Commonwealth v. Epps , 474 Mass. 743 ( 2016 )


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    SJC-11921
    COMMONWEALTH   vs.   DERICK EPPS.
    Essex.      December 7, 2015. - July 14, 2016.
    Present:    Gants, C.J., Spina, Cordy, Botsford, Duffly, & Hines,
    JJ.
    Assault and Battery. Child Abuse. Constitutional Law,
    Assistance of counsel. Due Process of Law, Assistance of
    counsel. Evidence, Expert opinion. Practice, Criminal,
    New trial, Assistance of counsel.
    Indictment found and returned in the Superior Court
    Department on November 17, 2004.
    The case was tried before David A. Lowy, J., and a motion
    for a new trial, filed on October 17, 2011, was heard by him.
    After review by the Appeals Court, the Supreme Judicial
    Court granted leave to obtain further appellate review.
    David Hirsch for the defendant.
    David F. O'Sullivan, Assistant District Attorney, for the
    Commonwealth.
    The following submitted briefs for amici curiae:
    Seth Miller, of Florida, Katherine H. Judson, of Wisconsin,
    Adam W. Deitch & Lindsay A. Olson, of New York, & Mark W. Batten
    for The Innocence Network.
    Heather Kirkwood, of Washington, & David E. Meier for David
    Ayoub & others.
    2
    Matthew R. Segal, Dennis Shedd, & Chauncey B. Wood for
    Committee for Public Counsel Services & others.
    GANTS, C.J.    The defendant was convicted by a Superior
    Court jury of assault and battery on a child causing substantial
    bodily injury, in violation of G. L. c. 265, § 13J (b).    The
    prosecution contended that the defendant violently shook the two
    year old child in his care based on medical testimony that the
    child was diagnosed with traumatic brain injury, and scans of
    her brain that showed retinal hemorrhages, subdural hematoma,
    and brain swelling, the three symptoms known as "the triad"
    associated with shaken baby syndrome.    The defendant, when
    interviewed by the police, denied having injured the child and
    reported that, hours before the child's grievous injuries became
    manifest, she had fallen down the wooden stairs in her home and
    had later fallen off a kitchen stool, leaving a bump on her
    forehead.    The Commonwealth's medical expert offered the opinion
    that injuries of the type and severity suffered by the child
    could not have been caused by the short falls described by the
    defendant.   The defendant called no expert to offer an opinion
    to the contrary.
    In Commonwealth v. Millien, 
    474 Mass. 417
    , 418 (2016), we
    noted that "[t]here is a heated debate in the medical community
    as to whether a violent shaking of a baby alone can generate
    enough force to cause the triad of symptoms of traumatic brain
    3
    injury, and as to whether these symptoms can sometimes be caused
    by a short accidental fall."   We conclude that, in the unusual
    circumstances of this case, the absence of expert testimony that
    the child's injuries might have been caused by her accidental
    falls deprived the defendant of an available, substantial ground
    of defense, and thereby created a substantial risk of a
    miscarriage of justice.   We therefore reverse the judge's denial
    of the defendant's motion for a new trial, vacate the
    conviction, and remand the case to the Superior Court for a new
    trial.1
    Background.   1.   Evidence at trial.   We summarize the
    evidence presented at trial in July, 2007.     On October 9, 2004,
    Sara Comeau left for work early in the morning, leaving her two
    children, Veronica, age two, and Delilah, age four, in the care
    of the defendant, who was her live-in boy friend.2    The two girls
    were still asleep in their bedroom; the defendant was awake but
    still in bed.
    The defendant told the police during two interviews on
    October 10 that, after Comeau left for work, Veronica woke up
    1
    We acknowledge the amicus briefs submitted by The
    Innocence Network and "concerned physicians and scientists," and
    the amicus brief jointly submitted by the American Civil
    Liberties Union of Massachusetts, the Committee for Public
    Counsel Services, and the Massachusetts Association of Criminal
    Defense Lawyers.
    2
    Sara Comeau worked as a certified nurse assistant at a
    nearby nursing home.
    4
    and he brought her into the bed with him.    After one to two
    hours both woke up and the defendant sent Veronica downstairs by
    herself while he went to use the bathroom.     He then heard
    Veronica cry and found her at the bottom of the stairs; based on
    what he saw and heard, it seemed that she had fallen down two or
    three wooden stairs.    Veronica told him that she was all right.
    Veronica then sat on a stool in the kitchen eating cereal while
    the defendant played a video game.     Veronica tried to get down
    from the stool by herself and fell.3    He found her on the floor,
    picked her up, and saw a small red mark on the left side of her
    forehead.   She cried briefly but then said that she was okay.
    The defendant gave her juice and sat her on the couch, where she
    then started coughing and vomited.     The defendant cleaned up the
    vomit and gave her a bath.    Later, Veronica vomited again when
    she was upstairs.4
    The defendant's friend, Jason Fletcher, arrived later that
    morning.    When he arrived, the defendant told Fletcher that
    Veronica had fallen off the stool and Fletcher saw "a bump"
    3
    Chemist Cailin Lally of the State police crime laboratory
    measured the stool and determined that it was thirty inches
    tall. Lally also performed an orthotolodine test, a presumptive
    test for the presence of blood, on a stain found on the kitchen
    floor near the stool, and the result came back positive.
    4
    Lally found a pair of children's jeans with chunky,
    strong-smelling material in the hallway upstairs, and brown
    chunky material with a "vomit-like" odor in the bathroom sink
    upstairs.
    5
    above her left eye.    The defendant and Fletcher played a
    football video game downstairs while the children played
    upstairs.   At around noon, Comeau returned home on her lunch
    break and found the defendant in the living room with Fletcher,
    sitting on the couch and playing the football video game.
    Veronica was wearing pull-up underpants and a T-shirt, which was
    the same T-shirt Comeau had dressed her in when Comeau put her
    to bed the night before.    Comeau saw that Veronica had a red,
    dime-sized mark on her forehead.    Comeau asked the defendant
    what had happened, and he told her that Veronica had fallen off
    the stool while she was eating breakfast.     She and the defendant
    then got into an argument about neither child being fully
    dressed.    Before returning to work, Comeau went upstairs and
    dressed Veronica in pants and a T-shirt.     During this time,
    Veronica said to her, "Mommy, I hit my head."    According to
    Comeau, Veronica was not acting unusual at this time.
    After Comeau returned to work, the defendant and Fletcher
    continued playing the video game downstairs while the girls were
    playing upstairs.     The defendant told the police during his
    interviews that, shortly after Comeau left, while he and
    Fletcher were playing the video game, he heard a "boom" from
    upstairs.    He initially thought that it was the children jumping
    around to music, but then Delilah ran to the top of the stairs
    and yelled to the defendant that Veronica had fallen.     The
    6
    defendant stated that he went upstairs and found Veronica lying
    on her back with "her eyes . . . almost going in the back of her
    head."       He began to give her cardiopulmonary resuscitation
    (CPR).       She was limp and gurgling, and her stomach expanded and
    her arms flared up each time he breathed into her mouth.          Her
    fingers were "like knots," and her body stiffened as if she were
    having a seizure.       He panicked and yelled for Fletcher.
    Fletcher came upstairs, and the defendant sent him to get Comeau
    from her work.       The defendant told the police that, when his
    attempts at CPR failed, he tried to put a toothbrush in her
    mouth to create an airway.
    At trial, Fletcher testified that, while he was playing the
    football video game downstairs with the defendant, Delilah
    yelled from upstairs that Veronica had fallen.       The defendant
    went upstairs while Fletcher played four downs of the football
    video game.5      While the defendant was upstairs, Fletcher did not
    hear any "bangs," "shouts," or "noises."       Because the defendant
    had not returned, Fletcher went upstairs "to see what was going
    on."6       He then saw Veronica lying unconscious on a mattress in
    5
    Jason Fletcher testified that the defendant was winning
    the football video game when Delilah called for him.
    6
    There was a dispute at trial as to how much time elapsed
    before Fletcher went upstairs after the defendant left; Fletcher
    estimated that it was approximately two minutes. The defendant
    told the police that he called for Fletcher after about thirty
    seconds.
    7
    the girls' bedroom and the defendant giving her mouth-to-mouth
    resuscitation.   The defendant sent him to get Comeau, and he
    drove to the nursing home where she worked.
    Comeau drove home immediately when she learned about
    Veronica's condition and saw Veronica on the couch in the living
    room with the defendant leaning over her.    Veronica had a large
    lump on her head, which Comeau testified was "red and
    purple/black" in color.   The defendant was attempting to
    administer CPR, but Comeau screamed and told him to stop because
    Veronica's stomach was raised and "she had too much air in her."
    Comeau asked the defendant what had happened, and he told her
    that Veronica had fallen down the stairs.     Comeau telephoned
    911, and the emergency medical technicians arrived.     Fire
    fighter and emergency medical technician Robert Irvin said that
    Veronica was having difficulty breathing, her eyes were rolling
    back, and she was sweating profusely.   According to Irvin, she
    had a "bang" on her head, a black eye, a small bang on her nose,
    and a red line across her chest, which, he said, looked "as if
    the child had leaned up against a chair or a table."
    A neighbor, Karen Grober, saw the fire trucks and ambulance
    and went outside to see what was going on.    Grober testified
    that the defendant appeared "upset" and "worried."     Grober asked
    him what had happened, and he said that he did not know, that he
    8
    heard a big thump from upstairs, and that when he went upstairs
    Veronica was on the floor, with her eyes rolling back.
    Comeau followed Veronica to Lawrence General Hospital in a
    separate ambulance.   When they arrived, Comeau saw a red mark
    under Veronica's ribs that had not been there when Comeau had
    dressed her at lunchtime.   Comeau also saw red marks on the
    inside of both of her knees.   Once the defendant arrived at the
    hospital, he told Comeau that Veronica had fallen down the
    stairs and had fallen off the breakfast stool, and that Delilah
    had yelled at the top of the stairs that Veronica had fallen a
    third time.
    At Lawrence General Hospital, medical professionals
    intubated Veronica to assist her breathing and took several X-
    rays, including a head computerized tomography (CT) scan.      She
    was eventually "med-flighted" to Boston Children's Hospital,
    where she arrived unresponsive and was displaying "posturing,"
    which is an upper motor neuron sign signaling injury to the
    brain.   She was placed in the pediatric intensive care unit.
    The head CT scan revealed a significant amount of swelling on
    the left side of Veronica's brain, as well as bleeding in the
    subdural space and the subarachnoid space.   The swelling was
    such that the left side of the brain was extending over and
    encroaching into the right side of the brain, a condition known
    in the medical community as a midline shift.   A craniotomy
    9
    surgery was performed to help relieve the swelling and to help
    drain some of the blood that had collected.
    Dr. Celeste Wilson, a board-certified pediatrician and
    child abuse specialist, examined Veronica and found that her
    left pupil was fixed and dilated, and her right pupil was very
    sluggishly reactive to light.    Although she was not an
    ophthalmologist, Dr. Wilson examined Veronica's eyes and found
    bleeding in the back of both eyes.   An ophthalmologist
    subsequently examined Veronica and found bleeding, known as
    retinal hemorrhages, in both eyes, with approximately twelve
    hemorrhages on the right side and five hemorrhages on the left
    side.    Dr. Wilson also found bruising over Veronica's right eye,
    as well as increased redness under the nostril and a bruise
    under her chin.   Dr. Wilson observed additional areas of
    bruising or increased redness over Veronica's mid-chest, a
    bruise on her right upper back, a bruise on her left lower back,
    and bruising or increased redness on her right leg at the level
    of the knee on the outer side and on her left leg on the inner
    side.7   Veronica was given an electroencephalogram, a test that
    measures seizure activity in the brain, as well as a magnetic
    resonance imaging test and repeat head CT scans.    The CT scans
    revealed that a portion of Veronica's brain had infarcted, the
    7
    At trial, Dr. Celeste Wilson testified that it is not
    possible to determine how long bruises have been present.
    10
    medical term for the loss of function in part of the brain, as a
    result of the nerve injury.   Tests did not reveal any spinal
    cord damage; neck injury, aside from some swelling in the
    tissues around the neck; or skull fracture.
    Dr. Wilson offered her opinion that these injuries were
    "consistent with non-accidental trauma."   Specifically, she
    testified that Veronica's injuries were consistent with shaken
    baby syndrome,8 which she described as a clinical diagnosis based
    on a constellation of findings that include subdural hemorrhage,
    retinal hemorrhages, and possibly bruises or fractures.     She
    explained that shaken baby syndrome "is thought to occur as a
    result of significant acceleration/deceleration forces . . .
    when a caretaker vigorously shakes an infant such that the head
    moves back and forth."   This shaking leads to strain and tension
    on the blood vessels in the brain, causing them to tear and
    release blood.   When a blood vessel tears in the subdural space,
    it causes bleeding in the subdural space, i.e., a subdural
    hemorrhage.   The shaking forces also cause shearing and tearing
    8
    In 2009, the American Academy of Pediatrics in a policy
    statement recommended that pediatricians "use the term 'abusive
    head trauma' rather than a term that implies a single injury
    mechanism, such as shaken baby syndrome, in their diagnosis and
    medical communications." Christian, Block, and the Committee on
    Child Abuse and Neglect, Abusive Head Trauma in Infants and
    Children, 123 Pediatrics 1409, 1411 (2009). See Commonwealth v.
    Millien, 
    474 Mass. 417
    , 423 n.7 (2016). In this opinion, we
    refer to "shaken baby syndrome" (the term used at trial) and
    "abusive head trauma" interchangeably.
    11
    on the nerves of the brain such that they release a substance
    called cytokines, which then results in brain swelling.
    Dr. Wilson testified that the normal activities of a
    toddler, even one who is clumsy, would not account for the type
    of injuries she described.   She also testified that blood
    testing was performed and did not reveal any sign that Veronica
    was suffering from a blood disease or blood disorder.    Finally,
    she opined to a reasonable degree of medical certainty that a
    fall of three feet could not cause Veronica's injuries and that
    a fall down multiple stairs would be "extremely unlikely" to
    cause them.   She stated that, apart from shaking, the
    circumstances that might cause a child to sustain these types of
    injuries would be a high speed motor vehicle accident or a fall
    from a building or from a height of "more than [ten] feet, more
    . . . on the order of [seventy] feet."   On cross-examination,
    Dr. Wilson acknowledged that Dr. John Plunkett has conducted
    research indicating that the same types of symptoms as occur in
    shaken baby syndrome could occur from falls as low as three
    feet, but she stated that such findings are not widely accepted
    within the national community of pediatricians or recognized by
    the American Academy of Pediatrics.   She also admitted on cross-
    examination that she could not say when Veronica's injuries were
    inflicted, and that it was possible for Veronica to have
    12
    remained conscious for some period of time after their
    infliction.
    Comeau testified that Veronica was a clumsy child and fell
    down often, that she bruised easily, and that she was being
    treated for a blood disorder.9    She said that Veronica and
    Delilah would jump off the couch and bed, and fight with each
    other.     She gave Veronica a bicycle in June, 2004, and Veronica
    fell off and broke her arm several days later.     The cast did not
    come off until the week before the incident.     The defendant also
    described Veronica as "clumsy" and "accident prone" in his
    interview to the police, and described specific instances when
    Veronica had fallen, including three or four days prior when she
    ran into a door and sustained a bump on her head and a slight
    black eye.     Grober similarly testified that she saw the girls
    outside every day and that Veronica was often falling down and
    "had a lot of accidents."10
    Comeau also testified that in August or September, 2004,
    the defendant told her he had slapped Veronica.     Comeau saw a
    "big red welt and a handprint" between Veronica's legs and
    buttocks.     During the police interviews the defendant admitted
    that he and Comeau "occasionally" gave the children a "slap on
    9
    The type of blood disorder was not identified at trial.
    10
    Veronica was known as "Tonka" by her family because she
    was clumsy and always banging into things and getting bruised.
    13
    the butt" as a disciplinary measure.   Nika Fontaine, Comeau's
    best friend and Delilah's godmother, testified that, when she
    approached Comeau's home on an unknown date, she saw through the
    screen door that the defendant put his hands on Veronica's arm
    and shook her while Veronica was on the ground standing.
    On the evening of October 10, the defendant waived the
    Miranda rights and agreed to be interviewed by Trooper Robert
    LaBarge of the State police and Detective Carl Rogers of the
    Haverhill police department.   He also agreed to be interviewed
    later that evening by Trooper Brandon Arakelian of the State
    police.   Throughout the recorded interviews the defendant denied
    causing Veronica's injuries, even after his interrogators told
    him that the doctors at Children's Hospital had determined that
    Veronica's injuries were intentionally inflicted and that they
    could not have been caused by an accidental fall.11   The
    defendant also stated that he did not think Comeau had caused
    the injuries.12
    11
    Trooper Brandon Arakelian of the State police told the
    defendant that Arakelian knew the "who" but was asking the
    defendant "to answer the why, and tell [him] what happened, and
    . . . how it happened." The defendant insisted, "I am answering
    the why for you." Arakelian told the defendant that he did not
    think the defendant was "a mean guy who did it on purpose," but
    the defendant did not waiver in his insistence that he "didn't
    do anything."
    12
    On October 13, Comeau was arrested and charged with child
    endangerment. She spent three days in custody before she was
    released on bail. During the time she was in custody, the
    14
    As a result of the events on October 9, Veronica is
    paralyzed on the right side of her body and cannot walk.
    According to Comeau, Veronica's cognitive abilities are
    seriously limited and she "can't comprehend."
    2.   Closing arguments.   Defense counsel informed the judge
    on the first day of trial that he would not be pursuing a third-
    party culprit defense and during his opening statement asked the
    jury to consider "whether or not those injuries were caused by
    the blows of [the defendant] or . . . by some other non-
    intentional source."   But defense counsel in closing argument
    abandoned the argument that Veronica's injuries were accidental
    and invited the jury instead to consider whether Comeau "struck
    the blow that injured Veronica" when she came home from work on
    her lunch break.   He noted that Comeau was "angry and upset"
    when she came home, and was alone upstairs with the children.
    In contrast, he argued that the defendant was in a good mood
    because he was winning in the football video game, and did not
    have the state of mind necessary to injure Veronica.   As to the
    timing of the blow, defense counsel noted that Dr. Wilson had
    testified that "although the child suffered a very severe,
    Department of Children and Families (then the Department of
    Social Services) removed Delilah from her home and placed her in
    foster care, and initiated a care and protection proceeding to
    remove custody of both children. The prosecutor later offered
    to dismiss the charges against Comeau if she testified
    truthfully against the defendant; Comeau accepted the offer.
    15
    traumatic shaking, . . . the child would not have been
    immediately comatose."
    The prosecutor in closing argument argued that the
    defendant violently shook Veronica during the time that he was
    upstairs and Fletcher was downstairs.   She claimed that "two-
    year olds get banged up and bruised, but they don't break like
    this," arguing that "even the clumsiest two year old, even one
    who's fallen off a [thirty-]inch stool or a couple of steps is
    not left with parts of her brain that have literally died-off."
    Rather, she said, only a fall from seventy feet or an automobile
    crash where the child is ejected from the automobile could cause
    these injuries.   She argued that, because there was no evidence
    of a fall or crash of this magnitude, the only possible cause of
    Veronica's injuries is that the defendant shook "her so
    violently that it inflict[ed] those rotational forces on her
    brain and in her brain."
    2.   Motion for a new trial.   The defendant, represented by
    new counsel, filed a postconviction motion for a new trial under
    Mass. R. Crim. P. 30 (b), as appearing in 
    435 Mass. 1501
    (2001),
    claiming first, that his trial counsel was ineffective for
    failing to retain a medical expert to question whether
    Veronica's injuries were caused by shaken baby syndrome and to
    acknowledge the possibility that her injuries could have been
    caused by an accidental short-distance fall, and second, that
    16
    newly available evidence, specifically new scientific advances
    on shaken baby syndrome and short falls, warranted a new trial.
    The motion judge, who was the trial judge, conducted a
    three-day evidentiary hearing that concluded on May 15, 2013.
    The defendant's trial counsel testified that he was aware prior
    to the start of the trial that the Commonwealth was intending to
    call Dr. Wilson as a witness, and that Dr. Wilson had diagnosed
    Veronica with shaken baby syndrome.   Although he was aware that
    CT scans and other radiological images had been taken of
    Veronica's brain, he did not attempt to obtain copies of the
    scans.   He conducted research into shaken baby syndrome and was
    aware of the controversies around it, and contacted two experts
    for assistance.   The first expert originally agreed to be
    retained but then was unable to do so.   Counsel then contacted
    Dr. Edward Sussman, a pathologist whose services he had used in
    prior cases and in whom he had confidence.   Before counsel
    retained Dr. Sussman, he learned that Dr. Sussman believed in
    the validity of shaken baby syndrome as a diagnosis.   Without
    viewing the CT and other radiological scans, Dr. Sussman advised
    that Veronica's injuries were compatible with impact to the left
    temporal lobe of the brain, and that the tearing of veins in her
    brain and bilateral retinal hemorrhaging were "some evidence of
    shaking."   He also advised that the multiple sites of Veronica's
    injuries were not compatible with a single fall.   He said it was
    17
    possible that her injuries were caused by three separate falls
    on the day of the incident, but unlikely because he did not
    believe that the falls were of a great enough distance.   Thus,
    counsel chose not to call Dr. Sussman as a witness because
    counsel "did not believe that he would be of value."
    Trial counsel also contacted other attorneys who had worked
    on shaken baby cases to find out which experts they had used.
    At the time of the motion hearing, he could recall that he had
    spoken with only one attorney and that the attorney had
    consulted with Dr. Plunkett, but had not called him to testify
    at trial.   Counsel said that the attorney expressed an opinion
    about Dr. Plunkett that led him to decide that Dr. Sussman was
    "best."   Counsel spoke with Dr. Sussman about Dr. Plunkett's
    research regarding short falls, and Dr. Sussman told him that
    Dr. Plunkett was an opponent of shaken baby syndrome but that
    his opinions "had been refuted in several peer review articles."
    Although trial counsel read literature critical of shaken
    baby syndrome, he did not contact any of the authors of that
    literature and did not seek to retain any other critics who
    could be helpful as expert witnesses.   He testified that he did
    not choose to call an expert because he believed, based on his
    conversations with other attorneys, that doctors who questioned
    the validity of shaken baby syndrome were subject to attack by
    their peers, which would render them more vulnerable to cross-
    18
    examination and might lead to a counter-expert being called by
    the Commonwealth.   He said, however, that if he had found an
    expert from out-of-State who had solid credentials and could
    assist the defense, he would have "brought in" that witness to
    testify.
    Regarding the strategy he ultimately did pursue, trial
    counsel stated that "[his] preference was to blame [Comeau] for
    the event" but "the problem that [he] had was that gap in time
    between [Comeau] leaving and the child being found."     He
    explained that he did not pursue a third-party culprit defense
    until the closing argument because of that concern, but once Dr.
    Wilson testified that Veronica could have sustained the blow and
    remained conscious after Comeau had left, he had the opportunity
    to pursue this defense.
    Dr. Joseph Scheller, a pediatrician and child neurologist,
    testified regarding the scientific evidence that could have been
    presented at trial on behalf of the defense.   First, Dr.
    Scheller described what he considered the questionable
    foundation of shaken baby syndrome as a valid and scientifically
    supported medical diagnosis.   He explained that, although in
    theory a violent shaking of a baby can cause injury, there is no
    scientific evidence based on biomechanical models or animal
    studies, or from video cameras or witnesses, to support the
    claims made by proponents of shaken baby syndrome.   He stated,
    19
    "[W]e don't really have scientific proof that [shaken baby
    syndrome] happens like doctors say it happens and that [it] can
    cause the injuries that are credited to it or connected with
    it."    Dr. Scheller further testified that scientific studies on
    shaken baby syndrome that rely on perpetrator confessions are
    flawed because the confessions are unreliable.   He stated that
    in the cases he has seen, the confession is one that is "either
    exaggerated or coerced."13   Moreover, he stated, even if the
    confession was assumed valid, he has "never once seen a
    confession that explains every injury."    He explained that,
    although there are video recordings that exist of people
    intentionally shaking babies, the babies in those video
    recordings were not harmed in the way predicted by proponents of
    shaken baby syndrome, and in fact all of those babies had normal
    CT scans and eye exams and "turned out fine."    Dr. Scheller also
    testified that a child over three months old who is shaken is
    unlikely to suffer any kind of head injury because the neck
    would prevent the head from moving back and forth; however, "it
    13
    Dr. Joseph Scheller offered as an example one case in
    which the child did not wake up, the parents admitted to shaking
    the baby a little bit to awaken him or her, and such an
    admission was reported as an admission of violent shaking. 14
    Defense counsel has no duty to investigate a theoretically
    possible defense that is not potentially substantial. See
    Commonwealth v. Holliday, 
    450 Mass. 794
    , 807, cert. denied, 
    555 U.S. 947
    (2008).
    20
    is very easy to imagine that these youngsters will have rib
    injury, skin injury and limb injury."
    Second, Dr. Scheller called into question Dr. Wilson's
    diagnosis of Veronica.   Specifically, Dr. Scheller testified
    that the presence and extent of Veronica's retinal hemorrhages
    do not prove that she was violently shaken.     He stated that
    while child abuse pediatricians and some ophthalmologists
    believe one can actually shake the eyeball and cause a retinal
    hemorrhage, it has never been done in a model and it has not
    occurred in people known to have been shaken.    In contrast, he
    stated, "we absolutely do know that you can get retinal
    hemorrhages from too much pressure."    He opined, "[I]n a two-
    year-old who has this type of head injury, the retinal
    hemorrhage is absolutely zero evidence of any kind of shaking,
    even [to] those who believe in the shaking theory[;] because
    this child has so much pressure going on we have got to believe
    that it was the pressure that caused the retinal hemorrhage."
    He stated that he could not give an opinion to a reasonable
    degree of medical certainty whether the amount and type of
    retinal hemorrhages Veronica suffered would be more consistent
    with abuse or falling down three stairs because "it could happen
    with either" and the probability is "fifty/fifty."
    Based on his review of Veronica's medical records, Dr.
    Scheller offered an opinion to a reasonable degree of medical
    21
    certainty that Veronica suffered a subdural hemorrhage that
    "could have easily been from an accidental injury, just as it
    could have been from an inflicted injury[;] there was no way to
    tell from what actually happened to Veronica that it was
    accidental or inflicted."   He further stated that Veronica's
    injuries could have been caused by a short distance fall of two
    and one-half to three feet onto her head, and there is no way to
    tell from the medical records whether the brain swelling was
    more likely to have been caused by a fall or by abuse.     He
    stated unequivocally, however, that, given the location of
    Veronica's subdural hemorrhage, her injuries "did not come from
    a shake" because it is impossible to cause a subdural hemorrhage
    in only one side of the brain by shaking back and forth.     He
    concluded that "without any question [Veronica] received a blow
    to the left side of the head and that caused bleeding
    underneath, that caused the brain to swell underneath the
    bleeding and all the other problems, but that blow could have
    been an accidental blow or an intentional blow.   There is just
    no way to tell from looking at [the CT scan]."
    Finally, Dr. Scheller testified that shaken baby syndrome
    is the subject of heated debate and widespread disagreement
    among forensic pathologists, radiologists, pediatricians,
    ophthalmologists, and physicists and biomedical engineers.      He
    stated that, although in 2006 every pediatrician and child abuse
    22
    specialist he met believed strongly that shaken baby syndrome
    was a valid diagnosis, in the more recent past a "significant
    minority" has recognized that the science behind shaken baby
    syndrome is questionable and has instead adopted the term
    "abusive head trauma" or "abusive head injury" as a more general
    term for inflicted injury.   He stated that ophthalmologists
    disagree on whether retinal hemorrhages prove shaken baby
    syndrome; although the majority agree that retinal hemorrhages
    provide some evidence in support of a shaken baby syndrome
    diagnosis, a minority of ophthalmologists believe that their
    presence does not point to a specific diagnosis.   Dr. Scheller
    testified that, among radiologists, pathologists, and
    pediatricians, the majority supporting the shaken baby syndrome
    theory has shrunk.   He stated that nothing has changed in his
    view or in the literature since 2007, and that he would have
    come to the same conclusions about the cause of Veronica's
    injuries in 2007.    Dr. Scheller stated that the only change in
    the debate since 2007 has been in the increased acceptance of
    the views critical of shaken baby syndrome.
    The judge denied the motion for a new trial, concluding
    that trial counsel's decision not to call an expert was a
    strategic judgment that was not manifestly unreasonable.     The
    judge reasoned that, had counsel called a scientific expert to
    testify, he would have had to "address the expert's
    23
    vulnerabilities on cross-examination."   The judge found that
    counsel instead "used his agile and compelling cross-examination
    of Dr. Wilson to make all the essential points he needed" to
    suggest the possibility that Comeau, not the defendant, had
    struck the blows that injured Veronica, which was a reasonable
    defense strategy.   The judge also rejected the defendant's newly
    discovered evidence claim, determining that the defendant's
    proffered evidence regarding shaken baby syndrome and accidental
    short falls was not newly discovered because five of the seven
    articles that Dr. Scheller relied upon were published before
    trial and, even if it were newly discovered, the defendant's
    evidence that the views of Drs. Plunkett and Scheller were "now
    widely accepted is not credible."   The judge also found that the
    conclusion that the medical evidence in this case was consistent
    with shaken baby syndrome or abusive head trauma rather than
    with multiple short falls "is supported by overwhelming medical
    evidence."
    The defendant appealed, and the Appeals Court affirmed the
    denial of the defendant's motion for a new trial and the
    defendant's conviction in an unpublished memorandum and order
    issued pursuant to its rule 1:28.   See Commonwealth v. Epps, 
    87 Mass. App. Ct. 1116
    (2015).   The Appeals Court held that trial
    counsel was not ineffective because his failure to call an
    expert to testify was a strategic decision, and that decision
    24
    was not "manifestly unreasonable" because, as the motion judge
    reasoned, counsel made all of the essential points he needed to
    make on cross-examination, and "[a]ny further exploration into
    this area . . . would have undermined the defendant's ultimate
    defense that someone other than the defendant, i.e., the
    victim's mother, inflicted the victim's injuries."    The Appeals
    Court further reasoned that counsel's decision not to call an
    expert was not unreasonable because the research proffered by
    the defendant at the motion for a new trial "remains in the
    significant minority and subject to sizeable attack."     The court
    also agreed with the judge's ruling on the newly discovered
    evidence claim.   We granted the defendant's motion for further
    appellate review.
    Discussion.     1.   Ineffective assistance of counsel.   To
    prevail on a motion for a new trial claiming ineffective
    assistance of counsel, a defendant must show that there has been
    a "serious incompetency, inefficiency, or inattention of counsel
    -- behavior of counsel falling measurably below that which might
    be expected from an ordinary fallible lawyer," and that
    counsel's poor performance "likely deprived the defendant of an
    otherwise available, substantial ground of defence."
    Commonwealth v. Saferian, 
    366 Mass. 89
    , 96 (1974).    Where
    defense counsel makes a strategic decision not to present a
    potentially substantial defense, we "ask whether the decision
    25
    was manifestly unreasonable when made."   Commonwealth v. LaBrie,
    
    473 Mass. 754
    , 771 (2016).   See Commonwealth v. Kolenovic, 
    471 Mass. 664
    , 674-675 (2015) ("The manifestly unreasonable test,
    therefore, is essentially a search for rationality in counsel's
    strategic decisions, taking into account all the circumstances
    known or that should have been known to counsel in the exercise
    of his duty to provide effective representation to the client
    and not whether counsel could have made alternative choices").
    Where that strategic decision is made after conducting a
    complete investigation of the possible defense, we give
    deference to defense counsel's decision and determine whether it
    was manifestly unreasonable for counsel to forgo that defense
    based on the information available to counsel at the relevant
    time.   See Commonwealth v. Holliday, 
    450 Mass. 794
    , 807, cert.
    denied, 
    555 U.S. 947
    (2008); Commonwealth v. Candelario, 
    446 Mass. 847
    , 854-858 (2006) (counsel's failure to pursue lack of
    criminal responsibility defense was not manifestly unreasonable
    where "[counsel] took appropriate steps to investigate such
    defenses and, after doing so, made a tactical decision that the
    defenses were unlikely to succeed").   But where a strategic
    decision is made to conduct something less than a complete
    investigation of a potentially substantial defense, either
    because defense counsel decided to forgo that defense or to
    present it at trial without complete investigation, we ask
    26
    whether it was manifestly unreasonable to conduct so limited an
    investigation.   See 
    Labrie, supra
    , quoting Commonwealth v. Lang,
    
    473 Mass. 1
    , 14 (2015) (Hines, J., concurring) ("Strategic
    choices made before a complete investigation are reasonable
    '[only] to the extent that reasonable professional judgments
    support the limitation on investigation'"); Kolenovic, supra at
    670, 675 (counsel's decision to forgo further evaluation of
    defendant for posttraumatic stress disorder [PTSD] after
    consulting with one expert not manifestly unreasonable where
    "counsel had done what was necessary to identify the defense
    options based on PTSD" and "made the strategic decision that a
    lack of criminal responsibility or diminished capacity defense
    was unlikely to succeed and that further investigation was
    unnecessary").
    Defense counsel has a professional obligation to
    investigate all potentially substantial defenses.14   See
    Commonwealth v. Alcide, 
    472 Mass. 150
    , 160 (2015); Commonwealth
    v. Haggerty, 
    400 Mass. 437
    , 441-442 (1987).   The extent of
    investigation required to explore each potential defense depends
    on the strength of that defense relative to the availability and
    strength of other potential defenses.   See Kolenovic, 
    471 Mass. 14
           Defense counsel has no duty to investigate a
    theoretically possible defense that is not potentially
    substantial. See Commonwealth v. Holliday, 
    450 Mass. 794
    , 807,
    cert. denied, 
    555 U.S. 947
    (2008).
    27
    at 676 ("choice between a [lack of criminal responsibility]
    defense that . . . would require riding 'two horses,' and a
    viable alternative defense based on the factually unassailable
    intoxication defense developed by counsel" justified lack of
    investigation into lack of criminal responsibility defense);
    Haggerty, supra at 442 ("[f]ailure to investigate the only
    defense a defendant has, if facts known to or with minimal
    diligence accessible to counsel support that defense, falls
    beneath the level of competency expected").   See also 
    Lang, 473 Mass. at 15
    (Hines, J., concurring); Commonwealth v. Baker, 
    440 Mass. 519
    , 529 (2003).
    Here, the defendant's trial counsel chose not to consult
    with any further experts after speaking with one expert who he
    knew did not question the validity of shaken baby syndrome and
    who, without having viewed the medical records, offered the
    opinion that Veronica's injuries could not possibly have been
    caused by the accidental falls described by the defendant.     We
    consider whether, in the circumstances of this case, it was
    manifestly unreasonable for counsel to have decided to confer
    with no other expert who might challenge the diagnosis of shaken
    baby syndrome or who might challenge the opinion that Veronica's
    symptoms could not possibly have been caused by the accidental
    falls described by the defendant.
    28
    As became apparent at trial, defense counsel reasonably had
    two alternative lines of defense:   he could argue that there was
    a reasonable doubt whether the defendant caused Veronica's
    injuries because of the possibility that her injuries were
    caused by the accidental falls she sustained earlier that
    morning -- falling down the stairs, falling off the stool, or
    the cumulative effect of both falls; or that there was a
    reasonable doubt whether the defendant caused Veronica's
    injuries because of the possibility that Comeau intentionally
    inflicted the injury.   The accidental defense had significant
    evidentiary support in that the defendant had consistently
    reported that Veronica fell down the stairs earlier that morning
    and had fallen off the stool at breakfast.      The defendant's
    report that Veronica fell from the stool was strongly
    corroborated:
       The defendant told Fletcher about it when he arrived at the
    home, and Fletcher saw a "bump" over Veronica's left eye;
       When Comeau came home during her lunch break, the "bump"
    was now "dime-sized," and the defendant told her that
    Veronica had fallen from the stool; and
       Veronica herself told Comeau that she had hit her head.
    Moreover, although the prosecution theory was that the defendant
    violently shook Veronica after Delilah had reported that
    Veronica had fallen, defense counsel reasonably could have
    29
    argued that Veronica was already unconscious when Delilah called
    (as the defendant reported to police) because a four year old is
    unlikely to report to his or her caretaker an ordinary fall by a
    two year old sibling, especially when, as here, the sibling fell
    so often that she earned the nickname of "Tonka."    When Comeau
    returned to her home after Veronica had become unconscious, she
    reported that she saw a big "red and purple/black" lump on
    Veronica's forehead, which permitted the inference that the bump
    from the fall had grown into this discolored lump.
    At the time of trial, there was substantial scientific and
    medical literature that recognized the possibility that
    accidental short falls can cause serious head injuries in young
    children of the type generally associated with shaken baby
    syndrome.15   Numerous studies had also been published at the time
    15
    See, e.g., Roth, Raul, Ludes, & Willinger, Finite Element
    Analysis of Impact and Shaking Inflicted to a Child, 121 Int'l
    J. Legal Med. 223, 225 (2007) (based on computer simulation,
    eighteen inch fall as likely to cause subdural hemorrhage as
    shaking); Prange, Coats, Duhaime, & Margulies, Anthropomorphic
    Simulations of Falls, Shakes, and Inflicted Impacts in Infants,
    99 J. Neurosurgery 143 (2003) (shaking and minor falls produce
    similar rotational responses, with falls of only twelve inches
    with head impact producing accelerations in excess of those
    produced during shaking); Hymel, Jenny, & Block, Intracranial
    Hemorrhage and Rebleeding in Suspected Victims of Abusive Head
    Trauma: Addressing the Forensic Controversies, 7 Child
    Maltreatment 329 (2002) (describing two cases of serious head
    trauma from accidental short falls); Jenny, Shams, Rangarajan, &
    Fukuda, Development of a Biofidelic 2.5 kg Infant Dummy and Its
    Application to Assessing Infant Head Trauma During Violent
    Shaking, Injury Biomechanics Research, Proceedings of the
    Thirtieth International Workshop, at 138 (Nov. 10, 2002) (based
    30
    of trial challenging the view that shaking alone can produce the
    types of injuries associated with shaken baby syndrome.16
    Although these issues were hotly contested in the relevant
    medical and scientific fields, see People v. Ackley, 
    497 Mich. 381
    , 385 (2015); State v. Edmunds, 
    308 Wis. 2d 374
    , 385-386
    (2008), and although the experts who would support the positions
    beneficial to the defense were in the minority in this debate,
    there was significant medical and scientific support for these
    on biomechanical experiment, maximum head center of gravity
    acceleration produced by shaking less than one-third of that
    produced by rolling off sofa); Plunkett, Fatal Pediatric Head
    Injuries Caused by Short-Distance Falls, 22 Am. J. Forensic Med.
    & Pathology 1, 7-9 (2001) (symptoms attributed to shaken baby
    syndrome also found in fatal short falls); Christian, Taylor,
    Hertle, & Duhaime, Retinal Hemorrhages Caused by Accidental
    Household Trauma, 135 J. Pediatrics 125, 127 (1999) (reporting
    three cases of infants between seven months and thirteen months
    of age who had retinal hemorrhages after short falls); Hall,
    Reyes, Horvat, Meller, & Stein, The Mortality of Childhood
    Falls, 29 J. Trauma 1273-74 (1989) (of fatal falls by children
    in Cook County, Illinois, during four-year period, forty-one per
    cent were minor falls from less than three feet).
    16
    See, e.g., Bandak, Shaken Baby Syndrome: A Biomechanics
    Analysis of Injury Mechanisms, 151 Forensic Sci. Int'l 71, 78
    (2005) (infant shaking cannot cause serious injuries without
    also resulting in neck injury); Ommaya, Goldsmith, & Thibault,
    Biomechanics and Neuropathology of Adult and Pediatric Head
    Injury, 16(3) Brit. J. of Neurosurgery 220, 233 (2002) (based on
    standard biomechanical principles, shaken baby syndrome
    hypothesis requires forces that are biomechanically improbable
    and increased intracranial pressure is more likely to cause
    retinal bleeding than shaking); Duhaime, Gennarelli, Thibault,
    Bruce, Margulies, & Wiser, The Shaken Baby Syndrome: A
    Clinical, Pathological, and Biomechanical Study, 66 J.
    Neurosurgery 409, 413-414 (1987) (subjecting biomechanical model
    to repetitive violent shaking demonstrated that shaking fell
    below established injury thresholds).
    31
    minority positions.   See notes 15 and 16, supra; note 17, infra;
    
    Millien, 474 Mass. at 435
    n.16, 438 n.20.   There were also
    published articles that identified the methodological
    shortcomings of the research supporting the majority view on
    shaken baby syndrome,17 and that highlighted the difficulties
    faced by physicians in accurately diagnosing the cause of
    injuries that appear to have been caused by child abuse.18
    17
    See, e.g., Vinchon, Defoort-Dhellemmes, Desurmont, &
    Dhellemmes, Accidental and Nonaccidental Head Injuries in
    Infants: A Prospective Study, 102 J. Neurosurgery: Pediatrics
    380, 383 (2005) ("[T]he evaluation of the incidence of [retinal
    hemorrhages] in child abuse remains a self-fulfilling prophecy"
    because children are diagnosed as being abused "in great part
    based on the presence of [retinal hemorrhage]"); Donohoe,
    Evidence-Based Medicine and Shaken Baby Syndrome, 24 Am. J.
    Forensic Med. & Pathology 239, 240-241 (2003) (performing review
    of shaken baby syndrome literature from 1966 through 1998 and
    concluding that "there existed serious data gaps, flaws of
    logic, inconsistency of case definition, and a serious lack of
    tests capable of discriminating [non-accidental injury] cases
    from natural injuries. . . . [By 1999] the commonly held
    opinion that the finding of [subdural hematoma] and [retinal
    hemorrhages] in an infant was strong evidence of [shaken baby
    syndrome] was unsustainable"). For example, in one study
    seeking to determine whether short falls of children cause
    death, after finding an unexpectedly large number of deaths
    after reported short falls, the author excluded those deaths
    because they assumed those reports to be false. See Chadwick,
    Chin, Salerno, Landsverk, & Kitchen, Deaths from Falls in
    Children: How Far Is Fatal?, 31 J. Trauma 1353, 1355 (1991).
    18
    See, e.g., Christian, Taylor, Hertle, & Duhaime, Retinal
    Hemorrhages Caused by Accidental Household Trauma, 135 J.
    Pediatrics 125, 127 (1999) (recognizing overlap between
    accidental and abusive head injury and cautioning against
    presumption of abuse when infants under one year present with
    traumatic retinal hemorrhages); Sirotnak, Medical Disorders that
    Mimic Abusive Head Trauma, in Abusive Head Trauma in Infants and
    Children 191 (2006) (many conditions mimic abusive head trauma);
    32
    In contrast, the alternative defense that Comeau had shaken
    Veronica would have required a jury to accept as a reasonable
    possibility that the natural mother of Veronica, rather than the
    boy friend with no biological connection to Veronica, violently
    shook Veronica when she came home during her lunch break.      Apart
    from the inherent difficulty in persuading a jury to accept such
    a possibility, this defense suffered from two additional
    challenges:   Veronica appeared normal and continued to play
    after Comeau returned to work, and the defendant told the police
    that he did not believe Comeau had inflicted the injury.19     In
    light of these difficulties, it is not surprising that defense
    counsel told the judge on the first day of trial that he did not
    Barnes, Ethical Issues in Imaging Nonaccidental Injury: Child
    Abuse, 13(2) Topics in Magnetic Resonance Imaging 85, 86-87, 91
    (2002) (applying standard of evidence-based medicine to shaking
    mechanism and concluding that no scientific basis exists
    indicating force required to produce traumatic brain injury and
    that many conditions mimic child abuse); Case, Graham, Handy,
    Jentzen, & Monteleone, Position Paper on Fatal Abusive Head
    Injuries in Infants and Young Children, 22 Am. J. Forensic Med.
    & Pathology 112, 116-117 (2001) (acknowledging that retinal
    hemorrhages have many nontraumatic causes, including increased
    intracranial pressure, bleeding disorders, sepsis, meningitis,
    and vasculopathies, and that pathogenesis of retinal hemorrhages
    is not precisely understood).
    19
    Based on the information in the record, counsel made no
    effort to locate a medical expert who would support the
    contention that a child who suffered Veronica's injuries from a
    violent shaking could have a lucid interval between the shaking
    and the manifestation of symptoms.
    33
    intend to offer a defense of third-party culprit,20 and that he
    invited the jury in opening statement to consider whether
    Veronica's injuries were accidental rather than inflicted.
    Without an expert to testify to the possibility that
    Veronica's injuries might have been caused by her accidental
    falls, all that trial counsel was able to do to advance the
    theory of accident was to ask Dr. Wilson to acknowledge the
    existence of Dr. Plunkett's findings regarding short falls,
    which Dr. Wilson did and then noted that Dr. Plunkett's findings
    were not widely accepted within the national community of
    pediatricians and were not recognized by the American Academy of
    Pediatrics (AAP).   It should have been entirely foreseeable
    that, when defense counsel invites a prosecution expert to
    acknowledge findings in support of a minority position in the
    field of science or medicine, the expert will diminish the
    significance of those findings by testifying that they are not
    credited by the majority of experts in the field.   And without
    an expert to testify in support of the minority position, or
    vigorous cross-examination prepared with the assistance of such
    an expert, there is no reason to believe that a jury will be
    persuaded by a view rejected by the majority of experts in a
    20
    Defense counsel was able to resurrect the Comeau defense
    in closing argument only because the prosecutor elicited
    testimony from Dr. Wilson that a child after having been shaken
    may not immediately be unconscious or comatose, but would not
    likely be playful or eating normally.
    34
    learned field.   Defense counsel apparently recognized the
    futility of an accident defense without the testimony or aid of
    such an expert, because, in closing argument, he effectively
    abandoned the accident defense entirely, and asked the jury
    simply to consider who "struck the blow."21
    Having informed the judge at the beginning of trial that he
    did not plan to pursue a third-party culprit defense, defense
    counsel's failure to consult with any expert other than Dr.
    Sussman effectively meant that the defendant commenced trial
    without any substantial defense, even though further
    investigation would have supported a potentially substantial
    defense of accident.22   Trial counsel testified that he would
    have retained an expert to testify if he could have found one
    with "solid credentials" who could assist the defense.   But when
    asked if he made "any inquiries into whether any experts other
    than Dr. Plunkett would be helpful as witnesses in this case,"
    he answered, "No."   He also testified that he never contacted
    21
    Defense counsel in closing argument went so far as to
    tell the jury, mistakenly, that the defendant during his
    interviews with the police admitted that the falls he described
    could not have caused Veronica's injuries.
    22
    Apart from the substantial evidence that Veronica had
    suffered some head injury from her fall off the stool, the
    medical evidence revealed that Veronica suffered no neck injury.
    There was medical literature published at the time of trial that
    concluded that neck injury would be inevitable in a shaking so
    violent as to have caused the symptoms associated with shaken
    baby syndrome. See note 16, supra; 
    Millien, 474 Mass. at 433
    n.15.
    35
    any of the authors of the scholarly articles that questioned the
    validity of shaken baby syndrome or that recognized the
    possibility that short falls could cause the type of injuries
    usually associated with shaken baby syndrome.   Where there was
    strong, corroborated evidence that Veronica had suffered a head
    injury from at least one short accidental fall, where accident
    was the defense that counsel presented to the jury in opening
    statement, and where this defense was tenable only with the aid
    of an expert to challenge the majority views on short falls and
    shaken baby syndrome, it would have been manifestly unreasonable
    for counsel to have made so little effort to find and retain
    such an expert if there were experts available with "solid
    credentials," that is, experts who could have been found
    credible by a reasonable jury, and who challenged these views.
    Whether counsel's representation in this case was
    ineffective, therefore, rests on whether, at the time of trial
    in July, 2007, there were credible experts available who
    challenged the majority views on short falls and shaken baby
    syndrome.   The record, however, is sparse on this issue; the
    existence of scientific and medical studies would certainly
    provide the factual basis for an expert to offer a minority
    opinion on these subjects, but that does not mean that experts
    were readily available in 2007 who were prepared and willing to
    offer such opinions in a criminal case.   Dr. Scheller testified
    36
    that credible experts were available to testify in 2007, but we
    note that the judge did not find Dr. Scheller credible as an
    expert himself in part because of his assertions that ventured
    well beyond what was necessary to his opinion that the injuries
    suffered by Veronica reasonably could have been caused by her
    accidental falls.23   For reasons that will soon become clear,
    however, we need not determine whether it was manifestly
    unreasonable in 2007 for counsel to have failed to find a
    credible expert who shared the minority view in this scientific
    controversy.
    2.   Newly discovered evidence.   We now consider whether
    there was newly discovered evidence in the form of new
    scientific or medical findings.   Newly discovered evidence
    warrants a new trial where that evidence "would probably have
    been a real factor in the jury's deliberations" and where its
    absence at trial "casts real doubt on the justice of the
    conviction."   Commonwealth v. Cowels, 
    470 Mass. 607
    , 616, 617
    (2015), quoting Commonwealth v. Grace, 
    397 Mass. 303
    , 305, 306
    (1986).   Evidence is newly discovered where it was "unknown to
    the defendant or his counsel and not reasonably discoverable"
    through "reasonable pretrial diligence."    Grace, supra at 306.
    23
    For instance, the judge found "absurd" Dr. Scheller's
    testimony that people generally do not shake babies out of
    frustration and that the perception that they do is the result
    of "public relation campaigns launched by child abuse
    pediatricians."
    37
    Since the defendant's trial, several additional studies
    have been published that provide further support for the view
    that subdural hematomas, retinal hemorrhages, and other forms of
    significant head injury can result from accidental short falls.24
    More research has also been conducted that casts doubt on the
    view that shaking alone can cause serious head injury.25   And
    more articles have been published in medical and scholarly
    journals questioning the diagnostic significance of the symptoms
    previously thought indicative of shaken baby syndrome.26
    24
    See Barnes, Imaging of Nonaccidental Injury and the
    Mimics: Issues and Controversies in the Era of Evidence-Based
    Medicine, 49 Radiologic Clinics of N. Am. 205, 217 (2011) (based
    on clinical, biomechanical, neuropathological, and neuro-
    radiological evidence, significant head injury, including
    subdural and retinal hemorrhages, may result from low level
    falls); Squier, The "Shaken Baby" Syndrome: Pathology and
    Mechanisms, 122 Acta Neuropathologica 519 (2011) (same);
    Cummings, Trelka, & Springer, Atlas of Forensic Histopathology,
    Cambridge Univ. Press (2011) (skull fractures, subdural
    hematomas, and retinal hemorrhages have all been found after
    short falls); Lantz & Couture, Fatal Acute Intracranial Injury,
    Subdural Hematoma, and Retinal Hemorrhages Caused by Stairway
    Fall, 56(6) J. Forensic Sciences 1648 (2011) (case study of
    infant who fell from short height and had subdural hemorrhage,
    midline shift, mild edema, and severe retinal hemorrhages).
    25
    See, e.g., Jones, Martin, Williams, Kemp, & Theobald,
    Development of a Computational Biomechanical Infant Model for
    the Investigation of Infant Head Injury by Shaking, 55 Med.,
    Sci., & Law 291 (2015) (biomechanical study using computational
    model suggests shaking cannot generate levels of force necessary
    to produce injuries associated with abusive head trauma).
    26
    See Anderst, Carpenter, Abshire, Bleeding Disorders in
    Suspected Child Abuse, 131 Pediatrics 1314, 1320-1321 (2013)
    (demonstrating that bleeding disorders can cause or aggravate
    findings that can be attributed to abuse and recommending more
    38
    This research appears to have influenced the position of
    the AAP regarding the diagnosis of child abuse in head injuries.
    In July, 2001, the Committee on Child Abuse and Neglect of the
    AAP declared, "Although physical abuse in the past has been a
    diagnosis of exclusion, data regarding the nature and frequency
    of head trauma consistently support the need for a presumption
    of child abuse when a child younger than [one] year has suffered
    an intracranial injury."   Shaken Baby Syndrome:   Rotational
    Cranial Injuries -- Technical Report, 108 Pediatrics 206, 206
    (2001).   In 2009, however, the AAP acknowledged in a policy
    statement that "[f]ew pediatric diagnoses engender as much
    debate as [abusive head trauma]."   Christian, Block, & Committee
    on Child Abuse and Neglect of American Academy of Pediatrics,
    Abusive Head Trauma in Infants and Children, 123 Pediatrics
    1409, 1410 (2009).   The AAP recognized that the "[c]ontroversy
    is fueled because the mechanisms and resultant injuries of
    accidental and abusive head injury overlap, the abuse is rarely
    witnessed, an accurate history of trauma is rarely offered by
    the perpetrator, there is no single or simple test to determine
    extensive evaluations to test for presence of these disorders);
    Guthkelch, Problems of Infant Retino-Dural Hemorrhage with
    Minimal External Injury, 12 Hous. J. Health L. & Pol'y 201
    (2012) (due to the complexity of infant brain, "we should not
    expect to find an exact or constant relationship between the
    existence or extent of retino-dural hemorrhage and the amount of
    force involved, let alone the state of mind of the perpetrator.
    Nor should we assume that these findings are caused by trauma,
    rather than natural causes").
    39
    the accuracy of the diagnosis, and the legal consequences of the
    diagnosis can be so significant."   
    Id. The 2009
    policy
    statement no longer spoke of a presumption of child abuse, and
    instead declared, "A medical diagnosis of [abusive head trauma]
    is made only after consideration of all clinical data," noting
    that pediatricians "have a responsibility to consider
    alternative hypotheses when presented with a patient with
    findings suggestive of [abusive head trauma]."    
    Id. If defense
    counsel had offered expert testimony at trial
    questioning the validity of the scientific foundation of the
    diagnosis of shaken baby syndrome, and discussing the
    possibility that accidental short falls can cause injuries
    generally associated with shaken baby syndrome, the studies
    published after July, 2007, and the changes in the AAP policy
    statement might have lent more credibility to that expert
    testimony, but this generally would not be enough alone to
    justify a new trial.   See Commonwealth v. Shuman, 
    445 Mass. 268
    ,
    275-276 (2005) (where defendant offered expert testimony at
    trial, proffer of new scientific evidence that constitutes
    "mere[] . . . broadening of the research . . . already present
    in legal and scientific circles" or "mere addition of further
    information to the preexisting debate" would not be "significant
    enough to create a substantial risk that the jury would have
    reached a different conclusion had the evidence been admitted at
    40
    trial"); Commonwealth v. LeFave, 
    430 Mass. 169
    , 181 (1999).
    But, here, defense counsel did not present any expert testimony
    because he claimed he could not find an expert with "solid
    credentials" who could assist the defense.    Consequently, apart
    from the brief reference to Dr. Plunkett's research on
    accidental falls referenced on cross-examination, the jury heard
    nothing that would allow them to have a reasonable doubt whether
    Veronica's injuries had been caused by her accidental falls.
    Yet, in view of the new research published after trial and the
    number of published court cases where such experts have
    testified, competent counsel today would, with diligent effort,
    have been able to retain such an expert and offer the jury an
    alternative interpretation of the evidence.   See, e.g., In re
    Fero, 
    192 Wash. App. 138
    , 156-157 (2016) ("the medical community
    now recognizes that [the constellation of injuries associated
    with shaken baby syndrome], which was once believed could only
    be inflicted by car accidents, long falls, or child abuse, can
    actually be caused by short falls and other low-impact
    accidents, in addition to various natural causes"); 
    Ackley, 497 Mich. at 391-392
    (noting "prominent controversy within the
    medical community regarding the reliability of [shaken baby
    syndrome]/[abusive head trauma] diagnoses"); Edmunds, 
    308 Wis. 2d
    385-386 ("a significant and legitimate debate in the medical
    community has developed in the past ten years over whether
    41
    infants can be fatally injured through shaking alone, whether an
    infant may suffer head trauma and yet experience a significant
    lucid interval prior to death, and whether other causes may
    mimic the symptoms traditionally viewed as indicating shaken
    baby or shaken impact syndrome").
    Therefore, we confront this dilemma:   if the defendant were
    deprived of an available defense because counsel was
    ineffective, we would determine whether there was a substantial
    risk of a miscarriage of justice and, if there was, we would
    conclude that the interests of justice require a new trial.     See
    
    Millien, 474 Mass. at 432
    ("substantial risk of a miscarriage of
    justice" standard is same as prejudice standard under second
    prong of ineffective assistance of counsel test).   But what do
    we do if we determine that the defendant was deprived of a
    substantial defense only because, if the trial were conducted
    today, it would be manifestly unreasonable for counsel to fail
    to find and retain a credible expert given the evolution of the
    scientific and medical research?27
    27
    We emphasize that our focus on the search for a credible
    expert is framed by the unusual circumstances of this case.
    Where the medical and scientific community is less divided or
    where the minority position has less medical or scientific
    support, or alternatively, where the defense is weaker relative
    to other reasonably available defenses, it is generally not
    manifestly unreasonable to consult only with one expert when
    that expert offers an opinion that a defense is not viable.
    This is especially true where the defense rarely succeeds, such
    as a defense of lack of criminal responsibility. See
    42
    We conclude that our touchstone must be to do justice, and
    that requires us to order a new trial where there is a
    substantial risk of a miscarriage of justice because a defendant
    was deprived of a substantial defense, regardless whether the
    source of the deprivation is counsel's performance alone, or the
    inability to make use of relevant new research findings alone,
    or the confluence of the two.   See Commonwealth v. Brescia, 
    471 Mass. 381
    , 388 (2015) ("if it appears that justice may not have
    been done, the valuable finality of judicial proceedings must
    yield to our system's reluctance to countenance significant
    individual injustices").
    Therefore, we need not determine whether it was manifestly
    unreasonable in July, 2007, for trial counsel to have failed to
    Commonwealth v. Kolenovic, 
    471 Mass. 664
    , 675 (2015) (noting
    "extreme difficulty in successfully defending a murder case
    based on a lack of criminal responsibility defense"). But the
    research regarding cases where the prosecutor contends that a
    young child was injured by a violent shaking suggests that "the
    most important predictor of an acquittal is the defense
    presentation of nationally prominent experts who challenge the
    science." Tuerkheimer, The Next Innocence Project: Shaken Baby
    Syndrome and the Criminal Courts, 87 Wash. U. L. Rev. 1, 37-38
    (2009). In cases such as these, where there is strong evidence
    that a young child hit his or her head after an accidental fall
    shortly before the child's devastating head injuries became
    manifest, defense counsel might reasonably choose not to present
    an expert at trial to testify to the possibility that a short
    fall could have caused the injuries, and might reasonably
    decline to pursue a short fall defense at trial, but it is
    manifestly unreasonable for counsel to make such a strategic
    decision without making a diligent effort to consult with an
    expert with "solid credentials" who recognizes the possibility
    that short falls can cause severe injuries in young children.
    43
    make the additional effort needed to find an appropriate expert.
    It suffices that we conclude that the defendant was deprived of
    a defense from the confluence of counsel's failure to find such
    an expert and the evolving scientific research that demonstrates
    that a credible expert could offer important evidence in support
    of this defense.28
    3.    Prejudice.   In evaluating whether there is a
    substantial risk of a miscarriage of justice arising from the
    deprivation of this defense, we conduct a prejudice analysis
    comparable to the analysis we conduct after finding that defense
    counsel was ineffective or that newly discovered evidence has
    emerged.   See 
    Millien, 474 Mass. at 432
    (where it was manifestly
    unreasonable for counsel to fail to present defense, we
    determine whether "we have a serious doubt whether the jury
    verdict would have been the same had the defense been
    presented"); 
    Grace, 397 Mass. at 305-306
    (newly discovered
    evidence warrants new trial where that evidence "would probably
    have been a real factor in the jury's deliberations" and its
    absence at trial "casts real doubt on the justice of the
    conviction").   We have a serious doubt in this case whether the
    28
    Although we conclude that the judge erred in failing to
    evaluate under Mass. R. Crim. P. 30 (b), as appearing in 
    435 Mass. 1501
    (2001), whether "justice may not have been done"
    because of the confluence of counsel's performance and the
    evolving scientific research, we recognize that we can cite no
    case presenting the unusual circumstances found here that would
    justify such an analysis.
    44
    jury verdict would have been the same had the jury heard expert
    testimony regarding the possibility that short falls can cause
    severe head injuries in young children.
    Here, the prosecution was able to persuade the jury that it
    had eliminated the alternative explanation of accidental short
    falls because the only medical expert who testified offered the
    opinion that injuries of the type and severity suffered by
    Veronica could not have been caused by the short falls described
    by the defendant, and the only evidence to the contrary was the
    brief reference to Dr. Plunkett's study on short falls, the
    findings of which the jury learned from Dr. Wilson were not
    widely accepted within the national community of pediatricians
    and had not been recognized by the AAP.   If the jury had learned
    that injuries of the type and severity suffered by Veronica
    could have been caused by short falls of the type described by
    the defendant, they might have had reasonable doubt whether the
    defendant violently shook Veronica after he left Fletcher to go
    upstairs.   A reasonable jury could have found that Veronica fell
    down the stairs and later fell off the kitchen stool, and that
    one (or the combination) of these falls caused the bump on her
    forehead that had grown to the size of a dime when Comeau came
    home on her lunch break and grew into a discolored lump by the
    time she returned home.   Based on Dr. Wilson's testimony, a
    reasonable jury could have found that Veronica could have
    45
    remained conscious after even a severe fall, and lost
    consciousness after a lucid interval.   A reasonable jury could
    also have inferred that Delilah called the defendant to tell him
    that Veronica had fallen, not because of any routine fall, but
    because Veronica had fallen after losing consciousness, and that
    the defendant found her unconscious when he went upstairs.    The
    missing link in the defendant's accident defense was any
    credible expert evidence that one or both of these accidental
    falls could have caused Veronica's injuries.
    Were an expert such as Dr. Scheller to testify at such a
    trial today, the expert could offer the opinion that it is
    possible for a child to suffer serious head injuries from an
    accidental short fall.   See notes 15 and 24, supra; 
    Millien, 474 Mass. at 435
    n.16; In re 
    Fero, 192 Wash. App. at 156-157
    .     Once
    the expert's opinion is challenged on cross-examination, the
    expert on redirect examination could cite and explain the
    numerous studies published in peer-reviewed journals that
    support this proposition.   Such an expert witness on redirect
    examination also could cite and explain the numerous studies
    challenging the view that shaking alone can produce injuries of
    the type and severity suffered by Veronica.    See notes 16 and
    25, supra; 
    Millien, 474 Mass. at 433
    n.15.     See also Cavazos v.
    Smith, 
    132 S. Ct. 2
    , 10 (2011) (Ginsburg, J., dissenting),
    quoting Edmunds, 
    308 Wis. 2d
    at 385 ("[d]oubt has increased in
    46
    the medical community 'over whether infants can be fatally
    injured through shaking alone'").   If such an expert were to
    cause the jury to doubt whether violent shaking alone could have
    caused Veronica's severe injuries, they may ask whether there is
    any evidence that Veronica was not only shaken, but perhaps
    slammed against the wall or thrown to the floor.   But Fletcher
    heard nothing unusual while the defendant was upstairs, and
    Veronica did not suffer any skull fracture or neck injuries.
    And if such an expert were to cause the jury to question whether
    Veronica's injuries were caused by impact trauma rather than
    violent shaking, they might more carefully consider whether the
    impact trauma described by the defendant -- Veronica's fall down
    the stairs and off the kitchen stool -- could have caused her
    head injuries.
    Such expert opinion testimony likely would be challenged on
    cross-examination or by a prosecution expert called in rebuttal,
    where the studies in peer-reviewed journals that support the
    prosecution theory of shaken baby syndrome could be cited and
    discussed.   We need not determine who would prevail in this
    battle of the experts, or whether the defendant would be found
    not guilty were it presented.   We need only determine, in the
    circumstances of this case, whether there is a substantial risk
    of a miscarriage of justice where the jury heard no scientific
    or medical expert challenging the majority views on shaken baby
    47
    syndrome and short falls, and where new research has emerged
    since the time of trial that would lend credibility to the
    opinion of such an expert.   Because we conclude that there is a
    substantial risk of a miscarriage of justice here, we cannot
    allow this conviction to stand.
    Conclusion.   We conclude that, in the circumstances of this
    case, there was a substantial risk of a miscarriage of justice,
    and we therefore reverse the denial of the defendant's motion
    for a new trial, vacate the conviction, and remand the case to
    the Superior Court for a new trial.
    So ordered.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: SJC 11921

Citation Numbers: 474 Mass. 743

Filed Date: 7/14/2016

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023