Weaver v. Secretary of Health and Human Services ( 2023 )


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  •       In the United States Court of Federal Claims
    FOR PUBLICATION
    No. 16-1494V
    (Filed: March 13, 2023)
    )
    EBONIE WEAVER,                            )
    parent of T.M., a minor,                  )
    )    Vaccine Act, 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-10 et seq.;
    Petitioner,                  )    Off-Table Causation-in-Fact &
    )    Significant Aggravation Claims;
    v.                                  )    Complex Febrile Seizure;
    )    Abnormal Screenings; Epilepsy
    SECRETARY OF HEALTH                       )
    AND HUMAN SERVICES,                       )
    )
    Respondent.                  )
    )
    Edward Kraus, Kraus Law Group, LLC, Chicago, IL, for plaintiff.
    Meghan R. Murphy, Torts Branch, Civil Division, U.S. Department of Justice,
    Washington, DC, for defendant, with whom on the briefs were Brian M. Boynton,
    Principal Deputy Assistant Attorney General, C. Salvatore D’Alessio, Director,
    Heather L. Pearlman, Deputy Director, and Lara A. Englund, Assistant Director,
    Torts Branch, Civil Division, U.S. Department of Justice, Washington, DC.
    OPINION AND ORDER
    BONILLA, Judge.
    Petitioner Ebonie Weaver, parent of a minor child identified herein as T.M.,
    seeks review of a decision of the United States Court of Federal Claims Office of
    Special Masters (OSM) denying entitlement under the National Childhood Vaccine
    Injury Act, 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-10 et seq. Ms. Weaver claims a vaccine-induced
    complex febrile seizure caused T.M. to develop a chronic seizure disorder and,
    concomitantly, significantly aggravated T.M.’s preexisting developmental delay.
    
    This decision was initially filed under seal on February 24, 2023, in accordance with Rule 18(b)
    of the Vaccine Rules of the United States Court of Federal Claims, to allow the parties to propose
    redactions based upon privacy concerns. No proposed redactions were filed.
    For the reasons set forth below, the Court finds the Chief Special Master improperly
    elevated petitioner’s burden of proof by requiring contemporaneous medical
    screening evidence documenting brain injury under a “seizures beget seizures”
    theory of causation. The legal error further extended to petitioner’s significant
    aggravation claim. Accordingly, Ms. Weaver’s motion is GRANTED, the decision
    of the OSM is REVERSED-IN-PART and VACATED-IN-PART, and this matter is
    REMANDED for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    BACKGROUND
    I.      Medical History
    T.M. was born on March 29, 2013. No complications were reported during
    delivery (at 39½ weeks) and her Apgar scores for appearance (skin color), pulse
    (heart rate), grimace (reflexes), activity (muscle tone), and respiration (breathing
    rate and effort) totaled 9 out of 10 after one minute and, again, after five minutes.1
    T.M. was discharged from the hospital on March 31, 2013. During her April 3, 2013
    follow-up wellness visit, healthcare providers found five-day-old T.M. to be in
    good health.
    On July 15, 2013, during her four-month wellness visit, T.M. received the
    following vaccines: diphtheria, tetanus, and acellular pertussis (DTaP) (1st dose);
    haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) (1st dose); hepatitis B (HepB) (2nd dose);
    inactivated poliovirus (IPV) (1st dose); rotavirus (RV) (1st dose); and pneumococcal
    conjugate (PVC) (1st dose). During T.M.’s physical examination, the healthcare
    provider checked the “well child” box under “Assessment” on the medical form
    but noted “Developmental Delay.” See ECF 7-4 at 8. When asked about T.M.’s
    developmental progress using the Ages and Stages Questionnaires® (ASQ),2
    Ms. Weaver reported T.M. was not meeting the following milestones: pushing up
    to elbows, symmetrical movement, and rolling and reaching for objects. The
    healthcare provider documented their impression as “ASQ – Delay but is not
    4 mo[nth]s yet.” See ECF 7-4 at 8.
    1 See JOHNS HOPKINS ALL CHILDREN’S HOSPITAL, https://www.hopkinsallchildrens.org/Patients-
    Families/Health-Library/HealthDocNew/What-Is-the-Apgar-Score (last visited Feb. 22, 2023)
    (“A baby who scores a 7 or above on the test is considered in good health. . . . Ten is the highest score
    possible, but few babies get it. That’s because most babies’ hands and feet remain blue until they
    have warmed up.”).
    2 The Ages and Stages Questionnaires® are a screening tool used to measure developmental progress
    in children between the ages of one month and five years. See AGES AND STAGES QUESTIONNAIRES,
    https://agesandstages.com/products-pricing/asq3/ (last visited Feb. 22, 2023).
    2
    On December 6 and 10, 2013, nine-month-old T.M. returned for her
    six-month wellness visit.3 During the December 10, 2013 visit, Ms. Weaver
    reported T.M. “was doing everything normal until 4 months and now she is
    not doing much.” See ECF 7-8 at 4; see also ECF 11-1 at 70. Documenting
    developmental milestones, the healthcare provider noted T.M. occasionally meets
    9 of the 16 milestones, is “babbling – little” and “smiles at mom,” but she does not
    sit alone, roll from front to back or vice versa, pass a toy from hand to hand,
    imitate beginning consonant sounds, or say “mama” or “dada.” ECF 7-8 at 4. The
    healthcare provider referred T.M. to a developmental clinic for further evaluation
    and early intervention treatment. During the December 10, 2013 wellness visit,
    T.M. received the following vaccines: HepB (3rd dose); DTaP (2nd dose); Hib
    (2nd dose); IPV (2nd dose); PVC (2nd dose); and RV (2nd dose). ECF 7-8 at 6.
    That evening, T.M. developed a fever which Ms. Weaver treated with Tylenol.
    On December 11, 2013 at approximately 2:00 a.m.–less than 24 hours after
    receiving the vaccines–T.M. was taken by ambulance to the emergency room and
    treated for a complex febrile seizure lasting 35 minutes. Ms. Weaver reported the
    following symptoms to the paramedics and hospital staff: grunting, body shakes,
    clenched hands, curled toes, pulsating limbs, heavy drooling, and eyes rolled
    upward.4 When examined at 4:00 a.m., T.M. presented with fever and shaking and
    “seizure-like activity.” See ECF 11-1 at 8. Showing signs of respiratory distress,
    T.M. was intubated and placed on a ventilator. T.M.’s bloodwork showed an
    abnormally high white blood cell count; a flu panel, Computed Tomography
    (CT or CAT) brain scan, and chest x-ray yielded negative results. T.M. was given
    antibiotics and transferred to another hospital for treatment in the facility’s
    pediatric intensive care unit. Following her hospital transfer, T.M.’s fever broke
    and she was extubated with no further seizure activity. An electroencephalogram
    (EEG) of T.M.’s brain activity performed that afternoon was interpreted to be
    normal. During evening rounds, a treating physician documented the likely
    diagnosis as complex febrile seizure. T.M. was discharged the following day.
    Six days later, on December 18, 2013, T.M. returned to the emergency room
    after experiencing three episodes of vomiting and diarrhea, but no reported fever
    or additional seizures. By this time, Ms. Weaver had filed a Vaccine Adverse Event
    Reporting System (VAERS) report suggesting a link between T.M.’s febrile seizure
    3The December 10, 2013 follow-up visit was necessary after healthcare providers were unable to
    verify T.M.’s vaccine history on December 6, 2013; consequently, no vaccines could be administered
    during the initial check-up.
    4   T.M.’s father also reported that T.M.’s tongue was swollen and confirmed the excess drooling.
    3
    and her recent vaccinations.5 T.M. was prescribed a nausea medication, instructed
    to stay hydrated, and discharged. During a January 14, 2014 wellness visit,
    the treating physician documented their assessment of T.M.’s December 11, 2013
    episode as a “DTaP induced versus febrile seizure.” See ECF 7-4 at 5.
    On March 18, 2014, T.M. returned to the emergency room after suffering a
    second febrile seizure and remained hospitalized overnight for observation. Medical
    staff flagged T.M.’s “significant developmental delay” and urged Ms. Weaver to seek
    early intervention for T.M. through prescribed physical and occupational therapy.
    See ECF 7-7 at 241; accord id. at 239–40. In early April 2014, healthcare providers
    continued to raise concerns that T.M. was not meeting developmental milestones.
    On May 1, 2014, T.M. suffered a third febrile seizure while at daycare and
    again transported by ambulance to the emergency room. According to her daycare
    provider, T.M. “began to shake, foam at the mouth, and her eyes rolled into the back
    of her head while [the teacher] was holding her.” See ECF 7-1 at 2. Prior to her
    discharge later that day, T.M.’s body temperature measured 102.2 degrees. Over
    the following week, T.M. was evaluated by the Illinois Bureau of Early Intervention
    and a pediatric neurologist. She was diagnosed as suffering from “[e]pileptic
    seizures, [f]ebrile seizures, [s]taring spell, and [d]evelopmental delay.” See ECF 7-2
    at 10. T.M. was prescribed a low dose of the anti-epileptic drug Keppra.
    During a May 13, 2014 wellness visit, Ms. Weaver reluctantly authorized
    the administration of three more vaccines: measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR)
    (1st dose); varicella/chickenpox (1st dose); and hepatitis A (HepA) (1st dose).
    Two months later, on July 3, 2014, T.M. underwent a two-hour EEG. The results
    were found “within normal limits and appropriate for [the] patient[’s] age”;
    however, the entry under “[a]bnormalities” reads: “slow wave activity was present
    throughout the recording and was unresponsive to stimulation.” ECF 7-2 at 43.
    Through the fall of 2014, T.M.’s overall development showed few signs of
    improvement. During a September 4, 2014 wellness visit, 17-month-old T.M.
    did not meet any of the 11 evaluated developmental milestones.6 Concerned the
    vaccinations were causing or contributing to T.M.’s continuing health issues,
    Ms. Weaver declined to authorize additional scheduled vaccinations for T.M.
    5 Co-managed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the U.S. Food and Drug
    Administration (FDA), VAERS “is a national early warning system to detect possible safety problems
    in U.S.-licensed vaccines.” See VAERS, https://vaers.hhs.gov/about.html (last visited Feb. 22, 2023).
    6Although T.M. was reportedly “rolling more frequently” and “up on her knees,” she was not yet
    crawling. See ECF 7-3 at 71. Moreover, the healthcare provider checked “no” for the following
    developmental milestones: vocabulary 3 to 6+ words; listens to story; points to one or more body
    parts; gestures what they want; understands simple commands; walks, stoops, climbs stairs;
    stacks blocks; feeds self with fingers; drinks from a cup; looks for fallen objects; and social play. Id.
    4
    On December 30, 2014, T.M. suffered a breakthrough seizure and returned to
    the emergency room. The seizure reportedly “last[ed] for about ten minutes [and]
    then resolved on its own.” See ECF 7-9 at 5. Hospital staff attributed the episode
    to T.M. missing her morning dose of Keppra. By the time T.M. was examined by a
    doctor two hours after her arrival at the hospital, she had returned to her baseline
    and discharged. T.M.’s development showed no documented signs of improvement
    throughout 2015 and into 2016.
    On May 8, 2016, T.M. experienced an active afebrile seizure and was taken
    to the emergency room. Medical staff attributed the episode to T.M.’s reported
    congestion, exposure to viral illness, and a missed Keppra dose. A continuous-video
    EEG identified the following abnormalities: absent posterior dominant rhythm
    (PDR); excessive beta activity; and diffuse slowing. The EEG report further noted:
    “EEG is consistent with a global encephalopathy and drug-induced fast activity.”7
    See ECF 9-4 at 62. An August 16-17, 2016 follow-up ambulatory (24-hour) EEG
    revealed the following abnormalities: “regional epileptiform discharges involving
    the posterior quadrant maximal over midline parieto-occipital region.” Id. at 293-
    94. The results were deemed “consistent with an active epileptogenic source in the
    midline parieto-occipital region [of the brain].” Id.
    Since then, T.M. has experienced several afebrile seizures resulting
    in additional trips to the emergency room and, in at least one instance, being
    admitted to the hospital. In diagnosing T.M., healthcare providers generally offer
    non-vaccine related explanations (e.g., recurrent ear infections, missed Keppra
    doses, exploring alternative treatments). Her current diagnoses include epilepsy
    and global encephalopathy (i.e., global developmental delay). Nearing her
    10th birthday, T.M.’s global and profound developmental delays continue.
    She remains nonverbal, wears diapers, and continues to experience seizures.
    II.    Petition and OSM Decision
    Ms. Weaver’s petition presents a causation claim and significant aggravation
    claim, asserting the December 10, 2013 vaccines administered to T.M. caused her
    seizure disorder and significantly worsened her developmental delays. In support
    of her causation claim, Ms. Weaver relies upon the “seizures beget seizures” theory,
    asserting that T.M.s’ initial vaccine-induced febrile seizure lowered her seizure
    threshold, paving the way for her chronic seizure disorder. The resulting brain
    damage from the attributable seizures, Ms. Weaver continues, significantly
    aggravated T.M.’s preexisting developmental delays.
    7 “Encephalopathy is a term for any disease of the brain that alters brain function or structure.” See
    NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF NEUROLOGICAL DISORDERS AND STROKE, https://www.ninds.nih.gov/health-
    information/disorders/encephalopathy#:~:text=Encephalopathy%20is%20a%20term%20for,increased
    %20pressure%20in%20the%20skull (last visited Feb. 22, 2023). Although the parties dispute the
    import of this diagnosis, the OSM decision under review makes no mention of the May 8, 2016 EEG.
    5
    On September 23, 2022, the OSM issued a decision denying entitlement. The
    Chief Special Master found the December 10, 2013 vaccinations were responsible
    for T.M.’s ensuing fever and at least contributed to her initial febrile seizure. Citing
    the “absence of evidence that [T.M.’s] brain was likely damaged by the first febrile
    seizure,” however, the Chief Special Master concluded T.M.’s subsequent seizures
    were not likely attributable to the first. Weaver v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs.,
    No. 16-1494V, 
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at *1 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 23, 2022).
    The Chief Special Master also held Ms. Weaver failed to establish that T.M.’s
    preexisting developmental delays were significantly aggravated by her initial
    vaccine-induced febrile seizure.
    DISCUSSION
    I.    Standard of Review
    In reviewing a Vaccine Act decision, this Court may
    (A) uphold the findings of fact and conclusions of law of the
    special master and sustain the special master’s decision,
    (B) set aside any findings of fact or conclusion of law of the
    special master found to be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of
    discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law and issue
    its own findings of fact and conclusions of law, or
    (C) remand the petition to the special master for further action
    in accordance with the court’s direction.
    42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2). The Federal Circuit clarified the applicable standards of
    review as follows: findings of fact are reviewed under the arbitrary and capricious
    standard; discretionary rulings are reviewed under an abuse of discretion standard;
    and legal conclusions are reviewed de novo under the “not in accordance with law”
    standard. Turner v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    268 F.3d 1334
    , 1337 (Fed. Cir.
    2001) (citing Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    970 F.2d 863
    , 870 n.10
    (Fed. Cir. 1992)).
    II.   Causation-In-Fact
    To prove causation-in-fact for an injury not listed in the Vaccine Injury Table,
    42 U.S.C. § 300aa–14(a) (“off-Table injury”), a petitioner must demonstrate by
    preponderant evidence:
    6
    (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury;
    (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination
    was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate
    temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.
    Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    418 F.3d 1274
    , 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). To
    satisfy this burden, a petitioner need not prove their claim to a medical or scientific
    certainty; rather, they must simply show that it is “more likely than not” that the
    vaccine caused the injury. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    592 F.3d 1315
    ,
    1322 (Fed. Cir. 2010).
    The three Althen prongs comprise an overlapping analysis determining
    whether a vaccine more likely than not caused injury. Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health
    & Hum. Servs., 
    440 F.3d 1317
    , 1326 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (“[T]he statute requires only
    that the claimant show that it is more likely than not that this claimant’s [injury]
    was caused by the vaccine.”) (emphasis in original). Under the first prong,
    petitioner must provide a reputable medical or scientific explanation for their
    theory of causal connection. Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    941 F.3d 1351
    , 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (quoting Moberly, 
    592 F.3d at 1322
    ). To satisfy the
    second prong, petitioner must show how the facts of their case align with the
    medical theory presented and demonstrate a logical connection between the vaccine
    and the injury (i.e., a logical sequence of cause and effect). See Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
     (“[M]edical records and medical opinion testimony are favored in vaccine
    cases, as treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine
    whether ‘a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was
    the reason for the injury.’”) (quoting Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    ) (citing 42 U.S.C.
    § 300aa–13(a)(1)). Finally, the third prong requires petitioner to show the injury
    occurred within the expected time frame of the proposed medical theory. See
    de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    539 F.3d 1347
    , 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008).
    In this case, the Chief Special Master found Ms. Weaver satisfied Althen
    prongs one and three. In addressing prong one, the Chief Special Master found
    that Ms. Weaver provided a credible medical theory demonstrating how vaccines
    can cause a febrile seizure and, in turn, how a febrile seizure can cause a chronic
    seizure disorder. See Weaver, 
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at *25 (“I can easily determine
    herein that almost any vaccine, alone or grouped with others, could cause sufficient
    inflammation to trigger a single febrile seizure.”) (emphasis in original); id. at *27
    (“I emphasize again—the contention that a vaccine-caused febrile seizure could
    constitute the first ‘domino’ in a chronic seizure disorder is scientifically reliable.”)
    (emphasis in original). Regarding prong three, the Chief Special Master credited
    testimony demonstrating the requisite timing between T.M.’s vaccination and her
    complex febrile seizure. See id. at *12 (“Finally, Dr. Huq addressed the timeframe
    between T.M.’s vaccinations and her first seizure, deeming it consistent with the
    short interval for initial inflammatory changes (which could occur within 24 hours
    to a few days after vaccination).”). Neither of these conclusions are contested here.
    7
    Accordingly, the Court focuses on the determination that Ms. Weaver did not satisfy
    the second Althen prong.
    A.     Contemporaneous Evidence of Brain Injury
    The Chief Special Master improperly elevated Ms. Weaver’s burden of proof
    under Althen prong two. In denying compensation, the Chief Special Master
    focused on the absence of abnormal screening results evidencing brain injury
    contemporaneous with T.M.’s first febrile seizure, finding:
    [T]he medical record in this case does not support the conclusion that
    T.M.’s December 2013 post-vaccination febrile seizure caused her
    epilepsy.
    Specifically, the record does not establish that the initial febrile seizure
    harmed T.M.’s brain sufficiently to conclude that it likely “explains”
    what transpired thereafter. On the contrary, persistent testing
    performed over the next two-plus years, whether in the form of EEGs
    or [magnetic resonance imaging (MRIs)], did not confirm the presence
    of a seizure-induced brain malformation or injury that could then
    (under a “seizures beget seizures” theory) be deemed causal of all
    subsequent seizures.
    See Weaver, 
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at *25 (emphasis in original) (citing three EEGs,
    an MRI, and a CT scan yielding normal results between December 2013 and
    May 2016). The Chief Special Master noted that it was not until August 2016 that
    epileptiform activity in T.M.’s brain was corroborated by an EEG yielding abnormal
    results. 
    Id.
     Upon these findings, the Chief Special Master concluded T.M.’s first
    vaccine-induced seizure could not be deemed responsible for her epilepsy “in the
    absence of record evidence corroborating the presence of brain injury that could
    credibly be attributed to the vaccine-induced febrile seizure.” Id. at *27.
    Requiring abnormal screening results to substantiate T.M.’s initial
    brain injury contradicts the spirit of the Vaccine Act and the standard to which
    petitioners are held. The preponderance of the evidence standard applicable
    under the Act does not require medical certainty. Rather, causation is determined
    on a case-by-case basis with “no hard and fast per se scientific or medical rules.”
    Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    35 F.3d 543
    , 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994).
    Moreover, under the National Vaccine Injury Program, close calls regarding
    causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants. Althen, 
    418 F.3d at 1280
    . The
    question whether T.M.’s brain was harmed by her initial vaccine-induced complex
    febrile seizure, leading to her chronic seizure disorder, is a close call and, as such,
    must be resolved in Ms. Weaver’s favor.
    8
    Under the scientifically sound theory that a vaccine-caused complex febrile
    seizure could serve as the proverbial “first domino” to topple culminating in T.M.’s
    development of a chronic seizure disorder, the second Althen prong required
    Ms. Weaver to produce only a measure of reliable evidence that her brain was more
    likely than not harmed by the initial seizure. While a concurrent abnormal EEG or
    other medical screening may provide such evidence, the absence of an abnormal
    screening alone is not determinative.
    The Federal Circuit has rejected the requirement that a petitioner satisfy the
    second Althen prong by presenting specific medical evidence or scientific proof to
    establish a logical sequence of cause and effect, concluding that such a requirement
    “impermissibly raises a claimant’s burden under the Vaccine Act.” See Capizzano,
    
    440 F.3d at
    1325–26. The court highlighted the inherent value of opinions from
    treating physicians and medical experts. See 
    id. at 1325
    . Relevant circumstantial
    evidence may satisfy the preponderance standard. 
    Id.
     In this case, T.M.’s treating
    physicians and medical expert opined that T.M.’s regression evidences the impact of
    her initial vaccine-induced seizure (and subsequent seizures) on her development.
    In contrast, expert witness testimony regarding the probative value of the initial
    EEGs and other screening tests were, at best, inconclusive.
    1.     Treating Physicians
    “[Medical opinion] testimony is ‘quite probative’ since ‘treating physicians
    are likely to be in the best position to determine whether a logical sequence of cause
    and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.’” Andreu v.
    Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    569 F.3d 1367
    , 1375 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (quoting
    Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
    ) (additional citations omitted). Indeed, “in certain
    cases, a petitioner can prove a logical sequence of cause and effect between a
    vaccination and the injury (Althen prong two) with a physician’s opinion to that
    effect where the petitioner has proved that the vaccination can cause the injury
    (Althen prong one) and that the vaccination and injury have a close temporal
    proximity (Althen prong three).” Moriarty v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs.,
    
    844 F.3d 1322
    , 1333 (Fed. Cir. 2016) (citing Capizzano, 
    440 F.3d at 1326
    ).
    Under Ms. Weaver’s scientifically reliable seizures beget seizures theory
    of causation, children who experience febrile seizures–particularly complex
    febrile seizures–are more likely to develop seizure disorders, including epilepsy.
    The proffered theory is sufficiently borne out by the circumstantial evidence
    presented. The causal link between T.M.’s December 10, 2013 vaccinations and
    her initial complex febrile seizure within 24 hours is well documented in T.M.’s
    contemporaneous emergency room records. Further, the medical opinions of
    T.M.’s pediatric neurologist connected T.M.’s initial febrile seizure and her currently
    diagnosed seizure disorder. Contemporaneous medical records prepared by other
    healthcare professionals further document T.M.’s developmental regression and
    9
    substantiate a causal connection between T.M.’s initial febrile seizure and her
    current diagnosis.
    In the days and months following T.M.’s third febrile seizure over the course
    of five months, pediatric neurology specialist Lubov Romantseva, MD, noted T.M.’s
    developmental plateaus and regressions occurred contemporaneously with T.M.’s
    vaccinations and the onset of her febrile seizures. See, e.g., ECF 7-2 at 15, 16, 76.
    To this point, the frequency of T.M.’s febrile seizures and the possible impact of the
    antiseizure medication prescribed immediately following T.M.’s third febrile seizure
    proves corroborative. Prior to taking a daily dose of Keppra, T.M. suffered febrile
    seizures on December 11, 2013, March 18, 2014, and May 1, 2014. Her subsequent
    December 30, 2014, and May 8, 2016 febrile seizures occurred on days when T.M.
    did not take her medication. Dr. Romantseva continues to treat T.M. and, based on
    the record presented, her opinions supply substantiated evidence of causation. See
    Mondello v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    132 Fed. Cl. 316
    , 323 (2017) (“Medical
    records ‘warrant consideration as trustworthy evidence’ because these records
    are ‘generally contemporaneous to medical events,’ and ‘accuracy has an extra
    premium.’”) (citing Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    993 F.2d 1525
    , 1528
    (Fed. Cir. 1993)).
    T.M.’s developmental evaluations timeline further supports the conclusion
    that T.M. experienced developmental regression as a result of her vaccine-induced
    December 11, 2013 complex febrile seizure and subsequent febrile seizures. At her
    December 10, 2013 wellness visit–during which T.M. received the vaccine regimen
    at issue–she was reported to meet some (but not all) developmental milestones.
    See ECF 7-8 at 4. During a 12-month wellness visit conducted on April 8, 2014–
    one month after T.M. suffered a second febrile seizure in three months–Lester
    Hockenberry, MD, documented that T.M. met only 1 of 13 developmental
    milestones. See ECF 7-3 at 85–86. By September 4, 2014, Dr. Hockenberry
    reported that T.M. did not meet a single developmental milestone. See ECF 7-3
    at 71. The Court finds the contemporaneous medical opinions regarding T.M.’s
    developmental regression probative in determining T.M. suffered a brain injury
    after her first vaccine-induced febrile seizure.
    Relevant here, the Chief Special Master seemingly conflated T.M.’s
    pre-seizure developmental concerns with her post-seizure developmental regression.
    See Weaver, 
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at *26 (“The fact that T.M.’s seizures occurred in
    the context of established developmental concerns also weighs against a conclusion
    that her first seizure caused what followed.”). As expert witnesses for both parties
    explained, there is a significant difference between developmental delay and
    regression. Pediatric Neurologist John Zempel, MD, for example, distinguished
    between the “many kids who have development delay,” and the “uncommon”
    phenomenon of regression, which requires immediate evaluation and treatment by
    a neurologist. See ECF 72 at 251. In turn, Pediatric Neurologist Ahm M. Huq, MD,
    10
    explained that a loss of once-mastered skills is “unusual” and, in the absence of
    evidence of illness or degenerative condition, is compelling evidence of harm to the
    brain. 
    Id.
     at 105–06. Dr. Huq further noted the adverse impact brain seizures
    can have on child development, particularly during their early years of critical
    development. See id. at 107.
    Notwithstanding the negative screenings cited by the Chief Special Master,
    discussed infra, the Court finds sufficient evidence in the record to support
    Ms. Weaver’s contentions that T.M.’s December 11, 2013 vaccine-induced complex
    febrile seizure made her more susceptible to future seizures and that indications
    of a lowered seizure threshold were partially masked by the prescribed antiseizure
    medication. The Court notes the plausibility of this explanation for why T.M.’s
    allegedly lower seizure threshold did not result in significantly more seizures: it
    would strain credulity to suggest it is merely coincidental that on the two reported
    days T.M. missed a Keppra dosage, she suffered additional seizures. T.M.’s ensuing
    developmental regression further evidences the brain damage she suffered.
    In reaching these conclusions, the Court finds several similar OSM decisions
    instructive. See, e.g., Silverio v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-235V,
    
    2019 WL 6694020
     (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 14. 2019) (complex febrile seizure
    triggered propensity for additional seizures; Althen prong two satisfied by treating
    physician’s testimony despite normal EEG, MRI, and CT scans; first abnormal
    reading occurred two years after initial complex febrile seizure using a continuous
    EEG); Fuller v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-1470V, 
    2019 WL 7576382
    (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 17, 2019) (complex febrile seizure increased risk of
    developing epilepsy under seizures beget seizures theory; Althen prong two satisfied
    in part by expert testimony; first conclusively abnormal EEG was conducted
    three years after the initial seizure); Ginn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs.,
    No. 16-1466V, 
    2021 WL 1558342
     (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 26, 2021) (considering
    normal MRI results as evidence ruling out alternative causes under Althen prong
    two, but not ruling out vaccinations as the potential cause). Put simply, requiring
    contemporaneous abnormal screening evidence to prove brain injury under a
    “seizures beget seizures” theory of causation improperly elevates a petitioner’s
    burden under the second Althen prong.
    2.    EEGs and Other Screenings
    As noted in the Chief Special Master’s decision, medical experts for both
    parties testified to the limitations of EEGs and other screening tests in detecting
    brain injury or abnormality. See, e.g., ECF 72 at 250 (Dr. Zempel: “If you have
    epileptiform abnormalities, that makes it more likely that you have a diagnosis of
    epilepsy. A normal EEG does not rule out that you have epilepsy.”); 
    id.
     at 44–45,
    148–49 (Dr. Huq: “a short-term EEG has a 30 percent chance of capturing the
    abnormal. A long-term EEG usually have [sic] 60 percent, 60 or 70 percent. So a
    11
    positive EEG is helpful, and negative EEG cannot rule out the diagnosis. It’s always
    a clinical diagnosis.”). Moreover, in reviewing T.M.’s abnormal August 2016 EEG
    results, Dr. Zempel reiterated:
    I think that this is the first time we’ve seen evidence of epileptiform
    activity on an EEG. Again, I think that means it’s more likely in the
    future that there could be recurrent unprovoked seizures, but there
    are children out there who have these abnormalities and don’t have
    epilepsy, and there are children who have epilepsy and don’t have
    any abnormalities.
    Id. at 255 (emphasis added). Regarding T.M.’s normal screening results during
    the first two years following her initial complex febrile seizure, Dr. Huq opined on
    their limited import because “[t]here are patients who have seizures every day and
    can have normal EEG[s].” Id. at 148–49. As noted above, Dr. Huq explained that
    the short-term EEGs performed in the two years following T.M.’s initial complex
    febrile seizure have only a 30 percent chance “of capturing the abnormal[,]” whereas
    long-term EEGs–like the one performed in May 2016 (and August 2016)–capture
    abnormalities in 60 to 70 percent of individuals. Id. at 143, 148–49. Overall,
    both experts agreed that T.M.’s abnormal August 2016 EEG was consistent with
    epilepsy, and Dr. Huq, in particular, opined that her multiple EEGs (including
    those that were normal) were consistent with this diagnosis.
    With respect to MRIs, Dr. Huq explained they would not likely detect
    molecular changes in the brain that occur after status epilepticus or a complex
    febrile seizure, and that the molecular changes might not be detectable for years.
    See id. at 93. In turn, although highlighting an MRI’s ability to detect prolonged
    seizures and significant brain injuries, Dr. Zempel declined to opine that an MRI
    would detect all injuries in 100% of cases. See ECF 73 at 7–8. As for CT scans,
    Dr. Zempel testified he was “much less confident that a significant injury would
    appear on CT scan.” Id. at 6.
    Consistent with the Federal Circuit’s decision in Capizzano, the nature
    and extent of the Chief Special Master’s reliance upon EEG and other screening
    evidence was in error. See 
    440 F.3d at
    1325–28. While abnormal screening results
    may be probative, the law does not require abnormal screening results to prove a
    particular injury under the Vaccine Act.
    B.     Burden to Eliminate Alternative Causes
    To the extent the Chief Special Master assigned Ms. Weaver the burden of
    eliminating alternative independent potential causes for T.M.’s injury as part of
    her prima facie causation claim, the burden shift constitutes legal error. Under the
    Vaccine Act, once a petitioner has met their burden on causation, the burden shifts
    12
    to the Secretary to establish by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury or
    harm was unrelated to the vaccine. See Walther v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs.,
    
    485 F.3d 1146
    , 1151 (Fed. Cir. 2007) (citations omitted). As stated by this Court:
    The Act only requires a showing of “but for” causation and that the
    vaccine was a “substantial factor,” not that the vaccine was the only
    cause. Thus the coincidence of another potential causal agent is
    not fatal to a claim under the Act. If petitioner meets its burden on
    causation, then it is the government’s burden to prove that some other
    cause is to blame, not petitioner’s to disprove it.
    Mondello, 
    132 Fed. Cl. at 325
    .
    Importantly, while evidence of other possible sources of injury can be relevant
    in the causation analysis, the Federal Circuit has clarified:
    first, that a special master may not require the petitioner to shoulder
    the burden of eliminating all possible alternative causes in order
    establish a prima facie case[;] and second, that a special master may
    find that a factor other than a vaccine caused the injury in question
    only if that finding is supported by a preponderance of the evidence.
    Stone v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 
    676 F.3d 1373
    , 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2012)
    (internal citations omitted).8
    8The Secretary seeks to apply the holding in Stone to this case. Readily distinguishable from this
    case, in Stone, the special master concluded that the children’s SCN1A gene mutation was the
    sole cause of their severe myoclonic epilepsy of infancy (SMEI) (also known as Dravet syndrome),
    and that the petitioners failed to establish the existence of any brain damage. See 
    676 F.3d at 1375
    ,
    1377–78, 1385. In affirming the OSM’s decision, the Federal Circuit held: “[t]he special master did
    not reject the petitioners’ evidence of brain damage on the ground that it was circumstantial; rather,
    he found that [the expert’s] inference of brain damage, in the face of clinical records showing no
    brain damage, was unpersuasive and that it was therefore insufficient to carry the petitioners’
    burden on causation.” 
    Id. at 1385
    . It is also worth noting that in Stone, unlike here, the burden of
    proof shifted to the respondent to demonstrate by a preponderance of the evidence that the gene
    mutation “was ‘more likely than not the “but for” and “substantial factor” that caused’ the SMEI in
    both children.” 
    Id. at 1377
     (citations omitted).
    Here, it is undisputed–and confirmed by both parties’ experts–that T.M.’s August 2016
    EEG was abnormal, demonstrated global encephalopathy, and is consistent with T.M.’s epilepsy
    diagnosis. Compare ECF 9-4 at 293–94 and ECF 72 at 145–46, 254–55 with Stone, 
    676 F.3d at
    1382 n.2, 1385 (finding EEG evidence “questionable”; petitioner’s expert witness unpersuasive).
    Additionally, the Court finds T.M.’s medical records—particularly the medical opinions of her
    pediatric neurologist and contemporaneous developmental assessments—amply support the
    conclusion that T.M. experienced developmental regression, which is probative circumstantial
    evidence of brain injury in this case.
    13
    In this case, rather than hold the Secretary to their shifted burden of proof,
    the Chief Special Master faulted Ms. Weaver for not refuting or otherwise
    addressing the notion that T.M.’s developmental delay could have caused or
    increased her risk or propensity for seizures. See Weaver, 
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at
    *26 (“Although I do not purport to find that T.M.’s developmental issues explain her
    subsequent seizure activity and epilepsy, Petitioner did not persuasively rebut this
    kind of evidence, and it therefore further diminishes the possibility that the initial
    febrile seizure alone explained why T.M. continued to experience seizures
    afterward.”) (emphasis added); 
    id.
     (“[T]he record in this case paints a picture of a
    child likely susceptible to seizure activity generally, but whose course could not be
    deemed inevitable once the first febrile seizure occurred. T.M.’s initial febrile
    seizure was likely vaccine-caused—but that seizure in turn was not the cause of
    what followed.”) (emphasis in original). The law is clear: Ms. Weaver is not
    required to prove that T.M.’s initial vaccine-induced complex febrile seizure was the
    sole or predominant cause of her epilepsy. See Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Hum.
    Servs., 
    165 F.3d 1344
    , 1352–53 (Fed. Cir. 1999) (petitioners must demonstrate
    vaccine was a but-for cause of and a substantial factor in the resulting injury;
    petitioners are not required to establish the vaccine was the only or predominate
    cause of the injury).
    III.   Significant Aggravation
    Under the Vaccine Act, claimants may seek compensation for preexisting
    injuries that were “significantly aggravated” by vaccination. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-
    11(c)(1)(C)(i-ii). To prove an off-Table significant aggravation claim, petitioners
    must satisfy the six-prong test adopted in Loving v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs.,
    
    86 Fed. Cl. 135
    , 143–44 (2009). Under the Loving framework, a petitioner must
    establish by a preponderance of the evidence:
    (1) the person’s condition prior to administration of the vaccine, (2) the
    person’s current condition (or the condition following the vaccination
    if that is also pertinent), (3) whether the person’s current condition
    constitutes a “significant aggravation” of the person’s condition
    prior to vaccination, (4) a medical theory causally connecting such
    a significantly worsened condition to the vaccination, (5) a logical
    sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the
    reason for the significant aggravation, and (6) a showing of a
    proximate temporal relationship between the vaccination and the
    significant aggravation.
    
    Id. at 144
    . Here, Ms. Weaver argues T.M.’s vaccine-induced complex febrile seizure
    and resulting seizure disorder exacerbated her preexisting developmental delay.
    14
    In addressing the significant aggravation claim, the Chief Special Master
    found that T.M.’s contemporaneously documented pre-vaccine developmental issues
    “literally worsened” and became “more pronounced” in the months and years after
    she was vaccinated, thereby satisfying the first three Loving factors. See Weaver,
    
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at *27 & n.21 (emphasis in original). Turning to the fourth
    factor, the Chief Special Master “assum[ed] that a vaccine-induced febrile seizure
    could cause sufficient brain injury to worsen preexisting developmental issues.”9
    See id. at *27.
    In assessing the fifth Loving factor, the Chief Special Master relied upon his
    findings under the second Althen prong, concluding that T.M.’s initial vaccine-
    induced complex febrile seizure was similarly not “the source of worsening” for her
    developmental delay. See Weaver, 
    2022 WL 12542485
    , at *27. The Chief Special
    Master explained: “My finding with respect to a lack of sufficient ‘did cause’ proof
    that the first, vaccine-caused febrile seizure T.M. experienced was causal of her
    overall epilepsy also bears on Petitioner’s claim that her pre-existing developmental
    delays were exacerbated by the December 2013 vaccinations.” See id.; accord id. at
    *28 (“[T]he initial, undoubtedly vaccine-related febrile seizure has not been shown
    to be the ‘linchpin’ to what followed.”). Given the Court’s conclusion reversing the
    causation determination under Althen prong two, the extension of the erroneous
    finding in analyzing the Loving factors necessitates a reevaluation on remand.10
    CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, Petitioner’s Motion for Review (ECF 83) is
    GRANTED, the Decision Denying Entitlement issued by the Office of Special
    Masters (ECF 77 & 81) is REVERSED-IN-PART and VACATED-IN-PART,
    and this case is REMANDED for further proceedings consistent with this opinion.
    It is so ORDERED.
    ___________________
    Armando O. Bonilla
    Judge
    9The assumption is presumably based on the Chief Special Master’s findings regarding Althen
    prong one (i.e., the counterpart to the third Loving factor).
    10On remand, the Chief Special Master must also address the sixth Loving factor (i.e., proximate
    temporal relationship between the vaccination and the significant aggravation)–the counterpart
    to the third Althen prong–as his initial decision is silent on that issue. The Court declines to make
    these factual findings in the first instance on petitioner’s motion for review. See, e.g., Mondello,
    
    132 Fed. Cl. at 325
    .
    15