abuses its discretion where it
    ignores arguments or evidence”). At the most basic level,
    the Board should have conducted a more thorough analysis
    to explain how the IJ’s decision was illogical or not based
    upon permissible inferences from the record to comply with
    the clear error review standard. See Anderson v. Bessemer
    City, 
    470 U.S. 564
    , 577 (1985).
    Had we gone no further and remanded to the Board for
    reconsideration, I could have joined in the opinion.
    However, the majority decided to add more, resulting in my
    dissent on two grounds. First, while I agree that the Board
    20                 SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    conducted impermissible de novo review, I nonetheless
    believe the IJ erred in his likelihood of future torture analysis
    when he granted CAT relief. Relatedly, I disagree with the
    majority’s conflation of the various Mexican law
    enforcement actors in the state of Michoacán into a unitary
    actor—i.e., the “Michoacán state police.” See, e.g., Maj. Op.
    at 6. In my opinion, the majority never refers to Soto-Soto’s
    torturers properly because it refers to them as the
    “Michoacán state police,” even though the more accurate
    description, which is used by the Board, is that they were
    members of the Office of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions in
    Morelia, Michoacán. There is no evidence in the record to
    support the conclusion that the officers from the Office of
    Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions in Morelia are a component
    of the same Michoacán state police force that is in the city of
    Uruapan, where Soto-Soto would have been held for her
    trial. The two cities are 67 miles apart and there is no
    evidence of connection, legal or otherwise, of the police
    units of the two cities.
    In my view, the IJ committed the same error during his
    likelihood of future torture analysis when he assumed that
    Soto-Soto would be returned to her torturers stationed at the
    Office of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions in Morelia,
    Michoacán, despite INTERPOL’s specific direction in the
    Red Notice to return Soto-Soto to the court in Uruapan,
    Michoacán, where she, in fact, safely remained in custody
    for eight months waiting to be tried for the kidnaping and
    murder of a child from her neighborhood when the child’s
    family did not pay the demanded ransom.
    Second, I dissent from the majority’s direction to the
    Board to grant CAT relief rather than reversing and
    remanding the petition to the Board for further consideration
    as is our ordinary practice. See Guerra v. Barr, 974 F.3d
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                      21
    909, 917 (9th Cir. 2020) (observing that, where the Board
    “failed to apply the proper standard of review, we have
    generally vacated the agency’s decision and remanded for
    the [Board] to apply the appropriate standard of review”);
    Ornelas-Chavez v. Gonzalez, 
    458 F.3d 1052
    , 1058 (9th Cir.
    2006) (reversing and remanding because the Board applied
    the incorrect legal standard).
    I.
    Even if the issue were properly before us, I would
    disagree with the majority’s decision to grant Soto-Soto’s
    request for CAT relief because I do not believe the evidence
    compels such a conclusion. From my reading of the record,
    the IJ erred in granting CAT relief due to two assumptions
    he made during the likelihood of future torture analysis that
    are neither supported by the record nor qualify as
    permissible inferences. First, the IJ assumed that Soto-Soto
    would be returned to the custody of the officers who tortured
    her in Morelia, Michoacán, despite explicit instructions in
    the Red Notice that Soto-Soto be transferred to authorities in
    Uruapan, Michoacán. As stated earlier, the two cities are
    approximately 67 miles apart. The IJ’s assumption was
    implausible because he ignored that Soto-Soto would have
    been prosecuted in Uruapan, Michoacán, for the new
    criminal charges against her so that she would have been in
    the custody of a separate law enforcement group and under
    the authority of a separate court. Uruapan is a separate
    jurisdiction within the state of Michoacán where, in fact, she
    remained unharmed for eight months awaiting trial, thereby
    proving the implausibility of the IJ’s assumption.
    Second, the IJ merged the various law enforcement
    actors involved into the unitary concept of “Mexican
    authorities” rather than the various discrete law enforcement
    authorities throughout the state of Michoacán, i.e., the Office
    22                SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions from Morelia, the
    Michoacán state police in Uruapan, and the judiciary in
    Uruapan. This non-record based unitary law enforcement
    theory muddies the actual factual situation. The IJ made no
    findings that would support such generalizations. We do not
    have the authority to find facts on appeal, and the factual
    issue should be resolved on remand. Cf. Ornelas-Chavez,
    
    458 F.3d at 1060
     (acknowledging that we cannot make
    factual findings and remanding the petition because we
    should not conduct an “independent review of the evidence”
    to determine whether a petitioner is eligible for CAT relief
    when applying the correct legal standard in the first
    instance). The majority repeats this error with its inclusive
    use of “Michoacán state police.”
    The majority asserts that this factual issue has been
    waived because it was not raised by the parties; nonetheless,
    an impermissible inference was made by the IJ. Although
    the government did not make this explicit argument, it was
    careful to distinguish between the different law enforcement
    actors throughout the proceedings before the Agency and in
    its answering brief. The Board also acknowledged the
    factual distinction in its decision when it observed that Soto-
    Soto’s torturers were from the Office of Anti-Kidnapping
    and Extortions, as well as highlighted the torture in Morelia
    as opposed to Uruapan.
    In addition, the majority’s citation to our decision in
    Clem v. Lomeli, 
    566 F.3d 1177
     (9th Cir. 2009), to support its
    point that this factual distinction issue was waived is
    unavailing because Clem is readily distinguishable from this
    appeal. Clem was a Section 1983 prisoner case, in which
    Clem appealed from an adverse jury verdict and argued that
    the district court gave erroneous jury instructions and that
    the error was not harmless. Clem, 
    566 F.3d at 1179
    . We
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                      23
    held in Clem that the jury instructions were erroneous. 
    Id.
    at 1181–82. We next reasoned that the defendant could not
    overcome the presumption of prejudice because he failed to
    address prejudice in his answering brief. 
    Id. at 1182
    . The
    majority relies on this point to argue that I should not
    consider the law enforcement distinction point when
    determining that the IJ made an impermissible inference.
    However, the majority forgets that the standard of review is
    different here, and we must consider whether substantial
    evidence supports the IJ’s determination that Soto-Soto is
    entitled to CAT relief in determining whether to remand her
    petition for reconsideration or to grant her request for CAT
    relief. Ultimately, I cannot ignore the IJ’s impermissible
    inference nor the majority’s own factual assumptions to
    reach its conclusion.
    Finally, I observe that many of the arguments and
    assumptions the majority makes to support its conclusion
    that Soto-Soto is entitled to CAT relief were rejected by our
    court in a separate, unrelated opinion. See Dawson v.
    Garland, Case No. 19-73124, 
    2021 WL 2125800
     (9th Cir.
    May 26, 2021) (Circuit Judges M. Smith and Ikuta, and
    District Judge Vratil). As I observe in my partial dissent, the
    majority in Dawson reasoned that the petitioner’s individual
    circumstances had changed and the lack of general changes
    in the country should not detract from her personally
    changed circumstances. 
    Id. at *8
    . The Dawson dissent
    contended that petitioner’s past torture was the “principal
    factor” for evaluating the likelihood of future torture. 
    Id.
    The majority makes a substantially similar argument here,
    with which I disagree.
    As to the first point, Soto-Soto carries the burden to
    establish that it is more likely than not that she would be
    tortured if returned to Mexico to be granted CAT relief, in
    24                SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    this case deferral of removal. 
    8 C.F.R. §§ 1208.16
    (c),
    1208.17(a). Her application should have been reviewed
    under the standards for eligibility set out in section
    1208.16(c)(3). See § 1208.17(a); see also Hamoui v.
    Ashcroft, 
    389 F.3d 821
    , 827 (9th Cir. 2004) (holding that
    petitioner must prove there is a “chance greater than fifty
    percent” that they “will be tortured if removed”). While
    “past torture is ordinarily the principal factor on which we
    rely when an applicant who has been previously tortured
    seeks” CAT relief, Xochihua-Jaimes v. Barr, 
    962 F.3d 1175
    ,
    1188 (9th Cir. 2020) (cleaned up), we must also consider
    whether the circumstances have changed.
    Soto-Soto has established her past torture at the hands of
    the Office of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions in Morelia,
    but there is no evidence in the record that supports imputing
    its conduct to the Michoacán state police in Uruapan, or that
    the separate courts in Uruapan would tolerate such activity.
    Yet the IJ assumed without record citation that the
    Michoacán state police in Uruapan are the same as the Office
    of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions in Morelia. This was not
    a permissible inference based on the evidence in the record.
    Moreover, I cannot agree with the IJ’s and the majority’s
    refusal to consider the evidence of changed circumstances
    here that mitigate against the likelihood of future torture. I
    believe the Red Notice’s instruction to return Soto-Soto to
    Uruapan is a changed circumstance that shifts the balance
    against Soto-Soto’s claim. She was detained eight months
    in Uruapan, and there is no evidence that any member of the
    Michoacán state police in Uruapan harmed Soto-Soto or
    threatened to harm her. There is also no evidence that the
    Michoacán state police in Uruapan, or the Uruapan court,
    would permit Soto-Soto’s torturers from the Office of Anti-
    Kidnapping and Extortions in Morelia to torture her again
    before her trial or that the police in Uruapan would torture
    SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND                       25
    Soto-Soto as retribution for reporting her torture by the
    Office of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions.
    Even though Soto-Soto argues that the new criminal
    charges against her are based on the same evidence but
    without her coerced confession, so that she will likely be
    tortured again for a new confession, this argument is pure
    speculation and without support in the record. The argument
    also obscures the fact that the new investigation into the
    child’s kidnapping and murder still found sufficient
    evidence to once again charge Soto-Soto for the crimes, even
    without her coerced confession. The IJ also held that the
    serious, non-political crime bar applied because there are
    serious reasons to believe that Soto-Soto kidnapped and
    murdered the child. It is, therefore, important to emphasize
    that Soto-Soto’s original criminal case was not dismissed
    due to her torture or her factual innocence, but other due
    process errors that the court in Uruapan has corrected.
    As to my second point, the record does not support the
    IJ’s assumption that the various police and judiciary actors
    in Michoacán, Mexico are a unitary actor of “Mexican
    authorities”, nor does it support the majority’s similar
    merger of authorities as the “Michoacán state police.” We
    have emphasized the importance of distinguishing between
    local, state, and federal police or countrywide efforts in
    persecution cases. See, e.g., Madrigal v. Holder, 
    716 F.3d 499
    , 510 (9th Cir. 2013). While the circumstances presented
    here are different, I believe the ultimate point rings true that
    we are required to consider which law enforcement group
    was responsible for the torture and whether that group would
    be able to torture her again if she were returned to Mexico.
    Yet the majority fails to do so here. My concern is that
    the majority’s holding will lead to the perverse result that
    any victim of torture by law enforcement from one city can
    26                SOTO-SOTO V. GARLAND
    essentially claim an omnipresent threat from law
    enforcement throughout that region of the country,
    regardless of individual, ameliorative efforts taken by other
    law enforcement branches in the region. This is particularly
    troubling due to the lack of evidence in this case to support
    such a theory of CAT relief. Indeed, Soto-Soto was ordered
    to be returned to a separate court, 67 miles away from where
    the Office of Anti-Kidnapping and Extortions acted, to be
    tried for the kidnaping and murder of a neighbor’s child.
    There is no evidence that that court in Uruapan would allow
    Soto-Soto’s torture.
    II.
    Finally, I believe the majority errs by directing the Board
    to grant Soto-Soto CAT relief outright rather than remanding
    her petition to the Board to consider our opinion. Our
    ordinary practice is to remand a petition when the Board
    applied the incorrect standard, as it did here, unless there is
    a special circumstance that requires us to grant the
    underlying relief. See Guerra, 974 F.3d at 916–17. As I do
    not agree with the majority’s conclusion that the evidence
    compels us to grant Soto-Soto CAT relief, I also do not
    believe remanding without requiring further consideration
    by the Board is appropriate here. We should not interfere
    with our usual role as an appellate court to decide factual
    issues. Our usual remand to the Board procedure would
    overcome this mistake.
    III.
    For these reasons, I concur with the majority’s holding
    that the Board improperly engaged in de novo review and
    dissent from the majority’s failure to remand to the Board
    for reconsideration to determine whether Soto-Soto is
    entitled to CAT relief.