Set Capital LLC v. Credit Suisse Group AG ( 2021 )


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  • 19-3466
    Set Capital LLC v. Credit Suisse Group AG
    In the
    United States Court of Appeals
    For the Second Circuit
    ________
    AUGUST TERM, 2019
    ARGUED: APRIL 30, 2020
    DECIDED: APRIL 27, 2021
    No. 19-3466-cv
    SET CAPITAL LLC, STEFAN JAGER, NIKOLAY DROZHZHINOV,
    ALEKSANDR GAMBURG, ACM, LTD.,
    Lead Plaintiffs-Appellants,
    RAJAN CHAHAL, individually and on behalf of all others similarly
    situated, SHAOLEI QIU, GLENN EISENBERG,
    Plaintiffs,
    v.
    CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG, DAVID R. MATHERS, TIDJANE THIAM,
    CREDIT SUISSE AG, CREDIT SUISSE INTERNATIONAL, JANUS HENDERSON
    GROUP PLC, JANUS INDEX & CALCULATION SERVICES LLC, JANUS
    DISTRIBUTORS, LLC, DBA JANUS HENDERSON DISTRIBUTORS,
    Defendants-Appellees.
    ________
    Appeal from the United States District Court
    for the Southern District of New York.
    ________
    2                                                        No. 19-3466-cv
    Before: WALKER, POOLER, and LYNCH, Circuit Judges.
    ________
    Set Capital LLC, Stefan Jager, Nikolay Drozhzhinov, Aleksandr
    Gamburg, and ACM, Ltd. (collectively, Set Capital) brought this
    securities class action lawsuit against Credit Suisse Group AG, Credit
    Suisse AG, and Credit Suisse International (collectively, Credit
    Suisse); Credit Suisse’s CEO Tidjane Thiam and CFO David R.
    Mathers (together, the Individual Defendants); and Janus Henderson
    Group PLC, Janus Index & Calculation Services LLC, and Janus
    Distributors, LLC, doing business as Janus Henderson Distributors
    (collectively, Janus). Set Capital principally alleges that, on February
    5, 2018, Credit Suisse, Janus, and the Individual Defendants executed
    a complex fraud to collapse the market for VelocityShares Daily
    Inverse VIX Short Term Exchange Traded Notes (XIV Notes), earning
    hundreds of millions of dollars in profit at their investors’ expense.
    The district court (Torres, J.) dismissed the complaint for failure to
    plead a strong inference of scienter. For the reasons that follow, we
    AFFIRM in part and VACATE and REMAND in part.
    ________
    MICHAEL EISENKRAFT (Laura H. Posner, Carol V.
    Gilden, and Eric S. Berelovich, on the brief), Cohen
    Milstein Sellers & Toll PLLC, New York, New
    York, for Appellants Set Capital LLC, Stefan Jager,
    Nikolay Drozhzhinov, Aleksandr Gamburg, and ACM,
    Ltd.
    HERBERT SCOTT WASHER (David G. Januszewski,
    Nola B. Heller, Peter J. Linken, on the brief), Cahill
    Gordon & Reindel LLP, New York, New York, for
    Appellees Credit Suisse Group AG, Credit Suisse AG,
    Credit Suisse International, Tidjane Thiam, and David
    R. Mathers
    3                                                       No. 19-3466-cv
    JASON M. HALPER (Jared J. Stanisci, Gillian Groarke
    Burns, Tianyin Luo, Victor M. Bieger, on the brief),
    Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft LLP, New York,
    New York, for Appellees Janus Henderson Group
    PLC, Janus Index & Calculation Services LLC, and
    Janus Distributors, LLC
    ________
    JOHN M. WALKER, JR., Circuit Judge:
    Set Capital LLC, Stefan Jager, Nikolay Drozhzhinov, Aleksandr
    Gamburg, and ACM, Ltd. (collectively, Set Capital) brought this
    securities class action lawsuit against Credit Suisse Group AG, Credit
    Suisse AG, and Credit Suisse International (collectively, Credit
    Suisse); Credit Suisse’s CEO Tidjane Thiam and CFO David R.
    Mathers (together, the Individual Defendants); and Janus Henderson
    Group PLC, Janus Index & Calculation Services LLC, and Janus
    Distributors, LLC, doing business as Janus Henderson Distributors
    (collectively, Janus). Set Capital principally alleges that, on February
    5, 2018, Credit Suisse, Janus, and the Individual Defendants executed
    a complex fraud to collapse the market for VelocityShares Daily
    Inverse VIX Short Term Exchange Traded Notes (XIV Notes), earning
    hundreds of millions of dollars in profit at their investors’ expense.
    The district court (Torres, J.) dismissed the complaint for failure to
    plead a strong inference of scienter. For the reasons that follow, we
    AFFIRM in part and VACATE and REMAND in part.
    BACKGROUND
    This appeal stems from the February 5, 2018 collapse of the
    market for certain investment vehicles called XIV Notes. XIV Notes
    were a derivative financial product that increased in value when the
    market was calm and decreased in value when the market was
    volatile. The notes were issued by Credit Suisse and priced based on
    the inverse of a volatility index called the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term
    4                                                          No. 19-3466-cv
    Futures Index (VIX Futures Index).
    This case concerns Set Capital’s allegation that, after observing
    prior episodes of market volatility, Credit Suisse discerned an ability
    to depress prices for XIV Notes by purchasing VIX futures contracts
    on days when volatility spiked. In essence, Set Capital claims that
    Credit Suisse used this knowledge as part of a scheme to sell millions
    of XIV Notes before engineering a near-total collapse in their price
    through just 15 minutes of its own trading. Set Capital further alleges
    that Janus, although not directly involved in this manipulative
    scheme, exacerbated the damage by failing to publish accurate prices
    for XIV Notes during the window of time when the value of those
    notes collapsed. The complaint alleges that the scheme cost investors
    $1.8 billion while at the same time allowing Credit Suisse to realize
    more than $475 million in gains.
    In the background section that follows, we explain in detail: (1)
    the characteristics of XIV Notes, including their relationship to the
    VIX Futures Index; (2) the way Credit Suisse’s trading impacted
    prices for XIV Notes during prior episodes of market volatility; (3) the
    extent to which Credit Suisse and Janus warned investors about risks
    of investing in XIV Notes; and (4) the remarkable collapse of XIV
    Notes following significant volatility on February 5, 2018. As always
    at this stage of the litigation, we draw our discussion of the facts from
    the complaint, which must be taken as true. 1
    1. The Characteristics of XIV Notes
    XIV Notes were Exchange Traded Notes (ETNs) issued and
    sold by Credit Suisse and placed and marketed by Janus. The notes
    were traded on NASDAQ and were related to the Chicago Board
    Options Exchange’s VIX Index (VIX Index). The VIX Index is not an
    1   See J. App. at 26–125 (complaint).
    5                                                         No. 19-3466-cv
    asset, but rather a measure of expected volatility in the stock market.
    When the market expects higher volatility, the VIX Index increases.
    When the market expects lower volatility, the VIX Index decreases.
    Because it measures expected swings in the market, the VIX Index is
    sometimes referred to as Wall Street’s “fear index” or “fear gauge.” 2
    Although the VIX Index is not a tradable asset, investors may
    take a position on future levels of market volatility by purchasing
    futures contracts on the VIX Index. 3 When viewed in the aggregate,
    the prices of these futures contracts provide a window into whether
    investors expect market volatility to rise or fall over a specified period
    of time. To help investors digest this information, S&P created the
    S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index (VIX Futures Index), which
    tracks a portfolio of short-term futures contracts on the VIX Index.
    The XIV Notes at issue in this case were designed to track the
    inverse (or opposite) of the VIX Futures Index.            This inverse
    relationship between XIV Notes and the VIX Futures Index meant
    that investors in XIV Notes would profit from low volatility in the
    stock market. As market volatility declined and prices underlying the
    VIX Futures Index decreased, the value of XIV Notes would increase
    by an equivalent amount. The converse, of course, was also true. As
    market volatility increased and prices underlying the VIX Futures
    Index rose, the value of XIV Notes would decline proportionally.
    In the event of early redemption, acceleration, or maturity of
    the XIV Notes, Credit Suisse agreed to pay noteholders based on the
    notes’ “closing indicative value.” An affiliate of Janus, Janus Index &
    Calculation Services LLC (JIC), calculated the closing indicative value
    at the end of each trading day using a formula that automatically
    2See Compl. ¶ 50.
    3 A futures contract is an agreement to purchase or sell a particular
    commodity on a later date at a predetermined price.
    6                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    adjusted the notes’ value based on the inverse of price changes
    observed on the VIX Futures Index. 4 Because the closing indicative
    value was calculated only once each day, JIC also computed an
    “intraday indicative value” every 15 seconds, which was used by
    investors trading their notes in the secondary market. 5 JIC used the
    same formula to automatically calculate this value, which was
    promptly distributed by NASDAQ. Although the intraday indicative
    value reflected only a theoretical price for XIV Notes, the secondary
    market price tracked the intraday indicative value on a typical day.
    To receive a payment from Credit Suisse based on the closing
    indicative value, XIV noteholders could redeem their notes early or
    attempt to hold their notes through maturity. But noteholders could
    not fully control the timing of their notes’ redemption: As disclosed
    to investors, Credit Suisse could accelerate the redemption of all XIV
    Notes either at its option or upon the occurrence of one or more pre-
    defined “Acceleration Events.” 6 If Credit Suisse accelerated the notes
    at its option, noteholders would receive a payment based on the
    closing indicative value on a predetermined date no earlier than five
    business days after receiving notice of the acceleration. If Credit
    Suisse declared an Acceleration Event, noteholders would receive a
    payment based on the closing indicative value on the day the
    acceleration was declared. As relevant here, one Acceleration Event
    would occur if, at any point, the intraday indicative value of the XIV
    4 JIC had “the sole ability to calculate and disseminate the Closing
    Indicative Value” of the XIV Notes. J. App. at 187.
    5 The Offering Documents (to be described) state that “JIC or its affiliate
    is responsible for computing and disseminating the Intraday Indicative
    Value.” Id. at 135, 145.
    6 An affiliate of Credit Suisse, Credit Suisse International (CSI), had “the
    sole ability to make determinations with respect to . . . certain Acceleration
    Events.” Id. at 187.
    7                                                          No. 19-3466-cv
    Notes fell such that it was less than or equal to 20 percent of the prior
    day’s closing indicative value. 7
    2. Prior Episodes of Market Volatility Impacting XIV Notes
    Due to sustained periods of stability in the market, XIV
    noteholders for the most part saw the value of XIV Notes climb from
    2010 until 2018. On three occasions in 2011, 2015, and 2016, however,
    significant episodes of market volatility caused the value of VIX
    futures contracts to spike and, correspondingly, the value of XIV
    Notes to drop. During these three volatility spikes, Credit Suisse, as
    well as other issuers of volatility-related ETNs, bought large
    quantities of VIX futures contracts, which were increasing in value, in
    order to offset or “hedge” against potential losses in the ETNs they
    issued, which were decreasing in value. 8 Each time they attempted
    to do so, however, there was insufficient liquidity in the VIX futures
    market—that is, not enough VIX futures contracts to meet the
    hedging demand. As a result of this liquidity squeeze, Credit Suisse’s
    hedging purchases caused the price of VIX futures contracts to spike
    over and above what would have been expected based on market
    volatility alone. At the same time, these spikes caused the value of
    XIV Notes—the inverse of the VIX Futures Index—to temporarily
    plummet.
    Pursuant to Credit Suisse’s internal risk protocols, all three of
    these liquidity incidents were promptly reported to Credit Suisse’s
    Capital Allocation and Risk Management Committee (CARMC), of
    which the Individual Defendants were members. In response, Credit
    7 Id. at 184.
    8 In these circumstances, Credit Suisse routinely hedged by taking short
    positions on VIX futures contracts. Thus, a drop in the VIX Futures Index
    would increase Credit Suisse’s obligations to XIV noteholders but would
    also allow Credit Suisse to profit from its short position. See Compl. ¶ 66.
    8                                                         No. 19-3466-cv
    Suisse sought alternative ways to hedge its own exposure to XIV
    Notes.     On July 1, 2016, Credit Suisse announced (July 2016
    Announcement) that it may condition all future sales of XIV Notes on
    the counterparty’s agreement “to sell to Credit Suisse certain hedging
    instruments consistent with Credit Suisse’s hedging strategy,
    including but not limited to swaps.” 9
    Following the July 2016 Announcement, Credit Suisse
    increased the volume of XIV Notes in the market. On June 30, 2017,
    it offered an additional 5,000,000 notes on top of the roughly 9,000,000
    notes that were already issued and outstanding. And on January 29,
    2018, it offered another 16,275,000 notes on top of the roughly
    10,800,000 notes then-outstanding.       While only a portion of the
    16,275,000 notes were ultimately sold between January 29 and
    February 5, this last offering flooded the market with millions of XIV
    Notes just days before their value collapsed. 10 Notably, Credit Suisse
    offered and issued these notes despite shareholder pressure to
    eliminate sales of volatility-related ETNs. It also took these actions
    even though increasing the volume of XIV Notes outstanding would
    require Credit Suisse, in the event of another jump in market
    volatility, to increase its hedging activity by purchasing additional
    VIX futures contracts. As Credit Suisse knew, these purchases would
    exacerbate the illiquidity that contributed to the three prior price
    drops of XIV Notes in 2011, 2015, and 2016.
    9Compl. ¶ 75.
    Between January 29 and February 2, 2018, Credit Suisse issued at least
    10
    4,200,000 of the 16,275,000 XIV Notes offered, increasing the volume of XIV
    Notes outstanding by more than 38.9%. This increase does not account for
    additional sales of XIV Notes that may have occurred between February 3
    and February 5, 2018, at which point the market for XIV Notes collapsed.
    9                                                         No. 19-3466-cv
    3. Disclosures in the Offering Documents
    Credit Suisse and Janus issued a prospectus for the XIV Notes
    as well as a supplement (together, the Offering Documents) in
    connection with their offering of the 16,275,000 notes on January 29,
    2018. The Offering Documents detailed the structure of XIV Notes
    (referred to in the documents as “ETNs”), the conditions under which
    Credit Suisse would pay XIV noteholders, and the methods for
    calculating the closing and intraday indicative values.
    The Offering Documents also contained numerous warnings
    concerning risks of investing in XIV Notes. They informed investors
    that XIV Notes were “designed as short-term trading vehicles for
    investors managing their portfolios on a daily basis.” 11 They warned
    investors that “[t]he long term expected value of your ETNs is zero,”
    and emphasized that “[i]f you hold your ETNs as a long term
    investment, it is likely that you will lose all or a substantial portion of
    your investment.” 12
    The Offering Documents also cautioned investors that Credit
    Suisse intended to hedge its exposure to XIV Notes through trading
    in related securities, including VIX futures contracts used to calculate
    the VIX Futures Index. In one section, the Offering Documents stated
    that “this hedging activity could affect the value of the [VIX Futures]
    Index, and accordingly the value of the ETNs.” 13 In another section,
    they stated, “Although we and our affiliates have no reason to believe
    that our or their hedging activities will have a material impact on the
    level of the applicable underlying [VIX Futures] Index, there can be
    no assurance that the level of the applicable underlying Index will not
    11 J. App. at 166–67 (emphasis omitted).
    12 Id. at 154 (emphases omitted).
    13 Id. at 151.
    10                                                        No. 19-3466-cv
    be affected.” 14 The Offering Documents acknowledged that Credit
    Suisse’s hedging trades “may result in [Credit Suisse’s] receipt of a
    profit, even if the market value of the ETNs declines,” 15 and further
    warned that Credit Suisse’s trading activity “may present a conflict”
    between the bank’s interests and the interests of investors. 16
    The Offering Documents additionally advised investors of risks
    related to the pricing of XIV Notes and Credit Suisse’s rights to
    accelerate the notes. With respect to the pricing of XIV Notes, they
    disclosed that the intraday indicative value may not accurately reflect
    the economic value of XIV Notes traded on the secondary market.
    They advised that “[t]he Intraday Indicative Value calculation is not
    intended as a price or quotation, or as an offer or solicitation for the
    purchase, sale, redemption, acceleration or termination of your ETNs,
    nor will it reflect hedging or transaction costs, credit considerations,
    market liquidity or bid-offer spreads.” 17 The Offering Documents
    further warned that the published prices on the VIX Futures Index
    could be subject to “delay or postponement,” which in turn would
    affect the accuracy of the intraday indicative value. 18 With respect to
    acceleration, they specifically advised investors that Credit Suisse
    retained the right to accelerate the notes at any time 19 and warned
    that, in the event of an acceleration, investors were “likely to lose part
    or all of [their] initial investment.” 20
    14Id. at 188.
    15Id. at 151.
    16 Id. at 163.
    17 Id. at 177.
    18 Id.
    19 Credit Suisse could declare an optional acceleration on any business
    day. See id. at 183. It could declare an Acceleration Event only in certain
    circumstances. Id.
    20 J. App. at 130, 140, 148, 152.
    11                                                       No. 19-3466-cv
    Following their review of the Offering Documents, Set Capital
    purchased XIV Notes during the class period of January 29 through
    February 5, 2018. During this period, Credit Suisse sold XIV Notes
    for prices as high as $135 per note, and the market cap for XIV Notes
    increased to approximately $1.9 billion.
    4. Market Volatility on February 5, 2018 and the Collapse of the
    Market for XIV Notes
    On February 5, 2018, the S&P 500 dropped 4.1 percent. As
    before, this spike in market volatility increased prices for VIX futures
    contracts comprising the VIX Futures Index and accordingly
    decreased the value of XIV Notes. Over the course of regular trading
    on February 5, the intraday indicative value of the nearly 15 million
    XIV Notes outstanding dropped more than 30 percent from $108.37
    to $72.59.
    Within 15 minutes after the close of regular trading at 4:00 p.m.,
    Credit Suisse purchased more than 105,000 VIX futures contracts to
    hedge its exposure in sales of XIV Notes. Credit Suisse’s purchases
    amounted to roughly one-fourth of the entire VIX futures market,
    which drove up trading to more than 167 times the usual volume. As
    was the case with the three prior incidents of market volatility, Credit
    Suisse’s hedging trades contributed to a liquidity squeeze that caused
    the prices of VIX futures contracts to skyrocket. By 4:09 p.m., just nine
    minutes into Credit Suisse’s hedge, this further spike in prices on the
    VIX Futures Index caused the value of XIV Notes to plummet to
    approximately $20. Six minutes later, by 4:15 p.m., Credit Suisse’s
    continued purchases of VIX futures contracts drove down the value
    12                                                            No. 19-3466-cv
    of XIV Notes to just over $4—a drop of more than 96 percent from the
    prior day’s closing indicative value. 21
    On top of all this, for one hour from 4:09 p.m. to 5:09 p.m., the
    intraday indicative value for XIV Notes was not updated every 15
    seconds as required and did not reflect an accurate valuation of the
    notes.      Instead, during this hour, the intraday indicative value
    updated only sporadically and valued the XIV Notes at about $24 to
    $27 per note (the Flatline Value).         This published Flatline Value
    persisted notwithstanding that, in reality, each note almost
    immediately was worth between $4.22 and $4.40. 22 It was not until
    5:09 p.m. (and after more than thirty minutes during which the
    intraday indicative value failed to update at all) that NASDAQ
    disseminated the correct intraday indicative value of $4.22. 23 During
    this hour, investors purchased more than $700 million in XIV Notes
    at inflated secondary market prices based on their incorrect belief that
    XIV Notes had weathered the spike in market volatility without
    triggering an Acceleration Event.
    21The complaint alleges that, based on historical data, a 4 percent drop
    in the S&P 500 should have caused prices for VIX futures contracts to jump
    by approximately 15 to 25 percent. As a result of Credit Suisse’s hedging
    trades, those prices in fact increased by nearly 100 percent. See Compl.
    ¶ 170.
    22 As Janus points out in its brief, the complaint does not allege that the
    intraday indicative value failed to accurately track the inverse of the VIX
    Futures Index, because that index had itself flatlined during the one hour
    in question. See Br. of Def.-Appellee Janus at 30–31; J. App. at 414–71.
    23 At 4:09:48 p.m., the intraday indicative value of the XIV Notes was
    reported as $27.0855, before updating at 4:12:33 p.m. to a value of $27.1951,
    updating at 4:12:47 p.m. to a value of $26.3182 and then, at 4:13:03 p.m.,
    updating to a value of $24.8933. There were slight fluctuations in the
    intraday indicative value until 4:38:34 p.m. when the value froze at
    $24.6961. See Compl. ¶ 174. There was no update thereafter until 5:09:05
    p.m. when the value was reported as $4.2217. Id.
    13                                                                No. 19-3466-cv
    But, of course, an Acceleration Event had occurred:                  The
    intraday indicative value of the XIV Notes plummeted more than 80
    percent from the prior day’s closing indicative value. Accordingly,
    on February 6, 2018, Credit Suisse issued a press release stating that
    the XIV Notes had experienced an Acceleration Event and that Credit
    Suisse would permanently cease issuing new XIV Notes. Shortly
    thereafter, Credit Suisse delivered an irrevocable call notice for all
    notes outstanding, selecting February 15 as the accelerated valuation
    date. On February 21, Credit Suisse terminated all XIV Notes and
    paid each investor $5.99 per note, the closing indicative value on
    February 15, 2018. This resulted in approximately $1.8 billion in
    market losses to investors, many of whom were Credit Suisse’s own
    clients.
    On April 25, 2018, Credit Suisse’s quarterly report stated that
    its equity sales and trading division earned approximately $490
    million for its own account in the prior fiscal quarter “due to more
    favorable trading conditions, particularly higher levels of volatility
    which benefited our derivatives business.” 24                 Although Credit
    Suisse’s records are not publicly available, Set Capital estimates that
    Credit Suisse earned between $475 and $542 million in profits when
    it redeemed the XIV Notes.
    5. Prior Proceedings
    After several plaintiffs sued Credit Suisse and Janus following
    the collapse of the XIV Notes, the actions were consolidated and Set
    Capital, one of the lead plaintiffs, filed a class action complaint. The
    complaint principally asserts three theories of primary liability under
    Sections 9(a) and 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
    (Exchange Act) 25 and Section 11 of the Securities Act of 1933
    24 Compl. ¶¶ 16, 194.
    25 See 15 U.S.C. § 78i(a) (Section 9(a)); 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b) (Section 10(b)).
    14                                                       No. 19-3466-cv
    (Securities Act). 26 First, Set Capital claims that Credit Suisse and the
    Individual Defendants engaged in a scheme to manipulate the market
    in violation of Section 10(b) by issuing millions of XIV Notes in
    January and February 2018 knowing or recklessly disregarding that
    their own hedging activity would trigger a liquidity squeeze in VIX
    futures contracts, destroy the value of XIV Notes, and allow Credit
    Suisse to accelerate the notes’ redemption at a substantial loss to
    investors while locking in a profit for its own account. Second, Set
    Capital claims that Credit Suisse and Janus made a material
    misstatement or omission in violation of Sections 9(a) and 10(b) by
    failing to correct the Flatline Value during afterhours trading on
    February 5. Third, Set Capital claims that the Offering Documents
    issued by Credit Suisse and Janus contained material misstatements
    or omissions in violation of Sections 10(b) and 11 by repeatedly
    warning of “risks” they knew were certain to occur. In addition, Set
    Capital claims that Credit Suisse and Janus are secondarily liable as
    “control persons” of Credit Suisse International (CSI) and JIC under
    Section 15 of the Securities Act 27 and Section 20(a) of the Exchange
    Act. 28
    Credit Suisse, Janus, and the Individual Defendants moved to
    dismiss the complaint on November 2, 2018. On August 16, 2019, the
    magistrate judge (Netburn, J.) recommended dismissal of all claims
    on the basis that Set Capital failed to plead a primary violation of
    Section 10(b), which overlaps in substance with the elements of
    Sections 9(a) and 11. Specifically, the magistrate judge concluded that
    Set Capital failed to allege an actionable misstatement or omission in
    the Offering Documents and that, although Set Capital sufficiently
    alleged acts of market manipulation and a misrepresentation in the
    26 See 15 U.S.C. § 77k (Section 11).
    27 See 15 U.S.C. § 77o (Section 15).
    28 See 15 U.S.C. § 78t(a) (Section 20(a)).
    15                                                           No. 19-3466-cv
    Flatline Value, the complaint failed to support a strong inference of
    scienter. Because in the magistrate judge’s view the complaint failed
    to allege a primary violation, the magistrate judge also recommended
    dismissal of Set Capital’s secondary claims under Sections 15 and
    20(a). On September 25, the district court issued an order adopting
    the recommendations of the magistrate judge in full and dismissing
    the action with prejudice. This appeal followed.
    DISCUSSION
    We review a district court’s dismissal of a complaint for failure
    to state a claim de novo, “accepting all factual claims in the complaint
    as true, and drawing all reasonable inferences in the plaintiff’s
    favor.” 29 “To survive a motion to dismiss, a complaint must contain
    sufficient factual matter, accepted as true, to ‘state a claim to relief that
    is plausible on its face.’” 30 A claim is facially plausible “when the
    plaintiff pleads factual content that allows the court to draw the
    reasonable inference that the defendant is liable for the misconduct
    alleged.” 31
    A complaint alleging securities fraud must also satisfy
    heightened pleading requirements set forth in Federal Rule of Civil
    Procedure 9(b) and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
    1995 (PSLRA). 32         Rule 9(b) requires litigants to “state with
    Anschutz Corp. v. Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc., 
    690 F.3d 98
    , 107 (2d Cir.
    29
    2012) (quoting Famous Horse Inc. v. 5th Ave. Photo Inc., 
    624 F.3d 106
    , 108 (2d
    Cir. 2010)).
    30 Ashcroft v. Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. 662
    , 678 (2009) (quoting Bell Atl. Corp. v.
    Twombly, 
    550 U.S. 544
    , 570 (2007)).
    31 Cavello Bay Reinsurance Ltd. v. Shubin Stein, 
    986 F.3d 161
    , 165 (2d Cir.
    2021) (quoting Iqbal, 
    556 U.S. at 678
    ).
    32 See ATSI Commc’ns, Inc. v. Shaar Fund, Ltd., 
    493 F.3d 87
    , 99 (2d Cir.
    2007).
    16                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    particularity the circumstances constituting fraud.” 33 To do so, a
    plaintiff must “(1) specify the statements that the plaintiff contends
    were fraudulent, (2) identify the speaker, (3) state where and when
    the statements were made, and (4) explain why the statements were
    fraudulent.” 34     The PSLRA, in turn, requires a plaintiff alleging
    securities fraud to (1) specify each misleading statement, (2) set forth
    the facts on which a belief that a statement is misleading was formed,
    and (3) state with particularity facts giving rise to a “strong inference”
    that the defendant acted with scienter—the required state of mind. 35
    In this appeal, Set Capital argues that the district court erred by
    dismissing its market manipulation and Flatline Value claims for
    failure to plead a strong inference of scienter. Set Capital also argues
    that the district court erred when it concluded that the complaint does
    not allege actionable misstatements or omissions in the Offering
    Documents. For the reasons that follow, we agree with Set Capital in
    part. We conclude that the complaint plausibly alleges a strong
    inference of scienter to support Set Capital’s claim for market
    manipulation, and that it has identified actionable misstatements or
    omissions in the Offering Documents. We agree with the district
    court, however, that the complaint does not support a strong
    inference that Credit Suisse and Janus acted with scienter when they
    failed to correct the Flatline Value during afterhours trading on
    February 5.
    Fed. R. Civ. P. 9(b).
    33
    34 In re Synchrony Fin. Sec. Litig., 
    988 F.3d 157
    , 167 (2d Cir. 2021) (quoting
    Anschutz, 690 F.3d at 108).
    35 15 U.S.C. § 78u–4(b)(2)(A); see also Anschutz, 690 F.3d at 108.
    17                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    I.        The Manipulative Scheme
    In proscribing the use of a “manipulative or deceptive device
    or contrivance,” 36 Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act “prohibits not
    only material misstatements but also manipulative acts.” 37 To state a
    claim for market manipulation under Section 10(b), a plaintiff must
    plausibly allege “(1) manipulative acts; (2) damage (3) caused by
    reliance on an assumption of an efficient market free of manipulation;
    (4) scienter; (5) in connection with the purchase or sale of securities;
    (6) furthered by the defendant’s use of the mails or any facility of a
    national securities exchange.” 38
    As we have described above, Set Capital claims that Credit
    Suisse and the Individual Defendants manipulated the market by
    issuing millions of additional XIV Notes knowing or recklessly
    disregarding the virtual certainty that their own hedging activity
    would trigger a liquidity squeeze in VIX futures contracts, destroy the
    value of XIV Notes, and allow Credit Suisse to accelerate and redeem
    the notes at a substantial loss to investors while locking in a profit for
    its own account.        Credit Suisse and the Individual Defendants
    contend that, even accepting these allegations as true, the complaint
    fails to allege a “manipulative act” and does not plead a strong
    inference of “scienter.” We disagree and hold that Set Capital has
    alleged a plausible claim of liability for market manipulation.
    See 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b) (Section 10(b)); see also 
    17 C.F.R. § 240
    .10b-5 (SEC
    36
    Rule 10b-5).
    37 ATSI, 
    493 F.3d at 99
    ; see also Lorenzo v. SEC, 
    139 S. Ct. 1094
    , 1101, 1105
    (2019) (explaining that Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act and SEC Rule 10b-
    5 “capture a wide range of conduct” and are “intended to root out all
    manner of fraud in the securities industry”).
    38 ATSI, 
    493 F.3d at 101
    .
    18                                                               No. 19-3466-cv
    A. Manipulative Act
    We turn first to the threshold question of whether Set Capital
    has plausibly alleged a “manipulative act.” As the Supreme Court
    has observed, the word “manipulative” is “virtually a term of art
    when used in connection with securities markets.” 39                   It “refers
    generally to practices, such as wash sales, matched orders, or rigged
    prices, that are intended to mislead investors by artificially affecting
    market activity,” 40 and “connotes intentional or willful conduct
    designed to deceive or defraud investors by controlling or artificially
    affecting the price of securities.” 41 For market activity to “artificially”
    affect a security’s price, we generally ask whether the transaction or
    series of transactions “sends a false pricing signal to the market” 42 or
    otherwise distorts estimates of the “underlying economic value” of
    the securities traded. 43 While a defendant may manipulate the market
    through open-market transactions, 44 some misrepresentation or
    nondisclosure is required. 45 Deception is the gravamen of a claim for
    market manipulation, and “the market is not misled when a
    transaction’s terms are fully disclosed.” 46
    39Ernst & Ernst v. Hochfelder, 
    425 U.S. 185
    , 199 (1976).
    40Santa Fe Indus., Inc. v. Green, 
    430 U.S. 462
    , 476 (1977).
    41 Ernst & Ernst, 
    425 U.S. at 199
    .
    42 ATSI, 
    493 F.3d at 100
    .
    43 
    Id.
     (quoting Sullivan & Long, Inc. v. Scattered Corp., 
    47 F.3d 857
    , 861 (7th
    Cir. 1995)).
    44 See 
    id.
     at 100–02.
    45 Wilson v. Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc., 
    671 F.3d 120
    , 130 (2d Cir. 2011); cf.
    Lorenzo, 
    139 S. Ct. at
    1100–01 (holding that “dissemination of false or
    misleading statements with intent to defraud” can qualify as a
    “manipulative or deceptive device” prohibited by Section 10(b) and SEC
    Rule 10b-5(a) and (c)).
    46 Wilson, 
    671 F.3d at 130
     (internal quotation marks, alteration, and
    citation omitted).
    19                                                        No. 19-3466-cv
    The complaint alleges manipulative conduct that is actionable
    under Section 10(b). Accepting the well-pleaded facts as true, three
    prior volatility spikes in 2011, 2015, and 2016 demonstrated the
    impact of Credit Suisse’s hedging trades. Each time volatility spiked,
    Credit Suisse’s hedging contributed to a liquidity squeeze in VIX
    futures contracts that depressed the value of XIV Notes further than
    what would have been expected from market volatility alone. The
    complaint alleges that Credit Suisse and the Individual Defendants
    used this knowledge as part of an undisclosed scheme to profit at
    their investors’ expense. By offering 5,000,000 XIV Notes on June 30,
    2017 and another 16,275,000 notes on January 29, 2018—millions of
    which were ultimately issued—Credit Suisse exacerbated the risk of
    illiquidity in the VIX futures market and created conditions in which
    it knew that its hedging trades would destroy the value of XIV Notes
    during the next volatility spike. When that spike occurred days later
    on February 5, 2018, Credit Suisse executed on the alleged scheme. It
    purchased more than 105,000 VIX futures contracts, caused the price
    of XIV Notes to plummet by more than 96 percent, and declared an
    Acceleration Event to lock in its profit. If proven at trial, this alleged
    conduct was manipulative under our precedents.
    Credit Suisse argues that the complaint fails to allege any
    “artificial” impact on the price of XIV Notes because its hedging
    trades were “done openly” for the legitimate purpose of “manag[ing]
    risk,” not deceiving investors. 47 To be sure, it is generally true that
    short selling or other hedging activity is not, by itself, manipulative—
    even when it occurs in high volumes and even when it impacts the
    market price for a security. 48 But here, the complaint alleges more
    than routine hedging activity: It alleges that Credit Suisse flooded the
    market with millions of additional XIV Notes for the very purpose of
    47 Br. of Def.-Appellee Credit Suisse at 45–46.
    48 See ATSI, 
    493 F.3d at 101
    .
    20                                                            No. 19-3466-cv
    enhancing the impact of its hedging trades and collapsing the market
    for the notes. In this context, it is no defense that Credit Suisse’s
    transactions were visible to the market and reflected otherwise legal
    activity.       Open-market transactions that are not inherently
    manipulative        may    constitute    manipulative       activity    when
    accompanied by manipulative intent. 49           In some cases, as here,
    “scienter is the only factor that distinguishes legitimate trading from
    improper manipulation.” 50        To the extent Credit Suisse claims it
    hedged for a legitimate purpose, its position contradicts the
    complaint. As we discuss in detail below, Set Capital specifically
    alleges that Credit Suisse executed its hedging trades on February 5
    for a manipulative purpose—to trigger a liquidity squeeze that would
    destroy the value of XIV Notes.
    B. Scienter
    We turn next to the element of scienter. To establish scienter,
    “a complaint may (1) allege facts that constitute strong circumstantial
    evidence of conscious misbehavior or recklessness, or (2) allege facts
    to show that defendants had both motive and opportunity to commit
    fraud.” 51 As the Supreme Court has instructed, we evaluate the
    sufficiency of a complaint’s allegations of scienter “holistically,”
    considering “all of the facts alleged, taken collectively,” rather than
    49See 
    id. at 100
     (requiring only “market activity aimed at deceiving
    investors as to how other market participants have valued a security”).
    50 
    Id. at 102
    ; see also Koch v. SEC, 
    793 F.3d 147
    , 153–54 (D.C. Cir. 2015),
    cert. denied, 
    577 U.S. 1235
     (2016) (holding that a “burst of trading” on the
    open market, combined with manipulative intent, was enough to violate
    the Exchange Act); Markowski v. SEC, 
    274 F.3d 525
    , 529 (D.C. Cir. 2001)
    (holding that “manipulation can be illegal solely because of the actor’s
    purpose” (internal quotation marks omitted)).
    51 Rombach v. Chang, 
    355 F.3d 164
    , 176 (2d Cir. 2004) (quoting Rothman v.
    Gregor, 
    220 F.3d 81
    , 90 (2d Cir. 2000)).
    21                                                            No. 19-3466-cv
    “any individual allegation, scrutinized in isolation.” 52             For an
    inference of scienter to be “strong,” as required by the PSLRA, “a
    reasonable person must deem it cogent and at least as compelling as any
    opposing inference one could draw from the facts alleged.” 53
    Accepting the facts alleged in the complaint as true, and drawing all
    reasonable inferences in Set Capital’s favor, we conclude that the
    allegations of scienter are at least as compelling as the competing
    inferences urged by Credit Suisse.
    Evidence of Conscious Misbehavior or Recklessness
    The complaint alleges circumstantial evidence of conscious
    misbehavior or recklessness that, when viewed holistically and
    together with the allegations of motive and opportunity, supports a
    strong inference of scienter.
    First, the complaint plausibly alleges that Credit Suisse and the
    Individual Defendants knew that, on days when market volatility
    increased, Credit Suisse’s hedging trades would cause a spike in the
    price for VIX futures contracts and an equally significant drop in the
    price for XIV Notes. As alleged in the complaint, Credit Suisse and
    the Individual Defendants would have become aware of this dynamic
    by observing the impact of their hedging trades during the three prior
    volatility spikes. On each of those occasions, Credit Suisse observed
    a liquidity squeeze in the VIX futures market which, as it caused
    prices for VIX futures contracts to spike, contributed to a sharp drop
    in the price for XIV Notes. A juror could reasonably infer that Credit
    Suisse was aware of this dynamic not only because the bank is a
    highly sophisticated financial institution and had experienced it first-
    hand on prior occasions, but also because of the actions that Credit
    Tellabs, Inc. v. Makor Issues & Rts., Ltd., 
    551 U.S. 308
    , 323, 326 (2007).
    52
    53 ATSI, 
    493 F.3d at 99
     (quoting Tellabs, 
    551 U.S. at 324
    ) (alterations
    omitted).
    22                                                      No. 19-3466-cv
    Suisse and the Individual Defendants took in response. Just seven
    days after the third spike in 2016, Credit Suisse (with approval from
    CARMC) issued the July 2016 Announcement conditioning the sale of
    new ETNs on the counterparty’s agreement to sell to Credit Suisse
    additional hedging instruments. Drawing all inferences in favor of
    Set Capital, a reasonable juror could conclude from this evidence that
    Credit Suisse recognized the danger of illiquidity in the VIX futures
    market and identified alternative ways to protect itself.
    Second, the complaint plausibly alleges that Credit Suisse
    knowingly or recklessly exacerbated the liquidity squeeze it had
    already observed in the VIX futures market by increasing the number
    of XIV Notes outstanding through its offerings of June 30, 2017 and
    January 29, 2018. When Credit Suisse offered 16,275,000 XIV Notes
    on the latter date, it knew that the scale of its hedging strategy would
    have to increase to account for its additional sales even though the
    liquidity in the VIX futures market would remain roughly the same.
    From these facts, a reasonable juror could conclude that Credit Suisse
    and the Individual Defendants sold millions of these notes either
    knowing or recklessly disregarding a substantial risk that, when the
    next volatility event occurred, Credit Suisse’s hedging trades would
    have an even greater negative impact on the value of XIV Notes than
    they had before. Moreover, the complaint specifically alleges that the
    Individual Defendants were aware of this risk, as Credit Suisse’s
    expansion of XIV Notes breached internal risk limits and thus
    required approval by CARMC. Accepting these allegations as true,
    the complaint invites a reasonable inference that Credit Suisse
    increased the volume of XIV Notes for a manipulative purpose—
    specifically, to ensure that Credit Suisse’s hedging trades would
    23                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    destroy the value of XIV Notes during the next volatility spike so that
    Credit Suisse could profit by declaring an Acceleration Event.
    In addition to these central facts, the complaint alleges
    supporting evidence of conscious misbehavior or recklessness that
    bolsters the inference of manipulative intent. Most significantly,
    Credit Suisse made false or misleading public statements regarding
    the expected impact of its hedging trades and the basis for Credit
    Suisse’s decision to declare an Acceleration Event. In the Offering
    Documents, for example, Credit Suisse minimized the expected
    impact of its hedging trades by stating that its hedging activity “could
    affect” the value of the VIX Futures Index 54 while at the same time
    affirming that it had “no reason to believe” that any impact would be
    “material.” 55 One of the Individual Defendants, Credit Suisse CEO
    Tidjane Thiam, also stated on February 14, 2018 that Credit Suisse
    announced an Acceleration Event because XIV Notes had “stopped
    trading,” when in fact they had not. 56 Although these statements are
    relevant only if we assume the truth of other allegations in the
    complaint, they tend to support a culpable inference because the
    complaint plausibly alleges that Credit Suisse and Thiam “knew facts
    or had access to information suggesting that their public statements
    were not accurate.” 57 In addition to these facts, the massive economic
    impact of the alleged manipulation, as well as the SEC’s decision to
    54J. App. at 151.
    55Id. at 188.
    56 Compl. ¶ 208.
    57 Emps.’ Ret. Sys. of Gov’t of the Virgin Islands v. Blanford, 
    794 F.3d 297
    ,
    306 (2d Cir. 2015) (quoting ECA, Local 134 IBEW Joint Pension Tr. of Chicago
    v. JP Morgan Chase Co., 
    553 F.3d 187
    , 199 (2d Cir. 2009)).
    24                                                           No. 19-3466-cv
    investigate Credit Suisse following the collapse of the XIV Notes,
    strengthen the inference that Set Capital asks us to draw. 58
    Credit Suisse principally argues that inconsistencies and
    contradictions in the complaint render Set Capital’s theory of scienter
    “implausible on [its] face.” 59 In its view, the complaint alleges that
    Credit Suisse had fully hedged itself by acquiring alternative hedging
    instruments after the July 2016 Announcement. Thus, Credit Suisse
    would have had no need to trade VIX futures contracts at all on
    February 5, 2018 and therefore could not have manipulated the
    market for XIV Notes by doing so. Credit Suisse further argues that,
    if its positions in XIV Notes were indeed fully hedged, its sales of XIV
    Notes in January and February 2018 would not have breached
    internal risk limits and therefore would not have been brought to the
    attention of the Individual Defendants.          While the district court
    credited this argument, we find it unpersuasive. Viewed in the light
    most favorable to Set Capital, the complaint does not allege that
    Credit Suisse had “fully” hedged its position. Rather, it alleges that
    Credit Suisse had the right to obtain alternative hedging instruments
    but did not significantly hedge its position until February 5, 2018,
    when it purchased 105,000 VIX futures contracts and caused the value
    of the XIV Notes to collapse.
    Credit Suisse also contends that the July 2016 Announcement
    does not qualify as a “specific document” demonstrating that Credit
    58See Rothman v. Gregor, 
    220 F.3d 81
    , 92 (2d Cir. 2000) (finding that the
    magnitude of the fraud supported an inference of conscious misbehavior or
    recklessness); In re Gentiva Sec. Litig., 
    932 F. Supp. 2d 352
    , 380 (E.D.N.Y.
    2013) (observing that, “while the existence of an [SEC] investigation alone
    is not sufficient to give rise to a requisite cogent and compelling inference
    of scienter,” “courts have considered a governmental investigation as one
    piece of the puzzle when taking a ‘holistic’ view”).
    59 Br. of Def.-Appellee Credit Suisse at 28.
    25                                                               No. 19-3466-cv
    Suisse understood the impact of its hedging activity and knew that a
    future volatility spike would occur. 60 We disagree. At the time of the
    July 2016 Announcement, Credit Suisse had observed five years of
    low market volatility punctuated by three volatility spikes. During
    each spike in volatility, Credit Suisse’s hedging trades created a
    liquidity squeeze that depressed the value of XIV Notes. Although
    we readily acknowledge that “no market movements are certain,” 61
    sophisticated investors like Credit Suisse routinely analyze patterns
    in market data to attempt to predict and profit from future market
    activity. Here, the July 2016 Announcement was issued only seven
    days after the most significant volatility spike in 2016 and it granted
    Credit Suisse the right to obtain additional instruments to hedge its
    exposure to sales of XIV Notes. Drawing all inferences in favor of Set
    Capital, the announcement directly reflected Credit Suisse’s
    awareness of the impact of its hedging strategy as well as its view that
    occasional spikes in market volatility would likely continue.
    Finally, Credit Suisse and the Individual Defendants argue that
    the SEC’s investigation cannot animate Set Capital’s “far-fetched”
    theory of scienter, and that the magnitude of the alleged fraud was
    necessarily de minimis because Credit Suisse fully hedged its
    position. 62    We agree with Credit Suisse that neither the SEC
    investigation nor the magnitude of the alleged fraud independently
    raises a compelling inference of manipulative intent; we view these
    facts principally as supporting culpable inferences drawn from
    stronger allegations discussed earlier. We disagree, however, with
    60Id. at 29–31; see also Teamsters Loc. 445 Freight Div. Pension Fund v. Dynex
    Capital Inc., 
    531 F.3d 190
    , 196 (2d Cir. 2008) (explaining that, to plead
    scienter based on a defendant’s knowledge of facts showing its public
    statements were inaccurate, a plaintiff “must specifically identify the
    reports or statements” demonstrating knowledge of such facts).
    61 See J. App. at 510 (Opinion of Netburn, J.).
    62 Br. of Def.-Appellee Credit Suisse at 34–35.
    26                                                       No. 19-3466-cv
    Credit Suisse’s renewed assertion that its hedging made it
    economically impossible for the bank to profit. Accepting the facts
    alleged in the complaint as true, even Credit Suisse’s own quarterly
    report on April 25, 2018 acknowledged that it profited substantially
    from “higher levels of volatility which benefited [its] derivatives
    business.” 63 Thus, while not independently sufficient, these facts add
    circumstantial evidence of conscious misbehavior or recklessness and
    bolster the inference of manipulative intent.
    Evidence of Motive or Opportunity
    The complaint also points to evidence supporting Credit
    Suisse’s motive and opportunity to engage in the alleged
    manipulative scheme. First, the structure of the XIV Notes, which
    would allow Credit Suisse to profit if the value of the notes collapsed,
    provided both motive and opportunity for Credit Suisse to
    manipulate the market. Credit Suisse’s effort, through its January 29
    offering, to more than double the volume of XIV Notes outstanding
    enhanced the opportunity for manipulative acts in the days leading
    up to the market’s collapse. Second, the complaint plausibly alleges
    that Thiam was under significant pressure to shift Credit Suisse’s
    investment arm away from volatile assets like XIV Notes. Accepting
    these allegations as true, Credit Suisse’s scheme to expand and then
    destroy the value of XIV Notes would have allowed the bank to profit
    substantially while realizing Thiam’s strategic goal of “right-sizing”
    Credit Suisse’s investment division. 64 Third, the complaint alleges
    that, in March 2018, Thiam was awarded a $10.2 million bonus for
    successfully shifting Credit Suisse away from volatile assets such as
    XIV Notes. We conclude that, on balance, these allegations support a
    63 Compl. ¶¶ 16, 194.
    64 
    Id.
     ¶¶ 119–20.
    27                                                        No. 19-3466-cv
    strong inference of scienter when viewed together with the evidence
    of conscious misbehavior or recklessness.
    Credit Suisse first argues that the structure of the XIV Notes
    does not demonstrate motive or opportunity to commit fraud because
    Credit Suisse had fully hedged its exposure to sales of XIV Notes. We
    have already rejected this argument in a related context, and we
    conclude that it is no more persuasive here. Even assuming that
    Credit Suisse had fully hedged its position, Credit Suisse’s argument
    does not account for its offer to more than double the volume of XIV
    Notes in the market, use its hedging trades to depress prices for XIV
    Notes, and leverage the favorable redemption rights that it built into
    the Offering Documents so that it could profit at investors’ expense.
    As alleged in the complaint, this perfect storm was created through
    Credit Suisse’s market activity, but it would not have been possible
    without the self-dealing structure of the XIV Notes.
    Credit Suisse also challenges Set Capital’s theory of Thiam’s
    motive to manipulate the market. Specifically, it asserts that “it
    would have been illogical for Mr. Thiam and Credit Suisse to attempt
    to reduce Credit Suisse’s exposure to risky assets by increasing its
    exposure to risky assets.” 65 Credit Suisse also points to the fact that it
    “made good on Thiam’s promise” to reduce exposure to such assets
    by closing two other VIX-related ETNs through the “simple exercise”
    of its right to do so—without an allegation of fraud. 66 But these
    arguments falter in the face of the facts alleged in the complaint. If
    Thiam intended to reduce Credit Suisse’s exposure to XIV Notes, then
    his decision to issue millions of additional XIV Notes makes sense
    only if he knew that Credit Suisse could quickly eliminate its
    65 Br. of Def.-Appellee Credit Suisse at 22.
    66 See 
    id.
     at 22–23; see also Compl. ¶ 214.
    28                                                           No. 19-3466-cv
    exposure through the alleged manipulative scheme. 67 The fact that
    Credit Suisse could have offloaded these risky assets without
    expanding its position does not diminish the inference of scienter but
    rather supports it.
    Finally, Credit Suisse argues that Thiam’s $10.2 million bonus
    had no connection to the February 2018 collapse of XIV Notes because
    it was issued as compensation for the prior fiscal year. While Set
    Capital emphasizes that the discretionary bonus was paid after the
    XIV Notes collapsed and specifically celebrated that Thiam’s
    “strategic shift” was “paying off,” 68 we agree with Credit Suisse that
    the culpable inference here is not strong because the complaint alleges
    that the bonus was compensation for 2017. We therefore accord this
    fact only limited weight.
    In summary, we conclude that the complaint plausibly alleges
    both motive and opportunity to commit a manipulative act, as well as
    strong circumstantial evidence of conscious misbehavior or
    recklessness. Taken together, these allegations are “cogent and at
    least as compelling as any opposing inference of nonfraudulent
    intent.” 69 We therefore VACATE and REMAND to the district court
    to reinstate the manipulative scheme claims. Because we remand as
    to the primary violation, Set Capital’s secondary “control person”
    claims under Section 20(a) of the Exchange Act are reinstated as well.
    67The allegations here thus go beyond “ordinary profit motive,” Br. of
    Def.-Appellee Credit Suisse at 24, which cannot alone establish a strong
    inference of scienter. See Chill v. Gen. Elec. Co., 
    101 F.3d 263
    , 268 (2d Cir.
    1996) (“[A] generalized motive, one which could be imputed to any
    publicly-owned, for-profit endeavor . . . does not support a strong inference
    of fraudulent intent.”).
    68 See Compl. ¶ 212.
    69 Tellabs, 
    551 U.S. at 314
    .
    29                                                               No. 19-3466-cv
    II.        The Failure to Correct the Flatline Value
    Sections 9(a) and 10(b) of the Exchange Act prohibit materially
    false or misleading statements in connection with the purchase or sale
    of a security. 70 To state a claim for a material misrepresentation or
    omission under these provisions, a plaintiff must allege “(1) a material
    misrepresentation or omission by the defendant; (2) scienter; (3) a
    connection between the misrepresentation or omission and the
    purchase or sale of a security; (4) reliance upon the misrepresentation
    or omission; (5) economic loss; and (6) loss causation.” 71
    Set Capital claims that Credit Suisse and Janus, through their
    subsidiaries CSI and JIC, made material misstatements by failing to
    correct the intraday indicative value when it flatlined for nearly one
    hour on the evening of February 5, 2018. CSI and JIC contend that
    there was no misrepresentation in the Flatline Value because it
    accurately reflected the inverse of the VIX Futures Index (which itself
    had failed to update) and that, in any event, the complaint fails to
    allege scienter. Assuming without deciding that the Flatline Value
    materially misled investors, we agree that the complaint fails to allege
    a strong inference of scienter for these claims.
    The complaint does not allege any facts showing that either CSI
    or JIC had motive or opportunity to falsify the Flatline Value. 72 The
    complaint does not identify specific evidence that CSI profited by
    selling XIV Notes in the secondary market at prices reflecting the
    See 15 U.S.C. § 78i(a)(4) (Section 9(a)); 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b) (Section 10(b)).
    70
    Stoneridge Inv. Partners, LLC v. Sci.-Atlanta, Inc., 
    552 U.S. 148
    , 157 (2008)
    71
    (Section 10(b) and Rule 10b-5). Section 9(a)(4) of the Exchange Act closely
    parallels this standard. See I.B. Trading, Inc. v. Tripoint Glob. Equities, LLC,
    
    280 F. Supp. 3d 524
    , 539–40 (S.D.N.Y. 2017) (Section 9(a)(4)).
    72 See Rombach, 
    355 F.3d at 176
     (holding that complaint may establish
    scienter through facts showing that defendants “had both motive and
    opportunity to commit fraud”).
    30                                                              No. 19-3466-cv
    inflated Flatline Value. Nor does it allege that CSI benefitted by
    delaying investors’ realization that an Acceleration Event had
    occurred.        Likewise,   the    complaint     does    not    allege   facts
    demonstrating that JIC, which was simply a “Calculation Agent,”
    materially benefitted by failing to correct the Flatline Value.
    Without an adequate showing of motive or opportunity, Set
    Capital argues that the complaint nonetheless alleges scienter based
    on strong circumstantial evidence of conscious misbehavior or
    recklessness. 73 Specifically, Set Capital argues as follows. According
    to the Offering Documents, CSI and JIC were jointly listed as
    “Calculation Agents” responsible for announcing a “Market
    Disruption Event,” which could occur if S&P “fails to publish or
    compute the [VIX Futures Index].” 74 In order to identify computing
    errors in the VIX Futures Index, CSI and JIC would have been
    required to monitor the VIX Futures Index and compare it to the
    values of its underlying inputs—i.e., the real-time prices for VIX
    futures contracts. Because careful monitoring would have allowed
    CSI and JIC to observe the flatline in the VIX Futures Index, they must
    have known that a derivative flatline was reflected in the intraday
    indicative value. We are unpersuaded.
    First and foremost, CSI was under no obligation to calculate or
    monitor the intraday indicative value.             Although the Offering
    Documents referred to CSI as a “Calculation Agent” for some
    purposes, the Offering Documents specified that “JIC or its
    affiliate”—not      CSI—was        “responsible     for    computing       and
    73See Kalnit v. Eichler, 
    264 F.3d 131
    , 142 (2d Cir. 2001) (“Where motive is
    not apparent, it is still possible to plead scienter by identifying
    circumstances indicating conscious [misbehavior or recklessness] by the
    defendant, though the strength of the circumstantial allegations must be
    correspondingly greater.” (citation omitted)).
    74 Compl. ¶ 152.
    31                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    disseminating the Intraday Indicative Value.” 75 Thus, we are not
    convinced that CSI’s status as a “Calculation Agent” is specific
    evidence of scienter.
    Second, the complaint does not set forth facts raising a strong
    inference that JIC knew that the intraday indicative value had
    flatlined. As stated in the supplement, JIC calculated the intraday
    indicative value every 15 seconds using an automated formula “based
    on the most recent intraday level of [the VIX Futures] Index at the
    particular time.” 76 The complaint alleges in a conclusory fashion that
    JIC had access to real-time pricing data for VIX futures contracts such
    that it could have monitored the accuracy of the VIX Futures Index.
    But the complaint does not point to any “specific reports or
    statements” showing that JIC could access this data or that it ever
    monitored the Index. 77 The Offering Documents specified that JIC
    would rely on a third party, S&P, to accurately calculate the VIX
    Futures Index. It would be unreasonable to infer that, despite this
    plain effort to reduce JIC’s administrative burden, JIC nonetheless
    devoted resources to calculating a redundant pricing index for VIX
    futures contracts.
    Finally, the Offering Documents do not support a finding of
    scienter.     While the Offering Documents provide that a Market
    Disruption Event may occur if S&P “fails to publish or compute the
    [VIX Futures Index],” they afford CSI and JIC “discretion in making
    [that] determination[].” 78 Because neither CSI nor JIC was required to
    75J. App. at 135, 145, 195.
    76Id. at 135.
    77 See Teamsters, 
    531 F.3d at 196
     (finding allegation of “access to . . . raw
    data” insufficient to support strong inference of scienter where plaintiffs
    did not “specifically identify the reports or statements containing this
    information” (citation omitted)).
    78 J. App. at 159.
    32                                                           No. 19-3466-cv
    declare a Market Disruption Event—either immediately or at any
    time—there can be no reasonable inference that either entity
    “[n]ecessarily” monitored the accuracy of the VIX Futures Index. 79
    Moreover, the Offering Documents warned investors that published
    prices on the VIX Futures Index “may occasionally be subject to delay
    or postponement,” which in turn “will affect” the accuracy of the
    intraday indicative value. 80 In light of these facts, the complaint does
    not allege a compelling inference of scienter.
    In summary, we hold, as the district court found, that the
    complaint fails to plausibly plead that CSI and JIC knowingly or
    recklessly failed to correct the Flatline Value. We therefore AFFIRM
    the district court’s dismissal of these claims. 81
    III.      Misstatements or Omissions in the Offering Documents
    Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act and Section 11 of the
    Securities Act also prohibit material misstatements or omissions in
    registration statements filed with the SEC. 82 Unlike claims brought
    under Section 10(b), a plaintiff bringing a claim under Section 11
    “need not allege scienter, reliance, or loss causation.” 83          Instead,
    Section 11 imposes absolute liability on the issuer of a registration
    statement if: “(1) the statement ‘contained an untrue statement of a
    material fact,’ (2) the statement ‘omitted to state a material fact
    required to be stated therein,’ or (3) the omitted information was
    79See Br. of Pls.-Appellants at 46.
    80J. App. at 177.
    81 Set Capital does not point to any circumstantial evidence showing that
    the Individual Defendants knowingly or intentionally failed to correct the
    Flatline Value. We therefore affirm the district court’s dismissal of these
    claims as to the Individual Defendants as well.
    82 See 15 U.S.C. § 78j(b) (Section 10(b)); 15 U.S.C. § 77k (Section 11).
    83 In re Morgan Stanley Info. Fund Sec. Litig., 
    592 F.3d 347
    , 359 (2d Cir.
    2010).
    33                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    ‘necessary to make the statements therein not misleading.’” 84 In this
    Circuit, “a statement or omission is material if a reasonable investor
    would view it as significantly altering the total mix of information
    made available.” 85
    Set Capital claims that the Offering Documents misled
    investors by repeatedly warning of “risks” they knew were certain to
    occur. Among other things, they allege that the Offering Documents
    misrepresented Credit Suisse’s knowledge of the impact of its
    hedging activity and failed to disclose Credit Suisse’s plan to increase
    the volume of XIV Notes in the market before triggering an
    Acceleration Event. Credit Suisse disputes these claims and asserts
    that the Offering Documents contained full and robust disclosures of
    the very risks that came to pass. Although we acknowledge that
    many risks were disclosed, we agree with Set Capital that the Offering
    Documents contain actionable misrepresentations or omissions.
    The Offering Documents warned investors of extensive risks
    related to the purchase of XIV Notes. They urged that the notes were
    intended for “sophisticated investors to manage daily trading risks” 86
    and advised purchasers that, should they hold the notes long term,
    “it is likely that [they] will lose all or a substantial portion of [their]
    investment.” 87     They also prominently disclosed Credit Suisse’s
    intention to hedge its exposure to sales of XIV Notes. 88 But, with
    respect to the impact of that hedging, the Offering Documents
    84Stadnick v. Vivint Solar, Inc., 
    861 F.3d 31
    , 36 (2d Cir. 2017) (quoting 15
    U.S.C. § 77k(a)); see also Synchrony, 988 F.3d at 172.
    85 Fed. Hous. Fin. Agency for Fed. Nat’l Mortg. Ass’n v. Nomura Holding Am.,
    Inc., 
    873 F.3d 85
    , 146 (2d Cir. 2017) (internal quotation marks, alteration, and
    citation omitted).
    86 J. App. at 130.
    87 
    Id. at 154
     (emphasis omitted).
    88 See, e.g., 
    id.
     at 154–55, 161–62, 188.
    34                                                               No. 19-3466-cv
    provided a more equivocal advisory. They stated that, while “there
    can be no assurance that the level of the [VIX Futures] Index will not
    be affected,” Credit Suisse and the Individual Defendants “have no
    reason to believe that [their] . . . hedging activities will have a material
    impact on the level of the [VIX Futures] Index.” 89
    As we explained in Wilson v. Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc., “the law
    is well settled that so-called ‘half-truths’—literally true statements
    that create a materially misleading impression—will support claims
    for securities fraud.” 90 In a similar vein, cautionary words about
    future risk cannot insulate from liability an issuer’s failure to disclose
    that the risk has, in fact, materialized in the past and is virtually
    certain to materialize again. 91 As the D.C. Circuit explained in Dolphin
    & Bradbury, Inc. v. SEC, there is a “critical distinction between
    disclosing the risk a future event might occur and disclosing actual
    knowledge that the event will occur”—particularly where that
    distinction holds “enormous significance” for investors. 92
    89Id. at 188.
    90Wilson, 
    671 F.3d at 130
     (alterations omitted) (quoting SEC v. Gabelli,
    
    653 F.3d 49
    , 57 (2d Cir. 2011), rev’d on other grounds, 
    568 U.S. 442
     (2013)); see
    also In re Vivendi, S.A. Sec. Litig., 
    838 F.3d 223
    , 239–40 (2d Cir. 2016)
    (discussing the rule against half-truths).
    91 Wilson, 
    671 F.3d at 130
    ; see also Rombach, 
    355 F.3d at 173
    .
    92 
    512 F.3d 634
    , 640 (D.C. Cir. 2008); see also In re Harman Int’l Indus., Inc.
    Sec. Litig., 
    791 F.3d 90
    , 102–03 (D.C. Cir. 2015) (explaining that “[a] warning
    that identifies a potential risk, but implies that no such problems were on
    the horizon even if a precipice was in sight,” would not qualify as a
    “meaningful cautionary statement” for purposes of safe harbor (citation
    and alteration omitted)); Lormand v. US Unwired, Inc., 
    565 F.3d 228
    , 244, 247
    (5th Cir. 2009) (holding that warnings “d[id] not qualify as meaningful
    cautionary language” because they “did not disclose that defendants knew
    from past experience that the [risks] posed an imminent threat of business
    and financial ruin and that some damage from these risks had already
    materialized”).
    35                                                            No. 19-3466-cv
    Here, the complaint alleges that, following three prior volatility
    spikes, Credit Suisse and the Individual Defendants knew with
    virtual certainty that, upon the next volatility spike, their hedging
    activity would significantly depress the value of XIV Notes. It further
    alleges that Credit Suisse issued millions of additional XIV Notes
    without disclosing its intent to capitalize on this dynamic and trigger
    an Acceleration Event. Accepting these well pleaded allegations as
    true, the Offering Documents misrepresented Credit Suisse’s
    knowledge and intent when they warned that Credit Suisse’s hedging
    activity “could” or “may” impact prices of XIV Notes but affirmed
    that Credit Suisse had “no reason to believe” that it would. While
    these warnings could have possibly sufficed when Credit Suisse first
    issued XIV Notes, the bank conceded in its briefing below that the
    warnings remained unchanged for nearly a decade despite three
    episodes of market volatility putting to rest any uncertainty as to the
    price-impact of Credit Suisse’s hedging. 93 Likewise, the Offering
    Documents omitted material facts when they stated that Credit
    Suisse’s hedging trades “may present” a conflict of interest. As
    alleged in the complaint, Credit Suisse had already structured the
    market for XIV Notes to ensure that the next volatility spike would
    allow it to profit at its own investors’ expense. These misstatements,
    if proven at trial, would materially alter the mix of information
    available to Credit Suisse’s investors. 94
    93See Slayton v. Am. Express Co., 
    604 F.3d 758
    , 773 (2d Cir. 2010) (finding
    cautionary statement in Form 10-Q inadequate in light of “[t]he consistency
    of the defendants’ language over time despite the new information they
    received”).
    94 We recognize that, in In re Proshares Tr. II Sec. Litig., we affirmed the
    district court’s dismissal of claims arising out of similar market events—
    namely, illiquidity in the VIX futures market during afterhours trading on
    February 5, 2018. See 839 F. App’x 649, 651 (2d Cir. 2021) (summary order).
    While there are superficial similarities between the two cases, our decision
    36                                                             No. 19-3466-cv
    For the reasons discussed in Section I, above, we have already
    concluded that the complaint alleges a strong inference of scienter
    with respect to the manipulative scheme.               Because the Offering
    Documents misrepresented Credit Suisse’s knowledge and its intent
    to engage in manipulative acts, we conclude that the complaint pleads
    actionable misrepresentations or omissions that must be reinstated
    and therefore REMAND these claims to the district court. Moreover,
    because we remand as to the primary violations, Set Capital’s
    secondary “control person” claims under Section 15 of the Securities
    Act and Section 20(a) of the Exchange Act are reinstated as well. 95
    *      *       *
    To summarize this opinion, the dismissals of the market
    manipulation claim, the actionable misstatements and omissions
    claims, and the related “control person” claims are vacated. We
    affirm the dismissal of the Flatline Value claims. Our decision today
    in Proshares addressed different disclosures related to a different
    underlying securities product—an exchange traded fund (ETF), which
    bundles securities together. See In re Proshares Trust II Sec. Litig., No. 19 cv
    0886 (DLC), 
    2020 WL 71007
    , at *1 (S.D.N.Y. Jan. 3, 2020). In part because of
    the material differences between ETFs and ETNs, the complaint in Proshares
    did not allege market manipulation or the failure to fully disclose a conflict
    of interest. See 
    id.
     Here, unlike in Proshares, the complaint plausibly alleges
    that Credit Suisse gave itself the right to accelerate the notes it issued such
    that it could use its own trading to depress their price, force redemptions,
    and profit at its investors’ expense. Compl. ¶ 7.
    95 Set Capital asserts a Section 15 claim against Janus in its capacity as an
    alleged “control person” of Credit Suisse and the Individual Defendants.
    See Compl. ¶¶ 317–21. While Janus argues that this last surviving claim
    against it should be dismissed because it did not control either Credit Suisse
    or the Individual Defendants, see Br. of Def.-Appellee Janus at 33–34, the
    district court did not address the viability of Janus’s control person
    allegations. We therefore leave it to the district court to address this claim
    in the first instance on remand.
    37                                                    No. 19-3466-cv
    to reinstate the foregoing claims is based on what we determine to be
    plausible allegations by Set Capital in the complaint. We express no
    view nor prediction as to how the proof of these claims may unfold
    but simply hold that these claims cannot be dismissed at this stage of
    the litigation.
    CONCLUSION
    For the foregoing reasons, we VACATE the judgment
    dismissing the claims pertaining to the manipulative scheme, the
    alleged misstatements or omissions in the offering documents, and
    the corresponding liability of control persons.        We therefore
    REMAND those claims for further proceedings. We AFFIRM the
    judgment dismissing the claims for failure to correct the Flatline
    Value, while VACATING the district court’s denial of leave to amend
    those claims.
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 19-3466

Filed Date: 4/27/2021

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 4/27/2021

Authorities (24)

Famous Horse Inc. v. 5th Ave. Photo Inc. , 624 F.3d 106 ( 2010 )

In Re Morgan Stanley Information Fund Securities , 592 F.3d 347 ( 2010 )

Slayton v. American Express Co. , 604 F.3d 758 ( 2010 )

ECA, Local 134 IBEW Joint Pension Trust of Chicago v. JP ... , 553 F.3d 187 ( 2009 )

myrna-rombach-on-behalf-of-herself-and-all-others-similarly-situated , 355 F.3d 164 ( 2004 )

daniel-chill-paul-kay-giza-schectman-mayer-ballas-douglas-marshall , 101 F.3d 263 ( 1996 )

Fed. Sec. L. Rep. P 98,617 Sullivan & Long, Incorporated v. ... , 47 F.3d 857 ( 1995 )

Wilson v. Merrill Lynch & Co., Inc. , 671 F.3d 120 ( 2011 )

Teamsters Local 445 Freight Division Pension Fund v. Dynex ... , 531 F.3d 190 ( 2008 )

Securities & Exchange Commission v. Gabelli , 653 F.3d 49 ( 2011 )

Lormand v. US Unwired, Inc. , 565 F.3d 228 ( 2009 )

ATSI Communications, Inc. v. Shaar Fund, Ltd. , 493 F.3d 87 ( 2007 )

joel-rothman-individually-and-on-behalf-of-all-others-similarly-situated , 220 F.3d 81 ( 2000 )

richard-l-kalnit-v-frank-m-eichler-robert-l-crandall-charles-p-russ , 264 F.3d 131 ( 2001 )

Markowski v. Securities & Exchange Commission , 274 F.3d 525 ( 2001 )

Dolphin & Bradbury, Inc. v. Securities & Exchange Commission , 512 F.3d 634 ( 2008 )

Lorenzo v. SEC , 203 L. Ed. 2d 484 ( 2019 )

Ernst & Ernst v. Hochfelder , 96 S. Ct. 1375 ( 1976 )

Santa Fe Industries, Inc. v. Green , 97 S. Ct. 1292 ( 1977 )

Bell Atlantic Corp. v. Twombly , 127 S. Ct. 1955 ( 2007 )

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