Bristol-Myers Squibb Company v. Teva Pharmaceuticals USA, Inc , 769 F.3d 1339 ( 2014 )


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  •   United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ______________________
    2013-1306
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    District of Delaware in No. 10-CV-0805, Magistrate Judge
    Christopher J. Burke
    ______________________
    ON PETITION FOR PANEL REHEARING AND
    REHEARING EN BANC
    ______________________
    WILLIAM F. LEE, Wilmer Cutler Pickering Hale and
    Dorr, LLP, of Boston, Massachusetts, filed a petition for
    panel rehearing and rehearing en banc for plaintiff-
    appellant. With him on the petition were LAUREN B.
    FLETCHER and ANDREW J. DANFORD, of Boston, Massachu-
    setts, and AMY K. WIGMORE and THOMAS G. SAUNDERS, of
    Washington, DC. Of counsel on the petition were PAUL H.
    BERGHOFF, ALISON J. BALDWIN, and JOSHUA RICH,
    McDonnell Boehnen Hulbert & Berghoff LLP, of Chicago,
    Illinois.
    GEORGE C. LOMBARDI, Winston & Strawn LLP, of Chi-
    cago, Illinois, filed a response for defendant-appellee.
    2                       BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY V.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    With him on the response were LYNN MACDONALD
    ULRICH, IVAN M. POULLAOS, JULIA MANO JOHNSON, and
    WILLIAM P. FERRANTI.
    JONATHAN E. SINGER, Fish & Richardson P.C., of Min-
    neapolis, Minnesota, for amicus curiae Biotechnology
    Industry Organization. With him on the brief was CRAIG
    E. COUNTRYMAN, of San Diego, California.
    HOWARD W. LEVINE, Finnegan, Henderson, Farabow,
    Garrett & Dunner, LLP, of Washington, DC, for amicus
    curiae Bay Area Bioscience Association. With him on the
    brief was JENNIFER S. SWAN, of Palo Alto, California.
    ROY F. WALDRON, Pfizer Inc., of New York, New York,
    for amicus curiae Pfizer Inc. With him on the brief were
    JEFFREY J. OELKE, LESLIE MORIOKA, and ROBERT E.
    COUNIHAN, White & Case LLP, of New York, New York.
    STEVEN P. CALTRIDER, Eli Lilly and Company, of Indi-
    anapolis, Indiana, for amicus curiae Eli Lilly and Compa-
    ny.
    CARTER G. PHILLIPS, Sidley Austin LLP, of Washing-
    ton, DC, for amicus curiae Pharmaceutical Research and
    Manufacturers of America. With him on the brief were
    JEFFREY P. KUSHAN, RYAN C. MORRIS, and JAMES A. HIGH,
    JR.
    ROBERT M. ISACKSON, Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe
    LLP, of New York, New York, for amicus curiae Intellec-
    tual Property Owners Association. With him on the brief
    were ELIZABETH A. HOWARD and T. VANN PEARCE. Of
    counsel on the brief were PHILIP S. JOHNSON and KEVIN H.
    RHODES, Intellectual Property Owners Association, of
    Washington, DC. Of counsel was HERBERT C. WAMSLEY,
    JR.
    NICHOLAS G. BARZOUKAS, Baker Botts L.L.P., of Hou-
    ston, Texas, for amicus curiae Merck Sharp & Dohme
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY V.                          3
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    Corp. With him on the brief was JOSHUA DAVIS. Of coun-
    sel on the brief were WILLIAM KROVATIN and GERARD M.
    DEVLIN, Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp., of Rahway, New
    Jersey.
    ______________________
    Before PROST, Chief Judge, NEWMAN, PLAGER 1, LOURIE,
    DYK, MOORE, O’MALLEY, REYNA, WALLACH, TARANTO,
    CHEN, and HUGHES, Circuit Judges.
    DYK, Circuit Judge, with whom WALLACH, Circuit
    Judge, joins, concurs in the denial of the petition for
    rehearing en banc.
    O’MALLEY, Circuit Judge, concurs in the denial of the
    petition for rehearing en banc.
    NEWMAN, Circuit Judge, with whom LOURIE and
    REYNA, Circuit Judges, join, dissents from the denial of
    the petition for rehearing en banc.
    TARANTO, Circuit Judge, with whom LOURIE and
    REYNA, Circuit Judges, join, dissents from the denial of
    the petition for rehearing en banc.
    PER CURIAM.
    ORDER
    A combined petition for panel rehearing and rehear-
    ing en banc was filed by plaintiff-appellant Bristol-Meyers
    Squibb Company, and a response thereto was invited by
    the court and filed by defendant-appellee Teva Pharma-
    ceuticals USA, Inc. The petition for rehearing and re-
    sponse were referred to the panel that heard the appeal,
    and thereafter, the petition for rehearing en banc and
    response were referred to the circuit judges who are
    authorized to request a poll of whether to rehear the
    appeal en banc. A poll was requested, taken, and failed.
    Upon consideration thereof,
    IT IS ORDERED THAT:
    4                        BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY V.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    (1) The petition for panel rehearing is denied.
    (2) The petition for rehearing en banc is denied.
    (3) The mandate of the court will issue on October 27,
    2014.
    FOR THE COURT
    October 20, 2014               /s/ Daniel E. O’Toole
    Date                    Daniel E. O’Toole
    Clerk of Court
    1   Circuit Judge Plager participated only in the deci-
    sion on the petition for panel rehearing.
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ______________________
    2013-1306
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    District of Delaware in No. 10-CV-0805, Magistrate Judge
    Christopher J. Burke.
    ______________________
    DYK, Circuit Judge, with whom WALLACH, Circuit Judge,
    joins, concurring in the denial of the petition for rehearing
    en banc.
    This case presents a question of obviousness, in par-
    ticular whether evidence postdating the invention can be
    used to establish unexpected results. The panel holds
    that it cannot be considered in the circumstances of this
    case. That position is correct. It is mandated by the
    statute, which provides that an invention is not patenta-
    ble if it “would have been obvious before the effective filing
    date of the claimed invention to a person having ordinary
    skill in the art to which the claimed invention pertains.”
    35 U.S.C. § 103 (emphasis added).
    2                         BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    The patent applicant’s discovery of unexpected results
    at the time of the invention can help to establish that the
    invention would not have been obvious to another skilled
    person. But hindsight bias must be avoided in determin-
    ing obviousness. And under longstanding Supreme Court
    authority, the pertinent knowledge is that possessed at
    the time of the invention. See KSR Int’l Co. v. Teleflex
    Inc., 
    550 U.S. 398
    , 416 (2007) (focusing on “[w]hen Adams
    designed his battery” and noting that “[t]he fact that the
    elements worked together in an unexpected and fruitful
    manner supported the conclusion that Adams’ design was
    not obvious to those skilled in the art.”) (citing United
    States v. Adams, 
    383 U.S. 39
    (1966)); Ball & Socket Fas-
    tener Co. v. Kraetzer, 
    150 U.S. 111
    , 116–17 (1893) (dis-
    counting an advantage of a patented invention that “was
    not originally within the contemplation of the patentee,
    but is an afterthought”); see also Genetics Inst., LLC v.
    Novartis Vaccines and Diagnostics, Inc., 
    655 F.3d 1291
    ,
    1315 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (Dyk, J., dissenting). This decision
    properly does not allow consideration of post-invention
    evidence in the circumstances of this case. There is no
    basis for rehearing en banc.
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ______________________
    2013-1306
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    District of Delaware in No. 10-CV-0805, Magistrate Judge
    Christopher J. Burke.
    ______________________
    O’MALLEY, Circuit Judge, concurring in the denial of the
    petition for rehearing en banc.
    I concur in the court’s denial of the petition for rehear-
    ing en banc. I write to assuage Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.’s
    (“BMS”) and the amici’s 1 fears that this panel decision
    has rewritten the test for obviousness for pharmaceutical
    patents. In my view, the concerns expressed are unjusti-
    1   Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp., Intellectual Proper-
    ty Owners Association, Pharmaceutical Research and
    Manufacturers of America, Eli Lilly & Co., Pfizer Inc.,
    Biotechnology Industry Organization, and Bay Area
    Bioscience Association (collectively, “the amici”).
    2                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    fied and mischaracterize the opinion. This case does not
    forge new ground or set down immutable principles. It
    simply decides that, on the record before it, the district
    court did not err in finding the asserted claim of the ’244
    Patent invalid as obvious.
    As the panel opinion explains, an invention is un-
    patentable when “the differences between the subject
    matter sought to be patented and the prior art are such
    that the subject matter as a whole would have been
    obvious at the time the invention was made to a person
    having ordinary skill in the art to which said subject
    matter pertains.” 35 U.S.C. § 103(a) (2006). 2 Obviousness
    is a question of law based on the following underlying
    factual findings: (1) the level of ordinary skill in the art;
    (2) the scope and content of the prior art; (3) the differ-
    ences between the claims and the prior art; and (4) objec-
    tive indicia of nonobviousness, such as commercial
    success, long-felt but unmet needs, failure of others, and
    unexpected results. KSR Int’l Co. v. Teleflex, Inc., 
    550 U.S. 398
    , 406 (2007); Graham v. John Deere Co., 
    383 U.S. 1
    , 17–18 (1966).
    In this case, the panel affirmed the district court’s
    conclusion that entecavir, BMS’s antiviral compound used
    to treat hepatitis B, was invalid as obvious. 3 The panel
    found the record supported the selection of 2’-CDG as a
    lead compound and the conclusion that one of ordinary
    skill in the art would have been motivated to modify 2’-
    CDG in such a way to arrive at the patented compound,
    2    Because this invention was filed before the adop-
    tion of the America Invents Act, the prior version of § 103
    governs.
    3    Specifically, the district court found that claim 8
    of U.S. Patent No. 5,206,244 was invalid as obvious. See
    Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. v. Teva Pharm. USA, Inc., 
    923 F. Supp. 2d 602
    , 686 (D. Del. 2013).
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           3
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    entecavir. Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. v. Teva Pharm. USA,
    Inc., 
    752 F.3d 967
    , 975 (Fed. Cir. 2014). The panel then
    agreed with the district court that, despite some evidence
    of objective indicia demonstrating non-obviousness, the
    totality of the evidence supported the conclusion that
    entecavir was obvious. 
    Id. at 979.
         In the petition for rehearing en banc and the support-
    ing amicus briefs, BMS and the amici claim that, in
    reaching its judgment, the panel dramatically altered the
    jurisprudential landscape governing obviousness claims
    in pharmaceutical cases. And they predict that dire
    consequences will flow therefrom. They express concern
    about (1) the panel’s treatment of post-invention evidence
    regarding the differences between the prior art and the
    invention, specifically when determining if a skilled
    artisan would have been motivated to make the claimed
    compound with a reasonable expectation of success for its
    therapeutic use; (2) the panel’s description of what consti-
    tutes an unexpected result in the pharmaceutical context;
    (3) the party upon whom it placed the burden of proof at
    certain stages of its obviousness inquiry; and (4) the way
    in which the panel weighed the evidence of objective
    indicia of non-obviousness.
    BMS and the amici first contend that the panel im-
    properly limits consideration of evidence regarding the
    properties of the invention and the prior art to those
    known at the time of the invention. Specifically, BMS
    and the amici argue the panel forecloses the possibility of
    reviewing later-discovered differences between the prior
    art and the claimed invention by requiring these differ-
    ences to be unexpected “by one of ordinary skill in the art
    at the time of the invention.” 
    Id. at 977
    (emphasis added).
    BMS and the amici allege that the panel erred by not
    considering later-discovered unexpected results, and now
    closes the door to all reference to such evidence. I disa-
    gree.
    4                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    Our case law clearly allows the consideration of later-
    discovered differences between the prior art and the
    invention. See Sanofi-Aventis Deutschland GmbH v.
    Glenmark Pharm., Inc., 
    748 F.3d 1354
    , 1360 (Fed. Cir.
    2014) (“Glenmark also argues that later-discovered bene-
    fits cannot be considered in an obviousness analysis . . . .
    That is incorrect; patentability may consider all of the
    characteristics possessed by the claimed invention, when-
    ever those characteristics become manifest.”); Genetics
    Inst., LLC v. Novartis Vaccines & Diagnostics, Inc., 
    655 F.3d 1291
    , 1307 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (“[E]vidence of unex-
    pected results may be [considered] . . . even if that evi-
    dence was obtained after the patent’s filing or issue
    date.”); Knoll Pharm. Co. v. Teva Pharm. USA, Inc., 
    367 F.3d 1381
    , 1385 (Fed. Cir. 2004) (“Evidence developed
    after the patent grant is not excluded from consideration,
    for understanding of the full range of an invention is not
    always achieved at the time of filing the patent applica-
    tion.”). These differences inform the obviousness analysis
    and thus can be considered when assessing what was
    understood by one of skill in the art at the time of the
    invention and what expectations may have been reasona-
    ble.
    Like all evidence of objective indicia, the point of con-
    sidering later-understood evidence regarding the proper-
    ties of the invention is to guard against hindsight bias by
    assessing claims of a motivation to combine as of the time
    of invention in light of later surprises or developments.
    KSR Int’l 
    Co., 550 U.S. at 421
    ; see 
    Graham, 383 U.S. at 36
    ; cf. Sinclair Refining Co. v. Jenkins Petroleum Process
    Co., 
    289 U.S. 689
    , 697–98 (1932) (“The law will make the
    best appraisal that it can, summoning to its services
    whatever aids it can command [to assess a claimed
    knowledge base or expectation]. . . . [I]f years have gone
    by before the evidence is offered[,] [later acquired
    e]xperience is then available to correct uncertain prophe-
    cy. Here is a book of wisdom that courts may not neglect.
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           5
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    We find no rule of law that sets a clasp upon its pages and
    forbids us to look within.”). The panel opinion could not
    rewrite this precedent even if it wanted to; in this case, I
    see no evidence it sought to do so.
    The line of the opinion to which BMS and the amici
    refer simply notes that the inquiry into what one of skill
    in the art understood and reasonably expected must be
    fixed as of the time of the invention. It does not say only
    properties of the invention known at the time of the
    invention can be considered for purposes of informing that
    inquiry. Indeed, as we have said repeatedly over the
    years, post-issuance evidence regarding objective indicia
    of non-obviousness may often be the most probative and
    cogent evidence in the record. Stratoflex, Inc. v. Aeroquip
    Corp., 
    713 F.2d 1530
    , 1538 (Fed. Cir. 1983). This is
    especially true where the post-issuance evidence relates to
    unexpected results. See 
    Sanofi-Aventis, 748 F.3d at 1360
    .
    Apparently recognizing that the panel opinion does
    not expressly purport to change the law, BMS and the
    amici argue that, by adopting the district court’s finding
    that 2’-CDG was considered safe and non-toxic at the time
    of the invention, despite evidence that it was later deter-
    mined to be toxic, the panel implicitly condoned the
    exclusion of evidence regarding later-discovered proper-
    ties, in this and future cases. There is a distinction
    between limiting the obviousness inquiry to pre-invention
    evidence and finding post-invention evidence unpersua-
    sive, however. See Allergan Inc. v. Sandoz Inc., 
    726 F.3d 1286
    , 1293 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (“We agree with the court’s
    finding that this result was unexpected. However, we do
    not find that these unexpected results are sufficient to
    outweigh the other evidence of obviousness.”).
    What the district court found was that the later evi-
    dence of 2’-CDG’s toxicity was insufficient to overcome the
    strong evidence that researchers at the time had a moti-
    vation to start with 2’-CDG as the lead compound and
    6                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    modify it in such a way as to make entecavir. The court
    then cited a host of evidence in the record to support that
    conclusion. BMS and the amici say that the trial court’s
    conclusion cannot have been correct because 2’-CDG was
    later shown to be toxic. They argue that no medicinal
    chemist could have had a reasonable expectation of suc-
    cess from use of 2’-CDG as a lead compound because they
    could not have known if any modification to it would be
    safe for human use.
    As the district court pointed out, BMS did not ques-
    tion the reasonableness of a skilled artisan’s expectation
    on these grounds until its reply brief before the trial court
    and, thus, arguably waived that argument. Bristol-Myers
    Squibb 
    Co., 923 F. Supp. 2d at 674
    n.36. And, the district
    court rejected the merits of BMS’s argument, finding that
    the level of 2’-CDG’s cytotoxicity was not known at the
    time of the invention and that tentative concerns about
    the toxicity did not stop researchers from using 2’-CDG as
    a starting point. As the district court said, “the best
    indication that any such tentative references to possible
    toxicity did not stop the medicinal chemist from selecting
    2’-CDG as a lead compound in the late 1980s and 1990, in
    light of its positive benefits, is the fact that researchers
    were actually treating and using 2’-CDG as a lead com-
    pound during the relevant time period.” 
    Id. at 662.
    Indeed, BMS’s own expert, Dr. Bud Tennant, testified
    that, during his experiments investigating the effects of
    2’-CDG against the woodchuck hepatitis virus—which
    occurred after entecavir’s invention—he was surprised to
    find 2’-CDG was toxic. 
    Id. at 623–24.
        While the later findings regarding 2’-CDG’s toxicity
    certainly make claims regarding the reasonableness of
    any expectation of success less credible, on this record, the
    panel did not act beyond the pale in concluding that the
    district court’s factual conclusion regarding the existence
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                          7
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    of a reasonable expectation of success was not clearly
    erroneous. 4 The panel’s decision to affirm the district
    court’s findings does not foreclose the possibility that
    post-invention evidence regarding the properties of either
    the invention or the prior art might be persuasive in the
    appropriate case. BMS simply did not make a record
    which would support the conclusion that they were in this
    case.
    BMS and the amici next contend that the panel inap-
    propriately discounted the significance of unexpected
    results when the panel parsed unexpected results into
    “differences in kind” and “differences in degree.” They
    argue that the panel’s treatment of entecavir’s unexpected
    properties as mere differences in degree from 2’-CDG’s
    properties diminishes the potentially meaningful distinc-
    tions between two compounds by reducing the nuanced
    unexpected results inquiry to a question of degree versus
    kind. According to BMS and the amici, this characteriza-
    tion of what may be considered unexpected results creates
    impossible hurdles for the pharmaceutical industry to
    overcome, where slight differences between compounds
    can translate into life or death for a patient.
    In its discussion of unexpected results, the panel ex-
    plained that “[w]hen assessing unexpected properties . . .
    we must evaluate the significance and ‘kind’ of expected
    results along with the unexpected results.” Bristol-Myers
    Squibb 
    Co., 752 F.3d at 977
    . This statement is consistent
    with our precedent that one should consider the substan-
    4    While I agree with all of the concerns thoughtfully
    expressed by Judge Taranto, as he acknowledges, the
    current record does not permit us to reach those concerns.
    BMS did not argue that there was insufficient evidence to
    indicate that a modification of 2’-CDG would be therapeu-
    tically effective, and there is no evidence in the record
    that skilled artisans at the time doubted that it would be.
    8                         BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    tiality of the differences between the properties of the
    prior art and those of the invention to determine the
    significance of those differences. See In re Soni, 
    54 F.3d 746
    , 751 (Fed. Cir. 1995) (“Mere improvement in proper-
    ties does not always suffice to show unexpected results. . .
    . [W]hen an applicant demonstrates substantially im-
    proved results . . . and states that the results were unex-
    pected, this should suffice to establish unexpected results
    in the absence of evidence to the contrary.”); In re Chupp,
    
    816 F.2d 643
    , 646 (Fed. Cir. 1987) (“[T]he mere submis-
    sion of some evidence that a new compound possesses
    some unpredictable properties does not require an auto-
    matic conclusion of nonobviousness in every case.”); In re
    Merck, 
    800 F.2d 1091
    , 1099 (Fed. Cir. 1986) (“In the
    absence of evidence to show that the properties of the
    compounds differed in such an appreciable degree that
    the difference was really unexpected, we do not think that
    the Board erred in its determination.”); In re Corkill, 
    771 F.2d 1496
    , 1501 (Fed. Cir. 1985) (“A greater than expected
    result is an evidentiary factor pertinent to the legal
    conclusion of [] obviousness.”).
    While reading the panel’s statement that a “‘mere dif-
    ference in degree’ is insufficient” to render a compound
    patentable out of context admittedly could lead to some
    confusion, the panel’s entire discussion of unexpected
    results makes clear that one must consider the extent of
    the differences between properties of the prior art and the
    invention to determine the weight such evidence should
    be given in the obviousness analysis. The reference to
    differences in kind versus differences in degree was
    merely illustrative of how one can assess unexpected
    properties—it was not essential to the panel’s finding that
    it would defer to the district court’s factual finding that
    the results upon which BMS relied were not truly unex-
    pected or substantial. Bristol-Myers Squibb 
    Co., 752 F.3d at 978
    . Accordingly, I do not believe the panel’s mere use
    of the phrasing to which BMS objects inappropriately
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                          9
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    reduces the question of unexpected results to a purely
    mechanical application of degree versus kind.
    BMS and the amici next contend that the panel en-
    dorsed the use of a burden-shifting framework, wherein
    the burden shifted to the patentee once the alleged in-
    fringer established a prima facie case of obviousness. The
    panel neither used nor endorsed a burden-shifting analy-
    sis, however; it said explicitly that it was employing a
    holistic approach to obviousness. 
    Id. at 976–77
    (consider-
    ing Teva’s strong evidence of obviousness alongside BMS’s
    arguments relating to secondary considerations of nonob-
    viousness); 
    id. at 977
    (explaining that “[s]econdary con-
    siderations of nonobviousness ‘must always when present
    be considered’’’ (quoting In re Cyclobenzaprine Hydrochlo-
    ride Extended-Release Capsule Patent Litig., 
    676 F.3d 1063
    , 1075–76, 1079 (Fed. Cir. 2012))). 5 Again, the amici
    and BMS see ghosts that are simply not there.
    Lastly, BMS and the amici argue that the panel deci-
    sion supports comparing the objective indicia of non-
    obviousness against one another, allowing some to offset
    others. As the panel itself stated, “[it] under[stood] the
    district court to be noting that some categories of [objec-
    tive indicia] evidence simply were not as helpful to BMS’s
    case as others. [The panel did] not read the opinion as
    suggesting that unhelpful evidence somehow diminished
    5     Indeed, the district court made clear that it too
    understood the importance of objective considerations in
    the obviousness inquiry. Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., 923 F.
    Supp. 2d at 675 (noting that objective evidence of non-
    obviousness must be “considered collectively” with evi-
    dence of obviousness, may not be “after-the-fact consider-
    ations” and may not be “relegated to ‘secondary status’”)
    (citing In re Cyclobenzaprine 
    Hydrochloride, 676 F.3d at 1078
    ). It just disagreed with the weight BMS asked that
    they be given in this case.
    10                        BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    the strength of the more persuasive forms of evidence.”
    
    Id. at 979.
    Here, BMS and the amici simply mischarac-
    terize the panel opinion.
    Ultimately, a case is won or lost on the record. At the
    district court, BMS’s own expert, Dr. Schneller, conceded
    that 2’-CDG would have been considered as a lead com-
    pound by one skilled in the art and acknowledged that 2’-
    CDG was actually being used as a lead compound at the
    time of entecavir’s invention. Bristol-Myers Squibb 
    Co., 923 F. Supp. 2d at 663
    (“BMS’s expert, Dr. Schneller, . . .
    repeatedly testified at trial that [SRI and Glaxo] chemists
    were, in fact, treating and using 2’-CDG as a lead com-
    pound” during the time of the invention.); 
    id. at 664
    (“[T]he testimony of [BMS’s] own expert at trial repeated-
    ly and conclusively established that researchers were, in
    fact, treating and using 2’-CDG as a lead compound in the
    relevant time period.”). Additionally, Dr. Schneller ad-
    mitted that a skilled artisan could have been led to modify
    2’-CDG in such a way to arrive at the claimed invention.
    
    Id. at 665
    (“Dr. Schneller . . . agreed that when a lead
    compound is selected, a chemist would seek to make
    conservative changes to that structure.”); 
    id. at 670–71
    (Dr. Schneller stated in his expert report and on cross
    examination that in light of the prior art a skilled artisan
    could have been led to substitute an exocyclic methylene
    group at the 5 prime position of 2’-CDG). In light of these
    admissions, the district court concluded that, in “almost
    every significant portion of [its] case, Teva’s position was
    not only bolstered by the opinion of its expert, Dr. Heath-
    cock, but also by the testimony of BMS’s expert, Dr.
    Schneller.” 
    Id. at 686.
        Despite the testimony of its own expert below, on ap-
    peal, BMS originally focused on the district court’s alleged
    error in concluding that a skilled artisan would have
    selected 2’-CDG as a lead compound and modified it to
    arrive at the claimed invention. Reference to evidence of
    entecavir’s unexpected properties was raised almost as an
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                            11
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    afterthought in BMS’s opening brief, as was its focus on
    the reasonable expectation of success prong of the motiva-
    tion to combine inquiry before the district court. Now,
    BMS and the amici adopt a “sky is falling” approach to
    what is simply a fact dependent opinion. The opinion
    makes no dramatic changes to the law, closes no doors on
    what evidence may be considered in undertaking an
    obviousness inquiry, establishes no hard and fast tests for
    what results might be considered unexpected in a case
    involving a pharmaceutical compound, and does not
    improperly shift the burden of proof or denigrate the
    importance of objective indicia of non-obviousness. 6 On
    this record and upon a fair reading of the panel opinion, I
    do not believe en banc consideration is warranted.
    6    I do not discount the fact that, in dissent from this
    denial of en banc, Judges Newman, Lourie, and Reyna are
    concerned that the panel opinion did go too far and that
    Judge Taranto at least believes the opinion can be read—
    fairly or not—as having done so. We all agree on the law,
    we simply disagree whether this opinion is sufficiently at
    odds with it to warrant en banc consideration.
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ______________________
    2013-1306
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    District of Delaware in No. 10-CV-0805, Magistrate Judge
    Christopher J. Burke.
    ______________________
    NEWMAN, Circuit Judge, with whom LOURIE and REYNA,
    Circuit Judges, join, dissenting from the denial of the
    petition for rehearing en banc.
    This appeal concerns a patent owned by Bristol-Myers
    Squibb Company on the product entecavir, a medicinal
    product for treatment of hepatitis B. Litigation arose
    under the provisions of the Hatch-Waxman Act, upon the
    filing by Teva Pharmaceuticals USA of an Abbreviated
    New Drug Application Paragraph IV Certification. A
    2                         BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    panel of this court held the patent invalid, 1 creating
    several new standards for determination of obviousness.
    For example, the court deemed it irrelevant to the obvi-
    ousness determination that the prior art “lead compound,”
    the carbocyclic analog of 2′-deoxyguanosine (2′-CDG), is
    highly toxic to humans, whereas the new product
    entecavir is non-toxic. Bristol-Myers requests rehearing
    en banc, arguing that the court has misapplied statute
    and precedent.
    This case has aroused extensive commentary, particu-
    larly in the chemical and pharmaceutical fields; the
    request for rehearing en banc is supported by much of the
    nation’s research-based industry, which has filed briefs as
    amici curiae to point out the disincentives and uncertain-
    ties flowing from the court’s rulings. As summarized by
    amicus Intellectual Property Owners Association:
    This decision introduces substantial uncertainty
    into what appeared to be a clear legal standard;
    allowing this uncertainty to fester would affect
    countless pending and future cases. Obviousness
    is an issue in most patent examinations, litiga-
    tions, and administrative proceedings. Particular-
    ly in unpredictable chemical and pharmaceutical
    fields, unexpected results evidencing differences
    and objective considerations can tip the balance
    between obviousness and non-obviousness. Pa-
    tent owners would benefit from the certainty of an
    en banc ruling on when and how later-discovered
    differences between an invention and prior art
    may be considered in the obviousness analysis.
    Brief of Amicus Curiae Intellectual Property Owners
    Association in Support of Rehearing En Banc at 6-7.
    1   Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. v. Teva Pharm. USA,
    Inc., 
    752 F.3d 967
    (Fed. Cir. 2014).
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                          3
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    I outline the several conflicts with precedent here
    produced; for until this case, inventors could confidently
    establish patentability of a new product or a new use by
    showing that the new property or use was unexpected in
    light of the prior art.
    1. Restriction on comparative data showing unex-
    pected properties
    The court held that entecavir’s unexpected properties
    did not render it nonobvious in patent terms because
    “additional unexpected properties, however, did not upset
    an already established motivation to modify a prior art
    compound based on the expected properties of the result-
    ing compound.” 
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 976
    . The
    court’s hindsight decision that Bristol-Myers merely
    “ma[de] the minor modification to arrive at entecavir,” 
    id. at 973,
    while ignoring the unexpected differences in
    properties between entecavir and the prior art compound,
    conflicts with the entirety of precedent on the law of
    obviousness.
    When a new product (or device or method) is discov-
    ered, its nonobviousness in patent terms often is demon-
    strated by evidence of whether the new product (or device
    or method) possesses properties not possessed by similar
    products. The mechanism for providing this evidence is
    the submission of comparative data in affidavits or decla-
    rations filed pursuant to USPTO Rule 132, 37 C.F.R.
    §1.132. Such data may involve new experiments per-
    formed on the invention and the prior art for purposes of
    comparison, and information already known although not
    in comparative form. See, e.g., In re Chupp, 
    816 F.2d 643
    ,
    644 (Fed. Cir. 1987) (“To rebut the prima facie case of
    obviousness, Chupp submitted a declaration discussing
    the results of tests comparing the herbicidal activity of
    the claimed compound with that of the closest prior art
    compounds and with two commercial herbicides. . . . It is
    undisputed that the claimed compound gave superior
    4                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    results . . . .”); In re Payne, 
    606 F.2d 303
    , 306, 316 (CCPA
    1979) (in response to an obviousness rejection based on
    prior art, the inventor provided data that “purportedly
    establishes an unexpectedly superior scope and level of
    pesticidal activity of the claimed compounds in a compari-
    son of the most representative compound of” the prior
    art).
    Such comparative data need not have been previously
    available or known to the art at the time of the invention.
    In In re Miller, 
    197 F.2d 340
    , 342 (CCPA 1952), the court
    called for the “making of comparative tests” if needed to
    support unexpected results. This is established practice.
    See, e.g., In re Orfeo, 
    440 F.2d 439
    , 441 (CCPA 1971)
    (applicants “have the right to have considered the Rule
    132 affidavit which allegedly shows new and unexpected
    results”); In re Khelghatian, 
    364 F.2d 870
    , 872 (CCPA
    1966):
    There appears to be agreement of the parties that
    essential to the proper resolution of this issue is a
    consideration of all the record evidence, including
    an affidavit filed under Rule 132. Such has been
    the law in this court for several years, and that
    regardless of whether any “doubt” as to patenta-
    bility exists upon an examination of the prior art
    alone.
    Precedent is clear that the information and comparative
    data presented as evidence of nonobviousness need not
    have existed before the patent application was filed. See,
    e.g., Genetics Inst., LLC v. Novartis Vaccines & Diagnos-
    tics, Inc., 
    655 F.3d 1291
    , 1307 (Fed. Cir. 2011):
    [I]t would be error to prohibit a patent applicant
    or patentee from presenting relevant indicia of
    nonobviousness, whether or not this evidence was
    available or expressly contemplated at the filing of
    the patent application.
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           5
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    See also Knoll Pharm. Co., Inc. v. Teva Pharm. USA, Inc.,
    
    367 F.3d 1381
    , 1385 (Fed. Cir. 2004):
    There is no requirement that an invention’s prop-
    erties and advantages were fully known before the
    patent application was filed, or that the patent
    application contains all of the work done in study-
    ing the invention, in order for that work to be in-
    troduced into evidence in response to litigation
    attack. Nor is it improper to conduct additional
    experiments and provide later-obtained data in
    support of patent validity.
    Information learned after the patent application was filed
    may provide evidence of unexpected or unpredicted prop-
    erties. E.g., In re Zenitz, 
    333 F.2d 924
    , 925, 927 (CCPA
    1964) (later discovered hypotensive and tranquilizing
    properties that were not described in the specification
    could render the claimed compounds nonobvious and thus
    patentable); Sanofi-Aventis Deutschland GmbH v. Glen-
    mark Pharm. Inc., USA, 
    748 F.3d 1354
    , 1360 (Fed. Cir.
    2014):
    Glenmark also argues that later-discovered bene-
    fits cannot be considered in an obviousness analy-
    sis, here referring to the improved kidney and
    blood vessel function that were observed after the
    patent application was filed. That is incorrect; pa-
    tentability may consider all of the characteristics
    possessed by the claimed invention, whenever
    those characteristics become manifest.
    Comparisons of newly found properties of both the inven-
    tion and the prior art are routinely presented as evidence
    in determinations of obviousness. In Leo Pharmaceutical
    Products, LTD. v. Kappos, 
    726 F.3d 1346
    (Fed. Cir. 2013),
    the patentee during reexamination conducted tests of the
    prior art and showed that the reference formulations
    resulted in significant degradation of the vitamin D
    analog and corticosteroid.      In considering this post-
    6                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    invention testing of the prior art, this court stated “[t]hese
    test results are a strong indication that the ’013 patent’s
    combination of known elements yields more than just
    predictable results,” and reversed the Board’s obviousness
    determination. 
    Id. at 1358.
         The provision of comparative data, whether or not the
    data were available before the patent application was
    filed, is long-established practice. See In re 
    Payne, 606 F.2d at 315-16
    (“A prima facie case of obviousness based
    on structural similarity is rebuttable by proof that the
    claimed compounds possess unexpectedly advantageous
    or superior properties. Direct or indirect comparative
    testing between the claimed compounds and the closest
    prior art may be necessary.” (citing In re Papesch, 
    315 F.2d 381
    , 386-87 (CCPA 1963))); In re Merchant, 
    575 F.2d 865
    , 869 (CCPA 1978) (“An applicant relying upon a
    comparative showing to rebut a prima facie case must
    compare his claimed invention with the closest prior
    art.”); In re Miller, 
    197 F.2d 340
    , 342 (CCPA 1952)
    (“Where, as here, results superior to those produced by
    the references of the prior art, or public knowledge and
    use, constitute the basis for the claim of invention, the
    making of comparative tests and the establishment of the
    unexpected and superior results never before attained
    must be established by a proper showing.”).
    Despite this overwhelming precedent, the court de-
    clined to weigh that the designated lead compound 2′-
    CDG is highly toxic and concededly is useless in treating
    hepatitis B. Such information cannot be ignored, alt-
    hough it was not observed until the prior art compound
    was tested in mammals, after the entecavir patent appli-
    cation was filed. This does not render this unexpected
    difference irrelevant to patentability, as a matter of law
    or logic. In In re Papesch the court explained:
    From the standpoint of patent law, a compound
    and all of its properties are inseparable; they are
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           7
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    one and the same thing. . . . [T]he thing that is
    patented is not the formula but the compound
    identified by it. And the patentability of the thing
    does not depend on the similarity of its formula to
    that of another compound but of the similarity of
    the former compound to the latter. There is no
    basis in law for ignoring any property in making
    such a 
    comparison. 315 F.2d at 391
    .
    Our colleagues in concurrence disregard the entirety
    of precedent and practice. The amici curiae protest the
    court’s changes of law and understanding as confusing,
    unnecessary, and contrary to the public interest in devel-
    opment of useful and beneficial new products. Amicus
    curiae the Biotechnology Industry Organization reminds
    the court of the new statutory pressures for early filing,
    now that the patent goes to the first inventor to file, not
    the first to invent:
    The AIA’s new first-to-file system puts pressure
    on companies to file early, lest they lose priority.
    But, under the panel’s approach, innovators might
    be better off waiting, in case new, unexpected dif-
    ferences between the invention and prior art come
    to light during clinical testing. There is no reason
    to put innovators to that difficult choice.
    Brief of Amicus Curiae Biotechnology Industry Organiza-
    tion in Support of Rehearing En Banc at 7.
    If there is now to be a major restriction on the evi-
    dence that can be adduced in support of patentability of
    new and improved products, such change of law should be
    determined en banc.
    2. The misapplication of “secondary considerations”
    Information about the “secondary considerations” of
    nonobviousness, see Graham v. John Deere Co., 
    383 U.S. 1
    8                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    (1966), is often based on post-filing knowledge and data.
    Such information includes “commercial success, long felt
    but unsolved needs, failure of others, etc.,” 
    id. at 17,
    and
    tends to become manifest after the patent application is
    filed and the invention is used. “Evidence of secondary
    considerations may often be the most probative and
    cogent evidence in the record.” Stratoflex, Inc. v. Aeroquip
    Corp., 
    713 F.2d 1530
    , 1538 (Fed. Cir. 1983).
    Emphasizing the characteristics of medicinal and bio-
    logical products, amicus curiae Pharmaceutical Research
    and Manufacturers of America observes that the objective
    indicia of nonobviousness do not come into existence until
    after the patent application was filed. If there is now to
    be some restriction on reliance on such information, it
    should be clearly stated and contrary precedent should be
    overruled.
    3. The holding that an unexpected property is insuf-
    ficient “by itself” to show nonobviousness
    The court stated that “unexpected results do not per
    se defeat, or prevent, the finding that a modification to a
    lead compound will yield expected, beneficial properties.”
    
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 976
    . The court further stated
    that “an unexpected result or property does not by itself
    support a finding of nonobviousness.” 
    Id. To the
    contra-
    ry, an unexpected result or property is the touchstone of
    nonobviousness.
    Although the court recognized that entecavir has the
    “unexpected properties [of]: (1) high potency against
    hepatitis B, (2) a larger than expected therapeutic win-
    dow, and (3) a high genetic barrier to resistance,” 
    id. at 977
    , the court held that these unexpected properties were
    expected because the prior art had these properties to
    some failed extent. The court postulated that entecavir’s
    non-toxicity was “not unexpected in light of the structur-
    ally similar 2′-CDG,” 
    id. at 978,
    although the toxicity of 2′-
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                          9
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    CDG was so high that it was abandoned as a potential
    treatment for hepatitis B.
    Precedent directly contradicts the court’s position. An
    unexpected property “by itself” can, indeed, support a
    finding of nonobviousness. This court stated in In re Soni:
    One way for a patent applicant to rebut a
    prima facie case of obviousness is to make a show-
    ing of “unexpected results,” i.e., to show that the
    claimed invention exhibits some superior property
    or advantage that a person of ordinary skill in the
    relevant art would have found surprising or unex-
    pected. The basic principle behind this rule is
    straightforward—that which would have been
    surprising to a person of ordinary skill in a par-
    ticular art would not have been obvious. . . .
    [W]hen an applicant demonstrates substantially
    improved results, as Soni did here, and states that
    the results were unexpected, this should suffice to
    establish unexpected results in the absence of evi-
    dence to the contrary.
    
    54 F.3d 746
    , 750-51 (Fed. Cir. 1995).
    This principle is—or was—beyond dispute, as illus-
    trated on a vast variety of facts. See, e.g., Procter &
    Gamble Co. v. Teva Pharm. USA, Inc., 
    566 F.3d 989
    , 994
    (Fed. Cir. 2009) (“If a patent challenger makes a prima
    facie showing of obviousness, the owner may rebut based
    on ‘unexpected results’ by demonstrating ‘that the
    claimed invention exhibits some superior property or
    advantage that a person of ordinary skill in the relevant
    art would have found surprising or unexpected.’ (quoting
    In re 
    Soni, 54 F.3d at 750
    )); Kao Corp. v. Unilever U.S.,
    Inc., 
    441 F.3d 963
    , 969-70 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (affirming
    nonobviousness over prima facie case based solely on
    evidence of unexpected results); In re Geisler, 
    116 F.3d 1465
    , 1469 (Fed. Cir. 1997) (observing that “a prima facie
    case of obviousness can be rebutted if the applicant (1)
    10                         BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    can establish ‘the existence of unexpected properties in
    the range claimed’ or (2) can show ‘that the art in any
    material respect taught away’ from the claimed inven-
    tion.” (quoting In re Malagari, 
    499 F.2d 1297
    , 1303
    (CCPA 1974))); In re Corkill, 
    771 F.2d 1496
    , 1501 (Fed.
    Cir. 1985) (“A greater than expected result is an eviden-
    tiary factor pertinent to the legal conclusion of the obvi-
    ousness vel non of the claims at issue.” (citing United
    States v. Adams, 
    383 U.S. 39
    , 51-52 (1966))); In re De
    Blauwe, 
    736 F.2d 699
    , 706 n.8 (Fed. Cir. 1984) (“A proper
    showing of unexpected results will rebut a prima facie
    case of obviousness.” (citing In re Fenn, 
    639 F.2d 762
    (CCPA 1981); In re Murch, 
    464 F.2d 1051
    (CCPA 1972)));
    In re Klosak, 
    455 F.2d 1077
    , 1080 (CCPA 1972) (“The fact
    that an invention provides results which would not have
    been expected by those skilled in the art is strong evi-
    dence in rebuttal of an assertion that the invention would
    have been obvious.”).
    The court’s apparent departure from this principle,
    and its holding that not all properties need be considered
    in determining obviousness, is a primary focus of the
    concerns stated by the amici curiae. Amicus curiae Bay
    Area Bioscience Association writes that:
    For many newly discovered pharmaceuticals, their
    truly innovative and life-saving properties are of-
    ten not discovered until well-controlled clinical
    trials or even post-marketing studies have been
    conducted—events that occur well after the filing
    date of the patent-in-suit. Indeed, this is particu-
    larly so in the area of personalized medicine,
    where novel therapeutic treatments are tailored
    to a particular patient’s genetic makeup.
    Brief of Amicus Curiae Bay Area Bioscience Association
    in Support of Rehearing En Banc at 7. Again, if the law is
    to be changed and precedent discarded, en banc attention
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           11
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    is required, rather than discordant conflict with prece-
    dent.
    4. The court’s oversimplified distinction between
    “difference in degree” and “difference in kind”
    The court held that a “mere difference in degree” is
    “insufficient” to render a compound 
    patentable. 752 F.3d at 977
    . The flaw in this generalization is apparent from
    its application here, where the court held that a new and
    effective non-toxic treatment for hepatitis B is merely a
    difference in degree from a highly toxic and useless
    treatment for hepatitis B.
    Precedent has placed the usage “difference in degree”
    in a more useful context:
    Whether the difference between the claimed in-
    vention and the prior art is a difference “in kind”
    or a difference “in degree” is not mentioned in sec-
    tion 103. Section 103 simply requires a determi-
    nation as to whether the invention as a whole
    would have been obvious to one of ordinary skill in
    the art at the time of appellant’s invention. An
    unexpected increase in physiological activity may
    be persuasive evidence of unobviousness.
    In re Wagner, 
    371 F.2d 877
    , 885 (CCPA 1967) (citing In re
    Grier, 
    342 F.2d 120
    (CCPA 1965)); see also In re 
    Chupp, 816 F.2d at 644
    , 646-47 (“selectivity factors (crop safety
    combined with weed-killing activity) at least five times
    greater than those of closest prior art compounds” were
    sufficient evidence of unexpected difference in properties
    to rebut prima facie case of obviousness); In re Wiechert,
    
    370 F.2d 927
    , 932 (CCPA 1967) (“Appellant contends that
    obviousness of a novel compound is to be decided not only
    from a comparison of its structural formula with that of
    the prior art compound, but from all properties of the
    compounds. . . . We think appellant’s contentions have
    merit . . . . As we indicated in In re Lohr, 
    317 F.2d 388
    12                        BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    (CCPA 1963), it is possible to obtain a patent where the
    showing proves substantially greater effectiveness. . . . In
    the case at bar, we are impressed by the 7-fold improve-
    ment in activity and, in the absence of valid countervail-
    ing evidence, we find the claimed compounds to be
    unobvious.”).
    The stage at which an obvious difference in degree be-
    comes an unobvious difference in kind is based on the
    particular subject matter. On the undisputed facts here-
    in, the prior art compound 2′-CDG was found to be toxic to
    mammals, whereas entecavir is non-toxic to mammals.
    This cannot be reasonably viewed as a “mere difference in
    degree.”
    All of the amici curiae expressed concern about the
    negative impact on development of new and improved
    products flowing from the court’s fresh uncertainty on the
    availability of reliable patent rights. No policy reason has
    been offered by the court, for its further restrictions on
    access to patenting. From my colleagues’ refusal to
    review this ruling en banc, I respectfully dissent.
    United States Court of Appeals
    for the Federal Circuit
    ______________________
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY,
    Plaintiff-Appellant,
    v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.,
    Defendant-Appellee.
    ______________________
    2013-1306
    ______________________
    Appeal from the United States District Court for the
    District of Delaware in No. 10-CV-0805, Magistrate Judge
    Christopher J. Burke.
    ______________________
    TARANTO, Circuit Judge, with whom LOURIE and REYNA,
    Circuit Judges, join, dissenting from the denial of the
    petition for rehearing en banc.
    Bristol-Myers created a new chemical compound:
    entecavir. Its structure is a modification of a prior-art
    compound, apparently a common phenomenon in phar-
    maceutical chemistry, where small changes can make
    large differences. The prior-art compound (2′-CDG) was
    described in published papers. It had shown excellent
    activity against certain viruses, including the hepatitis B
    virus, in tests on cell lines in in vitro experiments; but it
    had never been tested even in animals, let alone humans,
    whether for efficacy or toxicity. Bristol-Myers’s novel
    compound proved to be effective and nontoxic (safe) for
    2                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    the treatment of hepatitis B, and it was patented and
    came to be approved and widely used for that purpose. In
    contrast, the prior-art compound never came to have any
    human-therapeutic use, because, just after Bristol-Myers
    sought its patent, 2′-CDG was tested in animals for the
    first time, and the tests so conclusively showed it to be
    toxic that it has never been used in humans. In short, the
    Bristol-Myers compound, which is a novel molecule, is
    dramatically different from the prior-art compound in
    providing practical human benefits: one provides such
    benefits, the other does not. But that difference was
    identified only after Bristol-Myers filed for its patent,
    because the prior-art compound, not having been tested in
    animals or humans, was not then known to be toxic.
    After a trial, the district court invalidated the assert-
    ed claim of the Bristol-Myers patent under 35 U.S.C.
    § 103(a) (2006), holding that the new compound would
    have been obvious to a person of ordinary skill in the
    pertinent art at the time of the invention (here, the filing
    date of the patent application). In so holding, the court
    determined that such a hypothetical skilled artisan would
    have had a reasonable expectation of success in achieving
    therapeutic usefulness in humans and would not have
    found the favorable safety/efficacy profile of entecavir to
    be unexpected, because, at that time, the prior-art com-
    pound, never having been tested even in animals, was not
    known to be toxic. Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. v. Teva
    Pharm. USA, Inc., 
    923 F. Supp. 2d 602
    , 630–33 (D. Del.
    2013). On appeal, the panel in this case affirmed those
    determinations and the ultimate holding of obviousness.
    Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. v. Teva Pharm. USA, Inc., 
    752 F.3d 967
    (Fed. Cir. 2014).
    In considering whether en banc review is warranted, I
    focus on the doctrinal significance of the panel decision
    from two perspectives—looking at what the decision says,
    and at what it seems to decide on the facts. As to the
    first: It is a well-recognized principle, and one essential to
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                            3
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    our system of precedent, that statements in opinions must
    be read in context, considering their role in the decision
    and the facts of the case. 1 Nevertheless, advocates often
    ignore that principle, relying on phrases and sentences
    found through database word searches without reading
    the whole opinion, and arguing for a precedential effect
    that is unwarranted. I here point out why the panel
    opinion should not be taken to stand for certain proposi-
    tions for which advocates are likely to cite it.
    As to the second: Although it is not certain, the panel,
    in what it actually decided in affirming invalidity for
    obviousness on the recited facts, may have dismissed post-
    filing discoveries of prior-art compounds’ true properties
    1    See, e.g., R.A.V. v. City of St. Paul, 
    505 U.S. 377
    ,
    386–87 n.5 (1992); Armour & Co. v. Wantock, 
    323 U.S. 126
    , 132–33 (1944); Sterling v. Constantin, 
    287 U.S. 378
    ,
    400 (1932); Nat’l Am. Ins. Co. v. United States, 
    498 F.3d 1301
    , 1306 (Fed. Cir. 2007); Perez v. Dep’t of Justice, 
    480 F.3d 1309
    , 1312 (Fed. Cir. 2007); N. States Power Co. v.
    United States, 
    224 F.3d 1361
    , 1367 (Fed. Cir. 2000);
    Fromson v. W. Litho Plate & Supply Co., 
    853 F.2d 1568
    ,
    1578 (Fed. Cir. 1988) (“Cases should not be cited for mere
    words. What counts is what the court did in a cited
    case.”), overruled on other grounds by Knorr-Bremse
    Systeme Fuer Nutzfahrzeuge GmbH v. Dana Corp., 
    383 F.3d 1337
    (Fed. Cir. 2004); In re Hounsfield, 
    699 F.2d 1320
    , 1323 (Fed. Cir. 1983) (“Although some of the forego-
    ing judicial statements standing alone could be read to
    support the principle the Board here applied, those
    statements must be read in the light of the facts of the
    cases, the precise issues to be resolved therein, and the
    courts’ holdings.”); In re Van Ornum, 
    686 F.2d 937
    , 946
    (CCPA 1982) (“Precedents are of value for what they
    decide, not for every sentence they contain.”); In re Rus-
    cetta, 
    255 F.2d 687
    , 689 (CCPA 1958).
    4                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    as categorically irrelevant to the statutory inquiry. Or it
    may have more narrowly deemed insufficient the evidence
    here—that, the first time the prior-art compound was
    tested in animals, it proved so toxic that it had to be
    abandoned as a candidate for human-therapeutic use.
    Even if the panel merely rejected the particular post-filing
    evidence here as insufficient, it is significant (for how the
    decision will be invoked as precedent) that the panel did
    not give any case-specific reasons for doing so except
    timing: the discovery of the prior-art compound’s toxicity
    post-dated the invention. The panel decision seems
    highly likely to be viewed as addressing the timing-of-
    evidence question—whether generally or in this context.
    And that question is worthy of further attention.
    Although I am not confident of the answers, I think
    that the ruling raises questions about core aspects of the
    widely used approach to obviousness analysis—
    particularly, the proper meaning of the related elements,
    “reasonable expectation of success” and “unexpected
    results.” Those questions would benefit from plenary
    consideration. In panel review, case-specific applications
    on complex facts necessarily consume almost all of the
    space of parties’ briefs, and attention is focused almost
    exclusively on this court’s own precedents. En banc
    review would allow a focus on and full analysis of the
    doctrinal issues, considering the language of section 103
    (what it resolves and what it leaves open); the role of
    section 103 in the statute as a whole (which places a
    premium on early filing); Supreme Court precedents
    elaborating on the policy of section 103; our own prece-
    dents; congressional actions in light of those precedents;
    and pertinent, reliable information that may bear on
    assessing the real-world consequences of one answer or
    another in an industry where research is especially ex-
    pensive and uncertain. The widened inquiry seems to me
    worthwhile.
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           5
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    A
    1. The panel stated that this court’s en banc decision
    in In re Dillon, 
    919 F.2d 688
    (Fed. Cir. 1990), “explain[ed]
    that an unexpected result or property does not by itself
    support a finding of nonobviousness.” 
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 976
    (citing 
    Dillon, 919 F.2d at 693
    , 697). That
    statement must not be read out of context to declare that
    evidence of unexpected results cannot by itself support an
    ultimate finding that a challenger has failed to demon-
    strate obviousness by clear and convincing evidence.
    First: The panel made the statement only in discuss-
    ing whether to uphold the determination about a key
    component of the traditional prima facie case in an obvi-
    ousness challenge—that the hypothetical skilled artisan
    would have had not only a reason to create the new chem-
    ical compound (the claimed invention here) but also “a
    reasonable expectation of success” concerning its favora-
    ble human-therapeutic profile. 
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 976
    –77. The panel was not discussing whether, even if
    there were a sustainable finding of a reasonable expecta-
    tion of that success, evidence of particular unexpected
    results—e.g., unexpectedly great efficacy or safety in the
    expected use, or efficacy and safety for an additional,
    unexpected use—could nevertheless support an ultimate
    finding of non-obviousness. Indeed, reading the state-
    ment to draw that conclusion would render immaterial
    the extensive discussion of unexpected results that comes
    next in the opinion. The panel did not introduce that
    discussion by suggesting that it was an “even if” analysis
    unnecessary to the bottom-line conclusion.
    Second: Dillon itself does not establish that evidence
    of unexpected results cannot support rejection of an
    obviousness challenge despite supported findings of the
    elements of a prima facie case. The issue addressed and
    decided in Dillon was only what was needed to establish
    the prima facie case in the first place; and Dillon took
    6                         BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    care to stress that it was only that issue it was deciding,
    not the ultimate determination of 
    obviousness. 919 F.2d at 697
    (distinguishing In re Papesch, 
    315 F.2d 381
    , 391
    (CCPA 1963), on ground that Papesch “did not deal with
    the requirements for establishing a prima facie case,”
    stating: “Papesch is irrelevant to the question of the
    requirements for a prima facie case, which is the question
    we have here”). Dillon did not need to consider whether
    unexpected results could support rejection of a section 103
    challenge despite a supported finding of the prima facie
    case elements, because Dillon concluded that the PTO
    properly found no unexpected results: “[Applicant] did not
    present any showing of data to the effect that her compo-
    sitions had properties not possessed by the prior art
    compositions or that they possessed them to an unexpect-
    edly greater 
    degree.” 919 F.2d at 693
    .
    Third: The panel in this case, like the court in Dillon,
    had no occasion to rule on the doctrinal relationship
    between a finding of unexpected results and a finding of
    the prima facie case elements. The panel upheld the
    district court’s determination that there were no appre-
    ciable unexpected results. 
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 977
    –78; see 
    id. at 978
    (“[T]he district court’s findings
    reflect that one of skill in the art would have expected
    entecavir’s hepatitis B’s efficacy, safety, and therapeutic
    window based on one’s knowledge of 2′-CDG.”); Bristol-
    
    Myers, 923 F. Supp. 2d at 686
    (“No witness testified that
    the [low toxicity] of the drug would have been ‘unex-
    pected.’”). On that premise, there were no unexpected
    results whose relationship to the prima facie case the
    panel had to consider. 2
    2    The panel likewise had no occasion to address
    broader issues concerning the familiar use of a “prima
    facie case” as a sequence-of-presentation, issue-organizing
    tool in a challenge to an issued patent, for which invalidi-
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           7
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    2. The panel decision also does not establish a prece-
    dent for the proposition that, putting aside the post-filing
    evidence, the proof of “reasonable expectation of suc-
    cess”—based entirely on in vitro experiments with the
    lead compound—was adequate.           Bristol-Myers never
    argued otherwise to the court; it argued only that, once
    the post-filing evidence of 2′-CDG is considered, the proof
    of reasonable expectation of success was inadequate and
    the proof of unexpected results in any event compelling.
    Inadequacy apart from the post-filing evidence not having
    been argued, the panel opinion is not precedent for deem-
    ing the pre-filing evidence inadequate. 3
    This is worth noting because it seems to me a serious
    question whether, in this case and perhaps more general-
    ly, the purely in vitro experiments on the lead compound
    should be deemed to establish a “reasonable” expectation
    of success. The success that must be reasonably expected
    in this case would, I think, have to be success in what
    motivated the investment in the research—an acceptable
    safety/efficacy profile for human-therapeutic use. 4 Thus,
    ty requires clear and convincing proof, Microsoft Corp. v.
    i4i Ltd. P’ship, 
    131 S. Ct. 2238
    , 2252 (2011). Cf. U.S.
    Postal Serv. Bd. of Governors v. Aikens, 
    460 U.S. 711
    ,
    714–16 (1983) (discussing burden of persuasion and
    presentation-of-proof scheme in discrimination cases);
    Reeves v. Sanderson Plumbing Prods., Inc., 
    530 U.S. 133
    ,
    147–49 (2000) (same).
    3   See, e.g., District of Columbia v. Heller, 
    554 U.S. 570
    , 625 n.25 (2008); United States v. Verdugo-Urquidez,
    
    494 U.S. 259
    , 272 (1990); United States v. L.A. Tucker
    Truck Lines, Inc., 
    344 U.S. 33
    , 38 (1952); JVC Co. of Am.
    v. United States, 
    234 F.3d 1348
    , 1353–54 (Fed. Cir. 2000)
    (citing earlier cases).
    4   See Leo Pharm. Prods., Ltd. v. Rea, 
    726 F.3d 1346
    ,
    1357 (Fed. Cir. 2013); In re Cyclobenzaprine Hydrochlo-
    8                          BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    whatever the precise meaning of “reasonable expecta-
    tion”—a matter worth clarifying, as discussed infra—Teva
    had to show that a hypothetical skilled artisan would
    have had a reasonable expectation of acceptable safety of
    entecavir in humans in October 1990, when Bristol-Myers
    filed for its patent. And such an expectation, it appears
    undisputed, depended entirely on showing such an arti-
    san’s reasonable expectation, at the time, that the lead
    compound, 2′-CDG, would be acceptably safe in humans.
    There is a serious question whether any such expecta-
    tion was reasonable, given that 2′-CDG had been tested
    only in in vitro experiments—never even in animals, let
    alone humans. As a general matter, it may be that in
    vitro tests are not reliably predictive of human safety. 5
    ride Extended-Release Capsule Patent Litig., 
    676 F.3d 1063
    , 1070 (Fed. Cir. 2012); Pfizer, Inc. v. Apotex, Inc., 
    480 F.3d 1348
    , 1364 (Fed. Cir. 2007); Yamanouchi Pharm. Co.
    v. Danbury Pharmacal, Inc., 
    231 F.3d 1339
    , 1345 (Fed.
    Cir. 2000).
    5   See Fed. Judicial Ctr., Reference Manual on Scien-
    tific Evidence 645 (3d ed. 2011) (“Relatively few [in vitro
    toxicity tests] have been validated by replication in many
    different laboratories or by comparison with outcomes in
    animal studies to determine if they are predictive of whole
    animal or human toxicity.”); In re Gangadharam, 
    1989 WL 127023
    , at *2 (Fed. Cir. Oct. 27, 1989) (noting that a
    prior art’s “remarking that the positive in vitro results
    ‘favored’ use in vivo does not meet the statutory standard”
    of obviousness); see also Anna Astashkina et al., A Critical
    Evaluation of In Vitro Cell Culture Models for High-
    Throughput Drug Screening and Toxicity, 134 Pharmacol-
    ogy & Therapeutics 82, 82, 94 (2012) (noting “strong
    evidence that in vitro cell-based assays and [even] subse-
    quent preclinical in vivo studies do not yet provide suffi-
    cient pharmacological and toxicity data or reliable
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                          9
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    Although statistics require careful examination to be used
    responsibly, I note that amici have pointed us to litera-
    ture indicating that only small percentages of compounds
    that start in the laboratory make it out the other end of
    the drug-development process. 6
    It may well be, of course, that in vitro testing sup-
    ports a sound expectation about probable human safety
    for certain compounds even if it does not do so generally.
    But that is a matter to be addressed by scientific evidence
    about the particular compounds at issue in a given case.
    Here, with Bristol-Myers not having contested the point,
    the panel had no occasion to scrutinize the record to
    determine if there was evidence of a reliable basis for any
    prediction of human safety for 2′-CDG in October 1990.
    Optimism about the compound is not the same as a rea-
    sonably grounded prediction. And testimony that 2′-CDG
    had a “very good therapeutic window” in an in vitro test—
    which is all that the quote refers to, because 2′-CDG had
    never been given as “therapy” or even put into animals or
    humans—does not support safety in humans without
    sound evidence allowing the inference, none of which is
    apparent. 
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 971
    , 974, 978. The
    issue not having been contested, the panel decision cannot
    be taken to have resolved the issue.
    predictive capacity for understanding drug candidate
    performance in vivo”).
    6   See, e.g., Henry Grabowski, Patents, Innovation,
    and Access to New Pharmaceuticals, 5 J. Int’l Econ. L.
    849, 849–51 (2002) (“[F]ewer than 1% of the compounds
    examined in the pre-clinical period make it into human
    testing.”); Michael Hay et al., Clinical Development Suc-
    cess Rates for Investigational Drugs, Nature Biotechnolo-
    gy Jan. 2014, at 41–42, 47 (10-15% of drugs entering
    human testing emerge as marketed drugs).
    10                        BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    B
    As already noted, the panel opinion may be read by
    future litigants to suggest that any evaluation of prior art
    must focus exclusively on what was known about the prior
    art’s properties, and on that basis expected about
    entecavir, at the time of the Bristol-Myers invention. See
    
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 974
    , 977, 978. The panel
    opinion ultimately approves the district court’s decision to
    excise from its analysis any consideration of 2′-CDG’s
    later-discovered, severe toxicity. 
    Id. at 978
    (“The district
    court ultimately made the correct direct comparison of the
    patented compound to 2′–CDG, noting that prior art
    compounds, ‘including 2′–CDG,’ ‘showed effectiveness
    against hepatitis B without known toxicity issues.’”)
    (emphasis added) (quoting 
    Bristol-Myers, 923 F. Supp. 2d at 685
    ). The timing-of-evidence reasoning seems at the
    heart of the obviousness invalidation. It raises questions
    that I think warrant further exploration.
    1. Judge Newman identifies ways in which the pan-
    el’s approach to the timing-of-evidence question seems in
    tension with this court’s precedents. It appears that, at
    least since our predecessor court’s decision in In re
    Papesch, 
    315 F.2d 381
    (CCPA 1963), the analysis of
    obviousness of new chemical inventions has involved
    “liberal consideration of post-invention evidence.” Rebec-
    ca S. Eisenberg, Pharma’s Nonobvious Problem, 12 Lewis
    & Clark L. Rev. 375, 395 (2008). The reason seems clear:
    “often it takes time to determine the properties of a new
    chemical through testing and observation that cannot
    take place until after the chemical is in hand,” 
    id. at 396,
    and the statute has always provided an incentive to file
    early once the chemical is in hand (lest priority be lost),
    an incentive now enhanced by the 2011 adoption of a first-
    inventor-to-file system. Moreover, Judge Newman notes
    that the post-filing experiments comparing properties of
    the invention and prior-art compounds would seem often
    to have developed new information about both the inven-
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                            11
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    tion and the prior-art compound. These precedents and
    past practices raise questions about the panel’s ruling. 7
    2. The statutory language does not itself provide an
    answer to the question of post-filing evidence. 8 It is true
    7    In still other ways, obviousness analysis routinely
    considers relevant facts not in existence at the time of
    patent filing, e.g., commercial success and proven meeting
    of a long-felt need. See KSR International Co. v. Teleflex
    Inc., 
    550 U.S. 398
    , 406 (2007); Galderma Labs., L.P. v.
    Tolmar, Inc., 
    737 F.3d 731
    , 740 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Perfect
    Web Techs., Inc. v. InfoUSA, Inc., 
    587 F.3d 1324
    , 1332–33
    (Fed. Cir. 2009).
    8   Section 103, reflecting the first-inventor-to-file
    system adopted in 2011, now reads: “A patent for a
    claimed invention may not be obtained, notwithstanding
    that the claimed invention is not identically disclosed as
    set forth in section 102, if the differences between the
    claimed invention and the prior art are such that the
    claimed invention as a whole would have been obvious
    before the effective filing date of the claimed invention to
    a person having ordinary skill in the art to which the
    claimed invention pertains. Patentability shall not be
    negated by the manner in which the invention was made.”
    35 U.S.C. § 103.
    35 U.S.C. § 103(a) (2006) was similar but reflected the
    pre-2011 first-to-invent system: “A patent may not be
    obtained though the invention is not identically disclosed
    or described as set forth in section 102 of this title, if the
    differences between the subject matter sought to be
    patented and the prior art are such that the subject
    matter as a whole would have been obvious at the time
    the invention was made to a person having ordinary skill
    in the art to which said subject matter pertains. Patenta-
    bility shall not be negatived by the manner in which the
    invention was made.”
    12                         BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    that the language directs courts (and the PTO) to ask a
    question about the time “before the effective filing date of
    the claimed invention” (the “time the invention was
    made” in the pre-2011 version). But the question is not
    what certain people in the field in fact thought at that
    time. Rather—to note three aspects of the language
    (others may be relevant too)—the question is whether (a)
    the claimed invention “as a whole” (b) “would have been”
    obvious to a (c) “person having ordinary skill in the art.”
    As to the first of those elements, the Papesch doctrine
    has long treated all properties, including later discovered
    ones, as part of the invention “as a whole.” As to the
    third, the “person having ordinary skill in the art” is not a
    real-world person, but a hypothetical person, constructed
    in applying the provision to create a standard of patenta-
    bility that effectuates the provision’s policy. 9 As to the
    second, the statute uses the verb phrase “would have
    been.” Grammatically, that formulation invokes a hypo-
    thetical situation dependent on some “if” condition (would
    have been obvious if “x” had been true). In section 103,
    however, the required condition is not stated; there is no
    “if” clause.
    As a result, the statutory language itself requires
    courts to fill in the conditions for the hypothetical inquiry
    by an analysis of the provision’s history, role in the stat-
    ute, and purpose, always considering workability of any
    approach. It is common to hypothesize knowledge of all
    pertinent prior art. See In re Moreton, 
    288 F.2d 940
    , 941
    (CCPA 1961); In re Citron, 
    251 F.2d 619
    , 620 (CCPA
    1958). It has been suggested, too, that the hypothetical
    inquiries should not take as a given the current amassing
    9   E.g., 
    Bristol-Myers, 752 F.3d at 978
    ; Norgren, Inc.
    v. Int’l Trade Comm’n, 
    699 F.3d 1317
    , 1327 (Fed. Cir.
    2012); Kimberly-Clark Corp. v. Johnson & Johnson, 
    745 F.2d 1437
    , 1454 (Fed. Cir. 1984).
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                          13
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    and organizing of resources and talent into firms that
    undertake risky, expensive research, which might not
    exist without patent protection. See Michael Abramowicz
    & John F. Duffy, The Inducement Standard of Patentabil-
    ity, 120 Yale L.J. 1590, 1614–16 (2011). Whatever the
    proper approach, however, it is one that must be devel-
    oped by looking at more than the effective-date-of-filing
    (previously, invention-date) phrase in section 103, whose
    terms as a whole call for a hypothetical inquiry requiring
    judicial definition.
    3. The proper analysis of the post-filing evidence re-
    garding 2′-CDG would seem to focus on two closely related
    phrases that identify standard parts of our obviousness
    analysis: “reasonable expectation of success” and “unex-
    pected results.” Both phrases evidently bear several
    different potential meanings and so would benefit from
    clarification. And the identification of the proper mean-
    ings seems to have a strong bearing on whether the post-
    filing evidence here is material.
    The phrase “reasonable expectation of success” on its
    face requires that any expectation of success be “reasona-
    ble.” The same reasonableness requirement would seem
    implicit, too, in the hypothetical character of the skilled
    artisan whose expectations count.       The hypothetical
    character of the person doing any expecting seemingly
    also should mean that “unexpected results” contains a
    reasonableness requirement. What must be “reasonable”
    are (hypothetical) “expectations.” But “expectation” is a
    term that covers different ground in different circum-
    stances.
    Clarifying these concepts seems important here.
    Should a reasonable expectation mean a mere educated
    guess or surmise or plausible possibility? Should it mean
    an affirmative well-grounded prediction, using a 50% or
    other probability, based on the standards that scientists
    would use professionally to assert such predictions—
    14                        BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    whether in a scientific journal or in making a decision
    about how to allocate scarce research funding? Depend-
    ing on the meaning of “expectation,” should the reasona-
    bleness of the expectation consider not just what evidence
    has been developed but also what evidence could easily be
    developed but has not yet been—so that, for example, it
    may be irresponsible to assert an expectation in the
    absence of such available but not-yet-secured evidence?
    We have tied the “reasonable expectation of success”
    standard to the Supreme Court’s use of “predictable” in
    
    KSR, 550 U.S. at 416
    , 417, 421. See PharmaStem Thera-
    peutics, Inc. v. ViaCell, Inc., 
    491 F.3d 1342
    , 1360 (Fed.
    Cir. 2007). That precedent suggests a higher rather than
    lower standard for “reasonable expectation.”
    Perhaps the statutory policy of section 103 does as
    well. The Supreme Court has suggested the policy (not
    for case-by-case application but to inform doctrinal stand-
    ards): to deny patent protection for a new invention only
    when the invention would have been forthcoming (at
    about the same time) even without patent protection, i.e.,
    when patent protection was not needed to induce its
    emergence. 10 Moreover, like the word “obvious” in one
    understanding, what protection may be needed to induce
    the invention plausibly depends on the costs and uncer-
    10 See Graham v. John Deere Co., 
    383 U.S. 1
    , 11
    (1966) (“The inherent problem was to develop some means
    of weeding out those inventions which would not be
    disclosed or devised but for the inducement of a patent.”);
    
    KSR, 550 U.S. at 419
    (“Granting patent protection to
    advances that would occur in the ordinary course without
    real innovation retards progress. . . .”); see generally
    Abramowicz & 
    Duffy, supra
    . Statutorily, this approach
    amounts to adding something like “if patent protection
    had been unavailable” as the missing “if” clause for the
    “would have been” phrase.
    BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.                           15
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    tainties of the work required for success. See, e.g.,
    Abramowicz & 
    Duffy, supra
    , at 1613–14, 1655; William
    M. Landes & Richard A. Posner, The Economic Structure
    of Intellectual Property Law 304 (2003).
    4. The definitional questions seem to bear materially
    on one issue central to Bristol-Myers’ argument—whether
    the post-filing evidence of 2′-CDG’s immediate and con-
    clusive failure in animal testing is significant to assessing
    whether, before such testing, there truly was a reasonable
    expectation of relevant (human-therapeutic) success of 2′-
    CDG (and hence of entecavir). As a general evidentiary
    matter, it seems relevant to determining the reasonable-
    ness of any expectation before conducting a readily avail-
    able animal test that the very first animal test
    immediately showed such toxicity that 2′-CDG has never
    since been tried in humans. 11 Even in the arena of busi-
    11   Cf., e.g., 22 Charles Alan Wright & Kenneth W.
    Graham, Jr., Federal Practice & Procedure § 5171, at
    752–57 (2012) (experiments conducted after the event in
    question may be admitted to show what could have been
    done, what might have happened, to reveal the character-
    istics of a product or the dangers arising from it); Burke v.
    Deere & Co., 
    6 F.3d 497
    , 505–06 (8th Cir. 1993) (accidents
    taking place after a manufacturer sold a specific item to
    the plaintiff admissible to determine the actual risk of
    harm posed by the defective product); Rocky Mountain
    Helicopters, Inc. v. Bell Helicopters Textron, 
    805 F.2d 907
    ,
    918 (10th Cir. 1986) (results of a post-accident stress test
    admissible in products liability trial, provided study
    redacted any evidence of a subsequent redesign); Bailey v.
    Kawasaki-Kisen, K.K., 
    455 F.2d 392
    , 397–98 (5th Cir.
    1972) (where individual was injured by a falling boom,
    evidence of the boom falling a second time was admissible
    to prove that the boom was in fact defective), abrogated in
    distinct respect (subsequent remedial measures) by Fed.
    16                        BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY v.
    TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS USA, INC.
    ness forecasts—where changes in the world over time can
    dramatically affect results—courts temper a great caution
    about hindsight bias with a recognition that “a gross
    disparity between prediction and fact” may be relevant to
    assessing the reasonableness of the prediction. 12 All the
    more so in the present context, which involves a general
    biological property (toxicity of a particular compound)
    that should be the same today as it will be next year. But
    whether this is a sensible analysis may well depend on
    precisely what “reasonable expectation” means in the
    present context.
    I would grant rehearing en banc to enable a full ex-
    ploration of these questions.
    R. Evid. 407, as stated in Rutledge v. Harley-Davidson
    Motor Co., 364 F. App’x 103, 106 (5th Cir. 2010).
    12  Spitzberg v. Houston Am. Energy Corp., 
    758 F.3d 676
    , 691 (5th Cir. 2014) (a “gross disparity between
    prediction and fact” may form the basis for 10b-5 liability)
    (quoting Lormand v. US Unwired, Inc., 
    565 F.3d 228
    , 248
    n.13 (5th Cir. 2009)); Marx v. Computer Scis. Corp., 
    507 F.2d 485
    , 489 (9th Cir. 1974); G & M, Inc. v. Newbern, 
    488 F.2d 742
    , 745–46 (9th Cir. 1973).
    

Document Info

Docket Number: 13-1306

Citation Numbers: 769 F.3d 1339

Filed Date: 10/20/2014

Precedential Status: Precedential

Modified Date: 1/12/2023

Authorities (53)

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