Morales v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2019 )


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  •                  In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS
    Filed: July 30, 2019
    * * * * * * * * * *                           *   *    *
    ERMERITA MORALES,                                      *
    Mother and natural guardian of                         *
    M.S.M., a minor,                                       *        PUBLISHED
    *
    Petitioner,                          *        No. 14-1186V
    *
    v.                                                     *        Special Master Gowen
    *
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH                                    *        Diphtheria-Tetanus-acellular Pertussis
    AND HUMAN SERVICES,                                    *        (“DTaP”); Haemophils Influenzae Type B
    *        (“Hib”); Inactivated Polio (“IPV”); Pneumo
    Respondent.                          *        -coccal Conjugate (“PCV”); Hepatitis B
    *        (“Hep B”); Rotavirus; Febrile Status
    *        Epilepticus; Encephalopathy; Challenge
    *    * *     *    *    *   *    *   *    *    *   *    *        -Rechallenge; Absence of SCN1A Mutation.
    Clifford J. Shoemaker, Shoemaker, Gentry & Knickelbein, Vienna, VA, for petitioner.1
    Christine M. Becer, United States Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent.
    RULING ON ENTITLEMENT2
    On December 10, 2014, Ermerita Morales (“petitioner”), on behalf of her minor child
    M.S.M., filed a petition for compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation
    1
    While Mr. Shoemaker has been petitioner’s attorney of record throughout this claim, another attorney, Mr. J. Robb
    Cecil has provided invaluable assistance. He was the first attorney contacted by petitioner, whose primary language
    is Spanish. Mr. Cecil referred the case to Mr. Shoemaker, but stayed involved to facilitate communication between
    petitioner and her counsel, her expert, and her medical providers. Tr. 4-5. Mr. Cecil appeared at the entitlement
    hearing and was admitted as co-counsel pro hac vice. I thank him for his contributions to this case.
    2
    Pursuant to the E-Government Act of 2002, see 44 U.S.C. § 3501 note (2012), because this opinion contains a
    reasoned explanation for the action in this case, I am required to post it on the website of the United States Court of
    Federal Claims. The court’s website is at http://www.uscfc.uscourts.gov/aggregator/sources/7. This means the
    opinion will be available to anyone with access to the Internet. Before the opinion is posted on the court’s
    website, each party has 14 days to file a motion requesting redaction “of any information furnished by that party:
    (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that
    includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
    privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). An objecting party must provide the court with a proposed redacted version of the
    opinion. 
    Id. If neither
    party files a motion for redaction within 14 days, the opinion will be posted on the
    court’s website without any changes. 
    Id. Program.3 Petition
    (ECF No. 1). On March 11, 2013, at approximately six months old, M.S.M.
    received vaccinations for diphtheria-tetanus-acellular pertussis (“DTaP”), haemophilus influenza
    type B (“Hib”); inactivated polio (“IPV”); pneumococcal conjugate (“PCV”); hepatitis B (“hep
    B”); and rotavirus. Within approximately 16 hours, M.S.M. developed a fever and status
    epilepticus. On December 26, 2013, M.S.M. again received DTaP, Hib, and PCV vaccinations,
    then developed fever and status epilepticus again within a similar period of time. M.S.M. did not
    have developmental delay prior to the initial seizure activity in March 2013; she did afterwards.
    She continues to have seizure activity. Genetic testing was negative for known pathogenic
    mutations in SCN1A and other genes associated with seizure disorders.
    Petitioner alleges that M.S.M.’s vaccines caused an acquired epileptic encephalopathy.
    Petition; see also Petitioner’s (“Pet.”) Pre-Hearing Brief (ECF No. 82) at 19, 29; Pet. Post-
    Hearing Brief (ECF No. 123) at 55.4 She and her experts present various theories, including that
    an innate immune response can and did cause fever and status epilepticus, which lowers the
    threshold for further seizures.
    After a review of the entire record, I find that petitioner has presented preponderant
    evidence that M.S.M.’s vaccinations caused an encephalopathy which is responsible for sequelae
    including her developmental delay and continued seizure activity. She has satisfied her burden
    of proof. Accordingly, she is entitled to compensation.5
    I. Procedural History
    Petitioner filed her claim on December 10, 2014. The parties and I agreed that M.S.M.
    should undergo two rounds of genetic testing, which was negative for any known pathogenic
    mutations. Petitioner’s Exhibits (“Exs.”) 17, 63. Respondent still recommended against
    compensation on the grounds that petitioner had not presented preponderant evidence that
    M.S.M.’s injuries were caused by the vaccinations and were more likely caused by an
    3
    The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program is set forth in Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine
    Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3755, codified as amended, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-1 to 34 (2012)
    (“Vaccine Act” or “the Act”). Hereinafter, individual section references will be to 42 U.S.C. § 300aa of the Act.
    4
    The current Vaccine Injury Table creates a presumption of causation if pertussis vaccine (DTP, DTaP, P, DTP-
    Hib) is followed within 0 – 72 hours by an acute encephalopathy that meets certain criteria. For a child who is less
    than eighteen months old upon receiving pertussis vaccination (such as M.S.M.), “an acute encephalopathy
    following a seizure is demonstrated by a significantly decreased level of consciousness that lasts at least 24 hours
    and cannot be attributed to a postictal state from a seizure or medication.” 42 C.F.R. §§ 100.3(a), (c)(2)(i). In this
    case, M.S.M. did receive pertussis vaccine and experienced an encephalopathy within 72 hours thereafter. However,
    petitioner does not allege a Table injury. See Pet. Post-Hearing Reply (ECF No. 130) at 15, n. 5 (“Petitioner is not
    arguing that M.S.M. meets the Table definition for encephalopathy”). Upon review, I find that M.S.M. likely does
    not meet that criteria because following her March 11, 2013 febrile seizure, she did not exhibit a significantly
    decreased level of consciousness for at least 24 hours. However, she has established an off-Table encephalopathy.
    5
    Pursuant to Section 13(a)(1), in order to reach my decision, I have considered the entire record, including all of the
    medical records, expert testimony, and literature submitted by the parties. This opinion discusses the elements of the
    record I found most relevant to the outcome.
    2
    “unidentified genetic mutation.” Respondent’s Rule 4(c) Report (“Resp. Rep’t”) filed February
    26, 2016 (ECF No. 41).
    Both parties retained experts in support of their respective positions. Petitioner submitted
    several reports from Dr. Yuval Shafrir.6 Pet. Exs. 18, 64, 90, 92. Petitioner also submitted one
    report from Dr. Joseph Bellanti.7 Pet. Ex. 95. Respondent submitted one report from Dr. Max
    Wiznitzer.8 Resp. Ex. B. Respondent also submitted two reports from Dr. Francis Lobo.9 Resp.
    6
    Dr. Shafrir is board-certified in neurology with a special qualification in pediatric neurology. Pet. Ex. 19 at 2. He
    is also certified by the American Board of Clinical Neurophysiology, which relates to special expertise in epilepsy
    and EEG testing. Dr. Shafrir stated that this certification qualifies him as an “epileptologist.” Pet. Ex. 19 at 2; Tr.
    11. Dr. Shafrir received his medical degree magna cum laude from the Sackler School of Medicine in Tel Aviv in
    1982. Pet. Ex. 19 at 1. After medical school, he completed several years of pediatric training in Israel, followed by
    a residency in pediatrics at North Shore University Hospital, which is affiliated with Cornell University Medical
    College. 
    Id. He then
    completed a pediatric neurology residency and fellowship at Washington University in St.
    Louis, followed by an epilepsy fellowship at Miami Children’s Hospital in Miami, Florida. 
    Id. He then
    worked as a
    pediatric neurologist at Walter Reed Army Medical Center, Georgetown University Hospital, and the Oklahoma
    University Hospital. In 2000, he opened a private practice, which has since been acquired by Sinai Hospital in
    Baltimore, Maryland. 
    Id. at 2;
    Tr. 11. He is also an assistant professor teaching pediatrics and neurology at the
    University of Maryland in Baltimore, Maryland. Pet. Ex. 19 at 2. At the entitlement hearing, I granted petitioner’s
    unopposed motion to admit Dr. Shafrir as an expert in pediatrics and epileptology. Tr. 12. As noted in the summary
    of relevant facts, Dr. Shafrir also met with petitioner and M.S.M. to provide a second opinion on her care in January
    2015. Dr. Shafrir drew from that evaluation in his first expert report, dated January 30, 2015.
    7
    Dr. Bellanti is board-certified in pediatrics as well as allergy and immunology. Pet. Ex. 96 at 4. He received his
    medical degree from the University of Buffalo in Buffalo, New York in 1958. Pet. Ex. 96 at 4. He then spent
    several years practicing pediatric medicine at several hospitals in the Buffalo area. 
    Id. He spent
    one year as a
    National Institutes of Health special trainee in immunology at the University of Florida, followed by two years as a
    research virologist at the Walter Reed Army Institute of Research. 
    Id. In 1963,
    Dr. Bellanti was hired by
    Georgetown University, where he has since been a treating pediatrician; a researcher; and a professor of pediatrics,
    immunology, and microbiology. 
    Id. He teaches
    medical students as well as fellows at the university’s International
    Center for the Interdisciplinary Studies of Immunology. 
    Id. Dr. Bellanti
    testified that his current status is emeritus.
    He currently teaches, does “a little research,” and sees patients with complex immunological problems on referral
    one day each week. Tr. 73. He has published considerable medical articles, as well as several chapters and entire
    textbooks. Pet. Ex. 96 at 12-46. He is the sole author of a textbook on immunology. One chapter from his textbook
    was filed in this case.7 Upon review of the transcript, I recognize that petitioner did not move to admit Dr. Bellanti
    in a particular field. However, his testimony was centered on the field of immunology. Respondent did not
    challenge his qualifications in that field.
    8
    Dr. Wiznitzer is board-certified in pediatrics, psychiatry and neurology with a special qualification in child
    neurology, neurodevelopmental disabilities, and medical examination. Resp. Ex. C at 6. Dr. Wiznitzer received his
    medical degree from Northwestern University in 1977. 
    Id. at 1.
    He then spent three years as a resident in pediatrics
    at what is now named Cincinnati Children’s Hospital in Ohio, then one year as a fellow at the Cincinnati Center for
    Developmental Disorders, and then three years as a fellow in pediatric neurology at the Children’s Hospital of
    Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 
    Id. He then
    spent two years as a NIH-sponsored fellow in higher cortical functions at
    Albert Einstein College of Medicine in the Bronx, New York. 
    Id. In 1986,
    he was hired by Case Western Reserve
    University, where he is now a professor of neurology and pediatrics. 
    Id. at 2-3.
    He is also a child neurologist seeing
    both outpatients and inpatients at Rainbow Babies and Children’s Hospital in Cleveland, Ohio. 
    Id. at 2-3;
    Tr. 116.
    Dr. Wiznitzer testified that currently eighty-five percent of his job is direct patient care. Tr. 118. He has diagnosed
    and treated children with febrile seizures, epilepsy, and autoimmune encephalopathies. Tr. 120. I granted
    respondent’s unopposed motion to admit Dr. Wiznitzer as an expert in pediatric neurology. Tr. 122.
    9
    Dr. Lobo unfortunately passed away the year after the hearing in this case. He was board-certified in allergy and
    immunology. Resp. Ex. T at 1. He received his medical degree from the Yale University School of Medicine in
    3
    Exs. S, EE. While the case proceeded on a litigation track, the parties discussed settlement and
    reached a tentative settlement agreement. Ultimately, the tentative agreement did not receive
    final approval from respondent. On October 2-3, 2017, an entitlement hearing took place during
    which the four experts testified. See Transcript (“Tr.”) (ECF Nos. 118, 120). The parties have
    filed their respective post-hearing briefs. The matter is now ripe for adjudication.
    II.       Legal Standard10
    The Vaccine Act was established to compensate vaccine-related injuries and deaths. §
    300aa-10(a). “Congress designed the Vaccine Program to supplement the state law civil tort
    system as a simple, fair and expeditious means for compensating vaccine-related injured persons.
    The Program was established to award ‘vaccine-injured persons quickly, easily, and with
    certainty and generosity.’” Rooks v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    35 Fed. Cl. 1
    , 7 (1996)
    (quoting H.R. No. 908 at 3, reprinted in 1986 U.S.C.C.A.N. at 6287, 6344).
    A petitioner bears the burden of establishing his or her entitlement to compensation from
    the Vaccine Program. There are two avenues to compensation. The first requires the petitioner to
    demonstrate a Table injury but that is not alleged in the present case.11 The second avenue
    requires the petitioner to prove that a vaccine listed on the Vaccine Table was the cause-in-fact of
    the injury.
    To satisfy the burden of proving causation-in-fact, petitioner must “show by preponderant
    evidence that the vaccination brought about the injury by providing 1) a medical theory
    connecting the vaccination and injury; 2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the
    vaccination was the reason for the injury; and 3) a showing of proximate temporal relationship
    between vaccination and injury.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    418 F.3d 1274
    ,
    1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). The petitioner must establish each Althen prong by the preponderance of
    the evidence. Caves v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    100 Fed. Cl. 119
    , 132 (2011), aff. per
    curiam, 463 Fed. Appx. 932 (Fed. Cir. 2012).
    1992. 
    Id. He remained
    at Yale for the remainder of his life. He spent the first two years as a resident in internal
    medicine, then four years as a post-doctoral fellow in the department of pediatrics, section of allergy and clinical
    immunology. 
    Id. In 1998,
    he was appointed as an instructor at Yale. Id.; Tr. 235. He was most recently a clinical
    instructor in the department of pediatrics, section of allergy and clinical immunology. Resp. Ex. T at 1. He also
    maintained a clinical practice. Approximately half of his patients were children and half were adults. Tr. 236. He
    treated conditions including immune deficiency, allergy, drug hypersensitivity, and autoinflammatory diseases. Tr.
    236. Dr. Lobo conducted original research on immunology, including on delay-type hypersensitivity reactions and
    the timeframe and kinetics of antibody formation. Tr. 237. Tr. 237. While the other three experts are all
    established in the Vaccine Program, for Dr. Lobo, this was the second Vaccine Program case in which he had
    submitted a report and the first case in which he had testified. Tr. 238. Upon respondent’s unopposed motion, I
    admitted Dr. Lobo as an expert in immunology.
    10
    Decisions of special masters and the U.S. Court of Federal Claims (some of which are referenced in this ruling)
    constitute persuasive but not binding authority. Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    40 Fed. Cl. 625
    , 630
    (1998). By contrast, Federal Circuit rulings concerning legal issues are binding on special masters. Guillory v. Sec’y
    of Health & Human Servs., 
    59 Fed. Cl. 121
    , 124 (2003), aff’d, 104 F. App’x 712 (Fed. Cir. 2004); see also Spooner
    v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 13-159V, 
    2014 WL 504728
    , at *7 n.12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 16, 2014).
    11
    See infra note 4.
    4
    The preponderance of the evidence standard requires a petitioner to demonstrate that it is
    “more likely than not” that the vaccine caused her injury. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human
    Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    , 1322 n.2 (Fed. Cir. 2010). Proof of medical certainty is not required.
    Bunting v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    931 F.2d 867
    , 873 (Fed. Cir. 1991). In particular, a
    petitioner must demonstrate that the vaccine was “not only [a] but for cause of the injury but also
    a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” 
    Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321
    (quoting Shyface v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    135 F.3d 1344
    , 1352-53 (Fed. Cir. 1999); Pafford v. Sec’y of
    Health and Human Servs., 
    451 F.3d 1352
    , 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006). Causation is determined on a
    case-by-case basis, with “no hard and fast per se scientific or medical rules.” Knudsen v. Sec’y
    of Health & Human Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994). A fact-finder may rely upon
    “circumstantial evidence” which the court found to be consistent with the “system created by
    Congress, in which close calls regarding causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants.”
    
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280
    .
    Establishing a sound and reliable medical theory connecting the vaccine to the injury
    often requires petitioners to present expert testimony in support of his or her claim. Lampe v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    219 F.3d 1357
    , 1361 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Expert testimony in the
    Vaccine Program is usually evaluated according to the factors set forth in Daubert v. Merrell
    Dow Pharm., Inc., 
    509 U.S. 579
    , 594-96 (1993); see also 
    Cedillo, 617 F.3d at 1339
    (citing
    Terran v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    195 F.3d 1302
    , 1316 (Fed. Cir. 1999). Thus, for
    Vaccine Act claims, a “special master is entitled to require some indicia of reliability to support
    the assertion of the expert witness.” Moberly at 1324. The Daubert factors are used in weighing
    the reliability of scientific evidence proffered. Davis v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 94 Fed.
    Cl. 53, 66-67 (2010). Where both sides offer expert testimony, a special master’s decision may
    be “based on the credibility of the experts and the relative persuasiveness of their competing
    theories.” Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    219 F.3d 1339
    , 1347 (Fed. Cir.
    2010) (citing Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    219 F.3d 1357
    , 1362 (Fed. Cir. 2000).
    Once a petitioner has proven causation by preponderant evidence, the burden shifts to
    respondent to show by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury is due to factors unrelated
    to the administration of the vaccine. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    717 F.3d 1363
    , 1367 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citing § 13(a)(1)(B)). Respondent has the burden of demonstrating
    that “a factor unrelated to the vaccination is the more likely or principal cause of injury alleged.
    Such a showing establishes that the factor unrelated, not the vaccination, was ‘principally
    responsible’ for the injury. If the evidence or alternative cause is seen in equipoise, then the
    government has failed in its burden of persuasion and compensation must be awarded.”
    
    Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 551
    .
    5
    II. Summary of Medical Records
    1.       M.S.M.’s Medical History Before the March 11, 2013 Vaccinations
    M.S.M. was born at term in early September 2012. Her Apgar scores, neonatal
    evaluation, and physical examination were all normal. Pet. Exs. 8, 9. Primary care was
    established initially at the Laurel Children’s Clinic, where at one month old, M.S.M. received the
    first hepatitis B vaccination. At two months old, she received the first DTaP, Hib, IPV, PCV,
    and rotavirus vaccinations. At each visit, she was recorded to have normal tone and motor
    development. She followed to midline. She lifted her head while lying on her stomach. Pet. Ex.
    11 at 5-8.
    Primary care was then transferred to Dr. Carlos A. Cruz, who saw her twice in December
    2012 for a cough and pulling on one ear. He noted that her left eye seemed smaller than the right
    and she exhibited strabismus.12 The physical exams were otherwise normal. Pet. Ex. 1 at 1-2.
    On January 8, 2013, at four months old, M.S.M. received the second DTaP, Hib, IPV,
    PCV, Hep B, and rotavirus vaccinations at Dr. Cruz’s office. She was seen by another physician,
    Dr. Villagra, who recorded strabismus and an otherwise normal physical examination. Pet. Ex. 1
    at 3. On January 15, 2013, Dr. Cruz saw M.S.M. for fussiness and constipation, which he
    assessed to be functional. He recorded that M.S.M. had cradle cap. He recorded no history of
    fever or present fever or any other issues. Pet. Ex. 1 at 4.
    On March 11, 2013 at approximately 11:30 a.m.13 Dr. Cruz saw M.S.M. for her six-
    month well visit. He recorded no reactions to prior vaccinations. He observed no strabismus.
    On physical examination, he recorded “generalized hypotonia.”14 This is the first record noting
    hypotonia. However, everything else in the record appears normal and inconsistent with
    hypotonia or any other developmental delay. Dr. Cruz wrote “NL [normal] milestones.” He also
    wrote that “neuro/ reflexes/ tone” were within normal limits. Under “[d]evelopmental
    surveillance (observed or reported),” he wrote that M.S.M. could transfer toy hand to hand, feed
    self crackers, work for toy out of reach, say dada or mama non-specific, turn to voice, and
    imitate speech sounds. She could sit alone (without support), stand holding on, bear weight on
    legs, and had no head lag when pulled to sitting. Pet. Ex. 1 at 5 (well visit record); see also 
    id. at 21
    (“Denver II” graph indicating that she met many developmental milestones for her age of six
    12
    Strabismus is “an eye condition in which the visual axes cannot be directed at the same point of fixation under
    normal conditions of seeing.” Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary 32nd Ed. (2012) (hereinafter “Dorland’s”)
    at 1778.
    13
    Dr. Cruz’s contemporaneous medical record does not indicate the time of the visit. However, four days later he
    completed a VAERS report on which he states that the vaccinations were given on March 11, 2013 at 11:30 a.m.
    Pet. Ex. 1 at 31.
    14
    Hypotonia is “a condition of diminished tone of the skeletal muscles, so that they have diminished resistance to
    passive stretching and are flaccid.” Dorland’s at 907 (picturing a child displaying “hypotonia with severe head lag
    and failure of limbs to flex to counter the upward traction”).
    6
    months). M.S.M. received her third DTaP, Hib, IPV, PCV, Hep B, and rotavirus vaccinations.
    Pet. Ex. 1 at 5, 23.
    2.       M.S.M.’s Medical History After the March 11, 2013 Vaccinations
    On March 12, 2013 at approximately 3:00 a.m., M.S.M. awoke and began staring,
    drooling, and shaking. The parents drove her to the emergency room at Holy Cross Hospital in
    Silver Spring, Maryland, which took at least 15 minutes.15 She presented at approximately 3:30
    a.m. She was admitted at 3:49 a.m. The parents’ preferred language was Spanish and they
    needed an interpreter. The emergency room records provide that M.S.M. was experiencing a
    right-sided tonic-clonic seizure. That seizure was also described as “focal.” It constituted
    “status epilepticus.” Her rectal temperature was 102.8 degrees Fahrenheit. Within 5 minutes of
    arrival, she received rectal acetaminophen (an analgesic used to reduce fever) and lorazepam (a
    treatment for seizures), after which the seizure activity stopped. Thus, the seizure lasted at least
    30 minutes. Pet. Ex. 10 at 46-49.
    Labwork showed a white blood cell (“WBC”) count of 34.4 K/uL (above the reference
    range of 5.0 – 15.5 K/uL). Pet. Ex. 10 at 51. A resident suggested the elevated WBC could be
    “elevated due to stress of seizure itself but should be continued to be monitored.” 
    Id. at 18.
    M.S.M. was given one dose of ceftriaxone (an antibiotic). 
    Id. at 39.
    At approximately 6:00 a.m., a pediatrician, Dr. Wiersma, recorded that M.S.M.
    “remained sleepy.” The parents reported that M.S.M. had been meeting developmental
    milestones and was babbling and transferring objects, but “was not yet sitting unassisted.” Pet.
    Ex. 10 at 16-17.
    At approximately 8:00 a.m., another pediatrician, Dr. Cuzzi, saw M.S.M. The parents
    described an earlier incident. Namely, the night before at approximately 10:00 p.m., M.S.M. had
    “1 minute staring fixed forward, mouth closed, body tense, no clonic activity. [M.S.M.] fell
    asleep directly after this event.” Pet. Ex. 10 at 19. This was before the prolonged seizure which
    led to the hospitalization at approximately 3:30 a.m. Dr. Cuzzi noted that after the prolonged
    seizure, M.S.M. was “postictal.” 
    Id. at 19.
    At 8:00 a.m., Dr. Cuzzi observed M.S.M. “sleeping
    initially, fairly easy to awaken but sleepy, focuses on examiners, smiles, follows 180 degrees,
    reaches but did not grasp on this exam, does not roll over, pushes chest up and head up 90
    degrees, small head lag when pulled to sit, when held sitting head is off-center/ lopsided as if
    unable to hold central firm (different from baseline per dad).” 
    Id. Dr. Cuzzi’s
    assessment was
    complex febrile seizures and “delayed gross motor milestones.” 
    Id. at 21.
    At 11:30 a.m., a medical student called M.S.M.’s primary care provider Dr. Cruz, who
    reported that M.S.M. did not have “any developmental delay at her 4 month or 6 month visits.”
    Pet. Ex. 10 at 30.
    15
    The family’s home address is listed on the hospital face sheet. Pet. Ex. 10 at 1. By my calculation using
    www maps.google.com, the home is at least 4.8 miles and at least 15 minutes driving time to the hospital (depending
    on the route taken).
    7
    Also on March 12, 2013, a pediatrician at the hospital, Dr. Rochester, recorded that a
    neurologist had recommended short-term close observation, diazepam (another treatment for
    seizures) at discharge, and a neurology follow up in 4-6 weeks. 
    Id. at 21.
    Dr. Rochester also
    examined M.S.M. at 5:30 p.m. She was awake and alert. “Neuro exam was significant for gross
    motor delay (doesn’t reach for toys, unable to sit without support, head bobbing noted when in
    sitting position) – all present at baseline per parents.” 
    Id. Dr. Rochester’s
    assessment was: “6
    mo s/p complex febrile seizure with no source of fever on exam, now well-appearing and back to
    baseline per parents. Fever was likely secondary to immunizations. Exam and hx are notable for
    motor delay (fine and gross.)” 
    Id. at 22.
    On March 13, 2013, repeat lab work showed a decreased WBC of 22.7 K/uL. 
    Id. at 6.
    Additionally, M.S.M. did not have any further fevers, did not appear meningitic, and “returned to
    baseline mental status.” Pet. Ex. 10 at 5. Therefore, she was discharged on March 14 at
    approximately 10:00 a.m. The discharge summary, signed by Dr. Wiersma, instructed that if
    M.S.M. experienced a further seizure, she should take Diastat 2.5 mg (provided) and return to the
    emergency room. 
    Id. at 4.
    She needed to follow up with her primary care provider Dr. Cruz the
    next day and a neurologist on April 22, 2013. 
    Id. Dr. Wiersma
    also wrote that M.S.M. had been
    found “mildly developmentally delayed by Denver assessment (failed both gross and fine
    motor).” 
    Id. at 5.
    Dr. Wiersma recommended following up on this issue, possibly by “refer[r]al
    [sic] to infants and toddlers.” 
    Id. at 7.
    On March 15, 2013, Dr. Cruz saw M.S.M for follow up. He again recorded normal
    milestones, but generalized hypotonia. Pet. Ex. 1 at 6. Subsequently, on April 12, Dr. Cruz filed
    a VAERS report. 
    Id. at 31.
    On April 22, 2013, Dr. Reese, a neurologist affiliated with Children’s National Medical
    Center (“CNMC”), conducted an initial evaluation. Dr. Reese recorded that the mother recalled
    that during the March 11 seizure involved both arms and both legs, which would be described as
    generalized and non-focal. This would be the “best case scenario.” But in contrast, the hospital
    records only recorded right-sided seizure activity, which would be focal. Dr. Reese did not
    prescribe any medication at this visit. He recommended an MRI without contrast and an EEG to
    exclude underlying etiologies for focal seizures. Pet. Ex. 2 at 31-33.
    On April 23, 2013, M.S.M. suffered another seizure. Her mother reported that the
    previous evening, M.S.M. “felt hot.” The mother did not take M.S.M.’s temperature but gave
    ibuprofen. Pet. Ex. 10 at 178. The next morning, M.S.M. was asleep. She suddenly screamed,
    went limp, and then all of her limbs shook. She stopped breathing, drooled, and vomited. She
    did not turn colors. The episode lasted 2-3 minutes. She was transported by ambulance. In the
    emergency room, her temperature was 101.2 degrees Fahrenheit. She was “alert and smiling
    during triage.” There was “no postictal phase.” An emergency room physician communicated
    with Dr. Reese, and then discharged M.S.M. home. Pet. Ex. 10 at 164-91.
    On May 17, 2013, Dr. Reese met again with M.S.M. and her mother, with assistance
    from a Spanish-speaking interpreter on the phone. He noted that the MRI (performed on May 2,
    2013) showed no brain abnormality, but the brain’s internal architecture could not be seen due to
    M.S.M.’s young age. Dr. Reese explained the difference between an MRI and EEG and why
    8
    both should be done. He did not prescribe any medication. Pet. Ex. 2 at 36-38; see also 
    id. at 34-35
    (MRI report).
    On June 1, 2013, Dr. Cruz conducted a routine 9-month old visit. He again observed that
    M.S.M. had generalized hypotonia. She had new decreased mobility of the left arm, was unable
    to roll over, and did not sit unsupported. Dr. Cruz recorded that she was developmentally
    delayed by Denver screening. Pet. Ex. 1 at 9. On June 5, M.S.M. was referred to the Maryland
    Infants & Toddlers Program. An evaluation on July 17, 2013 found that she was experiencing at
    least 25% developmental delay in fine and gross motor skills. Pet. Ex. 12 at 1-2.
    On July 3, 2013, the EEG requested by Dr. Reese was performed. The impression was:
    “Abnormal routine video EEG capturing wakefulness through stage 1 sleep due to the presence
    of frequent multifocal and likely secondarily generalized discharges during drowsiness and sleep.
    This would suggest lowered seizure threshold.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 39-40.
    On August 2, 2013, Dr. Reese saw M.S.M. again. He noted that M.S.M. had begun
    physical therapy twice a month. Dr. Reese agreed that the EEG and the MRI suggested that
    M.S.M. was “at an increase[d] risk for recurrent seizures, but we cannot say that risk is high
    enough to warrant medication at this time.” He did not suggest any further workup. The mother
    asked, on behalf of the primary care provider Dr. Cruz, whether M.S.M. should receive further
    vaccines. Dr. Reese indicated: “Febrile seizure is not a contraindication for vaccines. [M.S.M.]
    did not have any findings on her MRI suggestive of metabolic disease.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 41-43.
    On August 22, 2013, Dr. Cruz’s office recorded that “per Dr. Reese, is okay for [M.S.M.]
    to receive vaccinations.” Pet. Ex. 1 at 19. Subsequently, M.S.M. received MMR and varicella
    vaccinations on September 10, 2013 and a hepatitis A vaccination on October 10, 2013 without
    incident. 
    Id. at 11-12,
    23.
    On October 22, 2013, Dr. Reese saw M.S.M. because her therapists were concerned that
    she was having seizures. Dr. Reese observed several such episodes during the visit. “[M.S.M.’s]
    head would fall to the left side and then roll forward. It happened more slowly than the atonic
    seizures [Dr. Reese] was accustomed to seeing.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 46-48.
    At Dr. Reese’s recommendation, on November 21, 2013, a video EEG was performed.
    The impression was abnormal due to multifocal epileptiform discharges, predominantly in the
    bilateral occipital regions. In addition, there were bursts of bi-occipital/ generalized epileptiform
    discharges, sometimes associated with relatively subtle leg myoclonus or subtle head drops/ eye
    fluttering. This supported a significantly lowered seizure threshold. A clinical diagnosis of
    Dravet syndrome was suggested. Pet. Ex. 2 at 50-51.
    At the next visit on December 2, 2013, Dr. Reese recorded that the head drops seemed to
    be increasing in frequency. He observed two such episodes. He found her EEG and clinical
    presentation were suggestive of Dravet syndrome. “To confirm the diagnosis of Dravet,” he
    recommended testing for the SCN1A gene. “If this test comes back positive, it would have
    implications about which seizure medicines to use or avoid.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 54-55. He also wrote
    the first prescription for M.S.M. to take the seizure medication levetiracetam. Pet. Ex. 7 at 1;
    Pet. Ex. 13 at 1.
    9
    At a December 12, 2013 follow-up, Dr. Cruz recorded that M.S.M. had been prescribed
    levetiracetam. “According to parents when she takes meds she doesn’t have seizures, but
    sometimes she refuses to take the medications [and has?] seizure activity.” Dr. Cruz encouraged
    administering the medication in different ways. He recorded that M.S.M. was able to support
    weight, walk with assistance, and sit unsupported but she had low tone. Pet. Ex. 1 at 13.
    On December 20, 2013, Dr. Reese recorded that the physical therapist had observed
    “over 15 head drops” during therapy that day and raised the possibility of a helmet.
    Additionally, the mother had “expressed hesitancy to [the physical therapist] about using
    medication.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 53.
    On December 26, 2013, Dr. Cruz saw M.S.M. for another routine visit. His physical
    examination observed generalized hypotonia, but able to sit unsupported. He noted that a
    developmental screening showed gross motor delay and speech delay, but she was already on
    PT/ OT/ speech therapy three times per week. Pet. Ex. 1 at 14. Dr. Cruz administered the fourth
    DTaP, Hib, and PCV vaccinations. 
    Id. at 23.16
    The previous round of these vaccines had been
    given March 11, 2013, less than 24 hours before her first status epilepticus.
    3.     M.S.M.’s Medical History Following the Repeat Vaccinations on December
    26, 2013
    On December 27, 2013 in the early morning, M.S.M. “had a spontaneous seizure that
    lasted for 5 minutes.” The parents called an ambulance which was dispatched at 4:56 a.m.,
    arrived at 5:02 a.m., reached Holy Cross Hospital at 5:23 a.m., and transferred care at 5:32 a.m.
    Pet. Ex. 10 at 254-56. At 5:50 a.m., it was recorded that M.S.M. was “actively seizing… with
    deviated eyes to the left and generalized twitching” upon arrival to the emergency room. At 5:57
    a.m., it was recorded that the first two attempts to place an intravenous (IV) line were
    unsuccessful. At 6:00 a.m., the seizure activity stopped. She was crying and responsive to pain
    with the IV line attempts. Her pediatric Glasgow coma scale was 10. Pet. Ex. 10 at 235-79.
    Thus, it is likely that this seizure lasted at least 30 minutes.
    At 6:06 a.m., the IV line was established. At 6:26 a.m., levetiracetam was infusing
    through the IV line. Her rectal temperature was 102.2 degrees Fahrenheit. Pet. Ex. 10 at 235-40.
    The attending physician recorded that M.S.M. had “missed 2 doses [of levetiracetam]
    because pharmacy did not have refill.” Pet. Ex. 10 at 251. Labwork taken prior to the infusion
    at the hospital showed levetiracetam was at less than 1.0 mcg/ mL (below a therapeutic “trough”
    of 4.9 – 37.1 mcg/ mL). 
    Id. at 261.
    The hospitalization records do not mention the vaccines that
    M.S.M. had received from her primary care provider the previous day. Later that morning,
    M.S.M. was discharged with diazepam to last one day, levetiracetam for three days, and
    instructions to refill the levetiracetam prescription. 
    Id. at 246.
    16
    The contemporaneous record does not indicate the time of the visit or the time the vaccines were given.
    10
    Dr. Reese had referred M.S.M. to a geneticist, Dr. Lewanda, to “rule out Dravet
    syndrome.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 61. At the initial genetics visit on January 3, 2014, Dr. Lewanda
    reviewed M.S.M.’s history and EEG findings and agreed with the concern. She wrote:
    [Dravet syndrome] is an early-onset epileptic encephalopathy which is
    characterized by generalized tonic, clonic, and tonic-clonic seizures that are
    initially induced by fever and begin in the first year of life. They are often
    refractory to treatment. Later, these seizure types can change and include other
    forms such as myoclonic, absence, or partial seizures. Development typically
    stagnates around the second year of life, and there can be subsequent mental
    decline and other neurologic manifestations.
    Dr. Lewanda agreed that testing for the SCN1A gene was important and the results could inform
    M.S.M.’s treatment plan. She planned to seek approval from the health insurance provider. 
    Id. at 61-63.
    On January 6, 2014, Dr. Reese saw M.S.M. again. He briefly noted that in December
    2013, one day after receiving DTaP, Hib, and PCV vaccines, M.S.M. had an “event” at home
    which prompted the mother to call 911 and have M.S.M. “taken to Holy Cross and then
    discharged home.” Dr. Reese does not discuss the active seizing at the hospital. “Other than
    that, [M.S.M] ha[d] been doing well.” She was compliant with levetiracetam, with “significant
    improvement with her seizures” and “0 to a few seizures per day.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 68-71.
    M.S.M. underwent audiology tests regarding her speech and language development in
    January and again in March 2014. Pet. Ex. 2 at 25-27, 72-77. She continued with her therapists.
    Pet. Ex. 12 at 13-47. Pediatric care remained with Dr. Cruz for much of 2014. Pet. Ex. 1 at 15-
    17. But in September 2014, pediatric care was transferred to a Dr. Hashim. Pet. Ex. 3 at 1-7;
    Pet. Ex. 85 at 5-7.
    On May 9, 2014, at approximately 3:00 p.m., M.S.M. presented at Holy Cross Hospital.
    The mother reported that the previous evening, M.S.M. had developed hives (also described as a
    rash) and a low-grade fever. She was taking ibuprofen. At the hospital, M.S.M.’s temperature
    was 100.0 degrees Fahrenheit. The impression was a viral syndrome and hives. She was sent
    home. Pet. Ex. 10 at 199-232.
    On May 11, 2014, the parents took M.S.M. to urgent care because the hives were still
    present. The assessment was an allergic reaction. Her temperature was 97.6 degrees Fahrenheit.
    Pet. Ex. 6 at 1-3.
    Neurology care continued with Dr. Reese. His opinion was that the EEGs and clinical
    presentation were most consistent with Dravet syndrome. In March 2014, he prescribed M.S.M.
    a soft helmet. He adjusted levetiracetam several times. Increasing the prescription somewhat
    improved but did not fully control her seizure activity. Dr. Reese also recorded that the mother
    had begun giving M.S.M. melatonin to help her sleep, which was associated with decreased
    seizures. Pet. Ex. 2 at 15-23, 79-93; Pet. Ex. 14 at 1-16.
    11
    On January 30, 2015, M.S.M.’s parents sought a second neurology opinion from Dr.
    Yuval Shafrir at Sinai Hospital in Baltimore, Maryland. After reviewing the records and
    conducting his own evaluation, Dr. Shafrir’s impression was that M.S.M. had a “severe early
    epileptic encephalopathy, which was triggered by her DTaP vaccination.” He considered that
    Dravet Syndrome was “definitely high on the list.” He opined that levetiracetam alone did not
    seem to help M.S.M. He recommended a different anti-seizure medication, divalproex sodium.
    If the diagnosis of Dravet syndrome was confirmed, he recommended adding stiripentol, a
    supplemental anti-convulsant treatment specifically for Dravet syndrome which is not adequately
    controlled by other drugs.
    Dr. Shafrir explained that if M.S.M. was transferred to his care, he would like to see her
    5-6 times per year. Additionally, he would require another video EEG and that any emergency
    care take place at his hospital (which was some distance away from M.S.M.’s home). Pet. Ex.
    85 at 25-38 (Dr. Shafrir’s letter to primary care provider Dr. Hashim); Tr. 13-14.17 Thus, the
    parents decided to continue with their established neurologist, Dr. Reese. Pet. Ex. 16.
    After the parties stipulated that it would be a litigation cost incurred by the Vaccine
    Program, Dr. Shafrir ordered an SCN1A genetic sequencing test. In April 2015, a report
    concluded: “No sequence variants were detected in SCN1A. This result does not support a
    diagnosis of SCN1A-related seizure disorder.” However, it further provided: “It cannot be
    excluded that pathogenic variants in SCN1A were missed due to limitations inherent to the
    sequence analysis method used here. In addition, presence of SCN1A-related seizure disorder
    due to a different genetic cause can also not be ruled out.” Pet. Ex. 17.
    In October 2015, a comprehensive epilepsy panel/ sequencing and deletion/ duplication
    analysis of 70 genes was obtained from a company called GeneDx. The report provides that
    M.S.M. was “heterozygous for a variant of uncertain significance” in the PNKP gene.
    Pathogenic variants in the PNKP gene have been associated with autosomal recessive
    microcephaly, seizures, and developmental delay (MCSV) as well as with polyneuropathy.
    However, it was unclear whether the single variant found in M.S.M. was pathogenic or benign.
    The report also noted: “A second pathogenic variant, as expected for an autosomal recessive
    disorder, was not detected… The finding of a single missense variant makes the molecular
    diagnosis inconclusive, and clinical findings should also be considered in the diagnosis of
    [M.S.M.].” Importantly, once again, no mutations/ variants in the SCN1A gene were found. The
    report authors suggested genetic counseling and whole exome sequencing. Pet. Ex. 63.
    However, there are no records of that occurring.
    17
    I note that by this point, petitioner had retained the Shoemaker firm, who referred her to Dr. Shafrir. While the
    initial consultation was – at least in part – to possibly transfer M.S.M.’s neurologic care to Dr. Shafrir, petitioner and
    the Shoemaker firm also retained Dr. Shafrir as an expert witness. See, e.g., Pet. Ex. 18 (Dr. Shafrir’s first expert
    report dated May 30, 2015, which largely resembles his letter to the primary care provider Dr. Hashim). Dr.
    Shafrir’s expert opinion is addressed in further detail below.
    12
    III. Analysis18
    1.       Althen Prong One: Petitioner’s Theory
    Under Althen prong one, the causation theory must relate to the injury alleged. Thus, a
    petitioner must provide a “reputable” medical or scientific explanation, demonstrating that the
    vaccine received can cause the type of injury alleged. 
    Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1355-56
    . The theory
    must be based on a “sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of
    Health & Human Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994). It must only be “legally probable,
    not medically or scientifically certain.” 
    Id. at 549.
    However, the theory still must be based on a
    “sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation.” Knudsen at 548. The Federal Circuit
    explained in Althen that “while [that petitioner’s claim] involves the possible link between
    [tetanus toxoid] vaccination and central nervous system injury, a sequence hitherto unproven in
    medicine, the purpose of the Vaccine Act’s preponderance standard is to allow the finding of
    causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human body.”
    
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280
    (emphasis added).
    A. Innate Immune Response
    Petitioner and her experts opined that the vaccines at issue activate an innate immune
    response which includes the rapid generation of pro-inflammatory cytokines, which can cause
    fever and status epilepticus resulting in encephalopathy, which can cause developmental delay
    and further seizure activity.
    Petitioner’s first expert retained in this case was the neurologist, Dr. Shafrir. He opined
    that certain individuals are uniquely susceptible to autoimmune diseases. The exact pathway is
    not fully understood. Pet. Ex. 18 at 24-25; see also Pet. Ex. 92 at 1. Later in the case (after a
    tentative settlement was not approved by respondent’s counsel), respondent retained an
    immunologist, Dr. Lobo, which prompted petitioner to retain her own immunologist, Dr.
    Bellanti. Dr. Bellanti concurred that some individuals react badly to a vaccine while the
    overwhelming majority of individuals do not. Dr. Bellanti opined that perhaps these individuals
    have an unusual genetic or immune component which “render[s] a given individual more
    susceptible to having an adverse reaction to a vaccine or an infectious process.” Pet. Ex. 95 at 2.
    As noted elsewhere in this opinion, M.S.M. was not found to have any known pathogenic genetic
    mutation.
    From the start of the case, petitioner’s first expert Dr. Shafrir offered various opinions,
    including that vaccines can activate an innate immune response involving increased production
    18
    While I have reviewed all of the medical records, expert opinions, and medical literature submitted in this case, I
    discuss only those which are most relevant to my determination and/ or are central to petitioner’s case. Moriarty v.
    Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    844 F.3d 1322
    , 1328 (Fed. Cir. 2016) (internal citation omitted) (“[w]e generally
    presume that a special master considered the relevant record evidence even though he does not explicitly reference
    such evidence in his decision”); see also Paterek v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 527 Fed. App’x 875, 884 (Fed.
    Cir. 2013) (“[f]inding certain information not relevant does not lead to – and likely undermines – the conclusion that
    it was not considered”).
    13
    of pro-inflammatory cytokines. Pet. Ex. 64 at 4.19 He opined that the vaccines at issue can
    activate an innate immune response occurring within zero to 72 hours. The response involves
    pro-inflammatory cytokines which cross the blood-brain barrier into the brain, where they
    activate the hypothalamus to produce fever. Tr. 34-35. Dr. Shafrir opined that fever is a
    precipitant for seizures, particularly in patients who have an underlying susceptibility. Tr. 34-36.
    After petitioner retained Dr. Bellanti, he expanded on this mechanism of injury. Dr.
    Bellanti opined that the innate arm of the immune system is present at birth. It can respond upon
    the very first exposure to a foreign pathogen. The response is non-specific but rapid. Upon
    repeat exposure to a foreign pathogen, the innate immune response still occurs first and is
    followed by the adaptive immune response.
    A fetus receives a certain amount of IgG antibodies from his or her mother. The IgG
    antibodies received from the mother only last for a transient period of time. Then, the fetus starts
    to make his or her own gamma globulins in a sequential fashion: IgM first followed by IgG,
    followed by IgA and IgE. During the first year of life, the adaptive immune response is not fully
    developed but it is there. Pet. Ex. 95 at 4-7; Pet. Ex. 116 at 9-25; Tr. 86. Dr. Bellanti opined that
    past research of immune dysfunction and injury has focused on the adaptive arm but recently,
    increased attention is being paid to the innate arm. Pet. Ex. 95 at 4-5; Pet. Ex. 116 at 29-31.20
    Dr. Bellanti opined that the innate response involves the production of pro-inflammatory
    cytokines such as interleukin 1 (“IL-1”) which stimulates the hypothalamus which causes fever.
    Fever, on its own, is a normal immune response and is common following vaccination, affecting
    up to ten percent of children vaccinated in the United States.
    Dr. Bellanti stated that the immune system depends on “homeostasis” or “equilibrium”.
    When the immune system functions properly, the pro-inflammatory cytokines are produced,
    perform their role, and then are balanced out by anti-inflammatory cytokines. In rare cases, there
    is immunologic disequilibrium where the pro-inflammatory cytokines are not balanced out. Dr.
    This causes not only cause normal fever, but also trigger epileptogenic activity in the brain
    resulting in seizure. Dr. Bellanti testified that fever with seizure activity occurs in a smaller
    percentage of children vaccinated in the United States. Tr. 76-77, 80-83, 114-15. He also
    testified that the risk of febrile seizure increases with the number of childhood vaccines given.
    He found significant that on March 11, 2013, M.S.M. received over twenty antigens (within the
    DTaP, IPV, Hib, Hep B, Prevnar, and rotavirus vaccines), which was “a real cocktail of vaccines
    that she hadn’t received previously.” Tr. 84.
    19
    Citing Matin N. et al., Epilepsy and Innate Immune System: A Possible Immunogenic Predisposition and Related
    Therapeutic Implications, 11 Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics 2021-29 (2015) [Pet. Ex. 70]; Iori V, et al.,
    Modulation of Neuronal Excitability by Immune Mediators in Epilepsy, 26 Curr. Opin. Pharmacol. 118-23 (2016)
    [Pet. Ex. 71].
    20
    Citing Koenig H.C. et al., Application of the Immunological Disease Continuum to Study Autoimmune and Other
    Inflammatory Events after Vaccination, 29 Vaccine 913-19 (2011) [Pet. Ex. 97]; Descotes J. & G. Choquet-
    Kastylevsky, Gell and Coombs’s Classification: Is It Still Valid?, 158 Toxicology 43-49 (2001) [Pet. Ex.110].
    14
    Dr. Bellanti opined that the dysfunction in the innate immune system described above can
    be caused by the vaccines in this case. He submitted two studies for the proposition that whole-
    cell pertussis toxin can activate IL-1. Tr. 82.21 Dr. Shafrir also focused on pertussis. He cited
    the United Kingdom’s National Childhood Encephalopathy Study (NCES) which reported that
    compared to a control group of unvaccinated children, children who received the diphtheria,
    tetanus, whole-cell pertussis toxin (DTP) vaccine had an increased incidence of serious
    neurological illness (including encephalopathy, convulsions, and coma) within 72 hours.22 No
    significant association was found between DT (without any pertussis component) and serious
    neurological illness. 
    Id. Dr. Shafrir
    characterized this study as “a basis for the compensation for
    DTP vaccination.” Pet. Ex. 18 at 20; Tr. 25-27. Respondent’s experts Dr. Wiznitzer and Dr.
    Lobo objected to references to the whole cell pertussis toxin. They acknowledged that whole
    cell pertussis toxin was associated with these adverse events, but that prompted development of
    vaccines with the acellular pertussis toxoid which achieves the desired immunological effect but
    decreases the incidence of adverse events. See, e.g., Resp. Ex. B at 11 and Tr. 184-85 (Dr.
    Wiznitzer); Tr. 261 (Dr. Lobo).
    Dr. Shafrir also cited a Polish epidemiological study23 which found no statistically
    significant difference in the frequency of encephalopathy following DTP and DTaP vaccine.
    Pet. Ex. 18 at 20. Those authors wrote: “The data presented here confirm general knowledge of
    higher incidence of systemic adverse effects after whole cell pertussis preparations than acellular
    ones… The higher rate of seizures could be attributed mostly to higher rate of high fever after
    whole cell preparations.” Pet. Ex. 32 at 6.24 Further: “In most instances, acellular vaccine is less
    reactogenic and more comfortable for children and their custodians. But severe and serious
    reactions are very rare after either type of preparation, and even if they are more frequent after
    whole-cell vaccines, the rates were not significant.” 
    Id. (emphasis added).
    This Polish study has
    previously been accepted for the proposition that acellular pertussis toxoid vaccine still carries
    risk for neurological injury including encephalopathy. See, e.g., Johnson v. Sec’y of Health &
    Human Servs., No. 07-138V, 
    2010 WL 3291932
    , *15 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2010)
    (accepting Dr. Shafrir’s proffer of the Polish study, over Dr. Wiznitzer’s opposition, and
    concluding that DTaP and other vaccines caused febrile seizure and encephalopathy); see also
    Romero v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 07-671V, 
    2010 WL 2766761
    , *15 (Fed. Cl.
    Spec. Mstr. June 22, 2010) (citing other literature for the conclusion that DTaP reduces but does
    21
    Dumas A. et al., The Inflammasome Pyrin Contributes to Pertussis Toxin-Induced IL-1β Synthesis, Neutrophil
    Intravascular Crawling and Autoimmune Encephalomyelitis, 10 PLoS Pathog. E1004150 (2014) [Pet. Ex. 111];
    Loscher C. et al., Proinflammatory Cytokines in the Adverse Systemic and Neurologic Effects Associated with
    Parenteral Injection of a Whole-Cell Pertussis Vaccine, 856 Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 274-77
    (2006) [Pet. Ex. 118].
    22
    Miller, D.L. et al., Pertussis Immunization and Serious Acute Neurological Illness in Children, 282 British Med.
    Journal 1595-99 (1981) (hereinafter, “NCES”) [Pet. Ex. 31].
    23
    Zielinski A. & M. Rosinska, Comparison of Adverse Effects Following Immunization with Vaccine Containing
    Whole-Cell vs. Acellular Pertussis, 62 Przegl. Epidemiol. 589-96 (2008) [Pet. Ex. 32].
    24
    The study results section seems to define “high fever” as fever greater than 39 degrees Celsius (102.2 degrees
    Fahrenheit). Pet. Ex. 32 at 4, 5.
    15
    not eliminate the incidence of uncommon adverse events such as seizures).25 Dr. Bellanti also
    opined that the DTaP vaccine “eliminates a lot,” but not “completely” all adverse events. Tr. 84.
    Respondent’s experts did not respond to the Polish study’s findings of adverse events
    following DTaP vaccines.26 Neither did they submit any literature on neurological injury
    following the pertussis toxin compared to the toxoid.
    Upon consideration of the evidence, I accept the proposition that acellular pertussis
    toxoid still carries some risk for adverse reactions in a susceptible individual. This may occur
    because the vaccine activates pro-inflammatory cytokines which are not appropriately counter-
    balanced by anti-inflammatory cytokines, which results in excess neuronal excitation and
    seizures. It is also noted that petitioner’s experts did not opine only about pertussis. For
    example, they also referenced the number of vaccine antigens that were administered to M.S.M.
    at once and the alum adjuvant used in several of the vaccines. See, e.g., Pet. Ex. 95 at 3, 6, citing
    Koenig [Pet. Ex. 97]. I also find these facts to be probative to the degree of the immune
    response.
    Respondent’s experts raised many objections in this case, but they basically agreed with
    the innate immune response theory described above. On cross-examination, Dr. Lobo agreed
    that “vaccines increase cytokine circulation… cytokines travel to the brain, they cross the blood-
    brain barrier… and go to the hypothalamus… and cause fevers within minutes to hours.” Tr.
    278-79. Dr. Lobo also agreed that fever can induce seizure. Pet. Ex. EE at 3-4. Dr. Wiznitzer
    agreed that the vaccines can cause fever and status epilepticus, and in fact they did in M.S.M.
    See, e.g., Tr. 135, 142-44, 227.
    Following from that proposition, Dr. Shafrir, a well-qualified neurologist and
    epileptologist, opined that status epilepticus can lower an individual’s threshold for further
    seizures. Pet. Ex. 18 at 23, 26. In his reports, Dr. Wiznitzer did not respond on this point;
    instead, he pivoted to other arguments. First, he argued that there was no evidence that status
    epilepticus lowered M.S.M.’s threshold for further seizures. Resp. Ex. B at 9-10, 12. This is
    more appropriately discussed below under Althen prong two regarding the sequence of cause and
    effect in M.S.M.’s case. As discussed below, I conclude that it is more likely than not that the
    status epilepticus did damage M.S.M.’s brain and lower her threshold for further seizure activity.
    Second, Dr. Wiznitzer opined that M.S.M. may have a “genetic mutation in an ion channel
    different than SCN1A or another brain protein,” which explained all of her seizure activity
    25
    Additional support for this proposition is found in the current Vaccine Injury Table, which still maintains a
    presumption of causation for encephalopathy/ encephalitis within 72 hours after receipt of “vaccines containing
    whole cell pertussis bacteria, extracted or partial cell pertussis, or specific pertussis antigen(s) (e.g., DTP, DTaP, P,
    DTP-Hib).” It does not distinguish between the forms of pertussis vaccine or state that the acellular toxoid is safer
    than the whole-cell toxin form.
    26
    Dr. Wiznitzer stated only that “this article is not relevant since M.S.M. did not have a post-vaccination
    encephalopathy.” He opined that M.S.M. in fact had pre-existing developmental delay, then received the
    vaccinations, and only had a “convulsion.” Resp. Ex. B at 10-11. This opinion from Dr. Wiznitzer is more relevant
    to, and will therefore be discussed, under Althen prong two – whether there was a logical sequence of cause and
    effect reflecting that M.S.M.’s vaccines did cause her injury.
    16
    except for the two episodes of status epilepticus. Resp. Ex. B at 9-10, 12. As discussed below,
    under the section heading “alternative cause,” I reject this argument because M.S.M. tested
    negative for any known pathogenic mutation in SCN1A or any other genes. Respondent cannot
    rebut vaccine causation by pointing to an “idiopathic, unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or
    undocumented causal factor, injury, illness, or condition.” § 13(a)(2). Respondent’s other expert
    Dr. Lobo was asked whether “every time a child has a seizure, it reduces their seizure threshold.”
    He answered: “I don’t know.” Tr. 295.
    B. Challenge-Rechallenge
    Petitioner and Dr. Shafrir also argued that they did not need to establish a specific
    medical theory (i.e., mechanism of causation) because they have provided evidence of “positive
    rechallenge” in M.S.M.’s case. See Pet. Post-Hearing Brief at 17-18, citing Capizzano v. Sec’y
    of Health & Human Servs., No. 00-759V, 
    2004 WL 1399178
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 8, 2004),
    mot. for rev. den’d, 
    63 Fed. Cl. 227
    , vacated & remanded, 
    40 F.3d 1317
    (Fed. Cir. 2006), on
    remand, 
    2006 WL 3419789
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 8, 2006).
    In Capizzano, the special master explained that challenge-rechallenge occurs when a
    vaccine is followed by a medical injury, and when that vaccine is given again, the medical injury
    repeats or worsens. 
    2004 WL 1399178
    at *2, n. 5. The special master cited a statement from the
    Institute of Medicine (“IOM”)27 that rechallenge is strong proof of causation. 
    Id. at *2.
    He
    found particularly probative a medical article28 reporting on four individuals who received
    Hepatitis B vaccine, developed rheumatoid arthritis (“RA”), received Hepatitis B vaccine, and
    then had worsened symptoms of RA. 
    Id. The special
    master concluded that this journal article
    demonstrated that the hepatitis B can cause RA based on this evidence of rechallenge. 
    Id. The Federal
    Circuit affirmed this determination: “the first prong of the [Althen] test was satisfied by
    the finding that hepatitis B vaccine can cause 
    RA.” 440 F.3d at 1326
    . The Federal Circuit then
    remanded the case to the special master, who wrote: “As found by the undersigned and affirmed
    by the Federal Circuit, the hepatitis B can cause RA based upon evidence in the medical
    literature of ‘rechallenge’ in other vaccine recipients.” The special master then concluded that
    petitioner had established a logical sequence of cause and effect, including challenge-
    rechallenge, in her own case and was therefore entitled to compensation. Capizzano, 
    2006 WL 3419789
    , *15.
    27
    The IOM’s new name is the Health and Medicine Division (“HMD”) within the National Academies of Sciences,
    Engineering, and Medicine (“the National Academies”). See National Academies – Health and Medicine Division –
    Our Web Address and Division Name, http://nationalacademies.org/hmd/About-HMD/Division-Name.aspx (last
    accessed July 30, 2019).
    28
    J.F. Maillefert et al., Rheumatic Disorders Developed After Hepatitis B Vaccination, 38 Rheumatology 978-83
    (1999). I have located this article through an internet search and it does indeed demonstrate challenge-rechallenge.
    It reads: “Six women developed an inflammatory polyarthritis satisfying the 1987 ARA criteria for the diagnosis of
    RA. They had received vaccination 1, 2, 3, 10, 18 and 20 days, respectively, prior to symptom onset. All received
    another injection. The symptoms worsened in four cases.”
    17
    In the present case, Dr. Shafrir submitted two references which provide that evidence of
    positive rechallenge establishes causation with “certainty.” Pet. Ex. 18 at 16.29 These are
    consistent with the IOM’s continued position on the significance of rechallenge to vaccination.
    In a more recent publication, the IOM provides: “[R]echallenge [is] an adverse event that
    occurred after more than one administration of a particular vaccine in the same individual. Each
    challenge in a patient, however, must meet the same attributes of reasonable latency,
    documentation of vaccination receipt, and clinician diagnosis of the health outcome.”30 In this
    case (as discussed further below under Althen Prong Two), M.S.M. developed febrile status
    epilepticus within a similar period of time after receiving DTaP, Hib, and PCV vaccinations on
    two separate occasions. Dr. Shafrir noted other times where M.S.M. had fevers but not seizures.
    It was only after receipt of those vaccinations that M.S.M. had both fever and status epilepticus.
    Dr. Shafrir did not file strong evidence of challenge-rechallenge in other individuals.31 Thus, the
    evidence in this case may not be precisely the same as the proof of challenge-rechallenge
    establishing Althen prong one in Capizzano. However, the evidence of M.S.M. experiencing
    challenge-rechallenge meeting the IOM criteria, after receiving the same vaccines on two
    occasions, provides additional support for her experts’ theory of how those vaccines cause fever,
    status epilepticus, and encephalopathy.
    C. Theories Relating to Dravet Syndrome and SCN1A Gene Mutations
    One complication of this case is that M.S.M.’s clinical picture resembles Dravet
    syndrome (otherwise known as severe myoclonic epilepsy of infancy, or “SMEI”).32 Dravet
    syndrome is a rare and distinct epileptic encephalopathy. Onset is during infancy, usually at
    about six months of age. Onset involves prolonged convulsions which are either generalized or
    hemiclonic, often associated with fever, and often classified as status epilepticus. The
    presentation later evolves to include other seizure types including focal, myoclonic, partial,
    29
    World Health Organization, Pharmacovigilance Guidelines, available at
    http://www.who.int/medicines/areas/quality safety/safety efficacy/S.AfricaDraftGuidelines.pdf [Pet. Ex. 20];
    Edwards, I. Ralph & Jeffrey K. Aronson, Adverse Drug Reactions: Definitions, Diagnosis, and Management, 356
    Lancet 1255 (2000) [Pet. Ex. 21].
    30
    Institute of Medicine, Adverse Effects of Vaccines: Evidence and Causality (2012) at 13.
    31
    Dr. Shafrir did file one article by Nouno et al. reporting that a portion of children (some with no history of
    convulsive disorders, and some with a history of convulsive disorders but no seizure activity for at least one year)
    showed an increase of epileptic spikes on EEG following administration with DPT vaccine and even with DT
    vaccine (without any pertussis component). DT vaccine was also associated with redness and swelling at the
    injection site as well as fever. Nouno S. et al., Adverse Effects on EEG and Clinical Condition after Immunizing
    Children with Convulsive Disorders, 32 Acta Paediatr. Jpn. 357-60 (1990) [Pet. Ex. 30]. Nouno et al. recommended
    delaying vaccination until after 3 years of age for children with convulsive disorders. While these children showed
    an increase of epileptic spikes, that was not associated with any symptoms such as seizures. Additionally, this does
    not meet the definition of challenge-rechallenge (which requires two administrations of the vaccine(s), each
    followed by a worsening of symptoms).
    32
    See Pet. Ex. 2 at 50-51 (November 2013 EEG report first raising this diagnosis); Pet. Ex. 2 at 54-55 (December
    2013 record by neurologist Dr. Reese, recommending testing of the SCN1A gene because a positive finding would
    inform the treatment plan); Tr. 14 (testimony of petitioner’s expert neurologist Dr. Shafrir); Tr. 177 (testimony of
    respondent’s expert neurologist Dr. Wiznitzer).
    18
    absence, and atonic. Children with Dravet syndrome typically display normal development
    before the onset of seizures, as well as initially after. But beginning in the second year of life,
    they display developmental delay or regression.33 Approximately 70 - 80% of children with
    Dravet syndrome who undergo genetic testing are found to have a mutation in the SCN1A
    gene.34 The SCN1A gene encodes the α1 subunit of the neuronal sodium channel and is
    described as “the most relevant epilepsy gene with the largest number of epilepsy-related
    mutations.”35
    Within the Vaccine Program, there have been numerous cases in which petitioners allege
    that DTaP along with other vaccines routinely administered during the first year of life either
    cause or significantly aggravate the course of Dravet syndrome. In those cases, the vaccinated
    children undergo genetic testing and are found to have mutations in the SCN1A gene. In those
    cases, the special masters (as well as judges at the Court of Federal Claims and the Court of
    Appeals for the Federal Circuit) have consistently concluded that the alleged vaccine injuries are
    attributable to the SCN1A mutations and are not caused or aggravated by any vaccines.36
    In this case, treating physicians recorded that M.S.M.’s clinical picture was consistent
    with Dravet syndrome. However, Dr. Shafrir opined that M.S.M.’s clinical picture was “similar”
    but had “some clinical differences” from Dravet syndrome. Pet. Ex. 85 at 37-38; Tr. 14. And as
    discussed further below, M.S.M. had significant developmental delay within days of her initial
    status epilepticus. This is unlike Dravet syndrome, in which onset is during infancy but
    developmental delay typically manifests later, beginning in the second year of life (according to
    the previously cited literature). Most importantly, her treating pediatric neurologist Dr. Reese
    and Dr. Shafrir upon being consulted for a second opinion on her treatment recommended
    genetic testing to “confirm” the suspicion of Dravet syndrome and to inform which medications
    she should or should not take. Eventually, M.S.M. underwent sequencing of the SCN1A gene
    which was negative for any known mutations. She then underwent a second more
    comprehensive epilepsy panel. Apart from one missense variant of unknown significance, the
    test was entirely negative for known epileptogenic mutations. Pet. Exs. 17, 63.
    33
    See, e.g.., Passamonti C. et al., A Novel Inherited SCN1A Mutation Associated with Different
    Neuropsychological Phenotypes: Is There A Common Core Deficit?, 43 Epilepsy in Behavior 89 (2015) [Pet. Ex.
    65]; McIntosh A. et al., Effects of Vaccination on Onset and Outcome of Dravet Syndrome: A Retrospective Study, 9
    Lancet Neurology 592 (2010) [Pet. Ex. 23].
    34
    Passamonti [Pet. Ex. 65]; see also Hoffman-Zacharska D. et al., From Focal Epilepsy to Dravet Syndrome –
    Heterogeneity of the Phenotype Due to SCN1A Mutations of the p.Arg1596 Amino Acid Residue in the Nav1.1
    Subunit, 49 Polish Jounral of Neurology and Neurosurgery 258 (2015) [Pet. Ex. 66].
    35
    Passamonti [Pet. Ex. 65] at 1.
    36
    See, e.g., Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 10-394V, 
    2017 WL 747846
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 1,
    2017), mot. for rev. den’d, 
    133 Fed. Cl. 341
    (2017), aff’d, 
    900 F.3d 1357
    (Fed. Cir. 2018); rehearing en banc den’d,
    
    911 F.3d 1381
    (Fed. Cir. 2019). In Chief Special Master Dorsey’s underlying decision in Oliver, footnote 3
    provides a list of approximately 15 cases which had been denied as of the date of her decision. Consistent with this
    line of cases, I (Special Master Gowen) is also unlikely to be persuaded of vaccine causation where there is a
    confirmed SCN1A gene mutation. See, e.g. Bales v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 15-882V, 
    2017 WL 6334786
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 15, 2017) (dismissing the claim for insufficient proof in light of a SCN1A gene
    mutation).
    19
    Given the negative findings on relevant epileptogenic genes and the clinical variance in
    the presentation, there is insufficient evidence to attribute M.S.M.’s condition to a genetically-
    driven Dravet Syndrome or other seizure disorder. Accordingly, the theories and responses
    involving that condition do not fit this case and will not be discussed further.
    D. Evaluation of the Evidence
    Throughout this case, Dr. Shafrir and Dr. Bellanti opined that vaccines activate an innate
    immune response involving the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines, in particular Il-1,
    which can cause fever. In a susceptible individual, the same innate response, pro-inflammatory
    cytokines, and fever can cause status epilepticus. Respondent’s experts conceded that in this
    case, M.S.M. did in fact receive vaccines on March 11, 2013, which caused her to develop fever
    and status epilepticus. They further conceded that M.S.M. received several of the same vaccines
    on December 26, 2013, which again caused fever and status epilepticus.
    Dr. Shafrir, a well-qualified neurologist and epileptologist, opined that status epilepticus
    can lower the threshold for further seizures. In this case, M.S.M.’s initial febrile, tonic-clonic
    seizure was sufficiently severe and lasted long enough to be classified as status epilepticus by her
    treating physicians. This first seizure more likely than not reduced the seizure threshold and can
    be said to give rise to all of the rest. Respondent did not challenge this principle and it appears to
    be well supported by the testimony and literature.37 Accordingly, I conclude that petitioner has
    satisfied Althen prong one.
    2.       Althen Prong Two: Logical Sequence of Cause and Effect
    To fulfill Althen prong two, petitioner must show, by a preponderance of the evidence, "a
    logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the
    injury." 
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278
    . This prong is sometimes referred to as the “did it cause” test;
    i.e., in this particular case, did the vaccine(s) cause the alleged injury. 
    Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1345
    (“Because causation is relative to the injury, a petitioner must provide a reputable medical
    or scientific explanation that pertains specifically to the petitioner’s case”). Temporal
    association alone is not evidence of causation. See Grant v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 
    956 F.2d 1144
    , 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992). This sequence of cause and effect is usually supported by
    facts derived from petitioner’s medical records. 
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278
    ; 
    Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375-77
    ; 
    Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326
    ; Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    956 F.2d 1144
    , 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992).
    37
    See also Swaiman’s Pediatric Neurology: Principles and Practice (4th ed. 2006) at 271 (“Adverse Effects of
    Seizures on the Developing Brain… Overall, emerging evidence suggests that seizures early in life can result in
    permanent behavior changes and enhanced epileptogenicity, although the mechanisms of some seizure-induced
    dysfunctions have not been clearly delineated.”).
    20
    A. Evaluation of the Evidence
    i. M.S.M.’s Development before First Status Epilepticus
    a. Primary Care Records
    The parties’ respective experts in neurology agreed that M.S.M. presently has an epileptic
    encephalopathy. See Tr. 123. Petitioner’s expert in neurology Dr. Shafrir opined that injury
    began with her March 11, 2013 vaccinations. Respondent’s expert in neurology Dr. Wiznitzer
    countered that M.S.M.’s injury predated those vaccinations. This dispute centered on two
    sources of medical records.
    First are the pre-vaccination records from the only medical provider who treated M.S.M.
    before her first status epilepticus, her primary care provider Dr. Cruz. On the date of
    vaccinations, he recorded “generalized hypotonia but normal milestones” including sitting alone
    and reaching for toys. Petitioner’s expert Dr. Shafrir opined that hypotonia is one indicator of
    gross motor development. It is based on the provider’s subjective assessment of whether the
    child’s body feels “loose” upon passive manipulation. However, it is unusual for a child with
    hypotonia to sit alone, which M.S.M. was able to do. Pet. Ex. 18 at 3; Tr. 16, 29-31.
    Dr. Shafrir also opined that hypotonia is a very common finding. It is likely insignificant
    if development is otherwise normal. In M.S.M.’s case, prior to administering the vaccines, the
    primary care provider recorded that her development was normal and circled that she was
    meeting many of the developmental milestones for her age of six months. Additionally, the
    primary care provider did not record a referral to neurologist. Tr. 48-49. And upon being
    contacted by a resident at the hospital about M.S.M.’s first status epilepticus on March 12, 2013,
    the primary care provider advised that she did not have any preexisting developmental delay. Tr.
    31. Therefore, Dr. Shafrir did not see “any reliable evidence from the records that M.S.M.] had
    developmental delay before her immunizations.” Pet. Ex. 64 at 1.
    Respondent’s expert neurologist Dr. Wiznitzer opined that hypotonia signifies
    “something going on with the nervous system.” Hypotonia in the presence of “good strength and
    elicitable reflexes” is not coming from the spinal cord, muscles, or nerves, but is instead “coming
    from the brain.” Tr. 124-28. Central nervous system hypotonia would be consistent with a
    “static encephalopathy.” Tr. 207.
    Dr. Wiznitzer agreed that hypotonia is a measure of “excessive movement of joints and
    extremities” on passive manipulation. Dr. Wiznitzer opined that there are certain methods for
    objective, precise assessment of hypotonia that are published in medical literature and are taught
    to some medical providers. However, Dr. Wiznitzer “ha[d] no idea how” the primary care
    provider concluded that M.S.M. had hypotonia. Tr. 124-28, 207-14. And on cross-examination,
    Dr. Wiznitzer acknowledged that in M.S.M.’s records, “some people described hypotonia...
    Others don’t. It’s variable. And that is... one of the problems we have and why we’re trying to
    do an educational program... so people do things the right way.” Dr. Wiznitzer also
    acknowledged that Dr. Reese – a pediatric neurologist – did not record that M.S.M. had
    hypotonia on at least one occasion. Tr. 209-10.
    21
    The primary care provider did indeed record “generalized hypotonia” on March 11, 2013.
    Indeed, that observation is repeated in his later post-vaccination and status epilepticus records.
    However, that appears to be a subjective measure. The provider did not record how he reached
    that conclusion or find it to be sufficiently concerning to refer M.S.M. to a neurologist. Indeed,
    he recorded otherwise normal milestones both in his written records and by circling several six-
    month old developmental milestones on the Denver chart. The parties’ expert neurologists are
    both well-qualified in assessing developmental delay. However, I find Dr. Shafrir’s explanation
    to be more persuasive. I conclude that the notation of “generalized hypotonia” does not
    demonstrate that M.S.M. had developmental delay or encephalopathy before the March 11, 2013
    vaccinations.
    b. Hospital Records
    Respondent’s expert Dr. Wiznitzer opined that the hospital records also showed that
    M.S.M. had developmental delay before the March 11, 2013 vaccinations, status epilepticus, and
    that hospital admission. Resp. Ex. B at 12. He focuses on the following record made by a
    pediatrician at the hospital on March 12, 2013 at 5.30 p.m.:
    Pt. was awake and alert in her crib. She engaged with the examiners, smiled, and
    vocalized. Neuro exam was significant for gross motor delays (doesn’t reach for
    toys, unable to sit without support, head bobbing noted when in sitting position) –
    all present at baseline per parents…
    Assessment: 6 mo s/p complex febrile seizure with no source of fever on exam,
    now well-appearing and back to baseline per parents. Fever was likely
    secondary to immunizations. Exam and hx are notable for motor delay (fine and
    gross.)
    Pet. Ex. 10 at 21-22 (emphasis added); referenced at Resp. Ex. B at 4, 12 (Dr. Wiznitzer’s
    report); Tr. 129-30, 211-14 (his testimony). Dr. Wiznitzer asserted: “The developmental delay
    was identified… by history from her parents, not by direct examination [at the hospital]. The
    Denver Developmental Screening Test also uses parental report for many of its milestones in
    infancy. Therefore, the information was by parental report and would not be affected by any
    sedation after her seizures.” Resp. Ex. B at 12.38 Dr. Wiznitzer also stated that the parents’
    Spanish language and need for an interpreter would not have compromised the accuracy of the
    medical records. He stated that Spanish-speaking patients routinely communicate with medical
    providers who can speak Spanish themselves or with assistance from interpreters. The
    communication in Spanish would not necessarily be noted in each particular medical record. Tr.
    132-33.
    Petitioner’s expert Dr. Shafrir disagreed that the hospital records offered any evidence of
    preexisting developmental delay. He questioned whether it was useful to assess a child’s
    development “immediately following prolonged status epilepticus with several doses of
    38
    See, e.g., Denver II Training Manual, at www.DenverII.com [Resp. Ex. R] at 9.
    22
    benzodiazepines” in an unfamiliar environment. All of these factors would decrease the child’s
    awareness, comfort, and ability to respond to assessment prompts.39
    Dr. Shafrir thought the parents’ Spanish language was relevant and might have caused
    confusion. I tend to agree with Dr. Shafrir that terms such as “baseline” could be confusing to
    parents whose primary language is English and even more confusing to parents whose primary
    language is not English and who are depending medical providers and/or interpreters to
    accurately pose the questions and understand the answers.
    More importantly, Dr. Wiznitzer’s representation of the hospital records is not accurate.
    First, he says the child’s history is obtained “by history from her parents,” but the record above
    reflects that the doctors also conducted a neurological exam. Pet. Ex. 10 at 21-22. There is some
    ambiguity in their notation, repeated here: “Neuro exam was significant for gross motor delays
    (doesn’t reach for toys, unable to sit without support, head bobbing noted when in sitting
    position) – all present at baseline per parents.” Pet. Ex. 10 at 21. Dr. Wiznitzer’s interpretation
    is that the parents reported that at M.S.M.’s previous baseline, she had these delays - she could
    not reach for toys, could not sit without support, and her head bobbed.
    A more likely interpretation is that the doctors observed that M.S.M. could not reach for
    toys, she could not sit without support, and her head bobbed, but the parents reported that she
    was previously able to do those things at baseline. This interpretation is consistent with the
    Denver Development manual, which provides that a medical provider is supposed to personally
    observe a child’s ability to “work for toy”; “sit, no support”; and “sit, head steady.” A medical
    provider is not supposed to accept parental report for these measures. Resp. Ex. B at 17, 30, 31.
    Other hospital records reflect that the parents did not report prior developmental delay.
    For example, a different physician recorded: “per report, [M.S.M.] was born on time and has
    been meeting developmental milestones at her pediatrician’s.” Pet. Ex. 10 at 16. Another record
    provides: “no h/o neurodevelopmental delay.” 
    Id. at 20.
    Another record provides: “small head
    lag when pulled to sit, when held sitting head is off-center/lopsided as if unable to hold central
    firm (different from baseline per dad).” 
    Id. at 21.
    Additionally, as noted above, her primary care provider Dr. Cruz recorded one day before
    the hospitalization, on March 11, 2013, that M.S.M. was able to work for a toy and sit alone. He
    circled the achievement of these milestones on a Denver chart. See Pet. Ex. 1 at 10, 21. A
    medical student at the hospital recorded calling Dr. Cruz, who reported that M.S.M. did not have
    “any developmental delay at her 4 month or 6 month visits.” Pet. Ex. 10 at 30.
    In short, the hospital records do not support a finding of developmental delay preexisting
    the first status epilepticus. They more likely represent developmental delay beginning after the
    status epilepticus.
    39
    See, e.g., Denver II Training Manual [Resp. Ex. R] at 9 (providing that “the examiner’s efforts should be directed
    toward obtaining the best test performance possible… every effort should be made to make the caregiver and child
    comfortable”).
    23
    ii. M.S.M.’s Development after the First Status Epilepticus
    Petitioner’s expert neurologist Dr. Shafrir opined that on March 12, 2013, M.S.M.
    experienced seizure activity for over thirty (30) minutes. This constituted status epilepticus, as
    recorded in the hospital records and agreed upon by Dr. Wiznitzer. Pet. Ex. 10 at 46-49; Pet. Ex.
    64 at 1-2; Tr. 135. M.S.M. was admitted on March 12 and discharged on March 14, 2013,
    resulting in a hospitalization for over twenty-four (24) hours. Pet. Ex. 10 at 4-7.40
    Dr. Shafrir opined that the hospital records establish “that M.S.M. suffered
    encephalopathy with the loss of previously achieved developmental milestones that were
    recorded on the day prior to that admission.” Pet. Ex. 64 at 1-2.
    As discussed above, I have found that M.S.M. did not have any developmental delay
    beforehand. On March 11, 2013, her primary care provider Dr. Cruz recorded that she had
    generalized hypotonia which Dr. Shafrir did not find significant in light of the achievement of
    normal development for her age of six months per a Denver developmental evaluation. She
    could work for toy out of reach, transfer toy to hand, feed self crackers, roll over belly to back,
    sit without support, and had no head lag when pulled to sitting. Pet. Ex. 1 at 5, 21. Importantly,
    these observations were made by a doctor who was familiar with M.S.M. and in a non-traumatic
    setting, unlike the post-vaccination evaluation in the hospital.
    On March 12, 2013, M.S.M. experienced febrile status epilepticus and was hospitalized.
    While in the hospital, several physicians separately observed that she was not reaching or
    grasping for toys. She did not roll over. She did not sit alone. She also had a small head “lag”
    or “bob” when pulled to a sitting position. See, e.g., Pet. Ex. 10 at 19, 21-22. She was found to
    have gross and fine motor developmental delay. 
    Id. at 5,
    19, 21-22.41 The hospital discharge
    summary provided: “needs continued follow-up for mild developmental delay, consider refer[r]al
    to infants and toddlers.” 
    Id. at 7.
    On March 15, 2013, her primary care provider Dr. Cruz saw
    M.S.M. but did not evaluate her development. Pet. Ex. 1 at 6.
    On April 22, 2013, a pediatric neurologist, Dr. Reese, conducted an initial evaluation
    with M.S.M. He recorded the mother’s statement that M.S.M. was “back to her normal self since
    returning from the hospital.” Pet. Ex. 2 at 31. Respondent’s expert Dr. Wiznitzer contends that
    this reflects that there was “no change in her condition before the seizure and then after she came
    home after the seizure.” Tr. 145. This seems to be an overread by Dr. Wiznitzer of a general
    statement from the mother, who more likely was reporting that her child was not having
    continued seizures (the condition for which they were seeing Dr. Reese for the first time). It
    seems unlikely that the mother’s general statement reflects her comprehensive view of the
    child’s health including developmental milestones. Dr. Reese had never seen M.S.M. before the
    status epilepticus. Additionally, Dr. Reese recorded – consistent with the post-status epilepticus
    hospital records – that M.S.M. could not sit alone. Pet. Ex. 2 at 31-33. This actually
    40
    In his first report, Dr. Wiznitzer incorrectly stated that M.S.M. was discharged in less than 24 hours, on March 13,
    2013. Resp. Ex. B at 9.
    41
    Respondent’s expert Dr. Shafrir opined that these observations “would not be affected by any sedation after her
    seizures.” Resp. Ex. B at 12.
    24
    corroborates that M.S.M. had new developmental delay following the vaccines and the first
    status epilepticus.
    On April 24 and May 10, 2013, Dr. Cruz saw M.S.M. but did not evaluate her
    development. Pet. Ex. 1 at 7-8. On June 11, 2013, Dr. Cruz repeated the Denver developmental
    evaluation. She reached for a toy but had she decreased mobility of the left arm. She could no
    longer roll over or sit alone. Dr. Cruz concluded that M.S.M. had gross motor developmental
    delay and referred her to the Maryland Infants and Toddlers Program, which offers early
    intervention services for young children with developmental delays and disabilities.42 Pet. Ex. 1
    at 9. On July 17, 2013, their initial evaluation found that M.S.M. had at least 25% delay in gross
    and fine motor developmental delay. Pet. Ex. 12 at 1-2. She began physical therapy,
    occupational therapy, and speech therapy. See generally Pet. Ex. 12.
    These records establish that following the vaccines and the first status epilepticus on
    March 12, 2013, M.S.M. had the new onset of decreased gross and fine motor development. The
    March 12 – 14, 2013 hospital records reflect these losses and suggested referral to Maryland
    Infants and Toddlers for therapy. They were corroborated in April 2013 by the neurologist and
    in June 2013 by the primary care provider who then referred M.S.M. for the needed necessary
    therapy. This sequence of events seems logically caused by the febrile status epilepticus on
    March 12, 2013, which was caused by the vaccines, as conceded by respondent’s experts. Pet.
    Ex. EE at 3-4; Tr. 250-51, 53-54 (Dr. Lobo); Tr. 135, 142-44, 227 (Dr. Wiznitzer).
    It is also noted that M.S.M. underwent radiology during this time. On May 2, 2013, an
    MRI of the brain showed “no brain abnormality” but there was “reduced resolution of the
    internal architecture of the brain… secondary to age-related isointensity of the gray and white
    matter.” The radiologist advised that if M.S.M.’s condition persisted, she should undergo a
    follow-up MRI when she was at least two years old to obtain better imaging. Pet. Ex. 2 at 33.
    Dr. Shafrir and Dr. Wiznitzer agreed that some aspects of the brain are not visible on MRI, with
    a child that young. Pet. Ex. 64 at 3; Tr. 148-51.
    M.S.M. also underwent a basic EEG on July 3, 2013, Pet. Ex. 2 at 39-40 (providing that
    the findings “suggest lower seizure threshold”), and a video EEG on November 21, 2013, Pet.
    Ex. 2 at 50-51. Dr. Shafrir opined that the findings were consistent with a diagnosis of
    encephalopathy and would have been present if an EEG was performed earlier, closer in time to
    the initial status epilepticus on March 12, 2013. Pet. Ex. 64 at 2; Tr. 18-19. Dr. Wiznitzer
    opined that the EEGs showed epileptiform activity coming from multiple areas of the brain,
    which was more consistent with “abnormalities at the synaptic level, where the cells talk to each
    other and how they deal with each other, rather than from some much larger inflammatory
    process.” Tr. 151-54. Upon my review, all that can be said is that the EEGs showed a “lowered
    seizure threshold” and were consistent with an encephalopathy, although that cannot be
    definitively said to be the cause.
    42
    Maryland Infants and Toddlers Program, https://referral.mditp.org/ (last accessed July 30, 2019).
    25
    iii. Rechallenge
    Petitioner and Dr. Shafrir argued that M.S.M. experienced challenge-rechallenge.
    Indeed, similar to March 2013, in December 2013 M.S.M. received several of the same
    vaccinations (DTaP, Hib, and PCV but not IPV or rotavirus), and within less than 24 hours, she
    developed a similar fever (over 102 degrees Fahrenheit) and convulsive seizure.
    The records reflect that M.S.M. had a brief 5-minute seizure which prompted her parents
    to call an ambulance. M.S.M. had the more pronounced seizure in question as she was brought
    into Holy Cross Hospital. The ambulance reached the hospital at 5:23 a.m. and transferred care
    at 5:32 a.m. Pet. Ex. 10 at 254-56. The seizure stopped at 6:00 a.m. Pet. Ex. 10 at 40. Thus, it
    likely lasted for at least 30 minutes.
    Dr. Shafrir opined that this seizure at the hospital constituted status epilepticus. Pet. Ex.
    18 at 15; Pet. Ex. 64 at 2, 7-8; Pet. Ex. 92 at 2. He opined that the classic definition of status
    epilepticus is a seizure lasting for more than thirty minutes, which did occur here. He added that
    the American Epilepsy Society is shortening the time period to under 30 minutes. Tr. 27, 57-
    58.43 He also noted that her pediatric Glasgow Coma score of 10 (on a scale of 0 to 15, with the
    lowest scores being the worst), reflected a decreased level of consciousness. Tr. 57, citing Pet.
    Ex. 10 at 236. Dr. Shafrir opined that this second seizure episode following DTaP, Hib, and
    PCV “confirm[ed] a causal relationship.” Pet. Ex. 18 at 16.44 “It is clear from the medical
    records that [M.S.M.] has not suffered any other episodes of status epilepticus.” 
    Id. He opined
    that this showed the specificity of the response to the DTaP, Hib, and PCV vaccinations. Tr. 46.
    Dr. Bellanti opined that because M.S.M. had a suspected reaction to the vaccines in
    March 2013, she should not have received them again in December 2013. Tr. 93. He agreed that
    the second, similar episode of prolonged febrile seizure within a similar period of time after
    several of the same vaccines was “striking,” and supported a logical sequence of cause and effect
    in her case. Tr. 103.
    Respondent’s expert neurologist Dr. Wiznitzer said that it was not contraindicated to
    repeat administration of the vaccines that were associated with status epilepticus in March 2013.
    Tr. 160-61. Dr. Wiznitzer agreed that “the second seizure [on December 27, 2013, in the
    emergency room] may have been long enough that it, by itself, fulfilled a criteria for status
    epilepticus.” Tr. 164-65.
    iv. Significance of Levetiracetam
    Dr. Wiznitzer argued that M.S.M.’s second status epilepticus did not constitute
    “rechallenge” because there was a confounding factor: she had missed doses of her
    43
    Dr. Shafrir opined that another benchmark of status epilepticus is if the medical providers find that it is necessary
    to administer benzodiazepine. Tr. 27-28. That was not administered to stop M.S.M.’s seizure, although she was
    discharged with a one-day supply of diastat. Pet. Ex. 10 at 246.
    44
    Citing World Health Organization [Pet. Ex. 20]; Edwards [Pet. Ex. 21].
    26
    anticonvulsant seizure medication levetiracetam (Keppra). Resp. Ex. B at 9-10. He opined that
    “had [M.S.M.] been taking her medicine, she would not have had that seizure.” Tr. 166. He also
    opined that an IV infusion of levetiracetam stopped her seizure activity in the hospital. Tr. 166.
    He also opined that after December 27, 2013, M.S.M. followed the prescription for levetiracetam
    and her condition significantly improved. Tr. 166.
    Dr. Shafrir disagreed. He opined that challenge-rechallenge is a clinical fact. One can
    always look for alternative explanations for an adverse event, but he did not believe that
    M.S.M.’s missing levetiracetam was an explanation for this event. After the onset of her seizure
    activity (the vaccine-related status epilepticus on March 11, 2013), M.S.M. only had myoclonic
    and atonic seizures. This included a 2-3 minute episode in April 2013, and then episodes of head
    drop, eye fluttering, and leg jerks beginning in October 2013. That prompted Dr. Reese’s
    prescription of levetiracetam for the first time on December 3, 2013. Because of the absence of
    prolonged seizures between March – early December 2013, before levetiracetam was introduced,
    it cannot be said that levetiracetam was responsible for preventing such seizures or that less than
    therapeutic levels of the drug caused the second seizure. Pet. Ex. 65 at 5-7; Tr. 24, 63-64.
    Dr. Shafrir also opined: “If [M.S.M.] was on a very high level of [levetiracetam,] maybe
    the status epilepticus would have been prevented. But… the seizure is not caused by a low level
    of anti-epileptic medication unless it [is] stopped abruptly.” Tr. 63. Generally, “seizures are
    caused by whatever causes seizure,” whether or not M.S.M. was taking levetiracetam, this
    “would still be a status epilepticus following the same set of immunizations.” Tr. 63-64.
    Upon review, I am inclined to agree with Dr. Shafrir. He is correct that M.S.M. did not
    have any episodes of prolonged, generalized seizure for nine months before she was prescribed
    levetiracetam by her neurologist. He did not record his reasoning for prescribing levetiracetam,
    but it seemed to be for controlling the short episodes of head drop, eye fluttering, and leg jerk.
    Additionally, there is no indication that M.S.M. took levetiracetam consistently for any length of
    time. It was prescribed for the first time on December 3, 2013. Ten days afterwards, her
    primary care provider Dr. Cruz recorded that when M.S.M. took levetiracetam, she didn’t have
    “seizures,” but sometimes she refused to take it and she had “seizure activity.” Pet. Ex. 1 at 13.
    Seventeen days later, the neurologist Dr. Rese recorded that the mother had expressed hesitancy
    about taking it. Pet. Ex. 2 at 53. Twenty-four days later, she had the status epilepticus and
    levetiracetam was found to be below therapeutic levels. Dr. Wiznitzer acknowledged that
    “abruptly” stopping anti-seizure medication can potentially cause seizure, but it is more likely
    that M.S.M. was never consistently taking levetiracetam in the first place. In conclusion, I find
    that the lack of levetiracetam was not a substantial factor in causing the second status epilepticus.
    That was more logically caused by the repeat administration of the vaccines.
    v. Significance of Fever
    Dr. Wiznitzer and Dr. Lobo opined that fever was a “plausible mechanism” for M.S.M.’s
    prolonged seizures. See, e.g., Resp. Ex. B at 10. They in fact conceded that the March 11, 2013
    vaccines caused M.S.M. to develop a fever which was measured at 102.8 degrees Fahrenheit as
    well as status epilepticus. The December 26, 2013 vaccines caused M.S.M. to develop a fever
    that was measured at 102.2 degrees Fahrenheit as well as status epilepticus.
    27
    Dr. Shafrir opined that “fever is definitely a precipitant for seizure” in susceptible
    individuals such as M.S.M. Tr. 35. He noted that in the absence of vaccines, M.S.M. did have
    fevers that were lower and not associated with prolonged seizure episodes. Specifically, in April
    2013, M.S.M. was asleep, then suddenly screamed, went limp, and all of her limbs shook. She
    stopped breathing, drooled, and vomited. The episode lasted between two to three minutes. She
    was transported to the emergency room, where she was “alert and smiling” with “no postictal
    phase.” Her temperature was 101.1 degrees Fahrenheit. Pet. Ex. 10 at 164-91.
    Second, in May 2014, M.S.M. went to the hospital where her temperature was measured
    at 100.0 degrees Fahrenheit, in association with hives and a viral syndrome. This low-grade
    fever was not associated with any seizure activity. Pet. Ex. 10 at 199-232.
    Therefore, Dr. Shafrir opined that “not every fever caused seizures” in M.S.M. This
    contributed to his view that there was something unique about the vaccines and the response that
    they activated. Pet. Ex. 18 at 16; Tr. 35. I am inclined to agree. It is striking that the two
    vaccinal fevers were considerably higher than the fevers documented at other times and were
    associated with more significant seizure activity.
    vi. Subsequent Clinical Course
    Dr. Shafrir opined that M.S.M.’s second status epilepticus “probably caused further
    damage to the brain and further acceleration of her epileptic encephalopathy.” Tr. 46. Dr.
    Wiznitzer disagreed, opining that that M.S.M. “went right back to baseline right after that
    seizure… She wasn’t even admitted. There was no alteration or change in her developmental
    course [or…] in her epilepsy… her epilepsy was better, not worse.” Tr. 225-26. This was not
    particularly developed in the reports and the testimony, but it is clear that M.S.M. continued to
    have developmental delays, for which she continued physical and speech therapy through the
    Maryland Infants and Toddlers program. Her neurologist increased levetiracetam several times
    but her seizure activity was not fully controlled. The parents obtained a second opinion from Dr.
    Shafrir in part because they were disappointed by her lack of progress. Thus, it is likely that that
    second status epilepticus did not help her clinical course.
    vii. Treating Physicians’ Opinions
    Dr. Wiznitzer correctly noted that the treating neurologist did not believe that M.S.M.’s
    vaccines caused or aggravated her condition. Resp. Ex. B at 10. The treating physician’s
    opinion is noted, but not determinative for several reasons. First, the treating neurologist never
    saw M.S.M. before the first vaccinations at issue and the first status epilepticus; therefore, he did
    not have the opportunity to assess her condition before compared to after. In my view, there is a
    marked change with loss of several developmental milestones after the vaccines and status
    epilepticus. Additionally, the neurologist does not fully consider the two episodes of vaccines-
    fever-status epilepticus. He recorded that the second episode happened one day after vaccines –
    but does not detail how long she was actively seizing in the hospital or the similarities to the first
    acute episode. Pet. Ex. 2 at 69 (only describing the short episode at the home, which prompted
    the family to go to the hospital). Finally, the neurologist was focused on a genetic explanation
    28
    such as an SCN1A mutation which would confirm the suspicion of Dravet syndrome, but no
    genetic explanation has been found.
    viii. Conclusion
    In summary, in March 2013, M.S.M. was a healthy six-month-old child with no history
    of seizure activity. She was recorded to have “generalized hypotonia.” However, that was a
    subjective measure which did not correspond to her achievement of many specific, observed
    developmental milestones for her age. Her primary care provider did not record concern or a
    referral to a neurologist based on these findings. I conclude that she did not have developmental
    delay. After M.S.M.’s vaccines caused fever and status epilepticus, she had developmental delay
    necessitating referral to physical and speech therapy. This was recorded in the hospital and later
    by her primary care provider and her new neurologist. In December 2013, she received many of
    the same vaccines and experienced another episode of febrile status epilepticus within a similar
    period of time, which constituted positive rechallenge. This second episode was not explained
    by her lack of levetiracetam. There were a few other documented fevers which were not
    associated with the same type of prolonged febrile seizures seen with the vaccines. The treating
    neurologist believed her condition had a genetic explanation, but none was found. Based on all
    of the above, I find that petitioner has established a logical sequence of cause and effect between
    the vaccines in question and the injury alleged.
    3.       Althen Prong Three: Medically Acceptable Temporal Relationship
    Althen prong three requires establishing a “proximate temporal relationship” between the
    vaccination and the injury alleged. 
    Althen, 418 F.3d at 1281
    . That term has been equated to the
    phrase “medically-acceptable temporal relationship.” 
    Id. A petitioner
    must offer “preponderant
    proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe which, given the medical
    understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation.” de Bazan
    v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    539 F.3d 1347
    , 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008). The explanation for
    what is a medically acceptable timeframe must also coincide with the theory of how the relevant
    vaccine can cause an injury (Althen prong one). 
    Id. at 1352;
    Shapiro v. Sec’y of Health &
    Human Servs., 
    101 Fed. Cl. 532
    , 543 (2011), recons. den’d after remand, 
    105 Fed. Cl. 353
    (2012), aff’d mem., 503 Fed. Appx. 952 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Koehn v. Sec’y of Health & Human
    Servs., No. 11-355V, 
    2013 WL 3214877
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 30, 2013), mot. for review
    den’d (Fed. Cl. Dec. 3, 2013), aff’d, 
    773 F.3d 1239
    (Fed. Cir. 2014).
    A. Evaluation of the Evidence
    Petitioner argued that there was an acceptable temporal relationship between M.S.M.’s
    third DTaP, Hib, IPV, PCV, Hep B, and rotavirus vaccinations received on March 11, 2013 and
    the onset of fever and status epilepticus within approximately 16 hours.45 There was a similar
    45
    The medical record does not indicate the time at which the vaccines were given. Pet. Ex. 1 at 5. Four days later,
    the provider submitted a VAERS report which provides that the vaccines were given on March 11, 2013 at 11:30
    a.m. Pet. Ex. 1 at 31. Certain medical records indicate that the parents reported at approximately 10:00 p.m.,
    M.S.M. had a one-minute staring episode after which she fell asleep. Pet. Ex. 10 at 19. The treating physicians and
    experts in the case did not assign much significance to this event. The records more clearly establish that on March
    29
    temporal relationship between M.S.M.’s fourth DTaP, Hib, and PCV vaccinations received on
    December 26, 2013 and the fever and status epilepticus the following day.46
    Dr. Shafrir submitted an article by Skowronski et al.47 for the proposition that DTaP is
    associated with an immune reaction, specifically swelling at the injection site, within 2 – 3 hours
    afterward. Pet. Ex. 64 at 4; Tr. 33-34. He also noted that the Vaccine Injury Table lists
    diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis in association with encephalopathy within 0 – 72 hours. Tr. 33-34.
    As referenced above, Dr. Shafrir opined that the innate immune system plays an
    important role in the development and further flares of seizure disorders such as epilepsy. Pet.
    Ex. 64 at 4-5.48 Vaccines activate the innate immune system including the production of pro-
    inflammatory cytokines which can cause fever and in some vulnerable individuals, seizure
    activity. Thus, the innate immune system can cause the injury on its own. Pet. Ex. 64 at 4-5.49
    Dr. Bellanti opined that “if innate immune injury contributed to the pathogenesis of the
    inflammatory response, it would occur in less than 24 hours and would be consistent both with
    the child’s early onset of symptoms and the development of fever following the administration of
    the DaPT vaccine.” Pet. Ex. 95 at 6.
    Respondent’s experts devoted significant attention to critiquing Dr. Shafir’s first theory,
    which was that the vaccines would cause an adaptive immune response involving the production
    of antibodies which would cross-react with brain proteins (due to molecular mimicry between
    the vaccines and the brain proteins) to cause seizure. Respondent’s experts objected that this
    could not occur within the period of time seen in M.S.M.’s case. See Resp. Ex. B at 10; Resp.
    Ex. S at 3.
    12, 2013 at approximately 3:00 a.m., M.S.M. had an episode of status epilepticus lasting for at least 20 minutes.
    Upon admission to the hospital, she had a rectal temperature of 102.8 degrees Fahrenheit. Pet. Ex. 10 at 46-51.
    46
    Again, the medical record does not indicate the time at which the vaccines were given. Pet. Ex. 1 at 14. Without
    any further evidence, I would assume that it was sometime during normal business hours, e.g., on December 26,
    2013 sometime between 9:00 a.m. and 5:00 p m. She was delivered to the hospital, actively seizing, at December
    27, 2013 at 5:50 a m. Pet. Ex. 10 at 235-40.
    47
    Skowronski D. et al., Injection-Site Reactions to Booster Doses of Acellular Pertussis Vaccine: Rate, Severity, and
    Anticipated Impact, 112 Pediatrics e453 (2003) [Pet. Ex. 69];
    48
    Matin N. et al., Epilepsy and Innate Immune System: A Possible Immunogenic Predisposition and Related
    Therapeutic Implications, 11 Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics 2021-29 (2015) [Pet. Ex. 70]; Iori V. et al.,
    Modulation of Neuronal Excitability by Immune Mediators in Epilepsy, 26 Curr. Opin. Pharmacol. 118-23 (2016)
    [Pet. Ex. 71].
    49
    Kashiwagi Y. et al., Production of Inflammatory Cytokines in Response to Diphtheria-Pertussis-Tetanus (DPT),
    Haemophilus Influenzae Type B (Hib), and 7-Valent Pneumococcal (PC7) Vaccines, 10 Hum. Vaccin. Immunother.
    677-85 (2014) [Pet. Ex. 74]; Blood-Siegfried J. et al., Monokine Production Following In Vitro Stimulation of the
    THP-1 Human Monocytic Cell Line with Pertussis Vaccine Components, 18 J. Clin. Immunol. 81-88 (1998) [Pet.
    Ex. 75].
    30
    Respondent’s experts agreed that the innate immune response could occur and cause
    status epilepticus within this short period of time. Dr. Wiznitzer testified that the innate immune
    response, including activation of pro-inflammatory cytokines and the development of fever,
    occurs within “the first minutes to hours, maybe even a day or so, of response to infection.” Tr.
    253-56. Dr. Wiznitzer agreed that the fever caused status epilepticus. Tr. 135, 142-44, 227.
    Similarly, Dr. Lobo opined: “Innate immunity is indeed rapid, providing some immune
    protection before the adaptive response can take over some days or weeks later. The only
    plausible theoretical link between an innate response to the vaccine and [M.S.M.’s] first seizure
    is the induction of fever, which is an expected consequence of all effective vaccines.” Resp. Ex.
    EE at 3. At the hearing, Dr. Lobo “explained that the innate immune response activates within
    minutes to hours after exposure to an infection, and that this response causes the production of
    IL-1 and a fever”. Resp. Post-Hearing Brief at 9, citing Tr. 253-54.
    Upon consideration of the evidence submitted and particularly in light of respondent’s
    experts agreement that the innate immune response can occur within the timeframe seen in
    M.S.M., I conclude that petitioner has established Althen prong three.
    4.      Alternative Cause
    Once petitioner establishes each of the Althen factors by preponderant evidence, the
    burden of persuasion shifts to respondent, who must show that the alleged injury was caused by a
    factor unrelated to the vaccination. 
    Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 548
    ; § 13(a)(1)(B). Respondent must
    demonstrate “[t]he factor unrelated to the vaccination is the more likely or principal cause of the
    injury alleged. Such a showing establishes that the factor unrelated, not the vaccination, was
    ‘principally responsible’ for the injury.” Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 
    717 F.3d 1363
    , 1369 (Fed. Cir. 2013). Section 13(a)(2) specifies that factors unrelated do “not
    include any idiopathic, unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumented causal factor,
    injury, illness, or condition.”
    A. Evaluation of the Evidence
    Respondent contended that M.S.M. had an acute onset epileptic encephalopathy caused
    by a genetic mutation. Early on, the treating physicians recommended testing for mutations in
    the SCN1A gene, which is found in a majority of patients with a particular seizure disorder,
    Dravet syndrome. See, e.g. Pet. Ex. 2 at 54-55 (December 2013 record by treating neurologist);
    Pet. Ex. 2 at 61 (January 2014 record by treating geneticist). In April 2015, testing for genetic
    mutations including in SCN1A was negative. Pet. Ex. 17. Afterwards, respondent’s expert Dr.
    Wiznitzer then opined that M.S.M. had a “as of yet-unidentified genetic mutation.” Resp. Ex. B
    at 10. He opined that the first round of testing was “not inclusive of all genetic causes of
    infantile epileptic encephalopathy.” 
    Id. Afterwards, in
    October 2015, M.S.M. underwent a comprehensive epilepsy panel/
    sequencing and deletion/ duplication analysis of 70 genes, which only revealed a single variant
    of unknown significance (in a gene other than SCN1A). Pet. Ex. 64. The record also provides
    that a second pathogenic variant would typically be expected and the testing was inconclusive.
    31
    Dr. Wiznitzer admitted: “we don’t know what [the change in the PKNP gene] represents.” Tr.
    169.
    Dr. Wiznitzer maintained that separate and apart from M.S.M.’s two episodes of status
    epilepticus, she had a “purely genetic” seizure condition. However, he could not identify the
    “underlying genetic reason.” Tr. 224. The Vaccine Act specifically provides that an alternative
    cause cannot be “idiopathic, unexplained, unknown, hypothetical, or undocumented.” § 13(a)(2).
    Accordingly, respondent has not met his burden of showing a specific alternative cause for
    M.S.M.’s condition.50
    IV. Conclusion
    For the aforementioned reasons, petitioner has satisfied her burden of proof. M.S.M.’s
    vaccines caused an acquired epileptic encephalopathy with sequelae including continued seizure
    activity and developmental delay. She has satisfied her burden of proof. Accordingly, she is
    entitled to compensation. A separate damages order will issue.
    IT IS SO ORDERED.
    s/Thomas L. Gowen
    Thomas L. Gowen
    Special Master
    50
    In Dr. Lobo’s reports, he suggested that M.S.M. had a preexisting illness which may have caused her fever which
    incited the status epilepticus. This was based on medical records indicating that she was ill with cough for some
    days prior to the vaccine visit, as well as a high lymphocyte percentage on bloodwork obtained at the hospital.
    Resp. Ex. S at 4; Resp. Ex. EE at 3. However, at the hearing, Dr. Lobo agreed that the vaccines caused M.S.M.’s
    fever. Tr. 253. Additionally, Dr. Wiznitzer testified that there was no evidence that M.S.M. had a viral infection
    and that the vaccines caused her fever. Tr. 143. I find that to whatever extent respondent posited that an unspecified
    viral illness was the more likely alternative cause for M.S.M.’s status epilepticus and resulting injury, he conceded
    that argument at the hearing.
    32