United States v. Shepard-Fraser , 784 F.3d 11 ( 2015 )


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  •           United States Court of Appeals
    For the First Circuit
    Nos. 12-1300
    12-2220
    UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,
    Appellee,
    v.
    JORGE CORREA-OSORIO; DENISE SHEPARD-FRASER,
    Defendants, Appellants.
    APPEALS FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT
    FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO
    [Hon. Daniel R. Domínguez, U.S. District Judge]
    Before
    Thompson, Lipez, and Barron,
    Circuit Judges.
    Alejandra Bird López for appellant Jorge Correa-Osorio.
    Claudia Leis Bolgen, with whom Bolgen & Bolgen was on brief,
    for appellant Denise Shepard-Fraser.
    John A. Mathews II, Assistant United States Attorney, with
    whom Rosa Emilia Rodríguez-Vélez, United States Attorney, and
    Nelson Pérez-Sosa, Assistant United States Attorney, Chief,
    Appellate Division, were on brief, for appellee.
    April 22, 2015
    THOMPSON, Circuit Judge.
    OVERVIEW
    Jorge   Correa-Osorio   and   Denise   Shepard-Fraser   stand
    convicted of cocaine offenses.     Both ask us to reverse, though for
    different reasons. Correa, for example, thinks the judge quadruply
    erred — first by admitting identification evidence (because a
    witness made him off a highly suggestive and unreliable procedure),
    next by admitting key statements under the coconspirator exception
    to the hearsay rule (because the government showed neither that he
    was in on the conspiracy nor that the statements furthered the
    conspiracy's aim), then by admitting evidence of a cocaine-filled
    suitcase (because the evidence was irrelevant, prejudicial, and
    confusing), and finally by committing cumulative error (because the
    net effect of what the judge did made his trial fundamentally
    unfair).   He is wrong.    Shepard, for her part, thinks the judge
    doubly erred — first by finding the evidence sufficient to support
    her convictions (because the government did not prove guilty
    knowledge) and then by giving her a 128-month prison term (because
    the sentence was procedurally and substantively unreasonable). But
    she is wrong too.     We will explain our thinking shortly, right
    after we set out the case's background.
    BACKGROUND
    This case should seem familiar to any regular reader of
    the Federal Reporter, given that it concerns yet another major
    -2-
    cocaine conspiracy involving a creative distribution network, a
    large cast of coconspirators (some with colorful nicknames), and a
    turncoat who became the government's star witness.
    (1)
    The Conspiracy at a Glance
    Running from June 2006 to June 2008, the conspiracy — led
    by a man named Manuel Santana-Cabrera (also known as "El Boss") —
    operated like this.        Recruited couriers took commercial flights
    from San Juan to mainland cities, including Philadelphia and New
    York.       Before boarding, they would check luggage filled with old
    clothes, pillows, blankets, etc. — stuff that could get through
    security without incident.         Other conspirators working at the
    airport would switch the checked luggage with luggage packed with
    cocaine.        Couriers would then fly to their destinations, claim
    their checked bags, and hand them off to a taxi driver — known to
    some as "Manopla" — who was in on the conspiracy too.          Couriers
    would make $3,000 a trip.
    (2)
    The Conspiracy's Unraveling
    In September 2006 DEA agents in Philadelphia heard from
    their colleagues in San Juan that there was something fishy about
    the flight itineraries of José Vega-Torres and two others, who were
    flying from San Juan to New York after a layover in Philly.1        The
    Philadelphia agents looked for and found the trio's bags.       After a
    1
    DEA stands for Drug Enforcement Administration.
    -3-
    drug-detecting dog alerted to the odor of drugs, agents got a
    search warrant.        Their search struck pay dirt:          each bag had at
    least 13 brick-shaped objects wrapped in a blanket, and the objects
    field-tested positive for cocaine.
    Agents arrested Vega and his two sidekicks in New York.
    Vega initially told a pack of lies about why he had cocaine in his
    luggage, who had given it to him, who had asked him to go to New
    York,    and    who   had   chauffeured   him   to   the   airport.     But      he
    eventually agreed to come clean and cooperate in exchange for the
    government's promise not to indict his wife on conspiracy-related
    charges too (she was with him on one of his smuggling trips to New
    York).    His cooperation later led to the arrest of Correa and
    Shepard (plus others) and to much of the evidence the government
    used at trial (Correa and Shepard were tried together).
    (3)
    The Case Against Correa
    At   trial   Vega   identified   Correa,    calling    him   by    a
    nickname, "El Don."         And he testified about the times that he saw
    him in 2006, apparently (he did not recall the exact dates).
    The first time, Vega had gone to leader Santana's house
    with a conspirator named Israel Martes-Canales (nicknamed "Shaq").
    While there, he and Martes helped load six suitcases into the trunk
    of Correa's car.       The suitcases were similar in size and weight to
    drug luggage Vega had picked up in New York.               Correa told Santana
    that he was actually using his wife's car and that he would "get in
    -4-
    trouble" if she found out what he was up to.           And after Correa
    left, Santana told Vega that "Don" was "in charge of taking bags
    into the airport and putting them inside the plane."
    Vega later saw Correa working at the San Juan airport.
    About to jet off to New York to deliver more cocaine, he spotted
    Correa on the tarmac, loading bags onto a plane.
    As for the last occasion, Vega went one time with Martes
    and another conspirator named Ricardo Soler-Rivera to drop a bag
    off at Correa's house. Soler said the bag had $90,000, just before
    he gave it to Correa.
    Seeking to undermine his credibility, Correa's lawyer
    extensively cross-examined Vega on a number of topics.         Vega, for
    example,   testified    about   the     inducements   he   received   for
    cooperation, the big one being the government's pledge not to go
    after his wife if he played ball.      Beyond that, he confessed to not
    telling agents about "El Don" during an early debriefing, even
    though other conspirators' names easily rolled off his tongue. And
    despite saying how a conspirator told him that the mainland-bound
    suitcases contained cocaine, he admitted to not personally knowing
    whether that was in fact true.        He also admitted to never seeing
    Correa handle any of his checked luggage.        What is more, he said
    that "El Don" had braided hair — something the defense played up
    because Correa later testified that he did not have braids in 2006.
    -5-
    On redirect Vega said that he personally knew Correa was
    part of the Santana-drug-trafficking cabal. But the government did
    not just rely on Vega's testimony to help tell the conspiracy's
    story.      As part of its case-in-chief, the government, for example,
    also presented (over defense objections) evidence concerning the
    seizure of a cocaine-filled suitcase at the San Juan airport on
    October 4, 2007.     The prosecution's theory was that evidence about
    the suitcase constituted overt-act evidence linking the defendants
    to the conspiracy.      Here is what you need to know.
    Marionel Báez-Peña — an airport-worker-turned-convict —
    testified that he loaded drug luggage onto planes for two people:
    kingpin Santana and a person named Maximo Bencosme-Aybar (also
    known as "Phantasma").     Báez had done two jobs for Santana.   And he
    was set to do one for Bencosme on October 4.2            But he was not
    feeling well that day, so he asked airport-worker Miguel Ramos-
    Santi to help out.     Another airport worker, Luis del-Valle-Febres,
    testified that early on the morning of October 4, Ramos asked him
    to put a tag on a suitcase left on a cart.      And del-Valle did just
    that.
    Unfortunately for those involved, DEA-agent Hector Tapia-
    Gerena — a member of the team investigating Santana's drug doings
    2
    Responding to the prosecutor's request that he "[t]ell the
    jury what happened in October of 2007," Báez said, "[w]ell, in
    October of 2007 I had a job with [Bencosme] on that day." The
    "job," Báez explained, was to stow a drug bag on a departure-bound
    plane.
    -6-
    —   got   (according   to   his   testimony)   a   tip   that   day    about   a
    suspicious suitcase at the San Juan airport.                Springing into
    action, he headed for the airport's baggage carousel and spied an
    unattended suitcase on a cart.         The bag's tag read September 23.
    A drug-sniffing dog detected the presence of contraband.                And x-
    rays of the suitcase showed — in outline — block-shaped items.
    Agents opened the bag and saw pillows, towels, and t-shirts, plus
    13 bricks of powder that tested positive for cocaine.                 One thing
    led to another, and agents arrested Báez, Ramos, and del-Valle.
    Testifying in his own defense, Correa denied important
    elements of the accusations against him. For example, he said that
    until his arrest, he had never met Santana.          And he added that the
    first time he laid eyes on Vega was in court.            He also painted a
    picture of himself as an educated, intelligent person of strong
    character who lived a very simple lifestyle — one incompatible with
    a criminal way of life.           He insisted too that he did not have
    access to some areas while working at the airport and so could not
    have snuck drug bags in as alleged.
    (4)
    The Case Against Shepard
    The case against Shepard essentially rests on a single
    event — her flying from San Juan to New York on September 9 and
    back again on September 10.        The crucial testimony came from Vega,
    who had known her for about 20 years and who had what he described
    -7-
    as a "friendly" relationship with her in 2006.   This is what he had
    to say.
    Already in New York, Vega and Martes went with cabbie
    Manopla to a New York airport to pick up Shepard and two others.
    Vega saw the threesome walking from the airport to the cabstand,
    each carrying two suitcases.   Vega and Martes helped put the bags
    in the taxi's trunk.   Manopla then dropped everyone off at a hotel
    and sped off with the luggage.     The accommodations were a little
    tight — the five from the cab (Vega, Martes, Shepard, and her two
    companions) stayed with four or five others in a single room a
    conspirator (the record does not say who) had booked for what ended
    up being Shepard's one night there.     Everyone — except for Vega —
    came from the same housing project in Puerto Rico.
    At some point (the record does not indicate exactly
    when), Santana called Martes and ordered him to pick up a cash-
    filled bag at another locale and get the money back to Puerto Rico.
    So Martes and Vega hopped in a cab, grabbed a bag of $261,000 in
    cash, and headed back to the hotel.     They paid each person in the
    room — including Shepard — $3,000 for helping get the suitcases to
    New York.   Then they rolled up the rest of the money in socks and
    crammed the rolls into their cohorts' luggage.    Vega, however, did
    not say who else was there when he and Martes rolled and packed the
    cash — most importantly for present purposes, he did not say
    whether Shepard saw the "show."
    -8-
    Martes flew back to San Juan, apparently to handle a
    pressing matter (it is unclear just when he left).                Vega stayed
    behind, bought the others — including Shepard — tickets to San
    Juan, and jetted back with them on September 10 (their flight left
    New York at 9:00 p.m. on September 10 and landed in San Juan at
    12:55 a.m. the next day).        Martes and Soler rendezvoused with the
    group at the San Juan airport and drove them to Santana's house.
    Only Vega and Martes went inside, however.                And there they gave
    Santana the cash.
    Looking to score some points on cross-examination (she
    presented no evidence in her defense), Shepard's lawyer got Vega to
    talk about his run-ins with the law.         Her attorney also got him to
    repeat that he had lied to federal agents a bunch of times before.
    And her lawyer got him to admit that he could not look Shepard in
    the eye in court (other than when he pointed to her sitting at
    counsel table). But the prosecution's redirect brought out that he
    personally   knew   that   she    was   a   member   of    the   Santana-drug-
    trafficking syndicate (a damning bit of evidence when it comes to
    one of her arguments on appeal, i.e., that she hadn't a clue what
    was in the suitcases; more on this later).
    (5)
    Verdicts and Sentences
    After hearing all the evidence, the jury convicted Correa
    and Shepard each on two counts:         conspiring to distribute cocaine
    and possessing with intent to distribute cocaine.                See 21 U.S.C.
    -9-
    §§ 841(a)(1), 841(b)(1)(A), and 846.         The judge then handed out
    stiff prison sentences, with Correa and Shepard getting concurrent
    terms of 132 months and 128 months, respectively.
    Which takes us to today's appeals.3
    CORREA'S APPEAL
    Correa believes that the judge slipped by admitting
    Vega's in-court identification of him.           He also thinks that the
    judge stumbled by admitting three "hearsay" statements under the
    coconspirator exception:        Vega's statement calling him "El Don,"
    Santana's statement calling "El Don" the go-to guy for getting drug
    bags on planes, and Soler's statement saying a bag for "El Don" had
    $90,000.       On top of that he thinks that the judge blundered by
    admitting evidence concerning the suitcase seized on October 4.
    And lastly he believes that the judge's errors — even if harmless
    on their own — cumulatively violated his fair-trial rights. Though
    passionately argued, these points do not get him the reversal he
    seeks.
    (1)
    In-Court Identification
    Leading things off is Correa's claim that Vega identified
    him       at   trial   under    unduly-suggestive    conditions   —   an
    identification, he adds, that was not otherwise reliable. He never
    raised this objection below, limiting us to plain-error review — a
    3
    We will fill in more details as we go along.
    -10-
    standard that requires him to prove four things: (1) an error, (2)
    that is clear or obvious, (3) which affects his substantial rights
    (i.e., the error made him worse off), and which (4) seriously
    impugns the fairness, integrity, or public reputation of the
    proceeding.      See, e.g., United States v. Olano, 
    507 U.S. 725
    , 734-
    37 (1993); United States v. Kinsella, 
    622 F.3d 75
    , 83 (1st Cir.
    2010).    Applying that not-so-defendant-friendly standard, see
    United States v. Williams, 
    717 F.3d 35
    , 42 (1st Cir. 2013) — and
    knowing too that we must fight off any "reflexive inclination" to
    reverse unpreserved errors, see Puckett v. United States, 
    556 U.S. 129
    , 134 (2009) — we see no way to reverse here.
    First, some context.        Vega testified for the government
    over three days.        During the first day or so he talked at length
    about a number of things, including:             his personal life (he is
    married with three children), how and why he joined the Santana-
    commanded conspiracy (a friend told him about it, knowing he needed
    money), what he did for the conspiracy (helping get cocaine to New
    York and cash back to Puerto Rico), and the fallout from his arrest
    in New York (pleading guilty to drug crimes, agreeing to cooperate
    with authorities, and getting benefits for his cooperation).
    On the second day Vega brought up Shepard (explaining,
    for   example,    how   he   had   known   her   for   two   decades   and   was
    -11-
    "friendly" with her in 2006).             And he identified her for the jury.4
    That afternoon — following a lunch break — the prosecutor asked
    Vega       about    his   visiting   Santana's     house.      On    one   of   those
    occasions, Vega said, a "person known as 'the Don' was there."
    Responding to a question from the judge, Vega clarified that
    Santana and "El Don" were different people.                 And if "El Don" is in
    the "courtroom," the prosecutor said to Vega, "can you describe him
    or her?"           "Yes," Vega replied, "[t]he gentleman with the long-
    sleeved      shirt."       Correa's   lawyer      "concede[d]    that      [Vega]   is
    referring to my client."
    Kicking off cross-examination, Correa's counsel asked
    Vega if he had met with DEA agents and prosecutors to "discuss what
    you were going to testify" to.             "Yes," Vega answered.        Counsel (as
    we     said)       then   later   tried    to    chip   away    at   the    in-court
    identification, getting Vega to say that "El Don" had braided hair
    (reminiscent of a look favored by a Puerto Rican rapper known as
    "Don Omar") and eliciting from Correa that he (Correa) did not have
    braids in 2006 (which again is around the time Vega supposedly saw
    him).       And counsel repeated this misidentification theory in his
    closing argument, telling the jury that Vega simply "confus[ed] my
    client with somebody else."               Vega had an obvious motive to lie,
    4
    "If you see [Shepard]," the prosecutor said, "could you
    describe what he or she is wearing for the jury"? "She is wearing
    a blue jacket," Vega replied.    Shepard's lawyer said he had no
    objection "whatsoever" to the in-court identification.
    -12-
    counsel also stressed, because his wife's freedom was at stake.
    Now back to Correa's newly-minted argument.            He believes
    that because he was the only male defendant at defense table, Vega
    obviously knew whom he should single out — any watcher of TV crime
    dramas can surely tell which person in the courtroom is the
    defendant,    he   adds.   And     this    procedure,    he    says,     was    so
    unnecessarily suggestive that it raised a very serious likelihood
    of misidentification — meaning the judge should have barred the
    evidence on due-process grounds, even without an objection from
    counsel.   We see things differently.
    The   Constitution,    caselaw     holds,        guards     against
    convictions tied to evidence of questionable reliability — not by
    banning the evidence's admission, but by giving defendants the
    tools to convince jurors the evidence is not belief-worthy.                    See
    Perry v. New Hampshire, 
    132 S. Ct. 716
    , 723 (2012).                    There is,
    however, a small exception for police-arranged identifications —
    think photo arrays, showups, and lineups.          See 
    id. at 724.
                Due
    process, we see, bars trial courts from admitting such evidence "if
    the . . . identification procedure was so impermissibly suggestive
    as to give rise to a very substantial likelihood of irreparable
    misidentification" — irreparable because trial mechanisms would not
    help   a   jury    distinguish     between    reliable        and   unreliable
    identifications.     See Neil v. Biggers, 
    409 U.S. 188
    , 197 (1972)
    (quoting Simmons v. United States, 
    390 U.S. 377
    , 384 (1968)); see
    -13-
    also Manson v. Brathwaite, 
    432 U.S. 98
    , 116 (1977).                         Based on the
    Biggers line of cases, courts confronted with a challenge to a
    police-run identification process must ask, first, whether the
    process       was     unduly      suggestive,       and,    if     yes,    whether      the
    identification           was    still    reliable   given     the    totality     of    the
    circumstances.5           See, e.g., United States v. Arthur, 
    764 F.3d 92
    ,
    99-100 (1st Cir. 2014); United States v. Jones, 
    689 F.3d 12
    , 17
    (1st       Cir.    2012).       Deterring    police       misuse    of    identification
    procedures is the key principle animating what we will call the
    Biggers test.            See 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 726
    .
    The deterrence rationale falls away, obviously, if the
    police did not arrange the identification.                   And thus, our judicial
    superiors         tell    us,   the     Biggers    test    does    not    apply   and    an
    altogether different method of analysis takes center stage:                            if a
    witness identifies the defendant under circumstances that are not
    police-rigged, any dispute about the identification's reliability
    is for the jury, with the defendant protected by ordinary criminal-
    trial safeguards — the right to an effective counsel who can try to
    poke holes in the witness's identification, the right to be
    presumed innocent and be convicted by a jury of one's peers only by
    proof beyond a reasonable doubt, etc.                       See 
    id. at 723,
    728-30
    5
    Reliability typically turns on (1) the witness's opportunity
    to look at the person, (2) his degree of attention, (3) the
    accuracy of his prior description, (4) how sure he was when he made
    the identification, and (5) the amount of time between the crime
    and the identification. See, e.g., 
    Biggers, 409 U.S. at 199-200
    .
    -14-
    (abrogating United States v. Bouthot, 
    878 F.2d 1506
    , 1516 (1st Cir.
    1989), among other cases).
    A key question is:        In cases like ours — involving a
    prosecutor's securing an in-court identification under supposedly
    suggestive circumstances — which approach applies, Perry's or
    Biggers's?6   One could argue either way.
    On the one hand:        In a recent case bearing an uncanny
    resemblance   to   Correa's   —     involving   as   it   does   in-court
    identifications of a male defendant seated at counsel table, with
    the police playing no part in his getting picked out — the Eleventh
    Circuit (by a 2-1 vote) read Perry as holding that the Biggers test
    applies only if the complained-of suggestion arose from improper
    police conduct. See United States v. Whatley, 
    719 F.3d 1206
    , 1215-
    17 (11th Cir. 2013). And staying with Perry, that Circuit rebuffed
    the defendant's due-process challenge, concluding that he got the
    same process "identified in Perry as constitutionally sufficient"
    for persons not identified through police-rigged procedures.         
    Id. at 2016-17.
    On the other hand:       The Seventh Circuit (by a 2-1 vote)
    — after citing Perry — more recently used the Biggers test to
    reject a due-process attack on an in-court identification of a
    6
    The Supreme Court handed down Perry after Correa's trial.
    But we consider the law as it exists on appeal in deciding whether
    a judge's action was plain error. See Henderson v. United States,
    
    133 S. Ct. 1121
    , 1126 (2013).
    -15-
    black male seated at defense table.        See Lee v. Foster, 
    750 F.3d 687
    , 691-92 (7th Cir. 2014).    Because nothing in the record showed
    that the witness had made the identification "solely on the basis
    of [the defendant's] race" or that the prosecutor had asked the
    witness to point to the black male at counsel table, that Circuit
    found no undue suggestion.     
    Id. We need
    not choose sides in this debate today.       And that
    is because Correa's identification argument fails under either
    Perry or Biggers.7
    (a)
    Applying Perry
    Assuming   without    deciding    that   Perry   governs    our
    situation, we note the following.       The jurors had ring-side seats
    for Vega's identification.      Hearing him speak and reading his
    facial expressions and body language, they were best positioned to
    detect any hint of unsureness when he singled-out Correa.            They
    also had an up-close look at Vega during the defense's cross-
    examination of him — and counsel cross-examined him with gusto,
    7
    United States v. Espinal-Almeida does not say which case
    rules supreme in our situation. Quoting Perry, we noted that "due
    process 'does not require a preliminary judicial inquiry into the
    reliability of an eyewitness identification when the identification
    was not procured under unnecessarily suggestive circumstances
    arranged by law enforcement.'" 
    699 F.3d 588
    , 603 n.16 (1st Cir.
    2012) (quoting 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 730
    ) (emphasis added by
    Espinal-Almeida).     Espinal-Almeida focused on police conduct
    (specifically, whether something an officer had done meant an
    identification was police-arranged), not on prosecutorial conduct.
    So we can put that case to one side. Also, and interestingly,
    neither side has briefed the issue — both assume Biggers controls.
    -16-
    getting him to say, for example, that "El Don" had braided hair
    when Correa testified that he did not wear his hair that way in
    2006.    Plus,   the    jurors   heard   counsel's   attack   on   Vega's
    credibility during summation, with counsel arguing (among other
    things) that Vega had "confus[ed] my client with somebody else" and
    that he had every incentive to tell agents whatever they wanted to
    hear (keeping his wife out of jail was incentive number one).        And
    of course the jury found Correa guilty despite the presumption of
    innocence and the beyond-a-reasonable doubt burden of proof.
    Correa protests that the identification does not square
    with due process because he was seated at the defense table when
    Vega fingered him.     But the government did not put him there.    Also
    keep in mind that he had a constitutional right to be present at
    trial, see Illinois v. Allen, 
    397 U.S. 337
    , 338 (1970), and
    defendants (who have to sit somewhere, clearly) usually sit at
    counsel table to assist in their defense.
    Simply put, Correa received all the safeguards Perry
    stamped sufficient to protect a defendant's due-process rights in
    this context. See 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 728-30
    (explaining that the
    way to handle unreliable evidence is through the adversary system,
    which includes the assistance of counsel, the ability to confront
    witnesses, the right to introduce evidence, and the presumption of
    innocence).   Which is why his argument loses under Perry.
    -17-
    (b)
    Applying the Biggers Test
    Alternatively, assuming without deciding that the Biggers
    test holds sway, we have this to say.                Sure, every in-court
    identification has "some element of suggestion." 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 727
    .8    What matters is whether there was undue suggestion (words
    like "unnecessary" and "impermissible" can substitute for "undue,"
    by the way).       And that is where Correa gets tripped up.
    An in-court identification may be unduly suggestive if,
    for example, the prosecutor drew the witness's attention to the
    defendant (say, by pointing to him) or asked questions that
    suggested    the    hoped-for   result,9   or   if   the   defendant   looked
    different from others in the courtroom or at counsel table when the
    identification occurred (say, by being the only black person
    8
    The sainted Judge Friendly, see David M. Dorsen, Henry
    Friendly: Greatest Judge of His Era (2012), once called in-court
    identifications — "where the defendant is sitting at the counsel
    table" — "perfunctory," labeled their effect "weak[]," and said
    "only" their "weakness . . ., along with [their] traditional
    character, saves [them] from condemnation as being [themselves]
    impermissibly suggestive." Brathwaite v. Manson, 
    527 F.2d 363
    , 367
    n.6 (2d Cir. 1975), rev'd on other grounds, 
    432 U.S. 98
    (1977).
    "[T]here is always the question how far in-court identification is
    affected by the witness' observing the defendant at the counsel
    table," he also said. United States ex rel. Phipps v. Follette,
    
    428 F.2d 912
    , 915 (2d Cir. 1970). But he noted too that "[m]ere
    statement" of this problem "indicates what great weight must be
    given to the determination of the judge who saw and heard the
    witness." 
    Id. 9 See,
    e.g., United States v. Greene, 
    704 F.3d 298
    , 307-08
    (4th Cir. 2013).
    -18-
    present).10   These are constitutional danger zones, for sure.   Yet
    the record reveals no such problems here, however. And Correa does
    not argue otherwise — these special problems do not appear in his
    brief and so any argument along those lines is waived.   See, e.g.,
    United States v. Zannino, 
    895 F.2d 1
    , 17 (1st Cir. 1990).
    Instead he basically says that he had a huge "pick me"
    sign on him because (again) he was the only male defendant at
    counsel table, and it was that — and that alone — which made the
    situation unduly suggestive.11   But he does not cite — and we could
    not find — any federal-appellate case supporting his position (our
    court has not addressed the issue), though we did spy a case from
    another circuit undercutting his claim. See United States v. Bush,
    
    749 F.2d 1227
    , 1232 (7th Cir. 1984) (noting that "[t]he only
    suggestive circumstance identified by defendant is that he sat at
    counsel table" and holding that "[t]his circumstance alone is not
    10
    See, e.g., United States v. Rogers, 
    126 F.3d 655
    , 657-58
    (5th Cir. 1997); United States v. Murdock, 
    928 F.2d 293
    , 297 (8th
    Cir. 1991); United States v. Archibald, 
    734 F.2d 938
    , 942-43 (2d
    Cir.), modified & reh'g denied, 
    756 F.2d 223
    (2d Cir. 1984). But
    see United States v. Curtis, 
    344 F.3d 1057
    , 1063 (10th Cir. 2003)
    (agreeing that identifying a "[d]efendant as the robber, when the
    robber was a black man and [d]efendant was the only black man in
    the courtroom, might be somewhat suggestive, but it is not
    unconstitutionally so").
    11
    His trial lawyer was a man, we note in passing.
    -19-
    enough to establish a violation of due process").12   Simply put, he
    never gets to first base under the Biggers test.
    (c)
    Summing up so Far
    The plain-error standard is "extremely" difficult to
    prove.    United States v. Vigneau, 
    187 F.3d 70
    , 82 (1st Cir. 1999).
    And rightly so, since the standard's central aim is "to encourage
    timely objections," see United States v. Dominquez Benitez, 
    542 U.S. 74
    , 82 (2004) — a goal that (hopefully) deters unsavory
    sandbagging by lawyers (i.e., their keeping mum about an error,
    pocketing it for later just in case the jury does not acquit) and
    gives judges the chance to fix things without the need for appeals
    and new trials, see 
    Puckett, 556 U.S. at 134
    , 140.         But what
    happened to Correa was not plain error, because it was not error
    when measured against either Perry or Biggers.
    12
    A few months back Massachusetts's highest court — the
    Supreme Judicial Court ("SJC") — said that when "a prosecutor asks
    a witness at trial whether he or she can identify the perpetrator
    of the crime in the court room, and the defendant is sitting at
    counsel's table, the in-court identification is comparable in its
    suggestiveness to a showup identification."       Commonwealth v.
    Crayton, 
    21 N.E.3d 157
    , 166 (Mass. 2014). But the SJC's opinion
    turned on state common-law principles, not on federal (or even
    state) constitutional ones. See 
    id. at 169
    n.16. And the SJC
    acknowledged that other courts hold that "'[t]he inherent
    suggestiveness in the normal trial setting does not rise to the
    level of constitutional concern.'" 
    Id. at 172
    n.21 (quoting Byrd
    v. State, 
    25 A.3d 761
    , 767 (Del. 2011)). Clearly then this case is
    not enough for Correa to prevail on plain error. See, e.g., United
    States v. Marcano, 
    525 F.3d 72
    , 74 (1st Cir. 2008) (per curiam)
    (emphasizing "that plain error cannot be found in case law absent
    clear and binding precedent").
    -20-
    (d)
    Responding to the Dissent13
    The dissent thinks we are all wrong on the Biggers issue,
    insisting that the prosecutor so clearly manipulated the in-court
    identification — using an unnecessarily-suggestive process — that
    the judge should have found a Biggers violation without help from
    counsel.    See United States v. Frady, 
    456 U.S. 152
    , 163 (1982)
    (explaining that plain error means an error so obvious that a judge
    is "derelict in countenancing it, even absent the defendant's
    timely assistance in detecting it").   But nothing the dissent says
    points to plain error — i.e., an "indisputable" slip up on the
    judge's part, given controlling precedent.    See United States v.
    Jones, 
    748 F.3d 64
    , 70 (1st Cir. 2014) (citing United States v.
    Marcus, 
    560 U.S. 258
    , 262 (2010)); see also United States v.
    Caraballo-Rodriguez, 
    480 F.3d 62
    , 70 (1st Cir. 2007); United States
    v. Diaz, 
    285 F.3d 92
    , 97 (1st Cir. 2002).
    Here is the essence of the dissent's undue-suggestion
    thesis:    The prosecutor's prepping Vega, having him testify for
    over a day (which gave him plenty of time to eye Correa at counsel
    table), and then (and only then) having him pick Correa out
    infracted due process — an in-your-face infraction that should have
    spurred the judge to strike the identification.     The prosecutor,
    the dissent adds, should have done one of two things instead —
    13
    We use "dissent" to refer to Judge Barron's separate opinion
    concurring in part and dissenting in part.
    -21-
    first, relied on an identification Vega made pretrial through non-
    suggestive means (no pretrial ID appears in the record, though),
    or, second, relied on an in-court lineup (we will call these his
    alternative-identification methods). But in our experience nothing
    odd went down here — certainly nothing amounting to a clear-cut
    constitutional violation.
    Prosecutors (like other lawyers) prep witnesses (even if
    just to tell them to testify truthfully).    And there is no hint in
    the record that the prosecutor crossed any line in prepping Vega
    (for example by coaching him to pick Correa). Importantly too, the
    dissent cites no law (let alone binding law) — and we know of none
    — saying that routine witness prep equals undue suggestion.
    As for the identification's timing, even the dissent
    admits that prosecutors can (within wide margins) present their
    case in the order they wish.     And the prosecutor did what any
    lawyer would do, eliciting background info from Vega — about how
    the Santana-controlled conspiracy ran (who did what, with whom, for
    whom, where, and when), for instance — which helped establish a
    foundation for identifying Correa.14   Regardless, the dissent again
    cites no settled law — and we are aware of none — holding a
    prosecutor acts in an unduly-suggestive way simply by having a
    14
    One of Correa's counsel's favorite objections was lack of
    foundation.
    -22-
    witness testify (here, for a day and a half) before identifying the
    accused.15
    What is left is the dissent's talk of alternative-
    identification    methods.   Once   again   the   dissent   cites   no
    controlling authority — and we found none — requiring out-of-court
    identifications or in-court lineups over the "usual practice" of
    having a witness identify the defendant from the stand (again,
    assuming the usual practice does not stray into the constitutional
    danger zone most recently referenced in footnote 15).16
    15
    We say "simply" because we three judges agree that certain
    circumstances not present here — (1) a prosecutor's drawing a
    witness to the defendant or asking questions directly suggesting
    the desired-for result, or (2) a defendant's looking different from
    others in the courtroom — might make the in-court identification
    process unduly suggestive.
    16
    See United States v. Brien, 
    59 F.3d 274
    , 278 (1st Cir. 1995)
    (mentioning the "usual practice").     Staying with the in-court-
    lineup issue, we see that a defendant can ask for — but has no
    right to — one or "other particular procedure[s]." United States
    v. Pérez-González, 
    445 F.3d 39
    , 48 (1st Cir. 2006); 
    Brien, 59 F.3d at 279
    (noting that to change the usual practice, it was "up to"
    defense counsel to offer a plan, which the judge could reject if he
    offers a "plausible justification" for doing so).          Often a
    defendant does not want an in-court lineup, fearing that if a
    "fairly staged" one "would still likely result" in his
    identification, the lineup "would strengthen" the eyewitness's
    "credibility" and "undermine" the defense's "misidentification
    argument to the jury." 
    Brien, 59 F.3d at 279
    . But again — and at
    the risk of repeating ourselves — we detect no settled caselaw
    allowing a prosecutor to force a defendant into an in-court lineup
    to get an identification.
    -23-
    Concluding, as we do, that the dissent's undue-suggestion
    critique does not add up to plain error (or, indeed, to error of
    any kind), we turn to Correa's other claims.17
    (2)
    "Hearsay" Statements
    Correa does not contest the sufficiency of the evidence
    against     him.    Rather   he   next    complains   that   much   of   the
    government's case depended on hearsay statements not admissible
    under the coconspirator exception, which exempts from the hearsay
    rule comments made by a coconspirator during and in furtherance of
    the conspiracy.    See Fed. R. Evid. 801(d)(2)(E).       This is how that
    exception works.     If a defendant contests the admissibility of an
    alleged coconspirator statement, the judge may conditionally admit
    the evidence and put off ruling until the close of all the
    evidence.     See, e.g., United States v. Ciresi, 
    697 F.3d 19
    , 25-26
    (1st Cir. 2012) (discussing United States v. Petrozziello, 
    548 F.2d 17
            Although we need not reach the issue, we are also
    unpersuaded by the dissent's claim that Vega's identification of
    Correa was too unreliable for the jury to consider. To highlight
    just one problem with the dissent's claim: The dissent worries
    that Vega's previous encounters with "El Don" were indirect, brief,
    and occurred five years before the in-court identification. But
    these are usually matters for the jury to sort out. See 
    Jones, 689 F.3d at 18
    (stressing that "it is only in extraordinary cases that
    identification evidence should be withheld from the jury")
    (internal quotation marks omitted); see also 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 727
    (indicating that a jury should consider — among other things —
    how much time passed "between exposure to and identification of the
    defendant, whether the witness was under stress when he first
    encountered the suspect, how much time the witness had to observe
    the suspect, how far the witness was from the suspect, . . . and
    the race of the suspect and the witness").
    -24-
    20   (1st    Cir.    1977)).     Prosecutors       must   then        prove   by    a
    preponderance       of   the   evidence    (apart    from       the     statements
    themselves) the elements of admissibility under the exception —
    that the defendant and the speaker were coconspirators and that the
    speaker made the statement during the course and in furtherance of
    the conspiracy.      See 
    id. at 25;
    see also United States v. Piper,
    
    298 F.3d 47
    , 52 (1st Cir. 2002).       A judge's ruling on this score is
    called a "Petrozziello ruling."            
    Ciresi, 697 F.3d at 25
    .                  If
    prosecutors fall short, the defendant can ask the judge to declare
    a mistrial or strike the statements.          See, e.g., United States v.
    Mangual-Garcia, 
    505 F.3d 1
    , 8 (1st Cir. 2007).
    Correa gripes about three statements admitted through
    Vega's testimony:        Vega's statement pinning the "El Don" nickname
    on him, Santana's statement tagging "El Don" as the person in
    charge of getting drug bags on planes, and Soler's statement saying
    a bag handed to "El Don" had $90,000.              In making this pitch, he
    does not deny being nicknamed "El Don."18             Nor does he question
    Santana's and Soler's membership in the conspiracy. He just thinks
    that the prosecutors did not show it more likely than not (the
    usual     preponderance    standard)   that   he    was   the    "El     Don"      who
    coconspired with the speakers or that the challenged comments
    furthered the conspiracy.
    18
    FYI: Correa's résumé (admitted as an exhibit) listed his
    email addresses as (emphases ours) "eldon0789@hotmail.com" and
    "eldon0789@gmail.com."
    -25-
    We typically give abuse-of-discretion review to the
    question of whether a statement is in fact hearsay.               See, e.g.,
    United States v. Brown, 
    669 F.3d 10
    , 22-24 (1st Cir. 2012); United
    States v. Colón-Díaz, 
    521 F.3d 29
    , 33 (1st Cir. 2008).               And we
    usually review objections to a judge's Petrozziello ruling for
    clear error, see, e.g., 
    Ciresi, 697 F.3d at 26
    , knowing a party
    cannot show clear error if there are competing views of the
    evidence, see, e.g., United States v. Dowdell, 
    595 F.3d 50
    , 73 (1st
    Cir. 2010).
    Right off the bat, the parties fight over whether Correa
    did enough below to preserve the nickname argument for review (they
    agree he preserved the other arguments, however).          We can sidestep
    that issue, though, because it is easier to decide the argument on
    the merits.     See United States v. Murphy, 
    193 F.3d 1
    , 5 (1st Cir.
    1999) (taking a similar tack in a similar situation).
    Correa helpfully concedes one thing — that Vega was not
    at all clear on how he learned about the "El Don" moniker that he
    stuck Correa with.      That is a very big deal because we need not
    worry   about   the   coconspirator   exception   unless    the    contested
    comment constituted hearsay. See 
    id. at 6.
    Correa speculates that
    Vega "could only have learned" about the "El Don" sobriquet
    "through hearsay" — i.e., that Vega must have heard about the
    nickname from someone other than Correa. But the evidence does not
    foreclose the possibility that Vega did indeed hear about the "El
    -26-
    Don" handle from Correa.        True, Vega did testify that he did not
    chat with Correa the time he saw him at Santana's house.         Yet that
    hardly means that Vega did not catch Correa introduce himself to
    another there as "El Don."       And because no one can possibly know —
    based on what is before us — whether Vega got the nickname info via
    hearsay, Correa has not shown an abuse of discretion on this
    threshold issue.
    Moving to the Petrozziello issue, Correa has not shown
    clear error with the judge's handling of the other statements —
    Santana's comment that "El Don" was the point man for getting the
    drug bags on planes, and Soler's remark that a bag for "El Don" had
    $90,000.     For one thing, the record — even leaving aside the
    hearsay statements themselves — demonstrates that Correa more
    probably than not was a coconspirator of the speakers.                Recall
    Vega's testimony about seeing Correa with conspiracy-chief Santana
    at Santana's home. They had suitcases that resembled the ones Vega
    smuggled into New York.    The bags — which Vega helped load into the
    trunk of the car — weighed about the same too.         And after putting
    the bags into the auto, Vega heard Correa tell Santana that the car
    was his wife's and that this could land him in hot water with her
    if she knew what he was up to.      The evidence of Correa's conspiracy
    membership   might   not   be   overwhelming,   but   it   suffices    on   a
    -27-
    preponderance standard.19 Or at least the judge did not clearly err
    in so concluding.     Also, the "in furtherance" requirement can be
    satisfied   (among   other   ways)    by    statements   identifying   other
    conspirators, explaining how the conspiracy works, or updating
    members on the conspiracy's doings. See, e.g., 
    Ciresi, 697 F.3d at 29
    , 30; United States v. Díaz, 
    670 F.3d 332
    , 348-49 (1st Cir.
    2012).    And using the preponderance test, the contested statements
    fit the bill.    Or so the judge was entitled to conclude without
    clearly erring.20
    Two sets of issues down, two to go.
    (3)
    Evidence Concerning the Suitcase
    Seized on October 4
    Correa's penultimate argument — made and lost below,
    meaning abuse-of-discretion review is called for — is simple
    enough.    Prosecutors, he reminds us, presented evidence about the
    suitcase seized on October 4 to help establish the existence of the
    Santana-led conspiracy. Yet, he insists, other evidence already in
    the record showed a Santana-run conspiracy, and no evidence tied
    this suitcase to that conspiracy.            Yes, he stresses, Báez did
    19
    This is, after all, one of the lowest standards of proof on
    the books. See United States v. Volungus, 
    730 F.3d 40
    , 46 (1st
    Cir. 2013).
    20
    Clear error means the judge's action was "wrong with the
    force of a 5 week old, unrefrigerated, dead fish . . . ." Toye v.
    O'Donnell (In re O'Donnell), 
    728 F.3d 41
    , 46 (1st Cir. 2013)
    (quoting S Indus., Inc. v. Centra 2000, Inc., 
    249 F.3d 625
    , 627
    (7th Cir. 2001)).
    -28-
    testify that he himself helped sneak drug bags onto planes for both
    Santana and Bencosme.     But, he notes, Báez made it crystal clear
    that he and others did the October 4 caper only for Bencosme, and
    there is zero evidence (to quote his brief) that Bencosme "ever
    worked for or with" Santana.       So, his argument continues, evidence
    of   the   October   4   seizure    was    wholly   irrelevant,   unfairly
    prejudicial, and potentially confusing, given that it could have
    distracted the jury's attention from a material issue — namely, the
    existence (or not) of a Santana-headed conspiracy.            See Fed. R.
    Evid. 403.    His theory has a certain bite.        But we need not decide
    whether he is right because any error — if error there was — was
    harmless and so not reversible.
    Errors in admitting evidence are "harmless" unless the
    evidence "likely affected" the trial's outcome.         See United States
    v. Landrón-Class, 
    696 F.3d 62
    , 71 (1st Cir. 2012) (parenthetically
    quoting United States v. Dunbar, 
    553 F.3d 48
    , 59 (1st Cir. 2009));
    see also United States v. Adams, 
    375 F.3d 108
    , 113 (1st Cir. 2004).
    And as for whether a Santana-captained conspiracy was a real thing
    — the raison d'être for the suitcase evidence's presentation,
    Correa says — plenty of evidence showed that it was. Just remember
    all the testimony about how conspirators stashed drug bags aboard
    chosen planes in San Juan bound for New York, then dropped the
    drugs off in New York for sale, and then shipped cash back to San
    Juan, with Santana — a/k/a "El Boss" — pulling the strings.
    -29-
    Compared with all this, the suitcase evidence is a drop in the
    bucket.   So we can say with "fair assurance" that the disputed
    evidence did not sway the jury's verdict, meaning Correa's second-
    to-last argument — like his others — goes nowhere.21           See Landrón-
    
    Class, 696 F.3d at 71
    .
    (4)
    Cumulative Error
    That leaves us with Correa's protest that, even if his
    claimed errors do not justify reversal individually, they do when
    taken cumulatively.    But because we have espied only one assumed
    error that is harmless at that, the cumulative-error doctrine
    cannot help him.    See United States v. DeSimone, 
    699 F.3d 113
    , 128
    (1st Cir. 2012).
    Enough said about Correa's appeal.        Now on to Shepard's.
    SHEPARD'S APPEAL
    Shepard    attacks   the    sufficiency   of   the   evidence   to
    convict her and the reasonableness of her sentence.                 Though
    skillfully presented, her arguments do not persuade.
    (1)
    Adequacy of the Evidence
    Sufficiency challenges rarely succeed, see United States
    v. Moran, 
    984 F.2d 1299
    , 1300 (1st Cir. 1993), and this one is no
    21
    Correa sometimes calls the October 4 suitcase evidence
    "cumulative."   But cumulative evidence is usually dismissed as
    harmless, see, e.g., United States v. Savarese, 
    686 F.3d 1
    , 14 (1st
    Cir. 2012), and again we have no reason to question the evidence's
    harmlessness here.
    -30-
    exception.   The gist of Shepard's argument — below and on appeal —
    is that prosecutors failed to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that
    she knew the bags she grabbed at the New York airport had drugs in
    them, as opposed to some other form of contraband.     And so, the
    theory goes, her conspiracy and substantive-possession convictions
    cannot stand.22 The judge disagreed. We of course assess her claim
    de novo, viewing the evidence — including all fair inferences — in
    the light most agreeable to the verdict and asking whether a
    sensible jury could have convicted beyond a reasonable doubt. See,
    e.g., United States v. Seng Tan, 
    674 F.3d 103
    , 107 (1st Cir. 2012).
    Critically too, even if she has a plausible innocent explanation
    for her actions, we must affirm if — after viewing the record from
    the prosecution's vantage point — there was adequate evidence of
    her guilt.   See, e.g., United States v. George, 
    761 F.3d 42
    , 48
    (1st Cir. 2014).
    22
    The conspiracy charge required prosecutors to prove a
    knowing and intentional agreement between her and another to
    violate the drug laws, see United States v. Ramos-Mejía, 
    721 F.3d 12
    , 14 (1st Cir. 2013), while the substantive charge required them
    to prove her knowing possession of drugs with intent to distribute,
    see United States v. García-Carrasquillo, 
    483 F.3d 124
    , 130 (1st
    Cir. 2007). We oversimplify slightly, but you get the picture.
    Because the two charges required the government to prove that she
    acted knowingly, we examine her knowledge as a whole, rather than
    breaking it down for each count. One other thing. "'[K]nowledge'
    can be established by showing that a defendant was 'wilfully blind'
    to facts patently before [her]."        United States v. Rivera-
    Rodriguez, 
    318 F.3d 268
    , 271 (1st Cir. 2003). The judge did not
    give a willful-blindness instruction, however.      Consequently we
    consider only whether the government proved her actual knowledge.
    -31-
    What   sinks   Shepard's    sufficiency       claim     is   Vega's
    testimony   that   he   personally    knew   that   she   was   a   member   of
    Santana's drug-trafficking enterprise.23            From that evidence a
    clear-eyed jury could readily infer that members like Shepard know
    that drug smuggling is a drug enterprise's lifeblood and that
    handling drugs is what members do. See United States v. Ortiz, 
    966 F.2d 707
    , 712 (1st Cir. 1992) (explaining that "jurors are neither
    required to divorce themselves from their common sense nor to
    abandon the dictates of mature experience"). And a wide-awake jury
    could then go on to infer that Shepard knew from the suspicious
    happenings surrounding her New York trip — her getting $3,000
    simply for jetting there on someone else's dime, grabbing a couple
    of suitcases from the airport's luggage carousel, and passing them
    off to others almost immediately, never to see the bags again, etc.
    — that the suitcases contained drugs.         See 
    id. Wait a
    minute, says Shepard, holes remain in the record
    — for example, there is no direct evidence that (1) she ever saw
    even a speck of drugs in Puerto Rico or in New York, that (2) she
    and Vega were anything more than mere acquaintances (Vega's cell
    phone had several conspirators' contact info, but not Shepard's),
    23
    Here are the money quotes from the prosecution's redirect
    examination of Vega:    "Mr. Vega-Torres," the prosecutor began,
    "based on your own personal knowledge, we want you to tell the jury
    who were the members of the Manuel Santana drug trafficking
    organization at the time that you were involved." "Denise Shepard"
    and El "Don," Vega replied, though he named other members too.
    -32-
    that (3) either Vega or anyone else ever so much as hinted that she
    would be lugging drug bags to a waiting taxi, or that (4) she was
    present when Vega and Martes rolled and packed the cash for the
    trip back to Puerto Rico.   Even assuming that these are plausible
    theories of innocence, she gains nothing, "because the issue is not
    whether a jury rationally could have acquitted but whether it
    rationally could have found guilt beyond a reasonable doubt." Seng
    
    Tan, 674 F.3d at 107
    .   Granted, the government's case may not have
    been "airtight" — most are not, we know.    See Leftwich v. Maloney,
    
    532 F.3d 20
    , 28 (1st Cir. 2008).       But taking all the evidence —
    direct and circumstantial — in the light most flattering to the
    verdict, we think a levelheaded jury had enough to make a guilty-
    knowledge inference required to convict. See also United States v.
    Sawyer, 
    85 F.3d 713
    , 733 (1st Cir. 1996).
    (2)
    Reasonableness of the Sentence
    That takes us to the dispute over Shepard's 128-month
    prison term — a sentence 8 months above the 10-year statutory
    mandatory minimum but 23 months below the bottom of the 151-188
    month recommended guidelines range.       She does not question the
    correctness of either the mandatory minimum or the guidelines
    range.   But she does contest the procedural and substantive
    reasonableness of her sentence, offering lots of reasons why she
    should get a 120-month term after a sentencing do-over.    We review
    preserved arguments for abuse of discretion and unpreserved ones
    -33-
    for plain error.   See, e.g., United States v. Tavares, 
    705 F.3d 4
    ,
    24 (1st Cir. 2013).     Ultimately, though, none of her arguments
    succeed.
    (a)
    Procedural Reasonableness
    Shepard first accuses the judge of not considering every
    sentencing factor listed in 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a).24       But after
    listening to her lawyer argue for leniency (a plea that — among
    other things — referenced her pre-arrest rehabilitative efforts and
    stressed how a heavy sentence would hurt her family) and after
    hearing her statement (an "allocution," in legal lingo), the judge
    said that he had considered "all the factors." And his comment "is
    entitled to some weight" — that is particularly true when a judge
    issues a within-guidelines sentence, see United States v. Clogston,
    24
    There are seven factors. Factor one is "the nature and
    circumstances of the offense and the history and characteristics of
    the defendant." 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(1). Factor two is
    the need for the sentence . . . (A) to reflect the
    seriousness of the offense, to promote respect for the
    law, and to provide just punishment for the offense;
    (B) to afford adequate deterrence to criminal conduct;
    (C) to protect the public from further crimes of the
    defendant; and (D) to provide the defendant with needed
    educational or vocational training, medical care, or
    other correctional treatment in the most effective
    manner."
    
    Id. § 3553(a)(2).
        Factor three is "the kinds of sentences
    available." 
    Id. § 3553(a)(3).
    Factor four is the guidelines. 
    Id. § 3553(a)(4).
    Factor five is "any pertinent policy statement . . .
    issued by the Sentencing Commission." 
    Id. § 3553(a)(5).
    Factor
    six is "the need to avoid unwarranted sentence disparities." 
    Id. § 3553(a)(6).
    And factor seven is "the need to provide restitution
    to any victims." 
    Id. § 3553(a)(7).
    -34-
    
    662 F.3d 588
    , 590 (1st Cir. 2011) (internal quotation marks
    omitted), and here (don't forget) we have a below-guidelines
    sentence.    But the judge said much more.            For example, he touched
    on the seriousness of her crimes ("hundreds of kilograms of cocaine
    were transported in this conspiracy" and "nothing" could have
    happened without her and other couriers like her), talked about her
    difficult family circumstances (she is a "widowed mother of five
    children"), highlighted her lack of criminal record, alluded to
    societal-protective concerns ("how many children are affected by
    drugs . . .?"), stressed the need to avoid unwarranted disparities
    between her sentence and Correa's (he had gotten 132 months).             And
    he concluded that a 128-month sentence — a term far lower than the
    151-188 month guidelines range — served the purposes reflected in
    § 3553(a).    We see nothing resembling an abuse of discretion here.
    Trying a different tack, Shepard argues that the judge
    put   too   much    weight   on   one    factor   (eliminating    unjustified
    sentencing disparities) and too little weight on others (her
    history     and    characteristics,      as    well   as   guidelines   policy
    statements dealing with downward departures for things like family
    responsibilities).25     Over and over again we have said that judges
    are not required to "give each factor equal billing," noting that
    25
    A quick word about sentencing disparities: sentencers can
    consider disparities between codefendants, we have noted — even
    though § 3553(a)(6) chiefly addresses disparities among defendants
    nationwide. See, e.g., United States v. Ayala-Vazquez, 
    751 F.3d 1
    ,
    32 (1st Cir. 2014).
    -35-
    because sentencing outcomes "turn mostly on 'case-specific and
    defendant-specific'" nuances, "'[t]he relative weight of each
    factor will vary with the idiosyncratic circumstances of each
    case'" — and thus judges can tweak "'the calculus accordingly.'"
    United States v. Denson, 
    689 F.3d 21
    , 28-29 (1st Cir. 2012)
    (quoting United States v. Dixon, 
    449 F.3d 194
    , 205 (1st Cir.
    2006)).   The judge did what the caselaw permits.   So again we find
    no abuse of discretion.
    Shepard also contends — for the first time on appeal,
    though — that the judge did not adequately explain his reasoning
    for her sentence.    But what we have already written shows she is
    wrong.    A judge must say enough for us to meaningfully review the
    sentence's reasonableness. See United States v. Fernández-Cabrera,
    
    625 F.3d 48
    , 53 (1st Cir. 2010) (adding that a judge's explanation
    need not be "precise to the point of pedantry").    And the judge's
    explanation was up to snuff — which is another way of saying that
    he committed no error in this respect, much less plain error.
    (b)
    Substantive Reasonableness
    Not only is Shepard's sentence procedurally reasonable —
    it is substantively reasonable too, which is to say not too harsh
    under the "totality of the circumstances."   Gall v. United States,
    
    552 U.S. 38
    , 51 (2007).   Her arguments otherwise — that her family
    circumstances and pre-arrest rehabilitation call for a 120-month
    term instead of a 128-month stretch, and that the judge placed too
    -36-
    much emphasis on minimizing unjust sentencing disparities — are
    essentially a rebranding of her failed procedural-unreasonableness
    theories.    When all is said and done, a claim like hers is a tough
    sell   —   more   so   when   the    sentence     comes   within    a    correctly-
    calculated guidelines range, see 
    Clogston, 662 F.3d at 592-93
    , and
    here (as we have said, hopefully without trying the reader's
    patience) we have a below-guidelines term! For every case there is
    a range of reasonable punishment.                See, e.g., United States v.
    Walker, 
    665 F.3d 212
    , 234 (1st Cir. 2011).                And because Shepard's
    sentence (backed by the judge's plausible explanation) does not
    fall outside "the expansive universe" of acceptable outcomes, we
    spot no abuse of discretion — which leads straight to affirmance.
    See United States v. King, 
    741 F.3d 305
    , 308 (1st Cir. 2014).
    FINAL WORDS
    Our    work   over,      we     affirm   Correa's      and    Shepard's
    convictions, and we affirm Shepard's sentence too.
    -Concurring and Dissenting Opinion Follows-
    -37-
    BARRON, Circuit Judge, concurring in part and dissenting
    in part.   I fully join the majority's treatment of Denise Shepard-
    Fraser's challenges to the sufficiency of the evidence and the
    reasonableness of her sentence.               I cannot join, however, the
    majority's treatment of Jorge Correa-Osorio's challenge to the in-
    court identification.       In my view, that challenge has merit, and,
    accordingly, I would reverse the judgment of conviction on the
    ground that the District Court plainly erred in allowing the jury
    to weigh that evidence.
    I.
    Eyewitness   testimony    is    undeniably   powerful.     That
    testimony is all the more powerful when the eyewitness identifies
    the defendant right in front of the jury.                Ordinarily, we let
    juries weigh such testimony, just as they may weigh any other
    admissible evidence.       But in certain circumstances, concerns about
    the reliability of an in-court identification -- with all the
    persuasive force that comes from the witness identifying "that man"
    as the person who committed the crime -- require more than faith in
    the jury's capacity to evaluate what is reliable and what is not.
    See, e.g., Kampshoff v. Smith, 
    698 F.2d 581
    , 585 (2d Cir. 1983)
    ("[D]oubts over the strength of the evidence of a defendant's guilt
    may be resolved on the basis of the eyewitness' seeming certainty
    when he points to the defendant and exclaims with conviction that
    veils   all    doubt,   '[T]hat's   the      man!'"   (second   alteration   in
    -38-
    original) (quoting United States v. Wade, 
    388 U.S. 218
    , 235-36
    (1967))).
    One such circumstance arises when the government elicits
    the identification in court after having used suggestive out-of-
    court    means     to     prompt   the    witness       to   make       an    earlier
    identification.         See Simmons v. United States, 
    390 U.S. 377
    , 382
    (1968); see also Manson v. Brathwaite, 
    432 U.S. 98
    (1977).                        The
    classic out-of-court, government-designed, suggestive means are a
    stacked lineup, see Foster v. California, 
    394 U.S. 440
    , 442-43
    (1969), a highly suggestive photo array, see 
    Simmons, 390 U.S. at 382
    , or, perhaps even worse, a show-up -- in which the government
    brings    the     suspect     before     the    witness      in     a     one-to-one
    confrontation, see Stovall v. Denno, 
    388 U.S. 293
    , 295 (1967).
    When   the     government    uses    such    out-of-court         prompts
    unnecessarily, due process bars the jury from weighing the in-court
    identification     unless     it   survives     review    under     the      so-called
    Biggers factors.          See Neil v. Biggers, 
    409 U.S. 188
    , 199-200
    (1972); see also United States v. Maguire, 
    918 F.2d 254
    , 264-65
    (1st Cir. 1990) ("The Supreme Court has declared generally the same
    test for the admissibility of an in-court identification subsequent
    to a suggestive out-of-court identification as it has employed for
    admission    of    an     allegedly    suggestive       pretrial        out-of-court
    identification.").        Courts use those factors to decide whether the
    in-court identification arises from the witness's prior encounters
    -39-
    with the person identified rather than from the influence of the
    out-of-court suggestive prompt the government has used. See United
    States v. Castro-Caicedo, 
    775 F.3d 93
    , 97 (1st Cir. 2014).                    And
    when those factors indicate a substantial risk that the suggestive
    prompt did corrupt the in-court identification -- say because the
    witness encountered the person identified years before and never
    since, and then only in conditions not likely to make the memory
    stick with any accuracy -- then the jury may not consider the in-
    court identification.         
    Biggers, 409 U.S. at 198
    .
    Correa    does   not    argue   to   us    that   an    out-of-court
    suggestive    prompt    preceded     this    in-court      identification.     He
    instead argues that what happened in the courtroom was alone so
    suggestive as to necessitate review under Biggers.                  And I conclude
    that, on these facts, Correa is right.
    In   reaching    this   conclusion,       I   recognize    courtroom
    identifications are a traditional feature of criminal trials.                 But
    tradition should not distract from what to me seems obvious and
    what I do not understand the majority to deny.                 A prosecutor who
    orchestrates an in-court identification does at least risk exposing
    the jury to a very misleading form of unusually powerful and
    prejudicial testimony.         For that reason, judges must be on the
    lookout for the case in which that risk is realized -- even if it
    is realized through means other than the government's prior use of
    egregious out-of-court suggestive prompts.
    -40-
    Here, we confront government-selected, in-court means for
    prompting that, though subtle, were plenty suggestive -- and
    unnecessarily so.    So much so, in my view, that even on plain error
    review, an inspection of the identification's reliability under
    Biggers is required.       See United States v. De León-Quiñones, 
    588 F.3d 748
    , 753 (1st Cir. 2009) ("To establish plain error, a
    defendant 'must show an error that was plain, (i.e., obvious and
    clear under current law), prejudicial (i.e., affected the outcome
    of the district court proceedings), and seriously impaired the
    fairness,     integrity,    or   public    reputation   of   the   judicial
    proceedings.'" (quoting United States v. Griffin, 
    524 F.3d 71
    , 76
    (1st Cir. 2008))).         And, after undertaking that inspection, I
    further believe that due process demands a greater degree of
    assurance that Correa was "that man" than this identification can
    possibly supply.     For that reason, I cannot agree that this in-
    court identification -- on which the government's case almost
    entirely rests -- may be the cause of Correa's long-term loss of
    liberty.26
    26
    Correa received a prison sentence of eleven years. That
    term, I might add, is greater than the sentences received by all
    other members of the conspiracy, save for the leader, who received
    a sentence of 135 months -- only three months longer than Correa's.
    Correa and his co-defendant in this trial, Denise Shepard-Fraser,
    were the only alleged conspirators who went to trial. All others
    listed in the indictment, with the exception of one individual
    against whom charges were dismissed, entered into plea agreements.
    -41-
    II.
    To    begin,   I    must   first    explain    why     Perry   v.   New
    Hampshire, 
    132 S. Ct. 716
    (2012), does not shield from Biggers
    review any in-court identification that is untainted by a prior
    suggestive      out-of-court      prompt    --   the    seemingly     categorical
    position the Eleventh Circuit takes. See United States v. Whatley,
    
    719 F.3d 1206
    , 1216 (11th Cir. 2013).             But the explanation is not
    hard to give.         Simply put, Perry did not involve an in-court
    identification at all.          Perry thus cannot set the standard for how
    we should treat one.
    Perry    concerned     only    whether     a   prior    out-of-court
    identification should have been subjected to review under the
    Biggers factors.        And Perry concluded that due process did not
    require such review in that case because the government did not
    orchestrate the out-of-court identification. See 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 725-27
    .        Rather, as Perry explained, the witness had made a
    spontaneous out-of-court identification of the suspect while the
    suspect stood next to a police officer in a parking lot.                    
    Id. at 721-22.
    The Court noted that defense counsel -- in briefing and in
    argument -- explicitly conceded that the government "did not
    arrange      the     suggestive         circumstances       surrounding      [the]
    identification," 
    id. at 725,
    and that defense counsel did "not
    allege    any     manipulation    or    intentional     orchestration       by   the
    police," 
    id. (citing Tr.
    of Oral Arg. 5).               There was, as the New
    -42-
    Hampshire Supreme Court found, "a complete absence of improper
    state action."      New Hampshire v. Perry, No. 2009-0590, 
    2010 WL 9105720
    , at *1 (N.H. Nov. 18, 2010) (quoting New Hampshire v.
    Addison, 
    8 A.3d 118
    , 125 (N.H. 2010)).    Thus, notwithstanding that
    the circumstances of the identification may have been suggestive,
    the Court concluded that the deterrence rationale that underlies
    the whole Biggers line had no application.       
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 726
    .
    In my view, therefore, Perry is no per se bar to finding
    plain error here.     Perry is instead best read to affirm what the
    Court had said before about when the Biggers test must be applied.
    Due process requires the Biggers review for reliability "when law
    enforcement officers use an identification procedure that is both
    suggestive and unnecessary."     
    Id. at 724.
      For it is only when the
    government is responsible for the suggestiveness that due process
    requires an inquiry into the reliability of the identification.
    III.
    With Perry out of the way, the issue reduces to the
    following.     When, if ever, should an in-court identification be
    subject to Biggers review by virtue of the suggestive attributes of
    what happened in the courtroom itself? Substantial precedent shows
    that a government-orchestrated, in-court identification may, in
    some circumstances, be so suggestive as to trigger Biggers review,
    even absent a prior, out-of-court suggestive prompt.       See, e.g.,
    -43-
    United States v. Greene, 
    704 F.3d 298
    , 307-08 (4th Cir. 2013);
    United States v. Rogers, 
    126 F.3d 655
    , 657-58 (5th Cir. 1997)
    ("[I]t is obviously suggestive to ask a witness to identify a
    perpetrator        in   the    courtroom      when   it   is     clear   who    is    the
    defendant."); United States v. Hill, 
    967 F.2d 226
    , 232 (6th Cir.
    1992); United States v. Rundell, 
    858 F.2d 425
    , 426 (8th Cir. 1988);
    see also United States v. Beeler, 
    62 F. Supp. 2d 136
    , 140-45 (D.
    Me.    1999)       (suppressing,         in    advance      of    trial,       in-court
    identification because it would be impermissibly suggestive and
    unreliable).        And the government does not argue otherwise.
    The majority contends, however, that such review is
    required only when the in-court identification involves special
    features of concern.                The majority then notes that, here, the
    prosecutor's in-court questions or comments did not expressly draw
    the witness's attention to the defendant or directly suggest the
    hoped-for result.          See 
    Greene, 704 F.3d at 307-08
    .               Nor was the
    defendant in this case of a different race or gender from all other
    persons in the courtroom or at counsel table. See United States v.
    Archibald, 
    734 F.2d 938
    , 941 (2d Cir. 1984).                        But, as I will
    explain, the government still orchestrated this identification to
    occur in circumstances that clearly were unnecessarily suggestive
    --    at   least    when      the    circumstances    are      considered      in   their
    totality.
    -44-
    As     to      orchestration,        the     challenged      in-court
    identification did not just happen.                   Instead, the prosecutor
    brought it about through a cooperating witness, José Vega-Torres,
    who had been prepped and promised (according to his own testimony)
    that his cooperation would protect his wife from prosecution.                   And
    Vega was asked to provide testimony that was -- the government
    concedes -- the whole of the case against Correa.
    As    to    suggestiveness,    the    prosecutor    asked     Vega    to
    identify Correa only on Vega's second day of testifying, after the
    lunch   break.        Thus,   the   prosecutor    asked    Vega    to   make    the
    identification only after Vega had spent a day and a half on the
    stand, with Correa -- the only male defendant -- seated before him
    at counsel table.       And during Vega's day-plus time on the stand,
    defense counsel rose to object at numerous points.                By the time of
    the identification, then, the object of the prosecution would have
    been obvious.
    The majority points out that the government did not put
    Correa at counsel table.        He took that seat on his own, as it was
    his right to do.         But the government still chose to seek the
    identification from Vega fully aware that the defendant was so
    positioned -- and thus fully aware that Vega would be asked to
    identify Correa at a moment when he was at that table and after
    Vega had observed him there at substantial length.                Indeed, it is
    fair to say the longest look that Vega -- by his own account --
    -45-
    ever had of Correa was during the time the government had asked
    Vega to appear on the stand prior to asking him to make the
    identification. Cf. United States v. Montgomery, 
    150 F.3d 983
    , 992
    (9th Cir. 1998) ("permitting [the witness] to view [the defendant]
    in the courtroom the day before the witness was scheduled to
    testify" found to be a "suggestive procedure[]").
    In these circumstances, I do not believe Correa is
    overstating things in contending that the government's presentation
    of the identification was "the functional equivalent of the one
    person show-up, a classically suggestive method of identification
    in which an eyewitness is confronted with only one option to
    cho[o]se from."       See 
    Greene, 704 F.3d at 307-08
    (4th Cir. 2013);
    
    Hill, 967 F.2d at 232
    ;    Beeler,     62    F.   Supp.     2d   at    144-45;
    Commonwealth v. Crayton, 
    21 N.E.3d 157
    , 166 (Mass. 2014) ("Where,
    as here, a prosecutor asks a witness at trial whether he or she can
    identify the perpetrator of the crime in the court room, and the
    defendant      is     sitting        at   counsel's         table,     the      in-court
    identification is comparable in its suggestiveness to a showup
    identification.").          And, for that reason, I believe it clear that
    the identification's reliability must be tested under the Biggers
    factors.
    After   all,     the    government       cannot    show      that    these
    suggestive means were somehow "necessary."                   See 
    Perry, 132 S. Ct. at 724
      (finding     "[c]rucial"        to    the   Court's       allowance     of   a
    -46-
    suggestive    procedure   in   Stovall    that   it   was   a   "necessity");
    
    Stovall, 388 U.S. at 302
    (finding a suggestive encounter necessary
    because "[n]o one knew how long [the hospitalized witness] might
    live" and thus "the police followed the only feasible procedure");
    United States ex rel. Kirby v. Sturges, 
    510 F.2d 397
    , 403-04 (7th
    Cir. 1975) (Stevens, J.) (concluding, despite there being "no
    evidence of bad faith or excessive zeal to obtain a conviction,"
    that a showup was "unnecessarily suggestive" because it was "not
    justified by any exigent circumstances, or even by any minimal
    showing of inconvenience").         True, as a general matter, the
    prosecution is entitled to present its case in the order it thinks
    best.   But that standard feature of the way that we organize
    criminal trials does not mean it was necessary for the government
    to elicit the identification of Correa in the highly suggestive way
    that it chose.
    The government could have relied on an identification by
    Vega that he made out of court through a non-suggestive means.            In
    fact, the government introduced photo arrays showing that Vega had
    made out-of-court identifications of other alleged conspirators.
    Yet the government chose not to pursue that same approach at trial
    in Correa's case.    And, even if the government wished to proceed
    with an in-court identification, the government acknowledged at
    oral argument that there were mitigating measures that could have
    been taken in court but were not.         See Beeler, 62 F. Supp. 2d at
    -47-
    144-45 (noting "that a number of courts have reasoned that the
    preferred remedy for a suggestive in-court identification is not,
    necessarily, the suppression of the identification but an in-court
    lineup or some other protective measure to ensure the fairness of
    the identification and cross-examination of the eyewitness"); see
    also   
    Kirby, 510 F.2d at 405-06
          (describing     "unanimity      among
    scholars"     that     "evidence      of,      or    derived     from,   a      showup
    identification should be inadmissible unless the prosecutor can
    justify    his    failure     to    use    a     more   reliable     identification
    procedure").
    I recognize that, in one respect, the situation is
    different when, unlike here, an in-court identification is made
    only after a prior, suggestive out-of-court identification.                        In
    that type of case, the jurors do not have the opportunity to
    witness the complained of suggestive circumstance themselves.
    Here, by contrast, the jurors did, as they obviously watched what
    happened in court.          But, that does not show that an in-court
    identification of this sort must be left to the jury to weigh.                    For
    while in theory the jurors were well-positioned to evaluate the
    suggestiveness of what they saw, in fact the jurors were exposed to
    a seemingly certain identification made in a very suggestive
    setting.     In other words, the fact that the jury witnessed this
    particular      identification      does       not   solve     the   problem.      It
    potentially is the problem. See 
    Kampshoff, 698 F.2d at 585
    ("There
    -48-
    can be no reasonable doubt that inaccurate eyewitness testimony may
    be one of the most prejudicial features of a criminal trial.
    Juries, naturally desirous to punish a vicious crime, may well be
    unschooled in the effects that the subtle compound of suggestion,
    anxiety, and forgetfulness in the face of the need to recall often
    has on witnesses." (footnote omitted)).
    In light of the "obvious[] suggestive[ness]" of the
    circumstances      in   which   the   government      chose     to   elicit   the
    identification, I conclude -- as the Fifth Circuit did more than a
    decade ago in considering an unobjected-to, in-court identification
    -- that even on plain error review, the Biggers test applies.                 See
    
    Rogers, 126 F.3d at 658
    .     In   that   case,   the    Fifth   Circuit
    confronted      circumstances   not   unlike      those   at   issue   here   and
    undertook such reliability review because the witness had been
    asked to make the identification "when it [was] clear who [was] the
    defendant."       
    Id. Rogers explained
    that the witness initially
    provided testimony without making any identification but was then
    called back to the stand the next day to identify the defendant,
    the only black man at counsel table, as the culprit.27               
    Id. at 657-
    27
    The prosecutor identified "something odd" in the witness's
    demeanor during her initial testimony and afterwards had the FBI
    case agent approach her. 
    Rogers, 126 F.3d at 657
    . The witness
    told the agent during that conversation that she recognized the
    defendant as the culprit and the government then asked -- and was
    granted permission -- to recall her to the stand. 
    Id. And while
    the defendant's counsel objected to the witness being recalled,
    counsel did not object to her identification after she took the
    stand. 
    Id. at 657-
    58.
    -49-
    58 & n.1.   And while the Fifth Circuit noted that the concern about
    suggestiveness was "heightened" in that case because the witness
    was of a different race from the defendant, 
    id. at 658,
    here that
    same concern is heightened by the duration of the witness's pre-
    identification testimony and the gender of the defendant relative
    to the other defendant at counsel table.
    In both cases, therefore, the key fact is the ultimate
    one that the Biggers line suggests to me should matter: each time,
    it was obvious who the defendant was when the prosecution asked the
    witness to make the in-court identification.              So although I grant
    that there is no case finding plain error on facts exactly like
    these, it seems to me that the relevant inquiry into suggestiveness
    that Biggers requires yields an answer no less obvious in Correa's
    case than the Fifth Circuit found in Rogers.              And given that "the
    'plainness'   of   [an]     error   can    depend    on   well-settled     legal
    principles as much as well-settled legal precedents," United States
    v. Brown, 
    352 F.3d 654
    , 664 (2d Cir. 2003) (emphasis omitted), I do
    not believe counsel's failure to object at trial should shield this
    in-court identification from the scrutiny that Biggers plainly
    requires in comparably suggestive circumstances.
    IV.
    In consequence of the unnecessarily suggestive means that
    the government used, I believe we must apply the Biggers factors to
    test   whether     Vega's    identification         was   corrupted   by    the
    -50-
    suggestiveness of the setting.    
    See 409 U.S. at 199-200
    .28    And it
    is plain to me that, after doing so, we should have no confidence
    that Vega's identification rested on his recollection of Correa's
    appearance from prior encounters -- to the extent they qualified as
    "encounters" -- rather than from the suggestive circumstances in
    which the prosecutor asked Vega to make his choice.
    Vega testified to viewing Correa, known to him in the
    conspiracy as "El Don," on only three occasions, each of which
    occurred long ago.    The only physical interaction was brief, at
    most lasting a matter of minutes.       And the encounters between the
    two men could be described, at best, as indirect: putting luggage
    in a car, a sighting through a car window, and finally, Vega's
    glimpse of "El Don" handling baggage on the tarmac while Vega
    waited in the airport from what must have been a substantial
    distance.    The witness never purported to have had a personal
    relationship with the defendant.    Nor did Vega offer any previous
    description that matched Correa's.
    28
    The factors to consider in evaluating whether the
    identification is reliable despite the unnecessary suggestiveness
    of the identification procedure include "the opportunity of the
    witness to view the criminal at the time of the crime, the witness'
    degree of attention, the accuracy of the witness' prior description
    of the criminal, the level of certainty demonstrated by the witness
    at the confrontation, and the length of time between the crime and
    the confrontation." 
    Biggers, 409 U.S. at 199-200
    . Of course, as
    the majority notes, courts need not apply these factors to test the
    reliability of an identification not orchestrated by the government
    to occur in an unnecessarily suggestive way. See Maj. Op. 24 n.17.
    -51-
    Furthermore, Vega claimed to have interacted with Correa
    only in 2006, while Vega's in-court identification of Correa
    occurred five years later, in 2011.            Biggers suggested, however,
    that    a   far    shorter,    seven-month     gap     between   sighting   and
    identification counted against the identification's reliability.
    
    Id. at 201.
           And while we have sometimes permitted lengthy time
    gaps, we have not been so forgiving when the encounters were as
    fleeting and indirect as these.              See, e.g., United States v.
    Flores-Rivera, 
    56 F.3d 319
    , 331 (1st Cir. 1995) (excusing seven-
    year time gap when "other reliability criteria were sufficiently
    persuasive").
    Vega did not appear to hesitate in identifying Correa
    from the stand.         But certainty on the part of the witness does not
    reveal much.      See United States v. Jones, 
    689 F.3d 12
    , 18 (1st Cir.
    2012) ("[L]ack of confidence is certainly a reliable warning sign,
    while the presence of confidence is probably closer to a neutral
    factor.").     Such apparent certainty may result from the suggestive
    circumstances, and certainty after suggestive prompting cannot show
    reliability.       See, e.g., Raheem v. Kelly, 
    257 F.3d 122
    , 139 (2d
    Cir. 2001) (finding it "difficult to view [a witness's] certainty
    as an indicator of reliability independent of the suggestive
    lineup").
    Not surprisingly, therefore, the government does not
    argue   that      the   Biggers   factors    support    the   identification's
    -52-
    reliability.   This identification, which should have triggered the
    Biggers test, clearly cannot survive it.
    V.
    That leaves the issue of prejudice. See United States v.
    Delgado-Marrero, 
    744 F.3d 167
    , 184 (1st Cir. 2014) (describing the
    "infrequent case[] in which reversal is warranted" under the plain
    error standard of review); see also 
    Rogers, 126 F.3d at 658
    -60
    (finding error in the admission of an obviously suggestive and
    unreliable in-court identification, but holding error harmless in
    light of overwhelming evidence of guilt).           But here, the prejudice
    is clear.
    The government conceded that Vega's testimony provided
    the only direct evidence that linked Correa to this conspiracy.
    And a review of the record also reveals many -- in some cases,
    inexplicable    --   weaknesses   in       the   government's    case.   These
    weaknesses include: the inability of the testifying investigative
    agent to explain how and why Correa was identified as a member of
    the   conspiracy;    the   evidence    suggesting    Correa     worked   for   a
    different baggage handling company than any of the other co-
    conspirators tasked with the same alleged role in the conspiracy;
    the testimony suggesting Vega made out-of-court identifications of
    many of the co-conspirators without apparently making an out-of-
    court identification of Correa; another testifying co-conspirator's
    non-recognition of Correa; and the failure of the government to
    -53-
    call any co-conspirators -- despite having entered into plea
    agreements with them -- who had dealt personally with Correa.
    There   is   some   corroborating   evidence   of   Correa's
    involvement in the conspiracy: a resume listing his email address
    as including the words "El Don" and his wife's ownership of the
    same car Vega testified that "El Don" had at Vega's one interaction
    with him.    But that evidence itself traces back only to Vega's
    testimony.     Thus, the other evidence against Correa gives no
    assurance that, even absent the identification by Vega, the jury
    would have convicted.     See, e.g., United States v. Casas, 
    356 F.3d 104
    , 123-24 (1st Cir. 2004) (vacating conviction of defendant
    Cunningham when -- apart from improper testimony -- only evidence
    of involvement with conspiracy was his identification by three co-
    conspirators with whom he had few contacts).
    This case, then, is like those that have given courts the
    most pause about the due process implications of admitting in-court
    identifications. The problematic identification here was essential
    to the government's case.        See 
    Raheem, 257 F.3d at 142
    ("The
    identification testimony of [the witnesses] clearly bore on an
    essential issue, the identity of the shooter.       And that testimony
    was crucial to the prosecution's case, for the State presented no
    evidence other than the testimony of [the witnesses] to tie [the
    defendant] to the events."); 
    Kampshoff, 698 F.2d at 588
    ("[A]ll
    told, absent the identification testimony, the evidence against
    -54-
    Kampshoff is simply not overwhelming."); cf. United States v.
    Williams, 
    436 F.2d 1166
    , 1168 (9th Cir. 1970) ("[W]here the
    question of guilt or innocence hangs entirely on the reliability
    and accuracy of an in-court identification, the identification
    procedure should be as lacking in inherent suggestiveness as
    possible.").
    Still, to succeed on plain error review, the defendant
    must make one more showing.      He must demonstrate that the error
    "seriously impaired the fairness, integrity, or public reputation
    of the judicial proceedings."     De 
    León-Quiñones, 588 F.3d at 753
    (quoting 
    Griffin, 524 F.3d at 76
    ). But that additional requirement
    poses no obstacle for Correa.     When the government introduces an
    unnecessarily suggestive in-court identification on which nearly
    the whole of the prosecution depends, it seems to me clear that
    this last part of the plain error test is met.
    VI.
    I recognize the concern about opening the door to other
    successful attacks on in-court identifications.    But not every in-
    court identification is similarly staged, with the cooperating
    witness prepped to testify, brought to the stand, and then prompted
    to give an identification of the one male defendant at counsel
    table and then only after having provided a day and a half of
    testimony.     Not every in-court identification rests on minimal
    contacts that occurred long ago and thus plainly lacks sufficient
    -55-
    indicia of reliability to survive the Biggers test.      Not every
    prosecution rests so heavily on an in-court identification this
    shaky.   And fewer still are the prosecutions that are so dependent
    on in-court identifications that share these concerning attributes.
    I thus do not think it too much to require the government to make
    the case against Correa on evidence less likely to mislead the jury
    in this needless way.    And, in my view, the Due Process Clause
    requires that same conclusion.
    I respectfully dissent.
    -56-