National Religious Broadcasters Noncommercial Music License Committee v. CRB ( 2023 )


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  •  United States Court of Appeals
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA CIRCUIT
    Argued February 17, 2023             Decided July 28, 2023
    No. 21-1243
    NATIONAL RELIGIOUS BROADCASTERS NONCOMMERCIAL
    MUSIC LICENSE COMMITTEE,
    APPELLANT
    v.
    COPYRIGHT ROYALTY BOARD AND LIBRARIAN OF CONGRESS,
    APPELLEES
    GOOGLE LLC, ET AL.,
    INTERVENORS
    Consolidated with 21-1244, 21-1245
    On Appeals from a Final Determination
    of the Copyright Royalty Board
    Samir Deger-Sen argued the cause for appellant National
    Association of Broadcasters. With him on the briefs were
    Joseph R. Wetzel, Andrew M. Gass, Sarang V. Damle, and
    Blake E. Stafford.
    2
    Karyn K. Ablin argued the cause and filed the briefs for
    appellant National Religious Broadcasters Noncommercial
    Music License Committee. John J. Bursch, Rory T. Gray, and
    Erin M. Hawley entered appearances.
    Matthew S. Hellman argued the cause and filed the briefs
    for appellant SoundExchange, Inc. Previn Warren entered an
    appearance.
    Jennifer L. Utrecht, Attorney, U.S. Department of Justice,
    argued the cause for appellees. With her on the brief were
    Michael D. Granston, Deputy Assistant Attorney General, and
    Daniel Tenny, Attorney.
    David P. Mattern argued the cause for intervenors Google
    LLC, et al. in support of appellees. With him on the brief were
    Sarang V. Damle, Blake E. Stafford, Kenneth L. Steinthal,
    Joseph R. Wetzel, Andrew M. Gass, Samir Deger-Sen, Joshua
    N. Mitchell, and Karyn K. Ablin. John J. Bursch, Jason B.
    Cunningham, Rory T. Gray, and Erin M. Hawley entered
    appearances.
    Matthew S. Hellman was on the brief for intervenor
    SoundExchange, Inc. in support of appellees. Previn Warren
    entered an appearance.
    Before: MILLETT, WILKINS, and PAN, Circuit Judges.
    Opinion for the Court filed PER CURIAM.
    Every five years, the Copyright Royalty Board (the
    “Board”) issues a statutory license that establishes the terms
    and rates under which certain entities that stream copyrighted
    songs over the internet make royalty payments to the songs’
    copyright owners. The “webcasters” that are subject to the
    3
    license are “noninteractive” — i.e., they stream music without
    letting their listeners choose songs on demand. This appeal
    challenges on various grounds the Board’s most recent
    noninteractive webcaster license Final Determination,
    covering calendar years 2021 through 2025. We sustain the
    Board’s Final Determination in all respects.
    I
    The Copyright Act, 
    17 U.S.C. § 101
     et seq., provides the
    statutory framework for regulating copyrights. Under that
    framework, a recorded song has two components with distinct
    rights: (1) the “musical work,” which is the song’s underlying
    composition (i.e., the lyrics and melody); and (2) the “sound
    recording,” which is a recorded version of the song. See
    SoundExchange, Inc. v. Copyright Royalty Board, 
    904 F.3d 41
    ,
    46 (D.C. Cir. 2018).
    Historically, the owner of a musical work had an exclusive
    right of public performance but the owner of a sound recording
    did not. SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 46
    . Thus, an FM radio
    station could broadcast a sound recording without permission
    from its copyright owner. But in 1995, Congress amended the
    Copyright Act to grant sound-recording owners the exclusive
    right of public performance “by means of a digital audio
    transmission.”       Digital Performance Right in Sound
    Recordings Act of 1995, 
    Pub. L. No. 104-39, § 2
    , 
    109 Stat. 336
    ,
    336 (codified at 
    17 U.S.C. § 106
    (6)). Under the amended
    statute, a webcaster cannot stream a sound recording without
    paying royalties to its copyright owner.
    In defining the scope of this new right, Congress
    distinguished between webcasters (also known as “digital
    audio services”) that are “interactive” and “noninteractive.”
    Interactive services let users choose the particular songs they
    4
    want to listen to on demand, e.g., Spotify, while noninteractive
    services do not, e.g., Pandora. See 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (j)(7).
    Interactive webcasters must contract directly with copyright
    owners to obtain public performance rights for their sound
    recordings. 
    Id.
     § 114(d)(2)(A)(i). By contrast, Congress
    tasked the Copyright Royalty Board with creating a
    compulsory license covering the use of sound recordings by all
    noninteractive webcasters. Id. § 114(f)(1). The license is
    “compulsory” because copyright owners cannot opt out of it
    unless they negotiate individual settlement agreements with
    noninteractive webcasters. Id. §§ 114(f)(1)–(2). Royalties
    under the compulsory license are paid to a “nonprofit
    collective,” which distributes the funds to performing artists or
    other copyright owners.          Id. § 114(g)(2).    Meanwhile,
    traditional AM/FM radio, also known as terrestrial or over-the-
    air radio, still plays by the old rules: those radio stations pay
    no royalties to broadcast songs to listeners, and copyright
    owners instead treat AM/FM radio as a promotional
    opportunity.
    The Board must set the rates and terms of the compulsory
    license for noninteractive webcasters every five years.
    
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(A). Interested parties may negotiate
    settlement agreements amongst themselves to opt out of the
    compulsory license. 
    Id.
     § 114(f)(2). If a particular record label
    and a webcaster negotiate a settlement agreement that sets
    terms for the webcaster’s use of the record label’s copyrighted
    sound recordings, that agreement controls instead of the
    Board’s compulsory license. Non-settling parties are subject
    to the license, and the Board holds an evidentiary proceeding
    to determine the applicable terms and rates under that license.
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at
    46–47.                Noninteractive
    webcasting produces hundreds of billions of streams per year,
    the vast majority of which are covered by the compulsory
    license rather than by a settlement.
    5
    Congress set forth instructions for the Board’s compulsory
    license determinations in 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B). The statute
    directs the Board to “distinguish among the different types of
    [webcasting] services then in operation” based on, among other
    factors, the “quantity and nature of the use of sound recordings
    and the degree to which use of the service may substitute for or
    may promote the purchase of phonorecords by consumers.” 
    Id.
    Applying that standard, the Board has previously distinguished
    between commercial and noncommercial webcasting services
    and between subscription-based and nonsubscription-based
    commercial services. See Determination of Royalty Rates and
    Terms for Ephemeral Recording and Webcasting Digital
    Performance of Sound Recordings (Web IV), 
    81 Fed. Reg. 26,316
    , 26,409 (May 2, 2016). For each different type of
    service, the Board must establish rates and terms that represent
    what “would have been negotiated in the marketplace between
    a willing buyer and a willing seller.” 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B).
    This is called the “willing buyer/willing seller” standard.
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 56
    . In so doing, the Board must
    consider factors including the effect of the license’s rates and
    terms on other sources of sound recording revenue, such as
    whether a service tends to boost or deflate interactive streaming
    royalties. 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B)(i)(I). The Board may also
    consider voluntary license agreements negotiated for
    comparable services as “benchmarks” that provide reference
    points in its analysis. SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 47
    ; see
    
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B)(ii). And the Board’s rates and terms
    must “include a minimum fee” that each webcaster must pay to
    use the compulsory license. 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B). As we
    have made clear, “the statute does not require that the
    [hypothetical] market assumed by the [Board] achieve
    metaphysical perfection.” Intercollegiate Broad. Sys., Inc. v.
    Copyright Royalty Board (Intercollegiate II), 
    796 F.3d 111
    (D.C. Cir. 2015).
    6
    This appeal concerns the Board’s fifth noninteractive
    webcaster rate Final Determination, which set the rates and
    terms of the statutory license for calendar years 2021 through
    2025. Determination of Rates and Terms for Digital
    Performance of Sound Recordings and Making of Ephemeral
    Copies To Facilitate Those Performances (Web V), 
    86 Fed. Reg. 59,452
     (Oct. 27, 2021). The Board’s previous four
    noninteractive webcaster rate determinations were reviewed
    and largely upheld by this court. See SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d 41
     (reviewing Web IV); Intercollegiate II, 
    796 F.3d 111
    (reviewing Web III); Intercollegiate Broad. Sys., Inc. v.
    Copyright Royalty Board (Intercollegiate I), 
    574 F.3d 748
    (D.C. Cir. 2009) (reviewing Web II); Beethoven.com LLC v.
    Librarian of Cong., 
    394 F.3d 939
     (D.C. Cir. 2005) (reviewing
    Web I).1
    The Web V evidentiary hearing lasted from August 4,
    2020, to September 9, 2020. Ten parties participated,
    including the appellants and intervenors in this consolidated
    case: (1) the National Association of Broadcasters (the
    “NAB”), an association of radio and television stations; (2) the
    National Religious Broadcasters Noncommercial Music
    License Committee (the “Committee”), an arm of a trade
    association that represents religious radio and television
    stations; (3) SoundExchange, Inc., a collective management
    organization that represents sound-recording copyright holders
    1
    For the underlying Board determinations, see Web IV, 
    81 Fed. Reg. 26,316
    ; Determination of Royalty Rates for Digital
    Performance Right in Sound Recordings and Ephemeral Recordings
    (Web III), 
    79 Fed. Reg. 23,102
     (April 25, 2014); Digital Performance
    Right in Sound Recordings and Ephemeral Recordings (Web II), 
    72 Fed. Reg. 24,084
     (May 1, 2007); Determination of Reasonable Rates
    and Terms for the Digital Performance of Sound Recordings and
    Ephemeral Recordings (Web I), 
    67 Fed. Reg. 45,240
     (July 8, 2002).
    7
    and artists; and (4) Google LLC, a technology company. The
    Board heard oral testimony from thirty-three witnesses and
    received written testimony from eight, which together included
    thirteen qualified experts. The Board admitted 748 exhibits
    into evidence, comprising more than 900,000 pages of
    documents. After the hearing, the parties submitted proposed
    findings and conclusions, and responses thereto, and made
    closing arguments on November 19, 2020. The Librarian of
    Congress published the Board’s Final Determination on
    October 27, 2021.
    In its Final Determination, the Board identified three
    relevant categories of webcasters: commercial subscription
    webcasters, commercial nonsubscription webcasters, and
    noncommercial webcasters. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at
    59,589. Commercial subscription webcasters are services like
    Pandora Plus that collect payments from their listeners. See
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 48
    . Commercial nonsubscription,
    i.e., “ad-supported,” webcasters are services like Free Pandora
    that collect payment from advertisers rather than listeners. See
    
    id. at 48, 58
    . Noncommercial webcasters are services owned
    by a government entity or a nonprofit, such as National Public
    Radio (“NPR”) and certain religious webcasters. See Web V,
    86 Fed. Reg. at 59,593; 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(4)(E)(i). Besides
    noncommercial, educational, and public webcasters, all other
    webcasters are commercial. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,592.
    For all webcasters, the Board set a minimum fee of $1,000
    per channel or station. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,589.
    Commercial webcaster license fees were capped at $100,000.
    Id. at 59,589. Payment of the minimum fee grants a webcaster
    access to the compulsory license.             See 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B). Each licensee can have multiple channels, but
    with the $100,000 cap, a large commercial webcaster licensee
    pays the minimum fee only for its first one hundred channels.
    8
    This provision doubled the prior minimum-fee payment—
    which was $500 per channel and capped at $50,000 per
    licensee. See Web IV, 81 Fed. Reg. at 26,409; Web III, 79 Fed.
    Reg. at 23,132.
    Beyond the minimum fee, when setting royalty rates for
    all webcasters, the Board puts forward an amount to be paid
    “per performance.” One copyrighted song heard by one
    listener is a performance. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,593. So,
    for instance, if the Board set a royalty rate at $0.002 per
    performance, and if a webcaster subject to that rate streamed
    two copyrighted songs to one thousand listeners each, it would
    have to pay for two thousand performances, amounting to
    $4.00 total.
    For commercial subscription webcasters, the Board set a
    2021 royalty rate of $0.0026 per performance, adjusted
    annually for inflation. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,589. For all
    commercial webcasters, the minimum fee of $1,000 covers a
    service’s first $1,000 in royalty payments, id., or about 385,000
    performances for commercial subscription webcasters in 2021.
    For commercial nonsubscription webcasters, the Board set
    a 2021 royalty rate of $0.0021 per performance, adjusted
    annually for inflation. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,589. The
    minimum fee of $1,000 covered roughly 475,000
    performances for commercial nonsubscription webcasters
    in 2021.
    For noncommercial webcasters, the Board set a payment
    structure under which the webcaster receives a monthly
    allowance of 159,140 aggregate tuning hours (“ATH”) by
    paying the minimum fee; and pays a 2021 royalty rate of
    $0.0021 per performance above that threshold, adjusted
    annually for inflation—the same rate that applies to
    9
    commercial nonsubscription webcasters. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg.
    at 59,589. ATH is, essentially, the cumulative time spent
    listening to copyrighted songs. See id. at 59,592. For instance,
    if 1,000 individuals each listened to one hour of copyrighted
    songs, that would amount to 1,000 ATH. See id.
    Four aspects of the Board’s decision are challenged on
    appeal. First, the NAB argues that the Board should have
    adopted its proposal to distinguish simulcasters from other
    commercial nonsubscription webcasters. Simulcasters are
    traditional AM/FM stations that simultaneously stream their
    programming on the internet. The NAB sought a lower rate for
    those stations. Second, the NAB and the Committee
    (collectively, the “Services”) argue that the Board should have
    rejected SoundExchange’s proposal to double the minimum
    fee to $1,000 per channel and $100,000 per licensee. The
    Services proposed keeping the incumbent minimum fee
    structure instead. Third, the Committee argues that the Board
    should have set a lower rate for noncommercial webcasters,
    based on a settlement agreement between SoundExchange,
    NPR, and the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (“CPB”)
    that the Committee proffered as a benchmark. And fourth,
    SoundExchange argues that the Board should have set a higher
    commercial nonsubscription rate, contending that the Board’s
    rate is lower than copyright owners’ opportunity costs.
    The NAB, the Committee, and SoundExchange timely
    appealed the aforementioned aspects of the Board’s Final
    Determination under 
    17 U.S.C. § 803
    (d)(1). SoundExchange
    intervened on behalf of the government in the appeals brought
    by the Services, while the Services and Google intervened on
    behalf of the government in SoundExchange’s appeal.
    10
    II
    We review the Board’s rate determinations under Section
    706 of the Administrative Procedure Act. See 
    17 U.S.C. § 803
    (d)(3). We uphold the results of the Board’s proceedings
    “unless they are arbitrary, capricious, contrary to law, or not
    supported by substantial evidence.” Intercollegiate I, 
    574 F.3d at 755
    . Our “[r]eview of administratively determined rates is
    ‘particularly deferential’ because of their ‘highly technical’
    nature.” 
    Id.
     (quoting East Ky. Power Coop. v. FERC, 
    489 F.3d 1299
    , 1306 (D.C. Cir. 2007)). Applying that standard, we
    sustain the Board’s Final Determination against the appellants’
    challenges.
    III
    A
    As an association of radio and television stations, the NAB
    represents hundreds of simulcasters nationwide. Its members
    range in size from larger broadcasters, such as iHeartMedia—
    a company operating around 850 radio stations—to smaller
    broadcasters, such as individuals operating only a handful of
    stations. Focusing on the three identified categories of
    webcasters, the NAB contests the Board’s decision to place
    simulcasters in the broad commercial nonsubscription
    webcaster category, thus subjecting them to the same rate as
    what the NAB argues are fundamentally different custom radio
    services. Custom radio refers to services like Pandora, which
    allow users to skip songs and to “curate the listening
    experience.” Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,547. By contrast,
    simulcasters are traditional AM/FM stations that
    simultaneously stream their programming on the internet
    without allowing for customization.
    11
    During the Board’s proceedings, the NAB put forth a rate
    structure under which simulcasters would pay $0.0008 per
    play, and other eligible commercial nonsubscription
    webcasters would pay $0.0016 per play. If adopted, the Board
    would have distinguished simulcasters from other webcasters
    for the first time. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,547. According
    to the NAB, the Board’s statutory obligation to distinguish
    between different services, see 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B),
    required it to adopt this proposal because simulcasting is
    critically distinct from other types of commercial webcasting.
    As support, the NAB offered various voluntary agreements as
    benchmarks, including “[d]irect license agreements between
    sound recording rights owners and webcaster iHeart and
    license agreements for musical compositions between
    performing rights organizations and webcasters Pandora and
    iHeart.” Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,547. Ultimately, the Board
    found that a new distinction was unwarranted based on the
    record, and more specifically, that “significant evidence”
    showed “simulcasters and other commercial webcasters
    compete in the same submarket and therefore should be subject
    to the same rate.” Id. at 59,565.
    A second point of contention arose regarding the
    statutorily mandated minimum fee.            See 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B). Having maintained the same $500 minimum
    fee since 2006, the Board considered SoundExchange’s
    proposal to double the fee to $1,000 in order “at least to cover
    [its] administrative cost.” Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,579
    (internal quotation marks omitted). The Services collectively
    challenged SoundExchange’s request, arguing that, because
    the fee is solely meant to cover “incremental administrative
    costs”—meaning fees associated with administering the
    webcasting license—SoundExchange’s average administrative
    cost was “irrelevant.” Id. at 59,580 (emphasis omitted). In the
    Services’ view, what the Board accepted as “average
    12
    administrative cost” in fact encompasses SoundExchange’s
    “total costs,” including fees unrelated to license administration.
    NAB Opening Br. 17–18 (emphasis omitted); see Committee
    Opening Br. 51–52. Thus, the Services asked the Board to
    adopt their narrower view of the minimum fee. But finding no
    statutory basis that supported it doing so, the Board rejected the
    Services’ proposal and explained why the record justified
    doubling the minimum fee.
    On appeal, the NAB advances a two-part theory, arguing
    the Board’s determination is arbitrary, capricious, or otherwise
    contrary to law. First, the NAB challenges the Board’s refusal
    to distinguish simulcasters from other nonsubscription
    commercial services as violating 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B)’s
    plain language. It also argues that the Board’s analysis
    justifying its decision was arbitrary and capricious. Second,
    the Services challenge the Board’s decision to double the
    minimum fee in consideration of SoundExchange’s average
    administrative costs.
    Unpersuaded by either theory, we affirm both aspects of
    the Board’s determination.
    1
    Looking first to the NAB’s categorization-related
    arguments, we uphold the Board’s determination, finding this
    record failed to establish that simulcasters warrant a different
    royalty rate than other commercial nonsubscription services.
    According to the NAB, the Board violated its statutory
    obligation to distinguish services when it acknowledged that
    simulcasters differ from custom radio, yet still subjected both
    groups to the same rate. After reviewing this record, however,
    we confirm that the Board reasonably evaluated the NAB’s
    differentiation evidence and appropriately exercised its
    13
    discretion in declining to set a separate, lower rate for
    simulcasters.
    Recall that the Board “shall distinguish among the
    different types of services then in operation” when
    “establish[ing] rates and terms that most clearly represent”
    what “would have been negotiated in the marketplace between
    a willing buyer and a willing seller.” 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B).
    The Copyright Act also instructs the Board to base its decision
    on criteria such as “the quantity and nature of the use of sound
    recordings and the degree to which use of the service may
    substitute for or may promote the purchase of phonorecords by
    consumers.” 
    Id.
    Here, the Board satisfied 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B) by
    maintaining the preexisting rate categories and distinguishing
    royalty rates for (1) commercial subscription services;
    (2) commercial       nonsubscription      services;     and      (3)
    noncommercial services. When setting rates, we have
    explained that the Board has discretion in determining what to
    use as a starting point, so long as it explains itself. Music
    Choice v. Copyright Royalty Board, 
    774 F.3d 1000
    , 1012 (D.C.
    Cir. 2014) (finding that the Board “did not err when [it] used
    the prevailing rate as the starting point of [its] analysis,” given
    “the lack of creditable benchmarks in the record” and the
    Board’s “reasoned explanation”).           Furthermore, Section
    114(f)(1)(B) contemplates the Board will “make adjustments
    to the prevailing rate” and also “consider prior determinations”
    in its decisionmaking. Music Choice, 
    774 F.3d at 1012
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    The Board has never set a lower rate for simulcasters. So
    its decision not to here is not an “unexplained presumption in
    favor of uniform rates.” NAB Opening Br. 29. Rather, the
    Board was justified in relying on its three preexisting rate
    14
    category distinctions to at least determine a starting point. Web
    V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,547; see also Web I, 67 Fed. Reg. at
    45,252 (adopting a single rate for commercial webcasters);
    Web II, 72 Fed. Reg. at 24,095 (refusing to establish a separate
    rate for simulcasters); Web IV, 81 Fed. Reg. at 26,323
    (rejecting arguments for a separate simulcaster rate). It was
    thus up to the NAB to establish a record showing why, and
    how, this starting point should be altered to reflect the willing
    buyer/willing seller standard. See Web IV, 81 Fed. Reg. at
    26,320 (“As the proponent of a rate structure that treats
    simulcasters as a separate class of webcasters, the NAB bears
    the burden of demonstrating not only that simulcasting differs
    from other forms of commercial webcasting, but also that it
    differs in ways that would cause willing buyers and willing
    sellers to agree to a lower royalty rate in the hypothetical
    market.”); Web I, 67 Fed. Reg. at 45,254 (referring to “the
    burden of proof on the broadcasters to present evidence to
    distinguish between the direct transmission of their programs
    over the Internet and the retransmission of the same
    programming made by a third-party”).
    Our reasoning here also resolves the NAB’s secondary
    challenges to the Board’s decision, rejecting the new simulcast
    distinction. First, the NAB argues that the Board improperly
    made a presumption in favor of uniform rates, which required
    the NAB to present contrary evidence to rebut the Board’s
    presumption. The NAB asserts that the Board instead should
    have supported its decision with substantial evidence. This
    argument gets things backwards. The Board is allowed to
    consider its prior determinations, and the NAB failed to meet
    its burden to show this record warranted something different.
    Second, the NAB argues that the Board’s analysis discussing
    competition between simulcasters and other commercial
    webcasters was “far too generalized to have any relevance” and
    rendered the determination arbitrary and capricious. NAB
    15
    Opening Br. 37–40. We disagree because, as explained
    throughout this section, the Board appropriately exercised its
    discretion in finding the differentiation evidence failed to
    support a new simulcast rate category under the willing
    buyer/willing seller standard.
    The Board reasonably declined to interpret the NAB’s
    evidence as supporting a separate rate for simulcasters. The
    NAB presented benchmark agreements that it claimed were
    evidence that simulcasters should be subject to a lower rate
    than custom radio. The Board rejected the NAB’s iHeart/Indie
    Agreements as benchmarks because they only covered “a small
    portion of the sound recordings performed by iHeart, and an
    even smaller portion of the entire market for simulcast, custom
    radio, and internet radio performances.” Web V, 86 Fed. Reg.
    at 59,549 (emphasis added). The NAB also introduced survey
    evidence that it argued showed simulcasters should be subject
    to a lower rate. Importantly, the Board also declined to rely on
    the NAB’s Hauser Survey—a survey intended to reveal the
    “percentage of respondents that, in the absence of simulcasts,
    would consume content from” other alternative activities. Id.
    at 59,551. Doing so was permissible given the Board’s
    concerns with the survey’s design, such as its failure to include
    services like internet radio services covered by the statutory
    license. Id. at 59,563–59,565.
    Nevertheless, the NAB insists that the differences between
    simulcasts and custom radio show the Board was required to
    distinguish a separate, simulcaster rate. But the Board acted
    reasonably in taking issue with the fact that “the bulk” of the
    NAB’s evidence “regarding differentiated use of music versus
    non-music content” was limited to comparing simulcasts
    against custom radio services, when the NAB’s proposal was
    to establish a simulcast rate separate from “the full scope of
    16
    noninteractive webcasting[.]” Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,551
    (emphasis added).
    Critically, the NAB also failed to show that internet
    simulcasters constitute a distinct market segment. The absence
    of distinct market segmentation evidence is detrimental to the
    NAB’s case because the statutory distinction requirement
    “mean[s] that distinct segments of webcasters—such as
    noncommercial services—receive their own rates and terms.”
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 47
     (emphasis added). This
    emphasis on evidence of competition is rooted in the willing
    buyer/willing seller standard. It is unclear whether a willing
    buyer and a willing seller would agree to a new rate for a
    service, falling under a preexisting rate category, absent
    evidence showing that the service constitutes a distinct
    segment of webcasters. In SoundExchange, we shed light on
    the distinction requirement when discussing how to determine
    if a service constitutes a distinct segment of webcasters. There,
    we affirmed the Board’s decision to distinguish between ad-
    based and subscription-based services because the record
    showed each service “appeal[ed] to a different segment of the
    market[.]” 
    Id. at 58
    . But the NAB never argues that any such
    market segmentation would actually result in a lower rate for
    simulcasters based on a rate that a willing buyer and a willing
    seller would accept.
    Our SoundExchange decision also addressed the Board’s
    prior determinations more generally and upheld the process
    through which it determines how to distinguish between
    services. 
    904 F.3d at
    58–59. The Board’s process began in
    Web II, when it established that “the key question in
    ascertaining the propriety of differentiation is whether the
    services occupy ‘distinct segment[s]’ of the market or instead
    compete for listeners.” 
    Id. at 58
     (quoting Web II, 72 Fed. Reg.
    at 24,097–24,098). To answer this question, the Board
    17
    assesses service competition by “examin[ing] whether the
    services compete with each other for listeners, or whether one
    service instead operate[d] in a submarket separate from and
    noncompetitive with the other[.]” Id. (internal quotation marks
    and citation omitted). And as for market segmentation, the
    Board considers various factors, “including whether
    comparable agreements have been negotiated in which one
    service paid a lower rate than the other.” Id. In short, our
    precedent counsels that when evaluating categorization
    challenges under 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B), we consider
    whether the record shows the Board reasonably distinguished
    between the “types of services then in operation[,]” 
    id.,
     and
    established    rates    for   each     “distinct    segment[,]”
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 58
    , under the willing
    buyer/willing seller standard. See Intercollegiate II, 
    796 F.3d at 128
     (emphasizing that the minimum fee distinction
    requirement applies to each “type of service,” 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B)—“not for each individual webcaster”).
    Instead of structuring its position around why simulcasters
    constitute a distinct segment of the market from all other
    commercial nonsubscription services, the NAB dedicated most
    of its argument to distinguishing simulcasters from a mere
    subset of other commercial webcasters—custom internet radio.
    In doing so, the NAB argued that the Board failed to justify its
    refusal to establish a separate rate for simulcasters despite its
    acknowledgment of certain differences between simulcasters
    and custom radio. But the NAB does not argue that
    simulcasting is different from commercial webcasting more
    generally—only that it differs from custom radio. There are
    other types of commercial webcasting that may not have the
    same features as custom radio, but the NAB does not argue that
    a willing buyer and a willing seller would agree to a lower rate
    for simulcasting than for any other types of commercial
    webcasting. Although such an argument could succeed if the
    18
    record showed that willing buyers and willing sellers would
    agree to lower royalty rates for simulcasting than for other
    types of commercial webcasting, the NAB did not do so here.
    Moreover, we underscore the “technical nature” of rate
    determinations and find the NAB failed to meet its burden here.
    Intercollegiate II, 
    796 F.3d at 127
     (quoting Intercollegiate I,
    
    574 F.3d at 755
    ). We acknowledge, however, that future
    records may warrant new rate category distinctions.
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 58
     (describing evidence
    appropriately distinguishing between ad-based and
    subscription-based services).
    2
    Together, the Services contest the minimum fee, arguing
    the Board erroneously raised the fee to account for costs other
    than the incremental cost of administering webcasting licenses.
    As explained below, we reject the Services’ challenge and
    uphold the $1,000 minimum fee as reasonable.
    Although Congress requires the Board to establish a
    minimum fee for each service under 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B),
    it never enumerated a list of specific costs that such a fee
    should cover. Starting in 2006, the Board has continuously
    maintained the annual minimum fee at $500 for each channel,
    including an aggregate cap of $50,000 per commercial
    webcaster. Here, the Board accepted SoundExchange’s
    proposal to raise the minimum fee to $1,000 per channel and
    raise the aggregate cap to $100,000. In doing so, it reasonably
    relied upon three evidentiary findings.
    Most importantly, the Board was persuaded by
    SoundExchange’s evidence demonstrating an increase in its
    average administrative costs. SoundExchange calculated this
    increased average “by dividing its total administrative costs by
    19
    its total number of licensees” and dividing that amount “by the
    estimated number of channels or stations per licensee.” Web V,
    86 Fed. Reg. at 59,582. This calculation revealed that
    SoundExchange’s estimated average administrative cost per
    channel “increased from approximately $1,900 to
    approximately $4,448 between 2013 and 2018, an increase of
    2.34 times.” Id. While acknowledging that this was an
    estimate, the Board concluded that the “relative increase in
    average administrative costs”—134%—“would yield a
    minimum fee of $1170[,]” and noted that this amount exceeded
    SoundExchange’s proposed $1000 minimum fee. Id.
    The other two points that the Board found supported
    increasing the minimum fee included: (1) a settlement between
    SoundExchange and College Broadcasters, Inc. (“CBI”),
    agreeing to a minimum fee of $750 by 2025; and (2) inflation.
    As relevant here, the Board concluded that the CBI settlement
    generally indicated willing buyers and willing sellers would
    agree to a higher minimum fee. And to the second point, the
    record utilized the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price
    Index for All Urban Consumers to show that a minimum fee of
    $656.77 would be necessary to account for general inflation
    since the minimum fee was set at $500 in 2006. Web V, 86
    Fed. Reg. at 59,583. The Board considered this evidence in
    finding that the record supported a “zone of reasonable
    minimum fees” from $656.77 to $1,170. Id. Ultimately, the
    Board adopted the proposed $1,000 minimum fee because it
    was most persuaded by SoundExchange’s average
    administrative cost evidence, and because the proposed fee fell
    within the reasonable zone. Id. at 59,583–59,584.
    On appeal, the Services again contest the Board’s
    consideration of SoundExchange’s average administrative
    costs, arguing that the minimum fee should be limited to the
    20
    incremental cost of administering the webcasting license. We
    disagree.
    The Services point to nothing in either the statutory
    scheme, or in the Board’s prior determinations, that requires
    the Board to adopt such a restrictive view of 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B). Indeed, the statute only instructs that the
    statutory rates and terms “shall include a minimum fee for each
    such type of service,” and that such a fee will reflect the willing
    buyer/willing seller standard.         
    Id.
     § 114(f)(1)(B); see
    Intercollegiate II, 
    796 F.3d at 128
     (“[T]he Board must set a fee
    that both a willing buyer and a willing seller would negotiate,
    not just one that is acceptable to the buyer (the webcaster).”)
    (emphasis omitted). And as the Board explained, it has
    consistently rejected the interpretations of the minimum fee as
    limited to incremental administrative costs. Web V, 86 Fed.
    Reg. at 59,581 (“To be sure, the Services have made that
    [incremental administrative costs] argument consistently since
    Web I. However, the Judges and their predecessors have never
    embraced it.”).
    Not only does the Services’ minimum fee challenge lack
    support based on the statute, as well as from the Board’s prior
    determinations, but the Services’ position also conflicts with
    our precedent under which we have held that the minimum fee
    may reflect average—as opposed to incremental—
    administrative costs. Intercollegiate II, 
    796 F.3d at 131
     (noting
    that “the Board did not set the [minimum] fee based solely on
    SoundExchange’s administrative costs” but also “relied on the
    evidence of industry-wide average administrative cost”). In
    Intercollegiate II, we concluded that while “[e]vidence of
    average cost may not be perfect,” nothing prohibited us from
    upholding its use. 
    Id.
     (“This court’s task is ‘only [to] assess
    the reasonableness of the [Board’s] interpretation of the
    21
    inherent ambiguity’ in Congress’ directive.”) (quoting
    Intercollegiate I, 
    574 F.3d at 757
    ). So too here.
    The Services have demonstrated no reason to bar the
    Board’s consideration of SoundExchange’s increased average
    administrative cost, and the Board’s determination comports
    with our precedent as well as with the Board’s prior
    determinations. Given the evidence of (1) SoundExchange’s
    estimated increase in average administrative cost, (2) a
    voluntary agreement to a higher minimum fee between
    SoundExchange and CBI, and (3) general inflation since 2006,
    we find the Board had substantial evidence to support its
    decision that a $1,000 minimum fee reasonably satisfied the
    willing buyer/willing seller standard. Thus, we uphold the
    increased minimum fee.
    B
    The Committee is the arm of a trade association that
    “represent[s] the interests of religious noncommercial radio
    stations in issues of music licensing.” Committee Opening
    Br. v. “Many of the [radio] stations represented by the
    [Committee] simultaneously transmit their broadcast
    programming online” under the terms of the statutory license
    at issue in this appeal. Committee Opening Br. v. The
    Committee challenges the Board’s rate determination for all
    noncommercial webcasters, including the nonprofit religious
    stations that are its members.
    The Committee proposed two alternative rate structures
    that would have lowered the rates paid by noncommercial
    webcasters. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,567. The Board,
    however, rejected the Committee’s proposals and instead
    accepted SoundExchange’s recommendation to essentially
    maintain the incumbent rate structure that had been in effect
    22
    from 2006 to 2020. Id. at 59,579. In support of its decision,
    the Board noted that “SoundExchange relies on the same
    reasoning adopted by the Judges in webcasting proceedings
    going back to Web II to support its proposed rate structure.” Id.
    at 59,573. The Board adopted that long-standing reasoning in
    the absence of “persuasive counterarguments” from the
    Committee. Id. at 59,573, 59,579.
    Under the preexisting rate structure, a noncommercial
    webcast station paid the minimum fee to gain access to 159,140
    ATH of monthly usage. See Web IV, 81 Fed. Reg. at 26,405–
    26,406.     Above that usage threshold, noncommercial
    webcasters paid the same rates as commercial nonsubscription
    webcasters. See id. The Committee proposed alternative rates
    that (1) would have maintained the same usage allowance and
    minimum fee, while allowing noncommercial webcasters to
    pay one-third of the commercial rate for above-threshold
    usage; or (2) would have allowed certain Committee-
    designated noncommercial webcasters to pay a lump sum for
    an aggregate usage allowance. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,567.2
    2
    The Committee’s proposed rate structures for noncommercial
    webcasters were deemed “Alternative 1” and “Alternative 2.”
    Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,567. Under Alternative 1, noncommercial
    webcasters would pay an annual minimum fee of $500 that would
    entitle them to 1,909,680 ATH of usage per year. For usage above
    that threshold, noncommercial webcasters would pay one-third of
    the rate for commercial webcasters for the same type of transmission
    (subscription versus nonsubscription). Under Alternative 2, the
    Committee would pay a flat annual fee of $1.2 million to
    SoundExchange, for a group of up to 795 noncommercial religious
    radio stations designated by the Committee. Those stations would
    have an aggregate usage cap of 540 million ATH in 2021, increasing
    by 15 million ATH per year. The proposal set no terms for usage
    above that cap. Meanwhile, stations not designated for inclusion in
    that group would be subject to the terms of Alternative 1. Id.
    23
    The Committee’s rate proposals were based on a
    settlement    agreement      between    NPR,     CPB,     and
    SoundExchange (the “NPR Agreement”) that covered the
    years 2021 through 2025. The Committee sought to introduce
    the NPR Agreement as a benchmark to support its rate
    proposals for noncommercial webcasters. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg.
    at 59,567–59,569. But the Board rejected the NPR Agreement
    as a benchmark and rejected the Committee’s rate proposals.
    The Board provided three primary reasons for its decision:
    (1) the Committee neglected to offer any expert testimony to
    establish that the NPR Agreement was “comparable” to a
    compulsory license for noncommercial webcasters; (2) the
    Committee’s rate proposals failed to make adjustments for
    economically significant aspects of the NPR Agreement; and
    (3) one aspect of the Committee’s proposal was based on dated
    information that the Board was statutorily barred from
    considering. See id. at 59,569–59,573.
    On appeal, the Committee argues that the Board
    (1) violated the APA by arbitrarily and capriciously rejecting
    the NPR Agreement as a benchmark; (2) violated the APA by
    arbitrarily and capriciously setting the noncommercial
    webcaster royalty rate too high; and (3) violated the federal
    Religious Freedom Restoration Act (“RFRA”), 42 U.S.C.
    § 2000bb et seq., and the First Amendment by setting a rate
    that was less favorable to large, predominantly religious
    webcasters than the rate enjoyed by secular NPR affiliates
    under the NPR Agreement.3
    3
    The Committee also joined the NAB’s challenge to the Board’s
    minimum fee, and essentially relied on the NAB’s briefing and oral
    argument. Its only additional argument was that the Board should
    have adjusted the $500 minimum fee for inflation from 2020 rather
    24
    We sustain the Board’s rate determination                 for
    noncommercial webcasters and its rejection of                 the
    Committee’s proposals.
    1
    The Board’s decision to reject the NPR Agreement as a
    benchmark, as well as the Committee’s rate proposals that were
    based on the NPR Agreement, was reasonable and supported
    by substantial evidence. We note that
    appellants face[] an uphill battle in challenging the
    Board’s selection of its benchmarks. We have
    repeatedly recognized that it is “within the discretion
    of the [Board] to assess evidence of an agreement’s
    comparability and to decide whether to look to its
    rates and terms for guidance.” The Board’s “broad
    discretion” encompasses its selection or rejection of
    benchmarks, as well as its adjustment of benchmarks
    to “render them useful.”
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at
    50–51 (first quoting
    Intercollegiate I, 
    574 F.3d at 759
    ; then quoting Music Choice,
    
    774 F.3d at 1009
    ). Here, the Board properly exercised its
    discretion.
    than from 2006, because the $500 figure was last set in 2020. That
    argument did not affect the Board’s ultimate determination of the
    minimum fee. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,583 (using the
    inflation-adjusted minimum fee as a lower bound of the “zone of
    reasonable minimum fees” and relying primarily on
    SoundExchange’s rising administrative costs to set a new minimum
    fee). The NAB’s proposal to maintain the lower minimum fee is
    addressed Part III.A, supra.
    25
    First, the Board reasonably concluded that the Committee
    presented insufficient evidence to establish the NPR
    Agreement’s comparability to the compulsory license for
    noncommercial webcasters. In a benchmark analysis, the
    Board “may consider the rates and terms for comparable types
    of audio transmission services and comparable circumstances
    under voluntary license agreements.”                
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B)(ii) (emphasis added). Yet, the Committee
    presented no expert testimony on comparability; it addressed
    the issue only in arguments made by its attorneys in post-
    hearing briefing. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,570. Moreover,
    SoundExchange disputed whether the NPR Agreement was
    comparable. The Board reasonably decided that expert
    testimony was necessary to establish comparability. See id.
    Requiring expert testimony in this case was consistent with the
    “highly technical nature” of administrative rate determinations.
    SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 50
     (quoting Intercollegiate II, 
    796 F.3d at 127
    ). Although the Committee argues that the Board
    has never explicitly announced an expert-testimony
    requirement, that does not render the Board’s decision in this
    case arbitrary, particularly where the Board has previously
    demanded expert testimony in an analogous situation. See Web
    IV, 81 Fed. Reg. at 26,327 (rejecting lay testimony and
    considering only expert testimony to determine whether to
    adjust a benchmark).
    Second, the Board reasonably rejected the Committee’s
    rate proposals due to their failure to account for economically
    significant aspects of the NPR Agreement. When a party
    derives a proposed rate from a benchmark agreement, it is
    required to account for economically significant, non-rate
    aspects of the benchmark. See SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 47
    .
    For instance, if a benchmark contains a relatively low royalty
    rate but imposes other costs on webcasters, the rate derived
    from that benchmark should be adjusted upward to capture
    26
    those costs. The Board properly placed the burden on the
    Committee to make the appropriate adjustments to its rate
    proposals derived from the NPR Agreement. See Music
    Choice, 
    774 F.3d at 1009
     (“While the Judges might have made
    further adjustments to [a proponent’s] benchmarks to render
    them useful, the Judges were not required to do so.” (citation
    omitted)); see also 
    id. at 1012
     (“The Judges were under no
    obligation to salvage benchmarks they found to have
    fundamental problems.”). The Board faulted the Committee
    for failing to account for the following aspects of the NPR
    Agreement that benefited one or both of the settling parties but
    were not reflected in the Committee’s proposed rates: (1) the
    avoidance of litigation costs by the parties to the NPR
    Agreement; (2) the value of NPR’s advance, lump-sum
    payments to SoundExchange; and (3) NPR’s consolidated
    reporting of data from individual stations to SoundExchange.
    See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,570, 59,572–59,573. The
    Board’s determination that those adjustments were necessary
    to adequately capture the value of the Agreement reflected
    rational economic reasoning, even though the Board did not
    determine the precise amount by which each of these factors
    distorted the Agreement’s pricing.4 The Committee argues that
    4
    See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,570 (“[S]ettlement agreements,
    unlike voluntary agreements reached outside the context of
    litigation, are not ‘free from trade-offs motivated by litigation cost,
    as distinguished from the underlying economics of the transaction.’”
    (quoting Determination of Royalty Rates and Terms for Making and
    Distributing Phonorecords (Phonorecords III), 
    84 Fed. Reg. 1918
    ,
    1935 (Feb. 5, 2019))); 
    id. at 59,572
     (The NPR Agreement’s “rate
    reflects * * * [a] discount that reflects the administrative
    convenience to [SoundExchange] of receiving annual lump sum
    payments that cover a large number of separate entities, as well as
    the protection from bad debt that arises from being paid in
    advance.”); 
    id. at 59,573
     (“The record reflects that consolidated
    27
    the Board acted contrary to agency precedent and the statutory
    scheme, but its citations are all inapposite.5
    Third, the Board appropriately concluded that it was
    statutorily barred from considering the royalty rates contained
    in the “NPR Analysis,” an internal SoundExchange document
    created in 2015. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,570–59,572.
    In the NPR Analysis, SoundExchange performed calculations
    using a royalty-rate structure that included per-performance
    payments at one-third the commercial rate. The Board found,
    reporting has value to SoundExchange. * * * ‘[O]ne of the things
    that NPR does is it collects together the messy data of the individual
    stations and reports it as part of the agreement.’” (quoting 8/17/20
    Tr. 2232 (Professor Catherine Tucker))).
    5
    For example, the Committee misstates that Board precedent
    required SoundExchange to make the necessary adjustments.
    Although Web IV required the challenger of an “otherwise proper
    and reasonable benchmark” to quantify further proposed
    adjustments, Web IV, 81 Fed. Reg. at 26,387, that case is
    distinguishable because the NPR Agreement was not an “otherwise
    proper and reasonable” benchmark. Moreover, the Committee notes
    that Web IV accepted a settlement-based benchmark without
    litigation cost adjustments; but Web IV accepted that benchmark only
    as “support for some elements of SoundExchange’s rate proposal”
    and “not for the proposed rate for usage beyond the ATH threshold,”
    id. at 26,394 (emphasis added), which is exactly what the Committee
    attempted here.       The Committee’s remaining citations, see
    Committee Opening Br. 29–32, are similarly off point. See Web III,
    79 Fed. Reg. at 23,123–23,124; Determination of Rates and Terms
    for Preexisting Subscription Services and Satellite Digital Audio
    Radio Services (SDARS II), 
    78 Fed. Reg. 23,054
    , 23,068–23,069
    (April 17, 2013); Digital Millennium Copyright Act, 
    Pub. L. No. 105-304, § 405
    , 
    112 Stat. 2860
    , 2895–2896 (1998); 
    17 U.S.C. § 801
    (b)(7)(A).
    28
    however, that the rate structure came from an old settlement
    agreement negotiated pursuant to the Webcaster Settlement
    Act (“WSA”) of 2009, 
    Pub. L. No. 111-36, 123
     Stat. 1926. See
    Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,572. The Board properly determined
    that it was statutorily barred from considering that rate
    structure under 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(4)(C), which prohibits
    “admi[tting] as evidence or otherwise tak[ing] into account”
    the “provisions of any agreement entered into pursuant to [the
    WSA], including any rate structure * * * set forth therein.” 
    Id.
    The Committee argued that the Board could rely on the rate
    structure because the NPR Analysis was prepared for use in
    future, non-WSA settlement negotiations. But the Board was
    not required to accept the Committee’s inference that the rates
    were actually used in the non-WSA settlement agreement
    relied upon by the Committee. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at
    59,571. We disagree with the Committee’s contention that the
    Board’s decision contradicted a binding opinion issued by the
    Register of Copyrights, as set forth in Scope of the Copyright
    Royalty Judges’ Continuing Jurisdiction, 
    80 Fed. Reg. 58,300
    (Sept. 28, 2015). Although the Register’s opinion allows the
    Board to consider voluntary license agreements that
    incorporate WSA settlement terms, as well as the effect of the
    WSA on private-settlement negotiations, it does not require or
    even allow the Board to consider documents like the NPR
    Analysis. See 
    id. at 58,305
    . The Register found that, if parties
    incorporate terms from their WSA settlements into subsequent
    agreements, those are fair game for the Board’s consideration.
    But the NPR analysis does not fall into that category; it
    documents WSA rates that may have been used to propose
    terms for a subsequent agreement. It does not document any
    post-WSA terms. Without the NPR Analysis, the Committee
    lacked support for a discounted above-threshold rate for
    noncommercial webcasters, which became a critical flaw in its
    proposal.
    29
    2
    We are unpersuaded by the Committee’s argument that the
    Board arbitrarily and capriciously set the noncommercial
    webcaster rate. In the absence of acceptable benchmarks, the
    Board properly used the incumbent rate structure as the starting
    point in its analysis. See Music Choice, 
    774 F.3d at 1012
    (“[G]iven the lack of creditable benchmarks in the record, the
    Judges did not err when they used the prevailing rate as the
    starting point of their Section 801(b) analysis.”). Moreover,
    substantial evidence supported the Board’s decision to
    maintain the prevailing rate structure.
    The incumbent rate structure originated in Web II. It
    reflected an “economic insight” that noncommercial
    webcasters that compete with the commercial market tend to
    be larger, so that size is “a ‘proxy’ for determining when a
    noncommercial webcaster poses a competitive threat[.]” Web
    V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,565–59,566 (“[L]arger noncommercial
    webcasters have the same or similar competitive impact in the
    marketplace as similarly sized commercial webcasters.”).
    Because large noncommercial webcasters can divert listeners
    away from commercial webcasters, the Board found that
    copyright holders would not willingly license sound recordings
    to large noncommercial webcasters at a discount, because that
    would decrease overall royalty revenue by cannibalizing
    commercial royalty revenue. See Web II, 72 Fed. Reg. at
    24,097–24,100. The noncommercial webcasters that exceed
    the ATH threshold tend to be larger ones, and they are charged
    the same rates as commercial webcasters for above-threshold
    usage. In the instant rate-setting proceeding, the Board relied
    on expert testimony to conclude that the same competitive
    dynamics remained in effect and justified retaining the pre-
    existing rate structure. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,575
    30
    (discussing testimony of Mr. Jon Orszag, Professor Joseph
    Cordes, and Professor Richard Steinberg).6
    The Board appropriately rejected the Committee’s
    attempts to undermine the analysis that justified the previous
    rate structure. The Committee argued that cannibalization was
    unlikely because noncommercial webcasters’ missions
    differed from those of commercial webcasters. But the Board
    reasonably declined to rely on the webcasters’ motivations in
    evaluating market dynamics. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at
    59,575 (“The concerns about cannibalization that the Judges
    articulated in past webcasting proceedings focus on potential
    displacement in listenership from commercial to
    noncommercial webcasters and is independent of
    noncommercial webcasters’ motivations.”). Moreover, the
    Board permissibly relied on an “overlap study” and other
    evidence to reject the Committee’s argument that
    noncommercial webcasting would not cannibalize commercial
    webcasters because they each offer different programming.
    The overlap study compared the songs played by commercial
    and noncommercial Christian Adult Contemporary radio
    stations. Id. at 59,576. It revealed that “commercial and
    noncommercial stations broadcasting in the Christian [Adult
    Contemporary] format play many of the same songs.” Id.7 The
    6
    The Committee’s argument that this expert testimony is mere “ipse
    dixit” that cannot constitute substantial evidence to maintain the
    incumbent rate, Committee Opening Br. 40, understates the Board’s
    reasoned analysis of the expert testimony and overlooks our
    precedent allowing the Board to start with the incumbent rate in the
    absence of a suitable benchmark. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at
    59,575–59,578; Music Choice, 
    774 F.3d at 1012
    .
    7
    The Committee argues that the overlap study should not have been
    admitted under 
    37 CFR § 351.10
    (e). As an initial matter, it is unclear
    31
    Board also pointed to competition between two Atlanta-based
    commercial and noncommercial religious radio stations. See
    
    id. at 59,575
    .8 The Board permissibly inferred from that
    evidence that noncommercial and commercial webcasters’
    programming did not differ enough that cannibalization was
    unlikely.
    Finally, the Board reasonably rejected the Committee’s
    argument that the incumbent rate structure failed to consider
    noncommercial webcasters’ lower willingness to pay, thus
    violating the Copyright Act’s willing buyer/willing seller
    standard. According to the Committee, the Board overlooked
    whether willing buyers would negotiate “above-threshold
    commercial-level rates,” and accounted for only what willing
    sellers would negotiate. Committee Opening Br. 40. That
    argument, however, unduly focuses on the above-threshold
    rates without considering the entire rate structure. The Board
    noted that the minimum-fee rate structure gives
    whether the Committee actually moved to exclude the study, or only
    the testimony of SoundExchange’s witnesses about the study. See
    Committee Mot. to Strike Test. Written Rebuttal Test. Related to
    Mediabase Study. In any event, the Board reasonably concluded that
    both the study and the witnesses’ testimony were admissible. See
    Order Denying Committee Mot. to Strike 2–3 (noting that the study
    simply compiled data “that industry participants rely on and that the
    Judges have relied upon in past proceedings when presented by lay
    witnesses,” and relying on the Board’s discretion to admit hearsay
    testimony from witnesses about such data).
    8
    The Committee’s arguments against this evidence are meritless.
    Contrary to the Committee’s suggestions, an expert witness need not
    have “first-hand knowledge of the asserted facts,” Committee
    Opening Br. 50, to testify about an issue, and the evidence fell well
    within the proper scope of rebuttal. Moreover, the Board expressly
    acknowledged the anecdotal nature of the evidence and treated it
    with appropriate restraint. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,575.
    32
    noncommercial webcasters of all sizes a hefty discount through
    the monthly ATH allowance. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at
    59,566 (discussing testimony of Professor Catherine Tucker);
    id. at 59,574 (discussing effective discount for noncommercial
    webcasters). For instance, if the average copyrighted song is
    four minutes long, see id. at 59,570–59,571, then 159,140 ATH
    per month would let a noncommercial webcaster play roughly
    28.5 million performances in a year for the $1,000 minimum
    fee. That same number of performances would cost a
    commercial subscription webcaster roughly $75,000 and a
    commercial nonsubscription webcaster roughly $60,000.
    Thus, the significant benefit conferred on noncommercial
    webcasters by their access to the ATH allowance takes account
    of their unwillingness to pay the same rates as commercial
    webcasters.     The Board justifiably concluded that the
    incumbent rate structure adequately balanced noncommercial
    webcasters’ lower willingness to pay with the risk of large
    noncommercial webcasters cannibalizing copyright owners’
    royalty revenue from commercial webcasters, thereby
    satisfying the willing buyer/willing seller standard. See id. at
    59,573–59,574.
    3
    The Committee argues that the Board’s rate determination
    violates the First Amendment’s Free Exercise Clause and the
    federal RFRA, because the terms that it adopts for
    noncommercial religious webcasters are less favorable than the
    terms enjoyed by NPR, a noncommercial secular webcaster.
    We disagree.
    The Free Exercise Clause provides that “Congress shall
    make no law * * * prohibiting the free exercise” of religion.
    U.S. CONST. Amend. I. Under that clause, a government entity
    may not “burden[] [a person’s] sincere religious practice
    33
    pursuant to a policy that is not ‘neutral’ or ‘generally
    applicable’” unless the action is “narrowly tailored in pursuit
    of” a “compelling state interest.” Kennedy v. Bremerton Sch.
    Dist., 
    142 S. Ct. 2407
    , 2422 (2022) (quoting Employment Div.,
    Dep’t of Hum. Res. of Ore. v. Smith, 
    494 U.S. 872
    , 881 (1990)).
    “But the First Amendment is not the only potential refuge for
    [a litigant’s] religious claim—the RFRA offers religious
    exercise greater protection from intrusion by religion-neutral
    federal laws.” Kaemmerling v. Lappin, 
    553 F.3d 669
    , 677
    (D.C. Cir. 2008). Under the RFRA, federal government action
    cannot “substantially burden a person’s exercise of religion
    even if the burden results from a rule of general applicability,”
    unless it is “the least restrictive means of furthering [a]
    compelling governmental interest.” 42 U.S.C. §§ 2000bb-
    1(a)–(b). The statute’s protection reaches “any exercise of
    religion, whether or not compelled by, or central to, a system
    of religious belief.” Id. § 2000cc-5(7)(A).
    The Committee’s RFRA and Free Exercise arguments are
    premised on a factual assertion that the rate for noncommercial
    webcasters under the compulsory license is higher than the rate
    enjoyed by NPR under the NPR Agreement. See Committee
    Opening Br. 53–54. But there is no record finding to support
    that assertion. As we have explained, the Board reasonably
    rejected the NPR Agreement as a benchmark for
    noncommercial webcasters and faulted the Committee’s
    proposals based on the NPR Agreement for failing to make
    necessary adjustments to account for economically significant
    features of the Agreement. The Board also appropriately
    refused to consider the NPR Analysis proffered by the
    Committee, thereby eliminating the evidence that enabled the
    Board to compare the above-threshold per-play royalty rates of
    the compulsory license with the NPR Agreement’s lump-sum
    payments. The record therefore contains no basis for the
    Board, or this court, to effectively determine whether
    34
    noncommercial webcasters subject to the compulsory license
    are paying higher rates than the NPR stations covered by the
    NPR Agreement. Without making that initial showing of
    unfavorable treatment of religious webcasters, the Committee
    cannot establish a violation of the RFRA or the First
    Amendment.
    We note that the Committee’s arguments are also
    problematic in other respects. For example, the Committee
    attempts to challenge the rates paid by the religious
    broadcasters that are members of its trade association, but the
    compulsory license applies to all noncommercial webcasters.
    Even if the above-threshold noncommercial webcasters are
    “almost exclusively religious,” as the Committee asserts,
    Committee Opening Br. 8, the Committee does not explain
    why it does not have to consider the overall rate structure,
    which applies to all noncommercial webcasters. Indeed, the
    Committee fails to cite any precedent that would give the
    Board the power to impose a statutory license that, like the
    Committee’s Alternative 2, would be available only to select
    members of a particular trade organization, rather than to a
    category of webcasters. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,567.
    We are aware of none. Nor did the Committee argue to the
    Board that the religious broadcasters it represents form a
    distinct market segment for purposes of the 2021–2025
    proceeding. We need not address that substantial and open
    question, given the absence of any factual basis to compare the
    rates at issue.
    C
    Finally, SoundExchange challenges as arbitrary and
    capricious the royalty rate the Board set for commercial,
    nonsubscription      “ad-supported”        webcasters,      i.e.,
    noninteractive streaming services like Free Pandora that collect
    35
    payment from advertisers. Specifically, SoundExchange
    argues that the Board acted arbitrarily and capriciously by
    making an express finding that the opportunity cost for sellers
    was a particular value, but then adopting a royalty rate that falls
    below that opportunity cost without further explanation.
    The very premise of SoundExchange’s argument is wrong.
    The Board never found as fact the opportunity cost value on
    which SoundExchange hangs its argument. As a result, its
    arbitrary and capricious challenge fails before it even starts.
    1
    To understand SoundExchange’s argument and the
    Board’s conclusions, some background on the Board’s
    analytical process for setting royalty rates.
    The Board’s statutory obligation is to “establish rates and
    terms that most clearly represent the rates and terms that would
    have been negotiated in the marketplace between a willing
    buyer and a willing seller.” 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(1)(B). The
    Board views this hypothetical market to be one that is
    “effectively competitive.” SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 56
    .
    To determine rates under that standard, the Board has
    relied on various modes of economic analysis to best
    approximate the price at which a willing seller would sell and
    at which a willing buyer would buy. See Intercollegiate I, 
    574 F.3d at 757
    ; Music Choice, 
    774 F.3d at 1010
    . One approach is
    to consider “the rates and terms negotiated for comparable
    services and ‘comparable circumstances under voluntary
    license agreements.’” SoundExchange, 
    904 F.3d at 47
    (quoting 
    17 U.S.C. § 114
    (f)(2)(B)). To that end, parties in a
    proceeding may submit examples of voluntary license
    agreements that they argue are sufficiently analogous to inform
    36
    the appropriate statutory royalty rate for ad-supported, non-
    interactive services. Because those proposed benchmarks
    come from real-world markets that may not map perfectly onto
    the Board’s hypothetical market, the parties commonly submit
    expert economic analyses with their proposed benchmarks that
    propose adjustments to account for any potential variance.
    The Board then evaluates each license agreement’s
    economic merits to determine which proposals, if any, could
    be a useful touchstone in setting the statutory rate. In some
    instances, the Board has accepted multiple proffered
    benchmarks, and used the array to establish a “zone of
    reasonableness” into which the final rate should fall. Web III,
    79 Fed. Reg. at 23,110–23,115.
    Another approach the Board uses is economic modeling
    submitted by parties and their experts that are designed to
    produce an appropriate rate. These models often employ game
    theory to make and justify certain assumptions about the
    hypothetical market, comb relevant data to calculate inputs,
    and essentially solve for what parties contend is an appropriate
    royalty rate. See, e.g., Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,522–59,546
    (Evaluation of Game Theoretic Modelling Evidence); Johnson
    v. Copyright Royalty Board, 
    969 F.3d 363
    , 372 (D.C. Cir.
    2020) (discussing the Board’s use of specific game theoretic
    model known as Shapley Analysis).9
    9
    Game theory “uses equations to model the behavior of decision-
    makers whose choices affect one another.” Peter H. Huang,
    Strategic Behavior and the Law, 36 JURIMETRICS J. 99, 100 (1995)
    (quoting Rob Norton, A New Tool to Help Managers, FORTUNE, May
    30, 1994, at 136). Most relevant here, game theory can help model
    the likely, hypothetical behavior of both negotiating buyers and
    sellers in an effectively competitive market.
    37
    In assessing economic models and their outputs, the Board
    evaluates a model’s utility as well as its flaws, and decides
    whether a model can reasonably assist the Board’s calculation
    of the statutory willing buyer/willing seller rate. See, e.g.,
    Phonorecords III, 84 Fed. Reg. at 1947–1950.
    2
    In this case, the Board considered both benchmarking
    analyses and economic models utilizing game-theory concepts.
    With respect to benchmarking analyses, the Board
    reviewed benchmarks submitted by SoundExchange, Pandora,
    and Google, along with supplemental submissions by the
    parties’ experts. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,491–59,522.
    Making relevant adjustments, the Board found that both
    SoundExchange’s and Pandora’s analyses yielded a royalty
    rate of $0.0023 per play, while Google’s analysis yielded a rate
    of $0.0021 per play. Id. at 59,589.
    The Board also discussed the “Game Theoretic Modelling
    Evidence” submitted by SoundExchange through its expert,
    Professor Willig, and by the Services through their expert,
    Professor Shapiro. As relevant here, the Board evaluated
    Professor Willig’s “Shapley Value Model,” a game-theoretic
    model that focused on “how to apportion among the members
    of a multi-party bargaining group the surplus created by their
    productive cooperation with each other.” Web V, 86 Fed. Reg.
    at 59,522 (internal quotation marks omitted). That is, when the
    parties get together and work out a deal, there is an independent
    value derived from that agreement that is greater than the sum
    of what every party could get on its own. The Willig model
    sought to divide up this surplus. The Willig model also
    assumed a small number of actors would get together to split
    38
    up market share, presupposing a state of limited competition
    otherwise known as an oligopoly.
    One of the inputs that the Willig model used was the
    “fallback value,” or the money a record company could make
    with its repertoire through avenues beyond entering into a
    voluntary licensing agreement with the streaming services.
    Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,522. That fallback value was the
    party’s “opportunity cost”: The party forgoes these alternative
    money-making options when it enters into a specific licensing
    agreement. “The opportunity cost of anything of value is what
    you must give up to get it[.]” Id. at 59,522 n.220 (quoting JOHN
    QUIGGIN, ECONOMICS IN TWO LESSONS: WHY MARKETS
    WORK SO WELL, AND WHY THEY CAN FAIL SO BADLY 15
    (2019)) (internal quotation marks omitted).              Because
    opportunity cost represents what a party gives up in taking a
    particular option, that opportunity cost necessarily sets a floor
    for the statutory rate under the willing buyer/willing seller
    standard. That is because no willing buyer or seller would
    agree to a rate below the cost borne for the choice made.
    As part of its overall review of Professor Willig’s model,
    the Board evaluated his opportunity cost figure, and found
    salient Professor Shapiro’s criticism that the Willig model’s
    opportunity cost input was artificially inflated. Web V, 86 Fed.
    Reg. at 59,538–59,539. As a result, the Board adjusted the
    Willig model estimate of the opportunity cost down, and
    recalculated a proposed royalty rate using that new number.
    Id.10
    Even with those adjustments, however, the Board
    ultimately found that Professor Willig’s model was fatally
    10
    The precise numbers are sealed as proprietary commercial
    information.
    39
    flawed because it baked in certain oligopoly power of the major
    record labels. Oligopolies, of course, are not present in
    effectively competitive markets. So a model premised on
    oligopoly power by definition did not produce a royalty rate
    reflective of what a willing buyer and seller would agree to in
    an effectively competitive environment. As a result, the Board
    concluded that the Willig model and the rate it produced could
    only serve as a “limited guidepost” in determining a statutory
    royalty rate. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,540 (“[T]he evidentiary
    record only allows the Judges to state with regard to the royalty
    rates they have determined [from Professor Willig’s model]
    that those 2021 rates * * * exceed an effectively competitive
    rate by an indeterminate amount.”).
    The Board likewise rejected Professor Shapiro’s game
    theoretic modeling. The Board found that “new evidence”
    Professor Shapiro relied on in his model was fundamentally
    flawed in multiple ways and some key information was absent.
    Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,540–59,546. Because the missing
    evidence was the “sine qua non” of Professor Shapiro’s
    modelling, its absence made Professor Shapiro’s models
    “unusable.” Id. at 59,546.
    Having found both game theoretic models to be
    fundamentally unsound, the Board determined that the separate
    benchmarking analyses submitted by the parties provided more
    reliable evidence of an appropriate royalty rate on this record,
    and that Google’s proposed benchmark in particular was the
    most convincing. The Board emphasized that Google’s
    benchmark provided “more granular, [record] label-specific,
    analysis,” as well as a more reliable application of adjustments
    to account for known concerns, all of which ultimately lent
    more weight to Google’s proposed rate. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg.
    at 59,589.
    40
    On that basis, the Board set the commercial ad-supported,
    noninteractive royalty rate at Google’s proposed adjusted
    benchmark of $0.0021 per play. Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at
    59,589. In so finding, the Board noted that its chosen royalty
    rate was only slightly below that produced by Professor
    Willig’s adjusted model, which served as a relevant, though
    quite limited, guidepost. That further buttressed the Board’s
    judgment that its final royalty rate accurately reflected the
    willing buyer/willing seller standard in a hypothetical,
    effectively competitive market.
    3
    SoundExchange’s entire argument is premised on the
    contention that the Board necessarily erred because it
    specifically adopted the Willig model’s adjusted opportunity
    cost for the ad-supported, noninteractive market, and yet set a
    royalty rate that fell below that amount.
    But the factual premise on which SoundExchange’s
    argument rests is no fact at all. The Board never made a
    definitive finding that the true opportunity cost was the
    adjusted Willig value. In fact, the Board ultimately rejected
    the Willig model, and the game theoretic models more
    generally, for use in calculating the appropriate royalty rate,
    opportunity cost and all.
    Remember, the Board rejected Professor Willig’s
    opportunity cost figure as inflated. The Board then noted
    Professor Shapiro’s proposed downward adjustment of the
    Willig model’s number. The Board took that into account and
    concluded that, “[b]ased on the foregoing adjustments accepted
    by the Judges, Professor Willig’s opportunity cost calculation
    must be adjusted, as set forth [below in Figure 8].” Web V, 86
    Fed. Reg. at 59,538.
    41
    SoundExchange argues that this one sentence renders the
    Board’s entire rate-setting arbitrary and capricious. But all the
    Board said was that it accepted Professor Shapiro’s specific
    adjustments to Professor Willig’s calculations in the broader
    context of Professor Willig’s game theoretic model. The Board
    did not go further and make a definitive determination that the
    adjusted Willig model number was, in fact, the actual
    opportunity cost for sellers that would govern the entire rate-
    setting procedure. Especially not since the Board ultimately
    abandoned altogether the use of economic models like
    Professors Shapiro’s and Willig’s as a reliable basis for
    calculating the royalty rate.
    On top of that, the statement on which SoundExchange
    relies only addressed one of the Board’s multiple critiques of
    the Willig model’s initial opportunity cost calculation. The
    Board, for instance, repeatedly objected to Professor Willig’s
    failure to factor opportunity benefits into his opportunity cost
    calculation. See Web V, 86 Fed. Reg. at 59,523, 59,537.
    Notably, SoundExchange lodges no criticism of the
    Board’s decision to use, instead, the benchmarking process to
    set the royalty rate. That benchmarking process itself
    accounted for opportunity cost, as the voluntary agreements
    naturally involve a party’s own estimation of its opportunity
    cost. And the Board considered that opportunity cost where
    relevant in adjusting the benchmark proffered. See Web V, 86
    Fed. Reg. at 59,496–59,497.
    In sum, because the Board never found as fact that the
    opportunity cost input to Professor Willig’s model, even as
    adjusted, represented the record companies’ true opportunity
    cost, the Board’s decision to set a royalty rate that was slightly
    below the Willig model’s flawed opportunity-cost measure is
    42
    neither here nor there. And so this court has no occasion to
    decide, as SoundExchange urges, whether it would, as a matter
    of law, violate the willing buyer/willing seller standard for the
    Board to set a royalty rate below some definitive measure of
    opportunity cost.
    IV
    For the foregoing reasons, we affirm the Final
    Determination of the Copyright Royalty Board.
    So ordered.