State v. General Grant Wilson , 362 Wis. 2d 193 ( 2015 )


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    2015 WI 48
    SUPREME COURT            OF   WISCONSIN
    CASE NO.:              2011AP1803-CR
    COMPLETE TITLE:        State of Wisconsin,
    Plaintiff-Respondent-Petitioner,
    v.
    General Grant Wilson,
    Defendant-Appellant.
    REVIEW OF A DECISION OF THE COURT OF APPEALS
    (No cite)
    (Ct. App. 2013 – Unpublished)
    OPINION FILED:         May 12, 2015
    SUBMITTED ON BRIEFS:
    ORAL ARGUMENT:         September 4, 2014
    SOURCE OF APPEAL:
    COURT:              Circuit
    COUNTY:             Milwaukee
    JUDGE:              Victor Manian
    JUSTICES:
    CONCURRED:          ZIEGLER, J., ROGGENSACK, C.J., concur(Opinion
    Filed.)
    DISSENTED:           ABRAHAMSON, BRADLEY, JJ., dissent (Opinion
    Filed.)
    NOT PARTICIPATING:
    ATTORNEYS:
    For      the    plaintiff-respondent-petitioner,   the   cause   was
    argued by Maguerite Moeller, assistant attorney general, with
    whom on the briefs was J.B. Van Hollen, attorney general.
    For the defendant-appellant, the cause was argued by Anne
    Berleman Kearney, with whom on the brief was Joseph D. Kearney
    and Appellate Consulting Group, Milwaukee.
    An amicus curiae brief was filed by Carrie Sperling, John
    A. Pray, and the Frank J. Remington Center, on behalf of the
    University of Wisconsin Law School.
    
    2015 WI 48
                                                                        NOTICE
    This opinion is subject to further
    editing and modification.   The final
    version will appear in the bound
    volume of the official reports.
    No.   2011AP1803-CR
    (L.C. No.   1993CF931541)
    STATE OF WISCONSIN                              :              IN SUPREME COURT
    State of Wisconsin,
    Plaintiff-Respondent-Petitioner,
    FILED
    v.
    MAY 12, 2015
    General Grant Wilson,
    Diane M. Fremgen
    Defendant-Appellant.                                    Clerk of Supreme Court
    REVIEW of a decision of the Court of Appeals.                    Reversed.
    ¶1    DAVID    T.     PROSSER,    J.      This      is    a     review      of    an
    unpublished     decision     of   the   court       of   appeals,        reversing       a
    judgment of conviction for a Milwaukee County homicide as well
    as a subsequent order denying postconviction relief.
    ¶2    The case requires us to determine whether, in 1993,
    the Milwaukee County Circuit Court, Victor Manian, Judge, erred
    by excluding evidence proffered by the defendant, General Grant
    Wilson (Wilson), that a third party committed the homicide for
    which Wilson was being tried.
    No.         2011AP1803-CR
    ¶3       The law is well established that a defendant has due
    process        rights       under       the      United          States           and     Wisconsin
    Constitutions         to    present      a     theory      of     defense          to    the    jury.
    However, a defendant's ability to present specific evidence to
    support    a    defense      at     trial      may   be        subject      to     conditions        or
    limitations.          When a defendant seeks to present evidence that a
    third party committed the crime for which the defendant is being
    tried, the defendant must show "a legitimate tendency" that the
    third party committed the crime; in other words, that the third
    party had motive, opportunity, and a direct connection to the
    crime.     State v. Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    , 
    357 N.W.2d 12
    (Ct. App.
    1984).
    ¶4       In    this   case,       the    State       accused         Wilson       of    killing
    Evania (Eva) Maric (Maric) in the early-morning hours of April
    21, 1993.           Before the shooting, Maric had been sitting in her
    car   with     Willie       Friend      (Friend),          a    man    with        whom      she    was
    romantically         involved.          They    were       parked      outside          an    illegal
    after-hours club operated by Friend's brother.
    ¶5       According to Friend, General Grant Wilson pulled up in
    his gold Lincoln Continental, got out, approached Maric's car,
    and began firing a large-caliber handgun.                             Friend fled, narrowly
    avoiding bullets fired in his direction.                              An eyewitness, Carol
    Kidd-Edwards,         saw    Friend       flee       and       saw     a    shooter          fire    an
    additional five to seven shots into the driver's side of Maric's
    car with a smaller-caliber handgun.                             Kidd-Edwards watched the
    shooter    walk       toward      the   passenger          side       of   the      gold      Lincoln
    2
    No.     2011AP1803-CR
    before leaving her line of sight.                        She then heard a car door
    close and saw the car speed away.
    ¶6     At    trial,    Wilson    blamed       Friend       for   Maric's    murder.
    Wilson theorized that Friend had lured Maric to her car and kept
    her talking until an unknown assassin or assassins could kill
    her and frame Wilson for the crime.
    ¶7     To support this theory, Wilson attempted to introduce
    the    testimony      of    two    witnesses:       Mary    Lee    Larson   and    Barbara
    Lange.      Both Larson and Lange indicated they would testify that
    Friend had slapped and threatened Maric about two weeks before
    her murder.          The circuit court ruled that the testimony was
    inadmissible because the issue was not who killed Maric, but
    rather, whether Wilson killed Maric.                       After a seven-day trial,
    the    jury       found    Wilson     guilty        of     first-degree     intentional
    homicide (Maric) and attempted first-degree intentional homicide
    (Friend).          On October 4, 1993, the court sentenced Wilson to
    life imprisonment for the homicide plus 20 years of imprisonment
    for the attempted homicide.
    ¶8     In June of 1996, Wilson filed a postconviction motion
    seeking a new trial based on the court's decision to exclude
    Wilson's proffered testimony from Larson and Lange.                              The court
    denied      the    motion,    and    Wilson's       attorney       failed   to    file   an
    appeal.       In September of 2010, the court of appeals reinstated
    Wilson's direct appeal due to his counsel's error.                           In January
    of    2011,   Wilson       filed    another       motion    with    the   circuit    court
    seeking a new trial.               The circuit court denied the motion, and
    Wilson appealed.
    3
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    ¶9         The     court   of    appeals        summarily   reversed      Wilson's
    conviction and the circuit court's order denying postconviction
    relief.        The court determined that Friend had the opportunity to
    kill Maric and that the State failed to show that the circuit
    court's        alleged        error     in   not     admitting      Wilson's     proffered
    evidence       was       harmless.       State       v.   Wilson,   No.    2011AP1803-CR,
    unpublished order (Wis. Ct. App. Oct. 22, 2013).                                The court
    reasoned that Friend's involvement could have been direct (i.e.,
    Friend could have been the shooter himself) or indirect (i.e.,
    Friend could have engaged a gunman or gunmen to kill Maric); and
    given the conflicting evidence, the State could not meet its
    burden of showing that there was no reasonable possibility that
    the circuit court's error contributed to the guilty verdict.
    The State appealed, and we granted review.
    ¶10        We reaffirm the Denny test as the appropriate test for
    circuit courts to use to determine the admissibility of third-
    party perpetrator evidence.                   However, we conclude that, for a
    defendant to show that a third party had the "opportunity" to
    commit a crime by employing a gunman or gunmen to kill the
    victim, the defendant must provide some evidence that the third
    party had the realistic ability to engineer such a scenario.
    Here, Wilson has failed to show that Friend had the opportunity
    to kill Maric, directly or indirectly; consequently, it was not
    error        for     the    circuit     court      to     exclude   Wilson's     proffered
    evidence.          Accordingly, we reverse.
    I. FACTUAL BACKGROUND AND PROCEDURAL HISTORY
    4
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    ¶11    Maric was shot to death in the 3200 block of North 9th
    Street in Milwaukee at about 5:00 a.m. on April 21, 1993.                               Two
    weapons were used in the shooting: a .44 caliber gun and a .25
    caliber gun.        Maric was shot seven times in total: once in the
    chest and once in the back with the .44, and five times in the
    left front and side of her torso with the .25.                            Willie Friend
    was   present      at     the    shooting     and     was   the    principal       witness
    against Wilson.
    ¶12    When police conducted an investigation at the crime
    scene, they recovered several bullets and bullet fragments: one
    .44 caliber jacketed bullet was found in the grassy area between
    the   curb   and    sidewalk,       a   .44       caliber   lead    bullet    was    found
    nearby in the ground, another .44 caliber lead bullet was found
    in the front yard of an adjacent house on North 9th Street; four
    .25 caliber brass casings were found in Maric's car, one in the
    front seat area and three in the back.
    ¶13    The    police       investigation        quickly      focused    on    Wilson
    based on Friend's statement, shortly after the shooting, that
    Wilson was the shooter.             Later that morning, Lieutenant Michael
    LaPointe     of    the    Milwaukee      Police      Department,      along    with     two
    detectives        and    other    officers,         went    to    Wilson's     place    of
    employment.              LaPointe       informed       Wilson      that      they      were
    investigating a shooting, that he was a suspect, and that he was
    under arrest.           Wilson gave the officers permission to search his
    two lockers at work as well as his car.                      The officers recovered
    pictures of the victim from one of the lockers and a .38 caliber
    revolver from the trunk of his car.                    Later, LaPointe and other
    5
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    officers searched Wilson's house and recovered a .357 caliber
    revolver from Wilson's bed.                 LaPointe also recovered two boxes
    that        formerly   contained     .25    caliber     handguns.       Additionally,
    LaPointe        recovered    two     .25    caliber    cartridges       from    Wilson's
    home.
    ¶14     Detective    Michael       Young   interviewed      Wilson     on   April
    22.         Detective Young asked Wilson if he owned any .25 caliber
    handguns, and Wilson answered that he owned three .25 caliber
    Raven1 semiautomatic          pistols:       police    had    custody    of    one,   his
    mother had the second, and his brother had the third.                           None of
    the five weapons cited above was one of the murder weapons.
    ¶15     Detective Young also asked Wilson if he owned a .44
    magnum        revolver;     Wilson    answered        that   he   did    not.         When
    Detective Young subsequently asked Wilson if he had ever owned a
    .44 magnum revolver, Wilson replied that he had not.
    ¶16     After Wilson denied owning a .44, police questioned
    Terry Jean Bethly, a friend of Wilson.                         Bethly informed the
    police that on April 3, 1993, she and Wilson went to a shooting
    range and Wilson brought a .44 with him.                     Bethly stated that she
    bought ammunition for Wilson's .44 that day.                       Bethly also said
    1
    Transcripts in the record describe this gun as a "Ravin,"
    which is probably a misspelling by the court reporter.     Raven
    Arms was a weapons manufacturer founded in 1970 that specialized
    in low-cost handguns.     See Nicholas Freudenberg, Lethal but
    Legal: Corporations, Consumption, and Protecting Public Health
    48 (2014). The Raven Arms MP25 was one of the guns most used in
    crimes in the 1990s.     Peter Harry Brown and Daniel G. Abel,
    Outgunned: Up Against the NRA 157 (2010).
    6
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    that       she   had    seen     Wilson     with      the     .44   on    another       occasion.
    Police also questioned Wilson's brother, who confirmed Wilson's
    possession of a .44.                  After learning this, Detective Michael
    Dubis questioned Wilson again regarding his ownership of a .44,
    but Wilson continued to deny ever owning or possessing one.
    ¶17       On    April    26,   the    State       charged      Wilson      with    First-
    Degree Intentional Homicide While Possessing a Dangerous Weapon
    and Attempted First-Degree Intentional Homicide While Possessing
    a   Dangerous          Weapon.2       He    was       bound    over      for    trial    after   a
    preliminary examination.                   The State filed an information with
    the same charges on May 5, to which Wilson pled not guilty.
    Trial was scheduled for June 28, 1993.                          After pretrial motions,
    jury selection, and opening statements, testimony began on June
    30.    Below are highlights of the trial testimony.
    A. Willie Friend's Testimony
    ¶18       At trial, Willie Friend testified that he entered into
    an intimate relationship with Maric in 1992, after having known
    her for about 12 years.                On April 20, 1993, Friend asked Maric
    to pick him up at the Milwaukee County Courthouse after a child
    support hearing.3              The time was around 4:00 or 5:00 p.m.                      The two
    drove to Maric's home in South Milwaukee after picking up some
    medication for Maric's mother.                     Friend left after Maric lent him
    2
    Contrary  to   Wis.   Stat.   §§ 940.01(1),  939.32,   and
    939.63(1)(a)2.    All subsequent references to the Wisconsin
    Statutes are to the 1991-92 version unless otherwise indicated.
    3
    Friend testified that he had four children, three of whom
    were under the age of 18.
    7
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    her car and he returned about 11:00 p.m.                               They briefly drove
    around the area, then headed to the north side of Milwaukee,
    stopping      at   a    tavern      "on    3rd       and    Center   between     Center    and
    Hadley, I believe."                They remained at the tavern, for "a few
    drinks," for "an hour or two."
    ¶19     Upon leaving the tavern, they drove west on Center
    Street and observed a gold Lincoln parked near another tavern.
    Friend said that Maric remarked that "there go General's car."
    Friend said he noted that the gold Lincoln had a license plate
    with       "G-Ball"    on    it.      When       the       prosecutor    showed    Friend    a
    picture of Wilson's car, Friend identified Wilson's car as the
    car he had seen that night.4
    ¶20     Friend       and    Maric    kept       driving    on    Center    Street    to
    17th, where they turned right to stop "at this chicken place" to
    get something to eat.                 They then drove to Friend's mother's
    house located at 3859 North 9th Street.                         They parked in front of
    the house to eat their chicken.
    ¶21     Soon Wilson pulled up in the same gold Lincoln that
    Friend had seen earlier.                   It had "the inside dash lights on."
    Wilson was driving with an unknown person in the front seat.
    Friend said he saw Wilson and identified him, although he had
    never seen him before except in a "picture photo" that Maric had
    shown him.         After eyeing Maric's car, Wilson drove away.                         Three
    4
    Wilson's sister, Sandra Wilson, later testified that she
    located five other Lincolns in the community to discount the
    uniqueness of Wilson's car.
    8
    No.     2011AP1803-CR
    or four minutes later Wilson drove by again, which caused Maric
    to have, as Friend described it, a "hyper-reaction."
    ¶22   Friend testified that he and Maric remained at his
    mother's house for an hour or so before Maric left in her car to
    return home.    It was around 2:00 a.m.      He testified that while
    they were at his mother's house, Maric expressed concerns about
    Wilson, with whom she was trying to end a relationship.
    ¶23   Afterwards, Friend walked south to the house of his
    brother,   Larnell   "Jabo"   Friend,   located   at    3288   North    9th
    Street.    Friend admitted under pressure that Jabo's house could
    be characterized as an "after hours place."       About the time that
    Friend reached the house, Maric arrived and told Friend that
    Wilson had tried to run her off the road.          She explained that
    Wilson walked up to her car holding a revolver and told her that
    if he saw her with Friend again, he would kill them both.
    ¶24   Maric and Friend stayed at Jabo's house for a while.
    Then, about 4:30 a.m., Friend walked Maric to her car.             Maric's
    car was parked on the corner of 9th and Concordia, facing north,
    on the same side of the street as Jabo's house.          After some time
    sitting in the car, Friend saw Wilson's car approach from the
    north and pull up directly across from Maric's car.                 Friend
    testified that he knew the car was Wilson's and was the same car
    he had seen earlier that night because of the color and fresh
    paint job, and because the car was "clean."            Friend got out of
    Maric's car as Wilson's car approached, believing that Wilson
    wanted to talk to him about the situation.              Friend testified
    9
    No.     2011AP1803-CR
    that the only person he saw in the car was Wilson but that he
    could not say whether someone else was in the car.
    ¶25       Instead of talking, Wilson got out of the driver's
    side of the Lincoln and approached the driver's side of Maric's
    car with a "blue steel large revolver" in his left hand.                         Wilson
    started shooting, and Friend ducked down beside Maric's car,
    with the passenger door open between him and Wilson, then began
    running.          A bullet went through the door, and bullets hit the
    concrete around Friend, causing dirt to fly up and hit him as he
    ran to a passageway between two houses.5                     Friend ran through the
    passageway and around a house, and heard about three or four
    gunshots in rapid succession from a smaller gun before hearing a
    car door slam and the fast acceleration of an engine.
    ¶26       When Friend returned to the street Wilson's car was
    gone.        He found Maric lying across the seat sideways, facing the
    passenger         side.     After   raising     her    up,    Friend   saw   a   large,
    bloody wound on Maric's chest.                 He then went to Jabo's house to
    tell        him   that    Maric   had   been   shot.     A    neighbor   called     for
    medical assistance, which arrived shortly thereafter.
    ¶27       Friend identified Wilson as the shooter at the crime
    scene.        Later, at the police station, he identified Wilson in a
    photo lineup as the person who shot at him when he was next to
    5
    Detective Dennis Kuchenreuther later corroborated the
    existence of bullets and scattered dirt in this area when he
    testified to the location of bullets in the ground, the presence
    of abrasions on the sidewalk, a gouge in the dirt, and scattered
    dirt on the sidewalk.
    10
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    Maric's car.         Friend also told the police that Wilson was stocky
    and was wearing gold-rimmed glasses.
    B. Carol Kidd-Edwards' Testimony
    ¶28    On the morning of April 21, 1993, Carol Kidd-Edwards,
    who lived at 3291 North 9th Street, was awake in her bedroom,
    putting on her shoes to take her husband to work.                          At about 5:00
    a.m.   she    heard     about    five   very     loud,   consecutive           gun   shots.
    When the shots began, she dove to the floor.                        When they stopped,
    she ran to the window to see what was happening.                           She saw a man
    with   a     brown    leather    jacket,       whom    she    later       identified     as
    Friend, running away from a car, which she later identified as
    Maric's car, parked on the corner across the street from her
    house.       She then saw Friend "take[] refuge on the side between
    two houses, of a house directly across the street from [hers]."
    Kidd-Edwards         testified   that    she     did   not        see    any   objects   in
    Friend's hand.
    ¶29    Kidd-Edwards' house was the third from the corner on
    the west side of 9th Street.             She said she could see everything
    to the corner across the street but had an obstructed view of
    the    street    and    sidewalk    on     her    side       of    the    street.        She
    testified that she saw a "gold toned Continental, a mark version
    of the Continental" near the corner on her side of the street.
    When shown a picture of Wilson's car, Kidd-Edwards stated that
    his car appeared to be like the car she saw.                              In giving her
    description, she demonstrated considerable knowledge of Lincoln
    automobiles.
    11
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    ¶30   Kidd-Edwards testified that as Friend was running from
    Maric's car, she saw a man walking from the passenger side of
    the Lincoln, which was in a blind spot from her bedroom window.
    Kidd-Edwards described the man as "a brown toned color black
    man," "roughly six feet," with a "top fade" hairstyle.                          Kidd-
    Edwards stated that she did not remember whether the man was
    wearing glasses.         She was unable to get a good view of the man's
    face.
    ¶31   As   the   man   was    walking    towards    Maric's      car,   Kidd-
    Edwards saw him "top load[] a gun" and pull back the top of the
    gun.     The man approached the driver's side of Maric's car and
    fired five to seven shots into the car.                 They were not as loud
    as the previous shots, suggesting a smaller gun.                        Afterwards,
    the man walked back towards the Lincoln into her blind spot.
    Although she did not see the man get into the car, she heard the
    door shut and saw the car quickly pull off and drive south, past
    her    house.       Kidd-Edwards      testified    that     she      could   not    see
    whether the man got into the passenger side of Wilson's car, but
    she could see the driver's side and did not see anyone get into
    that side of the car.
    ¶32   Kidd-Edwards stated that she did not see anyone other
    than the man firing the shots and Friend.                  After the Continental
    drove    away,     Kidd-Edwards      heard    Friend   pound   on     her    door   and
    called 911 after Friend yelled repeatedly, "call 911, call 911."
    Kidd-Edwards stated that upon seeing the victim up close, she
    12
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    appeared to be pregnant.              She later asked Friend whether the
    victim was pregnant, and he told her that she was.6
    C. General Grant Wilson's Testimony
    ¶33    Wilson testified that he met Maric on June 18, 1988
    and had maintained some sort of relationship with her until the
    time of her death.              When asked whether he had ever been near
    Jabo's     house    on    9th    Street,   Wilson   testified        that      Maric   had
    driven by when he was in the car, pointed out the house to him,
    and       said     that     if     "something       ever        happened        to     her
    that . . . would be the place."
    ¶34    One of Wilson's defenses was that he was at home when
    the   shootings      occurred.        Wilson    relied     on   an     alibi    witness,
    Rosanne Potrikus, to support his story that he did not shoot
    Maric.      Wilson testified that on the night of the murder, he
    went to see Potrikus at a bar where she worked.                         He called the
    bar Throttle Twisters.7            After Potrikus closed the bar, she and
    Wilson went to another bar in his car.                After learning that that
    bar was closed, Wilson and Potrikus drove to a Kentucky Fried
    Chicken on Capitol Drive.            Afterwards, Wilson testified that the
    6
    Dr. Jeffrey Jentzen, the forensic pathologist assigned to
    the case, performed a complete autopsy on Maric and testified
    that she was not pregnant.
    7
    In 1993 the Twisters bar was located at 508 West Center
    Street, Milwaukee.
    13
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    two   drove    around   Capitol   Drive   and   then   around   8th   and   9th
    Streets.8
    ¶35     After Wilson dropped Potrikus off at her car, they
    drove west on Center Street toward the freeway.                 Wilson exited
    the freeway on Silver Spring Drive and drove to his home on 74th
    and Carmen, arriving sometime between 3:30 a.m. and 4:00 a.m.9
    He parked his car in the front of his house.            Wilson stated that
    his roommate, Pedro Smith, was not home at that time.                  Wilson
    went to sleep on the couch and woke up around 5:15 a.m., and
    eventually got ready for work, which started at 7:00 a.m.10
    ¶36     Finally, when Wilson was questioned about whether the
    .44 he brought to the shooting range with Terry Bethly was his,
    he admitted to owning a .44 at that time.                He said it was a
    Smith and Wesson Magnum, not a Sturm Ruger (which apparently was
    the type of .44 used in the shooting).             Wilson stated that he
    did not tell the truth to the police when they questioned him
    8
    This testimony corroborated earlier testimony by Potrikus
    about her activities with Wilson that evening.
    9
    Wilson's testimony about his movements coincides with
    Friend's testimony about where he and Maric saw Wilson's car
    that evening. Wilson, of course, did not admit that he drove by
    Jabo's house on North 9th Street at approximately 5:00 a.m.
    10
    Detective Brian O'Keefe testified that Wilson told him he
    arrived at his home at 3:00 a.m. Pedro Smith testified that he
    woke up around 3:35 a.m. on April 21, 1993 to go to work but did
    not see or hear Wilson anywhere in the house, including on the
    couch, and still did not see Wilson when he left for work at
    about 3:55 a.m.     Smith also testified that he did not see
    Wilson's car in front of the house when he left for work.
    14
    No.     2011AP1803-CR
    about        ever   owning   a     .44   because    he   did   not    have    it   in    his
    possession at that time.                 Wilson testified that he brought the
    gun with him on his recent vacation to Florida, and on his way
    back to Wisconsin he stopped in Alabama and exchanged it for
    certain "illicit pleasures" from "drug dealers and pimps."11
    D. Attempts to Introduce Third-Party Perpetrator Evidence
    ¶37     Mary Lee Larson testified that she knew Maric, Wilson,
    and Friend.         When asked whether she noticed Maric act in any way
    that indicated she was afraid of Wilson, Larson stated, "No.
    Not   recently."            When    Wilson's      defense     counsel,     Peter   Kovac,
    attempted to ask Larson whether Maric was afraid of Friend, the
    State objected and the court sustained the objection.                          The court
    allowed Attorney Kovac to make an offer of proof, during which
    Kovac asked Larson whether she heard Friend threaten Maric at
    any time during the two weeks leading up to her death.                             Larson
    responded, stating that one time, when Friend and Maric were at
    her house in her kitchen, Friend told Larson that "he had to
    keep Eva in check," and further, that "if she wouldn't be in
    check, he'd kill her, and she knew it."                        Then, Maric responded
    that "yes, he would."                Additionally, when Attorney Kovac asked
    Larson whether she ever observed any physical contact between
    Maric and Friend, Larson stated that she saw Friend slap Maric
    at a motel room.
    11
    Neither         of    the     weapons      used   in    the   murder    was      ever
    located.
    15
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    ¶38    At the end of his offer of proof, Kovac stated that
    "Our theory is that it's Willie who did it."                     In response, the
    court stated, "The issue is really not who did it.                       The issue is
    whether the defendant did it."               The court added, "The statement
    by this witness [Larson] about what happened sometime previous
    is,   I   believe,      hearsay."      The     court    reasoned      that    allowing
    Larson      to   testify    would      "cause     the    jury      to     speculate."
    Accordingly,      the    court      sustained    the     State's        objection   to
    Larson's     testimony.          The   court     similarly      excluded       Barbara
    Lange's      proffered       testimony        about      Friend         and    Maric's
    relationship and the threat Friend made to Maric in Larson's
    kitchen.
    ¶39    In closing arguments, Kovac stated that "Willie Friend
    should be a suspect."        Kovac continued:
    Now,     I'll    tell    you,    right    from    the
    beginning . . . Willie did not fire the shots.  There
    were two people who came by in that car, at least two
    people. There was somebody in the driver's area seat.
    There was somebody in the passenger seat.   Those two
    people shot and killed Eva.    I don't know who those
    people are . . . .    But I think when you look at
    what's going on here, it's reasonable to me that
    Willie was involved.    Willie had her there at this
    location knowing that these guys were going to come
    by.
    To support his theory, Kovac suggested that Friend thought Maric
    was pregnant with his child and that he wanted to avoid another
    child support case.         Kovac also suggested that the shots fired
    at Friend were for show, to make it look as though he was in
    harm's way when he was not.
    E. Jury Verdict and Postconviction Proceedings
    16
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    ¶40        On July 8, 1993, the jury found Wilson guilty of both
    counts.      At the sentencing hearing on October 4, 1993, the court
    sentenced Wilson to life in prison with parole eligibility after
    thirty years for the first count, and to a maximum of twenty
    years, consecutive to his first sentence, for the second count.
    ¶41        On     June    3,        1996——almost           three     years      later——Wilson
    filed a postconviction motion requesting a new trial.                                                 Wilson
    alleged that the trial was fundamentally unfair and denied him
    his right to present a complete defense.                                 He also claimed newly
    discovered            evidence        not        available        at     the     time        of       trial
    substantiated his theory of defense and undermined the theory of
    the   prosecution.               The        court      denied       this       motion        without       a
    hearing.         The court concluded that the reasons set forth on the
    record      sufficed           for        not    allowing        Wilson     to       introduce          the
    proffered         evidence           to     support        his    theory       that     Friend          was
    involved in Maric's murder.                          The court further determined that
    Wilson did not provide any evidence to support his claim of new
    evidence.
    ¶42        Wilson did not file an appeal of the circuit court's
    ruling      on        his   postconviction             motion.           However,        in       a     2010
    petition for a writ of habeas corpus, Wilson alleged that his
    counsel performed deficiently and abandoned Wilson by failing to
    pursue      appellate          review           of   the    court's        denial       of    Wilson's
    motion.12         On September 14, 2010, the Court of Appeals granted
    12
    The Office of Lawyer Regulation publicly reprimanded
    Attorney Kovac in 2008 for violating multiple rules of
    professional conduct while representing Wilson.
    17
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    Wilson's     petition        and     reinstated      his      postconviction            and
    appellate     rights,       concluding      that     Attorney       Kovac        provided
    ineffective assistance of counsel to Wilson.
    ¶43    On January 24, 2011, Wilson filed another motion for
    postconviction relief, requesting a new trial.                      In this motion,
    Wilson    alleged    that     his    constitutional        rights     were       violated
    through ineffective assistance of counsel and judicial error.
    Wilson     argued    that,     under    the      standard     adopted       in    Denny,
    "Willie . . . had       the    opportunity——in        time    and     place——to      have
    participated in Eva's killing" and that Willie had a motive to
    kill her.     Wilson grounded one of his ineffective assistance of
    counsel     claims     on     counsel's         alleged    failure      to       make     a
    comprehensive offer of proof before trial and to show the court
    why available evidence satisfied the Denny standard so as to
    make Mary Lee Larson's and Barbara Lange's testimony regarding
    Friend's relationship with Maric admissible.
    ¶44    Once     again,    the     court      denied     Wilson's    motion         for
    postconviction       relief.13       The    court    determined       that       Wilson's
    trial counsel was not ineffective for failing to proffer certain
    evidence that third parties might have committed the offense and
    for failing to explain why that evidence was admissible.                                The
    court concluded that it was not reasonably probable that the
    trial judge would have admitted the proffered evidence, as it
    would have been deemed either insufficient to satisfy Denny or
    inadmissible hearsay.
    13
    Milwaukee County Circuit Judge Jeffrey Conen presided.
    18
    No.         2011AP1803-CR
    ¶45   Wilson     appealed,         arguing       that     he        was    denied         a
    meaningful opportunity to present a complete defense during his
    criminal      trial     because      the      court     would     not       allow        him     to
    introduce       third    party      perpetrator         evidence.           The     court        of
    appeals recognized the importance of Denny, stating,
    Evidence that a person other than the defendant
    committed the charged crime is relevant to the issues
    being tried, and thus admissible, "as long as motive
    and opportunity have been shown and as long as there
    is also some evidence to directly connect a third
    person to the crime charged which is not remote in
    time, place or circumstances."
    State    v.   Wilson,     No.    2011AP1803-CR,           unpublished         order,       at     3
    (Wis. Ct. App. Oct. 22, 2013) (quoting 
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 624
    ).
    ¶46   The     court    of    appeals       then    noted        that       the     State
    conceded that Wilson's offer of proof was arguably sufficient to
    establish     that      Friend      had   a   motive      to    kill    Maric       and        that
    Friend's presence at the scene of the crime established that
    Friend    had    a    direct     connection        to    the    crime.            
    Id. at 6.
    However, the court rejected the State's position that Friend did
    not have the opportunity to commit this crime.                              
    Id. at 7.
              The
    court concluded that a "review of the evidence shows that Friend
    had the opportunity to commit this crime, either directly by
    firing the first weapon or in conjunction with others by luring
    Maric to the place where she was killed."                       
    Id. The court
    stated
    that     "[u]nder       Denny,      Wilson     should      have       been        allowed        to
    introduce evidence that Friend was involved in Maric's murder."
    
    Id. The court
    ultimately reversed Wilson's conviction and the
    19
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    circuit      court's          order    denying        postconviction     relief,     and
    remanded the case for further proceedings.                        
    Id. at 11.
            The
    State sought review, and this court granted review on November
    5, 2013.
    II. STANDARD OF REVIEW
    ¶47     This court reviews a circuit court's decision to admit
    or    refuse    to    admit       evidence      for     an   erroneous   exercise     of
    discretion.       Weborg v. Jenny, 
    2012 WI 67
    , ¶41, 
    341 Wis. 2d 668
    ,
    
    816 N.W.2d 191
    .           When the circuit court's denial of admission of
    the proffered evidence implicates a defendant's constitutional
    right to present a defense, however, the decision not to admit
    the   evidence       is   a    question    of     constitutional    fact    that    this
    court reviews de novo.                State v. Knapp, 
    2003 WI 121
    , ¶173, 
    265 Wis. 2d 278
    , 
    666 N.W.2d 881
    , vacated and remanded, 
    542 U.S. 952
    (2004), reinstated in material part, 
    2005 WI 127
    , ¶2 n.3, 
    285 Wis. 2d 86
    , 
    700 N.W.2d 899
    .
    III. DISCUSSION
    ¶48     Although a circuit court generally has the discretion
    to deny the admission of evidence, that discretion is subject to
    constitutional limitations; a circuit court may not refuse to
    admit evidence if doing so would deny the defendant's right to a
    fair trial.          Crane v. Kentucky, 
    476 U.S. 683
    , 689-90 (1986).
    Nevertheless, evidence offered by a defendant in his own defense
    must be relevant.             Milenkovic v. State, 
    86 Wis. 2d 272
    , 286-87,
    
    272 N.W.2d 320
    (Ct. App. 1978).                   It is this tension between the
    defendant's rights and the relevancy requirement that the court
    of appeals addressed in Denny.
    20
    No.         2011AP1803-CR
    ¶49    Denny involved the conviction of Kent A. Denny for the
    murder of Christopher Mohr.                 
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 617
    .                  Denny
    and his brother were accused of stabbing Mohr 57 times.                             
    Id. At trial,
         Denny     attempted   to    introduce       evidence     that      he   had    no
    motive to kill Mohr, but others did.                    
    Id. at 621.
               The circuit
    court refused to allow Denny to present the evidence, ruling it
    was irrelevant.          
    Id. Denny appealed,
    claiming that the court's
    refusal to allow him to introduce the evidence was a violation
    of his constitutional right to present a defense.                           
    Id. at 621-
    22.
    ¶50    The court of appeals stated that it was a "general
    rule . . . that         evidence       of   motive      of   one     other       than     the
    defendant to commit the crime can be excluded when there is no
    other proof directly connecting that person with the offense
    charged."       
    Id. at 622.
          The court looked to the California case
    of People v. Green, 
    609 P.2d 468
    (Cal. 1980), to support its
    position.       It agreed with the California Supreme Court that the
    purpose of limitations on the admission of evidence as to the
    possible motive of a third party is to "place reasonable limits
    on    the     trial    of   collateral      issues . . . and         to     avoid       undue
    prejudice to the People from unsupported jury speculation as to
    the guilt of other suspects . . . ."                    
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 622
    (quoting 
    Green, 609 P.2d at 480
    ) (alterations in original).                               The
    Denny    court      disagreed,    however,       with    California's          requirement
    that     evidence       connecting      a    third      party   to       the    crime      be
    21
    No.     2011AP1803-CR
    "substantial,"              holding       that        standard     to      be    unfair          to
    defendants.14       
    Id. at 623.
           ¶51   The court of appeals instead turned to Alexander v.
    United States, 
    138 U.S. 353
    , 356 (1891), and the "legitimate
    tendency"         test       created      in     that     case.          To     support       the
    introduction            of      third-party            perpetrator        evidence          under
    Alexander,        the       court   of    appeals      explained,       "there    must      be    a
    'legitimate tendency' that the third person could have committed
    the crime."         
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    (citing 
    Alexander, 138 U.S. at 356-57
    ).               The court noted that the defendant need not
    establish the guilt of the third party to the level that would
    be necessary to sustain a conviction.                        
    Id. However, "evidence
    that    simply      affords         a    possible      ground     of    suspicion       against
    another person should not be admissible."                          
    Id. The Denny
    court
    thus    created         a    "bright      line    standard       requiring       that       three
    factors      be    present,         i.e.,      motive,      opportunity,         and     direct
    connection" for a defendant to introduce third-party perpetrator
    evidence.     
    Id. at 625.
           ¶52   We ratified the Denny test in Knapp, 
    265 Wis. 2d 278
    ,
    ¶¶175-183,        noting        the      constitutional          underpinnings         of     the
    14
    Two years after State v. Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    , 
    357 N.W.2d 12
    (Ct. App. 1984), the California Supreme Court
    backtracked   on   the   substantiality  requirement:   "To   be
    admissible, the third party evidence need not show 'substantial
    proof of a probability' that the third person committed the act;
    it need only be capable of raising a reasonable doubt of
    defendant's guilt."    People v. Hall, 
    718 P.2d 99
    , 104 (Cal.
    1986) (en banc).
    22
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    standard in United States Supreme Court precedent.                                   
    Id., ¶178 (citing
       Alexander,          
    138 U.S. 353
    ).       Indeed,      since      Knapp,        the
    Supreme Court has gone on to cite the Denny case with approval.
    See Holmes v. South Carolina, 
    547 U.S. 319
    , 327-28 n.* (2006).
    We   now    reaffirm          that      the     Denny      test    is    the       correct        and
    constitutionally proper test for circuit courts to apply when
    determining        the        admissibility           of     third-party            perpetrator
    evidence.
    ¶53     We    pause       to     note     that   each      piece    of    a    defendant's
    proffered     evidence           need     not    individually           satisfy      all        three
    prongs of the Denny test.                 Some evidence provides the foundation
    for other evidence.              "[F]acts give meaning to other facts," and
    certain     pieces       of      evidence       become      significant          only      in     the
    aggregate,        upon     the       proffer     of     other     evidence.             State      v.
    Vollbrecht, 
    2012 WI App 90
    , ¶26, 
    344 Wis. 2d 69
    , 
    820 N.W.2d 443
    .
    "This is precisely why Denny requires that all three be shown
    before     evidence      of      a    third-party       perpetrator        is      admitted        at
    trial."     
    Id. ¶54 Although
    the Denny case is sound in principle, it does
    not provide complete clarity as to the meaning and contours of
    two of its prongs.             This ambiguity is understandable in light of
    the multitude of fact situations in which the Denny test may be
    employed.          Denny      is      firm,     however,        that     three      factors        be
    present,     implying         that      "opportunity"        and       "direct      connection"
    have distinct meaning.                   Thus, the fact that a person with a
    motive to commit the crime is present at the crime scene is not
    enough to satisfy both "opportunity" and "direct connection."
    23
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    ¶55   In   theory,    many   people    may   qualify      as   having    the
    opportunity to commit a crime by virtue of their presence at the
    crime scene or their presence (at the time of the crime) in the
    vicinity of the crime scene.         But presence does not necessarily
    create either motive or direct connection; and presence does not
    necessarily move the defendant's theory beyond speculation, even
    when other evidence does not eliminate a third-party as having
    the opportunity to commit the crime.
    ¶56   Essentially,     the     Denny    legitimate        tendency      test
    requires a court to answer three questions.
    ¶57   First, did the alleged third-party perpetrator have a
    plausible reason to commit the crime?         This is the motive prong.
    ¶58   Second, could the alleged third-party perpetrator have
    committed the crime, directly or indirectly?                In other words,
    does the evidence create a practical possibility that the third
    party committed the crime?        This is the opportunity prong.
    ¶59   Third, is there evidence that the alleged third-party
    perpetrator     actually     committed      the    crime,       directly       or
    indirectly?     This is the direct connection prong.                 Logically,
    direct connection evidence should firm up the defendant's theory
    of the crime and take it beyond mere speculation.                    It is the
    defendant's responsibility to show a legitimate tendency that
    the alleged third-party perpetrator committed the crime.
    ¶60   A person's presence at the crime scene may be analyzed
    under "opportunity" but the opportunity prong may be eliminated
    during   this   analysis   because    of    additional    information.         A
    person's presence at the crime scene also may be analyzed under
    24
    No.          2011AP1803-CR
    the third prong, direct connection.                              What must be stressed is
    that "presence" alone will normally not satisfy both of these
    distinct prongs.
    ¶61     To provide additional guidance, we will discuss the
    three     prongs        one         by     one,        keeping     in     mind            that     it     is
    unconstitutional to refuse to allow a defendant to present a
    defense simply because the evidence against him is overwhelming.
    A. Motive
    ¶62     Circuit courts often encounter the question of motive
    in homicide cases.              A defendant's motive to commit a homicide is
    widely considered to be relevant.                           See D.E. Buckner, Necessity
    That     Trial        Court     Charge       Upon        Motive     in        Homicide           Case,    
    71 A.L.R. 2d 1025
    (1960).                    "'Motive' refers to a person's reason for
    doing something . . . .                    Evidence of motive does not by itself
    establish       guilt."             Wis    JI——Criminal          175.         Motive        is     not    an
    element        of     any     crime;       rather,        motive        "may        be     shown     as    a
    circumstance           to     aid    in     establishing"           a     particular             person's
    guilt.        
    Id. ¶63 The
        admissibility             of     evidence        of     a        third     party's
    motive    to        commit     the       crime    charged        against       the        defendant       is
    similar to what it would be if that third party were on trial
    himself.        Because motive is not an element of any crime, the
    State never needs to prove motive; relevant evidence of motive
    is    generally        admissible          regardless       of     weight.               See     State    v.
    Berby, 
    81 Wis. 2d 677
    , 686, 
    260 N.W.2d 798
    (1977).                                               The same
    applies to evidence of a third party's motive——the defendant is
    not    required        to     establish          motive    with     substantial                certainty.
    25
    No.         2011AP1803-CR
    Evidence      of    motive       that     would      be    admissible     against       a     third
    party     were      that        third     party          the   defendant        is     therefore
    admissible         when    offered        by    a    defendant     in    conjunction           with
    evidence       of        that     third        party's         opportunity        and       direct
    connection.
    ¶64   It    may    be     that     the      strength     and    proof     of    a     third
    party's motive to commit the crime is so strong that it will
    affect the evaluation of the other prongs.                                Nonetheless, the
    Denny test is a three-prong test; it never becomes a one- or
    two-prong test.
    B. Opportunity
    ¶65   The    second       prong        of    the    "legitimate        tendency"       test
    asks    whether      the        alleged    third-party          perpetrator          could     have
    committed the crime in question.                           This often, but not always,
    amounts to a showing that the defendant was at the crime scene
    or known to be in the vicinity when the crime was committed.
    ¶66   As     a    legal     concept,             "opportunity"    appears        in    the
    Wisconsin Statutes in the context of "other acts" evidence.                                     See
    Wis. Stat. § 904.04(2):
    (2)       OTHER     CRIMES,       WRONGS,      OR
    ACTS. . . . [E]vidence of other crimes, wrongs, or
    acts is not admissible to prove the character of a
    person in order to show that the person acted in
    conformity therewith.     This subsection does not
    exclude the evidence when offered for other purposes,
    such   as  proof   of  motive,   opportunity,  intent,
    preparation, plan, knowledge, identity, or absence of
    mistake or accident.
    (Emphasis added.)
    26
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    ¶67   The   analysis   of   other   acts   evidence       to   demonstrate
    opportunity applies to third-party perpetrator evidence:
    The case law as well as § 904.04(2) permits the
    introduction of other act evidence to show a person's
    (whether a party or third person) "opportunity" to
    engage in certain conduct.    "Opportunity" is a broad
    term . . . ; proof of opportunity may be relevant to
    place the person at the scene of the offense (time and
    proximity) or to prove whether one had the requisite
    skills,   capacity,  or   ability  to   carry  out   an
    act. . . . It is incumbent on the proponent, however,
    to show the relevance of the "opportunity" evidence.
    7   Wis.      Prac.,   Wis.    Evidence     § 404.7   (3d     ed.)     (footnotes
    omitted).
    ¶68   The defense theory of a third party's involvement will
    guide the relevance analysis of opportunity evidence in a Denny
    case.      If the third party is to be implicated personally as the
    shooter, then opportunity might be shown by the party's presence
    at the crime scene.       See People v. Primo, 
    753 N.E.2d 164
    , 168–69
    (N.Y. 2001) (evidence that the third party was at crime scene
    admissible in conjunction with ballistics linking third party to
    the weapon used).        If the defense theory is that a third party
    framed the defendant, then the defense might show opportunity by
    demonstrating the third party's access to the items supposedly
    used in the frame-up.           Cf. Krider v. Conover, 497 Fed. Appx.
    818, 821 (10th Cir. 2012) (third party's access to defendant's
    blood and hair samples only speculative evidence of opportunity
    without connecting third party to crime).             In all but the rarest
    of cases, however, a defendant will need to show more than an
    unaccounted-for period of time to implicate a third party.                      Cf.
    27
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    Vollbrecht,        
    344 Wis. 2d 69
        (a        third   party's    unaccounted-for
    period      of    time       enough   to    show        opportunity     in     murder    with
    extremely distinctive characteristics that also were present in
    a case in which the third party was convicted).
    ¶69        Overwhelming     evidence        against      the   defendant     may    not
    serve as the basis for excluding evidence of a third party's
    opportunity (or direct connection to the crime): "by evaluating
    the strength of only one party's evidence, no logical conclusion
    can   be    reached       regarding        the    strength      of    contrary     evidence
    offered by the other side to rebut or cast doubt."                              
    Holmes, 547 U.S. at 331
    .          However, this holding does not govern situations
    in which overwhelming evidence demonstrates that the proposed
    third party could not have committed the crime.                              Courts are not
    evaluating the strength of only one party's evidence in such
    cases; they are in fact weighing the strength of the defendant's
    evidence     (that       a    third   party       committed      the    crime)     directly
    against the strength of the State's evidence (that the third
    party did not commit the crime).
    ¶70        Courts may permissibly find——as a matter of law——that
    no    reasonable         jury    could      determine         that     the     third    party
    perpetrated the crime in light of overwhelming evidence that he
    or she did not.               Cf. People v. Pouncey, 
    471 N.W.2d 346
    , 350
    (Mich. 1991) ("When, as a matter of law, no reasonable jury
    could find that the provocation was adequate [to form the basis
    of a defense to the charge], the judge may exclude evidence of
    the provocation.").             In sum:
    28
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    While  the    Constitution . . . prohibits  the
    exclusion of defense evidence under rules that serve
    no legitimate purpose or that are disproportionate to
    the ends that they are asserted to promote, well-
    established rules of evidence permit trial judges to
    exclude evidence if its probative value is outweighed
    by certain other factors such as unfair prejudice,
    confusion of the issues, or potential to mislead the
    jury.
    
    Holmes, 547 U.S. at 326
    .
    C. Direct Connection
    ¶71    "The    'legitimate     tendency'        test    asks       whether   the
    proffered evidence is so remote in time, place or circumstances
    that a direct connection cannot be made between the third person
    and the crime."         
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 624
    (citation omitted).
    No bright lines can be drawn as to what constitutes a third
    party's direct connection to a crime.                  Rather, circuit courts
    must assess the proffered evidence in conjunction with all other
    evidence     to     determine   whether,      under     the     totality      of   the
    circumstances,        the    evidence       suggests     that        a    third-party
    perpetrator actually committed the crime.                See, e.g., Shields v.
    State, 
    166 S.W.3d 28
    (Ark. 2004); State v. Oliver, 
    821 P.2d 250
    ,
    252   (Az.   Ct.    App.    1991)   ("The    defendant       must    show   that   the
    evidence has an inherent tendency to connect the other person
    with the actual commission of the crime.") (citation omitted);
    People v. Hall, 
    718 P.2d 99
    (Cal. 1986).                In sum, courts are not
    to look merely for a connection between the third party and the
    crime, they are to look for some direct connection between the
    third party and the perpetration of the crime.
    29
    No.         2011AP1803-CR
    ¶72       As   with   opportunity,          there     are    myriad     possibilities
    how     a     defendant       might        demonstrate        a     third     party's     direct
    connection to the commission of a crime.                             For example, a third
    party's self-incriminating statement may be used to establish
    direct connection.              See Erwin v. State, 
    729 S.W.2d 709
    , 714-17
    (Tex. Crim. App. 1987).                    Exclusive control of the weapon used
    may also establish a direct connection.                              
    Primo, 753 N.E.2d at 168
    –69.        Mere presence at the crime scene or acquaintance with
    the     victim,        however,       is     not        normally     enough     to     establish
    direction connection.                See, e.g., State v. Eagles, 
    812 A.2d 124
    (Conn. App. 2002).
    D. Whether Wilson Satisfied the Denny Standard
    ¶73       The State conceded in its briefing to this court that
    Wilson satisfied the motive and direct connection prongs of the
    Denny       test.        We    regret        the        State's     concession       of   direct
    connection inasmuch as it has necessitated discussion of factors
    under       the    heading     of    opportunity           that    arguably      belong     under
    direct connection——and vice versa.
    ¶74       Friend's supposed motive was his belief that Maric was
    pregnant, that he was responsible for her pregnancy, and that he
    wanted       to    avoid      future       child    support.          The      alleged    direct
    connection was his relationship to Maric and his presence at the
    crime scene (in front of his brother's house) at the time of her
    death.        Friend's presence at the crime scene might better have
    been analyzed under opportunity, raising the possibility that he
    could have committed the crime as a conspirator and leaving his
    tenuous       connection        to     the    perpetration          of   the     crime    to   be
    30
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    analyzed under direct connection.               Because Friend's presence at
    the   crime    scene   is   not   in    dispute       and   because    it    has   been
    consistently analyzed in this case as the direct connection, we
    assume      without    deciding    that       these     two   prongs        have   been
    satisfied.
    ¶75     This brings us to opportunity, which here must mean
    more than presence.         If the opportunity prong has not been met,
    it was not error for the circuit court to refuse to admit the
    proffered evidence and we need go no further.                        See Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    .
    ¶76     The State contends that "Wilson failed to show that
    Willie Friend had the opportunity to kill [Maric], either as the
    direct shooter or in conjunction with unknown persons he knew
    were planning to murder her."
    ¶77     The State argues first that Friend himself could not
    have been the shooter.        It contends that the ballistics evidence
    on where the .44 bullets hit and were found, combined with the
    consistent testimonial evidence of Kidd-Edwards and Friend about
    the timing of the shots fired, shows it was "impossible" that
    Friend could have shot Maric with the .44, then have that gun
    shot at him by another, as he was running away.                       Both witnesses
    testified that the louder shots from the .44 were fired first
    and in rapid succession——"one right behind the other."                        Friend's
    hands were swabbed at the crime scene for gun shot residue, and
    the tests were negative.               Shells were found in the area of
    Friend's observed flight.
    31
    No.      2011AP1803-CR
    ¶78   Wilson    counters     that       Friend     could       have    been   a
    "shooter" himself.       He contends that ballistics evidence can be
    misinterpreted, that Friend and Maric were in the car for a long
    time before the shooting such that his position in the car at
    the time of the shooting was unknown, and that Kidd-Edwards did
    not see the first shots fired.             Wilson therefore concludes that
    any question as to whether the State's evidence showed Friend
    not to be the shooter goes to the weight of Wilson's evidence,
    not the admissibility of it.
    ¶79   We note that Wilson's theory throughout the trial was
    that     Friend's     involvement    was       indirect——that          Friend     hired
    Maric's killer or killers as a result of his motive to kill
    Maric to avoid child support or some other concern.                         Wilson did
    not suggest that Friend pulled the trigger himself.                      "Willie did
    not fire the shots," his counsel told the jury.                        The proffered
    evidence that the circuit court refused to admit did not support
    a   direct   shooter    theory,     in   part,       because    it    was    logically
    inconsistent    with     Wilson's    favored         theory    that    Friend     hired
    someone else to be the shooter.               We see no reason to belabor the
    point.
    ¶80   The State also argues that Wilson has failed to show
    "how   Friend   had    the   opportunity        to    arrange    for    two     unnamed
    gunmen . . . to murder Eva [Maric]."                  The State relies on two
    points to support this argument.                First, the "assailants" were
    driving the same type of car as Wilson.                  Second, the ballistics
    evidence and eyewitness testimony demonstrated that Friend was
    in real danger during the shooting; there was enough of a risk
    32
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    of harm to Friend that it is implausible that he hired someone
    to make him look like a victim in that manner.
    ¶81   Wilson counters that nothing in the evidence excluded
    the possibility that Friend hired one or more hit men to kill
    Maric, make Friend look like a victim, and frame Wilson for the
    murder.         In   support      of    this    theory,         Wilson       points    to    the
    substantial        period    of     time——allegedly         one    to    two    hours——that
    Friend and Maric were in the car together prior to the shooting.
    Wilson claims this is evidence that Friend kept her there as a
    target for the shooters.               Wilson also notes that Friend had time
    in his brother's house to arrange a hit on Maric.                              Here, Wilson
    relies on Vollbrecht, suggesting that Friend had a "limited but
    sufficient opportunity" under the Denny test to arrange for the
    murder.
    ¶82   Wilson       argues      that,    for       purposes      of    his     defense,
    opportunity and direct connection are virtually the same thing;
    Friend's direct connection to the crime——his presence at the
    crime scene——also was his opportunity to commit the crime.                                    As
    support, Wilson relies on Vollbrecht, where the court of appeals
    explained that "facts give meaning to other facts and . . . the
    significance of [the third party's] opportunity to commit the
    crime    depends      on    his     alleged     motive      and   direct       connection."
    Vollbrecht, 
    344 Wis. 2d 69
    , ¶26.
    ¶83   We     are   unpersuaded         that   Wilson      has        demonstrated      a
    "legitimate tendency" that Friend committed the crime for which
    Wilson    was      convicted      by   hiring       one    or   more     persons      to    kill
    Maric.        Denny's "legitimate tendency" test requires more than
    33
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    mere possibility.                
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    ("evidence that
    simply affords a possible ground of suspicion against another
    person should not be admissible").                             Wilson in 1993 and Wilson
    now have failed to proffer any evidence that would elevate the
    theory of Friend's involvement in an assassination conspiracy
    from a mere possibility to a legitimate tendency.
    ¶84     Friend and Wilson testified at trial.                            Their accounts
    are reported in some detail in this opinion.                              Wilson was able to
    challenge Friend's credibility as a witness based on Friend's
    eight    prior        criminal        convictions,            his   inconsistent        testimony
    about the nature of his brother's business, and an overheard
    statement before the preliminary hearing in which he said to his
    mother        that    he    "had       to     get    his      story     together."         Wilson
    challenged the accuracy of Friend's testimony about the shooter
    being          left-handed             and          wearing         gold-rimmed          glasses.
    Nevertheless, the jury must have believed Friend.                                    Wilson did
    not   have      much       success       in    poking         serious     holes    in    Friend's
    account of the series of events on the evening of April 20 and
    early     morning          of    April       21.         In    fact,     Wilson's       testimony
    confirmed        Friend's             testimony          at     several       points——Friend's
    observation of Wilson's car at Throttle Twisters and Friend's
    testimony that Wilson drove by Maric's vehicle twice as it was
    parked in front of 3859 North 9th Street about 2:00 a.m. on
    April 21.            Friend changed his story about the length of time
    that he and Maric sat in Maric's car before the shooting, from
    several       hours    to       the    period       from      about    4:30   a.m.      until   the
    shooting, after Friend reluctantly admitted that he and Maric
    34
    No.         2011AP1803-CR
    spent most of that time in Jabo's house——the illegal after-hours
    club operated by his brother.
    ¶85   Against    this       background,       Wilson       has     proffered       no
    evidence      demonstrating         that    Friend     had     the       opportunity        to
    arrange a hit on Maric during the relatively short time they
    were in Maric's car——no evidence that Friend had the contacts,
    influence, and finances to quickly hire or engage a shooter or
    shooters to gun down a woman on a public street.                               He has not
    shown that Friend or his alleged unnamed associates had access
    to a gold Lincoln Continental similar to Wilson's.                             He has not
    proffered      any     telephone       records       from    Friend           or    Friend's
    brother's house that could have set up the time and place of the
    hit on short notice.            He has not proffered any evidence of the
    ownership     by     Friend    or    his    family     of    .44     and      .25    caliber
    weapons.      He has not identified any individuals as being the
    shooter or shooters possibly employed by Friend.                              In short, he
    has not offered any evidence whatsoever indicating that Friend
    had the means or access or ability to hire assassins to kill
    Maric    at   a    particular       place   within     a    relatively         short      time
    frame.
    ¶86   Wilson's        reliance       on      Vollbrecht          is        misplaced.
    Vollbrecht involved two separate murders that shared extremely
    distinctive characteristics, reducing the need for a showing of
    opportunity to more than the third party's unaccounted-for time.
    Wilson has failed to show any similarity to a previous crime
    committed by Friend, his brother, or any associate of Friend's,
    distinguishing        this    case    from        Vollbrecht.        Wilson         was    not
    35
    No.       2011AP1803-CR
    excused from making an offer of proof as to opportunity beyond
    an   unaccounted-for            block   of   Friend's     time.          Because   Wilson
    failed        to    make   an   adequate     offer   of    proof     as    to   Friend's
    opportunity, it was not error for the circuit court to refuse to
    admit        Wilson's      proffered    evidence     to   avoid    speculation       that
    might confuse the jury.15
    ¶87        Because we determine there was no error in the circuit
    court's decision, we need not reach the question of whether any
    error was harmless.
    IV. CONCLUSION
    15
    At the court of appeals, Wilson also contended that the
    circuit court should have permitted him to introduce evidence
    implicating Larnell "Jabo" Friend in Maric's murder. The court
    of appeals did not reach this issue, basing its ruling instead
    on the proffered evidence about Willie Friend. State v. Wilson,
    No. 2011AP1803-CR, unpublished order, at 7 n.4 (Wis. Ct. App.
    Oct. 22, 2013). In cases where this court reverses the court of
    appeals and the court of appeals did not reach an issue, we will
    often remand the case for consideration of the issue not
    reached.    See, e.g., State v. Sarfraz, 
    2014 WI 78
    , 
    356 Wis. 2d 460
    , 
    851 N.W.2d 235
    .      However, "[o]nce [a] case is
    before us, it is within our discretion to review any substantial
    and compelling issue which the case presents." Univest Corp. v.
    General Split Corp., 
    148 Wis. 2d 29
    , 32, 
    435 N.W.2d 234
    (1989).
    Because the issue involving Jabo is so similar to the issue
    involving Willie (i.e., whether third-party perpetrator evidence
    should have been admitted), we see no need to remand to the
    court of appeals.   At trial, Wilson's offer of proof regarding
    Jabo was that Maric "had been working as a prostitute, that her
    pimp was Jabo, [and] that she was trying to get out." Although
    this offer of proof suggested a possible motive, it described no
    opportunity or direct connection for Jabo to have perpetrated
    the crime.    In short, Wilson's proffered evidence about Jabo
    offered little more than "a possible ground of suspicion";
    accordingly, we hold that it was not error for the circuit court
    to exclude it. See 
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    .
    36
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    ¶88     On trial for murder, General Grant Wilson developed a
    theory    that     someone     else   fired    the    shots     that   killed      Evania
    Maric on April 21, 1993.              The details of this theory fit within
    the contours of the known facts of the case in a way that could
    not be readily disproved.             However, even though the law does not
    require Wilson to prove that someone else committed the crime
    for which he was on trial, it does require more than a theory
    "that    simply     affords     a   possible    ground     of    suspicion . . . ."
    
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    .
    ¶89     The "legitimate tendency" test ensures that proffered
    evidence meets the necessary evidentiary threshold before it is
    admitted while, at the same time, guarding the constitutional
    rights of defendants.           The test requires a showing of the third
    party's motive, opportunity, and direct connection to the crime.
    Although proffered evidence should be understood in the context
    of other evidence, the three prongs of the "legitimate tendency"
    test are distinct from one another.                  Only in rare cases will the
    context dictate that a showing on one or two prongs is strong
    enough    to     lower   the   threshold      for    the   showing     on    the    third
    prong.        This is not one of those cases.
    ¶90     We reaffirm that the Denny test is the appropriate
    test for circuit courts to use to determine the admissibility of
    third-party perpetrator evidence.                   However, we conclude that,
    for a defendant to show that a third party had the "opportunity"
    to commit a crime by employing a gunman or gunmen to kill the
    victim, the defendant must provide some evidence that the third
    party had the realistic ability to engineer such a scenario.
    37
    No.        2011AP1803-CR
    Here, Wilson has failed to show that Friend had the opportunity
    to kill Maric, directly or indirectly; consequently, it was not
    error        for    the   circuit   court    to    exclude     Wilson's      proffered
    evidence.          Accordingly, we reverse.
    By    the    Court.—The     decision      of   the   court    of   appeals   is
    reversed.
    38
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    ¶91     ANNETTE KINGSLAND ZIEGLER, J.                  (concurring).           I join
    the majority opinion because it "reaffirm[s] the Denny test as
    the appropriate test for circuit courts to use to determine the
    admissibility      of     third-party      perpetrator        evidence."        Majority
    op., ¶10. The majority opinion reaffirms that "the Denny test is
    a three-prong test; it never becomes a one- or two-prong test."
    Majority op., ¶64.            I would not join the majority opinion if it
    were interpreted as doing anything other than reaffirming the
    longstanding application of the test from State v. Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    , 
    357 N.W.2d 12
    (Ct. App. 1984).
    ¶92     I    write       separately     to     clarify      that    the    majority
    opinion is intended to reaffirm the Denny test and that certain
    passages in the majority opinion should not be misconstrued.                            In
    particular,       the     majority        opinion       should    not    be     read    as
    suggesting       that     a    defendant     may     sometimes      introduce        Denny
    evidence without satisfying all three prongs of the Denny test.
    Further,   it     should       not   be   read     as    suggesting     that    a    third
    party's presence at a crime scene can alone satisfy multiple
    prongs of this test, or that a third party's unknown whereabouts
    during a crime can alone establish that the third party had an
    opportunity to commit the crime.
    ¶93     I also write separately to explain the Denny test's
    requirements, purposes, and constitutional basis.                             A criminal
    defendant is constitutionally endowed with the right to present
    a defense.        The Denny test attempts to balance a meaningful
    opportunity to present a complete defense, namely that a third
    1
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    party      perpetrated       the   crime,    with      the    requirement         that    such
    evidence meet established standards for admissibility.                                Simply
    stated, the Denny test requires that proffered evidence create a
    legitimate         tendency     that     someone    other       than       the     defendant
    committed the crime charged.                 Evidence is deemed inadmissible
    under Denny if it merely raises possible grounds for suspicion.
    The   Denny        test,    like   the   test    for    all    admissible          evidence,
    requires that in order for third-party perpetrator evidence to
    be admitted, it must have the requisite indicia of reliability,
    be relevant, and not be unfairly prejudicial.                              The Denny test
    requires       a     defendant     to    demonstrate          that     the       third-party
    perpetrator had: (1) the motive to commit the crime; (2) the
    opportunity to commit the crime; and (3) a direct connection to
    the crime.
    ¶94    Finally, I write separately to explain that evidence
    of    an      unknown      third-party      perpetrator        is     generally       deemed
    inadmissible         when    the   defendant     cannot       meet     the    Denny      test.
    Most typically, if such evidence is admissible, it is because
    the evidence is deemed admissible as other acts evidence.                                   In
    the present case, General Grant Wilson did not proceed under the
    theory      that    his     proffered    evidence       was    other       acts    evidence.
    Instead, Wilson sought to introduce evidence that Willie Friend
    hired someone to shoot Evania Maric.                   Wilson's defense was that,
    although it was not Friend who shot Maric, Friend hired someone
    unknown to Wilson to shoot Maric.                  Wilson's proffer was that, in
    the past, Friend, who was romantically involved with Maric, had
    exhibited violent behavior toward her and that she was pregnant.
    2
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    The defense theory was that Friend wanted Maric dead because he
    did not want to be responsible for the baby.                             Wilson sought to
    introduce witnesses who would testify that Friend slapped Maric
    at least once and threatened to kill her.                                Wilson wished to
    argue,   based           on    this     proffered      evidence,       that    Friend     hired
    someone to murder Maric.                   However, Wilson's proffer failed to
    demonstrate         that        these    alleged       assassins       were    anything      but
    purely   hypothetical             people.         While       Friend's    motive     possibly
    could have been demonstrated, opportunity and direct connection
    were missing.             Wilson's proffered evidence was speculative, at
    best, and the circuit court did not err in excluding it.                                Simply
    stated, the proffered third-party perpetrator evidence was not
    admissible because it did not meet the long-standing Denny test.
    I.    THE MAJORITY OPINION REAFFIRMS THE DENNY TEST
    ¶95        While a majority of the court intends that this case
    reiterate          the    Denny       test,   I       write     separately      because      the
    majority opinion may need some clarification.                                For example, it
    states that "[o]nly in rare cases will the context dictate that
    a showing on one or two prongs is strong enough to lower the
    threshold for the showing on the third prong."                                 Majority op.,
    ¶89.     That        statement          should    not      be   read    as    eliminating      a
    defendant's need to prevail on all three prongs of the Denny
    test   under        any       circumstances.          To   introduce     evidence       that   a
    third party may have committed the crime charged, a defendant
    always must satisfy all three prongs of the Denny test: motive,
    opportunity,         and       direct    connection        to    the   commission       of   the
    crime.       
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 625
    ; see also State v. Avery, 2011
    3
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    WI App 124, ¶43, 
    337 Wis. 2d 351
    , 
    804 N.W.2d 216
    .                                The majority
    opinion correctly recognizes that "the Denny test is a three-
    prong test; it never becomes a one- or two-prong test." Majority
    op., ¶64.      To be admissible, a defendant's evidence of a third-
    party perpetrator must establish a "legitimate tendency" that
    the   third      party     committed        the    crime       charged.           
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    -24.         A    "mere    possibility"         that       a    third     party
    committed the crime charged is insufficient.                                See 
    id. at 623
    (holding that "evidence that simply affords a possible ground of
    suspicion     against       another       person    should      not    be        admissible").
    Evidence    of      a   mere   possibility         that    a   third        party     may    have
    committed the crime charged is deemed inadmissible because it
    calls for speculation, creates a trial within a trial, and lacks
    the sufficient indicia of reliability or probative value so to
    qualify as admissible evidence.
    ¶96     The       majority     opinion       also    states:          "What     must    be
    stressed is that 'presence' alone will normally not satisfy both
    of these distinct prongs [opportunity and direct connection]."
    Majority      op.,      ¶60.       That     sentence       should      not       be   read     as
    suggesting that a third party's presence at a crime scene will
    automatically satisfy any one prong of the Denny test, let alone
    more than one prong.               The majority opinion correctly recognizes
    that "the fact that a person with a motive to commit the crime
    is present at the crime scene is not enough to satisfy both
    'opportunity' and 'direct connection.'" Majority op., ¶54.                                    The
    majority opinion also correctly notes that presence at a crime
    scene does "not normally . . . establish" a third party's direct
    4
    No.      2011AP1803-CR.akz
    connection to the commission of the crime.                                        Majority op., ¶72
    (citing State v. Eagles, 
    812 A.2d 124
    (Conn. App. Ct. 2002)).
    Similarly, a third party's presence at a crime scene does not
    necessarily establish that he or she had an opportunity or a
    motive to commit the crime.                      See Wiley v. State, 
    74 S.W.3d 399
    ,
    406 (Tex. Crim. App. 2002) (holding that an alleged third-party
    perpetrator         had     no      opportunity            to    commit       an        arson   because,
    although       present         at    the      crime        scene,       he    lacked        the    mental
    competence to commit the crime).                            Accordingly, a third party's
    presence at a crime scene, by itself, will not automatically
    satisfy any one of the three prongs of the Denny test, and it
    will not satisfy all three prongs.
    ¶97    I     also        wish      to     clarify             the     majority          opinion's
    statement          that    "[i]n        all     but       the     rarest          of    cases, . . . a
    defendant will need to show more than an unaccounted-for period
    of time to implicate a third party."                              Majority op., ¶68 (citing
    State     v.       Vollbrecht,          2012     WI       App     90,       
    344 Wis. 2d 69
    ,      
    820 N.W.2d 443
    ).              A third party's unaccounted-for period of time
    will never, in and of itself, satisfy the Denny test or even a
    single        prong       of     this       test.               The     majority          opinion       was
    interpreting Vollbrecht as holding that the defendant in that
    case    satisfied          the      opportunity            prong       of    the        Denny    test    by
    showing that (1) a third party's whereabouts during a murder was
    unaccounted         for;       and    (2)       the       third       party       was     convicted      of
    committing a very similar murder in the same area around the
    same time.           See majority op., ¶¶68, 86.                            The majority opinion
    should    have        clarified         its     discussion             of    Vollbrecht           and   how
    5
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    opportunity           fit    within     the    legal       theories         forwarded          in    that
    case.       As     explained        earlier,        the    majority         opinion          correctly
    recognizes that the Denny test is always a three-prong test and
    that    a     third         party's    whereabouts          will      not     satisfy         multiple
    prongs of this test.
    ¶98      In sum, the majority opinion should not be read as
    changing the Denny test.                      A defendant always is required to
    prevail       on      all    three    prongs     of       the    Denny      test        in    order    to
    introduce evidence of an alleged third-party perpetrator.                                             The
    defendant's proffer must demonstrate a legitimate tendency that
    the    third       party       committed       the      crime        charged,       not       merely    a
    speculative ground of suspicion in that regard.                                   A third party's
    presence         at    a    crime     scene,    by      itself,        will       not    necessarily
    satisfy       any      prong     of    the     Denny       test      and    will        not    satisfy
    multiple         prongs.        Similarly,       a      third     party's         unaccounted-for
    whereabouts           during    the    commission          of    a    crime       will       not    alone
    satisfy any prong of the Denny test.
    II.    THE DENNY TEST
    ¶99      I turn now to the Denny test requirements, purposes,
    and constitutional basis.                   The court of appeals in Denny created
    "a bright line standard requiring that three factors be present,
    i.e.,       motive,         opportunity       and       direct       connection,"            before     a
    defendant may introduce evidence that a third party committed
    the crime charged.              
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 625
    .                    Specifically,
    [t]hird-party defense evidence may be admissible under
    the legitimate tendency [e.g., Denny] test if the
    defendant can show that the third party had (1) the
    motive and (2) the opportunity to commit the charged
    crime, and (3) can provide some evidence to directly
    6
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    connect the third person to the crime charged which is
    not remote in time, place or circumstance.
    State v. Scheidell, 
    227 Wis. 2d 285
    , 296, 
    595 N.W.2d 661
    (1999)
    (citing 
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    -24).                 The trial court remains
    the gatekeeper in determining what evidence is admissible and
    why.
    ¶100 Under the Denny test, "there must be a 'legitimate
    tendency' that the third person could have committed the crime."
    
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    (quoting Alexander v. United States,
    
    138 U.S. 353
    ,      356-57   (1891)).      Thus,      "evidence         that   simply
    affords a possible ground of suspicion against another person
    should     not     be     admissible.       Otherwise,       a      defendant      could
    conceivably produce evidence tending to show that hundreds of
    other persons had some motive or animus against the deceased——
    degenerating the proceedings into a trial of collateral issues."
    
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 623
    -24.
    ¶101 States use a wide variety of terminology for their
    Denny-type       tests,     such    as   "directly      links,"         "substantially
    connects," or "points directly."               See 22 Charles Alan Wright &
    Kenneth W. Graham, Jr., Federal Practice and Procedure § 5180.2
    (2d ed. 2012).            However, despite that variation in language,
    many states ultimately require a defendant to establish motive,
    opportunity,       and    direct    connection.        See    41       C.J.S.   Homicide
    § 328.     A few jurisdictions eschew the language of a Denny-type
    test in favor of conventional evidentiary principles, such as
    relevancy and balancing probative value against prejudice.                            See
    David    McCord,     "But   Perry    Mason    Made   It      Look      So   Easy!":   The
    Admissibility of Evidence Offered by a Criminal Defendant to
    7
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    Suggest That Someone Else Is Guilty, 
    63 Tenn. L
    . Rev. 917, 937-
    38 (1996); People v. Primo, 
    753 N.E.2d 164
    , 167-69 (N.Y. 2001).
    ¶102 The purpose of the Denny test is to allow a defendant
    to exercise his or her constitutional right to present a defense
    but also to ensure that third-party perpetrator evidence meets
    certain criteria for admissibility.1                   See 
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 622
    -23;    Avery,   
    337 Wis. 2d 351
    ,          ¶50    (The    Denny    test    is   "a
    mechanism of balancing the accused's right to present a defense
    against the State's interest in excluding evidence that . . . is
    no more than marginally relevant, of extremely limited probative
    value,    and   likely    to   confuse     the    jury    and    waste     the   jury's
    time.") (internal quotation marks omitted); 
    Primo, 753 N.E.2d at 168
    (noting that a Denny-type test is "shorthand for weighing
    probative value against prejudice in the context of third-party
    culpability evidence"); John H. Blume et al., Every Juror Wants
    A Story: Narrative Relevance, Third Party Guilt and the Right to
    Present A Defense, 44 Am. Crim. L. Rev. 1069, 1080-85 (2007)
    (same); see also Ellen Yankiver Suni, Who Stole the Cookie from
    the   Cookie    Jar?:    The   Law   and     Ethics       of    Shifting    Blame     in
    1
    The court of appeals in Denny seemed to view this test as
    a means of excluding evidence that is either irrelevant or, if
    relevant, unfairly prejudicial.      See State v. Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    , 622, 623-24, 
    357 N.W.2d 12
    (Ct. App. 1984).     See
    also   Wis.   Stat.  § 904.02  (rendering   irrelevant  evidence
    inadmissible); Wis. Stat. § 904.03 ("Although relevant, evidence
    may be excluded if its probative value is substantially
    outweighed by the danger of unfair prejudice, confusion of the
    issues, or misleading the jury, or by considerations of undue
    delay, waste of time, or needless presentation of cumulative
    evidence.").
    8
    No.       2011AP1803-CR.akz
    Criminal Cases, 68 Fordham L. Rev. 1643, 1680-81 (2000) (noting
    that, although some courts view a Denny-type test as a means of
    excluding       irrelevant       evidence,       most     courts     view     it    as     a
    balancing of probative value against prejudicial effect).
    ¶103 The United States Supreme Court placed its imprimatur
    on   what     Wisconsin     calls   the    Denny    test.      See       Holmes     v.    S.
    Carolina, 
    547 U.S. 319
    , 327 & n.* (2006).                          The Supreme Court
    concluded that "well-established rules of evidence permit trial
    judges to exclude evidence if its probative value is outweighed
    by certain other factors such as unfair prejudice, confusion of
    the issues, or potential to mislead the jury."                              
    Id. at 326
    (citations         omitted).        By     excluding        unfairly        prejudicial
    evidence, the Denny test prevents "unsupported jury speculation
    as     to    the   guilt    of     other    suspects . . . ."               
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 622
    (quoting People v. Green, 
    609 P.2d 468
    , 480 (Cal.
    1980)).        Hence, evidence that raises only a speculative doubt
    will fail the Denny test.               See People v. Hall, 
    718 P.2d 99
    , 104
    (Cal. 1986).        A defendant has no constitutional right to present
    speculative, unreliable evidence in an effort to create doubt.
    See 
    Scheidell, 227 Wis. 2d at 303-04
    ; 
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 622
    .
    ¶104 In      Denny    the    defendant      appealed        his     judgment       of
    conviction for murder, arguing that the circuit court erred by
    excluding       evidence    that    a    third    party    committed        the    murder.
    
    Denny, 120 Wis. 2d at 617
    .               The court of appeals held that the
    circuit court did not err in excluding that evidence.                              
    Id. at 625.
           Denny sought to introduce testimony that the victim "'may
    have gotten into trouble with . . . a big drug dealer.'"                                 
    Id. 9 No.
       2011AP1803-CR.akz
    That testimony failed to show that the drug dealer had a motive
    or an opportunity to commit the crime or a direct connection to
    the crime.       
    Id. Denny also
    sought to introduce testimony that
    the victim owed money to another man.                         
    Id. Assuming that
    the
    man had a motive to commit the murder, the court of appeals held
    that    Denny    failed     to    show     the       man's    opportunity         or     direct
    connection.       
    Id. Finally, Denny
    sought to introduce testimony
    that the victim angered another man by purchasing a shotgun from
    him and later selling it.             
    Id. The court
    of appeals held that
    this     testimony      established        motive       but     failed       to    establish
    opportunity or direct connection.                 
    Id. ¶105 Courts
          have    subsequently          upheld       the     exclusion        of
    third-party perpetrator evidence under Denny.                              For example, in
    State    v.   Jackson,      the    defendant         was     convicted       of    robbing     a
    liquor store at gunpoint.                State v. Jackson, 
    188 Wis. 2d 187
    ,
    194, 
    525 N.W.2d 739
    (Ct. App. 1994).                       At trial, a liquor store
    employee      testified     that     "he    was       'probably       about       80    percent
    sure'" that Jackson was the perpetrator.                        
    Id. at 191.
                "At the
    conclusion of the employee's testimony and outside of the jury's
    presence,       Jackson    requested       that       because        of    the    employee's
    uncertainty,      the     employee    view       a    photo     of    another          man   that
    Jackson allegedly had learned was the gunman."                            
    Id. at 192.
           The
    employee viewed photographs of six people, one of whom was the
    alleged third-party perpetrator, who went by the alias "Rat."
    
    Id. The employee
    was certain that five of the people were not
    the perpetrator, but he said that "Rat" could have been the
    perpetrator.       
    Id. at 192-93.
             Based on Denny, the circuit court
    10
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    denied Jackson's request to recall the employee to testify that
    "Rat" could have been the perpetrator.                      
    Id. at 193.
           The court
    of appeals held that the circuit court did not err in excluding
    that evidence because it "provided nothing more than grounds for
    suspicion . . . ."             
    Id. at 196.
           The court of appeals noted that
    the    circuit     court       allowed     Jackson    to    identify     "Rat"       as   the
    perpetrator and to publish the photograph of "Rat" to the jury.
    
    Id. "Thus, the
    trial court did not impermissibly interfere with
    Jackson's constitutional right to present a defense."                          
    Id. III. EVIDENCE
    OF AN UNKNOWN THIRD-PARTY PERPETRATOR
    IS GENERALLY DEEMED INADMISSIBLE
    ¶106 Evidence of an unknown third party, who is alleged to
    have       committed     the    crime     charged,    is    most    often     deemed      too
    speculative       to     be     admissible.          In    the     present     case,      the
    proffered evidence, as it relates to unknown, alleged hit men,
    is inadmissible under Denny.2                  General Grant Wilson's defense
    theory may be viewed in one of two ways.                     It may be viewed as an
    unknown       third-party        perpetrator       theory     because        the     alleged
    actual      shooter    is      unknown.      On    the     other   hand,     the     defense
    theory could be viewed as a known third-party perpetrator theory
    because Willie Friend allegedly hired the shooter.                           Either way,
    the circuit court was correct to exclude the evidence because it
    was speculative at best and did not meet the Denny criteria.
    A.      Unknown Third-Party Perpetrators
    2
    Because  this  section   discusses  unknown  third-party
    perpetrators, I do not discuss General Grant Wilson's proffered
    evidence as it relates to his theory that Willie Friend was the
    shooter.
    11
    No.     2011AP1803-CR.akz
    ¶107 In some, but not all, cases in which a defendant seeks
    to introduce evidence of an unknown third-party perpetrator, the
    defendant relies on other acts evidence.                               The present case does
    not involve any other acts evidence.                         "[O]ften times the defense
    must    rely   on     other    act    evidence              to    raise      a    circumstantial
    inference      that   the     third       party        carried         out     the   crime."       7
    Daniel D. Blinka, Wisconsin Practice Series: Wisconsin Evidence
    § 404.7, at 215 (3d ed. 2008).                    However, evidence of an unknown
    third-party      perpetrator         is     often          inadmissible           even    when    it
    relies on other acts evidence.
    ¶108 In   Scheidell       we       held    that           the   Denny     test    does    not
    apply to other acts evidence of a similar crime committed by an
    unknown third party who, according to the defendant, committed
    the crime charged.            
    Scheidell, 227 Wis. 2d at 297
    .                           We reasoned
    that, "[i]n a situation where the perpetrator of the allegedly
    similar crime is unknown, it would be virtually impossible for
    the defendant to satisfy the motive or the opportunity prongs of
    the     legitimate     tendency       test            of     Denny."             
    Scheidell, 227 Wis. 2d at 296
    .         Instead, evidence of a similar crime committed
    by     an   unknown    third     party           is        governed       by     the     test    for
    12
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    determining the admissibility of other acts evidence.3                        
    Id. at 287-88.
         ¶109 The defendant in Scheidell appealed his judgment of
    conviction for armed burglary and attempted first-degree sexual
    assault.        
    Id. at 287.
       He entered a woman's apartment during the
    night,     while    armed     with   a   knife       and   wearing    a    mask,    and
    attempted to sexually assault her.               
    Id. at 288-90.
           At trial, he
    sought     to     introduce    evidence    that,       five   weeks       after    that
    burglary, an unknown assailant burglarized a woman's home at
    night and sexually assaulted her.               
    Id. at 290-91.
           Scheidell was
    in jail during the second burglary, which occurred four blocks
    away from the previous burglary.               
    Id. Scheidell wanted
    to argue
    that this unknown assailant committed the burglary for which he
    was charged.         
    Id. We held
    that the circuit court "properly
    excluded" this other acts evidence because it was not relevant.
    
    Id. at 310.
            Specifically, due to several factual distinctions
    3
    To determine whether other acts evidence is admissible, a
    court uses "a three-step analysis."    State v. Jackson, 
    2014 WI 4
    , ¶55, 
    352 Wis. 2d 249
    , 
    841 N.W.2d 791
    .     First, the evidence
    must be offered for an acceptable purpose under Wis. Stat.
    § 904.04(2),    including    "'motive,    opportunity,   intent,
    preparation, plan, knowledge, identity, or absence of mistake or
    accident.'"   
    Id. (quoting State
    v. Sullivan, 
    216 Wis. 2d 768
    ,
    772, 
    576 N.W.2d 30
    (1998)).      Second, the evidence must be
    relevant, which means that it must tend to make a fact of
    consequence more or less probable than it would be without the
    evidence.   
    Id. (quoting Sullivan,
    216 Wis. 2d at 772).    Third
    and finally, the probative value of the evidence must not be
    "'substantially outweighed by the danger of unfair prejudice,
    confusion of the issues or misleading the jury, or by
    considerations of undue delay, waste of time or needless
    presentation of cumulative evidence.'"    
    Id. (quoting Sullivan,
    216 Wis. 2d at 772-73).
    13
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    between the two burglaries, this other acts evidence was not
    probative of Scheidell's identity as the assailant in the first
    burglary.   
    Id. at 309-10.
      In subsequent cases, Wisconsin courts
    have rarely held that other acts evidence of an unknown third-
    party perpetrator is admissible.4
    4
    In State v. Wright the court of appeals upheld the
    exclusion of other acts evidence of an unknown third-party
    perpetrator under Scheidell. State v. Wright, 
    2003 WI App 252
    ,
    ¶45, 
    268 Wis. 2d 694
    , 
    673 N.W.2d 386
    .    Wright was convicted of
    eight counts of armed robbery and one count of attempted armed
    robbery. 
    Id., ¶1. On
    appeal, he argued that the circuit court
    erred by excluding testimony of a man who identified Wright at a
    lineup as the perpetrator of a different robbery, but who was
    unable to identify Wright at a preliminary hearing.      
    Id., ¶3. Wright
    argued that this proffered testimony was admissible other
    acts evidence because it suggested that whoever committed that
    other robbery could have committed all of the robberies for
    which Wright was tried and convicted. 
    Id. The court
    of appeals
    held that, under Scheidell, the circuit court did not err in
    excluding that evidence.   
    Id., ¶45. The
    court of appeals held
    "that the mere inability of a victim to identify the defendant
    as the perpetrator of a similar uncharged crime perforce takes
    the jury into the realm of conjecture or speculation." 
    Id. The court
    of appeals noted that the proffered evidence was even more
    speculative   than  the   inadmissible   evidence  proffered   in
    Scheidell.    See 
    id. In Scheidell
    the defendant proffered
    evidence of a similar crime that he could not have committed
    because he was incarcerated at the time.       
    Id. By contrast,
    Wright's "proffered testimony does not demonstrate that Wright
    was incapable of committing the similar crime."     
    Id. "At the
    most, [the] proffered testimony merely shows that [the witness]
    could not identify Wright as the robber; it does not demonstrate
    that Wright could not have committed the offense." 
    Id. (continued) 14
                                                                 No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    ¶110 In other jurisdictions, evidence of an unknown third-
    party perpetrator is most often deemed too speculative to be
    admissible.        See, e.g., Wheeler v. United States, 
    977 A.2d 973
    (D.C.    2009);    Gethers   v.    United    States,   
    684 A.2d 1266
      (D.C.
    1996); Neal v. State, 
    436 S.E.2d 574
    (Ga. Ct. App. 1993); People
    v. Armstrong, 
    704 P.2d 877
    (Colo. App. 1985); State v. Eagles,
    
    812 A.2d 124
       (Conn.   App.    Ct.    2002).     These       cases   involved
    traditional Denny evidence, not other acts evidence of a third-
    party perpetrator.
    ¶111 In    Wheeler   the    defendant   appealed      his     judgment   of
    conviction for murder, arguing that the trial court erred by
    excluding his evidence that someone else committed the crime.
    
    Wheeler, 977 A.2d at 976-77
    .           The defendant sought to introduce
    In contrast, other acts evidence of an unknown third-party
    perpetrator was erroneously excluded in State v. Davis. In that
    case, the defendant was charged with five counts of burglary and
    one count of armed robbery.     State v. Davis, 
    2006 WI App 23
    ,
    ¶¶2-7, 
    289 Wis. 2d 398
    , 
    710 N.W.2d 514
    .    One count of burglary
    was dismissed when the State discovered that Davis was
    incarcerated when that burglary occurred. 
    Id., ¶8. The
    victim
    of that burglary had twice misidentified Davis as the burglar.
    
    Id., ¶¶3, 8-9.
      The circuit court denied Davis' motion to call
    that victim to testify that he had misidentified Davis as the
    burglar. 
    Id., ¶9. Davis
    believed that this other acts evidence
    would establish that someone who looked like him committed that
    burglary and thus could have committed all of the burglaries for
    which he was on trial.    
    Id., ¶10. The
    court of appeals held
    that this other acts evidence was erroneously excluded.     
    Id., ¶30. The
    court of appeals reasoned that "[t]his is not a
    situation where someone accused of a crime makes a general claim
    that someone else must have done it." 
    Id., ¶28. "Rather,
    here
    we have a burglary victim who twice misidentified Davis as the
    person he saw in his apartment." 
    Id. "This fact
    provided Davis
    with the opportunity to attempt to prove that someone else,
    someone who looks a great deal like Davis, was burglarizing and
    robbing homes within the same general time frame." 
    Id. 15 No.
       2011AP1803-CR.akz
    evidence that the murder victim had cocaine in his system at the
    time of death and, therefore, "had a 'dangerous lifestyle' and
    was    at    a    'high        risk    of    violent      death'     from       '[r]ival       drug
    dealers, dissatisfied customers, or frustrated robbers.'"                                       
    Id. at 990.
          The District of Columbia Court of Appeals held that the
    trial court properly excluded that evidence because it "fail[ed]
    to    provide       anything        more     than    'a     hypothetical,           unidentified
    person who may have had a motive' to commit the murder."                                       
    Id. (quoting Gethers,
    684 A.2d at 1271).
    ¶112 In         Gethers        two     defendants         appealed          from   their
    convictions for burglarizing an apartment together and shooting
    a man who lived in the apartment.                           
    Gethers, 684 A.2d at 1268
    .
    On appeal, they argued that the trial court erred by excluding
    evidence that someone besides them committed the burglary and
    shooting.         
    Id. The proffered
    evidence was that the victim was a
    drug    dealer         and   thus      might   have    been       shot    by    a    disgruntled
    customer.         
    Id. at 1270,
    1272.            The District of Columbia Court of
    Appeals held that the trial court did not err in excluding that
    evidence.         
    Id. at 1272.
                 The proffer of that evidence "made no
    showing" that a disgruntled customer, "if he or she actually
    existed,         was    connected       in     any    way    to    the     shooting."           
    Id. Defense "counsel
    was merely trying to 'throw something out there
    for the jury to speculate about.'"                     
    Id. ¶113 In
            Neal    the      defendant        appealed        his       judgment    of
    conviction for aggravated child molestation, arguing that the
    trial       court      erred     by     excluding      evidence          that    someone       else
    committed the crime.                  
    Neal, 436 S.E.2d at 575
    .                 The evidence in
    16
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    question was that "the mother of the victim was a cocaine addict
    and had casual relationships with numerous men in the family
    home.       This      testimony           was     offered        in    support       of   Neal's
    contention      that     one       of    these      unidentified       men . . . may        have
    molested the victim."                   
    Id. The Georgia
    Court of Appeals held
    that the trial court did not err by excluding that evidence.
    
    Id. Evidence of
         a    third-party          perpetrator        is   inadmissible
    "where    no    specific           individual       is    accused      and     the    defendant
    merely speculates that a person or persons unknown may have had
    the opportunity to commit the crime."                              
    Id. at 576
    (citation
    omitted).       The defendant "has not presented anything other than
    his own speculation that unknown alleged drug users frequenting
    [the victim's] residence may have had the opportunity to molest
    the victim."       
    Id. Because the
    defendant failed to show a direct
    connection between one of those unknown men and the crime, his
    proffered evidence was inadmissible.                       
    Id. ¶114 In
    Armstrong the defendant appealed his judgment of
    conviction for robbing a cafeteria with another African-American
    male.     
    Armstrong, 704 P.2d at 878
    .                      The defendant argued that
    the trial court erred by excluding evidence that, 50 minutes
    prior to the robbery, a cafeteria employee saw "two unidentified
    black men" in the cafeteria parking lot.                                
    Id. at 879.
                The
    defendant wanted to argue during trial that those unidentified
    men committed the robbery.                    
    Id. The Colorado
    Court of Appeals
    held     that   the    trial         court       did     not     err   by     excluding     that
    evidence, because that evidence failed to establish a "direct
    connection" between the unidentified men and the robbery.                                 
    Id. 17 No.
          2011AP1803-CR.akz
    ¶115 In     Eagles    the     defendant       appealed        a     judgment      of
    conviction for robbing and shooting a man.                     
    Eagles, 812 A.2d at 125-26
    .       On appeal the defendant argued that the trial court
    erred    in    excluding     his     proffered      evidence    that       someone      else
    committed the robbery and shooting.                  
    Id. at 126.
              The proffered
    evidence      was     testimony      from    two     witnesses        who      saw     three
    unidentified men, none of whom was the defendant, running from
    the vicinity of the crime shortly after the gunshots.                                 
    Id. at 127.
        The Connecticut Appellate Court held that the trial court
    did    not    err   in    excluding    the    evidence.        
    Id. at 128.
         The
    appellate court reasoned that the defendant failed to present a
    "direct connection" between any of the three men and the crime.
    
    Id. Further, the
    defendant offered "no evidence of motive on
    the part of any of the three men to commit the crime."                          
    Id. ¶116 Consistent
          with    the    foregoing    cases,          General      Grant
    Wilson's proffered evidence was inadmissible under Denny.                                See
    
    Scheidell, 227 Wis. 2d at 296
    .               Further, Wilson did not attempt
    to introduce any other acts evidence, so his proffered evidence
    was inadmissible under Scheidell.                  Wilson attempted to introduce
    testimony      that      Willie    Friend    had    slapped    and        threatened      an
    allegedly pregnant Evania Maric, in order to argue that Friend
    hired assassins to kill Maric.               This evidence was not other acts
    evidence and it fell far short of satisfying the Denny three-
    prong test.         Wilson did not identify any possible assassins or
    introduce any evidence indicating that Friend arranged for Maric
    to be killed.         In fact, Wilson "has not presented anything other
    than his own speculation that unknown alleged" hit men murdered
    18
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    Maric.     See 
    Neal, 436 S.E.2d at 576
    .                 He "fail[ed] to provide
    anything more than 'a hypothetical, unidentified'" hit man or
    hit men.        See 
    Wheeler, 977 A.2d at 990
    (quoting 
    Gethers, 684 A.2d at 1271
    ).           Moreover, Wilson "made no showing" that the
    alleged hit men, if they "actually existed, [were] connected in
    any way to the shooting."                See 
    Gethers, 684 A.2d at 1272
    .                    It
    would    require     a   great    deal     of   speculation      to     conclude          that
    Friend    hired     assassins     to     kill   the   allegedly        pregnant          Maric
    based on testimony that he slapped and threatened her once or
    twice.     Thus, Wilson "was merely trying to 'throw something out
    there for the jury to speculate about.'"                  See 
    Gethers, 684 A.2d at 1272
    .      This    kind    of    speculative     evidence        about       unknown,
    alleged perpetrators is not admissible.
    ¶117 In sum, if Wilson's defense theory is viewed as an
    unknown       third-party       perpetrator     theory     because          the        alleged
    shooters      are   unknown,     his     proffered     evidence        is    inadmissible
    under Denny, Scheidell, and many non-Wisconsin cases.
    B. Evidence that a Known Third Party Allegedly
    Hired Unknown Persons to Commit the Crime Charged
    ¶118 Few     third-party          perpetrator       cases           involve        an
    allegation that a known third party arranged for unknown persons
    to commit the crime at issue.                   One such case is Freeland v.
    United States, 
    631 A.2d 1186
    (D.C. 1993).                     In that case Larry
    Freeland was charged with the murder of his wife.                           
    Freeland, 631 A.2d at 1187
    .        The trial court excluded his proffered evidence
    that a man named William Hawthorne hired people to commit the
    murder.       
    Id. Prior to
    the murder of Freeland's wife, Freeland
    and     Hawthorne    were       fellow    prison      inmates.          
    Id. at 1188.
                                               19
    No.    2011AP1803-CR.akz
    Freeland witnessed Hawthorne stab another inmate to death.                             
    Id. Freeland testified
    against Hawthorne in his grand jury trial
    regarding the stabbing death.              
    Id. ¶119 The
    District of Columbia Court of Appeals held that
    the proffered evidence should have been admitted as Denny-type
    evidence.        
    Id. at 1190.
         Hawthorne          had    a     motive    to   hire
    assassins to kill Freeland's wife in order to retaliate against
    Freeland for his grand jury testimony and to intimidate him into
    not testifying against Hawthorne at trial.                       See 
    id. at 1189-90.
    Freeland's evidence demonstrated that Hawthorne had a "clear[]
    link" to the murder and a "present ability to carry out the
    threats     through     others."        
    Id. at 1189-90.
                 Specifically,
    Hawthorne's associates confronted Freeland on the street several
    times and "repeatedly made threats to [Freeland] and his family
    in order to intimidate [Freeland] and to retaliate for his grand
    jury testimony . . . ."           
    Id. In addition,
    Freeland introduced
    evidence     showing      that     Hawthorne         was     being      prosecuted     for
    threatening other witnesses.            
    Id. ¶120 Freeland
    stands in stark contrast to the present case.
    In Freeland the defendant introduced a substantial amount of
    other     acts   evidence        showing      that     the       alleged      third-party
    perpetrator,      William     Hawthorne,         was       capable      of    having    his
    associates carry out the murder with which the defendant was
    charged.     Hawthorne's associates confronted Freeland in person
    several     times      and   "repeatedly"        intimidated            and     threatened
    Freeland and his family because Freeland was an eyewitness in
    Hawthorne's      murder      trial.         By    contrast,           Wilson     has   not
    20
    No.     2011AP1803-CR.akz
    introduced any evidence indicating that Willie Friend or his
    associates         had    previously          murdered        anyone.         In    fact,     Wilson
    introduced no evidence showing that Friend had ever used his
    associates         to    commit      any     crime      on    his     behalf.        In    Freeland
    Hawthorne's associates were real people whom Freeland saw and
    spoke    to    several         times.         By     contrast,        Wilson       did     not    even
    introduce      evidence            indicating       that      Friend    had      associates        who
    were    willing         and    able     to    murder         Maric.      Wilson's         proffered
    evidence      is     pure      speculation         about      unidentified,          hypothetical
    hit men.        In Freeland the defendant also introduced evidence
    showing       that      Hawthorne       was     being        prosecuted       for        threatening
    other witnesses.               By contrast, Wilson proffered no other acts
    evidence at all.              "[O]ften times the defense must rely on other
    act evidence to raise a circumstantial inference that the third
    party carried out the crime."                      
    Blinka, supra, at 215
    .
    ¶121 In         Freeland      the      defendant's          "hit      man"       theory    of
    defense       could       be       reasonably           inferred       from        his    proffered
    evidence.       Simply stated, a jury need not speculate in order to
    conclude       that,          because        Hawthorne's        associates           "repeatedly"
    threatened Freeland's family, those associates might have killed
    Freeland's wife.              In the present case, Wilson's "hit man" theory
    of defense had no foundation in his proffered evidence.                                      A jury
    would necessarily have to speculate in order to conclude that,
    because Friend slapped and threatened Maric once or twice, he
    hired     assassins           to    kill     her.         Unlike       Freeland's         proffered
    evidence, Wilson's proffered evidence had nothing whatsoever to
    do with possible hit men.                    Falling far short of the proffer made
    21
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.akz
    in Freeland, Wilson's proffered evidence was pure speculation.
    This kind of evidence is inadmissible.
    ¶122 In sum, Wilson's proffer was entirely speculative and
    fell short of establishing a legitimate tendency that Friend
    arranged for hit men to kill Maric.      The circuit court did not
    err in excluding that proffered evidence.
    ¶123 For the foregoing reasons, I respectfully concur.
    ¶124 I am authorized to state that Chief Justice PATIENCE
    DRAKE ROGGENSACK joins this concurrence.
    22
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    ¶125 SHIRLEY       S.    ABRAHAMSON,     J.     (dissenting).      I    agree
    with       the   court   of    appeals   that   the     defendant's    third-party
    perpetrator evidence should have been admitted as a matter of
    constitutional law.1            Like the court of appeals, I would grant
    the defendant a new trial.
    ¶126 The instant case revolves around the circuit court's
    exclusion of evidence at the defendant's trial nearly 20 years
    ago.
    ¶127 The defendant sought to introduce evidence at trial to
    support his contention that a third party committed the crimes
    alleged in the State's complaint.                    Such evidence is sometimes
    referred to as "third-party perpetrator evidence."                     The circuit
    court excluded the defendant's third-party perpetrator evidence
    and the defendant was convicted.
    ¶128 By excluding the defendant's third-party perpetrator
    evidence,         the    circuit     court      denied     the     defendant    his
    constitutional right to present a complete defense.2                    Thus, the
    1
    State v. Wilson, No. 2011AP1803-CR, unpublished slip op.,
    at 7 (Wis. Ct. App. Oct. 22, 2013).
    2
    Majority op., ¶¶61, 70; Holmes v. South Carolina, 
    547 U.S. 319
    ,   324  (2006)   ("[T]he  Constitution   guarantees  criminal
    defendants 'a meaningful opportunity to present a complete
    defense'" (quoted source omitted).).
    (continued)
    1
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    instant    case     presents    a     question    of     constitutional      law    this
    court decides independently but benefiting from the analyses of
    the circuit court and the court of appeals.3
    ¶129 I begin with a brief review of the relevant facts.
    ¶130 Evania Maric, the victim in the present case, was shot
    to death while seated in a parked car with Willie Friend, whom
    she was dating.       Willie Friend fled and was not injured.                    Willie
    Friend thereafter reported to the police that the defendant was
    the   shooter,       which     the     defendant       adamantly       denied.       The
    defendant was eventually charged with first-degree intentional
    homicide    for     killing     the     victim     and    attempted      first-degree
    intentional homicide for shooting at Willie Friend.
    ¶131 At       trial,     the     defendant's       attorney       attempted    to
    persuade    the     jury     that    the   defendant      was   innocent     and    that
    Willie     Friend     was     not.         To   establish       this    defense,     the
    See also State v. Anthony, 
    2015 WI 20
    , ¶¶119, 125, ___
    Wis. 2d ___, ___ N.W.2d ___ (Abrahamson, C.J., dissenting)
    (linking the rights to testify and to present a complete defense
    by arguing that the circuit court unconstitutionally deprived
    the defendant of his right to testify to relevant testimony
    regarding self-defense and thereby prevented the defendant from
    presenting any defense at all); State v. Nelson, 
    2014 WI 70
    ,
    ¶68,   
    355 Wis. 2d 722
    ,   
    849 N.W.2d 317
      (Abrahamson,  C.J.,
    dissenting) (explaining that the defendant's constitutional
    right to testify is embedded in the constitutional right to
    present a defense).
    3
    The majority opinion acknowledges that the instant case
    presents a constitutional issue.   Majority op. ¶¶47, 61.  See
    also Anthony, 
    2015 WI 20
    , ¶43 (stating that "[w]hether an
    individual is denied a constitutional right is a question of
    constitutional fact that this court reviews independently as a
    question of law" (quoted source & internal quotation marks
    omitted)).
    2
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    defendant's attorney sought to present testimony from two of the
    victim's          friends,       Mary      Lee   Larson        and    Barbara      Lange,     to
    implicate Willie Friend in the murder.
    ¶132 In an offer of proof, Larson stated that she had heard
    Willie Friend threaten to kill Maric and had observed Willie
    Friend slapping Maric.                    The defendant's attorney informed the
    circuit court that Lange would provide similar testimony.                                   The
    testimony of Larson and Lange comprised the defendant's third-
    party          perpetrator      evidence.         The     circuit      court    ruled       both
    witnesses' testimony inadmissible.
    ¶133 This       was    not      an   easy   case     for    the    jury.     During
    deliberations, the jury informed the circuit court that it had
    reached an impasse.                  Later the next day, the jury found the
    defendant guilty of both charges.
    ¶134 The issue presented is whether the circuit court erred
    as    a       matter    of   law     in   excluding     the     defendant's     third-party
    perpetrator evidence.
    ¶135 The circuit court cannot bar the defendant's third-
    party perpetrator evidence "simply because the evidence against
    the           [defendant]       is     overwhelming."4               Rather,    third-party
    perpetrator            evidence      is   admissible      so    long    as   the     defendant
    shows "a 'legitimate tendency' that the third person could have
    committed the crime."5
    4
    Majority op., ¶¶61, 70.
    5
    State v. Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    , 623, 
    357 N.W.2d 12
    (Ct.
    App. 1984).
    3
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    ¶136 State v. Denny, 
    120 Wis. 2d 614
    , 624, 
    357 N.W.2d 12
    (Ct.       App.    1984),      established       that   a    defendant       fulfills    the
    legitimate tendency test "as long as motive and opportunity have
    been       shown   and    as    long      as    there   is   also    some     evidence    to
    directly connect [the] third person to the crime charged which
    is not remote in time, place or circumstances . . . ."                            In other
    words, the defendant in the instant case was required to fulfill
    the three-prong test set forth in Denny (1) by showing that
    Willie Friend had a motive to commit the crime; (2) by showing
    that Willie Friend had an opportunity to commit the crime; and
    (3) by presenting evidence of a direct connection between Willie
    Friend and the crime.6
    ¶137 The majority opinion struggles to clarify the Denny
    test and in doing so changes the test.                          Under any reasonable
    interpretation           of    Denny,     the    defendant     in    the     instant    case
    prevails.
    ¶138 The State concedes that the defendant has fulfilled
    the motive and direct connection prongs.                        The majority opinion
    assumes without deciding that the defendant has fulfilled the
    motive and direct connection prongs.                         Both the State and the
    majority opinion conclude that the defendant has not fulfilled
    the opportunity prong.
    ¶139 I review the three prongs of the Denny test in turn.
    ¶140 First,        the       defendant     presented    evidence       that   Willie
    Friend's      "motive         was   his   belief     that    Maric    [the    victim]    was
    6
    Majority op., ¶3.
    4
    No.       2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    pregnant,     that      [Willie        Friend]     was     responsible            for     her
    pregnancy, and that he wanted to avoid future child support."7
    Because the defendant provided a "plausible reason" for Willie
    Friend to commit the crime, I conclude that the defendant has
    fulfilled the motive prong.8
    ¶141 Second,         the    defendant       argued     that        Willie    Friend's
    undisputed "presence at the crime scene" constituted evidence of
    a direct connection between Willie Friend and the crime.                                Based
    on the totality of the evidence presented (including evidence of
    Willie    Friend's     relationship        with    the     victim,        evidence       that
    Willie    Friend    had   previously       hit    and     threatened       to     kill    the
    victim, evidence that Willie Friend brought the victim to the
    location where she was murdered, and the undisputed fact that
    Willie Friend was present when the victim was shot), I conclude
    that the defendant has fulfilled the direct connection prong.
    ¶142 Third, the defendant argued that Willie Friend had the
    opportunity    to    hire       the    victim's    killer(s)        and     set    up     the
    victim's    murder.9       In    assessing       this    argument,        the     court   of
    appeals     explained     that        evidence    presented        at    trial     "places
    [Willie] Friend at the scene when the first round of shots was
    fired, and is consistent with [the defendant's] contention that
    7
    
    Id., ¶74. 8
             See 
    id., ¶57. 9
             
    Id., ¶81. 5
                                                                       No.    2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    [Willie]      Friend       was    involved      in    the    murder      by   luring     [the
    victim] to a place where she would be ambushed."10
    ¶143 The court of appeals concluded that Willie Friend "had
    the opportunity to commit this crime, either directly by firing
    the first weapon or in conjunction with others by luring [the
    victim] to the place where she was killed."11
    ¶144 I agree with the court of appeals.                         I conclude, along
    with the court of appeals, that the defendant has met all three
    prongs of the Denny test for the admissibility of third-party
    perpetrator evidence.              The defendant was therefore entitled to
    introduce the testimony of Larson and Lange to implicate Willie
    Friend in the victim's murder.
    ¶145 In my opinion, the circuit court's exclusion of the
    defendant's         third-party         perpetrator         evidence     constituted       an
    error of law that denied the defendant his constitutional right
    to present a complete defense.
    ¶146 The court of appeals applied harmless error review to
    this    error       of    law     and    concluded      that     the     error    was     not
    harmless.12        Willie Friend was the State's primary witness.                        With
    the    admission          of     the    defendant's         third-party        perpetrator
    evidence,         the    jury    may    not    have   considered       Willie     Friend    a
    credible      witness.           The    jury    may   instead     have        believed    the
    defendant.         Accordingly, I agree with the court of appeals that
    10
    Wilson, No. 2011AP1803-CR, unpublished slip op., at 7.
    11
    
    Id. 12 Id.
    at 10.
    6
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    if   harmless      error       review    applies      to   the     circuit       court's
    exclusion    of    the   defendant's         third-party     perpetrator      evidence
    (and I do not think it does),13 the error was not harmless.
    ¶147 For the reasons set forth, I dissent.                          I, like the
    court of appeals, would reverse the circuit court's judgment of
    conviction    and      order    denying      postconviction       relief    and    would
    remand the cause for further proceedings.
    ¶148 I       am   authorized       to    state   that    Justice      ANN    WALSH
    BRADLEY joins this opinion.
    13
    The court determined that harmless error review applies
    to the denial of a defendant's constitutional right to testify
    in Anthony, 
    2015 WI 20
    , ¶¶11, 96, 101, and Nelson, 
    355 Wis. 2d 722
    , ¶43.   I dissented in both cases, concluding that
    harmless error review does not apply when a defendant is
    unconstitutionally deprived of the fundamental right to testify.
    See Anthony, 
    2015 WI 20
    , ¶140 (Abrahamson, C.J., dissenting);
    Nelson, 
    355 Wis. 2d 722
    , ¶79 (Abrahamson, C.J., dissenting).
    The constitutional right to testify is embedded in the
    constitutional right to present a defense.      See Nelson, 
    355 Wis. 2d 722
    , ¶68 (Abrahamson, C.J., dissenting). Accordingly, I
    conclude that an unconstitutional deprivation of the defendant's
    right to present a defense is not amenable to harmless error
    review.
    7
    No.   2011AP1803-CR.ssa
    1