State v. Argueta , 2020 UT 41 ( 2020 )


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  •                 This opinion is subject to revision before final
    publication in the Pacific Reporter
    
    2020 UT 41
    IN THE
    SUPREME COURT OF THE STATE OF UTAH
    THE STATE OF UTAH,
    Respondent,
    v.
    CARLOS WALTER ARGUETA,
    Petitioner.
    No. 20180814
    Heard November 13, 2019
    Filed July 2, 2020
    On Certiorari to the Utah Court of Appeals
    Third District, Salt Lake
    The Honorable Mark S. Kouris
    No. 151906605
    Attorneys:
    Sean D. Reyes, Att’y Gen., Christopher D. Ballard,
    Asst. Solic. Gen., Sandi Johnson, Salt Lake City, for respondent
    Teresa L. Welch, Nathalie S. Skibine, Salt Lake City, for petitioner
    JUSTICE HIMONAS authored the opinion of the Court, in which
    CHIEF JUSTICE DURRANT and JUSTICE PEARCE joined.
    ASSOCIATE CHIEF JUSTICE LEE filed an opinion concurring in part
    and concurring in the judgement,
    in which JUSTICE PETERSEN joined.
    JUSTICE HIMONAS, opinion of the Court:
    INTRODUCTION
    ¶1 Carlos Walter Argueta was caught in the middle of the
    night in A.C.’s apartment. At the scene, she complained to a police
    officer that Argueta had inappropriately touched her. That night,
    also at the scene, and after invoking his Miranda rights, Argueta
    refuted the allegation and offered a short, innocent explanation of
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    what had occurred. He was later charged with burglary and
    forcible sexual abuse. At trial, he elaborated upon his prior
    explanation, while A.C. and other witnesses offered testimony to
    the contrary. During the trial, the State introduced two prior bad
    acts that Argueta committed in an attempt to rebut his innocent
    explanation. At the end of a two-day trial, a jury convicted Argueta
    on both counts.
    ¶2 Argueta argues that the prosecutor’s comments at trial
    about the differences between his initial statement at the scene and
    his trial testimony were a violation of his constitutional right to
    remain silent. He also argues against the admission of the two prior
    acts, claiming their admission prejudiced him.
    ¶3 We hold that any error found or assumed in this case was
    not prejudicial and, as a result, not reversible. In addition, we only
    address the issues that are preserved for appeal, and Argueta failed
    to preserve his argument that A.C.’s eyewitness testimony
    regarding an earlier encounter between them was so unreliable as
    to be inadmissible. We therefore affirm the judgment of the court
    of appeals and the conviction underlying it.
    BACKGROUND
    ¶4 On the night of June 6, 2015, A.C., her boyfriend (J.W.) and
    several of their neighbors were drinking and socializing in their
    next-door neighbors’ backyard.1 At some point between midnight
    and 2:00 a.m., A.C. decided to go to bed. She left the backyard by
    herself and went into her apartment. J.W. stayed outside a while
    longer.
    ¶5 A.C. and J.W. lived in a studio apartment in a house that
    had been converted into four separate units. Upon returning to her
    apartment, A.C. closed the apartment door. Because the apartment
    door locked automatically, she left her key in the door’s lock, so
    J.W.—who did not have a key—could enter the apartment without
    waking her. She then undressed and got into her bed and under the
    covers. With the television on, she drifted into sleep. While she was
    “on the verge of getting to sleep,” in “that place between deep sleep
    and still aware,” A.C. felt someone “stroking” her vagina and
    __________________________________________________________
    1 “When reviewing a jury verdict, we examine the evidence and
    all reasonable inferences in a light most favorable to the verdict,
    reciting the facts accordingly. We present conflicting evidence only
    when necessary to understand issues raised on appeal.” State v.
    Griffin, 
    2016 UT 33
    , ¶ 2 n.2, 
    384 P.3d 186
    (citation omitted) (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    2
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                             Opinion of the Court
    “rubbing” her buttocks. A.C. was facing a wall and her eyes were
    closed, so she could not see who touched her. She figured that it
    was J.W. It was not.
    ¶6 Some short but unknown time after A.C. went inside, J.W.
    decided to retire to bed too. He came back to the apartment and
    saw the door slightly ajar, with the key still in the lock. Once he
    looked inside, he saw A.C. asleep, but not covered, which was
    unusual for her. While he was still standing at the doorway, a man
    came running towards him from inside the apartment. Startled,
    J.W. stopped the man, and managed to hold him up against a
    dresser while he repeatedly shouted, looking for an explanation for
    the man’s presence in the apartment.
    ¶7 The shouting awoke A.C. She saw that J.W. was holding a
    man, who turned out to be Argueta. At that time, she could not see
    his face clearly. She told J.W. that the man had touched her. J.W.
    told her to call the neighbors and wrestled the man into the house’s
    hallway. A.C. followed them, finally saw Argueta, and punched
    him before running out to find the neighbors and call the police.
    Argueta kept apologizing and tried to escape. After he managed to
    get out of J.W.’s grip, two other neighbors arrived and helped J.W.
    pin him down on the house’s front lawn until the police arrived
    and arrested him.
    ¶8 After a police officer read Argueta his Miranda rights and
    he invoked them, Argueta overheard A.C. telling the officer that
    Argueta had touched her. Argueta retorted that A.C. was “a liar,
    that he [had] met her at a bar, . . . that the keys [had been] left in the
    door, and that he had left the keys in the house.”2 The State charged
    Argueta with burglary and forcible sexual abuse.
    ¶9 At trial, Argueta presented a more elaborate version of the
    events of that night. He testified that he had met A.C. and J.H., her
    boyfriend at the time, at a bar close to A.C.’s apartment a year to a
    year-and-a-half before the incident.3 They had talked and drunk
    until late. Before the bar closed, Argueta had offered J.H. a shot,
    __________________________________________________________
    2 There is some discrepancy in the record about whether
    Argueta made his statements before or after the police officer read
    him his Miranda rights. But the State and Argueta stipulated on
    appeal that Argueta made the statement after invoking Miranda.
    State v. Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 8 n.2, 
    429 P.3d 764
    . We follow
    that stipulation here.
    3 In all relevant times to this case, A.C. lived in the same
    apartment.
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    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    which he had accepted and drunk. The couple had then asked
    Argueta to give them a ride home. He had agreed, and when they
    had gotten to their apartment, A.C. and J.H. had invited him in. J.H.
    had asked Argueta if he could borrow twenty dollars, and Argueta
    had given him the money. J.H. had told him, “[w]henever you want
    to come, I owe you $20.”
    ¶10 Argueta testified that he had gone by the apartment “[f]ive
    or six times” to get the money back, usually in the early morning
    hours. But before the night of the charged act, he had “never
    attempted to enter the home because there were people in front, but
    [A.C. and J.H.] were not there.”4 On the night of the charged act,
    Argueta decided to enter the house, where he saw the apartment
    door open and the keys in the lock. He decided to enter the house
    and put the keys in the apartment as “a good deed.” According to
    his testimony, as he put the keys onto the dresser and turned to
    leave, J.W. came into the apartment.
    ¶11 Before trial, the State sought to admit evidence of several
    prior bad acts allegedly committed by Argueta, under rule 404(b)
    of the Utah Rules of Evidence. After a hearing, the trial court found
    two of the prior bad acts admissible, but only to rebut any
    testimony by Argueta “as to his intent with regard to his entry, if
    any, into the [apartment].” The two prior bad acts were a 2010
    incident in which Argueta was found trespassing near another
    woman’s house and entered a plea in abeyance5 (the trespassing
    incident) and a 2014 incident in which A.C. claimed she saw
    Argueta peeping into her apartment and confronted him (the
    peeping incident).
    ¶12 The jury convicted Argueta as charged and the court later
    sentenced him to two concurrent terms of one to fifteen years in
    prison. Argueta appealed, and the court of appeals affirmed his
    conviction. State v. Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 56, 
    429 P.3d 764
    .
    Pertinent here, the court of appeals held that the prosecutor did not
    __________________________________________________________
    4 There is no testimony that Argueta knew that A.C. and J.H.
    separated, or that he knew that A.C. lived with J.W. at the time of
    the charged act.
    5 A plea in abeyance “means an order by a court, upon motion
    of the prosecution and the defendant, accepting a plea of guilty or
    of no contest from the defendant but not, at that time, entering
    judgment of conviction against him nor imposing sentence upon
    him on condition that he comply with specific conditions as set
    forth in a plea in abeyance agreement.” UTAH CODE § 77-2a-1(1).
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                            Opinion of the Court
    violate Argueta’s right to remain silent when, during
    cross-examination and closing arguments, she commented on the
    omissions in his initial statement at the scene.
    Id. ¶¶ 27,
    29.
    Additionally, the court of appeals held that the trial court erred in
    admitting the trespassing incident under the doctrine of chances,
    but that it was harmless error.
    Id. ¶¶ 40,
    42. Finally, the court of
    appeals held that Argueta had failed to preserve his argument that
    the peeping incident should have been excluded from evidence
    since A.C.’s eyewitness testimony was unreliable.6
    Id. ¶ 46.
       ¶13 Argueta filed a certiorari petition on these three issues,
    which we granted. We exercise jurisdiction under Utah Code
    section 78A-3-102(3)(a).
    STANDARD OF REVIEW
    ¶14 On certiorari, “we review the decision of the court of
    appeals and not that of the [trial] court.” State v. Hansen, 
    2002 UT 125
    , ¶ 25, 
    63 P.3d 650
    (citation omitted) (internal quotation marks
    omitted). And “we review the decision of the court of appeals for
    correctness.”
    Id. (citation omitted)
    (internal quotation marks
    omitted). But “[t]he correctness of the court of appeals’ decision
    turns, in part, on whether it accurately reviewed the trial court’s
    decision under the appropriate standard of review.” State v.
    Apodaca, 
    2019 UT 54
    , ¶ 25, 
    448 P.3d 1255
    (citation omitted) (internal
    quotation marks omitted).
    ¶15 In this case, one issue—the alleged constitutional
    violation—should be reviewed for correctness. State v. Hernandez,
    
    2011 UT 70
    , ¶ 3, 
    268 P.3d 822
    . The two other issues involve the trial
    court’s decision to admit evidence, which we “will not overturn . . .
    absent an abuse of discretion.” State v. Cuttler, 
    2015 UT 95
    , ¶ 12, 
    367 P.3d 981
    . “But whether the [trial] court applied the proper legal
    standard” in assessing the admissibility of that evidence is a
    question of law that we review for correctness.”
    Id. (citation omitted)
    (internal quotation marks omitted).
    ANALYSIS
    ¶16 We granted certiorari on three questions. They are whether
    the court of appeals erred in concluding (1) that the
    cross-examination about omissions in Argueta’s statement at the
    scene did not violate his right to remain silent, (2) that Argueta was
    __________________________________________________________
    6 Argueta made additional arguments on appeal, which were
    also rejected. Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶¶ 47–55. He did not raise
    those arguments in his petition for writ of certiorari, and we
    therefore do not address them.
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    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    not prejudiced by the erroneous admission of the trespassing
    incident, and (3) that Argueta failed to preserve his challenge to the
    admission of the peeping incident.
    ¶17 Like the court of appeals, we find that Argueta failed to
    preserve his argument against the admission of the peeping
    incident. And we cannot determine whether the trial court erred in
    admitting the trespassing incident under the doctrine of chances
    due to lack of information as we explain below. But even if we
    assume error, it was harmless.
    ¶18 Finally, we do not determine if the prosecutor’s comments
    about Argueta’s omissions in his statement at the scene constitute
    a constitutional violation. That is because, even assuming that such
    a violation occurred, we find that it was harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt and did not prejudice Argueta. Even without
    mentioning these omissions, the version that Argueta presented at
    trial cannot credibly stand when confronted with the versions
    offered by A.C. and the other prosecution witnesses, the
    circumstantial evidence, and the peeping incident.
    ¶19 We, therefore, affirm the court of appeals’ judgment.
    I. PRIOR BAD ACTS EVIDENCE
    ¶20 In a pretrial ruling, the trial court held that the prior bad
    acts evidence—the peeping incident and the trespassing incident—
    would be admissible, but only “if . . . the defendant puts his intent
    of going inside of the apartment in play.” Because Argueta’s trial
    testimony did raise an issue about his intent in entering the
    apartment, both incidents were admitted into evidence.7
    ¶21 Argueta claims that admitting the evidence of the peeping
    and trespassing incidents was both erroneous and prejudicial. The
    court of appeals held that Argueta did not preserve his challenge
    to the peeping incident and that, although the trial court erred in
    admitting the trespassing incident, it was harmless error. State v.
    Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶¶ 41, 46, 
    429 P.3d 764
    . We agree with
    the court of appeals’ outcome and some of its analysis, as we
    explain below. We first address the challenge to the admissibility
    of the peeping incident and hold that it was not preserved. We then
    address the trespassing incident.
    __________________________________________________________
    7 Because Argueta’s defense was that his intent of entering the
    apartment was innocent, Argueta’s trial attorney asked him about
    the trespassing incident on direct examination, even before the
    State brought it up.
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                           Opinion of the Court
    A. The Peeping Incident
    ¶22 The peeping incident occurred in 2014. A.C. was laying in
    her backyard late one night when she saw a man peeping into the
    windows of her and her neighbor’s apartments. She hid as she
    continued to watch the man. As the man moved away to the house
    next-door, A.C. ran into her apartment and alerted J.H. Together,
    the two confronted the man. The man was Argueta.8 When the
    police arrived at the scene of the charged act at issue here, A.C. did
    not mention the peeping incident from 2014. But in her testimony,
    she said that once she saw Argueta in the lit hallway, she
    recognized him.
    ¶23 In his motion to suppress the evidence, Argueta argued
    that the peeping evidence “would greatly confuse the issues before
    the jury,” and would require expert eyewitness testimony because
    of the “many problems inherent in eyewitness identification
    testimony.” He submitted that the evidence is inadmissible under
    Rule 403 of the Utah Rules of Evidence because “the introduction
    and confrontation of the State’s proposed 404(b) evidence would
    confuse the issues before the jury and cost a great deal of time and
    other resources, and [because] it is only tangentially related to the
    central issues of the State’s allegations.”
    ¶24 Argueta now claims that evidence of the peeping incident
    was inadmissible under rule 403 because A.C.’s eyewitness
    testimony was unreliable. But “[a]s a general rule, claims not raised
    before the trial court may not be raised on appeal.” State v. Holgate,
    
    2000 UT 74
    , ¶ 11, 
    10 P.3d 346
    . To preserve an issue for appeal, the
    “issue must be presented to the trial court” in a way that gives the
    trial court “an opportunity to rule on that issue.” Brookside Mobile
    Home Park, Ltd. v. Peebles, 
    2002 UT 48
    , ¶ 14, 
    48 P.3d 968
    . When
    evaluating if the trial court had such an opportunity, a court
    considers whether the party raised the issue timely and specifically
    and whether it introduced supporting evidence or relevant
    authority. Winward v. State, 
    2012 UT 85
    , ¶ 9, 
    293 P.3d 259
    .
    Importantly here, “if a party makes an objection at trial based on
    one ground, this objection does not preserve for appeal any
    __________________________________________________________
    8 Because we conclude that the challenge to the peeping incident
    admission was unpreserved, we do not outline the incident any
    further here. However, in our analysis below, we expand and detail
    the incident, as it relates to whether another assumed error in
    Argueta’s trial was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt. See infra
    ¶¶ 61–65.
    7
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    alternative grounds for objection.” State v. Low, 
    2008 UT 58
    , ¶ 17,
    
    192 P.3d 867
    .
    ¶25 Argueta argued to the trial court that A.C.’s identification
    was inadmissible because “every factor weighs against a good
    [eyewitness] identification.” But he never specifically argued that
    it should be inadmissible under rule 403 because it was unreliable.
    Instead, he argued that rule 403 blocked the eyewitness
    identification because of the burden that it would impose on the
    trial: it would “shift the jury’s focus,” and the court would “end up
    spending more time trying the [peeping incident].”
    ¶26 Argueta now asks us to read different parts of his
    argument at trial together, to form a timely, specific, and
    authority-supported argument for constitutional inadmissibility of
    the identification due to unreliability. We cannot bend our
    preservation requirements that far. Argueta’s inadmissibility
    argument below did not hinge on the eyewitness testimony’s
    unreliability but rather on its potential effect on the focus of the
    trial. The trial court did not understand Argueta’s argument as an
    admissibility challenge based on eyewitness unreliability, but only
    as a challenge to the weight attributed to the testimony. At the end
    of the hearing, the trial court said that “there’s an eyewitness issue
    there and we’re going to allow an expert that the defense will bring
    in if they choose to.” Argueta did not ask for a ruling on the
    admissibility argument he now claims he made, and his counsel
    even drafted the trial court’s order, which also did not make any
    mention of this argument. The trial court thus had no “opportunity
    to rule” on whether evidence of the peeping incident was
    inadmissible under rule 403 because the eyewitness testimony was
    unreliable.
    ¶27 Argueta also asserts that the trial court ruled on the
    eyewitness identification issue, and therefore any objection that the
    issue has not been preserved for appeal is “conclusively
    over[come].” Fort Pierce Indus. Park Phases II, III & IV Owners Ass’n
    v. Shakespeare, 
    2016 UT 28
    , ¶ 13, 
    379 P.3d 1218
    (citation omitted).
    That ruling, according to Argueta, happened when the trial court
    remarked during a hearing that the “strength” of the identification
    evidence was “very thin.” But Argueta attaches too much weight
    to this off-hand remark—a remark made while the trial court was
    posing “hypotheticals” in an attempt to understand the parties’
    arguments. Indeed, moments later the trial court judge said that he
    “obviously [didn’t] know the facts.” In any event, the trial court did
    not rule on the issue. And so this argument, too, fails.
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                            Opinion of the Court
    ¶28 For these reasons, we conclude that the court of appeals
    correctly held that Argueta failed to preserve his argument that
    evidence of the peeping incident was inadmissible under rule 403
    because of eyewitness testimony unreliability. And thus we do not
    address whether the alleged unreliability of the eyewitness
    testimony makes the peeping incident inadmissible under rule 403.
    B. The Trespassing Incident
    ¶29 The trespassing incident happened in 2010. The police
    found Argueta outside a home near A.C.’s apartment. The police
    had been called to that location because a woman had complained
    that someone was in her home. The police found the doors and
    windows locked and assured the woman that no one had entered
    her home. But the police found Argueta outside the home; he
    claimed he went near the house to urinate. He was later charged
    with trespassing and pled guilty in abeyance.
    ¶30 Argueta argues that the trial court erred in admitting
    evidence of the trespassing incident under the doctrine of chances
    and that the admission prejudiced him. The court of appeals agreed
    with Argueta that the admission was erroneous but held that it was
    not prejudicial. Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 41. We agree with the
    court of appeals’ outcome because we find that the admission of
    the trespassing incident was not prejudicial to Argueta. However,
    we cannot determine whether the trial court erred in admitting the
    trespassing incident under the doctrine of chances due to lack of
    information, as we explain below. We take this opportunity to
    further clarify the application of the doctrine of chances and the
    burden that the party seeking to admit evidence under the doctrine
    must meet.
    ¶31 Rule 404(b) of the Utah Rules of Evidence prohibits the
    admission into evidence of a “crime, wrong, or other act” to “prove
    a person’s character in order to show that on a particular occasion
    the person acted in conformity with the character.” UTAH R. EVID.
    404(b). It does, however, allow the admission of crimes, wrongs,
    and other acts for other non-propensity purposes, such as “proving
    motive, opportunity, intent, preparation, plan, knowledge,
    identity, absence of mistake, or lack of accident.”
    Id. ¶32 To
    determine, under rule 404(b), whether prior bad acts are
    admissible to rebut, for example, defenses based on mistake or lack
    of intent, courts apply the doctrine of chances. State v. Lowther, 
    2017 UT 34
    , ¶ 23, 
    398 P.3d 1032
    . The doctrine of chances is an analytical
    framework that “rests on the objective improbability of the same
    rare misfortune befalling one individual over and over.” State v.
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    STATE v. ARGUETA
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    Verde, 
    2012 UT 60
    , ¶ 47, 
    296 P.3d 673
    , abrogated on other grounds by
    State v. Thornton, 
    2017 UT 9
    , ¶ 53, 
    391 P.3d 1016
    (citation omitted).
    A proper use of the doctrine assists to discern whether the inference
    from the prior bad act is permissible or not. See
    id. ¶ 51.
        ¶33 In Verde, we laid out some criteria for the application of the
    doctrine of chances. There we also acknowledged the difficult and
    sensitive nature of the doctrine’s inquiry. Id.;
    id. ¶¶ 55,
    57–61.
    Recent case law and law review publications have highlighted the
    difficulty of the doctrine’s application in different circumstances.
    See, e.g., State v. Lane, 
    2019 UT App 86
    , ¶¶ 36–50, 
    444 P.3d 553
    (Harris, J., concurring); State v. Murphy, 
    2019 UT App 64
    , ¶¶ 45–65,
    
    441 P.3d 787
    (Harris, J., concurring); Edward J. Imwinkelried,
    Criminal Minds: The Need to Refine the Application of the Doctrine of
    Objective Chances as a Justification for Introducing Uncharged
    Misconduct Evidence to Prove Intent, 45 HOFSTRA L. REV. 851 (2017).
    The concerns raised in the court of appeals’ case law and law
    review publications merit careful consideration. We therefore
    recently charged our advisory committee on the Utah Rules of
    Evidence to propose recommendations to address this issue. We
    will also continue clarifying the doctrine’s application in our case
    law, as relevant issues come up, as we do here.
    ¶34 One such needed clarification concerns the articulation of
    the “rare misfortune” that triggers the doctrine’s application.
    “[C]are and precision are necessary to distinguish permissible and
    impermissible uses of evidence of prior bad acts, and to limit the
    factfinder’s use of the evidence to the uses allowed by rule.” Verde,
    
    2012 UT 60
    , ¶ 55. The care and precision begin with the party
    seeking to admit a prior bad act under the doctrine of chances. This
    party must articulate the “rare misfortune” that triggers the
    doctrine’s application. Without a clear articulation of what event is
    being evaluated it is difficult to make sure that a prior bad act is
    admissible under the doctrine for a permissible inference.
    ¶35 “[F]or evidence to be admitted under the doctrine of
    chances, it must meet four foundational requirements: materiality,
    similarity, independence, and frequency.” State v. Lopez, 
    2018 UT 5
    ,
    ¶ 54, 
    417 P.3d 116
    . When a trial court is confronted with evidence
    that the State intends to admit under the doctrine of chances, it
    must assess these foundational requirements to decide its
    admissibility.9
    Id. It cannot
    simply rely on the similarity between
    __________________________________________________________
    9 Such assessment is only the first step to admission of evidence.
    Even if evidence is admitted under the doctrine of chances, the
    (continued . . .)
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                           Opinion of the Court
    the charged act and the prior bad acts. See Imwinkelried, 45
    HOFSTRA L. REV. at 856–857, 872.
    ¶36 The court of appeals held that two of the foundational
    requirements for the doctrine’s application—similarity and
    frequency—were not met.10 Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶¶ 38–39.
    Because the State has not properly articulated what “rare
    misfortune” is examined here, we cannot fully agree with the court
    of appeals, as we explain below.
    ¶37 “Similarity and frequency are both important inputs for
    determining [objective] improbability; the less similar the acts, the
    more probable it is that they would occur in the general population.
    And the less frequently they occur in the general population, the
    more it is objective[ly] improbabl[e] that so many incidents would
    occur randomly.” Lopez, 
    2018 UT 5
    , ¶ 59 n.12 (alterations in
    original) (citation omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Similarity and frequency, therefore, “interact with each other to
    become a safeguard against the doctrine of chances becoming a
    work-around for the admission of otherwise improper propensity
    evidence.”
    Id. ¶ 57.
    To evaluate them both, it is important to
    articulate the improbable “rare misfortune.”
    ¶38 To satisfy the foundational requirement of similarity, the
    similarity of the past act need not be “as great as that necessary to
    prove identity under a ‘pattern’ theory,” but it still needs to be
    significant enough to “suggest a decreased likelihood of
    coincidence.” Verde, 
    2012 UT 60
    , ¶ 58. It must be “sufficient to
    dispel any realistic possibility of independent invention.”
    Id. ¶ 59
    (quoting Mark Cammack, Using the Doctrine of Chances to Prove
    Actus reus in Child Abuse and Acquaintance Rape: People v. Ewoldt
    Reconsidered, 29 U.C. DAVIS L. REV. 355, 405–06 (1996)) (internal
    quotation marks omitted); see also Lowther, 
    2017 UT 34
    , ¶ 36.
    __________________________________________________________
    court must “proceed to assess the evidence under rules 402 and
    403.” State v. Lowther, 
    2017 UT 34
    , ¶ 32. Because the evidence here
    does not survive the rule 404(b) inquiry, we need not go any
    further.
    10The court of appeals found that these two requirements were
    not met and did not address the other factors: materiality and
    independence. Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 35. The court of
    appeals did not need to address the two other requirements.
    Because the State needs to meet all requirements, finding that it had
    not met even one of the requirements means that the State failed to
    meet its burden under the doctrine.
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    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    ¶39 Under the frequency requirement, the defendant “must
    have been accused of the crime or suffered an unusual loss more
    frequently than the typical person endures such losses accidentally.
    It is this infrequency that justifies the probability analysis
    underlying the doctrine of chances.” Verde, 
    2012 UT 60
    , ¶ 61
    (emphasis omitted) (citation omitted) (internal quotation marks
    omitted). The number of incidents carries weight in the analysis of
    frequency. But the number of occurrences and their temporal
    proximity are usually not enough to establish the frequency
    requirement. The assessment of frequency cannot be based solely
    on intuition. To evaluate the frequency of a “rare misfortune,” a
    court must ascertain some benchmark for the “typical person[’s]”
    endurance of the crime or unusual loss through testimony or
    judicial notice. See Lane, 
    2019 UT App 86
    , ¶ 49 (Harris, J.,
    concurring). Without such a benchmark, the frequency
    requirement in Verde is only empty words.
    ¶40 With respect to the similarity prong, here, the State has not
    clearly articulated what “rare misfortune” the trespassing incident
    evinces. At the trial court hearing, the State argued that “part of
    [the trespassing incident], kind of falls under th[e] doctrine of
    chances,” because Argueta’s “MO” is to “go[] inside to commit the
    assault.” We cannot discern what improbable event the State is
    highlighting with this statement. It could be “being discovered on
    a young woman’s property in the early hours of the morning,”
    “being discovered inside a young woman’s house,” or perhaps
    “having to urinate near or at a young woman’s house at the early
    hours of the morning.” It could be all these misfortunes or a
    different one altogether.
    ¶41 And because the State has not presented such a clear “rare
    misfortune” to the trial court, the court of appeals, or us, we cannot
    properly evaluate the foundational similarity requirement. It
    would be futile to point to the dissimilarities between the
    trespassing incident and the case at hand because some may not be
    relevant to the similarity assessment, given the rare misfortune we
    evaluate.
    ¶42 For a similar reason, it is unhelpful to analyze the
    frequency question here either. The State made no effort to
    establish a benchmark for a “typical person,” even if we could
    identify what “rare misfortune” we were assessing. The State did,
    however, question Argueta’s innocent urination explanation at
    trial. The State asked Argueta questions about his repeated
    urination in public. Even if we assume that this questioning is
    related to the not-clearly-articulated “rare misfortune,” it would
    12
    Cite as: 
    2020 UT 41
                           Opinion of the Court
    not help the State’s argument. That line of questioning only showed
    that Argueta was repeatedly caught urinating in public on
    occasions and locations unrelated to young women’s properties. It
    therefore strengthens Argueta’s innocent explanation that he
    urinated publicly whenever he had the need to do so, and does not
    necessarily make it improbable that sometimes it would be by or
    on a young woman’s property.
    ¶43 While we agree with the court of appeals’ intuition that
    “[o]ne trespassing conviction does not increase the statistical
    likelihood that on a different occasion Argueta entered [A.C.’s]
    apartment with unlawful intent,” Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 40,
    we cannot affirm it due to the lack of information before us, as we
    explain above.
    ¶44 But even if we assume error, “[f]or an error to require
    reversal, the likelihood of a different outcome must be sufficiently
    high to undermine confidence in the verdict.” State v. Knight, 
    734 P.2d 913
    , 920 (Utah 1987). “The burden of showing harmfulness
    normally rests with the complaining party.” State v. Robertson, 
    932 P.2d 1219
    , 1227 (Utah 1997), overruled on other grounds by State v.
    Weeks, 
    2002 UT 98
    , ¶ 25 n.11, 
    61 P.3d 1000
    .
    ¶45 Below, we find that the State has shown that another
    alleged error in Argueta’s trial was harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt. See infra ¶¶ 57–73. Given that analysis and specifically, the
    overwhelming evidence presented against Argueta, even without
    the trespassing incident, we do not find the inclusion of the
    trespassing incident probative to the case. We, therefore, agree with
    the court of appeals that even assuming error, it was harmless and
    not reversible.
    II. THE PROSECUTION’S COMMENTS
    ABOUT ARGUETA’S STATEMENTS WERE
    HARMLESS BEYOND A REASONBLE DOUBT
    ¶46 Argueta’s chief complaint is about the prosecutor’s
    comments during cross-examination and closing arguments
    regarding the differences between Argueta’s initial explanation to
    the police and his trial testimony.
    ¶47 At the scene of the charged act, and after Argueta invoked
    his Miranda rights, Argueta spontaneously told a version of what
    happened. As he later recounted it, he told the police officer that
    A.C. was “lying[] because [he] knew her at the bar,” and that he
    found the apartment keys in the door, and “left the keys in the
    apartment.” At trial, Argueta elaborated on this version. He added
    details about meeting A.C. at the bar and also testified that A.C. and
    13
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    J.H. previously invited him into the apartment and that they owed
    him money, which he had come to collect on the night of the
    charged act. During Argueta’s cross-examination, the prosecutor
    referred several times to the omissions in the initial statement at the
    scene compared to the version Argueta presented in his testimony.
    She also addressed these omissions in her closing arguments,
    pointing out that Argueta had not told the officer in which bar he
    had met A.C. or that J.H. owed Argueta twenty dollars.
    ¶48 Argueta argues that these comments violated his right to
    remain silent under Doyle v. Ohio, 
    426 U.S. 610
    , 618 (1976) (“[I]t
    would be fundamentally unfair and a deprivation of due process to
    allow the arrested person’s silence to be used to impeach an
    explanation subsequently offered at trial.”). In response, the State
    argues that the prosecutor did not comment on Argueta’s silence,
    but rather about the inconsistencies between his two versions of
    events and that the United States Supreme Court has held that
    these types of comments do not violate the right to remain silent.
    Anderson v. Charles, 
    447 U.S. 404
    , 409 (1980) (“We conclude that
    Doyle does not apply to the facts of this case. Each of two
    inconsistent descriptions of events may be said to involve ‘silence’
    insofar as it omits facts included in the other version. But Doyle does
    not require any such formalistic understanding of ‘silence,’ and we
    find no reason to adopt such a view in this case.”).
    ¶49 Other jurisdictions have taken varied positions on where
    comments similar in nature “fall” within the spectrum between
    Doyle and Charles, as both parties aptly argue. Because we find no
    prejudice here, see infra ¶ 73, we decline to determinatively decide
    this question, and leave it for a future appropriate case.11
    ¶50 The concurrence would prefer us to decide the question.
    The concurrence recognizes that “the lack of prejudice is a sufficient
    basis for disposition of this case.” Infra ¶ 76. But it argues that it is
    an important question that we granted certiorari on and that it
    already has “a clear answer in controlling precedent,” infra ¶ 76
    n.23, found in State v. Velarde, 
    675 P.2d 1194
    (Utah 1984), which the
    __________________________________________________________
    11 Our decision to not decide the matter should not be viewed
    as an implicit endorsement of the court of appeals’ determination
    that there is “no difference in impeaching a defendant’s prior
    inconsistent statement and impeaching a prior statement that
    omitted exculpatory details where a defendant has not been
    induced to remain silent.” Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 29 (citation
    omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    14
    Cite as: 
    2020 UT 41
                            Opinion of the Court
    concurrence claims we are “casting shade on” by not deciding the
    constitutional question, infra ¶ 83.
    ¶51 Unlike the concurrence we do not think that Velarde
    “clear[ly]” answers the question presented here. Infra ¶ 111.
    Indeed, read properly, we do not think it answers it at all. Velarde
    is about the theft of a truck. The defendant in Velarde was found
    asleep in the stolen truck in Morgan, 
    Utah. 675 P.2d at 1195
    . Upon
    being roused by a police officer, “and without any prompting,” he
    assumed the “search” position against the truck.
    Id. Unlike Argueta,
    he never invoked his right to remain silent after being
    given his Miranda warnings. See
    id. Instead he
    freely told the officer
    that arrested him that he did not own the truck and that he had no
    idea he was in Morgan.
    Id. Then, at
    trial, he testified altogether
    differently that someone with a truck picked him up and they
    drove together to Morgan, where that person lived.
    Id. ¶52 This
    court rejected Velarde’s argument that the
    prosecutor’s cross-examination about his inconsistent versions was
    a commentary on his “silence.”
    Id. at 1195.
    We explained that
    “inconsistency” in testimony “is a legitimate basis for a
    prosecutor’s testing the credibility of a witness by way of
    impeachment,”
    id., because “Doyle
    does not apply to
    cross-examination that merely inquires into prior inconsistent
    statements,”
    id. at 1196
    (quoting 
    Charles, 447 U.S. at 408
    ).
    ¶53 The concurrence asserts that Velarde’s two versions are
    reconcilable, and even though the Velarde court characterized them
    as “inconsistent,” it nevertheless resolved the question before us,
    involving Argueta’s reconcilable versions. Infra ¶¶ 111, 111 n.26.
    We do not think that the concurrence’s interpretation of Velarde is
    plausible or ascertainable from that less-than-two-page opinion. If
    we would have found this interpretation somewhat persuasive,
    there would be no need for a concurrence.
    ¶54 Velarde, therefore, tells us little to nothing about cases like
    Argueta’s, where a defendant’s versions are not inconsistent, but
    merely supplemental and reconcilable.12 And our one case that has
    relied on Velarde since its issuance mentioned in parentheses that
    Velarde stands for the unremarkable proposition “that defendant’s
    __________________________________________________________
    12 Even though the key words in this debate, “supplemental,”
    “different,” or “reconcilable” do not appear in Velarde in any form,
    the concurrence characterizes the decision as displaying a
    “straightforward conclusion” with a “square holding.” Infra ¶¶ 82,
    111 n.26.
    15
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    inconsistent testimony is legitimate basis for prosecutor’s
    questioning his credibility.” Alta Pac. Assocs., Ltd. v. Utah State Tax
    Comm’n, 
    931 P.2d 103
    , 110 (Utah 1997) (Russon, J., plurality
    opinion).13
    ¶55 That is why, for us, answering the constitutional question
    the parties spar about is a task that would require a venture into
    murky waters. Under these circumstances, resolving the
    constitutional question would go against our approach to judging.
    “In light of the ‘great gravity and delicacy’ of constitutional
    questions, . . . ‘[t]he Court will not pass upon a constitutional
    question although properly presented by the record, if there is also
    present some other ground upon which the case may be disposed
    of.’” State v. Rowan, 
    2017 UT 88
    , ¶ 25, 
    416 P.3d 566
    (Himonas, J.,
    concurring) (second alternation in original) (quoting Ashwander v.
    Tennessee Valley Auth., 
    297 U.S. 288
    , 345–46 (1936) (Brandeis, J.,
    concurring)). We have gone so far in the past as to assert that it is
    “our obligation to avoid addressing constitutional issues unless
    required to do so.” Gardner v. State, 
    2010 UT 46
    , ¶ 93, 
    234 P.3d 1115
    (citation omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted); see also State
    v. Wood, 
    648 P.2d 71
    , 82 (Utah 1982) (“[W]e address neither the
    federal nor the state constitutional issues because the case can be
    decided on the preferred grounds of statutory construction. It is a
    fundamental rule that we should avoid addressing a constitutional
    issue unless required to do so.”).14 And although we granted
    certiorari on the constitutional question, we did so, as we do in
    other instances, bearing in mind that it is possible we will not reach
    the issue. See, e.g., State v. Ray, 
    2020 UT 12
    , ¶ 45, --- P.3d ---
    (acknowledging that we granted certiorari on whether the court of
    appeals erred in its determination that Ray was prejudiced by any
    __________________________________________________________
    13 We also note that Alta Pacific was not a criminal case, and its
    use of Velarde was as an example for the proposition that
    “inconsistencies within one party’s appraisal could support the
    approval of a competing and more consistent appraisal.” Alta Pac.
    
    Assocs., 931 P.2d at 110
    (Russon, J., plurality opinion).
    14 It may be that these prior cases overstated the principle of
    constitutional avoidance by speaking broadly in terms of
    “obligation[s]” and “fundamental rule[s].” If so, it would be
    prudent for us to revisit this language. But we should do so with
    the able assistance of counsel and cautiously. For “[w]hen a practice
    of restraint is durable—when it has survived several turns of the
    wheel—a wise humility counsels against discarding it.” Rowen,
    
    2017 UT 88
    , ¶ 27 (Himonas, J., concurring).
    16
    Cite as: 
    2020 UT 41
                            Opinion of the Court
    deficient performance, but ultimately deciding to “not address the
    prejudice prong,” because we concluded the counsel performance
    in question “was not deficient”).
    ¶56 We can proceed, therefore, under the assumption that the
    prosecutor’s comments did rise to a Doyle violation. Because even
    assuming such violation, we hold it did not prejudice Argueta, as
    the State has shown that any such violation was harmless beyond
    a reasonable doubt. See Brecht v. Abrahamson, 
    507 U.S. 619
    , 629–30
    (1993) (requiring a conviction involving a federal constitutional
    error to be set aside unless it is harmless beyond a reasonable
    doubt).
    ¶57 To avoid reversal on account of a Doyle violation, “the
    court must be able to declare a belief that it was harmless beyond a
    reasonable doubt. The State bears the burden of proving that an
    error passes muster under this standard.”
    Id. at 630
    (citation
    omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted).
    ¶58 In State v. Tillman, we held that a violation similar to the
    one alleged here was harmless beyond a reasonable doubt “[i]n the
    face of overwhelming evidence of defendant’s guilt, together with
    the fact that the comments were isolated as opposed to extensive
    and the fact that the trial judge specifically instructed the jury that
    no presumption adverse to [the defendant] is to arise from” his
    silence. 
    750 P.2d 546
    , 555 (Utah 1987) (citations omitted) (internal
    quotation marks omitted). These principles guide us in our decision
    today, but they are not factors in a rigid examination.15 The weight
    of each consideration and the possible availability of other
    __________________________________________________________
    15 After our decision in State v. Tillman, 
    750 P.2d 546
    (Utah 1987),
    the court of appeals “codified” our statement into four factors. See,
    e.g., State v. McCallie, 
    2016 UT App 4
    , ¶ 28, 
    369 P.3d 103
    ; State v.
    Byrd, 
    937 P.2d 532
    , 535 (Utah Ct. App. 1997); State v. Reyes, 
    861 P.2d 1055
    , 1057 (Utah Ct. App. 1993). The parties and the court of
    appeals refer to them as the “Byrd factors” (even though they were
    first codified in Reyes). See, e.g., McCallie, 
    2016 UT App 4
    , ¶ 38.
    We read our decision in Tillman differently. It merely offered
    specific reasons why there was no prejudice in that case based on
    past precedents of this court and the United States Supreme Court.
    It did not offer mandatory, rigid factors. While we endorse the
    rationale behind the “factors” identified by the court of appeals, as
    we did in Tillman, we discourage courts from over-relying on them.
    They should instead conduct a more holistic, case-by-case
    prejudice inquiry.
    17
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    considerations change from case to case. Courts thus should not
    view Tillman’s considerations as set in stone.
    ¶59 Here, we find that the overwhelming evidence of
    Argueta’s guilt as manifested in the trial testimony is more than
    sufficient to find that any alleged Doyle violation was harmless
    beyond a reasonable doubt.
    ¶60 Argueta’s testimony at trial had two prongs: first, his
    reason for being at the apartment at all—coming to collect on J.H.’s
    twenty-dollar debt; and second, his reason for entering the
    apartment—to do a “good deed” by placing the keys inside.
    Neither prong is credible in light of the rest of the evidence, as well
    as in light of Argueta’s testimony.
    ¶61 First, Argueta testified that in 2014, a year and a half before
    the charged act, he had met A.C. and J.H. at a bar. He had
    conversed and drunk with them—on their initiative. When the bar
    had been about to close, he had offered J.H. a shot, before telling
    them that he had to leave. A.C. and J.H. had asked him for a ride to
    their apartment, and he had obliged. He then testified that the
    couple had invited him inside for a drink, which he had agreed to.
    At their apartment, J.H. had asked if he could borrow twenty
    dollars from Argueta. Argueta had given J.H. the money. He had
    then decided to leave the apartment, and J.H. had told him,
    “[w]henever you want to come, I owe you $20.” Argueta
    mentioned several times that the couple had argued with each
    other throughout the night.
    ¶62 Argueta testified that had he attempted to collect his debt
    “[f]ive or six times.” He had usually done so late at night after the
    bars had closed. He would drive by the house, but because “there
    were people in front, but [A.C. and J.H.] were not there,” he had
    never attempted to enter the house. Trying to corroborate this
    story, Argueta pointed to the fact that J.H. had told a private
    detective Argueta hired that he had previously met Argueta “in
    passing.”
    ¶63 In contrast, J.H. testified that in April 2014, he had been on
    the front porch of A.C.’s apartment and that Argueta had walked
    by with a bottle of Tequila and offered him a shot. He had accepted.
    The two had drunk together and “made small talk for maybe a
    minute or so.” J.H. had gone back inside, and thirty minutes later
    he had heard A.C. yelling that there was someone outside peeking
    through their apartment window and asking J.H. to “stop this
    guy.” He had gone outside and found Argueta at the side of the
    house. When he and A.C. had confronted Argueta, he had acted
    18
    Cite as: 
    2020 UT 41
                           Opinion of the Court
    friendly and assured them that “he was just looking for a place to
    piss.” J.H. also explained that he had said he had met Argueta “in
    passing” only because he had met him during the peeping incident.
    He testified further that he had never asked anyone for a ride from
    the bar in question because he lived “close enough” to “walk every
    time.”
    ¶64 A.C.’s version of the events was consistent with J.H.’s. She
    testified that she and J.H. had argued the night of the peeping
    incident as they came back from a bar, and that they both had gone
    outside of the small apartment to cool down. She had been in the
    backyard, lying on the ground when she had noticed a stocky man,
    dressed in black, peeping into her window. She had hidden behind
    a truck as she watched him continue to peep into her and her
    neighbor’s apartments. When the man had moved to the house next
    door, she had run into the house and alerted J.H. After that, J.H.
    had gone to the side of the house and found Argueta. He had come
    back with his “arm around [Argueta].” J.H. explained that
    “[Argueta] [had] walked by the house earlier and offered [him] a
    shot.” When A.C. and J.H. had confronted Argueta and asked what
    he was doing, he had replied that he had had to pee and denied
    looking through the window.
    ¶65 Argueta’s testimony and that of A.C. and J.H. had striking
    similarities. Both the peeping incident and Argueta’s bar story took
    place during approximately the same time. In both stories, A.C. and
    J.H. came back late at night from a bar and were fighting, and
    Argueta offered J.H. a shot, and they drank it together.16 The
    combination of J.H.’s testimony contradicting Argueta’s version,
    the consistency between J.H’s and A.C.’s testimonies, and the
    suspicious amount of similarities between the two stories, given
    that Argueta was familiar with J.H.’s version of the events,17
    impedes the credibility of Argueta’s trial testimony background
    prong.
    ¶66 In the second prong of his testimony, Argueta offered an
    innocent explanation for his presence at A.C.’s apartment on the
    __________________________________________________________
    16 Relevant here is that Argueta heard part of A.C.’s peeping
    incident testimony and its description by the prosecutor at the
    preliminary hearing he attended, well before he testified about his
    version of events.
    17 At the very least, Argueta’s trial attorney learned of J.H.’s
    version of events two days before trial, when J.H. told the entire
    version to Argueta’s private investigator.
    19
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    night of the charged act. This prong was also not credible
    considering its absurdity, as well as the inconsistencies as to
    specific details between Argueta’s version and that of other
    witnesses—whether the door to the apartment was open, whether
    the keys were inside the lock when J.W. came back to the
    apartment, and whether A.C. was sleeping covered or uncovered.
    ¶67 Argueta’s explanation of what happened on the night of
    the charged act, even taken at face value, was absurd and not
    believable. As the court of appeals eloquently stated, Argueta
    “testified that although he [had] met [A.C.] just once before, he
    stopped by her apartment in the early morning hours to claim an
    eighteen-month-old, twenty-dollar debt, and that when he saw the
    keys in the door, he decided to do a ‘good deed’ by entering the
    apartment to place them inside.” Argueta, 
    2018 UT App 142
    , ¶ 42.
    Then, when J.W. came into the apartment, Argueta tried to run out
    of the apartment instead of explaining that he was simply doing a
    “good deed.”18
    ¶68 Beside the absurdity, Argueta’s story details did not add
    up. He testified that when he approached the apartment’s door that
    night, it was “already open” and that the keys were in the lock.
    According to him, he wanted to do a “[g]ood deed” by putting the
    keys in the apartment and leaving.
    ¶69 But this version contradicts other testimony. A.C. testified
    that she had left the key in the door and closed the door all the way.
    Seeing the open door when he got back to the apartment, J.W.
    thought it was unusual.19 He testified that “[w]hen [A.C.] went in
    she said that she would leave the keys in the door for me so that I
    could get in because we have . . . one of the automatic locks. So she
    left the keys in the door, and . . . I don’t know why she would leave
    the keys in the door and leave it open so it wouldn’t lock.”
    ¶70 Argueta also testified that he took the keys out of the door
    and put them on the dresser, and that as he was “turning back,
    [J.W.] was in front of” him. But J.W. testified he remembered the
    keys were still in the lock when he arrived at the apartment and
    __________________________________________________________
    18 Argueta testified that he tried to explain himself but J.W. did
    not let him. But this attempt did not explain why he tried to run out
    of the apartment as he saw J.W. instead of explaining his presence
    right then.
    19The door could have been open either before Argueta arrived
    or because he opened it.
    20
    Cite as: 
    2020 UT 41
                             Opinion of the Court
    that “a figure . . . just kind of full rushing me . . . just from thin air,
    [came] running . . . trying to get out the door.”
    ¶71 Additionally, Argueta’s testimony on whether A.C. was
    covered or uncovered while asleep does not make sense given the
    other testimony. Argueta testified that when he entered the
    apartment he saw “a bulk” on A.C.’s bed, and it “was like the bed
    was covered.” This was consistent with A.C.’s testimony that she
    covered herself up when she went to bed. It was also consistent
    with J.W.’s testimony that A.C. always slept covered with at least a
    sheet. But when J.W. came into the apartment he immediately
    noticed that A.C. was not covered and “the blankets were down”
    and were “move[d] . . . kind of off of her.” Argueta did not address
    this statement. Only one person other than A.C., who was at least
    partially asleep, could have removed the blankets. That was
    Argueta.20
    ¶72 Even taken at face value, without considering Argueta’s
    initial statement at all, his trial testimony version did not hold up
    against the overwhelming evidence against him. In addition, the
    jury heard testimony about the peeping incident and could have
    concluded from that testimony that, because Argueta had tried to
    __________________________________________________________
    20 Argueta’s testimony at trial had additional discrepancies. He
    was shifting about what he was doing the night of the charged act
    in general. On cross-examination, he testified that he had worked
    for “the garbage collecting company in Orem” at that time. But then
    he said that he had been a “mechanic… [a]nywhere” and would
    find himself in the area because he was “running some other
    errands.” But when the prosecutor asked him what errands he had
    been running on the night of the charged act, he answered “[t]hat’s
    not what [he] was doing exactly that day.” See also Argueta, 2018 UT
    App 142, ¶ 42 n.9 (internal quotation marks omitted).
    Argueta was also inconsistent in his explanation of why he
    chose to enter the apartment that night and not on other occasions.
    He testified that had he attempted to collect the alleged debt from
    A.C. and J.H. unsuccessfully “five or six” times but never
    “attempted to enter the home” because they were not among the
    people out front. On the night of the charged act, he had finally
    decided to go into the house to collect his debt. However, from his
    description, this night was not any different from other nights he
    had tried to collect the debt. He did not see A.C. or J.H. in front of
    the house but he saw “some people . . . in the back of the house,”
    and thought, “maybe they are in now.”
    21
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Opinion of the Court
    peep on A.C. before, there was a non-innocent intent for his actions
    on the night of the charged act.
    ¶73 In sum, there was overwhelming evidence of Argueta’s
    guilt given the other trial testimony. Therefore, even if we assume
    that the prosecutor’s comments violated Doyle,21 that violation was
    harmless beyond a reasonable doubt.22
    CONCLUSION
    ¶74 Argueta failed to preserve his challenge to the
    admissibility of the peeping incident. Additionally, all alleged
    errors in his trial, even assuming they all occurred, were not
    prejudicial to him under our relevant standards. Therefore, we
    affirm the court of appeals judgment and Argueta’s convictions.
    __________________________________________________________
    21 The parties dispute whether the comments were a meaningful
    part of the cross-examination and the closing arguments. Each
    party refers to the extent of the comments compared to the length
    of the cross-examination and closing arguments. They do so
    because Byrd stated that whether “the reference was isolated” is a
    relevant factor in the analysis of harmlessness beyond a reasonable
    
    doubt. 937 P.2d at 535
    . That factor originated in our Tillman
    opinion, which said that whether “the comments were isolated as
    opposed to extensive” mattered for the 
    analysis. 750 P.2d at 555
    .
    This is a good example as to why the “Byrd factors” do not serve
    their purpose. An arithmetic calculation of words and lines alone
    gives us no dispositive finding on the effect that the prosecutor’s
    words had on the jury. At times, even one word can echo with a
    listener. Our main inquiry is the strength of the case against the
    defendant. And here, the extent of the comments is irrelevant given
    the overwhelming evidence of Argueta’s guilt and his unbelievable
    version of events.
    22In section I.B. we explain that because the State has shown
    harmlessness beyond a reasonable doubt regarding the alleged
    Doyle violation, we hold that Argueta could not show that the
    admission of the trespassing evidence was harmful. The
    overwhelming evidence against Argueta leaves no room to assume
    that the trespassing incident was probative in the jury
    determination.
    22
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      Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    ASSOCIATE CHIEF JUSTICE LEE, concurring in part and concurring
    in the judgment:
    ¶75 I concur in the judgment of the court and in most of the
    majority opinion. I applaud the court’s refinement and clarification
    of the doctrine of chances. And I agree with its conclusion that no
    prejudice resulted from either of the errors alleged by Argueta—
    (a) the prosecutor’s questions and comments about differences
    between Argueta’s statements at the scene of the crime and his
    testimony at trial (allegedly in violation of Argueta’s Fifth
    Amendment rights), and (b) the admission of Argueta’s prior
    trespassing conviction (purportedly in contravention of our rules
    of evidence under the doctrine of chances).
    ¶76 Normally I would agree that the lack of prejudice is a
    sufficient basis for disposition of this case. But the fact-intensive
    prejudice inquiry is not the reason we granted certiorari. We
    granted certiorari to consider whether the court of appeals erred in
    concluding that Argueta’s Fifth Amendment rights were not
    violated when the prosecutor sought to impeach his credibility by
    highlighting “exculpatory details” that Argueta mentioned at trial
    but omitted in earlier statements to police. This is an important
    question. And we should address it because it has a
    straightforward answer in controlling precedent of the United
    States Supreme Court and in a governing decision of this court.23
    ¶77 The court of appeals based its conclusion on the United
    States Supreme Court’s decision in Anderson v. Charles, 
    447 U.S. 404
    (1980), which endorsed cross-examination that highlights
    inconsistencies between a defendant’s trial testimony and prior
    voluntary statements to police. That case held that in such
    circumstances, there is no Fifth Amendment violation under Doyle
    v. Ohio, 
    426 U.S. 610
    (1976) because the prosecution is not
    commenting on a defendant’s silence (his failure to speak to police)
    but rather his statements to police. 
    Charles, 447 U.S. at 408
    –09.
    ¶78 Argueta has challenged that determination on certiorari.
    He claims that his Fifth Amendment rights were infringed under
    Doyle because the prosecutor’s cross-examination drew “negative
    inferences” from his “silence,” not his “inconsistent statements.”
    __________________________________________________________
    23 I am not suggesting that we must address any issue on which
    we grant certiorari. I am asserting that the question we agreed to
    hear is important to resolve—because it finds a clear answer in
    controlling precedent and declining to answer it will unsettle our
    law unnecessarily. See infra ¶¶ 80–82, 84, 106.
    23
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    Argueta thus views Charles as governing only the limited
    circumstance in which the defendant is cross-examined about
    statements that are irreconcilable. In Argueta’s view, “Charles is
    inapplicable to this case because Argueta’s [trial] testimony
    provided only additional details, not inconsistent statements, when
    comparing Argueta’s trial testimony to his post-arrest statements
    to police.”
    ¶79 The State disagrees. It asserts that details given at trial but
    omitted in earlier statements to police are a kind of “inconsistency,”
    and that any cross-examination focusing on such statements is fair
    game under Charles. It also contends that we already resolved this
    question in State v. Velarde, where we explained that Doyle has “no
    application to a case in which the defendant did not exercise his
    right to remain silent,” and emphasized that there is no Fifth
    Amendment bar on “cross-examination that merely inquires into
    [voluntary] prior inconsistent statements.” 
    675 P.2d 1194
    , 1196
    (Utah 1984) (citations omitted). The State contends that this is
    precisely the situation here since Argueta did not exercise his right
    to remain silent but instead spoke freely and voluntarily to the
    police. Because the prosecutor did not use Argueta’s “silence . . . to
    impeach an explanation subsequently offered at trial,” 
    Doyle, 426 U.S. at 618
    (emphasis added), but rather highlighted differences
    between his prior voluntary statements and trial testimony
    (embellishments added at trial), the State asks us to affirm the court
    of appeals under the standards set forth in Doyle, Charles, and
    Velarde.
    ¶80 I agree with the State’s reading of these cases. In the
    paragraphs below, I show that these decisions hold that there is no
    constitutional bar on a prosecutor’s comments highlighting
    inconsistencies between a story told voluntarily in a pretrial
    investigation and a story told voluntarily at trial. I then establish
    that there is no constitutional or logically tenable distinction
    between the inconsistency of (a) telling one story to police and a
    directly contradictory one at trial and (b) telling a limited story to
    police and embellishing it at trial. In neither circumstance has the
    defendant exercised his “right to remain silent.” He has voluntarily
    spoken at two different stages of the process—in a police
    investigation and at trial. And in so doing he has voluntarily
    subjected himself to cross-examination, without any infringement
    of any right guaranteed by the Fifth Amendment or United States
    Supreme Court precedent. The circumstance at issue here
    (embellishment) is precisely the circumstance at issue in Velarde—
    the defendant’s two voluntary stories were not directly
    24
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      Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    contradictory, but inconsistent only in the sense that one added
    detail not previously provided. See infra ¶¶ 111, 111 n.26. In that
    situation, the Velarde court held that an “inconsistency” in a
    defendant’s stories “is a legitimate basis for a prosecutor’s testing
    the credibility of a witness by way of 
    impeachment.” 675 P.2d at 1195
    . And it affirmed a conviction against a constitutional claim
    that such a move ran afoul of the defendant’s “right to remain
    silent.”
    Id. (citation omitted)
    .
    ¶81 I find this holding controlling for reasons explained in
    greater detail below. The majority disagrees, asserting that Velarde
    does not “‘clear[ly]’ answer[] the question presented here.” Supra
    ¶ 51. Yet it does so in an opinion that offers no salient basis for
    rejecting my reading of Velarde or for effectively distinguishing it—
    and that simultaneously purports to be avoiding the constitutional
    question altogether. See supra ¶ 49 (stating that the court is
    “declin[ing]” to decide the constitutional question); supra ¶¶ 55, 55
    n.14 (asserting that a decision on “the constitutional question
    would go against our approach to judging” under the doctrine of
    “constitutional avoidance”).
    ¶82 The most the majority can say about Velarde is that it
    involved an “inconsistency” in which the defendant gave one
    version of his story prior to trial and a “different[]” version at trial.
    See supra ¶¶ 51–52. But that just underscores the parallelism
    between this case and Velarde. As in this case, the Velarde
    defendant’s stories did not directly contradict each other—they
    were “inconsistent” only in the sense that the defendant
    embellished his story at trial. See infra ¶¶ 111, 111 n.26. It was in
    that context that the Velarde opinion held that “in order to assert the
    [Doyle] privilege[,] there must be an initial and sustained silence after
    the Miranda warning is given.” 
    Velarde, 675 P.2d at 1196
    (emphasis
    added). That holding should control our decision here. We should
    not be waving it off on the ground that the opinion is somehow
    “unremarkable” and has been cited only once in our case law. See
    supra ¶ 54. That is not a basis for overriding a square holding of this
    court under our doctrine of stare decisis. And even if the facts of
    Velarde were “[un]ascertainable” because the opinion is less than
    two pages long, see supra ¶ 53, (they aren’t, see infra ¶¶ 111, 111
    n.26), this clear holding about the actions a defendant must take
    before invoking Doyle would still control. The court is thus in no
    position to claim that its decision to dismiss Velarde is an act of
    constitutional avoidance. See supra ¶ 55.
    ¶83 Constitutional avoidance makes sense when we are
    resolving a case on a statutory or other alternate ground while
    25
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    declining to break new constitutional ground. If that’s what the
    majority were doing, I could understand it as an act of judicial
    restraint. But that’s not what’s afoot. We have already broken the
    constitutional ground at issue—in our decision in Velarde. And the
    majority is openly casting shade on that decision. It is doing so,
    moreover, without identifying any persuasive ground for
    questioning the scope of this important decision.
    ¶84 This is not an act of restraint or judicial “humility.” See
    supra ¶ 55 n.14 (quoting State v. Rowan, 
    2017 UT 88
    , ¶ 27, 
    416 P.3d 566
    (Himonas, J., concurring)). It is an open challenge to the settled
    state of our case law and our doctrine of stare decisis. In questioning
    Velarde—and the reading of that clear decision outlined further
    below—the court is not declining to decide an unresolved issue. It
    is reopening a heretofore resolved question, introducing doubt and
    ambiguity on a point that until today was clearly established.
    Unless and until the court explains (1) how the “inconsistency” in
    Velarde is any more contradictory than the “inconsistency” in this
    case and (2) how Argueta can invoke Doyle after “br[eaking] the
    silence guaranteed constitutionally,” 
    Velarde, 675 P.2d at 1196
    , it is
    in no position to claim to be engaged in an act of restraint or
    humility.
    ¶85 There is no Fifth Amendment right to tell one story to the
    police and a different one at trial—at least, not one that allows you
    to insulate yourself from cross-examination. There is only a right
    not to be compelled to be a witness against yourself. And that right
    is in no way implicated in a case like this one where the defendant
    spoke voluntarily to police and again at trial.
    ¶86 These conclusions follow clearly from three sets of
    controlling authorities: (1) longstanding United States Supreme
    Court precedent limiting the right against self-incrimination by
    allowing defendants to be cross-examined regarding voluntary
    statements made during direct examination, see Fitzpatrick v. United
    States, 
    178 U.S. 304
    , 315 (1900), or police interrogation, see Miranda
    v. Arizona, 
    384 U.S. 436
    , 469 (1966); (2) the Supreme Court’s
    decisions in Doyle and Charles, which establish that there is no Fifth
    Amendment bar on “cross-examination that merely inquires into
    prior inconsistent statements” made voluntarily during a police
    investigation, 
    Charles, 447 U.S. at 408
    ; and (3) our opinion in Velarde,
    which holds that Charles extends to the kinds of inconsistencies at
    issue here—details provided at trial but not given during the initial
    police investigation, 
    see 675 P.2d at 1195
    –96. I set forth the specific
    grounds for these conclusions in the three sections that follow.
    26
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      Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    I. Fitzpatrick and Miranda
    ¶87 The Fifth Amendment establishes a right against
    compulsory self-incrimination. It says that “[n]o person shall be . . .
    compelled in any criminal case to be a witness against himself.”
    U.S. CONST. amend. V. Defendants are thus protected against
    compelled testimony. And that leaves them open to
    cross-examination about voluntary statements given at trial on
    direct examination, or earlier in the course of pretrial police
    investigation.
    ¶88 The first application of this principle is deeply embedded
    in controlling case law, going back at least as far as Fitzpatrick v.
    United States, 
    178 U.S. 304
    (1900). In Fitzpatrick, the Court held that
    an accused who “waives his constitutional privilege of silence” by
    “tak[ing] the stand in his own behalf” is subject to
    cross-examination.
    Id. at 315.
    So “[w]hile no inference of guilt can
    be drawn from [the defendant’s] refusal to avail himself of the
    privilege of testifying,” the defendant “has no right to set forth to
    the jury all the facts which tend in his favor without laying himself
    open to a cross-examination upon those facts.”
    Id. Statements made
    on direct examination are made voluntarily. And they are thus fair
    game on cross-examination. In other words, a defendant is treated
    “with the same latitude as would be exercised in the case of an
    ordinary witness.”
    Id. ¶89 The
    same goes for statements made voluntarily to police
    during an investigation. This is a core premise of Miranda v.
    Arizona, 
    384 U.S. 436
    (1966). That case established a warning that
    informs suspects of their right “to remain silent.”
    Id. at 444
    (emphasis added). But that warning also includes the famous
    “explanation” that “anything” they say “can and will be used against
    [them] in court.”
    Id. at 469
    (emphases added).
    ¶90 These premises follow naturally from the core guarantee of
    the Fifth Amendment. The protected right is a right against
    compelled self-incrimination.24 That right is always subject to
    __________________________________________________________
    24 Miranda protects suspects from coercive interrogations, not
    inadvisable voluntary statements. See, e.g., Miranda v. Arizona, 
    384 U.S. 436
    , 473–74 (1966) (“If the individual indicates in any manner,
    at any time prior to or during questioning, that he wishes to remain
    silent, the interrogation must cease.” (emphases added) (footnote
    omitted));
    id. at 474
    (“Without the right to cut off questioning, the
    setting of in-custody interrogation operates on the individual to
    (continued . . .)
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    STATE v. ARGUETA
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    waiver, as when the defendant decides to speak voluntarily about
    his involvement in a crime. See Berghuis v. Thompkins, 
    560 U.S. 370
    ,
    384 (2010) (“Where the prosecution shows that a Miranda warning
    was given and that it was understood by the accused, an accused’s
    uncoerced statement establishes an implied waiver of the right to
    remain silent.”). And once a suspect does that, he is in no position
    to complain about cross-examination highlighting differences
    between voluntary statements made at two different stages of
    interaction with the government.
    ¶91 Argueta cannot and does not assert that his statements to
    the police were in any way compelled or involuntary. He gave them
    voluntarily after he received his Miranda warnings—warnings that
    included the caution that anything he said could and would be
    used against him in court. And the State made good on that
    promise. That is all that happened here. Argueta was
    cross-examined about voluntary statements he made to the police
    during his voluntary testimony at trial. And he is thus in no
    position to argue that this cross-examination infringed his Fifth
    Amendment rights.
    II. Doyle and Charles
    ¶92 Fitzpatrick and Miranda provide the context for and explain
    the Supreme Court’s subsequent decisions in Doyle v. Ohio, 
    426 U.S. 610
    (1976), and Anderson v. Charles, 
    447 U.S. 404
    (1980). Contrary to
    Argueta’s assertions, these decisions did not establish a right to
    give two different voluntary statements about a crime and then
    avoid cross-examination about the differences so long as the
    statements do not flatly contradict one another. They establish only
    a narrow limitation on the scope of permissible cross-examination.
    And they do so in a manner that confirms the propriety of the
    cross-examination challenged in this case.
    __________________________________________________________
    overcome free choice in producing a statement after the privilege
    has been once invoked.” (emphases added));
    id. at 478
    (“The
    fundamental import of the privilege while an individual is in
    custody is not whether he is allowed to talk to the police without
    the benefit of warnings and counsel, but whether he can be
    interrogated.“ (emphasis added));
    id. (“To summarize,
    we hold that
    when an individual is taken into custody or otherwise deprived of his
    freedom by the authorities in any significant way and is subjected to
    questioning, the privilege against self-incrimination is jeopardized.”
    (emphases added)).
    28
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    ¶93 Doyle prohibits the prosecution from seeking to impeach a
    defendant by commenting on his “silence” during a police
    
    investigation. 426 U.S. at 617
    –19. But that holding is tethered to and
    based on the Miranda warning—and the notion that it is
    fundamentally unfair for the state to advise a suspect that he has
    the “right to remain silent” only to later highlight his silence as a
    basis for an inference of guilt at trial.
    Id. And Charles
    offers an
    important clarification of the Doyle principle by holding that there
    is no infringement of the Fifth Amendment where the
    cross-examination does not comment on “silence” but instead
    “inquires into prior inconsistent statements” made voluntarily to
    the 
    police. 447 U.S. at 408
    .
    ¶94 Taken together, Doyle and Charles sustain the decision of
    the court of appeals. They clarify that the prosecution is prohibited
    from commenting on a suspect’s invocation of and reliance on the
    Miranda right to remain silent as a basis for an inference of guilt.
    But they reserve the prosecution’s right to pursue
    cross-examination when the defendant has not exercised the right
    to remain silent but instead has spoken voluntarily to police and
    offered an explanation for his involvement in a crime.
    A. Doyle
    ¶95 The defendant in Doyle v. Ohio was arrested and convicted
    on charges of drug trafficking. 
    426 U.S. 610
    , 611 (1976). At the time
    of his arrest, he was advised of his Miranda right to remain silent.
    Id. at 612.
    And he exercised that right—he did not speak to the
    police. Afterward, the defendant took the witness stand and sought
    to undermine the government’s portrayal of a drug deal in which
    the defendant had stood next to “a well-known ‘street person’ with
    a long criminal record,”
    id. at 611,
    who held “a package under his
    arm, presumably after the transaction” had taken place,
    id. at 612.
    The defendant testified that in reality the “street person” had
    “framed” him—that the “street person” was the dealer, and that he
    (the defendant) had been seeking only to purchase drugs.
    Id. at 613.
        ¶96 The prosecution sought to undermine the defendant’s
    “framing” defense by questioning the defendant about his silence
    at the time of the initial police investigation.
    Id. at 613–14.
    It was in
    this context that the Doyle Court held that “impeachment use of a
    defendant’s post-arrest silence,”
    id. at 616,
    is an infringement of the
    defendant’s constitutional rights—a “fundamentally unfair” move
    that amounts to “a deprivation of due process,”
    id. at 618.
    Importantly, the Doyle Court did not root its decision in some
    freestanding notion of “fairness” or “due process.” It specifically
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    STATE v. ARGUETA
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    based its “fairness” inquiry on the content of the required Miranda
    warning. See
    id. at 617.
        ¶97 The Doyle Court acknowledged that cross-examination
    regarding a defendant’s voluntary “post-arrest statements” is
    entirely appropriate
    Id. (emphasis added)
    . 
    But it viewed
    commentary on a defendant’s post-arrest silence as a different
    matter. The Court noted that Miranda “require[s] that a person
    taken into custody be advised immediately that he has the right to
    remain silent.”
    Id. And it
    noted that a suspect’s “[s]ilence in the
    wake of these warnings may be nothing more than the arrestee’s
    exercise” of the Miranda right.25
    Id. Although “the
    Miranda
    warnings contain no express assurance that silence will carry no
    penalty,” the Court concluded that “such assurance is implicit to
    any person who receives the warnings.”
    Id. at 618.
    And “[i]n such
    circumstances, it would be fundamentally unfair and a deprivation
    of due process to allow the arrested person’s silence to be used to
    impeach an explanation subsequently offered at trial.”
    Id. (footnote omitted).
        ¶98 This clear holding of Doyle has no purchase in a case like
    this one. Here, there was no commentary on a defendant’s
    invocation of silence, but only commentary about his voluntary
    statements. That is fair game under Doyle.
    ¶99 Doyle is based on fundamental fairness concerns rooted in
    a defendant’s reliance on the implied promises of the Miranda
    warnings. There are no such concerns in a case like this one.
    Argueta was given no “implicit” assurance that his voluntary
    statements to police would not be used against him. He was told
    the exact opposite. See Miranda v. Arizona, 
    384 U.S. 436
    , 469
    (establishing the warning that “anything” a suspect says “can and
    will be used against [him] in court”). So he was in no position to
    cry foul when his voluntary, post-Miranda statements were used for
    impeachment at trial.
    __________________________________________________________
    25 Because a defendant’s invocation of his right to remain silent
    must be “unambiguous,” a defendant cannot “invoke” his right to
    remain silent—and thereby put an end to questioning and suppress
    any subsequent statements he makes—by simply remaining silent
    for some extended period of time. Berghuis v. Thompkins, 
    560 U.S. 370
    , 381–82 (2010). Any statements made after a valid Miranda
    warning are thus fair game in the absence of a clear statement of a
    desire to remain silent. See
    id. But of
    course a defendant may always
    exercise his right to remain silent by making no reply at all.
    30
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    B. Charles
    ¶100 This reading of Doyle is confirmed by the Court’s per
    curiam opinion in Anderson v. Charles, 
    447 U.S. 404
    (1980). Charles
    reinforced the distinction between an impermissible inference from
    silence (in contravention of the Miranda warning) and permissible
    cross-examination and commentary on voluntary statements made
    to police. See
    id. at 408–409.
    And it openly rejected a “formalistic”
    understanding of “silence” that would blur the distinction between
    the two.
    Id. at 409.
       ¶101 The defendant in Charles was arrested while driving a
    stolen car—a car that belonged to a man “who had been strangled
    to death in his Ann Arbor home less than a week earlier.”
    Id. at 404.
    The defendant, found with personal property belonging to the
    deceased man, was given his Miranda warnings and asked about
    the stolen car.
    Id. at 404–05.
    He then voluntarily told the
    investigating officer “that he [had] stole[n] the car in Ann Arbor
    from the vicinity of Washtenaw and Hill Streets, about two miles
    from the local bus station.”
    Id. at 405.
    But at trial, the defendant
    testified that he had taken the “unattended” car in question “from
    the parking lot of Kelly’s Tire Co. in Ann Arbor.”
    Id. On cross-examination,
    the prosecution challenged the trial testimony
    as a “recent fabrication” and asked the defendant why he hadn’t
    told “anybody at the time [he was] arrested, where [he] got that
    car.”
    Id. at 406.
    The prosecution also emphasized that the defendant
    had previously told an investigating police officer that he had
    stolen the car from “Washtenaw and Hill Street.”
    Id. ¶102 The
    defendant subsequently filed a federal habeas
    petition.
    Id. The Sixth
    Circuit held that “the prosecutor’s questions
    about [the defendant’s] post-arrest failure to tell officers the same
    story he told the jury violated due process under the rule of Doyle
    v. Ohio.”
    Id. at 407
    (citation and internal quotation marks omitted).
    But the Supreme Court reversed, emphasizing many of the points
    that I have highlighted above.
    ¶103 First, the Charles Court highlighted the limited nature of
    the Doyle holding. “Doyle bars the use against a criminal defendant
    of silence maintained after receipt of governmental assurances.”
    Id. at 408
    (emphasis added). It “does not apply to cross-examination
    that merely inquires into prior inconsistent statements.”
    Id. “Such questioning
    makes no unfair use of silence because a defendant
    who voluntarily speaks after receiving Miranda warnings has not
    been induced to remain silent.”
    Id. “As to
    the subject matter of his
    statements, the defendant has not remained silent at all.”
    Id. 31 STATE
    v. ARGUETA
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    ¶104 Second, the Charles Court acknowledged that the line
    between silence and prior statements could be considered fuzzy. It
    noted that the Sixth Circuit had adopted a reading of Doyle that
    would bar questions that concerned a defendant’s “failure to tell
    arresting officers the same story he told the jury.”
    Id. (emphasis added)
    (citation omitted). And it conceded that there is a sense in
    which the failure to tell the same story told on a previous occasion
    “may be said to involve ‘silence’ insofar as it omits facts included
    in the other version.”
    Id. at 409.
    But the Charles Court expressly
    repudiated this “formalistic understanding of ‘silence.’”
    Id. In place
    of that view, the Court reinforced the Fifth Amendment principles
    at the heart of Miranda and Doyle, holding that Doyle is implicated
    only when the prosecution makes reference to a defendant’s
    “exercise of his right to remain silent.”
    Id. at 408
    (citation omitted);
    see also
    id. at 409
    (noting that a question that seeks only “to elicit an
    explanation for a prior inconsistent statement” is not a question
    that seeks to “draw meaning from silence,” and is thus
    constitutional under Doyle).
    ¶105 These principles again reinforce the court of appeals’
    analysis in this case. There may be a metaphysical sense in which
    questions about perceived differences between Argueta’s
    voluntary statements on the night of his arrest and his trial
    testimony comment on “silence”—one story “omits facts included
    in the other version.”
    Id. at 409.
    But this does not offend the Fifth
    Amendment under Charles. The “formalistic” sense in which the
    prosecution’s cross-examination amounts to commentary on
    Argueta’s “silence” is beside the point—the key question is
    whether the prosecution has asked the jury to infer guilt from a
    defendant’s invocation of the right to remain silent set forth in the
    Miranda warning. Where (as here) that is not the case, there is no
    Doyle violation. There is only a fair commentary on differences
    between two voluntary stories told by the defendant. And this kind
    of commentary is the core of cross-examination and in no way
    violates the Fifth Amendment.
    III. Velarde
    ¶106 The above establishes the propriety of the prosecution’s
    cross-examination and closing argument in this case under
    controlling precedent of the United States Supreme Court. But any
    arguable doubt on the matter is resolved by our decision in State v.
    Velarde, 
    675 P.2d 1194
    (Utah 1984). Velarde is directly on point and
    directly controlling as a matter of stare decisis. The majority
    unsettles our law by suggesting otherwise.
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    ¶107 Velarde accepts the above understanding of the Charles
    opinion. It also goes further, resolving any remaining doubts of
    relevance to this case. Velarde holds that Doyle may be invoked only
    after “an initial and sustained silence” once Miranda warnings are
    given.
    Id. at 1196
    (emphasis added). And it expressly holds that
    Charles permits cross-examination aimed at highlighting
    inconsistencies between two voluntary statements by the
    defendant—whether the inconsistencies are mere differences or
    outright contradictions.
    ¶108 The police confronted the defendant in Velarde after
    pursuing a tip and finding him asleep in a truck in front of a
    Morgan, Utah café at 2:00 a.m.
    Id. at 1195.
    After the police officer
    confirmed that the truck was stolen, he arrested Velarde and gave
    him his Miranda warnings.
    Id. In response
    to the officer’s questions,
    Velarde volunteered that he did not own the truck, that he had
    arrived at the café in the truck, and that he did not know he was in
    Morgan.
    Id. But he
    gave no other details. “At no time did defendant
    assert any right to remain silent.”
    Id. ¶109 Velarde
    later testified at trial. There, he gave additional
    details that he had not provided at the time of his arrest. He stated
    that another man had “picked him up [in the truck] in Salt Lake
    City,” “driven past” the defendant’s home, and “stayed on the
    freeway all the way to Morgan,” where the other man lived.
    Id. The prosecution
    then sought to impeach the defendant on the basis of
    the differences between the story he told at trial and the voluntary
    statements he had made to the police officer.
    Id. ¶110 On
    appeal, the defendant asserted that this
    cross-examination constituted commentary on his “silence” and
    therefore infringed his Fifth Amendment rights under Doyle.
    Id. We rejected
    that argument. We held that the “inconsistency of [the
    defendant’s trial] testimony with what defendant had told the
    officer” was a “legitimate basis for a prosecutor’s testing the
    credibility of a witness by way of impeachment.”
    Id. And we
    emphasized that the defendant had “waived” his “Fifth
    Amendment guarantee to remain silent” by “talking freely with the
    officer” about the crime after receiving his Miranda warnings, and
    had done so again when he “took the witness stand.”
    Id. ¶111 That
    analysis is directly controlling here. Velarde makes
    clear that there is no Fifth Amendment bar on cross-examination or
    commentary that is aimed at highlighting differences between two
    stories told voluntarily by a defendant. And it emphasizes that the
    differences explored need not be limited to outright contradictions.
    33
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    Velarde speaks of “inconsistency.”
    Id. But the
    inconsistency at issue
    there, as here, involved mere differences—additional details
    recounted at trial that were not given to police. In Velarde, after all,
    it was entirely possible for the defendant to have both (a) not
    owned the truck, arrived in Morgan in the truck, and not known he
    was in Morgan at the time of his arrest (as he told the police), and
    (b) been picked up in Salt Lake and driven to Morgan in the truck
    by another person (as he testified at trial). 26 Yet we spoke of these
    differences as inconsistencies that opened the door to
    cross-examination.
    Id. And we
    emphasized that the defendant had
    __________________________________________________________
    26 In resisting this straightforward conclusion, the majority
    notes that Velarde (a) “told the officer that arrested him that he did
    not own the truck and that he had no idea he was in Morgan,” and
    (b) testified at trial “that someone with a truck picked him up and
    they drove together to Morgan, where that person lived.” Supra
    ¶ 51. That is correct. But it does not distinguish Velarde from this
    case—it highlights the parallelism between the two cases.
    The two stories told by Velarde were not directly contradictory.
    By the time of trial, Velarde had of course discovered where he had
    been on the night in question—he was on trial for a charge on
    which he was arrested in Morgan. So in explaining that it was
    another man who had driven him to Morgan, Velarde wasn’t
    suddenly claiming that he had known he was in Morgan the night
    he was arrested. To the extent there was any inconsistency, it was
    in the embellishments and details relayed at trial (and not recounted
    during the pretrial investigation).
    That is exactly the situation here. Argueta, like Velarde, “freely
    told the officer that arrested him,” supra ¶ 51, that he had met the
    victim at a bar, come to her apartment, noticed the keys in the door,
    and entered to place the keys on the dresser. “Then, at trial, he
    testified altogether differently . . . .” Supra ¶ 51. He not only
    provided elaborate details about meeting both the victim and her
    ex-boyfriend at a bar—driving home together, sharing a beer, and
    lending twenty dollars to the victim’s ex-boyfriend—he claimed
    that he had tried to collect the debt some five or six times before,
    and that recovering that eighteen-month-old debt had been the
    reason for his presence at the apartment. Like Velarde’s additional
    details, Argueta’s embellishments were surprising and arguably
    suspicious, but ultimately reconcilable. It was perfectly possible for
    every statement to be true. And if Velarde involved an
    “inconsistency” on which it was fair game for the prosecutor to
    comment, then the same holds true here.
    34
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      Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    waived his right to remain silent by speaking “freely with the
    officer.”27
    Id. ¶112 The
    majority asserts that Velarde “tells us little to nothing
    about cases” where the alleged inconsistency involves details told
    at trial that were not relayed previously. Supra ¶ 54. But that is
    incorrect. This case is on all fours with Velarde. The inconsistency
    we encounter today is exactly the kind of inconsistency we
    encountered in Velarde. See supra ¶¶ 111, 111 n.26.
    ¶113 The majority resists this conclusion. It says that Velarde
    could not have addressed whether “inconsistent” statements
    include differences as well as outright contradictions, see supra ¶ 53,
    because Velarde did not use the “key words” “‘supplemental,’
    ‘different,’ or ‘reconcilable,’”28 supra ¶ 54 n.12. I don’t follow. The
    __________________________________________________________
    27  The majority also tries to distinguish Velarde by pointing to
    the fact that Argueta invoked his right to remain silent, while
    Velarde did not. See supra ¶ 51. But Argueta immediately waived
    that right by blurting out his initial, incomplete explanation from
    the curb—“he freely told the officer that arrested him,” supra ¶ 51,
    that he had met the victim at the bar and entered to place the keys
    on the dresser. These statements were not protected as
    involuntary—as evidenced by their admission into evidence at
    trial. See Michigan v. Mosley, 
    423 U.S. 96
    , 104 (1975) (holding that
    “the admissibility of statements obtained after the person in
    custody has decided to remain silent depends under Miranda on
    whether his ‘right to cut off questioning’ was ‘scrupulously
    honored’” (emphasis added)); see also Berghuis v. Thompkins, 
    560 U.S. 370
    , 384 (2010) (“Where the prosecution shows that a Miranda
    warning was given and that it was understood by the accused, an
    accused’s uncoerced statement establishes an implied waiver of the
    right to remain silent.”) And Velarde tells us precisely what to do in
    that situation: “[I]n order to assert the [Doyle] privilege[,] there
    must be an initial and sustained silence after the Miranda warning is
    
    given.” 675 P.2d at 1196
    (emphasis added). But Argueta, like
    Velarde, “broke the silence guaranteed constitutionally,”
    id., and is
    thus in no position to invoke Doyle—a point that remains unrefuted
    by the majority.
    28 This is a strange charge coming from a majority unconcerned
    with the “key words” that do appear in Velarde. See supra ¶¶ 82, 107,
    111 n.27 (highlighting Velarde’s requirement that a defendant
    invoking Doyle must be able to show an “initial and sustained
    (continued . . .)
    35
    STATE v. ARGUETA
    Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    doctrine of stare decisis “requires,” at a minimum, “that a decision
    rendered by a court in a particular factual context govern later
    decisions by that court arising under the same or similar facts.”
    State v. Sims, 
    881 P.2d 840
    , 843 n.7 (Utah 1994). And that principle
    requires our application of the Velarde holding here—a decision
    giving “inconsistent” the content it must have had in order for the
    Velarde court to come to the decision it did. Both Argueta’s and
    Velarde’s statements were (1) voluntary and (2) ultimately
    reconcilable, supra ¶¶ 111, 111 n.26—and Velarde’s were deemed
    “inconsistent.” 
    Velarde, 675 P.2d at 1196
    (citation omitted). That
    should be the end of the matter. See Steiner Corp. v. Auditing Div. of
    Utah State Tax Comm’n, 
    1999 UT 53
    , ¶ 12, 
    979 P.2d 357
    (“Stare decisis
    means that like facts will receive like treatment in a court of law.”
    (citation omitted)).
    ¶114 The majority also claims that we have not decided where
    embellishments like Argueta’s “‘fall’ within the spectrum between
    Doyle and Charles.” See supra ¶ 49. But I’m not sure how Velarde
    could have been any clearer. That opinion went to great lengths to
    distinguish the circumstance presented in a case like this one (and
    Charles and Velarde) from the situation in Doyle. It noted that “[t]he
    rationale which the Supreme Court [had] adopted for its decision
    in Doyle” was that it was “fundamentally unfair for the prosecution
    to impose a penalty at trial on a defendant who has exercised [his]
    right by choosing to remain silent.” 
    Velarde, 675 P.2d at 1195
    –96
    (quoting United States v. Agee, 
    597 F.2d 350
    (3d Cir. 1979)). It
    reasoned that “[t]he very statement of that rationale demonstrates
    that Doyle can have no application to a case in which the defendant
    did not exercise his right to remain silent.”
    Id. at 1196
    (quoting Agee,
    
    597 P.2d 350
    ). And it reinforced the straightforward reading of
    Charles that allows “cross-examination that merely inquires into
    prior inconsistent statements,” given that “a defendant who
    voluntarily speaks after receiving Miranda warnings has not been
    induced to remain silent.” Id. (quoting 
    Charles, 447 U.S. at 408
    ).
    Again, it deemed “inconsistency” to encompass not just outright
    contradictions but mere differences between a defendant’s two
    voluntary accounts. Supra ¶¶ 111, 111 n.26. In these circumstances,
    Velarde makes clear that the prosecutor’s inquiries “make[] no
    __________________________________________________________
    silence” and must not have “broke[n] the silence guaranteed
    constitutionally” (citations omitted)); infra ¶ 114 (highlighting the
    Velarde court’s holding that “Doyle can have no application to a case
    in which the defendant did not exercise his right to remain silent”).
    36
    Cite as: 
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      Lee, A.C.J., concurring in part and concurring in the judgment
    unfair use of 
    silence.” 675 P.2d at 1196
    (quoting 
    Charles, 447 U.S. at 408
    ).
    ¶115 These are precisely the circumstances of this case. And
    Velarde is accordingly controlling and entitled to respect as a matter
    of stare decisis. If the majority wishes to walk back Velarde it should
    do so transparently—and with something more than the truism
    that Velarde is less than two pages long and has been cited only once
    for the proposition that a defendant’s “inconsistent testimony is
    legitimate basis for prosecutor’s questioning his credibility.” See
    supra ¶¶ 53–54 (citation omitted). I don’t see how a case being short
    or cited only for its holding undermines its holding. If the court has
    doubts about Velarde, it should own that position and justify it
    under our doctrine of stare decisis. In the absence of such
    justification, Velarde is controlling.
    ¶116 I would so hold. And I would affirm the court of appeals’
    analysis under Velarde’s authority.
    37